SpaceX Just Triggered the Biggest Unwind in Financial History - GET READY NOW!
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350 billion. That is how much fresh cash
Wall Street needs to come up with in the
next few weeks just to absorb three
massive IPOs and the wave of new shares
that big tech just started printing.
SpaceX, Open AI, and Anthropic are all
racing to go public at the same time.
Google is already selling 85 billion in
brand new shares. They just print them.
And Meta is reportedly next to print
some more shares. And that money has to
come from somewhere. And it's coming
from, you guessed it, yes, your
portfolio. Congratulations. Because the
top 10 stocks in the S&P, the stocks
responsible for nearly all of your
gains. And I can show you that sort of
analyst app here, which is Winston's app
here. And you can see that these top 10
stocks accounted for 72% of all the S&P
500 gains this year. and they're the
same stocks that are about to get sold
and diluted at the same time. So, by the
end of this video, Winston is promising
to give you our three-step framework to
not just survive what's coming because
that's important, but to come out the
other side potentially wealthier than
you went in. My name is Felix Pin. I'm
an ex-investment banker. This is Winston
here who's the brains behind it all. And
we've seen how banks really work from
the inside. And I'm also the founder of
the Go Academy where my retired Wall
Street mentors teach regular investors
institutional strategies and we've done
that for over 20,000 students the last
six years. And two months ago, right
here on this very channel, Winston
warned you that the debt channels were
shutting down, that big tech would be
forced to print stock to fund AI. And
Google just proved us right. $85 billion
in new shares. Meta is reportedly next,
and today we're going to break down
exactly what's happening, why it matters
to you personally, and what you need to
do about it step by step. Now, the video
here is going to be fairly information
dense. So, Winston has done something
for you. He's going to throw some
numbers at you. And to make sure they
really land, we're going to give you a
free bonus research report that covers
everything we're about to discuss, plus
much more, so this video doesn't become
endlessly long. You can download that
completely for free at
felixfrren.org/trap
tap. The link, of course, is in the
description down below. It is free. Just
grab it so you can follow along. So, let
me explain what's happening. And I'm
going to keep this fairly simple because
what I'm about to show you is something
every investor needs to really
understand whether you've been investing
for, you know, 30 years or 30 days.
Winston agrees, don't you? So these are
the two forces about to
hit the stock market all at the same
time. And both of them are aimed at the
same stocks. Force numero uno is the
triple IPO collision. Three of the
biggest private companies on Earth out
in space are all racing to go public,
basically sell themselves to you. First,
SpaceX. SpaceX is about to do the
largest IPO in history. They're raising
about 75 billion in cash. To put that
into perspective, this largest IPO we
had before was Saudi Arab which was in
2019 and they raised about 29 billion.
So SpaceX is asking for three times as
much cash as that IPO did, the biggest
in the world. Second, we've got Open AI,
the company behind Chad GPT, and they
filed their paperwork too. They're
looking to raise 60 billion. Third, we
have Anthropic. they make claude which
is your sort of French slightly angry
slightly I was going to say something I
shouldn't say. Um anyway it's sort of
like a chat GPT with uh without quite
the evil intent of chat GPT. Um and
they've also filed their paperwork and
they're looking for about 60 billion. So
you add that up 75 billion 60 billion 60
billion. You're like Felix you promised
me 350 billion. Yes, you're paying
attention. So this is about 200 billion
marinos and that's got to come from
somewhere in a couple of months. Now the
question that nobody on CNBC is asking
is where does $200 billion come from?
Winston, have you got 200 billion lying
around? I don't think so. Think about it
this way. Imagine three brand new mega
molds all opening on the same street in
the same month. every single shop in
town is going to lose what? Customers
because the shoppers, the investors in
this case, only have so much money to
spend. And then the second force is
this. Big tech is printing shares, which
gets which makes it way worse because
while the 200 billion is getting sucked
out for these three IPOs, the big
companies that you already own are also
asking for more money and they're not
giving you any more ownership for it.
Google or Alphabet as they're called
announced they are selling 85 billion in
brand new minted shares. Largest tech
stock offering ever. So what does that
mean in plain English? When a company
issues new shares, they are basically
printing more pieces of the same pie.
The pie does not get bigger, but now
there are more slices. So your slice,
the one you already paid for, it gets
thinner. It gets the ompic treatment and
it's called dilution in the words of
Wall Street. And it isn't just going to
be Google. Meta, the company that owns
Facebook and Instagram, is a reportedly
doing the same thing, selling tens of
billions of dollars in new stock. Meta
stock dropped about 5 to 9% on on that
rumor just in one day. Microsoft is
spending almost 200 billion on AI this
year. You think they're going to do it?
Probably. Amazon's probably going to do
it, too. So, where do you think all this
money is going to come from? Now, maybe
you're going to ask, well, why don't
they just borrow the money? Why sell
stock? And that is truly a great
question, isn't it, Winston? And that's
something that I warned you about two
months ago if you were watching this
channel then in a video that I'll I'll
link to somewhere around here. And what
I said to you then is that the debt
market is choking on tech debt. In the
first five months of this year, AI
related companies have issued 110
billion in debt. Borrowing costs have
gone up and the debt channels, the guys
lending the money, just can't handle
this one. So, they're turning to the
stock market. They're printing shares.
Your shares get diluted. So, if we add
this all up, the IPOs, the share
offerings, we're going to look at about
$350
billion being sucked out the market in
the next few months minimum. And every
single dollar of that has to come from
somewhere. It comes from who? Fund
managers selling stocks. And which
stocks do they sell first? the ones that
are the easiest to sell, the ones that
they own the most of, the biggest, the
most liquid name in the market. Think
about Google, Nvidia, Intel, Amazon,
AVGO, Apple, AMD. And these stocks are
the exact same stocks that are carrying
your portfolio right now. If you don't
own these stocks, you'd have made like
no money at all this year. your S&P 500
fund. 72% of its gains this year are due
to these 10 companies. Everything else
is just a complete waste of life. 490
stocks are doing I was going to say f
all bug. I think we're allowed to say
that, right? And that's where it gets
kind of personal because most people
watching this video probably think, "Oh,
I'm safe. got a 401k, maybe you got a
Roth IRA, you got some money in an S&P
500 index fund because you've been told
that just buy the index and hold it
forever. And it sounds smart, right? It
sounds diversified. It sounds safe. But
here's what nobody tells you. The
concentration problem is real. The S&P
500 is supposed to be 500 stocks, right?
That's the whole point. Diversification.
Don't put all your eggs in one basket,
right? Especially not with this guy
because he eats eggs faster than you can
say egg. But right now, the top 10
stocks on the S&P 500 are not just 40%
of the entire index. They also account
for, as I keep saying, 72% of all your
gains. 72%.
So, when someone tells you, I'm
diversified. I own the S&P 500. What
they're really saying is, 72% of all the
money I make come from just 10 stocks.
Makes you wonder why you own the other
490, doesn't it? And I want you to
really feel what's happening here,
because this is not normal. Your top
holdings are being hit from two
directions at the same time. Direction
one is the big funds selling these
stocks to get the cash to buy the IPOs.
Do you know this guy? He was Charlie
Monger's best friend. Monish Pabry, one
of the greatest investors alive. And he
says when asked about the S&P 500, what
was his answer? He said bearish.
>> Just that bearish. He's basically saying
at today's prices, stocks are
overvalued. They're trading at a price
toearnings ratio of 30. The long-term
average is 16. So stocks are twice as
expensive right now as normal. And that
is more extreme than in 2000, right
before the dot crash. And what's Papr
doing with his own money? He has zero
money in the S&P 500. He has zero money
in mega cap tech stocks. Buffett's
Burkshire Haway just sold the S&P 500
index fund. And they're always saying
everybody should own the index, right?
Well, they've sold the index. So, think
about that. This is actually your
retirement fund, the S&P 500 index fund.
That is your safety net. That is what
you're counting on to be well, you know,
there for you when you're 65, 70, 75
years old. And put in the chat how old
you are. See how much time you've got.
And one of the smartest investors on the
planet, in fact, two of the smartest
investors on the planet won't touch it.
And that's exactly why I'm running a
special live session this coming weekend
for you live from France. And it's
called the index fund trap. Why the S&P
500 is lying to you. It is. And think
about this. If the greatest value
investors on earth won't touch the S&P
500, you need to understand why. And
more importantly, you need to understand
what to do about it. And I'm going to
walk you through everything live with a
Q&A. You can ask me questions step by
step and it's the first time I'm running
this as a seminar. It's going to be
likely the last. And so you can either
join us live for free or you can learn
the hard way and you're going to see
what happens in five or 10 years. So
seats are limited. Get yours at
index.com.
Link is down below in the description
and in the pinned comment. And maybe
you're thinking, okay, Monish Pubry is a
value investor. He's always cautious
about overpaying of this nature. You
might think, well, that's just how these
value guys talk, right? So, let me give
you someone from the other side of the
spectrum. Tom Lee. You've heard of Tom
Lee? Put a T TL in the chat down below.
He's the head of research at Funstrap.
And he is the most consistently bullish
voice on Wall Street. This is literally
the guy who called the 23 rally when
everyone else is predicting a recession.
He called the 24 rally. He called the 25
rally. He's talking about the 26 rally.
Is he? Well, this permable, the guy who
always thinks stocks are going up right
now. He's warning of a 20% correction.
So, let that let that sink in. The most
bullish man on Wall Street, the guy
who's been actually right about the bull
market for the last three years is
suddenly telling people to brace for
impact. And his three reasons are this.
The new Fed leadership is creating
uncertainty. market markets get nervous
when the person controlling interest
rate changes. Number two, AI valuations
are getting repriced. The market is
starting to realize that maybe these
stocks aren't worth what we're paying.
And then this is policy fragmentation,
trade wars. They're creating headwinds
that could slow down profits. So Tom Lee
is predicting a painful drop in the
middle of the year. So let me show you a
pattern here. And once you see this,
you'll remember this one forever. I
promise you that. Back in 2021, we had a
massive IPO wave. The market was hot.
Money was cheap. Everyone was euphoric.
Rivian went public. Coinbase went
public. Robin Hood went public. And all
at what turned out to be absurd
valuations, and then the Fed started
tightening, interest rates went up, easy
money started disappearing,
and guess what happened? Robin Hood went
down 85%. Rivian crashed 85%. Coinbase
crashed over 75%. And the IPO market
just completely disappeared going into
2022. So the patterns always the same.
You get hype, then an IPO flood, then a
liquidity drain, as in the easy money
disappears, and then you get a crash.
We're seeing exactly that pattern right
now, but the numbers are about 10 times
bigger. And what no one's really talking
about is that big tech is together
spending 725
billion this year on AI. The Fed has
flagged AI spending as a top financial
risk. Now, here's what I think is going
to happen, and this is just my opinion,
but it's not a fact. I believe they're
going to spend less than they're
announcing. I also believe it'll take
much longer than people expect to see
the real benefits of AI. And I also
think AI is going to get a hundred times
cheaper. All these models, all these
tokens you got to pay for are going to
get really cheap. And most consumer AI
will be completely free like a Google
search. Paid for by advertising exactly
like Google is search is doing it today.
Google is already doing that, right? Go
on to google.com, search something as an
AI feature. It's free. And what that
means is that the return on that 700
billion in spend could be pretty
appalling because if you can do it for
free, why pay for it? Like what we're
doing, we have software we build, right?
So what do we do? We use the greatest
model out there. We pay for it at the
beginning and then we figure out how we
can use a free model to do the same
thing for us and then it doesn't cost us
anything at all after that. So we spend
a little bit, figure it out and then we
do it for free with one of the open
source models. And that way we can make
our software available to you at a at a
at a very reasonable price. Like for
example, if you want to monitor what
stocks are driving most of the S&P 500
gains and we update this all the time in
the Winston app, there's a link down
below. There's a whole free month of
with the Winston app. You can play
around with it. Get some insanely good
data. Uh find some value stocks, find
some momentum stocks, find stocks that,
you know, Trump is buying and all that
kind of good stuff. All at a very
reasonable cost. In fact, it's entirely
free for the first month. But what most
investors don't really understand, even
experienced investors, and when I
explain this, I think it's going to piss
you off and it's going to make you
slightly angry because there is a third
force and it's working against you and
your portfolio. And it's completely
automatic. You don't get a notification.
You don't get a vote. It just happens.
And it's called index rebalancing,
right? But how your index fund will sell
your winners without asking you is
something you want to know. So here's
how it works. NASDAQ has adopted
something called a fast entry rule.
Under this rule, when a company like
SpaceX goes public because it's big
enough, it can be added to the SM to the
NASDAQ 100 within just 15 trading days.
So every NASDAQ 100 index fund in the
world will be forced mechanically
automatically to buy SpaceX shares. 15
to 30 billion in forced buying depending
on how you look at the numbers. Now
these funds don't have cash sitting
around to buy SpaceX. They have to sell
something. They sell their existing
holdings across the board. It means your
index fund will sell some of your
Microsoft, some of your Nvidia, some of
your Apple and everything else to buy
SpaceX without asking you. Just happens
inside the fund and it doesn't stop
there. When OpenAI goes public in a few
months, same thing. We'll force selling
off the current holdings to make room.
When Enthropic goes public again after
that, again, same mechanic, same
pressure, three rounds of force selling,
all targeting the same 100 NASDAQ
stocks, the tech stocks most of you guys
own. And it's even the target date
retirement funds. You own one of these
Vanguard target date retirement funds.
Most Americans have them in their 401k.
You're again exposed to the same
mechanic right now. So your stocks are
being sold by big funds to free up cash
for IPOs. That's force one. Force two,
your stocks are being diluted by the
companies themselves printing more
shares. Basically pie is the same size.
They're just cutting it into smaller
pieces. You now own a smaller piece. And
then the third force is your index fund
is mechanically selling your winners to
make room for the new guys. So you got
three forces all pushing in the same
direction. And this isn't normal. This
is a structural event. So now you know
the problem. Now you're thoroughly
depressed and you're wondering, well,
what do we do about this? Please tell
me. Let's talk about the solution.
Because my goal here isn't to scare you.
My goal is to prepare you. The people
who get wealthy in markets like this
potentially are not the people who
panic. They're the people who have a
plan before the storm hits. Right? So,
let me give you my three-step framework.
And I want to be clear. This isn't
financial advice. I'm not a registered
financial adviser. I'm just a guy who
shares with you his opinion on what's
going on out there and some of the stuff
he's learned from my Wall Street
mentors. So, the first thing I think you
need to do today is as soon as literally
this video is over, pull up your 401k or
your brokerage account and answer one
question. How concentrated am I? And a
quick way to do that is take the total
amount you have in index funds and
multiply that by 0.4. Why? Because
that'll tell you how much of your money
is sitting in just 10 stocks. That's how
concentrated you actually are. So if you
have $100,000 in an S&P index fund,
40,000 of that is in just 10 companies.
And I know many of you then also own
those individual 10 companies separately
because you think you don't own them
yet. So you're sleepwalking in a very
very concentrated bet. And then step
two, understand where the money is
going. Because the most important thing
people don't realize is when big money
leaves the tech stocks doesn't
disappear. It doesn't go into a black
hole. It rotates. It moves into another
part of the market. And right now, the
smart money is telling you exactly where
it's going. We've had coal and energy
companies. We've had oil service
companies doing really well.
Transportation, biotech companies, a lot
of stuff out there. Basic materials, a
lot of things have done actually very
well. And then step number three, build
your watch list before the dip. And I
think that's the most important step,
and it's one that separates the amateurs
from the professionals. You don't panic
sell. That's how people get destroyed.
You don't try to time the exact bottom
of the market. That's impossible. What
you do is this. You make a list right
now today before anything happens. A
list of high quality companies that you
would love to at the right price. Pick
10 to 15 names. Again, you can get some
help. Go into the Winston app, click on
highest rated. You can filter this down
to, you know, your country wherever you
live in the world if you're investing
regionally. and it's going to start
giving you some names here sorted by the
highest scores that we give them. Then
you wait and if you join me on Saturday,
I'm going to show you that on a much
much deeper level because there is more
to it than just looking up the
financials. You want to see the money
flowing into it, right? Because many of
you are sitting here thinking, okay,
Felix, I sort of get the logic, but how
do I actually do this? How do I audit my
concentration? How do I find the
rotation place? How do I know what to
put on my watch list and what prices
should I set as buy prices? Well, that's
exactly what I'm going to cover for you
this coming weekend. Saturday, live from
France. So, it works for you if you're
in the Medicas or if you're in in in,
you know, the socialist states of Europe
or formerly Great Britain, just Britain
nowadays. I'm going to teach you this
index fund trap, how the S&P 500 is
lying to you. I'm going to walk you
through step by step live with a Q&A how
to order your portfolio for that
concentration. How about to identify
where the smart money is flowing and how
to build that list, the exact list that
could turn a crash into the best
investment opportunity of your life. It
is completely free. Claim that free seat
that's waiting there for you at
index.com.
Link is down below in the description.
And if you're going to show up for
yourself on Saturday, write show up in
the comments down below. And I know
you'll be there. And let me leave you
with this. Every great bull market, it
has a shakeout. Every single one. The
'9s had one. The 2010s had one. This one
will, too. The AI revolution is real.
I'm not saying AI is fake. I'm not
saying space won't be, you know,
valuable. I'm saying the stocks that are
pricing it in are a little ahead of
themselves. And the companies behind
them are printing shares to pay for bets
that might not work out for many years.
So, the people who potentially get rich
from this aren't the ones who bought the
hype at the top. They're the ones who
bought the hangover. This is not 2008.
This is not the end of the world. The
economy isn't collapsing. This is a $350
billion game of musical chairs. And you
just got told the music's about to stop.
Mish Pry sees it. Tom Lee sees it.
Baffford sees it. The question is, do
you? And what are you going to do about
it? Have your list, know your prices,
buy the hangover, and I'll see you on
Saturday at indextrap.com.
Link is in there.
And if this video has helped you to see
something you didn't see before, share
the video with somebody. Share the live
seminarstrap.com
link with other people who you think
might benefit from this, too. Because
that's the entire point of this. Help
people become more financially literate.
improve your skills so you can make
better decisions so you can get to the
freedom and the retirement that you
deserve. There is a $2 trillion time
bomb buried deep inside America's
retirement system and Wall Street is
praying you don't find out before it
detonates right now. Literally right.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video outlines a potential market correction driven by a '$350 billion liquidity drain' caused by massive IPOs from companies like SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic, combined with share dilution from major tech companies. The speaker argues that because the S&P 500 is highly concentrated in these same tech stocks, individual investors' portfolios are at risk of being 'sold and diluted' simultaneously. He encourages viewers to audit their portfolio concentration, monitor 'smart money' rotation, and prepare a watchlist of high-quality companies to buy when a correction inevitably occurs.
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