The Government Knows AGI is Coming | The Ezra Klein Show
1814 segments
for the past couple of months I've been
having this strange experience where
person after person independent of each
other from AI Labs from government has
been coming to me and saying it's really
about to happen artificial general
intelligence AGI AGI AGI that is really
the Holy Grail of ai ai systems that are
better than almost all humans at almost
all tasks and before they thought you
know may it take 5 or 10 years 10 or 15
years now they believe it's coming
inside of 2 to 3 years a lot of people
don't realize that AI is going to be a
big thing inside Donald Trump's second
term and I think they're right and we're
not prepared in part because it's not
clear what it would mean to prepare we
don't know how labor markets will
respond we don't know which country is
going to get there first we don't know
what it will mean for war we don't know
what it will mean for peace and as much
as there is so much else going on in the
world to cover I do think there's a good
chance that when we look back on this
era in human history this will have been
the thing that matters this will have
been the Event Horizon thing that the
world before it and the world after it
were just different worlds one of the
people reached out to me is Ben Buchanan
who was the former special adviser for
artificial intelligence in the Biden
White House he was at the nerve center
of what policy we have been making in
recent years but there's now been a
profound changeover in administrations
and the new Administration has a lot of
people with very very very strong views
on AI so what are they going to do what
kinds of decisions are going to need to
be made and what kinds of thinking do we
need to start doing doing now to be
prepared for something that virtually
everybody who works in this area is
trying to tell us as loudly as they
possibly can is coming as always my
email as reclin show NY
times.com Ben M Canan welcome to the
show thanks for having me so you give me
a call after the end of the B
Administration and I got a call from a
lot of people in the B Administration
who wanted to tell me about all the
great work they did and you sort of seem
to want to warn people about what you
now thought was coming what's coming I
think we're going to see extraordinarily
capable AI systems I don't love the term
artificial general intelligence but I
think that will fit um in the next
couple years quite likely during Donald
Trump's uh presidency and I think
there's a view that this has always been
something of corporate hype or
speculation and I think one of the
things I saw in the white house when I
was decidedly not in a corporate
position was trend lines that looked
very clear and what we tried to do Under
the president's leadership was get uh
the US government and our society ready
for these systems before we get into
what do would mean to get
ready what does it mean yeah when you
say extraordinarily capable systems
capable of what the sort of canonical
definition of AGI which again is a term
I don't love is a system it'll be good
if every time you say AGI you caveat
that you dislike the it'll sink in right
yeah people really enjoy that I I'm
trying to get it in the training data
asra um uh a definition of AGI is a
system capable of doing almost any
cognitive task a human can do I don't
know that we'll quite see that in the
next uh four years or so but I do think
we'll see something like that where the
breath of the system is remarkable but
also its depth its capacity to go and
and really push in some cases exceed uh
human capabilities kind of regardless of
the cognitive discipline systems that
can replace human beings in cognitively
demanding jobs yeah or key parts of
cognitive demanding jobs yeah I will say
I am also pretty convinced we're on the
cusp of this so I'm not I'm not coming
at this as a
skeptic but I still find it hard to
mentally live in the world of it so do I
so I use deep research recently which is
a new open eye product it's sort of on
their more pricey tiers so most people I
think have not used it but it it it can
build out something it's more like a
scientific analytical brief in in a
matter of minutes and I work with
producers on the show I hire incredibly
talented people to do very demanding
research work and I asked it to do this
report on the tensions between the
madonian Constitutional system and the
sort of Highly polarized nationalized
parties we now have and what it produced
in a matter of minutes was I would at
least say the median of what any of the
teams I've worked with on this could
produce within days I've talked to a
number of people at firms that do high
amounts of coding and they tell me that
you know by the end of the Year by the
end of next year they expect most code
will not be written by human beings I
don't really see how this cannot have
Labor Market impact I think that's right
I'm not a labor market Economist but I
think that the systems uh are
extraordinarily capable in some ways I'm
very fond of the quote from William
Gibson the future is already here it's
just unevenly distributed and I think
unless you are engaging with this
technology you probably don't appreciate
how good it is today and then it's
important to recognize today is the
worst it's going to be it's only going
to get better and I think that is the
dynamic that in the white house we were
tracking and that I think the next White
House and and our country as a whole is
going to have to track and adapt to in
really short order and what's
fascinating to me what I think is in
some sense the intellectual through line
for almost every AI policy we considered
or implemented is that this is the first
revolutionary
technology um that is not funded by the
Department of Defense basically and if
you go back historically last 100 years
or so nukes space early days of the
internet early days of the
microprocessor early days of large scale
Aviation radar GPS the list is very very
long all of that Tech is fundamentally
comes from DOD money but the the central
government role gave the Department of
Defense and the US government an
understanding of the technology that by
default it does not have an AI and also
gave the US government a capacity to
shape where that technology goes that by
default we don't have an AI there are a
lot of arguments in America about AI the
one thing that seems not to get argued
over that seems almost universally
agreed upon and is the dominant in my
view controlling priority and policy is
it we get to AGI a term I've heard you
don't like yeah before China
does why I do think there are um
profound uh economic and Military and
intelligence capabilities that would be
Downstream of getting to AGI or
transformative Ai and I do think it is
fundamental for US National Security
that we continue to lead AI I think the
the quote that certainly I thought about
a fair amount uh was actually from
Kennedy in his famous rice speech in '
62 the the we're going to the Moon
speech we choose to go to the moon in
this decade and do the other things not
because they are easy but because they
are hard everyone remembers it because
he's saying we're going to the moon but
actually at the end of the speech I
think he gives the better line for space
science
like nuclear science and all technology
has no conscience of its own whether it
will become a Force for good or ill
depends on man and only if the United
States occupies a position of
preeminence can we help
decide whether this new ocean will be a
sea of peace or a new terrifying theater
of war and I think that is true uh in AI
that there's a lot of tremendous
uncertainty about this technology I'm
not an AI evangelist I think there's
huge risks for this technology but I do
think there is a um a fundamental role
for the United States uh in in being
able to shape where it goes which is not
to say we don't want to work
internationally which is not to say we
don't want to work with the Chinese uh
it's worth noting that in the
president's executive order on AI
there's a line in there saying we are
willing to work even with our
competitors on AI safety and the like
but it is worth saying that I think
pretty deeply there's a fundamental role
for America here that we cannot abdicate
paint the picture for me you say there'
be great economic National Security
military risks if China got their first
help me help the audience here imagine a
world where China gets there first so I
think let's look at just the narrow case
of of AI for intelligence analysis and
cyber operations this is I think pretty
out in the open that if you had a much
more powerful AI capability that would
probably enable you to do better cyber
operations um on offense and on defense
what is a operations breaking into an
adversaries Network to collect
information which if you're collecting
in a large enough volume AI systems can
help you analyze and we actually did a
whole big thing through DARPA the
defense Advanced research project agency
um called the AI cyber challenge to test
out ai's capabilities to do this that
was focused on defense because we think
AI could represent a fundamental shift
in how we conduct cyber operations on
offense and defense and I would not want
to live in a world in which uh China has
that capability on offense and defense
and cyber uh and the United States do
not and I think that is true in a bunch
of different domains that are core to
National Security competition my sense
already has been that most people most
institutions are pretty hackable to a
capable State actor not everything but a
lot of them and now both state actors
are going to get better at hacking and
uh they're going to have much more
capacity to do it in the sense that it
you know you can have many more AI
hackers than you can human hackers are
we just about to enter into a world
where we are just much more digitally
vulnerable as normal people and I'm not
just talking about people who the states
might want to spy on but you know you
will get versions of these systems that
just all kinds of Bad actors will have
do you worry it's about to get truly
dystopic what we mean canonically when
we speak of hacking is finding
vulnerability in software exploiting
that vulnerability to get elicit access
and I think it is right that more
powerful AI systems will make it easier
to find vulnerabilities and exploit them
and gain access and that will yield an
advantage to the offensive side of the
ball I think it is also the case that
more powerful AI systems on the
defensive side will make it easier to
write more secure secure code in the
first place reduce the number of
vulnerabilities that can be found and to
better detect the hackers that are
coming in we tried as much as possible
to shift the balance towards the
defensive side of this but I think it is
right that in the the coming years here
the sort of transition period we've been
talking about that there will be a
period in which sort of older Legacy
systems that don't have the advantage of
the newest AI defensive techniques or
software development techniques will on
balance be more vulnerable to a more
capable offensive actor the flip of that
is the question which I know a lot of
people worry about which is the security
of the AI Labs themselves yeah it is
very very very valuable for another
state to get the latest open AI
system and you know the people at these
companies and I've talked to them about
this on the one hand know this is a
problem and on the other hand it's
really annoying to work in a truly
secure way I've worked in the SK for the
last four years a secure room where you
you can't bring your phone and all of
that that that is annoying there's no
doubt about it I yeah how do you feel
about the vulnerability right now of AI
Labs yeah I worry about it and I think
there a hacking risk here I also you
know if you hang out on the right right
San Francisco house party they're not
sharing the model but they are talking
to some degree about the techniques they
use and the like which have tremendous
value I do think the case to come back
to this kind of intellectual through
line of this is National Security
relevant technology maybe world changing
technology that's not coming from the
offices of the government and doesn't
have the kind of government imperat of
security requirements and that shows up
in this way as well we uh in the
National secur memorandum the
president's side tried to Signal this to
the labs and tried to say to them we as
US Government want to help you in this
Mission this was signed in October of
2024 so there wasn't a ton of time for
us to to to build on that but um I think
it's a priority for the Trump
Administration and I can't imagine
anything that is more nonpartisan than
protecting American companies are
inventing the future there's a dimension
to this that I find people bring up to
me a lot is
interesting is that that processing of
information so compared to you know spy
games between the Soviet Union and the
United States we all just have a lot
more data now we have all the satellite
data we I mean obviously will not Eaves
drop on each other but obviously we
Eaves drop on each other and have all
these kinds of things coming in and I'm
told by people who know this better than
I do that there's just a huge choke
point of human beings and their you know
currently fairly rudimentary programs
analyzing that data and that there's a
view that what it would mean to have
these truly intelligent systems that are
able to inhale that and do pattern
recognition is a much more significant
change in the balance of power than
people outside this understand yeah I
think we were pretty public about this
and the president signed a national
security memorandum uh which is
basically the National Security
equivalent of an executive order that
says this is a fundamental area of
importance for the United States I don't
even know the amount of satellite images
that the United States collects every
single day but it's a huge amount and we
have been public about the fact that we
simply do not have enough humans to go
through all of this satellite imagery
and it would be a terrible job if we did
and there is a role for AI uh in going
through uh these images of of hotpots
around the world of Shipping Lines and
all that and analyzing them in an
automated way and surfacing the most
interesting and important ones for human
review and I think at one level you can
look at this and say uh well it doesn't
software just do that and I think that
that some level of course is true at
another level you could say the more
capable that software the more capable
the automation of that analysis the more
intelligent Advantage you extract from
that data and that ultimately leads to a
better for the United States I think the
first and second order consequences of
that are also
striking one thing it implies is that in
a world where you have strong AI the
incentive for spying goes up because if
right now we are choked at the point of
we are collecting more data than we can
analyze well then each marginal piece of
data we're collecting isn't that
valuable I think that's basically true I
think there's two counterveiling aspects
to it the first is uh you you need to
have it I firmly believe you need to
have rights and protections that that
hopefully are pushing back and saying no
there's there's key kinds of data here
including data on your own citizens that
and in some cases citizens of Allied
Nations that you should not collect even
if there's an incentive to collect it
and for all of the flaws of the United
States intelligence oversight process
and all the debates we could have about
this that I think is fundamentally more
important for the reason you suggest in
the era of of tremendous AI systems how
frightened are you by the National
Security implications of all this
which is to say that the possibilities
for surveillance States so Sam Hammond
who's a economist at the foundation for
American innovation he had this piece
called 95 thesis on AI and one of them
that I think about a lot is he makes
this point that a lot of laws right
now if we had the capacity for perfect
enforcement would be constricting like
extraordinarily constricting right laws
are written knowing that
human labor is scarce and you know and
and there's this question of what
happens when the surveillance state gets
really good right what happens when AI
makes the police state a very different
kind of thing than it is now you know
what happens when we have like you know
Warfare of endless drones right I mean
the company Ander has become like a big
you know you hear about them a lot now
they have a they have a relationship I
believe with open AI um uh Palante in a
relationship with anthropic right we're
about to see a real change in this in a
way that I think is from the National
Security side frightening and and there
I very much get why we don't want China
way ahead of us like I get that entirely
but just in terms of the capacities it
gives our own
government how do you think about that I
would decompose essentially this
question about Ai and autocracy or the
surveillance however you want to Define
into two parts the first is the China
piece of this how does this play out in
a state that is truly in its bones in
autocracy and and doesn't even make any
pretense
towards democracy and the like and I
think we could probably agree pretty
quickly here this this makes very
tangible of something that you know is
probably core to the aspirations of
their society of like a level of control
that only an AI system could help uh
bring about that I just find terrifying
as an aside I think there's there's a
saying in both Russian and Chinese
Something Like Heaven is high and the
emperor is far away which is like
historically even in those autocracies
there was some kind of space where the
the state couldn't intrude um because of
the scale and the the breath of the the
nation
and it is the case that in those
autocracies I think AI would would make
the force of government power worse then
there's a more interesting question in
the United States basically War
relationship between Ai and and
democracy and I think I share some of
the the discomfort here there have been
thinkers historically who who have said
you know part of the ways in which we
revise our laws are people break the
laws and and there's a space for that
and I think um there is a a humanness to
our justice system that uh I wouldn't
want to lose and to the enforcement of
justice that I wouldn't want to lose and
we task the Department of Justice and uh
running a process and thinking about
this and coming up with principles for
the use of AI in criminal justice I
think there's in some cases advantages
to it like cases are treated alike uh
with the with the machine but also I
think there's tremendous risk of bias
and discrimination and so forth U
because the systems are flawed uh and in
some cases because the systems are uh
ubiquitous and I I do think there is a
risk of a fundamental encroachment on
rights from the widespread unche use of
AI uh in the law enforcement system that
we should be very alert to and that I as
a citizen um have grave concerns about I
find this all makes me incredibly
uncomfortable and one of the reasons is
that there is
a what's WR to put
this it's like we are summoning an ally
right we are trying to build an alliance
with another uh like an almost
interplanetary Ally and we like we are
in a competition with China to make that
Alliance but we don't understand the
Ally and we don't understand what it
will mean to let that Ally into all of
our systems and all of our planning as
best I understand it every company
really working on this every government
really working on this believes that in
the not too distant future you're going
to have much better and faster and
dominant decision-making Loops by being
able to make much more of this
autonomous to to the AI right once you
get to the what we're talking about as
AGI you want to turn over a fair amount
of your decision-making to it so we are
rushing towards that because we don't
want the other guys to get their first
without really
understanding what that is or what that
means it seems like a like a potentially
historically dangerous thing that AI
reached maturation at the exact moment
that that the US and China are in this
like luidi trap style race for
superpower dominance that's a pretty
dangerous set of incentives in which to
be creating the next turn in
Intelligence on this planet yeah there's
a lot to unpack here so just go in order
but basically bottom line I think I in
the white house and now post White House
greatly share a lot of this discomfort
and I think part of the appeal for
something like the export controls is it
identifies a choke point that can
differentially slow the Chinese down
create space for the United States to
have a lead ideally in my view to spend
that lead on safety and coordination and
not rushing ahead um including again
potentially coordination with the
Chinese while not exacerbating this arms
race Dynamic I would not say that we
tried to race ahead in applications to
National Security so part of the
National Security memorandum is a pretty
lengthy kind of description of what
we're not going to do with AI systems
and a whole list of prohibited use cases
and then high impact use cases and
there's a governance and risk you're not
in power anymore well that's a fair
question now they haven't repealed this
the Trump Administration has not
repealed this but I do think it's fair
to say that um for the period while we
had power the foundation we were trying
to build with AI we were trying we were
very conent to the dynamic you were
talking about a race to the bottom on
safety and we were trying to to guard
against it even as as we try to assure a
position of us preeminence is there
anything to the the the concern that by
treating China as such a such an
antagonistic competitor on this who we
will do everything including export
controls on Advanced Technologies to
hold them back that we have made them
into a more intense competitor I mean
there is
a I do not want to be naive about the
Chinese system or the ideology of the
CCP like they want strength and
dominance and to see the next era be a
Chinese era so maybe there's nothing you
can do about this but it is pretty damn
antagonistic to try to choke off the
chips for the central technology of the
next era to the other biggest country I
don't know that it's pretty pretty
antagonistic to say we are not going to
sell you the most advanced technology in
the world that does not in itself that's
not a declaration of war um that is not
even self a declaration of a Cold War I
I think it is just saying this
technology is incredibly important do
you think that's how they understood it
this is more academic than you want but
my my uh you know academic research when
I started as a professor was basically
on the the the cities trap or what in
Academia would call a security dilemma
of how Nations misunderstand each other
so I'm sure the Chinese and United
States misunderstand each other um at
some level in this area but I
think the plain reading of the facts is
that not selling chips to them I don't
think is a declaration but I don't think
they do misunderstand us I mean maybe
maybe they see it differently but I I
think you're being a little look I'm
aware of how politics in Washington
works I've talked to many people during
this I've seen the turn towards a much
more confrontational posture with China
I know that Jake Sullivan and and
President Biden you know wanted to call
this strategic competition and not a new
Cold War and and I get all that I think
it's true and also we have just talked
about and you did not argue the point
that our dominant view is we need to get
to this technology before they do I
don't think they look at this like oh
you know like nobody would ever sell us
the top technology I think they
understand what we're doing here to some
degree I don't want to trigger with this
I'm sure they do see it that way on the
other hand we set up a AI dialogue with
them and you know I flew Geneva and met
them and and we tried to talk to them
about AI safety and the like so I do
think uh in a area as complex as AI you
can have multiple things be true at the
same time I don't regret for a second uh
the export controls and I think frankly
we we are proud to have done them when
we did them because it has helped ensure
that here we are a couple years later we
retain the edge in AI for as good as and
talented as deep seek is what made deep
seek such a a shock I think to the
American system was here's a system that
appeared to be trained on much less
compute for much less money that was
competitive at a high level with our
Frontier
systems how did you understand what deep
seek
was and what assumptions it required
that we rethink or don't yeah let's just
take one step back so we're tracking the
history of deep seek here so we'd been
watching deep seek in the white house
since November of 23 or thereabouts when
they put out their first coding system
um and there's no doubt that deep seek
Engineers are extremely talented and
they got better and better of their
systems throughout 2024 we were hardened
when their CEO said I think the biggest
impediment to what deep seek was doing
was not their inability to get money or
talent but their inability to get
Advanced chips clearly they still did
get some chips that they some they
bought legally some they smuggled uh so
it seems and then in December of 24 they
came out with a system called version
three deep seek version three which
actually I think is one that should have
gotten the attention um it didn't get a
ton of attention but it did show they
were making strong algorithmic progress
in basically making systems more
efficient and then in January of 25 they
came out with a system called R1 r1's
actually not that unusual no one expect
that to take a lot of computing power
just is a reasoning system that um
extends the underlying um V3 system
that's a lot of nerd speak the key thing
here is when you look at what deeps has
done I don't think the media hype around
it was warrant
and I don't think it changes the
fundamental analysis of of what we are
doing they still are constrained by
computing power we should tighten the
screws and continue to constrain them
they're smart their algorithms are
getting better but so are the algorithms
of us companies and uh this I think
should be a reminder that uh the ship
controls are important China is a worthy
competitor here and we shouldn't take
anything for granted but I don't think
this is the a time to say the sky is
falling or the fundamental scaling laws
have broken where do you think they got
their performance increases from they
have smart people there's no doubt about
that we read their papers they're
they're smart people who are doing
exactly the same kind of algorithmic
efficiency work that companies like
Google anthropic and open AI are doing
one common argument I heard on the left
Lena Khan made this this point actually
in in our in our Pages was that this
proved our whole Paradigm of AI
development was wrong that we were
seeing we did not need all this compute
we were seeing we did not need these
these giant mega companies that this was
showing a way towards like a
decentralized almost solar Punk version
of of AI development
and that in a sense the American system
and and Imagination been captured by
like these three big companies but what
we're seeing from China was that that
wasn't necessarily needed we could do
this on less energy fewer chips less
footprint do you buy that I think two
things are true here the first is there
will always be a frontier or at least
for the foreseeable future they'll be a
frontier that is computationally and
energy um intensive and our company we
want to be at that Frontier those
companies have very strong incentive to
look for efficiencies and they all do
they all want to get every single L
juice of insight from each squeeze of
computation they will continue to need
to push the frontier and I don't think
there's a free lunch waiting in terms of
they're not going to need more computing
power and more energy for the next
couple years and then in addition to
that there'll be kind of slower
diffusion that lags the frontier where
algorithms get more efficient fewer
computer chips are required less energ
is required and that we need as America
to to win both those competitions one
thing that you see around the export
controls the AI firms want the export
controls when deep seek rocked the US
Stock Market it rocked it by making
people question nvidia's long-term worth
and Nvidia very much doesn't want these
export controls so you at the White
House where I'm sure at the center of a
bunch of this lobbying back and forth
how do you think about this every AI
chip every Advanced AI chip that gets
made will get sold the market for these
chips is extraordinary right now I think
for the fore future so I think our view
was uh we put the export controls on but
Nvidia didn't think that the stock
market didn't think that we put the
export controls on the first ones in
October 2022 Nvidia stock has 10 xed
since then I'm not saying we should do
the export controls but I want you to
take the strong version of the argument
not the weak one I don't think nvidia's
CEO is wrong that if we say Nvidia
cannot export its top chips to China
that that in some mechanical way in the
long run reduces the market for
invidious chips sure I think I think the
dynamic is right I'm not suggesting
they're you know if they had a bigger
Market they could charge on the margins
more that's obviously the supply and
demand here I think our analysis was um
considering the importance of these
chips and the AI systems they make to US
National Security this is a trade-off
that's worth it and Nvidia again has
done very well since we put the export
controls out and I agree with that the B
Administration was also generally
concerned with AI safety I think it was
influenced by people who care about AI
safety and that's created a kind of
backlash from the
accelerationist or what gets called the
accelerationist side of this debate so I
want to play a clip for you from Mark
andreon who is obviously very
significant ventor capitalist a top
Trump adviser uh describing the
conversations he had with the Biden
Administration on AI and and how they
sort of radicalized him in the other
direction Ben and I went to Washington
in May of 24 and you know we couldn't
meet with Biden because as it turns out
at the time nobody could meet with Biden
uh but we were able to meet with senior
staff and so we we met with very senior
people in the White House you know in
the in the inter core um and we
basically relate our concerns about Ai
and their response to us was yes the
national agenda on AI as we will
Implement in the B Administration and in
the second term is we are going to make
sure that AI is going to be only a
function of two or three large companies
we will directly regulate and control
those companies um there will be no
startups this whole thing where you guys
think you can just like start companies
and write code and release code of the
internet like those days are over that
not happening the conversation he's
describing there was that were you part
of that conversation I met with him once
I I don't know exactly but we I met with
him once would that characterize the
conversation he had with you he talked
about concerns related to startups and
competitiveness and the like my view on
this as you look at our record on
competitiveness it's pretty clear that
we want a dynamic ecosystem so the AI
executive order which president Trump
just repealed had a pretty lengthy
section on competitiveness the Office of
Management and budget management memo
which governs how the US government buys
AI had a whole carve out in it or a call
out in it saying we want to buy from a
wide variety of vendors the chips and
science act has a bunch of things in
there about competition so I think our
view on competition is pretty clear now
I do think there are structural Dynamics
related to scaling laws on the like that
will force things towards uh big
companies that I think in any respects
we were we were pushing against uh and I
think I think the track record is pretty
clear of us and petition I think the
view that I understand him as arguing
with which is a view I've heard from
people in the safety Community but not a
view I ne heard from the B
Administration was it you will need to
regulate the frontier models of the
biggest labs when it gets efficiently
powerful and in order to do that you
will need there to be controls on those
models you just can't have the model
weights and everything floating around
so everybody can run this on you know
their home laptop I think that's the T
he's getting it it gets it a bigger
attention we'll talk about in a minute
but which is how much to regulate this
incredibly powerful and fast changing
technology such that on the one hand
you're keeping it safe but on the other
hand you're not overly slowing it down
or making it impossible for smaller
companies to comply with these new
regulations as they're using more and
more powerful systems yeah so in the
president's executive order we actually
tried to wrestle with this question and
we didn't have an answer when that order
was signed in October of 23 and what we
did on the open source question in
particular and I think we should just be
precise here at the risk of being
academic again what we're talking about
open Weight Systems can you just say
what what weights are in this context
and then what open weights are yeah so
when you have the training process for
an AI system you run this uh algorithm
through this huge amount of
computational power that processes the
data the output at the end of that
training process Loosely speaking and I
stress this is the loosest possible
analogy they are roughly akin to the the
strength of connections between the
neurons and your brain and in some sense
you could think of this as the the raw
AI system and when you have these
weights one thing that some companies
like meta and deep seek choose to do is
they publish them out on the internet
which makes them we call them openweight
systems I'm a huge believer in the open
source ecosystem many of the companies
that publish the weights for their
system do not make them open source they
don't publish the code and the like so I
don't think they should get the credit
of being called open source systems at
the risk of being pedantic but open
Weight Systems is something we thought a
lot about in 23 and 24 and we sent out a
a pretty wide ranging um request for
comment from a lot of FK for a lot of
folks we got a lot of um comments back
and what we came to in the report that
was published in July or so of 24 was
there is not evidence yet to constrain
the openweight ecosystem that the
openweight ecosystem does a lot for
Innovation and the like which I think is
manifestly true but that we should
continue to monitor in this as the
technology gets better basically exactly
in the way that you described so we're
talking here a bit about the the sort of
race Dynamic and and the safety Dynamic
when you were getting those comments not
just on the open weight models but also
when you were talking to the heads of
these labs and people were coming to you
what did they want what would you say
was like the consensus to the extent
there was one from AI world of what they
needed to get there quickly and also
because I know that many people in these
labs are worried about what it would
mean if these systems were UNS safe what
was what you would describe as a ensus
on safety I mentioned before this this
this core intellectual Insight of this
technology for the first time maybe in a
long time is a revolutionary one not
funded by the government and its early
incubator
days that was the theme from the labs
which is was sort of a like don't you
know we're inventing something very very
powerful ultimately it's going to have
implications for the kind of work you do
in National Security the way we organize
our society and more than any kind of
individual policy
request they were basically saying like
get ready for this the one thing that we
did that could be the closest thing we
did to any kind of Regulation there's
one action which was after the labs made
voluntary commitments to do safety
testing we said you have to share the
safety test results with us and you have
to help us understand where the
technology is going and that only
applied really to the top couple Labs
the labs never knew that was coming
weren't all thrilled about it it when it
came out so the notion this was kind of
a a regulatory capture that we were
asked to do this is simply not true but
I in my experience never got you know
discret individual policy lobbying from
the laps I got much more this is coming
it's coming much sooner than you think
make sure you're ready to the degree
that they were asking for something in
particular it was maybe a corollary of
that of we're going to need a lot of
energy and we want to do that here in
the United States and it's really hard
to get the power here in the United
States but that is has become a pretty
big question if this is all as potent as
we think it will be and you end up
having a bunch of the data centers
containing all the model weights and and
and everything else in a bunch of uh
like Middle Eastern Pro States because
they hpthe speaking hypothetically
because they will give you huge amounts
of energy access in return for just at
least having some purchase on this AI
World which they don't have the internal
engineering talent to be competitive in
but maybe can get some of it located
there and then there's some technology
ex right like there is something to this
question yeah and and this is actually I
think an area of of bipartisan agreement
which we can get to but this is
something that we really started to pay
a lot of attention to in 20 later part
of 23 and most of 24 when it was clear
this was going to be a ball neck and in
the last week or so in office President
Biden signed a AI infrastructure
executive order which has not been
repealed which basically tries to
accelerate the power development and the
perming of power and data centers here
in the United States basically for the
reason that you mentioned now as someone
who truly believes in climate change and
environmentalism and clean power I
thought there was a double benefit to
this which is that if we did it here in
the United States it could catalyze the
clean energy transition and like and
these companies for a variety of reasons
in general are willing to to pay more
for clean energy and on things like
geothermal and the like our Hope was we
could catalyze that development and bend
the cost curve and have companies be the
early adopters of that technology so
we'd see a win on the climate side as
well so I I would say there is a there
are Waring cultures around how to
prepare for for AI and I sort of
mentioned AI safety and and Ai
accelerationism and GD Vance just went
to the sort of big AI Summit in Paris
and I'll play a clip of what he
said I'm not here this morning uh to
talk about AI safety which was the title
of the conference a couple of years ago
I'm here to talk about AI opportunity
when conferences like this convene to
discuss a cuttingedge technology often
times I think our response is to be too
self-conscious too risk averse but never
have I encountered a breakthrough in
Tech that so clearly calls us to do
precisely the opposite now our
Administration the Trump Administration
believes that AI will have countless
revolutionary applications and economic
in Innovation job creation National
Security Health Care Free expression and
Beyond
and to restrict its development now
would not only unfairly benefit
incumbents in the space it would mean
paralyzing one of the most promising
Technologies we have seen in Generations
what do you make of
that so I think he is setting up a
dichotomy there that I don't quite agree
with and the irony of that is if you
look at the rest of his speech which I
did watch there's actually a lot that I
do agree with so he talks for example I
think he's got four pillars in the
speech one's about centering the
importance of workers ones about
American uh preeminence and like those
are entirely consistent with the actions
that we took and the philosophy that I
think the administration uh of which I
was a part espoused uh and and that I
certainly believe in so far as what he
is saying is that safety and opportunity
are in fundamental tension then I
disagree and I think if you look at the
history of technology and Technology
adaptation the evidence is pretty clear
that the right amount of safety um
action unleashes opportunity and in fact
unleashes speed so one of the examples
that uh we studied a lot and talked to
the president about was the early days
of railroads and in the early days of
railroads there were tons of accidents
and crashes and deaths and people were
not inclined to use railroads as a
result and then what started happening
was safety standards and safety
technology um block signaling so that
trains could know when they were in the
same area uh air brakes so that trains
could break more efficiently uh
standardization of train track widths
and gauges and the like and this was not
always popular at the time but with the
benefit of hindsight it is very clear
that that kind of uh technology and to
some degre policy development of safety
standards made the American railroad
system in the late 1800s and I think
this is a pattern that shows up a bunch
throughout the history of technology to
be very clear it is not the case that
every safety regulation every technology
is good and there certainly are cases
where you can overreach and you can slow
things down and choke things off but I
don't think it's true that there's a
fundamental tension between safety and
opportunity it's interesting because I I
don't know how to get this point of
Regulation right I think the
counterargument to to uh vice president
Vance is
nuclear so nuclear power is a technology
that both held extraordinary promise
maybe still does and also you could
really imagine every country wanting to
be in the lead on but the series of
accidents which most of them did not
even have a particularly significant uh
body count y were so frightening to
people that the technology got regulated
to the point that certainly all of
nuclear's Advocates believe it has been
largely strangled in the crib from what
it could be the question then is when
you look at the actions we have taken on
AI are we strangling in the crib and
have we taken actions that are akin to
I'm not saying that we've already done
it I'm saying that look if these systems
are going to get more powerful and
they're going to be in charge of more
things things are both going to go wrong
and they're going to go weird it's not
possible for it to be otherwise right to
roll out some something this new in a
system as complex as human society and
so I think there's going to be this
question of what are the regimes that
make people feel comfortable moving
forward from those kinds of moments yeah
I think that's a profound question I
think what we tried to do in the Biden
Administration was set up the kind of
institutions in the government to do
that in as cleare eyed tech-savvy way as
possible again with the one exception of
the safety test result sharing which
some of the CEOs estimate cost them one
day of employee work we did not put any
anything close to regulation in place we
created something called the AI safety
Institute purely National Security
focused cyber risk bio risks AI accident
risks uh purely voluntary and that has
relationships memor of understanding
with anthropic with open AI even with
xai Elon company and basically I think
we saw that as an opportunity to bring
AI expertise into the government to
build relationship between public and
private sector in a voluntary way and
then as the technology develops it will
be up to
now the Trump Administration decide what
they want to do with it I think you are
quite diplomatically understating though
what's a a genuine disagreement here and
what I would say Vance speech was
signaling was the arrival of a different
culture in the government around AI
there's been an AI safety culture where
and he's making this point explicitly
that we have all these conferences about
what could go wrong and he is saying
stop it yes maybe things could go wrong
but instead we should be focused on what
could go right and and I would say
frankly this this is like the Trump musk
which I think is some ways the right way
to think about the administration their
generalized view if something goes wrong
we'll deal with a thing that went wrong
afterwards right but what you don't want
to do is move too slowly because you're
worried about things going wrong better
to break things and fix them then have
moved too slowly in order not to break
them I think it's fair to say that there
is a a cultural difference between the
Trump Administration and us on on some
of these things and but I I also you
know we held conferences on what you
could with AI and the benefits of AI we
talked all the time about how you uh
need to mitigate these risks but you're
doing so so you can capture the benefits
and I'm someone who you know reads an
essay uh like Dar Amad SE of anthropics
machines of love and grace about the
upside of AI and says there's a lot in
here we can agree with and president's
executive order said we should be using
AI more um in the executive branch so I
I I I hear you on the cultural
difference I get that but I think when
the rubber meets the road um we were
comt with the notion that you could both
realize the opportunity of AI while
doing it safely and now that they are in
power they will have to decide how do
they translate vice president Vance's
rhetoric into a governing policy and and
my understanding of their executive
order is they've given themselves six
months to figure out what they're going
to do and I think we should judge them
in what they do let me ask about the
other side of this because what I liked
about Vance's speech is I think he's
right that we don't talk enough about
opportunities but more than that we are
not preparing for opportunities so if
you imagine that will have the effects
and possibilities that its backers and
and Advocates hope one thing that that
implies is that we are going to start
having a much faster pace of the
discovery or proposal of Novel drug
molecules a very high promise the idea
here from people I've spoken to is that
a should be able to ingest an amount of
information and build sort of modeling
of diseases in the the human body that
that could get us a much much much
better drug Discovery pipeline
if that were true then you can ask this
question well what's the choke point
going to be and our drug testing
pipeline is incredibly cumbersome it's
very hard to get the animals you need
for trials very hard to get the human
beings you need for trials right you
could do a lot to make that faster to to
prepare it for a lot more coming in and
this is true in a lot of different
domains right education Etc I think it's
pretty clear that the choke points will
become the difficulty of doing things in
the real world and I don't see Society
also preparing for that right we're not
doing that much on the safety side maybe
because we don't know what we should do
but also on the opportunity side you
know this question of how could you
actually make it possible to translate
the benefits of the stuff very fast
seems like a much richer conversation
I've seen anybody seriously having yeah
I I think I I basically agree with all
of that I think the conversation when we
were in the government especially in 23
and 24 uh was starting to happen we
looked at the the clinical trials saying
I you've read about healthcare for
however long I don't claim expertise on
Healthcare but it does seem to me that
we want to get to a world where we can
take the the breakthroughs including
breakthroughs from AI systems and
translate them to Market much faster
this is not a hypothetical thing it's
worth noting I think quite recently
Google came out with I think they call
the co- scientist Nvidia and the arc
Institute which does great work um had
the most impressive biod design model
ever that that has a much more detailed
understanding of uh biological molecules
a group called future house has done
similarly great work in science so I
don't think this is a hypothetical I
think this is happening right now and I
agree with you that there's a lot that
can be done institutionally and
organizationally to get the federal
government ready for this I've been
wandering around Washington DC this week
and talking to a lot of people involved
in different ways in the Trump
Administration or advising the Trump
Administration different people from
different factions of you know what what
I think is the modern right I've been
surprised how many people
understand either what Trump and musk
and Doge are doing or at least what it
will end up allowing as related to AI
including people I would not really
expect to hear that from not Tech right
people but what they basically say is
there is no way in which the federal
government as constituted six months ago
moves at the speed needed to take
advantage of this technology either to
integrate it into the way the government
works or for the government to take
advantage of what it can do that we are
too cumbersome to endless inter agency
processes too many rules too many
regulations you have to go through too
many people that if the whole point of
AI is that it is this unfathomable
acceleration of cognitive work the
government needs to be stripped down and
rebuilt to take advantage of it and like
them hate them what they're doing is
stripping the government down and
rebuilding it and maybe they don't even
know what they're doing it for but one
thing it will allow is a kind of
creative destruction that you can then
begin to insert AI into at a more ground
level do buy that it feels kind of
orthal from what I've observed from Doge
I mean I I think Elon is someone who
does understand what AI can do but I
don't know how starting with usaid for
example prepares the US government to
make better AI policy so I guess I don't
buy it that that is the the motivation
for doge is there something to the
broader argument and and I will say I do
buy not the argument about Doge which
sort of make the same point you just
made what I do buy is that I know how
the federal government works pretty well
and it is too slow to modernize
technology it is too slow to work across
agencies it is too slow to radically
change the way things are done and take
advantage of things it could be
productivity
enhancing I I couldn't agree more I mean
the existence of my job in the White
House the White House special advisor
for AI which David sax now is and I uh
had this job in 2023 existed because
President Biden said very clearly
publicly and privately we cannot move at
the typical government Pace we have to
move faster here I think we probably
need to be careful and you know I'm not
here for stripping it all down but I
agree with you we have to move much
faster so another major part of Vice
President Vance's speech was signaling
to the
Europeans that we are not going to sign
on to complex multilateral negotiations
and regulations that could slow us down
and that if they passed such regulations
anyway in a way that we believe was
penalizing our AI companies we would
retaliate how do you think about the
differing position the new
Administration is moving into VV Europe
and its approach its broad approach to
Tech
regulation yeah I think the honest
answer here is we had conversations with
Europe as they were drafting the EU AI
act but at the time that I was in the
eui Act was was still kind of nent and
the ACT had passed but a lot of the
actual details of it had been kicked to
a process that my sense is still
unfolding So speaking of slow moving I
bureaucracies uh exactly exactly so
maybe this is a failing on my part I did
not have particularly detailed
conversations with the Europeans Beyond
a general kind of articulation of our
views they were respectful uh we were
respectful but I think it's fair to say
we were taking a different approach than
they were taking and uh we were probably
in so far as safety and opportunity are
a dichotomy which I I don't think they
are a pure dichotomy uh we were were we
were ready to move very fast in the
development of AI one of the other
things that Vance talked about and that
you said you agreed with is making AI
pro-worker what does that mean it's a
it's a vital question I think we
instantiated that in a couple of
different principles the first is that
AI in the workplace uh needs to be
implemented in a way that is respectful
of workers and the like and I think um
one of the things I know the president
thought a lot about was you it is
possible for AI to make workplaces worse
and in a way that is dehumanizing and
degrading and ultimately destructive for
workers so that is sort of a first
distinct piece of it that I don't want
to neglect the second is I think we want
to uh have ai deployed across our
economy in a way that increases workers
agencies and capabilities and I think we
should be honest that there's going to
be a lot of transition in the economy as
a result of AI you can find Nobel Prize
wi economists who will say it won't be
much you can find other folks who will
say it'll be a ton I tend to lead
towards the it's going to be a lot side
but I'm not a labor Economist and uh the
line that that vice president Vance used
is the exact same phrase that President
Biden used which is give workers a seat
at the table um in that transition and I
think that is a fundamental part of what
we're trying to do here and I presume
what they're trying to do here so I've
sort of heard you beg off on this
question a little bit by saying you're
not a labor Economist uh I will say the
I'm not a labor Economist you're not I
will promise you the labor Economist do
not know what to do about AI yeah you
were the top adviser for AI yeah you
were at the nerve center of the
government's information about what is
coming
if this is half as big as you seem to
think it is it's going to be the single
most disruptive thing to hit labor
markets ever given how compressed the
time period in which it will arrive is
right it took a long time to lay down
electricity it took a long time to build
railroads I I think that is basically
true but I want to push back a little
bit so I do think we are going to see a
dynamic in which
it will hit parts of the economy first
it will hit certain firms first but it
will be an uneven distribution acoss I
think it will be uneven and that's I
think what will be destabilizing about
it in part right if it were just even
then you might just come up with an even
policy to do something about it sure but
precisely because it's not even and it's
not going to put I don't think 42% of
the labor force out of work overnight
no let me give you an example the kind
of thing I'm worried about and I've
heard other people worry about there are
a lot of
19-year-olds in college right now
studying
marketing there are a lot of marketing
jobs that AI frankly can do perfectly
well right now as we get better at
knowing how to direct I mean one of the
things exist slow this down is simply
firm adaptation yes but the thing that
will happen very quickly is you have
firms that are built around AI right
it's going to be harder for the big
firms to integrate it but what you're
going to have is new entrance who are
built from the ground up with their
their their organization is built around
you know one person overseeing these
like you know seven systems and so you
might just begin to see Triple the
unemployment among marketing
graduates I'm not convinced you'll see
that in software Engineers because I
think AI is going to both you know take
a lot of those jobs it also create a lot
of those jobs because there's going to
be so much more demand for software but
you could see it happening somewhere
there there's just a lot of jobs that
are doing work behind a
computer and as companies
absorb machines that can do work by the
computer for you that will change their
hiring you must have heard somebody
think about this you guys must have
talked about this we did talk to
economists and and try to texture this
debate uh in 23 and 24 I think the trend
line is even clearer now than it was
then I think we knew this was not going
to be a 23 and 24 question frankly to do
anything robust about this is going to
require Congress and was just not in the
cards at all so it was more of a an
intellectual exercise than it was a
policy polies begin as intellectual
exercises yeah I think I think that's
fair um I think the advantage to AI that
is in some ways a countervailing force
here is that it will increase the amount
of agency for individual people so I do
think we will be in a world in which the
19-year-old or the 25-year-old will be
able to use a system to do things they
were not able to do before and I think
in so far as the thesis we're batting
around here is that intelligence will
become a little bit more commoditized
what will stand out more in that world
is agency and the capacity to do things
or initiative and the like and I think
that could in the aggregate lead to a
pretty Dynamic economy and the economy
you're talking about of small firms and
uh Dynamic ecosystem and robust
competition I think unbalanced at an
economy scale is not in itself a bad
thing I think where I imagine you and I
agree and and maybe vice president Vance
as well agree is we need to make sure
that for individual workers and classes
of workers they're protected in that in
that transition I think we should be
honest that's going to be very hard um
we have never done that well I I
couldn't agree with you more like in a
big way Donald Trump is president today
because we did a shitty job on this with
China this is a kind of like the reason
I'm pushing on this is that we have been
talking about this seeing this coming
for a while and I will say that as I
look around I do not see a lot of useful
thinking here and I grant that we don't
know the shape of it at the very least I
would like to see some IDE is on the
shelf for if the disruptions are severe
what we should think about doing we are
so addicted in this country to an
economically useful tale that our
success is in our own hands it makes it
very hard for us to react with either
Compassion or
realism when workers are displaced for
reasons that are not in their own hands
because of global recessions or
depressions because of globalization
there are always some people with like
the agency the creat creativity the and
they become hyper productive and you
know look at them why aren't you them
but definitely I know you're not saying
that but it's very hard that's such an
ingrained American way of looking at the
economy that we have a lot of trouble
doing you know always should do some
retraining right is are all these people
going to become
nurses right I mean there are things
yeah I can't do like how many plumbers
do we need I mean more than we have
actually but does everybody move into
the trades what were the intellectual
thought exercises that all these smart
people at the White House believe this
was coming you know what were you saying
so I I think yes we were thinking about
this question I think we knew it was not
going to be a question we were going to
confront in the president's term I think
it was we knew it was a question that
you would need Congress for to do
anything about I think I in so far as
what you're expressing here seems to me
to be like a deep dissatisfaction with
the available answers I Shar that I
think a lot of us shared that you know
you can get the the usual stock answers
of a lot of retraining I I share your
sort of doubts that that is the answer
you probably talk to some silicon value
Libertarians or something and they'll
say or or Tech folks and they'll say
well Universal basic income I think I
believe and I think the president
believes there's a kind of dignity uh
that that work brings and and doesn't
have to be paid work but that there
needs to be something that people do
each day that that gives them meaning so
in so far as what you were saying is
like there's a you have a discomfort
with where this is going on the labor
side uh speaking for myself I I share
that I don't know the shape of it I
guess I would say more than that a
discomfort with the quality of thinking
right now sort of across the board but
but I will say on the Democratic side
right because I have you here as a
representative of the past
administration I have a lot of
disagreements with the Trump
Administration to say the least but you
know I do understand the people who say
look Elon Musk David Sachs Mark Andre JD
Vance at the very highest levels of that
Administration or people have spent a
lot of time thinking about Ai and have
like considered very unusual thoughts
about it and I think sometimes Democrats
are a little bit institutionally
constrained for thinking unusually I
take your point on the export controls I
take your point on the exact orders the
the I safety
Institute but to the extent Democrats
are the party want to be imagine
themselves to be the party of the the
working class and to the extent we've
been talking for years about the
possibility of Aid driven
displacements yeah when things happen
you need Congress but you also need
thinking that becomes policies that
Congress do so I guess I'm trying to
like was this not being talked about
there were no meetings there were no you
guys didn't have Claud write up a brief
of of options well you know we
definitely didn't have CLA up a brief
because we had to get over government
use of AI uh see but that's like itself
uh slightly damning yeah I mean I I
think you know Esra I I agree that the
government has to be more forward
leaning on basically all of these
Dimensions it was my job to push the
government to do that and I think on
things like govern use AI we we made
some um progress so I don't think anyone
from the B Administration less of all me
is coming out and saying we solved it I
think what we're saying is like we were
building a foundation for something that
is coming that was not going to arrive
during our time in office um and that
the next team uh is going to as a have
to As a matter of American National
Security and in this case American uh
economic strength and and prosperity uh
address I I will say this gets is
something I find frustrating in the
policy conversation about
AI which is you sit down with somebody
and you start the conversation and like
the most transformative technology
perhaps in human history is landing into
human civilization in a two to three
year time frame and you say wow that
seems like a really big deal what should
we
do and then things get a little hazy
right now maybe we just don't know but
but what I've heard you kind of say a
bunch of times is like look we have done
very little to to hold this technology
back everything is voluntary you know
the only thing we asked was a sharing of
safety data you now income the
accelerationists you know Mark andrewson
has criticized you guys extremely uh
straightforwardly is this policy debate
about anything is it just uh the uh
sentiment of the rhetoric right like if
it's so
big but nobody can quite explain what it
is we need to do or talk about except
for maybe export chip controls like are
we just not thinking creatively enough
is it just not time like match the kind
of calm measure tone of the SE second
half of this with where we started for
me I think there should be an
intellectual humility about before you
take a policy action you have to have
understand some understanding of what it
is you're doing and why so I think it is
entirely intellectually consistent to
look at a transformative technology draw
the lines on the graph and say this is
coming pretty soon without having the
14-point plan of this is what we need to
do in 2027 2028 I think chip controls
are are unique and that this is a
robustly good thing uh that we could do
early to to buy the space I talked about
before but I also think that we tried to
build institutions like the AI safety
Institute that would set the new team up
whether it was us or someone else for
success in managing the technology now
that it's them they will have to decide
as this technology comes on board how do
we want to calibrate this on regulation
what are the kinds of decisions you
think they will have to make in the next
two years you mentioned the open source
one I have a guess where they're going
to land on that but that I think there's
there's an intellectual debate there
that is Rich we resolved it one way by
not doing anything they'll have to
decide do they want to keep doing that
ultimately they'll have to answer a
question of what is the relationship
between the public sector and the
private sector is it the case for
example that the kind of things that are
voluntary now with the AI safety
Institute will someday become mandatory
another key decision is we tried to get
the ball rolling on the use of AI for
National Defense in a way that is
consistent with American values they
will have to decide what does that
continue to look like and do they want
to take some of the safeguards that we
put in place away to go faster so I
think there really is a bunch of
decisions that they are teed up to make
over the next couple years that we can
appreciate they coming on the horizon
without me sitting here and saying I
know with certainty what the answer is
going to be in 2027 and then always our
final question what are three books
you'd recommend to the audience uh one
of the books is the structure of
scientific revolutions uh by Thomas
this is a book that coined the term
Paradigm Shift which basically is what
we've been talking about throughout this
whole conversation of a shift in
technology and scientific understanding
and its implications for society and I
like how uh in this book which was
written in the 1960s gives a series of
historical examples and theoretical
Frameworks for how do you think about a
paradigm shift and then another book
that that has been very valuable for me
is rise of the Machines by Thomas rid uh
and that really tells the story of how
uh machines that were once the play
things of dorks like me became in the
60s and the 70s and the 80s uh things of
National Security importance we talked
about some of the Revolutionary
Technologies here the internet
microprocessors and the like that
emerged out of this intersection between
National Security and Tech development
and I think that history should inform
the work we do today and then the last
book is is definitely an unusual one but
I think is vital and that's a swim in
the pond in the reain by George Saunders
and he's this great essayist and short
story writer and novel writer and he
teaches Russian literature and he in
this book takes uh seven Russian
literature short stories and gives a a
literary interpretation of them and what
strikes me about this book is he's an
incredible writer and this fundamentally
is like the most human endeavor I can
think of he's taking great human short
stories and he's giving a a modern
interpretation of what those stories
mean and I think when we talk about the
kinds of cognitive tasks that are a long
way off for machines I kind of at some
level hope this is one of them that
there's something fundamentally human
that we alone can do uh I'm not sure if
that's true but I hope it's true I'll
say I had him on the show for that book
it's one of my favorite ever episodes
people should check it out Ben be Canan
thank you very much thanks for having me
[Music]
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video features a discussion with Ben Buchanan, a former special advisor for AI in the Biden White House, regarding the rapid advancement of artificial general intelligence (AGI) and its implications for national security, labor, and policy. Buchanan emphasizes that the next few years will see extraordinarily capable AI systems, positioning this period as a critical event horizon. Key topics include the importance of maintaining US technological preeminence to avoid ceding power to China, the role of export controls on advanced chips, the challenges of preparing the federal government for rapid technological change, and the ongoing debate between AI safety initiatives and accelerationist perspectives.
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