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Kara Swisher: Elon Musk Is “Losing It On The Stand” | Pivot

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Kara Swisher: Elon Musk Is “Losing It On The Stand” | Pivot

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1608 segments

0:00

You know what I thought about doing,

0:01

Scott?

0:01

>> What's that?

0:02

>> I thought about going down to the

0:03

courtroom when I was in San Francisco

0:05

cuz I had some free time and just

0:06

sitting and waving at him. Hey girls,

0:09

what up?

0:15

Let's get to the news. Um, the FCC, this

0:18

story, Scott, has ordered Disney to file

0:21

early renewal applications for its ABC

0:23

owned broadcast licenses. These are

0:26

these are affiliates in different city

0:27

years ahead of the normal schedule. The

0:30

commission is citing an ongoing

0:31

investigation into Disney's DEI

0:33

practices as justification. More

0:36

notably, it comes days after Trump and

0:38

Melania renewed a push to take Jimmy

0:40

Kimmel off the air after he made a joke

0:42

about Melania being an expectant widow.

0:45

Uh Disney is pushing back hard. The new

0:47

CEO is not having it and he's being

0:50

supported by a range of companies and

0:52

everything else. This is a step too car

0:54

far for our good friend and [ __ ] uh

0:57

Brent Brenda Carr. Um I'm calling him

1:00

Brenda. Um who is a [ __ ] He's a [ __ ]

1:03

and he's just such a nakedly political

1:05

although I wouldn't want to say him

1:07

naked political person who is just

1:09

carrying water for the Trumps. Melania

1:11

doing this was you know fascinating.

1:15

But, you know, Kimmel's just emboldened

1:16

and has put out a series of things and

1:19

and no one's no one is putting up with

1:22

this [ __ ] and they're going to lose. The

1:23

FCC is going to lose in court. But what

1:25

a harassment of an American company, a

1:28

classic American company. What do you

1:29

think about this?

1:31

>> Well, I actually saw Kimmel's response.

1:33

I mean, the reality is late night TV is

1:35

dying without the help of

1:37

>> Exactly. Yeah.

1:38

>> And in a weird way, it kind of helps. I

1:40

think Jimmy Kimmel, all the late night

1:42

people are extraordinarily talented.

1:43

that is to be quick on your feet,

1:45

hardworking, come up with new material

1:47

every night. They're extraordinarily

1:48

talented people, all of them across the

1:50

whole spectrum,

1:50

>> right?

1:51

>> And I'm actually trying to get Jimmy

1:53

Kimmel to come be the interview for our

1:55

uh Propy Markets Live in Sat uh in uh

1:58

Los Angeles. Anyways, Jimmy, call me.

2:00

So, I think it'd be very interesting to

2:02

have him talk about it. I think I don't

2:03

think Jimmy should have I watched it

2:05

where he addressed it and said, "Of

2:06

course." I think he should just double

2:08

down and say, "I stand by everything I

2:11

said.

2:12

>> It's humor. He has he hasn't ensuing

2:15

skits are very funny.

2:17

>> He did he did he's done a series.

2:19

>> Okay, this is this is what's going on

2:21

here. Fascism. So, who said they're

2:26

poisoning the blood of our country? Oh,

2:28

that was Trump.

2:29

>> Oh my god.

2:30

>> Who described political opponents as

2:32

vermin?

2:33

>> Yeah, they Oh, come on.

2:35

>> Who told the squad to go back to where

2:37

they come from? Who who who said that

2:40

Adam Schiff was guilty of a crime that

2:44

is punishable by death? That's treason.

2:47

The dehumanization, the

2:48

delegitimization, the exclusion, the

2:51

criminalization,

2:52

the existential threat framing. No

2:55

individual in public office has done

2:58

more of this

2:59

>> in the world

3:00

>> than Donald Trump.

3:02

>> Can I interject? One of the things

3:03

that's incredible is that

3:06

>> these are the free speech warriors,

3:08

right? And I'm like, where are where's

3:10

all those folk? Where's the folk at the

3:12

free press? Where's the folk? Where's

3:13

Elon?

3:14

>> Comedyy's illegal. Remember that one.

3:15

Comedy should be legal again.

3:17

>> Where's Elon? I know he's busy in court

3:19

losing his mind, but

3:21

>> which isn't a very far stop. Um, but at

3:24

the same time, former FBI director James

3:27

Comey has been indicted yet again for

3:29

making a threat against President Trump

3:30

by photographing seashells on the beach

3:33

that said uh I think it's 80 86 46 47

3:37

whatever whichever president he is. Um,

3:40

it it was funny and he was just doing

3:42

it. And by the way, a lot of the right

3:45

had done it to Biden like 86, whatever

3:48

number he is, 46. Um,

3:50

>> I was a waiter. 86 men were out of

3:53

pumpkin soup. We would write we had a we

3:55

had a chalkboard that said claims it's a

3:57

mob kill.

3:58

>> He claims it's a mob killed name because

4:00

he lives in the 70s of New York, you

4:03

know, but this is like his his approval

4:06

ratings are underwater.

4:08

It doesn't work. It because everyone's

4:10

heard him talk like and then the culture

4:13

wars turning up the volume seems like

4:17

hey dude that was last year or two years

4:20

ago that worked and doesn't work anymore

4:22

cuz I think everyone's I mean Disney's

4:24

pushing back. This is just like an

4:26

astonishing array of like pe what I'm

4:30

more interested in is like Brenda and

4:31

the and and uh this guy who's running

4:34

the DOJ. I thought Pam Bondi was bad,

4:36

but Todd Blanch is competing for

4:38

suckiest sucker. A suocrat, if you will.

4:42

The enablers of this guy that go go for

4:45

it are really quite astonishing to me.

4:48

Even

4:48

>> Yeah. But isn't aren't we aren't we just

4:50

disappointed? I think we always blame

4:52

our political leaders and he is the

4:54

culprit here. But I'm shocked there

4:56

isn't more push back. I I just people

5:00

seem to be

5:01

>> I think we've become complacent. I think

5:04

we've taken a lot of our our norms and

5:06

our rights for granted and that people I

5:10

think people are complacent and I I'd

5:13

like to think that the midterms will

5:14

show maybe that they're not.

5:15

>> Yeah. Well, maybe the voting rights

5:17

>> people maybe errantly assume that things

5:19

will revert back to normal at some point

5:22

and

5:22

>> Oh, I don't think they're complacent.

5:23

There's been a lot of push back to the

5:25

Kimmel stuff and the Comey stuff. I just

5:27

think people are like, you know, enough

5:28

of this [ __ ] [ __ ] Why is he

5:29

taking up so much of our brain oxygen on

5:31

this nonsense? I think people are

5:34

>> It's working, Cara.

5:34

>> What? Hm.

5:35

>> I It's working. I think it's I think

5:37

it's sent a chill across all of all of

5:39

cable TV.

5:41

>> I don't think so. You look how Disney

5:43

has reacted. They're like, "No [ __ ]

5:44

way." Before it was a little bit

5:47

>> I know firsthand from a bunch of

5:48

producers that the legal cost in the

5:51

review of stuff has gone way up. And

5:53

anything that feels on the edge, they

5:54

say, "Can we say something else or can

5:56

we lighten the language?" I think this

5:58

intimidation and this chill is working.

6:00

>> Well, I don't know. I don't I don't

6:02

think I don't think it is. I don't think

6:03

it's going to work and I don't think it

6:05

it works. And you know these people like

6:08

Let me just tell you, Brenda, when you

6:10

leave office, which you will at some

6:12

point, I'm going to follow you

6:13

everywhere. Everywhere you try to get a

6:15

job, I'm going to bring up all your

6:17

terrible things. I'm going to make sure

6:18

people know what you did. I'm going to

6:21

make sure people understand who Brenda

6:23

is because there's nothing we can do

6:25

about Trump at this point. I was just

6:26

thinking that he is in our head so much

6:29

we have to like remove him from our head

6:31

but it doesn't mean ignoring him. It

6:34

means removing we get so sucked into

6:37

their ridiculous comical toxically

6:41

comical drama. It it's got to be time to

6:43

say, "You're in our [ __ ] rearview

6:45

mirror, old man. Old cankle, you know,

6:49

man of cognitive questionability like,

6:53

and move him along, you know, just move

6:56

him along."

6:56

>> You brought up you brought up an

6:58

interesting thing, and that is the media

7:00

just doesn't know how to cover Trump.

7:02

Showing up dressed to the nines to have

7:04

him say he's delegitimate at a in a

7:07

windowless ballroom. Okay. Clearly, the

7:08

media does not know how to deal with

7:10

this guy. The idea I like

7:11

>> 10 years now, 10 years.

7:13

>> The idea I like is newspapers and uh

7:17

cable news companies all do the

7:19

following. Instead of having four or

7:21

five stories in a narrative about what

7:23

he's done and interviewing people about

7:25

how ridiculous it is. I think I think

7:27

they should have a twominute segment and

7:29

one page on the back page that are the

7:31

following. This is what Trump said

7:33

today. And just really quickly outline

7:36

it. Today he accused

7:37

>> he he brought up he said this about this

7:39

person. He said these these people are

7:41

animals. He said the shell thing and

7:43

just do it really quickly. This is what

7:45

Trump said today.

7:47

>> Yeah.

7:47

>> And sequester it and you can get it all

7:49

in one place because what happens now is

7:51

22 of the 27 minutes or I'm sorry 18 of

7:54

the 24 minutes, whatever the the the

7:57

actual content load is on TV is

8:00

different stories that involve him. I

8:02

>> agree.

8:02

>> And he is like he is like a Star Wars

8:05

character or a a villain, a Marvel

8:07

comics character. He gains power from

8:10

conflict.

8:11

>> Yeah. Exactly.

8:12

>> And from um controversy.

8:14

>> Yeah.

8:14

>> And what I'm saying is what I I think

8:16

they should do is I think they should do

8:18

the news

8:19

>> and they should just take everything

8:20

Trump and go he said this this this and

8:24

this today. We'll see you tomorrow

8:25

night.

8:26

>> Yeah. They make segments about it. Yeah,

8:28

they do. We got to like we as as

8:30

Jennifer Welch calls him ring fence it.

8:32

>> Ring fence him and be like he I was I

8:35

was you know what I did when I was

8:36

coming back from San Francisco? I walked

8:38

into a store and I bought an actual book

8:41

and um I was like that's enough. I was

8:45

like I'm gonna read a book not read not

8:47

like participate in the social media

8:49

around him. I mean it's sometimes it's

8:50

fun and I really have to say Jimmy

8:52

Kimmel's actually doing a great job

8:54

about he said he's finally brought

8:56

Melania and Trump together. He's using

8:58

it as content which he should do. Um,

9:01

but in a lot of ways just laughing at

9:03

this poor obese old man is I think the

9:08

way to go here. Mock him relentlessly on

9:11

all manner of things. And then his It's

9:13

not ignoring it because I think that's a

9:15

mistake. There's a lot of people telling

9:16

me I'm just not reading it at all, which

9:19

could come off as I'm not engaged. But

9:22

>> you know how on page three of the Sun

9:23

they used to have a naked hot woman?

9:25

Yeah.

9:26

>> Page three of every newspaper. This is

9:27

the [ __ ] Trump said. This is what Trump

9:29

said today. Just list it all 10 minutes

9:31

every night. National news cover the

9:33

news. Try not talk about what's going on

9:35

in Iran. Da da da. And then

9:36

>> Yeah.

9:38

>> This is what Trump said today.

9:39

>> Yeah.

9:39

>> And that just go through it all because

9:42

he he is totally dominating the news

9:45

cycle. He gets energy from conflict.

9:48

People see it as authentic and and

9:50

leadership. And he like

9:53

>> I just can't

9:54

>> just There's so many idiot characters

9:55

like that smug piece and that smug

9:58

deflection of Pete Hegath is smirky.

10:01

Like literally that's his like hearings.

10:04

It's he's so smirky and stupid. It's

10:06

really kind of like I don't like these

10:08

characters anymore.

10:09

>> Representative Molton was good.

10:11

Representative there was some there was

10:12

some really good I'm

10:14

>> I'm actually I feel bad. I'm actually

10:16

consistently impressed with some of our

10:18

elected representatives. Oh, I meant to

10:20

tell you before I forgot. I went and did

10:22

something you would love. Have you heard

10:24

of um

10:25

>> Neco or Niko? Neo. Neco.

10:27

>> No. What is it?

10:28

>> It's this advanced preventive healthc

10:30

care concept from the founders of

10:32

Spotify. No.

10:33

>> So, I just want to disclose. I got no

10:34

compensation for this. This is not It's

10:37

going to sound like an ad.

10:38

>> Okay.

10:38

>> You go into this place and they

10:40

basically take your blood, put all sorts

10:43

of cuffs on you for blood pressure and

10:45

measurement. They have all these lasers

10:46

and scans and then they take you go into

10:48

this tube and they take 2400 pictures of

10:51

you. Okay, but here's the thing. It's

10:53

amazing. And then they do it all

10:54

immediately. Give you put you in a room

10:56

with a doctor and they go through

10:57

everything visually in a very user

10:59

friendly. It was like something out of

11:00

the movie Gatka.

11:02

>> And I thought, okay, how much I I said,

11:04

I need to pay because I don't want to be

11:05

seen as I I don't like the whole

11:07

influencer thing. I'm like, I need to

11:08

pay. I have the money.

11:10

>> Do you know how much it was?

11:11

>> How much?

11:12

>> It was £300.

11:14

>> Oh. Oh, they Oh, in

11:15

>> I thought it was going to be 3,000

11:17

pounds.

11:17

>> Oh, wow. Interesting.

11:19

>> And you get a baseline of all your good

11:21

cholesterols, your bad cholesterols,

11:23

your circulatory health, uh, everything

11:25

about it did change my behavior. You

11:27

know, I have one of these ridiculously

11:30

expensive concier things. This thing and

11:32

there was a line out the door to get

11:34

into.

11:34

>> That's a great This is what they do at

11:35

Korea for everybody. Everybody gets

11:38

these tests once a year. And it's the

11:40

guys from Spotify and they're I I'm I'm

11:43

such a huge They're trying to

11:45

democratize

11:46

>> advanced preventive medicine. It's

11:48

called NECA.

11:49

>> I like that idea.

11:50

>> And you get and you get a baseline that

11:53

I mean

11:54

>> they did this thing with 2400 pictures

11:55

of, you know, basically you're naked to

11:57

look at I'm very fair and I'm prone to

11:59

skin cancers. And they said, "All right,

12:01

you have 2200 marks. All of them are

12:03

fine except for these 12 300 lb."

12:09

Anyways, I was blown away. We should

12:12

have filmed at this thing. And and also,

12:14

you and I have discovered by watching

12:16

your show and going to Neco.

12:18

>> I try to run once or twice a week and I

12:21

was always I rode crew and one time I

12:23

was in very good cardiovascular health.

12:25

I push myself running. That's just the

12:27

way I run. And I time myself and I try

12:30

and lower my times and I row and I try

12:32

and get my

12:33

>> 100%. I have I just figured that out.

12:36

They're like, "No, what's it called?

12:37

zone two or level two where you

12:38

supposedly can have a conversation but

12:39

you can't sing

12:40

>> zone one two and three.

12:41

>> So I last night I ran slowly jogged for

12:45

40 minutes and that's supposed to be the

12:47

way to do it. But anyways and

12:49

unfortunately unfortunately they say the

12:51

same [ __ ] thing to me. I'm like how

12:52

do I change my diet and and Dr. Pramla

12:56

and I asked her if I could use her name.

12:58

She said the same thing. They're like

12:59

well they're all so polite. They're like

13:01

you may want to consider drinking a

13:03

little bit less.

13:04

>> Yes. I think you may want to do that. I

13:06

think you may want to

13:07

>> you may want to consider drinking a

13:08

littleing you. This is so great. By the

13:11

way, this week's episodes about about

13:13

loneliness and uh connection. You'll

13:15

like it. All right. Now, we got to get

13:16

to a rundown of latest big tech earnings

13:18

are all over the place, which are uh

13:21

some are calling AOI's moment of

13:22

reckoning. First up, Alphabet. The

13:24

company reported a 22% surge in first

13:27

quarter revenue with sales reaching

13:28

around 110 billion. What a number. Net

13:32

income was up 81% compared to the same

13:34

period a year ago. Shares for Alphabet

13:36

are up 15% year-to date at the time of

13:38

this taping. Microsoft, the company,

13:40

beat expectations with revenues

13:42

increasing 18% year-over-year for the

13:44

quarter. Capital spending for the

13:46

company will reach 190 billion, though

13:48

this year, a 61% increase over 2025.

13:53

Amazon beat expectations, expanding

13:55

revenue in its cloud computing segment

13:57

by 28% year-over-year. The company

13:59

announced it expects to spend 200

14:01

billion on AI in 2026. And finally, Meta

14:05

reported lower than expected capex uh

14:08

missed on user growth, which is

14:09

interesting. This is the first time,

14:11

which attributed in part to internet

14:13

disruptions in Iran. They're blaming

14:15

Iran. I don't think so. Daily active

14:17

people was down over 5% over the fourth

14:19

quarter. In better news, revenue climbed

14:21

33% from a year earlier, making it the

14:23

fastest growing quarter since 2021. So

14:26

what jumps out at you about these four

14:28

uh uh companies besides their enormous

14:31

spending on AI obviously

14:34

um but what's what jumps out

14:36

>> AI I used to say this the attention

14:38

economy it's now the it's now the

14:41

ketamine economy where it's dissociated

14:43

from everything else but AI and I said

14:46

yesterday on prop markets that I thought

14:48

these guys were going to blow away their

14:49

expectations because what do they

14:51

monetize they monetize spending around

14:54

AI and And up until today or until AI

14:57

came on they the driver was they

14:59

monetized attention with everything

15:01

that's going on in the world. Are you

15:02

less or more glued to your phone? I I

15:04

can't stop looking at my [ __ ] phone

15:06

like okay who did we bomb today or what?

15:09

So let's just go through the earnings

15:10

which were nothing short of staggering.

15:15

Alphabet's revenues were up 22% to 110

15:17

billion. They beat consensus. Their

15:20

consensus was $5 was 263. They came in

15:23

at 511. And although some of that was an

15:25

unnatural equity gain, Google Cloud hit

15:27

20 billion, up 63% with their backlog

15:31

doubling. Search revenue 460 billion.

15:34

Jesus Christ, their backlog's a half a

15:36

trillion dollars.

15:37

>> Search revenue, which was supposedly

15:38

going away because of Open AI was up

15:41

19%.

15:42

>> Well,

15:43

>> Gemini paid monthly active users is up

15:45

40% quarter on quarter.

15:47

>> Gemini is doing well, I would say. But

15:50

go ahead. fullear capex guidance went

15:54

up. The investors don't like that

15:55

because as strong as their topline is,

15:56

everyone's saying we need to spend more

15:58

money. Their stock was up 8% in after

16:00

hours. Let's talk about Microsoft. Azure

16:03

grew faster than anyone expected. Uh but

16:06

they had to boost their capex guidance,

16:07

which investors don't like. Revenue up

16:09

18% to $83 billion. They also beat

16:12

consensus wildly. Azure grew 40%. The AI

16:16

business crossed 37 billion annual run

16:19

rate. That's up 123% year-on-year. Their

16:21

commercial backlog is up to 2/3 of a

16:24

trillion, 627. Their QN capex was 32

16:28

billion, but it's been raised. Their

16:30

fullear capex, they've raised 190

16:32

billion, well above the 155 they'd

16:34

expected. Open AAI committed an

16:36

additional quarter of a trillion dollars

16:38

in Azure spend the day before the print,

16:40

but the stock was down 2%. Meta

16:45

Jesus Jesus Christ, Cara. Meta revenue

16:49

was up 33%

16:53

to $56 billion.

16:54

>> Efficiencies of AI. This is

16:56

>> earnings of 10 of $1044.

17:00

Um although a bunch of it was a tax

17:02

benefit. Ad impressions were up 19% and

17:05

their uh average price per ad was up

17:08

12%. Q2 revenue guided to 60 billion

17:11

which implies 25% growth. Fullear capex

17:14

again this is what investors don't like.

17:16

They raised to 135 billion from 120 and

17:21

then um also higher component prices and

17:24

the stock fell 9% after hours. Last one,

17:27

Amazon

17:29

>> fastest growth in 15 quarters, but free

17:32

cash flow collapsed because of their

17:34

capex. Again, good. What the analysts

17:37

love, they're blowing away their top

17:38

line. What the analysts hate is they're

17:40

all saying we need to spend more money.

17:42

>> Revenue was up 17%.

17:44

EPS blew away but unfort that was

17:47

because of a recognition of a gain in

17:49

anthropic stock that from their

17:50

investment there AWS hit 38 billion up

17:54

28% advertising grew 24% Q1 capbacks

17:57

again what the analysts don't like went

17:59

from 44 billion um uh I'm sorry capbacks

18:03

44 billion full year at 200 billion free

18:06

cash flow fell see above they're

18:07

increasing their capex openai re

18:10

recently committed to consume two

18:12

gigawatts of tranium capacity uh through

18:15

AWS. So all of a sudden they're getting

18:18

into the chip game and stock rose the

18:20

stock rose 3% after it is literally I

18:23

I'm on so I sit in a lot of what does

18:27

this say to you?

18:30

Oh my gosh. A beating the world.

18:33

>> Yeah. Yeah. Go ahead.

18:34

>> It is living up to its expectations, but

18:36

the capex required to live up to those

18:40

expectation to deliver against the

18:41

demand is sucking is basically like like

18:45

taking all the juice out of the

18:47

earnings. The capex requirement to live

18:49

up to the demand, the infrastructure

18:51

buildout.

18:52

>> So when does that stop? It's sort of

18:54

like having a hot spouse that requires a

18:56

lot of money for you to stay.

18:59

>> Yeah. Trust me, I know that feeling. Uh,

19:00

what does it require?

19:01

>> What does it what does it require for

19:03

that to not

19:04

>> must work hard? That's what I would say

19:06

to myself. Must work harder. Um,

19:08

>> well, they're doing that.

19:10

>> Must work harder. Uh, what does it

19:12

require?

19:12

>> When is the spending going to stop?

19:16

Well, when a big a big customer

19:18

announces they're reducing their spend

19:20

IAI or one of these companies announces,

19:24

OpenAI basically said that they kind of

19:26

[ __ ] the bed that their their numbers

19:28

didn't meet expectations, but the bigger

19:31

guys, these players are all just on

19:34

fire. I don't see

19:35

>> Can I note the open thing you just

19:37

referenced? There are internal concerns

19:38

about the company's spending plans and

19:40

its user revenue targets. According to

19:42

the Wall Street Journal, Open I missed

19:43

internal goal of reaching 1 billion

19:45

weekly active chat GPT users by the end

19:48

of 2025 has seen subscriber defections.

19:51

I think that's all due to you. The

19:52

company is also denying there's a rift

19:54

between Sam Alman and CFO Sarah Frier

19:57

over computing resources and they're of

19:59

course approaching their IPO although

20:01

they're we'll get to their trial next

20:03

trial with Elon um which is also another

20:06

distraction. Um, but they're they're

20:09

seeing a lot of bumps as they go into

20:11

it. So, is there like a reckoning moment

20:14

or what? How do you look at it? Just one

20:16

big customer.

20:17

>> By the way,

20:19

>> I started on my next book. That's the

20:20

name of it. The reckoning.

20:21

>> Oh, the reckoning. Oh, didn't I use the

20:24

word reckoning? I feel like I inspired

20:26

that. You liked when I said reckoning

20:28

last week.

20:29

>> If the book works, if it's a bestseller

20:31

was your idea.

20:31

>> Okay.

20:32

>> I think there's a reckoning coming in

20:33

America and I think there's a reckoning

20:35

coming in the markets. like what is the

20:37

but keep in mind that this AI is now

20:41

sucking so much oxygen out of the out of

20:43

the room. I sit in a lot of VC pitches.

20:46

If you're not an AI company, you can't

20:47

raise money right now. I mean, it is

20:49

very difficult. And by the way, I'm on

20:52

the board of an AI company that's

20:54

growing 4x a year. And they're like,

20:55

that's not enough. Unless you're growing

20:57

10x a year as an AI company that's

21:00

purely software. this company called

21:02

Rogo that is uh it's a great great

21:05

little company that is basically AI for

21:08

financial institutions. They just closed

21:09

around at $2 billion,

21:11

>> right? No, it's nuts

21:12

>> on on I think I think it's trading at

21:14

100 times revenues or something insane

21:16

and they're going to get they raise $100

21:17

million. You literally if you are not an

21:20

AI right now and growing, you know,

21:23

five, seven, 10x a year, you can't raise

21:25

money. And this is it is a in my opinion

21:29

it's a it's a kind of a all of the GDP

21:33

growth is coming from the capex and AI

21:35

all of the earnings growth 77% of the

21:37

earnings growth is coming from the MAG

21:38

10 right

21:39

>> we are becoming said this before yeah

21:42

the price of gas

21:43

>> America is a giant bet on AI and people

21:45

are people are wondering

21:47

>> and breakfast with a big tech CEO today

21:50

they kept people are really how is the

21:53

S&P hitting all-time highs with such

21:54

geopolitical uncertainty and oil at 110

21:57

bucks a barrel. And the reality is

21:59

America is now a giant bet on AI. And I

22:02

in a weird way, the the war in Iran kind

22:05

of helps these guys. First off, none of

22:07

these guys are affected by high oil

22:10

prices.

22:11

>> They were all at the White House last

22:13

week with this week with King Charles.

22:15

Every one of them was there. Again, by

22:17

the way,

22:18

>> all of them.

22:18

>> And then, by the way, the high oil

22:20

prices, that money, the additional cost

22:23

circulates within our economy. It hurts

22:25

consumers. But Chevron and Hallebertton

22:26

are making a [ __ ] ton of money, right?

22:28

>> So, it's oil mogul and tech moguls.

22:31

>> We're a net That's right. We're a net

22:33

exporter. And there's a very unhealthy

22:35

thing

22:36

the And I'm writing a thing called the

22:38

ketamine economy. And that is

22:40

>> ketamine supposedly is

22:43

dissociate and you can see your issues

22:45

and your addictions and your problems

22:46

and forgive yourself and have a better

22:48

handle on stuff. And people say it's a

22:50

world breakthrough. The the most

22:53

dangerous thing I think about the world

22:54

we live in in America right now is that

22:57

if you live in America and you're in the

22:59

0.1%

23:01

you are not invested in the well-being

23:03

of America. Why? Do you care about

23:05

infrastructure? You don't care about

23:07

TSA. You don't care about airports. You

23:08

don't care about you. You have you go to

23:10

Teter Bro and you're flying your own

23:12

plane. Do you care about the fact that

23:13

40% of third graders can't read? No. You

23:15

have your own private schools where they

23:16

spend $75,000 per student. Do you care

23:19

about policing and safety? No. You live

23:21

in a doorman building in a neighborhood

23:23

that is so overpoliced and has so many

23:25

cameras. You're just fine. Do you care

23:27

about the health of America? No. You

23:28

have concierge medical services that

23:31

give you everything you need. The wealth

23:33

the people who control our government or

23:35

have a disproportionate influence have

23:37

totally dissociated

23:40

disassociated from America's interests.

23:43

And even more frightening is that

23:46

America, you could argue, has

23:48

disassociated from the global interest.

23:50

Do we care about high oil prices?

23:53

>> Not really.

23:54

>> Wow.

23:54

>> Do we care about HIV infections in

23:56

Zambia? Not really.

23:59

>> We have two oceans protecting us from

24:01

chaos, disease.

24:03

>> I I'm not so sure about those things.

24:05

>> You could argue eventually it hits our

24:06

shores, but right now the markets

24:09

>> No, the market the rich people. I get

24:11

it. It's a Pierre don't care economy. Do

24:13

you know the book Pierre don't doesn't

24:14

care? I don't care. That it's a it's a

24:17

wonderful um children's thing where he

24:20

eventually gets eaten by a lion because

24:22

he doesn't care. He always says I don't

24:23

care.

24:24

>> But that's what they're like. It's a

24:25

peer I don't care group of people.

24:26

>> We have to figure out economic policies

24:29

that give the wealthiest people in our

24:30

nation a vested interest in the success

24:32

of America.

24:32

>> Yes. The people I'm telling you there's

24:34

an anger. You can feel it. It's palpable

24:37

that they do not hear.

24:39

>> Hope so. They have gone from they have

24:42

literally gone from heroes to villains.

24:45

And let me say I get it everywhere I go.

24:48

Everywhere from and it's not you know

24:50

like oh it's the you know it's the

24:52

people you know the working class. It's

24:54

everybody who's not like them and it is

24:59

angry. It is deeply and profoundly

25:02

angry. And even more so than it at Trump

25:06

they sort of have it's all figured in.

25:08

he's a terrible person or if they don't

25:09

like him. And even the there was just a

25:11

really interesting story about all the

25:12

people that voted for him are like we're

25:14

very disappointed and we now regret our

25:17

vote which is sort of like okay

25:19

>> or fine whatever. But there's a there is

25:22

a growing anger that I think they do not

25:24

understand of v of them being villains

25:26

and they're behaving like villains. um

25:28

we have to move on but we'll see where

25:30

this goes because if they're the only

25:32

ones that benefit and all the other

25:34

companies don't there isn't as you say a

25:37

reckoning it's a great word it actually

25:39

is from the middle English I'll just

25:41

read this to you from narration account

25:43

settling accounts and it's about the act

25:46

of calculating estimating or settling

25:48

accounts often carrying a connotation of

25:50

judgment retribution or facing

25:53

consequences

25:55

reckoning

25:56

>> yeah it's the act it's the act of

25:58

setting accounts and consequences.

26:00

>> That's right. Scott's going to have a to

26:02

give you a reckoning. Anyway, um let's

26:04

take a quick break. Speaking of

26:05

reckoning, um when we come back, Elon

26:08

takes the stand.

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26:55

Scott, we're back. Elon Mus took the

26:57

stand this week in a trial against

26:58

OpenAI. Let's go through some of the

27:00

things he said. He was a quote fool to

27:03

provide OpenAI's early funding. He

27:05

discussed his concerns about AI and not

27:07

wanting to have a Terminator outcome. He

27:09

accused OpenAI's lawyer of trying to

27:11

trick him. When asked uh why he brought

27:14

the suit, Elon said it's not okay to

27:15

steal a charity, warning if he loses it,

27:18

it would give license to looting every

27:20

charity in America. By the way, Elon is

27:23

not charitable at all in any way. FYI,

27:26

the judge pushed back, reminding juries

27:28

that Elon's claims and his opinions have

27:30

no legal value whatsoever. As I

27:32

predicted, a number of prospective

27:34

jurors had thoughts about Elon, with

27:35

some calling him a greedy, racist,

27:37

homophobic piece of garbage and a

27:39

world-class jerk in questionnaires. Um,

27:42

I think his his this has not been good

27:45

for Elon. One of the things that Ellie

27:47

said is they're not used to being um

27:50

when he gave us that uh video last week

27:54

was that these that they're not used to

27:56

being challenged publicly and he is

27:58

losing his brain on he looks terrible

28:01

and he needs to control himself which he

28:03

speaking of ketamine he cannot he has no

28:06

ability to do so. Um I'm going to be

28:08

fair to him. He was the first person who

28:10

did talk about this Terminator outcome

28:13

15 years ago to me or something some

28:15

maybe 10. Um and he was the first person

28:18

to be very worried about it. He shifted

28:20

becoming less worried over the various

28:23

interviews. At first it was Terminator,

28:25

then you were a house cat and then we

28:27

were like ants that are just going to

28:28

get covered by a highway which isn't

28:31

mean or anything. Um, but one of the

28:33

things I would say is he started off

28:36

that way and then he immediately lost

28:38

his mind because he he tipped out of

28:41

Open AI because he thought they couldn't

28:43

make it. And these emails talk about

28:45

that and he signed away his rights. He

28:48

did give them 38 million, not 100 as

28:50

he's claimed in other depositions. So he

28:53

keeps changing the number. Um, which

28:56

isn't good when you're under oath. Um,

28:58

but one of the things that uh is very

29:01

clear here is that he shifted to being a

29:04

greedy hypocrite and started his own

29:06

company that includes non-consensual

29:09

uh uh sexual images and child

29:11

pornography. So, it's not like he's here

29:14

to save us and he's trying to put

29:16

himself off as someone who's worried

29:18

about uh AI and is fully participating

29:23

in the damage it does. Your thoughts? So

29:27

what I what I have heard how this went

29:29

down and very like broadbrush actions

29:32

that kind of give a sense of the what

29:34

went down here and tell me if you've

29:35

heard different

29:37

>> is that Sam actually tried to raise $500

29:40

million when it was a nonprofit for the

29:42

nonprofit and was unable to do that.

29:45

Elon showed up and said this needs to be

29:48

a for-profit company and I need to

29:51

control it and own 80% of it. after he

29:53

had given the money. Yes, that's exactly

29:55

what happened.

29:55

>> And the people there said, "No, we're

29:57

not up for the for-profit Elon controls

30:01

part of the game brand." He does that on

30:04

every company. But go ahead.

30:06

>> So he said, "I'm out." And he signed

30:08

paperwork. This is the This is literally

30:11

the biggest example of sellers regret in

30:14

history.

30:15

>> You're right. And then the other fact

30:16

pattern here about his quote unquote

30:18

trying to pretend he's more noble than

30:20

he is and he's really worried about AI.

30:23

Who went on to develop an LLM that most

30:26

experts would say has the fewest guard

30:29

rails? Elon with XAI.

30:31

>> Yep.

30:32

>> So the fact pattern here, the narrative,

30:34

and this is my prediction. I don't think

30:37

Open AI, I said last week I thought they

30:39

were going to settle. I don't think Open

30:40

AI wants to settle. I think their

30:42

attitude is

30:43

>> I think I think Elon's either going to

30:45

drop the case or lose.

30:47

>> Well, it's a jury trial and then the

30:49

judge decides on the referee whatever

30:52

the remedies are.

30:54

>> It's a it's

30:56

found

30:57

>> right.

30:57

>> But if they're found if open AI is found

30:59

not guilty or that there's then it's

31:02

over.

31:02

>> Oh, he could I bet he could appeal. He

31:04

can always appeal. He's got so much

31:06

money.

31:08

I mean, Trump's going to appeal the

31:09

Eugene Carol thing to the Supreme Court

31:11

now that he's lost in the appeals court,

31:15

>> the 83 million.

31:16

>> Shocked he wants to keep bringing that

31:17

up.

31:17

>> Well, he doesn't want to pay 83 million.

31:19

He doesn't want to pay that. He'll have

31:20

to pay that if he if the Supreme Court

31:23

doesn't bring the money down presumably.

31:27

>> He wants to get it to 10 million.

31:28

>> He's going to have to pay or something.

31:30

>> Launch another coin.

31:31

>> Yeah. Anyways,

31:32

>> back to the Open AI case. Everything

31:34

I've seen fits this narrative that Elon

31:40

once this thing became commercially

31:42

viable, he wanted it to flip to

31:44

forprofit and he wanted to own it all

31:46

and that he legally gave up his

31:47

ownership and his governance rights.

31:49

Well, one of the things he was concerned

31:52

he absolutely and one of the interesting

31:54

things I love them being under oath

31:56

because now I finally hear the things I

31:58

thought were true like that Larry Page

32:00

and he got into an argument cuz he was

32:02

he was a doom a doom doomer for sure

32:05

back then and Larry Page called him a

32:08

speciesist for being concerned be overly

32:11

overly negative which I'm like yeah this

32:15

we like the the human species just sorry

32:18

You know, these people, these people, I

32:21

can't tell you. I'm so pleased for

32:23

people to see them as they are, right?

32:27

You know, when someone said greedy,

32:28

racist, homophobic, piece of garbage,

32:31

I'm like, you see what I'm saying? Like,

32:34

jerks. Um, don't care about people. This

32:38

whole thing is fantastic because they're

32:40

under oath and they have to show

32:42

themselves and they also have to show

32:44

how they're trying to present

32:45

themselves. Like Elon is the savior of

32:47

the world when he has decimated. He's

32:50

responsible for the millions of these

32:52

deaths that are going to happen because

32:53

of USID. He's responsible for all manner

32:56

of stuff that he's been doing on

32:58

Twitter. And he wants to present himself

33:01

as it is like Thanos. Thanos has an idea

33:04

of himself as a hero when he's the

33:06

villain because he's he's helping the

33:08

human race and he talks about it.

33:10

>> To me, this defines Messiah Complex.

33:12

Full stop. He He's the guy to to

33:15

colonize to turn us into an

33:17

interplanetary species. Only him. He's

33:19

the one that should control AI. He's I

33:21

just And I It's literally I'm Jesus

33:25

Christ.

33:26

>> Yeah. Yeah.

33:28

>> Yep. I would agree. I don't know. I

33:30

don't think it's good for him and I

33:31

don't think him getting agit this lawyer

33:33

actually worked for him at one point and

33:35

then worked against him. So, he's

33:37

familiar with this firm and he's just

33:40

losing it on the stand, which is just

33:42

what he should not do. He should be as

33:44

calm as cucumber and he can't be. And

33:47

it'll be interesting the contrast with I

33:49

think Sam will be smooth as silk. I

33:51

think he's not online. On online, he's

33:54

kind of sad over on Twitter. Sad Sam and

33:57

Elon's crazy Elon. And by the way, an

33:59

increase in white supremacist post, too.

34:02

Um, but Sam has got to hold it together

34:05

during and so does Greg Brockman. Um,

34:08

and so does Satcha, which will help

34:10

anchor Open AI quite a bit, as you said.

34:14

So, we'll see. You know what I thought

34:16

about doing, Scott? I thought about

34:17

going down to the courtroom when I was

34:18

in San Francisco cuz I had some free

34:21

time and just sitting and waving at him

34:23

>> just to get him even more riled up.

34:25

>> Just troll him.

34:26

>> Hey, girl.

34:26

>> Does he show up? Does he go to court?

34:28

Oh, he's on the stand. I guess they're

34:30

all in court. They're all there. It's

34:32

that's they have to go, I guess, because

34:34

I thought about going and just waving at

34:35

all of them going, "Hey girls, what up?

34:38

What's can we all get along?" That kind

34:41

of stuff,

34:41

>> but and I didn't. I I hung out with

34:43

Lily.

34:45

>> Okay, let's go on a quick break. When we

34:47

come back, Taylor Swift fights back

34:48

against AI. Support for this show comes

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36:54

Scott, we're back. Taylor Swift has

36:55

filed a new trademark application for

36:57

two voice clips in one image that are

37:00

likely uh an effort to protect her voice

37:02

and image from AI misuse. This is

37:04

something a lot of celebrities are

37:05

doing, but she's probably the biggest

37:06

one. The voice clips are sound

37:08

trademarks covering Swiss voice with

37:10

clips of her saying, "Hey, it's Taylor

37:11

Swift and hey, it's Taylor." Registering

37:14

a celebrity's spoken voice has not been

37:16

tested in court. Matthew McConnA has

37:18

also trademarked his use of his images

37:20

and voice in January. It's an

37:22

interesting strategy. Um,

37:25

and she she did an really interesting

37:27

interview with Joe Casarelli, who I love

37:29

at the New York Times, called the 30

37:31

Greatest Living American Songwriters.

37:33

Really wonderful story. It it does a

37:35

range of people and it's really

37:37

terrific. Let's listen to what she had

37:38

to say. If there's any way we can make

37:41

confessional songwriting a little bit

37:42

more of something that isn't like people

37:45

take that as sort of like you were being

37:47

messy or whatever, you you have to be

37:50

fair to everyone. Then are like are rap

37:52

beefs messy or are they confessional?

37:54

Like we've got to just like let's make

37:57

it a music conversation rather than just

37:59

like ganging up on the female artists.

38:01

And I think the more male artists that

38:04

are messy or emotionally complex or

38:07

confessional or upset,

38:10

um, the happier I am. And then thirdly,

38:13

this Universal deal is going to trigger

38:15

something in her contract that's going

38:16

to force, uh, Universal to pay out all

38:20

its artists, even if they gave them

38:22

advances. um if it sells, she put it in

38:25

to protect herself, but it also uh she

38:29

the the way she wrote it, everybody who

38:31

is at Universal will have to be paid

38:33

out. So, she's getting enormous payouts

38:35

for all the artists and this possible

38:37

deal for Universal, which I think will

38:39

endear her to many artists. Um what do

38:42

you think here about any of this? I know

38:43

you don't like her, but she's a

38:44

tremendous business person.

38:46

>> I never said

38:47

>> I know you don't like her music here. I

38:49

don't that's not fair to say I don't

38:51

like her.

38:51

>> Okay. not her music. Excuse me.

38:54

>> Yeah. Uh so look, the

38:58

I I'm a fan of bearing on the side of

39:01

protections around people's IP and

39:05

essentially

39:06

Google coming in and crawling every

39:08

media company. Um people using people's

39:11

likeness, their voice. I I I believe

39:15

Jensen Hong said it. Everyone should own

39:17

their digital twin. And that's not only

39:19

the physical rendering, but also your

39:22

voice, your likeness. People spend a lot

39:24

of time and energy trying to develop IP

39:27

that they own that they can decide to

39:29

give to their heirs or sell their

39:30

catalog or their likeness or their image

39:33

and they should own it. And so I'm a I'm

39:35

a fan of these cases and the fact that

39:37

she's doing it on behalf of other

39:38

artists is really wonderful. And she's

39:40

very high-profile and people have

39:42

enormous affection for her. So she has

39:44

she's immediately going to get public

39:46

support for whatever she does. So, I'm a

39:48

fan of this. I'm a fan of how she's

39:50

handling it. And we need

39:53

these companies. I think you said it or

39:55

your your partner Walt Mossberg said it.

39:58

These guys are pickpockets. And

40:01

>> rapacious information is what Walt said.

40:04

>> Yeah. So, and now they're stealing

40:07

likeness. I don't I and I think that I

40:10

think the I think the um solution here

40:13

again they'll come up with the illusion

40:15

of complexity in that is they can

40:17

calibrate how closely they get to the vo

40:19

to her voice without it triggering an IP

40:21

but I think it's pretty simple I think

40:23

someone should be representing authors

40:25

and artists and past celebrities and

40:28

they or their heirs or their state can

40:30

either license it into a giant pool or

40:32

not and then every time it is used and

40:35

you have an AI crawl it every time an AI

40:37

takes takes takes a a sentence from your

40:40

book or lets someone speak in your

40:42

voice, you are entitled to x percent.

40:46

Music artists have been doing this a

40:47

long time. When you listen to

40:50

>> Let me ask you, let me plum that. When I

40:53

Ann Lamont was on stage with me this

40:54

week, she talked about how she she got

40:58

the AI to write something in her voice

41:01

and she said it was actually better, but

41:03

it wasn't her. But they had crawled so

41:05

much of her stuff. So, are they making

41:08

her or a ver a faximile of her? And what

41:11

happened to your Google thing that you

41:12

did? Was it Google when they did the

41:14

Scott gallery teacher?

41:16

>> What happened? You never said what

41:18

actually happened. You took it down,

41:19

right?

41:21

>> Yeah. I started working on it a year

41:23

ago. Yeah.

41:24

>> I think so. I was getting a lot of

41:26

emails from people, young men and

41:28

mothers, asking for advice, and I

41:30

couldn't keep up with it.

41:31

>> So, I said, "Upload." and they a former

41:33

student of mine who's a Google product

41:35

manager came and said we have something

41:36

called portraits we're doing it with a

41:38

bunch of doctors we're doing it with a

41:40

bunch of historians where we we we

41:43

upload everything you've ever done and

41:45

someone can come to an avatar and ask

41:47

questions and it'll give something

41:50

pretty resembling a reasonable fact

41:52

similarly the answer you would give and

41:54

I said that sounds great and I started

41:55

working on it about a year and a half

41:56

ago took him about six or nine months

41:58

and I tested it and it actually did if

42:00

it said should I get an MBA or it asked

42:02

good questions and gave it a reasonable

42:03

answer.

42:04

>> And then you actually [ __ ] it up for

42:07

me. You did that interview

42:10

>> with those parents of the kid who had

42:13

committed suicide.

42:15

>> And I thought, okay, am I going to be

42:17

part of the problem here where I in

42:19

inadvertently sequester young men from

42:22

asking their parents for advice, finding

42:24

real people, finding mentors, finding

42:26

friends? And it came out. The day it

42:28

came out, I started testing it and I

42:30

just felt really uneasy with it and I

42:32

called

42:33

>> saying I [ __ ] it up. I showed you an

42:35

better way to live.

42:37

>> You illuminated me.

42:38

>> Okay.

42:38

>> You illuminated. Let's try to work on

42:40

our words with Cara. Okay. Okay. All

42:42

right. Go ahead.

42:43

>> Better words.

42:44

>> Better words.

42:45

>> Uh and then I called, to Google's

42:47

credit, I called them and I said, "I got

42:49

to be honest. I just feel really

42:50

uncomfortable with this. I want I can

42:52

see how it might be helpful, but I can

42:54

also see how some young man doesn't ask

42:57

a friend or his dad for advice and

42:59

instead says, "Well, Prop G said this

43:01

and it's just

43:03

>> Anyway, so they took it down and and by

43:05

the way, the major I think the m

43:07

>> it's it's gone. It's you can't find it."

43:10

>> Yeah, they took it down.

43:12

>> We'll see.

43:13

>> Except when I go or my understanding is

43:15

they took it down.

43:16

>> It's in some fault like a mummy. Okay,

43:18

go ahead. But you can say in the voice

43:21

of Cara Swisser,

43:22

>> yeah,

43:23

>> please write this thing. And my my view

43:26

is they should be able to do that, but

43:29

only if you have agreed to have your

43:32

stuff crawled. And the more people who

43:34

ask, say this in the voice of Caris

43:36

Swisser, you should get a royalty check.

43:38

Similar to the way artists do it, music

43:40

artists do it. When you listen to Kroq,

43:43

rock of the 80s in the 80s, and they

43:45

were constantly playing B-52 song Yeah.

43:47

songs. At the end of the year, they

43:49

would send a check to Warner Brothers

43:50

and the B-52s would get a check.

43:53

>> I don't This has been

43:55

>> because I I did that Simpsons thing and

43:57

I got an enormous check the other day

44:00

and I'm like they can do it and they

44:02

Hollywood sucks, right? Like it's

44:05

astonishing and it goes way back when I

44:07

was with um uh the Google twins where

44:11

they were stealing books and were Carol

44:13

what is the difference if we take their

44:15

books? I was like, "You shocking

44:16

shoplifter." And or they take

44:18

television, their mentality is to take

44:21

it from you, which is interesting. So,

44:23

I'm glad someone like Taylor Swift is

44:24

really pushing back. It'll be

44:26

interesting to see if it could apply to

44:28

all of us because I think it will

44:29

benefit because you you you are easily

44:34

this would work really well if someone

44:36

just didn't work with you to do it, but

44:38

just did it. Um, so anyway, in an

44:41

upcoming episode of my show, I make one

44:43

of these and it's really frightening and

44:45

and I I don't like

44:47

>> When you say one of these, what is

44:48

>> I made the keratar. I'm going to give it

44:50

to you for Christmas. I made a a digital

44:53

3D version in a box of me and you it

44:55

looks like me sitting in a chair like 3D

44:58

version and it speaks it talks like me.

45:01

It's it's um it's me and uh it's not you

45:05

know it's like a faximile that's not

45:07

quite um me but it is um and I'm sending

45:11

it to you for Christmas the whole box

45:12

it's great it's going to go

45:13

>> but again I like I I like the idea of

45:16

this as long as you sign up for it

45:18

because you might decide have at it or

45:21

after if you're like me and you think

45:23

once you're gone it doesn't I would like

45:24

my heirs to get a check because people

45:27

say in the voice of Scott Galloway write

45:29

about income inequality whatever it is

45:30

Right. So, and I think a lot of artists

45:35

and a lot of writers and a lot of

45:37

singers would would agree to this.

45:39

There's a model for it.

45:40

>> Yeah, absolutely. Well, we'll see. But

45:42

you're getting that for Christmas. The

45:43

keratar. It's great. We'll have it

45:45

forever. Um and it will add to things

45:47

right up until my f my dying breath.

45:50

Anyway, um one more quick break. We'll

45:52

be back for predictions.

45:57

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47:36

Okay, Scott, let's hear a prediction.

47:38

I'm going to go first. I do think The

47:40

Devil Wars Prod is tracking to be like a

47:42

$200 million movie its first week. Um, I

47:45

think a lot of these movies, whether

47:47

it's uh Project Hail Mary, this movie,

47:50

um, it there's a lot of love for movies

47:53

that are just wellmade by Hollywood and

47:56

good and fresh that feel fresh. So, I

47:59

think these movies are killing it at the

48:01

box office cuz people and they're

48:03

actually watching it in theaters, too.

48:05

They're not just waiting till it goes to

48:06

digital. They like the community

48:07

experience of it. And so it's a really

48:10

interesting thing that that a lot of

48:11

these are hitting um that are that are

48:14

very human- centered. Um and I like

48:17

that. I like that.

48:18

>> Yeah, I'll see it. Um so your win is The

48:21

Devil Wears Prada.

48:23

>> No, the idea that these movies are going

48:25

to do like I just after Hail Mary, it's

48:28

that Prada has the same feeling of Hail

48:31

Mary. It it feels like real people made

48:34

it. It's like when you eat a meal that's

48:37

sort of fake, you and then you eat a

48:39

meal that's homemade.

48:40

>> It's It feels like real people made it

48:43

who thought about it, who care about

48:45

standards and quality. And

48:47

>> it didn't feel like AI made it. I don't

48:50

know what else to say.

48:51

>> The the rumors of creativity's death at

48:54

the hands of AI were greatly

48:55

exaggerated. So there was a moment about

48:59

24 months ago where everyone thought all

49:01

music is going to be generated by AI

49:02

that you'll just give it a good prompt

49:04

and it'll come up with new songs that

49:05

are better than Kanye's and that just h

49:07

didn't happen. the muscle between your

49:09

brain, the the creativity of a young

49:12

brain, the creativity that that still

49:15

has tremendous moes around it. And even

49:18

in design, like look at Sorro being shut

49:20

down. Like the the graphics you get

49:23

back, the design you get back, the

49:24

percentage of people in design working

49:26

at tech firms has actually gone up as a

49:28

percentage of their employment base.

49:30

Artists, you know, no AI, no AI is going

49:34

on tour right now. Yeah. But as far as I

49:36

know,

49:36

>> they're not going to tailor us with the

49:38

situation. They certainly are.

49:40

>> Where I think you're being a little bit

49:42

nostalgic because I think The Devil

49:43

Wears Prada and Hail Mary

49:45

>> are great movies and will do well at the

49:47

box office, but box office is still down

49:50

30% postco

49:52

>> content original content that breaks

49:53

through will find a way to monetize and

49:55

be successful. But this collective

49:58

nostalgia for the movie theater I pick

50:01

Ipic is going bankrupt where I where I

50:03

live.

50:03

>> I'm not talking about the movie theater.

50:04

talking about freshness in movies,

50:07

>> fresh creative,

50:08

>> fresh creative and and I'm saying it

50:10

does it actually these movies are

50:12

showing big pickup in movie theaters. I

50:15

don't overall downward trend,

50:17

>> right?

50:18

>> It's really interesting that people are

50:20

these movies are scoring well in

50:21

theaters. Like that's that's what I'm

50:24

saying.

50:24

>> Not all of them.

50:25

>> Well, it used to be it used to be that

50:27

all of that type of long form content

50:31

ran snake through a theater and we went

50:32

to the movies. I remember I mean I don't

50:34

know about you when I was a kid I used

50:37

to go to the movies two or three times a

50:38

week.

50:38

>> Yeah. Twice at least once a week.

50:40

>> Yeah. It was just what you did. It's

50:42

what you did on a date. Uh it's what I

50:43

did with my mom. This is what you did.

50:45

You went saw we Granted I lived in

50:47

Westwood and they had the best theaters

50:48

in the world. But um God I just tried to

50:52

think the last time I took my kids to a

50:53

movie. Anyways um I'm glad you liked it.

50:57

So my prediction is much more boring.

51:00

So I think so Intel is up uh fourfold

51:06

and I think it's up I'm sorry it's up

51:08

fivefold. It's up it's it's quintupled

51:10

over the last year and I think it's

51:12

about my prediction is it's going to uh

51:15

uh [ __ ] the bed because Amazon is now

51:18

>> bragging about it as you noted.

51:21

>> Yeah. And I I think it's I think it's a

51:23

great short right now. Amazon. Amazon

51:25

now sells both GPUs, what Nvidia does,

51:27

and CPUs, what Intel specializes in. And

51:31

Amazon's chip revenue is growing 150%

51:33

every 3 months. If it were a standalone

51:36

business, it would be generating 50

51:37

billion in annual recurring revenue.

51:39

That's more than AMD and about as much

51:41

as Intel. And OpenAI and Enthropic use

51:43

Amazon ship for their

51:44

>> So Amazon Interesting. That's

51:46

interesting.

51:47

>> Well, it's weird. I think I think it's I

51:48

think quite frankly I think uh in Nvidia

51:51

has its own has much stronger modes. The

51:54

vulnerable company here is the one

51:56

that's the latest meme stock and that's

51:58

Intel. Metaanthropic have signed deals

52:00

to use Google chips called TPUs. TPUs

52:03

are two times cheaper than Nvidia's

52:05

GPUs. And Intel looks just dramatically

52:08

overvalued and will and I think will be

52:10

the victim of this increased

52:12

competition. The stock again up

52:13

five-fold. Get this. Intel now has the

52:17

highest forward PE of any large cap,

52:21

trading at 118 times forward earnings.

52:24

>> Oh my god, it's such a loser company.

52:25

Get this.

52:26

>> Why?

52:27

>> AMD at 50, Amazon at 32, Nvidia at 26.

52:32

And at the same time, its business is

52:34

expected to grow slower than peers.

52:36

Anyways, the most overvalued stock.

52:39

>> What is the meme? Explain the meme for

52:40

the people.

52:41

>> Well, Intel was beaten down. Now it has

52:43

a great story. Now it has the backing of

52:45

a guy who's willing to use the full

52:47

faith and credit of the government. It's

52:49

the chip. Everyone thinks the the chips

52:52

are the bottleneck in the AI boom. It's

52:54

not actually. It's actually power and

52:56

the stock's up fivefold. And now again

53:00

see above it's trading at a forward

53:01

earnings of 118. It's growing slower

53:03

than everybody else.

53:05

>> And Amazon and Google are coming for

53:07

their launch.

53:08

>> Oh. So anyways, my prediction is

53:11

>> you're going to see

53:13

>> this thing is going to look like a giant

53:15

hill. It the the

53:17

>> That's a good one.

53:18

>> is over and Intel is going to be one of

53:20

the worst performing stocks in the tech

53:22

sector over the next 12 month. He's

53:23

going to come after you instead of Jazz.

53:25

That's really good.

53:26

>> There we go.

53:27

>> Yeah.

53:28

>> Well, Intel has the look of an expectant

53:30

widow.

53:34

>> Um anyway,

53:35

>> uh that's really funny. Amazon that

53:37

Amazon is doing it is interesting.

53:38

Although I have to say I've given them

53:39

the heinous of the week award by them

53:42

leaking that they're going to make uh

53:43

the apprentice again with Dawn Jr.

53:46

>> Oh god, did you see that?

53:47

>> I know they're such suckups. And Jeff

53:49

was at the King Charles thing. Let me

53:51

just say you don't have enough There's

53:53

not enough budget for a cocaine budget

53:55

for that show.

53:56

>> That [ __ ] about our win.

53:57

>> I know.

53:58

>> King Charles, how good was he?

54:00

>> We didn't do win, but go ahead. Go

54:01

quickly do a win. King Charles was

54:04

[ __ ] fantastic. I have to say a

54:06

charmer. No one can thread the needle

54:09

around a thoughtful, intelligent

54:13

stab in the heart

54:15

>> like the British.

54:16

>> Yeah.

54:16

>> And when the king delivers it,

54:18

>> you know, I just loved I I loved I loved

54:22

the king saying, "You have often stated

54:24

that without us we would speaking

54:25

German. I'd just like to remind you that

54:27

without us you'd be speaking French."

54:29

>> Yeah.

54:30

>> He is he is so good. He whoever wrote

54:35

his speech a he delivered it perfectly.

54:37

He actually studied drama in college.

54:39

>> Yeah.

54:39

>> I just think I was so happy because I do

54:42

think he he stated what we need to know

54:45

and that is the alliance between uh

54:48

Britain and the US I would like to think

54:49

is unshakable. Also the king has been

54:51

sick. It's a really nice moment for him.

54:53

He is always

54:54

>> he did a good job. He did his kingly

54:55

duties.

54:56

>> I like the

54:57

>> he did his kingly

54:58

>> I like the monarchy and I always got the

55:00

sense that he's a really decent man.

55:02

>> Yeah he is. And uh so I just loved

55:05

seeing kind of his time in the sun and

55:08

just how good he was.

55:09

>> He did good. And the thing is doesn't

55:11

insult him because he loves the

55:13

monarchy. So he insulted Trump and he's

55:16

the only one who got away with it. Like

55:17

the didn't get away with it.

55:19

>> It was so elegant.

55:20

>> It was Yeah. Trump understood. Honestly,

55:24

they just wanted to meet the king. All

55:25

these people anyway. And those tech

55:27

people sucking up to the [ __ ] king

55:29

was just like, "Oh my, you guys, you are

55:33

bigger than Britain and that's you could

55:35

get a meeting with him anytime, give

55:36

money to his climate change thing."

55:39

Anyway, I love that the Republicans even

55:41

cheered for climate change uh uh help

55:43

with climate change cuz that's his big

55:45

that's Prince King Charles. I keep

55:47

calling him Prince Charles because he

55:48

was Prince for so long. But anyway, we

55:50

want to hear from you. Send us your

55:51

questions about business tech or

55:53

whatever's on your mind. Go to

55:54

nymag.com/pivot

55:56

to submit a question for the show or

55:57

call 8551 pivot. Elsewhere in the Karen

56:01

Scott universe this week, this week on

56:03

ProfG Conversations, Scott spoke with

56:05

Ian Bremer about how the Iran war

56:08

fracturing alliances and rising global

56:10

tensions are reshaping the world order

56:12

with no clear winners. Let's listen to a

56:15

clip. Whether it's Epstein or whether

56:18

it's Iran or whether it's the economy or

56:20

whether it's extraordinary corruption,

56:23

Trump has gone against

56:26

all of the things that got him elected.

56:29

And and I I don't I I certainly think,

56:32

okay, there are some MAGA supporters

56:34

that act like it's a cult and they'll

56:36

support him literally no matter what he

56:39

does. But that's not even all MAGA

56:41

supporters. Not at all. This is not a

56:43

These people are not brainwashed

56:44

automatons. They're not idiots. They

56:47

they ultimately see when their leader is

56:50

screwing them and it matters to them.

56:52

And some of those people, they may not

56:54

vote for Dems, but they'll stay home.

56:57

>> Interesting. He's absolutely right.

56:58

That's what a Ted Hearnen said, too.

57:00

Anyway, that's the show. Thanks for

57:02

listening to Pivot and make sure uh to

57:04

like and subscribe to our YouTube

57:06

channel. We'll be back next week.

Interactive Summary

The discussion covered various current events, starting with the FCC ordering Disney to file early renewal applications for its ABC broadcast licenses due to an ongoing DEI investigation, coinciding with renewed efforts by Trump and Melania to remove Jimmy Kimmel from the air. This led to a broader debate on free speech, political attacks, and how media struggles to cover Donald Trump, with suggestions for sequestering his controversial statements into dedicated, brief segments. The conversation then shifted to an innovative advanced preventive healthcare concept called NECA, founded by Spotify's creators, offering comprehensive and affordable health screenings. Analysis of recent big tech earnings revealed massive capital expenditure in AI by Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta, leading to the coining of the term "ketamine economy" to describe an market disproportionately driven by AI. The ongoing lawsuit between Elon Musk and OpenAI was examined, highlighting Musk's changing narrative and alleged hypocrisy regarding AI safety. Additionally, Taylor Swift's efforts to trademark her voice and image against AI misuse sparked a discussion about intellectual property protection for artists in the age of AI. The segment concluded with a bearish prediction for Intel's stock, citing its overvaluation and increasing competition from tech giants like Amazon and Google in chip development.

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