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This Is When Great Trades Are Made

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This Is When Great Trades Are Made

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196 segments

0:00

We had a question for Jordan. They want

0:02

your take on the war. Everything else is

0:04

noise until that gets resolved according

0:06

to Letharaga.

0:09

>> Yeah, I mean, I'm not a war analyst. I

0:11

don't really know what's going to

0:12

happen. I just know what's already

0:14

happened. What's already happened is a

0:16

severe disruption in oil flow from the

0:20

Strait of Hormuz. And so my only real

0:22

opinion is I don't think that's going to

0:23

resolve anytime soon. And even if it

0:25

were to resolve today, I think damage is

0:28

done. And so my only trade in the whole

0:31

thing is got a little long USO, but you

0:34

know, I could be I could be wrong. Who

0:35

knows? With the war though, somebody did

0:37

mention in the comments a little earlier

0:39

that a helicopter like a US helicopter

0:41

was shot down in the strait. Yeah, I

0:43

didn't even know about that. I have had

0:44

my head in the sand. And Trump wants to

0:46

respond over it. Well, I mean, this this

0:49

is the kind of stuff that just keeps

0:50

this thing going on for indefinitely.

0:52

>> So this is generally good news for

0:55

investors if you're not over leveraged.

0:58

You you want the market to drop on stuff

1:01

like this, right? We've we've said this

1:03

time and time again. We all have stocks

1:05

that we love. We all have sectors we

1:07

love. We have things that we have

1:08

absolute confidence in, whether it's

1:10

Amazon, whether it's Nvidia, Micron, the

1:13

AI infrastructure trade generally. We

1:16

have tremendous visibility into how AI

1:18

is going to play out, I think at least

1:21

over the next 12 to 18 months with spend

1:23

levels. The one concern is that people

1:25

are borrowing too much money to spend

1:27

with infrastructure, but those

1:29

infrastructure trades in my eyes are

1:31

pretty solid and I would love to see

1:34

them drop and open up some opportunities

1:36

so we can all get deeper into our

1:38

favorite AI infrastructure trade. So I

1:41

love stuff like this. It's painful to

1:43

see your account get crushed in the

1:46

short run, but the war won't go on, I

1:49

hope, forever, right? Like at some point

1:51

>> Well, I mean, I don't think the war will

1:53

go on, but it's not like, let's say that

1:54

the war stops today, everybody stops

1:57

firing, what then? So, Iran's not just

2:00

going to open the strait and be like,

2:01

oh, everything's fine, right? So, does

2:04

it even matter if the if the war keeps

2:06

going on?

2:06

>> Wait, why would they not open up the

2:07

strait?

2:08

>> Why would they open up the strait? They

2:09

know that it's hurting us and it's it's

2:11

a leverage for them to get what they

2:12

want.

2:13

>> The war won't end unless the strait

2:16

there's an agreement to open up the

2:17

strait.

2:17

>> But, why would they open it up unless

2:19

the United States starts conceding

2:21

certain things? Monetary rep All sorts

2:23

of things, right? Because they know the

2:24

United States isn't going to do a

2:25

military campaign. All we can do is

2:28

strategic strikes. So, the longer they

2:30

can hurt us financially, the longer

2:32

they'll keep the strait closed.

2:33

>> I just know the the incentives on our

2:36

end are to end this before the midterms.

2:38

That's all I know. Period. So, I don't

2:41

know if that's happening in 2 weeks or

2:43

in in 2 months, but there are some

2:46

pretty heavy incentives and you know, I

2:48

when it comes to macro stuff, I always

2:50

invest where the incentives lie. The

2:51

incentives almost always, maybe always,

2:56

play out.

2:56

>> Yeah, the incentive for us is for it to

2:58

open up, but the incentive for Iran is

3:00

to let the pain con- continue.

3:02

>> I think Iran will Listen, they they want

3:05

something, right? So,

3:07

>> Yeah, they want something. They I mean,

3:08

they they've listed their demands.

3:10

They're totally unreasonable.

3:11

>> So, Jordan, are you saying that you see

3:14

a scenario where this goes through the

3:17

midterms because they're not going to

3:19

agree to anything we will offer them and

3:21

therefore

3:22

>> No, I'm I have no I So, first of all,

3:24

no, I have no idea how long it'll go on.

3:26

I'm just saying damage already done,

3:28

right? Even if you open up the strait

3:30

today, which is not going to happen.

3:32

>> I don't care about damage already done

3:34

because we're in the middle of the

3:35

biggest super cycle in of human history.

3:37

>> Yeah, I don't think you realize the I

3:39

just don't think then you're educated to

3:40

the impact that it's had on oil supplies

3:43

across the world.

3:44

>> I'm not sure you're educated to the

3:45

impact that the AI super cycle is going

3:47

to have over the next two decades and

3:49

the market is forward-thinking. So, even

3:51

if we have tremendous pain over the next

3:53

2 years, 3 years, the market will think

3:55

5 years out, 8 years out, 9 years out. I

3:57

just think this is more important than

4:00

that. So,

4:02

>> Yeah, I mean, I I I just Well, if it's

4:03

that important, I I don't see us taking

4:05

steps that reflect that.

4:07

>> You're right. I don't know what the

4:08

hell's going on behind the scenes. I

4:10

This administration, it's I can't even

4:12

imagine. Is anything even happening? I

4:14

don't know. I just know at some point at

4:16

some point someone has to be having a

4:19

real conversation with someone who can

4:21

make a decision over there. And I would

4:23

have to imagine that we might get close

4:26

to a deal at some I don't know how the

4:28

hell it's going to happen. I'll I'm with

4:29

you, Jordan. I do not have a clue how it

4:32

actually happens.

4:33

>> We don't even know if we're talking to

4:34

the right people.

4:35

>> But [laughter] it has to happen. This is

4:37

the craziest [ __ ] I've seen in my life,

4:39

guys. 4 months of these

4:41

The war ending 10 times every weekend.

4:44

We have a deal on Sunday night.

4:46

>> I love the clips back in.

4:47

>> But the thing is that there's no deal,

4:49

right? It's It's all made up. Like the

4:51

there's no truth behind those claims

4:53

from what I've seen. Again, I could be

4:55

wrong about that, but it just seems like

4:56

there's actually no deal.

4:58

>> The main strategy is just promise that

4:59

the war is going to end and keep

5:01

promising.

5:01

>> have an Axios report that makes a claim,

5:03

and then the market goes up, right?

5:05

>> It's crazy, dude. It's like

5:07

It's It's happening like every week,

5:09

dude.

5:10

>> [laughter and gasps]

5:10

>> And it just never ends. It just

5:12

literally never ends. I've never seen

5:14

anything like this before.

5:16

>> We're going to have a 5-day pause, and

5:17

then we're going to have a 2-week pause,

5:18

and then we're going to have a 1-month

5:20

pause.

5:20

>> Yeah, and we're having a pause, and then

5:22

Iran starts shooting missiles at Israel,

5:24

and then a

5:25

helicopter goes down.

5:26

>> Both sides are still like combative

5:28

during the pause. Nothing makes sense.

5:30

That's what We just Nothing matters.

5:33

Nothing makes sense. That's my new

5:35

slogan.

5:35

>> You know what? By the way, it's

5:37

summertime. I just wrote cuz my kids are

5:39

out of school, and I just don't want to

5:42

think about this stuff every day. That's

5:44

I I that's the main thing. I just really

5:47

don't. We have been trading so

5:49

aggressively throughout the entire

5:51

course of the last year since last fall,

5:53

the AI trade that just never ends, all

5:56

of the roller coaster ride that we've

5:58

been on with Amazon. Oh, [ __ ] dude, I

6:01

just need a god damn break. I need a

6:04

break from the Iran war.

6:06

>> There's a great Tik Toker or reel or

6:08

something where is a dude who basically

6:10

is saying, "I don't even want to know

6:12

what the Strait of Hormuz is, and the

6:13

fact that I've heard of that is a

6:15

problem. The fact that I know that those

6:18

words is a problem."

6:19

>> I know, man.

Interactive Summary

The video features a discussion regarding the ongoing geopolitical conflict involving the Strait of Hormuz, its impact on global oil markets, and the resulting uncertainty for investors. The participants discuss how Iran uses the disruption of oil flow as leverage against the United States, expressing skepticism about a quick resolution. Furthermore, they touch upon the 'AI super cycle' as a long-term investment focus, the frustrations of market volatility tied to conflicting news reports about potential peace deals, and the general exhaustion from following the chaotic developments of the war.

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