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Governments tried to ban privacy. Wall Street just packaged it.

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Governments tried to ban privacy. Wall Street just packaged it.

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384 segments

0:00

Bitcoin broke above $81,000

0:03

before retracing. Is this move over? Is

0:07

it the beginning of a new bull market or

0:09

are we looking for a retracement and

0:11

lower lows? Personally, I'm looking to

0:14

start buying dips aggressively, which

0:16

I've been doing the whole time, but I

0:17

will tell you why. And we'll dive into

0:19

all the news that's informing that

0:20

opinion. Let's go.

0:27

What is up everybody? Welcome to the

0:29

Daily Wolf on Yahoo Finance. I am your

0:32

host, Scott Milker, also known as the

0:35

Wolf of Wall Street. We spent many

0:37

months not talking about the price of

0:39

Bitcoin because it was perpetually 60 or

0:43

61 or $62,000.

0:46

Now, of course, we need to lead with the

0:48

general price action on every show, and

0:52

my messaging will probably be rather

0:54

consistent until we see what plays out

0:57

next. So, in case you missed it, here's

0:59

what happened overnight. Bitcoin

1:02

reclaims

1:04

uh 81,000, but bulls face key

1:08

resistance. So, no point in bringing up

1:10

the charts. I'll just tell you what I am

1:12

personally thinking here. So, we've

1:14

endlessly talked about the reason that

1:15

Bitcoin went up. Breaking above 80,000

1:18

is really important. Now, from a

1:19

technical perspective, as I've said

1:21

before, you want to get above about

1:23

82,800. let's call it 83,000 to make a

1:26

higher high and break all bearish market

1:28

structure. But I do want to say that a

1:31

lot of the signals that we saw that were

1:33

very key signs of a bottom are now

1:36

showing up as key signs of a local top.

1:39

I do not think this move is over. I'm

1:41

just getting excited to hopefully get to

1:43

buy some dips as price drops here.

1:46

Bitcoin has a tendency to not give you

1:48

the dips that you want, but that's what

1:50

I'm looking for. Those kind of signals

1:51

are overbought RSI. Now, we had almost

1:54

historically high RSI on the daily

1:56

chart. We're seeing bearish divergent

1:58

with overbought RSI on lower time

2:01

frames, meaning that we're seeing buying

2:03

strength sort of abating even as price

2:05

continued up. And we're at key levels of

2:07

resistance, right? The 50 moving average

2:10

on the weekly chart. We basically went

2:13

right up to it and got rejected. That's

2:15

the kind of area that you would be

2:16

looking for price to retrace below to

2:19

gather up strength to go back above. So

2:21

listen, I as you know use automation to

2:25

buy and sell Bitcoin, Salana, and

2:27

Ethereum using Arch Public. Uh it sold

2:29

some Bitcoin here above 80,000 and I'm

2:32

assuming that if we get a nice dip, it's

2:34

going to start buying down in the low

2:36

70,000s, right? We had that breakout

2:38

above the 200 MA on the weekly. That was

2:40

around 69,000.

2:42

If we get a retracement there, that

2:44

looks like an extremely compelling dip

2:46

to buy. But personally, I'll start

2:48

buying again here in the uh mid70s.

2:52

But I'm buying all the time. So that's

2:54

the real story here. But listen, I mean,

2:55

we had a 25% rally uh in under a week, a

2:59

bigger rally on some altcoins. It would

3:01

make a lot of sense for us to get a

3:03

healthy reset here. And frankly, if

3:06

you're watching price and you're a

3:07

technical analyst, what you want to see

3:09

when you're buying an asset and it goes

3:11

up massively is for it to go back and

3:13

test key levels to reset, to gain

3:15

strength. If it goes straight up, it

3:17

ends up coming more aggressively

3:18

straight down into the future. So,

3:20

listen, uh we can uh we can stay

3:23

overbought here for quite a while.

3:25

Bitcoin can do what Bitcoin's going to

3:27

do, but don't be surprised if you see

3:29

some retracement here, right? That's

3:32

really the uh prevailing narrative I

3:34

want to get. Now, we have some very good

3:35

news in the non- Bitcoin world right

3:37

now. Gayscale launches Zcash ETF

3:40

following the critical privacy flaw that

3:42

rocked the cryptocurrency. So Zcash has

3:45

been one of the hottest narratives uh in

3:47

crypto. It's one of the few coins that

3:49

really outperformed the bare market. It

3:51

went up making new highs uh throughout

3:53

the cycle now testing even the all-time

3:56

highs from previous cycles. And it was

3:58

on the narrative that privacy was going

4:00

to become increasingly more important

4:02

just not just for individuals but for

4:04

institutions as well. My guest Avi

4:07

Felman on my morning show actually made

4:09

a great point when he was asked why

4:11

Zcash went up and he said you want to

4:13

use a token like Monero if you want

4:15

privacy. You want to buy Zcash if you

4:17

want to invest in privacy. And I thought

4:20

that was an exceptionally good point

4:22

here. Now I wrote about this in my

4:24

newsletter today here. Wall Street is

4:25

about to sell you privacy. So there's

4:27

some irony here, right? This is great

4:29

for Zcash. It's gone up. It has some

4:31

huge proponents behind it. But Zcash is

4:34

about privacy and selling it on Wall

4:38

Street is probably the least private

4:39

thing that you could ever do, right? I

4:42

mean, this is the least private possible

4:44

way that you could own Zcash and

4:46

exposure to the privacy narrative. But

4:50

think about what happened with privacy

4:51

coins over the past few years, right? I

4:53

mean, these things, Monero, Zcash,

4:55

others, they were delisted from

4:57

exchanges all around the world.

4:58

governments were attacking them because

5:00

they didn't believe that you should have

5:02

privacy and that these were only for

5:03

criminals or for moneyaundering. And now

5:06

crypto has come so far that a privacy

5:09

coin is being listed in an ETF rapper on

5:13

the stock exchange. I mean, it really is

5:15

a pinch yourself moment that we've

5:17

possibly come this far. So, for for the

5:19

technicals of what happened, Gayscale

5:21

already had a Zcash trust and that's

5:24

converting into a New York Stock

5:26

Exchange ARCA ETF. It'll be under ticker

5:28

Z CS,

5:30

which is just Zcash. If you take out the

5:32

A, which is, as you know, uh, if you

5:34

want to be successful as a DJ, you come

5:36

up with a name and then you remove the

5:38

vows. That's what big DJs do. Um, and so

5:42

this conversion introduces creations and

5:44

redemptions, which should eliminate the

5:45

trust, historic premium, and discount

5:47

problem. Now, the management fee is an

5:50

astounding 2.5%.

5:53

This will be a very very expensive way

5:56

to gain some exposure here. But listen,

5:59

this is this is great news for the

6:01

crypto market. For all those who have

6:02

been holding Zcash, congratulations. Uh

6:05

I am not one of you. I missed the boat

6:07

on this one if that's how you want to

6:08

say it. Was was not something that uh I

6:11

found particularly compelling. But

6:13

clearly price has spoken. Wall Street

6:15

has spoken. And the era of being able to

6:17

invest in an ETF rapper in privacy is

6:21

officially here. Now, speaking of

6:23

different rappers to invest in things,

6:24

we got our next story here. Coinbase

6:27

puts US stocks on base. This is

6:31

tokenized stocks to their own Ethereum

6:33

L2, which is called base. And this is

6:36

actually really interesting. Now, we've

6:37

kicked around all the different ways

6:39

that we're seeing tokenization come into

6:42

play, the different ways that people are

6:43

deciding to wrap these or to give

6:46

exposure to tokenized versions of

6:48

equities. This is one of the purest

6:50

plays that you can actually get if you

6:52

look at the mechanics of it, right? So

6:55

they're launching tokenized Apple,

6:56

Nvidia, Meta, Alphabet shares on base.

6:59

But this is the interesting part. Each

7:01

token is backed one for one by a real

7:05

share held in regulated bankruptcy

7:08

remote custody. Holders have a direct

7:11

senior claim on the underlying stock,

7:14

not merely synthetic price exposure.

7:16

This is not just a rapper that gives you

7:18

exposure to the price. You get the

7:21

voting rights and all of the underlying

7:23

protections of owning an actual share,

7:26

which I just find extremely extremely

7:28

interesting. They uh use a platform

7:30

called Alpaka, which is a regular

7:32

regulated broker and custodian to give

7:35

you that direct claim. Now, if you're

7:37

wondering how this actually works,

7:38

because it's even above my head, the

7:40

initial offering includes fractional

7:41

shares of Apple and Nvidia that users

7:43

can hold in self-custody wallets, trade

7:45

on Aerod Drrome, or use as collateral on

7:49

decentralized lending protocol A. The

7:51

tokens can also be added to liquidity

7:53

pools, automated portfolios, indexes,

7:57

and derivatives. I find this absolutely

7:59

fascinating to be honest because this is

8:02

really

8:04

not only giving you exposure to a

8:06

tokenized stock but giving you access to

8:09

the full suite and power of DeFi

8:12

utilizing that like you would have used

8:14

a crypto token in the past. I think that

8:16

this is likely the compelling future of

8:19

what tokenization can offer. So listen,

8:23

this is small, right? I mean, it's

8:24

Coinbase giving to you on base. To be

8:28

clear, Americans are not allowed to use

8:30

it because we hate fun and we have too

8:33

much regulation. So, you know, like

8:36

America created Apple, Nvidia created

8:38

Coinbase itself and everyone uh but

8:40

Americans gets this new product. But

8:44

this is what the future is going to look

8:45

like when we see the all all, you know,

8:48

all-in-one everything apps we've talked

8:50

about and everything becomes tokenized

8:52

and utilized. you'll be able to take

8:53

your stocks onchain and be do be able to

8:56

do everything and more than you can do

8:59

with those very stocks when they are

9:01

offchain. I find this really actually uh

9:03

incredible not the news itself but the

9:06

pace at which this is happening and the

9:08

things that you will be able to do with

9:10

these tokenized assets. So I'm going to

9:11

take a much deeper look at this

9:13

personally not just a news story because

9:15

I think that this is a hint as to what

9:17

the future is really going to look like.

9:20

Next story here, Hyperliquid Policy

9:22

Center urges SEC, CFTC to harmonize

9:25

rules for for perpetual contracts. So

9:28

listen, Hyperliquid absolutely exploded

9:32

over the past few years offering

9:34

decentralized per, right? the product

9:36

that we saw created by Arthur Hayes over

9:39

at BitMX and then which exploded

9:41

throughout crypto over the past decade,

9:43

the perpetual swap obviously made now

9:46

even more popular on decentralized rails

9:49

with Hyperlid when people realized that

9:51

you could trade things other than crypto

9:53

using perpetual swaps. So, Hyperliquid

9:57

absolutely blew up when gold and silver

9:59

started flying and then on the oil trade

10:01

and then of course being able to use

10:03

these exact same perpetual contracts on

10:05

preipo SpaceX. And now it's to the point

10:08

where less than a week ago you had the

10:10

president giving a press conference and

10:12

saying that Mike Celig from the CFDC is

10:14

working very hard to bring hyperlquid on

10:17

shore. Right. the the pace at which this

10:20

is moving forward is rapid and of course

10:22

the hyperlquid policy center wants to

10:25

make sure that that is done in a legal

10:27

and regulatory uh prefer uh you know uh

10:31

positive environment. So I listen I

10:34

didn't even know that Hyperlid had a

10:35

policy arm that's lobby lobbying here

10:37

but they do and they say regulators

10:39

should classify each product by its

10:41

economic structure not simply by whether

10:43

it references a stock or cryptocurrency.

10:46

So looking for the SEC and CFTC to come

10:47

together and give sensible regulation on

10:50

perpetual contracts as a whole rather

10:53

than diving into exactly what the

10:55

perpetual contract is on. So they say

10:57

equity per that function like futures

10:59

could potentially be regulated jointly

11:01

as security futures. Just to put some

11:03

numbers on this, hyperlquid process

11:04

roughly 3 trillion in notional volume in

11:07

2025 and already 1.5 trillion through

11:12

August 23rd. So, if you haven't been

11:14

following along, the CME and other

11:16

incumbent exchanges are resisting the

11:18

arrival of cryptostyle perpetual

11:20

markets. They don't think that these

11:21

should be offered by the CFTC or

11:23

regulated. The CME in particular has

11:25

been very, very loud about these,

11:27

especially since they came to Kouchi.

11:30

So, we're going to keep tracking this,

11:33

but we're in this regulatory legislative

11:36

gray area that I keep talking about

11:38

where these products and platforms are

11:39

innovating at a tremendous rate and

11:41

there's no way that the government can

11:43

keep up. Uh, would be nice to see these

11:45

regulated in a sensible manner. Now,

11:47

we're going to tell a couple stories of

11:49

stupidity, which is what we like to do

11:51

here. Cosmos Labs confirms Cosmos EVM

11:54

incident as three chains disclosed.

11:57

Sorry, I fell asleep when I was reading

11:59

about more exploits in crypto. So, I

12:02

told you how not to invest talking about

12:04

mantra train yesterday. That was the

12:06

first one. Well, now there's three of

12:07

them. And they've pointed out the fact

12:09

that it was not their platforms that are

12:11

being exploited or hacked that are

12:12

having problems, but was actually the

12:14

Cosmos Hub, EVM, which means Ethereum

12:16

virtual machine, which are words I hope

12:18

none of you ever have to learn in the

12:20

future because crypto does not work when

12:22

we get bogged down in the technicals and

12:25

nuance of how it works. And we know that

12:27

all these things are going to be

12:28

exploited. Cosmos was one of the

12:29

darlings of previous cycles. I actually

12:31

thought that it uh was incredible to

12:33

make uh chains interoperable, but now

12:36

they're saying to the chains that are

12:38

used within the Cosmos ETM EVM to stop

12:40

stop mining blocks.

12:43

Slow your roll, guys. Stop your

12:44

blockchains for a while until we can

12:46

figure this out. Listen, this isn't a

12:48

how not to invest today, per se, but uh

12:52

it is showing you once again that you

12:54

need to be very careful about where you

12:56

put your crypto because some of these

12:57

chains are basically zombies at this

12:59

point. I mean, the multi-chain future

13:01

that uh Cosmos believed was going to

13:04

happen, it's arrived, but unfortunately

13:06

several chains are pressing pause

13:07

together in that multi-chain future. And

13:10

now we do actually have an how not to

13:11

invest hit it.

13:13

>> How not to invest. How not to invest.

13:18

>> Remember when we told you about the

13:20

dangers of leverage and specifically

13:22

what South Koreans were doing with SK

13:24

Highix and Samsung selling off their

13:27

insurance and their savings so that they

13:30

could buy exposure to their favorite AI

13:33

trade through leverage ETFs. Well, now

13:35

and I'm not not I'm not mocking mocking

13:38

Binance for offering the product. I

13:40

think everybody should be able to do

13:41

whatever they want. But you should you

13:44

should not be doing this. What they're

13:45

offering 20x perpetuals tied to Trump

13:47

Media, Maderna, and three leverage

13:49

semiconductor ETFs. So to be clear, two

13:53

of those are the 2x long and 2x short

13:56

skinex ETFs that I told you about before

13:58

that the South Koreans were going crazy

14:00

for. They were all the rage before their

14:01

stock market crashed multiple times,

14:04

right? Uh you can now buy a 2x long or

14:09

short ETF on SKH Highix using

14:13

20x leverage.

14:15

20 time 2. 40x leverage. It was already

14:19

a bad idea when the South Koreans were

14:22

uh trading these volatile assets with 2x

14:24

leverage. Now you can effectively do it

14:26

with 40x leverage. If you do this, your

14:30

parents will disown you, your kids won't

14:32

love you, and you will be broke and

14:34

homeless on the street by yourself.

14:39

Okay, maybe it won't be that bad, but

14:41

consider this a cautionary tale. Don't

14:43

use 40x leverage. That is all I have for

14:46

you today. I will see you tomorrow on

14:48

the next Daily Wolf. Peace.

Interactive Summary

In this video, Scott Melker discusses the current state of Bitcoin following its surge above $81,000, suggesting that while the long-term trend may be bullish, a healthy retracement is likely due to overbought RSI levels and resistance. He also covers several market updates: Grayscale's new Zcash ETF, Coinbase's launch of tokenized stocks on the Base network, and Hyperliquid's lobbying for regulated perpetual contracts. Finally, he warns against risky investment practices, specifically citing the danger of high-leverage trading on volatile assets.

Suggested questions

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