The #1 Fast Food Trade Right Now
277 segments
Listen guys, here's the thesis. I am so
excited about this because in the 12
years that we've owned Chelsea Corner,
we released a new product this last
year, the chicken Caesar wrap, and not
only is it our number one menu item, but
it is the best-selling menu item that we
have had in 12 years. So, when I saw
that Sweetgreen was releasing a new
chicken Caesar wrap product, I was like,
"Dude, this could be a game-changer for
that company." Cuz rather than trying to
break a new trend, sometimes just
getting on the bandwagon of an existing
massive trend is the right move for a
national company.
>> It's a trend that you know about because
you are a restaurant owner, but there
isn't a national brand where you can go
and pick up a Caesar wrap. That that is
a It's an item that people are loving,
but you you can't really get one.
>> But Dave, that's my unique alpha is that
I already knew that a chicken Caesar
wrap had the potential to be a breakout
game-changing product for a restaurant.
So, I knew that as long as Sweetgreen
was able to put out even a mediocre
version of that product, it could be a
the biggest game-changer in the entire
company's history. So, like I was
watching this one like a hawk from day
one. And when those reviews started
coming out and I realized that that
company finally was smart enough, they
had never done an influencer campaign
like this. They They basically decided
to market this product through small
niche influencers, which is genius. It's
genius. That's everything right now is
going straight to the niche influencers
as opposed to going to these big
influencers that everyone essentially
ignores.
>> For authentic kind of like this is this
is a person like me kind of review. They
don't have a million followers, they're
just a girl doing her hair and makeup
eating a wrap. And so, you were in early
and so, you participated in this 30%
run-up in the stock.
But can the stock keep going up?
>> Okay. I think that if this product
continues to trend in any meaningful way
over the next couple of months, I think
this is the biggest thing that has ever
happened to Sweetgreen, a company that
is doing terrible. I actually had a
close friend of mine that I think knows
the CEO tell me this last year that he
really believed in the company
turnaround, that they knew exactly what
they had to do to turn the company
around. And he was investing an insane
amount of money in Sweetgreen. I mostly
ignored him, but since he told me that,
I've been watching Sweetgreen. So I saw
the announcement of this new product
release, and that's when I was like,
"Okay, this could actually be it." And
then combined with the fact that, again,
they were smart enough to know that they
had to release this product through a
mass niche influencer campaign, all I
had to know from that point on is the
product decent? Is it decent? Doesn't
have to be amazing. Is it decent? If
it's decent, I think there is a high
likelihood that this will be a dramatic
have a dramatic impact on Sweetgreen
sales, foot traffic. This could be the
thing that turns Sweetgreen around. And
it By the way, it's not going to take
much to turn Sweetgreen around because
they are not doing well, guys. This is a
real moment for the company. They could
I just I got to try this thing. Like I I
just I really want to try it. So again,
>> So you haven't tried it yet. You I know
you went to the store today to pick that
up, but you've also been to do a store
check and talk to the people, and and
you found out that they're at our local
store, it's like 20% of their sales.
>> No. No, I got new alpha today. As I do,
I have watched and read every comment on
the internet of every Sweetgreen rap
video that has been published since the
wrap came out. Good, bad, and ugly. And
I haven't tried it myself, but our local
store told me today, and I don't know if
I believe this. This could be This is
just one person at one store. She told
me that she thinks that more people are
ordering the wrap than salads at
Sweetgreen, and she says it's gotten
insane. And if that is correct, and if
that is representative, I mean, watch
out. This is going to make for one hell
of a trade. Now, I do want to try it.
So, I I got to do the thing. This is
what the What do the girls do? They do
this. Do they Do they got a nail?
Is that This is a totally different
style of wrap, Dave, because the wrap
itself is not toasted. I love our
toasted wrap at Chelsea Corner, but I
will say this, and I know this from
reading the earnings report, the last
earnings report, they could not find a
wrap that met their quality specs. So,
they created this wrap from scratch, and
it only has four ingredients, and it has
no seed oil, and it feels really fresh,
quite honestly.
I I'm super impressed just holding it.
Mm.
Dave, this is great. This is a really
good wrap. Damn. No, no. Okay, so
Okay, here's here's the thing. They told
me at the store today, and I was just
hanging with them, okay? Like, I wasn't
It wasn't like a, you know, formal
interview. They said people are freaking
out loving them. They're having repeat
visits. It It is like the biggest thing
they've ever had there, and I absolutely
believe it because sometimes it's hard
to tell with influencer campaigns
because a lot of the videos right now
are paid. I don't even know, Dave, if
they're actually paid, or they just got
some gift certificate to Sweetgreen.
Maybe that's how they got around having
to say
>> You can say Sweetgreen sent this to me,
and that qualifies.
>> But I have been reading tons and tons of
comments, and people legitimately love
this wrap. Now, is it the type of banger
product where 100% of the people think
it's great? Absolutely not. I've seen
some reviews where people don't like it.
Everyone has taste preferences when it
comes to wraps, but it is not expensive.
It does taste healthy. It is high
calorie, but that's just what this thing
is. So, I'm not saying that like
Sweetgreen is going to be the next big
thing because of this. What I'm getting
at here is that Sweetgreen before this
the wrap, okay, was like here. And that
Sweetgreen after the wrap, if it
continues to go the direction that I
think it's going to go, is here. Now,
even if Chipotle is like 100 levels
higher than that, the bottom line is we
have it a damaged company that's not
doing great, that's trying to do a
turnaround right now, and I think they
might have just knocked it out of the
park. Now, will that sustain for years?
I have no idea. I don't really care. And
by the way, I have not seen enough, just
so you guys know, to be like ultra high
conviction yet, but I've seen enough to
make a trade on this and to monitor the
situation. So, every single day that I'm
in this stock, I will watch every video
on TikTok about the wrap. I will read
every comment on every video about the
wrap. Anytime I pass a Sweetgreen, I
will walk in and I will monitor the
situation. I will talk to the people
that work there. I will talk to the
customers because I'm going to tell you,
I have a decent chunk of money levered
in this trade already. And if I start to
see even more evidence that this trend
is catching wind and is meaningful, I'll
double and triple down because I think
with the 23% short interest on a in a
damaged company that hasn't done
anything right in a long time, the
recipe is there for this to be a real
moment for them. So, I am Listen, I'm
not saying it's going to be a a winner
yet, but I think all the elements are
there for it to potentially be a big
winner. If you're social arb trader, you
got to be taking this seriously right
now because these moments don't come
around very often for like these food
companies. Like like these these
restaurant chains.
>> And we won't know for a while, but it's
possible it's at least plausible that
the short interest is a contributor to
that 30% jump up as people saw, oh, that
they missed earnings yet again, so it's
going down, but then they announced this
product that has huge traction already.
We better take our shorts off and that
might have helped the stock go up.
>> To be fair, Dave, to be fair, you know,
my tweet did get a lot of attention on
Sweetgreen. Listen, all we're doing is
putting more eyeballs on the narrative
here for investors and we're not
financial advisors. We we strongly
recommend to never mirror our trades,
but hopefully we're peaking your
interest in a narrative that might or
might not go somewhere bigger and now
you know, so do your homework.
>> It's never about an individual trade.
It's more about a way of thinking and
this is the way you should be thinking
as you live your life. As you're swiping
mindlessly and you see something,
connect the dots. Is that a public
company? Is there a way to make money on
this? And Sweetgreen is to me, the
moment I saw that, was it a TikTok you
sent me? The moment I saw that, I'm
like, oh yeah, yeah, this this has legs.
I swiped a few more. Okay, I'm buying.
I'm buying. And I went options, not not
long-term. I'm not I'm not holding
Sweetgreen long-term. I'm just trying to
play the the rap craze.
>> I think we will know how this is going
to play out over the next few weeks. So,
as we stated a number of times,
institutional Wall Street generally
relies on credit card swipe data to
assess how a launch is going, how a
company is doing. So, they get data
daily. It's usually like two to three
days delayed. I buy a lot of that same
data. It's gotten so expensive that I no
longer wanted to pay for the daily, so
I'm now getting it weekly. I will keep
you guys in the loop, but once they're
seeing register data at Sweetgreen, if
it does indeed go up, they will start
trading this stock up. So, again, that's
to be determined at this point, but I
think in the next four-ish weeks, maybe
four to six weeks, I think hedge funds
will be able to see the success or
failure of this wrap launch, and I think
it will start to be reflected in the
stock if there is something going on,
positive or negative. And And as
investors were able to see that kind of
before they see it, right? Because you
can see it in real time, in the moment.
We talk about this. The first, like the
nucleus of change, like where you can
see change first, is in what people say.
Because they will talk about going to
Sweetgreen before they even go to
Sweetgreen. They will talk about how
good the wrap is as they're eating it.
And that credit card swipe data will not
be reflected for days in the future.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video discusses a potential investment opportunity in Sweetgreen, driven by the successful launch of their new chicken Caesar wrap. The speakers analyze how a niche influencer marketing strategy, combined with genuine consumer demand and a significant short interest, could lead to a successful turnaround for the struggling restaurant chain. They highlight the importance of monitoring real-time sentiment on platforms like TikTok and anecdotal evidence from store visits to gauge the product's impact ahead of official financial data.
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