Amazon, Robinhood & Sweetgreen: Here's Where We Stand
228 segments
There are a couple of stocks that have
been blowing up in the comments. People
wanting thoughts on Amazon and whether
we're still quadrupling down.
>> I did I did quadruple down. Uh I mean,
I'm in Amazon right now. It's not been a
great week. I am somewhat concerned. I
put out a post on X last week. I'm
somewhat concerned about Amazon going
down the road of what Meta and Google
did and issuing a huge debt round. Now,
I'm not actually concerned about it. I'm
just concerned about the shortterm
market reaction when that happens. My
assumption is that it's already
happening and that it's getting leaked
and that's some of the pressure that
we've seen on Amazon this past week.
>> Yeah. I don't think it's just a concern.
I almost think it's a inevitability,
right? Because Google is going to throw
another $80 billion, you know, down the
hardware path and Amazon has to they
have to go toe for toe, right,
>> Jordan? I think you're right. And I'm
just kind of like waiting on that to
happen before I go one level deeper on
Amazon.
>> I bought a little bit more Amazon in
this whole in the last couple of days
with this whole uh flush out. Nothing
crazy just, you know, an extra few
percentage points to my position.
>> For me, the best perspective on Amazon
here is to wait for that shoe to drop. I
think it's going to happen within days
to weeks. when it happens, I think the
stock is going to drop and I think it
will quickly recover from it. So, I am
holding some cash on the side or some
leverage on the side, prepared to go
meaningfully deeper in Amazon if and
when that happens. I'm not expecting a
whole lot of Amazon until we get clarity
one way or the other on how much debt I
mean, I think it's going to at this
point I think it's going to come down to
how much. It's not even whether they do
it or not. in the 60 to 100 billion
range probably, right?
>> I think if it's 60, the market's going
to be chill with it. I think if it's 100
or 120 or gosh, if it's more than that,
Amazon could get hit again, which would
be fine by me. I think they should raise
another 200, honestly. Just raise 200.
I'd be happy with that, but no one else
would be happy with that.
>> No, it it'd kill the stock temporarily.
All right, another one people have been
asking about Robin Hood.
>> Yeah, I mean crypto is a dumpster fire
still that will continue to pressure
Robin Hood. Other than that, I see Robin
Hood being exactly the same company that
I've been investing in the last two
years. I think it's still the largest
financial tution on earth in the next
two decades.
>> Man, we got Bitcoin in the low60s now.
>> I don't need to trade Robin Hood. I
don't necessarily care about Robin Hood
in the short run. I have a healthy Robin
Hood position. I'm considering putting
more money into Robin Hood. I haven't
yet. I I'd like to see it drop a bit
more here. It's getting hurt with
crypto. you know, the the worse crypto
gets hit, the harder that Robin Hood's
going to get hit. That's just the way it
is in the short run because they still
are meaningfully tied to crypto trading.
So, it's not a pretty picture for Robin
Hood in the short run if crypto
continues to show weakness, which I
wouldn't be surprised if that was the
case. So, it's not something I think
about hardly ever. People asking about
our Caesar wrap. That was a
controversial one. And I will say I I
checked to see how I did because I was
in options and shortterm options so kept
having to uh extend and and I tripled my
money on SG and I'm no longer in it.
>> And you're no longer in it. Okay. So, I
would have at least tripled my money,
but as I mentioned on our last show, I
think part of the reason, well, I
wouldn't say part like initially part of
the bump on Robin Hood was our not Robin
Hood, excuse me, of Sweet Green was us
bringing eyeballs to it. Then JP Morgan
came out and they upgraded the stock for
some of the same reasons that that that
we were interested. I did not sell any
of my Sweet Green. Okay, guys. So, I'm
still in my Sweet Green position. I just
didn't want to. I would have made about
$700,000 if I would have sold. I just
want everyone watching this show right
now to know that when Sweet Green was
up, I kind of wanted to sell cuz I was
like, "Wow, this is great, right?" Like,
I don't necessarily need to take any
additional risk here, but I told people
I wasn't going to do it. So, I could
sell at any moment now, right? I can
sell today, I can sell tomorrow, and I I
will at some point, but for now, I'm
still in sweet green. When we put on
that sweet green trade, we were pretty
clear about what we were doing. It was a
probability outcome trade. The data was
incomplete. It was early. We thought
that there was a reasonable chance that
this could become a gamechanging moment
for the company if the trend continued.
We don't yet know if the trend is going
to continue or not. I said it would take
at least weeks of more data to determine
that. So, what I did know is that if the
trend continued, this is going to be a
six or seven or 8x return for me based
on the options that I purchased. And if
it didn't work out, I would probably
lose maybe half of my money, maybe the
entirety of my investment. So, I loved
the riskreward. I loved the probability
outcome of having a 30 to 35% chance of
making six to eight times my money. That
was my trade. I still think that trade
exists today. We don't have enough
visibility into the ultimate success of
the Sweet Green Wraps. My concern for
Sweet Grain is that they are getting hit
so hard just generally by competitors
who are doing better like Cabba that the
success of the wrap product at Sweet
Green might not be enough to actually
combat the continued
uh competition getting just taking more
and more of their business. Sweet Green
is a really clean product, guys. They
don't use seed oils for the most part,
whereas their competitors, I believe
Cabba and them do. And I think maybe
people just like the taste profile of
some of the competing products as
opposed to Sweet Green, which is a
cleaner profile taste. I love the Sweet
Green wrap. I thought it was awesome. I
thought that tortilla was super fresh. I
think the entire wrap was super fresh.
>> Have you ordered it again since your on
air tasting though? Have you ordered it
again since you tried it on the show?
>> I won't have any wraps because I'm not
taking carbs. So, like it has nothing to
do with sweet green, but yes, I I have
had it again. I I went back and I had it
I had sweet green one time, not the wrap
cuz I can't do the carbs.
>> Is sweet green actually green today um
surprisingly enough. So, that's good. I
just have a real hard time wrapping my
head around software multiples for uh
chain restaurants. It's just not it's
not something that I'm going to do.
>> Okay. But again, it has nothing to do
with it has nothing to do with being a
long-term investor. Jordan,
>> what I'm saying is that you've got an
unstable base of just valuation sitting
underneath this really good idea. I
think your idea is sound like the the
the concept the idea sound but you're
sitting on this base of a company that's
just sitting on these insane valuations
like kind of like Cava or Sweet all
these guys are just they're getting
these crazy multiples.
>> I'm not even saying I disagree with that
at all. I don't trade these companies
generally. I I might completely agree
with you. What I'm saying is the
valuations for that sector or that
company are what they are before a new
product.
>> Yeah. Yeah. No, I get it. So you're not
Yeah, but I'm just saying that it maybe
paints an unstable base if there is any
volatility.
>> If I'm trading something for a few weeks
to a couple months, my assumption is
that I will not get a valuation
compression in multiples during that
time. And if they're simply able to show
an increase in revenue and profit that
the value the multiple stay relatively
the same over my short trade window,
right, and it'll all work out. Jordan, I
do not necessarily disagree with what
you're saying. Yeah, Sweet Green is not
a company that I would be investing in
long term. Much like I've I'm on the
record saying airlines are, you know, an
entire industry that I will never invest
in long term, but there are times that
you can play them. And for sweet green,
I was buying options that were expiring
like one and two days out. And then I
just kept kept doing it and I lost all
my money on the last ones. But on the
way up, I was up and it wasn't I wasn't
3x, it was 150% gain even after my
complete loss on the last round of
options. No, that that that that's
awesome.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video discusses short-term trading perspectives on several stocks, including Amazon, Robin Hood, and Sweetgreen. The speakers analyze Amazon's potential debt issuance, the impact of the crypto market on Robin Hood, and the risk-reward rationale behind trading options on Sweetgreen, while debating the long-term viability of restaurant chain valuations.
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