Governments tried to ban privacy. Wall Street just packaged it.
384 segments
Bitcoin broke above $81,000
before retracing. Is this move over? Is
it the beginning of a new bull market or
are we looking for a retracement and
lower lows? Personally, I'm looking to
start buying dips aggressively, which
I've been doing the whole time, but I
will tell you why. And we'll dive into
all the news that's informing that
opinion. Let's go.
What is up everybody? Welcome to the
Daily Wolf on Yahoo Finance. I am your
host, Scott Milker, also known as the
Wolf of Wall Street. We spent many
months not talking about the price of
Bitcoin because it was perpetually 60 or
61 or $62,000.
Now, of course, we need to lead with the
general price action on every show, and
my messaging will probably be rather
consistent until we see what plays out
next. So, in case you missed it, here's
what happened overnight. Bitcoin
reclaims
uh 81,000, but bulls face key
resistance. So, no point in bringing up
the charts. I'll just tell you what I am
personally thinking here. So, we've
endlessly talked about the reason that
Bitcoin went up. Breaking above 80,000
is really important. Now, from a
technical perspective, as I've said
before, you want to get above about
82,800. let's call it 83,000 to make a
higher high and break all bearish market
structure. But I do want to say that a
lot of the signals that we saw that were
very key signs of a bottom are now
showing up as key signs of a local top.
I do not think this move is over. I'm
just getting excited to hopefully get to
buy some dips as price drops here.
Bitcoin has a tendency to not give you
the dips that you want, but that's what
I'm looking for. Those kind of signals
are overbought RSI. Now, we had almost
historically high RSI on the daily
chart. We're seeing bearish divergent
with overbought RSI on lower time
frames, meaning that we're seeing buying
strength sort of abating even as price
continued up. And we're at key levels of
resistance, right? The 50 moving average
on the weekly chart. We basically went
right up to it and got rejected. That's
the kind of area that you would be
looking for price to retrace below to
gather up strength to go back above. So
listen, I as you know use automation to
buy and sell Bitcoin, Salana, and
Ethereum using Arch Public. Uh it sold
some Bitcoin here above 80,000 and I'm
assuming that if we get a nice dip, it's
going to start buying down in the low
70,000s, right? We had that breakout
above the 200 MA on the weekly. That was
around 69,000.
If we get a retracement there, that
looks like an extremely compelling dip
to buy. But personally, I'll start
buying again here in the uh mid70s.
But I'm buying all the time. So that's
the real story here. But listen, I mean,
we had a 25% rally uh in under a week, a
bigger rally on some altcoins. It would
make a lot of sense for us to get a
healthy reset here. And frankly, if
you're watching price and you're a
technical analyst, what you want to see
when you're buying an asset and it goes
up massively is for it to go back and
test key levels to reset, to gain
strength. If it goes straight up, it
ends up coming more aggressively
straight down into the future. So,
listen, uh we can uh we can stay
overbought here for quite a while.
Bitcoin can do what Bitcoin's going to
do, but don't be surprised if you see
some retracement here, right? That's
really the uh prevailing narrative I
want to get. Now, we have some very good
news in the non- Bitcoin world right
now. Gayscale launches Zcash ETF
following the critical privacy flaw that
rocked the cryptocurrency. So Zcash has
been one of the hottest narratives uh in
crypto. It's one of the few coins that
really outperformed the bare market. It
went up making new highs uh throughout
the cycle now testing even the all-time
highs from previous cycles. And it was
on the narrative that privacy was going
to become increasingly more important
just not just for individuals but for
institutions as well. My guest Avi
Felman on my morning show actually made
a great point when he was asked why
Zcash went up and he said you want to
use a token like Monero if you want
privacy. You want to buy Zcash if you
want to invest in privacy. And I thought
that was an exceptionally good point
here. Now I wrote about this in my
newsletter today here. Wall Street is
about to sell you privacy. So there's
some irony here, right? This is great
for Zcash. It's gone up. It has some
huge proponents behind it. But Zcash is
about privacy and selling it on Wall
Street is probably the least private
thing that you could ever do, right? I
mean, this is the least private possible
way that you could own Zcash and
exposure to the privacy narrative. But
think about what happened with privacy
coins over the past few years, right? I
mean, these things, Monero, Zcash,
others, they were delisted from
exchanges all around the world.
governments were attacking them because
they didn't believe that you should have
privacy and that these were only for
criminals or for moneyaundering. And now
crypto has come so far that a privacy
coin is being listed in an ETF rapper on
the stock exchange. I mean, it really is
a pinch yourself moment that we've
possibly come this far. So, for for the
technicals of what happened, Gayscale
already had a Zcash trust and that's
converting into a New York Stock
Exchange ARCA ETF. It'll be under ticker
Z CS,
which is just Zcash. If you take out the
A, which is, as you know, uh, if you
want to be successful as a DJ, you come
up with a name and then you remove the
vows. That's what big DJs do. Um, and so
this conversion introduces creations and
redemptions, which should eliminate the
trust, historic premium, and discount
problem. Now, the management fee is an
astounding 2.5%.
This will be a very very expensive way
to gain some exposure here. But listen,
this is this is great news for the
crypto market. For all those who have
been holding Zcash, congratulations. Uh
I am not one of you. I missed the boat
on this one if that's how you want to
say it. Was was not something that uh I
found particularly compelling. But
clearly price has spoken. Wall Street
has spoken. And the era of being able to
invest in an ETF rapper in privacy is
officially here. Now, speaking of
different rappers to invest in things,
we got our next story here. Coinbase
puts US stocks on base. This is
tokenized stocks to their own Ethereum
L2, which is called base. And this is
actually really interesting. Now, we've
kicked around all the different ways
that we're seeing tokenization come into
play, the different ways that people are
deciding to wrap these or to give
exposure to tokenized versions of
equities. This is one of the purest
plays that you can actually get if you
look at the mechanics of it, right? So
they're launching tokenized Apple,
Nvidia, Meta, Alphabet shares on base.
But this is the interesting part. Each
token is backed one for one by a real
share held in regulated bankruptcy
remote custody. Holders have a direct
senior claim on the underlying stock,
not merely synthetic price exposure.
This is not just a rapper that gives you
exposure to the price. You get the
voting rights and all of the underlying
protections of owning an actual share,
which I just find extremely extremely
interesting. They uh use a platform
called Alpaka, which is a regular
regulated broker and custodian to give
you that direct claim. Now, if you're
wondering how this actually works,
because it's even above my head, the
initial offering includes fractional
shares of Apple and Nvidia that users
can hold in self-custody wallets, trade
on Aerod Drrome, or use as collateral on
decentralized lending protocol A. The
tokens can also be added to liquidity
pools, automated portfolios, indexes,
and derivatives. I find this absolutely
fascinating to be honest because this is
really
not only giving you exposure to a
tokenized stock but giving you access to
the full suite and power of DeFi
utilizing that like you would have used
a crypto token in the past. I think that
this is likely the compelling future of
what tokenization can offer. So listen,
this is small, right? I mean, it's
Coinbase giving to you on base. To be
clear, Americans are not allowed to use
it because we hate fun and we have too
much regulation. So, you know, like
America created Apple, Nvidia created
Coinbase itself and everyone uh but
Americans gets this new product. But
this is what the future is going to look
like when we see the all all, you know,
all-in-one everything apps we've talked
about and everything becomes tokenized
and utilized. you'll be able to take
your stocks onchain and be do be able to
do everything and more than you can do
with those very stocks when they are
offchain. I find this really actually uh
incredible not the news itself but the
pace at which this is happening and the
things that you will be able to do with
these tokenized assets. So I'm going to
take a much deeper look at this
personally not just a news story because
I think that this is a hint as to what
the future is really going to look like.
Next story here, Hyperliquid Policy
Center urges SEC, CFTC to harmonize
rules for for perpetual contracts. So
listen, Hyperliquid absolutely exploded
over the past few years offering
decentralized per, right? the product
that we saw created by Arthur Hayes over
at BitMX and then which exploded
throughout crypto over the past decade,
the perpetual swap obviously made now
even more popular on decentralized rails
with Hyperlid when people realized that
you could trade things other than crypto
using perpetual swaps. So, Hyperliquid
absolutely blew up when gold and silver
started flying and then on the oil trade
and then of course being able to use
these exact same perpetual contracts on
preipo SpaceX. And now it's to the point
where less than a week ago you had the
president giving a press conference and
saying that Mike Celig from the CFDC is
working very hard to bring hyperlquid on
shore. Right. the the pace at which this
is moving forward is rapid and of course
the hyperlquid policy center wants to
make sure that that is done in a legal
and regulatory uh prefer uh you know uh
positive environment. So I listen I
didn't even know that Hyperlid had a
policy arm that's lobby lobbying here
but they do and they say regulators
should classify each product by its
economic structure not simply by whether
it references a stock or cryptocurrency.
So looking for the SEC and CFTC to come
together and give sensible regulation on
perpetual contracts as a whole rather
than diving into exactly what the
perpetual contract is on. So they say
equity per that function like futures
could potentially be regulated jointly
as security futures. Just to put some
numbers on this, hyperlquid process
roughly 3 trillion in notional volume in
2025 and already 1.5 trillion through
August 23rd. So, if you haven't been
following along, the CME and other
incumbent exchanges are resisting the
arrival of cryptostyle perpetual
markets. They don't think that these
should be offered by the CFTC or
regulated. The CME in particular has
been very, very loud about these,
especially since they came to Kouchi.
So, we're going to keep tracking this,
but we're in this regulatory legislative
gray area that I keep talking about
where these products and platforms are
innovating at a tremendous rate and
there's no way that the government can
keep up. Uh, would be nice to see these
regulated in a sensible manner. Now,
we're going to tell a couple stories of
stupidity, which is what we like to do
here. Cosmos Labs confirms Cosmos EVM
incident as three chains disclosed.
Sorry, I fell asleep when I was reading
about more exploits in crypto. So, I
told you how not to invest talking about
mantra train yesterday. That was the
first one. Well, now there's three of
them. And they've pointed out the fact
that it was not their platforms that are
being exploited or hacked that are
having problems, but was actually the
Cosmos Hub, EVM, which means Ethereum
virtual machine, which are words I hope
none of you ever have to learn in the
future because crypto does not work when
we get bogged down in the technicals and
nuance of how it works. And we know that
all these things are going to be
exploited. Cosmos was one of the
darlings of previous cycles. I actually
thought that it uh was incredible to
make uh chains interoperable, but now
they're saying to the chains that are
used within the Cosmos ETM EVM to stop
stop mining blocks.
Slow your roll, guys. Stop your
blockchains for a while until we can
figure this out. Listen, this isn't a
how not to invest today, per se, but uh
it is showing you once again that you
need to be very careful about where you
put your crypto because some of these
chains are basically zombies at this
point. I mean, the multi-chain future
that uh Cosmos believed was going to
happen, it's arrived, but unfortunately
several chains are pressing pause
together in that multi-chain future. And
now we do actually have an how not to
invest hit it.
>> How not to invest. How not to invest.
>> Remember when we told you about the
dangers of leverage and specifically
what South Koreans were doing with SK
Highix and Samsung selling off their
insurance and their savings so that they
could buy exposure to their favorite AI
trade through leverage ETFs. Well, now
and I'm not not I'm not mocking mocking
Binance for offering the product. I
think everybody should be able to do
whatever they want. But you should you
should not be doing this. What they're
offering 20x perpetuals tied to Trump
Media, Maderna, and three leverage
semiconductor ETFs. So to be clear, two
of those are the 2x long and 2x short
skinex ETFs that I told you about before
that the South Koreans were going crazy
for. They were all the rage before their
stock market crashed multiple times,
right? Uh you can now buy a 2x long or
short ETF on SKH Highix using
20x leverage.
20 time 2. 40x leverage. It was already
a bad idea when the South Koreans were
uh trading these volatile assets with 2x
leverage. Now you can effectively do it
with 40x leverage. If you do this, your
parents will disown you, your kids won't
love you, and you will be broke and
homeless on the street by yourself.
Okay, maybe it won't be that bad, but
consider this a cautionary tale. Don't
use 40x leverage. That is all I have for
you today. I will see you tomorrow on
the next Daily Wolf. Peace.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
In this video, Scott Melker discusses the current state of Bitcoin following its surge above $81,000, suggesting that while the long-term trend may be bullish, a healthy retracement is likely due to overbought RSI levels and resistance. He also covers several market updates: Grayscale's new Zcash ETF, Coinbase's launch of tokenized stocks on the Base network, and Hyperliquid's lobbying for regulated perpetual contracts. Finally, he warns against risky investment practices, specifically citing the danger of high-leverage trading on volatile assets.
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