Bloomberg This Weekend | Todd Blanche Confirmed as AG, Jobs Report Surprise
2562 segments
Breaking news. The Senate confirms Todd Blanche as
attorney general in an early morning vote, 50 to 49.
The nomination is confirmed. Applause broke out on the Senate floor.
What this means for the future of the Justice Department.
Digging into the jobs report. U.S.
employers unexpectedly cut jobs and the unemployment rate fell.
It is the fall in unemployment rate that's due to the wrong reasons.
What it means for the fed and interest rates.
And an apparent financial lifeline for live gold.
It says found an investor to keep the tour going because this is always how it
goes live. Gosh, you never get the full picture.
The latest as live golfers tee off at Bedminster.
Happy Saturday. Welcome to Bloomberg.
This weekend we're coming to you live from our world headquarters here in New
York. I'm Christine Orsini.
I'm David Gura alongside Lisa Mateo. It is Saturday, August the 8th.
I want to say welcome to all our listeners and viewers across all of
Bloomberg's platforms on radio, television, streaming app, Bloomberg.com
and watching us on the Bloomberg Business app.
A lot of action in Washington to the wee hours, late night slash early morning
for our Capitol Hill colleagues. Yeah.
After looking like perhaps there were some holdouts right on party lines with
with the two usual Republicans, uh, having concern, uh, Susan Collins and
Lisa murkowski, party line vote. Todd Blanch confirmed as attorney
general. That's right.
That came on the heels of the sanctions bill being passed, the Russia sanctions
bill being passed. Um, lawmakers very eager to get back to
their districts. The summer recess begins in earnest.
But, um, this an achievement for the president, who was, I think, wondering
if this was going to happen, had talked about keeping Todd Blanch as acting
attorney general, should it not? Maybe through the midterms.
I'm going to dig into all this in just a little bit.
But first, let's get to the headlines with Lisa Mateo.
Lisa, you got it. On that overnight vote that followed a
tough confirmation fight that exposed concerns about party lines, about
installing President Donald Trump's former personal attorney to lead the
Justice Department. Now, yes, it comes after Republican
Senator Bill Cassidy said he would support Todd Blanch to be the next
attorney general, while Senator Susan Collins of Maine and Lisa murkowski of
Alaska opposed. Also this morning, the Senate has passed
a stopgap spending bill to avert a government shutdown by the end of
September. At that move, it shows how both parties
are looking to avoid a fight before midterm elections.
The vote was 90 to 6 to keep federal funding at current levels through
December 11th, and prevent the Trump administration from transferring the
funds to Border Patrol overseas. Russia and Ukraine.
They exchange overnight strikes Ukraine's capital while it came under
attack by ballistic missiles and drones, with fires reported in several districts
and three people killed in the Keith region, and a fire that was sparked at
an oil refinery in southern Russia by Ukrainian drone debris, injuring five
people. That's according to the regional task
force. Meanwhile, the U.S.
Senate had passed a new Russia sanctions bill championed by the late Senator
Lindsey Graham. Now it authorizes punishing tariffs on
China, India and other top buyers of the country's oil and gas, as well as
extending an extended Iran sanctions. Now, Senator Darlene Graham, she talked
about what it meant to her late brother. He believed that this was the most
consequential piece of legislation that he had ever led.
And I'm proud to carry the torch to the finish line.
Lindsey was committed to achieving a peaceful resolution to this war, and I'm
confident that these sanctions will pave the way for bipartisan legislation that
passed the Senate, 86 to 11, and still has to pass the House.
A federal appeals court has ruled that President Donald Trump cannot build the
white House ballroom without congressional approval, and must stop
construction on the $400 million project.
Now, the president called the decision unjust and said he would appeal it to
the Supreme Court. Democratic Senator Peter Welch stressed
that Congress would never give approval for that ballroom.
These are vanity project, and some reports indicate that the president is
spending literally 70% of his time, uh, the presence of busy person.
And there's a lot of things he's got to pay attention to, uh, including the war
in Iran. Republican Senator John Hoven, he
supported the construction, saying that it will be something that future
administrations can use. And after surprising strength earlier
this year, the labor market is weaker than previously thought.
U.S. employers unexpectedly cut jobs in July,
and hiring in the prior two months was revised lower.
Nonfarm payrolls day decreased 23,000 last month, following a combined 103,000
downward revision to the May and June figures.
The unemployment rate that fell to 4.1% and wage growth.
That's low. Dave and Christine, I know you're going
to be talking more about this with Anna Wang.
Uh, coming up. Yes.
Our chief U.S. economist.
And fascinating to see here the effects of the immigration policy on the size of
the labor market, something we're going to get into with and a little bit later,
safer bump. Did it hold up or did it go over the
World Cup predictions from last month? Stay tuned.
Thanks. All right.
Thank you Lisa. Back to that breaking news now out of
Washington, D.C., the Senate confirming President Donald Trump's pick for
attorney general Todd Blanchard. We're going to go now to Laura Davidson.
She's Bloomberg News, Washington deputy bureau chief.
Laura, late night for our colleagues on the Hill before everybody tries to skip
town. This looked like when I went to bed last
night, it wasn't going to happen. Possibly.
Um, and then you had but you had Bill Cassidy, who had been, like, the big
holdout, coming out and changing his mind kind of yesterday.
And then it was a holding pattern. And then all of a sudden this got pushed
through this morning. Can you walk us through how this came
about? Yes.
This is how Congress, uh, frequently works is there's a whole lot of nothing.
And then suddenly, uh, you know, in the wee hours of the morning, you're able
to, to get the votes and push something across the finish line.
Once Senate leaders have exhausted everyone and they're, uh, you know,
agreeing to vote for things. Um, so this is really, um, you know,
sort of a remarkable end to a weeks long saga.
Have you had, uh, you know, multiple senators coming out and expressing some
concerns about Todd Blanche and also just how Trump is influencing the
Justice Department, particularly this $1.8 billion anti weaponization fund
that would have gone to support, um, January 6th, uh, insurrectionists and
other um, allies of the president as well as the, the president being able to
cut a deal with the IRS, uh, to, uh, save himself from any tax audits.
Um, so, uh, you know, they were able to get some concessions, uh, you know, some
Republicans were able to get some concessions from the Justice Department
that really limited the scope of that tax deal, as well as that, uh,
essentially table and killing off, uh, that, that anti weaponization fund.
Uh, you still had two senators who said, no way, uh, Susan Collins and Lisa
murkowski expressing broader concerns. But the last vote, what everyone was
waiting for, uh, Bill Cassidy of Louisiana, he is a lame duck senator.
Uh, Trump essentially opposed him in his primary, and he is, uh, will be leaving
Congress next year. Everyone was watching him.
He came out on the Senate floor yesterday and said, look, uh, you know,
I, uh, have some, uh, problems with how the Justice Department is being run, but
I think that Todd Blanche is going to be better than any other, uh, candidate
that Trump is going to put forward. And so therefore, I'm going to go ahead
and give him my support and vote yes. Let me play a bit of that sound from
that speech. Again, this was highly anticipated given
that murkowski defected. Collins defected.
What was Bill Cassidy going to do? Let's let's play listen to what he had
to play a little bit of what he had to say here on the Senate floor.
Mr. Blanche is not perfect.
And he will tell you this, but the choice is not between perfection and Mr.
Blanche. It is between Mr.
Blanche and another acting attorney general who may not run the department
effectively under President Trump, and who
indeed may not be as good as Mr. Blanche.
Laura, let's pick that apart a little bit there.
Not not a ringing endorsement there. The devil you know is really the
endorsement I would want going into a new job.
I'm sorry. David, what do you what do you make of
what the senator had to say there? The rationale is he presented it there
on the Senate floor. Well, I think you just have to take a
look at some recent history. If you look at, you know, who Trump has,
uh, talked about having a top that, uh, the Justice Department of the past.
You his first pick back when he was recently reelected in in 2024, he wanted
Matt Gaetz, uh, the really, um, embattled and the scandal plagued, uh, a
member of Congress who had, uh, had a facing all sorts of allegations of, you
know, underage sex charges and a whole bunch of problems that really got a very
quick, swift no, um, from Senate Republicans.
That's when he pivoted to Pam Bondi. Of course, now Blanche will be replacing
Bondi. Uh, but I think, uh, you right.
You know, in that speech, Cassidy mentioned that he thinks that, uh, Todd
Blanche will be a hands on administrator and sort of be able to run, uh, a very,
very large department with thousands and thousands of, uh, lawyers and that he's
not worried, um, sort of broadly about, um, you know, Mr.
Blanche, his character, uh, whereas, uh, he, you know, sort of suggested that
there would be other candidates that the president might be interested in who,
uh, where he would have more concerns with.
You mentioned that, uh, there were these two big concerns, and one of them was
this anti weaponization fund. and Blanche kind of explain what he did.
He kind of wrote a memo or a promise that it's gone away.
But my understanding is it's not really binding.
Right. So it was enough.
It was enough to get him over the line. But can he change his mind?
Yes. This is really kind of the legal
question surrounding this. What some members of Congress wanted is,
is this written into law saying that this could never come back up again?
Instead, what they got is sort of, you know, sort of a memo from the Justice
Department saying this is this is going away, but this is, you know, continues
to be, uh, concerning to to some members of Congress that this could, you know,
come back up in future deals, you know, as we've seen, uh, you know, Trump, uh,
time and time again, uh, you know, has has said he didn't really want this to
go away, even though his allies and aides were telling him that this was
going to be sort of sacrificed, uh, you know, for the broader good of getting
his attorney general back across the line.
You know, we've seen this on on a whole broad range of issues where Trump says,
you know, I he he's moving on, but then suddenly brings it up.
We've seen this with the reflecting pool.
We've seen this with the ball room that he continues to fight on some of these
personal priorities for him. I don't think that what we saw last
night meets the strict definition of a voter Rama.
We had Stephen Dennis, our colleague, on, a few weeks back, and we talked.
We talked about that with him. But there was a string of legislation
that the Senate dealt with before departing Washington yesterday.
Another had to do with spending. And I want to ask you about that, Laura,
if I could. I mean, customarily or at least in
recent memory, there have been a lot of these kind of last minute spending bills
that have been quite acrimonious. They've led to government shutdowns.
Um, what was passed, I think was a 96 last night.
Um, was not that it didn't seem like it went down to the wire in the same way
that it hasn't in the past. Um, what did the Senate accomplish in
that regard? What does it mean for the fall as we
look ahead to the midterms in terms of how the government is funded?
Yeah. So what they passed is what's called a
continuing resolution or a CR. This is essentially a stopgap government
funding bill to keep the government open, um, past the deadline when a
current funding is set to expire at the end of September.
This would keep the government open until December 11th.
So essentially kicks the can down the road, uh, beyond, uh, the midterm
elections, which no one wants to see a shutdown happened during then.
What they haven't resolved yet is they haven't come to agreement with the
House. So good points for them doing their
advanced reading. But they have not reached the advanced a
group stage, uh, project of this. Um, so when the, uh, when the Senate
comes back on September 14th, I know they have just about two weeks to work
with the House to get a bill passed, so there's still a chance of a shutdown.
Chances ticked down significantly last night when they were able to at least
get something on paper that, you know, had broad bipartisan support.
Uh, but we still could be, uh, you know, talking about a shutdown in late
September and in other votes. The Senate also passed this, uh,
sweeping Russia sanctions bill yesterday.
Um, that has the senator, the late Senator Lindsey Graham s name on it.
We talked about a little bit earlier. So it does a couple things.
It allows the president to impose tariffs of up to 100% on Russian energy
importers. These are countries that are taking
energy from Russia. But it also has some other less popular
clauses in there, including it can give the president more flexibility to raise
import taxes on other major economies. and it seems to give him the ability to
unilaterally waive these sanctions if he decides they're not a good idea.
So this did get a lot of support. But can you walk us through what's in
this bill and how effective it's likely to be?
Yeah, this is really, um, kind of be a tricky one, as there was, uh, you know,
a kind of a classic, uh, um, uh, cooperation of coming together of a
bunch of different pieces. Something for everybody to like, but
also something for everybody to dislike. Um, so it had, um, these Russian
sanctions, which are, you know, very much something that, uh, both, uh, you
know, sort of hawks on the Republican side as well as some Democrats wanted to
see happen. But these sanctions come in the form of
tariffs, which Democrats are not super pleased about giving the president more
authority when it comes to tariffs. Um, this also embedded additional
sanctions. Um, also on, uh, on Iran and Iranian oil
producers, uh, to to to bolster some of the uh, sanctions that have been coming
from the, the Treasury Department and gives Congress a little bit more control
over that. This is really kind of the strongest
rebuke we've seen. Um, you know, in terms of the Iran war
coming from Congress, they've largely ceded their power, to the white House
and Trump on this matter. But, you know, it ultimately did get
across the finish line. Part of that is because this was one of
those centerpiece pieces of legislation that that Lindsey Graham had died just a
couple of weeks ago, had wanted to get done.
So this was really done in his legacy and, uh, you know, made it through the
process perhaps more quickly because, uh, you know, uh, that his friends were
doing it in his name versus something that could have gotten bogged down by
politics covering the waterfront here. Um, want to move on to the Federal
Reserve. And the president had some comments on
the fed when he sat down with Jake Sherman, of course, creature of Capitol
Hill, who made his way to the white House to have a sit down with the
president of the United States. He's with Punchbowl News.
And let me just play a little bit about that, about what he had to say about the
Federal Reserve. Should Warsh, Kevin Warsh or Fed Chair
avoid a rate hike before the election? Well, it's up to him a little bit, but
not completely. And he's got a board that's very
political, right. The United States should pay the lowest
interest rate in the entire world. So you think that he shouldn't hike
rates before the election? Uh, it's not totally up to him.
It's up to the board. I think he's great.
I won't be criticizing him. But I've said many times, you know, in
the old days, 20, 25 years ago, called in the old days, if you announced good
numbers, the interest rates went down because you were a bit of credit.
Makes sense. Right now it's a bit cocked.
Now it's all a different thing. If you announce great numbers,
everybody's depressed because we have great numbers.
They think, what are you going to do is raise interest rates?
But in the old days, when you announced great numbers, interest rates went down.
So I want to go back to those days.
The president there are planning on monetary monetary policy with Jake
Sherman of Punchbowl. Um, Lauren, let me just ask you about
something that kind of complemented this.
There was this letter that landed last week.
Dan Scavino, the head of the personnel office at the white House, sent a letter
to Lisa Cook, the fed governor, on the heels of all of the travails that she's
been through and the Supreme Court decision on her appointment, um, saying
effectively, she has to kind of respond to the allegations that I've been levied
against her with regard to alleged mortgage mortgage fraud here by, uh, by
mid-August, if I'm not not mistaken. Where do things stand with and what does
that say about the White House's approach here to the independence of the
Federal Reserve? Trump is not giving up on his attempts
to fire Lisa Cook. The Supreme Court earlier this summer
said that when he went about it, he didn't do it the right way.
So now we're seeing the white House, uh, try some different legal avenues to see
if they might be able to to oust her. Um, you know, we heard Trump say they're
like, look, this isn't all up to Kevin Warsh.
Of course, that's his is the chair at the Federal Reserve, but that there's a
broader board here. So you're seeing the white House sort of
pivot to seeing if they can pluck off other members of the board, that they
could then replace the people who would be more open to the president's, um, uh,
you know, view of wanting to lower interest rates, uh, rather than raise
them, uh, I'll know, you know, the president did get a little bit of, uh,
you know, a boost, perhaps. Yes, in yesterday's jobs report, which,
well, from sort of a top line perspective was was disappointing in
that, uh, you know, we saw some contraction in the, uh, you know, in
jobs, but it at least reduces some of the pressure on the fed to raise rates.
I don't know that that's necessarily going to lead to a rate cut.
Uh, but, you know, uh, we see the white House kind of working all angles here
to, to see if they're able to, to get the monetary policy that the president
desires. And speaking of retreading old ideas, we
also had this Trump birthright tourism executive order that came out this week,
in which the president seems to be trying to reimpose what the Supreme
Court also struck down on making it, restricting those who can qualify for
birthright citizenship, including staff, workers from foreign governments and
babies of mothers who lie about their intentions for visiting the country
while pregnant. But Laura, is there any way to enforce
this? This is a huge question mark on this.
Almost seems destined for legal challenges, and perhaps yet again,
another Supreme Court challenge in the coming months, if not year.
Uh, yeah. This is, uh, you know, essentially the
the white House lawyers have been working overdrive in the past couple of
weeks to respond to some of those losses that Trump had in the Supreme Court
earlier this summer. Uh, to now, um, get some, uh, some new
executive orders or new actions on the board here.
Uh, but the birthright citizenship was sort of one of his most stinging losses.
And, uh, you know, looks from, uh, you know, because of the constitutional
nature of the 14th amendment, there something that he's, uh, you know,
unlikely to have big legal successes on. Lord, great to catch up with you.
Thank you very much for giving us a lot to cover this morning and help us back.
We gave Laura her own vote. Arama, thank you for being so
knowledgeable on all those topics. We appreciate a lot going on a short
period of time. Our deputy Washington bureau chief and
Christine, just want to emphasize again, um, this is kind of anomalous.
How much happened last night in Washington, D.C.?
It is. And on a Friday, which back I was
speaking of reminiscing back in the day used to be quite a slow day for news.
And the only you only heard from the white House if there was something they
wanted to get out and not have a lot of attention drawn to.
But when people are waiting for action, hey, the very last date and time will be
interesting here over the next couple of weeks, just to see how lawmakers who are
now returning to their districts and home states, um, talk about all that's
happened here. And and I think they have some that
continuing resolution, I think is a positive thing.
It's going to allow them not to have to talk about that.
The perils of a potential shutdown. It'll be helpful.
And but, you know, we're still not seeing a big change of policy on the
Iran war, and it's still impacting gas prices, and it's still impacting those
kitchen table prices. And that's what I think lawmakers are
going to hear. The most said that the Pentagon asked
for 70 billion, not a part of that continuing resolution.
So something still looming here. They're exactly right.
All right. We just talked about President Trump's
thoughts on Kevin Warsh. How will the July jobs report impact
next month's decision on interest rates? That's straight ahead on Bloomberg this
weekend on Bloomberg Television radio Bloomberg.com and the Bloomberg
Business. And.
Thanks for joining us live on Bloomberg this weekend.
I'm Lisa Mateo. Let's update you on today's top stories.
President Donald Trump counted $3 billion in U.S.
investments in critical minerals mining to reduce its reliance on China.
At the event at the State Department yesterday, the president said the
projects would create thousands of jobs and promote economic stability.
Trump also announced plans to spend over $180 million to support educational
programs for the industry. Accredited mining programs in the United
States now graduate less than 170 mining engineers each year, while China
graduates more than 3000. And half of our current mining workforce
is set to retire within the next three years.
Well thrown at it that the USA is never again reliant on hostile foreign nations
for the resources our country needs to dominate in the future.
In other news, President Trump has revived his threat to fire Federal
Reserve Governor Lisa Cook over unproven allegations of mortgage fraud.
And according to a letter seen by Bloomberg, cook was told that Trump is
considering removing her and gave her until August 26th to respond to
allegations made by the white House. David and Christina.
Lisa, thank you very much. Appreciate it.
Lisa. All right.
Stocks on Friday finished higher despite a much worse than expected July jobs
report. Employers cut 23,000 jobs last month.
No expectations were for job gains about 80,000.
The unemployment rate also dropped. What does this mean for fed
policymakers? We spoke with Anna Wong, the chief U.S.
economist for Bloomberg Economics. The difference between the US falling
unemployment rate on one hand and a very weak payroll on the other hand, in a
July was mainly because in the household survey, it shows that the labor force
participation continue to fall, uh, driven by people, uh, between age 16 to
24. And those folks are dropping out of the
labor market. And because you have a shrinking labor
pool, you don't just don't need a lot of, uh, increase in hiring to cause the
unemployment rate to go down. So it is a fall and unemployment rate
that's due to the wrong reasons. That's so interesting to me because I
always I find that part of that counterintuitive where it's like, well,
the unemployment rate down because people gave up and stopped looking for
work. It also seems an interesting indication
that it's in those ages that you talked about.
So it's younger people who are deciding not to be applying for these jobs.
What are they doing? Are they waiting to enter the workforce?
Are they seeking higher education or is that not clear?
I think it could be a more, uh, um, harmless explanation.
It could be that it is July after work, after all.
And people, especially the younger folks, folks who are waiting to go to
college, the the college students themselves, they're just off vacationing
and they are, uh, just not working in their usual summer job and not looking
for a summer job, uh, in the thick of July.
And I want to play a bit of sound here from Kevin Hassett, the president's
economic adviser. He was on Bloomberg Television on Friday
after these numbers were released, talking about, uh, participation,
talking about the data more broadly. Let's take a listen.
The labor force participation is kind of on a downward trajectory, which means
that the break even jobs number that is the jobs number you need.
So the unemployment rate doesn't go up. Is has gone from 120 hunters 30,000 a
few years ago to maybe about 40,000 now. And so what it means is that what the
market is used to look at, at, oh, it's like a normal tread the water kind of
jobs number, if it's around 100, is no longer true.
I want to get your reaction to a doctor. Has it said there and also just have you
talk a bit more about what you mentioned a moment ago, which is just that the
pool of workers here is getting smaller and smaller.
Yeah. So he mentioned this, uh, break even
concept. So economists, uh, estimate this, um,
monthly pace of job growth that's needed to keep the unemployment rate constant.
And, uh, Kevin Hassett just mentioned his estimate is 40,000.
Our estimate is, uh, around 55,000. The fed and a recent note, they think
that it's closer to zero. So, um, I think that's what he's trying
to. Kevin Hassett is trying to say to kind
of, uh. His point is that, well, well, we are
used to the, uh, you know, 100 K type of monthly, uh, payrolls print going
forward, even a soft ones, that's, uh, you know, between 0 to 50,000.
And in his mind, 40,000 is actually a tolerable and decent kind of number of
job growth. And and I think basically he's lowering
the bar for what constitutes a good labor market.
When you look at the picture overall, there were a few places where you saw
some job growth and there were places that were hit by job losses a little bit
more. Can you just talk us through the
different sectors and some patterns that you're seeing?
Yeah. So, um, the the places that produce the
largest drag is local government education sector.
And it saw a 50,000 decline in a job growth.
That's pretty substantial. Um, I think this is this decrease is a
noteworthy and it's not something that you can just sweep under the rug.
Uh, I think this is a sign that the, uh, higher long end, uh, of the yield curve
that has been rising for the last three, four months already, that is starting to
bite when you have higher long term Treasury yields, that puts upward
pressure on mortgage rates and that has been cooling the housing sector.
And, you know, local government derive a lot of their revenue, uh, from the local
property market. So when when local governments budget
are falling short in the first half of this year, going into the new fiscal
year, they will have less to allocate to schools.
So that's what I'm, uh, seeing. And also going forward to the fall right
before the September FOMC meeting, we have another jobs report, I continue to.
expect the local government sector education sector to be weak because for
this reason, I just don't think it's a one off thing.
Another place that's really bleak is leisure and hospitality, and that is due
to the reversal of the World Cup rate. But here, even here, I think it's, uh,
pretty alarming. So originally it was supposed to be, uh,
not alarming because, uh, in spring we saw that there was a huge increase in
hiring for leisure and hospitality. But in today's report, we also see a
massive downward revisions to the last two months, uh, job fair, and in fact,
100,000 downward revisions to jobs. And a lot of it came from leisure and
hospitality sector. You know, well, we lost that in April
and May. That was a huge increase in hiring in
and uh, hotels and uh, food and restaurants.
It actually didn't happen. It's or it's a very mild kind of
increase. And now with this, uh, last two months
of July and June's negative, large negative print and leisure and
hospitality, it basically means that on net, it's cutting down, uh, leisure and
hospitality, uh, level of employment from even before the World Cup.
Um, so I think I think, uh, that's also pretty weak.
All in all, I think the bad news in today's report, uh, Trump the positive
news. The only really good sector and in terms
of hiring growth is construction. And that's driven by, uh, basically data
centers. Uh oh.
Wow. That's where I is manifest in this, in
this report. I want to go back to the data.
And of course, you swim in day to day in and day out.
Uh, but I think there will be people who look at these revisions and think
there's an inherent problem with the data that we're getting on the job
market today. And you listen to the new fed chair,
Kevin Warsh, one of his many task forces is one that centered on data collection
and the way that the fed looks at looks at data.
Um, do you see an even problems with the way that we kind of gauge the health of
the labor market? Are we not getting the data that we
need? Is there some sort of deficit that that
is stark based on what we saw here in terms of the revisions today?
Yeah. So downward, persistent, downward, uh,
revisions to jobs data has been, uh, the trend for the last, uh, three years.
Really. Um, and whenever the direction of
revisions is primarily toward one direction, in this case, that was it
suggests that there's something more structural going on that, uh, the first
part of the data is not able to show. And usually what that means is that, um,
the labor market is not as strong as, uh, as as as one thought.
So this means that whenever you see a blow out job sprint going forward, like,
over 200. Okay.
I think we all have to take it with a grain of salt.
Now, as to the precise cause of these downward revisions.
Well, it is from the birth and death model and also from the lower response
rate in the first, uh, survey of the month.
Um, and I think the BLS is actively trying to address this problem.
Uh, earlier this year, the BLS announced a, um, methodological change in the
birth and death model that is supposedly, uh, will be better able to
capture these real time, uh, an increase in hiring and decrease in hiring from
jobs, going out of business or, uh, new businesses forming.
Um, I think I think that, uh, uh, I think the BLS and other federal agencies
are actively trying to work on this problem.
Um, and it is not because, um, any federal agencies did.
Attention is fudging the numbers. And speaking of Kevin Warsh, uh, they do
have another meeting coming up. Uh, it looks like your projections are
saying you're expecting giving weak payrolls and higher layoffs, which
you've been telling us. Do you think is a stronger signal, the
drop in employment rate? We're also expecting a soft CPI to come
out. You think that means fed rates are going
to hold in September? Yes.
So so many analysts after today's weak job report says all attention will be
focused on next week's CPI. Um, so my team has spent the last year
painstakingly working on collecting millions of prices every month.
Uh, we call this project the Bloomberg Price Project.
And our, um, assessment from looking at, uh, July's, um, prices is that it will
be a modest next week, year over year, core CPI is likely to come down to 2.4%.
And that is that the lowest year over year reading in more than five years?
That is a very significant because one of the very, uh, very popular talking
points amongst the FOMC hawks lately is that inflation has been about target for
more than five years, and therefore the fed needs to, you know, start hiking
regardless of, uh, you know, the data. Well, if CPI is coming down to a new low
in more than five years, it means that that talking point likely is expiring.
Um, taking away a one big reason for why so many FOMC members want to hike rates.
Maybe I could close by asking you, as we kind of linger here on, uh, the Fed and
Kevin Warsh, sort of how he might be processing the data that we got from the
Labor Department on on Friday of this week.
Um, during the last FOMC at the press conference, he talked about the strength
of the labor market. So much more attention was paid to the
inflation side of the Fed's dual mandate.
Does this at all complicate his thinking, the thinking of other policy
makers going forward here? Obviously it seems like absent him
talking as much as his predecessor did, were listening a lot more to fed
governors, other members of that committee, sort of.
What are you listening for? How does this change the way that the
fed is approaching the US economy? Well, you know, I think that today's
payrolls report vindicated, uh, Warsh position not to hike rates in the last
meeting, but it didn't vindicate his communications style.
Uh, the way he explained the decision last week was one month of data.
Doesn't matter. So by that logic, then to, uh, today's
weak payrolls data factor, very little in its thinking.
Um, but it factors a lot to the market's thinking.
Kevin Warsh also said that let's let the market, uh, determine the signal and
let's reduce that communication. So to get a cleaner read of market
reaction to data. Well, the market today tells Kevin Warsh
that, well, maybe you don't need to hike rates as much in September.
Uh, judges, judging from the futures pricing of uh, the chance of, uh, a rate
hike in September. All right.
And along our chief. Thank you for the US.
Sarah Bloomberg, thank you so much.
Thank you for joining us live on Bloomberg this weekend.
I'm Lisa Mateo. Let's update you on today's top stories.
Eastern China is bracing for Typhoon Dolphin.
Authorities have been shutting down schools and tourist activities.
The storm is expected to bring heavy rain, severe flooding and possibly
landslides when it makes landfall late Sunday.
National authorities will. They've declared a level three emergency
response, the second lowest level drought conditions on the island of
Puerto Rico has forced the U.S. territory to enforce water rationing
measures in San Juan and other major cities.
Starting yesterday, more than 180,000 customers will be without water for 48
hours at a time as part of an alternating schedule.
But thousands of Puerto Ricans were already experiencing water shortages up
to a year before that. For unknown reasons, people have been
lining up to receive water from tankers. July was the driest month on record for
San Juan in more than 120 years. In sports.
The PGA tour continues at Sedgefield County Club in North Carolina, topping
the leaderboard. Bo Hassler at 12 under par, followed by
a tie for second between Jordan Smith and Ben James at 11 under par.
Meanwhile, PGA tour CEO Brian Rollup says there's no merger and no
conversations with Liv golf and that the PGA tour is focused on its own product.
What PGA Tour Enterprises allowed us to do is to evolve the PGA tour, where most
professional sports have gotten. We've actually capitalized it and turned
it into a commercial business. And the strength of that commercial
business funds innovation. It funds player purses, of funds,
everything. Well, I spoke exclusively to Tom Keene
and Scarlet Fu on Bloomberg Money. David.
Christina, Lisa, thank you very much and interesting conversation.
We're going to play a bit later here about the future of Liv golf's.
This kind of dynamic between these two tours is really fascinating right now.
And whether there's enough audience for both of them, not aside from the
funding, whether people just want to see that much golf.
I know you love saying they love it. Yes.
Thank you. Thank you.
Lisa. All right.
This morning, we're taking a closer look at a migrant crisis that sparked a
global reaction. That's last week in the tiny Spanish
enclave of Qatar. About 70,000 people rushed across the
border from Morocco. Nearly 100 died trying to swim around
the border fence there. And a new weekend as some excuse me.
Mariam Charity, a senior researcher at Oxford University, looked at how this
crisis began. Much for joining us.
If you could just explain. For those who are not familiar what this
territory is, who it has historically belonged to, and why, it's contested a
little bit. Okay.
Well, uh, first of all, I, um, Salta is not in mainland Spain.
Ceuta is on the African continent, and, uh, it's been under Spanish control.
So to and its sister, um, city, uh, called Melilla under Spanish control for
um, uh, over 500, uh, years now. And, uh, and it's not part of the
Schengen space either. So, uh, when people, when Moroccans go
to south, uh, they're not necessarily in, uh, you know, in that Schengen
space. That's an important distinction to
highlight. Um, and so, uh, over the past 30 years
or so, um, you know, there have been successive, um, um, attempts to cross
regularly to, to those, uh, uh, Spanish enclaves.
And, uh, what happened last week was, uh, unprecedented, uh, in scale and
unfortunately in human loss as well. Uh, because within the space of 48
hours, it's been reported over 70,000, uh, Moroccans and, uh, a small number
of, of sub-Saharan migrants as well, uh, made it to, to South that, uh, they soon
kind of, uh, returned some of them voluntarily, but uh, is over uh,
reported about 3000. And so who are still and so uh, with the
a large minority of uh, majority of, of unaccompanied minors, lots of us have
seen the images and the video of this and, uh, perhaps are aware of the kind
of social media fervor surrounding all of it.
And in your piece for the weekend, you write, this did not resemble a centrally
coordinated propaganda campaign. What have we learned about what brought
this about? Absolutely.
I think there is no single explanation to what happened.
Social media might have acted as a catalyst and, uh, helped.
So synchronized kind of frustrations that already existed among the those who
made that question in terms of, um, unemployment, low wages or limited
mobility opportunities, uh, uh, to, to go to Europe or even to, uh, go to Sota,
as previously was the case for the local population.
Uh, in, in, uh, in Sota in uh, where uh, local locals were able to go for the day
and, and come back without needing any visa or, um, any there was a kind of a
local, uh, so arrangements, but unfortunately, since the pandemic that,
uh, and mutual kind of, uh, agreements is no longer there, which meant that,
um, those successive um, uh, um, mass crossings, uh, happened, uh, more
frequently. So, uh, yes, I think the, the,
you know, there is no robust evidence either to, to support the fact that this
was only smuggling, uh, networks that facilitated this, because actually the
closeness, uh, uh, to the, you know, between miracle and, and or at least the
neighboring town. And so, uh, you wouldn't need a
smuggler. So most of those who've made it made it
on their own and and also the kind of the political organization or state
institution being the sort of centrally behind it is, is not quite founded.
Let me ask you lastly, just about the legacy of this event.
So as you've been saying, there have been other mass crossings before,
nothing of this scale or magnitude. And we've seen the way that that many
politicians around the world have kind of focused on this as some sort of
rallying cry. Do you think that this will prevent
other efforts like this in the future? Given the amount of death that we saw as
a result of this, the amount of injury or does this portend, do you think more
attempts at kind of mass crossings like this in the future?
I think there are no guarantees. Uh, the, uh, you know, um, attempts of,
uh, maybe not of this kind, but, uh, attempts to cross irregularly to, to
Sota or mania for that matter, uh, won't happen because, uh, as long as you have,
uh, the same driving forces or driving factors, uh, in terms of unemployment,
in terms of, uh, you know, uh, uh, like close to 3 million, uh, Moroccans who
are not in employment, education, young Moroccans in education or training.
Um, you know, the the aspiration is still there to, um, get a better future.
To get a better job for themselves and their families.
So, um, that's, uh, probably, I think all the, you know, the, the floating,
uh, barriers and all of that are not going to dissuade these, um, young
people or, uh, yeah. To to to try and cross, uh, irregularly
as long as there is no legal pathway for them to go.
And, um, the second thing, uh, what I've noticed in terms of social media
activity following the crossing is that there are two different types of new
messaging going around. The first one is around, uh, those
who've made it to, to, um, narrating their experience, narrating how.
Um, actually, now that they've made it. Probably it's not worth it.
You know, like, they weren't able to eat for days.
They weren't able to access any, uh, help.
And so there is that messaging, uh, going around as well, and the other
messaging that has surged in the past few days.
Unfortunately, our messages from smugglers who are, uh, treating this as
a, as a golden opportunity because now they know that those, uh, you know,
those routes are going to be, uh, tighter in terms of, uh, um, uh,
immigration enforcement. So that then that makes the, the, the
opportunity for those migrants to, uh, cross on their own, less likely.
So they will have to re, uh, to, to get the help of a, um, a smuggler.
All right. And up next it is Bty dubs.
Um, now for something completely different.
David Gura, would you spend $100 for a hot dog?
Um, no, I would not. But before we get there, let me go back
to what you're just talking about. I mean, you've been tracking this story
very close to the Cedar story. Yeah.
I'm curious what stood out to you. I mean, for me,
it's the fact that she said this could happen once again.
I mean, I think we're looking at this kind of as a landmark event here, but
she was saying we saw it back in 2024. It's likely to happen once again.
What do you make of the swirl of social media surrounding all of this?
I mean, it's interesting because there's a lot of chatter online that this was
prompted by someone there's, you know, unfounded rumors of government agents
being in the crowd. It just seemed to organize for a lot of
people. But as our Bloomberg folks analyzed it,
it's all in a local dialect. It's all in Arabic.
But it does seem something is driving this.
And we've seen this with caravans in the U.S.
as well, right? Something sparks that and everybody
shows up at the border. So I think it is likely to happen again,
even though in this case, most of those migrants were sent back and are saying
pretty openly, don't do this, it wasn't worth it.
All right. Now back to that hot dog.
No, I would not spend hundred dollars. Looks quite the subject change.
All right, Lisa and Betty Dobbs, coming up next, we're going to dig into
something a little more cheerful. Stick with us.
All right. Welcome back to Bloomberg this weekend
or better. I'm Christina Ruffini with David Gray,
who's not going to argue with me about how you still think about $200 hot dog.
I think Lisa is about to tell us about the dog, as well as other stories you
might have missed this week. Lisa fast becoming an obsession.
Really? Are you starting with this or starting
with something else? All right, I'm going to start in slow.
We're going to play. We're going to get ready to build the
anticipation for the hot tub. It's hi everyone.
Can't wait. Okay.
I really can't stop talking about it. So please speak.
So David doesn't anymore. Preseason football.
Oh, my gosh, here we are. All right, I'll check my phone.
He's already starting to talk about the preseason football.
Okay, so Bloomberg Weekend has a story out.
Sports fans tear down $2,000 streaming boom to follow.
That is $2,100 hot dogs, by the way. He seems out of control as David Gura
just is the reason why these pro league, they're just signing these deals with
multiple services, right? Because you're sitting there trying to
watch the game and you're like, where to playing?
Is it on the worst time? Is it on?
This is it on Peacock. Is it on where we go?
How hard this was? Because we know I don't watch the sports
ball. But when I did actually try to watch the
World Cup, the only place I could find it on the 18 streaming services I get
was like Univision through NBC. I watched it in Spanish.
You did? Yeah.
There you go. Well, it was really hard, but
I can see it in Spanish. But I'm not going to keep going.
Let me let me break down how the 2000 comes out.
Okay. So these are for people who, let's say
you're you're from upstate New York and you moved to Florida, but you want to
watch your New York teams. Okay.
Here's what you got to do. You have to pay $130 a year for MLB to
watch Yankees. Maybe.
Okay, then you have to subscribe to ESPN plus during hockey season to watch the
Sabres. You have to subscribe to another five
streaming services to make sure you get every Buffalo Bills game, because
they're all in different streaming services.
Out of control, I'm telling you, out of control.
I know we all hated cable, but like, can we just go back to cable?
I really was a better deal. And I had cable and you still can't
watch because some are, like exclusive to these services.
So it's enough to make you go to a sports bar where you can watch it on TV
no matter what. But no, it's true.
And actually, so I have a son who's a Yankees fan.
It's quite hard because games will be blocked out as well.
You can't. You're local and you can watch it really
in the blackout. Yes.
So it's it's designed to infuriate. It is like what's the way.
Who else are you guys? Are you guys to find a cooking shows?
I am, I, I really am I do I love watching them okay, so guess who has
won. U.S.
Secretary of Health, Human services, RFK junior.
I did not know this, but the thing I like about cooking shows is it's not
politics. That was a radical turn.
Okay, it's got to show the Washington Post, though.
The show is on. It's on YouTube.
The reviews are out. This one's from the Washington Post.
RFK Junior's cooking show is a rich person solution to a poor person's
problem. Interesting.
Okay, so the show was basically based on this premise that yes, America's diet is
horrible, right? So he has a special celebrity chef each
time who goes along with them and they want to hear it is how to cook
delicious, nutritious meals with real ingredients at affordable prices.
So that's the price, I promise it is. But here's the problem that The
Washington Post found is that in an episode, he goes through salmon cakes.
Right? How to make it?
Um, the arugula salad with it. And he says the recipe is going to work
for about $4.91. The problem is that that's the price per
serving, bro. You're on a regular salary.
If you want a little over Uggla, you know, if you don't want to buy the whole
container of of mayonnaise, avocado mayonnaise.
So it doesn't take that a consideration. They say it really comes out to like
$73.46 a person. So that's like right.
Yeah. So it's a big difference if you think
about also like economies of scale when you're cooking for a family, like even
as a single person who tries to cook, like sometimes it just doesn't save you
that much money because you can't eat it fast enough, you can't make enough, and
you have to buy a giant thing of a little giant thing of olive oil.
Like, if you don't have that stuff in your house, it's really expensive.
Yeah. Second show here by a cabinet secretary,
Sean Duffy had that show travel show with his family.
But it's not out yet. Nobody knows where it is, so stay tuned.
We'll give you an update. He missed that.
All right, it's a smidgen I do. Okay, okay.
You want to get to the hot dog? Can we do it?
Let's do it. Why?
She. Wall Street Journal has it out.
You got to see the pictures. Okay.
The rise of the $100 hot dog is that caveat.
If you're if you're listening on radio, there is caviar on a hot dog.
Okay. This is we have a rich man's $100 sour
cream. Glitzy okay.
The golden glitzy. It has Mars Capone, 30 grand caviar, 24
karat edible gold flakes. And it's served on a fresh croissant
bun. And yes, there was a hot dog included in
that vodka that had gold flakes in it. Gold lager.
Oh, that was a college favorite. That was a class.
I continue to derail this segment. I'm just going to take it down there
because where can I get these hot dogs? Listen, you can get this, okay?
So there's one at, um, Breckenridge Ski Resort, right?
And these are the towels. Should have gone while you were in Aspen
instead of the tower. Voices.
You can get a tower of hot dogs for $60, $60.
And instead of a foot long, how about a two foot long pillow here?
And a 19 inch fan. All right, we are going off the rails.
Um, it's $45. First field in Denver.
Let's move on. Why is it all in Colorado?
It's because I hate that.
Because my home state, um, likes to eat things outside, and, I don't know, it's
just like stuff. There's no.
There's. So there's no score.
What's the story that fired you? Let's hit it.
Okay. So private colleges are admitting more
students who didn't apply. This is a bluebird.
This is actually interesting because I just met my daughter, received a letter
from a college she never applied for, and said that she got an 18,000
scholarship to it. So this is happening.
Here's a reason why. Okay, so the Common App, this is where
parents kind of sign on and you can click.
And it makes applying to schools super easy.
But they're now doing um, they're participating in um, uh, direct
admission. And so what that means is that, you
know, kids can just start getting these admitted into these colleges I have
never applied for. And so what it's doing, they're saying
it's opening up to a more diverse crowd. It's helping because all these colleges
are fighting to get students to apply, and the private ones are closing down a
lot. Um, so it's just a way to kind of
increase their enrollment. And, and students are saying it's
opening up their eyes to the scholarships that are saying that's good
for TCU is you take the SAT in those colleges.
It's not an offer, but they will try to recruit you.
And I did get a letter from a school I'd never heard of and ended up going there
because they gave me money. So it's kind of a cool thing.
I think that it is. It is like that more than $100 hot on
the David for this. So thank you Lisa.
With we are coming up on 8:00 in New York City.
Berkshire Hathaway set to release its earnings just moments from now.
We're going to watch as that crosses the terminal, bring you those results as
they come through. And if you're not sick of us, the next
hour of Bloomberg this weekend starts right now.
You.
See me.
Welcome to Bloomberg this weekend live from New York with David Gura, Christina
Ruffini and Lisa Mateo. The latest headlines, analysis, big
interviews, and the stories that hit home on your days off.
Welcome back to Bloomberg this weekend. It is 8:00 am in New York from our world
headquarters in Manhattan. I'm Christina Ruffini.
I'm David Gura alongside Lisa Mateo. Bring you the latest breaking news
reporting, analysis live this morning, every weekend morning from 7:00 to 10:00
Wall Street time. We're going to focus on markets in the
economy here in this coming hour. Uh, Berkshire Hathaway reporting
earnings, second quarter earnings uh 12.98 billion up 16% year over year.
We're going to dig into those a little bit more in at least just watching these
rolling across the terminal as well. Uh, but another record setting week for
Wall Street on the heels of a jobs report that really surprised a lot of
folks here. The unemployment rate ticking down,
right. 23,000 job losses.
Not a great jobs report, but because projections are now likely that interest
rates won't go up. It seems like the market took that and
ran with it. And we're gonna talk about that, and
we're gonna talk about Berkshire Hathaway, which, uh, they're, you know,
the big first, uh, reporting was our first day, and we ended up also having
the year on for that day. Other matters intervened.
So it's it'll be nice to dig into that and kind of see how the company doing.
Uh, since the big guys stepped away and we've got Abel in charge now.
All right, um, Lisa Mateo watching the terminal as I am, as you are.
The numbers are coming in. Give us the headlines, if you would,
Lisa. All right.
Yeah. Investors are really looking for more
clues about just how CEO Greg Abel is going to steer the company after taking
over from Warren Buffett this year. So I want to get to some of them.
One of them is coming across right now. This is Berkshire Hathaway.
This is second quarter earnings uh 12.98 billion.
That's year over year. That's an increase of 16%.
So that's what we have coming across right now.
But a lot has been going on with this. I mean this comes after Berkshire went
on all the way in on the housing bet with the acquisition of Taylor Morrison
home. Uh, we're going to have Bloomberg
Intelligence, Matthew Palazzolo, he's going to go into more details, um, with
those numbers later this hour and what they're going to do with that $400
billion cash pile on top of it that, uh, so many people are paying attention to.
Let's get to some other news this morning.
The Senate, while they have confirmed President Donald Trump's former personal
attorney as attorney general. Now, in an early morning vote, this
happened. The Republican led Senate had voted 50
to 49 to make Blanche the second confirmed attorney general since Trump
returned to the white House last year. Also this morning, the Senate has passed
a stopgap spending bill to avert a government shutdown at the end of
September. The move shows how both parties they're
looking to avoid a fight before midterm elections.
The vote was 90 to 6 to keep federal funding at current levels through
December 11th, and prevent the Trump administration from transferring funds
to the Border Patrol. Overseas, Russia and Ukraine exchange
overnight strikes. Ukraine's capital will came under attack
by ballistic missiles and drones, with fires reported in several districts and
three people killed in the Kiev region and a fire.
It was sparked at an oil refinery in southern Russia by Ukrainian drone
debris, injuring five people. That's according to the regional task
force. Meanwhile, the U.S.
Senate, they passed a new Russia sanctions bill championed by the late
Senator Lindsey Graham and authorizes punishing tariffs on China, India and
other top buyers of the country's oil and gas, as well as extended Iran
sanctions. The senator, Richard Blumenthal, called
it a momentous day. President Zelensky is watching in
Ukraine. Vladimir Putin is watching in Moscow.
I'd like to think Lindsey Graham is watching as well and proud of what we've
done, because today we send a message to vibrant fruit.
You will not win this war. The bipartisan legislation that passed
the Senate 86 to 11 and must still pass the House and a federal appeals court.
They have ruled that President Trump cannot build the white House ballroom
without congressional approval, and must stop construction of the $400 million
project. The president called the decision unjust
and said he would appeal it to the Supreme Court.
David, Christine, I just want to get you a few more headlines on Berkshire that
just came out. Uh, the cash pile that we were talking
about, it falls to 365.51 billion. Um, in the second quarter.
So that was under a lot of, um, a number that a lot of folks were waiting to
hear. We're going to dig into that more, as
you see, because of that acquisition party part.
Right. Still pretty sizable are 365 billion.
Exactly. So more on that to come here.
Um, in just a few minutes time. All right.
Thanks, Lisa. All right.
As Lisa just mentioned, we've got breaking news.
Just hours ago, the Senate narrowly confirmed Todd Blanch as attorney
general, but was down party lines 50 to 49.
Republican Senators Lisa murkowski and Susan Collins sided with Democrats,
while outgoing Senator Bill Cassidy decided kind of at the last minute to go
ahead and confirm Lynch. The incoming attorney general was a
controversial pick by President Trump. Is Todd Bland served as the president's
lead defense attorney for the 2024 hush money trial.
Joining us now is Bloomberg's senior D.C.
editor, Wendy Benjamin. And Wendy, great to have you with us
here. As we take stock of what was a busy
evening and early morning in Washington, D.C..
Talk a bit about this. I mean, Todd Blanche had been serving as
acting attorney general, and I'd been wondering over the last few weeks sort
of what difference it would make, notionally to have him there in an
acting capacity or a permanent one. The president even floated keeping
around in an acting capacity. If he could get the votes here before
the midterm elections. Um, talk about the importance of this
vote and indeed, what Bill Cassidy supported the nomination says about the
Senate today. Sure, David.
And as Lisa was going through all those bills, you know, um, many a couple of
them passed overwhelmingly Bipartisan language was it?
Which is amazing these days. But, uh, this one squeaked by 50 to 49.
Todd Blanche is not popular with either party in Washington.
If it wasn't for Bill Cassidy once again voting, apparently holding his nose, um,
saying he was holding his nose for this, this nominee, um, it wouldn't have gone
through without intervention from the vice president.
So it's, um, it's an interesting nomination.
I mean, Trump could have kept him as acting for as long as he wanted, but it
never you know, they like the permanence of having a Senate confirmed cabinet
member. Um, so as you said, Todd Blanche was
Trump's personal lawyer during his criminal trials.
And, um, continues to act in a way that has made people suggest he is still
Trump's personal lawyer. The Justice Department once treated as
an almost independent agency in the executive branch.
Trump has really involved himself in every detail, directed prosecutions.
And Todd Blanche is willing to go along with that.
And that gave the two Republican senator Susan Collins
and Lisa murkowski. Enough pause, especially over this tax
audit deal and the weaponization fund. But Bill Cassidy was able to find it.
Yeah. Despite his deep concerns, as he put it,
to, uh, to vote for him. It was a little bit of a we were talking
earlier a better the devil you know, argument saying he didn't know, you
know, he's better than some of the other options that could possibly come if he
weren't in charge. I also want to ask you about this Russia
sanctions bill, because we heard Senator Blumenthal praising it and saying it's a
message to Vladimir Putin, which is true on its face.
But there's also a lot of carve outs here.
Right? There's a lot of ways the president can
decide not to enact sanctions or wave sanctions if Congress puts them in.
And it also could give the president more flexibility to raise, uh, tariffs
and import taxes on other major economies.
That's right. Um, I'm not quite as familiar with this
as I should be this morning, but I do know that yes, what this bill does is
really increase tariffs on countries that do business with Russia.
Russia is sanctioned to the hilt. Um, there probably are very few more
sanctions we could add. The US could add, um, on top of Russia.
But what this does is punish countries who continue to supply Russia with goods
and services that it needs to, you know, to keep its economy running in the face
of this grinding, grinding war that Putin just won't.
Um, CNN to uh, so, yes, this bill also passed incredibly bipartisan, I think 86
to 11, something like that. That's that's not good math, but maybe
not. Don't make me do math on a Saturday
morning. No.
That's fair. That's always my rule.
I support that, but it definitely was also in honor of Lindsey Graham, um, the
Recently late senator who really, really championed this bill and was a huge
supporter of Zelensky. And it sort of brought that unity about
the Ukraine war back to the Senate, where they had been divided.
President Trump isn't crazy about this because he he says that his ability to
convince Putin to join the peace table will be hurt by this.
But Putin hasn't shown much willingness to show up at the peace table anyway.
One day, very quickly here, uh, we had these, uh, jobs data yesterday.
Um, we heard from Lisa Cook on the heels of that, the Federal Reserve governor.
And we also learned that a letter had been sent from Dan Scavino of the white
House personnel office to Governor Cook, uh, telling her the white House is
demanding more information about, uh, her mortgages as they look for ways to
get her out of that position. In the wake of that Supreme Court
decision. I'd love to get your read on the
significance of that, this this three page letter again, that she received and
what it means for the institutions independence and the path forward here
for the president when it comes to, uh, wielding influence over the central
bank. Right.
Well, that's another agency or organization in which he definitely
wants to put his thumb on the scale of everything they do.
You know, he threatened to Powell Friar Jerome Powell, the former chairman, um,
numerous times. And in fact, Powell, after his term as
chair of the fed and had decided to stay on the board just to sort of keep an eye
on the Fed's independence. Lisa Cook, we thought, had survived this
attempt to fire her, um, on this sort of flimsy charge of, you know, something
wrong with her mortgage payments where she claimed lots of different businesses
were I mean, lots of different properties were her primary residence.
She claims it's a clerical error. There are a number of Trump
administration officials who have the same thing on their mortgage papers of
multiple residences. Um, and so, uh, you know, she thought it
was clear when the Supreme Court said, no, you can't fire her.
And now he's trying again. Um, you know, he's got the chairman he
wants. Um, and there is, um, he's sent her this
letter saying, you know, you're back up and in the hotseat.
So, you know, I'm sure her her lawyers are on top of it.
Um, the courts will be on top of it, and we'll see what happens.
All right. Our senior D.C.
editor, Wendy Benjamin, and joining us from Washington this morning.
Thanks, money. Let's stick with those jobs numbers now.
Wall Street seems unfazed by Friday's dismal jobs report.
All major indexes finished in the green, with the S&P 500 closing at a record
high for the 26th time this year. The Nasdaq and Dow also ending with
their best week since April. Joining us now with more is Joe Quinlan,
managing at head of market market strategy at Bank of America private
bank. Joe, great to have you with us on this
Saturday morning. Thank you very much for for making the
time and definitely want to talk about your most recent note and analysis of
the market, but let me just start with the jobs data and sort of how you
process what we saw yesterday and what it says to you about the health of this
U.S. economy.
Well, it speaks to the underlying health of the economy.
David, despite the myth, when you go beneath the surface, you see the fact
that we had some seasonality with a local government World Cup.
But what I looked at was very encouraging the increase in jobs for
construction and manufacturing, healthcare.
So I spent a lot of time talking to our bank clients, commercial clients, and
they're talking about adding like, we're not shutting it in some cases using AI
automation. But the job market remains, I think,
pretty on solid footing. But are you at all concerned that even
the job growth we're seeing construction jobs?
In my head, when I read that, I thought, oh, we're building houses again, that's
great. And then we dig into it and it's mostly
AI data centres. It seems like it's all the same circular
AI world. I mean, the exposure there to me seems
very high, but you're the you're the expert.
You tell us if you if you're still bullish on this, you know, tell me I'm
wrong. No, no, you're not wrong.
And you're definitely you're on track with that.
You're seeing a huge contribution to GDP Industrialization demanded the materials
demand from data centers. But also you're seeing foreign companies
coming here increase their production chemicals, automobiles and mobile parts.
You're seeing other U.S. companies build out the plant, whether
it's a little bit, you know, factory in addition.
So it is they data center driven. But there's a lot more to this
manufacturing buildout, construction buildout than just data centers.
But it is overwhelmingly it'll alleviate that a little bit here in the 2728.
But when I sit I see the industrialization, the manufacturing
capacity coming back. And related to that defense, defense
spending. We need more missiles, ammunition,
munitions, you name it. That's help driving it growth as well.
Joe, I want to get your perspective on the market that we're in, the moment
that we're in. And your latest note, which I mentioned
a moment ago, it's kind of a refutation of the bear case on on the U.S.
economy and U.S. markets right now.
I read one line from it. Amid the gloom, something curious keeps
happening. You write, the dire predictions of the
worrywart never happened. Disappointing and surprising market
bears. What explains the resilience series as
you see, and what gives you grounds for the optimism that you have about the
markets in the economy? Well, David, the background to that note
was like every meeting I go into, it usually starts with the clients.
Like I'm really surprised about the consumer, the dollar, the federal budget
deficit, the underlying strength of the economy.
So we wrote the piece kind of, you know, leaning against that narrative.
Because when you look at the consumer, sure, it's k shaped.
We know that higher income households are out there spending the federal
budget deficit. I've been debating that for like three
decades. So that's an issue.
But we we're having a we can manage it. The weaker dollar obituary has been
written how many times. I mean, so there's all these kind of
bricks of worries in the wall, right, so to speak, that we got to work through.
And it does weigh on sentiment, and it can keep people out of the market when
they should actually be leaning into the market.
So not that we're not not that we don't have any problems, right?
We got big issues to deal with with our dollar, foreign demand, federal budget
deficit, but the underlying capacity of this U.S.
economy to absorb the shocks, take the blows reset is underappreciated still.
And to me that's a that's a lean into any pullbacks to buy.
You also talk about a couple sectors you're following.
One that surprised me was U.S. solar stocks rose on Friday after the
president ordered this 15% new tariff and a price floor for um, polysilicon
derivatives, which were not really on my list of things I needed to know this
week. But, um, why is this relevant and why
are you seeing this movement in this energy sector, especially at a time when
we're not hearing a lot about solar anymore, a lot about diversification of
our energy sector, despite the need and despite what's going on in the Gulf.
Well, I'll take it from the macro level. We need every source of energy in this
country right now, whether it's fossil fuels or renewables.
So the Gulf War, back early in February, that kind of gave a new life to
renewable sector in general, not just in United States, but even globally in
Europe as well. You look at China, Russia, China, they
say all burns, a lot of coal. Well, that's true, but so do we.
But we're also using a lot of renewables.
So I think it's all hands on deck when it comes to generating power.
And that includes renewables. So I think that's been a hidden corner
of the market that's done very well. But I think that trade is now becoming
recognized. Joe, I'm not going to put in your
position. We have to talk about specific
companies. But let me just ask you about AI
broadly. I imagine when you walk into those rooms
where you're dealing with some some bearish sentiment, there's probably some
concern that you're hearing about AI's future, the path forward.
We've just been through the part of earnings season that dealt with these
hyperscalers and their attitude toward the growth of AI.
What do you take away from that? How does that change or reshape the AI
narrative as you see it? Well, the biggest thing, David, I'm
looking at is like, okay, well, you know, 27 and 28 when we kind of get back
beyond the data center, build out what picks up the slack, and I think it will
be picked up by the transportation, the grid, defense spending.
But the artificial intelligence we're looking at very carefully.
How are companies leveraging this new technology to drive margins?
And you're hearing more and more companies speak to this every earnings
every quarter. Right.
So we're seeing that happen. It's not going to happen all at once.
It's not a hockey stick. You know you go sideways and then
straight up. So it's happening.
And we're that belief that by the time we get to 28, 29, 2030, you're looking
at a different economy, a different workforce, increased productivity.
So that keeps us very constructive on US equities overall.
But there's going to be job displacements right.
We know that. But I think when when we release labor
because of automation or technology then we upskill it.
And that means more income. That means higher paying jobs.
So I believe the I we're early innings with the build out early innings with
the adoption and early innings when it comes to productivity.
But I think it's coming down the track and so do a lot of investors.
Joe Quinlan, the head of market strategy at Merrill Bank of America, thank you
very much. Appreciate the time.
Thanks for joining us on this Saturday morning and hope to have you back on
again soon here. And Christina, from what he was saying
there at the end, I mean, I think it's really fascinating, as we talked to Anna
Wang about that jobs report yesterday, we're still at a point where there's a
lot of questions about the way that I is affecting the US economy, but, um, not
enough hard data yet to draw really concrete conclusions, and also whether
the technology as a whole is going to be really profitable and how to monetize
it. All right.
Coming up. Berkshire Hathaway just reported second
quarter earnings. We're going to dig into those with more
details ahead. And what Greg Abel's big bet on a home
buying company means for the company that's ahead on Bloomberg this weekend.
Welcome back. We're going to turn to that breaking
news for Berkshire Hathaway, the company reporting second quarter earnings just a
few minutes ago with us. Matthew Paul Zola senior PNC insurance
equity analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence.
He's brought a friend as well. That is the squish, mellow Warren
Buffett, which I should say. Matt, before we get to the substance of
these earnings, this is a Berkshire Hathaway.
This is part of the conglomerate which is part of the conglomerate.
It is so a very important part of the conglomerate.
Uh, they bought a company called Alleghany a couple of years ago.
They owned a company called Jazz Wares, which makes these swish, mellow toys.
Uh, and then every year at the annual meeting, they started making a
commemorative. Buffett and Munger squish mellow, and
people line up around the around the convention center.
And you are people because you didn't get one.
You line up for this always people that are lined up for this.
Yes. All right.
I've taken this on another diversion and I apologize for that.
Well, you know, earnings just came out. I haven't seen the line item for the
swish melos yet. But just walk us through the main
takeaways here. I looked at your preview of this
earnings roughly in line with what you expect to do.
I think you said 11 to 12 billion. So right near there, looking at my cheat
sheet a little bit better than I thought, um, the insurance earnings
better kind of across the board. Everything better.
I was a little disappointed with the share repurchase.
So they bought back about $4.5 billion worth of their own shares.
That is much more than they've done over the past couple of years, but less than
I thought they were going to. Given some disclosures they made in
July. You thought around eight.
You thought around eight. Because why are they doing that?
So I think a couple of reasons. So Greg Abel is taking over and my
guess. They don't really talk to anybody.
But my guess is that he's viewing the intrinsic value of businesses a little
bit higher these days. So number one, the insurance businesses
they're over earning. But I think some of the gains are making
or sustainable. So I think he's looking at that a little
bit better. Burlington Northern the railroad he's
got his eyes on that. He called them out at the annual
meeting. He said they're going to improve their
margins there. So I think the underlying earnings power
of those businesses are improving. They have tons of cash.
So I think he's putting some of that to work.
I want to talk to you about that cash though, because their their pot did
fall. I mean, it's still an enormous number.
Um, how much of that? I mean, they bought this homebuilder,
Taylor Morrison, for 6.8 billion, but the math isn't quite matching the cash
to get more than that. So they did a couple things.
They also bought $10 billion worth of Google stock.
Um, they bought a stake in a Japanese insurance company, Tokio Marine.
So they actually this was a, uh, a spending quarter for them.
It looks like I didn't get the full numbers, but it looks like they were a
net buyer of stocks over six months. So putting more money to work than
Buffett was doing in his in his last years as CEO.
Um, let's talk just a bit about Greg Abel.
So this is the second quarter of earnings that we've got from from him
behind you. We had pictures of him at Sun Valley at
the Allen Company Conference. Um, how is his tenure going thus far?
This was a, um, hotly anticipated transition.
A lot of people wondering sort of how much continuity there would be between
Berkshire under Buffett to him. What have we learned over these last two
quarters? What have you learned since you were out
in Omaha for the big event a few months back?
Yeah, I think, um, he is much more, uh, communicative than than Buffett was.
And what does that mean? I mean, I've been to the Berkshire
website, which is janky. I mean, it's like is from like, not
even, you know, HTML out of, uh, AOL days.
Yeah. It's, um, not in that way.
More in the annual meeting talking, having more managers.
They are giving more detail on the companies.
Buffett was always it was great to hear his his kind of wit and wisdom, but he
was really not talking too much about the operating results of the companies.
Uh, so Abel is doing that. He seems to be much more focused on the
operations of the companies. The nitty gritty, Buffett had said over
the past couple of years that he was passing people off to Abel regardless.
So he was kind of running the ship for a while.
Anyway, yeah. Um, so I like what he's doing so far.
Impressed. Especially like seeing him put capital
to work. Does he have his own squash mallow?
And how many of these reports do we have to have before I almost feel bad for the
guy he's going to spend? I mean, he could have this job for ten
years. We could still be comparing him to his
predecessor. I mean, that's, you know, the blessing
and the curse of being the CEO of, uh, Berkshire Hathaway.
All right. You mentioned the railroad business.
Talk a bit more about that. If you let me just a crucial benefit, a
crucial part of this portfolio for you for a long time.
Yeah. So, um, they bought the railroad
business in Berkshire. Is is huge on these, uh, monopolistic,
uh, necessary businesses that will be around for as long as time.
Right. So that was the impetus behind buying
Burlington Northern two years ago. What has happened is the, um, metrics
versus public peers are just worse. So they're their operating ratio, which
is a railroad metric. I'm an insurance guy, but, you know,
rail, uh, moonlight as a railroad guy. Um, sure, sure.
The that metric has been worse than their their closest competitor.
And Abel is really focused on improving that.
And it's it's languished for years. So I think, uh, should they do that?
Increases the intrinsic value of the business.
It's it's still a great business for them, but, uh, needs improvement.
One of the places it seems he has stayed pretty consistent is this concentrated
portfolio and really backing these, you know, this handful of just these five
big stocks Apple, American Express, Coca-Cola, Bank of America, alphabet,
Google. Is that going to stay consistent, do you
think is that what investors are still looking for?
Is that continuity, or do they want him to diversify that portfolio at some
point? He explicitly said, we're going to focus
on this core group of stocks and not trade much around them.
Um, I don't think people want to see him, uh, jumping into new names.
They'll I think they'll make moves around the edges, but I think these are
going to stay the core portfolio. Uh, they made some moves around.
Apple took out a lot of Bank of America stock over the past couple of years, so
I think it stays pretty steady. We may want to one back here to the home
building acquisition they made. But before we get there I mean your
bread and butter is property casualty Insurance is hugely integral to this
business as well. What have we seen broadly in the sector
and sort of how does that manifest in the data that we got?
Yes. So one of the biggest things that's
swinging there results is Geico. So um, they owned Geico.
Uh, they've owned it since the 70s. The auto insurance business saw a big
spike in losses and post Covid because of, uh, the cost of auto parts.
So what all of the auto insurance companies did was raise rates a lot.
I don't know if you experienced. I have strongly felt this
car, but you drove a car, you probably experienced this and this was across the
board. So what happened is they raised these
prices. All of the results of the auto insurance
companies got much better, uh, to kind of record levels.
So now what all of the big players are trying to do is grow.
So they're all now fighting. So the pro tip is shop your auto
insurance are good for the company. They're not going to just lower your
price. But if you shop around you probably get
a better deal on your auto insurance because all of the big names are
fighting. So that's going to be the big story is
the swing in the auto insurance results. And that will by billions of dollars
swing their earnings. He plays in railroads and he plays in
uh, insurance recommendations as well. Multifaceted way.
Before we let you go, I want you to play in home building.
I want to go back to the Taylor Morrison acquisition, because it did seem like an
odd time to be betting on the homebuilding market in the U.S..
And we were talking in the newsroom. We were like, well, maybe they also
build data centers, know they build homes.
Why now? And this was something that was like
cheered by Buffett. He said this was a great acquisition.
So they have home building businesses that they own.
Yeah. Um, so this was kind of a compliment to
the home businesses that they already own.
I think it's, uh, they, they do manufactured homes or just Clayton
Homes. So they build the home and then they
bring you your house and they put it down.
Uh, this is more building, more higher end homes on site.
So it was a nice compliment to the businesses that they own.
Berkshire is not looking to time things and get it kind of right at the exact
moment I think they want to be in these necessary businesses, like home building
is going to be necessary over time. So I think that was probably the impetus
for this deal rather than, you know, maybe now's the exact right time to buy
this company. All right.
Let me ask you lastly here, just about the stock.
Maybe we can kind of end on that. So upward three ish percent here over
the course of the year. Um, you don't have to follow the S&P
that closely. No.
That is lagging behind where the S&P is. What is your read on.
What are folks read on sort of how the stock is doing relative to to the
broader index. Yeah I mean the one of the curses of
Berkshire is it gets seen as this, uh, market proxy, but not the not the
current market, which is now dominated by I, I think, I mean, this stock is the
quintessential anti-air name, right. So I think when you see those swings in
tech, it should probably go the other way, but it hasn't.
Uh, I think the overhang is still there. The Buffett, the Buffett kind of hang
over, uh, and people kind of waiting still on Greg Abell, even though I think
he's doing a great job, I think there's going to be that overhang for a little
bit longer. Um, but the value of these industrial
businesses, manufacturing businesses, I think will manifest themselves more over
time. Matt, thank you very much.
Thank you for joining us with this breaking news.
And thank you for bringing swish mellow. Warren Buffett.
Yeah, he was a quiet guest. But you know, we take up some space.
We appreciate taking a back seat to Greg Abel.
Squish me, Greg and Lisa Mateo, we're going to go back to you now for the
headlines. Can you get us updated?
You got it, guys. Let's get right to it.
And of course we'll get to those top stories.
Turkey reportedly restricting commercial ship traffic into the Black Sea.
That's following growing concern from the government after an uptick in
Russian and Ukrainian attacks on the vessels in the area.
Now, sources tell Bloomberg, the Directorate of General of Coastal Safety
has told multiple ships bound for Russia that it is not currently issuing transit
permits for such voyages or needs more time to review applications.
Conservative. Abelardo de la espera.
Yeah, yeah, he was sworn in as Colombia's president on Friday.
Now it took place in Cali. That's at a university auditorium before
Congress instead of the Capitol. Now the move.
It was meant to signal that his hardline approach to illegal armed groups.
Uh, Dylan is spirit is espionage. He succeeds Gustavo after winning a
close runoff election in June. Eastern China bracing for Typhoon
Dolphin. Authorities have begun shutting down
schools and tourist activities. The storm expected to bring heavy rains,
severe flooding and landslides when it makes landfall late Sunday.
National authorities have declared a level three emergency response.
That's the second lowest level and drought conditions on the island of
Puerto Rico. It's forced the U.S.
territory to enforce water rationing measures in San Juan.
Other major cities. Starting yesterday, more than 180
customers. They were without power water for 48
hours at a time. That's as part of an alternating
schedule. People, they've been lining up to
receive water from tankers. July was actually the driest month on
record for San Juan and more than 120 years.
David and Christina, thank you very much.
Appreciate that. Well, who doesn't like free money?
There is a new trend going around called the Pais craze, that has people spending
money at popular retailers to ultimately save money.
Bloomberg's Yana Baker explains. This summer, I've adopted a new ritual.
When I wake up in the morning, I brush my teeth, wash my face, and then I log
into the Duncan app to buy a $10 digital gift card.
It's really important that I do this every single day, or else I'm leaving
money on the table in pays credits. What's pays, you ask?
Well, it's the big banks answer to Apple Pay, PayPal and Google Pay.
It was introduced a few years ago by the owners of Zelle, but it hasn't really
caught on because it wasn't really accepted anywhere.
That's why they've unveiled a huge marketing campaign known as the pays
craze. Dozens upon dozens of credit cards are
eligible, since the company that owns it is owned by some of the world's biggest
financial institutions like JP Morgan, Wells Fargo and Bank of America.
For each card that you activate with pays, you can get $10 back on ten
different transactions. People are striving to make transactions
as close to $10 as they can so they don't spend extra money, which is why
hunting for precisely $10 gift cards has proved popular.
Facebook groups devoted to credit card perks have been overrun with questions
and strategies. With so many people buying Dunkin gift
cards that a $10 day cap was put in place, developing their own digital
wallet is really important for the banks because that means they keep more credit
card fees. The question is, will people use pays?
Once the promotion is over? It's unclear, but the customers I spoke
to said that one hurdle was that it's a little clunky and it's not really
accepted everywhere yet, so you can't use it on Amazon or Walmart.
So it's a bit niche for now, but at least people know it exists thanks to
the pace craze. Um, now I know about it.
I didn't know about it. People are listed about this, uh, in
makeup this week, and I think it's what they were talking about.
But, um, I know a lot of people said it was too difficult.
I'm terrible with this stuff. I am Tuesday's deal.
Whatever. All right, well, if you're better at it
than we are, you can read more about it at Bloomberg.com.
All right. The return of the SAT is coming up next.
Why? More universities are once again pushing
for standardized test scores in their admissions processes.
That's coming up next here on Bloomberg this weekend.
You can find us on Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg Radio, Bloomberg.com.
You can stream the show on the Bloomberg Business app.
Stay with us. I'll be right back.
Thank you for joining us live on Bloomberg this weekend.
I'm Lisa Mateo. Let's update you on today's top stories.
President Trump has revived his threat to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa
Cook over unproven allegations of mortgage fraud.
According to a letter seen by Bloomberg, cook was told that Trump is considering
removing her and gave her until August 26th to respond to allegations made by
the white House. After surprising strength earlier this
year, the labor market is weaker than previously thought.
U.S. employers unexpectedly cut jobs in July
and hiring in the prior two months that was revised.
Lower nonfarm payrolls decreased 23,000 last month, following a combined 103,000
downward revision to the May and June figures.
The unemployment rate will that fell to 4.1% and wage growth slowed.
Trump Media and Technology Group have entered a deal to form a digital
treasury company to buy the Crypto.com Digital token, known as Chrome.
Now the two companies, they also dropped the plan that would have made prediction
market contracts available on the Truth social network.
It comes after Bitcoin prices, while they fell by nearly half to around
65,000 since their peak last year. And what would you do to get 20% off
your next purchase at the pump? Well, one Sunoco gas station in upstate
New York. They're offering the discount deal for
gas and other products to customers who, yes, show off their best dance moves.
I kid you not. People have been going all out.
This video has reached over 1 million views on TikTok.
The promotion does not include tobacco and alcohol, though I'm not sure if any
of them did partake before doing these dances.
Would you do that for 20%? You're darn right I would.
Do you know me? I'm a dancer.
Oh, it's generally my go to description for
you, David Garrard. No animal, no co or wherever I do it.
That's that's a great discount. Also like.
Come on, everybody's laughing. It's a nice moment.
It entertains everybody. It does.
Let's do it. We'll get 20% off.
Come on, 20% off. It's a new craze.
Pays craze to the skin. Lisa thank you very much.
Appreciate that. These are sticking around.
Okay. It's a debate that has split the
academic community, one of the nation's largest university system.
Since 2020, the University of California has stopped considering SAT and Act
scores for admission. Now, thousands of faculty members say
they do not agree with the test free protocol and want the school to
reconsider its test free policy. All right.
Joining us now from Washington with more is Bloomberg education policy reporter
Liam Knox. Liam, this is such a controversial topic
because some people love these tests. Some people hate these tests.
My question is, even if they re-implement the test.
Is that really going to solve the larger problem of these students showing up
unprepared for college level work? It's a great question, and one that's
kind of at the heart of this debate, honestly.
The there are a number of other factors, as I think anyone who has been
observing or living through the past five years with or without, uh, you
know, college age, high school age kids who know there's, uh, been the rise of
of I use in the classrooms. Obviously, the pandemic itself had a
huge impact on a generation of students who went through virtual learning for a
few years and are still catching up. Um, so the question of like, what is the
actual cause of this lack of preparedness is very much up in the air.
But professors, college administrators, um, they want to try everything that
they can to make sure that students who do enter the classroom are ready for the
level of college work that's expected of them.
You mentioned the pandemic. And I got to say, my daughter has been,
you know, she applied for colleges this year.
She's going you just went through. And yes, it just went through this.
And it's funny because you go and they're telling these students that are
there, you know what? This is the last time these scores are
going to be optional for students in coming next year.
You know we're going to change it and that's how we're going to make it.
They're going to have to apply it. So I see this at different different
universities. But explain why you see is so important.
I mean this is one of the last universities kind of making this change
possibly to possibly there are there are a number
of universities that are still test optional, especially the large public
institutions, the University of Michigan, the number of others, um, that
have not gone back on their test optional policies.
What makes you see very interesting, um, is that this is, uh, one they they
weren't just test optional in 2021. They got rid of safety requirements.
They went test blind, which means that admissions officers can't consider
standardized test scores even if applicants submit them.
Um, also, the you see is a massive, as you mentioned, a massive public
university system. And it's not just the elite schools
UCLA, UC Berkeley, um, UCSD that that are in consideration here.
Uh, there's also schools like UC Riverside and UC Merced, which take over
90% of all, of all of their applicants, and sort of a very different, much more
local, um, population, uh, where maybe there's a question of, you know, is one
test policy for the entire system really the the right way to go?
I think it's absurd to look ahead. And no, I think it's interesting because
I don't know when we were going to school, to me, the tests were kind of
the leveler for kids who didn't go to fancy schools or didn't get that great
grades. Like if they were smart, they took a
great test. They could get money and go to college.
Now it seems almost the opposite is true, because you have wealthier schools
and wealthier parents who can game the system.
They can get these ADHD diagnosis for longer times.
That was a big part of that college admissions scandal.
They can teach the test in a way that people without the money to do that
can't do as well. So there's also like a class and race
argument about this. But but who is advocating for which side
of this at this point? It's become a real mixed bag.
I mean, there is there's an argument that that the, the test, um, kind of
exacerbates racial and socioeconomic disparities in access to elite higher
education, to any higher education. Uh, you mentioned, you know, uh, test
prep. That's an expensive thing to pay for.
And it statistically really, really helps increase, uh, student scores.
Uh, but then there are, uh, you know, admissions officers who say actually
having these test scores helps us what they call the diamond.
In the rough theory, it helps us find students from otherwise underprivileged
high schools in areas where they might not look at or where, you know, grading
might not be the best indicator of possible success, and find students who
really, really stand out. Um, and so there's, uh, you know,
advocates for more access to higher education are also split on this
question to some degree. Liam, there's there's also this
happening in a kind of a political crucible as well.
And I wonder if you could talk about that, uh, as well.
I mean, we've heard from the Trump administration this kind of push to
reform higher education over and over again.
You've written so much about that. Um, you have the Republican candidate
for governor in California really talking about the way that higher
education needs to be reformed as well. How much does this fit into that kind of
current conversation, that Zeit Geist conversation about the future of higher
education? It fits right in there.
And of course, the UC system is saying that, you know, none of those political
concerns are going to affect its ultimate decision about whether or not
to return to test requirements, but this is a question that looms large over the
UC and over all colleges. Um, you know, the Trump administration
has advocated pretty strongly for a return to test requirements as part of
what they say is, uh, you know, reforms to restore merit in college admissions.
Um, Steve Hilton, the Republican candidate for governor there, has echoed
those, uh, you know, those calls. There's this argument that going test
optional is a kind of proxy for race preferences in admissions for a kind of
affirmative action, which, of course, the Supreme Court, uh, outlawed in 2023.
Um, that that's the argument from the Trump administration and those
officials. And so when a place like the you see
which last year, you know, faced a funding freeze from the Trump
administration of more than half $1 billion in federal research grants, uh,
is thinking about this question. It's hard not to, uh, you know, not to
to to see the, um, you know, the federal government's and, uh, you know, the
political questions hanging over this as well.
Um, and I have to ask, also, on the education side, you have another story
that you're working on. One dive into that.
It's about the surge of AI boot camps. Um, so are they effective?
What did you find out? If you can give us a little preview
before. Before it publishes?
Uh, sure. Yeah.
So it'll be out later this morning. Um, I think the question of are they
effective is very much up in the air. And that's part of the, the, the impetus
for the story. Right.
It's that there's this real drive, uh, among workers, students anxious about,
you know, the effect of the technology on the job market, whether it's the
entry level job market or whether they, you know, are trying to get back into
the workforce or pursue promotions or a new line of work.
AI is affecting everything. Or at least that's what you know,
everyone is is that's what's in the zeitgeist.
And so there's this real, uh, urge is real, uh, eagerness to go back and, uh,
kind of upskill in that area. Colleges are also very eager to kind of
meet that need, both because they want to prepare students and because it's a
possibly fruitful revenue stream. But the reality is that nobody knows
what skills employers want from, uh, from, you know, when it comes to AI, you
know, least of all the employers themselves.
And so there's this, uh, you know, there's kind of a, uh, putting the cart
before the horse here a little bit. And, uh, the question is, are these
bootcamps, these very short term, non-degree programs that students are
entering are investing in really going to hold any value?
Previewed there by Liam Knox. Course covers education policy for Sarah
Bloomberg News. That's we're going to come out on
bloomberg.com in the Bloomberg terminal as he said a little bit later this
morning. Thank you very much.
Thanks, Sam. All right.
From the backwoods to the catwalk, how luxury fashion brands are embracing a
very specific type of cameo. You can watch us wherever you are,
wherever you go. Watch us on Bloomberg TV, listen on
Bloomberg Radio, streamed the show live on the Bloomberg Business app or
Bloomberg.com. It's Bloomberg this weekend.
Welcome back to Bloomberg this weekend I'm David Gura with Lisa Mateo and
Christina Ruffini. All right, David Gura.
How often have you worn camouflage? Approximately zero times in my life.
That surprises me. 0%.
All right. So a very specific type of camo that you
usually see in the deep woods is now getting kind of a resurgence.
And you're seeing it on runways and city streets.
Camouflage is getting a surge and it's getting licensing deals with some major
brands. So here to explain what exactly this is
and why it's happening is Bloomberg Pursuits Madison Derbyshire, who has
come with you and maybe not typically. So when I read this and it said camo I
thought like fatigue camo. But that's not quite it.
That was that was what we did in like the early aughts.
But this is a different this is like deep woods camo, 60 foot camo.
We call it hunting camouflage. And when I started reporting this story,
I didn't actually know there was much of a difference.
But it turns out it's an entirely different category of camo, and it's
dominated by a few very large companies in the Deep South.
And I kind of, I, I didn't even know to be looking for it until I had to write a
story last year about hunting that required me to buy an outfit.
Bloomberg bought me this beautiful jacket so that I could do the story, and
I started wearing it around New York City.
You can see it's got like leaves and very tiny.
I started wearing it around New York City, and people would stop me on the
street and ask me where I got my jacket, what designer was it?
And I had to tell them it was Bass Pro Shop from Harlingen, Texas, but and it
cost $15, but it was easily the most complimented item of clothing in my
wardrobe. And I started to wonder, like, why were
people so interested in the style? And then I started seeing it everywhere
in New York City. I wore the wrong one.
I wore the military fatigues, camo. Um, is there a right or a wrong way to
wear it? Like, can I, can I, can I don that the
Yankee hat. Wow.
With the this is a lot of camo. Does this work?
Well I know I think it works. How do you wear camo the right way?
I think she's being very polite. I think it works.
But they they mean very different things.
So the that green hunting or this green came on the oven, your hat was
essentially correct. It was the only camo that until the mid
80s existed because it was created essentially for America's last foreign
war, which was Vietnam. But hunters in the American South were
frustrated that the camo didn't really work with the topography of the region,
and they were still finding themselves, like, very visible to the animals that
they wanted to hunt like turkeys. So there were two, um, two kind of major
players in this one same taxi Hayes, and the other is Bill Jordan, and they
decided to design their own camo and kind of two separate camel empires, one
called Real Tree, one called Mossy Oak. Um, in order to create hunting camo,
That was a little bit more appropriate for the topography of America.
And that camo has not been popular in fashion until very recently.
Like this. Camo was a very big part of the
anti-Vietnam War protest. It's something that you would see in
Abercrombie and Fitch. I know that I wore it like my entire
early adolescence. I wore cargo pants.
But to a lot of people, this camo really suggests military.
It suggests like aggression.
It's very masculine. And there's something that's really
interesting happening with the hunting camo is that the associations people
have with this pattern tend to be very regional.
So people who hunt people are from the South will be very familiar with this
pattern. But until the last five years, you
really didn't see it that often in New York.
Let me ask you about that. So you here are the trends that are
going to Bass Pro Shops and coming to New York City wearing this trendsetter.
Um, you know, you asked if I've ever worn.
No, but I grew up in the South, so it is recognizable to me.
When and how did it make the leap to something that folks here in New York
There be a cognizant in New York would recognize what this is.
American style, rural, southern style has kind of become a ubiquitous
aesthetic for Americana right now. You see, cowboy boots have had this
major boom. Carhartt jackets are everywhere in
Williamsburg, as well as the South and Brooklyn.
Yeah, there's nowhere you can go where men do not want to wear a vintage car
jacket, which when I was growing up, like I have a lot of family in the Deep
South, I was considered workwear. My grandfather used to call it clothes
for honest labor. Interesting.
You bought them in the tractor Supply. They were not sold on high streets of
Paris the way they are now. But what people are really looking for
is this kind of vintage aesthetic. So they started buying the vintage
Carhartt that looked like they had been worn in, like worked in.
And the kind of logical next step for that was hunting camo, because it has
this very American, very rural association.
But people one of the really interesting things about this moment is people are
buying used hunting. So things that have been really broken
and are being worn by men who have never hunted a turkey in their lives.
I was going to ask is like my my issue with the car to someone else who grew up
with people actually wearing this for work is like, you're you're cosplaying a
working American. It's giving like Marie-Antoinette
playing milkmaid. Like, is there something kind of off
about these guys who've never done this, you know, trying to emulate this, or is
that just fashion and just kind of part of the fun?
I think it's both. It's it is fashion.
People want to wear things that suggest an identity that they're, they want to
be a part of, like denim and workwear really entered fashion in the 70s and
80s when it's like blue jeans were not a thing right before they came into
fashion, because people wanted to wear things that suggested blue collar they
want because it was seen as like more virile, more masculine.
And you see kind of the same thing coming into play.
We're in this moment where traditional masculinity is kind of politically
ascendant. And so there are people who are
unironically wearing these clothes, these articles of clothing, because
that's what they think an American man looks like.
And then there are people who might be wearing and like the Balenciaga jacket,
that kind of fashion loves irony, right?
And so love, they want to suggest these things.
And there is something a little ironic about paying $2600 or $2700 for a
hunting jacket that you can get at Bass Pro Shops for $15.
So it is really interesting the way that
fashion takes these controversial images and they ionize them.
And also to some people, like one of the things that I think we don't talk about
enough is there's just not that many patterns that men feel like they can
wear that are culturally acceptable for men to wear, that fit with traditional
ideas of masculinity. You know, they don't really have animal
prints the way that women do. They don't really have florals unless
they're feeling particularly bold. Maybe they have stripes.
And camel is one of those things that men really gravitate towards, and then
women gravitate towards to steal from the men.
Madison, thank you very much. Thanks so much for having me.
This was really fun. The next hour of Bloomberg this weekend
starts right now.
Breaking news the Senate confirms Todd Blanche as attorney general in an early
morning vote. 50 to 49.
The nomination is confirmed. Applause broke out on the Senate floor.
What this means for the future of the Justice Department.
Digging into the jobs report. U.S.
employers unexpectedly cut jobs and the unemployment rate fell.
It is a fall in unemployment rate. That's due to the wrong reasons.
What it means for the fed and interest rates.
And an apparent financial lifeline for Liv golf.
It says it found an investor to keep the tour going.
Is this always how it goes? Liv golf.
You never get the full picture. The latest as Liv golfers tee off at
Bedminster.
Welcome, Plymouth. This weekend we're coming to you live
from Bloomberg's world headquarters in New York City I'm David Gray.
I'm Christina Ruffini. We're here with Lisa Mateo.
It is Saturday, August 8th. Obviously we have this news on the Hill.
Uh, lots of votes happening overnight. We had a Russia sanctions bill.
Uh, Todd Blanch was confirmed. And now the Senate has gone for their,
uh, much anticipated, uh, summer break. But there are other things that have not
taken a break, and that includes the conflicts in Iran, which we're going to
talk to some of our colleagues about this morning, as well as all the other
headlines. Where to start with Lisa Mateo, who the
updates. You got it.
And that overnight vote for Blanchett followed a tough confirmation fight that
exposed concerns across party lines about assailing President Donald Trump's
former personal attorney to lead the Justice Department.
It comes after Republican Senator Bill Cassidy said he would support Todd
Blanch to be the next attorney general, while Senator Susan Collins of Maine and
Lisa murkowski of Alaska, they oppose. Also this morning, the Senate has passed
a stopgap spending bill to avert a government shutdown at the end of
September. The move it shows how both parties are
looking to avoid a fight before midterm elections.
That vote, it was 90 to 6 to keep federal funding at current levels
through December 11th and prevent the Trump administration from transferring
funds to the Border Patrol overseas. Now Russia and Ukraine exchanged
overnight strikes. Ukraine's capital.
It came under attack by ballistic missiles and drones, with fires reported
in several districts and three people killed in the region and a fire.
It was sparked at an oil refinery in southern Russia by Ukrainian drone
debris, injuring five people. That's according to the regional task
force. Meanwhile, the U.S.
Senate did pass a new Russia sanctions bill championed by the late Senator
Lindsey Graham. It authorizes punishing tariffs on
China, India and other top buyers of the country's oil and gas well was low, as
well as extended Iran sanctions. Senator Darlene Graham, she's talked
about what it meant to her late brother. He believed that this was the most
consequential piece of legislation that he had ever led.
And I'm proud to carry the torch to the finish line.
Lindsey was committed to achieving a peaceful resolution to this war, and I'm
confident that these sanctions will pave the way.
The bipartisan legislation passed the Senate 86 to 11 and still has to pass
the House. A federal appeals court that has ruled
that President Donald Trump cannot build the white House ballroom without
congressional approval, and must stop construction of that $400 million
project. The president called the decision unjust
and said he would appeal it to the Supreme Court.
Democratic Senator Peter Welch he stressed that Congress would never give
approval for that ballroom. And Berkshire Hathaway, he spent about
$4.5 billion to buy back its own shares in the second quarter, and that provided
shareholders with the largest quarterly payout since 2021 operating earnings,
while they surged 16% in the three months through June.
David and Christina. Lisa, thank you very much.
Fascinating to hear kind of the way that investors look at stock performance of
that company in particular. No, it's not beating the S&P.
No. Not even close to it here.
But it's a it's still that thing that people want to hold on to not looking at
a quarterback. And almost the opposite of eye if you're
if you're skeptical of I or you're following this a little bit more, but
not eye proxy for sure. Thank you very much.
Appreciate that. Well, Iran's foreign minister says that
country and Oman, very close to inking a deal on managing the Strait of Hormuz as
the white House is once again saying a deal on the strait was imminent this
week. I will note here on the Saturday that
deal has not yet materialized. Now there are new reports concerning
depleted munitions, and CNN is reporting the chairman of the Joint Chiefs is
looking for an off ramp. Bloomberg News white House National
security Editor Michelle Rasco joins us now.
Michelle, I have so many questions. Um, but I think I'm going to start with
we have all this talk of talk, right. These negotiations, but it's very
unclear if the U.S. is even involved in these at this point.
It seems like this is being worked out between Oman and Iran.
And it does also seem like there is going to be some sort of tolling
structure, fee structure, exactly what the U.S.
said it didn't want and and wouldn't happen when we started this conflict.
Well, that's right, Christina. And I think that's the key point to make
this week as we talk of talks, as you say, I mean, the talks this week were
not about the US in any sort of mediating position with Iran.
It was more about, as you say, the Ron Oman talks, which have always been
about, uh, how do we manage, uh, the Strait of Hormuz, uh, long term
interest, even before this conflict for, uh, Iran to sort of solidify its control
over the strait? It's been an economic concern for
decades, uh, for them to just ensure that they can secure that as an asset.
So the talks this week apparently moved a little further.
If you're reading from Russian state media, which you know, you have to take
with a grain of salt just like any other media these days or trends.
Um, uh, you know, uh, translation of of what the regime is thinking.
Uh, but we do we do have, you know, and signals that they have come to some sort
of agreement on how to toll the streets, uh, which, of course, as you mentioned,
is not in the interest of the U.S. and not with the U.S.
with seeking or declaring that would come out of this.
So there's still no sign, uh, you know, Trump did say this week that he was
involved in the negotiations, but he didn't elaborate on who might be talking
or how that involvement might play out. Um, we do know that there's no formal
talks right now, of course, between the U.S.
and Iran. Uh, and even the media.
Uh, you know, Qatar and Pakistan have been fairly quiet about any sort of
progress there. So we are in sort of even a more a limbo
period than we were before in terms of what is the diplomatic way ahead, and
does it threaten to return us to a sort of kinetic, uh, situation?
Um, and it's a familiar split screen once again.
So we have the president talking about the prospects of a deal, uh, his desire,
I guess, to get both the U.S. and Iran back to a negotiating table
eventually. And all the while, on the other side of
the screen, there is president with his bellicose rhetoric about how long he'll
be willing to be patient until that happens and then what might happen where
he not to be playing out. Kind of in the backdrop to all of this
is the concern about the US's weapons supply.
And we certainly saw in Ukraine this week Ukraine's president, uh, saying,
you know, effectively, their their missile defenses is greatly handicapped
by the fact that there are enough patriots left.
Um, and there was all of this reporting, uh, from the likes of NBC news, other
outlets reporting on the fact that that that stockpile of munitions has been
greatly reduced because of the conflict in Iran.
So, um, president unhappy about that? We saw him, uh, tweeting out posting on
Truth Social earlier this week. The U.S.
has massive amounts of munitions, especially of certain types.
Additionally, large amounts are being manufactured and shipped to the US as
needed. Defense companies are building the
largest number of plants and factories in our country's history.
The leakers. He writes of these treasonous statements
are being hunted down. Long term jail sentences will be sought.
Let's look beyond that rhetoric, if we could.
Michelle here. What do we know about the integrity of
the ammunition stockpile? The degree to which that is shaping the
president's thinking about whether or not to go back to a more intensive sort
of military fight against Iran. We'll do it.
I think we can start with, uh, what would be normal in any administration
and any any Pentagon structure is, uh, you know, you don't want your leadership
revealing what exactly the levels of munitions are, obviously, for
operational security purposes. From a political standpoint, yeah.
You have Trump, uh, you know, denying that there's any problem here.
He sees it as a leverage issue. Of course, you know, to say that we're
running low on munitions would be giving and handing something to Iran that they
think they already have, which is an understanding that the US is vulnerable,
that can't, the US cannot, you know, keep up these massive strikes with very
expensive missile defense equipment that's fighting very, you know, small
drones that are pesky at this point. Uh, you know, in some ways, uh, in a, in
a very asymmetric warfare game. So that is a problem.
That would be long standing. But I think what we have here this week
is, of course, the sort of Trump bellicose rhetoric, the bravado that he
brings to, um, every situation, every issue that he, he tries to project his,
his own opinions on, uh, is kind of cutting up against the reality that, uh,
you know, his advisers are telling him that there is, you know, a real problem
here. And it's becoming more obvious.
And one thing I think you can look at, uh, which I really appreciated, our
reporter, Tony Capozzi, had a good scoop last week looking at what has the
administration asked Congress for in emergency funding to replenish those
stockpiles? So that gives you some idea to kind of
back your way into, uh, what we're running low on or what might need to be
replenished, uh, to, to prepare for maybe what's ahead on Iran, but also
other conflicts. And as you mentioned, this is kind of,
you know, running into in a very complicated way.
Uh, other conflicts like Ukraine, where we're seeing, you know, as you
mentioned, the shortage of Patriot interceptors there.
And, and so there's this sort of kind of global competition right now.
Um, you know, in some ways to kind of figure out how can we get these things
produced faster. And, and the president has said that he
is, uh, you know, urged and the defense primes are responding to that faster
production call. Always follow the money.
It's always a good reporting tool. Um,
how much faster can they do this? We have the chief of naval operations,
uh, here. And it seems like.
And our colleague just interviewed the army secretary, and we've all asked this
question. They are reticent to answer it directly
because it is such a politically charged, uh, issue with the president.
But there at some point, to your point, it is becoming more and more obvious.
It is the reality that this is going to become a problem.
And the lead time for a lot of these patriots and bigger munitions is like
five years, so aspirational. The admiral is talking about even trying
to get that cut down to half. What is the plan in the meantime?
What are the options? And is this why you're hearing leaks and
rumblings that folks in the Pentagon are trying to find off ramps to this
conflict? Because in the meantime, there just
aren't that many options? Yeah, well, two things.
I mean, Christina, again, we can look at what happened, what the situation was
before the war, and then now that it's exacerbated with the strains from the
war. So before the war and even decades back,
you always have this debate about can the five defense primes the biggest
defense contractors to the government? Can they move faster?
Can they be more efficient? Can they do more to make sure that they
don't have cost overruns and that they just move on a timeline that works for
the US military and for the US taxpayer. And that's always the pressure point
between government and business on that front.
So those are long standing debates. The Trump the second Trump term, um, you
know, even dating back to its beginning a year and a half ago, was talking about
getting the defense primes and defense procurement in general to move faster,
to be more nimble, to draw on more startups to to get more next gen tech,
um, and to just be less clumsy in some ways than they have been.
And, and, you know, you can imagine how those debates go with those, uh,
executives who have been to the white House a few times.
Um, and, and, uh, it isn't in their interest to kind of speak candidly about
those meetings, but you can kind of read, uh, you know, what those
discussions are now under, under this situation with munitions running low,
you do see, um, you know, more of an effort and more talk from the likes of
Defense secretary, heads up, um, Joint Chiefs of Staff, Chairman Kaine and
others to to get those primes to move faster.
And so, um, and then we had, as you mentioned, Army Secretary yesterday.
Army Secretary just called yesterday announcing, um, another kind of avenue
for startups to get more involved. So they're coming to military bases, um,
and they're being invited to, to to move faster and bookings on those military
bases to test weapons. So another, another effort there to to
kind of get this procurement process more nimble and to, to speed up
production. All right, Michelle, Germans go our
white House and national security editor joining us from D.C..
Thank you so much. Thank you Michel.
Well, the next summit between Presidents Trump and she is scheduled to take place
next month in Washington. And the agenda is expected to center on
trade and technology. And for almost a decade, Evan Osnos is a
Beijing based reporter. He's also the author of a book, Age of
Ambition Chasing Fortune, truth, and Faith in the New China.
These days, he's based in D.C., but he recently took a reporting trip to China
in a new piece for The New Yorker. He writes that many of those changes
have taken place since 2013 and saying for a long time, China, look west for
visions of the future. These days, it's favoring its own.
Its approach to I is one illustration of that.
Evan Osnos is a staff writer for The New Yorker, and he joins us now on this
Saturday. Evan, I want to start with, I if I
could, because you I'm going to paraphrase you here, you'll forgive me
for doing that, but you highlight the distinction between the way that China
approaches AI and the way that the U.S. does.
And I think what you sort of indicate is that in the U.S., the debate is about
sort of advanced general intelligence, sort of what that might mean for our
society as a whole. It is a much more kind of commercially
focused aspiration in China than it is here in the U.S..
It is. Yeah.
The conversation in China is about how to get it out as fast as possible as far
as possible. And they're not just thinking about how
do we get it into Chinese factories, but also how do we get it into Africa,
Central Asia, Latin America? And so you have a very different
conversation when you're going around, as I did.
You know, visiting Chinese factories are going to AI consultancies that are
looking at ways of bringing this into very old fashioned factories.
Um, you know, there's not a whole lot of imaginings about, uh, you know, a sci fi
future, even though there are elements of that beginning to present themselves
in the present. Um, it's really about.
All right. How do we go into a brewery, for
instance? That's a real example.
And say, how do we take beer production and put it into the 21st century?
So it is, uh, it is quite striking that when you're on the ground these days
about how I and, and other technologies feel like they are already part of life.
And it seems to me that the energy aspect is a huge part of that.
We were talking earlier with Joe Quinlan from Bank of America, talking about the
spike we saw in solar stocks this week. And he said part of the reason is what
we're seeing in the Gulf in this energy demand.
And China has been really out ahead on energy diversity.
And we're still seeing this, you know, mysterious drop in, uh, oil imports from
China. Is this are they more able to throw
their weight behind this and back, build the infrastructure because of just the
way they are structured with their government, they can long term plan in a
way that a democracy doesn't have to, because we change presidents possibly
every four years. Yeah.
This is both the blessing and the curse of having a centrally planned system.
You know, the blessing, of course, is when you decide you're all in on all
kinds of energy, as they have over the course of the last generation.
They've gone from producing, you know, something like half as much energy as
United States to producing now much more.
And actually, in many cases, it's cheaper.
Um, this is partly because they've been able to say from the top, this is what
we're doing. And then that filters down through the
system, even down into the localities where you get municipal governments that
are even on the individual level. You have politicians in the Chinese
system competing for promotions by saying, look, we are investing in solar.
We're investing in nuclear, whatever it is.
Um, the downside, of course, is that when they go off of true north by a few
degrees and end up on an engineering project that turns out to be either out
of step with market demands or in some cases, like the one child policy, which
I talk about in this piece. Uh, something that produces a huge range
of negative economic consequences, that it's very hard to shift that battleship
before it can cause, um, more damage. So what we're seeing right now is that
this is the moment when those energy investments have paid off, and it's been
very helpful for them. Evan, you can count me among those who,
um, have been introduced to the new China through through your book and
through your writing. And I just wondered if you could talk a
bit about what it was like to return there on this, this reporting trip.
I think one of the things you observe is kind of the quiet of Beijing in a way
that it wasn't before, because there are so many electric vehicles now.
The means of transportation has changed, the means of commerce has changed as
well. The storefronts are less crowded because
people are buying things, uh, with apps and using delivery services.
How different is the new China today than the one that you wrote about now,
you know, more than a decade ago. It's very interesting to see it up close
now. I mean, having lived there for all these
years, you kind of absorb a certain street level sense of what China is.
And certainly in the first decade of this century, Beijing was a kind of a
cacophonous place. It was a noisy place.
I mean that in all senses of the word, you know, it wasn't just that the cars
were noisy, but also there was a real contest of ideas going on, and you would
also just go into the alleys. I lived in a hutong house, and so it was
you never quite knew what was going to be opening up.
There were businesses that would open, they'd be gone, and in a few months or
something else would be built in its place.
Today, there is a much more distinct feeling of the place that is run from
the top. And so on the one hand, you get this
feeling that it is quite literally quieter because of electric vehicles,
but then you also get the feeling that some of that type of activity that was
happening in the margins, you know, the smaller communities of artists or ideas
that were bubbling up. Those have been silenced in some ways,
and that is a feeling of that feels like a loss.
And it also you do get the feeling, though, as you know, I was talking to
somebody from Singapore not too long ago and he said about Beijing, he said, when
I go there, it feels to me like it now out Singapore's Singapore, meaning that
it has that sense of orderliness. But then there is also that bit of
sterility, and that's a that getting those two ideas into one sentence is
part of the reason why I write a long piece of this kind, to try to give
people as much a feel as I can of what it's like on the ground.
You also wrote, which I thought was interesting.
Chinese leaders seem to be betting that by speeding toward the future, they can
outrun the mistakes of the recent past. You mentioned the one child policy.
I'm wondering which other ones come to mind and what they're trying to reverse
course on. One of the things they're trying to
address, of course, is the property crash.
You know, since 2021, we've all been living through the effects of that
economically. There are now uh, just to put a fine
point on it, there are now as many vacant homes in China, apartments and
villas as there would be to house the entire population of Russia.
Uh, so you had this enormous, uh, overhang, uh, from that property crash
and they're saying, look, if we can more or less catapult ourselves into a new
phase of economic history, then perhaps we can, um, light a fire again under
people, get them feeling like they're no longer, as the saying goes, among young
Chinese, no longer, uh, looking to lie flat.
Um, maybe get people to start feeling more energized about the economy and
about their own opportunities. That's really the core of it, guys, I
think, is this feeling of, can you reignite that feeling of opportunity?
Um, that's the thing that was running through Age of Ambition when I wrote
about the China of, of the 20 tens. And there are moments, there are little
glimpses when you go to places in China these days and you see this dynamic
frontier of the new economy that is happening.
But then when you also talk to people who have felt like those opportunities
are only for a privileged few, and they say, look, I'm not equipped for the eye
economy. I'm not equipped for this new advanced
manufacturing generation. Where do I fit in?
And the irony is, of course, it's not a conversation that's all that different
from one of the ones we're beginning to have here in the United States.
So there's something to it. How do you make sure that many people
feel a sense of agency? Uh, in the new I era, in the minute we
have left. Uh, I want to ask you about what I found
is kind of the most important part of the piece to my mind.
Just in one minute. I think that, you know, there are a lot
of kind of gray beards talking about political theory and the American order
waning and what might rise in its place. And you.
Right. Spent enough time in Beijing and
Washington these days, and the rivalry looks less like a clash of competing
systems than a race between small oligarchic groups, tight circles of men
with immense power over everyone else's future.
Talk a bit more about that, if you would.
Yeah. It is a very noticeable feeling after
I've been working on this for a long time.
I came away with the sense that this is the dark matter, the piece that doesn't
get described enough and is clearly, which is that there is a feeling, both
in the United States and in China, that these enormous decisions about what role
will these new technologies play in our economies, in our private lives, in our
in our own sense of how we educate our kids and how to prepare them for the
future? It doesn't feel like we have a hand in
those decisions, and that creates an enormous sense of uncertainty.
And I heard this not only from regular people on the street.
And, you know, you could do that in the US.
But even from some AI executives in Beijing who said, look, I too have these
questions. How should I educate my kids to
participate in the future? So, um, in some ways, there is a point
of, of commonality here, uh, which is about how will these two big important
countries engage in a way that allows their regular citizens to feel as if
something is happening with their involvement, rather than happening to
them. And it's always great to speak with you.
Thank you very much. Seven Osnos.
He's a staff writer at The New Yorker. His new piece out in this week's issue.
Thank you very much. Appreciate it.
All right. Next week we're going to get some key
inflation data with consumer producer price indexes.
Bloomberg Economics chief economist Anna Wang expects inflation to cool slightly.
We couple that with the week jobs report.
All indications are that the Federal Reserve will hold on interest rates next
month yet again. Here's more from Bloomberg's Anna Wong.
The difference between the US falling unemployment rate on one hand and a very
weak payroll on the other hand in July's print was mainly because in the
household survey, it shows that the labor force participation continue to
fall, uh, driven by people, uh, between age 16 to 24, and those folks are
dropping out of the labor market. And because you have a shrinking labor
pool, you don't just don't need a lot of, uh, increase in hiring to cause the
unemployment rate to go down. So it is a fall and unemployment rate
that's due to the wrong reasons. That's so interesting to me because I
always I find that part of that counterintuitive.
It's like, well, the unemployment rate down because people gave up and stopped
looking for work. It also seems an interesting indication
that it's in those ages that you talked about.
So it's younger people who are deciding not to be applying for these jobs.
What are they doing? Are they waiting to enter the workforce?
Are they seeking higher education or is that not clear?
I think it could be a more, uh, um, harmless explanation.
It could be that it is July after work, after all.
And people, especially the younger folks, folks who are waiting to go to
college, the the college students themselves, they're just off vacationing
and they are, uh, just not working in their usual summer job and not looking
for a summer job, uh, in the thick of July.
And I want to play a bit of sound here from Kevin Hassett, the president's
economic adviser. He was on Bloomberg Television on Friday
after these numbers were released, talking about, uh, participation,
talking about the data more broadly. Let's take a listen.
The labor force participation is kind of on a downward trajectory, which means
that the break even jobs number, that is the jobs number you need.
So the unemployment rate doesn't uh, go up is has gone from maybe 120 hunters,
30,000 a few years ago to maybe about 40,000 now.
And so what it means is that what the market is used to look it at, oh, it's
like a normal tread the water kind of jobs number, if it's around 100, is no
longer true. I want to get your reaction to what
Doctor Hassett said there. And also just have you talk a bit more
about what you mentioned a moment ago, which is just that the pool of workers
here is getting smaller and smaller. Yeah.
So he mentioned this, uh, break even concept.
So economists, uh, estimate this, uh, monthly pace of job growth that's needed
to keep the unemployment rate constant. And, uh, Kevin Hassett just mentioned
his estimate is 40,000. Our estimate is, uh, around 55,000.
The fed and, uh, recent note, they think that it's closer to zero.
So, um, I think that's what he's trying to.
Kevin Hassett is trying to say to kind of, uh, his point is that, well, well,
we are used to the, uh, you know, 100 K type of monthly, uh, payrolls print
going forward, even a soft ones, that's, uh, you know, between 0 to 50,000.
And in his mind, 40,000 is actually a tolerable and decent kind of number of
job growth. And and I think basically he's lowering
the bar for what constitutes a good labor market.
When you look at the picture overall, there were a few places where you saw
some job growth and there were places that were hit by job losses a little bit
more. Can you just talk us through the
different sectors and some patterns that you're seeing?
Yeah. So, um, the the places that produce the
largest drag is local government education sector.
And it saw a 50,000 decline in a job growth.
That's pretty substantial. Um, I think this is this decrease is
noteworthy, and it's not something that you can just sweep under the rug.
Uh, I think this is a sign that the, uh, higher long end, uh, of the yield curve
that has been rising for the last 3 or 4 months already, that is starting to bite
when you have higher long term treasury yields, that puts upward pressure on
mortgage rates and that has been cooling the housing sector and, you know, local
governments derive a lot of their revenue, uh, from the local property
market. So when, when local government budgets
are falling short in the first half of this year, going into the new fiscal
year, they will have less to allocate to schools.
So that's what I'm, uh, seeing. And also going forward to the fall right
before the September FOMC meeting, we have another jobs report.
I continue to expect the local government sector education sector to be
weak, uh, because for this reason, I just don't think it's a one off thing.
Another place that's really weak is leisure and hospitality.
And that is due to the reversal of the World Cup high hiring.
But here, even here, I think it's, uh, pretty alarming.
So originally it was supposed to be, uh, not alarming because, uh, in spring we
saw that there was a huge, uh, increase in hiring for leisure and hospitality.
But in today's report, we also see a massive downward revisions to the last
two months. Uh, job fair and in fact, 100,000
downward revisions to jobs. And a lot of it came from leisure and
hospitality sector. You know, well, we thought that in April
and May that was a huge increase in hiring in and, uh, hotels and, uh, food
and restaurants. It actually didn't happen.
It's or it's a very mild kind of increase.
And now with this, uh, last two months of July and June's negative, large
negative print and leisure and hospitality, it basically means that on
net, it's cutting down, uh, lesion hospitality, uh, level of employment
from even before the World Cup. Um, so I think I think, uh, that's also
pretty weak. All in all, I think the bad news in
today's report, uh, Trump the positive views.
The only really good sector and in terms of hiring growth is construction.
And that's driven by, uh, basically data centers.
Uh oh. Wow.
That's where I is manifest in this, in this report.
I want to go back to the data. And of course, you swim in day to day in
and day out. Uh, but I think there will be people who
look at these revisions and think there's an inherent problem with the
data that we're getting on the job market today.
And you listen to the new fed chair, Kevin Warsh, one of his many task forces
is one that's centered on data collection.
And the way that the fed looks at looks at data.
Um, do you see an even problems with the way that we kind of gauge the health of
the labor market, or are we not getting the data that we need?
Is there some sort of deficit that that is stark based on what we saw here in
terms of the revisions today? Yeah.
So downward, the persistent downward, uh, revisions to jobs data has been, uh,
the trend for the last, uh, three years. Really.
Um, and whenever the direction of revisions is Primarily toward one
direction. In this case, that worth.
It suggests that there's something more structural going on that, uh, the first
cut of the data is not able to show. And usually what that means is that, um,
the labor market is not as strong as, uh, as as as one thought.
So this means that whenever you see a blow out job sprint going forward, like,
uh, over 200 K, I think we all have to take it with a grain of salt.
Now, as to the precise cause of these downward revisions, well, it is from the
birth and death model and also from the lower response rate in the first, uh,
survey of the month. Um, and I think the BLS is actively
trying to address this problem. Uh, earlier this year, the BLS announced
a, um, methodological change in the birth and death model that is
supposedly, Uh, we'll be better able to capture these real time.
Uh, an increase in hiring and decrease in hiring from jobs, going out of
business or, uh, new businesses forming. Um, I think I think that, uh, uh, I
think the BLS and other federal agencies are actively trying to work on this
problem. Um, and it's it's not because, um, any
federal agencies did. Attention is fudging the numbers.
And speaking of Kevin Warsh, uh, they do have another meeting coming up.
Uh, it looks like your projections are saying you're expecting giving weak
payrolls and higher layoffs, which you've been telling us.
Do you think is a stronger signal in the drop in unemployment rate?
We're also expecting a soft CPI to come out.
You think that means fed rates are going to hold in September?
Yes. So so many analysts after today's weak
job report says all attention will be focused on next week's CPI.
Um, so my team has spent the last year painstakingly working on collecting
millions of prices every month. We call this project the Bloomberg Price
Project and are, um, assessment from looking at, uh, July's um, prices is
that it will be a modest product next week.
Year over year. Core CPI is likely to come down to 2.4%,
and that is up the lowest year over year reading in more than five years.
That is a very significant because one of the very, uh, very popular talking
points amongst the FOMC hawks lately is that inflation has been about target for
more than five years. And therefore the fed needs to, you
know, start hiking regardless of, uh, you know, the data.
Well, if CPI is coming down to a new low in more than five years, it means that
that talking point likely is expiring. Um, taking away a one big reason for why
so many FOMC members want to hike rates. Maybe I could close by asking you, as we
kind of linger here on, uh, the Fed and Kevin Warsh, sort of how he might be
processing the data that we got from the Labor Department on on Friday of this
week. Um, during the last FOMC at the press
conference, he talked about the strength of the labor market.
So much more attention was paid to the inflation side of the Fed's dual
mandate. Does this at all complicate his
thinking, the thinking of other policymakers going forward here?
Obviously, it seems like absent him talking as much as his predecessor did,
we're listening a lot more to fed governors, other members of that
committee, sort of. What are you listening for?
How does this change the way that the fed is approaching the U.S.
economy? Well, you know, I think that today's
payrolls report vindicated, uh, Warsh position not to hike rates in the last
meeting, but it didn't vindicate his communications style.
The way he explained the decision last week was one month of data doesn't
matter, right? So by that logic, then to today's week
payrolls data are very little in his thinking.
But in fact there's a lot to the market thinking.
Kevin Warsh also said that let's let the market, uh, determine the signal and
let's reduce that communications to get a cleaner read of market reaction to
data. Well, the market today tells Kevin Warsh
that, well, maybe you don't need to hike rates as much in September.
Uh, judges, judging from the futures pricing of, uh, the the chance of, uh, a
rate hike in September. All right.
And Wang, our chief. Thank you for the US.
Sarah Bloomberg, thank you so much. Um, that CPI data coming out on
Wednesday, August 12th will be interesting closely watching that.
Uh, and again, just fascinating to see the fed navigate all of this.
There was so much focus on inflation obviously at the last meeting.
But in recent ones, um, if this will change the degree to which the kind of
balancing those two risks of interest, I seem to think not yet.
Here we go. All right.
Coming up here at the Liv golf tournament, getting a financial
lifeline. What does that mean for the future of
the game and for the rival PGA tour? And you can explore live streaming news
and interviews on our Bloomberg TV shows, documentaries, reporter analysis
and more, all in one place. Check out Bloomberg.com slash videos.
We'll be right back.
Welcome back to Bloomberg. This weekend I'm David Guru alongside
Christina Ruffini. Round three of the Liv Golf New York
tournament continues in Bedminster, new Jersey today as the long term future for
the league remains unclear, with investments from Saudi Arabia's Public
Investment Fund being halted. The PGA golf CEO Brian Rollup telling
Bloomberg News there is, quote, no merger, no conversations.
We've really been concentrated on the PGA tour.
Source of funding for Liv golf is very much in question.
It's really interesting. Uh, PGA CEO Brian Rupp also joined
Bloomberg Money to explain how Liv golf has motivated the PGA tour to evolve.
When I looked at this opportunity, I just saw the AFL, NFL, which essentially
created a lot of systemic changes in professional football that started to
accelerate the growth. I think we've had that moment here.
So I think the a lot of, um, perhaps shortcomings in professional golf came
with a little bit of competition where all Americans tradition is a good thing.
So I think we've we've seen that, and we're trying to build something that
outlives all of us here. Now for Liv golf BK partners credit arm
is looking at potentially extending a lifeline to the beleaguered league by
lending them some money. Talks with BK partners and others are
advancing, but nothing has been finalized yet and details could change.
For more on Liv golf new potential investor, we sat down with longtime golf
writer and author Alan Schneck. He is also the author of the book Live
and Let Die the inside story of the war between PGA tour and Liv golf.
As with everything Liv golf, uh, there's a lot of subterfuge.
There's a lot of cloak and dagger. Uh, no one knows anything.
To quote, uh, William Goldman talking about Hollywood.
It's, uh, they have an investor. They went to who?
It was news broke that it's, uh, BK partners, they are aligned with, um,
this the sports management agency called GSA worldwide just funneled a bunch of
top players to Liv golf, including Bryson DeChambeau.
So there's. This makes sense.
Um, but the the framework of the deal is obscured.
Um, you know, they're they have a term sheet.
They have it shared. This is always how it goes to Liv golf.
You never get the full picture. Um, so we're all waiting to find out
that the question is they will get a cash infusion here.
How much and how long will sustain the tour?
Because the business model is not working right now.
It's. It's just a startup that is a bit
incinerating cash for four and a half years now.
So they're going to slash the prices. They're going to they're going to
terminate the the payouts that they owe the players.
But can they even even at that point, can they make enough revenue just to
keep the circus going like that is the unknown right now.
I'm going to read from that statement and all of its vagaries here.
Liv golf has an agreement in place with a lead investor signed by the investor,
approved by the board to anchor the transaction and play a key role in
supporting the path forward for the league's next era, driven by and for the
players. We anticipate finalizing terms in the
coming weeks with the goal of entering a transaction in September.
Could you just explain the predicament that Liv golf finds itself in?
So still a fairly new league here? You mentioned the cash burn that we've
seen play out here since its inception. Um,
how badly is it doing? So the predicament for Liv is that the
business model needs big stars, but the big stars want guaranteed money.
They don't have the money to give. So.
Can they keep the stars and can. Can the tour exist without the stars?
If there's no guaranteed money? It's this.
This circular problem. Um,
there's there's no doubt there. At this point, it seems likely that
there will be a Liv golf in 2027. It's going to.
The era of decadence is over. Like these guys are no longer going to
be living like Louis the 14th. Uh, it's going to be a nice little golf
tour with smallish purses with a very small footprint playing ten events.
Um, as a as a game changing, disruptive force like those days are over.
So, Liv, 2.0, uh, it appears that it will have some foothold in the golf
world, but, uh, how how relevant it's going to be will depend on if they can
hold on to their biggest stars, which is really Jon Rahm and Bryson DeChambeau,
and they're offering them equity in this new league to stay.
But you know, cash is king. And whether these guys won in the primes
of their careers want to pledge themselves to a B-list circuit where
there's no guaranteed payout. That's a big ask of players who have,
you know, a finite amount of time to to make their hay as professional athletes.
So there's so many questions that I think
we can say that there will be a Liv golf in 2027, but, uh, what it's going to
look like, who's going to play it? And if anyone's going to pay attention,
those are the big questions. And like, who is watching it?
Because I will admit I'm not the biggest golf fan.
Not. But
I will confirm confirm that. But it just didn't seem like there was
really a need for this to be disrupted. Like no one was asking for this.
No one was like clamoring for this. And when you look at the ratings, I
mean, the PGA Tour's audience on an average day is like 17.78 times larger
than Liv's final round when it comes to TV audiences.
What was the goal here? Well, it was an exercise in soft power
by the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Live was never really about golf.
It was about sports watching. It was about a regime that wanted to
launder its reputation and wanted a foothold in the Western world.
And golf was a useful vehicle for that. And that is the starting and ending
point of what Liv golf has been. Everything else is just noise.
Now, with the Saudi Public Investment Fund divesting now, Liv has to stand on
its own just as a pure competition. And that's where, as you know, they've
struggled that when Liv has played international tournaments, they've done
pretty well. When they go to Australia or South
Africa or Korea, they've they've been cagey about picking markets that have
not had big time golf. And when they take the show on the road,
they have created some energy in those markets and they have had good turnouts
for the fans and they've created some positive buzz.
But they're looking at playing five international events and five domestic
next year. The tournament in the U.S.
had been utter disasters because, as you say, the sports fans in the United
States were not clamoring for another golf league.
They barely support the PGA tour, which is a proud American institution that's
been around since more or less the 1920s.
And so, um, for Liv to try and play half its schedule in the US, to me seems like
a myth. They should go completely international
and then they have a chance to succeed. But, um, you know, the BK partners is
based in the U.S. and so the people are putting the money
in. They they want to have some tournaments
here. So
it's just a struggle for Liv golf. Even when they had some of the best
players in the world, they couldn't attract an audience here.
Now they've lost Brooks Koepka, they lost Patrick Reed are already coming
home to the PGA tour. There's a good chance to lose more
players next year, so that that is the ultimate question for Liv to succeed as
a standalone entity. Without the endless cash infusions of
the public investment fund, it has to generate interest among fans, and that
that's been an uphill battle from day one.
Now, let me linger lastly here on on that this kind of schism that we've seen
in golf. And you mentioned that Liv 2.0 is going
to be this kind of dress down smaller league compared to what its aspirations
were and what it was for for a time. Um, I imagine the PGA tour is feeling
pretty good about this. And I'm wondering just in terms of
competition here, um, where there is any whatsoever.
I mean, the case before was, as you mentioned, players could go to live and
make a lot more money if this is a slimmed down version of what they
aspired to be or were, um, how do they make that case to to players?
Is it just inevitably going to lead to more defections, do you think?
Yeah, there is room for for Liv golf? I mean, three years, four years ago for
Liv golf arrived. There are only four events on the PGA
tour where the purse was bigger than $10 million.
Like $10 million. Used to be an incredible purse.
And that's kind of what Liv is targeting for next year.
So it could be a the second or third best tour in golf, potentially.
But the problem is, because of this, this battle for the soul of the sport
and live is has been somewhat radioactive.
There are not pathways of movement in professional golf.
It's much like baseball though. It's a big leagues as triple AA.
There's double AA. And so you play in Asia, then you play
in Europe, then you come to the PGA tour.
That's the dream. If you're a young aspiring player and
Liv is frozen out of that system now. So you can go and play these
tournaments, but you're not going to have the ability to upgrade and to to
move freely. And that's really its problem.
A lot of open questions here. Uh, I go back to what he said just about
the, uh, reason why this was created to begin with.
That was soft power, that there was a time when the kingdom of Saudi Arabia
was really looking to expand, obviously, beyond the region, using culture as kind
of a springboard to to do that. And so that just begs the question for
me, as I as I listen to al in talking there just about, again, the utility
your need for for this league. You've got the PGA tour, you've got this
one now, which in its next iteration just sounds so similar, maybe even like
a reduced version of the PGA tour. We're also at a moment where some of
these sovereign wealth funds, especially around the Gulf, are really looking at
these soft power investments they've made.
We've even seen that in arts investments, opera companies, soccer
fields, couple of places that we're relying on Qatari, Emirati, Saudi
wealth. All of a sudden that's pulling back.
And what that's doing to these passion projects that are nice, but as with
this, didn't really need to be there because there already wasn't market.
When we come back, what is now turned into my weekly embarrassments after a
long winning streak is being stolen by David Gura.
And that is the point of news quiz stolen in place of malfeasance.
None at play here. You know what?
We're going to find this out when we come back.
I'm coming for you today, Kara. It's time for one of my favorite moments
of the show. The point of news quiz.
Now it's your favorite. Cause I've got my chips are right on the
table in front of me. Christina counted hers up as well.
Lisa Mateo. Here is what
was the week. The questions.
What do you have questions? Okay, for those playing at home, here's
how it works. Okay, so they each have 30 chips in
front of them. They're broken into 30.
Yes okay. Looking very, very talented.
They really is. And what they will do is they will place
their bets on each category to figure out, you know, if you feel like you're
confident about the first category, you might want to put all your chips on
there. Or maybe you might want to not put
something on the second category category because you're like, I don't
think I know enough about about it. Um, so let's get right to it.
Okay. Are you ready to play along?
I'm ready to play your three categories. Here we go.
The first is trade wars. Trade.
Yes. The second is malls.
Very good. And the third is outbreaks.
Oh okay. So what did you know the most about
running the gamut there? Uh, I feel I like I'm too confident.
Are you placing your bets? You know, I haven't used the Ruffini
strategy in recent weeks. It has worked to my advantage.
But today I'm going to lean on it. I'm going to go ten on each, ten on each
category. I'm also going to have ten on each.
Lisa, look at me. If you let him cheat this week, I will
follow you to your car. Okay, here we go.
Here we go. Trade wars.
Here's your question. In a retaliatory move, China is limiting
exports to the US of what? Tech product commonly made by DG.
I see this. So what is DJI.
Sorry DJI limiting exports to the US of what tech product commonly made by DJI.
Um what is this product? I.
Okay. We need a hint.
Now we do not know. We do not we do not need a hint.
Yeah. Uh.
All right. I wrote microchips.
Microchips? No drones.
That general picture. David, you're a little excited.
Oh, look at that. You are correct.
I know, so President XI Jinping is scheduled to meet with Donald Trump in
the U.S. next month.
Yes, they agreed to build this relationship for constructive structure
stability. Yes.
Um, so, yeah, Christina is up. All right.
David. Good.
I know I gave me some very good wireless microphones.
A lot of podcasters here. DJI.
Yeah, those little ones that are the square.
Those are DJ mikes. They're very good.
Oh, do we use those? Are these my own?
This is like, you know, this is more like if you're like a YouTuber, they're
very popular. Not an endorsement.
Not a not a paid endorsement. I had it all.
All right. All right.
Are you ready for malls? I feel sad.
I feel good about this category. Christina, you're going to get this.
Okay. Which edgy American mall staple is being
sold to the parent company of Spencer's and Spirit Halloween.
Spencer's. Spencer's is declared.
Okay, but it's being sold to the parent company of Spencer's.
And let's see. Gosh, I remember that.
I want to say something, but I don't want to give him a hint again like I did
last week. So I'm going to wait.
I'm going to wait. Come on.
David. Okay.
All right. Edgy mall staple.
An edgy story that I wrote. I wrote Claire's.
It's that edgy. What are you doing?
This is a place David has never shopped in his life.
I believe in a certain topic. You are kind of edgy.
Hot topic. And Spencers are always next to each
other. What is Hot Topic?
I'm sorry, what is hot topic? I like goth a little bit goth.
What do you say? Right?
It is 100% yes. If you were an aspiring goth in Colorado
Springs, Colorado who went to Catholic school and had to wear uniforms, oh, you
wanted in life was to dress in all the things your mother wouldn't let you buy
it, huh? So if any seniors are watching the
program and want to send in photographs of that era in your life which may or
may not be shown on air, none of their seniors are watching.
They can't. That would be amazing.
I don't know. I'm going to text my brother.
Oh, Lord David Gura. I have 20 tips in front of me.
And you've got ten there. Yeah.
You said to me online all these little piles I had a look how nine to outbreak.
It's the summer doldrums. I feel a little hubristic this morning.
Okay. I think you're going to get this one.
I'm not sure about this. Okay, okay.
Outbreaks. Which food is being blamed for a
salmonella outbreak across 27 states? Varieties include Tam and Goliath.
So what food is salmonella? Oh, great.
Gosh. I mean, I'm talking about cyclospora.
Which vegetables can come up with? Is that one?
What food is with it? Um hmm.
It's a type of food. Yes, it's a type of food.
I wrote tomatoes, no lettuce, which I know was not right.
No help. Oh, no, I didn't read that.
I love that so much. I didn't even know that.
Yeah, I feel like I'm down for, like, sweet green.
It was. It was a it's a pretty bad time.
So what can we eat? What can you eat?
I know you can't. Cerrito.
Have you had the Frito? What is it?
There's an item. Cerrito has no lettuce.
Maybe. No.
Hello, Pina. Isn't it as well?
All right, guys, we're gonna do it. Um, David Carr, I think you got that
wrong. Yeah.
I'm sorry. So you have how many do you have got?
None. But the bonus isn't all.
No, it is not an all or nothing situation, at least.
Should we be changing the rules? Bonus, bonus round.
We always go all in. Is aviation okay?
Please go all in. Brazil is investing in Micawber okay?
Hoping it will become a source of sustainable aviation fuel.
What is Michael Barr and you smell? I hope I said that correctly.
Mascot Luba. And even those vowels are dancing with
one another. The air and the
Brazilian. Yes, yes.
Uh, the Brazilian, I don't know, uh, might be a aviation fuel.
What what what is this? Uh, I did say it could be used for
aviation palm oil, but I got it. Um.
well. Nope.
Sorry. It's a fruit curse.
You know, what would it be? And hold on.
Yes. Um, it grows on palm trees.
Okay. Brazil is investing $3 billion.
That's right. Um, yeah.
That's why I couldn't remember. But you had the palm oil.
But it doesn't look like a fruit. I saw this article.
I thought it was a nut. Eventually.
Yeah. And they're trying to modify it to
become, like, larger oil, safer to handle because it has thorns on it, and
it's not going to handle hard to harvest.
So, yes. So that means Christina is our champion.
And you know what? You win.
You got a prize today? Yes.
Yeah. Champagne jacket from our Kim loan from
our colleague Madison, Mo. Segment.
All right. I'm going to disappear with my way here.
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This episode covers key developments in Washington, including the Senate confirmation of Todd Blanche as attorney general and the passage of a stopgap spending bill and a new Russia sanctions bill. It also explores the recent labor market report showing unexpected job cuts and a decline in the unemployment rate, alongside analyses of the Federal Reserve's policy, China's economic and AI strategies, and trends in the golf industry and fashion.
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