Trump's First Week: Inauguration Recap, Executive Actions, TikTok, Stargate + Sacks is Back!
3264 segments
so we had a dinner where me and freeberg
and J Cal were invited to have dinner
with the folks from and their and their
other top podcast off the Record dinner
let's talk all about it there was an
interesting moment which even Friedberg
had to recognize which was we went
around and said hey what what podcast
you listening to which ones are your
favorites we went out in the room and I
gotta tell you you know what your
podcaster favorite podcast is bingo
Allin podcast well the funniest thing is
my wife thinks I'm bullshitting all the
time I say this is a mine too pretty
reasonably success F and well she
doesn't believe it she thinks we're all
why do you think I waited to
make my world podcast premiere for Allin
all the ankle biters called and I said
no I'm just going to wait I'm wait to
the bestie's
call can we just say it Nick you got to
it up when podcast called you're like
nope can't do it waiting sry I'm waiting
for the real deal I don't need
JV let your winners
ride Rainman David
and instead we open source it to the
fans and they've just gone crazy with it
love queen
of all right everybody welcome back to
the number one business finance
technology science podcast in the world
this is the place where we call balls
and Strikes where we tell the truth
where there is zero
censorship every week we tell you about
the truth behind the most important
stories we point out who the heroes are
and who the villains are who are the
delightful ones and who are the disra
with me again on this week's program the
cackling chairman dictator my guy mouth
poly Hoppa how you doing how was your
Victory La how was your Victory really
really really fun you look like you were
in your Afterglow and I have to say that
was looking pretty good uh we have some
pictures don't worry we're going to go
through behind the scenes
Armani came through for Amore the amort
collection from Armani coming this fall
by the way I mean Armani Couture is like
firing on all cylinders the the other
the other one which you'll see is a
great picture of this incredible jacket
Louisa beia two shout outs Armani and
Louisa bear you know I was just thinking
that Armani really has been making it
happen now that we've talked about that
we'll talk about my wardrobe when the
time comes just get through the rest of
the interest all right all right and of
course here is your Sultan of
science David Friedberg Move Along J
let's go let's go had a wonderful he's
very bitter today he's got a lot of
anger he is the Barista of bitterness
today he's serving up bitterness all day
long and he had a great time at the um
maybe he's a little upset about the Lex
fredman triangle we're in right now I
think that could be part of it and we
have a special guest
here Thomas leant is the co-founder of
kou management they got a 50 Billy under
management uh public private yada yada
before that he worked at creative artist
Agency for seven years after he he went
to college so he does have the college
degree he signed Captain
America which is freeberg favorite
avenger Chris evris Evans Chris EV and
um Hasa client by the way yes and you're
still in touch with him I am not you're
not but I watched with Wonder at uh what
he's achieved after I left being his
agent it's been incredible great career
now now behind you we see this
incredible uh you're missing the one
you're missing the one part which is
that Thomas was one of the highest rated
speakers that we had at the all in
Summit yeah that's true actually he did
really great last year really crushed it
crushed it crushed it of course and I
think I'm I'm in the seventh best de
position and and hoping potentially
after the podcast to at least move up by
one okay so there you go let's see what
happens here now what what's this view
behind you this is uh Los Angel
definitely put you ahead of jcal Thomas
so you're wow you're up a spot my God he
really is serving up the bitterness
today
yeah so mad he's soad you know why you
know why he's mad I'll tell you why
because
okay this is for the audience Jason is
complaining all week in the group chat
that he has influenza A he's sending
pictures of him getting IVs and so
freeberg the
conscientious guy and co-founder of the
Pod that he is says I will moderate and
then he invests his time okay he's got
he's got a lot of things going on he's
got do three kids plus one on he's
running a company strawberries he
prepares and then you wake up after a
dose of Tamiflu and decide no I'm ready
to moderate of course and you can't just
do that because it's not nice all right
put hey Madame producer can you come on
the horn for a second here are we really
gonna do this yes we are we're gonna do
it we're doing it Madam this is so
stupid so
stupidy did I tell you to get freeberg
involved no no I did it myself okay you
went rogue can I say why you can go
Rogue I'm fine I said hey Jason how are
you feeling you said horrible I have the
flu I'm getting an IV tomorrow morning
to me that was like oh okay there's like
a 50% chance he misses the show so I
reached sh to freeberg I said hey
Jason's really sick with the flu maybe
you should just prepare yourself to
moderate tomorrow okay now when did I
find out about this when did I I think
that was a smart decision but you sir
are a small bitter man and so what you
did was you wanted to just yeah you
wanted to blow up free Brook's
preparation I found out about this this
morning I found out about this like an
hour ago how are you feeling I feel 80%
of a normal jcal which is 110% of any
other moderator I me get yourself Andrew
rorin I'm sorry he's genu flecting at
Davos to a bunch of
mids well we're going to get lexon so
we're going to get Lex oh that would be
great hello I am Lex fredman welcome to
the number one podcast in the world
today on the program we have Thomas
lefon investor in such great companies
as all right listen enough Shenanigans
we had so much fun we tore DC apart
let's start with actually just Thomas
did you watch any of it on TV did you
think about going it was really like um
there was so many tech people in
Washington this weekend I saw the live
stream I talked to saaks last night to
get get the download and you know my
takeaway just from watching especially
the executive orders was you know
democracy in action democracy
self-correct yeah and dictatorships
double down and to watch in real time a
country of our scale and a democracy you
know decide to make a change
I think that's why we've been great for
you know 250 plus years and will remain
great so it was fun to watch I'm really
curious to see what your takeaway was
okay well let's just we'll just go
behind the scenes first of all it's hard
to see that this was me dressed up for
Sax's ball I really brought the Heat
this is by the way Luca rubac is the
tailor here it's hard to see is blue Co
so this is what I'm saying I think the
picture is very hard to see but it's a
very refined green pap gley
o subtle hard to bring it out now I will
say this was the most popular shirt over
the entire weekend this is just a simple
Bion tuxedo shirt it was 200 versions of
it I felt bad when I saw because
normally I don't like to wear things
that other people are wearing correct
yeah what did Michael salor think of
this when you saw Michael salor at the
um at the you know I met I met Michael
CFO wonderfully nice guy so this is us
at the this is us at the crypto ball I
went for white tuxedo on the first night
I've never had three tuxedos before but
David looked David looked really great I
really love and saaks had this
incredible tux which was more crypto
themed it sort of looked like the
opening scene from The Matrix so there
was like this cool print you can see my
green in there a little bit Thomas in
this okay yeah yeah got it there's sky
and new money Sunny the president of
grock suep madra
x.com here the besties here the besties
I was
let's be honest guys even in all your
bitterness freeberg you felt the love at
this moment when we were all back
together did you not well minutes before
this when the three of us took a a video
a photo it was great yeah yeah okay
great so bit let you moderate you can
moderate if you want if you're that BR
you're doing a great job j keep we're 18
minutes into this and we're doing
fashion still Vin Sky Diego berkin the
co-founder of cloud kitchens so handsome
that
this was the crypto ball yeah this was
the crypto ball this was like this was
Sox's event it was
incredible it was a large number of
people there I was shocked at the number
of people at the crypto oh it was it was
huge hug here's a little poker after
behind the scenes with
pink TK Travis Clinic the co-founder the
founder of uber oh look that's on we got
to see who who's got the biggest stack
look it's the founder of uber next to
the third investor Uber uh and the
founder of cloud kitchens next to the
investor in Cloud kit Peter Teal's house
this is Katie Han and Kyle
Sani my wife and's wife amore amore this
is at Peter's house Peter had this Peter
te had this person going around taking
pictures this not good lighting for
you there better oh this was great also
Peter Teal's house yeah that was great I
have to say shth putting aside Jason
likes being a republican here's a here's
a here's a dinner that we had there's
Lex fredman Julius Janikowski who's the
former chairman of the FCC little known
the uh former uh former roommate of
Obama by the way following this dinner
all those streets were blocked off and
there was no way to get around you see
it there look you see the it was like 10
degrees Fen so we walk out yes it's
terrible it was like you were going to
die after two seconds out there it was C
start walking to try get our car and
after walking for like half a mile we're
like dude there's no way out of this
downtown area and Vinnie was shaking
he's like I'm going to die I'm going to
die I'm gonna die he turns around he
goes running back to the restaurant
jumps in and basically like huddles down
in the restaurant and then after about
10 minutes there's no way out he's like
you know it's sort of like you're in a
military zone he's like I'm gonna go for
it he runs out jumps on a scooter and he
disappeared into the distance and I
swore I would never see Vinnie again I'm
like that's it I think it's very smart
that Lex wears the same outfit the black
suit with the white shirt with the black
tie I really like the the consistency of
it actually it looks really he this is
it was incredible he was getting stopped
here here's every two minutes it was
unbelievable here's the jacket this is
Louisa beia and then here's the box from
Armani thank you unboxing whoa wah wa
wewa oh look there's a little side boob
there with that I didn't notice
that that's uh this is I'm wearing Tom
Ford shout out Tom Ford shout out
perfect mail for oh here's a huge shout
out to two guys that I had really wanted
to meet in person I finally got the
chance to meet this is at zuck's party
this is Brendan Carr who's the incoming
chairman of the FCC actually this
picture was taken right after he had
gotten confirmed so this was his first
day as the chairman and then this is a
guy who I've been following for a couple
of years Jared isman who is now going to
run NASA he's the founder and CEO of
shift for payments but both of these
guys are pretty epic you should should
follow them on Twitter he did a space
walk the first civilian Space Walk he
did he's he's he's really really Bron
was really nice I met him at Peter's uh
event and he told me he's a big fan of
the Pod he listens to show every amazing
I mean by the way if you want to see
like some really amazing tweets he had
some real bangers he's a very smart guy
he's um I've had Brendan on this week St
a couple times he's the guy who
fought for Starling that's right over
wasting five
$20,000 per home to install Broadband I
mean this guy's a hero uh and and he did
that when he was in office under Biden
and all that crazy corruption and grift
this is a picture of Mike Johnson and
his wife it this is a crazy story so
there was a G7 Summit in Italy and Mike
and his wife had was seated beside my
father-in-law Nat's dad at a dinner they
got to know each other he as a proud
grandpa showed Mike and his wife
pictures of natad and myself and our
kids and how we actually met in this
moment was his wife was like oh my God I
recognize you you're Sergio's son-in-law
you're Sergio's daughter it's amazing
and then we had a cool conversation so
that was cool and then this is Bill py
who is nominated to run fhfa which for
folks that know will be in control of
the conservatorship of Fanny May and
Freddy Mack and really great guy also a
co-investor with with me in Mr
Beast
not oh you're an investor in Mr Beast
there you go this is Mr I did the series
a this is the first time I think you've
said the here's this thing so this is
where jcal is at his Peak go ahead just
play I don't even know what this is go
what what is that what did you order all
right um I've given it some
thought and I'm going to order the
$95 do
Soul the $95 D soul
your tips included in I
mean we were just having such a great
time uh tearing it up I did order the
$95 do this is a oh sorry oh that's
that's me and Bobby Kennedy but this is
a this is walking into the capital for
the inauguration oh wow so you basically
you have to get off all these buses were
taking us in because of the security and
then you walk underneath and underground
to get into the and this is Bobby and
the guy right there c means another
great American make America healthy
again all right here's a couple of my
picks this is um me with somebody who's
going to be in the administration I'm
not big on politics but um telsey gabard
is Gab she's so strong she went she came
to our party this is the picture of our
party she is incredible well she came up
to me and she you know you can always
tell who a real fan is and she up I just
want to tell you J C I am a huge fan of
the Pod I love what you do I love the
you know balance should bring to the
program she really liked new details
about the podcast and so I wanted to get
a picture with her so as a joke I said
to her do you want to take a selfie I
said I'm okay with the selfie she goes I
was going to ask I was like no I'm
preemptively asking we took it together
funar she I think she's gonna be great I
like her a lot she's such a star oh well
yeah this is hello I am Lex Freedman
today with love and peace in my heart I
am interviewing dictator ID Amin who has
eaten half of his enemies we will share
love kindness and a fatty liver
enjoy so yeah that was us just tearing
it up after the YouTube party where we
hung out with Sundar and Neil from
YouTube they've been very good to us and
then here's one more I guess one more
and golfer Bryson dambo oh there's me
and the uh Presidente uh Twitter and
yeah this is the podcast crew at the
Free Press party okay let's talk about
key takeaways Chamas what is your big
takeaway from the weekend I think my
biggest takeaway is
that if you look in the
past there was a very tight coordination
I guess I would say between Private
Industry and the private sector and the
public sector meaning the president and
then people who were in charge of
managing huge vast swats of resources in
America and somewhere along the way that
became either unfashionable and uncool
particularly under
Democrats and what I saw was a very
broad-based
Embrace of business people because I
think that the president understands how
important it is to make sure that
economically America is just firing on
all cylinders the one thing to remember
like for example in the inauguration I
know that you saw the picture and it was
basically like
meta Google Apple Amazon Tesla kind of
CEOs Etc Founders Arno was there mukash
Amani was there so it's just business
people from the entire world were there
and so I think what it says is America's
G to basically turn a totally new page
we're not going to ostracize people
we're not going to play favorites that's
the other thing you know Elon was there
right at the beginning but if you saw
all the CEOs of the you know major
companies were there it's not like he
excluded Zuck because of his past issues
or anything or Sam Alman or Sam Alman
that was the biggest more notable one
yeah to exclude yeah that that the
president doesn't play favorites that
this is like Team America kind of thing
and it was a projection of tremendous
power to the rest of the world this is
what America is about I loved every
minute of it and I think that this is
exactly how the American government
should be working which is hand inand
with Private Industry to basically set
the pace for the rest of the world Thom
did you have a takeway after the weekend
I did I'm curious what you guys thought
but to me what was notable from Scott
Besson the new treasury secretary he was
asked in one of the exchanges about the
green Energy race with China and he
reframed the debate I thought incredibly
well where he said we're not in a green
Energy race with China we're in an
energy race with China that's right
right and he made the point that China
is adding 100 coal plants it's adding
nuclear and to me it was kind of just
137 gwatt Hydro facility which is
exactly unbelievable and it was such a
good framing of the debate because I
think chamath to your point it's about
reframing the right issues right and I
think that just that little piece of
dialogue to me is exemplified you know
and was a really important takeaway and
I think more of what we'll see over the
next coming year freeberg did you have a
takeaway coming out of this there was
just so much it was so impressive to be
there I definitely Echo the sentiment
about seeing the strength of America
represented between the entrepreneurial
engine that has driven this country for
250 years and the government that's
meant to serve the people working
together to try and take America forward
it was just really inspiring um the one
thing that was the biggest kind of
observation for me which was a bit of a
disappointment unfortunately is I feel
like Doge and cost cutting
is going to be a lot harder to realize
than folks assume uh nearly everyone I
met with who works in government or is
entering
government had this if not disdain for
Doge a concern that it doesn't really
align interests with the political
objectives of politicians that they need
to get more stuff for their constituents
in order to get reelected and that
they're not going to vote programs away
they're not going to vote themselves out
of a job which is effectively what they
would do if they cut programs in fact I
was watching Brook
Roland's secretary a confirmation
hearing this morning and Mitchell
Connell was given the opportunity to ask
her questions you know what his question
was he said in the last farm bill I was
able to get $60 million to build an a
research lab at the University Kentucky
and it hasn't started being built yet
it's been four years what are you going
to do about that this is literally the
intention of so many of these
conversations if you sit and watch and
then I watched a similar conversation
with a senator from Minnesota who you
know I I won't get into all the the
statements but every single conversation
you hear and we even talked with Ted
Cruz about this is all about great by
the way I love Ted Cruz it's all about
excellent It's all about what can I get
for my constituents how do I get more
jobs and how do I get more money and
ultimately that incentive is what gets
people elected and I don't think it's
going to change and so that was the
biggest kind of shock for me I thought
that there was a moment of the
importance of cost cutting the
importance of deficit reduction the
importance of debt reduction and I was
just a little saddened to kind of see
that that there's no stop in the train
so that was my takeaway it's a little
bit bitter I hope I'm wrong I really do
hope doge is effective and I really do
hope that policy makers start to
recognize the importance by the way R
Doo has a new book coming out we'll talk
more about his book once it's released
publicly but it speaks very clearly to
the challenge the United States is now
facing with respect to spending so I
know I've talked about this I know we
all felt like there was a big reprieve
with this election but for me it was a
little bit Bittersweet can I I say a
little bit on that first topic that I I
just want to double down on that because
one of the things that some folks said
and I guess it makes sense now that you
think about it but when you look at the
confirmation hearings there are certain
folks For Whom the resource allocation
is relatively modest inside of America
they tend to just do much better in
general and if you saw Marco Rubio's
confirmation process there was you know
it was like 99 to zero right and to your
point what what they say is that folks
that actually allocate the internal
spending in the United States gets a lot
more scrutiny because there's all of
this horse trading because they want
some of this money to get allocated into
their specific area it is going to be a
very complicated thing the the one thing
though that changed I don't know if you
saw but Doge was meant to be outside the
offices of the government and it wasn't
actually a government department and
it'll be interesting to understand when
it's explained but in the 11th Hour the
EO that established Doge established it
actually as a governmental agency yeah
we're going to get into that uh in just
a moment and um you know to build on
your point there Dave Senator Sanders uh
had a tweet today Nick I just sent it to
you already the discussion of like who
should take the brunt of these Cuts is
starting to happen and he's pointing out
you know as he should and you know hey
what's going to happen with the VA and
you're you're putting a freeze on hiring
people we have to make sure our vets are
taken care of we have a shortage of
doctors a short of of nurses but we do
have people you know responding to him
saying hey how are we going to pay for
all this so even if it's going to be
hard to do it's going to take courage
because you're going to be faced with
situations like this where does anybody
want to see va's budget cut and these
veterans who are coming back they should
get all the services in the world and
these hard discussions are now happening
and it's not taboo so the Overton
Windows wide open now to discuss even
the budget of the VA and where is the
money going to come from so I think
we're actually going to make progress on
it the this was like a sacred cow and
now we're we're talking about it uh to
the to Bernie Sanders point I don't know
if you saw there was a note on there
Nick community notes pointed out that
Trump put that none of the cuts should
impact vets and so I thought that was um
a good use of community notes there the
one comment I'll say about burn Bernie
Sanders is when Russ vote who is the
nominee to run om went through his
confirmation
yesterday Sanders asked a similar
question around Medicare and Medicaid
and what was interesting is Russ tried
to actually answer the question and give
the details around where they can be
waste Fraud and Abuse Sanders really
didn't want to hear it he just wanted a
sound bite so I think these confirmation
processes are
performative they're hugely performative
yes I do think that and this applies I
think to both sides Democrats as well
when when they are eventually in power I
think that when you're given a very
clear mandate as a president I think you
should be able to get to pick your
team because it's clear that the
American people have voted an agenda
it's not like he hid that agenda and so
the people that then want to implement
that agenda should be put on the field
it seems like the point of these should
be if somebody could get compromised or
there was something really gnarly in
their background like but otherwise yeah
let people build their team and then
they have to own their results tell us
about your feelings and takeaways about
the weekend well you know it's obviously
mixed I was a never Trumper and uh now
I'm rooting for him wholeheartedly to do
great
work hon you kind of like him come on
you do kind of like anybody who met
anybody who interacted with Trump before
you go your diet tribe just say it just
say you like him there are aspects I
like about the platform I like probably
80% of the platform and I will tell you
today that 20% I don't like I'm always
gonna call balls and Strikes but you you
kind of like him just say you kind of
like him you do like him I like 80% of
his platform this time around him him as
a person you know I there's things I
really don't like and I'll talk about
them today but anyway let's put inside
the the personal thing doesn't matter
what matters is what he does for the
American people and like you I know you
can't say it yet but they're deep down
inside you like Jak to be there you had
I have to say I had a lot of
fun Republicans are fun I will say
Republicans are fun fashion was off the
hook off the hook lot of great fashion
and it was great America beautiful again
my gosh I mean listen I no more jogging
pants and and white get rid of it
Burn It To The Ground B what I'll say my
takeaway was you know as somebody who
had concerns and you know I'm just I'm
not going to make the show about me but
the
important thing for me is who is Trump
going to lead with this time around is
it going to be the people from the sort
of 1.0 movement or the 2.0 movement
there was not a 1.0 person couldn't be
be couldn't be found couldn't be found
and so to like on the margin one or two
and and they were not the focus and who
you put in the front row speaks volumes
who do you put in the front row Sundar
Elon Zuck Lauren Sanchez he's got his
priorities straight here Lauren Sanchez
the priorities were very clear as to
what's important for this Administration
and I'm fully behind all of his
priorities both of those priorities all
those priorities seem incredibly
important to me you're such troll I mean
I don't want to troll too much but
that's the big takeaway for me and if
that is you know indicative of where he
wants to go with this which is business
first we're proud of our leaders we're
proud of innovation I think he's
sticking to it did you see him on at
Davos today he did a a I mean this guy's
got you know just crazy energy who mle
Trump zoomed into Davos and just dunked
on them for 45 minutes he did yes and he
just destroyed everybody at their dying
conference in their irrelevance as they
genuflected begging him to
come next year did you see the photo of
the half empty conference room to yes
you know most of the events were were
just empty chairs crazy it's it's
irrelevant I mean these people are
irrelevant now Thomas you guys remember
when Davos used to be a really big deal
is it debt I think it's worse trth I
think it's a counter indicator now it is
and there was a good conversation
yesterday greme Allison who spoke at our
Summit was on this panel and they
basically said we lost they won do like
our group here at davo is lost it's over
yeah and they're no longer to your point
on the right side of History they said
we had a point of view on the future we
believe we were going in the right
direction and everyone told us in this
last couple months that we were wrong
the gentleman by the way that spoke
after Grant was was also very good this
is incredible this is the greatest
comeback in political history of a
politician and then therefore he thinks
he can do anything we need to also
factor in not only who won which is
Trump but who's lost which is to say us
and then he has a whole the guy has a
whole long monologue on why they lost
and what they lost which I think is
pretty relevant that that you know kind
of elite if you will has been replaced
with a populist vote and a populist
leader all right let's get to our docket
today and just want to give a special
shout out we did our Inauguration live
stream and it was awesome and fun
special thanks to air call Abra and hyms
Thomas if you've ever got an issue with
weight or you know other issues that men
have you can go to hymns and use the
code Allin to get something hs.com Allin
I want you to write that down Thomas
okay in case you have have any any
issues uh that's what makes you think I
haven't already I well it's anything's
possible like I mean maybe we could talk
I mean are you on the chws or the pills
which one anyway we'll talk about it
offline but that's a full head of hair
it is a really incredible head of hair
thank you all natural baby it's great
it's great do you put what product do
you put in it yeah you put sea salt or
you got pomas what are you doing
allinone allinone PR shampoo plus
conditioner one bottle easy no but you
don't you don't use any product
afterwards none Jesus do you blow
yourself or do you have it
blown a question both but in this case
it's you know like Cuba Gooding and
Jerry Maguire I air dry baby oh air dry
gotta so when you're dry driving to that
Santa Monica office you just put the top
down on whatever convertible living that
full lifestyle okay yeah this is where I
I do have to admit unfortunately after
the after you appeared on the summit I
had all these women they were like oh my
God Thomas lefont is so good-looking and
I was like no he's not because I'm very
competitive in Zero Sum when other men
around me get but you were the Smash Hit
and then I figured out it must be the
hair and also the glasses I think the
glasses were a huge hit it looked very
Clark ksh are they are they real glasses
or you wear the clear ones to get the
extra intelligence points only time I've
ever been stopped in the street in my
life in the
Presidio a very nice lady tapped me in
the shoulder and said I loved your
all-in talk that's never happened before
so that says more about all-in than me
but the reach is
increasing it's a little bit by shout
out to Akash Singh who joined us on the
um live oh yes Akash was hilarious thank
you AOS filling in our Dei Department we
lost Cham and they sent AOS so he did
great get him back to gessos absolutely
yeah there's a moderator slot open so
he's going to be absolutely if you know
anybody who knows science all right in
our first topic president Trump smashed
the record for day one executive orders
26 in all beating the prior record of
nine by Uncle Joe Biden and no other
president signed more than one EO in day
one since the Federal Register started
tracking this in 19 1937 let's go
through them if you want to comment on
one we'll stop and pause or we can just
run through them gentlemen Doge
officially was established and uh people
are making note of the Doge SWAT team
Doge will assign an agency head to each
Federal agency the agency head will
build a four-person team this will
include an engineer an HR specialist and
an attorney it was separately announced
that v um was leaving Doge to run for
governor of Ohio fascinating interesting
I don't know if anybody's got a take
there they suspended the Tik Tock ban
for 75 days there's a lot more to get
into this so we're going to break that
down a little later TI to yeah okay
we'll go right to that in a minute the
January 6 pardons they pardon, 1500
January 6 participants including some
that savagely beat cops very
controversial we'll get back to that in
a moment ending Birthright citizenship
this is a controversial one that is
being fought legally those born in the
US to illegal immigrants would no longer
be considered citizens if this holds up
the birthright
citizenship is codified in the 14th
Amendment and 22 state attorney generals
have already sued over this executive
order so it might be a performative one
energy unleashing American Energy we're
going to dump into that one jump into
that one for sure and then federal
employees a hiring freeze and a full
return to office and the hiring fee
doesn't apply to military immigration
enforcement or Public Safety and then a
regulatory freeze on regulations
gentlemen where do we want to start Jan
6 Tik Tock Doge TI Thomas you're our
guest where do you want to start I'm
happy to chat about Tik Tok okay as we
mentioned earlier Trump extended Tik
tok's grace period by 75 days Trump said
he wants to get a deal done he also said
at a press conference that he'd like the
US to own 50% of Tik Tok and that it
could be a trillion dollar
asset that's unique and interesting he
was also positive about the idea of Elon
possibly buying it or maybe Larry
Ellison or anybody so he wants to make a
deal what are your thoughts Thomas on
what should happen with Tik Tok and what
will happen I don't know what will
happen but I do think it'd be
interesting um to share you guys we were
in we are investors in Tik Tok okay we
invested back it was obviously just a
Chinese company and investing in China
was very different back then but what
resonated to me when I met the founder
and he just had a very simple idea which
is his view was if I have a piece of
content and it's a great piece of
content how can I have it be shared and
his view was that if you share it on
Instagram the only way people see it as
if you had you know a lot of followers
and so he just had a really simple idea
and he said what if I take every piece
of content that's uploaded into the
system and I show it to at least one
other user so no matter what that
content is at least one person will see
it even if you have no followers and
then based on whether that person views
it or how long I might show it to
another user and then a third and a
fourth and it was such a revolutionary
idea and it really resonated with me at
the time and it just goes to show how
we're in an idea business and when you
have a truly revolutionary idea it can
get really big and so the the whole
Genesis of Tik Tok came from that really
simple concept of your content will be
shown and if people like it it'll be
shown to a lot of people so obviously I
mean if you look at Tik Tok in the US we
can just kind of very back of the
envelope look at the math right so if we
look at daus mother blue or meta as we
love to know the Facebook hat roughly
right has about 200 million
daus in the active users for folks who
don't know the terminology yeah correct
right so if you look at Facebook blit
Instagram you'll see it's about 200
million daus
and you can look at the time spent
what's interesting about Tik tok's time
spent is the daus are about half of
combined meta in insta so we get about
100 million daus in the US but the time
spent on the platform is the equivalent
of Facebook plus Instagram so obviously
um incredible not just scale in terms of
daus but also on time spent so if we
think about okay well what what would
that mean the business is worth so if we
look at meta today the market cap is
roughly 1 and a half
trillion I think internet investors
generally assume that roughly half the
market cap is
us so if we take the one and a half
trillion maybe that's 750 billion right
now we know that the time spent is
equivalent but the daus are half so
maybe we cut the 750 in half right that
would tell you that the max value would
po you know if you monetize the way meta
does and ranted the way zck does might
be 3 75 billion for the US asset alone I
think from that point you know you kind
of start to apply a couple discounts
right one is if that's my kind of
long-term value what kind of return
would an investor want potentially to
get to that 375 you know is it 50% so
maybe you cut that by
50% and then I think the devil would be
in the details what are exactly are you
getting are you just getting users are
you getting the algorithm are you
getting data right so maybe you also so
want to apply kind of a more kind of
severe discount to that but I think you
put it all together you know is 100
billion a reasonable
scenario you know I think the math
proves it and then could it be a
trillion dollar asset the way Trump has
mentioned I mean in a world where
Facebook's one and a half right and the
penetration of Tik Tok in the US is 50%
of what meta is I don't think it's
unrealistic so let's see what happens I
don't have any particular Insight on
what will happen but what I do know is
that it's an incredibly valuable
franchise so let me ask you the the
obvious question people are looking at
this and saying wait you're going to
take 50% of your shares and in this case
we actually have somebody here who has
shares so are you comfortable with the
government seizing 50% of your shares I
guess is one way to frame
it well I don't know I mean first of all
there's there's kind of no deals so it's
a little bit hard I can tell you that he
proposed so if in that scenario would
you yeah we never attributed much value
to the you know the Tik Tok us asset in
the sense of our our analysis was always
based on the value of the Chinese
business specifically because it's just
hard to know what the you know the Tik
Tok asset ex China would be worth right
is it worth zero because it's so
compromised regulatorily is it worth a
lot more it's just very very difficult
to know so we always took a very kind of
conservative view of really looking at
kind of the Chinese and you know some of
the other assets as the core value of B
Dan the holding
company ultimately what Tik Tok happens
I mean it's the classic when you try and
sell a company what's the value where it
depends is there one bidder or five
biders right is the government the only
uh bidder for that asset in that case it
kind of will indicate a value of x or
are there other companies that
potentially could be an acceptable
bidder to both sides
well the Trump deal though is he's
saying the government the United States
government the citizens of America would
get half of the company so that would be
the equivalent of you get shares the US
company yeah so what do you think of
this proposal because this seems like
unique in all the world so if in order
to have it spin out and maintain half
your shares would you be willing to give
all of us the government the citizens of
the United States half your shares well
I mean if you think about it what what
what did we
we learn that it might just get shut
down and be worth zero right so in one
sense anything that's greater than zero
by definition is kind of better right I
think
ultimately it will kind of come down to
does the government want to be the only
bidder for the asset or would the
comfortable would the government be
comfortable with either Elon owning it
and merging into to X or Microsoft
owning it or you know what
let me ask you a question can you just
tell the audience a little bit about
because you guys have been involved as
investors in China for a long time I
would love for you to share behind the
scenes what has gone on with respect to
being an investor in China in technology
over the last couple of years what has
changed and why and what goes on today
you guys made a fantastic investment in
by dance which is the parent company of
Tik Tok you've made other incredible
investments in China are you still
investing in China if not walk us
through what happened and why I think if
you look Dave at most of our virtually
all of our investments in China were
Chinese companies catering to the
Chinese market right right and there was
a massive trend of a very significant
economy that was adopting technology
right and so we can think about whether
that' be
smartphones companies like you know
Huawei whether it was companies like
Matan that were doing food deliver or 10
cent that were doing gaming and so you
know all our approach was basically
based on these companies and by the way
a lot of them were public which is what
people don't remember shath you may
remember but 10cent at one point was a
public company listed in Hong Kong the
market cap was 200 million yeah I do
remember so wow what was interesting
about it Dave is a lot of that played
out by do was an early IPO right so a
lot of that trend of Chinese companies
catering to the Chinese market really
kind of played out across public and
private markets for over 20 years y I
think to me what's significantly changed
over the past five
years is technology really became a
matter of National Security and I don't
think that when we were early investors
in Matan right that we necessarily
viewed that as a national security
threat as an example right and I think
as you know companies got bigger
as AI kind of came to be it became
pretty obvious that there were National
Security implications and you know our
view as investors is we don't set the
rules of the road we rely on government
and Regulators to do so it was pretty
clear I think to obvious that the
regulatory regimes were changing in both
countries and so for us as investors you
know we were just well we're just going
to follow what what the rules are and
what the governments are so my only kind
of regret through this whole thing is
and I don't know any you know if you
guys had kind some exposure to this but
the quality of the entrepreneurs that
came out of that era was
unbelievable strong cohort yeah
absolutely when you think about the the
founder of Matan Wanga and just how
brilliant he was and what he's done with
that franchise and not just doing food
delivery but also the software operating
system for restaurants right is truly
incredible Pony ma from 10cent right it
it was such an incredible group of
entrepreneurs they were a lot of fun to
be around they were excited and
passionate about bringing technology to
their
country and you know I and is it
over yeah hard to know I mean if you
look at the capital markets I mean you
can see we've not seen a tremendous
amount of innovation right or or new
companies kind of coming out so I think
the key question is you know is it a
pendulum and you know does the Chinese
regulatory regime kind of move one way
and then it kind of moves another way or
is it kind of fixed in this state is it
your Reed is it correct to say that the
CCP wanted to stop this extraordinary
wealth creation by a subset of
individuals in the country that this was
kind of becoming too much of a
capitalist enterprising system and
challenge some of the foundations of the
CCP is that what was going on and why
this all got throttled back I mean is
there or is there something something
else some other kind of you know
security I don't really know Dave
because as an investor it's you know
it's not a regulatory regime that you
have any interaction with right you're
really talking to the entrepreneurs and
you're kind of reflecting off of their
energy and their business ideas right so
we would meet businesses and we would
meet Founders and if if the idea was
kind of interesting to us we would kind
of fund it right so it's a black box in
some ways you know in terms of a market
to invest in you only have a limited
amount of
information and after Jack I mean you
got to think after Jack ma kind of
disappeared for a couple years if you're
an entrepreneur and you want to like the
message was sent the message was sent
message received and then you start
thinking about chamama you know what
Trump just did anding just did you put
those two things together Trump put all
of our top guys Top Dogs on stage here
they are it's the exact opposite of
China the message is very clear and it's
what Thomas said like technology is a
national security imperative and so
we're going to embrace these guys we're
not going to play favorites we're not
going to pick one and not the other
we're not going to have Summits and have
you know the founder of an entire
category not be invited that's just it's
honestly it's patently stupid and
immature and that's what the Biden
Administration did picked favorites yeah
and that is dumb based on the
implication and importance of technology
I just want to go back to the Tik Tok
thing I want to make three points one is
from the past I'll give you my sense of
the Tik Tok thing and I'm going to make
a prediction for the future
in
1984 the way that lvmh began was through
a deal that Bernard Arno
architected there was a business owned
by the French cotton King Marcel busac
and inside of that Empire was Christian
Dior long story short his Empire was
crumbling and Arno did a deal where he
bought that dying business essentially
from the French government for one Frank
fast forward now 40 Years of very hard
work and tremendous execution that's a
$350 billion public company now imagine
back then in
1984 if the French government actually
had done a deal where they said we'll
sell it to you for 50% of whatever you
build take it for a dollar but we're
going to own 50% of The Upside and you
know they would have an extra $175
billion
today I think that that's very important
in terms of what is possible today I
like Thomas's math I believe it I do
think it's about hundred billion asset
but at the end of the day the president
was very clear that it is completely and
entirely worthless without his permit
and he wants to own 50% of this asset
now if you're a buyer of something
you're not going to pay1 billion do if
you control whether it can exist or not
you're basically going to pay today's
equivalent of Frank which would be
$1 now I'm not saying that it is going
to be a dollar but if the United States
Treasury wants to hold 50% of an asset
that could be worth a 100 billion or 500
billion or you know maybe a
trillion it would make sense for the
United States Treasury and the United
States people to own that at effectively
zero so I think that the incentive is
there and I think he has essentially
said that he is going to do the best
deal in his interests which is the
United States
interests which I suspect means a price
that is as low as possible approaching
$1 and ultimately won't this be the
Chinese government's decision because
they could always say you know what let
it die maybe but my my point is it may
not be a dollar maybe it could be 25
billion maybe it could be 10 billion but
my point is I find it very hard to see
how it gets to the actual value that it
is today so then I think let me just
make a prediction for the future future
there's a question that this raises
which is does it make sense for the
American
government to be a little bit smarter
going forward about how it allocates
incentives and resources the American
government is still the largest single
land owner in America we give
concessions to private companies to
drill to build
things and it just turns out that if you
apply this example more broadly wouldn't
it make sense where when you create
incredible economic incentives and
upside for private investors and
investment for some portion of that gain
to go back to the American people is
that a bad thing I don't think so for
example if you said we're going to
accelerate permitting for all these data
centers we're going to make any form of
energy which was the opposite of what
the Biden EO said on his way out the
door he had all these conditions but if
the president president Trump's CEO on
data centers says any kind of energy but
we want to own a 5% Royal
and we allow you to put it on federal
lands or 10% or
15% would it really change the
underwriting that Blackstone and all
these other companies will do I don't
think so would it enrich America I think
so would it make it easier for people to
feel like they're participating in all
of these incredible gains I also think
so so my prediction is that this becomes
more of a template for the future it'll
be less about permitting it'll be more
about creating incentives allocating
those incentives for a share of The
Upside and I think that there is a
really strong economic argument for
America to do that you know trath to
build on that people don't remember but
Tesla got $465 million from the
Department of energy that was called the
atvm program which was the advanced
technology Vehicles manufacturing that
was a very Visionary program at the time
Visionary but it but it took no equity
but it didn't take equity and that was
dumb so dumb they should have gotten
some portion of equity some portion of a
loan Tesla did so well thanks to Elon
and the team hard work they paid it back
early they paid it back early that's how
well they did if they had owned 10% of
Tesla but 10% yeah I think the president
has has has sniffed this out by the way
this but and and you may not think that
these are related but when he said that
he's considering eliminating federal
income tax and funding this thing from
tariffs and he just had a press
conference today where he's inviting
every single company to come and make
things in the United States because he
will create economic incentives to make
it here cheaper but if you make it
abroad and bring it in here he's going
to charge money and a tariff all of this
are part and parcel of I think this
broader economic realization and unlike
20089 and 10 when we were allocating
money or 2020 and 21 and 22 where we
were just sending money out the door
with frankly no consequence and no
accounting this time around I think he's
got some incredibly sharp business
people this is by the way the upside of
having folks that have actually been
successful in the real world working
inside of government is they're going to
help them get to this realization and I
think it's a really good one I don't
think Tim Tim Walter my only push back
to you chamoff on that would be I just
think it's a dangerous game for the
government to start picking winners you
know I wouldn't for example if it owns
50% of a Tik Tok does does a
disadvantage a meta as an example right
and I do wonder is the value capturing
mechanism for the government taxes
essentially right so the the the way you
capture the the right the portion of the
value creation of these companies is
through a tax system and I do think we
just have to be careful of the
government all of a sudden picking
different companies to win you know I do
think having a good set of incentives a
Level Playing Field let the competitive
dynamics of different companies fight
each other and then capture the value
through taxes I think you're right and I
think that that part is absolutely
fundamental but I think there is a way
to architect this for example you have
these rfps that by Design have to be
published in the open source and
available for anybody to bid on my only
point is just to say that when there is
an ultimate winner why not have a small
stake in the upside look at the amount
of money that the doe gives in Grants
I'll give you an example you know one of
these companies that I helped start a
few years ago to make Advanced Battery
materials we got a $150 million Grant
I'm very appreciative of that Grant but
if they also asked for five or 10% of
the equity I would have still said yes
of course you would have yeah it's a
great deal and why not give a little
upside to the taxpayers I agree with
that by the way a parallel to that would
be Spectrum right if you think about
Wireless right kind of got built the
government auctioned off spectrum and
then allowed public you know private
companies to kind of come and bid on it
and you know so there there's a lot of
different interesting mechanisms you can
bring to that yeah freeberg which would
you like to go to next well I'll just
wrap on the Tik Tok
sure I do worry a lot about the predent
being set here with respect to foreign
government actions on us companies in
their in their local countries imagine
the CCP tells Tesla they have to sell
their Chinese operations and give 50% of
the Chinese operations to
the Chinese government because of their
concerns about security where Tesla is
now able to track Chinese citizens
driving around and where they are and
you can see very quickly how this whole
kind of overall I think presentation of
the security risk that we face with Tik
Tok and therefore we will shut it down
or own it creates I think a counter that
could really hurt American companies you
could see this going to Google to Apple
to Tesla even food manufacturing
companies that have operations overseas
where local governments say hey we need
to for local security purposes we need
to take ownership of your business I
think one of the things that's really
benefited Americans in global trade is
our ability to sell and Export our
technology our goods and our services
around the
world through open trade and I do think
that we've used this kind of Tik Tock
security thing to say this is a
rationale for us doing this as a one-off
but it also opens up a lot of other
people to say this is a oneoff and so
I'm just generally very wary about this
whole Tik Tok situation opening up a can
of worms you're 100% right and by the
way the ccp's done it already they did
it to Apple and if you follow what
happened when they introduced iCloud I
don't know if you remember gcbd
gcbd is the Chinese
state-owned data company the cloud
provider there and they just told Apple
we get all the data and they just had to
roll over and all citizens in China who
use an iPhone in order to use an iPhone
in China your data is owned by the
government period full stop and apple
had no choice but to do that so you want
to if you want to play in a certain
Market you got to play by the rules the
thing the thing to keep in mind here is
I hear all of these kind of like
theoretical qualms about how it's unfair
but this stuff happens all the time and
it's just that we don't benefit from it
so Jason brought up an excellent example
with Tesla the other example just to
remind you guys is during the pandemic
the Federal Reserve stepped in and
started buying commercial corporate
bonds they own a ton of like Ford bonds
so that these things wouldn't default
there's all kinds of action all the time
where the federal government is involved
in private companies my point is if
you're going to be involved have some
Legacy ownership on the back end of it
so that in case this stuff really works
that it's
broadly value creating for more
Americans I think it would create a way
to deescalate this Sensation that a
people are winning and everybody else is
just kind of staying still we should
talk about Stargate and the AI project
because I do think it tees off on one of
the Jan 6 though okay but it does tee
off of one of the other kind of
key things that I heard a lot about in
DC and I know Thomas is passionate about
like I am which is energy electricity
capacity buildout in the United States
because it's critical and like building
AI infrastructure means that we need to
build energy infrastructure all right
and so anyway yeah we'll go we'll go
right to that after we wrap up these um
we wrap up these executive orders and I
too wanted to talk about January 6th uh
just to give people the update here JD
Vance had said that the people who
committed violence on January 6 quote
obviously shouldn't be
pardoned and this's a parade of people
who are on the Republican side who are
coming out against how president Trump
handled this I think you you all know
where I would fall on the side of it
what are your thoughts on this where do
you where you fall on it you know I come
from a family of cops and I feel like
he's betrayed the blue on this one and
you know if there are people who I think
he should have taken his time with this
it is possible that some people had
sentences that were too long uh the
justice
system you know is imperfect in our
country and the pardon power is there I
think specifically to do a very granular
job of looking at each case right and so
I think we have to look at pardon power
generally after what we saw the Biden
family do and now we see Trump doing
this so I think the the pardon power is
not being used as it's intended it's
being used politically Now by both
parties so I'm trying to call balls and
Strikes here but you know as somebody
who's in law enforcement a family that's
in law enforcement and My Chosen career
was to be a cop and an FBI agent and you
know just looking at it it's just
heartbreaking to see people beat cops
and then be Trea as Heroes treated as
Heroes and some of these people are very
dark people you know the the the
oathkeepers and some of these people are
extremely violent and they're coming out
now after this has all been said and
saying that they're going to double down
they're going to buy more guns and that
they're going to get their retribution
and so I think you have to be really
careful with violent people that you
give them you know this coronation and
that they were Justified because they'll
go do more violent things and so I
understand he made this promise to
people I think he should have been very
granular in doing this I totally
understand there could be people who got
sentences that were too long and I would
would have liked to seen him do this
thoughtfully this was not done
thoughtfully I have a certain amount of
Goodwill towards the new president and
this has lowered it I knew that this
would be really important to you so I
took a few minutes to try to collect my
thoughts I've been kind of walking
myself through it since
yesterday this is not an explanation
other than to you Jason my friend about
how I think we got here okay so I just
wanted to take a few minutes to EXP
explain that to you I think that before
you can look at January 6 I think you
got to go back to what happened
during the covid lockdowns and what we
started to see in a bunch of these
liberal cities talking about BLM riots
the BLM riots the antifa riots what
happened in San Francisco Los Angeles
Seattle
Portland the lawlessness that you see in
places like New York the decarceration
movement and I think that what started
to happen
was a
sensation that
for the same weight there were different
measures
so for example if you start to look at
some of the deportations that are
happening now it's really quite shocking
I sent Nick a clip of them Nick you can
just maybe show the first few seconds
but you are talking about some
incredibly incredibly violent offenders
that were just walking randomly down the
street I'm not going back to Haiti one
of those threats is this illegal alien
from Haiti I says he's a gang member
with 17 criminal convictions in recent
years you feel me yo Biden forever bro
thank Obama for everything that he did
for me bro there's more after this but
there was like a rapist that they picked
up in Boston there's a person that was
charged with
assault so there was this sensation
Jason that was building up for a long
time that all of a sudden the law was
being applied in very odd ways where
depending on what you did you would get
adjudicated in totally different ways
based on your political affiliation or
your leaning or based on the desire of a
district prosecutor to go after one
thing or another let me just pause so
that's that's sort of like the thing
that was sort of building and cascading
I do agree with you that I think January
6 is kind of like a stain I I think
there's nothing to be proud of there but
I think what we found out since January
6th is somewhat important I think the
first thing we found out was that there
was a bunch of these folks whose
convictions were very speculative I
think the Supreme Court already ruled
that in June of last year it was like a
63 vote that said at least 350 of these
convictions should probably just be
thrown out so there was one body that
was that then there was a whole bunch of
them where to your point you took a
misdemeanor you trumped it up to a
felony you had all kinds of you know
things where procedural motions were
denied for the defense approved for
prosecution and you had sentences that
didn't match the crime and then you have
a president who frankly was the subject
of lawfare himself so I think that what
would have been better was a more
methodical approach to this I agree with
you but I do think that What's Happening
Here is essentially a moment where we
can close this entire chapter and we can
get back to a focus on observing the law
and adjudicating it equally for
everybody and I think that that's
probably the best way that we can all
deal with this because I think that
there was a bunch of Pardons that were
100% obvious and then there was a bunch
that were just you know had to be done
because the court was perverted in how
they dealt with some of these folks then
there was a small number and I don't
know the exact number to be fair Jason
where these folks did some really bad
stuff now it's also mixed with this
thing where there was a bunch of
informants then there was a bunch of
folks that were the informance stuff
have to wait for that to come out
because that's in conspiracy cor for now
my point is I just went and I collected
that as a way to try to explain to you
how I appreciate you understanding my
passion on it and and want to how we got
here I think it's sort of like I'm well
aware of it yeah I think we got to put a
pin in this and
say both sides should now have enough
experience to say we're going to apply
the law equally to everybody forward
from this moment out let's just go
forward and not look back I think that's
the best thing that we can all do let's
hope I'll just leave you with this the
the proud boy leader
Enrique Terio this is his quote on
getting out I'm happy the president's
focusing not on retribution and focusing
on success but I will tell you that I'm
not going to play by those rules they
need to pay for what they did these are
some seriously bad ombre the proud boys
and the oathkeepers and so don't be
surprised if they do something worse I
want to talk about the citizenship thing
and I just want to just provide a little
color for people I'm sure that there's a
lot of folks that are listening who have
people that work for them that you know
maybe the birthright thing if you came
here illegally and had a child you get
to be a citizen just to be clear this is
going to the Supreme Court and just to
put a little bit of color on it in the
14th Amendment there's this very
important part that says Birthright
citizenship is is applied to people who
are subject to the jurisdiction of
America
and for a long time that phrase was not
really considered in how the Supreme
Court administered the 14th Amendment I
think what this EO did and the lawsuits
that happened almost instantaneously as
a result will now send this back to the
Supreme Court very quickly yeah and
people will opine on what that means so
if it means nothing it means that if you
are here however you're here and you
have a child they're going to be a
citizen of America
if that
qualifier is now part of the
administration and the interpretation of
the 14th Amendment I think what
president Trump has written is what will
happen which is if you are here
illegally it doesn't apply if you are
here under a Visa that necessarily means
you're still subject to the jurisdiction
of somebody else it may not apply but I
think the Supreme Court is going to get
to decide this in pretty short order
okay a couple more issues I want to get
to on the docket sorry let me just make
a quick comment on the um oh sure Dave
go ahead the uh January 6 I I'm I just
generally don't like this power of
Pardon agreed we saw what Biden
did he gave I mean how many thousands
Nick you could pull the number up but
000 8,000
Pardons and I feel like the original
intention of the power of Pardon which
is in the
Constitution was meant to kind of
protect the the civility in the Union at
times of you know we need to kind of
come back together and realign ourselves
and it has been so far abused beyond
that original intention it's almost like
feels like an extraordinary Injustice it
almost gives the president the ability
to rewrite the law that many of the kind
of actions from the executive branch can
simply supersede the actions of the
judicial branch which is really meant to
protect and execute the law of the
nation and I think it's gone too far it
feels like there's a necessary amendment
to address this that these presidents
can come out and preemptively pardon
people for things that might be found in
the future because they're close with
them it has nothing to do with the
original intention if you go back to the
arguments for the pardon being in the
Constitution you can see that Alexander
Hamilton wrote deeply about it in
Federalist Paper number 74 and in that
paper he talked a lot about and
emphasized that the justice system which
is designed to be fair May occasionally
result in overly harsh or unjust
outcomes and the pardon allows for acts
of Mercy to correct these situations
there a lot of these sorts of actions
that we saw happen with with Biden do
not fit the bill for that
definition I will tell you there's a
quote from Federalist Paper 74 from
Hamilton it goes as follows in seasons
of insurrection or Rebellion there are
often critical moments when a well-timed
offer of Pardon to the insurgents or
Rebels May restore the Tranquility of
the Commonwealth so to counter my point
Hamilton's argument is that when the
nation is divided the act of the pardon
may actually help bring the nation back
together as may have been the case with
respect to the January 6th but it may
not necessarily be about or Justice or
Nixon and it may not necessarily be
about justice but is much more about
restoring Tranquility of the union and
allowing the nation to move forward even
even though it may not seem just it may
be the right thing for the nation so I'm
not trying to defend the action or
defend the pardon I really don't like
the act of pardoning as a kind of tool
that's being used in aund different ways
and it certainly seems like it requires
change so yeah and just um programming
note here research note 6,500 people of
those
8,000 seem to be convicted of marijuana
possession uh possession or they were
paron then then then the law should have
been changed and the courts should have
overturned all of those convictions it
does not necessarily need to fall and it
shouldn't fall on the executive branch
to take that action the courts need to
do their job and the legislators need to
do their job I don't disagree but I
think there is some compassion in the
Parton concept for how long do they have
to wait for that yeah how long do you
have to wait for that you know and then
like the people who were you know
convicted of selling dime bags or having
an ounce of weed on them were black and
brown and then all my white friends who
started
weed companies are now taking them
public in Canada so shout out trau all
right let's keep moving here I think we
we we've we did some good job here on
the reconciliation on the Pod where do
we want to go next Stargate project
Stargate Stargate starg Stargate
Stargate and energy yeah Stargate
energy so here we go and I'm gonna go to
to Our Guest here Thomas Thomas anything
on January six are controversial topics
like smoking weed but you want to jump
in on there no okay great sure L your LP
just
breathed hey you're coming on the all-in
podcast when is LPs they they're going
to be so happy but then when when they
hear the j6 they're just going to be
clenched waiting
for to end oh wait hold on my mic went
out oh never mind I missed it okay all
right it was well said honestly I don't
have anything to add you guys you guys
summed it anything on Lauren Sanchez's
uh outfit okay let's continue another
big story from week one we are literally
not even three or four days into this
it's going to be a crazy four years
according to open ai's press release the
Stargate project is a new company which
intends to invest 500 billion over the
next four years building new AI
infrastructure for open AI in the United
States freeberg we got to find out
what's going on here with the Stargate
movie and TV series if they got IP
permission to do this SoftBank and open
AI are the question I mean I'm just
thinking out loud and we have to talk
about where this ranks on your list of
great sci-fi and top 40 top 40 sci-fi
okay right up there with the Star Trek
original series and the Next Generation
SoftBank and openi are the lead partners
with Oracle and mjx also participating
Oracle Nvidia and openai will build and
operate the infrastructure Microsoft is
sort of involved although we'll see
about that Mas yoshian was at the
announcement he's going to be the
chairman however Gavin Baker and Elon
both called cap on X saying they don't
actually have the money Gavin did some
back of the envelope math and of course
as always Sam and Elon have been spicy
in the replies Sam is hurt Elon is
dunking it's it's just their
relationship is so
fluid Microsoft CEO Satia nadela jumped
into my thread with Elon saying he was
good for the 80 Bill and then he was
ready to build other products and
services and that was what was important
what do you think here Thomas is this uh
are you an investor in open AI I guess
let's get that out there or in xai just
so we know where you're coming from here
if you're talking your book but uh I am
an investor in open Ai and uh okay so
there's three points I want to make here
go Point number one going back to the
origins of the of this podcast and you
know sitting watching both Public Market
investors and Venture investors you know
one notable difference is you know I
think Venture invest ERS tend to be very
tribal so if you're in One Tribe You Are
by definition not in another and you
know I think there's a lot of kind of
domain specific reasons for that you
know for me as my legacy as a public
market investor I'm very comfortable
being both you know Pro open Ai and pro
Tesla and Pro X and so I just kind of
caveat that kind of you know as a first
point my second point is can we do a
slight detour on masa for one minute and
I'm curious to get your guys's opinion
but yeah is Mas the goat because when I
started in the growth business I met
with Yuri Milner and he said Thomas you
get in the Hall of Fame if you can have
one deal that gives you a billion dollar
return I.E you know whatever you invest
plus what you take out is a billion
dollars or more and he actually kept a
Tracker in his mind of who had made
those deals and what share he had and
Etc so let's go to masa for one minute
Masa is the hundred billion dollar Club
yeah okay and not only that he's
actually done it twice he did the first
time with SoftBank and Alibaba which at
its peak was a $200 billion win and I
think he ultimately netted like 80 plus
billion out of it so that's one he did
it again with arm that he bought for 30
and now is sitting on a gain of 100 I
think 35 billion and he could have done
it a third time with Nvidia if he hadn't
sold I mean guys there's nobody like him
there's no incredible you're 100% right
you got to give the man flowers he is so
I'll tell you what chath I am never
betting against Masa ever because you
got to give the man credit for what he's
done and so now let's go to kind of open
AI you guys mentioned we we do own some
open AI I am bullish on open AI which I
guess is now a uh
counter Against the Grain kind of view
but guys my point of view on open eye
and the reason I'm so bullish is really
kind of chat GPT and I do think when
open a gets you know we do conf it does
have different businesses right it's got
the model business it has the API
business and then it has the chat GPT
business right and if you look at the
downloads maybe Nick bring up the charts
but it is really interesting to watch
the market share of Chad GPT versus
Google uh Gemini and grock this is both
in the US and international it really is
a dominant kind of franchise right it is
maintaining 80% plus market share you
know J Cal if this was right sharing
right would say wow this this company is
the winner right so to me I think the
the quality of the chat GPT franchise
right I think they disclosed 300 million
weekly actives over a million Enterprise
users it has become a core part of my
own
workflow you know I have it on my phone
I have it on my desktop I use it all the
time I can't even quantify the value
that it brings it's so important for
what it does for me so
and I do think that it just keeps
getting smarter every query that I ask
uh it learns more about me it learns
more about our system so I do think the
chat GPT franchise inside of open AI is
one of the great most successful fastest
growing kind of stories so that's kind
of the underpinning of my kind of open
AI thesis you know on Stargate
specifically look I think the real
question to me isn't whether they have
the 500 billion right because we know
that the 500 billion could come from
Equity it could come from Masa if you
look at Gavin's tweet by the way he does
caveat it right saying that assumes that
Masa doesn't want to sell arm and soft
bank right so I'm not sure just Le up
and use debt correct so you have debt I
I think to me the real question guys is
do we ultimately believe that you can
get an Roi on that 500 billion because
if you can there will be people that
will want to fund it
right you can do data center by data
center you can do it actually at the GPU
level right so the financing is there to
me the the 500 billion doesn't scare me
from an absolute number I think the
question we you know really have to ask
ourselves is do we believe that the
market is big enough that the
opportunity is big enough that investors
can get a return on the 500 billion I
think I think you so to me that's the
real question I think you framed it
perfectly and since you bring up ride
sharing and the 80% there I you know I
really think that's an important thing
to to take a moment to um to settle on
because in that case you didn't have
Uber being challenged by Google
Microsoft and Elon Musk you know at the
same time in a digital product as
opposed to a real world product and so
you know when I use gemini or xai and
chat GPT and I use them all daily and
Claud the difference the difference
between the products right now is really
narrow and
I think you know if the equivalent would
be somebody who had a 100 million cars
on the road already competing against
Uber which you know doesn't exist or
didn't exist at the time so that that I
think is the the way I look at this as a
slightly different type of race I do
believe the chat GPT franchise has some
is worth something but I think
Enterprise folks when I talk to them
want the open source product most of all
so anyway I think it's still anybody's
um I think it's anybody's game right now
and I don't know how you get a return on
500 billion invested in this that that's
the other thing and I don't know if
that's the real number free BR what do
you
think I don't know yeah this is out here
in some crazy I think guys the way these
things happen right is you don't you
don't fund it all Equity UPF front right
I think these things get funded Facility
by facility data center by data center
across four years right and to Chamas
point it's not just equity it's you know
sight level debt and Etc right it's a
complex capital structure to these
things but look we live also in a world
right where I was just kind of looking
at this chart the kind of cloud capex
chart right and we know that in total
2025 capex for the top five players in
the US is going to be 312 billion right
so that's this year that's in one year
so we can also kind of frame this and
saying hey does that number make any
sense versus what others are spending um
it's at least kind of in the order of
magnitude right when you think about
it's over four years by the way another
really interesting kind of coral are on
this point is the US internet companies
spend 20x what the Chinese companies
spend on
capex really interesting as we think
about our competitiveness right uh Dave
to your point it's not just power it's
also kind of
compute I mean pretty powerful that
you're spending 20x what your competitor
is on these kind of Advanced
Technologies Jam how do you how do you
how do you look at this I think that
value and money are correlated in some
Industries like real estate or heavy
industry but I don't think that it's
very correlated in
Tech and I tried to say this in my tweet
I don't know Nick can you find this
tweet where I was just talking
about the Deep seek model so what did we
see last week we saw a model that got
released by the Chinese under by the way
a totally you know open source MIT
license that you can run on a laptop and
it turned out to be as good as open ai's
01 model so a couple of versions old but
the point is that this model cost
millions of
dollars and was able to compete with a
model that took billions of dollars to
train so my take away from that was that
these costs are falling really
precipitously so that's sort of my one
observation is spending more money
doesn't necessarily get you further
along if the goal is progress and I
think that that's very true in what
we're learning about AI because we're
learning as we go along so then I think
it just brings up this question of what
is the point of saying all these
grandiose numbers and this is where if
you look at a different industry like if
you if an oil company came into the oval
and said they were about to spend 500
billion you kind of know that it's real
because you know what these things cost
and you know what the entire
infrastructure will be and you know
so we know we know what goes on yeah so
the deeper the oil is in the ground and
the harder the rock is that you got a
break through to get there the more you
have to spend so those numbers become
very grounded in reality if you were a
rocket company and you wanted to build a
rocket and send it to Mars you can also
be very detailed in what the costs are
and you can assume some amount of
reductions of scale if somebody said
you'd have to spend 500 billion the
thing is that when in this world it
seems that there are these advances that
are are happening that allow you to do
things cheaper and cheaper almost
overnight by spending 1 1,000th of what
you spent even 6 months ago I think the
spending money part to be honest is more
of a gimmick than it is a technical
commitment so I guess if they want to
spend the money go ahead but it doesn't
actually tie to whether they're going to
be able to make custom vaccines whether
they're going to cure cancer so I kind
of thought that these things were just
joint and so my takeaway was entirely
different it was not a commentary on
mosa or Larry or Sam I think all of
those three companies are frankly very
good it was more a comment
that you have to be very careful to
protect the president's Legacy if I were
them to make sure that the things that
get announced are actually further down
the technical spectrum and are actually
going to be real because if they achieve
these things but it costs you a billion
dollars and you only hire 50 people
there's going to be a little bit of gone
the face and so that was sort of my own
takeaway I think that the things were
decoupled it just seemed more marketing
and Sizzle and kind of hastily put
together it was definitely yeah put
together mean yeah you got that sense
but I think it would be great if if open
AI Builds an another incredible model
whatever comes after 03 04 05 but it's
not clear that you have to spend 500
billion to do it you know I think people
are playing to what Trump likes which is
a big number and which is his influence
on growing the number so there was
specific details where Masa said you
know you I I told you 100 billion you
challenged me to get two I came back
with five right and so this is the sort
of trump ethos is hey we're going to
swing for the fences in a way you know
you could be critical of it and be like
well Trump's a BS artist or whatever or
if you're from Silicon Valley you could
say Hey listen he's moonshot it he's
going to just shoot for the stars and
get the moon so if these guys wind up
spending 50 billion or 100 billion and
more competitive more power to the
question I had was you know was did
Elon have any insight that this was
happening probably not from from the
reaction on I bet he did you know I
think you're I have no Insight either
but I do think if you were going to be
critical of trump that he was putting
his thumb on the scale for any one
company or individual this shows that
he's not it's an open platform the the
Trump Administration is an open platform
highest bidder gets to come to the White
House whoever spends the most whoever
buys the most military you know buys the
most ammunitions from us you're going to
get your time in the white house it's uh
this is a capitalist country this the
greatest one in the world equal
opportunity anybody one of the obvious
the obvious consequence of this data
center and Chip infrastructure effort
which is obviously going to happen with
or without government involvement is an
increase in electricity demand Thomas I
know you've got some slides do you want
to pull those up and and show them
because I think they're something I've
talked a lot about on the show which is
the difference in uh electricity
production capacity in the US versus
China historically and then
prospectively going forward ultimately
as I've talked about in the past right
the us today is paying roughly you know
call it one and a half to 3x the price
per kilowatt hour for electricity in the
United States over what China's paying
we
have I believe half of the electricity
production capacity of China they're
adding more the cost to add is is on10th
of what our cost to add is call it
1/10th to 1 half our cost to add per new
gwatt of production capacity everything
is in the wrong direction and ultimately
if Ai and automation are the critical
factors for economic growth going
forward and electricity is the critical
input to that we are hugely
disadvantaged and aren't going to catch
up it seem like you've pulled this
analysis together which kind of
indicates the same if you think it makes
sense to walk through this now yeah yeah
I'd be happy to I mean Dave you're 100%
right if you think of the GPU as the
atomic unit of the future right and and
the key competitive advantage and and
the key kind of uh ingredient you can't
power a GPU without a Data Center and
you can't use a data center without
power so I do think at the end of the
day it really comes down to the grid and
it comes down to power so I think that's
kind of constraint number one I other
you know the other thing Dave that I
think is really important is in an
inflationary era you do not want to
increase or have this industry be
perceived to be increasing electricity
prices for the consumer right so somehow
we need to add capacity we need to make
it so the consumer kind of doesn't go uh
Bonkers by having their bills go higher
and um we can Nick run through a couple
of the slides but the data shows exactly
kind of your point Dave right which is
we basically did not invest for a very
long period of time right in our grid
and China did and if you keep going we
can kind of run through these a couple
of times but that wasn't always the case
you know during kind of like the postor
War II boom era during the information
age you know we did invest and we did a
lot of it and then suddenly in 2000 we
just kind of stopped and this is
globalization you're saying is why we
stopped exactly right we start to of
that that we didn't have factories we
didn't have factories so we didn't need
as much power what's the reason we
didn't invest or we didn't need to I
think we just outsourced a lot of our
hardcore manufacturing you know indust
the USD industrial correct that's no
equals no need for additional
electricity now the new factories are
h100 factories we need back or AI
factories right and um and by the way
the way to think about it is almost like
a subscription business on a net ad
basis right yeah so this this makes it
even more Stark right because this is
kind of net additions and it just kind
of speaks for itself right and just just
read the numbers out so the audience
that's listening can can get a sense
here yeah I mean you can see I mean
since 1985 right the Delta roughly
between China and the US is what's the
quick math like it's almost 7x right in
2000 the US and China were both roughly
a th000 ter hours today the US is
1600watt hours and China is 9,000 tatt
hours yeah and this is just an
extraordinary ramp up relative to
correct on AI side the there was a Biden
EO last week I spoke about this on
Tucker because it happened the day I
went on Tucker but the EO basically said
we will allow
the
permitting of power plants on federal
lands to power these AI data centers
which started off like a very
intelligent EO but right in the second
paragraph started to talk about Dei and
all this other stuff and how you have to
have a certain percentage of it from
certain sources but just today it looked
like President Trump overturned it and
now it's full steam ahead if you have it
permitted then it's all about just get
the power however you need the power
which I think is the smart decision back
to your earlier Point like we are we are
in a race here in your analysis Thomas
can we do this without nuclear no can we
catch up without nuclear okay in fact we
can't and uranium I think you can speak
to that
better one of the really interesting
parts I mean you can see by the way
just the the
percentage of nuclear it kind of needs
to go
higher I don't know if you guys have
been following this stock in the public
market guys called Constellation Energy
oh yeah it's a really interesting
idea what's interesting of what Amazon
and Microsoft is they're actually
signing deals directly with these
companies right to do what's called back
behindth meter right types of deals so
they have Direct Energy access to your
point shth on the Biden
administration at the end of last year a
deal got
announced publicly announced that
federal agencies were also Contracting
directly now with ceg to power some of
their um facilities and even though the
in total the number was small we took it
and I think the market took it as a
clear indication right that the
government even under Biden was
acknowledging that nuclear is the best
path forward so you know we expect and
we think just the trend generally
towards nuclear energy is going to
continue it's been proven in China it's
been proven in Europe I think it will
show
to be a key part of the AI kind of arms
RS you know over the next 10 20 years
yeah this is to me kind of the story in
one slide right which is if you look at
basically the nuclear capacity in the US
it's basically been flat
for 25 plus years right ridiculous 90s
yeah right and so when Scott Besson was
asked are we in a in a you know Green
energy arms race with China he was
thinking about chart number on the right
right which basically shows how much
nuclear China has added right over that
time period and so I think it's it's
pretty clear what the answer is I think
China is leading the way in that measure
and I think we need to follow yeah well
and I think what's really important to
note is over that same period of time
Thomas we're in a different era on
nuclear than we were when we had Three
Mile Island and you know prior to that
Chernobyl we have new uh Gen 4
technologies that are meltdown proof
that have a totally different
architecture where there isn't a setup
where you have runaway heat and
ultimately a collapse of the uh the
reactor and a release of radioactive
material which is what happened at
Chernobyl these new systems which we
highlighted on the show a couple of
months ago like the pebble bed reactor
that's been in production making
electricity in China are incredible new
te technology architectures and they're
here and they're running and China's
rolling out dozens or hundreds of these
and the United States is rolling out
zero and that needs to change and I
think we only have a couple of months to
get the engine stood up that will allow
us to make the material that will allow
us to make the production technology
needed to actually deploy these stations
to try and have a shot at catching up
and if we don't we're going to be hugely
disadvantaged on an energy cost basis
we're going to be hugely disadvantaged
on an ability to actually deploy AI
technology competitively that's Key by
the way you also can look at France
right my my home country uh not known as
a technology leader but 70% of its
energy of its electricity comes from
nuclear but France held the line right
when Europe tried to really deprecate
its use of nuclear Germany did but
France held the line yeah it's too
important jamat you know it's 70% plus
so I I think it's there's examples it's
doable and I think now with AI it's a
matter of National Security National
Security
and that du tail into Fabs right which
is obviously another key component which
is a short term for Semiconductor
manufacturing facilities
right which is another in my opinion
keyst strategic area that we need to to
ramp up in the US the thing that I
noticed about that chart is the trend
line I mean look at how fast they're
building these and this is where you
know I don't know what government
incentive we need to create or what tape
has to be moved here but if we can't
build you know multif family housing in
some states like this nuclear is g to
really need to we're going to have to
figure out a way to change that trend
line freeberg yeah I mean what what
would it take to to build these nuclear
power plants at an accelerated rate I
will tell you that there is a lot of
capital and I we mentioned this last
time a lot of intellectual capital in
the United States that's eager hungry
and ready to get moving on buildout
the only thing that's challenged and the
only thing that's holding it back is
regulatory challenges regulatory
roadblocks and if those get removed
through emergency action I I view this
to be more of a national security threat
frankly than the Border I think we need
to get energy increased in this country
in an accelerated way for the United
States to even be in a position to be
able to challenge China with respect to
manufacturing and AI in the decades
ahead and the United States needs to
consider this an emergency emergency
declarations may be needed to drop the
regulatory road blocks that are keeping
the proliferation of electricity
production in the United States at Bay I
think it's time for that sort of action
so I think that's the only thing that's
getting in the way so we have the tech
we have the physics we have the will we
have the talent we have a blocker and
the blocker is regulation and that
regulatory blocker needs to have
leadership in
government to remove it am I summarizing
correctly here that's right and look you
have an energy Zar that I think is very
aligned with that intention in in Doug
beram obviously we have this big AI arms
race that's underway we have an
Automation and Manufacturing demand
which will massively increase energy
demand in this
country and we have I think a
deregulatory Administration the the
stars are aligned and I think that this
is a moment where this could happen sh
or Thomas what's the downside to
removing the regulation and going for it
and building this extra capacity can can
we Define any possible downside yeah the
downside is the the amount of time it
takes to adequately build these things
properly the thing that China has had as
it's as Thomas's chart shows is Decades
of practice in building things safely
and quickly we can build things but we
haven't had the practice to build them
either safely or quickly because we
haven't built any so that's a
complicated thing to just that's a valid
concern
if there is any resistance resistance to
this Thomas what would be on the top of
that list just theoretically how could
anybody want to block this what would be
the
resistance one other element guys I
think you know that we are blocking the
ability of China to get access to the
latest gpus right and the whole point is
we don't want them to use to develop
systems that could be used against us
but if China if one day China had 10xr
power capacity it won't even matter
right because they'll just have so many
more whether they're not quite the same
Advanced gpus or not they'll just have
so many more of them their industrial AI
capacity will be so much larger that
even if we have the best h100s and the
latest technology that Jensen and others
can provide it won't matter so in order
to make our strategy effective we need
to be able to to build this power
base I think it's a very astute Point
hey um chth I don't know if you've been
watching Netflix but I am a shareholder
and I am delighted I don't know what's
going on over there but they seem to
getting be getting their subs right and
that disra of a fight seems to have
somehow driven the stock price up and
there's some strategy that's working
over there maybe you could just um Riff
on it for a moment I have the opposite
take
okay yeah I mean it's obviously a very
good
company I think it's been incredibly
performant but I think it has like a
little bit of a dark commentary
on American society and productivity so
I asked Nick to just put up these three
charts I'll show you the first one so
this is the Netflix stock price from
2010 to 2020 and it's only gotten up
since 20124 okay
okay the only reason I did it at 2020
was because the the other data I went to
the CDC and I said well show me the
percentage of people Americans taking
ssris over that same period for
depression depression anxiety Etc and
what you see that it's also gone up and
then the last chart I went to the US
Bureau of Labor Statistics and I said
what has happened to the labor
participation rate over the same
period so I'm not blaming Netflix but I
think that this is a bit of a commentary
on sort of what's
happening in
society it's a little bit of a leading
indicator where as the company does
better and better the reality is that
that company wins by being a sync for
people's time it's where you go to
Netflix and chill it's a phrase that
that we all understand but the the the
dark underbelly of it is that there's
just a lot of people that are a little
bit more dejected there's a lot of
people that just opt out and and just
don't decide to work I think you could
graph the fertility rate and it's gone
down ratably as well so it's it's all of
this
soup that is about people living in a
life that that unfortunately just
doesn't
exist so I mean it's a well-run business
and I wish them all the best at some
level but at some other level I think
it's a commentary that as this company
does better and better there are more
and more people that are that are living
a shell of what their life could be so
cause and correlation uh aside obviously
correlated these is not causal you know
yes Netflix is not causing depression
but it's just a it's just a thing and
there's other things that obviously you
can put on this plate
sure but that was my reaction is I I
just think that the
more time
people are sort of detaching and and
plugging
out the more that you're going to see
these companies that provide ways of
distracting yourself do well I'm not
sure that Society benefits what do you
think Thomas opio for the masses or just
the golden error of
television what I'm curious chath is you
know how much of it is a substitutive
effect right away from kind of
traditional
media right I mean I've kind of looked
at it different ways that at least the
way it's measured you know time spent
watching television has not really
increased over 20
years to me it's more a reflection of I
could overlay the stock chart of you
know Fox and Comcast and you know CBS
and just have all of those have imploded
I think people have been kind of
substituting right away I I think the
the question then that you have to ask
is is there a reason that maybe the
Netflix product is fundamentally more
unsafe or detrimental to someone's
Health than the prior broadcast well you
know the one thing that I would say is
and this is not a Netflix commentary but
a general commentary which is online
products versus linear products have the
power and the benefit of this
algorithmic targeting and
personalization and I think that what
Netflix has successfully figured out and
a bunch of other products have
successfully figured out is that you can
hypertune to what people think they
want but what people think they want is
not necessarily what they need I think
when you had linear television you kind
of had to take what was given you didn't
love cheers but you watched cheers you
didn't love saying elsewhere but you
watched
it now it's that you can go into a place
where the thing
really feeds you and it gives you a very
visceral feedback loop and you can stay
there binge watching something for an
entire weekend and what didn't I think
the question is what didn't you do yes
necessarily didn't work out necessarily
didn't eat well didn't spend time with
friends and by the way I'm not saying
that I don't do it I've done it as well
like our group chat one of the
interesting things when Jason like he
he's very good about television and
stuff he says this series is amazing our
other friend Goldberg does the same
thing it's hard for me to not start to
start it and then not end it it's
addicting yeah but I have to really
check myself because then for those two
days I'll be tempted to not leave my
bedroom my my kids are like where's my
father and so I I I think it's it
happens to all of us yeah it's just a
thing that again I'm not trying to pick
on Netflix I'm just trying to say
societally I think we want people that
are vigorous and engaged in the real
world
and you know there needs to be a balance
yeah I uh wholeheartedly agree and I
think you have to schedule these things
you have to make it a permanent part of
your life playing poker on a certain
night of the week doing certain things
on the weekend with your kids having
certain rituals you know the the the
real damage to our kids is not that the
screens are damaging them it's that it's
replacing time I think which you you
were alluding to there Thomas this this
anxious generation as Jonathan hate and
we we had a great interview with him
myself and B in the Allin interview
series that is what's happening kids are
substituting whether it's Tik Tok or
Netflix or YouTube time for time with
their friends time doing physical
activities so you really just have to
limit the screen time so that those
other things in the boredom can emerge
and we will be having a talk in the
coming years about
dopamine it is something that these
algorithms have gotten really good at
doing which is firing your dopamine
every time you swipe that Tik Tok every
time you get to the Cliffhanger in a
series or you know Mr Beast video not
singling anybody out he's just a master
of it as well they're just all really
good at giving you that hook that
amazing moment uh and music musicians
are doing this now too with the hooks
and then the hooks go on Tik Tock the
dopamine addiction when you get burnt
out late at night getting those dopamine
hits the next day you feel depressed
then you go to a doctor and the doctor
said oh you have uh you know depression
so here's your Wellbutrin or here's what
whatever the I don't know what the the
the the things are of the moment I'll
just tell you what I focus on and what I
focus on with my family sleep hygiene
diet exercise
meditation do these four things and you
will reverse these Trends you don't need
it and listen I don't want to tell you
what to do medication's hard for kids
but I get the first three you know what
try it get the and listen I'm not
talking about book here app it has for
kids when I was growing up I grew up bud
my father would make us sit there at
9:00 every night and my sisters and I
would have to say this Buddhist prayer
and then he would make us close our eyes
for 15 minutes and he said meditate and
I was like I don't know what meditation
is but I was forced to just keep my eyes
shut and I would just Daydream but I I
suspect that there was like some
reasonably grounding value in that so I
get what you're saying I just have such
a negative connotation from it I've
never been able to come back to it
because of that experience but I would
just Daydream and by the way what I
dreamed of was getting out of that house
I was like I got to be you got a vision
Vision came to you I I got to manifest
some success here because this sucks Hey
Thomas thanks for coming on the show
great first appearance here as zesti
would' love to have you back unless the
king returns at some point you're the
best you should come back and you should
also come back to the all in Summit come
back for both and I know we still have
some some great topics like hotan and
others that I want to get to someday so
well that's actually when you come back
which we will do at some point in the
next few months I would love for us to
double click into hwk T so what for
folks that are listening wait what we
were going back and forth Hawken is the
CEO of broadcom and the reason when he
when Thomas brought this up hey guys
let's double click into
broadcom and the CEO the reason why I
was excited is that it is the only
trillion dollar company that nobody
talks about everybody knows Nvidia
everybody knows Amazon meta but broadcom
is a 1 one two trillion doll business
and it started basically through a whole
series of rollups anyways we'll double
click into this with you because I think
it's this is not the broadcom we're all
thinking of from the Telecom era is it
it is yeah Henry Samui yeah
correct I will leave you guys with a
with a
teaser to tease the next episode when we
talk about it and I'll tell you the
story that when Hawk bought broadcom
jcal to your point broadcom is the priv
of Orange County founded by Henry
Nicholas and Henry Samui kind of Legends
and semiconductors a legendary name so
it meant a lot to them that the combined
company aago was buying broadcom keep
the name broadcom and so Hawk being who
he is you know got a little bit of a
price discount to name the company
broadcom to him that was a great deal
that's who Hawk is he's a great
businessman but what is the ticker of
this particular company avgo and so I
said hawk why is the ticker still avgo
and you know what he said to me turn to
me said Thomas they forgot to negotiate
for the ticker
oh never forget the ticker interesting I
mean when when he started it was what
was the market capup 3.5 billion chath
it was an Not only was it an orphan
because it was it was a spin out of HP
it was a spin out of a spin out of HP it
was a double orphan 300X look at this
yeah is Last 5 Years the market Cap's
grown by 8X nvidia's grown by 20x but
you know Intel over the last five years
is what down
70% so you know I think there's a big
Divergence Thomas do you think this is a
function
of well I don't know if it's
directionally investing in the right
things or is it about like making
long-term Investments and thinking down
the road I mean obvious the compounding
Advantage he's an m&a Master this this
is less about there was a product that
won and more of a portfolio approach and
portfolio construction but did he buy
did he buy well ahead of the the curve
did he buy Over the Horizon Thomas like
that where Intel really missed I think
Intel really missed it's a complete
abdication of corporate governance at
the board level and the co level hey
guys breaking news story coming across
my feet I don't know if you can pull
this up Nick but there's a video
trending on the internet apparently an
executive order has just gone across the
president's desk and it was delivered by
none other than a gentlem David Sachs I
now there's a name I haven't heard in a
long time EO we're going to be forming a
internal working group to make uh crypto
to make America the world capital and
crypto under your
leadership which is really going up
right
absolutely here we go
whoa look at
this what he's using a Sharpie there to
sign these executive orders oh sax gets
to keep the pen there it is an executive
order I love how he holds them up it's
so great I wonder if s gets to keep that
they might not be excited but we're
going to make a lot of money for the
country thank you sir and so is
David oh you're reaction
jaman I think this is
great so we're going to make crypto
great again I'll be a little bit more
specific so I think that there are a
handful of ideas that if we can
Implement them
correctly are really
revolutionary I think that it's good to
have a stockpile of crypto I have less
of an opinion on that I think a set of
stable coin rails that makes payments
instantaneous and
Costless is an enormous acceleration to
GDP it would cut
fraud and I think that David's going to
go and figure that out and he's you're
talking about stable coins specifically
stable coins I mean I I talked about
this at the beginning of the year as my
sort of one of my predictions but I do
think that the United States stable coin
rails will be hugely disruptive and
value added he's going to have help from
the head of the SEC and the head of
Treasury to do it I just think it's
great I think saaks is already off to a
a hugely fast start the entire country
knows that we need to win the AI race
the the numbers are the numbers you put
up a chart like that Thomas
there's only one way for us to win and
that's to build more nuclear power
plants and so I think he's just got to
hammer this through and let's see who
tries to stop it I don't know if AOC or
Elizabeth Warren Pocahontas Bernie
Sanders who wants to jump in front of
this Trump train right now but I think
you get slaughtered if only there was
somebody who could comment on this
executive order that's what I need you
know chamath if I had the bat phone if I
could call somebody who call phone a
friend who would you call I don't know
you know I had my Saxy poo was always on
speed dial we used to hang in between
we'd have these great battles here on
the Pod then we go play chess together
we go have some drinks at the battery
but you know that was a different era
and you know I don't got my boy anymore
he's busy oh do we got right everybody
thanks for tuning in to the Allin
podcast I'm your host Jason calanis we
will see you next time bye sorry what
there he is there he is he's back back
to reclaim his seat it's yours home we
miss you buddy you look so handsome
going to cry 61 days not my bestie we
miss you were you just in the Oval
Office I was just in the Oval Office
first time in the Oval Office let me ask
you a
question was that your first time in the
oval well technically it was my second
but how was it sucks how's it been so
far it's pretty incredible yeah it's
really been pretty incredible well tell
us what are The Vibes and what's it like
to go in to the Oval Office and to have
that executive order sign TI us tell us
what the moment was like and then tell
us what's in the executive order well we
actually we did three executive orders
today so we did one on crypto one on AI
and then one on pcast which is the
president's Council of advisers for
Science and Technology the one on crypto
I guess we can start there the main
thing it does is it forms an internal
working group with the goal of making
the US the world leader in crypto so
it's not one specific action it's
basically authorizing and creating a
working group with the goal of achieving
that objective right and the members of
this working group are going to be
there's me there's the head of the SEC
the Secretary of the Treasury and all
the agencies and departments that have
an interest in crypto so we formed this
working group I'm actually chairing it
or I will be and again the goal here is
to to
identify and make
recommendations that the Departments
would then take back and they could
execute and just again with the goal of
making America the world capital of
cryptos the president of set of Davos
today and then the other two sex yeah so
that's crypto next one's AI so the the
number one thing that that EO does is
resend the the Biden EO which we talked
about on this podcast I don't know how
many episodes ago but remember it was
this 100 page monstrosity of burns some
regulation and the president had
promised on the campaign Trail to repeal
that and he did so it got rescinded
actually there was a master EO on Monday
that contained dozens of Biden era EOS
that got M rescinded this one provided a
little B more detail on it basically
said that that EO was UN necessarily
burdensome it said that we want to be
the world leader in AI in fact it uses
the word dominate you want we want to
basically have Global dominance in AI
and similar to what we're doing on the
crypto side it directs the creation of a
AI action plan and that study will be
led by three people the National
Security adviser who is Mike Waltz the
director of the office of Science and
Technology policy who will be Michael
ctios as soon as he Senate confirmed and
then the third person is me so the three
of us are going to work together on this
AI action plan and the idea is to figure
out what is it that the industry
actually needs to make us number one
globally in AI
so it's putting a little bit more
substance behind like what this what
this R ro means and the last one is to
build a science Council I don't know if
everybody's familiar with that so maybe
you could just describe what that is
generally for the audience well pcast
has been around for a long time I mean I
think it's you know been around for
decades and the the goal of pcast is to
assemble a group of top Science and
Technology Minds to provide the
president with advice so this was
already announced but
basically me and Michael ctios who I
mentioned before is g to be the director
of ostp we're going to be co-chairing
that and this is an EO that provides the
authorizing language to set that up and
then it provides some direction around
what pcast is going to do I think some
of the language that freeberg may like
is just it talks about the the need to
return to kind of truth-telling in
science and kind of getting away from
from woke science the AI order discusses
this as well we don't want AI models to
be ideologically biased an agenda I
don't know if it uses the word woke AI
but that's basically what it's talking
about we want AI models to be as
politically unbiased as possible well if
you need a recommendation for somebody
for the council I know somebody who is
extremely well versed on science he's
got a broad array of science knowledge
here here yeah I have an idea then we
could have two besties in the in and
around the White House hey well you know
thanks for including us in in so many
aspects of the weekend and the audience
really wants to know what are the chance
an we we get uh Sachs back on the Pod
now and again in 2025 um and we do
appreciate the sacrifice you're making
we're doing it right now but the
audience uh is you know not going to
just accept this little drop in here
they want to know what's the long-term
plan for David Sachs in the Pod and
what's happened like with media overall
in the administration now that
confirmation hearings are underway Sachs
and closing out does that mean folks are
going to be able to get back on social
and things that they were kind of
restricted by over the last couple of
weeks sure but I I think that you know
if you're working for the White House
there kind of needs to be a reason for
you to be out there because you don't
want to be making news that you're not
supposed to so in the case here today
the president signed these executive
orders on crypto and
Ai and they want me explaining them so
it makes sense for me to go out there
I've got a appearance on Fox Business in
about an hour to talk about the EOS as
well so that might come out before this
pod comes out but you guys are the first
ones I'm actually talking to but so
there's a reason for me to come out and
do it and I think that there probably
will need to be a good reason for me to
come on the Pod but I'm going to try and
come on the Pod every chance I get all
right well this is our appeal to djt to
let you come on and just chew the fat
and and and maybe there's some upside to
it for him do you miss being on the Pod
sex oh yeah sure of course we miss you
so
much look I'll be back back don't worry
some point are you a little emotional
right now SX what are your favorite
memories from the inauguration weekend
well the inauguration ceremony itself
was really pretty spectacular you were
there in the capital jamat yeah it's
funny Jack and I kind of took our seats
and there were aunda like kind of in the
back in the peanut gallery and I thought
that's where I was going to be sitting
and then somebody comes up to me and
says uh Mr saxs we have a seat for you
up up front and so they put me on the
you were with the big boys yeah it was
like the Secretary of State the
Secretary of Treasury and then me you
know and then we were just we were
behind the the Trump family you may not
have seen me because those Trump kids
are pretty tall but um that whole family
is very tall so I kind of disappeared a
little bit but in any event they put me
on the deas which was really pretty
crazy I wasn't wow I didn't realize that
yeah it was a huge honor there was a
shot where David and Jacqueline were in
the front they looked amazing and they
were kind of looking around H for where
to sit and I was like this can't be
right because there he must have had
like a name so it's good that it all got
sorted out but what was the vantage
point from your side basically you're
looking out yeah I mean I was looking
out and you know I could see the faces
of the Democrats as the president came
out you know President Biden and KLA
Harris they didn't look too happy no I I
wish they had a fixed camera on them the
whole time I wanted to see their
reaction shot side I've seen some of the
reaction shots you know hey just just I
mean that was really unique to have uh I
I mean I thought that that speech was
really incredible because well first of
all it was completely consistent with
everything the president had said during
the
campaign and so you really felt like he
he has a mandate here because this is
everything he said during the campaign
it remind me a lot of there's that
famous quote by by Abraham Lincoln that
public sentiment is everything with it
you can accomplish anything without it
you do anything and it really felt like
that inauguration speech was full of
substance but it was substance that the
president had delivered on the campaign
Trail and so when he won this Victory
where he only won the presidency he won
the popular vote he won seven out of
seven swing states he won the house he
won the Senate it really feels like he
has a mandate and I think he reiterated
that mandate in his speech and then of
course just the the cherry on top is
just that you know the losers just to
sit there and and listen to it well
kudos to them for coming out and keeping
the tradition yeah well yeah and when
he's talking about the corrupt
establishment that tried to put him in
prison through this law fair I mean he's
talking about some of those people who
were sitting behind him I just thought
it was remarkable a remarkable moment
that was a crazy visual do you want to
take us back sacks on how you because
you haven't talked about this publicly
but how did you end up I guess getting
the offer for the role deciding to take
the role anything you want to share
anecdotally on on the the path to get
here I don't know that there's that much
to report you know I was helping with
the transition I got offered the the
role and decided to do it so I mean look
it's not something I was expecting or
planning as you guys know I didn't even
know there was going to be such a role
but when they they decided to create it
and they offered it to me and so I
decided to do it you know just one thing
I should clarify just to make clear is
there's still some things I can't do yet
in the role because there's a whole
government ethics process that you have
to go through and I'm in I'm in the
midst of that process so we've signed
these it's given
me certain responsibilities and
authorized me to do certain things and
that process is going to begin as soon
as I complete this um I guess you call
it onboarding so just to be clear about
that there's things I can do there's
things I can't do I can kind of be in
listing mode I can't be necessarily
shaping policy yet so that's all going
to be worked through over the next
couple weeks all right sax I got to ask
first time in the
oval what's going through your mind yeah
great question my was on a swivel you
know one of those moments you're like
you can't really believe that you're
you're there it does feel a little bit
like you're on a movie set I mean it's
so famous obviously to be in that it
bigger in person or is it smaller in
person how what is it I thought it
seemed about the right size I know
that's that one of the things people say
about it is that it's smaller than you
expect I didn't feel like it was smaller
but it also didn't feel bigger it felt
felt like you know the Oval Office that
you've always seen the other people who
are in there who've been in there the
staffers who've been in there a 100 or a
thousand times it's obviously it wears
off and it's like just where they do
their work but yeah I've got to admit
the first time you go in there you're
pretty pretty a struck there was a post
that JD Vance now the vice president had
where he actually do you guys see this
Mike Johnson I saw the video Mike John
pretty crazy walking in and he's in
shock because he had never been in there
I guess you know I guess he became a
senator a few years ago and uh we've had
a Democrat president so he never
had and he said that he was honored and
humbled to be there I mean that's the
way I felt as well those comments by the
Vice President resonated with me I think
probably every American would feel this
way the first time you're in the Oval
Office it is pretty incredible you want
me to repeat the words that the
president said about you there's nobody
like this guy they said how did you get
David saaks how did you do that he's
doing it for the country more than
anything else we appreciate it David
thank you very much he's been he's been
really nice to me it's really incredible
he's been just incredible to me and he
he gave me the the pen from the from the
signing uh which is pretty cool can we
see the pen can we see the pen the brand
of the pen well it's not brand it
basically it says the White House on one
side and it's got his signature on
another and so look I wasn't expecting
trophy Cas is it like a Sharpie what is
it is it a Sharpie it is it is a Sharpie
you you you've seen him s sign right
yeah so it's what you know I assume it's
what what he likes but so he gave me the
pen which is pretty incredible have you
guys seen that there's all these ASMR
vide videos of the president's signing
where you can just hear
theen the pen on the paper it
makes exactly there's like all these
ASMR of that well freeberg wants to know
if you could
assign his new Tesla he wants you to
sign it with that pen he wants you to
autograph it so when you get back to the
valley you can you can start doing
autographs with that all around all
around no I think uh I think only the
presents allowed to use this pen only
the presents allowed to use okay well
put it in put it put it we're safe okay
don't lose the pen you got to put it in
a glass box or something and uh sax
there's thousands of commenters who are
just begging for you to come back do you
have a message to your Legions of
commenters well I I thank them and I'm
back right now I know maybe it's not
enough but soak it in it would help if
you guys could just do a better job on
the Pod so they weren't complaining all
the time we do the best we can without
you all right get back to work get back
to work go come on this taxpayer you're
on the tax clock here go go back to work
here and save America make America great
again listen we wish you great success
we miss you greatly and uh we thank you
for the service to the country we wish
you uh all all all the best as you go um
handle two of the most important issues
for our country Ai and help advise our
president on cryptocurrency as well love
you suxy and
pcast yes of course NP as well boys love
you very very much David love you
hopefully see you on Tuesday yes Thomas
thanks for coming in and for the opp
Thomas thank you very much you great
podast you Thomas love you
boys let your winners
ride
Rainman and instead we open sourced it
to the fans and they've just gone crazy
with it love you queen of
[Music]
besties
are that's my dog taking
driveway oh man
myit we should all just get a room and
just have one big huge orgy cuz they're
all useless it's like this like sexual
tension that they just need to release
[Music]
somehow
be we need to get merch our
[Music]
I'm going all in
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