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Rahm Emanuel: Trump's Foreign Policy, China, Europe's Decline, Immigration & DSA vs Democrats

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Rahm Emanuel: Trump's Foreign Policy, China, Europe's Decline, Immigration & DSA vs Democrats

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1892 segments

0:00

All right, everybody. We are super

0:01

pleased to have Rahm Emmanuel join us

0:03

for the all-in interview today. He was

0:05

the senior adviser of Bill Clinton, last

0:07

president, reside over zero national

0:10

debt, and he was Obama's chief of staff,

0:13

mayor of Shytown, ambassador to my

0:15

favorite country to visit Japan uh under

0:18

President Biden. He hasn't made an

0:20

official announcement about his

0:21

presidential run in 2028, nor do I think

0:24

he's going to make an announcement here,

0:25

but he's been talking a lot about where

0:28

the country needs to go in a postTrump

0:30

world, specifically in 2028.

0:32

Freeberg and I are going to ask Rahm

0:35

about the most important topics facing

0:37

America today. the economy, inflation,

0:40

employment, surging national debt,

0:42

never- ending wars, the rise of

0:44

socialism, and sadly anti-semitism,

0:46

immigration, skilled and legal, and how

0:49

his positions have evolved over four

0:50

decades of service to America. Welcome

0:53

to the All-In Interview. Rahm Emanuel,

0:56

welcome, Rahm.

0:57

>> I'm Yeah.

0:59

>> Okay, there you go.

1:00

>> I didn't know that was the queue. I was

1:02

like waiting for that was felt like an

1:04

obituary. I was waiting for the rabbi to

1:06

get up. [laughter]

1:11

>> [music]

1:14

>> I'm going [music]

1:16

that introduction is the only one that

1:18

ever starts with Clinton. Usually they

1:21

start my career in Congress and so I

1:24

give you a lot of kudos for remembering

1:26

that I started as senior adviser to

1:28

President Clinton. So

1:30

>> well let's start with that. What did you

1:32

learn under Clinton and [laughter]

1:34

Obama? And you know, these two what I

1:37

would say are the last two sane

1:40

presidents we seem to have had who were

1:42

moderates. In my mind, I'm a moderate,

1:45

>> slightly left-leaning,

1:46

>> but uh these seem to have been two great

1:49

presidential runs that you were involved

1:50

in. What did you learn from each of

1:51

those individuals?

1:52

>> They have different skill sets. So,

1:54

let's also but they they had an outlook

1:56

of the world. They had an outlook of the

1:58

United States in the world. They had a

2:00

outlook of

2:01

kind of a progressive affirmative view

2:03

of government. I think they most

2:05

importantly, which I kind of remind

2:07

everybody, you can't have progressive

2:09

policies if people think that the

2:10

government can't run and organize a one

2:12

car parade. Not possible. They have to

2:14

have an affirmative view. And the last

2:16

time you've had a net positive was under

2:18

Bill Clinton. And it actually wasn't for

2:22

uh the balanced budget obviously helped,

2:23

but actually it shifts when he signs

2:26

welfare reform. And you can go back and

2:29

look at the data. Uh but to their skill

2:31

set, Bill Clinton was a unique person

2:35

who um in my view was able to integrate

2:40

in three-dimensional chess both policy,

2:43

politics and press [snorts] and

2:45

understood the presidency as a in a way

2:48

that uh Teddy Roosevelt had redefined

2:51

it. He was redefining it for the 21st

2:53

century and he really meant what he said

2:55

being a bridge there. And nobody was

2:58

better not just at giving a speech but

3:00

taking a policy being able to

3:03

communicate to carry people from where

3:06

they were to change and may not make

3:08

change threatening and then achieve the

3:10

objectives you wanted. That said,

3:13

President uh Obama in my own view uh

3:16

coming at the end or not the end but the

3:19

Iraq war etc

3:22

understood that this was a different

3:24

president both the end of the Iraq war

3:26

or towards the end and the financial

3:29

meltdown that we were at a pivotal

3:32

moment and a transitional moment for

3:34

America and I do think you know look

3:37

every president gets judged what's the

3:39

world you inherited

3:41

what is the world you leave behind. And

3:44

sometimes the harshest critics of both

3:45

Obama and Clinton come from the left,

3:47

not the right. And I said, "Is it the

3:49

peace or the prosperity you don't like

3:51

most?" Because I'll I'll address it. Was

3:54

it

3:55

>> the fact that post Reagan, Clinton's

3:57

economy grew the most, jobs grew the

3:59

most, and income disparity shrunk the

4:01

most? And people were calling it the uni

4:04

power that no country both economically,

4:07

politically, militarily had as the power

4:09

the United States had. Now we can get

4:11

back to what happened there. Uh and then

4:14

I think in the same way uh the left

4:18

criticizes Obama for being kind of uh

4:20

tepid and you know he hires a country

4:23

that's near a depression known as the

4:25

great recession but it was actually

4:26

getting close to a depression saves it

4:28

from that transitions to from losing

4:31

800,000 jobs to creating 200,000 jobs

4:34

and you know gets America out of uh two

4:38

wars uh continues obviously the war on

4:41

terror but repositions America in the

4:43

world to be a force for good. And I

4:46

learned how you, you know, it's not like

4:50

a to-do kit. There's no kind of there's

4:52

no to-do kit in the drawer of the

4:55

resolute desk, but the merging of

4:57

policy, politics, and uh I want to say

5:00

public relations, but communications.

5:03

>> Did Obama export American democracy as a

5:06

point of primary policy? And did that

5:09

lead to this world that we find

5:11

ourselves in today where there's this

5:13

pullback because a lot of what gets

5:15

exported

5:16

>> ends up being kind of one side of the

5:19

political spectrum, not the other. And

5:21

now we kind of seeing this what did we

5:23

do?

5:24

>> I made this point a long time ago. I

5:26

said it recently at the Aspen Security

5:28

Conference. So I'm now writing my next

5:30

op-ed on this the journal as a prelude

5:33

of a curtain raiser to the summit

5:37

uh by Xi and Trump. Mhm. I'm uh I'm

5:41

going to I'm labeling it the summit of

5:44

disruption.

5:46

Xi is largest export is not autos

5:49

electronics. It's the domestic dis

5:52

economic dysfunction of China. They're

5:54

crushing everybody other countries

5:56

manufacturing base industrial base

5:58

across the world. They have more cases

6:00

WTO cases than any other country and all

6:02

of them combined are against China.

6:04

Chile steel plant, Indonesia's garment

6:06

plant, Brazil's four burn furnaces. We

6:10

are exporting our domestic political and

6:12

cultural dysfunction. That is the two

6:16

superpowers are holding the world

6:18

hostage. One through economic

6:20

dysfunction and domestic. I mean Xi

6:23

refuses to deal with the obviously the

6:26

real estate bubble popping a consumer

6:28

that's flat on their back and an

6:30

industrial uh base that makes no

6:32

rational sense. And so they're I mean

6:34

literally their as an example their auto

6:36

industry

6:38

is now exporting more cars and their

6:40

profits are down 20%.

6:42

>> Right?

6:43

>> We I mean by uh through Trump you can

6:46

look at what he's doing in Brazil 9 days

6:48

before the German election meeting with

6:50

the neo-Nazi party the AFD there was

6:53

race tensions uh in Great Britain. We

6:55

seem to we want to exacerbate them. We

6:57

are literally

6:59

exporting both political and cultural

7:02

dysfunction at our home onto the world.

7:05

Uh now I happen to think this president

7:07

stylistically

7:09

likes to punch down and kiss up to Putin

7:11

and Xi, but that's a stylistic point.

7:13

But that's what the two superpowers,

7:15

they don't seem to have managed their

7:17

internal and now they're exporting it on

7:20

the rest of the world as a a dumping

7:22

ground for their domestic problems. I

7:25

happen to think coming back from Japan

7:27

etc. that rather than have tariffs we

7:30

should have an economic block so all of

7:32

us together can withstand China to

7:35

actually organize not only that economic

7:37

block but then kind of other pe uh meet

7:40

them in the marketplace. That's how we

7:43

you know win friends and influence

7:44

enemies.

7:45

>> Yeah. Is that a different view than the

7:48

Obama era notion that we should be

7:50

exporting

7:52

American culture, American democracy, I

7:55

think was the framing. And that then

7:58

opened the floodgates to exporting our

8:00

culture wars. And then our culture wars

8:02

became this kind of battleground where

8:05

there's like transgender theater in

8:07

Africa and like things, right? All of

8:10

this stuff.

8:11

>> No, I don't think that's what opened the

8:13

door. Uh, look, David, I think the

8:16

United States of America, like every

8:17

country, has four tools in their

8:21

national security toolbox.

8:25

One is military power,

8:28

second is political persuasion,

8:31

third is economic statecraftraft, and

8:33

fourth is cultural attraction.

8:36

And you're saying that, I mean, I think

8:38

America's culture large, not just

8:41

Hollywood. Um,

8:44

the American brand is a cultural

8:46

attraction or was. I actually think this

8:48

president has hurt the American brand,

8:50

our economic state craft, our market,

8:54

our technology, our universities and

8:56

research. Uh, uh, national labs that is

9:00

a e piece of our economic state craft is

9:04

a piece of our national security and our

9:06

ability.

9:08

You know, there was a great story the

9:09

other day by David Graham, but

9:11

gentlemen, only the United States could

9:12

get Russia and Ukraine around the table.

9:14

There is no other world power. Our

9:17

political persuasion could to do that is

9:20

an asset in our national security

9:22

toolbox. If you wanted to do the reason

9:24

I laid out in my speech in the Middle

9:25

East in Israel, the 23 state solution,

9:28

China, Russia or Europe cannot do that.

9:31

Only we can do that. Now, we have a

9:33

massive polit political military power.

9:36

each uh I happen to think it's not

9:38

prepared for the future. That's on both

9:40

parties. I was also present at one at

9:44

them. I think we got so enamored with

9:46

the war on terror we lost sight of the

9:48

trans transformation that was happening

9:50

on the battlefield and the technologies.

9:51

You can see that in the drone area as an

9:53

example. Neither Iran or Ukraine have a

9:56

navy and they both control waterways

9:58

near their fronts. Tells you everything

10:00

you need to know that you're not

10:01

fighting two wars, you're fighting two

10:03

different types of wars and we got to

10:05

get ready for that. So to me, this also

10:08

is a slightly sickness of all you guys

10:11

in media, which is where do we point the

10:13

blame? I don't think Obama representing

10:16

our cultural attractions around the

10:18

globe. I do think America being popular

10:21

around the globe is a political asset

10:23

that then you use. Now that America's

10:25

brand under Trump is in the toilet, that

10:28

actually hurts America and its political

10:30

power, its economic state crap, and its

10:32

military capabilities.

10:34

Simple. So I don't kind of say, you

10:36

know, I don't think that we were

10:40

exporting those cultural things and

10:42

therefore that's where this problem

10:43

came. I don't that's not how I see the

10:45

point of origin or what has happened

10:47

here.

10:48

>> Fair enough. Can I just ask one thing on

10:49

China? So China's been historically

10:52

>> It's your podcast. You can ask whatever

10:54

you want. It's whether I It's what it's

10:55

whether I answer it.

10:56

>> Well, I'm just here for Jason at his

10:59

pleasure. But um [laughter]

11:01

like so

11:02

>> you're doing fine, sweetie. Keep

11:04

>> that that's true for both of us.

11:05

>> Okay. Well, thanks. Um Jason's going to

11:07

have me back. Okay. So, as as I look at

11:10

China, historically, it's been about

11:11

this manufacturing base, this energy

11:13

production capacity, right? I often

11:15

reference they're on their way to 8

11:17

terowatt of electricity production.

11:19

We're kind of sitting around one,

11:21

hovering around one, finding it very

11:23

hard to get to two by 2040. So, China's

11:27

got this massive amount of of energy

11:29

that they can use to power electrified

11:31

things. They've got 20 times the

11:33

manufacturing square footage as the US,

11:35

and much of it is automated. But now

11:37

with AI and open sourcing AI, not only

11:41

is China kind of dampening the capacity

11:44

to compete in manufacturing, making

11:47

molecules, making pharmaceuticals,

11:49

making materials, now we're seeing them

11:51

effectively eliminate the capacity to

11:53

compete in knowledge, services, and IP.

11:56

And this has really been the heart of

11:57

the US economy, at least for the last 30

11:59

years, probably going back even further.

12:01

But as we shifted to a more kind of

12:03

global trade oriented economy and we

12:05

allowed manufacturing to move to China

12:07

and elsewhere, we focused on this kind

12:09

of knowledge and services base. Do you

12:12

think that we have a response against

12:14

China today with how we're positioned

12:17

economically and what's going on with

12:18

AI? And this is the thing I worry a lot

12:20

about in this China US conflict is we're

12:22

all still still looking at the last 30

12:24

years as opposed to thinking about what

12:26

the next 20 years look like in a world

12:28

of kind of AI commoditization of all the

12:31

things that American economy has been

12:33

powered by. one uh so let's step back

12:37

the way I see it is

12:40

we got ci comes to power

12:44

and

12:46

we

12:47

buy into this win-win

12:51

stuff that he's selling

12:53

and it was never a win-win

12:56

China wants everybody dependent on China

12:59

and them independent of you

13:02

that is their theory of the case. You

13:04

our markets are going to be so big and

13:06

important you can't do anything about

13:08

it. You're going to be dependent your

13:10

economy on our markets. We're going to

13:12

leverage that to then destroy,

13:14

manipulate, and control your

13:16

sovereignty. And we'll be independent of

13:18

you. We don't need your market. And

13:20

we'll have multiple. If you give us

13:22

barley, we're going to have five other

13:23

people give up. Look at the soybeans

13:25

case. The United States,

13:28

we'll cut off your soybeans. We got

13:29

Brazil and Argentina soybeans. So they

13:31

have duplicity in the system. So they

13:34

have maximum latitude with minimum for

13:36

us or anybody else. Second, I take a

13:40

lesson out of uh

13:43

co

13:45

and I think this is illustrative of

13:46

their plan and how we have to get smart.

13:49

We have to learn from our mistakes. You

13:51

can't ignore them. You should look and

13:53

I'm going to get back to your software

13:54

piece. But in co

13:58

gene notices in operation of warp speed

14:02

that within 12 months 14 whatever United

14:05

States develops a vaccine that has a 90

14:07

plus% efficacy.

14:10

China takes 18 19 months and their

14:13

efficacy is in the 60%.

14:18

And we know for a fact that a lot of

14:20

Chinese leaders were not taking the

14:22

Chinese vaccine but they were end up

14:24

taking quietly fizer madna etc. And they

14:28

couldn't export this vaccine. Nobody in

14:30

the third world want that's a huge

14:31

opportunity for America. We squander it

14:34

on the political side the economic side

14:36

the cultural side

14:39

winning quote unquote the global side.

14:43

Second, Xi makes a decision that will

14:45

never happen again. Massively invests in

14:48

the life sciences and within 5 years,

14:52

China is not just nipping at our heels.

14:54

The Perry pursuit with the United States

14:55

in life sciences, a place that the

14:58

United States outside of one or two

14:59

examples in Europe dominated.

15:02

Now again, I'm going to take a shot at

15:05

Trump. Every budget he's proposed a 40%

15:08

cut in NIH.

15:10

Every budget. and the Republicans face

15:12

off and allow 15%. You're not going to

15:14

cut NIH in your way to American

15:17

leadership.

15:18

There's a pancreatic drug on the market.

15:21

It came from NIH funding and it's

15:24

actually now looking like it will

15:25

actually address three or four other

15:27

cancers.

15:28

The NIH, the National Science

15:30

Foundation, the DARPA are and America's

15:33

national labs and our national

15:34

universities are our crown jewel. And

15:37

what are we doing? We have an

15:38

administration declaring war and

15:41

actually involved in unilateral

15:42

disarmament.

15:44

Now software and manufacturing we are

15:48

dominant in software and in those tech

15:50

spaces. It doesn't we shouldn't think

15:53

it's either software or manufacturing.

15:55

It's both. We allowed one to atrophy

15:58

everybody. We allowed a

15:59

commercialization of our national

16:00

security. The business round table, the

16:03

chamber of commerce

16:04

way over influenced our national

16:06

security visa v China when we saw

16:08

industry by industry, supply chain by

16:11

supply chain move offshore and America

16:14

economy kept getting vulnerable

16:16

and that's on everybody

16:20

everybody.

16:21

And the other piece of it is so what we

16:24

need to do what's the next 20 years one

16:26

aggregate Australia, Japan, South Korea,

16:28

Taiwan, EU, friends in Latin America and

16:32

get more friends. Don't declare war on

16:34

Brazil. It's a big economy in the

16:35

region. Make it an economic block

16:40

because standing together makes China

16:42

isolated. Isolate the isolator. then use

16:46

that time of a block not our unilateral

16:49

actions but in an economic block where

16:51

we're the dominant player to organize

16:53

our research and our capacity

16:57

to then build up now example using the

17:00

defense industry

17:04

United States again flatfooted but don't

17:07

underestimate the United States

17:10

new technology

17:12

entrepreneurs

17:14

venture capital, the DARPA research arm

17:17

and the United States ability to deploy.

17:19

You give us 5 years and our capacity of

17:22

that incredible system will produce as

17:26

long as we don't light let Rathon

17:29

General Dynamics to kill it and the

17:32

Pentagon to nurture it. But we have to

17:35

use the time of an economic block to

17:37

stand up what we have allowed to atrophy

17:40

and then to organize that block to

17:43

confront China and then China and North

17:45

Korea and Iran

17:48

and Russia. We isolate them. And right

17:51

now I got to be honest, the president

17:52

has isolated America at America's

17:55

vulnerability. So that's how I look at

17:57

the next 20.

17:58

>> Yeah. And where do the Middle East

17:59

nations fit into that equation? Are they

18:00

part of the block? And

18:01

>> Sure, David. I would say this. There's

18:03

three trends going on in the Middle

18:04

East. Step back from the news of the

18:07

straight of Hammoose.

18:10

There's three or four trends

18:13

that we then aggregate. And one of the

18:15

reasons I laid out what I laid out in

18:18

Israel

18:21

is a way that would isolate Iran. It

18:25

would be a good day for Israel security,

18:27

a good day for America's leadership, and

18:28

a good day for American allies in the

18:30

Middle East. The UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait

18:34

are staying with kind of the United

18:37

States.

18:39

Saudi Arabia, Egypt,

18:41

and Jordan in that first list. Saudi

18:44

Arabia, Egypt, Pakistan, Turkey, and

18:47

Qatar

18:49

look like they're hedging.

18:51

They know they're reliant on America,

18:55

but they're not going to be so dependent

18:56

that they're vulnerable because of the

18:58

lack of the leadership in two wars, Iran

19:00

and Iraq. That's one trend. And one of

19:02

the reasons I mentioned the the speech,

19:05

the India, Middle East, Europe economic

19:08

corridor, it keeps everybody coming

19:10

closer to the United States economically

19:13

and also politically on the 23 states.

19:16

Second,

19:18

Iran invested

19:20

40 years and 40 billion plus in the what

19:24

Israel described as the octopus, the

19:26

proxies. [snorts] Hamas is degraded to

19:30

defeat. I thought there was a very good

19:32

article in the foreign affairs on this

19:33

point. Hezbollah is cornered. Damascus

19:37

and Syria has been lost. And the Iraqi

19:40

president seems to be making pretty good

19:42

headway, not all the way there, on

19:44

dealing with the militia.

19:46

That strategy of the proxies is so

19:49

different. And an example of that, you

19:51

have the Lebanese government working

19:53

with Israel on cornering Hezbollah and

19:56

degrading it. Syria,

19:59

a non-Assad president, is now talking to

20:02

Israel about a security agreement. That

20:05

would mean Jordan peace, Egypt peace,

20:08

Syria security agreement. The three

20:10

forces on the six- day war all came to

20:12

some resolution with Israel. as a fact

20:15

massively different strategically

20:17

different and Syria will be the outlaw

20:20

of a pipeline from Basera to their port

20:24

for energy around the straight of

20:25

Hermoose these are big opportunities so

20:28

when I say and then you obviously know

20:30

about semiconductor chips other pieces

20:32

of the economic piece but yes ma major

20:36

players in the Gulf would be part of

20:38

that economic block

20:40

>> let's um before we leave China talk a

20:42

little bit about Taiwan obviously

20:44

Trump administration's been talking

20:45

about, hey, in 2027 or 2029, China plans

20:48

on invading Taiwan, seizing the FABS,

20:52

etc. You worked under multiple

20:55

administrations where strategic

20:56

ambiguity was uh the process for

21:00

>> Yeah. And uh hey, we we support Taiwan

21:02

and China and just keep it super

21:04

ambiguous. The next president is

21:06

probably going to have to deal with

21:07

>> Actually, let me say this. We keep the

21:10

politics ambiguous, but as it relates to

21:13

using kinetic force to change the status

21:15

quo, we're not ambiguous.

21:17

>> Yeah. Unpack it.

21:17

>> There's Well, there's two different

21:19

parts to the Taiwan one, China policy.

21:22

That's a political statement.

21:24

And then nobody changes the status quo

21:27

through the use of force. Those are two

21:29

things.

21:30

>> Yeah. And is if uh

21:33

>> to prove that some just to prove that

21:34

somebody knows something about the

21:35

Taiwan act as well as policy. Yeah. Is

21:38

your thinking Taiwan will uh at some

21:40

point block and do a blockade? And how

21:44

would the next president or how should

21:46

the next president deal with that

21:47

circumstance? Should we be airlifting,

21:51

you know, all the equipment [laughter]

21:52

and people out of Taiwan or should we be

21:55

engaging in a blockade? This is, I

21:57

think, the escalation that maybe isn't

22:00

getting enough attention. And then we'll

22:01

go back to the Iran war. All right.

22:03

Well, Jason, let let me start here,

22:05

which is the consequence of the Iran

22:06

war.

22:10

China's watching the United States bog

22:12

down in the straight of Hermuz resources

22:14

allocated

22:16

their confrontation with Philippines has

22:19

picked up dramatically. Their economic,

22:21

military, and political isolation in

22:23

Japan much more aggressive. They're

22:26

doing things around the Saku Islands

22:28

that are much more aggressive. They

22:29

fired a live missile from a submarine in

22:33

and around Australia. and all our allies

22:36

in the region. Those are just some of I

22:38

could go on to Vietnam what they've done

22:40

and other things in the in the

22:42

Philippines being the most dramatic in

22:43

this South China Sea.

22:46

All they now China is sending a message

22:50

to all our allies Korea, Japan, India,

22:53

Australia, New Zealand, Singapore,

22:55

Philippines and Vietnam even are the

22:59

look your protector

23:03

no more I and the damage by this

23:06

administration moving not only resources

23:08

there attention political the one thing

23:10

I know you guys didn't ask but it's not

23:12

that you didn't ask but

23:14

when there's a for the White House

23:16

becomes a one ball juggler.

23:19

Okay, this White House is consumed with

23:21

what's going on and they have lost focus

23:25

on the Indo Pacific and it's quite

23:27

evident China has picked up their

23:29

aggression. Our long pole in the

23:31

Indoacific is Japan. They are under

23:34

economic pressure, political pressure,

23:36

military. Yes, we have just come to the

23:39

benefit of the yen, but we haven't done

23:42

and done anything in and around the Saku

23:44

Islands.

23:45

We haven't done anything as it relates

23:47

to the economic coercion China's

23:49

involved in

23:50

>> or the political China.

23:53

So, hold on.

23:55

>> So, you say 2027. I'm like I'm looking

23:57

at today and say you don't get you don't

23:59

get to wait. It's happening now. And

24:02

second is I happen to think the South

24:03

China Sea,

24:06

everybody talks about the Taiwan, and

24:08

I'll get to that. I think when you look

24:09

at the Philippines,

24:13

Vietnam, Malaysia, and you look at

24:15

China's behavior and the islands they're

24:17

creating again, uh, out of the shaw, out

24:20

of, you know, scar bro, etc. They aren't

24:23

waiting to try to say that the South

24:25

China Sea, in which they lost the court

24:26

case in 2016, is their backwater. And

24:30

Philippines is not Taiwan. It's a

24:32

country. It's a treaty ally. And it won

24:34

a 2016 case. And if we don't stand up

24:36

there, I don't before you get to Taiwan.

24:38

>> So it sounds

24:40

like you or think we should be

24:42

projecting some force there or putting

24:43

some troops there or some ships there

24:45

with our allies and we have to rebuild

24:47

those bridges.

24:48

>> We already have we already have troops

24:50

there and we already have resources. We

24:52

need to double them up and give

24:53

Philippines the confidence especially

24:54

given that President Marcos is taking

24:56

massive risks. Second,

25:01

in Taiwan, there are three strategies.

25:04

One idea is a quarantine,

25:08

two is invasion, and three, off of the

25:12

ch mainland China's coast are three

25:14

islands associated with Taiwan.

25:17

They got a rock, a butterfly, and a

25:19

tree, and a fisherman. That's it.

25:21

Now, there's three strategies. One is

25:23

the economic quarantine that just

25:25

suffocates Taiwan. One is an invasion

25:27

that tries to end this in 96 hours. And

25:29

the other one is they take over those

25:32

three islands and look at the world and

25:33

say, "You're going to start a war over

25:34

this." And they do their incremental

25:37

strategy. And if you look at China

25:40

and their history, they have done all

25:42

three of those historically with

25:45

different countries. We have to be

25:47

prepared for all three. one, they want a

25:51

96-hour, not a Ukraine example. We have

25:54

to say no, there's going to be 96 days

25:57

and have the resources, the capacity to

25:59

say this isn't going to be one and done

26:02

quick. Two, as it relates to quarantine,

26:04

we have to be able to show both through

26:07

our resources, which is why the

26:08

Philippines and the Okanana Islands a

26:10

quarantine can't work both air, naval,

26:14

otherwise you can't pull it off.

26:16

And then third is the little islands off

26:19

of Japan, off of China. How we have to

26:22

project

26:24

where before etc. Because remember

26:26

there's a security piece and there's a

26:28

deterrence piece and we need to be our

26:30

deterrence piece is very weakened right

26:31

now.

26:32

>> I want to get your opinion also on Japan

26:34

remilitarizing since you spent some time

26:36

there and their role in this because

26:38

that seems to be an ally that's

26:40

critically important as well as South

26:41

Korea. So let's go to Iran right after

26:44

we sort of sum up what's happening with

26:46

those two allies in in your estimation

26:48

how we should be courting them.

26:49

Obviously we just backs stop the yen uh

26:51

and we have a pretty solid relationship

26:53

with Japan.

26:54

>> Look Japan is the long pole of America's

26:57

Indopacific policy.

27:00

You look at the quad India Australia

27:03

Japan the United States. You look at the

27:05

trilateral the two of them that I worked

27:07

on between Korea Japan and the United

27:10

States. United States, Japan and the

27:12

Philippines.

27:13

The one constant is Japan. With the

27:15

United States, [snorts] our Okinawa, our

27:19

largest military footprint in the world

27:22

in a single country is in Japan. Europe,

27:25

the biggest by continent, but it's the

27:28

only place in the world there is a

27:29

aircraft carrier permanently based. So

27:32

militarily there, last five years in a

27:34

row, number one direct foreign investor,

27:36

United States, Japan. last five years in

27:38

a row number one direct in foreign

27:40

investor in the Japan the United States.

27:42

So from economic term you know I could

27:44

soft power or what's called the cultural

27:47

attraction you can look at what Japan's

27:49

done on baseball in the United States

27:51

between the two countries sharing a

27:52

cultural attraction. So I'll just go

27:54

through it and Japan now because the

27:57

prime minister had the audacity to say

27:58

publicly which we have tried for 30

28:00

years to get a Japanese prime minister

28:01

to say publicly that a move on Taiwan

28:04

would be a national security threat. She

28:06

says it, China goes crazy because she

28:08

said it publicly what she never wanted

28:10

it announced

28:12

for domestic reasons. They're now under

28:15

economic coercion, political coercion,

28:17

and military intimidation. You have to

28:19

get there to be uh and it's not just

28:24

and I'm not I'm happy the

28:26

administration's decided to support the

28:28

yen and intervention. I think there's a

28:30

lot of self-interest as it relates to

28:31

our treasuries and our dollars and the

28:33

pressure on our treasuries right now

28:34

because of the amount of debt we have.

28:37

But we have to do more from a military

28:41

training from uh when Russia and China

28:44

are doing exercises around the Saku

28:46

Islands that we're just not present for.

28:49

>> Can we go over to Europe for a minute

28:51

before we talk about

28:52

>> this? This is your show. Do whatever you

28:54

want.

28:54

>> Domestic issues. I do want to talk about

28:56

domestic issues, particularly the

28:58

economy and government spending's

29:00

interaction with the economy. But before

29:02

we do, there's an argument that Europe

29:04

is in this kind of state of irreversible

29:07

decay. And many have indicated points

29:11

that I think are counter to your kind of

29:14

characterization of the AFD party and

29:16

Germany being a neo-Nazi party that that

29:18

party is really a response to an open

29:21

border policy in Europe, an open

29:24

immigration policy that many would say

29:26

has really drained resources, has

29:29

diluted culture. Right.

29:31

>> David, for let me say one thing.

29:33

>> Yeah, please.

29:34

>> The German intelligence agency has the

29:36

AfD under watch.

29:38

forget whether I characterize it as a

29:40

neo-Nazi. You don't want to buy it.

29:41

>> Well, the US intelligence also had

29:43

Donald Trump under watch, right? So, I

29:45

mean, like a lot of ways a lot of ways

29:47

we could paint that, but yeah.

29:49

>> Yeah. Yeah. A lot of ways.

29:51

>> Yeah. But I'm not but I'm not I'm not

29:52

I'm not trying to be supportive of the

29:53

party. I'm trying to indicate that

29:55

there's a reaction to something going on

29:56

in Europe.

29:57

>> And I Yeah,

29:58

>> that there's no doubt about both on the

30:00

cultural side and economic side. There's

30:02

a reaction in Europe like there is here

30:03

in the United States. And so what's your

30:05

view on where Europe is, how immigration

30:07

played a role, and where things are

30:08

going in Europe?

30:09

>> Look, I think immigration

30:11

played a role in the same way that I

30:13

think economic stagnation played a role.

30:18

Um, and I think that uh,

30:21

and this is also somewhat as we get as

30:24

we transition closer to home before we

30:27

keep pushing Iran off and we'll do that.

30:29

Look,

30:31

you look at what has happened to incomes

30:34

where here in this country, we have a

30:36

greater share now of Americans living

30:39

paycheck to paycheck.

30:41

That has

30:42

>> almost 2/3 I think it's 63% of Americans

30:44

are

30:45

>> and so that has changed our politics and

30:48

it's changed our cultural landscape. So

30:51

do I think immigration plays a role?

30:53

100% it does play a role. I also think

30:57

stagnating incomes

30:59

when there's greater concentration not

31:01

just of wealth but greater concentration

31:03

where the political system is skewed

31:04

towards that wealth

31:07

all of that gets mixed into the stew.

31:09

There isn't a separate soup dish for

31:12

immigration separate from the dish on

31:16

you know incomes economic growth GDP

31:19

etc. I mean Europe. Here's my thing. I

31:21

think um the former Italian prime

31:25

minister Daggy wrote a good plan for the

31:28

EU. It is in our interest for a strong

31:32

robust

31:33

European

31:36

based economies to be technologically

31:40

and otherwise contributors to the to

31:43

Western uh system. If I'm right about a

31:46

block, you don't want hangarons. You

31:49

want people that are actually rowing.

31:51

And so I happen to believe Europe is

31:53

important for America's security,

31:55

important for our economic prosperity

31:56

most importantly. And we want them to be

31:59

competitive. I do think they have

32:02

participated in their own kind of

32:04

suffocation. Just on this point, Ron,

32:07

because this idea that Europe is

32:10

committing suicide, has kind of taken

32:12

form in the political narrative that's

32:15

being told.

32:16

>> Do you disagree with that?

32:18

>> I think I I think Europe has made policy

32:20

decisions that are not in the best

32:22

interest of the citizens of [laughter]

32:24

Europe.

32:25

>> Okay. Well, okay. Okay. So, whether I

32:27

you said that I said should

32:32

I get it, there's no difference. The

32:34

answer, the short answer is yes. You

32:36

agree?

32:36

>> Well, so so yeah. So let me ask the the

32:39

policies are arguably leftist policies.

32:42

They're policies that come from the

32:43

left. The the energy policy that gutted

32:47

Germany's nuclear power production and

32:50

made them dependent on Russian energy

32:53

was an insane set of policy decisions.

32:55

the idea that you will provide public

32:57

services and public welfare programs

32:59

while opening the borders to increase

33:00

the population for nonproductive people

33:03

to come in and then drain those

33:05

resources and then you know there's all

33:07

the cultural delution stuff which I

33:09

think but the idea that AFD and other

33:11

parties in Europe are arising out of

33:13

>> yeah

33:15

so you're saying open borders Freeberg

33:17

are a leftist policy for the last 40

33:20

years that's been a Republican policy to

33:22

let as many people into the country as

33:24

possible

33:25

labor.

33:25

>> Wait a second.

33:26

>> Yeah.

33:28

>> Is the party affiliation of Angela

33:30

Merkel a mystery to you, David?

33:32

>> Right.

33:33

>> Oh, no. Wait a second. You made this

33:35

broad broad brush attack about the left.

33:38

Angela Merkel came out of the Christian

33:40

Democrat, the conservatives. [laughter]

33:42

>> Right.

33:42

>> Two, it was her decision to cut the

33:44

Wait, no, wait a second. You're making a

33:46

point that is I I apologize. This will

33:48

be the last time I'm on your show.

33:50

Historically wrong.

33:51

>> That's fair enough.

33:52

>> Okay. Well, you're you're welcome to

33:54

tell me I'm wrong.

33:55

>> I'm Well, good. Put on your seat belt.

33:57

I'm enjoying this right now. It's like

33:59

30.

34:00

>> Okay. She She's from the CDU and when

34:04

the Syrian 1 million people that come

34:06

out of Syria,

34:07

>> she says we can handle this. That's a

34:10

that's from the Christian Democratic

34:12

Union, the conservative that element

34:15

Koh's party. Number two,

34:18

after

34:20

the nuclear facility in Japan

34:23

has its meltdown, she shuts down the

34:26

nuclear facilities and makes Germany

34:29

much more dependent on Russian energy

34:31

and we were the ones that warned against

34:32

it. So don't tell me this is from the

34:34

left. You're wrong.

34:37

>> There was a lot of anti-uclear rhetoric

34:39

coming for a long time. Just to be

34:40

clear,

34:41

>> that but but who's who's the chancellor

34:43

that said shut it down? Yeah, that was

34:47

>> No. Who?

34:48

>> Merkel. Merkel. Yes.

34:49

>> What party is she from?

34:50

>> The Christian Democrat union.

34:52

>> What what what part of the political

34:54

landscape, left or center? All right.

34:56

>> I would Well, nowadays I would say far

34:58

right, but

35:00

>> this is this [laughter] is crap.

35:02

>> How you would probably want to

35:03

characterize it, but I think the

35:05

argument

35:06

>> your basic argument. Let me let me now

35:08

that I've decided to score my Emanuel

35:10

points on you, let me back up.

35:12

>> And immigration and immigration, I

35:14

think. Yeah. Yeah, she did. She opened

35:16

the borders when there should have been

35:17

a more thoughtful pro. Look, the one

35:19

thing we know, I'm going to speak at

35:21

home about immigration. Look, people

35:24

don't like this order. They don't like

35:26

it on the border and they don't like it

35:27

on the streets of Minneapolis. And

35:29

Europe responded to the disorder,

35:31

whether that's in Stockholm, whether

35:33

that's in Berlin, that it seemed way out

35:36

of that. Europe is a very welcoming uh

35:39

continent, but it looked out totally out

35:42

of control. as you saw just this weekend

35:44

visa v Morocco.

35:46

Okay, so that's not as bright. But to

35:48

say that this is leftist is just not

35:51

accurate. Brussels on the economic front

35:55

while they were trying to regulate

35:57

suffocated innovation, entrepreneurship,

36:00

and competitiveness and they're trying

36:02

to correct that. out where I find fault

36:04

with us and the not us being uh through

36:08

the Trump administration is we are

36:10

exacerbating their tensions when they're

36:11

trying to deal with it. Germany today is

36:14

losing I I read a story and I got to

36:16

remember the number right.

36:19

I think it's 5 to 10,000 manufacturing

36:22

jobs a month to Chinese pressure. That

36:24

should be an opportunity for us to come

36:26

in and say let's work together and

36:28

confront China, not independently but

36:30

together. We're not doing that. We're

36:32

exa we're meeting our our vice president

36:34

nine days before election is meeting

36:35

with the AFD. When there's race problems

36:38

in Great Britain, we're exacerbating

36:40

them. When Maloney is dealing with some

36:42

stuff domestically, we attack her.

36:44

>> I'm sorry there Rahm. Why Why does Trump

36:47

do that?

36:48

>> I look I think this is

36:49

>> what's the strategy in his part if there

36:51

is any

36:52

>> Jason I I have said this before and I'm

36:55

going to repeat.

36:56

>> This president punches down and kisses

36:58

up. He has this fixation about Putin and

37:02

Xi admiring him as an equal and they

37:05

think he's a joke. They think he is not

37:09

their equal. America is their superior

37:12

but he is not their equal. He then takes

37:17

a Lula in Brazil

37:20

Mertz in or a Maloney or a Carney or a

37:24

Shine Bomb and he punches down because

37:26

he thinks if you're a middle power I'm

37:28

going to show how big and bad I am. He

37:30

is nothing but a bully and nobody's

37:31

buying it anymore. Everybody is looking

37:33

at the emperor wearing no clothes

37:36

>> which I guess would be a great point for

37:37

us to

37:37

>> There's no strategy to this. This is all

37:40

his insecurities.

37:41

>> He's just winging it. Okay. Um, so let's

37:44

do Iran and then go to the United

37:46

States.

37:46

>> I know. I was kind of feeling I was

37:48

feeling good beating up David there for

37:49

a second.

37:50

>> WELL, NO. I MEAN, [laughter]

37:51

THIS IS WHY WE'RE HERE. I will tell you

37:53

I will tell you if you showed me if you

37:54

showed me Angela Merkel's decisions on a

37:57

blank sheet of paper I would say that's

37:59

a leftist

38:00

>> program that's

38:02

>> so I would say like and I would say

38:04

across Europe across Europe there there

38:07

has been almost this like

38:10

>> I I don't know how to describe and what

38:12

I'm trying to understand is also the

38:13

psychology versus the foreign influence

38:15

on these suicidal policy decisions that

38:19

seem to be wrapped up in what prescribed

38:22

leftist notions that end up becoming

38:24

policy actions at scale and maybe

38:27

specifically you're talking about

38:28

immigration. So let's just go right at

38:30

im

38:30

>> economic decisions, energy decisions,

38:33

immigration decisions the core. So let's

38:35

talk defense decisions.

38:37

>> Okay, Rom, let's just tackle one thing

38:39

at a time. Immigration is a critically

38:42

important one. I think we've gone from

38:45

too hot, too cold. Uh Americans didn't

38:48

like an open border, as you pointed out,

38:50

chaos. They also hate the chaos just

38:52

according to surveys that ICE dragging

38:56

people, you know, out of their homes and

38:58

taking people who are picking

38:59

strawberries and, you know, just

39:01

basically beating the out of

39:03

Americans. Uh, and in some cases these,

39:05

I guess we've had four deaths and

39:07

they'll be adjudicated over time. But I

39:10

want to know what your solution is to

39:11

immigration. We had President Trump on

39:13

this podcast. He promised we'd put a

39:15

green card on every diploma of every

39:17

immigrant coming here and then they

39:19

reigged on that and they've been trying

39:22

to uh essentially kick out some of these

39:24

best and brightest we brought here which

39:26

has a negative impact on our ability to

39:29

build great companies in Silicon Valley

39:31

etc. Almost all the great entrepreneurs

39:33

we have are either immigrants or sons of

39:35

immigrants like my friend David Freeberg

39:37

here. So tell us what is Rahm Emanuel's

39:40

plan for immigration post this hot and

39:43

cold that we've had? Is there like a

39:45

Goldilock zone?

39:46

>> Yeah. Well, I actually bizarrely I'm

39:49

like the last optimist that you could

39:51

actually get a deal legislatively.

39:54

I start with two principles. We're a

39:57

nation of laws and a nation of

39:59

immigrants. And whatever we do on legal

40:01

and illegal has to be true to both.

40:04

Nobody likes people breaking the laws

40:06

and giving a pass. And I'm included.

40:08

You're looking at the guy for President

40:10

Clinton that designed Operation

40:12

Gatekeeper in San Diego, Operation

40:15

Safeguard in Ngalas, Arizona, did the

40:17

stuff in El Paso. I'm t my view. And

40:20

then also the resources at the

40:22

workplace. Tough borders, tough

40:24

enforcement.

40:26

There's a thing called the dignity act.

40:28

Has 23 Republicans, 23 Democrats in the

40:33

House.

40:35

It's true to being a nation of laws and

40:37

a nation of immigrants. Is it the bill

40:39

that Jason would write? No. Is it a bill

40:41

that Rahm Emanuel would write? No. But

40:44

does it achieve the goal? Yeah. So,

40:48

everybody else is hiding using rhetoric.

40:51

I endorsed it. Now, if you were doing

40:53

politics and think, you would stay away

40:55

from this and use just Pablo. But to me,

40:58

we got to get this problem behind us so

41:00

we have a future in front of us. You got

41:03

23 Republicans that signed on to certain

41:06

things around legal and certain things

41:07

around illegal. Does it tilt from the

41:10

first time when the Democrats were in

41:11

the majority a little more to the

41:12

Republican side? Yeah. They're now the

41:14

majority. Now, could you tilt it back to

41:18

the original? Yeah. And you need

41:19

leadership out of the White House, not

41:20

just coming on this show and President

41:22

Trump speaking Pabum and never really

41:24

following through like he did on

41:25

Dreamers, like he did on Green Card on

41:27

every diploma. it legal immigration

41:31

getting the best and the brightest.

41:33

Going back to our China example, all

41:34

these people that are leading leading

41:36

China's life sciences came out of the

41:38

United States, trained, worked in our

41:41

life sciences. We kicked them out like

41:43

fools.

41:45

Okay? So, to me, pass the dignity act.

41:50

Don't mess with it. And again, I want to

41:52

be clear. It is not the bill I would

41:54

write if I was sitting down at my

41:57

keyboard.

41:58

Does it accomplish the goal I set out?

42:01

Is it a true compromise? Yes. Do we

42:04

finally b do what we have to do at the

42:06

border? Correct. Does it finally do what

42:08

we have to do to attract the best of the

42:10

brightest? Yes.

42:13

And that to me would stop the civil war.

42:17

>> What about a point based system? It

42:18

seems like all the great high

42:20

functioning immigration uh countries in

42:22

the world have a point-based system. And

42:24

even Japan, um I just learned on my last

42:27

trip a couple weeks ago, they're going

42:29

to require you have to speak the

42:30

language fluently to get those jobs. And

42:33

there's so many people who want to go to

42:34

their great nation. They've kept it

42:36

pretty tight and uh they force people uh

42:39

to assimilate. So what's your views on

42:41

assimilation, speaking the language in

42:42

pointbased system?

42:44

>> Well, look,

42:45

>> any lessons there from Japan?

42:47

I think the best lesson for the United

42:49

States if I could,

42:51

but there's a there's lessons.

42:54

Now remember, because you're touching

42:56

something that's also both legal, etc.,

42:58

but it's also historic and cultural. I

43:01

don't think Japan is a perfect analogy.

43:03

No,

43:03

>> given it's an island.

43:06

I think if you're looking for something

43:08

analogous,

43:10

the two countries I would say that we

43:11

have a lot to learn on to emulate as

43:13

well as is both Canada that has somewhat

43:16

of a point system, their variation,

43:18

their signature on it, a Canadian

43:19

signature and Denmark.

43:23

And so if you're asking me,

43:26

and look,

43:29

Japan has 98%

43:34

uh homogeneous society, only like 3.7

43:37

million immigrants, and they think they

43:39

have an immigration problem. You look at

43:42

the United States on a dem on kind of

43:43

just a quantitative, it's like totally

43:46

different. So I I look at the Canadian

43:49

system. Well, how Canada because of our

43:52

system or our dysfunction is now

43:54

attracting what used to be the talent

43:58

that would come to America, the ability

43:59

to study in America.

44:02

I actually think the Canadian model, the

44:04

Danish model closer to where we get best

44:07

practices and lessons learned. The

44:09

dignity act does some of that. Now I'll

44:12

give you example. This is not about

44:14

immigration, but it's something I spoke

44:16

about when it came to affordability for

44:17

higher education.

44:19

I would let universities, colleges

44:22

across the United States go up, set a

44:24

goal, you can go up to 20% foreign

44:27

students

44:30

today. Some of them are six, some are

44:32

more. I don't care how you divide it

44:34

between your grad and undergrad. That's

44:36

up to you, yours.

44:38

But those students pay full play. They

44:41

pay full price.

44:43

It would subsidize our ability to get

44:45

American students uh get a three-year BA

44:48

rather than a four-year, saving mom and

44:51

dad a year's worth of tuition because

44:54

the foreign students pay full full boat

44:57

and they want the American brand. So,

45:01

and given that they came here to study,

45:02

they would more likely want to stay and

45:05

then start building this country

45:06

economically as you said from the

45:08

technology and other type of companies

45:10

across the United States. A lot of

45:12

immigrants and children of immigrants

45:15

came because of the university system

45:17

and that's a that is a political power

45:19

and persuasion and capacity the United

45:21

States has underinvested in. So I kind

45:24

of look and the short answer is Canada

45:26

and Denmark are the better uh examples.

45:29

The dignity act I don't want to sit here

45:31

and go through the bill with you and rip

45:32

it apart but a that does it. B, I want

45:37

to be very clear. If you control the

45:39

border,

45:41

you send a signal that people who break

45:43

the law don't get rewarded. And I I so

45:46

angry at our part, my party, not only

45:48

losing control of the border, but in the

45:50

2020 debate, raising your hand and

45:53

saying I'm going to give healthcare to

45:54

people that cross illegally

45:56

from a forget the immigration policy,

45:59

the value system. You have American

46:01

families suffocating under health care

46:04

costs.

46:06

Not everybody universally covered, but

46:08

may we're significantly well on our way

46:10

there. And you're talking about free

46:12

healthcare to having crossed the border

46:14

illegally at every level. That was

46:17

foolish by uh the party.

46:22

>> Free

46:24

[laughter]

46:25

Kenya. Jason, I'd like you to start

46:27

referring to him as David. Okay. A

46:29

little more. a little more damage on the

46:31

problem. We got a sax on Freeberg. So

46:33

you say I'm That's not That's your

46:35

problem. I just think Free I just

46:37

Freeberg is so insensitive to his and

46:40

we've clearly proved that David has a

46:42

lot of sensitivity on this show.

46:43

>> I I am very sensitive. [laughter]

46:46

>> I am I always tell people I'm probably

46:48

the the the last person to ever get

46:50

offended by anything, but

46:53

>> Jason always offends me off the bat. So

46:55

Ron, I will start by just a framing and

46:58

it's a contention I'd like you to

47:00

disagree with that

47:01

>> I disagree.

47:02

>> Yeah. Federal [laughter] debate club. So

47:05

no matter what I say, you are to

47:07

disagree. Okay.

47:09

>> Can we establish a fact Angela Merkel

47:11

came out of the CDU?

47:13

>> I I would establish a fact that I

47:14

[laughter] consider Angela Merkel a

47:16

leftist. But we'll

47:17

>> I mean it does speak to I think we'll

47:22

>> what defines each of these parties. I

47:23

mean, you were part of a party that

47:26

>> the Democrats, you know, in I think

47:28

their the peak moderate era that wanted

47:30

to balance the budget, that wanted the

47:32

border to be controlled and that wanted

47:34

to have, you know, globalism, you know,

47:36

and now that seems to be half Trump's. I

47:39

mean, it's hard to define these parties

47:40

anymore, especially with social.

47:41

>> That's why I think actually categories

47:43

like saying these are leftist policies

47:45

is actually all bro all wasted and

47:47

broken. But go ahead, David.

47:49

>> Yeah. No, because I mean even in the

47:50

Trump administration, we're taking

47:52

equity stakes in companies, which is

47:54

yeah,

47:54

>> not a typical free free market

47:56

conservative view. But let me just frame

47:58

this up. So I would argue that over the

48:00

last 30 years, where the government

48:02

spends more to try and make things more

48:05

accessible to American citizens, the

48:07

cost of those things goes up in a

48:09

disproportionate way. The average rate

48:11

of inflation in the last 30 years has

48:13

been 2.5%. But housing's gone up by at

48:16

least 5% a year on average, compounding.

48:19

Education over 6%, healthcare 5 1.5%.

48:23

And all three of these categories are

48:25

categories where the federal government

48:26

has launched programs to either

48:29

subsidize or make available these

48:31

categories of services to people through

48:34

promises. You are going to all have a

48:36

home. You are all going to have

48:37

education. You're going to all have

48:40

healthcare. And the more that the

48:42

government provides 300 billion a year

48:44

in housing support, $200 billion a year

48:45

in education, over a trillion dollars,

48:47

$2 trillion almost in healthcare, the

48:50

more things get more expensive. And so

48:52

is it really the role of the government

48:55

to provide these services or get the f

48:59

out of the way and let the market work?

49:01

Because in all the places where the

49:02

government hasn't launched services,

49:04

hasn't provided support, hasn't provided

49:07

loans like technology, energy, food,

49:11

consumer services, we've seen a net

49:13

decrease in total cost. And so deflation

49:16

actually works when you let markets

49:17

work. But when the government comes in

49:19

and tries to rally up markets to provide

49:22

more to more people, things simply get

49:24

more expensive.

49:25

>> Okay.

49:25

>> Tell tell me why I'm wrong.

49:27

>> You're wrong. And first of all, the GI

49:31

Bill was a government initiative.

49:35

Massive increase in housing and home

49:37

ownership in America. Would you have

49:39

recommended after World War II for those

49:41

who served overseas, no GI Bill because

49:43

the market will take care of your

49:44

housing needs? It also had an education

49:47

component. Number two, when you said we

49:49

don't have a we don't food costs went

49:52

down and government was involved, what

49:55

do you consider the agricultural bill

49:58

that subsidized growing of food in the

50:01

United States to big Agra?

50:02

>> Well, I know that bill very well, but we

50:04

we could debate that bill if you'd like,

50:06

but I can two you say we're not involved

50:08

in energy. Well, we have a tax write off

50:10

for drilling. We're involved in energy.

50:13

That's just not true.

50:14

>> You could make that case about

50:15

everything, Ron. Like, you could say we

50:16

touch everything. But our total dollar

50:18

spend, our total dollar spend is what

50:20

I'm talking about.

50:20

>> That that's why your analogies are wrong

50:24

and B that right now I happen to think

50:29

uh that the United States government and

50:32

there's a balance between

50:35

uh both the private sector and the

50:38

public sector. And this balance is

50:40

trying to when the forces and

50:42

concentration of both power and wealth

50:44

get too much you and I'm just having

50:47

opened up the Teddy Roosevelt library

50:49

etc. That was a redefinition of what the

50:52

government does to come to the aid of

50:53

those who are most vulner not just

50:55

vulnerable but vulnerable to the

50:57

concentration of power. Now to housing

51:02

there is where the government has messed

51:04

up and this is not on the national level

51:07

but on the local level it has made it

51:10

both when you get things like in San

51:12

Francisco like in New York

51:15

you have a concentration of a really do

51:18

an economy that's doing well but

51:21

restrictive laws as it relates to zoning

51:24

building permitting that drive up costs

51:27

not the only reason, but a contributing

51:29

a significantly contributing factor.

51:32

Now, I'm not mayor today,

51:34

[snorts] but if I was mayor of Chicago,

51:36

I would say, "Okay,

51:39

I'm going to put all our zoning laws,

51:41

all our building laws, and all our

51:43

permanent planning laws, and I'm going

51:45

to measure them up against Dallas,

51:47

Houston, and Phoenix. You tell me what

51:50

we have and why they don't have it, and

51:52

why we have it, and they don't have it.

51:54

And if you can't justify it, get it the

51:56

hell out of here.

51:58

I would also do things because I think

52:00

the biggest problem we have in housing

52:02

is firsttime home ownership

52:06

and that is a post financial 2008

52:11

meltdown. For whatever reason, the

52:14

market has gone on the high end and the

52:16

low end and the first time home

52:19

ownership is where we are stuck in a

52:21

sense of new construction. And I

52:24

actually do think that's a place where

52:25

both the public and private sector

52:27

together needs to address a problem that

52:30

has been now around for almost 20 years

52:32

and the private sector on their own

52:34

haven't fixed.

52:36

And so I don't agree with uh your

52:39

analogies and I do believe now there's

52:42

places where the government gets in its

52:43

own way and there's places in which it

52:45

should be targeted to incentivize the

52:47

private sector to address those

52:49

problems.

52:51

Now

52:52

I that's where I would go uh in

52:55

addressing that

52:56

>> do education like yeah go ahead.

52:58

>> Oh I was turning my attention there.

53:00

>> Okay. Uh now look

53:04

I spent

53:06

eight eight years and every day every

53:08

hour working fixing an education system

53:10

that was broken and when I was done

53:13

Stanford called it the single best Sean

53:15

rear in there at Stanford the single

53:18

best education system of the top 100. We

53:20

drove by example we drove our graduation

53:23

rates from 56 to 83%.

53:27

We drove our reading and math scores at

53:29

every one of the elementary levels. I'm

53:31

doing this by memory, so I could be

53:33

slightly wrong. It's in the report, but

53:35

we were six months ahead of our peers.

53:39

And trust me, that is not easy to

53:41

achieve. Now, I'm going to go to

53:43

Louisiana at the end of September

53:46

because it's the only state whose

53:47

reading and math scores have gone up to

53:49

pre-COVID level to find out what they're

53:50

doing. Like I went to Mississippi on the

53:53

higher ed on the elementary level. One

53:58

is we created K full day kindergarten,

54:00

free full day prek. I'm very big

54:03

believer in early childhood

54:05

in the elementary years.

54:08

Three things, universal accountability,

54:11

not just teachers, parents, principles,

54:13

and the schools.

54:15

Two,

54:17

reboot our teacher education and

54:19

training so it's constant, not just one

54:22

and done. And the teacher uh training

54:24

today is really flat.

54:27

Give the teachers the support so they

54:29

know what to do on the subjects they're

54:31

supposed to do. Constantly train them.

54:33

It's not and redo reboot the entire

54:37

teacher training program starting at our

54:39

colleges.

54:41

Three

54:42

is braid the resources together so

54:45

states and cities can meld it because

54:47

what happens on [snorts] the southside

54:50

or west side of Chicago or what happens

54:51

in our suburbs or what happens in some

54:53

of our best schools like North Side and

54:55

Payton just isn't the same students and

54:57

poor students need more resources but

55:00

accountability through the system. Now

55:02

fourth, nobody wants to talk about it.

55:04

Guess what? You got to be at this every

55:07

day. This is a 20-year project, not a

55:09

two two-year project. That's what

55:11

Mississippi and Louisiana showed us.

55:14

High school fundamental reform.

55:17

Elementary re stay with the uh the

55:20

fundamentals. High school,

55:23

we drove 50% of our kids, which was our

55:25

goal. We're graduating with college

55:27

credit on high school day.

55:30

I'd set a goal as if I decide to do

55:32

this. 100% of our kids will graduate

55:34

high school with college credit through

55:36

dual credit and dual enrollment with our

55:37

local community colleges of which are

55:39

1,200. Second, we're the only school

55:41

district in America that set this up and

55:43

I to make it a national requirement.

55:46

Nobody graduates and gets a high school

55:48

diploma without a showing a letter of

55:50

acceptance from a college, a community

55:52

college, a branch of the armed forces or

55:53

vocational school. Every child, not just

55:56

Jason, David, and Rams, has a plan. They

56:00

know where they're walking to when

56:02

they're walking on graduation day.

56:04

Universal post high school education. I

56:07

rec and now we hired a huge amount of

56:10

college careers in the city of Chicago,

56:13

but we accomplished 98% compliance with

56:15

it.

56:16

Third,

56:18

take $8 billion you're wasting on

56:20

detention centers at the ICE and

56:23

modernize our community college systems,

56:25

both the campuses, the curriculum, and

56:27

the relevancy it has to the industries

56:29

in and around.

56:31

Finally, fifth, higher education

56:36

20% foreign students. They're allowed up

56:38

to two identify 10% of the stuff that

56:42

you do pay for in complying with the

56:44

federal government. you keep a 100% of

56:47

those dollars.

56:50

Three,

56:52

if a child graduates with 20 college

56:54

credits from high school, that child is

56:57

uh open to a three-year BA, not a

57:00

four-year, saving mom and dad, the

57:02

equivalent of a full year of tuition.

57:05

Oxford and Cambridge do three-year BAS.

57:10

Second, if your income is below 200,000,

57:13

you're going to go to college for free.

57:17

fourth or third finally in that area if

57:20

your income's above 200,000 it does each

57:23

year doesn't go above inflation

57:26

that's what I would do on education get

57:29

kids minimum four years ideally three in

57:33

universal prek

57:35

return to the fundamentals stay at it

57:38

bring accountability and standards back

57:40

into the school system revamp our high

57:43

school years into college career Not

57:45

just diploma driven with two to three

57:47

examples. The best one I also did first

57:50

and only school district, first city to

57:52

do it. You got to be average in high

57:54

school. We made community college free.

57:57

The goal here is to take the high school

57:58

years when you lose students and the

58:00

community colleges and meld them so kids

58:03

are graduating high school with college

58:05

credit prepared for the next step in

58:07

their life. 80% of all the jobs require

58:11

some education, minimum of two years

58:12

post high school. And we've done nothing

58:14

to revamp our high school years since

58:16

Teddy Roosevelt. [snorts] That's kind of

58:19

top to bottom.

58:20

>> Yeah.

58:20

>> And it and no child, no student

58:24

of any income or background

58:27

is left out of that. You want to go to

58:29

college and then be an engineer, great.

58:31

You want to be a nurse, you want to be a

58:33

carpenter. As you pour more of these

58:35

dollars into the community colleges,

58:37

into the federal student loan program,

58:38

the administrative staff continues to

58:40

bloat. We've seen administrative staff

58:42

grow from 10% to 60% in the last 30

58:45

years as they've had no limits on

58:47

spending because the federal student

58:49

loan program doesn't provide a criteria

58:51

that says if your tuition costs too

58:53

much, if your school isn't that good,

58:55

etc., etc., we we restrict your access

58:57

to this loan program. The loan program

58:59

is so unrestricted that it provides a

59:01

fuel for the fire. Okay.

59:04

>> For cost. That is for cost.

59:05

>> Right. Okay. I just sat there and told

59:08

you what. Okay. Great. Now, let me ask

59:10

you.

59:12

>> You haven't addressed the fact that 50%

59:14

of our kids can't read at grade level.

59:16

>> You want to talk to me about Oh, no. No.

59:18

Wait a second. Wait a second, David. The

59:20

way you asked that question told me

59:21

where your priorities are.

59:23

>> Your priority is Okay. I want to talk

59:24

about student loan.

59:25

>> Higher education. Higher education. I'm

59:26

not I'm not talking about the I'm not

59:28

talking about um how do you GET TO

59:29

HIGHER EDUCATION? WELL, I get I get

59:32

you're not talking about it, but there's

59:33

a lot of parents sitting around the

59:34

kitchen table talking about it.

59:36

>> I'm talking about cost and higher

59:38

education. That's it. That's all I'm

59:39

talking about.

59:40

>> I just gave you a plan. Ask anybody that

59:42

gets on your show. I just gave you a

59:44

plan of how to control costs. None of it

59:46

dealt with the student loan program. It

59:48

dealt with the fact that we cut our nose

59:49

off despite our face by not letting

59:52

foreign students come in and pay full

59:53

price, which are squeezing our colleges.

59:55

You get up to 20%. You decide how you

59:58

want to do it. You can identify 10% of

60:00

the savings that you comply with federal

60:02

government. You keep 100% of the cost.

60:04

But here's what you're going to do

60:05

different. And to get that Wait, wait,

60:08

wait a second.

60:08

>> I get to This is the answer part to the

60:10

question part. Go for it. Yeah. Yeah.

60:11

>> Okay. You want to get to college?

60:15

>> Revamp what goes on in not only the

60:16

elementary years, but the high school

60:18

years. You know, when kids drop out of

60:20

college, David, third grade. That's when

60:22

they start dropping out. And when you

60:24

have 50% of your kids not reading at

60:25

grade level, college cost is not your

60:28

problem. We're going to compete against

60:30

China with 50% of our kids not reading.

60:33

I'm sorry, that's not how you beat a

60:35

country that's three times your size.

60:37

>> Yes, we need to fix we need to fix that

60:39

issue. But like just taking a zoom out

60:41

and and so my concern arises

60:44

>> kids drop out of college in third grade.

60:46

David,

60:46

>> I'm not Yeah, I'm not talking about

60:47

dropping out of college. I'm talking

60:48

about how much we spend on

60:49

administrative in colleges and

60:52

how much we've allowed it to inflate and

60:55

that ultimately leads to a cost and and

60:57

an an accessibility problem to higher

60:59

education. Rahm because as it gets to be

61:01

30 40 60 $80,000 a year for a kid to go

61:04

to school.

61:04

>> Two things

61:06

you are talking about costs that is a

61:09

problem to me. The problem is that we've

61:12

given up on 50% of our kids.

61:14

>> Given up a fair statement. It's a fair

61:16

statement. Okay, it what you identified

61:19

is a problem.

61:21

I'm identifying the problem. Number two,

61:24

in my view,

61:26

I have spent more time on the subject of

61:30

education. I wanted to be an early

61:31

childhood educator when I went to

61:33

college and I took a system that William

61:36

Bennett called the single worst in

61:37

America to where Shawn R and Stanford

61:40

called it the single best of the top 100

61:42

and it took everything of my soul to get

61:44

it there.

61:45

>> Yeah.

61:46

We need to take the high school years,

61:50

let alone the standards and

61:52

accountability in the elementary years,

61:53

and revamp them

61:56

as in the three things I talked about

61:58

that fit together. B average, community

62:00

college is free. 50% which I would set

62:03

as a goal is 100 have to graduate with

62:05

college credit under their belt. And

62:07

third, nobody gets a diploma that

62:10

doesn't tell us what they're doing next.

62:11

College, community college, branch of

62:12

the armed forces, certification school.

62:14

I'm not just about college. You're 500

62:17

to 600,000 electricians short just for

62:21

data centers. Broadband 150,000. You

62:24

can't build submarines because we don't

62:25

have pipe fitters and plumbers. Okay.

62:28

So, I'm You want to be a pipe fitter?

62:30

Great. You want to be a physician?

62:32

Great. You want to be a physical

62:34

therapist? Great. Have an education

62:36

system that actually reflects the

62:38

economy and skills that we need.

62:40

>> Yeah, that's a good point. And and and

62:41

my concern, Rahm, comes from since you

62:46

get the you make a lot of you make a lot

62:47

of great points and you make some that I

62:49

disagree with, but that's what we're all

62:50

about. And as I zoom out, I mean, I look

62:52

at our $7 trillion a year spend in the

62:55

federal government, 5 trillion a year in

62:56

revenue. We're 2 trillion short. We've

62:58

got 40 trillion in debt, 30 years at 5%.

63:01

That's 2 trillion a year in interest

63:02

expense. We have to figure out a way to

63:05

reconcile the fiscal condition of the

63:07

federal government to have a future for

63:09

our kids. And so for me, every

63:11

everything comes down to this like cost

63:13

model. And I'm like, where are we

63:14

spending money that we're inflating

63:16

costs and it doesn't make sense to do

63:17

it. So I have I have a slate. Look,

63:21

>> and by the way, Rahm, this was something

63:22

that Trump promised he would do with

63:25

Doge and other cuts and

63:28

it [clears throat] was it was all it was

63:29

all snake oil salesman. Look, I don't

63:34

accept redistribution

63:36

and I don't accept the corruption.

63:40

You can't have capitalism or economic

63:42

freedom with corruption as a as a

63:45

grounding principle. It's against the

63:46

rule of law which is key to capitalism

63:48

and economic freedom and redistribution

63:52

doesn't solve anything as it relates to

63:54

growth. I believe in five things that

63:57

are essential to grow the economy and

63:59

grow incomes and so people are no longer

64:01

living paycheck to paycheck.

64:04

One, everything we've just talked about

64:06

on education and training from prek to

64:08

BA. Two, the dignity act as I said as it

64:12

relates to immigration. Three, modernize

64:15

our energy system. Visav Texas is the

64:18

best example in the United States. And I

64:20

said that three, four,

64:24

10% levy on all predictive markets and

64:27

online sport gaming and it has to go to

64:29

the NIH, National Science Foundation,

64:31

and DARPA. double our dollars into

64:34

research. Fifth, a tax code that does

64:38

not reward wealth preservation, but

64:40

wealth creation. This tax code is an

64:43

abomination as it relates to economic

64:45

freedom. Control the overall spending

64:49

for the next 5 years so it can't grow

64:52

and start making some tough choices

64:53

within the system. I told you, you don't

64:56

support it. I would not spend $38

64:58

billion on detention centers nobody

65:00

wants. I would take eight of it as a

65:03

starting point and modernize the,200

65:05

community colleges throughout the

65:06

country that are the economic backbone

65:09

of Lacrosse, Wisconsin, Spartanberg,

65:11

South Carolina. Go down the list. I've

65:15

seen it firsthand because we did it in

65:17

our community colleges. The World Bank

65:18

called it the best college career

65:20

program in America. That to me is what

65:22

we should be doing. And we're going to

65:23

make some tough choices. I don't believe

65:25

in sending ICE agents out with $50,000

65:28

bonuses when I'd rather give a bonus to

65:30

signing up to be a carpenter

65:31

electrician. That's more important to

65:33

America's future than some mass man

65:35

running around the streets of

65:36

Minneapolis. What's the politics of

65:38

this? How do you get Congress to come

65:39

along? Because for years, we've heard a

65:42

lot of points from both parties about we

65:44

are going to rationalize spending. We

65:45

are going to do the right thing. We are

65:47

going to get ourselves out of the

65:48

deficit. We are going to make things

65:50

economically viable for the United

65:51

States for people are going to advance.

65:53

Everyone's got great ideas, but when

65:54

push comes to shove, representatives of

65:57

their district or of their state end up

65:59

saying, "I'm going to give more to my

66:00

people in order to get reelected." And

66:01

the budget goes up and up and up.

66:03

>> David, David, here's the thing which is

66:06

unfortunate about American politics.

66:09

>> As a person that coined the term never

66:11

allow a good crisis to go to waste.

66:14

It's the opportunity to do big thing.

66:17

Look, I believe the surplus created

66:19

sloppiness that Bill Clinton left. We

66:22

try to fight two wars with two tax cuts.

66:24

Really stupid. Never been done in

66:26

American history. And that's the

66:28

beginning of a wild. We went from a

66:30

surplus that Alan Greenspan described

66:33

would be a danger to America because of

66:35

the 10 10year Treasury note to running $

66:38

38 trillion of deficit from a surplus to

66:41

that because it was reckless. We fought

66:43

Iraq and Afghanistan with two tax cuts.

66:46

Never tried in American history. And it

66:48

proved to be stupid.

66:51

Now that crisis has come and due and

66:55

it's going to force some really tough

66:57

things on the system and no and we

67:01

cannot have while also AI is hovering a

67:05

further concentration of wealth to a

67:07

very few can't happen because you can't

67:10

get to the fiscal sensibility you want

67:12

just talking about cutting not just

67:15

because of the politics because it's not

67:16

right and it won't work. So, we're going

67:19

to have to actually deal with the

67:20

revenue side as well as the spend side.

67:22

I gave you a cap, but we have a tax code

67:26

that everybody on this show, me

67:28

included, are rewarded for preserving

67:31

wealth, passing it on. There was a story

67:32

the other day in the Wall Street Journal

67:34

6 weeks ago. Retreats are being

67:36

organized to help kids figure out how to

67:38

handle their inheritance.

67:40

>> Yeah,

67:40

>> you have got to be kidding me.

67:45

And we have a tax code that favors that.

67:50

You you get you are an idiot if you

67:52

don't take advantage of pres of actually

67:54

preserving your wealth and passing it on

67:55

for one generation another. And you all

67:57

know this. We all know it.

68:00

The step up basis is a way to avoid to

68:03

all taxes when everybody else is working

68:05

for a living and can't make monthly pay

68:06

bills. So it's going to hit everybody

68:10

and you're going to make some changes.

68:12

One thing I was uh as most capitalists

68:15

not concerned with was minimum wage

68:18

because I just thought well the free

68:19

market will work that out. And then

68:21

after watching it raise in cities in the

68:23

United States and what's going on in New

68:24

Zealand and the Nordic countries, all of

68:27

the studies now show when you go to 12

68:28

to $20 an hour, there's no difference.

68:32

Doesn't cause any economic hardship uh

68:34

for those companies and it doesn't cause

68:36

unemployment or automation. So what's

68:38

your take on the federal minimum wage

68:40

being raised? Three things. I worked

68:42

with Bill Clinton when we raised it.

68:44

When Nancy Pelosi and I helped make her

68:45

a speaker, that was the last time it was

68:47

raised. It was seven and a quarter. When

68:48

I was mayor, I raised it. I'm a big

68:50

believer, not only that, raising the

68:52

minimum wage. I would raise it and have

68:54

it go up uh each year as we did in

68:57

Chicago

68:59

coupled with a very generous earned

69:01

income tax credit. That's what makes

69:04

work pay. So, a minimum wage with a very

69:06

robust uh earned income tax credit of

69:09

which I would, if I was magic, you know,

69:12

waving a magic wand, I would take the

69:14

earned income tax credit, the per child

69:16

uh tax deduction and do a single family

69:19

credit.

69:20

So, it's all in one thing.

69:22

>> I think we should talk about DSA DSA

69:24

before we wrap.

69:25

>> You know, last weekend in Chicago, the

69:27

DSA held their convention. You're not

69:29

Democrats. You're a separate party. I'll

69:32

see you in November. You're living,

69:34

you're literally beating Democrats.

69:38

Forget about it. Not interested in I I

69:42

spent my whole life Bill Clinton

69:43

replacing George Bush, Barack Obama

69:46

competing against John McCain, flipping

69:48

31 districts from red congressman to

69:51

blue congressman so Nancy Pelosi would

69:52

be a speaker. I am not into turning a

69:55

blue district midnight blue. It doesn't

69:58

do anything for minimum wage. It doesn't

70:00

do anything for universal prek. It

70:03

doesn't do anything to give 10 million

70:05

children who didn't have healthcare

70:06

healthcare.

70:07

So, I'm not impressed. You are a

70:10

separate party. You're the Democratic

70:11

Socialist of America. I'll see you in

70:13

November on the ballot. You had a party

70:16

convention. You are not a Democrat. And

70:19

there was a person the other day in Tom

70:21

Edel's party and Tom Metsel's column

70:25

uh who a justice Democrat part of the

70:27

DSA network who said they're not

70:29

interested in beating Republicans.

70:32

Well, now I appreciate the honesty. I am

70:37

I think Donald Trump is an existential

70:39

crisis. You think Barack Obama, Nancy

70:42

Pelosi or Hakeim Jeff are an existential

70:45

crisis? I don't. And we have a

70:48

fundamental strategic difference. We

70:49

have a fundamental policy difference and

70:51

we have a fundamental political

70:52

difference. Go to your own party. Stay

70:55

there. I'll see you in November.

70:58

>> There you have it, folks. Over to now

70:59

with Rahm Emanuel. We will have you back

71:02

in the coming months and years as you

71:05

will as this has been amazing and we got

71:07

to get you on with Chimoth and Sachs

71:08

next. Thank you so much.

71:10

>> Thanks guys.

71:13

>> All right, besties. I think that was

71:15

another epic [music] discussion. People

71:17

love the interviews. I could hear him

71:19

talk for hours. Absolutely. We crushed

71:21

your questions in a minute. We are

71:22

giving people ground truth data to

71:24

[music] underwrite your own opinion.

71:25

What did you guys think? That was fun.

71:27

That was great.

Interactive Summary

Rahm Emanuel joins the All-In podcast to discuss a wide range of topics including his experience working for Presidents Clinton and Obama, the current state of geopolitical tensions with China, immigration policy, and domestic economic issues. He emphasizes the need for a stronger economic block to counter China, reform in the US education system, and a balanced approach to government spending and fiscal policy.

Suggested questions

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