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LA's Wildfire Disaster, Zuck Flips on Free Speech, Why Trump Wants Greenland

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LA's Wildfire Disaster, Zuck Flips on Free Speech, Why Trump Wants Greenland

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2910 segments

0:00

I just got a haircut with a with a new

0:02

person she was like I'm like do what you

0:04

want this is what she did okay well let

0:06

me know who she is jamat and I will'll

0:08

go beat her up and get them get your

0:09

money back did she feather your bangs

0:11

and blow your hair up she did she gave

0:13

you a blow didn't she it's starting

0:15

already okay no but that's a blow dryer

0:17

just yes right she blow dry your hair at

0:19

the end she gave me a little yeah that's

0:21

not sustainable so you can't tell what

0:22

the quality of the haircuts like because

0:23

you're never going to do that again you

0:25

don't have the skill I've never

0:26

blowdried my hair in my life no I

0:28

understand that then this is why because

0:29

if you get the blow and it looks good in

0:30

the blow just say blowout please just

0:33

say blowout the forward why what are we

0:35

six just grow up you the way you're

0:38

saying it you're saying it to provoke a

0:39

reaction come on no I'm not such a liar

0:43

I love it tell us about what your rules

0:45

for blows are what I'm saying is if you

0:47

get a haircut and and you get a blow

0:50

it's very hard for you to know no but

0:53

I'm serious it's very hard for you to

0:55

know what it's going to look like the

0:57

next day when you take a shower and when

1:00

you don't you know blow it it's true oh

1:03

you're saying the self blow can't match

1:05

the stylus blow it's just important when

1:07

you get a haircut with a new stylist or

1:09

a hairdresser or a barer yes you cannot

1:12

let them blow you he's not happy with

1:14

the ending got it it was an unhappy

1:17

ending because when you blow yourself

1:20

shth which people have accused you of

1:21

blowing yourself on this very program

1:24

when you blow yourself it's not going to

1:25

come out the way it did it won't be as

1:28

fabulous every time I've blown myself

1:30

it's been

1:34

perfect let your winners

1:37

ride Rainman

1:41

David and instead we open source it to

1:44

the fans and they've just gone

1:46

[Music]

1:49

crazy all right everybody welcome back

1:51

to the all in podcast I'm your host jpow

1:55

from Japan here JP cutting turns in the

2:01

Seco and at Ean I and we have an

2:04

incredible lineup today as always the

2:07

chairman dictator chamath is here to

2:10

reign supreme how are you doing brother

2:13

good how are you what are you wearing

2:15

exactly I'm just wearing my kimono as I

2:18

want to do uh here on the all-in podcast

2:20

why are you speaking in Elizabethan

2:22

English I just decided in 2025 I'm going

2:25

to live my best life and I'm going to do

2:28

everything anybody ask me to do

2:30

something I'm saying yes oh I'm I'm GNA

2:33

ask you a bunch of stuff next weekend

2:34

then I got so many ideas I got a list

2:36

I'm gonna ask you to do all sorts of

2:37

it's epic I'm doing it yeah okay so uh

2:40

it's a and uh yeah I'm I'm over the moon

2:43

right now and then I'll be going to the

2:46

inauguration to see all my

2:48

friends and celebrate the big Trump

2:50

Victory and tape an episode there with

2:52

us of course David freeberg your

2:55

resident sulan of Science and not a

2:57

moment too soon we have so much to talk

2:58

about what's the background here

3:01

those are some dead trees

3:03

with ma Fuji in the background yeah

3:06

that's a c basically Jason cissa

3:08

landscape while you've been um

3:11

gallivanting and being a diletant your

3:13

original adopted home state is burning

3:15

to the ground ah yes I know about this I

3:19

got off the ski lift and I saw this

3:21

after I had posted like oh my life is

3:23

amazing and I was like oh my God you

3:25

know you can totally and everybody

3:27

replied like are you the and I'm like oh

3:31

my Lord this is unbelievable we'll

3:33

obviously talk about that so then you

3:36

promoted the Tweet yes I put $500 behind

3:39

it to boost to try to get my ratings up

3:41

no I actually literally deleted it

3:42

because I I posted a and I never do that

3:44

but I posted a video where I was like oh

3:45

my God it's incredible and I was like

3:47

you know what this is the wrong time for

3:49

it so a little Grace there folks and I

3:53

am so happy to have here on Allin Idol

3:58

the one the only my good friend cyan

4:01

banister no our good friend she's my

4:03

good friend before you guys met her so

4:05

sure she's ours but I've been friends

4:07

with her longer so my good friend Sayan

4:09

B and our good friend and our bestie

4:11

let's just leave it at that it doesn't

4:12

have to be a competition for who Sayan

4:14

likes best we'll ask her to rate at the

4:15

end of the episode say welcome to the

4:17

program yeah thanks for having me I

4:19

appreciate it it's nice to see everyone

4:22

Jason you want to tell people about

4:24

sence background yeah do an epic rant on

4:26

cence Epic I mean c and I fought in the

4:29

Clone worse together it was a long time

4:31

ago but uh she's a technologist

4:34

self-made individual who then decided

4:36

she would start writing small Angel

4:38

checks about 14 years ago literally the

4:41

same year I did and uh myself cyan

4:45

profoundly better than you let's just be

4:47

she's not incredible yes of course well

4:50

we'll get into it and uh cyan and I

4:53

would uh 14 years ago I guess we would

4:58

meet startup companies together and host

5:01

little events where we get together and

5:03

and take pitches and we invested in a

5:05

couple companies together and it worked

5:06

out very nicely for everyone involved so

5:10

yeah we're in a couple of companies

5:11

together yeah density density we were on

5:14

the board together for a little bit so

5:15

that was fun a little bit Yeah Yeah

5:17

Thumbtack Thumbtack actually Thumbtack

5:22

density and Uber I all discovered

5:25

through you what's which one was Uber I

5:27

got to check my oh I don't think I don't

5:30

think let me check my Google sheet here

5:31

I didn't know I invested in Uber let me

5:33

check I have to confirm that oh yeah I

5:34

did I but I uh at one of these events I

5:37

introduce Sayan to Uber that's true

5:38

right so found all three of those deals

5:41

at your event so that was really great

5:43

oh yeah well thanks that's a that's a

5:45

very nice let me try cyan is a prolific

5:48

angel investor correct I just said that

5:51

she was a part of Founders fund oh right

5:55

yeah she runs a seed fund called long

5:57

journey Ventures okay some of her hits

6:01

include SpaceX andil density Postmates

6:07

Niantic which is the makers of Pokemon

6:09

go

6:10

and Jason's favorite startup

6:13

Uber yeah it's been a good run it's been

6:15

a good run and also I'll just add a

6:17

wonderful human being and if you ever

6:20

had the chance to hang out and talk for

6:22

a couple of hours cyan would be one of

6:23

those people that you put right at the

6:25

top of the list I will Pro I will

6:26

promote sayan's interview with Tim

6:29

Ferris a couple weeks ago I randomly

6:31

turned it on I was in the car driving

6:33

home and then I stopped in my driveway

6:35

and kept listening I was just telling

6:36

cyan like it was a fantastic what was it

6:39

about two hours two and a half hour

6:40

interview three well it was four hours

6:42

he cut it to three and a half yeah and

6:44

then I had to drive again I listened to

6:46

the it's it and I was like excited to

6:47

get back to it which never happens for

6:49

me listening to long form interviews

6:50

like that like it was phenomenal so I

6:52

recommend it to everyone why did it hit

6:55

you so deeply couple things one C is an

6:57

incredible Storyteller like the the way

6:59

she describes her experiences her

7:02

history her life

7:04

beautiful she talks in kind of I think a

7:07

deep persuasive way about some of the

7:10

things that have shaped her her uh

7:12

business investing as well as kind of

7:14

spirituality which she mentioned earlier

7:16

which is not something that you'll

7:16

typically and you're like wait where did

7:18

this conversation just pivot to and then

7:19

you go down this whole other path with

7:21

her and you go on the journey with her I

7:22

just thought it was great so all over

7:24

the place it was great beautiful

7:26

recommend it to everyone to get to know

7:27

cyan oh thanks can I have you all is my

7:30

professional cheerleading squad from now

7:31

on this pretty awesome I don't like

7:33

talking about myself and this is great I

7:35

love it yeah well it's uh it's true

7:38

Sayan was voted most humble in our Angel

7:40

Investing group and I was a close second

7:42

so I almost won most humble in group

7:46

more work to do being humble I'm gonna

7:47

get you a t-shirt called the humblest no

7:50

no you have to borrow it from Cham he's

7:52

got he's had it for the last 10 years

7:54

seven or eight years ago Jason

7:56

approached C and I and said hey guys

7:58

Harvey WI has asked me to make a show

8:01

yes true story it's true story here's

8:04

how he asked me to do it in his room it

8:06

was really it's a true

8:07

story take it down and cyan myself and

8:10

Jason

8:11

went to some place in the city and we

8:14

taped a taped episode I have it what is

8:16

it called the first we taped the NBC

8:18

pilot for the accelerator or the

8:21

incubator so I had been

8:24

approached and did a pilot for NBC

8:27

called the acceler Ator and they spent

8:30

like a half million dollars on this and

8:32

you guys came on and it came out great

8:34

and it was just going to you know follow

8:35

me around ding it was very awkward

8:37

because afterwards they approached cyan

8:39

and I to do the show without when we

8:42

without Jason and so we had to we had to

8:47

decide who needs enemies we decided our

8:50

friendship was more important exactly I

8:52

don't know if I ever told you guys the

8:54

story but like literally they were like

8:56

figuring out where to put this and what

8:57

time slot they were like we're going to

8:58

do it in the summer sum because we're

8:59

trying to get some summer programming

9:01

going that's what we're going to test St

9:02

and then Harvey Weinstein turns out to

9:04

be an horrible monster and the whole

9:06

thing gets canceled and anything that

9:07

was anywhere within a hundred miles of

9:10

Harvey wiing got canceled including my

9:13

failed or forgotten reality TV show all

9:16

right let's get to more important things

9:19

there is an unbelievable tragedy

9:22

occurring in Los Angeles H as we're

9:25

speaking devastating wildfires basically

9:27

a formed to ring around La the most

9:30

destructive of which has been the

9:32

Palisades fire and which has stretched

9:35

into Malibu

9:37

obviously and 15,000 Acres or so have

9:41

been burned in that area thousands of

9:43

homes maybe 2,000 homes here are some

9:46

images they're just devastating and we

9:48

have a lot of friends in this area and

9:51

the area you're seeing on fire if you

9:53

don't know the Topography of Los Angeles

9:55

is north of Santa Monica you have

9:57

Palisades and then Malibu and obviously

10:00

east of the 405 you have things that

10:01

you've heard of like Bair and Brentwood

10:04

this area is part of a

10:07

mountain area called the Santa Monica

10:10

Mountains and they get very dry and

10:13

there's a phenomenon which we'll get

10:14

into called the Santa and winds that

10:17

blow really really strongly and a

10:20

perfect storm has happened where

10:22

thousands of homes and tragically five

10:24

lives and I'm sure there'll be more

10:27

unfortunately have burn down this video

10:30

of driving down

10:33

PCH if you've ever driven PCH the

10:35

Pacific Coast Highway these are 10 20

10:39

$50 million homes that are literally on

10:42

the Pacific Ocean the most coveted homes

10:45

in Los Angeles are not belir and

10:47

brenwood you might think that because

10:48

you hear them on TV but really if you

10:50

were an incredibly successful person you

10:53

would aspire to live in the Pacific

10:54

Palisades just west of bretwood and just

10:57

south of Malibu or Malibu many

10:59

celebrities live there many Executives

11:02

Etc and these homes are gone thousands

11:06

and thousands of homes it's this is

11:08

turned into the ultimate rosock test on

11:12

social media where people are projecting

11:14

into this tragedy which tragically

11:18

occurs every year to varying degrees and

11:20

maybe every 20 30 years it's an acute

11:23

situation we'll get into that in a

11:24

moment but looking at this

11:27

absolute just devast stating loss of

11:30

property and lives the lives could have

11:32

been a lot worse freeberg from a

11:35

scientific perspective maybe we'll start

11:37

there when you look at these wildfires

11:40

extreme weather global warming and you

11:43

look at this situation is that where

11:45

your mind goes or in this raw shck test

11:48

of how you feel about these kind of

11:51

tragedies and how you interpret it do

11:52

you go somewhere else the incompetence

11:54

of California's government

11:56

Dei Ukraine I mean everybody body is

11:59

superimposing on this natural disaster

12:02

whatever

12:03

their pet issues are where do you come

12:07

to when you look at this I don't think

12:10

that those are exclusive okay I think

12:13

that you can have had both incompetent

12:17

planning and execution by

12:21

leadership as well as have kind of

12:24

uncontrollable circumstances that

12:27

management and planning weren't

12:29

necessarily going to solve and I I'll

12:30

kind of talk about a couple of these

12:32

points real quick first of all like we

12:35

talked about when the hurricane hit a

12:37

couple of months ago remember and as you

12:39

guys know I have an office or facility

12:41

out in Nashville so we were exposed to

12:42

the flooding circumstances and we talked

12:44

about the the frequency of of that sort

12:47

of an event having been such a rare

12:49

occurrence becoming more common

12:52

similarly we're seeing more frequent

12:54

high high wind events in California

12:56

flooding events in California and hot

12:59

events in California if you look at this

13:01

link I sent out Nick in terms of the

13:03

total precipitation over this current

13:05

what's called rain

13:06

season the Southern California region is

13:09

basically at a you know call it 0% of

13:13

normal so this is Southern California

13:14

you can see that third column that's the

13:17

percent of normal rainfall that has been

13:19

experienced there's been zero rain in

13:22

these regions so everything is primed to

13:23

be very dry and then you get the Santa

13:26

Ana winds 100 mph winds no matter matter

13:29

how much underbrush you clear out no

13:31

matter how many trees you remove if

13:33

there's some Embers in the air there's a

13:35

100 mph wind that is going to create a

13:37

fire hurricane and a lot of homes are

13:39

going to get caught on fire so it's very

13:41

hard to kind of just pin the blame

13:43

solely on not doing underbrush clearing

13:45

not doing removal of trees those should

13:48

have happened they didn't happen that

13:50

was wrong that was bad policy but it

13:52

doesn't excuse the fact that there's a

13:54

natural event that happened here that

13:56

seems to be occurring with greater

13:58

frequency the I'll kind of pivot to if

14:00

we want to get there now maybe we'll

14:01

talk about that in a minute is kind of

14:02

the economic and the policy issues with

14:05

respect to the Department of Insurance

14:07

because okay let's get to that after we

14:09

go through maybe a little bit of the

14:10

quick reactions here I think that's

14:11

where that's where there's going to be

14:12

real pain and Devastation and that's the

14:14

biggest economic consequence is the role

14:16

that insurance has played in all this

14:18

stuff which we'll get to in a minute

14:19

yeah okay so chamath I think table

14:21

Stakes we all agree global warming

14:23

extreme weather depending on what degree

14:26

you believe in it there plays some

14:28

Factor here and this is something that

14:30

has reoccurred over and over again in

14:33

this specific re region but on social

14:36

media we're seeing a lot of other

14:38

interpretations of this event maybe your

14:40

thoughts on some of the other

14:41

interpretations and then where when you

14:43

look at it what do you start to think

14:46

about preventing this in the future or

14:48

maybe who's responsible what's your

14:50

general take on what we've seen the last

14:52

week I mean I'm not very sympathetic to

14:56

the there were 100 m hour winds not

14:59

because it's not true but there's been

15:03

enough modeling that we know that these

15:06

kinds of outlier weather events are

15:08

happening in greater and greater

15:11

frequency Nick maybe you can find this

15:13

and just put it up here but remember

15:15

that crazy apocalyptic video of that

15:18

exact same part of Southern California

15:21

in

15:22

2018 burning to the ground can we just

15:26

look at that all of us collectively

15:28

because that was six years ago this is

15:32

not like it was a distant memory from a

15:34

hundred years ago we knew in 2018 that

15:38

these Thea pass so this this idea that

15:42

we were just Lolly gagging around and

15:44

got caught off guard by 100 mph winds to

15:47

me is completely not an acceptable

15:49

answer we knew in 2018 that these things

15:52

could happen we knew across the rest of

15:55

the United States that these outlier

15:56

weather events were happening in greater

15:58

and greater frequenc

16:00

if you weren't sure you saw most of the

16:02

insurance companies try to dump Southern

16:05

California homes fire coverage three

16:07

months before this event happened so all

16:10

this data was in the realm of the

16:13

knowable and then when you doubleclick

16:16

and you get into a little bit more of

16:18

the details there's a level of

16:20

incompetence bordering on criminal

16:23

negligence here that we need to get to

16:24

the bottom of so I'll just give you a

16:26

couple of facts in the 19 50s the

16:30

average amount of Timber so wood that

16:33

was harvested in California was around 6

16:36

billion board feet per

16:38

year in the intervening 70 years that

16:41

shrank to about 1.5 billion board feet

16:45

and so you'd say okay well that's a 75%

16:49

reduction we must be making a very

16:51

explicit stance on conservation it turns

16:54

out that that's not entirely true

16:56

because what it left behind was near

16:59

nearly 163 million dead trees dead like

17:04

gone and so you would say well those

17:07

things should have been removed and the

17:10

problem is that then there's this

17:11

California Environmental Quality act

17:14

squa hopefully I'm pronouncing this

17:16

right and a whole bunch of these other

17:18

regulatory policies that limited the

17:21

ability of local governments and fire

17:23

management to clear these dead trees and

17:26

vegetation and I think that that's a

17:28

really big deal and when you double

17:30

click on that here's where you find the

17:32

real head

17:33

scratcher

17:35

okay multiple bills AB 2330 ab1

17:40

1951 AB

17:42

2639 all rejected by the Democrat

17:45

controlled legislator or worse vetoed by

17:48

Governor Nome that would have Exempted

17:50

these Wildfire prevention projects from

17:54

squa and other pering issues then there

17:56

were other bills to try to minimize the

17:59

risk of fires by burying power lines

18:01

underground SP 103 as an example went

18:05

nowhere didn't even get to the

18:07

governor's desk so I'm just a little bit

18:10

at a loss to explain these two bodies of

18:14

data one is everybody can see that these

18:17

events are happening Southern California

18:20

lived through this exact type of moment

18:23

just six years

18:25

ago all the bills that are meant to

18:28

prevent this

18:29

are blocked or

18:31

veto this is the ultimate expression of

18:34

negligence and

18:36

incompetence okay cyan you've uh heard

18:39

uh jamath and freeberg take here some

18:43

amount of incompetence some amount of

18:45

hey this keeps occurring and there might

18:47

be some global warming that is

18:48

contributing to it what do you take away

18:50

sure from the situation I agreee with

18:52

freedberg in moth you know it's it's a

18:55

it's a lot of everything but I also

18:58

think think that to add to the

19:00

prevention part you know other than

19:01

clearing out underbrush and and trees

19:04

and things like that you know we we

19:06

don't build things in the state of

19:09

California in a way that houses should

19:12

be built when you know that there are

19:13

fires like this so for example we have

19:15

more wooden roofs than we really should

19:17

have we should really evaluate our

19:19

materials that we're building things out

19:21

of but we also have you know down in

19:24

elag gundo you know this is a company

19:26

that I invested in Rain Maker we have

19:28

the ability now to Cloud seed and do

19:30

preventative measures to actually make a

19:33

region have more water and I don't

19:36

understand why we're not looking into

19:38

things like this that could have

19:40

prevented you know we knew that this

19:42

storm was coming we knew that these

19:43

winds were coming you know Southern

19:46

California shut power down I have a farm

19:49

down there we still don't have power

19:51

because they knew that most of these

19:53

fires are started by pg& or down power

19:55

lines and so they proactively shut

19:58

everybody down and we're still running

19:59

on generators and if you notice there's

20:01

no fires down there but they also have

20:03

100 m hour

20:05

winds yeah and you're not seeing it and

20:07

there's plenty of mountain ranges and

20:08

dryness there you know avocado Farms are

20:11

basically just sitting

20:13

fuel so I do think it's a combination of

20:16

all of those things and competence is

20:19

definitely one of

20:20

them yeah and I I actually lived right

20:24

next door to this area for a long time

20:25

in Brentwood and to your point about

20:27

roofs it seemed silly and a lot of

20:30

these can seem silly when you first

20:33

mention them which Trump looked let's

20:35

face it the way he says things sometimes

20:37

is very colorful and when he said listen

20:39

you're not raking like people in

20:40

wherever he said it Scandinavia Finland

20:42

are raking the forest and he was

20:44

absolutely 100% correct on that maybe it

20:47

sounded bombastic or silly when the way

20:49

he said it but the truth is in uh Tahoe

20:52

where we just were over the holidays

20:54

people are clearing underbrush when I

20:56

lived in Los Angeles people lived in the

20:58

Hollywood Hills would get a fine if they

21:00

didn't clear it but there are mountain

21:02

ranges that nobody owns and when you

21:04

showed that Suppa to pass that's the 405

21:06

going past the Getty Center that area

21:08

has got to be cleaned by the the city

21:10

and the government and maybe they

21:12

weren't doing it as much look at this

21:14

this is apocalyptic yeah so I I know

21:17

this passed very well because I would

21:18

drive through it J what what did

21:20

California learn from this what did gav

21:22

Nome Implement based on what happened

21:26

here what did the city of Los Angeles

21:29

based on what happened here I want to

21:30

just specifically know the answer to

21:32

those two questions yeah and I think

21:34

that's going to be a big part of this

21:36

breakdown after this happens because in

21:38

a lot of these cases you might lose a

21:40

home or two but you haven't had this

21:42

kind of wholesale destruction in a while

21:45

and uh when I lived in brenwood I had a

21:47

shake roof that's a fancy way of saying

21:49

uh shingles wood shingles and they would

21:51

bake in the Sun and I love this roof but

21:53

my neighbors who in brenwood were all 70

21:55

80 years old and I was right on Sunset

21:57

Boulevard and I could look up from my

21:58

house and see the place you just showed

22:00

which is the Getty Center and the and

22:02

the Sova pass on the 405 and the um and

22:05

Sunset

22:06

Boulevard I was only allowed cyan to

22:08

replace 30% of my roof at a time you

22:10

couldn't replace it and put shake roofs

22:12

on you could only like maintain it

22:14

because in 1961 there was the B A and

22:17

Brentwood fires and these fires you want

22:20

to talk about like in in in memory chath

22:23

this one jaaja Gabor and tons of

22:25

celebrities lost their homes as well

22:27

this one was started because of this

22:28

Santa Anna winds and somebody was just

22:31

burning a rubbish pile I think it was

22:32

some construction workers were burning

22:34

that they said to me the neighbors do

22:37

you know about the B air fire you know

22:38

about the Brentwood fire you got to get

22:39

rid of that shake roof you got to get

22:40

rid of that shake roof when my daughter

22:41

was born the the uh roofer said to me

22:45

let's put composits on I put composits

22:47

on and he said what do you want to do

22:47

with the sprinkler system and I said

22:49

there's a sprinkler system in my little

22:50

one story wrench house he said yeah I

22:52

said I've never seen it and he showed it

22:54

to me it was on the roof people were so

22:56

scared after that 62 fire they were

22:57

putting

22:59

these on the roof and now you cannot

23:00

have would roofs have been banned you

23:02

were grandfathered in I was part of that

23:05

but there was a lot of PTSD from that

23:07

and now I do think there's going to have

23:09

to be some lessons learned and let's get

23:11

to where some folks online are pointing

23:14

to maybe not having great priorities and

23:19

maybe focusing on things that are not as

23:21

important as the taxpaying citizens a

23:24

lot of tweets I don't know how people

23:26

feel about them about Dei about who's

23:29

running the fire department Etc did you

23:31

have any thoughts on that freedberg I'll

23:34

I mean look we we one of the things I

23:36

wanted to talk about was the doi's role

23:38

the Department of Insurance role in what

23:41

I think will ultimately

23:43

be creating a pretty significant

23:45

economic consequence here from this sort

23:47

of an

23:48

event I don't but I'll I'll answer your

23:51

question okay I don't think that the

23:55

mission of any public service organiz

23:58

ation should be to meet Dei metrics I

24:03

think the mission of that public service

24:05

organization should be to serve the

24:07

public and I think that those Dei

24:10

metrics should not be a priority when

24:14

serving the public is the objective the

24:17

best ability to serve the public should

24:19

be the objective and that's it and I'll

24:22

state that really clearly okay so

24:24

obviously the the fire chief and La is

24:27

getting a lot of attention whether or

24:29

not that prioritization of Dei metrics

24:34

took away from the interest and the

24:36

focus in preparing for major disasters I

24:38

don't know there have been some

24:39

interviews over the last day or two just

24:40

to be fair where she has claimed that

24:43

they asked for more money to to they

24:45

would not be able to be prepared for

24:47

major disasters if the budget cut took

24:49

place that was proposed by bass that

24:51

budget cut did take place and so the the

24:54

fire chief has said that she asked for

24:55

Budget to make this the preparation for

24:57

this ORD of event and she lost it and so

25:00

I don't want to just say hey she's to

25:01

blame she's to blame because she was

25:03

focused on Dei but I will separately say

25:05

that I think that creating Dei as a

25:07

mission for an organization that's

25:08

supposed to serve the public interest

25:09

makes no sense this is an important one

25:11

James Woods obviously the uh the famous

25:14

actor who lost his home in Pacific

25:16

Palisades has been going on a bit of a

25:18

rant about Christine Crowley she is LA's

25:22

fire chief she also happens to be a

25:24

lesbian and has made a priority and and

25:28

done a number of talks on trying to

25:30

increase diversity inside of the fire

25:33

department she also just with a bit of

25:35

research is one of the top performing

25:39

firefighters a paramedic an engineer a

25:41

fire inspector a captain a battalion

25:44

chief an assistant chief Fire Marshal

25:45

Deputy Chief and when she took the

25:47

firefighter exam in the late 90s she

25:49

scored in the top 50 out of 16,000 she

25:51

seems eminently qualified there has been

25:53

a massive pile on Attack on her and you

25:57

know how it is on x and other social

25:59

networks where people are really tweaked

26:02

about Dei that they're kind of putting

26:03

the blame on her what are your thoughts

26:06

of this Dei angle chouth I don't think

26:08

this is to blame okay if all of a sudden

26:11

because of

26:12

Dei 70% were physically incapable of

26:17

carrying out the task and that's why

26:19

these fires grew maybe you could make

26:21

the claim that it is a Dei problem I do

26:25

agree with freeberg that the thing that

26:28

these public institutions need to do a

26:32

better job of is being very clear about

26:35

what their Nord star is I think the

26:37

nordstar for the fire department is to

26:39

save people's lives and put out fires I

26:42

think the nordstar for the police

26:44

service should be to save people's lives

26:46

and to hold criminals responsible and

26:48

get them off the

26:50

streets and you should hire the people

26:52

that allow you to do that job the best

26:55

the thing to keep in mind is that there

26:57

were probably 20 or 30 people

26:59

interviewed to be fire chief it's not

27:02

her fault that she was

27:04

selected the real question is what was

27:07

she mandated to focus on once she got

27:09

the job and I think what you see in all

27:12

of these interviews is I don't think

27:13

that she all of a sudden after growing

27:15

up through the fire service had this Dei

27:17

bent I think typically what happens is

27:20

it becomes an Institutional

27:22

directive it guides your compensation it

27:25

guides your recognition and so you do it

27:27

it's sort of what Charli Monger says

27:29

show me the incentive and I'll show you

27:31

the outcome the entire public service is

27:34

riddled with this the entire private

27:36

service is riddled with this which is

27:38

that we've lost the script about what is

27:41

important so it's yet another example

27:44

she's probably quite a capable person

27:46

who if was just allowed to focus on

27:48

fighting fires and saving people's lives

27:51

would probably do a good job but if you

27:53

had to add all these other things that

27:55

are not Germaine to that task

27:58

then people will get frustrated and

27:59

projected onto her it seems like a lot

28:01

of projecting going on here jamath I

28:03

agree all of that said though I think

28:05

you got to go back to how did these

28:07

fires start yeah how did they grow out

28:09

of control and again I think that these

28:13

winds didn't come out of nowhere in the

28:15

sense that they caught everybody off

28:16

guard this has happened before that area

28:20

has gone through this exact moment yes

28:23

there were laws that were proposed they

28:25

were vetoed okay so that even if you

28:28

could have controlled it then you see

28:31

certain developers like Rick Caruso who

28:34

were able to protect the buildings that

28:36

he was responsible for because he took

28:39

proactive and protective measures could

28:42

those proactive and protective measures

28:44

not been taken more broadly through LA

28:46

county of course they could have why

28:48

were they not and here what we're seeing

28:51

on the screen is recuso Village let me

28:54

ask a very specific question how much

28:56

money and we know the answer to this how

28:58

much money did the government of

29:00

California

29:02

spend poorly as it turns out on

29:05

homelessness it was about $21 billion

29:08

and illegal immigrants I don't know what

29:10

the final number is there but I suspect

29:11

in the tens of billions if you I think

29:13

if you reappropriated those dollars to

29:15

these kinds of protective mechanisms in

29:17

these areas what would the outcome have

29:19

been maybe there still would have been a

29:21

fire maybe there would have been damaged

29:23

but it's hard for me to believe it would

29:24

have been as bad as it is right now yeah

29:27

I think what you're getting to here is

29:29

we can confirm lesbians didn't cause the

29:32

Santa and and a wins to cause these

29:35

fires obviously but there is an issue

29:37

that I think many people in the public

29:39

especially in California who voted for

29:41

this very leftist liberal ideology are

29:44

now starting to realize is hey wait a

29:46

second what are the priorities here cyan

29:49

what are we focused on and what should

29:51

we be focused on and it's very easy to

29:54

be focused on Dei and maybe things that

29:57

aren't important homelessness and move

30:00

budget there but at the same time they

30:02

wouldn't give her $17 million they cut

30:04

the the fire budget she tried to fight

30:06

it well that that's not clear now

30:08

there's now the counter narrative is

30:10

that she actually got an extra 50 Jason

30:12

okay so we're we're in a breaking news

30:14

environment so we'll see what the truth

30:17

winds up being here but Sayan I think

30:19

the point Remains the Same here which is

30:22

is prioritization and what we focus on

30:25

out of whack in California oh without a

30:27

doubt I think diversity is good unless

30:31

that's all you have and I'll just

30:32

simplify it like that but and I think

30:35

it's very sad that somebody could be

30:37

very qualified and be in a position and

30:38

we now have to question whether or not

30:40

they were hired because of

30:42

Dei and then it comes down to

30:44

prioritization like when you're dealing

30:46

with a organization like a fire

30:48

department whose main job is to protect

30:51

the public and put out fires and save

30:52

people any amount of time as we know is

30:55

a valuable precious resource that's

30:57

being spent

30:58

trying to roll out these programs or you

31:01

know it goes beyond just who you hire

31:04

it's even they the thought police of how

31:06

you think you know it's so pervasive

31:09

within an organization that you you are

31:12

you die from the bureaucracy of it and

31:14

if if anything went wrong with the EI it

31:17

was that they didn't have their their

31:19

eye on the prize of of fighting fires

31:22

and instead you know they're focusing on

31:23

something that truly doesn't matter so

31:25

you can be as diverse as you want to be

31:27

and not be able to put out of fire and

31:28

then it just really doesn't matter right

31:30

because you're not training people

31:31

you're not spending money on things that

31:33

matter you're not having the discussions

31:35

that matter and that's where I think

31:39

that does fall apart and it it has a

31:41

place there but you know I go back to

31:43

what chamama said though you know it

31:44

really comes down to prevention and

31:46

learning from our past we seem to have a

31:48

very short-term memory and we forget

31:50

very quickly because we rebuild and it

31:52

looks pretty again and everybody

31:54

forgets and we just don't have the

31:56

ability as a society really to think

31:58

long anymore and uh that's a real

32:01

problem and I think we should learn from

32:04

this fire I really hope that what comes

32:05

out of this is a shift in political

32:09

leanings in this in this state you know

32:11

I think more moderates are going to come

32:13

to their senses and um as we've seen

32:16

with the election and the outcome and I

32:18

think the state might shift some and we

32:20

might actually get some policies that

32:22

you're so right you're so right I mean

32:23

when are we going to get tired of all

32:26

this late stage progressivism it's like

32:29

these Litany of excuses the people that

32:31

are in charge have failed us yet again

32:34

exactly we have wasted so much money on

32:37

so many things that don't move the

32:39

needle and then the things that they

32:42

needed to do they didn't do and then

32:45

they point the finger at climate change

32:47

it's a joke at a certain point you have

32:49

to wonder are we using politics and and

32:53

the purpose of it to make people's lives

32:56

better and to have a high function

32:58

Society or is it a way to fge your

32:59

signal or to you know share your

33:01

opinions on things yeah and and I think

33:04

what people are starting to realize is

33:05

you know in an acute situation whether

33:07

it's our budget deficit whether it's

33:09

schools whether it's safety from climate

33:12

you know or non-climate induced

33:14

disasters you you do need to have

33:16

competence and this is the Rick Caruso

33:18

is such a competent executive that when

33:20

he ran for office there the fact that he

33:22

didn't get that job is just absolutely

33:24

crazy and the you saw the mayor come in

33:27

and she wouldn't even address she

33:30

wouldn't answer any questions from the

33:32

Press not even thoughts and prayers or

33:34

you know we're thinking of this or we're

33:35

going to get it done it it just seems

33:37

like we're hiring non-executives to work

33:39

in functions that should be high

33:42

performing Executives this is an

33:44

operational role let me maybe bring

33:46

something that ties these three things

33:48

together but it builds on critically

33:50

what cyan

33:52

said there are so many people here that

33:54

are good hardworking people that lost

33:56

their homes

33:58

for many of these folks it could

34:00

be the most single and only financially

34:05

securing asset that they

34:07

have for other

34:09

people those that are family age they

34:13

have kids now beyond the financial

34:15

damage that are totally displaced where

34:17

will these folks go there was a comment

34:20

by Adam Cora commentary where he said

34:24

the real test to science point will be

34:28

how they internalize and metabolize this

34:31

because it now affects them personally

34:33

and they have to go and wait 3 years to

34:35

BU building permits to rebuild now

34:37

that's assuming that they can even get a

34:39

reasonable amount of insurance coverage

34:42

which touches freeberg

34:43

point this is the real tragedy that is

34:46

the actual tragedy multiplied by 120,000

34:49

or 200,000

34:51

families and the real question is how

34:54

much of that was completely avoidable

34:56

and I think there is a reason amount of

34:58

it that could have been that's what

35:00

really sucks and that's where you cannot

35:03

take your finger off the scale and

35:05

forget and yeah when it lands on your

35:07

doorstep quite literally here they are

35:09

not going to be able having been in this

35:12

exact area I can tell you when you try

35:14

to pull a permit to do anything as I was

35:16

explaining with my roof the regulations

35:19

are deep and expensive and timec

35:23

consuming I don't believe the C we

35:25

talked about the California Coastal

35:27

Commission recent episode freeberg what

35:28

are the chances that the California

35:30

Coastal commission even allows these

35:32

people to build those homes in those

35:35

locations on PCH fredberg I was talking

35:38

to chamat about this earlier today

35:39

because the California Coastal

35:41

commission was created by the voters

35:43

directly in

35:45

1976 and that commission has Authority

35:49

that exceeds legislative action so um

35:53

you would have to basically go back my

35:55

understanding is you'd have to go back

35:56

to a state vote to resend the powers of

35:58

the California Coastal commission so

35:59

they have effective complete authority

36:03

over deciding what does or doesn't get

36:04

built on the coast because their

36:06

objective is to preserve the coast for

36:08

the use of the community and restore it

36:09

to its natural habitat so anytime

36:11

there's a request or a permit request it

36:13

can take two decades three decades

36:15

sometimes to get anything approved if

36:17

they ever approve it at all and so the

36:19

California Coastal commission any

36:21

property that touches the the the beach

36:23

front in California they have this kind

36:26

of you know God level authority over and

36:29

they're basically all political

36:30

appointees that sit on the commission to

36:32

my question freeberg what are the

36:33

chances they allow the millionaires on

36:37

Pacific Coast Highway in Malibu to

36:39

rebuild those homes or do you think they

36:41

slow roll it and those people are all

36:43

5060 70 years old they'll never be able

36:45

to rebuild their homes Cali just slow

36:47

roll this and say you know what nature

36:50

returned it to its natural state I think

36:51

we should talk about insurance this is a

36:53

great segue yeah yeah this perfect segue

36:55

yeah this is the key point I wanted to

36:56

say about insurance so going forward

36:58

yeah all of this property that sits in

37:01

climate sensitive zones or weather

37:04

sensitive zones whatever you want to

37:05

call it like we've talked about on the

37:07

coast of California of Florida and

37:09

hurricane centers and tornado centers

37:11

where the frequency of loss is going up

37:15

they're priced as if the frequency of

37:17

loss is what it used to be which is like

37:20

let's say you buy a home for a million

37:22

dollars and the probability of your home

37:24

getting wiped out by a natural disaster

37:26

is a one in a, your kind of situation so

37:29

you have a one in a thousand chance of

37:31

your home getting wiped out each year so

37:32

your price for insurance on that million

37:34

doll home should be about 10,000 bucks a

37:36

year one tenth of 1% so 10,000 bucks a

37:39

year for a million doll home sounds

37:40

expensive but it is what you have to pay

37:42

for homeowners insurance but now let's

37:44

say that the probability shifts to one

37:46

in 20 years so now you've got a one in

37:48

20 year probability of your home getting

37:50

wiped out are you going to pay 5% of

37:53

your home value no and uh if if you have

37:57

a $10 million home are you going to pay

37:59

$500,000 a year for property insurance

38:02

no now what's happened is the insurance

38:05

companies have these models they're

38:06

called cat models or catastrophe models

38:09

it used to be two companies one was

38:10

called RMS the other one was called

38:11

equat and I used to work in this

38:13

business so I know it pretty well and

38:14

then all the the companies started

38:16

building in-house models and now there's

38:17

startups that make models and these

38:19

models have shown that there are

38:20

increased probability of complete loss

38:22

in a region because of the increased

38:23

probability of these crazy weather

38:25

events happening and so the price of

38:27

insurance should go up here's the

38:28

problem there are 5050 State Insurance

38:30

Commissioners in the US in order to sell

38:32

insurance in a state you have to have

38:34

the insurance carrier and the policy

38:37

approved in that state and the states

38:39

determine what rate or what price you

38:41

can charge for insurance so the State

38:44

Insurance commissions have a couple of

38:45

goals number one is to keep all the

38:47

insurance companies solvent so they want

38:49

to you know check the financials of all

38:50

the insurance companies make sure

38:51

they're not writing too many policies

38:53

that they won't be able to pay out the

38:54

second thing is they want to make sure

38:56

that the insurance company aren't

38:57

ripping consumers off so they have

39:00

control over the rates and they don't

39:02

want the rates to go up too much in any

39:04

given year so they're controlling rates

39:06

and keeping them down and then the third

39:08

is they're supposed to make sure that

39:09

consumers have access to insurance and

39:11

the third is a very hard thing to do if

39:14

you're trying to keep companies solvent

39:15

you can't write too many policies and

39:17

you're saying hey you can't raise prices

39:19

and meanwhile the probability of losses

39:21

gone up so the insurance carriers are

39:22

like what choice do I have so earlier

39:25

this year a State Farm pulled out of

39:26

Palisades they stopped writing fire

39:28

insurance and Palisades they canel 1600

39:30

policies in the exact neighborhood that

39:33

just burned down what about the timing

39:34

of that freeberg that was three months

39:36

before six months before Happ six months

39:39

before but yeah but it's not it it seems

39:41

crazy but as you know in Tahoe a lot of

39:43

the policies have been cancelled in um

39:46

it's just crazy timing it's it's a crazy

39:48

coincidence and remember in Wine Country

39:50

we had a lot of wipeouts all of Santa

39:52

Rosa was burnt out a few years ago you

39:54

guys remember that and so they started

39:55

pulling out of there so aot lot of the

39:57

carriers are generally pulling out of

39:59

California because when they go up to

40:00

the DOI and they're like hey we need to

40:01

raise rates by we need to double the

40:03

price of insurance we need to Triple the

40:05

price of insurance this is now a one in

40:06

20 year event the Department of

40:08

Insurance says no no no we're not going

40:09

to let you charge that much to Consumers

40:11

and then the carrier is like okay we got

40:13

no choice and they exit the market here

40:15

you can see right here 1, 1600 policies

40:17

canceled this has been a big driver is

40:19

the Department of Insurance has made it

40:21

very difficult to find this free market

40:22

outcome but at the end of the day one of

40:26

three parties are going to end up eating

40:28

the cost of the change in probability of

40:31

loss that has occurred it's either the

40:32

homeowner because they're going to end

40:34

up losing the value of their home in a

40:35

loss or they're going to end up needing

40:36

to write down the value of their home

40:37

when they sell it to someone who will

40:39

take on that risk which means the price

40:41

has to come down or number two is the

40:43

insurers and there's not enough

40:44

Insurance Capital out there to cover all

40:46

these losses so all these insurers would

40:48

go bankrupt or the third is the taxpayer

40:50

one of those three is going to end up

40:51

eating the loss that's about you know

40:53

the answer you know the answer taxpayer

40:55

taxpayer yeah somebody is going to Lobby

40:57

somebody but hey we're sitting here chth

40:59

in the age of Doge and saying hey let's

41:02

make the government smaller in fact Dave

41:05

you and I were talking about at some

41:06

point Gangs of New York and the fire

41:08

departments being oh yeah totally great

41:11

crazy timing that we were talking about

41:12

that two or three weeks before this

41:13

happened but right you know when we look

41:16

at making government smaller well that

41:18

means that these kind of situations

41:19

would put citizens more on their own so

41:22

let's counterbalance what you think

41:24

chamath about who should be responsible

41:26

we all espouse I think free market

41:29

ideology on this program and as

41:30

Executives and in what we do every day

41:33

should the people who own these homes

41:35

going forward who decide to rebuild them

41:37

here have to pay you know 5 10% of their

41:41

value of home every year should their

41:42

home prices collapse because it's too

41:44

hard to build there and should the free

41:46

market take over this risk or should it

41:48

constantly be put on the other 329

41:50

million Americans who are going to have

41:52

to be the brunt of what happens to the

41:53

million people affected in this area

41:55

well I mean sh's a very strong word

41:58

the cap on the insurance reimbursement

42:01

is about 3 million is my understanding

42:03

David you can tell me if I'm wrong but I

42:04

think I think that's right the houses in

42:07

the Palisades are anywhere from call it

42:09

1 million on the low end to maybe 40 or

42:11

50 million on the high end average is

42:13

four and a half in that yeah I was about

42:15

to say there's nothing for a million

42:16

these days yeah it's got to be three or

42:18

four minimum right but the median is

42:19

probably more instructive which is

42:20

probably seven or eight million so yes

42:22

yeah my point is that folks will get

42:25

less than half their home value back

42:27

they're going to have to come up with

42:28

some amount of money to then rebuild but

42:31

the cost of rebuilding a 7,000 foot

42:34

house in the Pacific Palisades is

42:35

probably at least a thousand a square

42:36

foot so that's 7 million of cash exactly

42:39

so now so now all of a sudden these

42:40

people have to come up with a lot of

42:44

money exactly and that's post tax money

42:47

so you might as well double it because

42:48

California is just so egregiously

42:50

burdensome in terms of taxes so the

42:53

individual homeowner is not going to be

42:55

in a position to rebuild

43:00

I think that the liabilities of the

43:03

insurance claims are going to be so

43:04

massive that the state's going to look

43:06

to the federal government to build them

43:08

out my parents just got evacuated I

43:10

gotta call them and just there there's a

43:13

new

43:14

fire literally right uh there's a new

43:16

fire called Kenneth fire it just took

43:18

off and it's it's at their house so just

43:21

give me I'll be back okay no do your

43:23

thing oh wow gosh almighty we were

43:25

talking about hey maybe less government

43:28

hey maybe spending less now the same

43:30

group of people maybe who were saying

43:32

hey we need to spend less and reduce the

43:34

size of government or saying hey well

43:35

why isn't California more prepared well

43:37

being prepared obviously means more

43:39

money and and and more taxes so you have

43:42

now these two competing ideologies here

43:46

but to the question of who's responsible

43:48

it is economically going to make no

43:49

sense to rebuild unless you can get that

43:52

insurance it is a coveted place to live

43:54

but because of the construction costs

43:56

have gone abs abolutely

43:57

parabolic in California because of

44:00

regulations you're talking about $4

44:02

million in income to build a $7 million

44:04

house and maybe you're just better off

44:07

selling the lot for a million dollars

44:08

and letting it be somebody else's

44:10

problem going for and just taking the

44:11

two or three or four million dollar loss

44:13

who should pay for on a go forward

44:17

basis underwriting these homes yeah I

44:20

mean a lot of these people paid for I

44:22

was reading stories of 30 some odd years

44:24

into Insurance thinking that you know

44:27

house wouldn't burn down and then of

44:28

course it gets canceled two weeks before

44:30

their house burns down and then the one

44:31

time they need it they don't have it and

44:34

part of this is I mean a huge part of it

44:36

is uh what freedberg was talking about

44:38

are the regulators and so the free

44:40

market solution is the only solution if

44:42

you look at I have an investment in a

44:43

company called kin insurance and they

44:46

specialize in direct to

44:47

Consumer Insurance for areas that are

44:51

plagued with natural disaster so their

44:52

number one state out of the 11 that they

44:55

serve as Florida followed by

44:57

Texas which you know has tornadoes and

44:59

things like that and how they're able to

45:01

get into these places and do insurance

45:03

is the pricing is according to you know

45:06

the construction of your home and all of

45:07

these various things and also weather

45:09

models and using data science things

45:11

that are not allowed in California if

45:13

you can believe it or not so you're not

45:15

allowed to use a weather model to price

45:17

in you know your decision- making for

45:19

insurance in this state and that just

45:21

doesn't make a lot of sense you know you

45:23

should be rewarded if you put the

45:25

resources and time into your home home

45:27

to to make it weatherproof uh fireproof

45:31

fireproof I mean you know even

45:32

earthquake resistant right this is more

45:35

regulations that were layer on here to

45:38

try to create equality you know and and

45:42

the fact is it's now working against the

45:45

system in Tahoe to your point they gave

45:48

us explicit instructions around homes

45:50

put Stone and Pebbles around your home

45:53

cut the trees and bushes down around

45:54

your homes do this over here you know

45:57

your when you do that and if you do that

46:00

which might cost $10,000 a home you it

46:04

would keep these from jumping from one

46:06

to the other in most fire situations

46:08

freeberg your back is everything

46:10

okay uh it's not okay listening to your

46:13

you know 70 something year old parents

46:16

evacuate their home and try and pack

46:17

their cars with all their stuff in a

46:20

matter of minutes while a fire creeps on

46:22

their home is a pretty devastating thing

46:24

to listen to yeah but are they sayfe

46:26

they're trying to get out of the house

46:27

they're throwing everything in the car

46:29

there's evacu if I'm looking at the

46:31

video right now the fire is like right

46:33

by their house it's insane it's

46:35

literally like blocks away from their

46:37

house God this is nuts this is the house

46:39

I grew up in in La I'm so sorry oh man

46:42

gosh blocked away and I'm like you know

46:45

what do you say to them like throw all

46:47

the photo albums in the car is what I

46:48

said throw the photo like just grab the

46:50

frame photos my mom's trying to grab all

46:51

her like that's the number one thing

46:54

that everybody misses and is mentioned

46:56

and interview that I've seen is uh

46:59

photographs like grab all the photos

47:01

grab all the ALB she's like you know

47:03

she's grabbing her jewelry and stuff and

47:04

I'm like grab the photos like we're the

47:06

last generation that will be thinking

47:08

about this issue of grabbing the photos

47:10

yeah it's fascinating I just want to say

47:12

like you know as we wrap up this segment

47:14

you know obviously we're thinking about

47:15

everybody there this is

47:17

complex this is not the fault of a

47:19

lesbian firefighter or the Ukraine or

47:21

any of these other issues this is

47:23

leadership and nature and preparedness

47:26

so there are big issues around climate

47:28

change you want to believe him you don't

47:29

want to believe him fine put that aside

47:31

but I can tell you that when I saw Karen

47:33

bass get off that

47:36

flight play the clip Nick of Karen bass

47:38

here because it's a short enough clip

47:39

that we can play it here for the

47:40

audience I'm I'm assuming you all three

47:42

of you saw this clip of her being

47:46

absolutely unwilling to answer a single

47:49

goddamn question about what's going on

47:51

this is the opposite of leadership just

47:55

10 seconds of this AB an apology for

47:58

being abent while their homes were

48:00

burning do you regret cutting the fire

48:02

department budget by millions of dollars

48:04

Madam

48:06

mayor have you nothing to say today back

48:09

upate it have you absolutely nothing to

48:12

say to the citizens

48:14

today disgraceful she in shock I mean I

48:18

I have zero sympathy you took the

48:19

leadership job I don't give a if

48:21

you're in shock you're a leader you just

48:24

you you sold yourself as the leader that

48:26

you were to service these people and you

48:28

don't have the dignity the the the honor

48:31

to just answer the questions it is the

48:34

that is absolutely the worst leadership

48:37

I've ever seen Under Fire let me ask you

48:40

guys a question disgraceful what do we

48:42

do you fire them all and you vote for

48:45

Rick cruso you vote for executives who

48:48

know what the they're doing and know

48:49

what to do in a crisis because they've

48:51

been under Fire before because they've

48:53

run a business before because they've

48:54

seen hit the fan this person I don't

48:57

know her I don't know her history but

48:59

I'll be totally honest like I wouldn't

49:01

trust her literally to pick up my lunch

49:04

if she can't answer one or two goddamn

49:06

questions and give a plating answer to a

49:09

reporter hey it's an intense situation

49:11

we're working as hard as we can she

49:13

can't even say two goddamn words to the

49:16

people who voted her in and for anybody

49:17

who voted for this level of accomp

49:19

reminds me of exactly what we went

49:21

through in San Francisco and I was

49:22

living there in the Bay Area when you

49:24

put someone like chesa bu in or London

49:26

bre or this entire clown car Aaron Peter

49:30

all these disgraceful disg Marist

49:33

Marxist lunatics who would rather virtue

49:36

signal Dopey Dean Preston the whole lot

49:39

of them you vote them out and you vote

49:41

in Executives and it doesn't mean a

49:42

republican executive it doesn't mean a

49:44

Democrat executive it means an executive

49:46

who's run something in their life before

49:48

whether it's Bloomberg whether it's

49:50

Trump whether it's ruso it doesn't

49:52

matter their ideology it matters their

49:53

effectiveness and if you vote for

49:55

ineffective people you're going to get

49:57

situations like this over and over and

49:59

over again so use your brains and vote

50:01

for executives who've done something in

50:03

the world this is why I've changed my

50:05

position on rooting for Trump now I was

50:07

a never Trumper everybody knows that but

50:09

he put Executives around him this time

50:11

around and I am rooting for those

50:13

Executives to do what's right for the

50:14

American people and solve big problems

50:17

not make them worse it's infuriating Jam

50:21

what do you think I think we need to

50:23

have a wholesale replacement of the

50:26

people govern the state of California

50:28

it's just not working full stop and I

50:31

think that the citizens that live in

50:34

California need to do some real soul

50:36

searching it is beyond Party

50:40

politics so I think what has happened in

50:43

California is people vote for whatever

50:46

vessel has the name Democrat beside

50:49

their name or republican beside their

50:51

name and I think that you have to go

50:53

back to First principles and do a better

50:56

job of picking the people to represent

50:58

us because the people that are in

51:00

positions of power just don't

51:02

fundamentally know what they're doing

51:04

they're not

51:06

capable and the fact that then what we

51:09

have to deal with are sort of lies and

51:12

distractions to excuse incompetence I

51:16

think is

51:17

unacceptable I think we pay way too high

51:20

of a

51:21

price and like I said you are now

51:23

dealing with hundreds of thousands of

51:25

families whose entire lives have been

51:27

totally disrupted and ripped away and I

51:31

hope that we learned something from this

51:34

because we didn't learn from it eight

51:35

years

51:36

ago and we clearly didn't learn from it

51:39

when a different natural disaster in

51:41

North Carolina will we find out that

51:43

folks said hey guys is there an outlier

51:46

natural disaster event obviously it's

51:47

not going to be the same thing in North

51:49

Carolina but could a different form of

51:51

something happen here what could it be

51:53

are we prepared I'm sure we'll find out

51:55

that they didn't do that maybe they had

51:58

different meetings and they were about

52:00

other total distractions or things that

52:04

just didn't matter so this is what we

52:06

need to do we as a populace in this

52:09

state need a reset otherwise we deserve

52:12

what we get Bingo Sayan you agree yeah I

52:16

think I think Democrats need to reclaim

52:18

their party I think uh there's a lot

52:20

more strength in the middle and you know

52:23

they've let this woke ideology ology I

52:27

call it U woke

52:29

imperialism like a religion take over in

52:33

place of actually doing things that

52:36

matter to the people that elected them

52:38

that pay taxes that pay their you know

52:41

their paychecks and everything in

52:42

between and it's time that people really

52:44

look in the mirror I've got so many

52:45

moderates coming to me saying you know

52:48

people call me a Republican and I'm far

52:50

right and I'm a Nazi and I'm like yeah

52:52

welcome to the club you know it's at

52:54

some point you've got to stop letting

52:55

them run the board and and stand up and

52:58

say you know enough's enough you know

53:00

we're not building some Railway that's

53:02

never being built we're not solving

53:04

homelessness with billions and billions

53:06

of dollars we're not doing this stuff

53:08

anymore you know we do need real

53:10

Executives to your point

53:12

Jason you know to run things that

53:15

understand how things are how it works

53:17

and and you know the best use of funds

53:20

because right now it's it's it's

53:22

misappropriated it's a crisis of

53:24

competence I mean I think we all see it

53:26

these are in competent people by the way

53:27

it's not just it's not just the

53:29

leadership it's also legislative action

53:32

that's going to be needed to fix a lot

53:34

of the the policies the regulations the

53:37

way infrastructure operates in the state

53:39

and that requires three things to change

53:43

number one is the California State

53:44

Assembly number two is the California

53:46

state Senate and number three is to put

53:50

things in front of the voters that they

53:51

can vote on to make the wholesale change

53:53

needed to resend some of the bad

53:55

decisions that were made over over the

53:56

last three decades in the state that has

53:58

led us to this point and I think that

54:00

it's going to require just like what

54:02

happened recently in the National

54:04

politics a state politics organizational

54:07

effort to say let's take a look at the

54:09

composition of the State Assembly the

54:11

state senate and what are some of the

54:14

votes that need to be done by the

54:15

citizens to make the necessary changes

54:17

in the state to try and get the world's

54:19

fifth largest economy to start act

54:22

acting and looking like it because right

54:24

now it's sort of like a weirdly disabled

54:26

third world country typee operation with

54:29

the wealthiest resources on planet Earth

54:31

and it seems pretty up it's almost like

54:34

once people have it all that's when they

54:36

want to give it all up that seems to be

54:38

the moment that this state has just

54:39

passed now maybe it's time to go reclaim

54:41

it and build it back well said I mean

54:44

and as we said in the segment there are

54:47

so many common sense tactical strategic

54:50

things that these people could be doing

54:53

that they should be doing that they're

54:55

not and needs to be a full-blown

54:57

investigation you kind of alluded to

54:59

this earlier chamath but if there is if

55:02

this is dereliction of Duty then then we

55:04

need to look into this in a very deep

55:06

fashion and to the people of California

55:08

you have more power than you know my

55:10

friend who used to be on this podcast

55:11

once in a while he and I collaborated on

55:14

Chessa Boudin being taken out as this uh

55:17

da in in the Bay Area I know some other

55:19

people here were involved in it as well

55:22

and you can recall somebody so recall

55:25

these incompetent lunatics recall them

55:28

and replace it's scary but you can you

55:30

know they they they send all their

55:32

people after you they threaten you get

55:34

personal they I was signature number one

55:37

and I I had to deal with the Deluge of

55:39

that stuff but to be honest with you

55:40

I've never been happier to do something

55:43

and get civically engaged I think it's

55:45

so important that everybody starts

55:46

getting involved in their local

55:48

government and their state government

55:50

and the national government because you

55:51

can't just expect people to do the work

55:53

for you and expect it to turn out well

55:56

and I think that's kind of the mistake

55:58

that we all made if we want to take some

56:00

responsibility the tech industry as a

56:02

whole did not get as involved as we

56:05

ought to have in the past and I think we

56:07

should get more involved why was that

56:08

saying why why did for 20 years while we

56:11

were all in the Bay Area or other people

56:13

you know just were too busy building

56:15

companies bus building companies and I

56:17

remember if I remember correctly the

56:19

only person I I I remember getting

56:22

involved in local stuff was Ron Conway

56:24

yes and he would try to get everybody

56:27

involved and we were all just like you

56:28

know there's people who are smart that

56:30

do that sort of thing and they're going

56:32

to do their thing and they're running

56:33

stuff and we're just not going to get

56:35

involved and a lot of people would say

56:36

I'm not political I don't I don't do

56:38

politics I don't you know they didn't

56:41

get involved until it affected them kind

56:43

of like the houses burning down it

56:44

affects them and you know like they're

56:48

that saying that first they came for so

56:50

and so and I didn't speak up you know

56:52

that's what's happening here and uh you

56:54

know I just really think that

56:56

people need to realize it's now

56:58

affecting them and it's now time to make

56:59

a change and elect better leaders here's

57:02

a framing if you're paying 50% tax in

57:06

California you're a shareholder of an

57:08

organization known as California Inc

57:10

you're on the board of that company

57:11

you're paying the salaries of the people

57:13

there you have a say recall these people

57:16

start a recall of Nome start a recall of

57:18

Karen bass just do it I I'm not doing it

57:20

I don't have time for this I'm in Austin

57:22

but y'all in C who are still in

57:23

California start a page recall Nome

57:26

recoil bass and you have the power to do

57:28

it and you will succeed I guarantee it

57:31

now is the moment to strike there's

57:32

other news we should get to you know I

57:34

hate to say thoughts and prayers but

57:36

literally I've been thinking about this

57:39

you know all day long and I have a lot

57:41

of friends my friend Mark suster lost

57:43

his home I used to play cards with Jimmy

57:46

Woods and you know I just feel terrible

57:48

for everybody who's lost their homes and

57:50

then their kids and their schools are

57:51

burned down as well all those great

57:53

schools in Pacific Palisades are gone I

57:55

can see developers coming in being like

57:56

dude if I could buy all these lots for

57:58

80% off I will that's what's going to

58:00

happen they're going to sit on them yeah

58:02

they're going to just sit on them and

58:03

wait for people to forget like they did

58:04

in 1962 Caruso of the world will do that

58:07

yeah anyway yeah he should be running

58:10

the place probably I'll give you another

58:12

another California Department of

58:13

Insurance stat so after the California

58:15

Department of Insurance wouldn't allow

58:17

the rates to rise like they should from

58:19

a free market perspective they had to

58:21

set up their own insurance program

58:23

called the fair plan for homeowners it

58:25

has about 200 $ 120 million of capital

58:27

in it and then they bought about $5

58:29

billion of reinsurance they have about 6

58:32

billion of exposure in Pacific palates

58:34

alone this is a bankrupt just like I

58:36

told you guys about in Florida the state

58:38

insurance commission tries to step in

58:40

and fill the market Gap that they create

58:41

by regulating rates and then they don't

58:43

have enough Capital to actually fill the

58:45

Gap because the reason the rates want to

58:46

go up is because the thing costs more

58:49

than the state is willing to so they're

58:51

distorting it they're putting their

58:52

thumbs on the scale and they're

58:53

distorting it even more a bigger crat

58:56

they're driving real estate value up

58:58

because they're not allowing the cost of

59:00

insurance of that real estate to

59:02

naturally float and so by driving real

59:04

estate values up the economy looks good

59:06

they make property taxes income comes in

59:08

but at the end of the day the bill is

59:10

going to come due and in the case of

59:12

Florida and in the case of California

59:14

either the state government or the

59:16

federal government's going to step in

59:17

and pay the difference and at some point

59:19

taxpayers are going to look at the fact

59:21

that they're paying some percentage of

59:23

their income to support someone else's

59:25

home

59:26

and they're going to say enough is

59:27

enough and enough of these sorts of

59:29

events start to happen and then the

59:31

legislative change I think will happen

59:33

that says this it doesn't make sense we

59:36

have to make a change and I think we're

59:37

getting pretty close after the series of

59:39

events all right this has been an

59:41

absolutely fantastic discussion let's

59:44

move on to our next topic here Zuck just

59:46

fired meta's third party fact Checkers

59:48

and he is going to embrace the community

59:50

notes model from Twitter SLX which

59:55

predates Elon ownership of the platform

59:57

and is an open source project for those

59:59

folks who don't know on Tuesday made he

60:02

made the announcement on an Instagram

60:04

video he published a Blog with a bunch

60:06

of

60:07

details and he made the signal that he

60:12

was going to move the trust and safety

60:14

team out of California which he feels

60:16

maybe was too uh far to the left as we

60:19

were just discussing in the previous

60:21

story uh and move it to the great state

60:24

of Texas and

60:27

here's a quote from his comments in

60:30

recent years we've developed

60:31

increasingly complex systems to manage

60:33

content across our platforms partly in

60:36

response to societal and political

60:38

pressures to moderate content this

60:39

approach has gone too far if you

60:42

remember back in August Zuck sent a

60:43

letter to the house Judiciary Committee

60:45

explaining how the FBI and Biden

60:47

Administration have pressured Facebook

60:48

into censoring posts about Co and Hunter

60:51

Biden you'll also remember that

60:53

Zuckerberg has over 3 billion

60:56

members to his platform and had no

60:59

problem Banning Trump from the platform

61:01

after January 6th a lot to talk about in

61:05

this topic Sayan what's your general

61:07

take of Zuck going Maga how do you

61:12

interpret his I actually think change of

61:15

heart I actually think deep down inside

61:17

he always has been you know I I go back

61:19

to the beginning days of Facebook and

61:22

when there was social networks that were

61:24

competing which back at the time was my

61:26

space the only political party you could

61:27

be was Republican or Democrat and then

61:30

Along Came Facebook and he added this

61:32

third option called libertarian and I I

61:35

would like to go to the way back machine

61:36

at some point and find his profile

61:38

because his profile said he was a

61:40

Libertarian so when he started Facebook

61:42

you know that that's where he leaned so

61:45

I think he's always been a free speech

61:46

person I think he's always this has been

61:49

deep in his heart I think what happened

61:50

was he had enormous success they grew

61:52

very large and he had to become neutral

61:55

or he thought he did and so I think what

61:57

we're seeing with Zuck right now with

61:59

his change in his um you know even how

62:02

he appears with a gold chain and how

62:04

he's dressing and everything that he's

62:06

doing is him going back to his roots to

62:09

be more authentic because I think he

62:10

hasn't been authentic for a long time

62:11

and and that was a big critique that

62:13

people had of him you know they were

62:14

just like when he talks he's like a

62:16

robot and I think what we're seeing is

62:19

him coming out of his shell and I don't

62:20

know if fighting helped it or what

62:21

helped it but you know I I do think it's

62:24

the best thing to do all the platforms

62:26

need to do it and should embrace it and

62:29

um it can be gamed though Community

62:31

notes can be gamed we saw it with um I

62:34

saw a report that you know kamla's

62:36

campaign or or I don't know if they

62:38

directly work for her or what happened

62:40

but they did take over Community notes

62:42

on X and start manipulating them so you

62:45

have to be really careful you know how

62:47

you run a community but in in general

62:49

I'm all for it I think it's the right

62:51

move it's but one signal it's one system

62:53

for trying to get you the truth it's not

62:54

the only one fact in is another one and

62:57

having no system is another one chth

62:59

you're obviously an alumni you worked

63:01

side by side with Zuckerberg in the

63:02

pivotal years of building the Facebook

63:05

platform what's your take on what cyan

63:07

said and what do you attribute

63:10

Zuckerberg's massive 180 here I would

63:13

start by saying I think he's a

63:15

phenomenal businessman I mean I think

63:17

the the results speak for

63:19

itself but I also think that that is

63:22

exactly what explains the shift in many

63:25

ways he to make that shift I think it's

63:28

fair to say that in the Obama and Biden

63:31

administrations when the winds were

63:35

blowing towards censorship they were

63:37

part of that machinery and that was the

63:40

value maximizing function for Facebook

63:43

shareholders in that time because if you

63:45

pushed back against that it's not clear

63:47

what would have happened to Facebook in

63:49

other ways and so I think the

63:52

decision whether he morally agreed with

63:55

or not almost didn't matter it's the

63:58

leadership of the country in which I

63:59

operate is telling me it's going to go

64:01

this way I go that way once the Biden

64:04

and Obama administration sort of went to

64:06

the Wayside there's a very interesting

64:08

picture that Donald Trump put in his

64:10

book and I just I sent it to Nick and I

64:14

think it sort of explains the last

64:15

week's events relatively well so I'll

64:17

just read

64:19

it this is a picture of him sitting in

64:21

the oval and it says Mark Zuckerberg

64:23

would come to the Oval Office to see me

64:25

he would bring his very nice wife to

64:26

dinners be as nice as anyone could be

64:30

while always plotting to install

64:31

shameful lock boxes in a true plot

64:34

against the president in jcal all caps

64:37

okay shout out to the president he told

64:39

me that there was nobody like Trump on

64:41

Facebook but at the same time and for

64:43

whatever reason steered it against me we

64:46

are watching him closely and if he does

64:48

anything illegal this time he will spend

64:50

the rest of his life in prison as will

64:53

others who cheat in the 2024

64:54

presidential election now that's what he

64:56

put in the book and then he was asked

64:58

about this

64:59

quote at a recent press conference Nick

65:02

do you have the the link to that he's

65:04

colorful freeberg did you notice Donald

65:06

Trump a little bit

65:07

colorful essentially Trump was asked

65:11

about Zuckerberg's move to free speech

65:15

and he he was ENT he was asked you know

65:17

do you think it was because of

65:19

your threat and he goes yeah probably

65:23

well I watched their news conference and

65:25

uh I thought was a very good news

65:26

conference I think they've honestly I

65:28

think they've come a long way meta do

65:30

you think he's directly responding to

65:31

the threats that you have made to him in

65:33

the past probably

65:35

probably wow there it is but again the

65:38

the the the lens that I would put on

65:41

this is now the winds are blowing in a

65:43

different direction and I do think it's

65:44

the value maximizing function I think

65:47

Elon didn't make a value maximizing

65:49

function he made a moral decision he did

65:52

it when it was unpopular and where the

65:53

winds were clearly blowing in the

65:55

opposite direction

65:56

now that those winds have changed and

65:57

it's clear Trump one in early November

66:00

the decisions you make in January are

66:02

more reflective of the new conditions on

66:04

the field coming into the inauguration

66:06

but I do think it's the smart value

66:08

maximizing decision yet again for

66:10

Facebook shareholders and I think it

66:13

begets a broader

66:15

point I think the thing is when you see

66:17

Elon

66:18

operate he's a complete outlier in many

66:21

dimensions but I think the one dimension

66:23

where it matters the most is that he

66:25

acts

66:26

morally and in the best interests of

66:29

what he believes Humanity benefits from

66:32

he's always done it he was willing to

66:33

torch $44 billion when he bought Twitter

66:35

in order to do it and so he does these

66:38

things from his own perspective I don't

66:40

think there's any other CEO that leads

66:42

this way and I don't think they should

66:45

necessarily I do think that you know

66:47

Mark's a good person but his intimate

66:50

feelings should be known by his wife his

66:53

children his friends his family I think

66:55

we as shareholders have any right to

66:57

know necessarily Elon is different and I

67:00

think it creates an expectation that

67:01

maybe we'll get that from everybody else

67:04

but I wouldn't conflate everybody else

67:06

with him so I think that this is a smart

67:09

business decision it makes a ton of

67:11

sense and as you can see he was

67:13

basically told to do it so he complied

67:17

uh free your thoughts on

67:20

Zuckerberg making this decision if kamla

67:24

Harris had won

67:26

would he have released a statement or

67:28

added Dana White to the board of

67:30

Facebook probably not okay there you

67:33

have it folks pretty straightforward

67:35

here KLA wins he would not have done

67:37

this he is jumping in front of a

67:41

marching band and he is the band leader

67:43

now he's got his baton and uh he is a

67:46

front runner and if you open the

67:47

dictionary and you look it up but I mean

67:49

it's a smart business move I think if

67:51

you're a meta shareholder I think you're

67:52

happy to see it absolutely is there

67:55

anything wrong with it J or you're just

67:56

saying there's a tremendous amount wrong

67:58

with it it's called moral Integrity

68:00

having an ethical Compass having hoah

68:03

having an own sense of what's right and

68:06

wrong in the world which he does not

68:08

have in my estimation based on hisor

68:10

that's not fair that's not fair you

68:11

don't know because again what I'm saying

68:13

is I said based on my estimation no but

68:16

Jason no what I'm trying to say is Elon

68:19

shares who he is in a 360 Dee way with

68:22

the world so we know where he stands and

68:25

all I'm saying is what Mark does or

68:27

doesn't believe really isn't known to us

68:29

it's probably known to his wife and his

68:31

family and his board I doubt his board

68:33

even knows actually some of his close

68:35

confidence some of his confidence let me

68:37

be clear I'll even it's it's I'm I'm

68:39

happy you're challenging me on it I base

68:41

people on their actions his action was

68:44

to be the greatest censor in the history

68:46

of humanity there's no human being who

68:48

censored More Humans than him that was

68:50

his decision when it was a popular

68:51

decision whether it was

68:54

or po not popular Jason necessary for

68:57

maximizing his business in that moment

68:59

he do I disagree his business would have

69:02

been just as vibrant if he had a spine

69:05

and he just said this is what I believe

69:08

and I think he's over optimizing based

69:11

on what he thinks everybody else around

69:12

him wants and I don't know I didn't I've

69:14

never worked with him I don't know him

69:16

personally you're right on that front

69:18

but he banned Trump for two years the

69:20

president of the United States I said at

69:22

the time I don't know that you can give

69:23

a permanent brand ban to the president

69:25

United States when he had the

69:26

opportunity to reevaluate that decision

69:28

you know what he did he punted he

69:30

created a third- party organization to

69:32

make the decision for him and deflected

69:34

Zuck created the oversight board he's so

69:36

spineless he decided I'll create and

69:38

give $150 million to this board to make

69:41

these hard decisions for me instead of

69:43

me making the decision he has God voting

69:46

shares of that company chamath he

69:48

controls it with an Iron Fist and not

69:50

only does he control with an iron fist

69:51

he has put protetive prisions in that so

69:54

that his children could take that $3.3

69:56

billion platform and own it forever and

69:59

he punted to them and said I don't want

70:01

to make these decisions what I saw when

70:03

he did that was I don't want to be

70:04

blamed for these decisions and that is a

70:07

lack of courage and Morality In my

70:09

estimation Jason and then the second he

70:12

is threatened by Trump he makes the

70:14

opposite decision and if he's making his

70:16

decisions strictly on maximizing money I

70:19

don't respect that I think he should

70:21

make the decisions based on what he

70:22

think is is the moral what is the point

70:24

of being a billionaire or worth a 100

70:26

billion or 200 billion if you don't get

70:28

to say I have you money you I'm going to

70:31

do what I want and that's what I think

70:33

is the his moral failure and anybody

70:35

giving him his flowers or champing him

70:37

for this I think it's just political

70:40

expediency and I think it's disgraceful

70:42

that's my per that's my feeling sorry I

70:44

have my own opinion what about the fact

70:46

that he was dragged in front of Congress

70:49

many times over and people that could

70:51

put him behind bars told him to his face

70:54

many times and this all been kind of

70:56

been coming out over the last couple of

70:57

months that government officials were

70:59

directing him in a way that feels like

71:02

do this or you will be prosecuted to do

71:04

the following things to act the

71:06

following way and to moderate your

71:07

platform in a way that we are telling

71:09

you to moderate it or you will find

71:11

yourself behind bars do you not think

71:13

that there's some degree of inherit

71:14

complicit kind of role that certain

71:16

government officials and folks in power

71:18

had in driving some of those actions

71:20

that maybe he had to do it to survive

71:22

and to keep the company alive not to

71:24

mention a violation of our constitution

71:26

no not at all he could have just hired

71:28

lawyers and fought it he didn't put up

71:30

any fight the second they told him to

71:32

roll over and ban Trump he did it zero

71:35

fight from him he has no do you know

71:38

that for sure because I I just want to

71:40

make sure I ask I'm just basing on his

71:41

actions I'm like I told you at the

71:42

beginning B basing on his actions right

71:46

not going to jail for Banning Trump if

71:48

he didn't ban Trump or he gave him a

71:49

six-month suspension he would have been

71:52

just fine I'm just trying to get you to

71:53

take a fair point of view which means

71:55

like let's make sure you're thoughtful

71:56

about the fact that this is not a dumb

71:58

person or a person let's give give him

72:00

the benefit for a minute he he's not a

72:01

DB benefit of being a great business

72:03

executive I'm just saying let's assume

72:05

he's not dumb and let's say that as cyan

72:07

points out and as he's kind of

72:08

highlighted points in his history he

72:10

actually does have certain beliefs and

72:11

certain systems that he would love to

72:13

kind of embrace I've said this many

72:15

times before all of the founders of the

72:17

big tech companies were all big Free

72:19

Speech Advocates that was a big part of

72:20

the open internet and the movement of

72:22

the open internet when a lot of people

72:23

got involved and that was a big part for

72:24

him

72:25

and I don't know like you know if you

72:27

really think at some point he flipped

72:29

his switch and said I don't care about

72:30

the open internet I now want to have a

72:31

closed controlled internet or if he

72:33

recognized or was coerced into

72:35

controlling moderation on the platform

72:36

because of the reach that he had and he

72:38

said the only way I can have any degree

72:40

of openness is to do the following and I

72:41

will say that my experience is similar

72:43

in Google when Google had to exit China

72:46

they initially went to China with a

72:48

closed internet with a closed censored

72:49

model of search because that was the way

72:52

they had to survive to offer a business

72:54

in China they didn't morally agree with

72:56

it they didn't think it was ethically

72:57

correct did they launch that or did

72:58

Sergey kill the deal when Eric Schmidt

73:00

proposed it well that deal went live

73:02

there was a let me let me just make sure

73:04

I get this all correct no they didn't go

73:06

live Sergey Bren because of his

73:09

upbringing in Russia he went to the mat

73:12

and said on a moral basis we're not

73:13

going into China and I've talked to

73:15

Sergey about it he did not want to go in

73:17

there and compromise his own ethics

73:19

that's period full stop so I don't think

73:23

that the only outlier here you're not

73:25

right and I just want to make when did

73:28

it when did because the dragon it was

73:29

called project Dragon there was a

73:32

there's a long history to this okay

73:33

let's let cyan come in here I want to

73:34

make sure I get this right but go ahead

73:36

say obviously he's a brilliant

73:38

businessman but I do think Underneath It

73:39

All he is a human being and I think his

73:41

fighting in the arena and this fighting

73:43

stuff that he does actually did change

73:45

him and this happened long before the

73:48

first amendment stuff started to appear

73:50

you know I think or free speech I

73:52

shouldn't call it first amendment but I

73:54

do think that the government did

73:55

interfere and after January 20th we're

73:58

going to find out some interesting stuff

73:59

and we'll get to the bottom of you know

74:02

how did the

74:04

government pressure him to censor things

74:07

and I think he's getting in front of

74:08

that because it is going to come out and

74:11

I think that is a huge part of why he is

74:13

getting more involved is because it's

74:15

going to be revealed just how much the

74:17

government coerced him and and how much

74:21

he acquiesced is that sort of what

74:22

you're this is why I think the fighting

74:24

actually helped think he learned to stop

74:25

acquiescing W I actually think he put up

74:28

a fight that is where I started seeing

74:30

the change in him and started noticing

74:32

it and so did the you know he's

74:33

developed so many more fans and people

74:35

who are looking to him as a leader in a

74:37

different way now because he's actually

74:39

starting to express who he is and like

74:42

what kind of music he likes nobody ever

74:43

knew that they thought he was just a

74:45

robot he doesn't like music he he hired

74:47

a whole PR team to craft this is my

74:48

understanding but anyway again I don't I

74:51

don't know that much detail I don't I

74:52

don't I'm not involved in his personal

74:54

life like that but I just I always love

74:56

to give people the benefit of that I

74:57

guess that's just me uh and I and I do

74:59

think that uh people people can change

75:02

and I'm hoping that he is actually going

75:04

to stay on this side we we want more

75:07

leaders like him to believe in free

75:08

speech of course of course I mean listen

75:10

Reddit had by the way they all do and

75:13

I've never met a you know an internet

75:16

business executive who didn't come from

75:19

kind of the open internet philosophical

75:21

Doctrine by background that that was a

75:23

big motivator for all of us Because the

75:25

Internet took away the controls took

75:27

away the power took away the censorship

75:29

took away all these things that other

75:31

kind of communication systems had vested

75:33

in them and the internet through an open

75:35

protocol allowed anyone to share

75:37

anything with anyone else and obviously

75:39

laws and all this other stuff that's

75:41

happened since then has made that far

75:43

more difficult and I will re revisit our

75:45

conversation Jason Google's China with

75:47

censored search results was live for

75:49

four years before they canel it so they

75:51

launched in 2006 they censored results

75:54

they complied with the Chinese

75:55

government request and eventually in

75:57

2010 they killed it and you could argue

75:58

it was because of philosophical reasons

76:00

but fundamentally it never actually got

76:02

a lot of users in China there were more

76:04

users on BYU and Google had separately

76:06

made an investment in was the moment I

76:09

think it became if I remember correctly

76:12

this 20 years ago but I think I think it

76:13

was YouTube oh was it YouTube because

76:15

one of the other services they started

76:17

saying hey we need to know these

76:19

people's names who posted this who sent

76:21

this email we want full access into it

76:23

and that's where they drew the line

76:24

because it wasn't just the passive

76:25

search engine right it was actually like

76:27

Roundup dissidence like Yahoo famously

76:31

did Yahoo They yeah Google claimed there

76:33

was a hack that happened because on

76:35

their servers in China and so they were

76:37

just no longer comfortable operating

76:39

about this guys yeah however we got here

76:42

we're here yeah and we should all be

76:45

happy that we're here yeah exactly yeah

76:48

I'll take the win and we just kind of

76:50

move forward how about that I mean

76:51

taking the win is a good way world is a

76:53

better place because of his decision

76:55

yeah exactly I think we all agree on

76:57

that I mean what's the point of having

76:59

an open platform and you can say things

77:01

but why do you call them spineless like

77:02

why like why go after the guy why

77:04

because you can judge a person when

77:05

they're put under pressure to make the

77:07

right decision I think what Jason is

77:09

expressing is sort of what I was trying

77:11

to say and I probably said it poorly I

77:12

think there are some of us

77:15

who look at the way that Elon runs

77:19

himself in his companies okay as a sort

77:21

of world beating technology CEO

77:26

and then that sort of sets the

77:28

bar but I think that that bar is

77:30

impossible to

77:32

meet and I think part of it is because

77:34

of elon's Genius the other part of it is

77:36

his success the other part of it is his

77:38

influence but there's an element Jason a

77:40

fundamental moral risk-taking that he

77:43

takes that has been rewarded over and

77:46

over again that no other CEO has had to

77:49

make and when they have they've largely

77:51

failed and so I I understand where

77:53

you're coming from but I would give give

77:55

a lot of folks the benefit of the doubt

77:57

here and say it's not clear what they

77:59

believe then versus what they believe

78:01

now but the destination is very good and

78:04

we're in a better place for society and

78:06

hopefully we can maintain these Norms

78:09

independent of who's in charge after

78:11

Trump I am super happy he's making these

78:14

decisions I believe in freedom of speech

78:16

you know it's I think he's gonna have to

78:17

deal with advertisers next though I mean

78:19

that's one thing that X doesn't have to

78:20

deal with as much and that's going to be

78:22

the second problem he's going to have is

78:24

not the government but do advertisers

78:27

want to be next to some of the content

78:28

that's about to appear and when he loses

78:31

tens of billions of dollars in personal

78:32

net worth will he make the same

78:34

decisions we'll see but I can tell you

78:37

if KLA Harris had been voted in he would

78:40

double down on censorship instead of

78:42

taking this position I think he is

78:44

terrified of trump and having his

78:45

company broken up and he's doing this

78:47

strictly to appease Trump which I think

78:50

putting Dana White on the board is

78:52

another signal that's one of Trump's

78:53

good friends he's just trying get close

78:55

to the party he's trying to make up for

78:56

lost time for when he supported the

78:59

censorship of trump and other folks I I

79:02

I think he would make the opposite

79:03

decision but to your point we're here

79:05

I'm glad he's here J would you would you

79:07

meet Zuck in the Octagon that's the most

79:09

important question no of the day no

79:11

definitely not he's got he's he's 10 15

79:14

years younger than me he killed me not a

79:16

not a chance would I meet him in the

79:18

Octagon but I wish him well I wish him

79:20

well would you meet would you meet

79:21

Palmer lucky on the Octagon let's not

79:23

start that up again

79:26

just wondering just wondering I actually

79:27

literally challenged him he he wanted to

79:29

send the mountain he wanted to pick

79:32

somebody to fight for him Trey from

79:34

Founders fund and I said no uh unless

79:37

Trey was will I would you guys ever

79:39

watch the old TV show American

79:40

Gladiators I would like I would like you

79:43

and Palmer to have an American Gladiator

79:45

style tournament like maybe four or five

79:47

events and kind of get in put up a

79:50

million dollars for charity I'll totally

79:52

do

79:53

it we'll put up a million dollars each

79:55

for charity I'll do

79:57

it let's let's get you know let's get

80:00

the I think that this be let's something

80:03

super this would be more more exciting

80:05

than the accelerator I will tell you we

80:07

absolutely might get more ratings than

80:08

it yeah you could actually call it you

80:11

could call it American Gladiators it

80:12

would be a great there you go American

80:13

Gladiators the the CEO Edition business

80:16

to business Edition the're going sass

80:19

all right listen Nvidia going consumer

80:20

let's talk about it Nvidia made a big

80:23

announcement at CES this week they made

80:24

a lot of them one of them that was

80:26

particularly interesting was this $3,000

80:28

personal AI computer for researchers so

80:30

awesome it's called project digits and

80:34

it's essentially like um maybe Arduino

80:38

would be a way to look at this like a a

80:39

personal device but it's powerful enough

80:41

to run llms on they're also going after

80:44

physical AI like Robotics and

80:46

self-driving as we said here on the

80:49

award show a lot of people on the panel

80:50

were predicting this year would be the

80:52

year of Robotics and they announced that

80:54

they're going to have driver assistant

80:56

chips and maybe build worlds for people

80:59

to simulate which net net at the end of

81:02

the day I think freeberg puts them on

81:04

second would put autonomy Partners on

81:06

second or third base in terms of

81:08

creating technology by incorporating it

81:10

into the chips and into their stack so

81:13

cyan what do you think of these

81:15

announcements and some of the other ones

81:16

he made I know you were excited to talk

81:19

about this yeah I'm really excited to

81:20

talk about it because I think I've been

81:21

trying to figure out how they justify

81:23

their valuation

81:25

over the long run and you know I'm not a

81:27

public market person but I am fascinated

81:30

with Nvidia and uh you know there Cloud

81:33

GPU business is definitely a majority of

81:36

uh the revenue so I think a lot a lot of

81:39

what we're seeing is them trying to grow

81:40

into that and trying to expand in case

81:43

you know the Music Stops now I don't

81:45

actually think the music's going to

81:47

stop you know it's insane to me we

81:50

haven't even barely touched what AI is

81:53

going to do and change and all of the

81:55

various things that are going to come

81:56

from it and you know the early adopters

81:59

cannot use Claude without getting shut

82:01

down because of scaling issues and I

82:03

don't think those are artificially

82:04

created based on the type of investing

82:06

I'm doing and um so I'm very bullish on

82:10

Nvidia it is interesting it's an

82:12

interesting thing to go consumer and you

82:15

know the thing that really hit me was

82:18

the fact that uh he kind of declared

82:20

Tesla one of the most valuable companies

82:22

in the world in the long run

82:25

it's interesting that he got behind

82:27

oyota but at the same time you know I

82:30

don't think of a there's one single car

82:33

company out there that has the kind of

82:34

data that full self drive has and Tesla

82:37

has yeah um so if they enter the robo

82:39

taxi Market I actually think they should

82:41

buy Uber then it's kind of you should

82:43

think Tesla should buy Uber oh yeah I

82:45

think they should buy Uber well that

82:46

would be about 10% of Tesla's market cap

82:48

at this point if they paid a premium it

82:49

might be 15% so it would be very similar

82:51

hard but it's true like yeah it is true

82:54

yeah and then and then you launch that

82:56

Robo taxi service and you know maybe

82:59

there's some sort of secondary

83:01

aftermarket solution kind of like comma

83:03

AI or something like that that you can

83:04

do for people's

83:05

cars where you can actually get

83:07

anybody's car into the fleet and start

83:10

self-driving but it is true this is

83:12

going to be the largest breakout in

83:13

robotics we've ever seen if whmo is any

83:17

indicator and you know I I read

83:19

somewhere I think that Amazon or some

83:21

somebody was looking at it I don't know

83:23

what was going on with weo but um oh

83:26

lift Amazon was going to buy lift yeah

83:28

that makes no sense right like lot sense

83:30

to me sense would the point

83:33

be I do think you're correct I think

83:36

maybe delivery or something like that I

83:37

can't figure out what their play is

83:39

there well it's not and it's also not

83:40

Global but you know looking at the

83:42

Amazon and weo Tesla and Uber I think

83:46

weo plus Uber Amazon Plus Uber or Tesla

83:50

plus Uber defines who number one is

83:52

right because you'd have a global

83:53

footprint and for the 5 10 years maybe

83:55

10 years it takes to roll out taxis

83:58

globally you could have people D I mean

84:00

it's a really interesting thought

84:01

process you have your say imagine if

84:03

there was an inter St where they sold

84:06

less Teslas this year slightly than last

84:08

year you could just keep producing lots

84:10

of model wise and give them to the Uber

84:13

drivers keep reinforcement loaning going

84:16

while the taxis and regulations get set

84:19

and then you would be able to put

84:22

another instead of selling 1.8 million

84:24

Teslas you could sell 3 million Teslas 4

84:26

million Teslas to Uber drivers get all

84:28

that data and have the safety driver in

84:30

while each region decides if they want

84:33

Robo taxis where how Etc your thoughts

84:35

jamaath on nvidia's dipping their toe

84:39

into maybe taking the bottom 30% of the

84:41

stack of self-driving I don't have much

84:44

of an opinion on that to be honest I

84:45

think that sort of along the lines of

84:47

what I said on the prediction show I

84:49

think that way and Tesla are going to

84:51

run away with this market and I think

84:52

it's going to force a bunch of cons

84:54

validation in the traditional Auto

84:57

o I think the interesting thing is that

85:01

they really double down and created a

85:04

pretty decent test bench for robotics I

85:06

thought that was pretty interesting so I

85:07

think that

85:08

reinforces what a lot of smart people

85:10

including you know what freeberg and

85:12

Gavin also spoke about just in terms of

85:14

the long-term future for robots I think

85:17

that that was cool I was I was a little

85:20

confused by the lowend PC I don't

85:23

understand what the point of that

85:25

is maybe it like creates some crazy

85:28

deepin Market where you can buy GPU and

85:32

then contribut it to some distributed

85:33

Network and allow some distributed

85:35

workload to run on that I guess I don't

85:37

know I think it's a toy a hobbyist kind

85:41

of device that becomes like a bridge and

85:43

we see this often in technology where

85:45

somebody creates like even the original

85:48

PCS let's face it they were kind of like

85:49

toys and hobbyist devices arduinos and

85:52

the original drones

85:55

yeah I guess the point is a toy to do

85:57

what because if you're trying to do

85:59

inference like everything is telling us

86:02

that we are reaching the limits of

86:05

training and that's an LL though right

86:09

the point it's not yeah let me get to

86:12

yeah yeah so so in this world of AI that

86:14

we know it today there's training and

86:16

there's inference and right now we think

86:17

that there's training that's at a limit

86:20

and so now the market shifts to

86:21

inference so if you're going to buy this

86:25

jacked up personal computer what are you

86:27

going to use it for my suspicion is some

86:29

sort of test time compute use

86:32

case which is an inference use case but

86:35

it's not clear to me why that's a better

86:38

solution

86:40

than all of the AI accelerators plus

86:43

tensors that are now just prolifically

86:45

being exposed to the market whether it's

86:48

Amazon exposing what they've done

86:50

whether it's Google exposing what

86:51

they've done a whole Litany of startups

86:54

exposing what they've done so I was just

86:56

confused I don't really

86:59

know what the whole point is what do you

87:01

think about this the robotics thing was

87:04

interesting if the market develops in

87:06

the way that they think so we're talking

87:08

about maybe two or three different

87:09

pieces here freeberg which one do you

87:11

think is super interesting than the this

87:14

$3,000 sort of GPU for your desktop that

87:18

you attach to your computer you get to

87:19

play with things locally do you think

87:21

that's promising where would that go if

87:23

you had to guess so I think the bet he's

87:25

making is it's not just llms which is

87:29

predicting text but you know we've

87:31

talked a lot about Machine Vision

87:34

models graph neural Nets that that are

87:37

being used for weather forecasting

87:39

there's now these kind of genome

87:40

language models that are trying to

87:41

predict genomic output for Bio uh Tech

87:46

applications there's also going to be

87:48

kind of Real Time Machine Vision and

87:51

robotic response like we're working on

87:54

this at ohal and we're trying to figure

87:56

out what's the right kind of runtime

87:58

environment for these sorts of systems

88:00

that are going to be using a machine

88:01

vision and a robotic kind of response

88:03

type system and there's a lot of these

88:04

industrial applications that are

88:05

emerging let's say you're running a

88:07

robot in a warehouse do you really want

88:09

that robot in the warehouse to be

88:11

sending data to the cloud and waiting

88:13

for a model to run in the cloud and

88:15

getting a response the probability is

88:17

you want to have that at the edge of the

88:18

network you want to have something local

88:21

and I don't think he necessarily has a

88:23

strong point of view on what the types

88:24

of models and Industrial applications

88:26

will be but the bet he's making is that

88:28

the models are good enough and now the

88:30

chips are good enough that they can

88:32

actually

88:33

realize real-time responses using

88:36

Machine Vision using real-time input and

88:38

then respond quickly with a local model

88:40

running whatever that model is to drive

88:42

some output in the industrial setting

88:45

and that there'll be a lot of these

88:46

sorts of applications whether that's

88:47

making predictions for biotech research

88:50

or whether that's for running robots in

88:52

warehouses or building new research

88:54

models or maybe you could strap this PC

88:57

on the back of something like a car a

88:59

tractor a lawnmower a humanoid robot or

89:03

any other set of applications explain to

89:05

the audience freeberg why having the

89:07

computer at the edge is beneficial for

89:09

those folks who might not know if you're

89:11

taking in a lot of data and then you

89:13

have to run a lot of data in a model

89:15

it's a lot faster to to run that model

89:17

locally like when Tesla runs

89:19

self-driving it's not sending the video

89:21

images from your car to a server

89:24

a thousand miles away and then letting

89:26

the server decide how to drive your car

89:28

the car is running its model on what to

89:29

do with respect to the video imagery in

89:32

the car it's local because the ability

89:35

for all that data to get processed in

89:36

the car means that you don't have to

89:37

wait for the internet to transmit data

89:39

back and forth you don't have lag time

89:41

you don't have the 60 millisecond or 100

89:42

millisecond response time you don't have

89:44

it losing your phone connection and then

89:46

not knowing what to do exactly or or the

89:48

the connection drops or waiting for a

89:50

server to come online or server breaks

89:52

in the data center everything is local

89:54

so if you strap this like you know

89:56

Nvidia computer which is basically plug

89:58

andplay you don't have to have like

90:00

Hardware expertise you could strap it

90:01

onto the back of a humanoid robot or run

90:04

research applications locally so I think

90:06

that there's going to be some really

90:07

interesting use cases whether it becomes

90:10

a replacement for the Apple you know

90:12

Macintosh Pro Studio device whatever

90:15

maybe we'll see Mac Mini 4 yeah the Mac

90:18

Mini 4 but a lot of people have pointed

90:19

out that actually the the compute on

90:21

this thing for $3,000 knocks a lot of

90:23

Max out of the um out of the field I

90:26

just can't run an operating system in

90:27

the traditional sense Sam when we look

90:29

at startups I remember when you and I

90:31

started investing two of the driving

90:33

forces was free storage free bandwidth

90:35

and cloud computing it drove a lot of

90:38

ability to get a product to Market very

90:40

quickly effectively Etc what impact will

90:43

AI have on all these startups that are

90:46

being originating now in 2024

90:49

2025 look into your crystal wall and how

90:52

do you think they'll uh grow the

90:55

footprint of them how is this going to

90:57

accelerate the startup scene I actually

90:59

think we're going to see a Cambrian

91:01

explosion of creativity and and

91:03

development of different things and some

91:05

of them are going to be stupid ideas and

91:07

some of them are going to be great but I

91:08

think it's going to make our job

91:10

especially at the seed stage of

91:11

investing harder and

91:13

harder there's going to be so many

91:15

there's just going to be a lot of people

91:16

that have similar ideas at the same time

91:18

that can execute quickly and and do

91:20

things that break neck speeds that

91:22

they've never been able to do before and

91:24

um you know picking the winner is going

91:26

to be hard to figure out it's going to

91:28

be harder and harder yeah and it might

91:30

be that um you know I've been thinking

91:31

about this like do you in invest in

91:33

competitors which is something I never

91:35

used to do you know do you take a bet an

91:37

index an entire category that you're

91:39

interested in you know what is the

91:41

Approach at seed And precede because uh

91:44

I think of an idea and I'm like wow

91:45

that's really neat and then I go and

91:46

look out there and there's 30 people

91:48

working on it and that didn't used to be

91:50

the case and I think part of it is uh

91:53

We've really unlocked

91:54

a tool that allows people to do things

91:58

that would have been cost prohibitive or

92:01

gives them the ability to think gosh I

92:02

could be an entrepreneur and I can try

92:04

this and I could do

92:06

this so I'm seeing people experiment and

92:08

do all sorts of things as far as the

92:10

startups some of AI stuff is just a

92:13

feature you know it's just um table

92:16

Stakes at this point it's like you know

92:17

a chat or whatever and that doesn't

92:19

really matter but then you're seeing

92:20

people reimagine games and reimagine

92:24

you know even things down to your

92:26

kitchen appliance Etc uh so I just I do

92:30

think it's going to be very very

92:31

difficult and and I tend to set out a

92:33

lot of hype Cycles so I invested in

92:36

power and compute

92:39

lithography kind of all of the things

92:41

that are going to be underneath all of

92:43

this and so I'm not sure how much of it

92:45

I'm going to participate in until it

92:47

starts to get to a steady state and you

92:49

kind of can understand what's next

92:51

because the the rate of acceleration is

92:53

just so

92:56

great that it's just kind of unclear to

92:58

me sometimes you know especially when it

93:00

comes to these consumer applications

93:02

consumer facing things it's just uh

93:04

really hard well when we were picking

93:08

famously Uber you had to pick between

93:09

scar lift and Uber there were three

93:11

people doing it and it was pretty clear

93:13

who was the most qualified you know

93:15

amongst those three you now to your

93:16

point if you're want to be involved in

93:18

Tax Plus AI or legal plus AI you might

93:22

be looking at 50 companies oh 100 and it

93:25

was tradition in Silicon Valley to not

93:27

bet on competitors there were some

93:28

notable exceptions when you run an

93:30

accelerator like I do Tech Stars or why

93:31

combinator you aren't Bound by that

93:33

because 50% of the companies pivot

93:35

almost by Design so I think you just

93:38

have to I think at preed because people

93:42

pivot you just have to tell people like

93:43

listen we have a lot of pivoting going

93:44

on people are going to run into each

93:45

other I can't just bet on one thing

93:48

right in in a space but I think that's a

93:50

reasonable compromise if if all the

93:51

founders are going to keep pivoting to

93:53

others businesses how can the investors

93:55

even keep track of that it's like being

93:56

aircraft traffic control of 10 airports

93:59

at once it's just not feasible uh let's

94:02

goad you wouldn't think it but there's

94:03

still a lot of spreadsheet companies out

94:05

there you know you think you'd run out

94:07

of them but they're still out there you

94:08

know you look at and I think this is

94:10

where AI is really going to make a

94:12

difference like RFP proposals for

94:13

governments you know something that

94:15

takes like 30 days and it's manual and

94:17

you have to submit these horrible

94:19

documents you know you can ingest your

94:20

entire Corpus of you know all of your

94:23

previous bid bids and submit them at a

94:25

break neck speed now and win more

94:27

contracts that becomes like a National

94:29

Defense company at that point and and so

94:32

I think we're going to see a lot of

94:33

really interesting things where a lot of

94:36

Cru is going to disappear and and

94:39

that'll be a really interesting wave

94:41

that I'm I'm looking forward to yeah in

94:44

fact jamath has made a big bet there

94:45

with his time uh with his uh software

94:47

startup that he's created all right

94:49

let's end on the United States of

94:52

America growing from 50 to 60 or 70

94:56

States Trump has

94:58

been rattling off some ideas around this

95:02

chth what's your take on it I know we

95:04

got to get wrapped up here so we'll just

95:06

do a quick lightning round on it I mean

95:07

I thought it was really interesting and

95:10

I and I was just caught off guard at how

95:13

the media tried to portray it as Trump

95:16

being Trump goofy whatever colorful but

95:20

I think like what I've realized even

95:21

with the California fire thing the guy

95:24

has this preent way of he may not say it

95:27

in the way that it works for some people

95:29

but he's just really on top of this

95:31

stuff so I I just sent Nick a thing so I

95:34

I started to learn a little bit more

95:35

about why he wants to take over

95:37

Greenland and it really comes down to

95:40

one very basic idea here because of

95:43

climate change and other things the

95:45

Arctic ice shelf is melting and the more

95:48

and more it melts it opens up a shipping

95:51

Lane in the northern Passage for a lot

95:55

of critical goods and so if you had some

95:58

sort of strategic agreement with Canada

96:00

and Greenland you effectively have this

96:04

Monopoly control over something that

96:06

could become as important as the Panama

96:08

Canal and so I think if you look across

96:12

the

96:13

world the control of Maritime shipping

96:16

lanes becomes this really critical

96:19

strategic military and economic asset

96:23

and so the reason why he's trying to

96:25

find a way to initiate some sort of a

96:28

discussion between Greenland and Canada

96:30

is exactly this reason and I think it's

96:33

sort of like a bargaining Gambit the way

96:34

that he started but it's really smart

96:37

that he's trying to get this done for

96:38

for the United States of America because

96:41

meanwhile what you have is China

96:43

militarizing very aggressively Russia

96:45

militarizing very aggressively and what

96:47

you don't want to have happen is those

96:49

two countries take control of that

96:51

Northern passage as the ice sheet melts

96:54

so I just thought that was important

96:55

having a capable bu business executive

96:57

thinking about the future of business

96:59

and shipping and Logistics pretty pretty

97:01

big win and I just love the idea Sayan

97:04

you know what's smart I mean let's give

97:05

Trump credit what's so smart is like

97:07

somebody was doing this work yes got it

97:10

got it in front of him yeah and he was

97:12

smart enough to say hold on a second

97:14

this is really important let me tweet it

97:17

and then the way that he initiates it

97:18

though gets even more attention because

97:21

if he basically tweeted hey guys I have

97:24

this really interesting idea to gain

97:25

more leverage in a Northern Maritime

97:27

shipping Lane nobody would have paid

97:29

attention absolutely not nobody would

97:30

have and now we're all talking about it

97:32

and now there's an opportunity for

97:34

millions of people to understand why and

97:36

be supportive of it it's pretty smart

97:39

any thoughts on expanding the United

97:40

States to a couple more territories and

97:42

states I love it I I would love to have

97:44

60 States in our lifetime I mean let's

97:46

pick one in the Caribbean let's pick one

97:48

in Europe I think we should have an open

97:49

invitation but Jason that's not what

97:51

he's doing I think he's I know I'm being

97:53

a

97:54

this is very strategic this one but I'm

97:57

just thinking the next Domino I would

97:58

like to get Cuba maybe Portugal I don't

98:00

know who 80% of people say what do you

98:02

think in the country want to join join

98:05

it's very strategic if you look at the

98:06

Panama Canal I believe either end is

98:09

operated and controlled by China we are

98:12

at war with China whether we like to

98:13

admit it or not in my opinion and so

98:16

this is very

98:17

strategic he has a very strange way of

98:20

communicating as you pointed out but I

98:21

think it's brilliant and I actually

98:22

think

98:24

we should add to that I've always

98:25

thought that we should open up and add

98:27

more

98:29

States and extend that invitation you

98:31

know to Taiwan I would might be

98:33

controversial to even say

98:35

India but I do think that uh that we

98:39

there's a lot of countries out there and

98:41

people who really really resonate with

98:43

what it means to be an American and the

98:46

freedoms that come with our subscription

98:48

fees of this country and so um I do

98:52

think that it would be great for us to

98:53

expand and you know I don't know what

98:56

he's thinking or how who he's got behind

98:58

the scenes who motivated him to do it

98:59

but I'm I I really think it's a great

99:01

idea freeberg what do you think about

99:04

optin

99:05

imperialism uh and this incredible

99:08

concept of expanding our territories in

99:11

the 21st

99:13

century again I don't know how to read

99:15

it I have no inside information there's

99:17

clearly some posturing as we've heard

99:19

many times when Trump makes a

99:20

declaration like I'm going to put on

99:22

100% tariff on every that's imported or

99:24

I'm going to charge you 2,000 bucks

99:26

Mexico for every time you ship something

99:29

here or I want to do X or Y or Z it's

99:32

not the literal statement that matters

99:35

as much as kind of the the the vector

99:37

and the magnitude of the vector he's

99:38

clearly trying to um begin negotiating

99:41

for some change I I I don't know what

99:43

the ultimate kind of strategic endpoint

99:45

is meant to be here but clearly there's

99:47

something I think Cham might might have

99:49

a good good read on this and seems Seems

99:52

to make a lot of sense well we have a

99:54

military base there and we also protect

99:56

it and we we occupy it already which is

99:58

interesting right right we somewhat yeah

100:01

we somewhat abandoned all that in

100:02

Greenland but there is a lot of that

100:04

infrastructure still sitting around can

100:05

I ask you guys a question I I started I

100:07

listened to Lex freedman's interview the

100:08

totally off topic but I listened to Lex

100:11

freedman's interview with Graham Hancock

100:13

you guys ever heard of this guy yes have

100:16

you read any of his stuff or watch any

100:18

of his shows I have not no okay so he's

100:21

got this belief that there was this like

100:23

like ancient civilization on Earth not

100:26

like sci-fi futuristic but like an

100:28

advanced human civilization and that's

100:30

where the Great Pyramid of Giza was like

100:32

there was a smaller pyramid that was

100:34

built there and a lot of these other

100:35

kind of like

100:37

historical places were built and then

100:39

they were built on top of later but that

100:42

a lot of these like this Advanced

100:44

civilization was wiped out during um the

100:48

last ice age there was a a very rapid

100:50

kind of uh freeezing event that happened

100:52

over period of about 1200 years and

100:54

that's when this great kind of Ice Age

100:56

Era civilization was wiped out but what

100:59

I didn't realize and so I went down this

101:00

really crazy rabbit hole in the last

101:01

week on like how much of planet Earth

101:05

well how different planet Earth was just

101:07

12,000 years ago during the Ice Age have

101:09

you guys spent any time on this like I

101:11

just went down a similar rabbit hole

101:12

with the Grand Canyon it's like the

101:15

first of all like how the planet earth

101:16

has changed in such a short period of

101:18

time blows my mind but like the sea

101:21

level was 400t lower than it is today

101:25

just 12,000 years ago and there were

101:26

humans on Earth at the time and so all

101:29

of this this area that we look at as

101:32

like like Malta the island of Malta was

101:35

the southern tip of like a continental

101:37

stretch that went into Italy so it was

101:39

all part of one great land mass and

101:41

there's all this area that was actually

101:43

part of that land mass that now sits

101:45

under that ocean there and there's these

101:47

like like ruts in the ground for moving

101:50

stuff and buildings and all this other

101:52

crazy stuff and we have no idea like

101:54

what's actually under the ice in

101:55

Greenland what's under the ice in

101:57

Antarctica there's all these parts of

101:59

Earth where humans very likely had some

102:02

this is so off topic we could cut this

102:03

from the show I think it's incredible

102:05

and I it's so crazy that there's there's

102:08

all these parts of Earth and and

102:09

especially like in the oceans as we

102:11

start to kind of explore there's

102:12

actually like large humans potentially

102:14

Advanced civilizations that lived in

102:16

these areas not like flying around the

102:18

Atlanta stuff that it was actually like

102:20

an advanced civilization and then humans

102:22

lost a lot of this ability

102:23

when the this like period of freezing

102:26

happened over 1200 years and then a lot

102:28

of it was preserved in Legends and myths

102:30

that showed up in later kind of

102:32

archaeology and later how do you explain

102:34

the

102:35

pyramids I think he has a really I think

102:38

because we had Gavin explained it last

102:40

time say welcome to conspiracy quarter

102:42

so somebody sent me an email oh and he

102:44

said what they did was they flooded the

102:46

area and

102:48

they fled the Rocks up yes brilliant

102:51

I've heard this but you know what chath

102:52

and I were talking about this too cuz

102:53

when you remove all that crust because

102:55

we we actually were talking we just

102:56

didn't use guy in name it's just like

102:58

Uranus when you when you break away all

103:00

that crust what did they find in Uranus

103:03

freeberg mine mine was better mine was

103:06

better you got it you land did the joke

103:07

it's great it's great I got it oh we

103:09

finally got there folks this has been

103:12

another amazing episode of the all-in

103:13

podcast it's

103:16

different yeah I can't say anything

103:18

other than cyan you were great for a

103:21

first time out you got to the conspiracy

103:23

you rocked it you got to interject more

103:25

because it's it's a vibrant panel but

103:27

for a first time out very before you go

103:30

do you have an alternative expanation

103:31

for the pyramids Sayan yeah what UF I've

103:35

looked into I mean UFOs is the only only

103:37

one that I usually come back to because

103:39

you know if you look at putting logs

103:42

underneath and trying to roll them or

103:43

you look at flooding an area all of this

103:46

just doesn't make a whole lot of

103:48

sense and so and then you know the fact

103:51

that there are other civiliz that also

103:53

have pyramids that are stunning and

103:57

Feats of engineering as well uh things

104:00

like stonehinge Etc I mean there's just

104:02

things that defy explanation I don't

104:04

know if you ever tried to make a

104:05

catapult but it's really hard it's

104:07

really it's really

104:09

hard and so like I we just did not have

104:12

the technology or at least we can't find

104:15

any definitive way that it that it

104:17

happened and and so I do think there is

104:20

a possibility that there was a more

104:22

advanced civilization here or we were

104:24

visited and I I think about that a lot I

104:27

think it's mutants I'm going with the

104:28

X-Men Theory I think there were mutant

104:30

human beings who had the ability with

104:31

superpowers to build them it could be

104:32

that it could be that it could be we had

104:34

control of matter and Alchemy or

104:36

something like that who knows this is

104:39

this is what we've come to now we get

104:40

conspiracy corner at the end of every

104:41

program we try to figure out Unsolved

104:43

Mysteries welcome to Unsolved Mysteries

104:45

and uh oh just a little uh housekeeping

104:48

here as we wrap our friends our partners

104:51

dare I say at uh hly Market have done us

104:54

a solid freedberg check this out we

104:57

talked a little bit about our long um

105:01

debates here on the program so chath we

105:04

created a market here the Magnificent 7

105:07

shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025 44

105:11

44% chance is what uh people in the real

105:15

world are putting volume on that I see

105:17

$11,000 already in volume and then uh

105:20

freeberg you came up with one which was

105:22

Will uh we I guess we did this one

105:24

together but I think it should be really

105:26

under your name will US national debt

105:28

surpass 38 trillion in

105:30

2025 and then third uh talking about

105:32

immigration we got a lot of passion

105:34

around this topic Trump's team uh and

105:36

Trump himself said they're going to

105:37

deport 15 million Americans uh 15

105:40

million immigrants rather from America I

105:43

said hey let's uh create a market for

105:45

Will trump Deport 750,000 or more people

105:48

in

105:49

2025 38% chance for those of you who

105:51

don't know Obama think did 2 million

105:53

people in 8 years so this is not like a

105:56

partisan thing this is just a practical

105:57

thing so anyway go to poly market look

105:59

at the creators you'll see under that

106:01

tab that Allin has a bunch of markets

106:03

we're doing this in partnership with our

106:05

partners who've partnered with us in a

106:08

partnership at po Market # FC part bye

106:12

bye love you

106:14

guys everyone that was super fun rocket

106:17

science a thank

106:19

you let your winners ride

106:23

Rainman

106:26

David and instead we open source it to

106:29

the fans and they've just gone

106:31

crazy queen

106:33

[Music]

106:39

of Besties

106:42

are this my dog taking your

106:47

driveways oh man myit will meet me we

106:50

should all just get a room and just have

106:52

one Q Georgie cuz they're all this

106:54

useless it's like this like sexual

106:55

tension that they just need to release

106:57

[Music]

107:03

Som we need to get

107:08

[Music]

107:12

merch I'm going all in

Interactive Summary

This episode of the All-In Podcast features a deep dive into the devastating wildfires in California, analyzing the roles of government competence, environmental policies, and the impact of insurance availability. The panel discusses the necessity for leadership and executive action in crises. Additionally, they cover Mark Zuckerberg's recent shift in strategy at Meta, the latest AI announcements from Nvidia, and speculate on the possibility of expanding the United States through new territorial acquisitions.

Suggested questions

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