Minute By Minute Of What Happens If A Nuclear Bomb Hits & How To Survive It!
3471 segments
No matter how nuclear war begins, it
ends in 72 minutes and 5 billion people
would be dead. Do you think there will
be a nuclear war? So, I've interviewed
former secretaries of defense, the
former nuclear sub commander, the Secret
Service, and what I learned was
oh my god. Annie Jacobsen, investigative
researcher and writer who specializes in
uncovering the world's biggest secrets.
We are one misunderstanding away from
nuclear apocalypse. And yet you have
presidents threatening nuclear war. In
fact, the president of the United States
doesn't need to ask anyone to launch a
nuclear missile.
It makes me realize how important the
decision to pick our leaders is. Nothing
could be more important. Could you play
out a scenario where nuclear war broke
out?
Yes, and I can describe in painstaking
horrific detail precisely what happens.
So,
but after nuclear war, the survivors
would be forced to live underground and
envy the dead.
Annie,
is there anyone you interviewed that
brought you to tears? Yes, I met a woman
who was a survivor of the Nagasaki bomb,
and I haven't written about this yet.
But someone I interviewed and someone
that meant a lot to me wired that
nuclear weapon that was dropped on
Nagasaki.
Can you speak about the impact that it
had on both those individuals? Mhm, and
it's horrifying.
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episode.
Annie,
you wrote this book about nuclear war
and published it in March 2024.
The timing
of this book seems to be a little bit
coincidental when I
or not, when I look at what's going on
in the world at the moment.
Why did you write a book about nuclear
war? Mhm. And why did you write it now?
As an investigative journalist,
before nuclear war a scenario, I had
written six
previous books, all of which are about
the military and intelligence
organizations in the United States,
DARPA, Area 51, always the Pentagon, the
CIA. That's my That's my beat.
And think about how many sources I have
in each book, 100 or more. How many
covering all the wars, by the way, since
World War II.
All these intelligence and military
programs
uh intensely kinetic,
and think of how many people said to me
with a kind of
pride, I dedicated my life to preventing
nuclear World War III. That's always the
idea in the Defense Department and in
the CIA. We are there to prevent nuclear
war. And so, during the previous
administration,
former President Trump,
there was this presidential rhetoric
going on.
You may recall fire and fury.
Trump and the president of North Korea,
the leader of North Korea, threatening
this kind of thing, and I, like many,
I'm sure, began to wonder, my god, what
if deterrence, another word for
prevention, fails?
And that is the question that I put to
all of those sources in the book, and
that result is nuclear war a scenario.
What was your intention?
I wanted to show in horrific detail
just how
horrible, just how apocalyptic nuclear
war will be.
Because I think many people have
forgotten
or don't know to begin with
the consequences
of a nuclear exchange. As I show in the
book, almost certainly,
if a nuclear exchange happens, and we're
talking strategic ballistic missiles, it
will not stop until the world ends.
And we are talking about in seconds and
minutes, not in days and weeks and
months.
That is astonishing.
When did you start writing the book?
When was the first word written?
So, probably during COVID was the first
word written, but keep in mind, my
reporting on nuclear weapons goes back
my entire career. My first
book, Area 51,
is about a a joint CIA Air Force base
out there in the Nevada desert inside
a secret test and training range where
the United States government used to
explode nuclear weapons.
Atmospheric nuclear weapons in the '50s.
And so, my when I was reporting Area 51,
I I wound up quite literally, I did not
intend to, but I wound up interviewing
the people who armed, wired, and fired
those nuclear weapons, early Manhattan
Project members.
And they That was kind of my B story of
Area 51.
And what I learned was like,
oh my god. And I was also surprised to
learn that most people didn't even know
we, the American government, set off 100
some odd atmospheric nuclear weapons in
the desert in Nevada testing them.
So, my reporting, to answer That's a
long-winded answer of I've been on this
issue
peripherally,
you know, for years, for more than a
decade, but the idea in this book, the
word one, as you asked, was like, once I
understood that nuclear war is a
sequence,
it begins the first fraction of a second
after detection,
then I could see clearly, oh my god,
it's a ticking clock scenario.
Because it just all happens so fast.
I'll ask that again because So, if you
started writing the first word of the
book on nuclear war in COVID, sort of
2020,
Mhm.
2020, roughly? 2021?
Around there.
Yeah. 2020, 2021, yeah. Since then,
things have escalated around the world
in terms of conflict in a way that I
imagine you couldn't have forecasted.
And even it's almost ironic that in the
month that your book was published,
Putin moved I think he moved nuclear
weapons into Belarus, and the rhetoric
and he started saying that he would use
them. And if you look at the terminology
him and his commanders are using towards
the world, it seems like we're at a
moment that I haven't seen in my
lifetime where the subject of nuclear
war seems to be more real than ever
before.
You're absolutely right, and that is
astonishing because in 2021, when I
began the interviews,
people were forthcoming with me, you
know, as you know from the list of
sources I've interviewed, former
secretaries of defense, former nuclear
sub commander, you know, former STRATCOM
commander, former FEMA director, former
cyber chief.
And a lot of these individuals shared
with me in 2021 this idea that wow, the
world has kind of forgotten that the
nuclear
threat is always there.
And so, over the course of reporting and
writing, you're absolutely right that
the geopolitical
temperature of the world has escalated
to a point that you have not seen in
your lifetime and I haven't seen in my
lifetime.
Setting the stage even more, we talked
about how possible nuclear war is, but
one thing I learned from reading your
book, which actually surprised me,
was that it doesn't take thousands of
people to agree on a nuclear war for it
to begin.
In the case of the United States, it
only takes one person to make that
decision,
which I find quite unnerving that
there's one individual
that can theoretically make the decision
that would destroy the earth.
Uh you're absolutely right, and this
kind of thing is surprising to almost
everyone. One of the things that I
strive to do in my reporting is take
very complex
science and technology, military issues,
and simplify them down for the layman,
just for the average Joe or the average
Jane. And I do that by interviewing
the really smart, really knowledgeable
people on those subjects. I have two
things going for me, perhaps, as an
investigative journalist that help in
conveying a story, is that I'm not a
scientist, and so, I can ask questions
that the average person would ask, like,
really try and help me understand this,
whatever this is. And then also that I
have a real interest in
making what is conveyed to me
make sense
to other people in their lives, right?
So, and also, perhaps, make them
realize,
I never even stopped to think about the
fact, how strange is it that the United
States president, this is what you learn
in the book and you're talking about,
the United States president has sole
presidential authority to launch a
nuclear war. What does that mean? It's
exactly like it sounds. What's so
interesting is a lot of this stuff, this
nomenclature that gets thrown at you,
if you just break it down, it's sole,
solo,
presidential, he's the POTUS,
authority. He doesn't have to ask anyone
for permission.
Not the SECDEF, not the Chairman of the
Joint Chiefs of Staff, not the Congress.
I love the worried look on your face in
this moment because it is Once you know
that,
you say Well, first you might Google, is
it really true? And you will get, for
example, on Reddit, like, that's not
really true. You'll get like hundreds of
thousands of people,
you know, coming in with their opinions
about how that's not really true.
Well, it is really true.
It's absolutely true. And in fact,
during the former President Trump
administration,
Congress became so sort of
And I want to say motivated or alarmed
by this issue, meaning they were being
asked questions by the powers that be,
is this actually true? That they
released a report stating specifically,
and I quote in the book, yes, it is
true. As Commander in Chief, the
President has this sole authority. He
doesn't need to ask anyone.
And hopefully,
sort of my bringing sort of concepts
like that to the fore right away, the
reader can then become engaged and they
say, well, that's weird. Why? And then I
can give you a very simple answer
without
necessarily taking you through the whole
history of presidential authority, but
it has to do with the ticking clock of
it.
And I explain to you right away that a
ballistic missile
travels from one continent in It's
called an ICBM. People have heard of
that. Intercontinental ballistic
missile. Again,
exactly like it sounds. It can travel
from one continent to the next in
roughly 30 minutes carrying a nuclear
warhead to strike a target.
Once you realize, wait a minute, there
are only 30 minutes,
this isn't like, hey guys, should we go
have a war in Iraq? Let's discuss this.
Let's debate this. Let's take it to the
Congress.
This is There is a ballistic missile,
sir, coming at the United States, and
you must act.
And that's why, in the simplest layman's
terms, sole presidential authority
exists.
So, let's define then
what these weapons are. We Many of us
have seen that film Oppenheimer. We saw
them out in the desert, I think, in New
Mexico playing playing with all these
weapons and eventually making this one
bomb that they would then drop drop in
Japan.
The weapon we see in that film, which
was in the 1940 made in the 1940s that
ultimately led to the end of the war, is
that the same weapon that we're talking
about today?
No.
Well, in in in sort of principle, in
yes, meaning it's an atomic bomb, but
there's two things that separate where
we are now.
One has to do with the size and the
power of the bomb.
So, the the In 1945, there were atomic
bombs. Now, there are thermonuclear
bombs. So, an atomic bomb is used inside
a thermonuclear weapon as the trigger.
Okay.
It is a bomb inside a bomb. And the
power of the thermonuclear bomb is so
astonishingly,
you know, destructive, you can read the
details. I interviewed Richard Garwin,
who designed the first thermonuclear
bomb for Edward Teller when he was 24
years old. I interviewed him, he's in
his 90s. He explains to me, and I
explain to you,
what the power is behind that. But this
So, the atomic bomb and and it has to do
with size. Like, the old atomic bomb,
the one that was dropped on Hiroshima
was the size of a small elephant.
Okay, 15 kilotons in a big giant
elephant-sized bomb inside of an
aircraft having to fly from Tinian
Island to over Hiroshima where it drops
in an aircraft.
That all changed
when we brought the Nazi scientists to
us. Ooh, let's have Let's figure out how
to do two things. Let's figure out how
to
create more powerful bombs. That's the
result The result is the thermonuclear
bomb. And let's make them smaller.
We can't load an elephant-sized weapon
into the top of a ballistic missile. It
needs to be smaller. And so, so much of
this buildup was about creating more
powerful weapons to be smaller in size.
And then you see the military-industrial
complex. You see You can imagine, and I
do this as a history lesson in just a
few short pages to try to bring readers
up to speed without losing the drama of
the narrative.
And
the result, so if you flash forward to
where we are now, which is where we've
been for a very long time, is a nuclear
triad, just like it sounds, three parts.
We have ICBMs, silos under the ground.
So, those are weapons hidden in the
ground? In the United States, there are
400 of them. There were more. Now, there
400. You can find out where they are on
a map.
They're in silos, underground silos
across the Midwest and the West.
Then we have our nuclear-armed,
nuclear-powered submarines that carry
that same kind of concept of a ballistic
missile
with a warhead in its nose cone.
We have those same systems on
submarines.
And the technology behind it is
astonishing. I take the reader through
it fast from the experts who explain it
to me in a digestible way.
And those systems lurk around in the
oceans
all 24 hours a day,
7 days a week, 365
days a year. They're called the
handmaidens of the apocalypse. They're
almost impossible to find, right? They
are impossible to find. The nuclear The
former nuclear force sub commander,
um
Admiral Connor,
had this great way of describing it to
me. When I said, like, how hard is it to
find a sub? He said, Annie, it's easier
to find a grapefruit-sized
object in space
than a nuclear sub under the sea.
And it's not just the United States that
have these weapons, which I think is
important to say. There's many people
listening all around the world now who
have these weapons in their country,
too. You list um several of those
countries. I think it's nine countries
in total that have nuclear weapons,
right? What are those countries? I know
we have them back in the UK.
Yeah, there are nine nuclear-armed
nations. Also really interesting to
think about that the whole sort of
let's have a triad. Let's have all these
weapons that we will use We will have a
concept of mutually assured destruction,
so we will have these weapons, but we
will never use them because everyone
would be destroyed. Those concepts go
back to the '50s when there were only
two nuclear-armed nations, the United
States and Soviet Russia. So,
you know, really making all of this more
precarious, talk
looping back to your,
you know, notion that, like, my God, we
are at this precipice
of
danger, which we are, is because there
are nine nuclear-armed nations, many of
which are in direct conflict with others
or their neighbors. And they are the US,
Russia, China,
the UK, France, India and Pakistan,
Israel,
North Korea.
And there's some threat that Iran
are trying to Absolutely. I mean, that
is a very, very, very significant
threat. And you really have to look I
think the book
I stay away from the sort of
geopolitical
posturing or analysis or even,
um
you know, opinion about the political
aspect of all of this. But I think
readers get to take their away there and
have, because I have read a lot of the
responses and had a lot of really
interesting conversations since the book
published a month ago.
But yes, you can take away what you
think about the fact, what, my God, you
put a 10th nuclear-armed nation in here.
That is Iran.
How
more destabilizing is that going to be
to safety and security?
And when I look at the list of countries
um you've written about that have these
nuclear weapons,
the US, Russia, they're both basically
in proxy wars at the moment with
obviously the the war going on in
Ukraine.
Think about Pakistan and India, um
Israel and Iran, you know, they're both
at conflicts flat throwing different
missiles at each other and drones at
each other at the moment.
Um the UK and and France are obviously
part of NATO, so they're kind of
sucked into the whole Russia-Ukraine-US
conflict that's going on, that proxy war
there. These countries right now, many
of them, I think the majority of them,
are involved in a direct war or some
form of proxy war as it is.
And with many of these wars, it's hard
to find the way that it ends, the way
out, the kind of golden bridge, because
Ukraine aren't going to relent, so
Russia aren't going to necessarily
decide one day that they're going to
lose the war. That would cause
significant ramifications for Putin, his
reputation, and Russia as a whole. The
US can't let Ukraine lose for a variety
of geopolitical reasons. And then at the
same time, all this conflict started in
Israel following the the attack in
Israel, which has sucked Iran in and
much of that region. It's all seems
like,
you know, these are the countries right
now that are involved in
the conflict that is scaring many much
many of us
um in a significant way. And if all
these countries operate in a similar way
where there's one individual that can
make the decision
to release those weapons.
It is quite scary.
The UN Secretary General said recently
that we are one
misunderstanding, one miscalculation
away from nuclear Armageddon.
And so the scary part of it is that when
you look at that sort of verbage, right?
When I talk about you know, nuclear
Armageddon, nuclear apocalypse, nuclear
holocaust.
Those are words out of the mouths of
some of these leaders. So there is a
very clear notion that if nuclear war
starts, it ends
civilization. That is almost certainly
known among the leaders. And yet
you have people like the president of
Russia and the president of the United
States
and the leader of North Korea
throwing around threats and terms. You
know, the leader of North Korea recently
accused the United States of having a
sinister intention of provoking nuclear
war.
I mean, that is a provocation on top of
a provocation in you know, embedded in
but to your point
what's the point of being scared?
Well, the point is
to realize that passivity
is not necessarily the answer. That your
knowledge of the situation leads to
change. That's just the that's just the
history of of civilization. One of the
things that did make me think when I
realized that there's one individual in
in the United States, where we are now,
who can make that decision and that
there's basically like someone following
the president with a briefcase called
the it's like the football or something.
Yes. What is that football for people
that don't know? Yeah. And so so now
that people know about the football or
when they read it, you'll you'll see you
can see in photographs of the president,
you will almost if he's in frame, you'll
see the mill aid. That's the military
aid. An individual who is assigned to be
with the president 24/7 365. And inside
the football, it's called the emergency
satchel
are two important things. There's
instrumentation that allows the
president to be identified as the
president to the National Military
Command Center, which is the nuclear
bunker beneath the Pentagon.
Okay? So it's a it's a call and response
authentic authentication.
And then there is something called
colloquially the black book.
And it was told to me the reason it's
called the black book is cuz it involves
so much death.
And what the black book is is a list of
nuclear strike options for the president
to choose from. And so once the
president is notified that a ballistic
missile is coming at the United States
and he has to make a decision about a
counterattack
he must look quickly because as you
learn in the book and as I learned from
presidents
uh there is a 6-minute window of
decision-making.
And so there's no time for a round table
discussion.
There is a list of options that has been
pre-prepared
for the president to choose from.
And I interviewed for the book someone
who actually
was responsible for some of those
decisions in the '80s.
And he
described to me in appalling detail
what it was like to have worked on this
in the Pentagon, like worked out
numerically different targets and why
they would be targets in said strike XYZ
or Q against said nation.
And then later seeing the black book and
realizing the like sort of transmutation
of that information to what was
described by the only mill aid who's
ever gone on the record speaking about
this as essentially like a Denny's menu
list of options.
And
so you understand that this list is so
watered down
into strike options and there is so
little time that the president in
essence has really no idea
what he's striking and how many millions
of people will be killed.
When I
hear that, it makes me realize how
important the decision to pick our
leaders is.
Something I didn't realize before.
Nothing could be more important. And yet
I learned in the book and I'm talking
about from former secretaries of
defense, people very close to the
president, that most presidents are
ill-informed about their role as
commander in chief in a nuclear war
because and it was said to me, most
don't want to know.
And again, so this brings us back to
that paradox of deterrence. The original
question I asked in writing and
reporting this book, what if deterrence
fails? Deterrence is this idea, we will
have so many nuclear weapons pointed at
the other side, they will have so many
nuclear weapons pointed at us, no one
would be insane enough to let any of
them loose.
That's how we all stay safe.
Another way of saying deterrence is more
nuclear weapons make us more safe. You
can decide if you think that's a little
Orwellian, but that is what exists.
Okay, so with that in mind, we should
really be doing
mental
checks on our leaders every 3 months
because we've all probably
had an experience with someone who's had
a
episode.
You know, and I'll I'll leave it at at
episode because there's a variety of
different types of episodes one can
have. And I was thinking, well, if the
president just has a bit of an episode
and gets a little bit paranoid or you
know, sort of has a little bit of a
schizophrenic paranoia
which can happen to people for a variety
of different unpredictable reasons then
that president could potentially make a
decision to end the planet and there
doesn't seem to be a
defense mechanism to stop him doing that
or her doing that. You're reminding me
of a famous story when Nixon was
president and it was during the
Watergate scandal. He probably knew the
end of his presidency was near. And he
was very drunk one night and he began to
threaten or rather he just began to
talk, you know,
in in a sort of extremely verbose
drunken manner about how he could end
the world or kill tens of millions of
people with a push of a button. And his
it is said that that Kissinger called up
the military and said, if the president
orders any kind of a nuclear strike,
talk to me first.
Really?
And you'd say that you think that would
have happened?
I mean, we you know It's hard to know,
isn't it?
All of these stories, unless they come
out of the mouth of the individual who
actually said that, are in essence
stories. So there's an element of truth
to them for sure. Um you know, the
actual command and control, who's going
to follow the rules, people ask me that
question often. And I took that exact
question like
you know, I think people have a naivete
that if you're in the nuclear command
and control, whether you're a missileer
in a underground silo or a submariner on
a sub that you might when you get this
command, suddenly have this heart, you
know, like in a Hollywood movie, have
this moment where you say, my goodness,
I'm going to save the planet rather than
destroy it.
I put that question to Dr. Glenn McDuff,
the
historian at the classified
museum at Los Alamos, the one you and I
can't go see.
Um and I said, do you think that could
happen? And he said
Annie, you have a better chance at
winning Powerball
than betting on someone in the nuclear
chain of command and control
to defy orders. And I said, why? And he
said, well
you are trained to follow orders.
I spoke to a CIA agent or should I say
former CIA agent called Andy Bustamante.
Might have seen him, he did does some
podcasts. And
after speaking to him, I I completely
agree because as he said, he was trained
to
basically he was selected and trained on
the basis that he would
follow orders in that moment and they
even do drills to make sure dummy drills
to make sure that they're prepared, I
guess psychologically to follow through
on those instructions. It made me think
as well that if if um
what if the president's dead? What if
the president is hit by a nuclear weapon
from another country and now they can no
longer make the decision. Is the
decision deferred on to somebody else?
Well, I take the reader through that
precisely because those are the kind of
questions that I had to ask of my
sources as I was reporting this.
On the one hand as I was learning what
happens in the seconds and minutes you
know, after a launch is detected because
we have a satellite system that detects
the launch of a nuclear weapon in under
a fraction of a second. But it's not
always very trustworthy. This is why I'm
concerned.
The ours is very trustworthy as far as I
understand. It's called SIBERS. It's
built by Lockheed and it's astonishingly
powerful. Other nations do not have that
same kind of technology.
Cuz I was reading about the sort of
historic
mistakes that were made. Sometimes
people thought there was a a nuclear
bomb or a strike coming and it was
actually just a bunch of swans.
Absolutely. So I was a little bit like
you know.
these are these are you know, this is
the one miscalculation, one
misunderstanding away from nuclear
Armageddon.
What what are those instances from
history where the nuclear detection
system was triggered and someone in some
country decided um
not to follow through on a notification?
I think the most interesting stories
that I report come from the person who
is an actual first-hand witness to it
because what often happens is the
telephone game, you know, whereby one
person tells the story and then you
imagine you add a detail. So, I write
about a couple of them in the book, but
one of them came to me first-hand and
I'll share that with you, which was
former Secretary of Defense Bill Perry.
And he was on the night watch during the
Carter administration. He wasn't the
Secretary of Defense yet. He had like
the job before that, the Director of
Research and Engineering at the
Pentagon. But it was his his night watch
inform the president job.
And he was told by the National Military
Command Center, which is the bunker
beneath the Pentagon,
that
there were ballistic missiles on the way
from Soviet Russia.
This was confirmed
by the nuclear bunker beneath Offutt Air
Force Base in Nebraska, the STRATCOM
bunker.
And not only were they intercontinental
ballistic missiles flying at the United
States, but they were sub-launched
ballistic missiles coming at the United
States. And it was a massive mother lode
of warheads.
And Perry described to me as I recount
in the book what that was like
to try and process
in your mind oh my god, I'm going to
have to tell the president
and going to have to and he is going to
have to make a counterattack.
And
within a matter of minutes
he got word that it was a mistake.
And a mistake, you might ask like a
mistake? How does a mistake happen? What
he told me was that it was a VHS tape,
a simulated war game,
a simulated attack by the Soviet Union
against the United States.
And the VHS tape
had mistakenly been inserted into a
machine in the nuclear bunker beneath
the Pentagon and because it is linked to
STRATCOM,
it was seen in both places.
And Perry said to me, it looked real
because it was meant to look real.
Hm.
There was a president you talk about
that played a nuclear war game
and discovered that
there could be no winners.
So,
Proud Prophet Proud Prophet, yeah. is
one of the few
a very rare declassified nuclear war
game. People talk about, you know,
jealously guarded secrets in the United
States government. You can be sure that
anything having to do with nuclear war
gaming is way up there
in the top secrets along with what is
actually in that black book.
But the Proud Prophet war game was
declassified. Reagan had ordered it. I
don't believe he participated in it. His
sec desk everybody in the commit nuclear
command and control participated in for
two weeks in 1983.
And this is declassified. I reprint some
of it in the book. And if you have a
look at it, you might say to yourself,
well, what's the point of declassifying
something that looks like this? It's
just black. It's like there's a number
here and a word there and a page number,
but mostly it's entirely redacted.
And so, what's the point of
declassifying it? Well, for the public,
something very valuable came out of
that, which is it allowed a certain
civilian who was participating, Yale
professor named Paul Bracken,
to actually speak about it in a general
way. He couldn't, you know,
couldn't tell OPSEC, but he could
generally talk about it. And what he
said in his own book was that no matter
how nuclear war begins,
NATO's involved, NATO's not involved,
China's involved, China's no matter how
it begins, it ends in nuclear
Armageddon. And Bracken's words was that
everyone left really depressed.
Nuclear Armageddon essentially means the
world is destroyed. Nuclear Armageddon
is the world is destroyed. And when you
get to the end of the book, which
happens in 72 minutes, and that comes
from something that
former STRATCOM director General Keeler
said to me when we were discussing and
interviewing and I said we I asked him
about what could happen if there was a
nuclear exchange between Russia and the
United States and he said, the world
could end in the next couple of hours.
So, from where we are now in this
conversation to the end of this
conversation, if a nuclear war broke out
when we were sat here,
by the end of this conversation,
basically the entire world would be
destroyed. And we you and I wouldn't
even know before the first missile hit.
That was shocking to me to have that
confirmed in essence by
uh Obama's
FEMA director. So, FEMA, the Federal
Emergency Management Agency, is the is
the agency in the United States that's
in charge of disasters, right? So, if
there's a hurricane or a flood or an
earthquake, FEMA steps in to help the
people. They have something called
population planning.
Craig Fugate was Obama's FEMA director
for 8 years and he just covered an
extraordinary amount of catastrophes in
the United States. He was also
responsible for planning for a nuclear
war. He told me that they did that. He
also said, we plan for asteroid strikes.
These are called low probability, high
consequence events.
But what Fugate told me that was
shocking is that
there is no population protection
planning in a nuclear war because
everyone will be dead.
And he explained to me that there's
nothing
that that that that he could do as FEMA
director. He would really be putting his
efforts from this nuclear bunker where
he would be, which is called Mount
Weather, he would be putting his efforts
on
the continuity of government issues, the
continuity of like the government has
what are called essential functions. So,
and you know, as a nuclear war is
happening, the government is trying to
prepare to keep the government running,
which is a form of fantasy in itself.
And when you read Fugate's interviews
with me, he's just so candid about how
there is nothing anyone can do. And you
know, what he told me was so shocking, I
went back to him
and said like, I just want to really
make sure these are your actual quotes
that you that that
And he absolutely, you know, he was one
of the first people
to write an Amazon review of the book
after it published here in the United
States.
And I find that
both terrifying, but also heartening for
this reason is that a lot of these
people who leave office because my
sources are all former
and then the title.
They when they are in the command and
control, they are very focused on doing
their job. Hence what we spoke about
earlier about like following orders.
They are civil servants. They are
dedicated civil servants. They believe
in national security. They believe in,
you know, the perseverance of
government. And then they leave office
and they are just regular people again.
And that's when the heart
I think begins to lead and particularly
as people get older
because I interview a lot of people in
their 80s and 90s.
And then they begin to think about
what this means in terms of legacy.
What is nuclear command and control
really as buttoned up
as this is might be them talking, you
know,
as I thought.
And is it a good idea
in a world that is so rapidly changing
both geopolitically and also in terms of
technology?
Was there one individual you met that
comes to mind when I ask who the most
troubled person was in terms of the work
they participated in or troubled in the
context of
what they know and what it means for
humanity and how they're grappling with
that? The most concerned and sort of the
most activated by all means would be
former Secretary of Defense Bill Perry.
And he's now in his 90s and I I don't
believe he's doing interviews anymore.
But it it's not surprising that Perry
shared with me his intense worry about
all of this because he has been actively
working on this and
you know, for at least 15, 20 years. And
when I say this, I mean bringing the
information to the public so that the
public is aware. He wrote his own book
with a colleague called The Button. And
he has, you know, really
he did a podcast called At the Brink.
And what's fascinating is Perry spent
most of his life dedicated to what you
might call the military-industrial
complex, right? To the research and
development of weapon systems that I
write about in my other books,
the DARPA book in particular because
this is all part and parcel to what
we're talking about here that you have
this sort of
industry,
military weapon system industry that is
in a constant state of
forward movement. It's deeply tied to
economics, to jobs, to prosperity. And
so, where does that take us? And and at
what point does it end? It was
Eisenhower who said in his famous speech
where the public really learned about
this so-called military-industrial
complex because Eisenhower spoke of it
in his farewell speech. But he also said
an important thing in the second half of
that speech which doesn't get nearly as
much airtime, which is that a
knowledgeable and alert citizenry
is how you balance sort of an idea of
peace with an idea of defense.
And I think what frightens both of us
that we talked about in the beginning
here was that peace and defense are very
different than constant states of war.
72 minutes.
You you go through this in the book
minute almost minute by minute showing
exactly what will happen. We know in
this first
couple of minutes there's the
notification that there's a you know, a
nuclear bomb coming in from somewhere.
My question on that was and I was
thinking about this earlier as we were
talking about it, how does the president
know? How does the world leader of that
country know? The prime minister of the
UK, whoever it might be, or Netanyahu,
or Putin know where that nuclear bomb
has come from because we talked about
this sort of black black book of places,
this menu that the president has in that
football that his aide is carrying
around.
How does he know which place to pick on
the menu to send the nuclear bomb back?
Powerful distinction, right? This is not
9/11 where suddenly there are planes in
the Trade Center towers and
you know, everyone is scrambling to say
who did this and the CIA is saying this
is Al-Qaeda, it has the mark of Al but
no one knows for sure. This is not that.
This is the fact that for 79 years the
United States has been building nuclear
weapons, nuclear weapon systems, and
also systems to detect other people's
nuclear weapons should they have them.
What are these submarines? Okay, so
good point on the submarines, which is
but
we have a set of satellites called
Sibers, which are parked. Now, I'm only
talk when you said what how would
Netanyahu know, how would the president
of
that is a different scenario.
What I am talking about is the US
president because I have interviewed
people in the US Defense Department and
the intelligence community. And the
Defense Department knows precisely where
a weapon comes from within a second of
launch because the Siber satellites can
measure the hot rocket exhaust. So, you
imagine a rocket taking off, lots of
fire beneath it. That is measured
from 22,000 miles up in geosync. I mean,
that is just a technological
astonishment.
And then there begins the data sent down
to these various commands in the United
States, the Aerospace Data Center, the
Space Force, and they begin measuring
the trajectory of the missile and
figuring out where it's going to go.
Like, it's not going to Moscow and it's
not going to Guam, those would be
opposite directions. Is it going to San
Francisco or is it going to the East
Coast? That is learned in 100 seconds
approximately. Okay? Now, you are right,
you cannot you if some if a submarine
launches a ballistic missile, there's no
way of knowing where that came from,
which is why in the scenario I have that
happen and it creates a whole other set
of problems.
What are these I mean I mean I mean what
is the answer to that? Cuz I was
imagining
if the Siber system sees a nuclear bomb
coming out of the Pacific Ocean,
I mean, that could be Rishi Sunak, that
could be
that could be the UK firing one at
America. It could be, you know, could be
anybody. You are absolutely right that
there is no way of knowing. And in the
scenario that I chose because I wanted
to try to take the reader through a
logical sequence, if you could even call
any of this logical because it's all you
know, they call it MAD, Mutual Assured
Destruction. It's really madness.
But you cannot know who launched that.
So does we just go for our enemy in that
situation?
I mean,
Do you know what I mean?
now you
have a new task. You are going to write
nuclear war an even worse scenario.
Well, cuz that's what you would do,
right? If you're President Biden, your
aide turns to you and goes, "Hi
President, there's a nuclear bomb
heading our way." I go, "I know exactly
who that who did that."
And you might start firing a couple of
back back at just the people that you
assume would do it.
And then they do the same.
Um
The nuclear-armed submarines
that
are owned by Russia and China
regularly come within a couple hundred
miles of East of each coast of the
United States and you can assume the
same about England.
And how do we know this?
Well, you can't see a submarine moving
in real time, but you can track the
submarine's movements after the fact
owing to a very
complex system of underwater
surveillance
systems that we have in place.
And there's a map that appeared in a
recent Defense Department budget request
to Congress, which I reproduce in the
book, that shows just how close those
submarines, those enemy submarines get
to the coast. And that reduces the
travel time of a ballistic missile down
to under 10 minutes. And so this idea
that we really are living at the edge of
apocalypse is not an exaggeration. The
question is, how would this start? Why
would this start? Again, read the
scenario and you begin to realize
this could start in or have a discussion
with you and you this could start in so
many
the training test tape. I mean,
and the real takeaway is asking
ourselves is
why do none of us know about this? Or
most of us rather.
There's so many ways this could start
and one of them one of them obviously
again has emerged
front of mind for society since you
started writing the book, which is
artificial intelligence. Before I get to
that though, I really want to I really
want to close off on this 72 minutes. I
understand the first couple of minutes
there.
Um
what does the person listening to this
need to know about what happens in the
subsequent what are 60 minutes?
There's a very fast process where the
trajectory of the ballistic missile is
being determined and we're talking in
the first minutes of the sequence
because everyone is getting ready to
tell the president because what they're
going to tell the president is, "Sir,
you need to choose a counterattack."
That is called get the blue clock
running. Does the president not like
getting some plane super quick?
So, we'll get there in a second because
that's where the that's a decision tree
problem.
Okay. So, everyone is working on
figuring out the trajectory of the
ballistic missile.
And there is the first confirmation when
you see it and by the way, a ballistic
missile cannot be redirected or
recalled. Cannot be.
Now,
ultimately the Defense Department will
wait for second confirmation of that
missile from a ground radar system. We
have them around the world. The one in
the scenario that would see it is in
Alaska.
It has to be able to see and confirm
that missile is definitely coming this
way.
And that happens at around 8 or 9
minutes. And so the process in between
that everyone's getting ready to brief
the president about a counterattack. And
so
in the scenario the president learns
around 3 minutes and then they're
waiting on the secondary confirmation.
And in my interviews with the Secret
Service,
as I was reporting the book, interesting
things would happen exactly like your
question, like, "Wait a minute.
What would
would the president be staying at the
White House?" So, I as the reporter put
that question to the former director of
the Secret Service, who explains to me
how there is a team called the Counter
Assault Team.
Um and that is that is the sort of
paramilitary organization of the of the
Secret Service that's going to always be
there to move the president really fast
if need be. And in this situation, they
make a decision, "We're moving him." If
the target is Washington, D.C. or
anywhere on the East Coast for that
matter, we cannot have the president
anywhere near ground zero.
And their job that they are sworn to do
is to protect the president. And so that
then you're going to have a bit of a
stalemate because the military command
wants the president on on coms to be
able to give him counterstrike orders.
That is what they want.
And they can only get those orders from
the president, but the Secret Service
has a totally different agenda. And in
my scenario, the Secret Service,
considering they're the only ones in the
room that are armed, win.
They take the president out and he flies
out of Washington, D.C. in Marine One.
Marine One being the helicopter? The
helicopter that is that Yeah. You know,
and then I learned even more interesting
details like, "Okay, so in the scenario,
the likely situation is that the
electromagnetic pulse will really
threaten the the electronic system in
Marine One and it will be in deep danger
of crashing." What is that for people
that don't know? For people that don't
know, an an electromagnetic pulse is
like a three-pulsed
sort of shock wave that essentially just
zeros out electronics. Imagine your
house getting struck by lightning, a
direct hit,
and no surge suppressor. I mean, just
just it's all all the electronics go
out, and that will almost certainly
happen. Marine One is outfitted
retrofitted against EMP attack cuz they
think about these things, but no one
knows if it's going to really work. It's
been tested in a chamber. They're
So So, what you're saying, sorry, just
to be clear, is that whoever's attacking
the United States or another country
would send an electronic pulse first?
No, the pulse is part of the of the bomb
going off.
Ah, okay.
It's It's a It's inherent in the nuclear
explosion. Okay. And so, even if you
even if you're getting the president
out, if he's 7 8 9 miles 10 miles out of
ground zero, as they rush because
remember this is all happening in 30
minutes, under 30 minutes, as they rush
to get him out of the White House,
the EMP could seriously damage the
Marine One. So, the Secret Service
people I interviewed explained to me
that they would have a backup plan,
which would be to tandem jump the
president out of the aircraft
in a with with a parachute. They would
strap the president onto them and jump
out of the aircraft cuz at least there
would be the the aircraft is going to
crash if it gets hit by the
electromagnetic pulse.
So, at least there's a better chance.
Well, then you have to have the mill aid
has to have a parachute cuz he's got the
black book. And the direct the the
special agent in charge of the president
is definitely going to go. So, then I
learned that this incredible detail that
there aren't parachutes in Marine One.
So, they have to go to the White House
office to get the parachutes. You know,
these kind of details
I believe provide the reader with a
number of things like the the
astonishing understanding of how many
different scenarios are in play all the
time, you know, being rehearsed so that
we because we might have a nuclear war.
At the same time that the messaging is
we will never have a nuclear war.
And then when you begin to look at all
the competing agendas that will happen,
you you realize it's just chaos upon
mayhem.
What if the president dies
in the strike
and before we've made a counter attack?
Which is something that Stratcom thinks
about and it's certainly why I have that
in the scenario because if the president
is the only one that can order a
a counter attack, that can launch
nuclear weapons, what if he dies?
And so, I learned in the reporting that
if you're the president, let's say he
even gives the order, okay, here's my
counter strike. I'm choosing this from
the black book.
The situ- the command and control is set
up that if the president orders 82
nuclear weapons is in response,
you can't launch 83 nuclear weapons.
It's 82 and 82 only. And then to do
another launch requires passwords I
mean, it requires so much bureaucracy.
There's not time for that. And so,
there's this almost unknown little
detail inside of the nuclear command and
control apparatus called a universal
unlock code, which I learned about in
the book, and the eyebrow goes up for
exactly that reason, as did mine when I
Wait, what? And then you find out that
the president can release to the
Stratcom commander
the universal unlock code, which
basically says, okay, you if I die, you
have permission to launch
nuclear weapon number 83
or nuclear weapon number 5,000, you
know, all the way up. And that
is a pretty
shocking concept.
The president responds to the nuclear
attack,
hits I don't know, let's say they they
hit Russia.
They send the submarines out to
send the
ICBMs or whatever it's called to hit
strike Russia.
Russia have these submarines as well,
they send more back.
What does What's the aftermath
of
nuclear you know, that 72 that 72nd
minute? Cuz I imagine from the minute
the president hears that um
gets the notification that there are
it's been confirmed, it's had the second
confirmation,
he's going to make the decision to fire
nuclear weapons back, I assume.
And then from I mean, from there it's
just all fire as far as I'm concerned.
There's a concept called jamming the
president, which is So, the president
learns in the scenario I write that
North Korea has fired
a ballistic missile and then a second
one comes in from a sub and hits a
nuclear power plant in California.
Why did you pick North Korea?
I picked North Korea because of my
interviews with Richard Garwin, the
designer of the nuclear thermonuclear
bomb, the first one, which he designed
for Teller,
because in our interviews I asked him
what scared me most. Garwin, also in his
90s, has advised every president of the
United States since Eisenhower.
He was an early founder of NRO. I mean,
our one of our most classified agencies.
His
opinion matters. And while he didn't
want to be specific, he gave me sort of
a very interesting, almost poetic
metaphor when he spoke of the mad king.
And the mad king with a nuclear arsenal,
and he even used us that French phrase
après moi le déluge.
This idea of like after me the flood. If
I die, who cares? And I
interpreted that that Garwin was talking
about North Korea because North Korea is
the rogue nuclear-armed nation that
regularly sets off ballistic missiles
and doesn't tell anyone. There is an
unspoken reality among the other nations
that you inform people when you're going
to test an ICBM with a dummy warhead, of
course.
North Korea doesn't adhere to that. So,
you know,
when I interviewed people who are in
those command and control bunkers, those
first 100 seconds we spoke of where the
ballistic missile is on its way, and and
and all of that command and control is
focused on is this coming at us or is it
as launching a space satellite or is it
going into the Sea of Japan? That's what
North Korea does.
They don't announce those tests, and so
imagine the anxiety
in those command bunkers
every time they launch
a ballistic missile. They have launched
uh more than 100 ballistic missiles in
an 18-month period from like 2022
forward.
Testing.
Okay. Testing.
So, this is so dangerous and so rogue.
If they're, you know, on the one hand I
say there are no rules to nuclear war,
but there are a few nuclear rules to
nuclear deterrence like you tell your
neighbors. And that's why I chose North
Korea. But just to finish that, the
sequence
the president launches 82 missiles at
North Korea in a counter attack.
And that is And in the scenario that I
write, the failure
now becomes about miscommunication, a
very important concept, and also about
technology not working.
And I source in the book precisely where
this information comes from. So,
Russia
misinterprets
our launching nuclear weapons at North
Korea
as being launched at Russia. Why?
Because actual fact, our ICBMs do not
have enough range
to travel
to North Korea without overflying
Russia.
And so, imagine in a climate like now
with hostilities as an all-time high,
the Russian president just saying, okay,
well, maybe they're not coming for us.
And nuclear policy, the policy of
deterrence is you launch if someone's
launching at you. And so, that is where,
you know, in the second act of the book,
it's 24 minutes 24 minutes 24 minutes
end game, Russia launches. And Russia
launch You don't launch If someone's
attacking you with nuclear missiles,
you don't launch
one or two back. That's mad king logic.
You launch the mother lode, and that's
what I have Russia launch in the
scenario. What do you mean mad king
logic? Well, mad king logic is
why would you do that? Yeah, yeah.
Okay. So, in the book
in the mad king logic of the book, the
leader of North Korea, who is nameless,
um
launches a nuclear weapon at the United
States for reasons we don't know, and we
will never know because history will
end. The ability to write history ends
in 72 minutes of the book.
So, we will never know why.
And that is the sort of,
you know, question.
Mad king logic is very different than
Defense Department logic or in many
regards
Russian nuclear command and control
logic, which I interviewed sort of the
world's expert on those subjects to be
able to, you know, give readers quickly
an idea of what that logic is and why
it has held for 79 years.
Can't we just shoot it out the sky?
That is the great fantasy that is a
fallacy, right? So,
let's talk numbers for a second.
America has 1,770
nuclear weapons on ready for launch
status. They're deployed.
Okay? They can launch in seconds,
minutes, maybe some of the bombers take
an hour or two.
Russia has roughly the same, 1,674.
That's the parity of the nuclear
treaties. That says nothing of the
thousands more that we each have in
reserve. But those are actual nuclear
weapons that are pointed at one another
ready to go.
Ready to go. Okay? So those numbers
The US has an interceptor program
to allegedly intercept a long-range
ballistic missile. I'm not talking about
short-range or even medium-range,
long-range like that would come from
Russia or North Korea. We have 44
interceptor missiles. Four of them are
at Vandenberg Air Force Base in Santa
Barbara. 40 of them are at Fort Greely
in Alaska.
44. So if Russia has 1,607
nuclear weapons how are our 44
interceptors going to go up against
those?
And that and that says nothing by the
way, and I get into this in sort of the
little bit of the wonkiness inside a
nuclear warhead
many of them are what are called MIRV's,
which means they have multiple warheads
inside of it. And so when the warhead
unleashes the multiple warheads go out
along with decoys so that if an
interceptor missile is coming at it
it it greatly reduces the chance that
the interceptor will be able to shoot it
out of the sky. The way that it was said
to me was like this.
An interceptor missile, which is
basically just like a small ICBM, right?
It's a small rocket.
It
is like trying to shoot a bullet with a
bullet. That's a quote from the
spokesperson of at the Pentagon.
One of them is traveling at 14,000 miles
an hour, the ballistic missile. 14,000
miles an hour.
The interceptor, the little kinetic
vehicle inside of it that's going to hit
the warhead, hopefully, is traveling at
20,000 miles an hour. That's where you
get the trying to hit a bullet with a
bullet. And by the way, this is all
happening 500 miles up in space.
Good luck.
The success rate of our interceptor
program is between 40 and 55%. That's on
a good day where they're testing these
things and they go, "Hey, we're doing an
interceptor test. It might be around
there, right?" That's called a curated
test. That's not in the madness of the
moment.
The bombs land.
If I was a
fly on the wall, not that there would be
a wall left.
What would I what would I and I was
looking at America or the UK after it
had been strike struck by these nuclear
bombs by thousands of, you know, Russian
or North Korean nuclear weapons, what
would I see? What would the visuals be
in those minutes after the strike?
I describe the first bomb in the
scenario that strikes the Pentagon. It's
a one megaton thermonuclear bomb in
painstaking horrific detail all sourced
from Defense Department documents,
defense scientists who have worked for
decades to describe precisely what
happens to things and to humans. And
it's horrifying. But on top of the
initial flash of thermonuclear light,
which is 180 million degrees, which
catches everything on fire in a 9-mile
diameter radius. On top of the
bulldozing effect of the wind and the
all the buildings coming down and more
fires igniting more fires. On top of the
radiation poisoning people to death in
minutes and hours and days and weeks if
they happen to have survived. On top of
all of that, each one of these fires
creates a megafire that is 100 or more
square miles. And so essentially in
essence, what do you see? Well, in the
scenario at minute 72, a thousand
Russian nuclear weapons land on the
United States. And so it just becomes a
conflagration of fire. It's just fire
fires burning. Fires 100, 200 square
mile fires burning. And then we move
into nuclear winter. And that's sort of
the denouement of the book where I tell
you about nuclear winter from the point
of view of one of the original
scientists who wrote that original
nuclear winter paper with Carl Sagan
back in 1983. And his name is Professor
Brian Toon, and he's spent the decades
since working with the state-of-the-art
climate modeling systems that can now
precisely tell us what nuclear winter
will look like. Cuz I've always thought,
you know what, nuclear war wouldn't be
that bad if, you know, Russia launched a
thousand of their nuclear bombs at the
United States and I was here in New York
where I am now
I would die instantly so I wouldn't
really know it happened.
Is that true? I think you would want to
die instantly. I mean, there's a quote
from Nikita Khrushchev, the former
um premier of the Soviet Union, and he
said, "After nuclear war, the survivors
would envy the dead."
Because there is right? There is this
sense of if you survived, I mean, there
is no more law and order. There is no
more rule of law. There is no
government. Craig Fugate made that very
clear. The bunkers that the people in
the military command and control centers
would be in, let's say the secret
bunkers, not the ones that are targets
that Russia's going to take out that I
write about in the book, but the smaller
ones those are going to only function
for as long as there's gasoline to run
the diesel in the diesel generators. And
then those people are going to have to
come out. And who's left? It's man
returning to the most primal, most
violent state as people fight over the
tiny resources that remain. And by the
way, they're all malnourished.
Everybody's sick. And most people have
lost everything and everyone they know.
How's that going to feel?
It's going to feel as you describe here
on page 277
there are a thousand flashes of light
superheating the air in each ground zero
to 180 million degrees Fahrenheit. A
thousand fireballs each more than a mile
in diameter.
A thousand steeply fronted blast waves.
A thousand walls of compressed air. A
thousand American cities and towns where
all where all engineered structures in
5, 6, or 7-mile radius change physical
shapes, collapse, and burn. A thousand
cities and towns with molten asphalt
streets. A thousand cities and towns
with survivors impaled to death by
flying debris. A thousand cities and
towns filled with tens of millions of
dead people. With tens of millions of
unfortunate survivors suffering fatal
third-degree burns. People naked,
tattered, bleeding, and suffocating.
People who don't look or act like people
anymore.
Across America and Europe, hundreds of
millions of people are dead and dying
while hundreds of military aircraft fly
circles in the air until they until they
run out of fuel.
I mean, that is
that is some visual.
How many people would be
dead or dying, do you think, after those
72 minutes?
Hundreds of millions of people die
in the fireballs, no question. But the
number that I think is very interesting
to think about comes from Professor Toon
and his team who wrote a paper for
Nature uh recently, 2022, and sort of
updated nuclear winter idea based around
food. And the number that they have is 5
billion people
would be dead. The population of the
planet currently is about 8 billion?
Yes. So there'd be 3 billion people
still alive.
Where shall I go to be one of the 3
billion? I I was just in New Zealand and
Australia. That's exactly where you'd
go. Although according to Toon, those
are the only places that could actually
sustain agriculture.
I was there two weeks ago. Not even two
weeks ago, it was maybe 10 days ago. I
was in New Zealand and Australia.
And at that time
I think Iran attacked Israel.
Right. Yes.
I was kind of happy. You're in the right
place at the right time. Yeah. I was
kind of happy for where I was located if
I'm you know, and I was thinking I
actually remember I was talking to my
friends and I pulled up a map and I was
trying to see how far away I was from
everything. I was thinking if cuz World
War III started trending on Twitter, I
was thinking if if it does break out
now, I think I'm pretty probably pretty
well placed. Is that the place to be, do
That is. That is according to Professor
Toon. I mean, he was so generous with
me. He shared a lot of his slideshows
that he has for his students. And that
is really pretty much what's left. I
mean, because most of the world is
certainly the mid-latitudes would be
covered in these,
you know, sheets of ice. The the
freshwater bodies,
places like Iowa and Ukraine would be
would be just snow for 10 years. And so
agriculture would fail. And when
agriculture fails, people just die. And
and on on top of that, you have the
radiation poisoning because the ozone
layer will be so damaged and destroyed
that
you can't be outside in the sunlight.
And so people will be forced to live
underground. And so you have to imagine
people living underground fighting for
food everywhere except for in New
Zealand and Australia. Um there was also
another interesting detail that that he
shared with me that, you know
66 million years ago an asteroid hit
Earth and wiped out the dinosaurs
and something like 70% of the known
species.
And Professor Toon compared nuclear war
to that situation.
And so when you really think about it
and and again this was also echoed by
Craig Fugate
FEMA's director.
You think about it there's nothing we
can do about an asteroid.
At least not right now.
And yet there is something
nuclear war is a man-made threat
and therefore it has to be a man-made
solution.
What is the solution?
I really believe that people motivate
other people. It's like a fundamental
truth on the smallest scale and on the
biggest scale. And so there's one person
who is incredibly powerful and that is
the president of the United States. For
better or for worse, it's just the way
it is. And so in the same way that the
president has
presidential sole authority to start a
nuclear war, the president also has a
very powerful pen with which he can
write executive orders and EO.
And the story I tell on the hopeful note
goes like this. When I was in high
school in 1983 there was an ABC TV movie
called The Day After
and it
showed a fictional war between the
United States and then Soviet Russia.
It was horrific and terrifying, okay?
100 million Americans watched it.
100 million Americans It's like the
third of the the population.
And I think it was half the population
then.
Um
President Reagan was one of those
Americans. He had a private screening at
Camp David.
His advisers told him not to watch it.
He did watch it. Before that President
Reagan was a hawk. He was pro nuclear
weapons. His position was the more
nuclear weapons the better. He was the
one putting nuclear weapons in space
with the Star Wars program, the SDI
program, okay? He couldn't have been
more pro deterrence
supremacy.
He saw The Day After
and he changed his position. He wrote in
his White House journal that he became
greatly depressed, his words.
And he reached out to Gorbachev.
And then they had a Reykjavik Summit a
summit in Iceland
Reagan and Gorbachev
and
through communication, right? Through
both of them realizing this is madness
realizing what could happen seeing The
Day After and realizing my God
this cannot happen. And they famously
issued a statement that said a nuke the
joint statement between the two of them
that said
a nuclear war cannot be won
and must never be fought.
And the result of the Reykjavik Summit
was that the world has gone from 70,000
nuclear warheads. That was the all-time
high.
70,000.
Why do you need 70,000 nuclear warheads?
That's what there were in 1986. And now
here we are because of the reductions,
because of the treaties, thanks to those
two.
12,500
approximately nuclear warheads. That is
the movement in the right direction.
And it came from
a dramatic story being told and it came
from the president taking action because
people would not stand for this anymore.
There were massive protests. Do you
believe we could ever get to zero?
Honestly.
That is for the disarmament experts. I
like to stay in my lane as a
storyteller, as an investigative
journalist. I like to give you the
dramatic
fast read and then pass the baton
to those who have been working on that
issue for decades because boy are they
qualified. I just had the great fortune
of being invited to Brussels where I was
part of a nuclear expo and there were
members of the European Parliament in
the audience.
And I and and there were all these
disarmament people there and I learned a
lot about all of these groups and they
have the answer and they are the ones
that should be asked that question and
they are doing a lot to get us there.
From the moment you wrote the first word
in this new book um nuclear war scenario
to when you finish the book, how did
your feelings change about the subject
matter?
It's interesting because
you
you write the This is just my experience
as a journalist, but
you you write the book and you're like
any
professional person you want to do a
really good job at your job, right? So
so I was very focused on gathering the
facts and then relaying them in a
readable way, you know? My husband Kevin
always says like you got to write
something that someone can read on the
beach or an airplane. Right? Which is
not necessarily conducive to like Nazi
scientists or the other things I've
written about. But for this it became
clear to me nuclear launch to nuclear
winter fast. Have people read it fast
because you want to grab their attention
because
I'm a mother, you know? I'm a hopeful
person that believes that we do not have
to live with this threat overhead. And
so my focus of the work was really on
doing the best job I could to narrate
the story and I think you you take your
hat off about um maybe any more sort of
emotional or sentimental feelings. You
try to
you try to push that into the prose I
suppose. So maybe in subtext
there is
a sense of urgency and and even fear.
But for me intellectually, you know as
an investigative journalist it was it
was just what's what's the next page
going to read like. But how do you feel
about you know the nature that you It's
interesting as well because you when you
think about the books you've written I
don't even think how many have you
written now six or seven? Seven books in
total.
The subject matter of your books are all
the basis of a lot of conspiracy theory.
If that makes sense. You know you've
written about Area 51 and this thing
called Operation Paperclip and the
Pentagon and
and our nuclear bombs and the CIA, all
these kinds of things which are the
basis of many of the conspiracy theories
that I hear hear about. Um so you've
you've got a very unique perspective on
the world because you've had the
privilege and the access of interviewing
some of the most interesting people that
are closest to these very interesting
subjects.
What are some of the things that you've
come to learn that you once thought were
just conspiracy theories?
I mean conspiracy theory is such a
loaded word and I think it's too bad
that um it's used as a catchall to kind
of dismiss
uh a lot of curiosity. Mhm. Because
curiosity is important, right? And
curiosity leads toward reading. I mean I
couldn't be a bigger fan of reading or
listening to pod you know educating
yourself. I mean things have really
changed in terms of audio. Like you can
listen to a podcast
and learn a lot. You can listen to an
audio book the same way that you used to
have to read them. And
and so
to just call things conspiracy
theories I find to be intellectually
thin, right? It's just too easy. And
it's also very self-righteous.
And I think two things I always work to
avoid um
is like
kind of being a know-it-all. And I am
around a lot of know-it-alls because
people who become experts in subjects
um and maybe they don't get as much
attention as they think they deserve
tend to become
a little bit of self-righteous
know-it-alls.
And so I have to wind my way
through that world because I'm always
What interests me are
subjects that
make me ask the question why, right?
Like
why does no one know about Area 51? What
why why is Area 51 so secret? I mean
when I wrote the book Area 51 the word
Area 51 was still classified. Really?
You couldn't say it. I went to the CIA
and I was told by my minder
if you say a certain word and number
you will be asked to leave.
It was classified. It only became
unclassified when President Obama spoke
about it publicly. Oh really? He just
mentioned it
and then it was unclassified. Right? And
so
to answer your question um
I find it really interesting tackling
subjects that are in the zeitgeist that
people are interested in and then trying
to unpack
the truths and the fictions. Is there
something you heard about you heard a
you know a whisper about and you thought
that can't possibly be true? And then
after doing a little bit of
investigative researching and journalism
you discover that it actually was true
and you were blown away. And I say that
in part because
I lived much of my life thinking that a
lot of these subjects Area 51, the CIA,
this idea that there's all these spies
and they're doing all this stuff and I
thought a lot of it was
just internet rumors and you know people
who certain people who have you know
they have like the silver foil on their
heads and they're just like whatever.
And then I had the privilege of speaking
to
some people on this podcast and just out
there in the world
who confirmed that a lot of the things I
once thought were
tin foil hat stuff is actually true. And
once once you have the curtain pulled
back,
it kind of blows your mind open to what
else could be true.
And I'm I'm a person that kind of like
needs evidence and logic and I'm not
going to believe something cuz I saw it
on like an Instagram post or a story or
a Telegram community.
But my mind's been blown, especially
over the last couple of years, about
how um how some of these things that
people consider to be conspiracy
theories are actually very true. Have
you had those moments in your career?
Oh, absolutely. But I mean, you can
really drill down on this stuff and
figure out the thematic element of
what's going on and then the specifics.
And I'll give you an example. Like in
Area 51, I learned about something
called strategic deception, which is a
CIA concept, okay?
And this plays into
conspiracy theories and when you come
across something
maybe having this information I'm about
to tell you will help you go,
"Okay, let me look at it in terms of
these two lanes." So it goes like this.
The CIA's
had a was building spy planes out at
Area 51.
The U-2 spy plane, which was going to
spy on the Soviet Union in the '50s
from above and figure out whether they
were preparing for nuclear war.
And the plane was built at Area 51 cuz
this no one could know about it. It flew
at 70,000 ft.
It was out of range of any
surface-to-air missiles.
Um I interviewed the first man who flew
over the Soviet Union in a U-2, Hervey
Stockman. And he took pictures with
these massive CIA cameras
that, you know, came back to the agency.
It was wet film and allowed the CIA to
understand what was actually going on on
the ground in Soviet Russia. It was
photographing military bases.
So the spy plane was being built and it
was so secret, like only the president
knew about it. At the same time, nuclear
weapons were being exploded next door,
right? So Area 51 and then over at Area
23 was where the the the bombs were
going off.
And
there was a I was interviewing all the
engineers who were building the spy
plane.
And Bob Murphy was one of the lead
engineers and he told me this story
about strategic deception. So,
he and others would go to the ranch,
that's what they called Area 51, then
they'd fly back to Burbank, California
where they all lived for the weekends to
be with their families. And they would
take the shuttle back and forth.
And one day, um they went to a big party
the night before and Bob Murphy got
drunk. He was not a guy who gets drunk,
but he got drunk.
He missed the shuttle.
And he was like, "Oh my god, I'm going
to lose my job. I'm in trouble." And he
opens the door, is how he described it
to me, to like,
you know, go out and deal with this. And
there's an FBI agent like about to knock
on the door.
And they tell and the guy turns white as
a ghost because Bob Murphy was supposed
to be on that flight, so he was on the
flight manifest and it crashed into
Mount Charleston on the way there and
everyone was dead.
Okay?
So that is a dramatic thing to begin
with, but here's how it ties up with
strategic deception.
The CIA
learns that its aircraft full of U-2
engineers, pilots, designers, all these
incredibly important people on this top
secret project are dead. They just
crashed into Mount Charleston.
What are they going to do? How are they
going to keep this secret? All the news
stations are racing up to the top of the
mountain to try to get to the crash
site.
Oh my god, this is going to be the
project's going to be blown open. What
are we going to do? So they quickly rope
off the areas. They do the damage
control to the best that they can.
But they're spinning and I have all the
declassified documents from that part of
it, learning how worried they are.
There's
almost no doubt the project's going to
be revealed. The U-2 program is going to
be no more because once the Soviets know
about it, it's off.
And instead, the press
comes up with a story.
The press reports that it's all these
atomic scientists working on this secret
new weapon. They just completely make
this up in essence, right? It's this new
weapons project. And that's what they're
all doing. Who knows who put what bug in
someone's ear.
And so that's the story that comes out.
And the CIA is like,
"Perfect." And what I The story explains
that there are two kinds of strategic
deception. There's cover when you say,
like Bob Murphy said to his wife, "I'm
just an engineer working out there on
some television systems." That's cover.
That was his cover. He didn't say I'm
working on the U-2 spy plane. And then
there's disinformation.
When the press reports that the crash
was full of a bunch of atomic engineers
working on a secret weapons program.
And those are both kinds of strategic
deception. And so you begin to realize
that
there is a purpose behind a lot of
information coming out into the public.
And the CIA often uses that to its
advantage. And so whenever a situation
happens, you have to say to yourself,
"Is this really what happened? Or is it
covering up something else?" And then of
course you have to put your rational
person
hat on and you can't just imagine
what the true story might be. You have
to actually find it and report it. Does
the CIA
um or the I think in the UK it's called
MI5 or MI6. MI6, I think it's the
equivalent. Does MI6, all of these sort
of special secret service agencies
around the world, do they work with the
media?
That's a much That's a totally separate
podcast. We could talk forever because
there's history of the CIA. I and I'm
not an expert on foreign intelligence
agencies as much as I am on the United
States. But by all means, there's a long
history of the CIA working with uh
journalists, reporters, authors,
um
to
put information there. I mean, there's
almost nothing that the CIA hasn't done
to my eye. The question is, you know,
reporting it in the context of
how that's happening. I wrote about in
The Pentagon's Brain, if you want a
little homework, you know, and you go
into the back and in the index and look
up brainwashing.
And there's a long story
uh where I talked to where I explain
exactly how this happened in the '50s
with
what ultimately an element that became
known as the MKUltra program, okay? So
like MKUltra was a real program and it
had a lot of sinister components to it.
Is it everything that, you know,
certain
groups of people that sometimes get
called conspiracy theorists say that it
was? No. But there are threads of truth
in it. And if you reverse engineer the
brainwashing concept from the back, you
will see what I'm talking about. And
it's I think it's a very interesting
story cuz it actually involves
the head of the CIA, a guy called Allen
Dulles, and his son who got brain
damaged in Korea, whom I tracked down
and interviewed for that book. Spoiler
alert.
What what happens?
Which part? I mean,
which part of I'm so I'm so compelled by
the the whole idea of the CIA because we
we had somebody here recently talking We
had Andrew here recently talking about
what goes on in the CIA and
I think um one of the things he said to
me is that the role of the CIA has
changed over time and once upon a time
it was
more capable of doing more things. And
by the way he described it, it sounded
like the CIA has less powers and can do
less of the things that it's been
accused of in the past. I think it's
been accused of killing the president
here
by some people or being involved in the
assassination of one of the presidents
here.
Um and
does the CIA report directly into the
president?
The CIA features in almost every one of
my books.
Um
the most sort of comprehensive look I
did at the CIA was a book called
Surprise, Kill, Vanish, which is about
the CIA's paramilitary.
And once I reported that, I understood
that there are actually two very
distinct components of the CIA. There's
the sort of Central Intelligence Agency,
the primary
um human
It's called human intelligence. And
there's analysts and there's espionage.
And And then there is the
paramilitary organization, which was set
up in 1947
specifically to go against the Russian
version of itself.
Sort of to do the darkest,
dirtiest,
nastiest
operations that we had to because the
Russians were. And so,
you know, the CIA is a is a is a giant
organization with a lot of tentacles.
And I think it's important to
speak, at least for me, having reported
on many of these different programs. You
know, Area 51 covers the aerial
espionage element of the CI, the science
and technology. The CIA was responsible
for putting the first satellite in
space, the Corona program.
Dr. Bud Wheelon, who I interviewed for
Area 51, remarkable
intelligence, surveillance, and
reconnaissance programs. And then you
have the paramilitary operators, the
trigger pullers,
uh the snake eaters, the individuals
who, you know, find, fix, and finish
people. That's a euphemism.
Um
the teams that do that.
But I prefer to speak very specifically
on programs because I find it's
the most
it it's the most responsible or the most
factual way for me to stick to a certain
lane of the agency because it is so
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On the the nuclear war subject, we
talked a little bit about um another
thing that has what we I kind of alluded
to it that has emerged since you started
writing this book, which is the
conversation around artificial
intelligence.
And when I start thinking about how you
overlay that with this idea of nuclear
war, it becomes even more
um concerning because we're heading
towards a world of what they call
artificial general intelligence, where a
lot of these systems will be making
autonomous decisions. They'll be able to
and a couple of people that I've spoken
to from DeepMind or from um Google have
talked to me about a world where
this is an extreme case, but our elected
leaders will be
either AI themselves or being basically
working in lockstep with AI. And And
then when you think about our nuclear
weapon systems, who is better to make
that decision? Is it a Joe Biden that's
better to make a decision to launch a
nuclear weapon, or is it some kind of
artificial intelligence that is so
advanced
we might not even know what it's
thinking or doing. Have you thought much
about artificial intelligence since this
book came out and since you started
writing? Absolutely. It's something I
covered at length in The Pentagon's
Brain, which is the book about DARPA.
And I think
that
maybe I'll speak to an origin story
here, right? Because I think of
Shakespeare, it's like what is past is
prologue. We can understand better the
question you raise, especially for
younger people, like, what is this going
to look like in the future? Is a
president really going to be working in
consort with AI?
If we know, wait, how did this all
begin? It somehow, at least to my eye,
becomes easier to
think about these things in a grounded
manner.
And so
I'll throw this detail at you. In In
reporting The Pentagon's Brain, it was
fascinating to learn that during World
War II, computers
were people.
A computer was someone who computed
mathematical
you know, call right
trajectories, bomb explosions were all
measured by people and pencils.
And right? So, then and I love the smile
because suddenly it all becomes easier.
Then you have a guy called John von
Neumann, the the The Pentagon's Brain.
He was the first brain that the Pentagon
really was interested in. And he created
one of the first
computers. You can't really assign the
first computer to anyone, but there was
a computer that was doing calculations
for
called ENIAC. And ultimately after the
war, von Neumann went to the Atomic
Energy Commission, the most powerful
organization in the world at the moment,
and said, I want to build a computer
that can actually think for itself. That
can He's kind of the progenitor of this
idea of software, not just hardware. So,
for a long time it was kind of Texas
Instruments type computing, almost just
like a giant calculator.
And von Neumann
wanted to put the brain inside the
calculator.
And they gave him a lot of money to do
it, and he did this in the basement of
Fooldall over at the Princeton Institute
for Advanced Study.
And it was giant vacuum tubes, and he
would do these tests, and I describe
this in The Pentagon's Brain, because
it's really interesting to think this
was only in 1945.
There were vacuum tubes and, you know,
cords, and they had to worry about mice
eating cords, and John von Neumann was
so brilliant and smart that his he could
beat the computer initially.
The his assistants would give him
numerical calculations, he would do them
in his mind, the computer would be
trying to do them, he would win.
And then one day, and like I think it
was 1946 or 1947, the computer beat him.
That was the moment that von Neumann
realized computers are going to be
computers just got smarter than me,
than man.
And then he began
to develop and systems, the Defense
Department began to put an extraordinary
amount of money into computer systems.
And if you really want to know where
they took off, cuz this has to do with
AI.
This is man-computer interface. The
Defense Department hires a guy called
Licklider
to essentially shrink computers down
from the size of a a house
to the size of this room. And think of
what they are now.
So, the Defense Department has always
led with artificial intelligence, which
is computer-based.
And when you can see that origin story,
you can begin to understand where we're
going. And AI had to have these military
the the benefits of these military
systems
to develop, right? Like nanotechnology.
Things had to start becoming smaller.
And that all happens in that book.
You know, not all of it, but in other
words, you can you can learn in a sort
of poetic manner the trajectory of
computers
and where they began not so long ago and
where we are now.
And it was in 1983 that DARPA, that
organization, decided that the battle
place the battlefield is no place for
humans. That was a statement of its
first robotic AI program.
I went on ChatGPT um a couple of months
ago, and I asked it, I said, could you
play out a scenario where the world ends
because an artificial intelligence
basically gets leaked out of its
out of the
computer that it was um
born out of born on. And it the scenario
that it played out involved nuclear war
because halfway, I think it was in step
three or four, it says that the AI
basically takes control of the nuclear
warheads
or at least some of them,
and then it kind of launches them at
other countries.
And
it hearing ChatGPT
say that
and and it and in step three or four use
nuclear weapons as a way to kind of make
the world extinct, it felt plausible.
Okay, so I'm going to push back against
that, and which is by no means right.
I'm not right. But we're just having a
like sort of theoretical conversation
here.
ChatGPT is gathering its information,
right? So, my I would argue that ChatGPT
has got a lot of information from The
Terminator movie. Yeah. Okay? There is
that in the zeitgeist of what happens.
Then I want you to consider that
the communication systems in nuclear
command and control, which is actually
nuclear command control and
communication,
the the ability to for
NC3 to communicate with the actual
weapons is so profoundly classified that
I don't have access to it. But I'm going
to give this to you as an idea.
What I do know and learned reporting
nuclear war scenario is a fascinating
detail that stands as an analogy, at
least for me,
which is how analog
our ballistic missile systems are
because of the exact
fear that you describe or that and that
ChatGPT
described back at you.
And will they stay that way forever?
Probably not, but are they that way
right now? From what I understand, yes.
Our submarine-launched ballistic
missiles
that that are just so the technology
behind them, and I I delineate it for
the reader, you it's it's astonishing
that you can launch a missile
from underwater, it can breach the
surface,
it's afterburners take off, and then it
begins its trajectory, you know, boost
phase, midcourse phase,
terminal phase, hits the target. This is
incredible.
And how does it get there?
You might ask. I asked. It gets there by
starsighting.
Oh, really?
So, you realize there's this little
panel that opens up in the ballistic
missile.
And there are other ways that it's
navigating. But the primary mean of
navigation is starsighting.
Right? I mean, you just have to really
stop and go, oh my first of all, it's
actually really interesting concept that
the
most advanced, potentially
civilization-ending
ballistic missile is guiding itself to
its target by this ancient concept,
like that our hunter-gatherer ancestors
used, which is looking at the stars.
It's looking at the stars and then
navigating using them.
And that's meant to be
a defense against a system an enemy
taking control of your nuclear weapons.
The issue we have is that there's
potentially nine or 10 different nuclear
powers
and they don't all have the same system.
So, if a if we get to the point of AGI,
which a lot of people almost see as the
singularity, almost you can't see past
moment where there is a new being
amongst us that is capable of
thinking faster and more expansively and
more intelligently than humans. It knows
things we don't.
I think it might look at our systems as
child's play. As maybe not our systems,
but maybe it'll look at North Korea's
systems as child's play. It might be
able to put that VCR into the system and
play out the nuclear simulation that
tricks those people into believing
they're being attacked and that Yes. And
so Which is maybe time for the answer to
your question of should we be at zero,
right?
Yeah. So, what you have presented, which
would be the whole point of somebody
like me writing a book that somebody
like you would read of a younger
generation and begin having these
conversations with their colleagues and
their thought leaders and the people
that could maybe influence public policy
and saying
well, that would be a very good reason
to have zero nuclear weapons or, you
know, everybody gets 10. I'm making that
up, but right?
Yeah, yeah. Because if you have 12,500
nuclear weapons, it's better than
70,000,
but that's way too many for an
artificially intelligent, you know,
trigger scenario like you're talking
about.
Are you optimistic?
Optimistic about I I am
I mean
I am an optimistic person by nature and
so Do you think there will be a nuclear
war
in the course of humanity?
I
wrote this book as the optimistic
hopeful person that's saying read this
and realize
that a man-made problem has a man-made
solution.
Earlier you talked about there being
high consequence and low probability,
but the more the years tick on, that
probability increases by nature of there
being this mad king
Absolutely.
point. So, you know, and that's what I
think. So, I was asking myself,
eventually, if we if we play this
forward, I don't know, 1,000 years,
what what is most likely to cause the
end of humanity? Is it
a mad king somewhere who doesn't want
that, you know, he realizes that he's
going to either die, he's got cancer, he
realizes that, you know, he's got some
sickness and he doesn't really want that
his son to take power. He starts getting
a bit agitated, maybe he has some kind
of psychosis, schizophrenia, I don't
know, decides to in his
dying days to let a couple of these
things fly. Is that
eventually going to happen? The laws of
probability, the laws of averages say
that the longer we're here, the longer
we have these weapons,
the higher the probability.
I mean, I leave that to people like you
to think about and talk about because I
do and I am fascinated that I find that
people of your generation
ask that question a lot more than
perhaps people of my generation and
older. Like that was not a mindset that
people necessarily
had and talked about and I think that
has to do with the confluence of events
that you talk about. First of all,
people are
have access to information in a manner
they didn't,
you know, 30, 40 years ago or it took a
lot more effort. And also that there are
these incredible new threats that you're
talking about that are that you cannot
overlook. And so you would think that
it's time to kind of and I'm not a
Pollyanna, but you have to move away
from seeing everyone and everything as
an enemy and moving toward it's fine to
have adversaries. Having opponents is,
you know,
Sportsmen have opponents, right? But
everyone being an enemy and having, you
know, wars
escalating around the world, it seems as
if what you are saying is there has to
be a fundamental shift in what people
are considering important. But war has
always existed and it's existed as long
as humans have. So, it makes me think
that war is just part of humans trying
to coexist. And all of the things that
are hardwired into us, our search for
status and ego and reproduction and
resources and survival result in war.
Like they result in recessions.
So, I read a lot about the origin of
war. Like there it's a debate. No one,
you know, it but it is discussed and the
anthropologists, I think, have the most
interesting
sort of thoughtful concepts around it,
which I'll share with you, which is
this. Because yes, technically men there
has always been war. And that one of the
debates is, you know, did war begin with
civilization or were hunter-gatherers
warring?
But more interesting to that, I think,
is about the anthropologists who studied
in the '60s the hunter-gatherer tribes
like in the Amazon when there were still
access to them and they were sort of,
you know, they were unaffected by
civilization at all and they could look
at how they perceived
enemies. And an interesting idea came
out of that, which makes me think about
optimist versus pessimist, right? Sort
of or rather those who trust versus
those who are suspicious. That
that no matter if a hunter is out
hunting in a that's part of a
hunter-gatherer tribal environment and
he comes across another person,
obviously, there could be that person is
either threatening or that person is
someone to team up with against the
greater threat.
And the anthropologists do not know why
it is that some people
interpret this person with suspicion and
then might kill him
and others would interpret that person
as a teammate.
And so, if we don't know
how human, you know, is it genetics?
Like how do people
either fall on one of those two sides,
but what we do know is that people can
learn to think differently. You talk
with half your guests on the podcast
about this. People can be trained, not,
you know, propagandized, but people can
learn to think differently. So, if
you're me who
is a hopeful person and wants to see the
positive side of even my dark reporting
because that's a better choice for me
and for my family.
I train myself to find, if you will, the
silver lining or rather, if that's too
Pollyanna-ish, to find the way in which
how do I look at the person coming at me
as someone who could be on my team or
even an
an opponent, but not an enemy that I
would have to kill.
What's the most interesting thing that
you've written about that we haven't
discussed?
Of all the and I don't just mean in the
nuclear war, I mean in all these books.
I mean, I'm particularly fascinated by
DARPA because I think in a lot of the
world, especially in Europe, in the UK,
we we don't even know what DARPA means.
So, you know, it was interesting reading
about the existence of that. But in all
these books, what is the most
interesting thing, the most resonant
thing when you talk about your work to
people? Maybe that surprised you.
I mean,
every single one of my books is
powerfully important to me, not just
because of the information there, but
because the people I met along the way.
And I really could not sit, you know,
put one over the other because that
would be like favoring a child. And I
mean that literally, you know,
sometimes when I prepare to do a
podcast, I read my own books. And I and
I'm really
it for me, it's the it's the
it's the sum total of these incredibly
fascinating people I have had the
incredible fortune of interviewing and
also how
fate and circumstance always seems to
play a role in all of their lives and
that's maybe the theme that I take away
from all of this as opposed to the
specific shocking thing. Because
remember that many of the people that I
interview,
because they're war fighters or
intelligence agency people,
many of their friends have died.
Is there anyone you interviewed that
brought you to tears when you were
interviewing them? Oh, absolutely. I
can't I can't even I can't even say it
now cuz I might
Yeah.
Yeah.
going to ask you for the example. You
want the example? I'll tell you right
now.
It's a hard one. Um
So, I was just in
I was just in uh Brussels, I told you,
at the nuclear convention and
and I met a woman who was 1 year and 10
months when
the bomb was dropped on Nagasaki.
So, she's a survivor of the Nagasaki
bomb.
Right?
And
I met her, I brought her a signed copy
of my book, right? I mean, you just
think about being
a victim of that. And also, I learned so
much about the stigma that followed
the survivors of the atomic bombs
of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The stigma
because they were perceived as sort of
tainted people, tainted humans and there
was this deep fear of the legacy of
radiation.
And
I met her and I expected to just be so
composed, but in talking to her,
I got very emotional kind of, you know,
because you can't avoid that. And part
of the reason why I got so emotional was
that, and I haven't written about this
yet, but I will, is that
someone I interviewed and someone that
meant a lot to me and that I have
written about a lot wired
that nuclear weapon
that was dropped on Nagasaki.
And so, when you think about it,
and there's little old me, the reporter,
who fate and circumstance put in
Brussels last week at a Nuke Expo. You
couldn't make that up
if you were me, you know,
even a year ago, let alone 10 years ago,
let alone when I was a child.
And here I am, and one hand of my
reporting goes to that source that
worked with me for a very long time,
whose story I haven't written yet, who
wired the bomb that was dropped on
Nagasaki. And my other hand goes to
someone
who was there.
That
that wells you up.
Because it's the human condition.
Can you speak to this impact that
that had on both those individuals?
So,
starting with if we start with the
individual who was involved in wiring
that bomb.
Mhm.
So, and I know less about her than I
know about him, right?
And I've reached out to her and we will
do interviews now, okay? So, but for
him,
it impacted his whole life. And he
became a member of the Manhattan
Project, and he became uniquely tied
into the nuclear weapons industry.
So, these kind of long arcs of history
are so deeply interesting to me,
especially as I get older.
You move from
um
the intensity of specific missions that
people were on, of specific operations
they ran, and you begin to look
at a human
over the course of their life, and what
that means, because ultimately that's
the most interesting storytelling of
all. It's the most interesting
conversation you and I can have. And And
you have to get a little bit older to
know that, you know? But sometimes when
I'm interviewing people who are in their
80s and 90s, and I see them looking at
me,
and I like especially going back 15
years ago when I started reporting all
this, and I could see I can you know,
they're old and they're like earlobes
sag, and they have you know, incredible
wrinkles and
the course of their lives, what they
have done, and they're all involved in
these top formerly top secret programs,
and I can
I can
I sense them looking at me with this
sense of their own legacy, that they are
like, I'm telling her my story, and then
I'm going to be gone. And that's really
that's powerful.
It's a lot of trust as well, isn't it?
It It is. That's the role of the
reporter. You You work, at least my job
as an investigative journalist is like,
you know, I want people to trust me that
I am getting the in their information
down on the public record. And that has
a lot to do with why, you know, people
say, "How did you get so many people to
talk to you about nuclear weapons,
right?" So, to loop this back to
nuclear war scenario, I know I'm doing
my job, at least it feels like I'm doing
my job properly or earnestly, that I can
in the same week last week have two
people that are 100% part of the
military industrial complex, working for
the Space Force in Los Angeles,
you know, at a Space Force convention,
come to my house for dinner,
have a conversation with my family,
including my young son who's closer to
your age,
and then the week before have been with
peace activists
addressing members of the European
Parliament. I have my lane,
but yet all of these people are around
me.
They might not think they can get along,
but they probably can. And if I'm the
middle of the road of all of that, that
is important to me as an investigative
journalist, and but also like as an
American citizen as and as I said
earlier, as a as a mother.
That individual that wired that that
bomb, took took part in the Manhattan
Project, was involved in dropping the
bomb on the lady that you met recently.
How do they feel about that now in
hindsight with with their age and as
they look back?
He has died. Oh, okay.
He has died. Um and
How How did he feel about it?
There were other things that bothered
him more, which is
the great conundrum
of
using your own eyes to
perceive another person. And it's why I
have not written that book yet, because
it is still very confusing, and there is
a lot of mysterious elements of it. And
sometimes when people are involved in
really classified programs,
you have to spend a lot of time to
uh
dig and uncover and discover. It's a
long process.
Um and he was involved in some other
programs that
he had more intense thoughts about. And
that alone is enough to
I mean, the look on your face is the
look on my face
interviewing him. A happy man?
Absolutely.
Absolutely. Regret?
Yes, most definitely. Almost everyone
that I end up spending hours and hours
and hours with, that I would travel
with, and you know, another person that
comes to mind was Billy Waugh in the
Surprise Kill Vanish book, sort of the
longest serving singleton for the US
government as a paramilitary operator.
The saying goes, Billy Waugh killed more
people than cancer.
Okay? We traveled to Hanoi together. We
traveled to Havana together.
Um I spent a lot of time with him.
Uh they were you know, both of these men
were probably the two most powerful
sources I worked with in my life, in
their 80s and 90s. Both happy men?
Billy was more complex than happy, you
know? Um
you work hard to kind of get at the
to get at the character of someone, and
you you you you try the best to
represent them. But I mean,
you know, Billy had so many people um he
was involved in so many missions with so
many people that died that
I don't know if happiness is He
certainly wasn't ang- He certainly
wasn't sour,
but uh he had a lot of anger about a lot
of things. And then the lady, she was 1
and 1/2 years old when the bomb was
dropped. She survived as a baby. Mhm.
Her family, did they survive? Yes, and
it was it's fascinating. Um
uh I'm not saying her name because I
don't I I don't have quite her
permission yet, right? So, but um
although she is a public figure, but she
didn't know
about her story until she got older,
because it was kept hidden from her,
which is
So, these layers upon layers about what
we know about our own selves, you've
made me think of, which is you balance
that out with
ques- what you know about your own self
versus what how easy it is to to judge
someone else or perceive someone else.
And I think those two journeys in life
are interwoven always. Like, our own
journey for self-discovery,
right? In a way, you're on that with
your podcast, I'm guessing. You probably
learn as much about yourself
um as you do about others. I know I do.
I'm usually in your seat. Um and there's
no camera running. It's just a pen. And
so, I can learn so much from people
about how they speak, why they speak,
what they say to me, "I don't want this
on the record. I want you to know this
about me because it's important, but I
don't want it publicly known." And I
honor that, because in a way, being a
journalist is
being
a a trusted source that someone can
share information with within a context
that the person I I mean, knows the
groundwork about. Many people's
grandchildren's
grandchildren don't
they don't know what grandpa did.
And they might not know
for decades. I had a guy show up at one
of my book signings at the LA Times
Festival of Books just last Sunday. And
he had,
you know, a binder, and he said, "After
you're done signing, would you mind
looking at this binder and interpreting
it for me?" And of course I did, you
know? And his grandfather was a
seriously high-ranking person working on
nuclear sub launched ballistic missiles
in the early days of what was called the
Polaris experiment. And he had all these
documents, and no one in his family
cared about it. He had ID badges and
letters and pictures with the president
and picture and I could say to him, "Oh,
yes, this is the you know, I could give
him some context." And his wife was
there, and you know, it was just like
it's a great example of how
we sometimes have a desire to know about
our own selves and our own legacy. Where
did we come from? And then grandpa has
passed. And so my job is like getting
grandpa's story on the record.
That conversation you had um
since the book had come out with the
lady you met in Brussels.
Did it change how you viewed your your
book and the work you've done here
in writing this? Did it add an element?
Oh, it most certainly enhanced and added
and particularly that emotional one that
you saw for me when I think about that,
you know,
um
and I immediately had a long
conversation with my husband about it
when when I got home, right? Because I
use sounding boards to understand how I
even really feel about things, but
I already had a context to know about
survivors having read a lot of accounts
from survivors
to report the book and I mention
some of them. Setsuko Thurlow was a
survivor of Hiroshima and has given a
lot of incredible public statements on
the record to the United Nations and
elsewhere and I quote her in my book to
narrate the part of the story where we
learn about the bomb dropping on
Hiroshima and then I read a lot of the
ancillary material about that so I can
understand more
and try and a lot of work as a
journalist you're just at least if you
write narrative non-fiction as I do,
you're really trying to imagine
the situation. But then you meet someone
and it all becomes real. And that's
where the this comes in cuz it's not
just words on the paper. It hasn't been
When they say survivor
what what
how do you categorize or define a
survivor of a nuclear bomb?
Um there's a word in Japanese and I
don't want to get it wrong and it's
something like Hibakusha, right? So
forgive me for not having that word.
But um
that is an actual term
that is used by
anyone who
lived through
the atomic bombings in August of 1945
of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
So if you lived through it, you are
in that category of people. If you lived
through that Yeah, yeah, yeah. And so in
other words now
uh this was, you know,
79 years ago.
So most of the survivors you can just
think about the ages of the people
involved. Setsuko Thurlow is 90.
You know, she's she's
one she was a recipient of the who I who
I write about. Um
she was a recipient of the Nobel Peace
Prize in 2017 with a group of physicians
Dr. Carlos Omana and others whom I met
in Brussels that are all part of these
organizations working to reduce nuclear
weapons down to zero.
Right? They are against
nuclear war.
And their organizations work diligently
to bring the information to the fore and
to affect change at a geopolitical level
like the United Nations.
That conversation you have with your
husband when you got home that day after
meeting her.
What can you tell me about that
conversation?
It's probably like you have with your I
mean my husband and I've been married a
very long time. So he knows everything.
Um
there's also a joke that he has what's
called spouse privilege which he does,
right? You can tell your spouse anything
legally
But no, those conversations are
priceless. Those are the conversations
that allow me to try and peel back one
layer
of what the next book is going to be and
what the next book aims to do because I
am always working on the next book. I am
one of those people who loves writing.
And so and I also love evolving as a
writer. So you want to get better in
terms of the small mistakes you make and
you want to get better in terms of the
the intentions that you might have
thematically about conveying it. And so
thank you for pointing out to me
and I mean this sincerely is that what
you helped me realize is that
the next book is trying will try to move
more toward those themes of cause
that was him and effect that was her.
This idea that there are always
consequences.
And very real people on both sides that
you know
one could class as both victims and
innocent at the same time, I guess.
I've just a horrific situation.
Absolutely. I'm really intrigued now by
this idea that you almost have to embody
two roles. You're a human being but at
the same time you've got a job to do
here
and you've got a mission.
And when you meet that person who's who
is a survivor of a nuclear attack
those lines can understandably become at
at least in your head
the wall can drop between the two. And
as you you touched your heart, you
referred to your head which I think is
typically when you're talking about your
journalistic hat, but then we all have
hearts as well, thank God.
Um you come home and I don't know the
conversations I have with my partner.
I guess I I'm assuming, you know, the
conversation you have with your husband
there is about
the complexity of the emotions you feel
upon meeting that person.
Absolutely and what you do with that and
what that means and you want to be able
to have those conversations so that you
can I think
have both of those bring both of those
components into your
into your work. I mean
maybe with the exception being the
military or the CIA, the two
organizations I write about. You know,
Billy Waugh can't bring his heart into
the mission when he is assigned to go X
Y Z.
You know, find, fix and finish someone.
They're not allowed to tell that that
partner are they in the CIA? No.
I was told to you. And and so so what we
that aren't in the military or the
intelligence community have that luxury.
Is it a luxury?
I don't know, but it's a necessity for
me.
What if you couldn't?
I wouldn't be myself. I wouldn't I
wouldn't choose that. I could never be
in the military. I could never be in the
agency.
Because I I think you are asked to wear
a hat that removes your heart.
And that's not possible for somebody
like me. I mean we just figure out our
strengths and our weaknesses. Um and
society needs all of those people by the
way. That is what a democracy is. It is
made up of all kinds of people. I'm all
for that. It's why I have so many
friends and colleagues from different
worlds on different sides of the aisle.
They just make me think
more interesting things about the world
in which we all live.
We have a closing tradition on this
podcast where the last guest leaves a
question for the next guest not knowing
who they're leaving it for.
And the question that's been left for
you
was written in Europe when we were in
our studio then.
It is what is the last thing you changed
your mind about?
Well, I'll just
it comes this comes to mind only because
it's apropos to what we've been talking
about and it has to do with reporting
not my personal life which is maybe more
interesting to people. Um
I always strive to interview people
and ask them questions even if they are
hard, even if I have a preconception
that maybe they are the sort of bad guy,
shall we say, or the you know
perpetrator the what?
the perpetrator some something not
necessarily the bad but just that like I
might not my brain might not think I
agree with what they did or the project
they were on.
And there was a general that I was
trying to interview for the Pentagon's
brain and he had he was kind of the
creator behind what's called the soldier
super suit, okay? And that's a totally
different subject but that these idea to
make super soldiers, okay? Off of this
idea of the this concept called the
weakling on the battlefield that humans
feel fear and get fatigued and those are
not good things for soldiers and so
there are all these programs to try and
enhance our top tier military fighters
to become super soldiers. This is a
fact. And this one general was part of
that program and I had reached out to
him and asked him to interview with me
and I get it. Lots of people say you
know, I'm going to pass. I don't want to
interview. That's fine. But he ignored
me. And I felt slighted. And so I'm
telling on myself here from your view.
And so when I was writing my narrative
of the super soldier, he essentially was
kind of cast as the bad guy.
And then
I was in the editorial phase of the book
and I got an email from him and he said,
"I'm so sorry I didn't get back to you.
My wife had cancer."
And I what a valuable lesson. What a
valuable lesson.
And we did two interviews. And I told my
editor, "I have to rewrite that
chapter." And I did.
I mean that story speaks to a lot of the
subjects we spoken about today which is
when we
see someone as different, when we see
them as aliens, adversaries, enemies,
opponents
we are much more likely to treat them
as such, but
in reality it often turns out that we're
all very much the same, struggling with
the same things, with the same worries,
anxieties, concerns,
apprehensions, and it's just sometimes
when there's a bridge built, in the case
of that email, that we realize that
we're not enemies after all.
And that we don't need to be at war,
whether that's with words or whether
it's with
nuclear weapons.
And when you see that fellow
hunter on the path,
they might not be
the enemy. They might be someone to work
with.
It's very good of you to admit that,
Annie, because
what you're actually admitting is that
you're a human being.
Because we all do that kind of thing.
When we see someone as an adversary, I
think, as you say, it's feels like it's
hardwired into us in some way, but also
within that story we learn to
try and find or make the bridge
ourselves.
Which in the world we live in now, with
social media and stuff, is
doesn't seem to be um
easy or obvious for people, with all of
this polarization and such. And maybe if
the you know, if the US could make a
bridge with some of these foreign
adversaries, we wouldn't be talking
about nuclear war in your book, nuclear
war scenario.
Thank you so much for writing this book,
because
I'm a big believer and a big
um advocate of confronting the realities
honestly and openly, regardless of how
uncomfortable it is, because
if we don't, I think it actually
increases the probability of us
finding ourselves in a 72-hour
scenario, as you write about in the
book. And I The same thing
72 minutes.
72
Christ, only two hours. Did I say 72
hours?
Yes.
We all make Freudian slips. Okay. I wish
it was 72.
Well, no, I actually don't. I
Well, if it was going to happen, I'd
rather it just
happened in the blink of an eye. But um
but no, I think it's it's so, so
important to write. A lot of people
would be scared. A lot of people would
choose not to even click on this
conversation, because they're scared of
the subject matter. But I I think it's
leaning in that helps us to resolve and
find solutions and start the
conversation. And I know lots of people
listen to this. You never know, like
that
like that documentary or movie you
talked about earlier, who's listening
and the powers that they have, and the
decisions that they can make to change
things or to create one of those bridges
to to sort of denuclearize the world.
And that's the work you're doing. So, I
think it's very, very important work,
and I'm glad that you've committed your
brilliance to doing it. So, thank you.
Thank you so much for having me.
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This episode features an in-depth conversation with investigative researcher Annie Jacobsen about her book 'Nuclear War: A Scenario.' She explains the devastating reality of a potential nuclear exchange, which would last only 72 minutes and likely result in global annihilation. The discussion covers the sobering reality of sole presidential authority to launch nuclear weapons, the mechanics of nuclear deterrence, and the psychological impact on those involved in nuclear weapon programs. Jacobsen stresses that by understanding these harrowing details, society can better advocate for policies that prevent such a catastrophe.
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