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Kara Swisher: Kash Patel is a “National Security Risk” | Pivot

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Kara Swisher: Kash Patel is a “National Security Risk” | Pivot

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1899 segments

0:00

I think Patel is all of the incompetence

0:03

with none of the stature or bravado. I

0:06

just think he looks stupid.

0:13

Let's get into today's news. Scott, FBI

0:16

Director Cash Patel just filed a $250

0:19

million defamation suit against The

0:20

Atlantic over an article he called a

0:22

quote hit piece. It was not a hit piece.

0:25

The Atlantic is calling the suit

0:27

meritless. The story is based on

0:28

interviews with more than two dozen

0:30

current and former officials about

0:32

Patel's time at the FBI. It alleges

0:34

excessive drinking, frequent absences,

0:36

and erratic freakouts, including over

0:39

computer signin. There were reportedly

0:41

multiple times over the past year where

0:43

Patel's security detail had trouble

0:44

waking him because he appeared to be

0:46

intoxicated. One incident involved a

0:48

request for breaching equipment, the

0:50

kind a SWAT team use, uh, after Patel

0:53

was unreachable behind locked doors. it.

0:56

This is all true, everybody. It's

0:57

repulsive when you read it. So, what do

1:00

you think's happening here? What's going

1:01

on? And as to the lawsuit,

1:03

>> look, I I think The Atlantic, my sense

1:06

is this is thoughtful reporting and his

1:09

It seems like his drinking is sort of an

1:11

open secret. It's not about alcoholism

1:14

in my view. It's incompetence. I I don't

1:17

doubt that the alcohol hurts them. But

1:18

generally speaking, this is an

1:20

incompetent person

1:21

>> who has lacks judgment, doesn't show up

1:24

for work on time,

1:25

>> panics, you know, he's so skittish. He

1:29

thinks that he thinks that he's not um

1:32

that he's being fired. I don't mind you

1:34

drinking during the week night if you

1:35

work for me, but be at work the next

1:37

morning. And if you're not drinking and

1:39

you don't show up at work, it doesn't

1:40

matter. It doesn't matter why you aren't

1:41

showing up for work. This guy doesn't

1:43

appear to be showing up.

1:44

>> Right. Right. totally focused on this

1:46

was alleging that drinking had a lot to

1:47

do with it is he drinks so much he

1:49

drinks to excess that he doesn't he's

1:51

also it creates a national security risk

1:53

which is I think why all these people

1:54

are leaking right it's not because

1:56

>> they dislike him but he also is a huge

2:00

national security risk he's also abusing

2:02

his privileges very Christine gnome here

2:04

right this is the version of Christy

2:06

Gnome and obviously it's sort of who's

2:09

going to Christy who's going to take him

2:11

down right

2:12

>> well I like the idea him and Axather

2:14

They're now referred to as the liquor

2:16

cabinet. That's a good one.

2:18

>> Yeah, there was a good one. They said a

2:20

defense secretary, uh, FBI head and a

2:25

lead prosecutor go into a bar. Oh, wait.

2:28

That happens every day. It was for

2:29

Janine Pro is the other one they were

2:31

talking about. This group is really kind

2:34

of just like so not in control of

2:36

themselves. Let me just say the LA the

2:37

one thing that really was the most

2:39

disturbing in that entire story was that

2:41

he then will try to do something to

2:43

please Trump. like try to prosecute

2:45

people who prosecuted January 6th people

2:48

or do election denial. He's going to try

2:51

to serve up like a little a little mouse

2:53

to Trump in order to save his job. And

2:56

the only thing that Trump hates is

2:59

drinking cuz his brother was an

3:00

alcoholic and died. Um but it'll be

3:04

interesting if Trump will not fire him

3:06

because of this piece, if that makes

3:07

sense.

3:08

>> Yeah. My first girlfriend was um Mexican

3:12

and an alcoholic and I she used to order

3:14

drinks called um and I asked her what

3:17

her favorite book was and she said

3:18

tequila mockingb bird.

3:20

>> Oh my god. Okay. Well, anyway, do you

3:23

think Trump will fire him?

3:25

>> Very good, isn't it?

3:26

>> I think Trump's going to fire he's going

3:27

to fire a couple of these people.

3:29

>> Three guys walking into a bar. An

3:30

alcoholic, a priest, and a child

3:31

molester.

3:32

>> And that's just the first guy.

3:36

>> All right. All right. I need your

3:38

thoughts on whether Trump's going to

3:39

fire him. All right, we're done with the

3:41

drunk jokes. Go ahead.

3:43

>> Is he going to fire?

3:44

>> Okay. According according to Okay.

3:46

>> What did you just What did you just

3:49

really

3:50

>> Okay, go ahead.

3:51

>> Everything. Um I no longer think for

3:54

myself. Um so, get this. According to

3:58

according to Kelsey, there's now a

4:01

something like a 70 or 80% chance that

4:05

um Patel is fired by June 1st. The other

4:08

one that just blew my mind, which I

4:09

would take the over under on or whatever

4:11

you call it,

4:12

>> that there's about a 70% chance that

4:14

Trump is impeached by January 1st.

4:17

>> Oh,

4:17

>> no. That Trump is impeached.

4:19

>> Oh, wow. So these markets are saying

4:21

these markets are predicting that um the

4:24

wheels are coming off uh the bus here

4:26

which you know I find uh really unlikely

4:30

here.

4:31

>> What does Scott Galloway think? Not

4:33

Cali.

4:33

>> Oh, Patel's out. But I've thought that

4:35

for a while. I think he reflects poorly.

4:39

I I think Hagath the president likes

4:42

because when He Hagsth gets up on stage

4:45

he is so strident. He's very handsome. I

4:48

think that uh Trump really values

4:50

aesthetics. He's indignant. He's back in

4:53

their face. I think Trump really likes

4:55

that. And he's very resolute.

4:59

Trump doesn't like thoughtfulness. He

5:01

likes someone who's resolute. And I

5:03

think he kind of likes that sort of

5:05

brazen, arrogant approach. I think Patel

5:09

is all of the incompetence with none of

5:11

the stature or bravado. I just think he

5:14

looks stupid

5:15

>> and he's making the Trump administration

5:17

look stupid. And also it it feels like

5:19

and I mean you know this better than me

5:21

but it feels like everyone at the FBI is

5:24

dying to get on the phone with a

5:26

reporter and [ __ ] post Patel. Uh it just

5:30

seems like the whole I mean there's

5:33

there's been such an I think the two

5:35

biggest brand erosions over the last 12

5:36

months have been number one the brand US

5:39

number two the brand AI. If you think

5:41

about what's happened to that brand in

5:42

the last 12 months, it's gone from 70 to

5:44

80% people being optimistic to like now

5:46

it's one in 10 are optimistic.

5:49

But the the brand of the FBI, I would

5:52

argue the Gmen, you know, the X-Files,

5:56

um, these were pe these were people that

5:58

put on suits but knew how to handle a

6:01

firearm. We're very measured. We're all

6:03

about serving in the agency of others.

6:05

We're optimized for security, not for

6:08

performance. or not for attention. This

6:11

was a great job with a ton of prestige

6:13

and I think Cash Patel has literally

6:14

trashed this brand.

6:16

>> He's turned it into a Joey bag of

6:17

donuts.

6:18

>> Y

6:19

>> uh you know, two for one coyote ugly MMA

6:22

meets, you know, it's like a it's like a

6:25

bar fight minus the charm.

6:27

>> Yep. All right. All right. Well, he's

6:28

out. I agree with you.

6:29

>> What are your thoughts?

6:30

>> I think he's going I think this was a

6:31

beautiful piece of reporting and I think

6:33

they're going to go through the cabinet

6:35

with next is Lutnik and his corruption,

6:37

right? that's going to and his like

6:39

thirsty attention seeking. Anyway, we'll

6:42

see. I think there's there's it's a

6:43

moment now, especially after Swallwall.

6:46

It's a moment for all of them.

6:47

>> How does the head of the FBI have their

6:50

email hacked by an Iranian group? Right.

6:52

>> How does that happen?

6:54

>> He's drunk.

6:55

>> How does that happen?

6:56

>> Cuz he's drunk. Cuz he's drinking too

6:57

much. Cuz he's an idiot. Well, idiot and

7:00

drunk. He's stupid. You remember the

7:01

line from Minimal House? Don't How can

7:04

you? Although that was done by Dean

7:05

Wormer, but going through life stupid

7:08

and drunk is not is no way to live or

7:10

something like that. Anyway, that's

7:11

>> when someone asked me if when someone

7:13

asked me if I ever drink in the morning,

7:15

I'm like, "No, cuz I don't wake up till

7:16

noon."

7:17

>> Oh my god. Okay, enough with the

7:18

drinking drugs. Iran is threatening to

7:20

retaliate after the US military seized

7:22

an Iranian flagged um cargo ship trying

7:24

to bypass the blockade in the Straight

7:26

of Hormuz. Iran is calling it an act of

7:28

piracy. Meanwhile, JD Vance, Steve Whit,

7:31

and Jared Kushner are headed back to P

7:33

Pakistan for more peace talks, though

7:35

it's unclear if Iran will even show up.

7:37

Uh, first JD wasn't going, then he was

7:39

going, and Trump was saying all manner

7:41

of things. Trump's, of course, is once

7:42

again threatening to take out Iran's

7:44

power plants and bridges, which I know

7:46

it feels like Groundhog Day, but he's

7:48

doing it again. The ceasefire is due to

7:50

end this week. Um, I'll also note energy

7:53

secretary Chris Wright thinks gas prices

7:55

might stay above $3 until 2027, though

7:58

Trump is saying that's totally wrong.

8:00

California was six. It was crazy. It was

8:03

six or in the mid sixes, which is

8:05

because they have more taxes there

8:07

obviously. But, um, any thoughts what's

8:10

happening here? Because it seems like

8:11

again still they still haven't gotten

8:13

their act together. This gang that can't

8:14

shoot straight.

8:17

There's so many things that are bubbling

8:19

up in terms of incompetence and

8:20

institutions in a general approach to

8:22

government that took immense resources

8:24

that Americans have taken for granted.

8:27

And one of those things is our

8:28

incredible diplomatic core. We gutted

8:30

the diplomats. We gutted the

8:32

anti-terrorist group. So

8:35

when you have these summits or peace

8:37

talks, 95 to 98% of the work is done

8:40

done before the person lands on the

8:42

ground. And that's the problem is 0% has

8:45

been done here. He might as well. He

8:47

This is the most It is so easy to

8:49

predict nothing is going to come out of

8:51

this. And I was uh you know I I've been

8:54

saying that masculinity a decent proxy

8:56

for masculinity is are you optimizing

8:57

for attention versus service? If so,

9:00

that's the opposite of masculinity. That

9:03

defines this ridiculous trip to

9:04

Pakistan. There's been no diplomatic

9:07

work done. He's going to land. He's

9:09

going to make an indignant speech. He's

9:10

going to look for a Tik Tok moment that

9:12

he attempts to make him look make

9:13

himself look presidential. He'll make

9:16

further irresponsible, incendiary,

9:18

unnecessary comments. He'll leave and

9:20

nothing will have happened. And you

9:23

know, the the only other what I've been

9:26

thinking a lot about lately is kind of

9:27

the winners and losers here.

9:30

Initially, China is a loser because of

9:32

the the security threat around not

9:34

having the free flow of energy. They are

9:36

such a big winner long term because I

9:38

was thinking about how does the world

9:39

structurally change on the demand side.

9:42

You got to think that in addition to the

9:43

economic costs of the Straits of Hormuz

9:46

being um sequestered or blocked, every

9:50

nation in the world must be thinking,

9:51

you know, we don't want to be dependent

9:53

upon [ __ ] straits that can be

9:55

controlled by the IRGC or by Trump.

9:57

>> By the way, there's

9:59

there's a couple there's a really good

10:00

online um thing that was about there's

10:03

not just the straits of Hormuz. There's

10:04

an area near China that 40% of the

10:07

shipping goes through. There's a number

10:08

of places around the world where this

10:11

happens. the straight of Malikica or

10:12

Singapore, the Sewish Canal.

10:14

>> Right. Exactly.

10:15

>> Freedom of navigation.

10:18

Again, see above things we've taken for

10:19

granted. Freedom of navigation was

10:21

something that had been embraced by the

10:23

entire world that said everyone's going

10:26

to pay more. Everyone's going to have

10:27

insecure energy policy if we don't

10:29

enforce freedom of navigation around the

10:31

world. But you got to think that every

10:33

nation is thinking not only

10:34

economically, but from a defense

10:35

standpoint, we need to have energy

10:38

security. What is all roads and energy

10:40

security lead to one place? Renewables.

10:43

And let's talk about renewables. The

10:45

advanced manufacturing and long-term

10:46

thinking of China. Get this. What is the

10:50

global share that China controls of

10:52

windmill production? Any guesses?

10:54

>> No, probably a lot. All of it.

10:57

>> A lot. Correct. 60%.

10:59

>> Mhm.

10:59

>> The percentage of EVs sold glo globally?

11:02

>> China.

11:03

>> 70%.

11:04

>> Yeah.

11:05

>> China. the percentage of solar panels

11:09

produced in the world

11:10

>> drones

11:11

>> 80% in China.

11:14

>> So while we're sending diplomatic

11:16

missions and Canada's announcing they're

11:18

divorcing from us because we're an

11:20

absentee irresponsible player in the

11:22

marriage, China is using advanced

11:24

manufacturing to say, "Okay, long-term

11:26

everyone's going to start investing in

11:27

renewables and we're going to be the

11:29

place they come to buy it all." And

11:30

they're not only offering the

11:32

manufacturing and the products, they're

11:33

offering safe distribution. They're

11:35

offering financing for these things and

11:38

they're saying you can count on us. So

11:40

if you don't want to be subject to the

11:41

IRGC or President Trump's whims that

11:44

day, enter into an economic relationship

11:47

with China.

11:48

>> Yeah, I agree. I agree. Anyway, it's a

11:50

real it's it's just this is this is not

11:53

good from a political point of view,

11:54

from a world point of view. And a lot of

11:56

like there's a lot of very high level

11:58

people predicting a real collapse of

12:01

lots of of countries in terms of because

12:04

of the slowdowns and the problems that

12:07

they're just on the edge. I mean the UAE

12:10

was asking for some money. This is they

12:12

have to solve this yesterday. They

12:13

shouldn't have done it in the first

12:14

place but now they have to solve it

12:16

yesterday because there's a lot of other

12:18

c all these countries are

12:19

interconnected. Whether you like it or

12:21

not MAGA folks, this is how it works.

12:24

And you're going to you're going to see

12:26

collapses all around if the UAE is

12:28

asking for what what do they want? They

12:30

need money is really because of the

12:31

situation. All these luxury brands

12:33

throughout the Middle East and that's

12:35

just small small ball. It's like all

12:37

these countries are dependent on this.

12:39

And so he is reordering the world for

12:42

sure, but not in the way that favors the

12:44

United States. Uh and of course they're

12:46

sending this team of Wickoff. Steve

12:48

Wickoff. Honestly, this is not our best

12:51

and brightest with Jared Kushner, Steve

12:52

Wickoff, and JD Vance.

12:54

>> If you want to understand what's going

12:55

to happen to negotiate with Wickoff,

12:56

just ask how is he going to get his kids

12:58

rich? Like what? That's essentially what

13:00

is driving

13:01

>> such a negotiations. But you brought up

13:03

something you brought up something

13:04

really important and that it's the UAE

13:06

and something that really shocked me. I

13:07

was looking at analysis of projectiles

13:09

that have come out of Iran. Do you

13:11

realize that Iran has shot more

13:13

projectiles at the UAE than Israel?

13:17

And you know, the UAE really is a model

13:20

of what it means to not be the IRGC.

13:23

It's they they have built an

13:25

unbelievable modern economy. They

13:27

respect alliances. They in many ways are

13:30

trying to be more progressive around

13:32

around civil rights. They have made real

13:34

progress around um uh around women's

13:38

rights. They are everything that the

13:40

IRGC is not. And it's interesting that

13:43

of all the nations

13:45

um the IRGC has decided to go after the

13:47

UAE u most aggressively. That really

13:50

surprised me. More projectiles into the

13:52

UAE than Israel.

13:54

>> But they're asking they said they're

13:55

going to be forced to use Chinese money

13:57

or other currencies if they don't they

13:58

don't get a financial lifeline. This is

14:00

just and that's just one country.

14:02

There's so many that are just going to

14:03

be affected. And then let me just say

14:06

lots and lots of people live daytoday in

14:09

this country and cannot afford these

14:11

prices, these gas prices. And so with

14:13

Chris Wright just half-hazardly saying,

14:15

I'll stay above three and it's even

14:17

above three. It's above four in DC. It's

14:19

above like give me a [ __ ] break. It

14:21

was six in in this is just these

14:24

cavalier [ __ ] And then that that

14:26

smiling idiot Kevin Hassid gets on and

14:29

acts like it's no big deal. There's

14:31

something really broken about these

14:33

people that is just doesn't understand

14:35

the implications of anything they do.

14:37

Anyway, uh we have to go on a quick

14:39

break. When we come back, we'll talk

14:40

about Joe Rogan's influence on executive

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17:00

Scott, we're back with more news. Trump

17:02

signed an executive order fast-tracking

17:03

FDA review of psychedelic drugs like

17:05

psilocybin and I think it's ibogane for

17:08

mental health treatment all thanks to a

17:10

text from Joe Rogan. Rogan texted Trump

17:12

about Ibagain research in reducing

17:14

opioid addiction. And the president

17:16

immediately replied, "Sounds great. Do

17:17

you want FDA approval? Let's do it." The

17:19

order directs the FDA to expedite review

17:22

of the breakthrough therapy and

17:23

encourage data sharing between the

17:24

health and veterans affairs department.

17:27

Um, you know, honestly, this look,

17:30

Rogan's been turning on Trump and this

17:32

was a gimme to Joe Rogan. I I as you

17:35

know, I talk about psych use of

17:37

psychedelics in this series. It's very

17:39

promising, but certainly shouldn't be

17:40

expedited cuz some some podcaster who

17:44

has very not the best information

17:47

because they need to do the safety

17:48

checks if these things are going to be

17:50

good for people. Um, but if I mean, what

17:54

would you text Trump for? what would you

17:56

like if you could? But this is how it's

17:58

done in this country. He texts him, he

18:00

wants him back. It's the most thirsty

18:03

and thirsty way to get Rogan's approval.

18:06

And Rogan is dumb enough to take it and

18:09

then shift on these things that he cared

18:11

about allegedly war and um the Epstein

18:15

things. So the whole thing is just

18:17

demented. I thought this was the most

18:19

demented thing given how important this

18:21

psychedelic research should be taken

18:24

throughout this country. your thoughts?

18:27

>> Well, I gain is is the there's real

18:30

potential here. A Stanford study found a

18:32

single Ibagane dose reduced veterans

18:34

disability ratings from 30.2 to 5.1 with

18:37

effects sustained at least a month out.

18:39

>> Almost nine and 10 participants

18:41

experienced um a reduction in PTSD

18:44

symptoms. Nine and 10 uh decrease in

18:47

depression. 8 and 10 reducing anxiety.

18:50

So, this has real potential. This is

18:54

this is a great move, but here's the

18:56

problem. This is

18:56

>> they've been running they've been

18:57

running this for a year. They could have

18:59

done this a year ago, but go ahead. Go

19:00

ahead.

19:02

>> Well, okay. So, I'm a big believer in

19:04

prison reform. I think they're we're the

19:06

most incarcerated nation in the world.

19:07

And I think that a hugely accreative

19:09

move would be uh early prison release

19:13

and a review of of people who are

19:16

currently incarcerated. And when the

19:18

Trump administration decides that it

19:20

would be great to have the Kardashian on

19:21

boards and she she takes this on as an

19:24

issue, they then get a pardon.

19:27

>> He does these things, but he doesn't for

19:29

political reasons and they're not

19:30

systemic in nature. And when it comes to

19:32

the when it comes to taking something

19:34

from a class 2 or class one drug,

19:36

>> I want someone who has domain expertise.

19:38

I want correct double blind tests. I

19:40

think the again another thing we have

19:42

taken for granted here is the good

19:45

people at the CDC, our FDA, uh, double

19:48

blind studies, doctors with actual

19:51

credentials. I mean, they do they do a

19:53

really good job. It's been a huge, uh,

19:55

benefit to us economically. The drugs

19:58

you take are, you know, they they do

20:00

mistakes, but you can feel fairly

20:02

certain that if you take something

20:03

that's FDA approved, it's approved for

20:05

>> it's also too slow. absolutely too slow

20:08

on these therapies, but they're still

20:10

early. And the fact that this very not

20:14

smart podcaster who's very lovely in

20:16

some ways and nutty in some ways and but

20:18

doesn't operate in a factual environment

20:20

all the time is getting to get this

20:24

because he's was mean to Trump and was

20:26

turning on him and then for the next

20:28

couple of months he'll be nice to Trump,

20:30

right? The whole thing is just grotesque

20:33

in the This is not how we need

20:35

>> health policy.

20:36

>> This is not health policy. That's

20:37

correct. It's not legal policy. It's

20:41

it's it's purely political. And for

20:42

Rogan to get used like this on an

20:44

important issue, maybe if it's important

20:46

to him, he should demand that Trump not

20:49

not just cuz he can go to the Oval

20:51

Office and hug Trump, but it's just just

20:53

oh god, it could hurt veterans if it's

20:56

not done correctly. The whole Yay. Just

21:00

And it's, by the way, it's also going to

21:01

take this.

21:03

>> It's also going to take forever anyway.

21:05

>> Let's play the game. Let's be

21:07

increasingly mean and grow our platform

21:09

10x. And then what is the one thing you

21:11

want from Trump? What is the one policy

21:13

you would want from Trump?

21:14

>> $25 minimum wage.

21:17

>> Oh, I love that.

21:18

>> Universal health.

21:19

>> I love that.

21:21

>> Child care. Universal child care. All

21:23

those things. Any of those.

21:24

>> Check. Check. Check.

21:26

>> Mhm. What about you? Besides,

21:29

>> besides like a missile,

21:33

>> um, uh, I would want

21:37

mandatory national service.

21:39

>> Oh, I like that.

21:40

>> Um, distribution of GLP1 to any

21:44

household with less than $50,000

21:47

>> in household income

21:49

>> with good medical stuff attached to it,

21:51

nutritional.

21:53

>> That's right. and uh incremental like

21:56

you said, singlepayer

21:58

um health coverage and oh gosh, I could

22:01

I could I mean

22:03

>> I could go on and lower the estate tax

22:05

exemption to 1 million. There's going to

22:07

be $72 trillion in wealth passed on.

22:09

We're not a dynastic population. We're

22:11

meritocratic population and we need to

22:13

tax

22:14

>> inherited wealth.

22:15

>> Really?

22:15

>> Anyways, I got about another 15.

22:17

>> Okay. Well, there we go. We're not We

22:19

don't have his I know. Actually, I could

22:20

probably get Trump's cell phone.

22:22

>> Let's get on it. Let's be a pain in the

22:23

ass.

22:23

>> I'm serious. Why don't we do an

22:24

experiment? Say, "This is Scott

22:26

Galloway. I would like you to do an

22:27

executive order on Young Men or whatever

22:29

the [ __ ] you want. I'm going to get his

22:31

cell phone. You're going to text him."

22:32

Okay, you're doing it.

22:34

>> I think it's getting I think it's

22:35

getting the wiring information of

22:37

someone in his family and sending a few

22:39

million dollars. I'm serious. I think

22:41

there's a direct pipeline. I've heard

22:44

>> I've heard from cred credible resources

22:46

around around specific things around

22:49

pardons and trying to get funding for

22:51

certain things that there's an entire

22:53

infrastructure consultants who launder

22:56

the money get it to the Trump

22:57

administration and you get [ __ ] passed.

22:59

This is and to be clear what they would

23:02

say is this has always been going on.

23:04

We're just more we're less we're more

23:05

transparent about it.

23:06

>> No, not like this. I'm going to get his

23:09

number. You're going to text him. Okay.

23:10

That's what we're doing this week. Okay.

23:12

Um,

23:12

>> I was invited to the UFC fight at the

23:14

White House.

23:14

>> You need to go. You need to go. You need

23:16

to say yes. I just

23:17

>> You need to cidle up to him and like

23:20

>> pet him.

23:21

>> I don't like watching young men beat

23:22

each other up.

23:23

>> I don't look at that part. Just go pet

23:24

Trump. That's what you need to do and

23:26

get universal healthcare for everybody.

23:28

>> You need to do it. You need to go in

23:30

there. I They're not inviting me. Even

23:32

though Did you hear about this study?

23:34

This this thing,

23:36

>> the influencers.

23:38

>> Oh. Oh, it's really interesting. So,

23:40

there's a poll that Ipsos did um about

23:43

influencers essentially and um I am the

23:46

most purple. I first of all, I'm in the

23:49

top influencers, which is weird. I'm up

23:50

there with Candace Owen and Tucker

23:52

Carlson and all manner of people, but

23:54

I'm the most purple.

23:56

>> You're the most centrist.

23:58

>> Yes. I don't think the word is I think

24:00

it's independent. Like I I don't know

24:03

cuz they don't all agree, right? But in

24:05

terms of impact shock, I'm shocked that

24:07

I was even in these lists, but

24:09

independence love Swissard. It's weird.

24:12

It's so weird. But it's good. Good.

24:14

That's very exciting.

24:15

>> Which means that I should be at the OC

24:17

fight cuz I'd actually enjoy it. But you

24:19

need to go.

24:19

>> You're an influencer. We got to take you

24:21

to Coachella and just have you take

24:22

pictures and not enjoy the music.

24:23

>> I'm surprised you didn't go to

24:24

Coachella. But listen, this is what you

24:27

have to do. You have to take one for the

24:28

team or you're going to You also have to

24:29

text Trump because he's not taking my

24:31

texts even though I am the person who's

24:33

the most represents the independents

24:35

apparently, which is ridiculous cuz I'm

24:37

really liberal.

24:38

>> Influence.

24:39

>> Yeah, but I'm really liberal, which is

24:40

kind of funny. Um, all right. The NSA is

24:43

using Anthropics uh mythos even after

24:45

the Department of Defense called the

24:47

company a supply chain risk. Um,

24:49

Anthropic CEO Dario Emodi met with the

24:52

White House officials on Friday to work

24:54

towards a compromise to bring the

24:55

company's technology back to government

24:56

use. Both sides described the meeting as

24:58

productive. However, when President

25:00

Trump was asked about Emod's visit, he

25:01

said he had no idea about the meeting.

25:03

He was meeting with Susie Wilds. If a

25:05

compromise is reached would likely

25:06

exclude the Pentagon because Pett Heath

25:09

is a [ __ ] and so is Emil Michael who

25:12

works for him. Um, so it's again it's

25:15

like everyone everyone I have talked to

25:17

in the other departments think the HEG

25:20

thing is insane and that they want to

25:23

use it because it's a better model. So

25:24

the NSA wants to use it um and

25:27

everything else. And it's just it's kind

25:29

of ridiculous that Amodi has to go hat

25:31

in hand to deal with these children. And

25:34

by the way, over at Open AI, more kind

25:36

of problems. The company lost three

25:38

executives on Friday. The leader of the

25:39

defunct Sora, the VP of Open AI for

25:42

science, who used to work for Twitter,

25:44

Kevin Wild, and the company's CTO for

25:47

B2B applications. Um, so they're losing

25:51

there's a lot of it's more it's more um

25:54

dramatic than Google back in the day or

25:56

Twitter. It just it's really quite a

25:58

dramatic little company. Um, so any

26:01

thoughts on anthropic or open AI again?

26:04

>> Well, you know, history or the world

26:08

hates a vacuum and one of the biggest

26:10

vacuums or voids right now that's

26:12

creating chaos is the vacuum around

26:13

regulation and guardrails around AI. And

26:16

when Dario Emote, who is supposed to be

26:19

head of a private company charged with

26:20

just using every tool in his toolkit

26:22

possible to create leverage and margin

26:25

for shareholders, gets so worried about

26:27

something that he pulls it back and I'm

26:29

not, you know, and says he's only going

26:30

to give it to JP Morgan and Apple, you

26:32

know, the good guys. Um, and you'd like

26:35

to think he's sincere about it and he's

26:38

generally concerned, but he shouldn't be

26:40

making those calls. If we're trusting or

26:43

hoping that the US and existential

26:44

threats are going to be dependent upon

26:46

the kindness and wisdom of CEOs, we are

26:48

[ __ ] because these people have so many

26:51

incentives and pressure to just deliver

26:54

value.

26:54

>> I was with some people and they're like,

26:55

"Amod's good." I'm like, "It's a low

26:57

[ __ ] bar." And I don't still don't

26:59

want him to decide. And still, you know,

27:02

even at this point anyway,

27:05

But in the one of millions of text

27:07

chains that get copied on between you

27:08

and Rom, I was going to suggest to Rahm

27:11

and any other Democratic presidential

27:13

candidate, I was actually going to uh

27:15

for some reason I think John Oaf is and

27:17

you wrote about this is giving off real

27:19

presidential energy right now. But I

27:20

think the opportunity among a Democratic

27:23

candidate right now quite frankly is to

27:24

have a very thoughtful get some

27:26

academics together and have a very

27:27

thoughtful

27:29

10page or less summarized in a one or

27:31

two page cover um summary is uh

27:36

regulation for AI. Do you realize no

27:38

one's even proposing what it would mean?

27:41

What does it look like? How do you

27:43

regulate it? What is it about security?

27:45

Is it about privacy? Is it about how do

27:48

you thread the needle between regulation

27:50

and also m letting our thoroughbreds run

27:52

such that China does not get out ahead

27:54

of us which is a legitimate concern. Who

27:56

running for president i.e. You know,

27:59

everyone has put out anything thoughtful

28:02

that has said, I mean, Senator Warner

28:05

has put out something with Senator Holly

28:07

about retraining and trying to support

28:09

job destruction, but no one has really

28:12

put out a thoughtful, you know, 3, five,

28:14

12point plan on this is what we should

28:17

implement immediately in by executive

28:19

order that lets the economic growth run

28:22

mostly. It'll cost some economic growth,

28:25

but gives people some level of certainty

28:27

that the government has some feel around

28:30

the risks here and outlines them. But

28:32

there's nothing right now. It's just the

28:34

wild west. And that vacuum is being

28:35

filled by a bunch of arguments, virtue

28:38

signaling, false signals, comms

28:41

releases, press releases. So the vacuum

28:44

is being filled by chaos around

28:46

something that people aren't sure. Is it

28:49

a big threat? Is it is it not? And it

28:51

really hurts the industry cuz see above

28:53

>> it's gone from nine and 10 people being

28:55

optimistic about this to one in 10.

28:57

>> Yeah, they've really [ __ ] it up. And

28:58

it's not the fault of like me

29:00

complaining that I I got that from one

29:02

of them. It's like it's cuz you're so

29:04

negative. I'm like get the [ __ ] out of

29:05

here. Like it's not our fault. You I

29:08

said that. That's what I actually said.

29:09

>> I'm an influencer.

29:11

>> I'm in a big in the indies agree with

29:13

you're right. It's worse by the way.

29:15

>> Influencer.

29:16

>> But um it was so weird.

29:19

Anyway, um it's just they have done it

29:22

to themselves. They've done it to

29:24

themselves because they're so and you

29:26

know what drove me crazy then you get

29:28

not this this isn't isn't an AI company

29:31

but it's all stuck in there Palanteer

29:32

posting its manifesto on X over the

29:34

weekend which one outlet it was points

29:37

from Alex Karps the CEO's book the

29:39

technological republic one outlet

29:41

likened it to the ramblings of a comic

29:43

book villain and the points include

29:45

postwar neutering of Germany and Japan

29:47

must be undone I mean it's already been

29:49

undone you dumbass we should applaud

29:52

those who attempt to build where the

29:54

market failed to act and we must resist

29:56

shallow temptation of vacant and hollow

29:58

pluralism. The whole thing is just so I

30:01

need them to shut up. I need all the AI

30:04

people to shut up even the good ones and

30:06

just like like put in good things in

30:09

place because they literally have they

30:11

keep shooting themselves in the foot

30:13

about a technology that's possibly

30:15

dangerous, possibly amazing and

30:18

everybody hates it, right? Everyone

30:20

who's normal hates it, not them. And

30:22

then they blame us for that. So

30:25

>> yeah, I don't get it. I know I I

30:26

consider myself an influencer, but I

30:28

suffer from paranoia. I believe that

30:30

nobody is following me.

30:32

>> Can I ask you if you went in there to

30:33

them? They said, "Scott Galloway, we

30:36

need we need you to fix this. What would

30:39

be your first three moves? Mr. Brand,

30:41

we're having you in. We're paying you a

30:43

bajillion dollars." Because they have

30:45

>> Yeah. The AI companies are like, "Look,

30:47

>> AI

30:48

>> people [ __ ] hate us."

30:49

>> Yeah. I'd want to I'd want to

30:50

>> three things

30:51

>> I'd want to assemble a list of

30:53

technologists, ethicists, and economic

30:56

adviserss. And I'd want I would demand a

30:58

30-day uh period where no model, no

31:01

updated model is ever released without

31:02

thorough review that that AB tests the

31:05

[ __ ] out of the thing in terms of

31:06

existential risks. And it has if the FD

31:10

if it takes [ __ ] a decade to get a

31:12

drug through the FDA,

31:13

>> right? Exactly.

31:14

>> Why wouldn't we mandate that the

31:15

government gets to play with any new

31:17

model for 30 days?

31:18

>> Mhm. and then says, "We have found that

31:20

this could absolutely hack the NSA or

31:23

even our nuclear launch codes."

31:26

>> So, you need to tweak the following

31:27

things. We're going to assemble a blue

31:29

ribbon panel. Anyone on this panel

31:31

>> will be paid a lot of money, have

31:33

tremendous prestige, and by the way, for

31:35

3 years, there's a sunshine period, and

31:36

you cannot go on the board of any of

31:37

these companies because we don't want

31:39

you trading off speaking engagements in

31:42

and stock options for security. But at a

31:45

minimum, we should have a 30-day

31:48

screening blue, you know, blue ribbon

31:50

panel that includes Europeans, that

31:52

includes G6 nations, that includes stock

31:54

market analysts and say, "Okay, there

31:56

has to be a balance between safety and

31:58

economic growth." Instead, it's just

32:00

like put it out there and see what

32:02

happens.

32:02

>> I know. What from a marketing, if you

32:05

were doing an ad, what would it be? We

32:07

know we suck or what?

32:10

>> What what's the message

32:11

>> for for

32:12

>> for the AI companies?

32:16

Oh, but here's the bottom line, Cara.

32:17

The markets love a winner. The the worst

32:19

thing that's happening to Sam Alman

32:21

right now is he's proving himself to be

32:22

a not a great CEO and he's let Anthropic

32:26

literally leaprog him. The markets are

32:28

immoral. Open uh Anthropic is going to

32:31

get out at a trillion dollar plus

32:32

valuation because it is executing like

32:34

no one's business and Co-work is on

32:37

fire. They are doing such a great job. I

32:40

think Daario is managing his brand

32:43

fairly well. I think if I were Daario

32:45

and I think he's going to do this given

32:46

that he god I can't imagine has much on

32:48

his own plate. I would I would almost I

32:51

don't want to say circumvent the

32:52

government but I would be putting

32:53

together an industry consortium across

32:56

all of them and saying these are our

32:58

recommendations.

32:59

>> Yeah.

32:59

>> And even critics trying to thoughtful.

33:03

>> Yeah. I will

33:04

>> I would also offer a bunch of LLMs for

33:06

free to researchers and academics and

33:08

say have at it. We think this could cure

33:10

cancer. Have at it.

33:11

>> Yeah, I have to say I I do like I I

33:14

think he's messaging well, but he never

33:16

comes up with solutions. Like he just

33:18

tells us it's all falling apart. So, you

33:20

know, David Saxs went after him this

33:21

week for being too negative. And I don't

33:23

think he is. I just think he while he's

33:26

offering these scary scenarios, he needs

33:28

to say, "Okay, here's what we can do."

33:30

Like, he doesn't do that enough. That's

33:32

my that's my that's what I would say

33:34

about him.

33:34

>> But why wouldn't they why would they

33:36

coordin I mean, they have a lot of

33:37

money. Why wouldn't they take, I don't

33:39

know, a billion dollars and start a

33:40

center of Berkeley and say this center

33:43

is going to be focused on

33:45

>> on um incurable diseases and we're going

33:49

to we're going to give them all the

33:50

models for free. We're going to get

33:52

we're going to give them compute

33:53

inference. And a lot of people would say

33:54

no, it's the profit motive, but just

33:57

from a I don't want to sound a

33:58

perception standpoint, but why wouldn't

34:00

you say we're we're we're starting a

34:03

center for diplomatic prevention of

34:05

conflict using AI?

34:07

>> They could just do so many interesting

34:09

things concerned about the

34:11

>> but yeah, their their brand is really

34:13

bad. And listen, Dario is going to be

34:15

dragged down with the rest of them if

34:16

they don't do something about it.

34:17

>> Every journey is the same from Anakin

34:19

Skywalker to Darth Vader. We think

34:21

they're the ones that are going to save

34:22

us, that they should be president. And

34:24

then we find out like the rest of them,

34:26

their job is to do do and say whatever

34:28

will get their share price

34:29

>> of clay, feet of clay.

34:33

>> There you go. It's a it's the villain's

34:34

journey. They always end up a Bond

34:36

villain. And I like Dario. I don't know

34:38

him personally, but I think he's made a

34:39

series of really good moves. He's

34:41

clearly an outstanding CEO. But here's

34:43

an easy prediction. in 24 months we'll

34:45

hate him too

34:47

>> because we we will fall into the trap of

34:49

believing that these people are

34:51

responsible for our well-being.

34:53

>> They're not. They're responsible for

34:54

shareholder value and that comes at a

34:56

cost and when no one's home see above

34:58

that void.

34:59

>> Yeah, but brand declines.

35:00

>> Who is proposing anything resembling AI

35:02

regulation right now?

35:03

>> Well, they say it and then they it's a

35:04

one-off kind of thing. Anyway, they do

35:07

say it. They do say it.

35:08

>> What would you do? What would you want

35:09

to see? I would I would put I think

35:12

that's I actually hadn't thought about

35:13

it, but I would not not ads saying how

35:16

good we are. I would have an well I you

35:19

know I had a back and forth with Dario's

35:21

people. I'm going to see him this week.

35:22

Um but one of the one of the things I

35:25

said is you're doing all these soft

35:26

interviews. Do some [ __ ] hard ones.

35:28

Like and I was of course pitching for me

35:30

but you know like get out there and do

35:33

some like do a lot. And it doesn't have

35:35

to just be him. It has to be a lot of

35:37

people. like instead we're doing you

35:40

know Sam Alman's sort of had a series of

35:42

bad interviews but it's got to be a

35:44

broader discussion among a lot more

35:46

people right and demand that your

35:47

critics are right in front of you and

35:49

don't wilt when a critic says something

35:52

um instead of like they just they just

35:55

they just don't want bad news and it

35:57

doesn't matter people hate them they

35:58

really hate them and so look at the

36:00

polls look at young people I mean it's

36:02

just the brand destruction is going to

36:05

take them all down and and there's so

36:07

any promising things with AI? I mean,

36:08

look what happened to Reese Witherspoon

36:10

this week. I got slammed cuz I said,

36:12

"What was she saying?" That was cuz they

36:14

thought she was being paid by Chad GPT

36:16

or Charles Porch or whatever it happened

36:17

to be. But did you see all that like cuz

36:20

she was saying women need to

36:21

>> I didn't understand why she got so much

36:23

hate for that

36:24

>> cuz they thought it was an ad. I think

36:25

that they and maybe it was. I don't

36:27

really care. What she was saying was

36:28

accurate. It doesn't I mean they said

36:30

she's bought and paid for and she must

36:32

be getting money cuz she has Blackstone

36:34

money through the whatever. Honestly, it

36:37

was so innocuous and people cuz she does

36:40

books and so all the people it just was

36:43

it was innocuous what she said.

36:44

Seriously innocuous and I got slammed

36:46

for I wasn't really even defending her.

36:48

I'm like, what is she saying that's so

36:50

weird? Even again, even if she was paid,

36:53

I don't think it was the message was the

36:56

a bad one. But I guess and then

36:58

everybody's like, well, I'm not going to

36:59

use AI. So there. And I'm like, well,

37:02

don't then. What do you want? But if you

37:03

if you care about where it's going, you

37:05

need it's like in the early internet,

37:07

there were all these people who said,

37:08

I'm not using the web. I'm like, knock

37:11

yourself out. But it's it's happening,

37:13

my friends. Don't turn on that flash

37:15

that electric light. I I don't care.

37:18

It's just Anyway, it's a bad there's a

37:20

lot of rage. There's the rage at her was

37:23

in insane I thought. Anyway, um let's go

37:26

on a quick break. When we come back, uh

37:28

why Netflix stock plummeted after its

37:30

latest earnings. I'm eager to hear what

37:32

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39:58

Scott, we're back with more news.

40:00

Netflix is out with its first earnings

40:01

report since walking away from the

40:03

Warner Brothers deal back in February.

40:04

The company beat expectations on revenue

40:06

and earnings driven by membership

40:08

growth, ad sales, and higher

40:10

subscription prices, plus that $2.8

40:12

billion breakup fee. Thanks, uh,

40:14

Ellison's. Thanks Paramount. But the Q2

40:16

forecast was below analyst expectations.

40:19

It sent shares down 10%. The earnings

40:22

also came with a few announcements. A

40:24

deeper push into AI and the launch of a

40:27

Tik Tok-like vertical video feed within

40:29

the app. They're trying to do a lot

40:30

more. AI makes total sense in that

40:32

regard. And notably Netflix co-founder

40:34

and chairman of the board Reed Hastings

40:36

is leaving the company when his term

40:37

expires in June. He wants to do a lot of

40:39

other things. Um talk first about the

40:42

earnings. We're going to get into the

40:43

Netflix's podcast plans in a in just a

40:46

second. Um, I can go over what they're

40:49

doing, but why don't you talk about the

40:50

earnings himself? And by the way, can I

40:51

just take a moment? I met Reed Hastings

40:53

right at the beginning of this company

40:55

and I have known him for a long time. I

40:57

got to say an amazing entrepreneur. What

41:00

he did and shifted deserves enormous

41:03

credit and he was the real engine. And

41:05

Ted is doing a great job. So is Bella

41:07

Bajaria. So are the new people there.

41:09

But Reed Hastings is a one is a

41:12

generational uh entrepreneur and

41:14

congratulations on your tenure.

41:16

>> Yeah, agreed. Uh look, the earnings were

41:19

uh fantastic. Their revenue was up 16%

41:23

year-over-year, beating expectations.

41:26

Their earnings uh was nearly double what

41:28

analysts expected. There was a bit of a

41:31

sugar high though because of the $3

41:33

billion termination fee from the

41:34

collapse Warner Brothers deal. What

41:37

shocked me was the ad tier now drives

41:39

over 60% of new signups in ad supported

41:41

markets. And

41:44

>> uh they're they're on track to hit $3

41:46

billion in ad revenue this year. So now

41:48

they're becoming a big media player, ad

41:50

supported media player with a business

41:51

that barely even existed two years ago.

41:54

And the fullear guidance held at about

41:56

51 to 52 billion, but uh Q2 guidance of

42:00

13% growth came in below what the bulls

42:02

wanted to see. So I think that I guess I

42:06

I looked at these earnings. I mean this

42:07

is the weird and the beautiful thing

42:09

about the market. If I'd seen these

42:10

earnings before the market's reaction, I

42:12

would have guessed the market would be

42:13

flat to up. So I don't know if they're

42:16

taking Reed's departure as a signal this

42:17

is no longer a growth company or that

42:19

that just some air was coming out of the

42:21

stock. Um I don't get it. I don't you

42:25

know I there was some speculation that

42:27

Reed was leaving because of the botched

42:28

Warner Brothers deal. I think that's

42:29

[ __ ] But I think like you said, he

42:31

just wants to do different things.

42:33

>> He has a lot of

42:34

>> the stock was up 18% year to date

42:36

heading into the print. Now it's just up

42:38

7% but that's not bad. The I did meet

42:42

with Ted Sarandos two years ago and I

42:44

told him I thought they should launch a

42:45

Tik Tok competitor because the long tale

42:49

of Netflix content doesn't get viewed

42:51

very much.

42:52

>> Yeah. And I thought have an open-source

42:54

opportunity for artists and creators to

42:56

slice it up and it would be incredible

42:58

marketing and I think they could have a

42:59

viable competitor to Tik Tok

43:01

>> and at that point

43:04

by the way

43:05

>> it looks like they're getting into the

43:06

business. um they're launching a Tik Tok

43:09

style vertical video feed this month and

43:12

YouTube has 13% of all US TV viewing

43:15

versus Netflix at 9% but YouTube shorts

43:18

has grown 186% in 15 months with shorts

43:22

on connected TV accounting for part of

43:24

their growth and then Meta recently

43:26

announced that Reals for TV

43:29

uh

43:31

they're doing Reels for TV where users

43:33

can watch short form content on

43:34

television and Reels already has a 50

43:37

billion ion dollar annual run rate in ad

43:38

revenue. That's more revenue than WBD

43:40

and NBC Universal combined. And

43:43

basically everyone now, 95% of consumers

43:45

now watch some some form of short form

43:47

video.

43:47

>> Cara Swisser, don't you?

43:49

>> Oh, I I I hate to admit it, most of

43:52

people ask me what my media sources

43:53

were, and I used to say the FT and the

43:54

Economist to sound smart. The bottom

43:56

line is I'm getting most of my content

43:58

from short form video right now.

43:59

>> Me, too. Me too.

44:00

>> And time spent watching video content on

44:02

social media has more than doubled since

44:04

the pandemic. and Meta's revenues have

44:07

nearly tripled and Tik Toks have grown

44:08

10fold. So I think that what what

44:12

Netflix has is they have proprietary

44:14

content. So proprietary content that's

44:17

not user generated but useredited.

44:20

What could you do? There's some been

44:22

some amazing Netflix content that never

44:24

bubbles up and never gets seen. Put it

44:26

out and say, "Guys, have at it. Slice it

44:30

into twominute things. Create new

44:31

stories. Add in different effects. add

44:34

in different humor, different subtitles,

44:36

have added I my what I pitched what I

44:40

pitched um uh uh Ted, I'm like, start

44:43

something called Net Vibes and basically

44:45

say it's a Tik Tok competitor with all

44:46

the proprietary content of the longtail

44:48

stuff

44:49

>> and 90% that gets 2% of your viewership

44:52

time.

44:53

>> Why did you just give away that great

44:54

name? That was really good. You're

44:56

talented.

44:57

>> That was good. You said two very smart

44:59

things today. It's

45:00

>> I have to tell you,

45:01

>> it's because I was under I was under the

45:02

influence. Anyways, but Ted just sort of

45:05

rolled his eyes and said, "Why would we

45:06

do that when Tik Tok is such a great

45:08

marketing engine for us right now?" But

45:10

it looks like they're saying, "Okay, we

45:12

no longer we need we need a growth

45:14

story." I think this is a great idea. I

45:17

think they're doing it. And with the

45:19

case of Netflix, the second mouse may

45:20

get the cheese here. I think it's a

45:22

great idea for

45:22

>> Oh, interesting. All right. So, I'm

45:23

going to let me just tell you the second

45:25

thing is they're going all in on

45:27

podcast, which is interesting. Um, and I

45:30

have a lot of information about this

45:31

because I immediately started looking

45:32

into it. Netflix has announced five more

45:35

shows coming to its platforms. These are

45:36

exclusive shows, including a new weekly

45:38

interview show with Brian Williams. Hulu

45:40

has also announced four more podcasts,

45:42

including Handsome and three others

45:43

based on TV shows. Hulu's um is not as

45:47

strict um as Netflix. Netflix requires

45:50

the shows to forego YouTube entirely and

45:53

Hulu does not, it looks like. Um, so

45:56

this is really interesting. So I asked

45:57

what the deals were and someone said

45:58

deal structure looks like this. Episodic

46:01

fee lowend of 25k an episode averaging

46:04

average range 50 to 75k an episodes

46:07

higher celeb for celeb talent. Uh

46:10

production budget on top 6 to 12 month

46:14

initial terms with 206 to 52 episodes

46:17

depending on term length ownership

46:19

Netflix but sometimes they are given um

46:23

uh revision rights reversion rights

46:26

excuse me. So, IP maybe if they're

46:28

making them. Um, I wasn't tremendously

46:32

impressed with the choices they made. I

46:34

like Brian Williams, but it seems like

46:36

they should really go for a much more um

46:39

younger demo, I guess, or more online

46:42

demo, influencer demo, but that was just

46:44

me. Um, what are your thoughts here?

46:46

What do you think? That's a lot of

46:48

money. 50, you know, if you got $50,000

46:50

an episode, that's that's a buttload of

46:52

money. 2.5 million. Well, we've been

46:55

talking in our own book, but it doesn't

46:56

mean I don't believe it. Every political

46:59

cycle, there's a technology uh Obama

47:03

weaponized search, um Trump, Facebook, I

47:07

would say the second one was about

47:08

social. A lot of people would say this

47:10

is now these midterms are going to be

47:11

the AI midterms with a ton of

47:12

misinformation. But I think in general,

47:15

this election or the last election was

47:17

really the podcast election. And do you

47:20

remember that graph that showed that

47:21

newspapers were getting 30% of all ad

47:24

revenue but they only had 8% readership

47:26

and the internet was getting 10% of

47:27

revenue but had 50% of all time. Those

47:29

two tend to calibrate and the fastest

47:34

growing ads supported medium in the

47:35

nation is not meta or alphabet. It's

47:37

podcasting

47:39

>> u

47:39

>> which is video casting really but go

47:41

ahead

47:42

>> it's it's television with a lower cost

47:44

of means of production. It's 80% of

47:47

>> a closer relationship with fans that you

47:49

have you can't leave that out. It's not

47:51

just because it's cheap

47:52

>> and it's not starched. It's it's not

47:54

it's not a handsome guy saying save

47:56

content for 22 minutes and then showing

47:58

a video about a butterfly garden. It's

48:00

just it's people who are willing and

48:02

some people like the conspiracy [ __ ] and

48:05

some people want people calling heth a

48:09

drunk. it. And sometimes people are just

48:11

so [ __ ] talented that they bubble up

48:14

past the means of production that have

48:15

sequestered some of this talent.

48:17

Anyways, podcasting, you know, the

48:20

Golden Globes now has it as as a

48:22

category. Um, we're up Pivot is up 25 or

48:27

30% this year. Propy Media is up 46%

48:31

this year. Podcasts are growing like

48:34

crazy. And what's what's even more

48:36

interesting is the the chaser effects

48:39

are the following. The average age of a

48:42

Fox viewer is 69, CNN 67, CNBC 64. The

48:46

average podcast listener is 34.

48:49

And when you're 34, it means you're

48:51

you're buying houses, cars, getting

48:54

kids, which are very expensive, and

48:55

dogs. So this is this is quote unquote

48:58

the core demographic. So in and in

49:01

addition as evidenced by the fact that

49:04

the easiest guest for Cara Swisser and

49:06

Scott Galloway to get on their show is

49:08

someone running for president.

49:10

>> Yeah.

49:12

>> Anyone who's thinking quote unquote not

49:14

going to make the decision in a year or

49:16

two year with their family. Yeah.

49:18

>> They're calling us and they want to come

49:20

on because they're running for president

49:21

because

49:23

>> because the what's interesting is that

49:25

you know I don't know if you found this

49:26

but on property they don't perform that

49:28

well. I find that really interesting.

49:31

>> Buddha judge did great. I'll tell you

49:32

that Nome did well.

49:34

>> He's exceptional.

49:35

>> Newsome did well. That's not true. It's

49:37

not true. Some of them do well. It dep

49:39

I'm going to I'm going to pay attention

49:40

to what does well, which is

49:42

>> I find on average politicians don't

49:44

score nearly as well as some of the

49:45

other guests we have. But anyways,

49:47

audience

49:48

>> the in terms of downloads or viewership.

49:50

But my point is the new people actually

49:53

listen to the ads. The other innovation

49:56

that no traditional media company wanted

49:58

to do because they decided their talent

49:59

was too precious is host readovers. That

50:02

gets if you do a if you just do an

50:04

insert ad on YouTube or just an insert

50:06

ad, you get between three and 10 bucks

50:07

CPMs. You reading over an ad, you

50:10

talking about your Chevy Bolt and how

50:12

much you like it, which you really do.

50:13

That gets a CPM of 45 or 50 bucks.

50:16

Chevy,

50:17

>> the media company at General Motors is

50:19

like they're they're allocating more and

50:22

more money. And now these things finally

50:23

have the scale. So Netflix is could be

50:27

the new Netflix is late on short form

50:30

video. They're late on podcast, but when

50:32

you have direct relationship with 80% of

50:35

households, you can play catchup pretty

50:38

fast. One of the things that drives me

50:39

crazy with the media reporters when they

50:41

were talking about the Vox thing, I was

50:43

like, "You all don't get where the money

50:46

is now, where the voices are, where the

50:49

like it just drives me crazy cuz they're

50:51

living in a different world." Like when

50:53

I not all of them, by the way, but but

50:56

when I I've been doing a lot of press

50:57

for this scene, I'm think and I'm like

50:59

they're like, "Oh, is Vox trying to, you

51:01

know, just save itself?" I'm like, "No,

51:03

it has valuable a thing that's valuable,

51:06

you idiots." And so, you know, and and

51:09

the same thing with these deals. They

51:10

were sort of pooing. I'm like, you don't

51:12

understand what's happening here. And I

51:14

can't say it enough. Just sitting at a

51:17

table in on a street in San Francisco

51:19

with my son, the kind of pe the people

51:22

that stopped people that stop me on the

51:24

street now, it's really astonishing like

51:27

nothing I've ever done. And it's it's

51:30

and most of people Scott tell me thank

51:32

you for doing what you and Scott are

51:34

doing or thank you for doing that

51:35

interview. They thank you for your

51:38

content. That never happened to me

51:39

before in my life. So I don't know how

51:41

you feel about that. But you got to

51:43

figure out

51:44

>> the most rewarding thing about it. I

51:46

mean look the the money's great but the

51:49

most rewarding thing about it is that

51:53

when people come up to you they start

51:54

speaking to you as if they're they're

51:56

your friend. And it's really nice.

51:58

People feel a parasocial they have a

52:00

parasocial relationship with you and

52:02

they're they feel good about you. I

52:04

think it's because you're physically in

52:06

their ears often times so it creates

52:08

intimacy and also you're talking to them

52:11

as they're doing something quite

52:12

personal. They're walking the dog,

52:14

they're doing the dishes, it's their

52:15

morning routine. But I think the most

52:18

rewarding thing about being a podcaster

52:20

like if you get to a certain point, it's

52:21

a little bit like the NBA.

52:24

The analogy I use is that when I rode

52:25

crew at UCLA, there's been 2,000 people

52:28

who have rode crew. 10 10 went to the

52:32

Olympics. So what is that like a.5%

52:36

not even.5% went to the Olympics? It's

52:39

it's.1%

52:41

of podcasters are self-sustaining

52:43

economically. So you are five times more

52:46

likely to go to the Olympics if you

52:47

wrote at UCLA than have a successful

52:49

podcast. This is a difficult business,

52:52

but once you get once you get to break

52:54

even, the economics here are incredible

52:56

because there's what do we have? We have

52:59

we have three producers. We have we

53:01

outsource our ad sales to to um to Vox

53:06

and this is a $15 million business

53:09

growing to 25 probably in the next 24

53:11

months. Like just do the math. This is

53:13

an incredibly this is creates as much

53:16

IBIDA. Pivot will probably create as

53:17

much IBIDA as one of the most successful

53:21

shows on MS now or Fox or anywhere else.

53:24

It won't be as big topline, but the

53:26

IBITA margins are just incredibly

53:28

dramatic, but hands down the most

53:30

rewarding thing from a host standpoint.

53:33

>> It's the relationship with fans.

53:34

>> These really lovely people come up to

53:36

you and they start talking to you about

53:37

their kids.

53:38

>> Yeah. And it's all

53:39

>> I mean, maybe they do that.

53:41

>> Maybe they do that.

53:42

>> I've never had it happen my whole

53:43

career. I have had a long and pretty

53:45

like well-known prayer. But I'll tell

53:47

you, a very famous author was on my

53:49

plane today and he texted he had my

53:52

number. He texted me just thank you for

53:54

what you're doing. And I he he didn't

53:56

want to say hi because he felt like he

53:58

was bothering me, which he wasn't.

53:59

>> But but what I'll say is we have we have

54:01

a responsibility and I think our

54:03

responsibility I'm trying to live up to

54:05

this is the medium is creating good

54:07

vibes. I think mostly because, and I do

54:10

think this is true of most podcasts,

54:12

when you go on cable TV, and this

54:14

happened to me when I went on Pierce

54:16

Morgan or a couple times when I've gone

54:17

on Fox, they're trying to engage a

54:19

little bit and call out culture and

54:20

create antagonism. I have found the vast

54:23

majority of podcasters when I go on

54:25

their podcast, even if they disagree

54:27

with me, even if they're conservative,

54:29

they're trying to present you in a fair

54:31

and positive light. And I think as

54:33

podcasters we have an obligation to

54:35

maintain that cultural zeitgeist

54:38

to be to show some grace to even if you

54:40

disagree with people. We're not in the

54:42

business of calling them out. You want a

54:43

thoughtful nuance conversation. Let them

54:45

run with their

54:46

>> views. It's okay to disagree and it's

54:48

okay to push back. I do think you have

54:50

to informational and like let's hear

54:52

this person is what I'm trying to do and

54:54

like what your goal isn't to make them

54:56

look stupid,

54:57

>> right? Your your goal is to have a

55:00

thoughtful discourse such that your

55:01

listeners your listeners learn, but also

55:04

to demonstrate the people from different

55:06

sides of the political spectrum,

55:08

>> but you don't

55:08

>> can demonstrate some grace towards each

55:10

other.

55:10

>> I agree. I agree with you. All right,

55:12

Scott. One more quick break. We'll be

55:14

back for wins and fails. Support for

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56:22

Okay, Scott, we're going to do some wins

56:24

and fails. I'm gonna I'm gonna go first

56:25

if you don't mind. I already talked

56:26

about Palunteer's stupid manifesto. But

56:29

two people um Ron Conway, a really

56:31

well-known figure in Silicon Valley who

56:33

I like very much. He was the one that

56:35

was pushing back on he's been I just

56:38

really like him. He and I have had lots

56:40

of beefs over the years, but he's a

56:41

really legendary venture capitalist. He

56:43

announced he had a cancer. He's not

56:44

giving specifics about it. Um and he's

56:47

fighting it. He's given so much money to

56:49

medical stuff in San Francisco.

56:51

incredibly generous and unusual for a

56:53

lot of these VCs who just only think

56:55

about themselves, but Ron's a very

56:57

civic-minded person in San Francisco.

56:59

Um, and people have different views with

57:01

him, but I I really adore him and uh

57:04

he's he's struggling with some cancer

57:06

and he wrote me a series of very joyful

57:09

texts over the weekend. I love you.

57:11

Thank you so much. cuz I wrote him a

57:13

note and I just hope he he has all the

57:16

he has all the money and to to do and

57:18

all the connections and science because

57:19

he's done so much fundraising. Um I hope

57:23

for the best for him. And then second

57:25

one is um so that's a fail for mine and

57:28

same thing is uh Senator Warner's

57:29

daughter died. Uh she had juvenile

57:32

diabetes and a series of health issues.

57:34

And I both Scott and I love talking to

57:37

him. We find him very thoughtful. Um and

57:40

so I just we are my condolences go to

57:43

him. Um she's 36 years old and again

57:45

struggled with um struggled with

57:48

juvenile diabetes and ensuing bunches of

57:50

issues. Um and my win um is this

57:54

Atlantic piece. It's a little bit of a

57:56

dunker, but everyone is getting on board

57:59

with this idea that maybe the tech

58:00

billionaires aren't here to help us,

58:02

which I think um is is a is a narrative

58:05

I've tried to get through a little bit.

58:08

Um, but I thought that this guy Noah

58:10

Holly, who was responsible for Fargo and

58:11

a bunch of other things I love online,

58:14

he's been writing for The Atlantic, and

58:16

I just really, really enjoy his work.

58:19

Um, but I really, uh, let me just read

58:23

two quotes from this piece in the

58:25

Atlantic. Uh, it's called What I Learned

58:27

about Billionaires at Jeff Bezos's

58:28

private retreat. These guys are having

58:30

their own retreats. That Bezos's is

58:32

called Campfire. And it's it's a

58:35

devastating piece actually, and I think

58:36

very true. unfair. Um, this is the

58:39

hubris of accomplishment. To be declared

58:41

a genius at one thing is to begin to

58:43

believe you are a genius at everything.

58:46

It's not that the wealthy become evil.

58:48

It's that their environment stops

58:49

teaching them the things that

58:50

non-wealthy people are forced to learn

58:53

simply by living in a world that pushes

58:55

back. When when you can buy your way out

58:58

of any mistake, when you can fire anyone

59:00

who disagrees with you. When your social

59:01

circle consists entirely of people who

59:04

need something from you. The basic

59:06

mechanism by which humans learn that

59:08

other people are real goes dark.

59:11

Fantastic piece, Noah Holly. I recommend

59:14

it. It's beautifully written and

59:16

incredibly fair. And um so anyway, yours

59:21

>> I'm just gonna I'm just paring your

59:23

comments. I did not know that about Ron

59:25

Conway and I'm sorry to hear that. Ron

59:28

invested uh in two of my companies back

59:30

in the 90s when I was playing in traffic

59:32

and starting e-commerce companies. He

59:34

invested he was one of my first

59:35

investors in Red Envelope and one of my

59:38

first investors in my e-commerce

59:40

incubator, Brand Farm.

59:41

>> I didn't know that. Wow.

59:42

>> Yeah. And I'll say this about Ron. You

59:45

know, you have good investors and you

59:47

have bad investors. And Ron uh I would

59:51

just describe as incredibly supportive

59:53

no matter what was going on was

59:56

emotionally and financially just like

59:58

really on the side of entrepreneurs and

60:01

uh

60:01

>> I'm sorry to hear that and I share I

60:03

share your warm wishes. Also share

60:06

>> your condolences and sympathies with

60:07

Senator Warner. Obviously every parent's

60:10

>> worst nightmare. I'm not I I know

60:13

Senator Warner. I would consider myself

60:15

friendly but I'm not close friends with

60:16

him. But I have a close friend who's

60:18

very close with Senator Warner and the

60:20

senator has been approached by any

60:22

number of people on a regular basis uh

60:24

about running for president and a lot of

60:26

people felt that he brought the

60:27

gravitas, the credentials and quite

60:30

frankly the kind of mo the moderate

60:32

positioning that they thought would be

60:34

uh a great candidate for president and

60:37

uh what I have heard is that he he never

60:39

ever ever seriously concern considered

60:42

it because he was always very focused on

60:43

his family. Uh, so he is that guy, not

60:46

the one who was performative. Oh, I'm

60:48

going to check with my family. He was

60:50

oftentimes people wanted to draft him,

60:52

but he was always kind of uh family

60:54

first. Anyways, share your share your uh

60:57

condolences. My my win is much more

61:00

boring. I just wanted to talk a little

61:01

bit about Reed Hastings and just the

61:04

incredible tenure uh 99 to 2023,

61:09

founded in 1997. So, he's there 30

61:12

years. So you want to talk about uh from

61:15

a startup to global giant.

61:17

>> In 2000 they had 300,000 subscribers.

61:20

>> This year they'll have 300 million.

61:23

>> The revenue went from the revenue went

61:25

from three billion in 2011. This year it

61:27

will do 45 billion.

61:29

>> Terms of market value. They rejected a

61:32

$50 million acquisition offer in 2000.

61:34

This year they'll they're now worth

61:36

about 400 billion. um one of the largest

61:40

value creations in tech history in terms

61:42

of business transformation.

61:44

Talk about the mother of all, you know,

61:47

big ball pivots from DVD rentals to

61:49

streaming in 2007, from streaming to

61:51

original content, House of Cards, and

61:54

then he's gone from the US to 190 plus

61:57

countries globally. Their profitability,

62:00

tons of losses in the 2000s,

62:02

multi-billions in annual profits. And

62:04

then the cultural impact uh that people

62:07

don't talk enough about was that Netflix

62:09

deck they put out on their culture. They

62:12

talk about freedom and responsibility,

62:14

no vacation limits, high performance

62:16

culture. And the thing I did actually

62:18

take something from them. They stated

62:19

out loud that they wanted to be a

62:21

company known for exceptional

62:23

compensation. And I' I've tried to adopt

62:25

the same thing. I've always tried to pay

62:27

my people more than market or I

62:29

shouldn't say it's the last 10 years. Uh

62:31

but this company

62:33

um they took a DVD by mail startup. They

62:36

pivoted into streaming. They scaled it

62:37

globally and they turned it into a half

62:39

a trillion dollar media platform.

62:42

30 years, 1,000x

62:44

user growth, 15x revenue growth, and you

62:48

know, redefined or defined the category.

62:53

I I would argue one of the top five to

62:54

10 tech CEO careers of the last 30

62:56

years. And you know what? He did it with

62:58

a lot of grace. He was never in

63:00

>> absolutely

63:01

>> he was never scandal. Never [ __ ] posting

63:03

other people. Never

63:06

>> found drunk driving. Never

63:09

>> shitty tweets he had to erase or delete

63:12

>> attention on himself. I have I can I

63:15

just add that I've had him on stage many

63:17

times but I have to say of all the

63:19

people I would rather spend time with

63:21

Reed Hastings and I know Hollywood all

63:23

hates their miss system but it's not

63:25

their fault that they found a way to do

63:27

a different system. It's Hollywood's

63:29

fault for having a bad economic system

63:31

that was no longer sustainable. They

63:33

like to sort of blame Netflix. I think

63:34

that's unfair. Um they they do what they

63:37

do. That's what they make. And I don't

63:39

think they're diminishing it. You just

63:40

you don't have to watch it if you don't

63:42

like it in that regard. And I think they

63:43

put out a lot of great content.

63:45

Actually, they put a lot of silly

63:46

content, too. But I got to tell you,

63:48

what a he's a [ __ ] class act. He's So

63:51

is Ron. They're class acts. All these

63:54

guys you're talking about. and he

63:56

clearly imprinted really solid DNA. The

63:58

co-c now, Greg Peters and Ted Sandos. I

64:01

don't know Greg, but I know Ted, but

64:03

they're both have a reputation for being

64:05

not only very intelligent, but very

64:07

decent men.

64:08

>> So Netflix, a great company, great

64:10

leadership, and this guy historic run is

64:12

is historic. So my win is the tenure of

64:16

>> of Reed Hastings. By the way, one of the

64:18

things I was thinking about, Scott, was

64:20

you talked about that is the decency and

64:22

we started with the incompetence like a

64:23

cash patelling

64:26

sick of these incompetents and these

64:27

like look at me performative [ __ ]

64:31

liars. Like I don't know what else to

64:33

say, but I was watching Obama and

64:35

Mandami thing. Uh they were promoting

64:38

universal free child care and singing

64:40

wheels on the bus. Did you see that

64:42

video?

64:43

>> It was it was it was very it was very

64:45

likable, human humane. It was really

64:48

nice.

64:48

>> Yes, it was so nice. I was like enough

64:50

of that the other [ __ ] the cash patells

64:53

and more of that. More wheels on the

64:55

bus. That's all I have to say. Anyway,

64:57

we want to hear from you. Send us your

64:58

questions about business tech or

64:59

whatever's on your mind. Go to

65:01

nymag.com/pivot

65:03

to submit a question for the show or

65:05

call 85551 pivot. Elsewhere in the Karen

65:08

Scott universe, this week on On with

65:09

Caris Wisher, I spoke with comedian

65:11

Nikki Glazer uh who is a new stand-up

65:14

special called Good Girl coming out

65:15

Friday on Hulu. She talked about uh how

65:18

overcoming fear pushes her to be the

65:20

best. Let's listen to a clip.

65:22

>> I love fear. I run into fear. Picture

65:24

fear as like a wall that you have to run

65:25

into. And so I was I kind of go into

65:28

that of like I know that my self-esteem

65:30

is built upon doing things that are hard

65:33

and conquering them. So I know that on

65:35

the other side of doing this horribly

65:36

uncomfortable thing is uh is me feeling

65:40

better about myself.

65:41

>> It's a great interview. Scott, you

65:42

reminded me of you a little bit. It was

65:43

interesting. I was I was talking to her.

65:45

It was interesting. I think

65:46

>> I like her because it's dirty.

65:47

>> She's also dirty. She talked about that.

65:50

Anyway, uh the the show is called Good

65:52

Girl and uh she's not always good in the

65:54

show, but actually she is. It's a she's

65:56

a really talented comic. I like her a

65:58

lot and very thoughtful and very funny.

66:00

That's the most important part. Uh okay,

66:02

that's the show. Let's thanks for

66:03

listening to Pivot and be sure to like

66:05

and subscribe to our YouTube channel.

66:06

We'll be back on Friday.

Interactive Summary

This episode of the podcast covers a wide range of current events and business topics, beginning with a discussion on the lawsuit filed by FBI Director Cash Patel against The Atlantic and allegations regarding his behavior. The hosts analyze the broader implications of incompetence in government leadership. The conversation then shifts to foreign policy, focusing on the U.S. approach to Iran and the shifting landscape of global energy, including China's dominance in renewables. The episode also features segments on the impact of Joe Rogan's political influence, AI regulation, and a deep dive into Netflix's recent earnings report, leadership changes, and potential expansion into vertical video and podcasting.

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