''Turkey Will Make A Substantial Comeback In The Financial Markets''
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turkey will be going to the polls in
about three days on the 14th of May it's
one of the most critical and
consequential elections in the 100 Years
of Republican history one of the most
important matters in the electorates
mind is of course how this inflationary
spiral will be ended what kind of
policies will be implemented either by
the current rulers or if the opposition
wins by the cadres of the opposition
Coalition called the nation Alliance
today my guest is Dr kerim Rota
currently the deputy
chairman of
galaxies responsible for economic
policies Dr Rota welcome thank you
economic policy is one of the most
important methods for this for this
campaign and for these elections if the
opposition wins what are you proposing
to do to get us out of this quandary
thank you first of all I mean the first
promise that the nation Alliance is
giving to the public is
cutting getting back to inflation to
single digit again in two years time
unfortunately turkey is facing one of
the highest inflations in the world both
on the food side are and both on the
consumer
inflation so the promise is to go back
to single digit levels and of course we
are pretty much aware that at the moment
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Turkish wealth distribution and income
distribution is one of the worst levels
in history it is a trend in all over the
world but I mean Turkish distribution is
much much worse right now so we will
implement the policies to make the
income distribution better in a medium
term so the target is from two to five
years there you know financial markets
are concentrated in the short term
primarily
and when I read most of the commentary
on Turkey on the Turkish economy it's
really the level of the interest rate
and the level of the Turkish currency
whether it's overvalued or undervalued
and all that
and so for our audience maybe this is
one of the most important questions what
is your policy going to be vis-a-vis the
currency and vis-a-vis the interest
rates
first of all we have to close
immediately the Turkish credibility gap
there's a big credibility gap in the
government as well as on the central
bank brsa and all the corporations and
on the economy management so in order to
close that credibility gap Gap we have
to do things the first of all we have to
appoint proper people to those
corporations starting with the central
bank and say
afterwards we have to
implement a medium-term program
immediately a very credible medium term
program to gain the confidence of the
domestic investors as well as the
international
investors and of course we are targeting
stability in the effects market and as
well as on the interest rate Market on
40 turkey lost their markets in the last
six months periods the current FX Market
interest rate Market even the loan and
deposit Market is not functioning
the prices are not proper there prices
are not fair so we have to get back our
markets and in order to do that of
course we will announce a very decent
program and we have we will appoint a
very liable competent competent people
to the place well
the leader of the opposition Mr
kalistarol who is a candidate for
presidency
suggests that with the economic program
that you're likely to implement
upwards of maybe 300 billion dollars
will gradually come into into turkey and
that will actually put our
books back in Back Back in Balance how
do you propose to do that how are you
going to get the financial markets again
you talked about a credibility gap to
trust the Turkish management of the
economy again or the financial sector
are the banks in solid state the private
banks in particular so that they can
deal with the outside Financial agents
as well
uh first of all uh I think 300 billion
dollar is not a dream because turkey did
things uh be uh I suppose it's over a
period of over five years
I will just give you a figure in 2014
the Turkish there are assets of foreign
investors were 200 billion Turkish lira
now it's 25 billion uh Turkish lira in
the meantime most of the foreign inflows
has went back to other countries and
some of them of course eroded by the
price gaps so turkey can attract
foreign portfolios portfolio inflows and
I guess out of 300 billion dollars half
of it will be portfolio influence in
five years time of course the second
area that we can achieve and which
turkey did before is a kind of fdis like
m a case or kind of transactions turkey
can do that again when we when the rule
of law is there again re-established
re-establish and when the Democracy of
turkey or the Turkish approach to the
Western World will be seen I guess
turkey can attract uh FDI like that the
third part of course is the Greenfield
Investments turkey did actually did not
attract such kind of Investments ever so
we hope to do the attack again
does your program include measures to be
taken to attract Greenfield Investments
as well I I I personally think this will
need a longer term and we may attract
those
ftis the Greenfield fds in the second
term in the first term I guess will be
more liable to portfolio inflows and M A
type of transactions
um okay
um
what will the role of an upgraded and
updated
Customs Union B now you count on it yeah
do you have plans prepared for the kind
of Customs Union agreement you wish to
see yeah uh it is in our plans and we
believe that turkey is custom Universe
custom Union has to be updated
immediately because it's already 30
years and when you look look back on 30
years turkey did not attract a
Greenfield investments in the meantime
in Turkey of course I mean we have a lot
of mistakes there stability of Turkish
economy was not so long so I mean that's
that's an effect but a custom Union
should be upgraded because in the 30
years I mean the world has changed China
actually entered to the World Market
with a very powerful uh a tool so I
guess we need that custom units update
and in order to achieve that I of course
turkey will deliver the rule of love and
turkey will will be a democracy in the
meantime but that we need it you mean
accountability is going to be important
and I suppose we'll have to look back at
some of the steps or measures that were
taken
how do you propose to I mean there are
two or three critical institutions of
course that I suppose are important for
your policies what are you proposing to
do with the central bank or what kind of
Central Bank policies you will have
second will be the state Statistical
Institute I mean and and what would the
third one be uh the banking I mean
public Banks
uh first of all I think the first thing
we need is transparency in all those
corporate in all those corporations
because uh unfortunately turkey lost
transparency many years ago in central
bank balance sheet I mean
the interventions is not announced in
Turkish Statistical Institute
basket distribution of goods is not
announced is not announcing so we need
to make all of them more transparent we
have to appoint more components people
there and of course then we have to turn
back the economic policies to rational
area so I guess the autonomy and
Independence of those institutions are
first and foremost in your mind this is
what you yes after the appointments of
course I mean of course
naturally
okay uh finally
um
if on Sunday the elections is finalized
on the first round
there will be a transition period And if
we have to wait for another two weeks
for us to see who won the presidential
election because the parliament issue
will have been settled
do you fear things might deteriorate
yeah it may so is there any way to
prevent that yeah the way to prevent it
is of course to immediately announce the
cabinet
and the people appoint the people who
will be appointed to the bureaucratic
positions and we have to give clear
messages to the outstanding bureaucrats
that turkey
needs to be credible in the meantime
needs to stay credible in the meantime
and to continue what they do in in this
10 day or 14 days period but of course I
mean this is something we are talking
within each other with all parties and
this is something actually we are afraid
of at the moment but we will give clear
messages to those people well you but
you have two constituencies because
since you said we will need
inflow of currency effects to the
country therefore you'll have two
constituencies to appeal to one is of
course to domestic economic agencies and
private actors and the other is of
course International markets
do they try to fill you out uh or do
they have questions do you answer them
are they listening to what you're saying
and do you think they will be more
positively inclined towards turkey than
they have been in the last four to five
years especially after 6th of March when
the volatility in the nation's Alliance
has ended I mean we are getting a lot of
demand from the foreign investors okay I
personally made more than 20 25 meetings
in the mean in the meantime in in a
month's time so
I am I feel there is a big demand for
turkey I mean turkey will do a very
substantial come back to the financial
markets I'm pretty sure about that
because I guess the EM portfolio is very
much limited with South Africa and
Brazil at the moment because Ukraine and
Russia is out of the basket area as you
may know so I think the EM basket also
needs turkey and turkey needs a foreign
influence so it will be a win uh when to
win or for all parties well Dr Rota I
thank you very much for accepting my
invitation and I hope that we change the
government and when we change the
government you will also have a position
of responsibility in the management of
the economy good luck to you in advance
and thank you very much again for being
with us thank you thank you
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The video discusses the upcoming Turkish elections on May 14th, highlighting them as critical for the nation's 100-year Republican history. A central issue for voters is how to address the ongoing inflationary spiral. Dr. Kerim Rota, deputy chairman of "galaxies" responsible for economic policies, outlines the opposition's (Nation Alliance) plans. Key promises include returning inflation to single digits within two years and improving income distribution, which is currently at historically poor levels. Dr. Rota addresses concerns about currency and interest rates, emphasizing the need to close Turkey's "credibility gap" by appointing competent individuals to key institutions like the Central Bank and implementing a credible medium-term economic program. The opposition aims to attract significant foreign investment, including portfolio inflows, foreign direct investments (FDIs), and Greenfield investments, estimating a potential inflow of over 300 billion dollars over five years. An updated Customs Union with the EU is also considered crucial. Transparency, autonomy, and independence of institutions like the Central Bank, the State Statistical Institute, and public banks are prioritized. To mitigate potential deterioration during the transition period after the election, the immediate announcement of the cabinet and appointments is suggested. Dr. Rota expresses confidence in attracting foreign investors, noting strong demand and Turkey's potential to re-enter emerging market portfolios.
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