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The PLTR Wheel Strategy Mistake That Costs Investors Thousands

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The PLTR Wheel Strategy Mistake That Costs Investors Thousands

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324 segments

0:00

Okay, so everyone loves the wheel

0:01

strategy when everything is going up,

0:03

but what do you actually do when the

0:04

wheel strategy is not working your favor

0:06

when stocks are dropping? Because

0:08

eventually they will and we will

0:10

experience volatility as we've seen in

0:12

the market over and over again. And

0:14

that's just part of the game. So in this

0:16

video, I want to show you how to manage

0:18

the wheel strategy, how to use it, what

0:20

to do when the position moves against

0:22

you because honestly how you handle this

0:24

is the difference between a small dip

0:26

and a real problem within your

0:27

portfolio. So let's get into it. Now,

0:29

let's discuss how to properly manage the

0:32

wheel strategy based on various

0:34

scenarios. My Discord community has

0:36

asked me before what to do if the stock

0:39

or SPY in this example gets very low,

0:43

much lower than your cost basis. This

0:45

part gets complicated and nobody covers

0:48

this. But here's scenario number one.

0:51

Let's say that the stock goes down 10%.

0:53

So for example, you sell a $100 put

0:56

option. It goes down to 90. Well, this

0:58

is actually not that hard of a position.

1:01

In this example, because the stock is

1:02

now $90 and your average cost is 100,

1:06

you can actually still try to sell 100

1:08

covered call. Now, you likely won't be

1:10

able to do that in one given week

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because in one week that's going to have

1:14

no premium whatsoever because option

1:16

traders understand that since the stock

1:17

is at 90, $100 is 11% away. Therefore,

1:22

the premium will be very tiny. So what

1:24

you will have to do is you'll have to

1:25

sell covered calls that are two, three,

1:27

or four weeks out at $100 strike price.

1:31

Then, you'll still be able to collect

1:32

one or 2% premium while not really

1:36

losing on the stock itself when it does

1:38

recover. Now, in scenario number two,

1:40

let's say that the stock goes down 20%.

1:43

This would be very insane and super

1:45

unlikely for SPY. I mean, just downright

1:48

nearly impossible for SPY to fall 20% in

1:51

a week or two. So, you know, I do stick

1:53

to weekly trading. So for it to fall

1:54

20%, really that's probably not going to

1:57

happen, but let's just say it's a

1:58

different stock. So, I know a lot of

1:59

people like, you know, Tesla. You know,

2:01

there's a bunch of stocks out there, and

2:03

if the stock does end up going down 20%,

2:05

let's go back to the example of a stock

2:07

being worth 100, which is your put. It

2:09

goes down to 80. Unfortunately, what

2:12

you're going to have to do is wait and

2:14

hope that the stock will recover. And

2:16

hopefully, when you're selling puts and

2:17

doing the wheel strategy, hopefully

2:18

you're picking stocks that are good to

2:20

begin with. Because if you're not, and

2:21

the stock falls down 20%, you start

2:23

scratching your head, "Why am I owning

2:24

this thing?" Well, you have to ask

2:25

yourself, "Why did you get into that

2:26

position to begin with?" Okay? So, if a

2:28

stock goes down 20% and it's very far

2:31

away from your cost basis, that's not

2:33

necessarily that bad of a problem if you

2:36

like the stock. What you're going to

2:37

have to do is, number one, you'll

2:39

probably have to wait. Or, number two,

2:42

now this is very interesting. Say that

2:43

the stock goes down to 80. You can try

2:46

to salvage and create some income by

2:48

selling a 90 covered call. So, if you

2:51

sell a 90 covered call, that's not ideal

2:54

because if were to recover, you would

2:57

lose some money on this position as a

2:59

whole, and your wheel would not be

3:00

profitable. But, that's the price that

3:03

you pay when you're doing the wheel

3:04

strategy on a riskier stock. So, if

3:06

you're doing it on riskier stocks, and

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it does end up falling 20%, what you

3:10

probably have to do is you probably have

3:11

to sell around the 90 strike price.

3:13

However, it doesn't mean that you have

3:15

to get rid of your shares at 90. What

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you can also do, say that you sell a 100

3:21

put, goes down to 80, you get assigned,

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obviously, and you start doing 90

3:25

covered calls. Say at expiration, or

3:27

basically a day or two before, somewhere

3:30

in that near to expiration time period,

3:32

say that the stock goes up to $91, and

3:34

you're upset. You're basically saying,

3:36

"Hey, I don't want to lose these shares

3:37

yet because my cost basis is 100. I did

3:40

sell a 90 covered call, let's say it was

3:42

for a dollar." So, technically, you're

3:45

breaking even at 91, but say you don't

3:47

want to get rid of the shares. What you

3:48

can do then is actually roll that

3:51

covered call higher. So, you can take

3:53

that 90 covered call and close that 90

3:57

and then open up a 95. And in most

3:59

cases, if you do that far out enough,

4:01

you can still collect a credit or at

4:03

least break even. But even if you break

4:05

even, now at least you don't have to get

4:07

rid of the stock at 90, you can get rid

4:09

of it at 95. Now, let's talk about the

4:11

call side. If a call goes into the

4:13

money, what will happen is you will get

4:16

exercised and lose your shares in the

4:18

wheel strategy, right? So, you first of

4:20

all can get assigned on the puts, you'd

4:22

have to buy stock, but if you get

4:23

assigned on the calls, you have to sell

4:25

stock. So, say you don't want to sell

4:27

your shares, what you can do again is

4:29

roll and close out that position. What

4:31

is likely to happen most of the time is

4:34

that someone will actually end up

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selling covered calls that are out of

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the money and it's perfectly fine

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because as long as it's out of the

4:42

money, you're going to be collecting

4:43

premium. If it's in the money, then

4:46

you're going to lose your stock if you

4:47

wait until Friday expiration or you can

4:50

roll it out higher. There's two things

4:52

that you can basically do. If you get

4:54

assigned, so be it. If it's above your

4:55

cost basis, you're probably happy. If

4:58

you don't want to lose your shares and

4:59

you are at a gain, that's okay, too.

5:02

Again, you can roll. Now, one important

5:04

thing that I just want to say, with the

5:06

wheel strategy, something that people do

5:07

not realize is no matter which way in

5:10

which direction it's going, you can

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still dollar cost average and sell more

5:14

put options or sell more covered calls

5:17

by buying more shares, especially if it

5:19

is below your strike price. Especially

5:21

if it is below your cost basis. So, for

5:23

example, let's say that a stock is at

5:25

100, okay? You end up selling a 90 put

5:28

option, okay? It goes down to 95. That

5:31

doesn't mean that you can't sell more

5:33

put options at 90. Let's say it goes

5:35

down to 85. You can still sell more put

5:38

options at 80. So, you can continuously

5:40

sell more put options the entire life

5:43

cycle of running the wheel strategy and

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that would be dollar cost averaging the

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wheel strategy. There's nothing wrong

5:48

with that. The only issue is say you

5:51

have $30,000 and you put $15,000 into

5:54

Apple. Well, you can't really dollar

5:56

cost more into Apple because it's

5:57

already 50% of your portfolio. So, when

6:00

you are dollar-cost-averaging into the

6:02

wheel strategy, you want to make sure

6:03

that you have 5, 10, 15% of your entire

6:07

money in a single position. Therefore,

6:09

if it does go down, you can do more of

6:11

the wheel strategy on the same stock

6:13

dollar-cost-averaging but not exceeding

6:16

like 30 or 40% of your portfolio. The

6:18

less of your portfolio you have in one

6:20

single position, the better. The more

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diversified you are. All right, guys,

6:23

let's jump into my portfolio right now.

6:25

I want to show you Palantir because

6:27

Palantir has obviously gone up a lot,

6:29

but for a very significant amount of

6:31

time Palantir was not doing too well and

6:33

I am running the wheel strategy on

6:35

Palantir over and over every week and

6:37

every month in my Discord community. I

6:40

want to show you how I'm handling this

6:41

stock. So, it's currently trading for

6:43

$158 per share. I have a lot of

6:46

Palantir. I have $412,000

6:49

worth of shares and I currently have a

6:51

160 sell put. This 160 sell put, it is

6:54

in a very interesting position because

6:56

I've been holding it for a long time and

6:59

Palantir is under 160. What's really

7:01

interesting is Palantir was well under

7:04

160 for a very long time and I've been

7:07

holding this 160 put. Let's actually go

7:09

into it. Let me see kind of when I

7:11

opened this up because I want to

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transparently show you what I've kind of

7:13

been going through in terms of the

7:15

management process. So, let's go here

7:17

into when I opened this. I opened this

7:18

on March 11th, which is a long time ago

7:21

as I'm making this in August, you know,

7:23

5th essentially. So, it's August 5th,

7:26

March 11th, so April, May, June, July,

7:29

August. It's been 5 months. And when I

7:31

sold the put option here, I've been

7:33

pretty deep in the money for a while.

7:34

You can see here in the last 3 months, I

7:36

have been well under, I mean, you can

7:38

see how expensive it would be need buy

7:40

back this sell put position. So,

7:42

whatever you sell a put position, which

7:43

is essentially how you start the wheel

7:44

strategy, if it goes into the money,

7:46

it's going to be very expensive to buy

7:48

back, right? Because it's in the money,

7:49

it's high chance of getting assigned,

7:51

and if you want to close out that

7:52

position, get out of it, it's going to

7:54

be expensive. So, you can see here how

7:55

Palantir this put option was so in the

7:58

money at one point on June 25th, it was

8:00

worth $53. If I had to buy it back, it

8:02

would cost me $53 per contract, and

8:05

yeah, I have one contract here, which is

8:07

this is fine, right? But, you can see,

8:09

let me go to the stock cuz I want to

8:10

show you what happened and how I didn't

8:11

panic. I didn't really close out this

8:13

position, and as Palantir was well below

8:15

160, like literally the entire time.

8:17

Let's go to year-to-date return. Let's

8:19

go to March. Okay, so March was all the

8:21

way back here. You can see right around

8:22

here, I sold a put option that was

8:24

actually in the money. And the reason

8:25

why I did that is because I wanted to

8:27

collect a lot of premium, and I actually

8:29

wanted to own more Palantir, and I only

8:31

did one contract as my dollar cost

8:33

averaging strategy, which is really

8:35

interesting. I'm going to teach you

8:35

something real quick. If you sell put

8:37

options and you get assigned in small

8:38

quantities, you're basically dollar cost

8:40

averaging. You're buying more of the

8:41

stock, and you're getting paid to buy

8:43

more of the stock. So, I'm just DCA-ing,

8:45

really. But yeah, you can see here how

8:46

this entire time, literally from March

8:48

until August, Palantir was below this

8:50

level, right? It did pop up at 160

8:52

exactly, pretty much. That's funny, on

8:54

June. And it's been below that the whole

8:56

entire time, okay? Yet, I didn't close

8:58

out the put option, okay? Because as

8:59

part of the wheel strategy, especially

9:01

when I'm running the slower wheel

9:02

strategy, this is an interesting video

9:04

because I'm basically running the slower

9:05

wheel strategy right now on Palantir. I

9:07

have multiple Palantir positions. I have

9:09

stock, I have covered calls, I have sold

9:11

puts, wheel strategy. You know, I've

9:13

started running the poor man's covered

9:14

call strategy. I'm doing all the option

9:15

strategies that I have in my toolkit on

9:17

Palantir. That's because this the stock

9:19

has amazing implied volatility, and I've

9:21

been in the stock since IPO. Alex Karp

9:23

is someone that I think is a great CEO.

9:25

He went to my high school, da da da,

9:27

whatever. Um, that's not important.

9:28

Look, what I'm looking at here though

9:30

the entire time was difficult. Palantir

9:32

pulled up, and I'm still not doing

9:34

anything. My goal with Palantir is I

9:36

think this is a $170 to $180 stock and

9:38

it basically bridged that entire gap in

9:40

in like just one earnings period. Okay,

9:42

they reported amazing earnings and good

9:45

guidance which was even more important.

9:46

And now with my wheel strategy

9:48

essentially, I'm still not doing

9:49

anything on the sell put side. On the

9:50

sell put side, I am sitting tight. So, I

9:52

guess this video the lesson here is that

9:54

whenever you sell a put option, your

9:56

goal is assignment and whenever you go

9:57

into the money, don't panic. Don't take

9:59

too much action. That's going to cost

10:00

you a ton of money. Often times when I'm

10:02

doing my one-on-one coaching, it's not

10:04

that I have revolutionary new ideas. I

10:06

have some of those. Sometimes I'll do

10:08

kind of more interesting strategies and

10:11

I'll go over mindset and I'll go over,

10:13

you know, different stocks. But to be

10:14

honest, a lot of the strategies I teach

10:16

you guys here for free on this channel.

10:18

I have a 6-hour course which talks about

10:20

almost every strategy that I know. So,

10:21

the difference really isn't knowing

10:23

another strategy. It's really how to

10:24

handle, how to manage, how to go through

10:26

some of the more difficult times. And if

10:28

you sell a stock or you try to buy it

10:30

back when it's down, that's a mistake.

10:32

And as we see right here, lots of

10:34

volatility in the market and um whenever

10:36

the market comes back up, you end up

10:37

reaping rewards for your patience. So,

10:39

stay patient my friends. If you like

10:41

this video, then make sure to subscribe.

10:43

It definitely helps out the channel a

10:44

lot and then I know to make more videos

10:46

just like this and I'll catch you in the

10:47

next one.

Interactive Summary

This video explains how to effectively manage the wheel strategy when stock positions move against you, specifically focusing on scenarios where the stock drops significantly. It covers techniques like extending the expiration of covered calls for small dips, rolling covered calls higher when a stock recovers, and the importance of patience and belief in the underlying asset's long-term potential rather than panicking. The host also uses his personal Palantir portfolio experience as a case study to demonstrate these concepts, highlighting the importance of dollar-cost averaging and maintaining a diversified portfolio.

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