Claude Will Crash Stocks Within 257 Days (Prepare Now)
601 segments
A single AI company is systematically
dismantling the entire software industry
>> [music]
>> and they're doing it on a predictable
schedule. In January, Claude's legal
plug-in wiped out $300
worth of legal software stocks. In
February, Opus 4.6 triggered the
trillion-dollar SaaS apocalypse. In
March, Anthropic said that Mythos was
too dangerous to release and
cybersecurity stocks crashed anyway. And
now, Anthropic just dropped Claude
design and dropped stocks like Adobe,
Figma, and Wix along with it. Four
months, four major industries, and it's
only speeding up from here. My name is
Alex and I spent eight years as an
electrical engineer and AI researcher at
MIT and I've never seen AI move this
fast. So, subscribe to the channel and
let me show you the bigger pattern and
how I'm investing in it. Your time is
valuable, so let's get right into it.
The strange thing about Claude design is
that it doesn't look like the end of all
software. It just looks like another
design tool. You open Claude, you
describe what you want, like a landing
page, a dashboard, a pitch deck, or a
prototype, and a few seconds later, the
model gets you something usable. Not a
chat response and not a list of
suggestions, an artifact that you can
edit, export, or hand off to Claude
code, which is another agentic AI tool
that recently rattled software stocks.
If you're a professional designer, you
probably think that Claude design is
cute. It has generic layouts, bland
taste, and poor design. So, it's not
exactly replacing senior designers at
Adobe or Apple anytime soon. That's the
right reaction and it also completely
misses the point. Figma stock didn't
drop because Claude design is already
better than Figma. Adobe didn't fall
because Anthropic replaced Photoshop and
Wix didn't get hit because Claude is a
better website builder. The market
reacted because Claude design is part of
a bigger pattern. First, legal software,
then enterprise software, then security
software, and now design software. Four
high-margin software industries in the
last 90 days. One company, one clear
market pattern. On January 12th,
Anthropic launched Claude Co-work, which
is basically Claude code, but for the
rest of your work. This isn't just a
coding assistant, it's a model inside
your normal workflows. It can read and
edit files, it can run inside a sandbox,
and it can produce work instead of just
talking about it. Then, on January 30th,
Anthropic expanded Co-work with 11
open-source plugins across huge markets
like HR, design, engineering,
operations, financial analysis,
investment banking, stock market
research, wealth management, legal, and
of course, marketing. That sounds like a
product roadmap, but for investors, it's
something much more dangerous. Each of
those software categories is full of
public companies that built their entire
business around humans clicking through
workflows one seat at a time. By early
February, the market had a name for what
happened next, the SaaS apocalypse.
Around $300 billion of software market
value got wiped out in a matter of weeks
and some haven't yet recovered. That
wasn't the entire software industry
dying, it was the stock market asking an
important question. If Claude can do the
work inside my software, then why do
companies need so many expensive seats?
And that was only the first strike. On
February 20th, Anthropic announced
Claude code security. Now, the target
was finding bugs and exploits in code.
The model could scan codebases, identify
vulnerabilities, and even propose
patches for humans to review.
Cybersecurity stocks sold off because
investors understood the implications
immediately. If an AI agent can go
straight into the codebase and do
security work directly, that changes the
value of cybersecurity companies and
expensive consultants. Then, the pattern
escalated. On March 26th and 27th,
Claude Mythos was leaked, a model
Anthropic knew was far ahead of anything
else in terms of its cyber capabilities.
The leak was an unprecedented
cybersecurity risk, so cybersecurity
stocks like CrowdStrike, Palo Alto
Networks, and Zscaler all sold off. The
model wasn't even released to the public
because it was so dangerous and it moved
the market anyway. Then, on April 7th,
Anthropic created Project Glasswing.
Mythos was given to companies like AWS,
Apple, Broadcom, Cisco, and CrowdStrike,
Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Palo Alto
Networks. I covered this in my most
recent video, but it's too important not
to tell you again. Mythos found
thousands of huge software exploits,
including one 27-year-old bug that could
crash any machine just by connecting to
it. Mythos is not a prototype. Mythos is
a weapon and that brings us to today.
Let's talk about Claude design, which
just dropped a few days ago. When stocks
like Adobe and Figma drop, it's not the
market responding to a single product,
it's responding to a timeline. January
12th, Claude Co-work. February 20th,
Claude code security. March 26th,
Mythos. April 17th, Claude design. By
the time investors finish arguing about
whether any of these launches are
overhyped, the next launch is already
hitting a different software category.
And that's where the clock begins. From
April 18th to the end of 2026, there are
257
days. Anthropic has been shipping major
product moves roughly every two weeks
and there are about 26 major software
categories across the entire economy.
Things like project management,
procurement, and marketing, all the way
to sales, customer support, finance, and
coding. And it's not just about
Anthropic. If any frontier AI labs keep
hitting software categories like this
every two weeks, the market should see
around 18 more shocks like this before
the end of the year. And every single
one of them asks the same question, is
this software category still worth
investing in if AI can do the work
instead? The clock isn't counting down
to one specific product launch, it's
counting down to when investors think
that companies will stop paying for so
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right, so this is much bigger than just
Claude design. Software as a service is
one of the cleanest business models that
Wall Street has ever seen. A company
hires more people, those people need
more tools. More tools mean more seats
and more seats means more recurring
revenue. And because software is
delivered through the cloud, the gross
margins can be 70% or more compared to
around 30% for most physical products.
You don't need to build a factory, you
didn't need to ship another box, you
just added another user to the account.
That's why investors always pile into
new SaaS companies, but the whole engine
depends on a simple assumption.
Work is done by humans and every human
needs a seat. AI agents directly attack
that assumption. SaaS companies can add
AI features, they can rename products,
and they can talk about co-pilots,
assistants, and platforms, but if the
customer's economic reality changes from
100 workers needing 100 seats to 20
workers managing agents, then the
revenue model has to change and that's
brutal for software companies. Per seat
pricing is predictable, it's easy to
budget for and it's easy to renew.
Usage-based pricing makes more sense in
the world of AI, but it's also hard to
know what you're actually paying for.
Tokens, API calls, agent runtime, and
even harder to calculate the value. And
if software companies can't price their
products for the AI era, then they might
not be a part of it. So, the SaaS
apocalypse isn't really about AI killing
software platforms, it's about AI
killing software pricing, which is what
made them great investments. And every
new AI capability isn't just a product
launch, it's another excuse to cut more
seats. But there's an even bigger
problem for software stocks. Anthropic
doesn't have to beat these companies at
their own game. Traditional software
competition is easy to understand. One
tool is better for group collaboration,
another is faster for prototyping, or it
has the best API for developers, or it
has the best price. The products fight
feature by feature, and customers decide
which workflows they prefer. That's not
the game that Anthropic is playing.
Claude doesn't need to be the best
design tool. It doesn't need to be the
best security system, the best CRM, or
the best marketing automation platform.
It only needs to bypass the parts of the
workflows that makes companies pay for
so many seats. This is why Claude Design
is so dangerous, even if designers say
the outputs are garbage today. The real
threat isn't a senior designer suddenly
opening Claude and canceling Figma
tomorrow. It's the founder who used to
hire a freelancer for his first drafts,
the product manager who used to ask a
design team for a mock-up, the marketer
who used to open three different tools
to draft a landing page. Those people
were never Figma's highest end users,
but they were a core part of the funnel.
They created demand for more design
tools, for more design features, and
ultimately for more design seats. If
Claude Design absorbs the first part of
that funnel, the entire pricing model
for that software category starts to
break. The same for cybersecurity.
Mythos doesn't replace CrowdStrike as an
endpoint detection and response
platform. It just needs to show that
vulnerability discovery, exploit
chaining, and patch generation can be
done without it, or at least without so
many seats. That's what makes this
disruption so different from the
previous ones. Software disrupted other
software by making the user experience
better, faster, or cheaper. AI disrupts
software by removing the user
altogether. Some software companies will
survive this AI overhaul, and they maybe
will even thrive in it. If you own the
system of record, the proprietary data,
or the permissions, agents may make your
platform more valuable by using it way
more than people ever did. But, if you
make money from humans clicking through
your workflow all day, you're in a much
worse position. And over the next 257
days, this question will rotate through
every software category on the market.
And the worst part for software stocks
is that Anthropic is not alone. Google
is pushing the same direction through
Stitch, their AI-first design tool that
lets users create, iterate, and
collaborate on UI designs using natural
language. It also has a built-in design
agent that can reason across an entire
project, and even an agent manager that
lets users work on multiple ideas in
parallel. This isn't a feature in Figma.
This is Google trying to own the entire
workflow from prompt to user interface.
OpenAI is doing something similar with
Codex. The goal isn't an AI assistant.
The goal is an autonomous system that
can write code, reason about software,
and take on bigger chunks of real
engineering work independently. Now,
extend that across the entire economy.
Every frontier AI lab wants the same
thing, to take over those expensive
workflows before legacy software
companies can turn their own platforms
into agentic systems. Finance, HR,
procurement, project management,
marketing operations, the list goes on
and on. These are not just random
features. They're the places where human
knowledge workers spend their day and
companies spend their budgets. And if AI
labs can own the user interface, then
they can route the work to whatever
tools, whatever databases, APIs, and
cloud services they want to sit below it
while capturing more of the profits. The
work still touches all those tools, but
the user's time, skill set, and even
loyalty shifts to the agent interface
that coordinates all that work for them.
A new AI product every 2 weeks means
software companies can't have a normal
product development cycle. They don't
get six quarters to copy someone else's
feature and bundle it with their other
products. The market just assumes they
can't keep up. By the time Figma
explains why Claude Design isn't good
enough, Google Stitch is already a part
of the conversation. By the time
cybersecurity companies explain why
Mythos won't replace them, the market is
already thinking about what comes after,
and what could. The threat isn't anyone
AI model. It's every major AI lab racing
to turn entire software categories into
prompts. Some software companies will
become platforms for AI agents. Others
will become silent features behind
someone else's interface. And others
still will simply lose enough paid seats
to start losing shareholders, too. But,
investors need to be careful, because
not all software is going to get
disrupted equally. The best way to find
great long-term investments and avoid
the bad ones is understanding a
company's products, not just their
profits. The market loves simple
stories. AI killed SaaS. Adobe is dead.
Cybersecurity is doomed. But, smart
investors understand that the real story
isn't that simple. The most exposed
software companies all have four things
in common. The work is repetitive. The
pricing is per seat. The industry isn't
highly regulated, and the workflows can
be described using everyday language.
Customer support, sales, project
management, data entry, design,
marketing. These are all gigantic
software categories where users spend
time and energy translating their intent
into software clicks. AI is very good at
attacking those kinds of translation
layers. The surviving software companies
look very different. They have deep
proprietary data. They require audit
trails. They carry regulatory risk. They
connect to real-world operations. They
act as systems of record. Patient
records and healthcare data. Financial
compliance systems. Cybersecurity. These
areas are harder to disrupt because the
value extends well beyond the interface.
This is why companies like CrowdStrike,
Can Paltrow Networks could end up
winning big. Even though Mythos can find
vulnerabilities and generate patches,
Mythos also creates more attack
opportunities and makes them happen
faster, which makes cybersecurity
platforms more valuable overall.
Cybersecurity isn't simply getting
killed by AI, but it is getting
rewritten by AI. Adobe is in a similar
situation. Adobe can be attacked by
Claude Design and still become a data
aggregator, a specialized partner, or
even a system of record for creative
work. That distinction is what matters
for portfolios. The danger isn't owning
software. The danger is owning software
just because it used to grow fast while
the actual underlying economics are
changing underneath you. A company can
survive as a platform and still become a
worse stock. A product can be important
and still lose its pricing power. A
market can grow while the companies on
top of it keep losing market share. AI
agents don't need to kill software
stocks, because if the value is leaving
software seats and license fees, it has
to go somewhere else. And that's where
we want to be investing. Every time AI
takes over another workflow, its compute
costs don't disappear. They move. The
value shifts from a human clicking
through a software interface to a model
generating tokens, reading context,
searching files, calling tools, writing
code, producing images, checking
outputs, and running another pass.
Claude Design needs vision, design
reasoning, code generation, storage,
data pipelines, and collaboration
infrastructure. Mythos needs enough
compute and context to search through
huge codebases, analyze code, find
exploits, and generate patches. Google
Stitch needs Gemini for inference.
OpenAI's Codex needs cloud coding
agents. The biggest insight for
investors is that the more useful these
AI systems become, the more
infrastructure they need to power them.
Stop trying to guess which SaaS
companies will survive every new AI
product launch, and start asking who
gets paid every time one happens. Claude
is hosted on Amazon Bedrock, Google
Vertex AI, and Microsoft Foundry. That
means every product they launch creates
demand for the cloud platforms
underneath it. These companies are not
hiding from the AI wave. They're
building the infrastructure, the
security, the cloud, and the enterprise
layers that the AI wave needs to scale.
The same pattern that tells you which
SaaS stocks are in trouble also tells
you which infrastructure stocks will win
big. And the more AI agents replace
workflows, the more tokens get consumed,
the more GPUs, memory, networking,
storage, packaging, power, and cloud
orchestration the entire AI industry
needs. Claude isn't killing computing.
Claude is monetizing it with work that
used to happen inside those SaaS seats.
That's where I'm investing. For me,
Nvidia is still the most obvious and the
best way to invest in that compute.
Every software workflow will eventually
become an agentic AI workload. Every
time Claude, Gemini, Codex, or an
enterprise agent does more work, the
industry needs more accelerated
computing, more networking, more racks,
and more inference-optimized systems.
Nvidia's data center business is the
center of gravity for that entire shift.
In their latest earnings, Nvidia
reported $68.1 billion of total revenue,
with $62.3 billion of that coming from
AI data centers. That means AI is over
90% of Nvidia's revenues. If Nvidia is
the compute, then Micron is the memory.
Inference today isn't compute-limited.
It's memory-limited. Long context agents
need to hold more information. Code
analysis needs to scan more files.
Design agents need multimodal context to
see mock-up images and read design
notes. The bottleneck isn't how much the
model can think. It's how much data the
model can get from memory and how fast.
Micron's latest earnings showed that
exact need. They reported a record $23.9
billion in revenue with gross margins
coming in at 74%
up from just 37% 1 year earlier. And as
agents with huge context windows replace
normal software interfaces, memory
becomes one of the biggest physical
limits of the whole system. And then
there's the cloud infrastructure
providers, Amazon, Microsoft and Google.
These hyperscalers win when enterprises
don't build their own AI infrastructure
and most enterprises don't. What do most
of them want? They want model access,
security, compliance, data connections,
developer tools, governance, uptime, and
of course billing. That points them
towards AWS, towards Azure, and towards
Google Cloud. AWS reported $35.6 billion
of revenue last quarter, up 24%
year-over-year with $12.5 billion of
operating income. Microsoft reported 39%
Azure growth and $51.5 billion of
Microsoft Cloud revenue. Google Cloud
reported $17.7 billion
of revenue in Q4 of last year. That's up
48% year-over-year with 30.1% operating
margins. The trillion-dollar companies
that most investors think are too big to
buy are actually growing faster than
some startups. That's because they're
not just renting servers. They're
becoming AI factories. They host the
models, they sell the platforms, they
secure the enterprise data, and they
absorb the capex costs that individual
software companies can't afford. And
then, powering all of that is the
semiconductor supply chain. TSMC is the
hardware factory responsible for the
software apocalypse. Advanced packaging
is what lets GPUs and high-bandwidth
memory sit close enough together to move
data at the speeds that AI needs. Every
software is dead headline is actually
powered by the chips that are built,
packaged, tested, and shipped by TSMC.
TSMC, ASML, and Broadcom are the chip
building, the packaging, and the
networking companies tying it all
together. And I'm only investing in
software companies that have proprietary
data, compliance, or deep workflows like
CrowdStrike, Palo Alto Networks, and
Palantir, not just pretty interfaces
that customers pay for by the seat. I'm
not saying every SaaS company is
automatically uninvestable, but I am
saying if a software company charges per
seat for work that an AI agent can do, I
want to understand why companies are
keeping their seats. If they claim that
AI will expand their usage, I want to
see how that turns into more revenue.
And if they say they're the system of
record, I want to see whether agents
make that system more valuable or just
hide it behind their own chat windows.
Said another way, I don't want to own
software stocks just because they
survived the last 3 years since ChatGPT
came out. I want to own the systems that
get paid every time another software
category gets disrupted by AI. And that
might keep happening faster than most
investors expect. There are 257 days
left in 2026. And if AI agents come for
every software category like Claude just
came for design and cybersecurity before
that and legal software before that, the
question isn't whether software still
matters. The question is whether
investors want to own these software
stocks or the AI systems that are
actively disrupting them. Let me know
what you think in the comments. Is
Claude design just a flashy demo or is
it part of a bigger shift from software
to AI? And if you want to see even more
science behind the stocks, check out
this video next. Either way, thanks for
watching and until next time, this is
ticker symbol U. My name is Alex
reminding you that the best investment
you can make is in you.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
This video examines how rapid advancements in AI, specifically through Anthropic's 'Claude' releases and similar tools from competitors like Google and OpenAI, are systematically disrupting the software-as-a-service (SaaS) industry. The author argues that these AI models, by automating tasks previously done by humans, are effectively killing the traditional 'per-seat' pricing model that software companies rely on for revenue. Instead of betting on vulnerable SaaS stocks, the author suggests investing in the foundational infrastructure—such as compute providers (Nvidia), memory manufacturers (Micron), cloud hyperscalers (Amazon, Microsoft, Google), and the semiconductor supply chain (TSMC)—that powers these AI agentic systems.
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