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High Inflation Coming? Here Are the Assets I Am Buying Part 2 of 2

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High Inflation Coming? Here Are the Assets I Am Buying Part 2 of 2

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630 segments

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[Music]

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at the same time you can get

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much higher returns than 10 you can get

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20 30

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40 50 returns a year investing in the

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stock market if

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you know how to pick the right stocks if

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you know how to pick the stocks of the

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fundamentally best companies

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and buy them at the right time so that's

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what i do for living that's why i teach

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my students

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so what are the best companies to buy

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that will thrive

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under inflation that would beat

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inflation by a white margin so these are

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some of the criterias number one

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i focus on businesses that are

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pandemic-proof

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and recession-proof companies so in

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other words even if the pandemic lasts

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for 10 more years the companies will

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continue

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to grow their sales and profits and

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their recession-proof so these are

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what we call secular growth companies or

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defensive companies companies like

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amazon

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facebook and adobe and salesforce

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these are the companies which i invest

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in the next thing is this

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now again not all companies will do well

1:12

under high inflation

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companies that do well are those that

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are able to raise their

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prices of their goods and services

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above inflation so in other words if

1:25

inflation rises by two percent

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the company can raise their products by

1:30

four percent

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now not all companies can do that only

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companies

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with high pricing power

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and pricing power comes when a company

1:40

has got what we call a brand monopoly

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like a nike like a ferrari for example

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so companies with strong brands

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they are able to constantly price their

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products higher than inflation

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so it doesn't matter how much inflation

1:53

there is they will always grow their

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sales and profits

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in real terms the next thing that is

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really important is this

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to beat inflation you want to invest in

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companies

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that require very little capital

2:07

expenditure to grow

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and maintain their competitive

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advantages

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and that's why i tend to avoid companies

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in manufacturing

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in the shipping in construction

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in development property development why

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because they require the constant

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reinvestment of capital and because of

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inflation

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the capital investment gets higher and

2:33

higher they will eat up

2:35

are higher sales doesn't make sense so i

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want companies where you invest

2:39

one time and they've got the brand their

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assets are intangible

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and they require very little future

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investment

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so when you invest in great companies

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again

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you won't just get 10 a year again 10 is

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only just buying the index

2:56

and idiot can do that but when you live

2:58

to pick the right companies you can grow

3:00

your investments by

3:02

you know 20 30 40 50

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a year or even in some is even 100 in

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fact if you take a look at my personal

3:10

investment portfolio year to date 2021

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for the first four months

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you can see year to date let me just

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show you year to date

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i'm up 13.8 percent for the first four

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months and for the last one year

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i'm up about

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110 and this is just one of my many many

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portfolios

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another portfolio i have is right over

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here

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so this one again year to date i'm up

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about

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10.5 percent and for the last one year

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this portfolio has grown 91 percent

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so like i said if you pick the right

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companies you can get

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huge returns on average in a year

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and it's not just me who can get it all

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my students are able to achieve this

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because they've

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learned the right strategies of value

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momentum investing in fact

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it's really happy to see a very nice

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message from one of my students

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over the weekend let me just show that

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to you yup so this is one of my telegram

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groups and this was sent by um

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n right so that's n over there and she

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said

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uh and by the way she just posted a

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portfolio right here

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you can see in her portfolio she got

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31.44

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uh in the last couple of months

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and she said last year during the

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lockdown i spent time

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studying adam's courses my friends and

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family said i should have saved my money

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instead of

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wasting money on costly online courses

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because

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there are tons of free videos online i

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told them i could make

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at least fifteen to twenty percent

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return but if

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but they said that's only for

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experienced investors but today

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when my portfolio is up 30 and

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and now they all ask me to manage their

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savings money

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right 2020 is still the best year of my

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life because i was lucky enough to

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discover adam

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and had a lot of free time learning from

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his courses

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so again the best investment you can

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make is investing first in yourself

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and then investing into assets that can

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beat inflation

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and to grow your financial wealth

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besides businesses the other

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asset that beats inflation grows your

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wealth would be real estate

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so i believe that everyone has to own

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businesses

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everyone has to own real estate why

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because

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land prices property values and rental

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income

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always rise alongside or higher than

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inflation especially if you buy high

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quality

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real estate assets right

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so again you can buy physical property

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but again if it's beyond your budget to

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buy

5:56

apartments and all those things you can

5:58

buy reits

5:59

real estate investment trust so with

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reits with a couple of hundred dollars

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you can buy

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shares in a portfolio of real estate

6:08

all around the world and earn rental

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income

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and so one of the indexes that you can

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look at

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to represent real estate would be the

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dow jones

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all read index trust if you take a look

6:22

at the last 18 years now i can't go back

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more than 18 years because

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it started 18 years ago right so since

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inception for the last 18 years

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the dow jones retrust has returned 10.12

6:36

on average a year so it's very much in

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part

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with the general stock market

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another very common asset used to hitch

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inflation

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would be gold now you can't really buy

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physical gold to hitch

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inflation it's going to be too

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cumbersome right so normally we buy

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gold etfs and etf that tracks gold

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prices but i'm not really a fan of gold

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and the reason is because gold is not a

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productive

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asset i only like to invest in

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productive assets

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what does that mean a productive asset

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is something that you buy that produces

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something in fact to me the intrinsic

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value of an

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asset what an asset is really worth is

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based on what it can produce

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so for example if you buy a business or

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you

7:23

own a business it produces cash flow

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which you can use to pay dividends or

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retain the earnings in the business

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it makes something if you uh own

7:34

property

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it generates rental income so it makes

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something

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but if you own a piece of gold gold

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doesn't make anything it just

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sits there and looks pretty alright so

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you can hold gold for

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20 30 years at the end of 30 years it's

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still a piece of gold

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but if you own property for 30 years at

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the end of the 30 years you have the

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same property

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but you also collect all the rental

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income over the years

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same thing the business so again i only

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like productive assets

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so when an asset is not productive when

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it doesn't make anything

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it has no real intrinsic value

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in a way so its value is purely

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speculative so what goal is worth

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is purely psychological it's what people

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are willing to pay for it so it's very

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much based on

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demand and supply so it's very hard to

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value goal

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in that way so that's one reason i don't

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like it the other reason is if you look

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at the last

8:30

30 years gold has

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an average return of 5.1 percent

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cagr compounded annual growth rate for

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the last 30 years

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so comparing with businesses stocks and

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real estate

8:46

gold's return is half of those returns

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now not only does it have less than

8:52

those returns

8:53

but it has one of the highest

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volatilities as well

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so if you look at this chart over here

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you can see that goal

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not only doesn't have the highest

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returns but in terms of

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standard deviation which is a measure of

9:06

volatility it's got the highest

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volatility so

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i'm not a fan of gold so let's take a

9:11

look at how they have performed in

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relation to each other so again this is

9:14

the last 30 years

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and over here you can see right at the

9:18

bottom you've got the

9:19

again the inflation index the cpi so you

9:22

just gotta beat that

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so pretty easy goal itself you can see

9:27

beats the inflation rate but like i said

9:28

i'm not a fan of gold but again holding

9:30

gold is better than just holding cash

9:33

but beating gold would be the s p 500

9:36

index

9:37

now the next chart will show you reits

9:40

as well and again

9:41

this is the last 18 years because the

9:43

read index only goes back 18 years and

9:45

you can see that

9:47

again the all-time winner would be the

9:50

smp 500 the 500

9:52

biggest companies in the united states

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followed by reits which represents real

9:57

estate in the u.s

9:59

uh gold and finally that all beats

10:02

inflation

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okay so there you have it these are the

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best assets that's going to beat

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inflation and build your wealth

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over many many generations to come okay

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now i

10:11

know some of you are thinking right now

10:12

wait a minute how about bitcoin

10:15

how about cryptocurrency you can't

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ignore that you're blasphemous

10:19

i've gotta talk about it fine i'll talk

10:21

about cryptocurrencies talk about

10:22

bitcoin although you guys know i'm not

10:24

really a big fan

10:25

now sure we can't ignore bitcoin

10:28

slash cryptocurrencies in fact uh in the

10:31

last one

10:32

year bitcoin itself has gone from 8 000

10:35

u.s to now

10:36

60 000 u.s so that's about what 800

10:40

of your money in one year so how can you

10:42

not talk about bitcoin

10:45

fine i'll talk about it right now like

10:47

in everything there are

10:48

advantages and disadvantages pros and

10:51

cons in any asset

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so what are the advantages of bitcoin

10:55

obviously number one

10:57

crazy price appreciation again 800 in

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one year

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who doesn't want a piece of that action

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so why has bitcoin become

11:04

so popular because uh one of the major

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arguments is that it's a good

11:09

replacement to

11:10

fiat currency which is the us dollar the

11:13

euro the japanese yen because fiat

11:15

currency there's no

11:16

backing from gold or anything right so

11:19

because of that

11:20

central banks can print unlimited

11:22

amounts of fiat currency

11:24

and they can be devalued over time

11:27

whereas for bitcoin

11:28

no one can print more bitcoin well

11:31

theoretically because it's a finite

11:33

number which is 21 million bitcoins

11:35

right now there's already 18 million in

11:37

circulation so there's another

11:39

three more million that can be mined and

11:40

once that's dead that's that you can't

11:42

have any more bitcoin so

11:44

in other words people find it attractive

11:46

because there's a limited number of

11:48

bitcoins you can't have more bitcoins

11:50

versus you can have more us dollars more

11:52

euros you can have them more bitcoins

11:54

right so supply is limited so as long as

11:56

demand goes up

11:58

the price should keep going up and

11:59

that's the theory behind

12:01

the popularity of bitcoin right can't be

12:04

devalued by central banks

12:06

it's a private decentralized ledger uh

12:10

and it's a goal-like alternative asset

12:12

to hitch against inflation

12:14

so that's what's great about bitcoin no

12:16

doubt about it

12:17

before buying any asset you can't just

12:19

look at

12:20

the upside you can look at what's the

12:21

downside what are the risks of that

12:23

asset

12:24

so bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in

12:26

general they have risks

12:28

the first major risk is that again it's

12:31

not a productive asset

12:33

just like gold bitcoin it doesn't

12:36

produce anything it doesn't make

12:37

anything

12:38

so because of that cryptocurrencies and

12:40

bitcoin has

12:41

zero intrinsic value it's got no

12:44

intrinsic value

12:45

like i said intrinsic value comes

12:48

from what the asset can produce if you

12:50

own a farm it produces

12:52

crops if you own a business it produces

12:54

cash flow

12:55

if you own real estate it produces

12:58

rental income but

12:59

bitcoin doesn't make and it doesn't

13:00

produce anything so there's no intrinsic

13:02

value

13:02

and again the only value it has is a

13:05

psychological value it is worth

13:07

what people are willing to pay for it

13:11

and by definition cryptocurrency

13:14

and bitcoin they are not really

13:16

currencies by strict definition now how

13:18

do you define a currency

13:20

to be a currency there are two criteria

13:23

that must be met number one

13:25

it must be a widespread store of value

13:29

all right and as of now bitcoin is not

13:32

widely adopted as a store of value so

13:34

there are people who buy bitcoin to

13:35

store their wealth but it's not

13:37

widespread and the reason is because of

13:38

the huge volatility

13:40

as long as volatility is huge you can go

13:43

up you know 20

13:44

down 30 percent not many big

13:46

institutions are willing

13:48

to use that as a store of value because

13:50

it's too uncertain

13:52

the second thing is for to be a currency

13:54

it must be a widespread

13:56

medium of exchange where you can use it

13:58

to buy

13:59

you know clothes or buy candy or buy

14:02

food and stuff like that sure i mean

14:04

now elon musk is saying you can buy a

14:06

car with with bitcoin and sure there are

14:08

people who are offering that but again

14:10

it's not widely adopted think about it

14:13

you buy bitcoin not because you want to

14:15

use it to buy something else

14:17

not really right unless it's not a

14:18

cryptocurrency you don't buy bitcoin to

14:20

really store your wealth

14:21

you buy bitcoin for one reason only

14:24

because you're hoping to sell it at a

14:25

higher price

14:26

so to me it's a purely a speculative

14:29

asset

14:30

the way i look at it right now so that's

14:34

one of the concerns that i have so when

14:35

something has got no intrinsic value

14:37

you have no idea what it's really worth

14:39

and it's really hard to value something

14:41

to put a number to

14:42

its true intrinsic value i feel

14:44

uncomfortable buying something like that

14:46

the next thing is this now if bitcoin or

14:49

cryptocurrencies

14:50

really become widely adopted let's say

14:53

one day people are using to buy stuff

14:55

people are using it to store their value

14:56

is that good maybe not because then it

14:59

will it will

15:00

threaten governments of the world now

15:02

governments of the world

15:03

they want a monopoly over currency

15:07

once they see that bitcoin becomes a

15:09

credible threat it's not yet a threat

15:11

but what's

15:12

a threat guess what they're gonna do

15:14

there's gonna be a high chance

15:15

the governments of the world are gonna

15:17

ban and outlaw

15:19

and confiscate bitcoins you don't think

15:21

it's gonna happen

15:22

it happened in 1933. in 1933

15:26

when the us government decided to get

15:28

the us dollar off the gold standard

15:30

they confiscated everyone's goal

15:33

and if you didn't give your goal to the

15:35

government you had to go to prison

15:38

this was the executive order by the

15:40

president of the united states

15:42

on first may 1933. give me all your gold

15:45

if you don't

15:46

it's ten years imprisonment you know my

15:49

great great granddaddy gave me this

15:51

newspaper article

15:52

i'm just kidding i just got it off the

15:53

internet so

15:55

it could happen to cryptocurrencies

15:57

could happen to bitcoin you never know

15:59

the next risk is that bitcoin is a very

16:03

highly leveraged asset so a lot of

16:05

people around the world who have bought

16:07

bitcoin and who are pushing the price

16:09

up to astronomical levels they have

16:11

actually bought a lot of money

16:14

to buy bitcoin so it's very highly

16:16

leveraged

16:17

although you may not leverage buying

16:19

bitcoin so what's the point when an

16:21

asset has a lot of leverage behind it

16:24

the moment

16:25

the bubble bursts and the price drops it

16:27

will drop

16:28

like a stone and that's why bitcoin is

16:30

extremely volatile because of the

16:33

the high leverage behind the price

16:36

movement

16:37

finally again the main argument is that

16:40

bitcoin

16:41

is scarce the only 21 million bitcoins

16:44

you can create more

16:45

in theory but here's the thing nothing

16:48

is stopping

16:49

programmers or other people from

16:52

creating alternative

16:53

digital currencies to replace bitcoin

16:55

now

16:57

i'm a firm believer in blockchain

16:59

technology i believe that blockchain

17:00

is the future but it may not be

17:04

eventually bitcoin that becomes the

17:06

medium of exchange

17:07

there could be future newly evolved

17:10

cryptocurrencies

17:12

uh in fact created by governments right

17:14

digital currencies created by

17:15

china or the us that will replace

17:18

bitcoin eventually

17:19

using the blockchain system so in other

17:21

words to me i think the scarcity concept

17:23

is an illusion all right new ones can

17:26

come along to replace

17:28

bitcoin or ethereum in the future so if

17:31

bitcoin

17:32

really becomes widely adopted in the

17:34

future if it really works out let's say

17:36

what's the potential upside well let's

17:38

do some calculations

17:39

currently bitcoin has a market

17:41

capitalization of 1.2 trillion so in

17:44

other words

17:45

you take the price of one bitcoin

17:46

multiplied by the number of bitcoins

17:49

in total 21 million you get 1.2 trillion

17:52

dollars

17:54

currently the total market cap of all

17:56

the gold in the world

17:58

that's been mined is 13 trillion

18:02

so currently bitcoin makes up about

18:05

roughly about seven percent of the

18:08

market cap of gold

18:10

so if bitcoin can become the new goal

18:13

eventually and it can be a credible

18:16

replacement to

18:18

goal as an alternative asset let's say

18:20

in the future

18:21

bitcoin uh will make up 50

18:25

of gold's market cap in other words

18:27

people around the world will move

18:29

50 of what they use to own in gold to

18:31

bitcoin if that happens

18:33

then bitcoin um

18:37

could reach a market cap of

18:42

six to about 6.5 trillion all right

18:46

so based on 6.5 trillion if you divide

18:48

it by 21 million bitcoins

18:50

that gives us an upside target of

18:54

and seventy five 375 dollars per bitcoin

18:57

so at current prices

18:59

the upside would be a 500 increase

19:02

if everything goes as planned right

19:05

but remember when when you invest in

19:08

something

19:09

don't just think about how much you can

19:12

make

19:12

you got to think about how much you can

19:13

lose what if

19:16

happens what if bitcoin doesn't become

19:19

widely adopted as a medium of exchange

19:21

what if people soon realize that it's

19:22

nothing but a big bubble that bursts

19:25

what if governments confiscate

19:27

all the bitcoins in the world and then

19:28

bitcoin what happens then well then

19:30

bitcoin could drop

19:32

80 to 90 to maybe six to 12

19:35

000 from where it is today so people ask

19:39

me this question all the time adam

19:40

should i buy

19:41

bitcoin cryptocurrencies and the answer

19:43

is

19:44

it depends if you're willing to lose 80

19:48

of your money with the hope of making

19:51

500

19:52

go ahead right so it really depends on

19:55

your objectives and your risk tolerance

19:57

this is up to you

19:59

now for me you guys know that i'm a

20:01

chicken i'm a chicken

20:02

i rather not make money if i've got a

20:05

chance of losing money

20:07

you know i'm like that right so i

20:08

believe in rule number one never lose

20:10

money

20:11

rule number two don't forget rule number

20:13

one and because of that

20:14

i don't invest in bitcoin because i

20:16

don't even want the possibility of

20:18

losing money

20:19

you see when i buy stocks of great

20:21

businesses

20:22

to me the downside is zero i cannot lose

20:25

money on stocks

20:26

because when you buy good companies sure

20:28

in the short term they could go up they

20:30

could go down they could drop thirty

20:31

forty percent of short term but in the

20:32

long run it always goes up stock market

20:34

always goes up because you're buying

20:36

companies that are producing goods and

20:38

services people always need

20:40

goods and services when you buy real

20:42

estate it always goes up in the long run

20:45

but for bitcoin cryptocurrency there is

20:47

a downside

20:48

and so because of that yes i have bought

20:50

a bid

20:51

many years ago i've got some bitcoins

20:53

and ethereum just leave it there

20:55

like a lottery ticket like a 40 ticket

20:57

if it goes to zero i don't really care

20:59

but to me it's not an investment it's

21:01

just a punt it's a lottery ticket right

21:04

but when it comes to investing

21:05

my real money my big money you know i

21:08

stay away and it's just me

21:10

call me a chicken but i know i'll be a

21:12

live chicken in 10 or 20 years

21:14

so i hope you enjoyed it hope you've

21:16

learned something good questions

21:18

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Interactive Summary

The video provides an overview of strategies to beat inflation through investing in productive assets. The speaker emphasizes focusing on businesses with high pricing power, recession-proof business models, and low capital expenditure requirements. He compares these stocks with real estate and gold, arguing for the superiority of productive assets over speculative ones. Additionally, the speaker discusses cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, noting their speculative nature, lack of intrinsic value, and risks, while explaining why he prefers traditional, productive investment vehicles for his main portfolio.

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