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Kara Swisher: Elon Musk Is “Losing It On The Stand” | Pivot

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Kara Swisher: Elon Musk Is “Losing It On The Stand” | Pivot

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1608 segments

0:00

You know what I thought about doing,

0:01

Scott?

0:01

>> What's that?

0:02

>> I thought about going down to the

0:03

courtroom when I was in San Francisco

0:05

cuz I had some free time and just

0:06

sitting and waving at him. Hey girls,

0:09

what up?

0:15

Let's get to the news. Um, the FCC, this

0:18

story, Scott, has ordered Disney to file

0:21

early renewal applications for its ABC

0:23

owned broadcast licenses. These are

0:26

these are affiliates in different city

0:27

years ahead of the normal schedule. The

0:30

commission is citing an ongoing

0:31

investigation into Disney's DEI

0:33

practices as justification. More

0:36

notably, it comes days after Trump and

0:38

Melania renewed a push to take Jimmy

0:40

Kimmel off the air after he made a joke

0:42

about Melania being an expectant widow.

0:45

Uh Disney is pushing back hard. The new

0:47

CEO is not having it and he's being

0:50

supported by a range of companies and

0:52

everything else. This is a step too car

0:54

far for our good friend and [ __ ] uh

0:57

Brent Brenda Carr. Um I'm calling him

1:00

Brenda. Um who is a [ __ ] He's a [ __ ]

1:03

and he's just such a nakedly political

1:05

although I wouldn't want to say him

1:07

naked political person who is just

1:09

carrying water for the Trumps. Melania

1:11

doing this was you know fascinating.

1:15

But, you know, Kimmel's just emboldened

1:16

and has put out a series of things and

1:19

and no one's no one is putting up with

1:22

this [ __ ] and they're going to lose. The

1:23

FCC is going to lose in court. But what

1:25

a harassment of an American company, a

1:28

classic American company. What do you

1:29

think about this?

1:31

>> Well, I actually saw Kimmel's response.

1:33

I mean, the reality is late night TV is

1:35

dying without the help of

1:37

>> Exactly. Yeah.

1:38

>> And in a weird way, it kind of helps. I

1:40

think Jimmy Kimmel, all the late night

1:42

people are extraordinarily talented.

1:43

that is to be quick on your feet,

1:45

hardworking, come up with new material

1:47

every night. They're extraordinarily

1:48

talented people, all of them across the

1:50

whole spectrum,

1:50

>> right?

1:51

>> And I'm actually trying to get Jimmy

1:53

Kimmel to come be the interview for our

1:55

uh Propy Markets Live in Sat uh in uh

1:58

Los Angeles. Anyways, Jimmy, call me.

2:00

So, I think it'd be very interesting to

2:02

have him talk about it. I think I don't

2:03

think Jimmy should have I watched it

2:05

where he addressed it and said, "Of

2:06

course." I think he should just double

2:08

down and say, "I stand by everything I

2:11

said.

2:12

>> It's humor. He has he hasn't ensuing

2:15

skits are very funny.

2:17

>> He did he did he's done a series.

2:19

>> Okay, this is this is what's going on

2:21

here. Fascism. So, who said they're

2:26

poisoning the blood of our country? Oh,

2:28

that was Trump.

2:29

>> Oh my god.

2:30

>> Who described political opponents as

2:32

vermin?

2:33

>> Yeah, they Oh, come on.

2:35

>> Who told the squad to go back to where

2:37

they come from? Who who who said that

2:40

Adam Schiff was guilty of a crime that

2:44

is punishable by death? That's treason.

2:47

The dehumanization, the

2:48

delegitimization, the exclusion, the

2:51

criminalization,

2:52

the existential threat framing. No

2:55

individual in public office has done

2:58

more of this

2:59

>> in the world

3:00

>> than Donald Trump.

3:02

>> Can I interject? One of the things

3:03

that's incredible is that

3:06

>> these are the free speech warriors,

3:08

right? And I'm like, where are where's

3:10

all those folk? Where's the folk at the

3:12

free press? Where's the folk? Where's

3:13

Elon?

3:14

>> Comedyy's illegal. Remember that one.

3:15

Comedy should be legal again.

3:17

>> Where's Elon? I know he's busy in court

3:19

losing his mind, but

3:21

>> which isn't a very far stop. Um, but at

3:24

the same time, former FBI director James

3:27

Comey has been indicted yet again for

3:29

making a threat against President Trump

3:30

by photographing seashells on the beach

3:33

that said uh I think it's 80 86 46 47

3:37

whatever whichever president he is. Um,

3:40

it it was funny and he was just doing

3:42

it. And by the way, a lot of the right

3:45

had done it to Biden like 86, whatever

3:48

number he is, 46. Um,

3:50

>> I was a waiter. 86 men were out of

3:53

pumpkin soup. We would write we had a we

3:55

had a chalkboard that said claims it's a

3:57

mob kill.

3:58

>> He claims it's a mob killed name because

4:00

he lives in the 70s of New York, you

4:03

know, but this is like his his approval

4:06

ratings are underwater.

4:08

It doesn't work. It because everyone's

4:10

heard him talk like and then the culture

4:13

wars turning up the volume seems like

4:17

hey dude that was last year or two years

4:20

ago that worked and doesn't work anymore

4:22

cuz I think everyone's I mean Disney's

4:24

pushing back. This is just like an

4:26

astonishing array of like pe what I'm

4:30

more interested in is like Brenda and

4:31

the and and uh this guy who's running

4:34

the DOJ. I thought Pam Bondi was bad,

4:36

but Todd Blanch is competing for

4:38

suckiest sucker. A suocrat, if you will.

4:42

The enablers of this guy that go go for

4:45

it are really quite astonishing to me.

4:48

Even

4:48

>> Yeah. But isn't aren't we aren't we just

4:50

disappointed? I think we always blame

4:52

our political leaders and he is the

4:54

culprit here. But I'm shocked there

4:56

isn't more push back. I I just people

5:00

seem to be

5:01

>> I think we've become complacent. I think

5:04

we've taken a lot of our our norms and

5:06

our rights for granted and that people I

5:10

think people are complacent and I I'd

5:13

like to think that the midterms will

5:14

show maybe that they're not.

5:15

>> Yeah. Well, maybe the voting rights

5:17

>> people maybe errantly assume that things

5:19

will revert back to normal at some point

5:22

and

5:22

>> Oh, I don't think they're complacent.

5:23

There's been a lot of push back to the

5:25

Kimmel stuff and the Comey stuff. I just

5:27

think people are like, you know, enough

5:28

of this [ __ ] [ __ ] Why is he

5:29

taking up so much of our brain oxygen on

5:31

this nonsense? I think people are

5:34

>> It's working, Cara.

5:34

>> What? Hm.

5:35

>> I It's working. I think it's I think

5:37

it's sent a chill across all of all of

5:39

cable TV.

5:41

>> I don't think so. You look how Disney

5:43

has reacted. They're like, "No [ __ ]

5:44

way." Before it was a little bit

5:47

>> I know firsthand from a bunch of

5:48

producers that the legal cost in the

5:51

review of stuff has gone way up. And

5:53

anything that feels on the edge, they

5:54

say, "Can we say something else or can

5:56

we lighten the language?" I think this

5:58

intimidation and this chill is working.

6:00

>> Well, I don't know. I don't I don't

6:02

think I don't think it is. I don't think

6:03

it's going to work and I don't think it

6:05

it works. And you know these people like

6:08

Let me just tell you, Brenda, when you

6:10

leave office, which you will at some

6:12

point, I'm going to follow you

6:13

everywhere. Everywhere you try to get a

6:15

job, I'm going to bring up all your

6:17

terrible things. I'm going to make sure

6:18

people know what you did. I'm going to

6:21

make sure people understand who Brenda

6:23

is because there's nothing we can do

6:25

about Trump at this point. I was just

6:26

thinking that he is in our head so much

6:29

we have to like remove him from our head

6:31

but it doesn't mean ignoring him. It

6:34

means removing we get so sucked into

6:37

their ridiculous comical toxically

6:41

comical drama. It it's got to be time to

6:43

say, "You're in our [ __ ] rearview

6:45

mirror, old man. Old cankle, you know,

6:49

man of cognitive questionability like,

6:53

and move him along, you know, just move

6:56

him along."

6:56

>> You brought up you brought up an

6:58

interesting thing, and that is the media

7:00

just doesn't know how to cover Trump.

7:02

Showing up dressed to the nines to have

7:04

him say he's delegitimate at a in a

7:07

windowless ballroom. Okay. Clearly, the

7:08

media does not know how to deal with

7:10

this guy. The idea I like

7:11

>> 10 years now, 10 years.

7:13

>> The idea I like is newspapers and uh

7:17

cable news companies all do the

7:19

following. Instead of having four or

7:21

five stories in a narrative about what

7:23

he's done and interviewing people about

7:25

how ridiculous it is. I think I think

7:27

they should have a twominute segment and

7:29

one page on the back page that are the

7:31

following. This is what Trump said

7:33

today. And just really quickly outline

7:36

it. Today he accused

7:37

>> he he brought up he said this about this

7:39

person. He said these these people are

7:41

animals. He said the shell thing and

7:43

just do it really quickly. This is what

7:45

Trump said today.

7:47

>> Yeah.

7:47

>> And sequester it and you can get it all

7:49

in one place because what happens now is

7:51

22 of the 27 minutes or I'm sorry 18 of

7:54

the 24 minutes, whatever the the the

7:57

actual content load is on TV is

8:00

different stories that involve him. I

8:02

>> agree.

8:02

>> And he is like he is like a Star Wars

8:05

character or a a villain, a Marvel

8:07

comics character. He gains power from

8:10

conflict.

8:11

>> Yeah. Exactly.

8:12

>> And from um controversy.

8:14

>> Yeah.

8:14

>> And what I'm saying is what I I think

8:16

they should do is I think they should do

8:18

the news

8:19

>> and they should just take everything

8:20

Trump and go he said this this this and

8:24

this today. We'll see you tomorrow

8:25

night.

8:26

>> Yeah. They make segments about it. Yeah,

8:28

they do. We got to like we as as

8:30

Jennifer Welch calls him ring fence it.

8:32

>> Ring fence him and be like he I was I

8:35

was you know what I did when I was

8:36

coming back from San Francisco? I walked

8:38

into a store and I bought an actual book

8:41

and um I was like that's enough. I was

8:45

like I'm gonna read a book not read not

8:47

like participate in the social media

8:49

around him. I mean it's sometimes it's

8:50

fun and I really have to say Jimmy

8:52

Kimmel's actually doing a great job

8:54

about he said he's finally brought

8:56

Melania and Trump together. He's using

8:58

it as content which he should do. Um,

9:01

but in a lot of ways just laughing at

9:03

this poor obese old man is I think the

9:08

way to go here. Mock him relentlessly on

9:11

all manner of things. And then his It's

9:13

not ignoring it because I think that's a

9:15

mistake. There's a lot of people telling

9:16

me I'm just not reading it at all, which

9:19

could come off as I'm not engaged. But

9:22

>> you know how on page three of the Sun

9:23

they used to have a naked hot woman?

9:25

Yeah.

9:26

>> Page three of every newspaper. This is

9:27

the [ __ ] Trump said. This is what Trump

9:29

said today. Just list it all 10 minutes

9:31

every night. National news cover the

9:33

news. Try not talk about what's going on

9:35

in Iran. Da da da. And then

9:36

>> Yeah.

9:38

>> This is what Trump said today.

9:39

>> Yeah.

9:39

>> And that just go through it all because

9:42

he he is totally dominating the news

9:45

cycle. He gets energy from conflict.

9:48

People see it as authentic and and

9:50

leadership. And he like

9:53

>> I just can't

9:54

>> just There's so many idiot characters

9:55

like that smug piece and that smug

9:58

deflection of Pete Hegath is smirky.

10:01

Like literally that's his like hearings.

10:04

It's he's so smirky and stupid. It's

10:06

really kind of like I don't like these

10:08

characters anymore.

10:09

>> Representative Molton was good.

10:11

Representative there was some there was

10:12

some really good I'm

10:14

>> I'm actually I feel bad. I'm actually

10:16

consistently impressed with some of our

10:18

elected representatives. Oh, I meant to

10:20

tell you before I forgot. I went and did

10:22

something you would love. Have you heard

10:24

of um

10:25

>> Neco or Niko? Neo. Neco.

10:27

>> No. What is it?

10:28

>> It's this advanced preventive healthc

10:30

care concept from the founders of

10:32

Spotify. No.

10:33

>> So, I just want to disclose. I got no

10:34

compensation for this. This is not It's

10:37

going to sound like an ad.

10:38

>> Okay.

10:38

>> You go into this place and they

10:40

basically take your blood, put all sorts

10:43

of cuffs on you for blood pressure and

10:45

measurement. They have all these lasers

10:46

and scans and then they take you go into

10:48

this tube and they take 2400 pictures of

10:51

you. Okay, but here's the thing. It's

10:53

amazing. And then they do it all

10:54

immediately. Give you put you in a room

10:56

with a doctor and they go through

10:57

everything visually in a very user

10:59

friendly. It was like something out of

11:00

the movie Gatka.

11:02

>> And I thought, okay, how much I I said,

11:04

I need to pay because I don't want to be

11:05

seen as I I don't like the whole

11:07

influencer thing. I'm like, I need to

11:08

pay. I have the money.

11:10

>> Do you know how much it was?

11:11

>> How much?

11:12

>> It was £300.

11:14

>> Oh. Oh, they Oh, in

11:15

>> I thought it was going to be 3,000

11:17

pounds.

11:17

>> Oh, wow. Interesting.

11:19

>> And you get a baseline of all your good

11:21

cholesterols, your bad cholesterols,

11:23

your circulatory health, uh, everything

11:25

about it did change my behavior. You

11:27

know, I have one of these ridiculously

11:30

expensive concier things. This thing and

11:32

there was a line out the door to get

11:34

into.

11:34

>> That's a great This is what they do at

11:35

Korea for everybody. Everybody gets

11:38

these tests once a year. And it's the

11:40

guys from Spotify and they're I I'm I'm

11:43

such a huge They're trying to

11:45

democratize

11:46

>> advanced preventive medicine. It's

11:48

called NECA.

11:49

>> I like that idea.

11:50

>> And you get and you get a baseline that

11:53

I mean

11:54

>> they did this thing with 2400 pictures

11:55

of, you know, basically you're naked to

11:57

look at I'm very fair and I'm prone to

11:59

skin cancers. And they said, "All right,

12:01

you have 2200 marks. All of them are

12:03

fine except for these 12 300 lb."

12:09

Anyways, I was blown away. We should

12:12

have filmed at this thing. And and also,

12:14

you and I have discovered by watching

12:16

your show and going to Neco.

12:18

>> I try to run once or twice a week and I

12:21

was always I rode crew and one time I

12:23

was in very good cardiovascular health.

12:25

I push myself running. That's just the

12:27

way I run. And I time myself and I try

12:30

and lower my times and I row and I try

12:32

and get my

12:33

>> 100%. I have I just figured that out.

12:36

They're like, "No, what's it called?

12:37

zone two or level two where you

12:38

supposedly can have a conversation but

12:39

you can't sing

12:40

>> zone one two and three.

12:41

>> So I last night I ran slowly jogged for

12:45

40 minutes and that's supposed to be the

12:47

way to do it. But anyways and

12:49

unfortunately unfortunately they say the

12:51

same [ __ ] thing to me. I'm like how

12:52

do I change my diet and and Dr. Pramla

12:56

and I asked her if I could use her name.

12:58

She said the same thing. They're like

12:59

well they're all so polite. They're like

13:01

you may want to consider drinking a

13:03

little bit less.

13:04

>> Yes. I think you may want to do that. I

13:06

think you may want to

13:07

>> you may want to consider drinking a

13:08

littleing you. This is so great. By the

13:11

way, this week's episodes about about

13:13

loneliness and uh connection. You'll

13:15

like it. All right. Now, we got to get

13:16

to a rundown of latest big tech earnings

13:18

are all over the place, which are uh

13:21

some are calling AOI's moment of

13:22

reckoning. First up, Alphabet. The

13:24

company reported a 22% surge in first

13:27

quarter revenue with sales reaching

13:28

around 110 billion. What a number. Net

13:32

income was up 81% compared to the same

13:34

period a year ago. Shares for Alphabet

13:36

are up 15% year-to date at the time of

13:38

this taping. Microsoft, the company,

13:40

beat expectations with revenues

13:42

increasing 18% year-over-year for the

13:44

quarter. Capital spending for the

13:46

company will reach 190 billion, though

13:48

this year, a 61% increase over 2025.

13:53

Amazon beat expectations, expanding

13:55

revenue in its cloud computing segment

13:57

by 28% year-over-year. The company

13:59

announced it expects to spend 200

14:01

billion on AI in 2026. And finally, Meta

14:05

reported lower than expected capex uh

14:08

missed on user growth, which is

14:09

interesting. This is the first time,

14:11

which attributed in part to internet

14:13

disruptions in Iran. They're blaming

14:15

Iran. I don't think so. Daily active

14:17

people was down over 5% over the fourth

14:19

quarter. In better news, revenue climbed

14:21

33% from a year earlier, making it the

14:23

fastest growing quarter since 2021. So

14:26

what jumps out at you about these four

14:28

uh uh companies besides their enormous

14:31

spending on AI obviously

14:34

um but what's what jumps out

14:36

>> AI I used to say this the attention

14:38

economy it's now the it's now the

14:41

ketamine economy where it's dissociated

14:43

from everything else but AI and I said

14:46

yesterday on prop markets that I thought

14:48

these guys were going to blow away their

14:49

expectations because what do they

14:51

monetize they monetize spending around

14:54

AI and And up until today or until AI

14:57

came on they the driver was they

14:59

monetized attention with everything

15:01

that's going on in the world. Are you

15:02

less or more glued to your phone? I I

15:04

can't stop looking at my [ __ ] phone

15:06

like okay who did we bomb today or what?

15:09

So let's just go through the earnings

15:10

which were nothing short of staggering.

15:15

Alphabet's revenues were up 22% to 110

15:17

billion. They beat consensus. Their

15:20

consensus was $5 was 263. They came in

15:23

at 511. And although some of that was an

15:25

unnatural equity gain, Google Cloud hit

15:27

20 billion, up 63% with their backlog

15:31

doubling. Search revenue 460 billion.

15:34

Jesus Christ, their backlog's a half a

15:36

trillion dollars.

15:37

>> Search revenue, which was supposedly

15:38

going away because of Open AI was up

15:41

19%.

15:42

>> Well,

15:43

>> Gemini paid monthly active users is up

15:45

40% quarter on quarter.

15:47

>> Gemini is doing well, I would say. But

15:50

go ahead. fullear capex guidance went

15:54

up. The investors don't like that

15:55

because as strong as their topline is,

15:56

everyone's saying we need to spend more

15:58

money. Their stock was up 8% in after

16:00

hours. Let's talk about Microsoft. Azure

16:03

grew faster than anyone expected. Uh but

16:06

they had to boost their capex guidance,

16:07

which investors don't like. Revenue up

16:09

18% to $83 billion. They also beat

16:12

consensus wildly. Azure grew 40%. The AI

16:16

business crossed 37 billion annual run

16:19

rate. That's up 123% year-on-year. Their

16:21

commercial backlog is up to 2/3 of a

16:24

trillion, 627. Their QN capex was 32

16:28

billion, but it's been raised. Their

16:30

fullear capex, they've raised 190

16:32

billion, well above the 155 they'd

16:34

expected. Open AAI committed an

16:36

additional quarter of a trillion dollars

16:38

in Azure spend the day before the print,

16:40

but the stock was down 2%. Meta

16:45

Jesus Jesus Christ, Cara. Meta revenue

16:49

was up 33%

16:53

to $56 billion.

16:54

>> Efficiencies of AI. This is

16:56

>> earnings of 10 of $1044.

17:00

Um although a bunch of it was a tax

17:02

benefit. Ad impressions were up 19% and

17:05

their uh average price per ad was up

17:08

12%. Q2 revenue guided to 60 billion

17:11

which implies 25% growth. Fullear capex

17:14

again this is what investors don't like.

17:16

They raised to 135 billion from 120 and

17:21

then um also higher component prices and

17:24

the stock fell 9% after hours. Last one,

17:27

Amazon

17:29

>> fastest growth in 15 quarters, but free

17:32

cash flow collapsed because of their

17:34

capex. Again, good. What the analysts

17:37

love, they're blowing away their top

17:38

line. What the analysts hate is they're

17:40

all saying we need to spend more money.

17:42

>> Revenue was up 17%.

17:44

EPS blew away but unfort that was

17:47

because of a recognition of a gain in

17:49

anthropic stock that from their

17:50

investment there AWS hit 38 billion up

17:54

28% advertising grew 24% Q1 capbacks

17:57

again what the analysts don't like went

17:59

from 44 billion um uh I'm sorry capbacks

18:03

44 billion full year at 200 billion free

18:06

cash flow fell see above they're

18:07

increasing their capex openai re

18:10

recently committed to consume two

18:12

gigawatts of tranium capacity uh through

18:15

AWS. So all of a sudden they're getting

18:18

into the chip game and stock rose the

18:20

stock rose 3% after it is literally I

18:23

I'm on so I sit in a lot of what does

18:27

this say to you?

18:30

Oh my gosh. A beating the world.

18:33

>> Yeah. Yeah. Go ahead.

18:34

>> It is living up to its expectations, but

18:36

the capex required to live up to those

18:40

expectation to deliver against the

18:41

demand is sucking is basically like like

18:45

taking all the juice out of the

18:47

earnings. The capex requirement to live

18:49

up to the demand, the infrastructure

18:51

buildout.

18:52

>> So when does that stop? It's sort of

18:54

like having a hot spouse that requires a

18:56

lot of money for you to stay.

18:59

>> Yeah. Trust me, I know that feeling. Uh,

19:00

what does it require?

19:01

>> What does it what does it require for

19:03

that to not

19:04

>> must work hard? That's what I would say

19:06

to myself. Must work harder. Um,

19:08

>> well, they're doing that.

19:10

>> Must work harder. Uh, what does it

19:12

require?

19:12

>> When is the spending going to stop?

19:16

Well, when a big a big customer

19:18

announces they're reducing their spend

19:20

IAI or one of these companies announces,

19:24

OpenAI basically said that they kind of

19:26

[ __ ] the bed that their their numbers

19:28

didn't meet expectations, but the bigger

19:31

guys, these players are all just on

19:34

fire. I don't see

19:35

>> Can I note the open thing you just

19:37

referenced? There are internal concerns

19:38

about the company's spending plans and

19:40

its user revenue targets. According to

19:42

the Wall Street Journal, Open I missed

19:43

internal goal of reaching 1 billion

19:45

weekly active chat GPT users by the end

19:48

of 2025 has seen subscriber defections.

19:51

I think that's all due to you. The

19:52

company is also denying there's a rift

19:54

between Sam Alman and CFO Sarah Frier

19:57

over computing resources and they're of

19:59

course approaching their IPO although

20:01

they're we'll get to their trial next

20:03

trial with Elon um which is also another

20:06

distraction. Um, but they're they're

20:09

seeing a lot of bumps as they go into

20:11

it. So, is there like a reckoning moment

20:14

or what? How do you look at it? Just one

20:16

big customer.

20:17

>> By the way,

20:19

>> I started on my next book. That's the

20:20

name of it. The reckoning.

20:21

>> Oh, the reckoning. Oh, didn't I use the

20:24

word reckoning? I feel like I inspired

20:26

that. You liked when I said reckoning

20:28

last week.

20:29

>> If the book works, if it's a bestseller

20:31

was your idea.

20:31

>> Okay.

20:32

>> I think there's a reckoning coming in

20:33

America and I think there's a reckoning

20:35

coming in the markets. like what is the

20:37

but keep in mind that this AI is now

20:41

sucking so much oxygen out of the out of

20:43

the room. I sit in a lot of VC pitches.

20:46

If you're not an AI company, you can't

20:47

raise money right now. I mean, it is

20:49

very difficult. And by the way, I'm on

20:52

the board of an AI company that's

20:54

growing 4x a year. And they're like,

20:55

that's not enough. Unless you're growing

20:57

10x a year as an AI company that's

21:00

purely software. this company called

21:02

Rogo that is uh it's a great great

21:05

little company that is basically AI for

21:08

financial institutions. They just closed

21:09

around at $2 billion,

21:11

>> right? No, it's nuts

21:12

>> on on I think I think it's trading at

21:14

100 times revenues or something insane

21:16

and they're going to get they raise $100

21:17

million. You literally if you are not an

21:20

AI right now and growing, you know,

21:23

five, seven, 10x a year, you can't raise

21:25

money. And this is it is a in my opinion

21:29

it's a it's a kind of a all of the GDP

21:33

growth is coming from the capex and AI

21:35

all of the earnings growth 77% of the

21:37

earnings growth is coming from the MAG

21:38

10 right

21:39

>> we are becoming said this before yeah

21:42

the price of gas

21:43

>> America is a giant bet on AI and people

21:45

are people are wondering

21:47

>> and breakfast with a big tech CEO today

21:50

they kept people are really how is the

21:53

S&P hitting all-time highs with such

21:54

geopolitical uncertainty and oil at 110

21:57

bucks a barrel. And the reality is

21:59

America is now a giant bet on AI. And I

22:02

in a weird way, the the war in Iran kind

22:05

of helps these guys. First off, none of

22:07

these guys are affected by high oil

22:10

prices.

22:11

>> They were all at the White House last

22:13

week with this week with King Charles.

22:15

Every one of them was there. Again, by

22:17

the way,

22:18

>> all of them.

22:18

>> And then, by the way, the high oil

22:20

prices, that money, the additional cost

22:23

circulates within our economy. It hurts

22:25

consumers. But Chevron and Hallebertton

22:26

are making a [ __ ] ton of money, right?

22:28

>> So, it's oil mogul and tech moguls.

22:31

>> We're a net That's right. We're a net

22:33

exporter. And there's a very unhealthy

22:35

thing

22:36

the And I'm writing a thing called the

22:38

ketamine economy. And that is

22:40

>> ketamine supposedly is

22:43

dissociate and you can see your issues

22:45

and your addictions and your problems

22:46

and forgive yourself and have a better

22:48

handle on stuff. And people say it's a

22:50

world breakthrough. The the most

22:53

dangerous thing I think about the world

22:54

we live in in America right now is that

22:57

if you live in America and you're in the

22:59

0.1%

23:01

you are not invested in the well-being

23:03

of America. Why? Do you care about

23:05

infrastructure? You don't care about

23:07

TSA. You don't care about airports. You

23:08

don't care about you. You have you go to

23:10

Teter Bro and you're flying your own

23:12

plane. Do you care about the fact that

23:13

40% of third graders can't read? No. You

23:15

have your own private schools where they

23:16

spend $75,000 per student. Do you care

23:19

about policing and safety? No. You live

23:21

in a doorman building in a neighborhood

23:23

that is so overpoliced and has so many

23:25

cameras. You're just fine. Do you care

23:27

about the health of America? No. You

23:28

have concierge medical services that

23:31

give you everything you need. The wealth

23:33

the people who control our government or

23:35

have a disproportionate influence have

23:37

totally dissociated

23:40

disassociated from America's interests.

23:43

And even more frightening is that

23:46

America, you could argue, has

23:48

disassociated from the global interest.

23:50

Do we care about high oil prices?

23:53

>> Not really.

23:54

>> Wow.

23:54

>> Do we care about HIV infections in

23:56

Zambia? Not really.

23:59

>> We have two oceans protecting us from

24:01

chaos, disease.

24:03

>> I I'm not so sure about those things.

24:05

>> You could argue eventually it hits our

24:06

shores, but right now the markets

24:09

>> No, the market the rich people. I get

24:11

it. It's a Pierre don't care economy. Do

24:13

you know the book Pierre don't doesn't

24:14

care? I don't care. That it's a it's a

24:17

wonderful um children's thing where he

24:20

eventually gets eaten by a lion because

24:22

he doesn't care. He always says I don't

24:23

care.

24:24

>> But that's what they're like. It's a

24:25

peer I don't care group of people.

24:26

>> We have to figure out economic policies

24:29

that give the wealthiest people in our

24:30

nation a vested interest in the success

24:32

of America.

24:32

>> Yes. The people I'm telling you there's

24:34

an anger. You can feel it. It's palpable

24:37

that they do not hear.

24:39

>> Hope so. They have gone from they have

24:42

literally gone from heroes to villains.

24:45

And let me say I get it everywhere I go.

24:48

Everywhere from and it's not you know

24:50

like oh it's the you know it's the

24:52

people you know the working class. It's

24:54

everybody who's not like them and it is

24:59

angry. It is deeply and profoundly

25:02

angry. And even more so than it at Trump

25:06

they sort of have it's all figured in.

25:08

he's a terrible person or if they don't

25:09

like him. And even the there was just a

25:11

really interesting story about all the

25:12

people that voted for him are like we're

25:14

very disappointed and we now regret our

25:17

vote which is sort of like okay

25:19

>> or fine whatever. But there's a there is

25:22

a growing anger that I think they do not

25:24

understand of v of them being villains

25:26

and they're behaving like villains. um

25:28

we have to move on but we'll see where

25:30

this goes because if they're the only

25:32

ones that benefit and all the other

25:34

companies don't there isn't as you say a

25:37

reckoning it's a great word it actually

25:39

is from the middle English I'll just

25:41

read this to you from narration account

25:43

settling accounts and it's about the act

25:46

of calculating estimating or settling

25:48

accounts often carrying a connotation of

25:50

judgment retribution or facing

25:53

consequences

25:55

reckoning

25:56

>> yeah it's the act it's the act of

25:58

setting accounts and consequences.

26:00

>> That's right. Scott's going to have a to

26:02

give you a reckoning. Anyway, um let's

26:04

take a quick break. Speaking of

26:05

reckoning, um when we come back, Elon

26:08

takes the stand.

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26:55

Scott, we're back. Elon Mus took the

26:57

stand this week in a trial against

26:58

OpenAI. Let's go through some of the

27:00

things he said. He was a quote fool to

27:03

provide OpenAI's early funding. He

27:05

discussed his concerns about AI and not

27:07

wanting to have a Terminator outcome. He

27:09

accused OpenAI's lawyer of trying to

27:11

trick him. When asked uh why he brought

27:14

the suit, Elon said it's not okay to

27:15

steal a charity, warning if he loses it,

27:18

it would give license to looting every

27:20

charity in America. By the way, Elon is

27:23

not charitable at all in any way. FYI,

27:26

the judge pushed back, reminding juries

27:28

that Elon's claims and his opinions have

27:30

no legal value whatsoever. As I

27:32

predicted, a number of prospective

27:34

jurors had thoughts about Elon, with

27:35

some calling him a greedy, racist,

27:37

homophobic piece of garbage and a

27:39

world-class jerk in questionnaires. Um,

27:42

I think his his this has not been good

27:45

for Elon. One of the things that Ellie

27:47

said is they're not used to being um

27:50

when he gave us that uh video last week

27:54

was that these that they're not used to

27:56

being challenged publicly and he is

27:58

losing his brain on he looks terrible

28:01

and he needs to control himself which he

28:03

speaking of ketamine he cannot he has no

28:06

ability to do so. Um I'm going to be

28:08

fair to him. He was the first person who

28:10

did talk about this Terminator outcome

28:13

15 years ago to me or something some

28:15

maybe 10. Um and he was the first person

28:18

to be very worried about it. He shifted

28:20

becoming less worried over the various

28:23

interviews. At first it was Terminator,

28:25

then you were a house cat and then we

28:27

were like ants that are just going to

28:28

get covered by a highway which isn't

28:31

mean or anything. Um, but one of the

28:33

things I would say is he started off

28:36

that way and then he immediately lost

28:38

his mind because he he tipped out of

28:41

Open AI because he thought they couldn't

28:43

make it. And these emails talk about

28:45

that and he signed away his rights. He

28:48

did give them 38 million, not 100 as

28:50

he's claimed in other depositions. So he

28:53

keeps changing the number. Um, which

28:56

isn't good when you're under oath. Um,

28:58

but one of the things that uh is very

29:01

clear here is that he shifted to being a

29:04

greedy hypocrite and started his own

29:06

company that includes non-consensual

29:09

uh uh sexual images and child

29:11

pornography. So, it's not like he's here

29:14

to save us and he's trying to put

29:16

himself off as someone who's worried

29:18

about uh AI and is fully participating

29:23

in the damage it does. Your thoughts? So

29:27

what I what I have heard how this went

29:29

down and very like broadbrush actions

29:32

that kind of give a sense of the what

29:34

went down here and tell me if you've

29:35

heard different

29:37

>> is that Sam actually tried to raise $500

29:40

million when it was a nonprofit for the

29:42

nonprofit and was unable to do that.

29:45

Elon showed up and said this needs to be

29:48

a for-profit company and I need to

29:51

control it and own 80% of it. after he

29:53

had given the money. Yes, that's exactly

29:55

what happened.

29:55

>> And the people there said, "No, we're

29:57

not up for the for-profit Elon controls

30:01

part of the game brand." He does that on

30:04

every company. But go ahead.

30:06

>> So he said, "I'm out." And he signed

30:08

paperwork. This is the This is literally

30:11

the biggest example of sellers regret in

30:14

history.

30:15

>> You're right. And then the other fact

30:16

pattern here about his quote unquote

30:18

trying to pretend he's more noble than

30:20

he is and he's really worried about AI.

30:23

Who went on to develop an LLM that most

30:26

experts would say has the fewest guard

30:29

rails? Elon with XAI.

30:31

>> Yep.

30:32

>> So the fact pattern here, the narrative,

30:34

and this is my prediction. I don't think

30:37

Open AI, I said last week I thought they

30:39

were going to settle. I don't think Open

30:40

AI wants to settle. I think their

30:42

attitude is

30:43

>> I think I think Elon's either going to

30:45

drop the case or lose.

30:47

>> Well, it's a jury trial and then the

30:49

judge decides on the referee whatever

30:52

the remedies are.

30:54

>> It's a it's

30:56

found

30:57

>> right.

30:57

>> But if they're found if open AI is found

30:59

not guilty or that there's then it's

31:02

over.

31:02

>> Oh, he could I bet he could appeal. He

31:04

can always appeal. He's got so much

31:06

money.

31:08

I mean, Trump's going to appeal the

31:09

Eugene Carol thing to the Supreme Court

31:11

now that he's lost in the appeals court,

31:15

>> the 83 million.

31:16

>> Shocked he wants to keep bringing that

31:17

up.

31:17

>> Well, he doesn't want to pay 83 million.

31:19

He doesn't want to pay that. He'll have

31:20

to pay that if he if the Supreme Court

31:23

doesn't bring the money down presumably.

31:27

>> He wants to get it to 10 million.

31:28

>> He's going to have to pay or something.

31:30

>> Launch another coin.

31:31

>> Yeah. Anyways,

31:32

>> back to the Open AI case. Everything

31:34

I've seen fits this narrative that Elon

31:40

once this thing became commercially

31:42

viable, he wanted it to flip to

31:44

forprofit and he wanted to own it all

31:46

and that he legally gave up his

31:47

ownership and his governance rights.

31:49

Well, one of the things he was concerned

31:52

he absolutely and one of the interesting

31:54

things I love them being under oath

31:56

because now I finally hear the things I

31:58

thought were true like that Larry Page

32:00

and he got into an argument cuz he was

32:02

he was a doom a doom doomer for sure

32:05

back then and Larry Page called him a

32:08

speciesist for being concerned be overly

32:11

overly negative which I'm like yeah this

32:15

we like the the human species just sorry

32:18

You know, these people, these people, I

32:21

can't tell you. I'm so pleased for

32:23

people to see them as they are, right?

32:27

You know, when someone said greedy,

32:28

racist, homophobic, piece of garbage,

32:31

I'm like, you see what I'm saying? Like,

32:34

jerks. Um, don't care about people. This

32:38

whole thing is fantastic because they're

32:40

under oath and they have to show

32:42

themselves and they also have to show

32:44

how they're trying to present

32:45

themselves. Like Elon is the savior of

32:47

the world when he has decimated. He's

32:50

responsible for the millions of these

32:52

deaths that are going to happen because

32:53

of USID. He's responsible for all manner

32:56

of stuff that he's been doing on

32:58

Twitter. And he wants to present himself

33:01

as it is like Thanos. Thanos has an idea

33:04

of himself as a hero when he's the

33:06

villain because he's he's helping the

33:08

human race and he talks about it.

33:10

>> To me, this defines Messiah Complex.

33:12

Full stop. He He's the guy to to

33:15

colonize to turn us into an

33:17

interplanetary species. Only him. He's

33:19

the one that should control AI. He's I

33:21

just And I It's literally I'm Jesus

33:25

Christ.

33:26

>> Yeah. Yeah.

33:28

>> Yep. I would agree. I don't know. I

33:30

don't think it's good for him and I

33:31

don't think him getting agit this lawyer

33:33

actually worked for him at one point and

33:35

then worked against him. So, he's

33:37

familiar with this firm and he's just

33:40

losing it on the stand, which is just

33:42

what he should not do. He should be as

33:44

calm as cucumber and he can't be. And

33:47

it'll be interesting the contrast with I

33:49

think Sam will be smooth as silk. I

33:51

think he's not online. On online, he's

33:54

kind of sad over on Twitter. Sad Sam and

33:57

Elon's crazy Elon. And by the way, an

33:59

increase in white supremacist post, too.

34:02

Um, but Sam has got to hold it together

34:05

during and so does Greg Brockman. Um,

34:08

and so does Satcha, which will help

34:10

anchor Open AI quite a bit, as you said.

34:14

So, we'll see. You know what I thought

34:16

about doing, Scott? I thought about

34:17

going down to the courtroom when I was

34:18

in San Francisco cuz I had some free

34:21

time and just sitting and waving at him

34:23

>> just to get him even more riled up.

34:25

>> Just troll him.

34:26

>> Hey, girl.

34:26

>> Does he show up? Does he go to court?

34:28

Oh, he's on the stand. I guess they're

34:30

all in court. They're all there. It's

34:32

that's they have to go, I guess, because

34:34

I thought about going and just waving at

34:35

all of them going, "Hey girls, what up?

34:38

What's can we all get along?" That kind

34:41

of stuff,

34:41

>> but and I didn't. I I hung out with

34:43

Lily.

34:45

>> Okay, let's go on a quick break. When we

34:47

come back, Taylor Swift fights back

34:48

against AI. Support for this show comes

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36:54

Scott, we're back. Taylor Swift has

36:55

filed a new trademark application for

36:57

two voice clips in one image that are

37:00

likely uh an effort to protect her voice

37:02

and image from AI misuse. This is

37:04

something a lot of celebrities are

37:05

doing, but she's probably the biggest

37:06

one. The voice clips are sound

37:08

trademarks covering Swiss voice with

37:10

clips of her saying, "Hey, it's Taylor

37:11

Swift and hey, it's Taylor." Registering

37:14

a celebrity's spoken voice has not been

37:16

tested in court. Matthew McConnA has

37:18

also trademarked his use of his images

37:20

and voice in January. It's an

37:22

interesting strategy. Um,

37:25

and she she did an really interesting

37:27

interview with Joe Casarelli, who I love

37:29

at the New York Times, called the 30

37:31

Greatest Living American Songwriters.

37:33

Really wonderful story. It it does a

37:35

range of people and it's really

37:37

terrific. Let's listen to what she had

37:38

to say. If there's any way we can make

37:41

confessional songwriting a little bit

37:42

more of something that isn't like people

37:45

take that as sort of like you were being

37:47

messy or whatever, you you have to be

37:50

fair to everyone. Then are like are rap

37:52

beefs messy or are they confessional?

37:54

Like we've got to just like let's make

37:57

it a music conversation rather than just

37:59

like ganging up on the female artists.

38:01

And I think the more male artists that

38:04

are messy or emotionally complex or

38:07

confessional or upset,

38:10

um, the happier I am. And then thirdly,

38:13

this Universal deal is going to trigger

38:15

something in her contract that's going

38:16

to force, uh, Universal to pay out all

38:20

its artists, even if they gave them

38:22

advances. um if it sells, she put it in

38:25

to protect herself, but it also uh she

38:29

the the way she wrote it, everybody who

38:31

is at Universal will have to be paid

38:33

out. So, she's getting enormous payouts

38:35

for all the artists and this possible

38:37

deal for Universal, which I think will

38:39

endear her to many artists. Um what do

38:42

you think here about any of this? I know

38:43

you don't like her, but she's a

38:44

tremendous business person.

38:46

>> I never said

38:47

>> I know you don't like her music here. I

38:49

don't that's not fair to say I don't

38:51

like her.

38:51

>> Okay. not her music. Excuse me.

38:54

>> Yeah. Uh so look, the

38:58

I I'm a fan of bearing on the side of

39:01

protections around people's IP and

39:05

essentially

39:06

Google coming in and crawling every

39:08

media company. Um people using people's

39:11

likeness, their voice. I I I believe

39:15

Jensen Hong said it. Everyone should own

39:17

their digital twin. And that's not only

39:19

the physical rendering, but also your

39:22

voice, your likeness. People spend a lot

39:24

of time and energy trying to develop IP

39:27

that they own that they can decide to

39:29

give to their heirs or sell their

39:30

catalog or their likeness or their image

39:33

and they should own it. And so I'm a I'm

39:35

a fan of these cases and the fact that

39:37

she's doing it on behalf of other

39:38

artists is really wonderful. And she's

39:40

very high-profile and people have

39:42

enormous affection for her. So she has

39:44

she's immediately going to get public

39:46

support for whatever she does. So, I'm a

39:48

fan of this. I'm a fan of how she's

39:50

handling it. And we need

39:53

these companies. I think you said it or

39:55

your your partner Walt Mossberg said it.

39:58

These guys are pickpockets. And

40:01

>> rapacious information is what Walt said.

40:04

>> Yeah. So, and now they're stealing

40:07

likeness. I don't I and I think that I

40:10

think the I think the um solution here

40:13

again they'll come up with the illusion

40:15

of complexity in that is they can

40:17

calibrate how closely they get to the vo

40:19

to her voice without it triggering an IP

40:21

but I think it's pretty simple I think

40:23

someone should be representing authors

40:25

and artists and past celebrities and

40:28

they or their heirs or their state can

40:30

either license it into a giant pool or

40:32

not and then every time it is used and

40:35

you have an AI crawl it every time an AI

40:37

takes takes takes a a sentence from your

40:40

book or lets someone speak in your

40:42

voice, you are entitled to x percent.

40:46

Music artists have been doing this a

40:47

long time. When you listen to

40:50

>> Let me ask you, let me plum that. When I

40:53

Ann Lamont was on stage with me this

40:54

week, she talked about how she she got

40:58

the AI to write something in her voice

41:01

and she said it was actually better, but

41:03

it wasn't her. But they had crawled so

41:05

much of her stuff. So, are they making

41:08

her or a ver a faximile of her? And what

41:11

happened to your Google thing that you

41:12

did? Was it Google when they did the

41:14

Scott gallery teacher?

41:16

>> What happened? You never said what

41:18

actually happened. You took it down,

41:19

right?

41:21

>> Yeah. I started working on it a year

41:23

ago. Yeah.

41:24

>> I think so. I was getting a lot of

41:26

emails from people, young men and

41:28

mothers, asking for advice, and I

41:30

couldn't keep up with it.

41:31

>> So, I said, "Upload." and they a former

41:33

student of mine who's a Google product

41:35

manager came and said we have something

41:36

called portraits we're doing it with a

41:38

bunch of doctors we're doing it with a

41:40

bunch of historians where we we we

41:43

upload everything you've ever done and

41:45

someone can come to an avatar and ask

41:47

questions and it'll give something

41:50

pretty resembling a reasonable fact

41:52

similarly the answer you would give and

41:54

I said that sounds great and I started

41:55

working on it about a year and a half

41:56

ago took him about six or nine months

41:58

and I tested it and it actually did if

42:00

it said should I get an MBA or it asked

42:02

good questions and gave it a reasonable

42:03

answer.

42:04

>> And then you actually [ __ ] it up for

42:07

me. You did that interview

42:10

>> with those parents of the kid who had

42:13

committed suicide.

42:15

>> And I thought, okay, am I going to be

42:17

part of the problem here where I in

42:19

inadvertently sequester young men from

42:22

asking their parents for advice, finding

42:24

real people, finding mentors, finding

42:26

friends? And it came out. The day it

42:28

came out, I started testing it and I

42:30

just felt really uneasy with it and I

42:32

called

42:33

>> saying I [ __ ] it up. I showed you an

42:35

better way to live.

42:37

>> You illuminated me.

42:38

>> Okay.

42:38

>> You illuminated. Let's try to work on

42:40

our words with Cara. Okay. Okay. All

42:42

right. Go ahead.

42:43

>> Better words.

42:44

>> Better words.

42:45

>> Uh and then I called, to Google's

42:47

credit, I called them and I said, "I got

42:49

to be honest. I just feel really

42:50

uncomfortable with this. I want I can

42:52

see how it might be helpful, but I can

42:54

also see how some young man doesn't ask

42:57

a friend or his dad for advice and

42:59

instead says, "Well, Prop G said this

43:01

and it's just

43:03

>> Anyway, so they took it down and and by

43:05

the way, the major I think the m

43:07

>> it's it's gone. It's you can't find it."

43:10

>> Yeah, they took it down.

43:12

>> We'll see.

43:13

>> Except when I go or my understanding is

43:15

they took it down.

43:16

>> It's in some fault like a mummy. Okay,

43:18

go ahead. But you can say in the voice

43:21

of Cara Swisser,

43:22

>> yeah,

43:23

>> please write this thing. And my my view

43:26

is they should be able to do that, but

43:29

only if you have agreed to have your

43:32

stuff crawled. And the more people who

43:34

ask, say this in the voice of Caris

43:36

Swisser, you should get a royalty check.

43:38

Similar to the way artists do it, music

43:40

artists do it. When you listen to Kroq,

43:43

rock of the 80s in the 80s, and they

43:45

were constantly playing B-52 song Yeah.

43:47

songs. At the end of the year, they

43:49

would send a check to Warner Brothers

43:50

and the B-52s would get a check.

43:53

>> I don't This has been

43:55

>> because I I did that Simpsons thing and

43:57

I got an enormous check the other day

44:00

and I'm like they can do it and they

44:02

Hollywood sucks, right? Like it's

44:05

astonishing and it goes way back when I

44:07

was with um uh the Google twins where

44:11

they were stealing books and were Carol

44:13

what is the difference if we take their

44:15

books? I was like, "You shocking

44:16

shoplifter." And or they take

44:18

television, their mentality is to take

44:21

it from you, which is interesting. So,

44:23

I'm glad someone like Taylor Swift is

44:24

really pushing back. It'll be

44:26

interesting to see if it could apply to

44:28

all of us because I think it will

44:29

benefit because you you you are easily

44:34

this would work really well if someone

44:36

just didn't work with you to do it, but

44:38

just did it. Um, so anyway, in an

44:41

upcoming episode of my show, I make one

44:43

of these and it's really frightening and

44:45

and I I don't like

44:47

>> When you say one of these, what is

44:48

>> I made the keratar. I'm going to give it

44:50

to you for Christmas. I made a a digital

44:53

3D version in a box of me and you it

44:55

looks like me sitting in a chair like 3D

44:58

version and it speaks it talks like me.

45:01

It's it's um it's me and uh it's not you

45:05

know it's like a faximile that's not

45:07

quite um me but it is um and I'm sending

45:11

it to you for Christmas the whole box

45:12

it's great it's going to go

45:13

>> but again I like I I like the idea of

45:16

this as long as you sign up for it

45:18

because you might decide have at it or

45:21

after if you're like me and you think

45:23

once you're gone it doesn't I would like

45:24

my heirs to get a check because people

45:27

say in the voice of Scott Galloway write

45:29

about income inequality whatever it is

45:30

Right. So, and I think a lot of artists

45:35

and a lot of writers and a lot of

45:37

singers would would agree to this.

45:39

There's a model for it.

45:40

>> Yeah, absolutely. Well, we'll see. But

45:42

you're getting that for Christmas. The

45:43

keratar. It's great. We'll have it

45:45

forever. Um and it will add to things

45:47

right up until my f my dying breath.

45:50

Anyway, um one more quick break. We'll

45:52

be back for predictions.

45:57

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47:36

Okay, Scott, let's hear a prediction.

47:38

I'm going to go first. I do think The

47:40

Devil Wars Prod is tracking to be like a

47:42

$200 million movie its first week. Um, I

47:45

think a lot of these movies, whether

47:47

it's uh Project Hail Mary, this movie,

47:50

um, it there's a lot of love for movies

47:53

that are just wellmade by Hollywood and

47:56

good and fresh that feel fresh. So, I

47:59

think these movies are killing it at the

48:01

box office cuz people and they're

48:03

actually watching it in theaters, too.

48:05

They're not just waiting till it goes to

48:06

digital. They like the community

48:07

experience of it. And so it's a really

48:10

interesting thing that that a lot of

48:11

these are hitting um that are that are

48:14

very human- centered. Um and I like

48:17

that. I like that.

48:18

>> Yeah, I'll see it. Um so your win is The

48:21

Devil Wears Prada.

48:23

>> No, the idea that these movies are going

48:25

to do like I just after Hail Mary, it's

48:28

that Prada has the same feeling of Hail

48:31

Mary. It it feels like real people made

48:34

it. It's like when you eat a meal that's

48:37

sort of fake, you and then you eat a

48:39

meal that's homemade.

48:40

>> It's It feels like real people made it

48:43

who thought about it, who care about

48:45

standards and quality. And

48:47

>> it didn't feel like AI made it. I don't

48:50

know what else to say.

48:51

>> The the rumors of creativity's death at

48:54

the hands of AI were greatly

48:55

exaggerated. So there was a moment about

48:59

24 months ago where everyone thought all

49:01

music is going to be generated by AI

49:02

that you'll just give it a good prompt

49:04

and it'll come up with new songs that

49:05

are better than Kanye's and that just h

49:07

didn't happen. the muscle between your

49:09

brain, the the creativity of a young

49:12

brain, the creativity that that still

49:15

has tremendous moes around it. And even

49:18

in design, like look at Sorro being shut

49:20

down. Like the the graphics you get

49:23

back, the design you get back, the

49:24

percentage of people in design working

49:26

at tech firms has actually gone up as a

49:28

percentage of their employment base.

49:30

Artists, you know, no AI, no AI is going

49:34

on tour right now. Yeah. But as far as I

49:36

know,

49:36

>> they're not going to tailor us with the

49:38

situation. They certainly are.

49:40

>> Where I think you're being a little bit

49:42

nostalgic because I think The Devil

49:43

Wears Prada and Hail Mary

49:45

>> are great movies and will do well at the

49:47

box office, but box office is still down

49:50

30% postco

49:52

>> content original content that breaks

49:53

through will find a way to monetize and

49:55

be successful. But this collective

49:58

nostalgia for the movie theater I pick

50:01

Ipic is going bankrupt where I where I

50:03

live.

50:03

>> I'm not talking about the movie theater.

50:04

talking about freshness in movies,

50:07

>> fresh creative,

50:08

>> fresh creative and and I'm saying it

50:10

does it actually these movies are

50:12

showing big pickup in movie theaters. I

50:15

don't overall downward trend,

50:17

>> right?

50:18

>> It's really interesting that people are

50:20

these movies are scoring well in

50:21

theaters. Like that's that's what I'm

50:24

saying.

50:24

>> Not all of them.

50:25

>> Well, it used to be it used to be that

50:27

all of that type of long form content

50:31

ran snake through a theater and we went

50:32

to the movies. I remember I mean I don't

50:34

know about you when I was a kid I used

50:37

to go to the movies two or three times a

50:38

week.

50:38

>> Yeah. Twice at least once a week.

50:40

>> Yeah. It was just what you did. It's

50:42

what you did on a date. Uh it's what I

50:43

did with my mom. This is what you did.

50:45

You went saw we Granted I lived in

50:47

Westwood and they had the best theaters

50:48

in the world. But um God I just tried to

50:52

think the last time I took my kids to a

50:53

movie. Anyways um I'm glad you liked it.

50:57

So my prediction is much more boring.

51:00

So I think so Intel is up uh fourfold

51:06

and I think it's up I'm sorry it's up

51:08

fivefold. It's up it's it's quintupled

51:10

over the last year and I think it's

51:12

about my prediction is it's going to uh

51:15

uh [ __ ] the bed because Amazon is now

51:18

>> bragging about it as you noted.

51:21

>> Yeah. And I I think it's I think it's a

51:23

great short right now. Amazon. Amazon

51:25

now sells both GPUs, what Nvidia does,

51:27

and CPUs, what Intel specializes in. And

51:31

Amazon's chip revenue is growing 150%

51:33

every 3 months. If it were a standalone

51:36

business, it would be generating 50

51:37

billion in annual recurring revenue.

51:39

That's more than AMD and about as much

51:41

as Intel. And OpenAI and Enthropic use

51:43

Amazon ship for their

51:44

>> So Amazon Interesting. That's

51:46

interesting.

51:47

>> Well, it's weird. I think I think it's I

51:48

think quite frankly I think uh in Nvidia

51:51

has its own has much stronger modes. The

51:54

vulnerable company here is the one

51:56

that's the latest meme stock and that's

51:58

Intel. Metaanthropic have signed deals

52:00

to use Google chips called TPUs. TPUs

52:03

are two times cheaper than Nvidia's

52:05

GPUs. And Intel looks just dramatically

52:08

overvalued and will and I think will be

52:10

the victim of this increased

52:12

competition. The stock again up

52:13

five-fold. Get this. Intel now has the

52:17

highest forward PE of any large cap,

52:21

trading at 118 times forward earnings.

52:24

>> Oh my god, it's such a loser company.

52:25

Get this.

52:26

>> Why?

52:27

>> AMD at 50, Amazon at 32, Nvidia at 26.

52:32

And at the same time, its business is

52:34

expected to grow slower than peers.

52:36

Anyways, the most overvalued stock.

52:39

>> What is the meme? Explain the meme for

52:40

the people.

52:41

>> Well, Intel was beaten down. Now it has

52:43

a great story. Now it has the backing of

52:45

a guy who's willing to use the full

52:47

faith and credit of the government. It's

52:49

the chip. Everyone thinks the the chips

52:52

are the bottleneck in the AI boom. It's

52:54

not actually. It's actually power and

52:56

the stock's up fivefold. And now again

53:00

see above it's trading at a forward

53:01

earnings of 118. It's growing slower

53:03

than everybody else.

53:05

>> And Amazon and Google are coming for

53:07

their launch.

53:08

>> Oh. So anyways, my prediction is

53:11

>> you're going to see

53:13

>> this thing is going to look like a giant

53:15

hill. It the the

53:17

>> That's a good one.

53:18

>> is over and Intel is going to be one of

53:20

the worst performing stocks in the tech

53:22

sector over the next 12 month. He's

53:23

going to come after you instead of Jazz.

53:25

That's really good.

53:26

>> There we go.

53:27

>> Yeah.

53:28

>> Well, Intel has the look of an expectant

53:30

widow.

53:34

>> Um anyway,

53:35

>> uh that's really funny. Amazon that

53:37

Amazon is doing it is interesting.

53:38

Although I have to say I've given them

53:39

the heinous of the week award by them

53:42

leaking that they're going to make uh

53:43

the apprentice again with Dawn Jr.

53:46

>> Oh god, did you see that?

53:47

>> I know they're such suckups. And Jeff

53:49

was at the King Charles thing. Let me

53:51

just say you don't have enough There's

53:53

not enough budget for a cocaine budget

53:55

for that show.

53:56

>> That [ __ ] about our win.

53:57

>> I know.

53:58

>> King Charles, how good was he?

54:00

>> We didn't do win, but go ahead. Go

54:01

quickly do a win. King Charles was

54:04

[ __ ] fantastic. I have to say a

54:06

charmer. No one can thread the needle

54:09

around a thoughtful, intelligent

54:13

stab in the heart

54:15

>> like the British.

54:16

>> Yeah.

54:16

>> And when the king delivers it,

54:18

>> you know, I just loved I I loved I loved

54:22

the king saying, "You have often stated

54:24

that without us we would speaking

54:25

German. I'd just like to remind you that

54:27

without us you'd be speaking French."

54:29

>> Yeah.

54:30

>> He is he is so good. He whoever wrote

54:35

his speech a he delivered it perfectly.

54:37

He actually studied drama in college.

54:39

>> Yeah.

54:39

>> I just think I was so happy because I do

54:42

think he he stated what we need to know

54:45

and that is the alliance between uh

54:48

Britain and the US I would like to think

54:49

is unshakable. Also the king has been

54:51

sick. It's a really nice moment for him.

54:53

He is always

54:54

>> he did a good job. He did his kingly

54:55

duties.

54:56

>> I like the

54:57

>> he did his kingly

54:58

>> I like the monarchy and I always got the

55:00

sense that he's a really decent man.

55:02

>> Yeah he is. And uh so I just loved

55:05

seeing kind of his time in the sun and

55:08

just how good he was.

55:09

>> He did good. And the thing is doesn't

55:11

insult him because he loves the

55:13

monarchy. So he insulted Trump and he's

55:16

the only one who got away with it. Like

55:17

the didn't get away with it.

55:19

>> It was so elegant.

55:20

>> It was Yeah. Trump understood. Honestly,

55:24

they just wanted to meet the king. All

55:25

these people anyway. And those tech

55:27

people sucking up to the [ __ ] king

55:29

was just like, "Oh my, you guys, you are

55:33

bigger than Britain and that's you could

55:35

get a meeting with him anytime, give

55:36

money to his climate change thing."

55:39

Anyway, I love that the Republicans even

55:41

cheered for climate change uh uh help

55:43

with climate change cuz that's his big

55:45

that's Prince King Charles. I keep

55:47

calling him Prince Charles because he

55:48

was Prince for so long. But anyway, we

55:50

want to hear from you. Send us your

55:51

questions about business tech or

55:53

whatever's on your mind. Go to

55:54

nymag.com/pivot

55:56

to submit a question for the show or

55:57

call 8551 pivot. Elsewhere in the Karen

56:01

Scott universe this week, this week on

56:03

ProfG Conversations, Scott spoke with

56:05

Ian Bremer about how the Iran war

56:08

fracturing alliances and rising global

56:10

tensions are reshaping the world order

56:12

with no clear winners. Let's listen to a

56:15

clip. Whether it's Epstein or whether

56:18

it's Iran or whether it's the economy or

56:20

whether it's extraordinary corruption,

56:23

Trump has gone against

56:26

all of the things that got him elected.

56:29

And and I I don't I I certainly think,

56:32

okay, there are some MAGA supporters

56:34

that act like it's a cult and they'll

56:36

support him literally no matter what he

56:39

does. But that's not even all MAGA

56:41

supporters. Not at all. This is not a

56:43

These people are not brainwashed

56:44

automatons. They're not idiots. They

56:47

they ultimately see when their leader is

56:50

screwing them and it matters to them.

56:52

And some of those people, they may not

56:54

vote for Dems, but they'll stay home.

56:57

>> Interesting. He's absolutely right.

56:58

That's what a Ted Hearnen said, too.

57:00

Anyway, that's the show. Thanks for

57:02

listening to Pivot and make sure uh to

57:04

like and subscribe to our YouTube

57:06

channel. We'll be back next week.

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