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Claude Will Crash Stocks Within 257 Days (Prepare Now)

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Claude Will Crash Stocks Within 257 Days (Prepare Now)

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601 segments

0:00

A single AI company is systematically

0:02

dismantling the entire software industry

0:05

>> [music]

0:05

>> and they're doing it on a predictable

0:07

schedule. In January, Claude's legal

0:09

plug-in wiped out $300

0:12

worth of legal software stocks. In

0:14

February, Opus 4.6 triggered the

0:17

trillion-dollar SaaS apocalypse. In

0:19

March, Anthropic said that Mythos was

0:22

too dangerous to release and

0:23

cybersecurity stocks crashed anyway. And

0:26

now, Anthropic just dropped Claude

0:28

design and dropped stocks like Adobe,

0:31

Figma, and Wix along with it. Four

0:33

months, four major industries, and it's

0:36

only speeding up from here. My name is

0:38

Alex and I spent eight years as an

0:40

electrical engineer and AI researcher at

0:43

MIT and I've never seen AI move this

0:46

fast. So, subscribe to the channel and

0:48

let me show you the bigger pattern and

0:51

how I'm investing in it. Your time is

0:53

valuable, so let's get right into it.

0:55

The strange thing about Claude design is

0:57

that it doesn't look like the end of all

0:59

software. It just looks like another

1:01

design tool. You open Claude, you

1:03

describe what you want, like a landing

1:05

page, a dashboard, a pitch deck, or a

1:07

prototype, and a few seconds later, the

1:10

model gets you something usable. Not a

1:12

chat response and not a list of

1:14

suggestions, an artifact that you can

1:16

edit, export, or hand off to Claude

1:18

code, which is another agentic AI tool

1:21

that recently rattled software stocks.

1:23

If you're a professional designer, you

1:25

probably think that Claude design is

1:27

cute. It has generic layouts, bland

1:30

taste, and poor design. So, it's not

1:32

exactly replacing senior designers at

1:35

Adobe or Apple anytime soon. That's the

1:37

right reaction and it also completely

1:40

misses the point. Figma stock didn't

1:42

drop because Claude design is already

1:45

better than Figma. Adobe didn't fall

1:47

because Anthropic replaced Photoshop and

1:50

Wix didn't get hit because Claude is a

1:52

better website builder. The market

1:54

reacted because Claude design is part of

1:57

a bigger pattern. First, legal software,

2:00

then enterprise software, then security

2:03

software, and now design software. Four

2:06

high-margin software industries in the

2:08

last 90 days. One company, one clear

2:12

market pattern. On January 12th,

2:14

Anthropic launched Claude Co-work, which

2:17

is basically Claude code, but for the

2:19

rest of your work. This isn't just a

2:21

coding assistant, it's a model inside

2:23

your normal workflows. It can read and

2:26

edit files, it can run inside a sandbox,

2:29

and it can produce work instead of just

2:31

talking about it. Then, on January 30th,

2:33

Anthropic expanded Co-work with 11

2:36

open-source plugins across huge markets

2:39

like HR, design, engineering,

2:41

operations, financial analysis,

2:44

investment banking, stock market

2:46

research, wealth management, legal, and

2:49

of course, marketing. That sounds like a

2:50

product roadmap, but for investors, it's

2:53

something much more dangerous. Each of

2:55

those software categories is full of

2:58

public companies that built their entire

3:00

business around humans clicking through

3:02

workflows one seat at a time. By early

3:05

February, the market had a name for what

3:08

happened next, the SaaS apocalypse.

3:10

Around $300 billion of software market

3:13

value got wiped out in a matter of weeks

3:16

and some haven't yet recovered. That

3:18

wasn't the entire software industry

3:20

dying, it was the stock market asking an

3:23

important question. If Claude can do the

3:25

work inside my software, then why do

3:27

companies need so many expensive seats?

3:30

And that was only the first strike. On

3:33

February 20th, Anthropic announced

3:35

Claude code security. Now, the target

3:38

was finding bugs and exploits in code.

3:41

The model could scan codebases, identify

3:43

vulnerabilities, and even propose

3:45

patches for humans to review.

3:48

Cybersecurity stocks sold off because

3:50

investors understood the implications

3:52

immediately. If an AI agent can go

3:55

straight into the codebase and do

3:56

security work directly, that changes the

3:59

value of cybersecurity companies and

4:01

expensive consultants. Then, the pattern

4:04

escalated. On March 26th and 27th,

4:07

Claude Mythos was leaked, a model

4:09

Anthropic knew was far ahead of anything

4:11

else in terms of its cyber capabilities.

4:14

The leak was an unprecedented

4:16

cybersecurity risk, so cybersecurity

4:19

stocks like CrowdStrike, Palo Alto

4:21

Networks, and Zscaler all sold off. The

4:24

model wasn't even released to the public

4:27

because it was so dangerous and it moved

4:29

the market anyway. Then, on April 7th,

4:32

Anthropic created Project Glasswing.

4:35

Mythos was given to companies like AWS,

4:37

Apple, Broadcom, Cisco, and CrowdStrike,

4:40

Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Palo Alto

4:43

Networks. I covered this in my most

4:45

recent video, but it's too important not

4:48

to tell you again. Mythos found

4:50

thousands of huge software exploits,

4:52

including one 27-year-old bug that could

4:56

crash any machine just by connecting to

4:58

it. Mythos is not a prototype. Mythos is

5:02

a weapon and that brings us to today.

5:04

Let's talk about Claude design, which

5:06

just dropped a few days ago. When stocks

5:08

like Adobe and Figma drop, it's not the

5:11

market responding to a single product,

5:13

it's responding to a timeline. January

5:15

12th, Claude Co-work. February 20th,

5:18

Claude code security. March 26th,

5:21

Mythos. April 17th, Claude design. By

5:24

the time investors finish arguing about

5:26

whether any of these launches are

5:28

overhyped, the next launch is already

5:30

hitting a different software category.

5:32

And that's where the clock begins. From

5:34

April 18th to the end of 2026, there are

5:37

257

5:39

days. Anthropic has been shipping major

5:41

product moves roughly every two weeks

5:44

and there are about 26 major software

5:46

categories across the entire economy.

5:48

Things like project management,

5:50

procurement, and marketing, all the way

5:52

to sales, customer support, finance, and

5:54

coding. And it's not just about

5:56

Anthropic. If any frontier AI labs keep

5:59

hitting software categories like this

6:01

every two weeks, the market should see

6:03

around 18 more shocks like this before

6:06

the end of the year. And every single

6:08

one of them asks the same question, is

6:10

this software category still worth

6:12

investing in if AI can do the work

6:14

instead? The clock isn't counting down

6:17

to one specific product launch, it's

6:19

counting down to when investors think

6:21

that companies will stop paying for so

6:24

many human seats altogether. By the way,

6:26

if you've ever wondered if a stock is

6:28

actually worth its market price, you are

6:30

not alone. Finding a company's fair

6:32

value is one of the hardest parts of

6:35

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6:37

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6:39

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6:41

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6:42

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6:44

transparent it is. Their fair value

6:46

model doesn't just rely on one approach,

6:49

it combines discounted cash flows,

6:51

earnings-based models, and peer

6:53

comparisons. Then, it dynamically

6:55

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6:57

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6:59

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7:01

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7:04

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7:06

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7:09

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7:11

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7:13

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7:16

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7:18

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7:20

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7:23

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7:25

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7:28

dividends. And it explains why each

7:30

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7:32

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7:34

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7:36

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7:39

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7:40

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7:42

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7:45

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7:47

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7:50

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7:52

below fair value with my link below. All

7:55

right, so this is much bigger than just

7:57

Claude design. Software as a service is

8:00

one of the cleanest business models that

8:02

Wall Street has ever seen. A company

8:04

hires more people, those people need

8:07

more tools. More tools mean more seats

8:09

and more seats means more recurring

8:11

revenue. And because software is

8:13

delivered through the cloud, the gross

8:15

margins can be 70% or more compared to

8:18

around 30% for most physical products.

8:21

You don't need to build a factory, you

8:23

didn't need to ship another box, you

8:25

just added another user to the account.

8:28

That's why investors always pile into

8:30

new SaaS companies, but the whole engine

8:33

depends on a simple assumption.

8:35

Work is done by humans and every human

8:37

needs a seat. AI agents directly attack

8:40

that assumption. SaaS companies can add

8:43

AI features, they can rename products,

8:46

and they can talk about co-pilots,

8:47

assistants, and platforms, but if the

8:49

customer's economic reality changes from

8:52

100 workers needing 100 seats to 20

8:55

workers managing agents, then the

8:57

revenue model has to change and that's

9:00

brutal for software companies. Per seat

9:02

pricing is predictable, it's easy to

9:04

budget for and it's easy to renew.

9:07

Usage-based pricing makes more sense in

9:09

the world of AI, but it's also hard to

9:11

know what you're actually paying for.

9:13

Tokens, API calls, agent runtime, and

9:16

even harder to calculate the value. And

9:19

if software companies can't price their

9:21

products for the AI era, then they might

9:23

not be a part of it. So, the SaaS

9:25

apocalypse isn't really about AI killing

9:28

software platforms, it's about AI

9:30

killing software pricing, which is what

9:32

made them great investments. And every

9:35

new AI capability isn't just a product

9:37

launch, it's another excuse to cut more

9:40

seats. But there's an even bigger

9:42

problem for software stocks. Anthropic

9:45

doesn't have to beat these companies at

9:47

their own game. Traditional software

9:48

competition is easy to understand. One

9:51

tool is better for group collaboration,

9:54

another is faster for prototyping, or it

9:56

has the best API for developers, or it

9:59

has the best price. The products fight

10:01

feature by feature, and customers decide

10:04

which workflows they prefer. That's not

10:06

the game that Anthropic is playing.

10:08

Claude doesn't need to be the best

10:10

design tool. It doesn't need to be the

10:12

best security system, the best CRM, or

10:15

the best marketing automation platform.

10:17

It only needs to bypass the parts of the

10:19

workflows that makes companies pay for

10:22

so many seats. This is why Claude Design

10:25

is so dangerous, even if designers say

10:27

the outputs are garbage today. The real

10:29

threat isn't a senior designer suddenly

10:31

opening Claude and canceling Figma

10:34

tomorrow. It's the founder who used to

10:36

hire a freelancer for his first drafts,

10:39

the product manager who used to ask a

10:41

design team for a mock-up, the marketer

10:43

who used to open three different tools

10:45

to draft a landing page. Those people

10:47

were never Figma's highest end users,

10:49

but they were a core part of the funnel.

10:52

They created demand for more design

10:54

tools, for more design features, and

10:56

ultimately for more design seats. If

10:59

Claude Design absorbs the first part of

11:01

that funnel, the entire pricing model

11:03

for that software category starts to

11:05

break. The same for cybersecurity.

11:08

Mythos doesn't replace CrowdStrike as an

11:10

endpoint detection and response

11:12

platform. It just needs to show that

11:13

vulnerability discovery, exploit

11:16

chaining, and patch generation can be

11:18

done without it, or at least without so

11:20

many seats. That's what makes this

11:22

disruption so different from the

11:24

previous ones. Software disrupted other

11:27

software by making the user experience

11:29

better, faster, or cheaper. AI disrupts

11:32

software by removing the user

11:34

altogether. Some software companies will

11:36

survive this AI overhaul, and they maybe

11:39

will even thrive in it. If you own the

11:41

system of record, the proprietary data,

11:43

or the permissions, agents may make your

11:45

platform more valuable by using it way

11:48

more than people ever did. But, if you

11:50

make money from humans clicking through

11:52

your workflow all day, you're in a much

11:54

worse position. And over the next 257

11:57

days, this question will rotate through

11:59

every software category on the market.

12:02

And the worst part for software stocks

12:04

is that Anthropic is not alone. Google

12:07

is pushing the same direction through

12:08

Stitch, their AI-first design tool that

12:11

lets users create, iterate, and

12:13

collaborate on UI designs using natural

12:15

language. It also has a built-in design

12:18

agent that can reason across an entire

12:20

project, and even an agent manager that

12:23

lets users work on multiple ideas in

12:25

parallel. This isn't a feature in Figma.

12:28

This is Google trying to own the entire

12:30

workflow from prompt to user interface.

12:33

OpenAI is doing something similar with

12:35

Codex. The goal isn't an AI assistant.

12:38

The goal is an autonomous system that

12:41

can write code, reason about software,

12:43

and take on bigger chunks of real

12:45

engineering work independently. Now,

12:47

extend that across the entire economy.

12:50

Every frontier AI lab wants the same

12:52

thing, to take over those expensive

12:55

workflows before legacy software

12:57

companies can turn their own platforms

12:59

into agentic systems. Finance, HR,

13:02

procurement, project management,

13:03

marketing operations, the list goes on

13:06

and on. These are not just random

13:08

features. They're the places where human

13:10

knowledge workers spend their day and

13:12

companies spend their budgets. And if AI

13:14

labs can own the user interface, then

13:17

they can route the work to whatever

13:18

tools, whatever databases, APIs, and

13:22

cloud services they want to sit below it

13:24

while capturing more of the profits. The

13:26

work still touches all those tools, but

13:29

the user's time, skill set, and even

13:31

loyalty shifts to the agent interface

13:34

that coordinates all that work for them.

13:37

A new AI product every 2 weeks means

13:39

software companies can't have a normal

13:41

product development cycle. They don't

13:43

get six quarters to copy someone else's

13:46

feature and bundle it with their other

13:48

products. The market just assumes they

13:50

can't keep up. By the time Figma

13:52

explains why Claude Design isn't good

13:55

enough, Google Stitch is already a part

13:57

of the conversation. By the time

13:59

cybersecurity companies explain why

14:01

Mythos won't replace them, the market is

14:03

already thinking about what comes after,

14:06

and what could. The threat isn't anyone

14:09

AI model. It's every major AI lab racing

14:12

to turn entire software categories into

14:15

prompts. Some software companies will

14:17

become platforms for AI agents. Others

14:20

will become silent features behind

14:22

someone else's interface. And others

14:25

still will simply lose enough paid seats

14:27

to start losing shareholders, too. But,

14:30

investors need to be careful, because

14:32

not all software is going to get

14:34

disrupted equally. The best way to find

14:36

great long-term investments and avoid

14:38

the bad ones is understanding a

14:40

company's products, not just their

14:43

profits. The market loves simple

14:45

stories. AI killed SaaS. Adobe is dead.

14:49

Cybersecurity is doomed. But, smart

14:51

investors understand that the real story

14:53

isn't that simple. The most exposed

14:56

software companies all have four things

14:58

in common. The work is repetitive. The

15:01

pricing is per seat. The industry isn't

15:04

highly regulated, and the workflows can

15:06

be described using everyday language.

15:08

Customer support, sales, project

15:11

management, data entry, design,

15:13

marketing. These are all gigantic

15:15

software categories where users spend

15:18

time and energy translating their intent

15:21

into software clicks. AI is very good at

15:23

attacking those kinds of translation

15:26

layers. The surviving software companies

15:28

look very different. They have deep

15:30

proprietary data. They require audit

15:33

trails. They carry regulatory risk. They

15:36

connect to real-world operations. They

15:38

act as systems of record. Patient

15:40

records and healthcare data. Financial

15:42

compliance systems. Cybersecurity. These

15:45

areas are harder to disrupt because the

15:47

value extends well beyond the interface.

15:50

This is why companies like CrowdStrike,

15:52

Can Paltrow Networks could end up

15:54

winning big. Even though Mythos can find

15:56

vulnerabilities and generate patches,

15:59

Mythos also creates more attack

16:01

opportunities and makes them happen

16:03

faster, which makes cybersecurity

16:05

platforms more valuable overall.

16:07

Cybersecurity isn't simply getting

16:10

killed by AI, but it is getting

16:12

rewritten by AI. Adobe is in a similar

16:15

situation. Adobe can be attacked by

16:17

Claude Design and still become a data

16:20

aggregator, a specialized partner, or

16:22

even a system of record for creative

16:24

work. That distinction is what matters

16:26

for portfolios. The danger isn't owning

16:29

software. The danger is owning software

16:32

just because it used to grow fast while

16:34

the actual underlying economics are

16:36

changing underneath you. A company can

16:39

survive as a platform and still become a

16:41

worse stock. A product can be important

16:44

and still lose its pricing power. A

16:46

market can grow while the companies on

16:48

top of it keep losing market share. AI

16:51

agents don't need to kill software

16:53

stocks, because if the value is leaving

16:55

software seats and license fees, it has

16:58

to go somewhere else. And that's where

17:00

we want to be investing. Every time AI

17:03

takes over another workflow, its compute

17:05

costs don't disappear. They move. The

17:08

value shifts from a human clicking

17:10

through a software interface to a model

17:12

generating tokens, reading context,

17:14

searching files, calling tools, writing

17:17

code, producing images, checking

17:19

outputs, and running another pass.

17:22

Claude Design needs vision, design

17:24

reasoning, code generation, storage,

17:26

data pipelines, and collaboration

17:28

infrastructure. Mythos needs enough

17:30

compute and context to search through

17:32

huge codebases, analyze code, find

17:35

exploits, and generate patches. Google

17:37

Stitch needs Gemini for inference.

17:40

OpenAI's Codex needs cloud coding

17:42

agents. The biggest insight for

17:44

investors is that the more useful these

17:46

AI systems become, the more

17:48

infrastructure they need to power them.

17:50

Stop trying to guess which SaaS

17:52

companies will survive every new AI

17:54

product launch, and start asking who

17:57

gets paid every time one happens. Claude

18:00

is hosted on Amazon Bedrock, Google

18:02

Vertex AI, and Microsoft Foundry. That

18:05

means every product they launch creates

18:08

demand for the cloud platforms

18:10

underneath it. These companies are not

18:12

hiding from the AI wave. They're

18:14

building the infrastructure, the

18:15

security, the cloud, and the enterprise

18:18

layers that the AI wave needs to scale.

18:21

The same pattern that tells you which

18:22

SaaS stocks are in trouble also tells

18:25

you which infrastructure stocks will win

18:27

big. And the more AI agents replace

18:29

workflows, the more tokens get consumed,

18:32

the more GPUs, memory, networking,

18:34

storage, packaging, power, and cloud

18:37

orchestration the entire AI industry

18:39

needs. Claude isn't killing computing.

18:43

Claude is monetizing it with work that

18:45

used to happen inside those SaaS seats.

18:48

That's where I'm investing. For me,

18:50

Nvidia is still the most obvious and the

18:52

best way to invest in that compute.

18:54

Every software workflow will eventually

18:57

become an agentic AI workload. Every

18:59

time Claude, Gemini, Codex, or an

19:02

enterprise agent does more work, the

19:04

industry needs more accelerated

19:06

computing, more networking, more racks,

19:09

and more inference-optimized systems.

19:11

Nvidia's data center business is the

19:13

center of gravity for that entire shift.

19:16

In their latest earnings, Nvidia

19:17

reported $68.1 billion of total revenue,

19:21

with $62.3 billion of that coming from

19:24

AI data centers. That means AI is over

19:26

90% of Nvidia's revenues. If Nvidia is

19:30

the compute, then Micron is the memory.

19:32

Inference today isn't compute-limited.

19:35

It's memory-limited. Long context agents

19:38

need to hold more information. Code

19:40

analysis needs to scan more files.

19:42

Design agents need multimodal context to

19:45

see mock-up images and read design

19:47

notes. The bottleneck isn't how much the

19:50

model can think. It's how much data the

19:52

model can get from memory and how fast.

19:54

Micron's latest earnings showed that

19:56

exact need. They reported a record $23.9

20:00

billion in revenue with gross margins

20:02

coming in at 74%

20:04

up from just 37% 1 year earlier. And as

20:08

agents with huge context windows replace

20:10

normal software interfaces, memory

20:12

becomes one of the biggest physical

20:14

limits of the whole system. And then

20:16

there's the cloud infrastructure

20:18

providers, Amazon, Microsoft and Google.

20:21

These hyperscalers win when enterprises

20:23

don't build their own AI infrastructure

20:25

and most enterprises don't. What do most

20:28

of them want? They want model access,

20:30

security, compliance, data connections,

20:33

developer tools, governance, uptime, and

20:36

of course billing. That points them

20:37

towards AWS, towards Azure, and towards

20:40

Google Cloud. AWS reported $35.6 billion

20:45

of revenue last quarter, up 24%

20:48

year-over-year with $12.5 billion of

20:51

operating income. Microsoft reported 39%

20:55

Azure growth and $51.5 billion of

20:58

Microsoft Cloud revenue. Google Cloud

21:00

reported $17.7 billion

21:03

of revenue in Q4 of last year. That's up

21:06

48% year-over-year with 30.1% operating

21:10

margins. The trillion-dollar companies

21:13

that most investors think are too big to

21:14

buy are actually growing faster than

21:17

some startups. That's because they're

21:19

not just renting servers. They're

21:21

becoming AI factories. They host the

21:23

models, they sell the platforms, they

21:26

secure the enterprise data, and they

21:27

absorb the capex costs that individual

21:30

software companies can't afford. And

21:32

then, powering all of that is the

21:34

semiconductor supply chain. TSMC is the

21:37

hardware factory responsible for the

21:39

software apocalypse. Advanced packaging

21:42

is what lets GPUs and high-bandwidth

21:44

memory sit close enough together to move

21:46

data at the speeds that AI needs. Every

21:49

software is dead headline is actually

21:51

powered by the chips that are built,

21:53

packaged, tested, and shipped by TSMC.

21:57

TSMC, ASML, and Broadcom are the chip

22:00

building, the packaging, and the

22:02

networking companies tying it all

22:03

together. And I'm only investing in

22:06

software companies that have proprietary

22:08

data, compliance, or deep workflows like

22:11

CrowdStrike, Palo Alto Networks, and

22:13

Palantir, not just pretty interfaces

22:16

that customers pay for by the seat. I'm

22:18

not saying every SaaS company is

22:21

automatically uninvestable, but I am

22:23

saying if a software company charges per

22:25

seat for work that an AI agent can do, I

22:29

want to understand why companies are

22:30

keeping their seats. If they claim that

22:33

AI will expand their usage, I want to

22:35

see how that turns into more revenue.

22:37

And if they say they're the system of

22:39

record, I want to see whether agents

22:41

make that system more valuable or just

22:43

hide it behind their own chat windows.

22:45

Said another way, I don't want to own

22:47

software stocks just because they

22:49

survived the last 3 years since ChatGPT

22:52

came out. I want to own the systems that

22:55

get paid every time another software

22:57

category gets disrupted by AI. And that

23:00

might keep happening faster than most

23:02

investors expect. There are 257 days

23:05

left in 2026. And if AI agents come for

23:09

every software category like Claude just

23:11

came for design and cybersecurity before

23:14

that and legal software before that, the

23:16

question isn't whether software still

23:18

matters. The question is whether

23:20

investors want to own these software

23:22

stocks or the AI systems that are

23:25

actively disrupting them. Let me know

23:26

what you think in the comments. Is

23:28

Claude design just a flashy demo or is

23:30

it part of a bigger shift from software

23:32

to AI? And if you want to see even more

23:35

science behind the stocks, check out

23:37

this video next. Either way, thanks for

23:39

watching and until next time, this is

23:41

ticker symbol U. My name is Alex

23:44

reminding you that the best investment

23:46

you can make is in you.

Interactive Summary

This video examines how rapid advancements in AI, specifically through Anthropic's 'Claude' releases and similar tools from competitors like Google and OpenAI, are systematically disrupting the software-as-a-service (SaaS) industry. The author argues that these AI models, by automating tasks previously done by humans, are effectively killing the traditional 'per-seat' pricing model that software companies rely on for revenue. Instead of betting on vulnerable SaaS stocks, the author suggests investing in the foundational infrastructure—such as compute providers (Nvidia), memory manufacturers (Micron), cloud hyperscalers (Amazon, Microsoft, Google), and the semiconductor supply chain (TSMC)—that powers these AI agentic systems.

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