SOFI & Robinhood Investors BEWARE— Don't Make This Mistake!
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SoFi and Robinhood investors, beware
right now. We're at a very crucial
inflection point. These two stocks are
very volatile, and I need to analyze
both of them for you in this video. I've
recently covered both, but I have an
update and more information that you
need to know because there are some
mistakes that investors are making. So,
today I'm going to discuss SoFi stock,
the business, the valuation, and where I
see it headed next, as well as Robinhood
stock after they have already had
earnings and the stock has increased.
Does it have any more room to increase?
So, we'll be doing a deep dive because
these stocks aren't perfect. They also
have some things that you should be
aware of. Now, many investors are going
to miss the post-earnings opportunity on
both of these stocks, but I do believe
that one of them has a bit more upside
to go. So, let's start off with SoFi.
SoFi right now is sitting at $18 per
share. The market cap is at $23 billion,
and the P/E ratio is under 40. Just look
at the chart right now. This stock was
trading for over $30 per share, and
since it has been trading at $30 per
share in late last year, now the stock
has been going nowhere and going
sideways at $18 per share. Now, look,
there's a huge mismatch between the
business and what's happening with the
stock. SoFi is not like most fintech
companies. They don't just run banking
infrastructure. SoFi actually owns it.
SoFi is different from many fintechs
because it has a national bank charter
through SoFi Bank. That means it can
take deposits and originates or fund
many loans within its own banking
operation instead of relying entirely on
a partner bank to provide those core
banking functions. For example, a
fintech without its own banking often
works something like a customer then
goes to a fintech app, then a partner
bank, and that is a lot of fees, guys.
What makes SoFi really different is they
can do all of this themselves without
having to pay third parties. That
matters because SoFi can capture more of
the economics, can have greater control
over deposits and lending and rely less
on third parties for core banking
functions. It's difficult to disrupt
SoFi because SoFi is the disruptor.
Guys, it is literally the company doing
the disrupting. When I used to work at
Goldman Sachs, it was literally like
working, I don't know, like in the 1980s
even though I was working there in like
2015 or 2016 time. But it was so old and
outdated. SoFi is disrupting dinosaur
banks like Bank of America, Goldman
Sachs, and all these other names out
there. SoFi's acquiring customers like
crazy and I am very interested in the
stock at these levels despite the stock
not doing much. I think we're going to
see something very similar to what had
happened with Palantir. Please watch a
few weeks ago a few weeks ago, guys.
Please watch it if you have to. I said
that Palantir is a steal at $109 per
share. The comments were saying, "Bicep
over tricep? Yeah, right, Henry. Glutes
over quads? I'm losing money on
Palantir." And then other comments were
like, "Henry, you lost your mojo. You
don't know what you're talking about."
Etcetera, etcetera. When I said that
Palantir was an absolute steal and
goldmine at $109 per share. And we know
what happened with Palantir. Yes, it was
difficult, but I made my community
life-changing gains off of Palantir. I'm
not a financial advisor and I can't
predict the future, but I am confident
in SoFi stock in a very similar way that
I was confident in Palantir. And waiting
ended up paying off very handsomely. So,
look, with SoFi at $18.12
right now, anything under $20 I deem to
be a good value because I believe this
stock is between $25 to $27 stock in 6
months. Maybe that'll happen sooner,
maybe it'll happen later. But in 2027,
mark my words, I believe that SoFi is
between $25 to $27 in value. That's what
the business is worth based off of my
own modeling, the cash flows, and my
valuation of the business. Now, one last
thing about SoFi, and then I will move
on into Robinhood. I need to mention
customer lifetime value. Just like I was
talking about Palantir, how it's a steal
at 109. I believe in Palantir's
business. I think they're going to beat
earnings. All of that ended up
happening. You can see my videos. All of
them are transparently here on YouTube,
right? I want to mention something that
people are missing. Investors are not
understanding about SoFi. This is one of
the biggest mistakes that investors are
making because they don't understand
this. Therefore, they're not investing
in SoFi when the stock is actually
cheap. So, what is lifetime value or
LTV? This is the most important piece of
the SoFi story. I think this is
completely undervalued. We're already
seeing evidence of this because roughly
40% of new products have recently been
opened by existing SoFi members. SoFi
calls this its financial services
productivity loop, acquiring a member,
give them a good experience, introduce
them to additional products, and make
that relationship more valuable over
time. That's one reason that I think you
have to look at SoFi as a long-term
ecosystem. One more time, you have to
look at SoFi as a long-term ecosystem,
rather than simply a lending company.
The ultimate goal is to become the
primary financial relationship for
millions of people. If SoFi can acquire
someone when they're young, and keep
that person for decades, that
relationship could become significantly
more valuable as the customer's income,
assets, borrowing needs, and financial
activity grow. That's the long-term
opportunity. More members, more products
per member, lower acquisition costs per
additional product, and potentially much
higher lifetime value from each
customer. All right. Now, they are
spending money on ads as well, which is
very important as an investor, or if
you're considering to buy SoFi at these
levels, you should understand because
think about it like an option trade.
What matters isn't just what you pay up
front, it's the return that you generate
on that capital in the future, okay?
SoFi might be spending money today to
acquire someone who opens up a savings
account, but also that's the beginning
of a relationship. Over time, that same
customer might use SoFi for, you know,
investing or credit cards or personal
loans, student loans, mortgage. Oh my
goodness, a mortgage is such a long-term
commitment that SoFi literally prints
money hand over fist. Like literally,
they are making so much money on their
customers. And that is what's called
customer lifetime value or LTV. That's
what I'm talking about. If SoFi can
spend $100 to acquire a customer and
eventually generate, I don't know, 500,
1,200, $2,000 for that customer, then
you have a very powerful and profitable
business. That's why I'm watching
customer growth, but I'm also watching
how effectively SoFi turns those
customers into long-term relationships.
That's the part of the business that I
believe is very undervalued. And this is
why I'm trading SoFi actually on a
weekly and monthly basis in my Discord
community. If you're not in my Discord
community, you are missing out because
SoFi going sideways is actually a
fantastic opportunity for investors.
Now, enough about my community and
myself, let's move on into Robinhood.
Here is Robinhood stock sitting at $95
per share essentially. This is a
beautiful stock. I really like what has
happened to Robinhood because over the
last 1 month, the stock has actually
come down after a big pump, okay? Over
the last 6 months, you can see the stock
was actually very, very low at $70 per
share. I was telling my community,
"Guys, we got to buy this." And we did
buy it. We have 95 covered calls to be
transparent, okay? I have 95 covered
calls, which is actually very, very good
at the moment. Now, Robinhood went above
my covered call. I didn't do anything. I
didn't close. Just I held. I held on,
iron fists, held on, right? Now, after
Robinhood has soared, right, in price,
they did have earnings and we're going
to go over that. We're going to go over
earnings. Let's actually do that real
fast. We'll go back to the technicals
and where I see it headed. Robinhood
posted the best quarter ever as
prediction markets and Robinhood chain
take off, okay? Here I highlighted
Robinhood quarterly revenue of $1.31
billion. That's in- That's insane. I
remember being an analyst here on Wall
Street when Robinhood was only public,
okay? And they were making way less. I
don't remember what the numbers were,
but numbers were like super tiny
compared to this. It's actually crazy
for me to see a billion dollars in a
quarter because the same thing happened
with SoFi. It was under a billion. Now,
these fintech companies, they're scaling
so fast. That's why I want you to pay
attention. I'm trying to put some green
dough in your pocket, okay? I'm telling
you because these companies are scaling
their businesses. It doesn't matter if
the stock isn't following step-by-step
linearly, okay? Growth does not happen
linearly in anywhere in life, okay?
Everything has some variance, some
volatility. And that's a good thing.
That's where opportunity actually sits,
okay? It actually sits there, all right?
I'm about to I'm about to go nuts here
because I'm telling you the opportunity
you guys are sleeping on, I'm telling
you, it's something else here. So, this
company is scaling 32% year-over-year,
beating Wall Street estimates of $1.26
billion, okay? That's not a massive
beat, but it's a nice beat. It's a
really nice beat. But, what's even nicer
is the company's net income came in at
$573 million or $0.62 per share, okay?
Versus $386 million and $0.42 per share
a year ago. You can do the math, okay?
The revenue is growing at 32%, but look
at the earnings. The earnings went up
50% for Robinhood as a company. That is
what can happen to the earnings because
earnings can expand much faster than
revenue can expand. And when earnings
goes up this much, going back to
Robinhood here, this P/E ratio of 41 is
going to contract so fast that I think a
a of investors won't even be ready for
this. Because with earnings going up by
50%, that means that P/E ratio is going
to get crushed. It's going to come down
quickly, and that's going to make this
potentially a very cheap business to be
invested in. And that's potentially
going to make this a very cheap business
from a valuation standpoint. Okay? So,
going back again here, we hit all-time
highs in trading volumes across
equities, options, and prediction
markets. CEO Vlad Tenev said on X,
"Transaction-based revenue rose 44% to
700 $76 million." And guys, I want to
pull up here the presentation that they
had. This was in July 29th. Took me a
kind of a little bit over a week here to
really kind of sit in and do evaluation
model. And I'm about to give you the
price, and I think you're going to be
very shocked where I think Robinhood can
be trading at. Okay? So, Q2 2026
business results highlight. You can see
funded customers. Man, this is This is a
This is doesn't look crazy, but this is
what compound growth looks like. This is
a compounding growth. Okay? It's It's
growing very quickly with Robinhood Gold
subscribers. This is what I'm most
bullish on on the business. Robinhood
Gold subscribers, this is what I love to
see because once a customer is in with
Robinhood Gold, which is like what, five
bucks a month? That's nothing, right?
You're thinking, "Well, five bucks, who
cares? That's not a lot of money." And
it's also a lot of money when all 4.8 4
million users are serious now because
they're paying money. And when when
money comes into the equation, you know
people are serious. Okay? They have a
different psychology. When something's
free in life, okay? That's why I don't
do free coaching. I used to do free
coaching, by the way. People don't take
it seriously. Okay? When someone pays
for something, they're committed. Same
thing with Robinhood. Doesn't matter if
it's $5. They are locking their
customers in to a long-term
relationship, and they got the same
playbook as SoFi. I don't know if they
got the same, you know, hires from the
same MBA schools. What are they hiring
from Chicago
their MBAs must be doing the same
business plan because it's [snorts]
acquire customers, make sure the
customers are happy, make sure those
customers are spending more money with
the business. So look, total platform
assets growing as well, although there
was a little bit of shakiness from Q3
2025 to to Q4. Net deposits also in a
very nice place. You can see record for
all these figures. Financial results
highlights, you can see total revenues
1.3 billion.
Uh that's amazing, man. That's amazing.
And by the way, the market's doing
great, but it's not soaring as fast as
it was soaring in this time period. And
they're still making more money, right?
So they're just making crazy amount of
money. Now they have a lot of product
velocity, which remains robust through
the first half of 2026. I'm looking
forward to a lot of their stuff. And I
think, okay, when it comes to the
biggest mistake that investors are
making on Robinhood, it's really missing
Robinhood international expansion.
Robinhood is expanding throughout
Europe, and as they continue to expand,
more people are going to want to sign up
internationally, which is going to make
Robinhood a ton of money. Biggest
opportunity is obviously like
internationally. You can see that with
Netflix as well. When Netflix was early
on in in their growth stages, and when
they went international, that's what
bolstered the stock up a lot, okay? And
I see that happening for Robinhood as
well, because as they go into
international markets, that's only going
to increase their overall valuation.
Their market cap sitting at 85 billion
dollars. Guys, my prediction, what I
think is reasonable for Robinhood.
Again, I'm not a financial advisor, I
can't predict the future. I'm just the
guy here that has a degree in finance,
economics, analytics, and worked at
three different uh funds, okay? One of
them was Goldman Sachs. That was not a
fund. I was in kind of the wealth
management department. But then two
funds after that. And my opinion, based
off my own valuation, is I think we're
going to sit at 142 billion dollars.
That's the specific number that I came
across when I was doing my valuation
model, and I put in all the cash flows,
and I projected the future, and I
projected the next five years. I
discounted all that cash flow. I
believe, based off the growth that we're
seeing, Robinhood is a 142 billion
dollar market cap, okay? That's where I
see Robinhood at. You can see funded
customers increased 1.9 million
year-over-year to record 28.4 million in
Q2. Total platform assets increased 32%
year-over-year to 369 billion in Q2 due
to continued net deposits. And as we
continue here, I'm going to just scroll
this for one more minute. I'm just going
to show you more of the things that I'm
super interested when it comes to
Robinhood. And that is of course the
retirement. Okay, so retirement accounts
is super important because that's
obviously where the big money is.
Whenever someone's in retirement or
close to retirement, they have obviously
a higher net worth they have a higher
propensity to spend money. Okay, so
Robinhood is going to do very well with
that segment of their audience. Now
Robinhood gold subscribers grew to a
record 4.8 million. Again, this is this
is the part of the business I am most
bullish on where I see the highest
opportunity because you guys know
software companies have a really huge
valuation, right? They have very high PE
ratios. Why would a software company
have a higher PE ratio than, you know,
like a McDonald's or something like
that? Well, the reason is because a
software company that has low churn,
meaning very few customers are leaving,
has a very predictable revenue. Okay,
it's all about predictability and less
uncertainty for investors. Investors
hate uncertainty. So when it comes to
Robinhood as a business, okay, the most
important part of their business,
honestly, is their recurring cash flow.
When you have recurring cash flow as a
business, that makes investors very,
very happy because investors understand
this is a safer cash flow for the
business and likely this is not going to
be wiped out as easily as something like
transaction-based revenue. Okay,
transaction-based revenue requires
transactions. So if the market crashes
or the market pulls down and investors
are no longer excited or investors turn
to other forms of, you know, investing
and they don't use Robinhood as much,
transaction-based revenues obviously
going to go down. I don't really see
that happening because investors don't
really have anywhere else to go besides
Robinhood, which is really disruptive as
well. Robinhood as a business is very
disruptive like SoFi, which is why I
continue to make videos on these stocks
and why I'm so bullish on SoFi and
Robinhood still. Anyways, as you can see
here, last slide that I really want to
show you is they continue to grow and
diversify their business, which I think
is going to further contribute to them
having a higher and justified P/E ratio,
which isn't even that high, around 40s.
And as they are growing so fast, that
P/E ratio is going to come down, which I
believe is going to force Robinhood
stock to go up. If you want more deep
analysis on Robinhood and SoFi stock, as
well as option strategies, you can
schedule a free call right now to learn
how I am using options to profit off of
both SoFi and Robinhood. Even if SoFi
goes sideways, I'm using the wheel
strategy. If you want a free game plan
on how to use options to do that for
yourself, go ahead and check out the
description right now. We will give you
for free a full game plan, and then you
can decide from there if you want to
implement it yourself or if you'd like
some help implementing it.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
This video provides a deep dive into the business models and investment potential of SoFi and Robinhood. The author argues that both companies are disruptors in the fintech space, highlighting SoFi's unique advantage of holding a national bank charter and Robinhood's strong scaling, particularly through its 'Gold' subscription service. The analyst offers a bullish outlook on both stocks, suggesting that despite current volatility and periods of stagnant growth, their long-term business fundamentals, such as customer lifetime value and international expansion, make them undervalued opportunities for investors.
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