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SpaceX Just Triggered the Biggest Unwind in Financial History - GET READY NOW!

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SpaceX Just Triggered the Biggest Unwind in Financial History - GET READY NOW!

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587 segments

0:00

350 billion. That is how much fresh cash

0:04

Wall Street needs to come up with in the

0:07

next few weeks just to absorb three

0:10

massive IPOs and the wave of new shares

0:13

that big tech just started printing.

0:16

SpaceX, Open AI, and Anthropic are all

0:18

racing to go public at the same time.

0:21

Google is already selling 85 billion in

0:24

brand new shares. They just print them.

0:26

And Meta is reportedly next to print

0:28

some more shares. And that money has to

0:31

come from somewhere. And it's coming

0:33

from, you guessed it, yes, your

0:34

portfolio. Congratulations. Because the

0:37

top 10 stocks in the S&P, the stocks

0:40

responsible for nearly all of your

0:43

gains. And I can show you that sort of

0:45

analyst app here, which is Winston's app

0:48

here. And you can see that these top 10

0:50

stocks accounted for 72% of all the S&P

0:54

500 gains this year. and they're the

0:56

same stocks that are about to get sold

0:59

and diluted at the same time. So, by the

1:02

end of this video, Winston is promising

1:04

to give you our three-step framework to

1:08

not just survive what's coming because

1:10

that's important, but to come out the

1:12

other side potentially wealthier than

1:15

you went in. My name is Felix Pin. I'm

1:17

an ex-investment banker. This is Winston

1:19

here who's the brains behind it all. And

1:21

we've seen how banks really work from

1:23

the inside. And I'm also the founder of

1:25

the Go Academy where my retired Wall

1:27

Street mentors teach regular investors

1:30

institutional strategies and we've done

1:31

that for over 20,000 students the last

1:33

six years. And two months ago, right

1:36

here on this very channel, Winston

1:39

warned you that the debt channels were

1:42

shutting down, that big tech would be

1:45

forced to print stock to fund AI. And

1:49

Google just proved us right. $85 billion

1:52

in new shares. Meta is reportedly next,

1:55

and today we're going to break down

1:57

exactly what's happening, why it matters

1:59

to you personally, and what you need to

2:01

do about it step by step. Now, the video

2:05

here is going to be fairly information

2:06

dense. So, Winston has done something

2:08

for you. He's going to throw some

2:10

numbers at you. And to make sure they

2:12

really land, we're going to give you a

2:13

free bonus research report that covers

2:16

everything we're about to discuss, plus

2:18

much more, so this video doesn't become

2:19

endlessly long. You can download that

2:21

completely for free at

2:22

felixfrren.org/trap

2:24

tap. The link, of course, is in the

2:27

description down below. It is free. Just

2:29

grab it so you can follow along. So, let

2:31

me explain what's happening. And I'm

2:34

going to keep this fairly simple because

2:37

what I'm about to show you is something

2:38

every investor needs to really

2:40

understand whether you've been investing

2:42

for, you know, 30 years or 30 days.

2:44

Winston agrees, don't you? So these are

2:47

the two forces about to

2:50

hit the stock market all at the same

2:52

time. And both of them are aimed at the

2:55

same stocks. Force numero uno is the

2:58

triple IPO collision. Three of the

3:02

biggest private companies on Earth out

3:06

in space are all racing to go public,

3:09

basically sell themselves to you. First,

3:13

SpaceX. SpaceX is about to do the

3:15

largest IPO in history. They're raising

3:17

about 75 billion in cash. To put that

3:21

into perspective, this largest IPO we

3:24

had before was Saudi Arab which was in

3:28

2019 and they raised about 29 billion.

3:30

So SpaceX is asking for three times as

3:33

much cash as that IPO did, the biggest

3:35

in the world. Second, we've got Open AI,

3:37

the company behind Chad GPT, and they

3:39

filed their paperwork too. They're

3:41

looking to raise 60 billion. Third, we

3:44

have Anthropic. they make claude which

3:47

is your sort of French slightly angry

3:49

slightly I was going to say something I

3:52

shouldn't say. Um anyway it's sort of

3:54

like a chat GPT with uh without quite

3:56

the evil intent of chat GPT. Um and

4:00

they've also filed their paperwork and

4:02

they're looking for about 60 billion. So

4:04

you add that up 75 billion 60 billion 60

4:08

billion. You're like Felix you promised

4:09

me 350 billion. Yes, you're paying

4:11

attention. So this is about 200 billion

4:14

marinos and that's got to come from

4:18

somewhere in a couple of months. Now the

4:21

question that nobody on CNBC is asking

4:23

is where does $200 billion come from?

4:26

Winston, have you got 200 billion lying

4:28

around? I don't think so. Think about it

4:31

this way. Imagine three brand new mega

4:34

molds all opening on the same street in

4:37

the same month. every single shop in

4:40

town is going to lose what? Customers

4:42

because the shoppers, the investors in

4:44

this case, only have so much money to

4:46

spend. And then the second force is

4:49

this. Big tech is printing shares, which

4:52

gets which makes it way worse because

4:55

while the 200 billion is getting sucked

4:57

out for these three IPOs, the big

5:00

companies that you already own are also

5:03

asking for more money and they're not

5:05

giving you any more ownership for it.

5:08

Google or Alphabet as they're called

5:10

announced they are selling 85 billion in

5:13

brand new minted shares. Largest tech

5:16

stock offering ever. So what does that

5:18

mean in plain English? When a company

5:21

issues new shares, they are basically

5:24

printing more pieces of the same pie.

5:26

The pie does not get bigger, but now

5:28

there are more slices. So your slice,

5:31

the one you already paid for, it gets

5:33

thinner. It gets the ompic treatment and

5:36

it's called dilution in the words of

5:39

Wall Street. And it isn't just going to

5:41

be Google. Meta, the company that owns

5:43

Facebook and Instagram, is a reportedly

5:45

doing the same thing, selling tens of

5:47

billions of dollars in new stock. Meta

5:50

stock dropped about 5 to 9% on on that

5:53

rumor just in one day. Microsoft is

5:56

spending almost 200 billion on AI this

5:58

year. You think they're going to do it?

5:59

Probably. Amazon's probably going to do

6:01

it, too. So, where do you think all this

6:03

money is going to come from? Now, maybe

6:06

you're going to ask, well, why don't

6:07

they just borrow the money? Why sell

6:10

stock? And that is truly a great

6:14

question, isn't it, Winston? And that's

6:17

something that I warned you about two

6:18

months ago if you were watching this

6:19

channel then in a video that I'll I'll

6:21

link to somewhere around here. And what

6:24

I said to you then is that the debt

6:25

market is choking on tech debt. In the

6:29

first five months of this year, AI

6:32

related companies have issued 110

6:35

billion in debt. Borrowing costs have

6:37

gone up and the debt channels, the guys

6:40

lending the money, just can't handle

6:42

this one. So, they're turning to the

6:45

stock market. They're printing shares.

6:48

Your shares get diluted. So, if we add

6:51

this all up, the IPOs, the share

6:54

offerings, we're going to look at about

6:57

$350

6:59

billion being sucked out the market in

7:02

the next few months minimum. And every

7:04

single dollar of that has to come from

7:06

somewhere. It comes from who? Fund

7:09

managers selling stocks. And which

7:10

stocks do they sell first? the ones that

7:13

are the easiest to sell, the ones that

7:15

they own the most of, the biggest, the

7:18

most liquid name in the market. Think

7:20

about Google, Nvidia, Intel, Amazon,

7:23

AVGO, Apple, AMD. And these stocks are

7:28

the exact same stocks that are carrying

7:30

your portfolio right now. If you don't

7:32

own these stocks, you'd have made like

7:35

no money at all this year. your S&P 500

7:38

fund. 72% of its gains this year are due

7:41

to these 10 companies. Everything else

7:44

is just a complete waste of life. 490

7:47

stocks are doing I was going to say f

7:49

all bug. I think we're allowed to say

7:52

that, right? And that's where it gets

7:54

kind of personal because most people

7:56

watching this video probably think, "Oh,

7:58

I'm safe. got a 401k, maybe you got a

8:00

Roth IRA, you got some money in an S&P

8:02

500 index fund because you've been told

8:05

that just buy the index and hold it

8:07

forever. And it sounds smart, right? It

8:09

sounds diversified. It sounds safe. But

8:12

here's what nobody tells you. The

8:14

concentration problem is real. The S&P

8:17

500 is supposed to be 500 stocks, right?

8:20

That's the whole point. Diversification.

8:22

Don't put all your eggs in one basket,

8:24

right? Especially not with this guy

8:25

because he eats eggs faster than you can

8:27

say egg. But right now, the top 10

8:30

stocks on the S&P 500 are not just 40%

8:33

of the entire index. They also account

8:35

for, as I keep saying, 72% of all your

8:38

gains. 72%.

8:41

So, when someone tells you, I'm

8:43

diversified. I own the S&P 500. What

8:45

they're really saying is, 72% of all the

8:48

money I make come from just 10 stocks.

8:50

Makes you wonder why you own the other

8:51

490, doesn't it? And I want you to

8:54

really feel what's happening here,

8:55

because this is not normal. Your top

8:58

holdings are being hit from two

8:59

directions at the same time. Direction

9:01

one is the big funds selling these

9:03

stocks to get the cash to buy the IPOs.

9:07

Do you know this guy? He was Charlie

9:09

Monger's best friend. Monish Pabry, one

9:11

of the greatest investors alive. And he

9:14

says when asked about the S&P 500, what

9:17

was his answer? He said bearish.

9:20

>> Just that bearish. He's basically saying

9:23

at today's prices, stocks are

9:25

overvalued. They're trading at a price

9:28

toearnings ratio of 30. The long-term

9:32

average is 16. So stocks are twice as

9:35

expensive right now as normal. And that

9:38

is more extreme than in 2000, right

9:40

before the dot crash. And what's Papr

9:43

doing with his own money? He has zero

9:46

money in the S&P 500. He has zero money

9:49

in mega cap tech stocks. Buffett's

9:51

Burkshire Haway just sold the S&P 500

9:54

index fund. And they're always saying

9:56

everybody should own the index, right?

9:58

Well, they've sold the index. So, think

10:00

about that. This is actually your

10:02

retirement fund, the S&P 500 index fund.

10:04

That is your safety net. That is what

10:06

you're counting on to be well, you know,

10:08

there for you when you're 65, 70, 75

10:11

years old. And put in the chat how old

10:13

you are. See how much time you've got.

10:16

And one of the smartest investors on the

10:18

planet, in fact, two of the smartest

10:19

investors on the planet won't touch it.

10:22

And that's exactly why I'm running a

10:25

special live session this coming weekend

10:28

for you live from France. And it's

10:31

called the index fund trap. Why the S&P

10:34

500 is lying to you. It is. And think

10:37

about this. If the greatest value

10:39

investors on earth won't touch the S&P

10:42

500, you need to understand why. And

10:44

more importantly, you need to understand

10:46

what to do about it. And I'm going to

10:48

walk you through everything live with a

10:51

Q&A. You can ask me questions step by

10:53

step and it's the first time I'm running

10:55

this as a seminar. It's going to be

10:56

likely the last. And so you can either

10:58

join us live for free or you can learn

11:01

the hard way and you're going to see

11:03

what happens in five or 10 years. So

11:05

seats are limited. Get yours at

11:07

index.com.

11:09

Link is down below in the description

11:10

and in the pinned comment. And maybe

11:13

you're thinking, okay, Monish Pubry is a

11:15

value investor. He's always cautious

11:17

about overpaying of this nature. You

11:19

might think, well, that's just how these

11:21

value guys talk, right? So, let me give

11:23

you someone from the other side of the

11:25

spectrum. Tom Lee. You've heard of Tom

11:27

Lee? Put a T TL in the chat down below.

11:30

He's the head of research at Funstrap.

11:33

And he is the most consistently bullish

11:35

voice on Wall Street. This is literally

11:37

the guy who called the 23 rally when

11:40

everyone else is predicting a recession.

11:41

He called the 24 rally. He called the 25

11:43

rally. He's talking about the 26 rally.

11:46

Is he? Well, this permable, the guy who

11:50

always thinks stocks are going up right

11:53

now. He's warning of a 20% correction.

11:56

So, let that let that sink in. The most

11:58

bullish man on Wall Street, the guy

12:00

who's been actually right about the bull

12:03

market for the last three years is

12:05

suddenly telling people to brace for

12:06

impact. And his three reasons are this.

12:09

The new Fed leadership is creating

12:11

uncertainty. market markets get nervous

12:14

when the person controlling interest

12:16

rate changes. Number two, AI valuations

12:19

are getting repriced. The market is

12:22

starting to realize that maybe these

12:24

stocks aren't worth what we're paying.

12:26

And then this is policy fragmentation,

12:30

trade wars. They're creating headwinds

12:33

that could slow down profits. So Tom Lee

12:36

is predicting a painful drop in the

12:38

middle of the year. So let me show you a

12:40

pattern here. And once you see this,

12:43

you'll remember this one forever. I

12:44

promise you that. Back in 2021, we had a

12:47

massive IPO wave. The market was hot.

12:49

Money was cheap. Everyone was euphoric.

12:52

Rivian went public. Coinbase went

12:55

public. Robin Hood went public. And all

12:58

at what turned out to be absurd

13:00

valuations, and then the Fed started

13:03

tightening, interest rates went up, easy

13:06

money started disappearing,

13:08

and guess what happened? Robin Hood went

13:11

down 85%. Rivian crashed 85%. Coinbase

13:14

crashed over 75%. And the IPO market

13:19

just completely disappeared going into

13:21

2022. So the patterns always the same.

13:25

You get hype, then an IPO flood, then a

13:28

liquidity drain, as in the easy money

13:30

disappears, and then you get a crash.

13:32

We're seeing exactly that pattern right

13:34

now, but the numbers are about 10 times

13:37

bigger. And what no one's really talking

13:39

about is that big tech is together

13:41

spending 725

13:44

billion this year on AI. The Fed has

13:48

flagged AI spending as a top financial

13:52

risk. Now, here's what I think is going

13:55

to happen, and this is just my opinion,

13:56

but it's not a fact. I believe they're

13:58

going to spend less than they're

13:59

announcing. I also believe it'll take

14:02

much longer than people expect to see

14:04

the real benefits of AI. And I also

14:06

think AI is going to get a hundred times

14:08

cheaper. All these models, all these

14:11

tokens you got to pay for are going to

14:12

get really cheap. And most consumer AI

14:15

will be completely free like a Google

14:17

search. Paid for by advertising exactly

14:19

like Google is search is doing it today.

14:21

Google is already doing that, right? Go

14:23

on to google.com, search something as an

14:24

AI feature. It's free. And what that

14:26

means is that the return on that 700

14:30

billion in spend could be pretty

14:32

appalling because if you can do it for

14:35

free, why pay for it? Like what we're

14:37

doing, we have software we build, right?

14:39

So what do we do? We use the greatest

14:41

model out there. We pay for it at the

14:42

beginning and then we figure out how we

14:44

can use a free model to do the same

14:47

thing for us and then it doesn't cost us

14:49

anything at all after that. So we spend

14:50

a little bit, figure it out and then we

14:52

do it for free with one of the open

14:53

source models. And that way we can make

14:55

our software available to you at a at a

14:58

at a very reasonable price. Like for

14:59

example, if you want to monitor what

15:02

stocks are driving most of the S&P 500

15:04

gains and we update this all the time in

15:06

the Winston app, there's a link down

15:07

below. There's a whole free month of

15:09

with the Winston app. You can play

15:10

around with it. Get some insanely good

15:12

data. Uh find some value stocks, find

15:16

some momentum stocks, find stocks that,

15:18

you know, Trump is buying and all that

15:20

kind of good stuff. All at a very

15:22

reasonable cost. In fact, it's entirely

15:24

free for the first month. But what most

15:26

investors don't really understand, even

15:28

experienced investors, and when I

15:31

explain this, I think it's going to piss

15:33

you off and it's going to make you

15:34

slightly angry because there is a third

15:36

force and it's working against you and

15:39

your portfolio. And it's completely

15:41

automatic. You don't get a notification.

15:43

You don't get a vote. It just happens.

15:44

And it's called index rebalancing,

15:48

right? But how your index fund will sell

15:50

your winners without asking you is

15:53

something you want to know. So here's

15:54

how it works. NASDAQ has adopted

15:57

something called a fast entry rule.

16:00

Under this rule, when a company like

16:02

SpaceX goes public because it's big

16:04

enough, it can be added to the SM to the

16:06

NASDAQ 100 within just 15 trading days.

16:11

So every NASDAQ 100 index fund in the

16:13

world will be forced mechanically

16:16

automatically to buy SpaceX shares. 15

16:19

to 30 billion in forced buying depending

16:21

on how you look at the numbers. Now

16:24

these funds don't have cash sitting

16:26

around to buy SpaceX. They have to sell

16:29

something. They sell their existing

16:31

holdings across the board. It means your

16:34

index fund will sell some of your

16:36

Microsoft, some of your Nvidia, some of

16:38

your Apple and everything else to buy

16:40

SpaceX without asking you. Just happens

16:43

inside the fund and it doesn't stop

16:45

there. When OpenAI goes public in a few

16:47

months, same thing. We'll force selling

16:49

off the current holdings to make room.

16:51

When Enthropic goes public again after

16:52

that, again, same mechanic, same

16:54

pressure, three rounds of force selling,

16:56

all targeting the same 100 NASDAQ

16:58

stocks, the tech stocks most of you guys

17:00

own. And it's even the target date

17:03

retirement funds. You own one of these

17:04

Vanguard target date retirement funds.

17:06

Most Americans have them in their 401k.

17:09

You're again exposed to the same

17:10

mechanic right now. So your stocks are

17:12

being sold by big funds to free up cash

17:16

for IPOs. That's force one. Force two,

17:18

your stocks are being diluted by the

17:20

companies themselves printing more

17:22

shares. Basically pie is the same size.

17:24

They're just cutting it into smaller

17:26

pieces. You now own a smaller piece. And

17:28

then the third force is your index fund

17:30

is mechanically selling your winners to

17:32

make room for the new guys. So you got

17:34

three forces all pushing in the same

17:36

direction. And this isn't normal. This

17:39

is a structural event. So now you know

17:42

the problem. Now you're thoroughly

17:44

depressed and you're wondering, well,

17:45

what do we do about this? Please tell

17:47

me. Let's talk about the solution.

17:49

Because my goal here isn't to scare you.

17:50

My goal is to prepare you. The people

17:53

who get wealthy in markets like this

17:55

potentially are not the people who

17:57

panic. They're the people who have a

17:59

plan before the storm hits. Right? So,

18:02

let me give you my three-step framework.

18:05

And I want to be clear. This isn't

18:06

financial advice. I'm not a registered

18:08

financial adviser. I'm just a guy who

18:10

shares with you his opinion on what's

18:12

going on out there and some of the stuff

18:14

he's learned from my Wall Street

18:16

mentors. So, the first thing I think you

18:18

need to do today is as soon as literally

18:20

this video is over, pull up your 401k or

18:23

your brokerage account and answer one

18:24

question. How concentrated am I? And a

18:27

quick way to do that is take the total

18:29

amount you have in index funds and

18:31

multiply that by 0.4. Why? Because

18:35

that'll tell you how much of your money

18:36

is sitting in just 10 stocks. That's how

18:39

concentrated you actually are. So if you

18:41

have $100,000 in an S&P index fund,

18:44

40,000 of that is in just 10 companies.

18:46

And I know many of you then also own

18:49

those individual 10 companies separately

18:51

because you think you don't own them

18:53

yet. So you're sleepwalking in a very

18:56

very concentrated bet. And then step

18:58

two, understand where the money is

19:00

going. Because the most important thing

19:02

people don't realize is when big money

19:04

leaves the tech stocks doesn't

19:06

disappear. It doesn't go into a black

19:08

hole. It rotates. It moves into another

19:11

part of the market. And right now, the

19:13

smart money is telling you exactly where

19:15

it's going. We've had coal and energy

19:17

companies. We've had oil service

19:18

companies doing really well.

19:19

Transportation, biotech companies, a lot

19:22

of stuff out there. Basic materials, a

19:25

lot of things have done actually very

19:26

well. And then step number three, build

19:29

your watch list before the dip. And I

19:31

think that's the most important step,

19:32

and it's one that separates the amateurs

19:35

from the professionals. You don't panic

19:37

sell. That's how people get destroyed.

19:39

You don't try to time the exact bottom

19:41

of the market. That's impossible. What

19:43

you do is this. You make a list right

19:45

now today before anything happens. A

19:47

list of high quality companies that you

19:49

would love to at the right price. Pick

19:52

10 to 15 names. Again, you can get some

19:55

help. Go into the Winston app, click on

19:57

highest rated. You can filter this down

20:00

to, you know, your country wherever you

20:02

live in the world if you're investing

20:03

regionally. and it's going to start

20:05

giving you some names here sorted by the

20:08

highest scores that we give them. Then

20:10

you wait and if you join me on Saturday,

20:12

I'm going to show you that on a much

20:13

much deeper level because there is more

20:15

to it than just looking up the

20:16

financials. You want to see the money

20:18

flowing into it, right? Because many of

20:20

you are sitting here thinking, okay,

20:22

Felix, I sort of get the logic, but how

20:24

do I actually do this? How do I audit my

20:27

concentration? How do I find the

20:28

rotation place? How do I know what to

20:30

put on my watch list and what prices

20:32

should I set as buy prices? Well, that's

20:35

exactly what I'm going to cover for you

20:37

this coming weekend. Saturday, live from

20:40

France. So, it works for you if you're

20:42

in the Medicas or if you're in in in,

20:45

you know, the socialist states of Europe

20:46

or formerly Great Britain, just Britain

20:49

nowadays. I'm going to teach you this

20:52

index fund trap, how the S&P 500 is

20:55

lying to you. I'm going to walk you

20:56

through step by step live with a Q&A how

20:59

to order your portfolio for that

21:00

concentration. How about to identify

21:03

where the smart money is flowing and how

21:05

to build that list, the exact list that

21:08

could turn a crash into the best

21:11

investment opportunity of your life. It

21:13

is completely free. Claim that free seat

21:15

that's waiting there for you at

21:16

index.com.

21:18

Link is down below in the description.

21:19

And if you're going to show up for

21:21

yourself on Saturday, write show up in

21:24

the comments down below. And I know

21:25

you'll be there. And let me leave you

21:27

with this. Every great bull market, it

21:29

has a shakeout. Every single one. The

21:31

'9s had one. The 2010s had one. This one

21:34

will, too. The AI revolution is real.

21:36

I'm not saying AI is fake. I'm not

21:38

saying space won't be, you know,

21:40

valuable. I'm saying the stocks that are

21:43

pricing it in are a little ahead of

21:46

themselves. And the companies behind

21:48

them are printing shares to pay for bets

21:50

that might not work out for many years.

21:53

So, the people who potentially get rich

21:55

from this aren't the ones who bought the

21:57

hype at the top. They're the ones who

21:59

bought the hangover. This is not 2008.

22:03

This is not the end of the world. The

22:05

economy isn't collapsing. This is a $350

22:09

billion game of musical chairs. And you

22:12

just got told the music's about to stop.

22:14

Mish Pry sees it. Tom Lee sees it.

22:17

Baffford sees it. The question is, do

22:20

you? And what are you going to do about

22:22

it? Have your list, know your prices,

22:25

buy the hangover, and I'll see you on

22:27

Saturday at indextrap.com.

22:29

Link is in there.

22:32

And if this video has helped you to see

22:35

something you didn't see before, share

22:37

the video with somebody. Share the live

22:40

seminarstrap.com

22:42

link with other people who you think

22:43

might benefit from this, too. Because

22:45

that's the entire point of this. Help

22:47

people become more financially literate.

22:51

improve your skills so you can make

22:53

better decisions so you can get to the

22:55

freedom and the retirement that you

22:56

deserve. There is a $2 trillion time

22:59

bomb buried deep inside America's

23:02

retirement system and Wall Street is

23:04

praying you don't find out before it

23:07

detonates right now. Literally right.

Interactive Summary

The video outlines a potential market correction driven by a '$350 billion liquidity drain' caused by massive IPOs from companies like SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic, combined with share dilution from major tech companies. The speaker argues that because the S&P 500 is highly concentrated in these same tech stocks, individual investors' portfolios are at risk of being 'sold and diluted' simultaneously. He encourages viewers to audit their portfolio concentration, monitor 'smart money' rotation, and prepare a watchlist of high-quality companies to buy when a correction inevitably occurs.

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