The Bull is Back. Stock Market Correction is Over
571 segments
It's the 1st of February and also the
start of the Chinese Lunar New Year,
which I believe the Vietnamese and the
Koreans do celebrate as well. I think
it's similar to their new year. Anyway,
fun fact. So, this year is the year of
the tiger and I was born in the year of
the tiger and in case you don't know in
the Chinese horoscope, the animal
changes every 12 years. So, this year
I'm 48 years old. So, I was born again
1974 and so now is the tiger year. So,
tiger year is supposed to be
pretty good if you're a tiger. So, let's
see how it goes this year. So, here's a
quick update on the markets. As you guys
know, in my previous videos I mentioned
that
at the start of the year,
the market started on a downtrend after
rallying really strongly
at the end of last year.
Some bullish news for you. From what I
see from the price action, it looks like
for now the correction is over. That's
right and it looks like the bull market
is in full force once again. So, why do
I say that? Well, first of all, if you
take a look at the weekly candles,
you can see that we had a very strong
bullish signal
over here when
the market closed on the on Friday. I
believe it was the 28th. Was it the 28th
on Friday?
The weekly candle closed as what we call
an ice cream bar, which is very similar
to the pin bar except it's kind of like
the pin bar's fat cousin, right? So,
you've got a long shadow and you've got
a body there. So, that's a bullish
signal only if it's at a strong level of
support
and it's also a double bottom, all
right? So, you can see that there was a
support level over here. So, market goes
up, goes down and it goes slightly below
that support.
And this is a very, very common pattern
where we call it a a
double bottom where see people who
bought the market here
traders they would have put their stop
losses right below that previous swing
low. So, what market makers and
algos they manipulate the markets,
right? They push the market down just
enough to hit the stop losses of these
retail traders causing them to sell.
Remember, when retail traders get their
stop loss hit and they are forced to
sell their stock, someone buys the
stock, all right? So, who buys the
stock? The big boys. The market makers
they buy the stock. So, when the big
boys the and the market makers buy the
stock, is that in their interest to push
the markets up again. So, every time the
price goes down, hits previous stop
losses, takes out the stop losses
and you see that it closes back above
that previous swing low with a bullish
candlestick pattern like a pin bar, an
ice cream bar, bullish engulfing
pattern, that is usually a sign that
this current correction is kind of over.
Now, again, it's not 100%
but it's a high probability, right? So,
on on Friday, which was
let's see, 1 2 Yeah, 3 days ago, that
was the first sign of a bottom. And I
told my students, I said, you know what,
there's a kind of like a good chance
that we have bottomed, but I need a
second con- confirmation on the daily
candles.
And we got that confirmation yesterday
on the 31st of January. On the daily
candles, we had a confirmation of the
correction. Why? Because if you take a
look at the daily candles,
you can see that
uh we managed on the S&P close back
above the 200 moving average. So,
whenever the price goes below the 200
moving average
and then
is able to close back above the 200-day
moving average within 5 days, that's a
very strong bullish signal. So, you can
see it went down, right? 1 2, 3, 4, 5.
Within 5 days,
it's back up again, closed back above
the 200 moving average. That's a very,
very strong bullish signal, right? And
again, take a look. This was a previous
swing low, support. And again, look at
that pattern, right? So, takes out the
stop losses of retail traders.
Whoever entered here, put their stop
losses, it took it out. Once stop losses
are taken out,
and retail traders are forced to sell
cuz of stop losses, who buys? Someone
has to buy again, right? So, it's the
market makers who buy, the big boys who
buy, people like me. I've been buying
like crazy, right? So, after buying,
buying, buying, it's time to go up. And
now, hallelujah, looks like we are going
up again. Now again, remember, there are
no guarantees in life, right? It could
always come back down again, but it's a
matter of probabilities. It look like
looks like again, for now,
uh this correction is over, and it looks
like we're going to continue rallying at
least for the next few days.
So,
what does this mean for investors and
traders? Well, first of all, for
investors, I hope that you have been
buying greedily in the last couple of
days.
Because again, as investors, you take
corrections as opportunities to add
shares of great businesses. So, I've
been buying like crazy. I've been buying
Microsoft, Visa, I've been buying
Salesforce,
I've been buying BlackRock. So, I've
been buying all these companies in the
last uh couple of days, and getting them
at really bargain prices.
It's very interesting to
uh look at comments from people. Um and
you know, people always ask this
question, you know, "Should I buy this
dip? Should I buy this dip?" It's always
that question, right? "What if it dips
further? What if it dips further?"
Now, to answer that question, "Should I
buy this dip?"
first you have to ask yourself, are you
an investor
or are you a trader? So, first, let's
talk about investment first, and then
I'll talk about trading in a while,
right? So, first of all, for investing,
should you buy this dip depends on
number one,
what are you buying?
Okay? So, as an investor, remember, when
you buy a stock, you're buying a piece
of an underlying business. Now, if you
buy
a share of an underlying business that's
a that's a great company, that's a
fundamentally great company, it will
always go up. It will always go up
eventually. All right? So, you got to
buy good companies.
So, again, what are good companies? Good
companies are companies that are
actually making money.
They have got a sustainable competitive
advantage.
And so, when companies really make
money,
these dips are great times to buy these
companies.
But, avoid buying companies that are not
making money, that you're buying it
purely for speculation. So, you don't
want to do that, because those may not
bounce back.
You want to buy good companies. So,
again, let me give you a few examples.
I've given many examples in my videos,
but
let me show you again. So, I've been
buying a lot of Adobe. Why? Because it's
a great business. And why is it a great
business? Because it's making money.
Take a look at the financials of Adobe.
All right? So, this is
Adobe. And if you look at
the financials, look at the revenue,
right? So, the revenue is increasing
consistently, which means year after
year after year, they are generating
more sales.
Pandemic or no pandemic, recession or no
recession, high interest rates or low
interest rates.
These are companies that are resilient
and predictable, because they make money
under all circumstances. So, when you
buy these kind of companies, you can
sleep soundly at night. Sleep soundly at
night, all right? So, cuz even if the
share price goes down temporarily, you
know that it doesn't matter, because
it's a solid company. The price will
will bounce back as fast eventually and
go higher, right? So, revenue's going
up, and more importantly, net profit is
also increasing consistently. And the
company has got a lot of cash, right?
It's got a lot of cash, even more cash
than that. Can pay back all its debt
tomorrow and be debt free if it wanted
to. Okay?
And even more important than earnings
would be cash flow.
So, you can see operating cash flow,
free cash flow increasing consistently.
So, these are the kind of companies that
I buy as an investor. Okay?
So, you have to buy this kind of
company. So, I've been buying a lot of
Adobe. I've been buying a lot of
Microsoft, all right? Again, same thing.
Look at Microsoft. Look at the business
of Microsoft, right? Sales going up
consistently every single year, almost
every year.
Profits going up, lots of cash, very low
debt.
And again, increasing
free cash flow.
Another example, I'll give you one more
for now, would be um
Salesforce, all right? So, Salesforce,
again, take a look at the financials.
Great financials, right? Sales going up,
and the profit looks very low in
relation to the sales, but it's not low.
If you take a closer look over here, you
can see, right? Profits increasing,
right?
Uh more importantly, operating cash flow
and free cash flow and a ton of cash,
more than debt.
So, these are great companies that you
want to accumulate during corrections,
during dips.
And again, if you take a look at the
individual companies themselves, if you
look at, for example, Adobe, do you see
the same pattern? Yes, you do. You see
the same uh
double bottom pattern, right? So, again,
if you look at the weekly charts of
Adobe, notice that it's a very strong
support at that orange line, at this 100
moving average. So, it came down, it hit
this same moving average over over very
strong support, and now it's bouncing
back up, right? And again, take a look
at this line over here. You can see this
line
was a previous
resistance turn support. Can you see
this line?
Right? Resistance, resistance,
resistance.
Okay? So, resistance once broken comes
back down, becomes
support, right? So, you can see the
price goes down, and again, what does it
do? It goes below that support level. We
call this taking out stops. Again,
right? Take out the stops and flush out
the retail traders who panic and sell,
and market goes up again, all right?
So, very, very clear pattern on that.
Look at Salesforce,
same thing.
Look at the strong support at the 150
moving average, the green line, right?
Same support over there, coming down,
taking out previous stop losses, and
then pushing it back up again. Another
example would be, again, Microsoft.
Same pattern.
Right? And you can see Microsoft is
very, very
predictable, all right? You can see 100
50 moving average, very strong support.
Every time there's a big correction, the
this always holds. Check it out, right?
So, the 50 always holds, the 50 always
holds
in big corrections, and this time, same
thing.
Hits the 50 moving average. Oops.
Hold on, let me zoom in again.
Yeah.
Hits the 50 moving average,
and again, stop losses are here, placed
by traders. Take out the stop losses,
force retail traders are forced to sell,
market makers pick them up, and they
push the stock up again, right? So,
again, should you buy the dip? First
question is, yes, if you're buying great
companies that are making money. No, if
you're buying companies that are not
making money and are purely speculative.
But people always afraid, but Adam, you
know, what if I buy the dip and it dips
lower, all right? Now, the trouble of a
lot of investors is they always want to
buy at the lowest price, which is
impossible. It is impossible to always
buy at the lowest price. So, if you
always expect to buy the lowest price,
often times you will never buy.
Because as it's going down, you keep
saying it's going to go lower, going to
go lower, right? But sure enough, it
will always reverse up before you buy.
And once it reverses up, you say, "How
can I buy it now when it's higher? I
should have bought then. I'm going to
wait for it to come back down." And it
doesn't come back down. So, in the end,
you never buy, right?
So, the point is
for me as an investor, I never have
illusions that I'll buy at the lowest
price. I never have I I never have these
delusions cuz I know that I can never
buy at the lowest price. After I buy, it
could go lower, but it doesn't matter as
long as I buy near the lows, not at the
lows.
And to ensure that I buy near the lows,
and you know what? I know that no one
can predict the bottom for certainty and
I don't pretend to. So, what I do is
when I buy shares, as a lot of you know,
I never buy at once. I always buy in
stages. I buy in tranches. So, for
example, if I
intend to buy 100 shares of Microsoft,
you know, I don't buy 100 shares at
once. I'll buy 25 shares first.
All right? And if it goes a bit lower, I
buy a bit more. But so, I keep averaging
in my position. So, by averaging in,
after I buy the first time, I mean, buy
more at a lower price, at a lower price.
Or sometimes after I buy, it goes up and
I buy a bit more as it goes up. So, you
get you get an average. So, that's the
point for investing, all right? And when
you invest,
you know, you you take a longer term
view. And sure, it may not go up
tomorrow or next week or next month, but
if you buy a good company that's
undervalued, you know that it's going to
go up uh higher eventually. So, that's
for investing.
Now, how about for trading?
Now, trading is different because
trading is is short-term. You want to
get in, get out within
a week, 2 weeks, a swing trade. So, for
trading, you don't buy while it's going
down, right? You wait for a bullish
confirmation
uh before you enter a trade. So, right
now, there is a bullish confirmation on
daily candles. And for my trades, yes, I
will look for trade setups.
And then I execute the trades using
option strategies like credit spreads or
diagonal spreads, for example. And
what I do is once I see a bullish
confirmation
in the markets, I'll then screen
for potential trade setups. So, one of
the screeners I use uses over here. Let
me just show you an example of my
screener.
Right.
So, this is my slingshot screener.
And this screens uh couple of these
stocks, right? So, one of the stocks
that it screens out is Tesla.
But for trading, it's a bit of a high
price to size a position. So, let's look
at LRCX.
Now, by the way, this was the trade I
already entered a few days ago. All
right? In fact, uh you can see and let
me just show you my chat group. If I
type LRCX,
you can see I already entered this,
right? Um
there.
Right? So, you can see I entered this
on the 29th of January. Okay? So, I
entered this a few days ago already. And
you can see why.
Uh I explained over here.
Right? Take a look.
Right?
So, you can see that I entered right
after this bullish pin bar. All right?
So, the price comes down, it hits this
very strong support level, takes out
stop losses.
And
you can see that it's also hitting the
lower end of the Bollinger Bands, right?
So, Bollinger Bands are oversold. On the
Williams percentage R, it is oversold.
So, I've got two indicators telling me
that this stock is oversold on the
Bollinger Bands,
on the Williams percentage R,
and it's making a double bottom with a
bullish pin bar. So, we call that a
confluence of bullish patterns, right?
So, I was pretty confident that it's
going to start bouncing back up. So,
what I did was I said, "Okay,
um
LRCX bouncing off support level 50
moving average still above 150. I'm
going long." So, I enter a bull put
spread extreme and on LRCX, right? Bull
put spread extreme is basically a credit
spread. So, you can see my trade over
here.
Uh I sold the 450 put and bought the 440
put for a $100 contract credit.
All right. So, that's when I first
entered this on the 29th of January. But
right now, uh you can see since I
entered it here,
right? I got in on this day. So, right
now it's really gone up, but it's still
a valid trade because there's still
quite a way more for it to rise, okay?
And again, this appears on my screener,
okay?
So, let me show you another example
um
that appeared on the screener as well
today
um that's pretty interesting. Let's see.
We've got uh Walmart, okay? So,
Walmart's another one, but earnings are
coming up, so I'm not taking the trade.
So, I avoid trading
stocks where earnings are going to be
announced soon, right? But if not for
the earnings, Walmart would be a trade
I'll take as well. Why? Take a look.
Support, support,
support. Can you see a strong support?
And again, this goes lower than previous
supports taking out stop losses. We call
that a
double bottom.
Taking out stops. And again, you can see
hitting the lower Bollinger Bands,
oversold on Bollinger Bands.
You can see oversold on the stochastics.
Now, you can use stochastics or Williams
R. Doesn't matter, it's the same thing.
Both are oscillators, right? And again,
you can see a very nice ice cream bar
now with a very strong bullish candle
and looks like it's going to pop back up
to at least this resistance at 146.5.
So, a bit of upside to this trade, but
I'm not taking this because of earnings.
It's going to announce earnings in a
while and earnings can screw up the
trade, all right? So, always avoid
earnings in trading. But for investing,
I don't care about earnings. I'm holding
for the long run. I'll just hold it.
Let's see there are there any other
interesting trades
that appeared today?
Um
No, I don't think there are, right? Let
me just take a look at
uh Kelly C.
Now, this one no.
Okay, let me see if there's another one
I saw.
Okay, now this one.
All right, this one could be interesting
as well, right? Uh ADP. ADP. Uh why?
Because again, if you
Let me draw this line over here.
Okay.
So, again, you can see this same
pattern, right? So, this is a previous
swing low. This is it is takes out that
swing low, right? Forces the stop losses
to be hit, closes with a bullish pin
bar, Bollinger Bands
um
lower Bollinger Bands be lower Bollinger
Bands being hit,
uh stochastics oversold. So, again, we
call this a slingshot setup and highly
likely you're going to make a bounce
right here right now. Okay?
So, just sharing how I make my
investment and trading decisions. And
again, looks like for now, the market's
back on the bull mode. Correction for
now looks over. But again, doesn't mean
that this is the only correction for the
year.
There could be many more corrections to
come for the rest of the year and for
the rest of the decade. So, if you
missed out buying great companies during
this correction, don't fret. Be patient
because there will be, you know, coming
corrections as well. But for now, it
looks like we are now back on rally mode
in the US markets. So, have a happy
Lunar New Year New Year and gong xi fa
cai. If you don't know what that means,
if you translate gong xi fa cai, it
means I hope you get rich. And that's
how Chinese people greet each other at
the start of every new year because
we're the most capitalistic uh people in
the world. All right.
So, may the markets be with you and I'll
see you in the next video. If you want
to catch my latest videos, click on the
subscribe button right now. Click on the
bell so you get instant notifications
once I upload my latest video. If you
want to check out my online courses, go
to piranaprofits.com.
We're going to learn how to invest and
how to trade the financial markets and
create an income from all around the
world.
If you want to join my live wealth
academy program, go on to
wealthacademyglobal.com
and find out more about how you can
learn investing and trading live online.
This is Adam Khoo and may the markets be
with you.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
This video provides an update on the US stock market, suggesting that the recent downward correction has likely ended, with the market shifting back into a bull trend. The speaker highlights key technical indicators like 'ice cream bars' (a variation of pin bars), double bottoms, and the S&P 500 closing back above the 200-day moving average as signals of a recovery. The speaker discusses his strategy for investing versus trading, emphasizing that investors should accumulate shares of fundamentally strong, money-making companies during market dips, while traders should rely on specific bullish confirmations and technical indicators before entering positions.
Videos recently processed by our community