Big Companies Hiring Again, Anthropic's Open-Weight Position, Zuck Backs AI for All | Diet TBPN
1032 segments
Well, uh, Anthropics responded. We're
going to go through that proposal, the
the the facts and the proposal
[clears throat] for what happens next in
the open, uh, open model debate over
whether or not they should be banned,
restricted, tested, limited in some
ways, sued. There's a whole bunch of
different possible outcomes. Uh, but
we'll take you all through it. The Wall
Street Journal is reporting that large
companies are beginning to
>> They have a large white pill. Yes, it is
a large white pill
>> has hit the front page of the journal.
>> Yes. And I think people have been going
back and forth on this. This is a story
that's that's just getting digested by
the tech folks like the actual AI lab
leaders who had predicted crazy job
losses and are now not really seeing
that. They're seeing productivity boosts
and different uh diffusion taking time
in certain places and there's new
capabilities, but it's not exactly a
drop-in replacement for a co-worker, at
least in in most scenarios. And that's
what the Wall Street Journal is
reporting. So, let me set the table and
then uh we can debate it a little bit.
After roughly a year of cautious hiring,
companies across technology,
transportation, defense, and other
industries now say they need more
employees to work alongside AI systems.
Total victory for both humans and AI.
We're working together. Peace is
possible. It's an example of Je of
Jevans paradox. Jeban's paradox. When a
technology makes something more
efficient, demand often rises enough.
The total use and the need for people
actually increases. For roughly the past
year, many companies pointed to AI while
announcing layoffs. This was a huge
thorn in your side. You I think you
hated this more than anyone else. Um and
you were right to because it did seem
like it was just PR spin, etc. Yeah, it
was it was a way for CEOs and management
teams to save their own ass instead of
saying, you know, hey, we we overhired
or the business isn't doing as well as
as as we would like and we need to sort
of
>> uh basically [clears throat]
settle down for a second and uh get our
mojo back. Yeah, obviously no one wants
to say that, but I I think uh one of my
favorite posts was the and and obviously
these circumstances are never great, but
the the new CEO of Xbox came out and
just was like very honest about the
situation.
>> Yep.
>> And I think that uh more of that is
necessary.
>> Yeah. Also, there's a lot of firms where
they once they get to 10,000 20,000
employees, they might say, "Look, 20,000
might be the right number, but the
bottom thousand people are not
performing. We would like to lay them
off and then bring in a new thousand
people that are better fit for the
company and the current trajectory that
we're on, the current skills that we
need, maybe we need more sales people."
>> And those bottom people might be top 10%
at another company. Exactly. Yeah. So,
uh, the narrative appears to be
shifting. Uh, companies like CSX,
Alphabet, Service Now, Snap-on, and
consulting giant Booze Allen, Hamilton
have all recently signaled plans to
expand hiring, particularly in areas
where employees can use AI to become
more productive.
>> Yeah. It used to be somewhat of a flex
if a company was like, "Yeah, we put up
a role and we got 2,000 applicants."
Yeah. You know, it's like, well,
>> that's true. And then also, it's a
little bit of a sign of like, "Oh, wow.
They have a hundred openings. like they
must be like growing so fast, you know?
So, but if it's just a prompt to say,
"Oh, yeah, put up like look at my
organizational design and and add five
roles for everyone because why not? Why
not see who comes by?" You know, we're
not we don't necessarily have to
interview these people. Uh so, weird
weird dynamics, but we'll dig into it.
So, uh meanwhile, the latest weekly US
jobless claims fell to one of the lowest
levels in decades, underscoring the
resilience of the labor market. The
shift also requ reflects a more
realistic understanding of AI's
capabilities. Sarah Franklin, CEO of HR
platform Lattis, says many companies
initially assumed AI agents could
replace entry-level workers, but are now
recognizing that human human employees
remain essential. Just because you have
coding agents doesn't mean you're not
hiring engineers, she said, adding that
Lattis is seeing renewed hiring among
many of its customers, including for
junior roles. Uh Robert Half, CEO M.
Keith Watt said, "AI's effect on
employment has been more benign than
some has feared, adding that hiring
demand continues to improve and market
conditions are increasingly more
supportive of business." And so I do
think there was a little bit of like a
successful scop with the with the AI is
going to be able to do everything where
I do think there are some firms that
were like, "Yeah, maybe we shouldn't
hire or because like what if we get it
wrong and we hire a bunch of people and
then AI really does catch up and we
don't need those people. That's silly.
We shouldn't go through that like
whipssaw effect." Uh, and so people are
going back and forth on that. Bryce
Roberts.
>> Yeah, it's interesting. At least in at
least in our organization, which is
unique and and uh very niche and there's
not that many organizations that are
running, you know, a niche technology uh
daily show. Yeah.
>> I feel like a lot of
>> what the the value that we get out of AI
would have historically been done by not
super expert level freelancers, right?
these sort of like Upwork style tasks
that you would do historically like an
idea for a funny song, right? I've paid
to get a funny song made probably a
decade ago online, right, as just like a
joke [clears throat] and now you can
just go to Sunno and and make something
like that. And and then there's other
things like make a funny website, right?
I historically would maybe work with
>> So, you're saying that I should I should
take down the five open roles I have for
Celtic punk uh session musicians?
>> Not yet.
>> Because I was going to hire five Celtic
punk session musicians to constantly
record Dropkick Murphy's covers for us.
Yes. Every day
>> and then perform that you shouldn't do
that. [laughter] I'm actually closer
than ever to hiring a full-time Celtic
punk band to to play music to recreate
songs.
>> Yes, I'm I'm closer than ever uh to
doing that where that was not even on
the road map uh a few years ago. Yeah. I
don't know. It's it's a good point
there. Yeah. There there's a lot of
things that you uh are doing that you
would never do with a full-time
employee. Yeah. uh that just sort of
like fills the cracks and allows you to
do more different things in your
organization, but the core stuff is
still like you want a person that's
responsible and then you want them using
AI. I don't know. Yeah. Um the Wall
Street Journal uh breaks it all down,
but we went through most of that. So
Bryce Roberts, he's he's taking the
other side of this. He says he shares a
screenshot of a text message says, "We
honestly aren't hiring a ton right now.
AI backfilling most roles." Backfilling
is that specifically does that
specifically refer to when someone
leaves the company you backfill them
with AI? So you say, "Oh, someone quit."
Like if there's Steve and Jim on two
different on one team and Steve quits,
you say, "Hey, Jim, can you just instead
of hiring another person just do twice
as much work with AI?" Is that what this
person's articulating? I mean, obviously
there's some companies that are like,
"Yeah, we're not hiring anyone. We're
going for the one person$ one billion
dollar company. Like I'm not going to
hire anyone. I'm just going to use
>> Yeah, but that's rare. Usually, usually
when your business is ripping, you're
like, I can't hire great people fast
enough. Yeah.
>> And sometimes you actually sometimes you
actually don't have time to
>> invest into various hiring processes.
But yeah,
>> uh yeah, I would read into this text the
company's just probably not like
ripping.
>> That's my that's my takeaway.
>> Well, Bryce Roberts says, "Rip newrads."
Matthew Prince over Cloudflare takes the
other side. He says, "Wrong strategy to
stop hiring new grads." the right
strategy, hire them and insert them into
legacy teams to help them better adopt
AI.
>> And Cloudflare of course hired 1,000
>> something. It was a It was a crazy
number, wasn't it, up there in like
almost a thousand
>> four digits.
>> That's crazy. Let's play the latest Good
Work uh real. We're just watching reals
now.
>> This is one we got is a Bernie Maidoff.
>> Pretty good
>> gloves.
>> That's from the 80s, too. That's good.
>> Yeah. Yeah. I've I've seen a few of
these around before. Up next,
>> solid Sam Bankman Freed here.
>> That's nice.
>> Really nice.
>> That's really nice.
>> I like that they actually printed these.
>> I think he made balsa wood.
>> This is balsa wood.
>> The acting is so
>> Wow.
>> Wait, John.
>> This is a This is a vintage Zuckerberg.
>> 05.
>> This is a vintage '05 Zuckerberg. Let's
just check the back really quick.
There it is. That is a patch from his
Fruit of the Loom boxer briefs. You can
tell by the smell.
>> Is that real? What is that referring to?
>> This is on athlete, you know, trading
card. I'll put a piece of the jersey
one.
>> Yeah. Yeah.
>> All right. Up next.
>> Sleeve it.
>> Ooh. Okay.
>> Nice.
>> Elizabeth Holmes. We do have two. I
believe we have two. But a triple Holmes
is what every good collector has
>> in their arsenal. All right. We have one
last card.
>> One one card left.
>> Three, two, one.
>> Oh my god. [laughter] Oh my god.
>> Oh my god. Oh my god. Oh my god.
>> Turn it off.
>> Very funny. Very funny.
>> It is funny how the the like business
comedy cannon has really solidified
around like Elizabeth Holmes. Uh Sam
Bankenfreed, Mark Zuckerberg. There's
like a few names.
>> I'm surprised they didn't have an Adam
Newman rookie card in there.
>> I don't know if Adam Newman is like a
big enough name relative to
>> That's true. Sam Bank and Elizabeth
Holmes. Uh it's just interesting like
the different the different names that
have broken out that you can do a comedy
sketch that's like you know it goes as
big as uh as good work does because they
get you know I think millions and
millions of views on their stuff.
>> All right, pull up this image from
Manhattan this morning. We got sent
this.
>> We've been doing on the ground reporting
>> from one of our on the ground reporters
in Manhattan. There's a company called
Black Sheep
>> that that got 20 trucks and they are
just driving them around Google's
Manhattan office. Yes. Saying, "Shame on
you, Google. Return our $80,000."
>> We had to dig in. We got very curious.
>> I had no idea. They make sunglasses.
>> They make $8 sunglasses that beat $350
sunglasses in an NBC lab test.
>> Okay. Are you wearing black sheep today?
What you
>> I wish [laughter]
I wish. So, uh, Black Sheep makes direct
to factory.
>> Okay. Factory direct prescription
eyewear. Stop paying
>> No. This is from their own website.
They're saying direct to factory optical
disruptor, [laughter] which is not. This
is from their website. Where you uh on
Black Sheep.
>> I'm on black sheep.io as well. It says
factory direct direct to factory. Look,
I want to send some eyewear to a
factory. Direct to factoryactory.
>> I'll be sending it to them.
>> Direct toactory.
>> Yeah.
>> Uh so this company, they say direct
toactory optical disruptor black sheep
launches 25 truck gorilla campaign
against Google in Manhattan. Okay. And
then they're they're sort of like
narrating their own gorilla campaign. A
fleet of 25 minimalist LED billboard
trucks surrounds Google's Chelsea
headquarters after the tech giant
weaponized an organic search glitch to
pocket nearly $80,000
in ad spend following Black Sheep's
viral NBC Today Show debut.
25 LED trucks deployed. $77,000 drained
in 30 hours. And then they're and then
they're just continuing to market their
own product. So very interesting
strategy here. I think every marketer
has had the experience of of having a
campaign go haywire. Yeah.
>> Very fascinating to take to take this
route. Let's see how it works for them.
If I were Google, I would say you can
have your $80,000 back, but you can
never advertise on Google again because
I just don't know how. I don't think
Google would ban them permanently for
this. This is ridiculous. But it, you
know, they're just going to they're just
going to be like any other like as a
self-s served platform.
>> But is it a good campaign?
>> But what what actually happened? So they
say how it unfolded. NBC Today show
segment airs. Uh they test the retail
subscription against Black Sheep's
factory direct pair. National search
traffic spikes. Hundreds of Americans
search Black Sheep because they're
seeing it on TV. The organic listing
breaks. Google search engine redirected
organic brand traffic to a dead-end
third-party 404 error page. And so with
the organic route broken, users were
funneled into Google's paid listings. So
what is their claim? How is Google
responsible for this? Exactly.
>> Sounds like user error
>> because I mean you do you do have some
control over your Google search results
based on the web master tools. you can
index certain things and then also if
you're noticing a 404 page you could
like redirect it quickly but again if
this is happening all very fast
but I mean it is interesting because
they're probably going to get more than
$77,000 worth of organic just from this
I mean I didn't see the original
campaign and I'm seeing this because
this is hilarious but this is like a is
this they they shared an AI image with
tons of these like shame on you trucks
but those are real
>> these are real
>> and are those minimalist
Those seem maximalist to me,
>> but maybe they're minimal.
>> Minimalist, I guess, in the in the
display of the uh in the way they
actually are leveraging the space on the
truck, but black and white.
>> Truly underrated surface area for stunts
and advertising. like like this message
is sort of like squabbling with Google
over this like sort of odd scenario. But
you can imagine someone using this for
something much cooler and much more
positive and not like this uh you know
sort of unfortunate situation for them
where they're dealing with the you know
fallout of a Google error.
>> Well, we want to interview the truck
drivers.
>> So if you're driving a black sheep truck
around Manhattan today, reach out
>> for sure.
>> Show Nick, make it happen.
>> Ilio said straight shot to SSI. So, they
better not be gearing up to release a
work agent called France. [laughter]
[gasps] Francois would be a very good
name for a for an AI agent. I like that.
Uh, I do wonder what they're going to be
releasing. Has the SSI is going to
release. Is that complete rumor? Because
all all I said scale their research. So,
that just means they've done a bunch of
research. They have some sort of
architecture that they like, some sort
of flywheel, and they're going to like
use more compute. And so that's why
they're raising money. I don't think
they said like and we're going to
release it publicly.
>> Yeah.
>> But everyone's thinking like probably
still LLM or something different. No one
really knows.
>> Yeah. I mean I think still broadly like
generally
>> post god like next [clears throat]
level. There are levels to vague
posting. When you live a vague life just
like your entire life is vagory.
Anyway, uh, in other news, recursive
super intelligence signs a $410 compute
[laughter] deal with Amazon.
So funny.
And it's in the TechCrunch. It's in the
It's in the [laughter] the the header,
too. Of course, that is a typo. Uh, it
says recursive super intelligence signs
410 million million dollar compute deal
with Amazon. Congratulations to
recursive super intelligence. Throwing
safety out the window. That should be
the that should be the uh the tagline
because there's already safe super
intelligence but we're just doing
recursive super intelligence over here.
Um but of course the company is doing
very well. They emerged from stealth in
May with 650 million in funding focused
on building open-ended self-improving
systems and potentially compute
intensive approach to AI research. This
multi-year deal is meant to provide
flexibility as the company looks to
scale up those systems. Uh, Recursive's
$410 million outlay represents the bulk
of the company's fundraising to date,
but on a call with TechCrunch, uh,
>> hey, hey, they still have a couple
hundred million left over.
>> Founder and CEO Richard Socher
emphasized that he expected it to be the
first of many such deals. So, is this I
feel like normally when you see a like a
compute deal signed, it's always like
more complicated than just like we're
buying this expensive thing. It's
usually like we're we're paying that.
I'm like it's we we used to be so like
anti- circular deal that now I just have
come to I've been so normalized by them
that I expect them every time and I'm
like wait
>> this is just there's no circularity
here. I would have expected changing
hands.
>> Yeah. Like Amazon's investing in you and
you're buying tranium and racking it in
AWS doing new campus and they're
investing and this and that and you're
investing in them. Uh instead it just
seems like it's a pretty vanilla deal.
It's like they're just buying a lot of
compute from Amazon. Great.
>> Seems like it.
>> Well, good luck to them. very excited
for what they're launching. Um,
>> yeah. Uh, Jason, [clears throat] VP of
startups and VC at AWS, says part of the
agreement is that we're going to
co-develop him for a purpose built for
these types of companies. So,
>> fingers crossed, but it seems like we
could get some some circularity.
[laughter]
Yeah, let's hope so. Uh, let me tell you
about Railway. Railway is the all-in-one
intelligent cloud provider. Use your
favorite agent to deploy web app
serveres and more while Railway
automatically takes care of scaling,
monitoring, and security.
Fingers crossed. [laughter]
Well,
well, here's here's a deal that's
somewhat circular. We got Nvidia
revealed as a tenant for a $50 billion
data center that will use its chips. So,
they're the tenant of the data center
that uses its chips. We'll talk to Tate
Kim about this. Uh CEO Jensen uh Wong
deploys balance sheet to backs stop
growth of AI computing market. Nvidia
has signed leases worth up to $50
billion for a massive Texas data center.
That's very very big. That's very very
big for a single site. Uh a previously
undisclosed commitment that shines a new
spotlight on the chips on the chip
group's growing role in financing AI.
The nearly $5 trillion company is
leasing the entire gig 1 gigawatt
facility that developer Hut 8 is
building which will house hundreds of
thousands of Nvidia graphics processing
units. So you have to imagine that once
they have these they serve something or
wind up selling them. Like these things
change hands so many times there's a lot
of different ways that this could play
out ultimately. Um but in the uh Can we
pull up the Nvidia chart? Yeah, there we
go. Nvidia,
>> big candle today, up 3%, 5.17 trillion.
Let's take a look at Apple
>> 4.99. They crossed five today. Uh
they're down a little bit since they
since they beat breached that, but
they're neck and neck. Uh Google is
sitting at
>> Apple running the do nothing win
strategy. Yeah. Jensen doing thousands
of deals.
>> They didn't even sign the open letter.
Uh there are three companies that still
I I believe still haven't uh signed the
open letter and
>> only three companies on the entire
[laughter] surface of the earth.
>> There are three there are three major
companies that haven't signed that
Nvidia open letter about uh banning open
source uh and or not banning open
source. Amazon, Apple and Anthropic.
Anthropic put out a uh uh a post
yesterday very very clear response sort
of outlining their view on open source
their stance. Apple and Amazon haven't
signed and they both have like very
physical elements in the world in the
sense that they're not uh they're sort
of unsloppable like you you can't vibe
code an Amazon warehouse. You can't vibe
code an iPhone. There are threats to
those businesses of course and of course
Apple should benefit from open source
and so should Amazon because they'll be
able to serve open models across AWS.
But it's just potentially interesting. I
think the Apple standing it standing
back is more just like look we're not
jumping on with this crazy open letter
that everyone is signing like we just
have our own brand. We're thinking
different. We're doing
>> well and based on other Apple AI
timelines I would expect them to sign it
in maybe a year or two
>> potentially. These glasses have have
changed you. They turned you a new
beast. Uh let me let me run through the
the three anthropic proposals because uh
it's an important response. So Dario
Amade anthropic CEO uh responded
directly to that letter summarizing uh
supporting openweight models uh that
circulated over the weekend. So he makes
three claims just to sort of clarify
things that I think are important. One
he says anthropic has never advocated
for a ban on openweight models. Now that
that's a blanket ban. There's obviously
like defining what a ban is and what an
openw weight model, what a distilled
model, what a foreign model is. These
things all matter. But he has he has
come out and said look, we never
advocated for a total ban on openweight
models. Uh two, he says uh undergirling
all of this is the US must beat
authoritarian governments in the AI
race. He points to China, but he
identifies any authoritarian government
if they get really powerful AI, they'll
come over here and steamroll us and you
won't be free to do whatever you want to
do in America. Uh three powerful AI
models may be misused to carry out cyber
attacks or biological attacks. There are
there are risks to having really really
powerful uh AI opensource systems just
running around. So he's worried about
those three things clarifying those
three points. But he makes three uh
recommended actions. He makes three
proposals. Uh first he says uh let's
continue to sanction chips. Let's not
sell chips to China. He says we should
not sell powerful chips or chipmaking
equipment to China. So this has been
debated for years like going back to the
Biden chip uh controls. Um everyone
knows every different angle on this uh
the basics. I mean there is a pretty
good argument for chip controls. Uh even
on purely geoeconomic competitive
grounds like even if you don't believe
in the the the risk of authoritarian
governments having powerful AI even if
you just think it's like you know fancy
autocomplete it's like well it's the
engine of our economy and if you can
slow down arrival economy that's
beneficial to you right? Um and so and
there also seems to be basically
unlimited demand for chips in America.
So uh by restricting sales to China that
shouldn't actually hurt American chip
companies all that much. Uh but yes,
>> well they just like the their argument
would be we fully lose the Chinese
>> market. Yeah. Which is
>> the second largest Yeah.
>> computing market in the world. No.
>> Right. So So I think um but but you're
the counterpoint to that is you were
going to lose it anyways.
>> Yeah. Um and a lot of that it stems from
the fact that chi China has been
building an indigenous chip supply for
decades. We've talked about going back
to uh a whole bunch of their you know
state-led statef funded chip and fab
processes. They've always been uh a few
years behind. Uh and so maintaining that
gap all else equal is an advantage for
the United States. Uh the second point
Dario makes is he says we should crack
down on industrialcale distillation
operations. Uh this seems totally
reasonable. companies can set their
terms of service and they have a right
to maintain intellectual property uh
with proper legal consequences for
violations. Anthropic's been fighting
distillation attacks, but according to
them, it's not that effective. Daario
proposes policy interventions to deter
this behavior. And this is where I'm
still not clear on what where that goes
next. Like what is the correct policy
intervention? There's a like policy
intervention is a very very broad thing.
It can mean anything from like a tax, a
tariff, a fine, uh a sternly worded
letter, uh not getting invited to a golf
tournament. Like there's so many
different things that policy like covers
these days, right? Um where where does
this actually go? He says he doesn't
want a blanket ban on openweight models,
but it does seem like one possible
policy intervention would be to sort of
like ban restrict or pressure open
weights models that can be reasonably
shown to have been distilled. So if
there's someone who's just a perfect
distillation, it just gets it just
doesn't quite feel right. It's hard to
quantify these things. We don't have a
binary where you run some sort of
algorithm and you say, "Yes, this was
distilled." Because you can distill, you
know, half on Opus 5 and then throw in a
little GPT 5.6 and then mix in some some
mistrol and like just be distilling from
all over the place. Fine-tune stuff,
change the flavor, change the RL
environment. There's so many different
pieces of it. And Tyler, you were making
a point about uh Tinker or
>> Yeah. So, so the the Inkling model from
Thing Machines like it used some synthet
synthetic data that was created with uh
I think Kimmy K2.5.
>> Yes.
>> So like I does that count as like
distillation like probably not when
people usually talk about it but like it
definitely benefited from Chinese open
source models.
>> Yeah. So I wouldn't call that downstream
of
>> Yeah. I wouldn't call that industrial
scale distillation. Yeah.
>> There is like some big gray area where
like how do you actually define these
things?
>> Yes. And so defining that is going to be
what that's going to be the conversation
that plays out in in DC like behind the
scenes on the basis of this and that's
where the actual negotiation is going to
happen between uh you know the the
position of Nvidia and everyone that
signed the letter versus the position of
Enthropic and everyone who didn't sign
the letter. They're going to sort of
decide okay well if you can prove this
this and this and you can show us that
your API was getting hit by these
different things and you have a really
solid report of what happened and then
the model also you know sort of you know
checks these boxes quantitatively when
we do this eval then maybe we will
pressure it and then what does that
actually mean? Um, you could go after
the lab that committed the distillation
attack with lawsuits, but that seems
really difficult given the international
nature of these attacks. So, we're sort
of back to where we started. Like, what
what can the government do that the lab
can't? Like, the lab should be looking
at every customer and saying, "Oh, this
seems like someone who's trying to
distill. They keep asking for basically
what looks like a lot of training data.
They they're not acting like a normal
user just being like, "Build me a
website." Okay. Third, he says, "All
sufficiently capable models, open and
closed, should go through mandatory
mandatory safety testing." So, this was
recently outlined by Dennis Hassabis
over at Google Deepind as well. And and
it seems like that the two companies are
in alignment on this in particular. Uh,
and it's a somewhat reasonable position.
Uh, although the risk is that small
companies who have safe models could
that aren't distilled could get tied up
in a review queue for years before they
can release. Like that would be very
very annoying if you're uh recursive
super intelligence for example and you
don't have a Washington DC office and
you're like hey we want to release our
new model and they're like yeah totally
like you got to go through the the the
the review process get in line and then
it's like every you know every trillion
dollar company is there with a ton of
lobbyists being like we'll review our
model first because we want to get out a
week before the the small startup and
that's the frustration of biotech the
FDA anything that goes through approval.
We've talked about this with the nuclear
stuff. Uh it gets very tricky and so you
want to avoid that and you don't want to
wind up slowing down innovation that's
happening on small scales and decreasing
competition. Dario does do a good job of
like acknowledging upfront that he says
it would protect a US AI companies from
competition, but that's never been my
goal with anything that he's saying
here. And so, uh it's still worth
working through what happens in a really
adversarial situation. Like what if a
foreign lab distills a bunch of frontier
models, they're the most aggressive.
They're just distilling everything. Then
they jump forward a bunch in capability.
Uh they get a bunch of smuggled chips.
They take all the restrictions off of
cyber, all the restrictions off of bio.
Uh and then they just drop the weights
on like a torrent or they put them up on
Hugging Face and Hugging Face is like
this is really crazy. No one likes this.
There's a lot of pressure to take it
down. I don't know. But it's out there.
Like what does the government actually
do? like the government probably
pressures or bans like hosting the
weights uh maybe serving the model you
maybe won't be able to run it in
American data centers you go to the
neocloud and say like hey this thing is
actually bad and I think people are
divided on this because they see the
current models not as actually dangerous
which is totally reasonable to assess
that yeah it's not that bad um but like
if there was a model that was like yeah
it's actually just like the killing
machine like I think most people would
be like yes I'm democratically voting to
not serve that because it's just like
it's an annoyance at at best and like
actually bad at worst.
>> And the other big question is like how
much compute do you actually need for it
to be dangerous, right?
>> Yeah, totally.
>> Is is uh like having some GPUs in the
back shed going to be enough. Maybe for
sufficiently advanced model, yes. Or do
you need access to a ton of racks? Yeah.
>> Ton of power. And then you do need to
work with
>> a Neocloud in that case. And as soon as
you're a US-based company with a real
data center with a bunch of NVL72s in
there, uh, you probably have
registration and, you know, all sorts of
just like business registrations where
the government can reach out to you and
say, "Hey, we're actually really worried
about this." Just like there are other
things you can't host in a data center.
There's all sorts of stuff that's
illegal, even just intellectual
property.
>> Yeah. Exactly. Yeah. That's it's uh
>> like you can't even just just because
you have a data center doesn't mean that
you can like take an open-source you
know uh
>> you can't you can't as a data center
>> oh yeah open source Marvel like they'll
be
>> or even even a you know a CRM company
can't knowingly support like a organized
cart global cartel that is like
trafficking narcotics right you have
you'd have to imagine like
>> uh that uh they have
>> they have to vi balances [laughter]
maybe.
>> So, uh, so, so, uh, what, what's
interesting is like what is the next
step of that? So, if there is a bad
model, uh, and and everyone agrees like,
okay, yeah, we got to not host this, not
distribute this, like yeah, the weights
are out there, people are trying to like
sort of run it a little bit. Uh, but
does it go offshore? Do we wind up in
like the crypto scenario where there's
like these offshore things and people
are using VPNs to get access to it? like
what level of aggression do you see from
the US government in that scenario? It
probably should be proportionate to like
the danger imposed by the model. Like if
it's just a model that's like that's
like annoying or like slightly IP
infringes, but like no one's really
being like I'm not I'm I'm canceling my
Disney subscription because this new
model will generate me Disney IP. Like
that's probably not like okay, put up a
crazy firewall. But if it is like the
ultimate hack machine that's like
stealing everyone's money from the
banks, then yeah, you are going to put
up the the firewall and sort of be much
more aggressive. So I think the response
will be in reaction to whatever the
power of the models are. But uh it'll be
interesting to go back and forth.
Anyway, all in all, the letter clarifies
a lot about the anthropic position. So I
think it's good that it it came out. Uh
but it's still worth working through the
game theory of like what happens down
the line. Policy interventions is all we
got here. And I think it's still too
generic at this point. I want to know
like what policy looks like. I want to
predict that. I want to understand uh
what's actually being proposed, what
people like, what people don't like. And
so I think we'll learn more about this
in the coming days.
>> Mark Zuckerberg is in the Wall Street
Journal opinion section with a new
piece. The AI future is for everyone. He
says, "The history of democracy and
economics has proved that centralized
power stifles human potential."
>> And uh it's quite long. go let you guys
read it, but let's head into the comment
section. Let's get a quick Let's get a
quick rea Let's get a quick reaction.
>> Uh this is the Wall Street Journal. I
think it'll be
>> um No, it it it looks relatively tame.
Um but yeah, making a you know, a clear
effort to position to to be the overtly
>> there was a white space for a guy
investing hundreds of billions of
dollars a year in AI that is like says,
"Hey, this is going to be really great
for everyone." Yeah. And I'm going to
help us get there.
>> It is It is interesting. I Facebook does
have some monopolies, but like the
competition for attention is constant
and there are always sources outside
like they've never had a full monopoly
on social media even with Tik Tok and
Snapchat and uh LinkedIn and Twitch and
YouTube and Netflix and the podcast feed
and SMS and iMessage. like there are so
many other platforms for disseminating
information like I I don't know I I it's
hard to jump straight to a critique here
but um the the key quote that Andrew
Curran pulled out was that he said in
most cases like cyber security the
history of open- source software has
shown that giving everyone full access
to powerful systems will be the best way
to protect safety and security over
time. So, he's firmly on the side of uh
democratizing powerful AI and uh he is
yet another one. Uh I imagine that they
that they signed the letter. I I've lost
track at this point, but you can imagine
that he did. Um anyway, thank you so
much for tuning in. The other piece of
news is that Apple is launching Apple
Upgrade next week, then iPhone, iPad,
Mac, and Apple Watch
leasing/subscription
program. Uh they said you will own
[laughter]
>> and you will be happy.
>> We're launching our new program. You
will own nothing and be happy.
>> Uh it's partnering with Clara to launch
in the United States at online and
retail stores. Uh it's now official.
Leasing prices start as low as $20 or
$17.99 per month for iPhone. Uh $11.99
for Apple Watch, $24.99 for Mac, and
$11.99 for iPad. So uh interesting. I
mean, a lot of people are saying this is
a direct reaction to uh increased prices
for memory, increased prices for
products. There was a time when an
iPhone was a couple hundred and there
were incentives to jump on a Verizon
plan and you sort of advertise the cost
over that. Those days are gone. Like
we're in the world of like a $2,000
iPhone. It's a significant
>> Same thing with our gongs for people
honestly.
>> You want a subscription gong?
>> No, I'm just saying there was a time
when a TVPN gong was $200. Yeah,
>> now it's in the tens of thousands of
dollars, right?
>> It's actually so expensive. Somebody a
friend of mine texted me and was like,
"Where do we get the gong?" Cuz I need a
gong. And I was like, I think you should
start small. And this is not like you're
you can't handle the big gong. I was
more saying that like there is a joy to
being on the hyonic treadmill of larger
gongs. Like you don't want to jump
straight to the biggest gong. You want
to start with a small gong
>> and work your way up.
>> Work your way up. Because every gong
that we've added has been so electric
when we get
>> I think it's time for a new one.
>> You want an even bigger gong or what?
>> Yeah, I want I want one that's hanging
from the rafters.
>> Leave us
>> five stars on Apple Podcast and Spotify.
>> Money never sleeps. You shouldn't
either. Call me.
>> Sign up for the newsletter at tvpn.com
and we will see you tomorrow at 11:00
a.m. Pacific. Goodbye.
>> Cheers.
>> Flashbang.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video provides a detailed discussion on the shifting dynamics of AI in the workforce, noting that companies are increasingly focusing on human-AI collaboration rather than just replacements. It covers Anthropic's recent policy proposals regarding open-source models and international security, discusses compute-related deals like the ones signed by Recursive Super Intelligence and Nvidia, and touches on various tech-related business news, including a viral marketing campaign by Black Sheep and Apple's new subscription program.
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