LA's Wildfire Disaster, Zuck Flips on Free Speech, Why Trump Wants Greenland
2910 segments
I just got a haircut with a with a new
person she was like I'm like do what you
want this is what she did okay well let
me know who she is jamat and I will'll
go beat her up and get them get your
money back did she feather your bangs
and blow your hair up she did she gave
you a blow didn't she it's starting
already okay no but that's a blow dryer
just yes right she blow dry your hair at
the end she gave me a little yeah that's
not sustainable so you can't tell what
the quality of the haircuts like because
you're never going to do that again you
don't have the skill I've never
blowdried my hair in my life no I
understand that then this is why because
if you get the blow and it looks good in
the blow just say blowout please just
say blowout the forward why what are we
six just grow up you the way you're
saying it you're saying it to provoke a
reaction come on no I'm not such a liar
I love it tell us about what your rules
for blows are what I'm saying is if you
get a haircut and and you get a blow
it's very hard for you to know no but
I'm serious it's very hard for you to
know what it's going to look like the
next day when you take a shower and when
you don't you know blow it it's true oh
you're saying the self blow can't match
the stylus blow it's just important when
you get a haircut with a new stylist or
a hairdresser or a barer yes you cannot
let them blow you he's not happy with
the ending got it it was an unhappy
ending because when you blow yourself
shth which people have accused you of
blowing yourself on this very program
when you blow yourself it's not going to
come out the way it did it won't be as
fabulous every time I've blown myself
it's been
perfect let your winners
ride Rainman
David and instead we open source it to
the fans and they've just gone
[Music]
crazy all right everybody welcome back
to the all in podcast I'm your host jpow
from Japan here JP cutting turns in the
Seco and at Ean I and we have an
incredible lineup today as always the
chairman dictator chamath is here to
reign supreme how are you doing brother
good how are you what are you wearing
exactly I'm just wearing my kimono as I
want to do uh here on the all-in podcast
why are you speaking in Elizabethan
English I just decided in 2025 I'm going
to live my best life and I'm going to do
everything anybody ask me to do
something I'm saying yes oh I'm I'm GNA
ask you a bunch of stuff next weekend
then I got so many ideas I got a list
I'm gonna ask you to do all sorts of
it's epic I'm doing it yeah okay so uh
it's a and uh yeah I'm I'm over the moon
right now and then I'll be going to the
inauguration to see all my
friends and celebrate the big Trump
Victory and tape an episode there with
us of course David freeberg your
resident sulan of Science and not a
moment too soon we have so much to talk
about what's the background here
those are some dead trees
with ma Fuji in the background yeah
that's a c basically Jason cissa
landscape while you've been um
gallivanting and being a diletant your
original adopted home state is burning
to the ground ah yes I know about this I
got off the ski lift and I saw this
after I had posted like oh my life is
amazing and I was like oh my God you
know you can totally and everybody
replied like are you the and I'm like oh
my Lord this is unbelievable we'll
obviously talk about that so then you
promoted the Tweet yes I put $500 behind
it to boost to try to get my ratings up
no I actually literally deleted it
because I I posted a and I never do that
but I posted a video where I was like oh
my God it's incredible and I was like
you know what this is the wrong time for
it so a little Grace there folks and I
am so happy to have here on Allin Idol
the one the only my good friend cyan
banister no our good friend she's my
good friend before you guys met her so
sure she's ours but I've been friends
with her longer so my good friend Sayan
B and our good friend and our bestie
let's just leave it at that it doesn't
have to be a competition for who Sayan
likes best we'll ask her to rate at the
end of the episode say welcome to the
program yeah thanks for having me I
appreciate it it's nice to see everyone
Jason you want to tell people about
sence background yeah do an epic rant on
cence Epic I mean c and I fought in the
Clone worse together it was a long time
ago but uh she's a technologist
self-made individual who then decided
she would start writing small Angel
checks about 14 years ago literally the
same year I did and uh myself cyan
profoundly better than you let's just be
she's not incredible yes of course well
we'll get into it and uh cyan and I
would uh 14 years ago I guess we would
meet startup companies together and host
little events where we get together and
and take pitches and we invested in a
couple companies together and it worked
out very nicely for everyone involved so
yeah we're in a couple of companies
together yeah density density we were on
the board together for a little bit so
that was fun a little bit Yeah Yeah
Thumbtack Thumbtack actually Thumbtack
density and Uber I all discovered
through you what's which one was Uber I
got to check my oh I don't think I don't
think let me check my Google sheet here
I didn't know I invested in Uber let me
check I have to confirm that oh yeah I
did I but I uh at one of these events I
introduce Sayan to Uber that's true
right so found all three of those deals
at your event so that was really great
oh yeah well thanks that's a that's a
very nice let me try cyan is a prolific
angel investor correct I just said that
she was a part of Founders fund oh right
yeah she runs a seed fund called long
journey Ventures okay some of her hits
include SpaceX andil density Postmates
Niantic which is the makers of Pokemon
go
and Jason's favorite startup
Uber yeah it's been a good run it's been
a good run and also I'll just add a
wonderful human being and if you ever
had the chance to hang out and talk for
a couple of hours cyan would be one of
those people that you put right at the
top of the list I will Pro I will
promote sayan's interview with Tim
Ferris a couple weeks ago I randomly
turned it on I was in the car driving
home and then I stopped in my driveway
and kept listening I was just telling
cyan like it was a fantastic what was it
about two hours two and a half hour
interview three well it was four hours
he cut it to three and a half yeah and
then I had to drive again I listened to
the it's it and I was like excited to
get back to it which never happens for
me listening to long form interviews
like that like it was phenomenal so I
recommend it to everyone why did it hit
you so deeply couple things one C is an
incredible Storyteller like the the way
she describes her experiences her
history her life
beautiful she talks in kind of I think a
deep persuasive way about some of the
things that have shaped her her uh
business investing as well as kind of
spirituality which she mentioned earlier
which is not something that you'll
typically and you're like wait where did
this conversation just pivot to and then
you go down this whole other path with
her and you go on the journey with her I
just thought it was great so all over
the place it was great beautiful
recommend it to everyone to get to know
cyan oh thanks can I have you all is my
professional cheerleading squad from now
on this pretty awesome I don't like
talking about myself and this is great I
love it yeah well it's uh it's true
Sayan was voted most humble in our Angel
Investing group and I was a close second
so I almost won most humble in group
more work to do being humble I'm gonna
get you a t-shirt called the humblest no
no you have to borrow it from Cham he's
got he's had it for the last 10 years
seven or eight years ago Jason
approached C and I and said hey guys
Harvey WI has asked me to make a show
yes true story it's true story here's
how he asked me to do it in his room it
was really it's a true
story take it down and cyan myself and
Jason
went to some place in the city and we
taped a taped episode I have it what is
it called the first we taped the NBC
pilot for the accelerator or the
incubator so I had been
approached and did a pilot for NBC
called the acceler Ator and they spent
like a half million dollars on this and
you guys came on and it came out great
and it was just going to you know follow
me around ding it was very awkward
because afterwards they approached cyan
and I to do the show without when we
without Jason and so we had to we had to
decide who needs enemies we decided our
friendship was more important exactly I
don't know if I ever told you guys the
story but like literally they were like
figuring out where to put this and what
time slot they were like we're going to
do it in the summer sum because we're
trying to get some summer programming
going that's what we're going to test St
and then Harvey Weinstein turns out to
be an horrible monster and the whole
thing gets canceled and anything that
was anywhere within a hundred miles of
Harvey wiing got canceled including my
failed or forgotten reality TV show all
right let's get to more important things
there is an unbelievable tragedy
occurring in Los Angeles H as we're
speaking devastating wildfires basically
a formed to ring around La the most
destructive of which has been the
Palisades fire and which has stretched
into Malibu
obviously and 15,000 Acres or so have
been burned in that area thousands of
homes maybe 2,000 homes here are some
images they're just devastating and we
have a lot of friends in this area and
the area you're seeing on fire if you
don't know the Topography of Los Angeles
is north of Santa Monica you have
Palisades and then Malibu and obviously
east of the 405 you have things that
you've heard of like Bair and Brentwood
this area is part of a
mountain area called the Santa Monica
Mountains and they get very dry and
there's a phenomenon which we'll get
into called the Santa and winds that
blow really really strongly and a
perfect storm has happened where
thousands of homes and tragically five
lives and I'm sure there'll be more
unfortunately have burn down this video
of driving down
PCH if you've ever driven PCH the
Pacific Coast Highway these are 10 20
$50 million homes that are literally on
the Pacific Ocean the most coveted homes
in Los Angeles are not belir and
brenwood you might think that because
you hear them on TV but really if you
were an incredibly successful person you
would aspire to live in the Pacific
Palisades just west of bretwood and just
south of Malibu or Malibu many
celebrities live there many Executives
Etc and these homes are gone thousands
and thousands of homes it's this is
turned into the ultimate rosock test on
social media where people are projecting
into this tragedy which tragically
occurs every year to varying degrees and
maybe every 20 30 years it's an acute
situation we'll get into that in a
moment but looking at this
absolute just devast stating loss of
property and lives the lives could have
been a lot worse freeberg from a
scientific perspective maybe we'll start
there when you look at these wildfires
extreme weather global warming and you
look at this situation is that where
your mind goes or in this raw shck test
of how you feel about these kind of
tragedies and how you interpret it do
you go somewhere else the incompetence
of California's government
Dei Ukraine I mean everybody body is
superimposing on this natural disaster
whatever
their pet issues are where do you come
to when you look at this I don't think
that those are exclusive okay I think
that you can have had both incompetent
planning and execution by
leadership as well as have kind of
uncontrollable circumstances that
management and planning weren't
necessarily going to solve and I I'll
kind of talk about a couple of these
points real quick first of all like we
talked about when the hurricane hit a
couple of months ago remember and as you
guys know I have an office or facility
out in Nashville so we were exposed to
the flooding circumstances and we talked
about the the frequency of of that sort
of an event having been such a rare
occurrence becoming more common
similarly we're seeing more frequent
high high wind events in California
flooding events in California and hot
events in California if you look at this
link I sent out Nick in terms of the
total precipitation over this current
what's called rain
season the Southern California region is
basically at a you know call it 0% of
normal so this is Southern California
you can see that third column that's the
percent of normal rainfall that has been
experienced there's been zero rain in
these regions so everything is primed to
be very dry and then you get the Santa
Ana winds 100 mph winds no matter matter
how much underbrush you clear out no
matter how many trees you remove if
there's some Embers in the air there's a
100 mph wind that is going to create a
fire hurricane and a lot of homes are
going to get caught on fire so it's very
hard to kind of just pin the blame
solely on not doing underbrush clearing
not doing removal of trees those should
have happened they didn't happen that
was wrong that was bad policy but it
doesn't excuse the fact that there's a
natural event that happened here that
seems to be occurring with greater
frequency the I'll kind of pivot to if
we want to get there now maybe we'll
talk about that in a minute is kind of
the economic and the policy issues with
respect to the Department of Insurance
because okay let's get to that after we
go through maybe a little bit of the
quick reactions here I think that's
where that's where there's going to be
real pain and Devastation and that's the
biggest economic consequence is the role
that insurance has played in all this
stuff which we'll get to in a minute
yeah okay so chamath I think table
Stakes we all agree global warming
extreme weather depending on what degree
you believe in it there plays some
Factor here and this is something that
has reoccurred over and over again in
this specific re region but on social
media we're seeing a lot of other
interpretations of this event maybe your
thoughts on some of the other
interpretations and then where when you
look at it what do you start to think
about preventing this in the future or
maybe who's responsible what's your
general take on what we've seen the last
week I mean I'm not very sympathetic to
the there were 100 m hour winds not
because it's not true but there's been
enough modeling that we know that these
kinds of outlier weather events are
happening in greater and greater
frequency Nick maybe you can find this
and just put it up here but remember
that crazy apocalyptic video of that
exact same part of Southern California
in
2018 burning to the ground can we just
look at that all of us collectively
because that was six years ago this is
not like it was a distant memory from a
hundred years ago we knew in 2018 that
these Thea pass so this this idea that
we were just Lolly gagging around and
got caught off guard by 100 mph winds to
me is completely not an acceptable
answer we knew in 2018 that these things
could happen we knew across the rest of
the United States that these outlier
weather events were happening in greater
and greater frequenc
if you weren't sure you saw most of the
insurance companies try to dump Southern
California homes fire coverage three
months before this event happened so all
this data was in the realm of the
knowable and then when you doubleclick
and you get into a little bit more of
the details there's a level of
incompetence bordering on criminal
negligence here that we need to get to
the bottom of so I'll just give you a
couple of facts in the 19 50s the
average amount of Timber so wood that
was harvested in California was around 6
billion board feet per
year in the intervening 70 years that
shrank to about 1.5 billion board feet
and so you'd say okay well that's a 75%
reduction we must be making a very
explicit stance on conservation it turns
out that that's not entirely true
because what it left behind was near
nearly 163 million dead trees dead like
gone and so you would say well those
things should have been removed and the
problem is that then there's this
California Environmental Quality act
squa hopefully I'm pronouncing this
right and a whole bunch of these other
regulatory policies that limited the
ability of local governments and fire
management to clear these dead trees and
vegetation and I think that that's a
really big deal and when you double
click on that here's where you find the
real head
scratcher
okay multiple bills AB 2330 ab1
1951 AB
2639 all rejected by the Democrat
controlled legislator or worse vetoed by
Governor Nome that would have Exempted
these Wildfire prevention projects from
squa and other pering issues then there
were other bills to try to minimize the
risk of fires by burying power lines
underground SP 103 as an example went
nowhere didn't even get to the
governor's desk so I'm just a little bit
at a loss to explain these two bodies of
data one is everybody can see that these
events are happening Southern California
lived through this exact type of moment
just six years
ago all the bills that are meant to
prevent this
are blocked or
veto this is the ultimate expression of
negligence and
incompetence okay cyan you've uh heard
uh jamath and freeberg take here some
amount of incompetence some amount of
hey this keeps occurring and there might
be some global warming that is
contributing to it what do you take away
sure from the situation I agreee with
freedberg in moth you know it's it's a
it's a lot of everything but I also
think think that to add to the
prevention part you know other than
clearing out underbrush and and trees
and things like that you know we we
don't build things in the state of
California in a way that houses should
be built when you know that there are
fires like this so for example we have
more wooden roofs than we really should
have we should really evaluate our
materials that we're building things out
of but we also have you know down in
elag gundo you know this is a company
that I invested in Rain Maker we have
the ability now to Cloud seed and do
preventative measures to actually make a
region have more water and I don't
understand why we're not looking into
things like this that could have
prevented you know we knew that this
storm was coming we knew that these
winds were coming you know Southern
California shut power down I have a farm
down there we still don't have power
because they knew that most of these
fires are started by pg& or down power
lines and so they proactively shut
everybody down and we're still running
on generators and if you notice there's
no fires down there but they also have
100 m hour
winds yeah and you're not seeing it and
there's plenty of mountain ranges and
dryness there you know avocado Farms are
basically just sitting
fuel so I do think it's a combination of
all of those things and competence is
definitely one of
them yeah and I I actually lived right
next door to this area for a long time
in Brentwood and to your point about
roofs it seemed silly and a lot of
these can seem silly when you first
mention them which Trump looked let's
face it the way he says things sometimes
is very colorful and when he said listen
you're not raking like people in
wherever he said it Scandinavia Finland
are raking the forest and he was
absolutely 100% correct on that maybe it
sounded bombastic or silly when the way
he said it but the truth is in uh Tahoe
where we just were over the holidays
people are clearing underbrush when I
lived in Los Angeles people lived in the
Hollywood Hills would get a fine if they
didn't clear it but there are mountain
ranges that nobody owns and when you
showed that Suppa to pass that's the 405
going past the Getty Center that area
has got to be cleaned by the the city
and the government and maybe they
weren't doing it as much look at this
this is apocalyptic yeah so I I know
this passed very well because I would
drive through it J what what did
California learn from this what did gav
Nome Implement based on what happened
here what did the city of Los Angeles
based on what happened here I want to
just specifically know the answer to
those two questions yeah and I think
that's going to be a big part of this
breakdown after this happens because in
a lot of these cases you might lose a
home or two but you haven't had this
kind of wholesale destruction in a while
and uh when I lived in brenwood I had a
shake roof that's a fancy way of saying
uh shingles wood shingles and they would
bake in the Sun and I love this roof but
my neighbors who in brenwood were all 70
80 years old and I was right on Sunset
Boulevard and I could look up from my
house and see the place you just showed
which is the Getty Center and the and
the Sova pass on the 405 and the um and
Sunset
Boulevard I was only allowed cyan to
replace 30% of my roof at a time you
couldn't replace it and put shake roofs
on you could only like maintain it
because in 1961 there was the B A and
Brentwood fires and these fires you want
to talk about like in in in memory chath
this one jaaja Gabor and tons of
celebrities lost their homes as well
this one was started because of this
Santa Anna winds and somebody was just
burning a rubbish pile I think it was
some construction workers were burning
that they said to me the neighbors do
you know about the B air fire you know
about the Brentwood fire you got to get
rid of that shake roof you got to get
rid of that shake roof when my daughter
was born the the uh roofer said to me
let's put composits on I put composits
on and he said what do you want to do
with the sprinkler system and I said
there's a sprinkler system in my little
one story wrench house he said yeah I
said I've never seen it and he showed it
to me it was on the roof people were so
scared after that 62 fire they were
putting
these on the roof and now you cannot
have would roofs have been banned you
were grandfathered in I was part of that
but there was a lot of PTSD from that
and now I do think there's going to have
to be some lessons learned and let's get
to where some folks online are pointing
to maybe not having great priorities and
maybe focusing on things that are not as
important as the taxpaying citizens a
lot of tweets I don't know how people
feel about them about Dei about who's
running the fire department Etc did you
have any thoughts on that freedberg I'll
I mean look we we one of the things I
wanted to talk about was the doi's role
the Department of Insurance role in what
I think will ultimately
be creating a pretty significant
economic consequence here from this sort
of an
event I don't but I'll I'll answer your
question okay I don't think that the
mission of any public service organiz
ation should be to meet Dei metrics I
think the mission of that public service
organization should be to serve the
public and I think that those Dei
metrics should not be a priority when
serving the public is the objective the
best ability to serve the public should
be the objective and that's it and I'll
state that really clearly okay so
obviously the the fire chief and La is
getting a lot of attention whether or
not that prioritization of Dei metrics
took away from the interest and the
focus in preparing for major disasters I
don't know there have been some
interviews over the last day or two just
to be fair where she has claimed that
they asked for more money to to they
would not be able to be prepared for
major disasters if the budget cut took
place that was proposed by bass that
budget cut did take place and so the the
fire chief has said that she asked for
Budget to make this the preparation for
this ORD of event and she lost it and so
I don't want to just say hey she's to
blame she's to blame because she was
focused on Dei but I will separately say
that I think that creating Dei as a
mission for an organization that's
supposed to serve the public interest
makes no sense this is an important one
James Woods obviously the uh the famous
actor who lost his home in Pacific
Palisades has been going on a bit of a
rant about Christine Crowley she is LA's
fire chief she also happens to be a
lesbian and has made a priority and and
done a number of talks on trying to
increase diversity inside of the fire
department she also just with a bit of
research is one of the top performing
firefighters a paramedic an engineer a
fire inspector a captain a battalion
chief an assistant chief Fire Marshal
Deputy Chief and when she took the
firefighter exam in the late 90s she
scored in the top 50 out of 16,000 she
seems eminently qualified there has been
a massive pile on Attack on her and you
know how it is on x and other social
networks where people are really tweaked
about Dei that they're kind of putting
the blame on her what are your thoughts
of this Dei angle chouth I don't think
this is to blame okay if all of a sudden
because of
Dei 70% were physically incapable of
carrying out the task and that's why
these fires grew maybe you could make
the claim that it is a Dei problem I do
agree with freeberg that the thing that
these public institutions need to do a
better job of is being very clear about
what their Nord star is I think the
nordstar for the fire department is to
save people's lives and put out fires I
think the nordstar for the police
service should be to save people's lives
and to hold criminals responsible and
get them off the
streets and you should hire the people
that allow you to do that job the best
the thing to keep in mind is that there
were probably 20 or 30 people
interviewed to be fire chief it's not
her fault that she was
selected the real question is what was
she mandated to focus on once she got
the job and I think what you see in all
of these interviews is I don't think
that she all of a sudden after growing
up through the fire service had this Dei
bent I think typically what happens is
it becomes an Institutional
directive it guides your compensation it
guides your recognition and so you do it
it's sort of what Charli Monger says
show me the incentive and I'll show you
the outcome the entire public service is
riddled with this the entire private
service is riddled with this which is
that we've lost the script about what is
important so it's yet another example
she's probably quite a capable person
who if was just allowed to focus on
fighting fires and saving people's lives
would probably do a good job but if you
had to add all these other things that
are not Germaine to that task
then people will get frustrated and
projected onto her it seems like a lot
of projecting going on here jamath I
agree all of that said though I think
you got to go back to how did these
fires start yeah how did they grow out
of control and again I think that these
winds didn't come out of nowhere in the
sense that they caught everybody off
guard this has happened before that area
has gone through this exact moment yes
there were laws that were proposed they
were vetoed okay so that even if you
could have controlled it then you see
certain developers like Rick Caruso who
were able to protect the buildings that
he was responsible for because he took
proactive and protective measures could
those proactive and protective measures
not been taken more broadly through LA
county of course they could have why
were they not and here what we're seeing
on the screen is recuso Village let me
ask a very specific question how much
money and we know the answer to this how
much money did the government of
California
spend poorly as it turns out on
homelessness it was about $21 billion
and illegal immigrants I don't know what
the final number is there but I suspect
in the tens of billions if you I think
if you reappropriated those dollars to
these kinds of protective mechanisms in
these areas what would the outcome have
been maybe there still would have been a
fire maybe there would have been damaged
but it's hard for me to believe it would
have been as bad as it is right now yeah
I think what you're getting to here is
we can confirm lesbians didn't cause the
Santa and and a wins to cause these
fires obviously but there is an issue
that I think many people in the public
especially in California who voted for
this very leftist liberal ideology are
now starting to realize is hey wait a
second what are the priorities here cyan
what are we focused on and what should
we be focused on and it's very easy to
be focused on Dei and maybe things that
aren't important homelessness and move
budget there but at the same time they
wouldn't give her $17 million they cut
the the fire budget she tried to fight
it well that that's not clear now
there's now the counter narrative is
that she actually got an extra 50 Jason
okay so we're we're in a breaking news
environment so we'll see what the truth
winds up being here but Sayan I think
the point Remains the Same here which is
is prioritization and what we focus on
out of whack in California oh without a
doubt I think diversity is good unless
that's all you have and I'll just
simplify it like that but and I think
it's very sad that somebody could be
very qualified and be in a position and
we now have to question whether or not
they were hired because of
Dei and then it comes down to
prioritization like when you're dealing
with a organization like a fire
department whose main job is to protect
the public and put out fires and save
people any amount of time as we know is
a valuable precious resource that's
being spent
trying to roll out these programs or you
know it goes beyond just who you hire
it's even they the thought police of how
you think you know it's so pervasive
within an organization that you you are
you die from the bureaucracy of it and
if if anything went wrong with the EI it
was that they didn't have their their
eye on the prize of of fighting fires
and instead you know they're focusing on
something that truly doesn't matter so
you can be as diverse as you want to be
and not be able to put out of fire and
then it just really doesn't matter right
because you're not training people
you're not spending money on things that
matter you're not having the discussions
that matter and that's where I think
that does fall apart and it it has a
place there but you know I go back to
what chamama said though you know it
really comes down to prevention and
learning from our past we seem to have a
very short-term memory and we forget
very quickly because we rebuild and it
looks pretty again and everybody
forgets and we just don't have the
ability as a society really to think
long anymore and uh that's a real
problem and I think we should learn from
this fire I really hope that what comes
out of this is a shift in political
leanings in this in this state you know
I think more moderates are going to come
to their senses and um as we've seen
with the election and the outcome and I
think the state might shift some and we
might actually get some policies that
you're so right you're so right I mean
when are we going to get tired of all
this late stage progressivism it's like
these Litany of excuses the people that
are in charge have failed us yet again
exactly we have wasted so much money on
so many things that don't move the
needle and then the things that they
needed to do they didn't do and then
they point the finger at climate change
it's a joke at a certain point you have
to wonder are we using politics and and
the purpose of it to make people's lives
better and to have a high function
Society or is it a way to fge your
signal or to you know share your
opinions on things yeah and and I think
what people are starting to realize is
you know in an acute situation whether
it's our budget deficit whether it's
schools whether it's safety from climate
you know or non-climate induced
disasters you you do need to have
competence and this is the Rick Caruso
is such a competent executive that when
he ran for office there the fact that he
didn't get that job is just absolutely
crazy and the you saw the mayor come in
and she wouldn't even address she
wouldn't answer any questions from the
Press not even thoughts and prayers or
you know we're thinking of this or we're
going to get it done it it just seems
like we're hiring non-executives to work
in functions that should be high
performing Executives this is an
operational role let me maybe bring
something that ties these three things
together but it builds on critically
what cyan
said there are so many people here that
are good hardworking people that lost
their homes
for many of these folks it could
be the most single and only financially
securing asset that they
have for other
people those that are family age they
have kids now beyond the financial
damage that are totally displaced where
will these folks go there was a comment
by Adam Cora commentary where he said
the real test to science point will be
how they internalize and metabolize this
because it now affects them personally
and they have to go and wait 3 years to
BU building permits to rebuild now
that's assuming that they can even get a
reasonable amount of insurance coverage
which touches freeberg
point this is the real tragedy that is
the actual tragedy multiplied by 120,000
or 200,000
families and the real question is how
much of that was completely avoidable
and I think there is a reason amount of
it that could have been that's what
really sucks and that's where you cannot
take your finger off the scale and
forget and yeah when it lands on your
doorstep quite literally here they are
not going to be able having been in this
exact area I can tell you when you try
to pull a permit to do anything as I was
explaining with my roof the regulations
are deep and expensive and timec
consuming I don't believe the C we
talked about the California Coastal
Commission recent episode freeberg what
are the chances that the California
Coastal commission even allows these
people to build those homes in those
locations on PCH fredberg I was talking
to chamat about this earlier today
because the California Coastal
commission was created by the voters
directly in
1976 and that commission has Authority
that exceeds legislative action so um
you would have to basically go back my
understanding is you'd have to go back
to a state vote to resend the powers of
the California Coastal commission so
they have effective complete authority
over deciding what does or doesn't get
built on the coast because their
objective is to preserve the coast for
the use of the community and restore it
to its natural habitat so anytime
there's a request or a permit request it
can take two decades three decades
sometimes to get anything approved if
they ever approve it at all and so the
California Coastal commission any
property that touches the the the beach
front in California they have this kind
of you know God level authority over and
they're basically all political
appointees that sit on the commission to
my question freeberg what are the
chances they allow the millionaires on
Pacific Coast Highway in Malibu to
rebuild those homes or do you think they
slow roll it and those people are all
5060 70 years old they'll never be able
to rebuild their homes Cali just slow
roll this and say you know what nature
returned it to its natural state I think
we should talk about insurance this is a
great segue yeah yeah this perfect segue
yeah this is the key point I wanted to
say about insurance so going forward
yeah all of this property that sits in
climate sensitive zones or weather
sensitive zones whatever you want to
call it like we've talked about on the
coast of California of Florida and
hurricane centers and tornado centers
where the frequency of loss is going up
they're priced as if the frequency of
loss is what it used to be which is like
let's say you buy a home for a million
dollars and the probability of your home
getting wiped out by a natural disaster
is a one in a, your kind of situation so
you have a one in a thousand chance of
your home getting wiped out each year so
your price for insurance on that million
doll home should be about 10,000 bucks a
year one tenth of 1% so 10,000 bucks a
year for a million doll home sounds
expensive but it is what you have to pay
for homeowners insurance but now let's
say that the probability shifts to one
in 20 years so now you've got a one in
20 year probability of your home getting
wiped out are you going to pay 5% of
your home value no and uh if if you have
a $10 million home are you going to pay
$500,000 a year for property insurance
no now what's happened is the insurance
companies have these models they're
called cat models or catastrophe models
it used to be two companies one was
called RMS the other one was called
equat and I used to work in this
business so I know it pretty well and
then all the the companies started
building in-house models and now there's
startups that make models and these
models have shown that there are
increased probability of complete loss
in a region because of the increased
probability of these crazy weather
events happening and so the price of
insurance should go up here's the
problem there are 5050 State Insurance
Commissioners in the US in order to sell
insurance in a state you have to have
the insurance carrier and the policy
approved in that state and the states
determine what rate or what price you
can charge for insurance so the State
Insurance commissions have a couple of
goals number one is to keep all the
insurance companies solvent so they want
to you know check the financials of all
the insurance companies make sure
they're not writing too many policies
that they won't be able to pay out the
second thing is they want to make sure
that the insurance company aren't
ripping consumers off so they have
control over the rates and they don't
want the rates to go up too much in any
given year so they're controlling rates
and keeping them down and then the third
is they're supposed to make sure that
consumers have access to insurance and
the third is a very hard thing to do if
you're trying to keep companies solvent
you can't write too many policies and
you're saying hey you can't raise prices
and meanwhile the probability of losses
gone up so the insurance carriers are
like what choice do I have so earlier
this year a State Farm pulled out of
Palisades they stopped writing fire
insurance and Palisades they canel 1600
policies in the exact neighborhood that
just burned down what about the timing
of that freeberg that was three months
before six months before Happ six months
before but yeah but it's not it it seems
crazy but as you know in Tahoe a lot of
the policies have been cancelled in um
it's just crazy timing it's it's a crazy
coincidence and remember in Wine Country
we had a lot of wipeouts all of Santa
Rosa was burnt out a few years ago you
guys remember that and so they started
pulling out of there so aot lot of the
carriers are generally pulling out of
California because when they go up to
the DOI and they're like hey we need to
raise rates by we need to double the
price of insurance we need to Triple the
price of insurance this is now a one in
20 year event the Department of
Insurance says no no no we're not going
to let you charge that much to Consumers
and then the carrier is like okay we got
no choice and they exit the market here
you can see right here 1, 1600 policies
canceled this has been a big driver is
the Department of Insurance has made it
very difficult to find this free market
outcome but at the end of the day one of
three parties are going to end up eating
the cost of the change in probability of
loss that has occurred it's either the
homeowner because they're going to end
up losing the value of their home in a
loss or they're going to end up needing
to write down the value of their home
when they sell it to someone who will
take on that risk which means the price
has to come down or number two is the
insurers and there's not enough
Insurance Capital out there to cover all
these losses so all these insurers would
go bankrupt or the third is the taxpayer
one of those three is going to end up
eating the loss that's about you know
the answer you know the answer taxpayer
taxpayer yeah somebody is going to Lobby
somebody but hey we're sitting here chth
in the age of Doge and saying hey let's
make the government smaller in fact Dave
you and I were talking about at some
point Gangs of New York and the fire
departments being oh yeah totally great
crazy timing that we were talking about
that two or three weeks before this
happened but right you know when we look
at making government smaller well that
means that these kind of situations
would put citizens more on their own so
let's counterbalance what you think
chamath about who should be responsible
we all espouse I think free market
ideology on this program and as
Executives and in what we do every day
should the people who own these homes
going forward who decide to rebuild them
here have to pay you know 5 10% of their
value of home every year should their
home prices collapse because it's too
hard to build there and should the free
market take over this risk or should it
constantly be put on the other 329
million Americans who are going to have
to be the brunt of what happens to the
million people affected in this area
well I mean sh's a very strong word
the cap on the insurance reimbursement
is about 3 million is my understanding
David you can tell me if I'm wrong but I
think I think that's right the houses in
the Palisades are anywhere from call it
1 million on the low end to maybe 40 or
50 million on the high end average is
four and a half in that yeah I was about
to say there's nothing for a million
these days yeah it's got to be three or
four minimum right but the median is
probably more instructive which is
probably seven or eight million so yes
yeah my point is that folks will get
less than half their home value back
they're going to have to come up with
some amount of money to then rebuild but
the cost of rebuilding a 7,000 foot
house in the Pacific Palisades is
probably at least a thousand a square
foot so that's 7 million of cash exactly
so now so now all of a sudden these
people have to come up with a lot of
money exactly and that's post tax money
so you might as well double it because
California is just so egregiously
burdensome in terms of taxes so the
individual homeowner is not going to be
in a position to rebuild
I think that the liabilities of the
insurance claims are going to be so
massive that the state's going to look
to the federal government to build them
out my parents just got evacuated I
gotta call them and just there there's a
new
fire literally right uh there's a new
fire called Kenneth fire it just took
off and it's it's at their house so just
give me I'll be back okay no do your
thing oh wow gosh almighty we were
talking about hey maybe less government
hey maybe spending less now the same
group of people maybe who were saying
hey we need to spend less and reduce the
size of government or saying hey well
why isn't California more prepared well
being prepared obviously means more
money and and and more taxes so you have
now these two competing ideologies here
but to the question of who's responsible
it is economically going to make no
sense to rebuild unless you can get that
insurance it is a coveted place to live
but because of the construction costs
have gone abs abolutely
parabolic in California because of
regulations you're talking about $4
million in income to build a $7 million
house and maybe you're just better off
selling the lot for a million dollars
and letting it be somebody else's
problem going for and just taking the
two or three or four million dollar loss
who should pay for on a go forward
basis underwriting these homes yeah I
mean a lot of these people paid for I
was reading stories of 30 some odd years
into Insurance thinking that you know
house wouldn't burn down and then of
course it gets canceled two weeks before
their house burns down and then the one
time they need it they don't have it and
part of this is I mean a huge part of it
is uh what freedberg was talking about
are the regulators and so the free
market solution is the only solution if
you look at I have an investment in a
company called kin insurance and they
specialize in direct to
Consumer Insurance for areas that are
plagued with natural disaster so their
number one state out of the 11 that they
serve as Florida followed by
Texas which you know has tornadoes and
things like that and how they're able to
get into these places and do insurance
is the pricing is according to you know
the construction of your home and all of
these various things and also weather
models and using data science things
that are not allowed in California if
you can believe it or not so you're not
allowed to use a weather model to price
in you know your decision- making for
insurance in this state and that just
doesn't make a lot of sense you know you
should be rewarded if you put the
resources and time into your home home
to to make it weatherproof uh fireproof
fireproof I mean you know even
earthquake resistant right this is more
regulations that were layer on here to
try to create equality you know and and
the fact is it's now working against the
system in Tahoe to your point they gave
us explicit instructions around homes
put Stone and Pebbles around your home
cut the trees and bushes down around
your homes do this over here you know
your when you do that and if you do that
which might cost $10,000 a home you it
would keep these from jumping from one
to the other in most fire situations
freeberg your back is everything
okay uh it's not okay listening to your
you know 70 something year old parents
evacuate their home and try and pack
their cars with all their stuff in a
matter of minutes while a fire creeps on
their home is a pretty devastating thing
to listen to yeah but are they sayfe
they're trying to get out of the house
they're throwing everything in the car
there's evacu if I'm looking at the
video right now the fire is like right
by their house it's insane it's
literally like blocks away from their
house God this is nuts this is the house
I grew up in in La I'm so sorry oh man
gosh blocked away and I'm like you know
what do you say to them like throw all
the photo albums in the car is what I
said throw the photo like just grab the
frame photos my mom's trying to grab all
her like that's the number one thing
that everybody misses and is mentioned
and interview that I've seen is uh
photographs like grab all the photos
grab all the ALB she's like you know
she's grabbing her jewelry and stuff and
I'm like grab the photos like we're the
last generation that will be thinking
about this issue of grabbing the photos
yeah it's fascinating I just want to say
like you know as we wrap up this segment
you know obviously we're thinking about
everybody there this is
complex this is not the fault of a
lesbian firefighter or the Ukraine or
any of these other issues this is
leadership and nature and preparedness
so there are big issues around climate
change you want to believe him you don't
want to believe him fine put that aside
but I can tell you that when I saw Karen
bass get off that
flight play the clip Nick of Karen bass
here because it's a short enough clip
that we can play it here for the
audience I'm I'm assuming you all three
of you saw this clip of her being
absolutely unwilling to answer a single
goddamn question about what's going on
this is the opposite of leadership just
10 seconds of this AB an apology for
being abent while their homes were
burning do you regret cutting the fire
department budget by millions of dollars
Madam
mayor have you nothing to say today back
upate it have you absolutely nothing to
say to the citizens
today disgraceful she in shock I mean I
I have zero sympathy you took the
leadership job I don't give a if
you're in shock you're a leader you just
you you sold yourself as the leader that
you were to service these people and you
don't have the dignity the the the honor
to just answer the questions it is the
that is absolutely the worst leadership
I've ever seen Under Fire let me ask you
guys a question disgraceful what do we
do you fire them all and you vote for
Rick cruso you vote for executives who
know what the they're doing and know
what to do in a crisis because they've
been under Fire before because they've
run a business before because they've
seen hit the fan this person I don't
know her I don't know her history but
I'll be totally honest like I wouldn't
trust her literally to pick up my lunch
if she can't answer one or two goddamn
questions and give a plating answer to a
reporter hey it's an intense situation
we're working as hard as we can she
can't even say two goddamn words to the
people who voted her in and for anybody
who voted for this level of accomp
reminds me of exactly what we went
through in San Francisco and I was
living there in the Bay Area when you
put someone like chesa bu in or London
bre or this entire clown car Aaron Peter
all these disgraceful disg Marist
Marxist lunatics who would rather virtue
signal Dopey Dean Preston the whole lot
of them you vote them out and you vote
in Executives and it doesn't mean a
republican executive it doesn't mean a
Democrat executive it means an executive
who's run something in their life before
whether it's Bloomberg whether it's
Trump whether it's ruso it doesn't
matter their ideology it matters their
effectiveness and if you vote for
ineffective people you're going to get
situations like this over and over and
over again so use your brains and vote
for executives who've done something in
the world this is why I've changed my
position on rooting for Trump now I was
a never Trumper everybody knows that but
he put Executives around him this time
around and I am rooting for those
Executives to do what's right for the
American people and solve big problems
not make them worse it's infuriating Jam
what do you think I think we need to
have a wholesale replacement of the
people govern the state of California
it's just not working full stop and I
think that the citizens that live in
California need to do some real soul
searching it is beyond Party
politics so I think what has happened in
California is people vote for whatever
vessel has the name Democrat beside
their name or republican beside their
name and I think that you have to go
back to First principles and do a better
job of picking the people to represent
us because the people that are in
positions of power just don't
fundamentally know what they're doing
they're not
capable and the fact that then what we
have to deal with are sort of lies and
distractions to excuse incompetence I
think is
unacceptable I think we pay way too high
of a
price and like I said you are now
dealing with hundreds of thousands of
families whose entire lives have been
totally disrupted and ripped away and I
hope that we learned something from this
because we didn't learn from it eight
years
ago and we clearly didn't learn from it
when a different natural disaster in
North Carolina will we find out that
folks said hey guys is there an outlier
natural disaster event obviously it's
not going to be the same thing in North
Carolina but could a different form of
something happen here what could it be
are we prepared I'm sure we'll find out
that they didn't do that maybe they had
different meetings and they were about
other total distractions or things that
just didn't matter so this is what we
need to do we as a populace in this
state need a reset otherwise we deserve
what we get Bingo Sayan you agree yeah I
think I think Democrats need to reclaim
their party I think uh there's a lot
more strength in the middle and you know
they've let this woke ideology ology I
call it U woke
imperialism like a religion take over in
place of actually doing things that
matter to the people that elected them
that pay taxes that pay their you know
their paychecks and everything in
between and it's time that people really
look in the mirror I've got so many
moderates coming to me saying you know
people call me a Republican and I'm far
right and I'm a Nazi and I'm like yeah
welcome to the club you know it's at
some point you've got to stop letting
them run the board and and stand up and
say you know enough's enough you know
we're not building some Railway that's
never being built we're not solving
homelessness with billions and billions
of dollars we're not doing this stuff
anymore you know we do need real
Executives to your point
Jason you know to run things that
understand how things are how it works
and and you know the best use of funds
because right now it's it's it's
misappropriated it's a crisis of
competence I mean I think we all see it
these are in competent people by the way
it's not just it's not just the
leadership it's also legislative action
that's going to be needed to fix a lot
of the the policies the regulations the
way infrastructure operates in the state
and that requires three things to change
number one is the California State
Assembly number two is the California
state Senate and number three is to put
things in front of the voters that they
can vote on to make the wholesale change
needed to resend some of the bad
decisions that were made over over the
last three decades in the state that has
led us to this point and I think that
it's going to require just like what
happened recently in the National
politics a state politics organizational
effort to say let's take a look at the
composition of the State Assembly the
state senate and what are some of the
votes that need to be done by the
citizens to make the necessary changes
in the state to try and get the world's
fifth largest economy to start act
acting and looking like it because right
now it's sort of like a weirdly disabled
third world country typee operation with
the wealthiest resources on planet Earth
and it seems pretty up it's almost like
once people have it all that's when they
want to give it all up that seems to be
the moment that this state has just
passed now maybe it's time to go reclaim
it and build it back well said I mean
and as we said in the segment there are
so many common sense tactical strategic
things that these people could be doing
that they should be doing that they're
not and needs to be a full-blown
investigation you kind of alluded to
this earlier chamath but if there is if
this is dereliction of Duty then then we
need to look into this in a very deep
fashion and to the people of California
you have more power than you know my
friend who used to be on this podcast
once in a while he and I collaborated on
Chessa Boudin being taken out as this uh
da in in the Bay Area I know some other
people here were involved in it as well
and you can recall somebody so recall
these incompetent lunatics recall them
and replace it's scary but you can you
know they they they send all their
people after you they threaten you get
personal they I was signature number one
and I I had to deal with the Deluge of
that stuff but to be honest with you
I've never been happier to do something
and get civically engaged I think it's
so important that everybody starts
getting involved in their local
government and their state government
and the national government because you
can't just expect people to do the work
for you and expect it to turn out well
and I think that's kind of the mistake
that we all made if we want to take some
responsibility the tech industry as a
whole did not get as involved as we
ought to have in the past and I think we
should get more involved why was that
saying why why did for 20 years while we
were all in the Bay Area or other people
you know just were too busy building
companies bus building companies and I
remember if I remember correctly the
only person I I I remember getting
involved in local stuff was Ron Conway
yes and he would try to get everybody
involved and we were all just like you
know there's people who are smart that
do that sort of thing and they're going
to do their thing and they're running
stuff and we're just not going to get
involved and a lot of people would say
I'm not political I don't I don't do
politics I don't you know they didn't
get involved until it affected them kind
of like the houses burning down it
affects them and you know like they're
that saying that first they came for so
and so and I didn't speak up you know
that's what's happening here and uh you
know I just really think that
people need to realize it's now
affecting them and it's now time to make
a change and elect better leaders here's
a framing if you're paying 50% tax in
California you're a shareholder of an
organization known as California Inc
you're on the board of that company
you're paying the salaries of the people
there you have a say recall these people
start a recall of Nome start a recall of
Karen bass just do it I I'm not doing it
I don't have time for this I'm in Austin
but y'all in C who are still in
California start a page recall Nome
recoil bass and you have the power to do
it and you will succeed I guarantee it
now is the moment to strike there's
other news we should get to you know I
hate to say thoughts and prayers but
literally I've been thinking about this
you know all day long and I have a lot
of friends my friend Mark suster lost
his home I used to play cards with Jimmy
Woods and you know I just feel terrible
for everybody who's lost their homes and
then their kids and their schools are
burned down as well all those great
schools in Pacific Palisades are gone I
can see developers coming in being like
dude if I could buy all these lots for
80% off I will that's what's going to
happen they're going to sit on them yeah
they're going to just sit on them and
wait for people to forget like they did
in 1962 Caruso of the world will do that
yeah anyway yeah he should be running
the place probably I'll give you another
another California Department of
Insurance stat so after the California
Department of Insurance wouldn't allow
the rates to rise like they should from
a free market perspective they had to
set up their own insurance program
called the fair plan for homeowners it
has about 200 $ 120 million of capital
in it and then they bought about $5
billion of reinsurance they have about 6
billion of exposure in Pacific palates
alone this is a bankrupt just like I
told you guys about in Florida the state
insurance commission tries to step in
and fill the market Gap that they create
by regulating rates and then they don't
have enough Capital to actually fill the
Gap because the reason the rates want to
go up is because the thing costs more
than the state is willing to so they're
distorting it they're putting their
thumbs on the scale and they're
distorting it even more a bigger crat
they're driving real estate value up
because they're not allowing the cost of
insurance of that real estate to
naturally float and so by driving real
estate values up the economy looks good
they make property taxes income comes in
but at the end of the day the bill is
going to come due and in the case of
Florida and in the case of California
either the state government or the
federal government's going to step in
and pay the difference and at some point
taxpayers are going to look at the fact
that they're paying some percentage of
their income to support someone else's
home
and they're going to say enough is
enough and enough of these sorts of
events start to happen and then the
legislative change I think will happen
that says this it doesn't make sense we
have to make a change and I think we're
getting pretty close after the series of
events all right this has been an
absolutely fantastic discussion let's
move on to our next topic here Zuck just
fired meta's third party fact Checkers
and he is going to embrace the community
notes model from Twitter SLX which
predates Elon ownership of the platform
and is an open source project for those
folks who don't know on Tuesday made he
made the announcement on an Instagram
video he published a Blog with a bunch
of
details and he made the signal that he
was going to move the trust and safety
team out of California which he feels
maybe was too uh far to the left as we
were just discussing in the previous
story uh and move it to the great state
of Texas and
here's a quote from his comments in
recent years we've developed
increasingly complex systems to manage
content across our platforms partly in
response to societal and political
pressures to moderate content this
approach has gone too far if you
remember back in August Zuck sent a
letter to the house Judiciary Committee
explaining how the FBI and Biden
Administration have pressured Facebook
into censoring posts about Co and Hunter
Biden you'll also remember that
Zuckerberg has over 3 billion
members to his platform and had no
problem Banning Trump from the platform
after January 6th a lot to talk about in
this topic Sayan what's your general
take of Zuck going Maga how do you
interpret his I actually think change of
heart I actually think deep down inside
he always has been you know I I go back
to the beginning days of Facebook and
when there was social networks that were
competing which back at the time was my
space the only political party you could
be was Republican or Democrat and then
Along Came Facebook and he added this
third option called libertarian and I I
would like to go to the way back machine
at some point and find his profile
because his profile said he was a
Libertarian so when he started Facebook
you know that that's where he leaned so
I think he's always been a free speech
person I think he's always this has been
deep in his heart I think what happened
was he had enormous success they grew
very large and he had to become neutral
or he thought he did and so I think what
we're seeing with Zuck right now with
his change in his um you know even how
he appears with a gold chain and how
he's dressing and everything that he's
doing is him going back to his roots to
be more authentic because I think he
hasn't been authentic for a long time
and and that was a big critique that
people had of him you know they were
just like when he talks he's like a
robot and I think what we're seeing is
him coming out of his shell and I don't
know if fighting helped it or what
helped it but you know I I do think it's
the best thing to do all the platforms
need to do it and should embrace it and
um it can be gamed though Community
notes can be gamed we saw it with um I
saw a report that you know kamla's
campaign or or I don't know if they
directly work for her or what happened
but they did take over Community notes
on X and start manipulating them so you
have to be really careful you know how
you run a community but in in general
I'm all for it I think it's the right
move it's but one signal it's one system
for trying to get you the truth it's not
the only one fact in is another one and
having no system is another one chth
you're obviously an alumni you worked
side by side with Zuckerberg in the
pivotal years of building the Facebook
platform what's your take on what cyan
said and what do you attribute
Zuckerberg's massive 180 here I would
start by saying I think he's a
phenomenal businessman I mean I think
the the results speak for
itself but I also think that that is
exactly what explains the shift in many
ways he to make that shift I think it's
fair to say that in the Obama and Biden
administrations when the winds were
blowing towards censorship they were
part of that machinery and that was the
value maximizing function for Facebook
shareholders in that time because if you
pushed back against that it's not clear
what would have happened to Facebook in
other ways and so I think the
decision whether he morally agreed with
or not almost didn't matter it's the
leadership of the country in which I
operate is telling me it's going to go
this way I go that way once the Biden
and Obama administration sort of went to
the Wayside there's a very interesting
picture that Donald Trump put in his
book and I just I sent it to Nick and I
think it sort of explains the last
week's events relatively well so I'll
just read
it this is a picture of him sitting in
the oval and it says Mark Zuckerberg
would come to the Oval Office to see me
he would bring his very nice wife to
dinners be as nice as anyone could be
while always plotting to install
shameful lock boxes in a true plot
against the president in jcal all caps
okay shout out to the president he told
me that there was nobody like Trump on
Facebook but at the same time and for
whatever reason steered it against me we
are watching him closely and if he does
anything illegal this time he will spend
the rest of his life in prison as will
others who cheat in the 2024
presidential election now that's what he
put in the book and then he was asked
about this
quote at a recent press conference Nick
do you have the the link to that he's
colorful freeberg did you notice Donald
Trump a little bit
colorful essentially Trump was asked
about Zuckerberg's move to free speech
and he he was ENT he was asked you know
do you think it was because of
your threat and he goes yeah probably
well I watched their news conference and
uh I thought was a very good news
conference I think they've honestly I
think they've come a long way meta do
you think he's directly responding to
the threats that you have made to him in
the past probably
probably wow there it is but again the
the the the lens that I would put on
this is now the winds are blowing in a
different direction and I do think it's
the value maximizing function I think
Elon didn't make a value maximizing
function he made a moral decision he did
it when it was unpopular and where the
winds were clearly blowing in the
opposite direction
now that those winds have changed and
it's clear Trump one in early November
the decisions you make in January are
more reflective of the new conditions on
the field coming into the inauguration
but I do think it's the smart value
maximizing decision yet again for
Facebook shareholders and I think it
begets a broader
point I think the thing is when you see
Elon
operate he's a complete outlier in many
dimensions but I think the one dimension
where it matters the most is that he
acts
morally and in the best interests of
what he believes Humanity benefits from
he's always done it he was willing to
torch $44 billion when he bought Twitter
in order to do it and so he does these
things from his own perspective I don't
think there's any other CEO that leads
this way and I don't think they should
necessarily I do think that you know
Mark's a good person but his intimate
feelings should be known by his wife his
children his friends his family I think
we as shareholders have any right to
know necessarily Elon is different and I
think it creates an expectation that
maybe we'll get that from everybody else
but I wouldn't conflate everybody else
with him so I think that this is a smart
business decision it makes a ton of
sense and as you can see he was
basically told to do it so he complied
uh free your thoughts on
Zuckerberg making this decision if kamla
Harris had won
would he have released a statement or
added Dana White to the board of
Facebook probably not okay there you
have it folks pretty straightforward
here KLA wins he would not have done
this he is jumping in front of a
marching band and he is the band leader
now he's got his baton and uh he is a
front runner and if you open the
dictionary and you look it up but I mean
it's a smart business move I think if
you're a meta shareholder I think you're
happy to see it absolutely is there
anything wrong with it J or you're just
saying there's a tremendous amount wrong
with it it's called moral Integrity
having an ethical Compass having hoah
having an own sense of what's right and
wrong in the world which he does not
have in my estimation based on hisor
that's not fair that's not fair you
don't know because again what I'm saying
is I said based on my estimation no but
Jason no what I'm trying to say is Elon
shares who he is in a 360 Dee way with
the world so we know where he stands and
all I'm saying is what Mark does or
doesn't believe really isn't known to us
it's probably known to his wife and his
family and his board I doubt his board
even knows actually some of his close
confidence some of his confidence let me
be clear I'll even it's it's I'm I'm
happy you're challenging me on it I base
people on their actions his action was
to be the greatest censor in the history
of humanity there's no human being who
censored More Humans than him that was
his decision when it was a popular
decision whether it was
or po not popular Jason necessary for
maximizing his business in that moment
he do I disagree his business would have
been just as vibrant if he had a spine
and he just said this is what I believe
and I think he's over optimizing based
on what he thinks everybody else around
him wants and I don't know I didn't I've
never worked with him I don't know him
personally you're right on that front
but he banned Trump for two years the
president of the United States I said at
the time I don't know that you can give
a permanent brand ban to the president
United States when he had the
opportunity to reevaluate that decision
you know what he did he punted he
created a third- party organization to
make the decision for him and deflected
Zuck created the oversight board he's so
spineless he decided I'll create and
give $150 million to this board to make
these hard decisions for me instead of
me making the decision he has God voting
shares of that company chamath he
controls it with an Iron Fist and not
only does he control with an iron fist
he has put protetive prisions in that so
that his children could take that $3.3
billion platform and own it forever and
he punted to them and said I don't want
to make these decisions what I saw when
he did that was I don't want to be
blamed for these decisions and that is a
lack of courage and Morality In my
estimation Jason and then the second he
is threatened by Trump he makes the
opposite decision and if he's making his
decisions strictly on maximizing money I
don't respect that I think he should
make the decisions based on what he
think is is the moral what is the point
of being a billionaire or worth a 100
billion or 200 billion if you don't get
to say I have you money you I'm going to
do what I want and that's what I think
is the his moral failure and anybody
giving him his flowers or champing him
for this I think it's just political
expediency and I think it's disgraceful
that's my per that's my feeling sorry I
have my own opinion what about the fact
that he was dragged in front of Congress
many times over and people that could
put him behind bars told him to his face
many times and this all been kind of
been coming out over the last couple of
months that government officials were
directing him in a way that feels like
do this or you will be prosecuted to do
the following things to act the
following way and to moderate your
platform in a way that we are telling
you to moderate it or you will find
yourself behind bars do you not think
that there's some degree of inherit
complicit kind of role that certain
government officials and folks in power
had in driving some of those actions
that maybe he had to do it to survive
and to keep the company alive not to
mention a violation of our constitution
no not at all he could have just hired
lawyers and fought it he didn't put up
any fight the second they told him to
roll over and ban Trump he did it zero
fight from him he has no do you know
that for sure because I I just want to
make sure I ask I'm just basing on his
actions I'm like I told you at the
beginning B basing on his actions right
not going to jail for Banning Trump if
he didn't ban Trump or he gave him a
six-month suspension he would have been
just fine I'm just trying to get you to
take a fair point of view which means
like let's make sure you're thoughtful
about the fact that this is not a dumb
person or a person let's give give him
the benefit for a minute he he's not a
DB benefit of being a great business
executive I'm just saying let's assume
he's not dumb and let's say that as cyan
points out and as he's kind of
highlighted points in his history he
actually does have certain beliefs and
certain systems that he would love to
kind of embrace I've said this many
times before all of the founders of the
big tech companies were all big Free
Speech Advocates that was a big part of
the open internet and the movement of
the open internet when a lot of people
got involved and that was a big part for
him
and I don't know like you know if you
really think at some point he flipped
his switch and said I don't care about
the open internet I now want to have a
closed controlled internet or if he
recognized or was coerced into
controlling moderation on the platform
because of the reach that he had and he
said the only way I can have any degree
of openness is to do the following and I
will say that my experience is similar
in Google when Google had to exit China
they initially went to China with a
closed internet with a closed censored
model of search because that was the way
they had to survive to offer a business
in China they didn't morally agree with
it they didn't think it was ethically
correct did they launch that or did
Sergey kill the deal when Eric Schmidt
proposed it well that deal went live
there was a let me let me just make sure
I get this all correct no they didn't go
live Sergey Bren because of his
upbringing in Russia he went to the mat
and said on a moral basis we're not
going into China and I've talked to
Sergey about it he did not want to go in
there and compromise his own ethics
that's period full stop so I don't think
that the only outlier here you're not
right and I just want to make when did
it when did because the dragon it was
called project Dragon there was a
there's a long history to this okay
let's let cyan come in here I want to
make sure I get this right but go ahead
say obviously he's a brilliant
businessman but I do think Underneath It
All he is a human being and I think his
fighting in the arena and this fighting
stuff that he does actually did change
him and this happened long before the
first amendment stuff started to appear
you know I think or free speech I
shouldn't call it first amendment but I
do think that the government did
interfere and after January 20th we're
going to find out some interesting stuff
and we'll get to the bottom of you know
how did the
government pressure him to censor things
and I think he's getting in front of
that because it is going to come out and
I think that is a huge part of why he is
getting more involved is because it's
going to be revealed just how much the
government coerced him and and how much
he acquiesced is that sort of what
you're this is why I think the fighting
actually helped think he learned to stop
acquiescing W I actually think he put up
a fight that is where I started seeing
the change in him and started noticing
it and so did the you know he's
developed so many more fans and people
who are looking to him as a leader in a
different way now because he's actually
starting to express who he is and like
what kind of music he likes nobody ever
knew that they thought he was just a
robot he doesn't like music he he hired
a whole PR team to craft this is my
understanding but anyway again I don't I
don't know that much detail I don't I
don't I'm not involved in his personal
life like that but I just I always love
to give people the benefit of that I
guess that's just me uh and I and I do
think that uh people people can change
and I'm hoping that he is actually going
to stay on this side we we want more
leaders like him to believe in free
speech of course of course I mean listen
Reddit had by the way they all do and
I've never met a you know an internet
business executive who didn't come from
kind of the open internet philosophical
Doctrine by background that that was a
big motivator for all of us Because the
Internet took away the controls took
away the power took away the censorship
took away all these things that other
kind of communication systems had vested
in them and the internet through an open
protocol allowed anyone to share
anything with anyone else and obviously
laws and all this other stuff that's
happened since then has made that far
more difficult and I will re revisit our
conversation Jason Google's China with
censored search results was live for
four years before they canel it so they
launched in 2006 they censored results
they complied with the Chinese
government request and eventually in
2010 they killed it and you could argue
it was because of philosophical reasons
but fundamentally it never actually got
a lot of users in China there were more
users on BYU and Google had separately
made an investment in was the moment I
think it became if I remember correctly
this 20 years ago but I think I think it
was YouTube oh was it YouTube because
one of the other services they started
saying hey we need to know these
people's names who posted this who sent
this email we want full access into it
and that's where they drew the line
because it wasn't just the passive
search engine right it was actually like
Roundup dissidence like Yahoo famously
did Yahoo They yeah Google claimed there
was a hack that happened because on
their servers in China and so they were
just no longer comfortable operating
about this guys yeah however we got here
we're here yeah and we should all be
happy that we're here yeah exactly yeah
I'll take the win and we just kind of
move forward how about that I mean
taking the win is a good way world is a
better place because of his decision
yeah exactly I think we all agree on
that I mean what's the point of having
an open platform and you can say things
but why do you call them spineless like
why like why go after the guy why
because you can judge a person when
they're put under pressure to make the
right decision I think what Jason is
expressing is sort of what I was trying
to say and I probably said it poorly I
think there are some of us
who look at the way that Elon runs
himself in his companies okay as a sort
of world beating technology CEO
and then that sort of sets the
bar but I think that that bar is
impossible to
meet and I think part of it is because
of elon's Genius the other part of it is
his success the other part of it is his
influence but there's an element Jason a
fundamental moral risk-taking that he
takes that has been rewarded over and
over again that no other CEO has had to
make and when they have they've largely
failed and so I I understand where
you're coming from but I would give give
a lot of folks the benefit of the doubt
here and say it's not clear what they
believe then versus what they believe
now but the destination is very good and
we're in a better place for society and
hopefully we can maintain these Norms
independent of who's in charge after
Trump I am super happy he's making these
decisions I believe in freedom of speech
you know it's I think he's gonna have to
deal with advertisers next though I mean
that's one thing that X doesn't have to
deal with as much and that's going to be
the second problem he's going to have is
not the government but do advertisers
want to be next to some of the content
that's about to appear and when he loses
tens of billions of dollars in personal
net worth will he make the same
decisions we'll see but I can tell you
if KLA Harris had been voted in he would
double down on censorship instead of
taking this position I think he is
terrified of trump and having his
company broken up and he's doing this
strictly to appease Trump which I think
putting Dana White on the board is
another signal that's one of Trump's
good friends he's just trying get close
to the party he's trying to make up for
lost time for when he supported the
censorship of trump and other folks I I
I think he would make the opposite
decision but to your point we're here
I'm glad he's here J would you would you
meet Zuck in the Octagon that's the most
important question no of the day no
definitely not he's got he's he's 10 15
years younger than me he killed me not a
not a chance would I meet him in the
Octagon but I wish him well I wish him
well would you meet would you meet
Palmer lucky on the Octagon let's not
start that up again
just wondering just wondering I actually
literally challenged him he he wanted to
send the mountain he wanted to pick
somebody to fight for him Trey from
Founders fund and I said no uh unless
Trey was will I would you guys ever
watch the old TV show American
Gladiators I would like I would like you
and Palmer to have an American Gladiator
style tournament like maybe four or five
events and kind of get in put up a
million dollars for charity I'll totally
do
it we'll put up a million dollars each
for charity I'll do
it let's let's get you know let's get
the I think that this be let's something
super this would be more more exciting
than the accelerator I will tell you we
absolutely might get more ratings than
it yeah you could actually call it you
could call it American Gladiators it
would be a great there you go American
Gladiators the the CEO Edition business
to business Edition the're going sass
all right listen Nvidia going consumer
let's talk about it Nvidia made a big
announcement at CES this week they made
a lot of them one of them that was
particularly interesting was this $3,000
personal AI computer for researchers so
awesome it's called project digits and
it's essentially like um maybe Arduino
would be a way to look at this like a a
personal device but it's powerful enough
to run llms on they're also going after
physical AI like Robotics and
self-driving as we said here on the
award show a lot of people on the panel
were predicting this year would be the
year of Robotics and they announced that
they're going to have driver assistant
chips and maybe build worlds for people
to simulate which net net at the end of
the day I think freeberg puts them on
second would put autonomy Partners on
second or third base in terms of
creating technology by incorporating it
into the chips and into their stack so
cyan what do you think of these
announcements and some of the other ones
he made I know you were excited to talk
about this yeah I'm really excited to
talk about it because I think I've been
trying to figure out how they justify
their valuation
over the long run and you know I'm not a
public market person but I am fascinated
with Nvidia and uh you know there Cloud
GPU business is definitely a majority of
uh the revenue so I think a lot a lot of
what we're seeing is them trying to grow
into that and trying to expand in case
you know the Music Stops now I don't
actually think the music's going to
stop you know it's insane to me we
haven't even barely touched what AI is
going to do and change and all of the
various things that are going to come
from it and you know the early adopters
cannot use Claude without getting shut
down because of scaling issues and I
don't think those are artificially
created based on the type of investing
I'm doing and um so I'm very bullish on
Nvidia it is interesting it's an
interesting thing to go consumer and you
know the thing that really hit me was
the fact that uh he kind of declared
Tesla one of the most valuable companies
in the world in the long run
it's interesting that he got behind
oyota but at the same time you know I
don't think of a there's one single car
company out there that has the kind of
data that full self drive has and Tesla
has yeah um so if they enter the robo
taxi Market I actually think they should
buy Uber then it's kind of you should
think Tesla should buy Uber oh yeah I
think they should buy Uber well that
would be about 10% of Tesla's market cap
at this point if they paid a premium it
might be 15% so it would be very similar
hard but it's true like yeah it is true
yeah and then and then you launch that
Robo taxi service and you know maybe
there's some sort of secondary
aftermarket solution kind of like comma
AI or something like that that you can
do for people's
cars where you can actually get
anybody's car into the fleet and start
self-driving but it is true this is
going to be the largest breakout in
robotics we've ever seen if whmo is any
indicator and you know I I read
somewhere I think that Amazon or some
somebody was looking at it I don't know
what was going on with weo but um oh
lift Amazon was going to buy lift yeah
that makes no sense right like lot sense
to me sense would the point
be I do think you're correct I think
maybe delivery or something like that I
can't figure out what their play is
there well it's not and it's also not
Global but you know looking at the
Amazon and weo Tesla and Uber I think
weo plus Uber Amazon Plus Uber or Tesla
plus Uber defines who number one is
right because you'd have a global
footprint and for the 5 10 years maybe
10 years it takes to roll out taxis
globally you could have people D I mean
it's a really interesting thought
process you have your say imagine if
there was an inter St where they sold
less Teslas this year slightly than last
year you could just keep producing lots
of model wise and give them to the Uber
drivers keep reinforcement loaning going
while the taxis and regulations get set
and then you would be able to put
another instead of selling 1.8 million
Teslas you could sell 3 million Teslas 4
million Teslas to Uber drivers get all
that data and have the safety driver in
while each region decides if they want
Robo taxis where how Etc your thoughts
jamaath on nvidia's dipping their toe
into maybe taking the bottom 30% of the
stack of self-driving I don't have much
of an opinion on that to be honest I
think that sort of along the lines of
what I said on the prediction show I
think that way and Tesla are going to
run away with this market and I think
it's going to force a bunch of cons
validation in the traditional Auto
o I think the interesting thing is that
they really double down and created a
pretty decent test bench for robotics I
thought that was pretty interesting so I
think that
reinforces what a lot of smart people
including you know what freeberg and
Gavin also spoke about just in terms of
the long-term future for robots I think
that that was cool I was I was a little
confused by the lowend PC I don't
understand what the point of that
is maybe it like creates some crazy
deepin Market where you can buy GPU and
then contribut it to some distributed
Network and allow some distributed
workload to run on that I guess I don't
know I think it's a toy a hobbyist kind
of device that becomes like a bridge and
we see this often in technology where
somebody creates like even the original
PCS let's face it they were kind of like
toys and hobbyist devices arduinos and
the original drones
yeah I guess the point is a toy to do
what because if you're trying to do
inference like everything is telling us
that we are reaching the limits of
training and that's an LL though right
the point it's not yeah let me get to
yeah yeah so so in this world of AI that
we know it today there's training and
there's inference and right now we think
that there's training that's at a limit
and so now the market shifts to
inference so if you're going to buy this
jacked up personal computer what are you
going to use it for my suspicion is some
sort of test time compute use
case which is an inference use case but
it's not clear to me why that's a better
solution
than all of the AI accelerators plus
tensors that are now just prolifically
being exposed to the market whether it's
Amazon exposing what they've done
whether it's Google exposing what
they've done a whole Litany of startups
exposing what they've done so I was just
confused I don't really
know what the whole point is what do you
think about this the robotics thing was
interesting if the market develops in
the way that they think so we're talking
about maybe two or three different
pieces here freeberg which one do you
think is super interesting than the this
$3,000 sort of GPU for your desktop that
you attach to your computer you get to
play with things locally do you think
that's promising where would that go if
you had to guess so I think the bet he's
making is it's not just llms which is
predicting text but you know we've
talked a lot about Machine Vision
models graph neural Nets that that are
being used for weather forecasting
there's now these kind of genome
language models that are trying to
predict genomic output for Bio uh Tech
applications there's also going to be
kind of Real Time Machine Vision and
robotic response like we're working on
this at ohal and we're trying to figure
out what's the right kind of runtime
environment for these sorts of systems
that are going to be using a machine
vision and a robotic kind of response
type system and there's a lot of these
industrial applications that are
emerging let's say you're running a
robot in a warehouse do you really want
that robot in the warehouse to be
sending data to the cloud and waiting
for a model to run in the cloud and
getting a response the probability is
you want to have that at the edge of the
network you want to have something local
and I don't think he necessarily has a
strong point of view on what the types
of models and Industrial applications
will be but the bet he's making is that
the models are good enough and now the
chips are good enough that they can
actually
realize real-time responses using
Machine Vision using real-time input and
then respond quickly with a local model
running whatever that model is to drive
some output in the industrial setting
and that there'll be a lot of these
sorts of applications whether that's
making predictions for biotech research
or whether that's for running robots in
warehouses or building new research
models or maybe you could strap this PC
on the back of something like a car a
tractor a lawnmower a humanoid robot or
any other set of applications explain to
the audience freeberg why having the
computer at the edge is beneficial for
those folks who might not know if you're
taking in a lot of data and then you
have to run a lot of data in a model
it's a lot faster to to run that model
locally like when Tesla runs
self-driving it's not sending the video
images from your car to a server
a thousand miles away and then letting
the server decide how to drive your car
the car is running its model on what to
do with respect to the video imagery in
the car it's local because the ability
for all that data to get processed in
the car means that you don't have to
wait for the internet to transmit data
back and forth you don't have lag time
you don't have the 60 millisecond or 100
millisecond response time you don't have
it losing your phone connection and then
not knowing what to do exactly or or the
the connection drops or waiting for a
server to come online or server breaks
in the data center everything is local
so if you strap this like you know
Nvidia computer which is basically plug
andplay you don't have to have like
Hardware expertise you could strap it
onto the back of a humanoid robot or run
research applications locally so I think
that there's going to be some really
interesting use cases whether it becomes
a replacement for the Apple you know
Macintosh Pro Studio device whatever
maybe we'll see Mac Mini 4 yeah the Mac
Mini 4 but a lot of people have pointed
out that actually the the compute on
this thing for $3,000 knocks a lot of
Max out of the um out of the field I
just can't run an operating system in
the traditional sense Sam when we look
at startups I remember when you and I
started investing two of the driving
forces was free storage free bandwidth
and cloud computing it drove a lot of
ability to get a product to Market very
quickly effectively Etc what impact will
AI have on all these startups that are
being originating now in 2024
2025 look into your crystal wall and how
do you think they'll uh grow the
footprint of them how is this going to
accelerate the startup scene I actually
think we're going to see a Cambrian
explosion of creativity and and
development of different things and some
of them are going to be stupid ideas and
some of them are going to be great but I
think it's going to make our job
especially at the seed stage of
investing harder and
harder there's going to be so many
there's just going to be a lot of people
that have similar ideas at the same time
that can execute quickly and and do
things that break neck speeds that
they've never been able to do before and
um you know picking the winner is going
to be hard to figure out it's going to
be harder and harder yeah and it might
be that um you know I've been thinking
about this like do you in invest in
competitors which is something I never
used to do you know do you take a bet an
index an entire category that you're
interested in you know what is the
Approach at seed And precede because uh
I think of an idea and I'm like wow
that's really neat and then I go and
look out there and there's 30 people
working on it and that didn't used to be
the case and I think part of it is uh
We've really unlocked
a tool that allows people to do things
that would have been cost prohibitive or
gives them the ability to think gosh I
could be an entrepreneur and I can try
this and I could do
this so I'm seeing people experiment and
do all sorts of things as far as the
startups some of AI stuff is just a
feature you know it's just um table
Stakes at this point it's like you know
a chat or whatever and that doesn't
really matter but then you're seeing
people reimagine games and reimagine
you know even things down to your
kitchen appliance Etc uh so I just I do
think it's going to be very very
difficult and and I tend to set out a
lot of hype Cycles so I invested in
power and compute
lithography kind of all of the things
that are going to be underneath all of
this and so I'm not sure how much of it
I'm going to participate in until it
starts to get to a steady state and you
kind of can understand what's next
because the the rate of acceleration is
just so
great that it's just kind of unclear to
me sometimes you know especially when it
comes to these consumer applications
consumer facing things it's just uh
really hard well when we were picking
famously Uber you had to pick between
scar lift and Uber there were three
people doing it and it was pretty clear
who was the most qualified you know
amongst those three you now to your
point if you're want to be involved in
Tax Plus AI or legal plus AI you might
be looking at 50 companies oh 100 and it
was tradition in Silicon Valley to not
bet on competitors there were some
notable exceptions when you run an
accelerator like I do Tech Stars or why
combinator you aren't Bound by that
because 50% of the companies pivot
almost by Design so I think you just
have to I think at preed because people
pivot you just have to tell people like
listen we have a lot of pivoting going
on people are going to run into each
other I can't just bet on one thing
right in in a space but I think that's a
reasonable compromise if if all the
founders are going to keep pivoting to
others businesses how can the investors
even keep track of that it's like being
aircraft traffic control of 10 airports
at once it's just not feasible uh let's
goad you wouldn't think it but there's
still a lot of spreadsheet companies out
there you know you think you'd run out
of them but they're still out there you
know you look at and I think this is
where AI is really going to make a
difference like RFP proposals for
governments you know something that
takes like 30 days and it's manual and
you have to submit these horrible
documents you know you can ingest your
entire Corpus of you know all of your
previous bid bids and submit them at a
break neck speed now and win more
contracts that becomes like a National
Defense company at that point and and so
I think we're going to see a lot of
really interesting things where a lot of
Cru is going to disappear and and
that'll be a really interesting wave
that I'm I'm looking forward to yeah in
fact jamath has made a big bet there
with his time uh with his uh software
startup that he's created all right
let's end on the United States of
America growing from 50 to 60 or 70
States Trump has
been rattling off some ideas around this
chth what's your take on it I know we
got to get wrapped up here so we'll just
do a quick lightning round on it I mean
I thought it was really interesting and
I and I was just caught off guard at how
the media tried to portray it as Trump
being Trump goofy whatever colorful but
I think like what I've realized even
with the California fire thing the guy
has this preent way of he may not say it
in the way that it works for some people
but he's just really on top of this
stuff so I I just sent Nick a thing so I
I started to learn a little bit more
about why he wants to take over
Greenland and it really comes down to
one very basic idea here because of
climate change and other things the
Arctic ice shelf is melting and the more
and more it melts it opens up a shipping
Lane in the northern Passage for a lot
of critical goods and so if you had some
sort of strategic agreement with Canada
and Greenland you effectively have this
Monopoly control over something that
could become as important as the Panama
Canal and so I think if you look across
the
world the control of Maritime shipping
lanes becomes this really critical
strategic military and economic asset
and so the reason why he's trying to
find a way to initiate some sort of a
discussion between Greenland and Canada
is exactly this reason and I think it's
sort of like a bargaining Gambit the way
that he started but it's really smart
that he's trying to get this done for
for the United States of America because
meanwhile what you have is China
militarizing very aggressively Russia
militarizing very aggressively and what
you don't want to have happen is those
two countries take control of that
Northern passage as the ice sheet melts
so I just thought that was important
having a capable bu business executive
thinking about the future of business
and shipping and Logistics pretty pretty
big win and I just love the idea Sayan
you know what's smart I mean let's give
Trump credit what's so smart is like
somebody was doing this work yes got it
got it in front of him yeah and he was
smart enough to say hold on a second
this is really important let me tweet it
and then the way that he initiates it
though gets even more attention because
if he basically tweeted hey guys I have
this really interesting idea to gain
more leverage in a Northern Maritime
shipping Lane nobody would have paid
attention absolutely not nobody would
have and now we're all talking about it
and now there's an opportunity for
millions of people to understand why and
be supportive of it it's pretty smart
any thoughts on expanding the United
States to a couple more territories and
states I love it I I would love to have
60 States in our lifetime I mean let's
pick one in the Caribbean let's pick one
in Europe I think we should have an open
invitation but Jason that's not what
he's doing I think he's I know I'm being
a
this is very strategic this one but I'm
just thinking the next Domino I would
like to get Cuba maybe Portugal I don't
know who 80% of people say what do you
think in the country want to join join
it's very strategic if you look at the
Panama Canal I believe either end is
operated and controlled by China we are
at war with China whether we like to
admit it or not in my opinion and so
this is very
strategic he has a very strange way of
communicating as you pointed out but I
think it's brilliant and I actually
think
we should add to that I've always
thought that we should open up and add
more
States and extend that invitation you
know to Taiwan I would might be
controversial to even say
India but I do think that uh that we
there's a lot of countries out there and
people who really really resonate with
what it means to be an American and the
freedoms that come with our subscription
fees of this country and so um I do
think that it would be great for us to
expand and you know I don't know what
he's thinking or how who he's got behind
the scenes who motivated him to do it
but I'm I I really think it's a great
idea freeberg what do you think about
optin
imperialism uh and this incredible
concept of expanding our territories in
the 21st
century again I don't know how to read
it I have no inside information there's
clearly some posturing as we've heard
many times when Trump makes a
declaration like I'm going to put on
100% tariff on every that's imported or
I'm going to charge you 2,000 bucks
Mexico for every time you ship something
here or I want to do X or Y or Z it's
not the literal statement that matters
as much as kind of the the the vector
and the magnitude of the vector he's
clearly trying to um begin negotiating
for some change I I I don't know what
the ultimate kind of strategic endpoint
is meant to be here but clearly there's
something I think Cham might might have
a good good read on this and seems Seems
to make a lot of sense well we have a
military base there and we also protect
it and we we occupy it already which is
interesting right right we somewhat yeah
we somewhat abandoned all that in
Greenland but there is a lot of that
infrastructure still sitting around can
I ask you guys a question I I started I
listened to Lex freedman's interview the
totally off topic but I listened to Lex
freedman's interview with Graham Hancock
you guys ever heard of this guy yes have
you read any of his stuff or watch any
of his shows I have not no okay so he's
got this belief that there was this like
like ancient civilization on Earth not
like sci-fi futuristic but like an
advanced human civilization and that's
where the Great Pyramid of Giza was like
there was a smaller pyramid that was
built there and a lot of these other
kind of like
historical places were built and then
they were built on top of later but that
a lot of these like this Advanced
civilization was wiped out during um the
last ice age there was a a very rapid
kind of uh freeezing event that happened
over period of about 1200 years and
that's when this great kind of Ice Age
Era civilization was wiped out but what
I didn't realize and so I went down this
really crazy rabbit hole in the last
week on like how much of planet Earth
well how different planet Earth was just
12,000 years ago during the Ice Age have
you guys spent any time on this like I
just went down a similar rabbit hole
with the Grand Canyon it's like the
first of all like how the planet earth
has changed in such a short period of
time blows my mind but like the sea
level was 400t lower than it is today
just 12,000 years ago and there were
humans on Earth at the time and so all
of this this area that we look at as
like like Malta the island of Malta was
the southern tip of like a continental
stretch that went into Italy so it was
all part of one great land mass and
there's all this area that was actually
part of that land mass that now sits
under that ocean there and there's these
like like ruts in the ground for moving
stuff and buildings and all this other
crazy stuff and we have no idea like
what's actually under the ice in
Greenland what's under the ice in
Antarctica there's all these parts of
Earth where humans very likely had some
this is so off topic we could cut this
from the show I think it's incredible
and I it's so crazy that there's there's
all these parts of Earth and and
especially like in the oceans as we
start to kind of explore there's
actually like large humans potentially
Advanced civilizations that lived in
these areas not like flying around the
Atlanta stuff that it was actually like
an advanced civilization and then humans
lost a lot of this ability
when the this like period of freezing
happened over 1200 years and then a lot
of it was preserved in Legends and myths
that showed up in later kind of
archaeology and later how do you explain
the
pyramids I think he has a really I think
because we had Gavin explained it last
time say welcome to conspiracy quarter
so somebody sent me an email oh and he
said what they did was they flooded the
area and
they fled the Rocks up yes brilliant
I've heard this but you know what chath
and I were talking about this too cuz
when you remove all that crust because
we we actually were talking we just
didn't use guy in name it's just like
Uranus when you when you break away all
that crust what did they find in Uranus
freeberg mine mine was better mine was
better you got it you land did the joke
it's great it's great I got it oh we
finally got there folks this has been
another amazing episode of the all-in
podcast it's
different yeah I can't say anything
other than cyan you were great for a
first time out you got to the conspiracy
you rocked it you got to interject more
because it's it's a vibrant panel but
for a first time out very before you go
do you have an alternative expanation
for the pyramids Sayan yeah what UF I've
looked into I mean UFOs is the only only
one that I usually come back to because
you know if you look at putting logs
underneath and trying to roll them or
you look at flooding an area all of this
just doesn't make a whole lot of
sense and so and then you know the fact
that there are other civiliz that also
have pyramids that are stunning and
Feats of engineering as well uh things
like stonehinge Etc I mean there's just
things that defy explanation I don't
know if you ever tried to make a
catapult but it's really hard it's
really it's really
hard and so like I we just did not have
the technology or at least we can't find
any definitive way that it that it
happened and and so I do think there is
a possibility that there was a more
advanced civilization here or we were
visited and I I think about that a lot I
think it's mutants I'm going with the
X-Men Theory I think there were mutant
human beings who had the ability with
superpowers to build them it could be
that it could be that it could be we had
control of matter and Alchemy or
something like that who knows this is
this is what we've come to now we get
conspiracy corner at the end of every
program we try to figure out Unsolved
Mysteries welcome to Unsolved Mysteries
and uh oh just a little uh housekeeping
here as we wrap our friends our partners
dare I say at uh hly Market have done us
a solid freedberg check this out we
talked a little bit about our long um
debates here on the program so chath we
created a market here the Magnificent 7
shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025 44
44% chance is what uh people in the real
world are putting volume on that I see
$11,000 already in volume and then uh
freeberg you came up with one which was
Will uh we I guess we did this one
together but I think it should be really
under your name will US national debt
surpass 38 trillion in
2025 and then third uh talking about
immigration we got a lot of passion
around this topic Trump's team uh and
Trump himself said they're going to
deport 15 million Americans uh 15
million immigrants rather from America I
said hey let's uh create a market for
Will trump Deport 750,000 or more people
in
2025 38% chance for those of you who
don't know Obama think did 2 million
people in 8 years so this is not like a
partisan thing this is just a practical
thing so anyway go to poly market look
at the creators you'll see under that
tab that Allin has a bunch of markets
we're doing this in partnership with our
partners who've partnered with us in a
partnership at po Market # FC part bye
bye love you
guys everyone that was super fun rocket
science a thank
you let your winners ride
Rainman
David and instead we open source it to
the fans and they've just gone
crazy queen
[Music]
of Besties
are this my dog taking your
driveways oh man myit will meet me we
should all just get a room and just have
one Q Georgie cuz they're all this
useless it's like this like sexual
tension that they just need to release
[Music]
Som we need to get
[Music]
merch I'm going all in
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
This episode of the All-In Podcast features a deep dive into the devastating wildfires in California, analyzing the roles of government competence, environmental policies, and the impact of insurance availability. The panel discusses the necessity for leadership and executive action in crises. Additionally, they cover Mark Zuckerberg's recent shift in strategy at Meta, the latest AI announcements from Nvidia, and speculate on the possibility of expanding the United States through new territorial acquisitions.
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