Small businesses face an extinction event: Cloudflare CEO
338 segments
[music]
>> Cloudflare is riding the artificial
intelligence tailwind as generative AI
drives a shift in business for that
cloud company. Yahoo Finance's Gator
Baiter Brian Sozzi sat down with
Cloudflare's CEO Matthew Prince at Can
Lions to learn more about the growth
ahead.
>> Cloudflare is is firing on all
cylinders. It's just been amazing to see
that as we've built up what is one of
the world's largest networks that more
and more companies are trusting us to
provide their network security to make
sure that they're fast online. But I
think the thing that's been kind of the
real unlock for us and the reason why
we're here in Can is the internet's
business model is changing. Um Google
defined the business model of the
internet for the last 28 years and um
the business model of the next 28 years
is going to be different and I am here
talking to brands, talking to
advertisers, talking to uh companies
about what that future business model is
going to look like and I think
Cloudflare is going to play a role in in
defining what it is.
>> I'm glad you mentioned that because I
was listening to I think it was an
investor day for you all uh in earlier
June and you told me what you said at
the time on the investor call or analyst
day, whatever it is. Um the internet
will be different over the next 10
years. What or how will the internet be
defined over the next decade?
>> You know, I think the internet's had
platform shifts before. Uh we went from
a browser to social to mobile.
AI is a platform shift. The way that
consumers are consuming information is
through that AI interface and that's the
way that they're consuming information
today, it's the way that they're going
to
uh do commerce going forward and the
adoption rate has been just amazing. A
third of the world's population is
already using generative AI tools in
just 3 and 1/2 years. Um that to give
you some sense, that's twice the
adoption rate that we saw with mobile,
which was the last fastest growing
technology that's out there. And so as
these things become the the place where
we consume information, what that means
is if you're a platform, if you're Yahoo
Finance or or or the New York Times or
or anyone else,
fewer eyeballs are getting back to you.
And so the old internet business model
of showing advertising or selling
subscriptions isn't going to work in
this new world where information is
consumed in the AI platforms themselves.
Um your agents don't click on ads. And
so that's going to require us to find
some other way to make sure that content
creators like yourself and and others
continue to get compensated for what is
critical content that they're creating.
>> What is the way? What is the way towards
survival?
>> You know, I
I I I don't know that I know exactly the
answer. But I But I have a feeling it's
a couple of things. So first, um for the
first time in history, 2 months ago,
automated traffic, bot traffic, agent
traffic online passed human traffic. And
if it continues to accelerate at the
rate that we're seeing, in 5 years it
will be a thousand times more automated
traffic online than there is human
traffic online. In other words, humans
will be a rounding error on the internet
uh effectively. What that means is
there's going to be a whole bunch of
additional infrastructure, which is
needed in order to build that up, in
order to support it. And someone's going
to have to pay for that. And so I think
that there's going to be some version,
which the internet consumed from the
very beginning, of if an agent is
accessing a page, there's going to be
some kind of micro payment that goes
back. But to give you some sense,
Cloudflare, um we process about half a
billion internet requests per second
all all day long. We think between 1 and
10% of that will be appropriate for some
sort of microtransaction, which means
that we have to build a little financial
system that can do tiny little
transactions at day one, 10 million
transactions per second, to scale very
in a really reasonable time to 100
million transactions per second. To give
you a sense, Visa, the largest payments
network in the world, does about 18,000
transactions per second. So there's a
lot of really cool technology that we
have to build in order to support this
future. But I think micro payments, I
think having a marketplace for content,
making sure that you get to choose who
gets access to that content, and then
maybe, you know, an ads platform but
directed at agents rather than being
directed at humans. These are all things
that we're here at Can talking about
that our team is working on and thinking
about, and they're going to be necessary
if we're going to have a an a internet
in the future that is able to support
the agentic traffic that we're seeing.
>> It was a couple months ago. I'm sitting
at my desk this early morning, and the
news crossed of your
RIF, reduction in force. And I sat back,
and I'm like, all right, I'm not going
to send Matt an email because it's a
tough day, and I get it. Don't want to
be that guy. But I I'm like, this
company is doing really well.
>> Yeah.
>> Why would you need
to let go of 20%? Like that is That's a
That's a large number for a company
doing very well. And where did you Where
did these people come from?
>> Yeah, so so So, first of all, incredibly
emotional day. A lot of amazing people
who who we parted ways with. Um and and
and again, it's not fashionable right
now to say this, but it really was
driven by AI. And what we found was
we are
If you you go back to old Peter Drucker
books, like on like, you know,
>> Nightmares of college. Thank you for
doing that. I was having a good time
here, you know.
>> Yeah, sorry. Um but, you know, he talked
about there are sort of three different
functions within any organization. There
are people that build products,
there are people that sell products, and
that's where really kind of the business
drives value is in in building and
selling products. But then there's a
whole bunch of other people inside of an
organization that actually just measure
things all the time. The auditors, the
finance people, you know, a bunch of the
the marketing team, all the operations
roles that are there. And what we've
found over the course of the last couple
years is that a lot of these tools are
able to better measure
than humans were before. So, I'll give
you an example. Um we have an internal
audit function just like any public
company does. Yeah, we have a hundred
plus risk factor areas, and every
quarter we would pick sort of six in
order to audit, and and we would go
through that process.
That was constrained because it required
people in order to do it. We've now
moved to we're moving to a world where
we can take all of those different risk
areas and audit them continuously all
the time. And we can only do that
because we have built these tools. The
other thing is powerful is the number of
direct reports that can work for a
manager scales significantly more as you
have more tools to do that. So a lot of
again, great middle managers on our team
who are going to be amazing senior
managers at a startup or or another
organization. A lot of them we were just
like we need to flatten the
organization. We need to go from six
direct reports per per manager to up to
12. That's better for everyone. We found
that this has made us more productive.
We found that it's it's it's it's just
accelerating our ability to deliver
products. And we are hiring like crazy
builders and sellers, but we're using
the machines in order to do much more of
the measuring.
>> middle managers under pressure, those
jobs will get re-purposed. But
>> But yeah, they'll they'll they'll move
again, these are amazing people. They're
yeah, I mean and and and I think that
the thing is when I talk to peers
everyone says, yeah, I'm going to do
that. I'm we're going to have to do the
same thing. But they're like, I'm going
to do it when everyone else does it. And
honestly, I think that that's that's
poor leadership because in 6 to 12
months when we're going to see more of
these layoffs, it's going to be much
harder for these those people laid off
at that time to get a job. It'd be
better for the CEOs. They can hide
behind everyone else and just say,
listen, I'm a sheep in the flock and
everyone's doing it, so I'm doing it,
too. I think once we realized it was
something we had to do. We made the
decision it was the kindest thing that
we could do for the team was to do as
early as possible. And we've worked
really hard to make sure that those
people then get placed with great roles
cuz they're great people.
>> I'm thinking, you know,
a lot of these middle managers, they can
get through it. But like what happens to
these small businesses up and down this
boardwalk who don't have the capital to
invest in AI? To me, they're going to
get absolutely pummeled. Like what is
their next 5 years look like?
>> You know, last year when I was at
Cannes, I talked about how the future
media was really at risk. We really
needed to reinvent um the business
model. What I'm optimistic about is over
the last year we've actually kind of got
some good ideas and some traction and
and we're seeing the big media companies
like Condé Nast and and People Ink are
doing these really good deals that are
creating new revenue streams for them.
And I'm I'm proud of the fact that we've
helped catalyze some of that. This year
what I'm talking about is how dangerous
to small businesses AI is going to be.
Think about it this way. In the future
your agent is going to be where you do
more commerce. And if you think about
why why do you do business with a small
business today? Usually it's because
it's it's time efficient, it's
convenient for you. So you might stop by
the local bodega when you're, you know,
in New York. Or because you have some
emotional attachment to that place. Your
agent doesn't care about any of those
things. It's going to literally just
say, "Hey, I'm going to find the best
deal for the best product wherever it is
in the world. And if I have to search
through thousands of web pages, I can do
that in a second."
>> It's like a killer. It's just like
absolutely cutting through the internet.
>> And so what I am deeply worried about is
in that world, like I think the big
brands are fine cuz they have an
established relationship with consumers.
They have a reputation which is online.
But how does a new entrant, how does
someone who is says, "Hey, I'm just
hanging my shingle up for the first
time." How do they get the reputation?
How do they have a brand which actually
stands out? And if we don't create a way
for that to happen, if we don't have new
entrants that get into the marketplace,
then we're going to see massive
consolidation over time. And that's bad
for everyone. We want to have anyone be
able to survive. And so I'm spending a
lot of time meeting with, you know, the
leaders at at Visa, American Express,
Shopify, Salesforce saying like, "We've
got to do something in order to make
sure that every small business has the
tools in order to succeed."
>> is kind of is there there are no small
businesses.
>> That's right. And and we're again I was
I was meeting with the the um the guy
who used to run uh PayPal up until
recently and he ran small businesses at
Intuit and he said, "I worry that in the
future there are five companies left.
One that holds the real estate, uh one
that holds the money, one that builds
things, one that ships things, and an AI
company. Now, that's not what's going to
happen, but I do think that AI, given
its natural kind of tendencies, is this
massive consolidating force. And so,
what we're playing for is not a world
where there's, you know, two to five AI
companies. We should have 500,000 AI
companies. Not a world where there's,
you know, a very small number of media
content creators and publishers where
it's consolidated massively, but where
everyone can actually they have a good
idea, if they have a story to tell, can
reach a global audience. And not a world
where we have a few mega like
corporations, but one where anyone with
a small business, wherever you are in
the world, can do what the internet only
originally empowered them to do. We
can't lose that, and that's the world
that we're playing for.
>> Matthew, good to see you. You mildly
scared the hell out of me, but we're
going to we're going to leave it there.
We continue this conversation in Davos,
hopefully. All right, good to see you.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince discusses how generative AI is shifting the internet's business model from human-centric to AI agent-centric. He highlights the rise of automated traffic, the need for new monetization strategies like micro-payments, and explains Cloudflare's decision to restructure its workforce to focus on productivity by leveraging AI tools. Prince also expresses concern about the potential for massive consolidation in the industry and the existential risk AI poses to small businesses, advocating for a future that protects entrepreneurship and diverse market participation.
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