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AI, R2 and the Future of Everyday Driving | Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe

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AI, R2 and the Future of Everyday Driving | Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe

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946 segments

0:00

By 2030, it'll be inconceivable to buy a

0:03

car and not expect it to drive itself.

0:05

Every single one of our cars, we want to

0:07

have the ability for it to operate at

0:09

very high levels of autonomy. Radars are

0:10

extremely cheap. LARS are very cheap,

0:13

but the really expensive part of the

0:14

system is actually the onboard

0:15

inference. In order to imagine more

0:17

expensive than any of the perception

0:18

stack, [music] my view is EV adoption in

0:20

the United States is a reflection of the

0:22

lack of choice. As consumers, we need

0:24

lots of choices. We need to have

0:25

variety. We selfidentify [music]

0:27

with the thing we drive. The world

0:28

doesn't need another Model Y. The world

0:30

needs another choice.

0:36

>> Hi listeners, welcome back to No Priors.

0:39

Today I'm here with R.J. Scarring, the

0:41

founder and CEO of Rivian. We're here to

0:44

talk about their autonomy strategy,

0:46

proprietary chips, their coming R2

0:48

model, whether Americans want EVs, and

0:51

what our relationship to cars is going

0:53

to be in the age of AI. Let's get into

0:55

[music] it. AJ, thanks so much for doing

0:57

this. Thank you for having me.

0:58

>> So, Rivian's already uh an incredibly

1:01

cool company. How did you decide it was

1:02

going to become an autonomy company?

1:03

When did that happen?

1:04

>> I mean, from the beginning, we thought

1:06

of it as a transportation and mobility

1:08

company. And in fact, even before Rivian

1:10

became Rivian, when I was thinking about

1:12

what's the first products, it was

1:13

unclear what kind of car would be, but

1:15

or even if it was a car, but it was

1:17

always clear we wanted to be at the

1:18

front edge of helping to redefine what

1:20

does it mean to have access to personal

1:22

transportation. And so autonomy is

1:25

always been part of the strategy, but

1:26

it's now fully coming to life with the

1:28

technology that we're building.

1:29

>> And when you think about the function of

1:32

Rivian, there's transportation, there's

1:34

also the experience. Like when how long

1:37

ago did you guys start investing in the

1:39

autonomy strategy here?

1:40

>> Yes, we launched R1 in um very end of

1:44

2021.

1:45

>> Mh.

1:45

>> And we used what I'll broadly

1:47

characterize like a 1.0 approach to

1:49

autonomy. So we had a perception

1:51

platform. We used a a third party, a

1:54

front-facing camera that was essentially

1:56

a third-party solution that then plugged

1:57

into an overall framework that we built,

1:59

but it was all rules based. So, the

2:01

camera is fed a rulesbased planner. The

2:02

planner would then make a bunch of

2:03

decisions around the feeds from the

2:05

perception. And it was, you know, the

2:08

moment we launched, we knew it was the

2:09

wrong approach, but it was the thing we'

2:11

started working on uh well before the

2:13

launch. And so, at the end of 2021,

2:16

beginning of 2022, we made the decision

2:18

to completely reset the platform. And

2:20

>> was that hard as a decision?

2:22

>> No, cuz it was so clear when we made we

2:24

made the when you're building something

2:26

like this, you're you recognize you're

2:27

going to spend many many billions of

2:28

dollars creating it. So we knew this

2:32

like at the core of transportation is is

2:35

driving and at the core of that is a

2:37

shift to having the vehicle be capable

2:39

of driving itself. And so we made the

2:40

decision to redo it like clean sheet,

2:43

you know, no legacy of what we had built

2:45

in the Gen One. And that first launched

2:48

from a hardware point of view in the

2:49

middle of 2024. Uh so that was with our

2:51

gen two vehicles. You know, not a single

2:53

line of shared code, not a single piece

2:55

of common hardware on the perception on

2:58

the compute side. And uh and then we had

3:02

to build like the actual data flywheel.

3:03

So we had to grow the car park to build

3:05

enough of a data flywheel to then start

3:07

to train the model. And what we showed

3:08

in our economy day late last year, late

3:10

in 2025, was the beginnings of a series

3:14

of really like super exciting steps of

3:17

how this is going to grow and expand. I

3:19

say this all the time. I I think of not

3:21

just for Rivian, but I'd say for the

3:22

auto industry in general, the last three

3:25

years compared to the next three years

3:26

are going to look very different. So the

3:28

rate of progress that we saw in autonomy

3:29

between let's say 2020 and 2025 or 2021

3:33

and 2025 and what we're going to see

3:35

between today and let's say 2029 2030

3:38

are they're completely different slopes

3:41

and that really comes back to you know

3:44

entirely new architectures now being

3:45

used to develop self-driving actually

3:48

truly AI architectures whereas before

3:50

these were not AI architectures in the

3:52

in the true sense they were they were

3:54

using machine vision but really

3:56

rules-based environments that we defined

3:57

as as humans, you know, we codified

3:59

them, which is very different than how

4:00

Apple today.

4:01

>> You might actually have perfect timing

4:03

here in that uh I got to be part of

4:06

investing in sort of the first wave of

4:08

independent autonomy bets that were

4:10

working with the OEMs at my last

4:11

investing firm. Okay. But this is

4:14

>> I would say 8 10 years ago.

4:16

>> Yeah.

4:16

>> And uh as you mentioned there's several

4:18

architectural revolutions since then.

4:21

Yeah. And so for companies to make that

4:23

shift from you know we're going to have

4:24

these separate perception and planning

4:26

systems to more endtoend neural networks

4:30

>> I I asked because I felt it was actually

4:31

quite a hard decision for people in

4:33

choosing their partners and from a from

4:36

a technical perspective.

4:37

>> Well I think it I mean you can see it.

4:39

So there's if you go back to the very

4:40

beginning of the idea of self-driving,

4:43

a lot of effort, a lot of spend happened

4:47

for companies to build these rules-based

4:48

environments and to build these more

4:51

classic systems. And when transform

4:53

based encoding came along, you just a

4:55

couple years ago and it shifted very

4:57

rapidly to it was clear that the future

5:00

state was going to be neural net based.

5:02

It was hard because if you're a company

5:03

that built all these systems, it's like

5:04

do I keep investing what I had? what do

5:06

I what do I do with all this work that

5:08

was was built before? And the reality is

5:10

is a lot of it is the vast majority of

5:12

it is going to be pure throwaway. Um

5:14

because it wasn't like a gradual shift.

5:17

It was a complete rethink of how things

5:19

are architected.

5:20

>> How did you decide that this was going

5:22

to be a an in-house effort versus a

5:25

partner effort that given most people

5:28

who made cars said we're going to go

5:29

partner or buy something here? I I guess

5:32

the emotional philosophical is on things

5:35

that are really important, we've taken

5:36

the approach of vertically integrating

5:38

them. So electronics, our software, all

5:41

the high voltage systems in the vehicle.

5:43

So things like motors, inverters,

5:45

uh all the power electronics, these are

5:47

all things we we develop and build

5:48

inhouse. And in a few cases, you know,

5:52

we had to start with something that was

5:53

either off the shelf or partially off

5:55

the shelf. But today, all of that's

5:56

completely in-house. And in the case of

5:58

self-driving, we knew that long-term it

6:00

needed to be something that was

6:02

developed internally. We started as I

6:04

said with a mobilecentric solution,

6:06

which a lot of folks did, right?

6:08

>> Particularly in like you that 2015 to

6:10

2021 time frame. But when you really

6:12

look at what's necessary to to be

6:14

successful in a neural net based

6:16

approach,

6:18

>> there's a core set of ingredients that

6:19

very few people have and I think we

6:21

uniquely have them. So first and

6:22

foremost, you need to have complete

6:24

control of a perception platform. You

6:26

have all the everything that the the the

6:28

system is capable of observing, whether

6:31

that's cameras, radars, or LAR, or some

6:33

combination of all three. You need to

6:34

have control of that. Meaning there's no

6:36

intermediary company that's like

6:38

processing some of the information. And

6:40

so that's powerful because you can then

6:42

feed raw signals into your system. The

6:45

system needs to be capable of triggering

6:48

unique or interesting or noteworthy

6:50

events that you can then use to train

6:52

that triggered. you know those triggered

6:54

moments need to then be captured saved

6:57

on the vehicle and then when the when

6:59

the time arises where you have Wi-Fi

7:01

ideally send it up and the reason I say

7:03

Wi-Fi these are this is a large a lot of

7:05

data so you could of course do it over

7:06

LTE but it's expensive as you have to

7:09

have a really robust data architecture

7:10

on the vehicle then you need to be able

7:12

to send it off offboard and use that

7:15

with a lot of uh training so with a lot

7:17

of GPUs to train a model companies that

7:19

are either developing independent

7:21

solutions that are not a car company

7:23

they typically don't have access to the

7:24

type of mileage that we do. So that the

7:26

huge amount of data that our vehicles

7:27

generate. Uh if you're developing this

7:30

from a sensor set point of view, you

7:32

typically don't have the vehicle

7:33

architecture and the vehicle car park.

7:36

So we just came to the view that we have

7:38

all these ingredients to do it really

7:39

well. And [clears throat]

7:40

>> it's like not an optional thing. It's

7:42

the companies that do this well will

7:44

exist. The companies that don't do this

7:46

well,

7:46

>> like I feel really strongly this. They

7:48

will not exist. They will shrink to

7:50

shrink to nothing. asmtoically approach

7:52

you know zero.

7:53

>> You think it can only be delivered in

7:55

really a vertical vertically integrated?

7:57

>> No, I think I think there's more than

8:00

one less than five companies outside of

8:02

China that have the necessary

8:04

ingredients to do this. The capital, the

8:06

GPUs, the the car park with you know

8:09

enough vehicles generate enough data. I

8:11

say more than one less than five. It's

8:12

probably

8:12

>> and the control of that whole training

8:13

loop you're doing.

8:14

>> It's probably like more than one less

8:15

than three maybe four. Like there's very

8:18

small number of companies that can do

8:20

this. I think the uni unique spot we are

8:21

in time right now is the 1.0. Can

8:24

>> I ask explicitly then? It's you, it's

8:26

Tesla, it's Whimo. Is that the three?

8:28

>> I would include all three of those.

8:30

Yeah. And there's maybe one or two

8:31

others in [clears throat] in the mix.

8:32

But I think

8:33

>> the challenge is you have to look at the

8:34

not just the moment in time for

8:36

performance where we are today.

8:38

>> Do you have the ingredients to continue

8:40

making progress at a very high like high

8:42

rate over the next four or five years?

8:45

>> And so a lot of the solutions that are

8:47

more 1.0 based and and are sort of stuck

8:50

in that framework I think have a like a

8:54

truly a 0% chance of progressing to be

8:56

competitive with a neural net based

8:58

approach and the neural net based

9:00

approach does take a lot of times you

9:01

have to build ton of inference on the

9:03

you have to have either buy it or build

9:05

it a lot of inference we decided to

9:07

build it so we built an in-house chip to

9:08

do this you need to have a car parked

9:10

this large

9:11

>> you just mean enough onboard compute to

9:13

actually run the models the car yeah in

9:16

the vehicle and so you could you could

9:17

buy that. Of course, Nvidia makes those.

9:20

Um, but you need to be able to do that

9:21

at scale and have it in every car. And

9:23

so, we took the decision to make our

9:25

chip in house.

9:26

>> Is that more a capability uh decision or

9:29

a cost decision?

9:30

>> It's a cost. And then like we want to

9:32

have it on everything. So, every single

9:34

one of our cars, we want to have the

9:35

ability for it to operate at very high

9:37

levels of autonomy. And so, we design,

9:39

spec, and build the cameras.

9:42

>> Radars are extremely cheap. LARS are

9:44

now, you know, very, very cheap. But the

9:46

really expensive part of the system is

9:47

actually the onboard inference.

9:49

>> And so that's like an order imagine more

9:52

expensive than any of the perception

9:53

stack. I think people focus on the

9:54

perception because it's the things we

9:56

can like visualize,

9:57

>> right?

9:57

>> But the brain is actually the most

9:59

expensive part. And so we brought that

10:01

in house as a way to remove cost from

10:04

the system so that we can easily deploy

10:06

this on on every car.

10:08

>> You are taking like a sort of know

10:10

step-by-step approach to levels of

10:12

autonomy. Yeah. and Rivian, how do you

10:14

think about um how quickly you approach

10:16

like level four or you know the safety

10:19

case around each of these things? How

10:20

fast your team goes against this?

10:23

>> Yeah, I mean this is even this question

10:25

is unique because just a few years ago

10:27

20 2019 2021 even there was like very

10:31

like very clearly delineated

10:34

ways to approach autonomy. There was a

10:35

level two approach which was camera

10:38

heavy maybe with a few radars

10:41

>> and then there was a level four approach

10:42

which was of course had cameras but had

10:45

a lot of lightars. It was sort of

10:46

inconceivable to think of the level two

10:48

system becoming a level four and

10:50

similarly the level four system was way

10:52

overbuilt to even like conceivably think

10:54

about putting that on every consumer

10:56

vehicle.

10:56

>> Well, you didn't want the the big want

10:59

all these parts. Yes. The tens of

11:02

thousands of dollars of perception. So

11:03

what's happened is those two worlds just

11:05

I think have just started to very

11:07

clearly merge where the delineation

11:09

between a level two, a level three and a

11:10

level four um in terms of perception and

11:14

and in terms of compute has started to

11:16

fade and it's now essentially just

11:19

remove like how capable the system is at

11:22

addressing all these corner cases.

11:25

And you know, this is what's hard for a

11:27

consumer to recognize. If you're driving

11:30

a level two system or a level three

11:31

system or a level four system for

11:34

99.9999,

11:36

like three or four nights, feels

11:37

identical,

11:38

>> right?

11:39

>> The difference is like the fifth or

11:42

sixth or seventh nine on that is these

11:44

like extreme corner cases. And so I

11:47

think it's actually led to a lot of

11:48

confusion where you'll be in a level two

11:51

system like the car could drive itself

11:52

and you're like yes it can under

11:54

>> most of the roads conditions except

11:56

these very unique corner cases. And so

11:58

to your point on safety cases, the

12:00

question then becomes is like how

12:02

confident are we in the system

12:05

capability in covering these really

12:07

obscure unlikely rare events which of

12:11

course if they're not covered well it

12:13

can lead to really uh you know terrible

12:15

outcome you know the vehicle in a bad

12:16

collision and so that's where the neural

12:18

net based approach has just changed

12:19

things a lot. So the the the

12:21

capabilities are so much stronger and

12:23

the ability now I think for us to deploy

12:26

on a lot more vehicles have a car park

12:28

that's very large. So we went from, you

12:32

know, few years ago state-of-the-art was

12:34

you'd have a test development fleet of

12:36

maybe maybe a few hundred vehicles,

12:38

maybe maybe like high hundreds of

12:40

vehicles to now like thousands and

12:44

thousands. Every single car on the road

12:45

is part of your data fleet that's

12:47

identifying these unique corner cases

12:48

and then running the model against them

12:50

to test.

12:51

>> And now of course we're simulating those

12:52

unique cases and we can do a lot there.

12:55

So the just the whole nature of it's

12:57

changed so dramatically that I mean I

12:59

think by by 2030 it'll be inconceivable

13:02

to buy a car and not expect it to drive

13:04

itself. You know maybe that's sooner.

13:06

Maybe like we hope it's sooner like

13:07

we're targeting a little sooner than

13:09

that but certainly in like a very very

13:11

near future like that will become a

13:13

mustave in a car. Sort of like it's hard

13:15

to imagine buying a car today without

13:18

airbags or buying a car today without

13:19

air conditioning. Um these things at a

13:22

moment in time were optional. I think in

13:25

not too not too much time, couple years,

13:27

it'll be hard to concede buying a car

13:28

that can't drop you at the airport or

13:30

pick up your kids from school.

13:32

>> I would argue that right now um most of

13:35

the biggest car makers do not have the

13:36

ingredients that you described to make

13:38

this a reality.

13:39

>> So, do you think that um that's going to

13:41

play out in the market where like

13:44

autonomy will be so important as a

13:46

driving feature, core feature of the car

13:49

that there's just going to be a big

13:50

market share shift to those those who

13:53

can figure it out. I I know you're

13:54

biased here, but I'm like,

13:55

>> "No, no, no. I think it's it's it's a

13:57

hard question to answer." So, I think

13:58

it's uh I I always characterize like

14:01

this.

14:01

>> I think it's inconceivable

14:04

for a car company to continue to operate

14:06

at scale like mass market. I think very

14:09

niche enthusiast realms sure, but like

14:11

at scale

14:13

>> without a software defined architecture,

14:15

which is even before you get to

14:16

autonomy, just like can you do OTAAS? Do

14:19

you have control of a of a

14:20

>> sorry can you define software define

14:22

architecture?

14:23

>> Yeah, that's like before we even get to

14:24

autonomous like these are like basics.

14:26

So the way car

14:27

>> the core thesis of

14:28

>> Yeah. Yeah. So the way car electronic

14:30

systems have been designed and built and

14:32

have evolved with the exception of Tesla

14:35

and Rivian every car on the road has

14:37

what is uh called a domain based

14:40

architecture. So you could also call it

14:41

a functionbased architecture. So all the

14:43

functions across the vehicle, let's say

14:46

chassis control or door system control

14:48

or uh eight track, your air conditioning

14:51

system, all have little computers

14:53

associated with them, right?

14:54

>> What we call ECUs, electronic control

14:55

units. And in a modern car, you might

14:58

have 100 to 150 of these. And each of

15:01

these run their own little island of

15:03

software. And that little island of

15:04

software is written by a supplier, more

15:06

likely a supplier to the supplier. So

15:08

you go to a a tier one and they hire a

15:10

tier two who writes the code base to run

15:12

your H.

15:14

>> That's why it's impossible to debug like

15:16

a software system. And

15:17

>> it's also why it's really hard to do an

15:18

update. So imagine you have a 100

15:20

different islands of software written by

15:21

100 different teams uh that all have to

15:24

coordinate. And so if you want a

15:25

feature, you know, something that

15:27

manifests as a feature often involves

15:28

combining functions from different

15:30

domains.

15:31

>> So a simple one to visualize is when you

15:34

walk up to your car to get into it, you

15:35

want it to automatically unlock. You

15:37

want the HVAC to go to your preset. You

15:38

want your seats to adjust. You want it

15:40

to make an audible noise in the outside.

15:41

You want the lights to do something.

15:43

>> You probably want the the audio system

15:44

to do something. Those are all different

15:46

little ECUs in a traditional car. And

15:48

the coordination cost in it is really

15:50

high. It's very unlikely that a car

15:52

company will make a change to that

15:53

sequence because it involves

15:54

coordinating amongst maybe 10 different

15:57

players. In contrast on a on a approach

16:00

where you build a zonal architecture

16:01

where you have a very small number of

16:03

computers ideally you know one two maybe

16:06

three depending on the size of the car

16:08

that are running one operating system

16:10

that control everything. It's very easy.

16:12

So that sequence you could make up

16:14

updates to you know in a matter of

16:17

minutes maybe an hour you could change

16:18

the whole sequence of what happens you

16:19

walk up to the car issue an overear

16:21

update and it's very straightforward.

16:23

How often does Rivian update?

16:24

>> We do about one a month and uh it's

16:28

typically, you know, we add a couple of

16:30

new features, we add refinements to

16:32

existing features. We're listening to

16:34

like what customers are seeing and

16:36

asking for, but you know, every month

16:39

the car gets like notably better and

16:41

it's created this really amazing dynamic

16:43

where customers are like excited for the

16:45

for the update. They're like, when's the

16:46

next OTAA going to drop? The irony of

16:47

all this is these domain based

16:49

architectures goes back to like how do

16:51

we arrive at this it actually goes back

16:53

to fuel injection systems. So up until

16:56

early 1960s like every car on the road

16:59

was completely analog. So there's no

17:01

computers at all in the cars 100% analog

17:04

and the first computers were there to

17:06

drive the fuel injection systems and car

17:08

companies said this isn't a core

17:09

competency. Let's push that little

17:12

computer to run the fuel injection

17:13

system to a supplier and the supplier

17:14

will make that. You know, this is where

17:16

you saw things like the Bosch fuel

17:18

injection systems and never planned.

17:20

It's sort of like a field of weeds. Then

17:22

over the next like 7 60 70 years,

17:26

everything that became, you know,

17:28

computer controlled to any degree

17:30

suddenly started to have a little ECU, a

17:32

little computer associated with it. and

17:33

it just like grew into this absolute

17:36

disastrous mess that is a you know today

17:39

the the network architecture that's in

17:41

truly every car on the road with the

17:43

exception of of two companies that what

17:45

I just described is what underpins we

17:47

did a large uh software licensing deal a

17:49

$5.8 8 billion deal with Volkswagen

17:51

Group, the second largest car company in

17:53

the world to uh essentially leverage our

17:56

network architecture and ECU topology

18:00

uh for their you know all their various

18:02

brands and so it's an interesting final

18:04

point there on the on your first

18:05

question which is you know what happens

18:07

to market share so I think it's

18:08

inconceivable that car if to be at scale

18:10

that you don't have a software

18:11

definfined architecture that allows your

18:13

features to become better and better and

18:15

particularly thinking about how AI

18:17

starts to integrate into the features

18:19

that's number

18:20

Secondly, it's inconceivable to think

18:21

about a car company existing at scale

18:23

without the vehicles having very high

18:25

levels of autonomy. And so car companies

18:28

have a choice on both of those. They can

18:30

either accept that they're going to

18:32

shrink. That's choice one. Choice two is

18:35

go build it themselves, which is really

18:36

hard because they don't typically have

18:38

these skill sets. They're not software

18:40

electronics companies in terms of like

18:41

their organizational DNA. Or they can

18:43

find a third party to source it from.

18:46

And in both cases, there's not great

18:48

third parties to go to. Uh, and in the

18:50

case of autonomy, most of the third

18:52

parties that that did emerge over the

18:54

last 10 to 15 years tend to be very much

18:58

uh like classic rules-based what call

19:01

like AD or autonomous vehicle 1.0

19:03

solutions. And those work pretty well

19:07

for the business construct of selling

19:09

like a sensor and a function. But that

19:12

structure is really flawed when you want

19:13

to have like a large data flywheel and

19:16

it's constantly learning and evolving

19:17

and you're issuing updates constantly.

19:19

It's just um it's really hard to imagine

19:22

that with an arms length transaction.

19:23

And so I think the vertically integrated

19:25

stacks are going to naturally have some

19:27

big advantages.

19:28

>> So this might be an irrelevant question

19:30

but I'm curious. Um do you think that

19:32

the autonomy like the models that maybe

19:36

the three maybe the one maybe the five

19:38

companies that come up with this

19:40

>> uh develop are fundamentally different

19:42

over time because I spent a lot of time

19:43

in the AI ecosystem and the

19:45

>> let's say the languageoriented

19:47

foundation models like feel like they're

19:49

converging at this moment in time.

19:52

>> I I look at a Rivian I'm like

19:54

>> I don't know people adventure in that

19:55

thing. Do do you actually want it to do

19:57

different things, have different styles

19:59

or capabilities, or is it really just

20:01

like

20:03

as much autonomy as possible safety

20:05

case?

20:06

>> Well, first I This is a great this is a

20:09

great question. Um

20:10

>> I want my car to drive.

20:12

>> So like in the LLM world, it a lot of it

20:14

has converged because it's the training

20:16

data sets nearly the same. Yeah. So

20:18

we're taking the the breath of knowledge

20:19

that's contained on the internet and

20:20

we're training models off of that. In

20:22

the case of driving a vehicle, there is

20:24

no internet of driving data. And so you

20:26

need both a robust sensor set to be able

20:28

to capture the data and you need a car

20:30

park, you know, that has enough vehicles

20:32

in it. And so, of course, Tesla has the

20:34

largest car park of vehicles by far. Our

20:38

approach to this is we have a a higher

20:40

level of capability on our perception

20:42

stacks. We have better cameras, we have

20:44

radar, and of course with R2, we'll have

20:46

a LAR as well. A huge part of that

20:48

strategy is not only those cover corner

20:50

cases better. So the cameras have

20:52

incredible low light and you know bright

20:54

light performance. So the dynamic range

20:56

of the cameras is stronger. We have more

20:57

cameras, a lot more megapixels. Uh we

21:00

have radar which is great for object

21:01

detection. And the LAR which is it's a

21:04

very powerful tool for training the the

21:06

models. And so imagine

21:09

800 ft in front of us there's a little

21:11

speck into a camera. It's hard to figure

21:13

out what that is. And historically, what

21:14

we would do to train that is she would

21:16

have a LAR sitting on the vehicle on on

21:19

a like a ground truth fleet to help

21:21

train your cameras. Putting that on

21:24

every single one of our cars is turns

21:26

our entire fleet into this amazing

21:29

training platform, this data acquisition

21:31

machine. That was a core part of how we

21:33

thought about our strategy is we're

21:34

going to go, you know, not as heavy as

21:36

let's say a Whimo on perception,

21:38

>> but heavier than let's say Tesla to

21:42

build a really robust data platform on a

21:45

vehicle-by- vehicle basis and then with

21:46

a car park that's going to grow grow

21:49

significantly with the expansion with

21:50

R2. Yeah. So, I I think first and

21:53

foremost is there is no common internet

21:55

data. So the data sets that we're going

21:57

to be picking up though are going to be

21:58

very similar

21:59

>> but but you have to go acquire

22:01

>> but there's still different decisions

22:02

about what data you care about

22:04

acquiring. Yeah.

22:04

>> Well I think this is what to

22:06

[clears throat] like how does a car feel

22:07

ultimately it needs to be safe and the

22:10

differences in the way it drives or

22:12

feels are going to be more about like

22:14

what's the UI the user interface of it.

22:16

You know like even we just updated some

22:17

of our features. We have three settings

22:18

for how the vehicle drives. Mild,

22:21

medium, and spicy.

22:23

>> Spicy is the highest one. Yeah. And so

22:24

this is like a little bit more

22:25

aggressive over time and we've spent

22:28

time thinking about this. I think this

22:30

will start to become part of a key

22:33

decision is how does the vehicle behave

22:35

and there's work we're doing to to think

22:37

about how the vehicle can behave in a

22:39

way that against a set of heruristics

22:42

>> drives like you.

22:43

>> So overall the overall model is trained

22:46

on how to performs in a safe way but it

22:48

actually learns some of your you learn

22:50

some of your driving preferences and

22:51

creates a model around you. Of course,

22:53

in a world where you never drive the car

22:55

because you're just it's always driving

22:56

for you. There's a way for you to set.

22:58

I'd like it to aggressively change

23:00

lanes. I'd like it to reside in the

23:02

right hand lane. Like those kinds of

23:04

decisions and those are those are less

23:06

around the tech, more on what's the the

23:08

the product or the UI if you like.

23:10

>> Right. The ability to collect those

23:12

preferences.

23:12

>> Yeah. Preference based. And I think we

23:14

will see that

23:16

>> and that'll be a decision like a Tesla

23:17

makes that may be different than how

23:19

Rivian makes it. you know, it's hard to

23:21

say today.

23:22

>> Can we talk about what the R2 means for

23:24

like the company and some some of the

23:26

key design decisions here? I was just

23:28

talking to Jonathan, one of your lead

23:29

designers, about the constraints and,

23:32

you know, aiming for more mass market

23:34

and more volume here.

23:35

>> Uh, I mean, yeah, you said it. It's uh

23:38

so R1, it's a flagship product. It's

23:41

average selling price is around $90,000.

23:44

It's the best selling, the R1S is the

23:46

best selling premium electric SUV in the

23:48

country. So it's electric SUVs over

23:51

$70,000 and we're the bestselling

23:53

premium SUV electric or non-elect

23:55

electric in the state of California. So

23:56

it sells really well. You know, it out

23:58

sells everything in its class like a

24:00

model Tesla Model X. It out sells like 2

24:02

to1. But um because of the price, it's

24:05

just limiting in terms of how much

24:06

volume we can achieve with that

24:08

platform. And so R2 is the our first

24:11

truly mass market product with pricing

24:13

that's as we've said going to start at

24:16

45 and allows people that are in that

24:20

you know the average price of a new car

24:21

in the United States is $50,000 in that

24:23

like $45 to $55,000 price range. Uh I

24:27

think to have a really great choice and

24:29

to date there haven't been a lot of

24:30

great choices there. You know there's

24:32

I'd say there's like sort of singular

24:34

set of great choices with a model 3

24:36

model Y. Uh and of course that's that's

24:39

shown through the extreme market share

24:40

capture of 50% roughly market share goes

24:43

up or down but around that call it half

24:46

the EV market is Model 3 or Model Y. So

24:50

there's just such an untapped

24:52

opportunity to pull customers out of ICE

24:54

vehicles out of internal combustion

24:55

vehicles with a choice that's you know

24:59

has characteristics that are different

25:01

and unique relative to a Tesla. These

25:04

are like too substantive to be rapid

25:05

fire questions, but they're they're

25:06

important for me to ask you. Do

25:08

Americans want EVs? Like why haven't

25:10

they adopted them faster?

25:11

>> What?

25:12

>> Yeah, I think to the last question, I

25:13

think causality is always a hard thing

25:14

to,

25:16

you know, really understand, but let's

25:18

zoom out here. The the overall adoption

25:19

rate in the United States of EVs is

25:21

around 8%. The vast majority of vehicle

25:23

buyers are buying vehicles that are

25:25

under $70,000 with the average sale

25:27

price of about 50. And so if you look at

25:30

the number of vehicle choices you have

25:31

at a price point that's under $70,000

25:35

depending on the year. This of course

25:36

changes year to year. There's well in

25:39

excess of 300 different vehicle model

25:41

line choices. Putting aside trims and

25:44

performance packages but just in terms

25:45

of like overall vehicle types. And so

25:48

you can buy hatchbacks, minivans, SUVs,

25:52

you know, two-seaters, convertibles. I

25:54

mean there's a whole array of different

25:56

things you can buy. And in the EV space,

26:00

I think, and this is I think there's

26:02

more than one, less than three great

26:05

choices. And I'd say Tesla with the

26:07

Model 3, Model Y is absolutely one of

26:09

those. But there's so few choices that

26:13

if you are looking for a form factor

26:15

that's not a Tesla.

26:17

>> So, you think it's just missing product

26:18

set that people want? Yeah.

26:20

>> An extreme lack of choice is how you put

26:22

it. Um, like a shocking lack of choice.

26:25

And this is what gets into interesting

26:27

like corporate psychology, but because

26:30

of the success of the Model Y in

26:32

particular, the EV choices that do exist

26:35

that are outside of Tesla are often very

26:38

similar to a Model Y. Sure.

26:40

>> So if you were to like draw like an

26:41

outline, if you looked at the side view

26:43

profile of a lot of its alternatives and

26:46

draw a profile and then put it next to a

26:47

Model Y, it's almost identical. There's

26:49

a design sketch over here of basically

26:52

the Model Y and all its competitors.

26:54

>> They're all basically the same. It's

26:55

like if you want a Model Y, buy a Model

26:57

Y versus getting

26:58

>> you want something different.

26:59

>> Yes. You have all these companies are

27:01

trying to create their own version of

27:02

Model Y. And it's like it's unfortunate

27:04

because they didn't say, "Well, what can

27:05

we do that's unique and different?" And

27:07

so for us, we think the Model Y is a

27:08

great car. I've owned one. Many folks on

27:11

our team have owned one. But the world

27:13

doesn't need another Model Y. The world

27:14

needs another choice. And so I think uh

27:17

this is a reframing of just how we look

27:19

at transportation is it's such a big

27:21

space. It's such an area of personal

27:23

expression that we need as as consumers

27:27

we need lots of choices. We need to have

27:29

variety. We selfidentify with the thing

27:31

we drive. We just haven't had it. So I

27:33

think my view is the EV adoption in the

27:37

United States is a reflection of the

27:38

lack of choice. Uh there's one set of

27:41

really great choices with Model 3, Model

27:42

Y. I think there needs to be many more.

27:45

And so even looking at our partnership

27:47

with Volkswagen Group, a big motivator

27:49

for that which ties to our mission was

27:51

can we take our technology platform

27:54

>> and allow that to be expressed through a

27:57

variety of really interesting uh and

28:00

very story brands and different form

28:02

factors, different price points um of

28:05

course different segments. And I I think

28:08

the more choices we have, the more it's

28:11

going to lead to broader based adoption

28:12

of electric vehicles, which

28:16

creates, I think, a a very positive

28:18

level of momentum around the space. It's

28:20

it's worth noting on that point when we

28:23

look at how we develop a car like take

28:24

R2, we don't think of it as this is

28:27

someone who's going to buy an EV, let's

28:29

make it good. We think of it as let's

28:30

make the best possible vehicle, you

28:33

know, we can imagine. So incredible

28:35

performance and you know great range,

28:37

great uh dynamics, tons of storage and

28:41

the person buying it will be drawn into

28:44

electrification because the car is just

28:45

the best choice they have.

28:47

>> And we took that same view with R1 and

28:49

on R1 the vast majority of our customers

28:51

are first time ever owning an EV is a

28:53

Rivian which is which is really good. If

28:56

if all we were doing is moving customers

28:58

between

28:59

>> one or two brands it wouldn't be

29:00

accomplishing the goal. We have to

29:01

create new EV customers with products

29:03

that are so compelling that it just

29:05

draws people in.

29:06

>> So that leads into my very last question

29:08

here. I grew up thinking like a car is a

29:11

huge part of my identity.

29:13

>> Love cards. Drew them.

29:15

>> Still think they're pretty cool. Uh and

29:17

you know as they become more like

29:19

utilitarian services with uh the rise of

29:23

robo taxis as a concept of like you know

29:26

serving some of the function which your

29:28

car did before. How do you think our

29:30

relationship with cars changes or

29:31

vehicles over time?

29:33

>> I do think it's we're going to see a

29:34

shift. It's an interesting like

29:36

philosoph philosophical question. Why

29:38

why are cars such a part of our society

29:40

and

29:41

>> why do we have this affinity for them in

29:43

a way that we don't have that feeling

29:45

for other things in our life that are

29:47

really important? Like I don't I don't

29:48

look at my refrigerator and think I

29:50

really love that. Um in the same way

29:52

that I do with a car

29:54

>> and I think part of it is a car enables

29:56

personal freedom. It allows you to

29:58

explore. Um, it's it's something that

30:02

you not only ride in, but it be becomes

30:04

part of an expression of self. And I

30:06

think that's probably going to continue

30:08

to some degree, but it is going to

30:10

evolve. and and the way we look at it uh

30:12

with our products and even how we've

30:14

laid out and contemplated the the

30:17

purpose of the brand. We really look at

30:19

it through the lens of the vehicles and

30:22

the products we make need to both enable

30:24

people to go do the kinds of things you

30:27

know that they would hope to have

30:29

memories of years to come. So we we

30:30

often say the kinds of things you'd want

30:31

to take photographs of but more than

30:34

just enabling it which is a functional

30:35

requirement like can it drive their you

30:37

know can it fit the stuff your your pets

30:39

your gear your friends your your all of

30:41

your stuff more than just enabling it

30:43

can it inspire it and so can the brand

30:46

and the way we present what we're

30:48

building and the way we make design

30:50

decisions inspire you to go do the

30:52

things you want to remember for years to

30:54

come and so there's little like design

30:57

decisions we take that link to that. So

30:59

a flashlight in the door

31:01

>> is a invitation to explore. It's

31:03

invitation to go look at things the

31:05

night. Uh the

31:06

>> or the treehouse.

31:07

>> Yeah, there's exactly. So there's all

31:09

these little decisions you made

31:10

throughout the whole car that are just

31:13

designed to like engage that element of

31:17

inspiring people to go like imagine that

31:20

life they want to have.

31:21

>> Awesome. Thank you so much, [music] R.J.

31:23

Congrats on the R2 and uh on the

31:24

autonomy program.

31:25

>> Thank you.

31:28

Find us on Twitter at no prior pod.

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31:43

[music]

Interactive Summary

The interview with Rivian CEO R.J. Scarring outlines the company's aggressive autonomy strategy, predicting that self-driving capabilities will be a standard expectation in cars by 2030. Rivian is vertically integrating its autonomy development, building a neural-net-based platform from scratch, and producing its own onboard inference chips to manage costs and ensure high levels of autonomy across its fleet. Scarring emphasizes that success in this domain requires unique ingredients like complete perception control, a robust data acquisition flywheel from a large car park, and significant GPU training capabilities, which he believes only a few companies possess. He also addresses the slow EV adoption in the US, attributing it to a severe lack of diverse choices beyond the prevalent Tesla Model Y, which Rivian aims to counter with its more affordable R2 model. Ultimately, Scarring believes that cars, even with increasing autonomy, will continue to be vital for personal freedom and self-expression, with brands inspiring consumers to create memorable experiences.

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