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The #1 Fast Food Trade Right Now

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The #1 Fast Food Trade Right Now

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277 segments

0:00

Listen guys, here's the thesis. I am so

0:02

excited about this because in the 12

0:04

years that we've owned Chelsea Corner,

0:06

we released a new product this last

0:08

year, the chicken Caesar wrap, and not

0:10

only is it our number one menu item, but

0:13

it is the best-selling menu item that we

0:15

have had in 12 years. So, when I saw

0:19

that Sweetgreen was releasing a new

0:22

chicken Caesar wrap product, I was like,

0:25

"Dude, this could be a game-changer for

0:27

that company." Cuz rather than trying to

0:29

break a new trend, sometimes just

0:32

getting on the bandwagon of an existing

0:34

massive trend is the right move for a

0:37

national company.

0:38

>> It's a trend that you know about because

0:40

you are a restaurant owner, but there

0:42

isn't a national brand where you can go

0:44

and pick up a Caesar wrap. That that is

0:47

a It's an item that people are loving,

0:49

but you you can't really get one.

0:51

>> But Dave, that's my unique alpha is that

0:54

I already knew that a chicken Caesar

0:56

wrap had the potential to be a breakout

1:00

game-changing product for a restaurant.

1:02

So, I knew that as long as Sweetgreen

1:05

was able to put out even a mediocre

1:07

version of that product, it could be a

1:10

the biggest game-changer in the entire

1:13

company's history. So, like I was

1:15

watching this one like a hawk from day

1:17

one. And when those reviews started

1:19

coming out and I realized that that

1:21

company finally was smart enough, they

1:23

had never done an influencer campaign

1:25

like this. They They basically decided

1:28

to market this product through small

1:30

niche influencers, which is genius. It's

1:34

genius. That's everything right now is

1:37

going straight to the niche influencers

1:39

as opposed to going to these big

1:41

influencers that everyone essentially

1:43

ignores.

1:43

>> For authentic kind of like this is this

1:46

is a person like me kind of review. They

1:48

don't have a million followers, they're

1:49

just a girl doing her hair and makeup

1:52

eating a wrap. And so, you were in early

1:55

and so, you participated in this 30%

1:57

run-up in the stock.

1:59

But can the stock keep going up?

2:01

>> Okay. I think that if this product

2:05

continues to trend in any meaningful way

2:09

over the next couple of months, I think

2:11

this is the biggest thing that has ever

2:13

happened to Sweetgreen, a company that

2:15

is doing terrible. I actually had a

2:18

close friend of mine that I think knows

2:20

the CEO tell me this last year that he

2:23

really believed in the company

2:25

turnaround, that they knew exactly what

2:27

they had to do to turn the company

2:29

around. And he was investing an insane

2:32

amount of money in Sweetgreen. I mostly

2:34

ignored him, but since he told me that,

2:36

I've been watching Sweetgreen. So I saw

2:39

the announcement of this new product

2:41

release, and that's when I was like,

2:43

"Okay, this could actually be it." And

2:46

then combined with the fact that, again,

2:49

they were smart enough to know that they

2:50

had to release this product through a

2:52

mass niche influencer campaign, all I

2:55

had to know from that point on is the

2:58

product decent? Is it decent? Doesn't

3:00

have to be amazing. Is it decent? If

3:02

it's decent, I think there is a high

3:05

likelihood that this will be a dramatic

3:09

have a dramatic impact on Sweetgreen

3:11

sales, foot traffic. This could be the

3:13

thing that turns Sweetgreen around. And

3:16

it By the way, it's not going to take

3:17

much to turn Sweetgreen around because

3:20

they are not doing well, guys. This is a

3:22

real moment for the company. They could

3:24

I just I got to try this thing. Like I I

3:26

just I really want to try it. So again,

3:28

>> So you haven't tried it yet. You I know

3:30

you went to the store today to pick that

3:32

up, but you've also been to do a store

3:34

check and talk to the people, and and

3:36

you found out that they're at our local

3:38

store, it's like 20% of their sales.

3:40

>> No. No, I got new alpha today. As I do,

3:43

I have watched and read every comment on

3:47

the internet of every Sweetgreen rap

3:50

video that has been published since the

3:52

wrap came out. Good, bad, and ugly. And

3:55

I haven't tried it myself, but our local

3:57

store told me today, and I don't know if

4:00

I believe this. This could be This is

4:01

just one person at one store. She told

4:04

me that she thinks that more people are

4:07

ordering the wrap than salads at

4:10

Sweetgreen, and she says it's gotten

4:12

insane. And if that is correct, and if

4:15

that is representative, I mean, watch

4:18

out. This is going to make for one hell

4:19

of a trade. Now, I do want to try it.

4:21

So, I I got to do the thing. This is

4:22

what the What do the girls do? They do

4:23

this. Do they Do they got a nail?

4:27

Is that This is a totally different

4:29

style of wrap, Dave, because the wrap

4:31

itself is not toasted. I love our

4:33

toasted wrap at Chelsea Corner, but I

4:35

will say this, and I know this from

4:37

reading the earnings report, the last

4:38

earnings report, they could not find a

4:40

wrap that met their quality specs. So,

4:43

they created this wrap from scratch, and

4:45

it only has four ingredients, and it has

4:48

no seed oil, and it feels really fresh,

4:52

quite honestly.

4:54

I I'm super impressed just holding it.

4:56

Mm.

4:58

Dave, this is great. This is a really

5:00

good wrap. Damn. No, no. Okay, so

5:03

Okay, here's here's the thing. They told

5:05

me at the store today, and I was just

5:07

hanging with them, okay? Like, I wasn't

5:09

It wasn't like a, you know, formal

5:10

interview. They said people are freaking

5:12

out loving them. They're having repeat

5:14

visits. It It is like the biggest thing

5:16

they've ever had there, and I absolutely

5:18

believe it because sometimes it's hard

5:20

to tell with influencer campaigns

5:21

because a lot of the videos right now

5:23

are paid. I don't even know, Dave, if

5:25

they're actually paid, or they just got

5:27

some gift certificate to Sweetgreen.

5:29

Maybe that's how they got around having

5:31

to say

5:32

>> You can say Sweetgreen sent this to me,

5:34

and that qualifies.

5:35

>> But I have been reading tons and tons of

5:38

comments, and people legitimately love

5:41

this wrap. Now, is it the type of banger

5:43

product where 100% of the people think

5:44

it's great? Absolutely not. I've seen

5:46

some reviews where people don't like it.

5:48

Everyone has taste preferences when it

5:50

comes to wraps, but it is not expensive.

5:52

It does taste healthy. It is high

5:55

calorie, but that's just what this thing

5:56

is. So, I'm not saying that like

5:59

Sweetgreen is going to be the next big

6:01

thing because of this. What I'm getting

6:03

at here is that Sweetgreen before this

6:07

the wrap, okay, was like here. And that

6:09

Sweetgreen after the wrap, if it

6:12

continues to go the direction that I

6:13

think it's going to go, is here. Now,

6:16

even if Chipotle is like 100 levels

6:20

higher than that, the bottom line is we

6:22

have it a damaged company that's not

6:24

doing great, that's trying to do a

6:26

turnaround right now, and I think they

6:28

might have just knocked it out of the

6:30

park. Now, will that sustain for years?

6:32

I have no idea. I don't really care. And

6:35

by the way, I have not seen enough, just

6:37

so you guys know, to be like ultra high

6:39

conviction yet, but I've seen enough to

6:42

make a trade on this and to monitor the

6:45

situation. So, every single day that I'm

6:49

in this stock, I will watch every video

6:52

on TikTok about the wrap. I will read

6:54

every comment on every video about the

6:56

wrap. Anytime I pass a Sweetgreen, I

6:59

will walk in and I will monitor the

7:01

situation. I will talk to the people

7:03

that work there. I will talk to the

7:05

customers because I'm going to tell you,

7:08

I have a decent chunk of money levered

7:10

in this trade already. And if I start to

7:12

see even more evidence that this trend

7:16

is catching wind and is meaningful, I'll

7:19

double and triple down because I think

7:21

with the 23% short interest on a in a

7:24

damaged company that hasn't done

7:26

anything right in a long time, the

7:28

recipe is there for this to be a real

7:31

moment for them. So, I am Listen, I'm

7:34

not saying it's going to be a a winner

7:35

yet, but I think all the elements are

7:38

there for it to potentially be a big

7:40

winner. If you're social arb trader, you

7:42

got to be taking this seriously right

7:44

now because these moments don't come

7:46

around very often for like these food

7:48

companies. Like like these these

7:50

restaurant chains.

7:51

>> And we won't know for a while, but it's

7:53

possible it's at least plausible that

7:55

the short interest is a contributor to

7:57

that 30% jump up as people saw, oh, that

8:00

they missed earnings yet again, so it's

8:02

going down, but then they announced this

8:04

product that has huge traction already.

8:06

We better take our shorts off and that

8:08

might have helped the stock go up.

8:10

>> To be fair, Dave, to be fair, you know,

8:12

my tweet did get a lot of attention on

8:15

Sweetgreen. Listen, all we're doing is

8:18

putting more eyeballs on the narrative

8:20

here for investors and we're not

8:22

financial advisors. We we strongly

8:24

recommend to never mirror our trades,

8:27

but hopefully we're peaking your

8:29

interest in a narrative that might or

8:32

might not go somewhere bigger and now

8:34

you know, so do your homework.

8:36

>> It's never about an individual trade.

8:37

It's more about a way of thinking and

8:40

this is the way you should be thinking

8:41

as you live your life. As you're swiping

8:43

mindlessly and you see something,

8:45

connect the dots. Is that a public

8:46

company? Is there a way to make money on

8:48

this? And Sweetgreen is to me, the

8:51

moment I saw that, was it a TikTok you

8:53

sent me? The moment I saw that, I'm

8:54

like, oh yeah, yeah, this this has legs.

8:56

I swiped a few more. Okay, I'm buying.

8:59

I'm buying. And I went options, not not

9:02

long-term. I'm not I'm not holding

9:03

Sweetgreen long-term. I'm just trying to

9:05

play the the rap craze.

9:07

>> I think we will know how this is going

9:09

to play out over the next few weeks. So,

9:12

as we stated a number of times,

9:14

institutional Wall Street generally

9:16

relies on credit card swipe data to

9:19

assess how a launch is going, how a

9:21

company is doing. So, they get data

9:24

daily. It's usually like two to three

9:26

days delayed. I buy a lot of that same

9:29

data. It's gotten so expensive that I no

9:31

longer wanted to pay for the daily, so

9:33

I'm now getting it weekly. I will keep

9:35

you guys in the loop, but once they're

9:38

seeing register data at Sweetgreen, if

9:40

it does indeed go up, they will start

9:42

trading this stock up. So, again, that's

9:44

to be determined at this point, but I

9:47

think in the next four-ish weeks, maybe

9:50

four to six weeks, I think hedge funds

9:53

will be able to see the success or

9:56

failure of this wrap launch, and I think

9:58

it will start to be reflected in the

10:00

stock if there is something going on,

10:02

positive or negative. And And as

10:05

investors were able to see that kind of

10:07

before they see it, right? Because you

10:09

can see it in real time, in the moment.

10:11

We talk about this. The first, like the

10:13

nucleus of change, like where you can

10:15

see change first, is in what people say.

10:18

Because they will talk about going to

10:20

Sweetgreen before they even go to

10:21

Sweetgreen. They will talk about how

10:23

good the wrap is as they're eating it.

10:26

And that credit card swipe data will not

10:28

be reflected for days in the future.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses a potential investment opportunity in Sweetgreen, driven by the successful launch of their new chicken Caesar wrap. The speakers analyze how a niche influencer marketing strategy, combined with genuine consumer demand and a significant short interest, could lead to a successful turnaround for the struggling restaurant chain. They highlight the importance of monitoring real-time sentiment on platforms like TikTok and anecdotal evidence from store visits to gauge the product's impact ahead of official financial data.

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