The PLTR Wheel Strategy Mistake That Costs Investors Thousands
324 segments
Okay, so everyone loves the wheel
strategy when everything is going up,
but what do you actually do when the
wheel strategy is not working your favor
when stocks are dropping? Because
eventually they will and we will
experience volatility as we've seen in
the market over and over again. And
that's just part of the game. So in this
video, I want to show you how to manage
the wheel strategy, how to use it, what
to do when the position moves against
you because honestly how you handle this
is the difference between a small dip
and a real problem within your
portfolio. So let's get into it. Now,
let's discuss how to properly manage the
wheel strategy based on various
scenarios. My Discord community has
asked me before what to do if the stock
or SPY in this example gets very low,
much lower than your cost basis. This
part gets complicated and nobody covers
this. But here's scenario number one.
Let's say that the stock goes down 10%.
So for example, you sell a $100 put
option. It goes down to 90. Well, this
is actually not that hard of a position.
In this example, because the stock is
now $90 and your average cost is 100,
you can actually still try to sell 100
covered call. Now, you likely won't be
able to do that in one given week
because in one week that's going to have
no premium whatsoever because option
traders understand that since the stock
is at 90, $100 is 11% away. Therefore,
the premium will be very tiny. So what
you will have to do is you'll have to
sell covered calls that are two, three,
or four weeks out at $100 strike price.
Then, you'll still be able to collect
one or 2% premium while not really
losing on the stock itself when it does
recover. Now, in scenario number two,
let's say that the stock goes down 20%.
This would be very insane and super
unlikely for SPY. I mean, just downright
nearly impossible for SPY to fall 20% in
a week or two. So, you know, I do stick
to weekly trading. So for it to fall
20%, really that's probably not going to
happen, but let's just say it's a
different stock. So, I know a lot of
people like, you know, Tesla. You know,
there's a bunch of stocks out there, and
if the stock does end up going down 20%,
let's go back to the example of a stock
being worth 100, which is your put. It
goes down to 80. Unfortunately, what
you're going to have to do is wait and
hope that the stock will recover. And
hopefully, when you're selling puts and
doing the wheel strategy, hopefully
you're picking stocks that are good to
begin with. Because if you're not, and
the stock falls down 20%, you start
scratching your head, "Why am I owning
this thing?" Well, you have to ask
yourself, "Why did you get into that
position to begin with?" Okay? So, if a
stock goes down 20% and it's very far
away from your cost basis, that's not
necessarily that bad of a problem if you
like the stock. What you're going to
have to do is, number one, you'll
probably have to wait. Or, number two,
now this is very interesting. Say that
the stock goes down to 80. You can try
to salvage and create some income by
selling a 90 covered call. So, if you
sell a 90 covered call, that's not ideal
because if were to recover, you would
lose some money on this position as a
whole, and your wheel would not be
profitable. But, that's the price that
you pay when you're doing the wheel
strategy on a riskier stock. So, if
you're doing it on riskier stocks, and
it does end up falling 20%, what you
probably have to do is you probably have
to sell around the 90 strike price.
However, it doesn't mean that you have
to get rid of your shares at 90. What
you can also do, say that you sell a 100
put, goes down to 80, you get assigned,
obviously, and you start doing 90
covered calls. Say at expiration, or
basically a day or two before, somewhere
in that near to expiration time period,
say that the stock goes up to $91, and
you're upset. You're basically saying,
"Hey, I don't want to lose these shares
yet because my cost basis is 100. I did
sell a 90 covered call, let's say it was
for a dollar." So, technically, you're
breaking even at 91, but say you don't
want to get rid of the shares. What you
can do then is actually roll that
covered call higher. So, you can take
that 90 covered call and close that 90
and then open up a 95. And in most
cases, if you do that far out enough,
you can still collect a credit or at
least break even. But even if you break
even, now at least you don't have to get
rid of the stock at 90, you can get rid
of it at 95. Now, let's talk about the
call side. If a call goes into the
money, what will happen is you will get
exercised and lose your shares in the
wheel strategy, right? So, you first of
all can get assigned on the puts, you'd
have to buy stock, but if you get
assigned on the calls, you have to sell
stock. So, say you don't want to sell
your shares, what you can do again is
roll and close out that position. What
is likely to happen most of the time is
that someone will actually end up
selling covered calls that are out of
the money and it's perfectly fine
because as long as it's out of the
money, you're going to be collecting
premium. If it's in the money, then
you're going to lose your stock if you
wait until Friday expiration or you can
roll it out higher. There's two things
that you can basically do. If you get
assigned, so be it. If it's above your
cost basis, you're probably happy. If
you don't want to lose your shares and
you are at a gain, that's okay, too.
Again, you can roll. Now, one important
thing that I just want to say, with the
wheel strategy, something that people do
not realize is no matter which way in
which direction it's going, you can
still dollar cost average and sell more
put options or sell more covered calls
by buying more shares, especially if it
is below your strike price. Especially
if it is below your cost basis. So, for
example, let's say that a stock is at
100, okay? You end up selling a 90 put
option, okay? It goes down to 95. That
doesn't mean that you can't sell more
put options at 90. Let's say it goes
down to 85. You can still sell more put
options at 80. So, you can continuously
sell more put options the entire life
cycle of running the wheel strategy and
that would be dollar cost averaging the
wheel strategy. There's nothing wrong
with that. The only issue is say you
have $30,000 and you put $15,000 into
Apple. Well, you can't really dollar
cost more into Apple because it's
already 50% of your portfolio. So, when
you are dollar-cost-averaging into the
wheel strategy, you want to make sure
that you have 5, 10, 15% of your entire
money in a single position. Therefore,
if it does go down, you can do more of
the wheel strategy on the same stock
dollar-cost-averaging but not exceeding
like 30 or 40% of your portfolio. The
less of your portfolio you have in one
single position, the better. The more
diversified you are. All right, guys,
let's jump into my portfolio right now.
I want to show you Palantir because
Palantir has obviously gone up a lot,
but for a very significant amount of
time Palantir was not doing too well and
I am running the wheel strategy on
Palantir over and over every week and
every month in my Discord community. I
want to show you how I'm handling this
stock. So, it's currently trading for
$158 per share. I have a lot of
Palantir. I have $412,000
worth of shares and I currently have a
160 sell put. This 160 sell put, it is
in a very interesting position because
I've been holding it for a long time and
Palantir is under 160. What's really
interesting is Palantir was well under
160 for a very long time and I've been
holding this 160 put. Let's actually go
into it. Let me see kind of when I
opened this up because I want to
transparently show you what I've kind of
been going through in terms of the
management process. So, let's go here
into when I opened this. I opened this
on March 11th, which is a long time ago
as I'm making this in August, you know,
5th essentially. So, it's August 5th,
March 11th, so April, May, June, July,
August. It's been 5 months. And when I
sold the put option here, I've been
pretty deep in the money for a while.
You can see here in the last 3 months, I
have been well under, I mean, you can
see how expensive it would be need buy
back this sell put position. So,
whatever you sell a put position, which
is essentially how you start the wheel
strategy, if it goes into the money,
it's going to be very expensive to buy
back, right? Because it's in the money,
it's high chance of getting assigned,
and if you want to close out that
position, get out of it, it's going to
be expensive. So, you can see here how
Palantir this put option was so in the
money at one point on June 25th, it was
worth $53. If I had to buy it back, it
would cost me $53 per contract, and
yeah, I have one contract here, which is
this is fine, right? But, you can see,
let me go to the stock cuz I want to
show you what happened and how I didn't
panic. I didn't really close out this
position, and as Palantir was well below
160, like literally the entire time.
Let's go to year-to-date return. Let's
go to March. Okay, so March was all the
way back here. You can see right around
here, I sold a put option that was
actually in the money. And the reason
why I did that is because I wanted to
collect a lot of premium, and I actually
wanted to own more Palantir, and I only
did one contract as my dollar cost
averaging strategy, which is really
interesting. I'm going to teach you
something real quick. If you sell put
options and you get assigned in small
quantities, you're basically dollar cost
averaging. You're buying more of the
stock, and you're getting paid to buy
more of the stock. So, I'm just DCA-ing,
really. But yeah, you can see here how
this entire time, literally from March
until August, Palantir was below this
level, right? It did pop up at 160
exactly, pretty much. That's funny, on
June. And it's been below that the whole
entire time, okay? Yet, I didn't close
out the put option, okay? Because as
part of the wheel strategy, especially
when I'm running the slower wheel
strategy, this is an interesting video
because I'm basically running the slower
wheel strategy right now on Palantir. I
have multiple Palantir positions. I have
stock, I have covered calls, I have sold
puts, wheel strategy. You know, I've
started running the poor man's covered
call strategy. I'm doing all the option
strategies that I have in my toolkit on
Palantir. That's because this the stock
has amazing implied volatility, and I've
been in the stock since IPO. Alex Karp
is someone that I think is a great CEO.
He went to my high school, da da da,
whatever. Um, that's not important.
Look, what I'm looking at here though
the entire time was difficult. Palantir
pulled up, and I'm still not doing
anything. My goal with Palantir is I
think this is a $170 to $180 stock and
it basically bridged that entire gap in
in like just one earnings period. Okay,
they reported amazing earnings and good
guidance which was even more important.
And now with my wheel strategy
essentially, I'm still not doing
anything on the sell put side. On the
sell put side, I am sitting tight. So, I
guess this video the lesson here is that
whenever you sell a put option, your
goal is assignment and whenever you go
into the money, don't panic. Don't take
too much action. That's going to cost
you a ton of money. Often times when I'm
doing my one-on-one coaching, it's not
that I have revolutionary new ideas. I
have some of those. Sometimes I'll do
kind of more interesting strategies and
I'll go over mindset and I'll go over,
you know, different stocks. But to be
honest, a lot of the strategies I teach
you guys here for free on this channel.
I have a 6-hour course which talks about
almost every strategy that I know. So,
the difference really isn't knowing
another strategy. It's really how to
handle, how to manage, how to go through
some of the more difficult times. And if
you sell a stock or you try to buy it
back when it's down, that's a mistake.
And as we see right here, lots of
volatility in the market and um whenever
the market comes back up, you end up
reaping rewards for your patience. So,
stay patient my friends. If you like
this video, then make sure to subscribe.
It definitely helps out the channel a
lot and then I know to make more videos
just like this and I'll catch you in the
next one.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
This video explains how to effectively manage the wheel strategy when stock positions move against you, specifically focusing on scenarios where the stock drops significantly. It covers techniques like extending the expiration of covered calls for small dips, rolling covered calls higher when a stock recovers, and the importance of patience and belief in the underlying asset's long-term potential rather than panicking. The host also uses his personal Palantir portfolio experience as a case study to demonstrate these concepts, highlighting the importance of dollar-cost averaging and maintaining a diversified portfolio.
Videos recently processed by our community