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Daniel Priestley: AI Will Make Plumbers Earn More Than Lawyers! (2029 PREDICTION)

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Daniel Priestley: AI Will Make Plumbers Earn More Than Lawyers! (2029 PREDICTION)

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3707 segments

0:00

I was looking at the top 10 jobs that

0:02

are most likely to be disrupted by AI

0:04

and I really do worry about this.

0:05

>> So the nature of the economy is changing

0:07

for a long time. Blue collar work like

0:09

plumbers, electricians, brick layers has

0:11

been devalued. But it could be in the

0:13

next couple of years. These are the

0:14

roles that are elevated the most and

0:16

that plumbers regularly earn more than

0:18

lawyers. And for the last 25 years, I've

0:20

been building companies from scratch and

0:22

I've been through the global financial

0:24

crisis and co but I have never

0:26

experienced what we're experiencing

0:28

right now. I've never seen more fear for

0:30

the disruption that is coming. And my

0:33

real bare case for AI is that every time

0:36

you go on AI, your request is going off

0:38

to a big computer in a Walmartized

0:40

building somewhere. And those big

0:41

ginormous computers, they last 3 to 4

0:43

years before they need to be replaced.

0:45

And this year ahead, we're going to

0:46

spend 650 billion and that could cause a

0:49

massive financial collapse. That's the

0:51

thing that I'm worried most about.

0:52

However, I've never seen more excitement

0:54

for the opportunities that are in front

0:56

of us. So let's talk about in a world of

0:58

AI what are the skills that survive.

1:01

>> So I really believe that everyone should

1:03

build a little bit of a personal brand

1:05

not like to become an influencer but

1:07

position yourself with a group of people

1:08

who know who you are and know what you

1:10

do and could enroll you in their

1:12

opportunity. Second one if there's one

1:14

skill set that everyone should be

1:16

learning at the moment it's how do

1:17

entrepreneurs think? How do

1:18

entrepreneurs behave? What are the

1:20

skills that make an entrepreneur

1:21

successful? And entrepreneurs just

1:23

simply follow six steps and we do it

1:24

over and over and over again. and we'll

1:26

go through the six steps.

1:27

>> So, are there any particular

1:28

opportunities that you think that

1:29

anybody listening right now could pursue

1:31

to make money?

1:32

>> So, I think one of the best

1:33

opportunities is

1:34

>> that is such good advice that we don't

1:36

hear enough.

1:40

>> This is super interesting to me. My team

1:42

given me this report to show me how many

1:43

of you that watch this show subscribe.

1:45

69% of you that watch this show

1:47

frequently haven't yet hit the subscribe

1:48

button. And some of you have told us

1:50

according to this that you are

1:51

unsubscribed from the channel randomly.

1:53

So, favor to ask all of you. Please

1:55

could you check right now if you've hit

1:56

the subscribe button if you are a

1:58

regular viewer of the show and you like

1:59

what we do here. We're approaching quite

2:00

a significant landmark on this show in

2:02

terms of a subscriber number. So, if

2:04

there was one simple free thing that you

2:06

could do to help us, my team, everyone

2:08

here to keep this show free, to keep it

2:10

improving year over year and week over

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week, it is just to hit that subscribe

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button and to double check if you've hit

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it. Only thing I'll ever ask of you, do

2:17

we have a deal? If you do it, I'll tell

2:19

you what I'll do. I'll make sure every

2:22

single week, every single month, we

2:23

fight harder and harder and harder and

2:24

harder to bring you the guests and

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conversations that you want to hear.

2:27

I've stayed true to that promise since

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the very beginning of the Dio and I will

2:30

not let you down. Please help us. Really

2:33

appreciate it. Let's get on with the

2:34

show.

2:38

Daniel, I think we're living in the most

2:43

interesting, opportunistic,

2:46

terrifying time to be an entrepreneur, a

2:49

professional, to really be anybody

2:51

because this is a moment of such

2:53

fundamental change. And I really wanted

2:55

to have this conversation with you today

2:56

because I want to understand how you're

2:58

thinking about AI from an opportunity

3:00

standpoint as an entrepreneur, but also

3:02

just for everybody that's working in a

3:03

normal job and who is at risk of having

3:05

their their career, their livelihood,

3:07

their identity, their qualifications

3:09

made redundant because there is now an

3:11

alien amongst us that can do so much. So

3:15

this conversation really is about giving

3:16

people answers. It's about being honest

3:17

with them about what's coming. And it's

3:19

about preparing them, setting them up so

3:22

that they have an advantage

3:24

in the face of the future we face. So

3:27

give me the 30,000 ft view.

3:29

>> Well, my background for the last 25

3:30

years has been building companies from

3:32

scratch. And I've been through the com

3:34

and I've been through global financial

3:36

crisis and I've been through uh Brexit

3:38

and co. I have never experienced what

3:41

we're experiencing right now. I've never

3:43

seen more excitement for the

3:45

opportunities that are in front of us

3:46

and I've never seen more fear for the

3:49

disruption that is coming. We are living

3:52

through transformational times that is

3:54

very similar to 250 years ago where the

3:57

end of the agricultural age ended and

3:59

the beginning of the industrial age

4:01

began.

4:01

>> I would argue that it's more significant

4:03

because there's two forces that kind of

4:04

keep me up at night. The first force is

4:07

AI, which is you can think of it as just

4:10

the replacement of the human brain from

4:12

a sort of productivity standpoint. And

4:14

then the other is robotics. And the

4:17

problem is they're coming in at the same

4:19

time. And I was watching I don't know if

4:21

you saw this the other day.

4:22

>> So I'll put this on the screen for

4:24

anyone that's watching the video right

4:25

now, but this is a demonstration that

4:28

took place in China of how advanced

4:31

their robots are. And I had to check

4:33

multiple times to make sure that this

4:35

wasn't fake. They are doing back flips

4:38

and landing perfectly on their feet. And

4:40

so when you combine intelligence with

4:41

the disruption of our physical form, our

4:44

muscles, our body, our ability to pick

4:45

things up and move them through through

4:46

time and space,

4:48

it begs the question like where do we

4:50

>> where do we fit in to all of that?

4:52

Strangely, there's something called the

4:54

Jevans paradox. And the Jevans paradox

4:56

is a paradox where when we think

4:58

something is going to completely disrupt

5:00

the way that we uh live and work. It

5:03

often has the opposite effect. We

5:04

thought that YouTube was going to

5:06

completely wipe out television. And it's

5:09

true that Hollywood lost tens of

5:10

thousands of jobs, but YouTubing created

5:13

500 to 600,000 jobs at the same time.

5:16

And it used to take 150 people to make a

5:18

a TV show or a movie. And now it's 5 to

5:20

10 people making YouTube videos as a

5:22

little team. and they can have a wildly

5:24

successful YouTube channel. With the

5:26

Jebans paradox, if we currently said

5:28

that in order to have a successful

5:30

software company right now today or in

5:32

the last few years, you needed to have

5:34

10,000 customers and you needed to have

5:35

a team of 50 people and you needed to

5:38

raise$1 to5 million to get a software

5:40

company off the off the ground. If all

5:43

of a sudden the cost and the commitment

5:45

drops dramatically to have a software

5:48

company and you only need 500 customers

5:50

to work it to make it work and you only

5:51

need two people on a team to make it

5:53

work and you only need a tiny bit of

5:54

funding to make it work. What happens is

5:56

like YouTube channels you can end up

5:58

with literally millions of tiny little

6:00

software businesses that are super

6:02

successful for 5 to 10 people and they

6:04

do something niche and they do something

6:06

special. They don't look like

6:07

traditional software companies either.

6:09

So a traditional software company would

6:11

just do the software whereas these

6:13

little software companies might do

6:14

software plus they might do dinner

6:16

parties where the clients get together.

6:18

They might have an annual ski retreat.

6:20

They might have a podcast and a YouTube

6:21

channel that goes with it. And all of

6:23

that could be done by 5 to 10 people

6:26

using AI tools. So the Jevans paradox

6:28

would basically say that there is

6:30

millions of unmet needs and that those

6:33

unmet needs are not explored because the

6:35

cost to explore them is too high. But

6:38

because the cost to explore those has

6:39

come down, then now we can actually have

6:41

millions of businesses that never

6:43

existed that we didn't even know we

6:44

needed to exist.

6:45

>> I was sat here the other day with Dra

6:46

who is the CEO of Uber. He turned around

6:48

Expedia, made it super profitable,

6:50

turned around Uber that was losing 2

6:51

billion, made it generate about 9

6:53

billion in revenue, 10 billion in

6:54

revenue. And uh he sat there and said to

6:56

me that their 9,000 couriers and drivers

6:58

won't have jobs in the future. And and I

7:00

so I sit and go, okay, so what what are

7:01

they going to do? Are they all going to

7:02

start businesses somewhere? Do they? And

7:05

also I think one of the interesting

7:06

things about AI is the speed of

7:08

transition. With the industrial

7:09

revolution, there's a little bit of a

7:10

delay because infrastructure took time

7:12

to build.

7:13

>> Takes a long time to build.

7:14

>> But this is the first innovation that

7:15

I've lived through that is built on

7:17

>> it's instantaneous.

7:18

>> The internet.

7:19

>> The minute an AI learns how to be a

7:21

lawyer in one place, it can be a lawyer

7:23

in every place. The minute it learns how

7:25

to diagnose a disease in in one

7:27

location, in one hospital, it can

7:29

diagnose a disease in every hospital in

7:30

the world. So, it's this instantaneous

7:33

roll out uh because it sits on top of a

7:36

network that already exists.

7:37

>> This is what actually Boston Dynamics

7:38

said to me. I was watching a video of

7:40

their new robot that's working in

7:41

factories. It's a humanoid robot that

7:42

can work in factories, pick things up,

7:44

move things around. They said, "The

7:45

great thing about robotics is if one of

7:47

our robots on a shop floor in Boston

7:49

learn something, all of our robots learn

7:51

it.

7:51

>> It's it's wild."

7:53

>> Like, hell. So yesterday Tesla built and

7:57

they took this wonderful photo because

7:58

they built the world's first Tesla Cyber

8:01

Cab. Now if anyone doesn't know what a

8:02

Tesla Cyber Cab is, it's the first ever

8:06

fully autonomous car that doesn't have a

8:10

steering wheel and it doesn't have

8:11

pedals.

8:12

>> Yeah. You just hop in and there's

8:14

there's no steering wheel, no pedals.

8:15

You can't take control even if you

8:16

wanted to.

8:17

>> The Cyber Cab is the company's answer to

8:19

vehicles like the Whimo. The two-seater

8:21

coupe unveiled in 2024

8:24

comes without a steering wheel or

8:25

pedals. It's guided by AI and they're

8:29

now making them. The first one was made

8:31

yesterday. Again, 100 over a 100 million

8:34

people's job is to drive and you can get

8:36

one of these now for Elon saying

8:38

$30,000. Um, you can rent them, lease

8:41

them. You can buy a bunch of investment

8:43

assets and set them out,

8:44

>> set up your own fleet and connect them

8:46

to different networks like Uber and all

8:48

of those sorts of things. And the cost

8:49

to move around is going to go through

8:52

the floor because you know my Uber to

8:55

come here today was probably $50 uh and

8:58

that will probably be $6 or $7 uh once

9:00

that is rolled out. So the thing that

9:03

with the Jevans paradox is it doesn't

9:04

mean that everyone gets the same job and

9:06

that they get like uh there's just more

9:08

of exactly the same jobs. It means that

9:10

the transformation creates exponential

9:12

growth as a result of the transformation

9:14

in an unexpected way. Mhm.

9:16

>> So growing up, my mom worked in

9:18

newspapers and there was probably half a

9:20

million people working in newspapers as

9:21

journalists and all of those sorts of

9:23

things and that has dropped by 80% in

9:26

the last 25 years. But at the same time,

9:27

the number of people who are bloggers,

9:29

the number of people who have substacks,

9:30

the number of people uh who are doing

9:33

the kind of work of journalists and

9:35

actually making money as a result of

9:37

content creation has gone 100 100x. So,

9:41

uh, I think it's something like three to

9:43

four times more people now make their

9:45

money in a way that kind of looks like a

9:46

journalist than there ever were

9:49

journalists prior to the technology that

9:50

disrupt journalists. So, it's not that

9:52

it's not that those exact same jobs uh

9:56

are are replicated. It's that something

9:57

similar emerges as a result.

9:59

>> I understand this and I when I read

10:01

about the Jews paradox, I like ran it

10:03

through my head multiple times to to

10:05

understand like how it fits in different

10:06

industries. But there is a part of me

10:08

that still thinks this is slightly

10:10

different because in the example you

10:12

gave where there was a a content

10:13

creation industry that was then

10:15

disrupted by a content creation

10:16

industry. I go yeah this this the skill

10:21

of intelligence was still of human

10:25

intelligence was still

10:28

rare and scarce and only humans had it.

10:31

M

10:32

>> so the disruption of the content

10:33

creation industry to a different content

10:35

creation industry was still owned by

10:36

humans. That transition was still a

10:38

human one. But in such a world where AI

10:40

agents can make, if you go on a lot of

10:41

social media platforms, I shame which

10:43

ones, it's just pure AI slop now. Yes,

10:46

it's just people's agents churning out

10:48

content that they haven't touched or

10:50

done anything about. And then I was I I

10:52

started saying to you before we started

10:53

recording that what we're going to

10:54

experience and what I think a lot of

10:56

people don't fully embrace about this

10:58

idea of becoming a content creator for a

11:00

living or building a personal brand is

11:02

when you look at some of the graphs and

11:03

I'll throw the graphs from the Financial

11:04

Times article on the screen. There's now

11:06

a plateau of people spending time online

11:08

for the first time in history. Well, in

11:10

the first time in internet history,

11:12

>> Gen Z especially were the first

11:14

generation to plateau. Yeah.

11:15

>> In their time spent. But the amount of

11:17

content, the amount of AI agents, the

11:19

amount of people that are now choosing

11:20

to make to do content as a living is

11:22

exploding. Yes.

11:23

>> So you have a supply and demand issue

11:25

where there's a set amount really like a

11:27

set amount of hours consu sort of

11:30

consumption hours and then you have this

11:32

huge exponential explosion in available

11:35

content because a kid in Mumbai

11:37

>> Yeah. attention is a limited resource

11:40

but content is

11:41

>> and content is unlimited now.

11:42

>> Yeah. and and more so so AI slop is just

11:45

rolling in and also AI slop doesn't do

11:48

it justice. Some of my favorite things

11:49

to watch is AI generated. I'm enjoying

11:51

AI. So think about it a little when it

11:53

comes to personal brand. Think about it

11:55

a little bit like an airport that the

11:57

airport has got this fog that is rolling

12:00

in. If your airplane is already above

12:02

the fog,

12:04

>> then you're you can continue to fly. But

12:06

if your airplane is not taking off

12:09

already, then the fog is going to keep

12:11

you on the ground. So like for example,

12:13

you've invested so much into your

12:15

personal brand and people will come

12:18

along to see you live and they would

12:19

love to go to dinner party series that

12:22

you know involves you and there's a

12:23

whole community around DOAC, right? So

12:26

all of those things means that your

12:27

airplane's already up in the air, you

12:29

can continue to fly. But if you were

12:31

starting 2 years from now or a year from

12:33

now or maybe even 6 months from now and

12:35

you weren't smart about it, there's just

12:37

too much AI generated content. You won't

12:39

get traction. you won't get you won't

12:40

get that liftoff moment. Uh the same way

12:42

that opportunity is coming to an end

12:44

because of that AI generated content

12:46

>> what I'm seeing in the algorithm. So we

12:47

do some data analysis every year on the

12:49

variance of performance of pieces of

12:52

content we produce on different

12:53

channels. Now I've been making social

12:55

media content for 15 years. So I have a

12:56

bit of a sort of a mental history of

12:58

like every year us doing this this

13:00

particular data analysis to see the

13:03

variance between the worst thing we post

13:05

and the best thing we post. And this

13:06

year we did the same we ran the same

13:08

analysis with my data science team led

13:09

by Austin and my team to see if the

13:12

variance between the worst thing we post

13:13

and and the best thing we post is

13:15

getting bigger because what that kind of

13:16

is a proxy of is is the algorithm caring

13:19

less and less and less about how many

13:21

followers I have and is it caring more

13:23

and more and more about whoever posts

13:25

the most interesting thing today which

13:26

is if I was building a social media

13:28

company and my primary objective was to

13:29

retain people. I wouldn't care if you

13:32

have two followers and Stephen has 500

13:36

followers. I would just care about who

13:38

post the best thing.

13:39

>> So we did that analysis and it's it's an

13:40

almost perfect graph that looks like

13:42

this.

13:43

>> And this is the variance increasing.

13:45

>> Y

13:45

>> which actually means that okay Steven's

13:47

taken off from the sky but every day I

13:50

wake up increasingly it doesn't matter

13:52

what I did yesterday.

13:52

>> What we've seen is the end of social

13:54

media and the birth of algorithmic media

13:56

>> interest algorithms we call them.

13:58

>> Yeah. So, social media was all about

14:00

connecting with your friends and finding

14:01

out what your friends are doing. Um, and

14:03

algorithmic media is just finding out

14:05

what the algorithm thinks that you

14:06

should be watching today. But with that

14:08

said, there's this multi-dimension to

14:10

it, which is you've got books, you've

14:11

got live events, you've got the podcast,

14:14

and it's the multi-dimensional angle

14:16

that actually really sets you apart. The

14:18

creators that just simply want to put a

14:21

piece of content on YouTube and get paid

14:22

through AdSense revenue and that really

14:24

simple that one-dimensional model,

14:26

that's coming to an end. But the

14:28

creators that have a community and they

14:30

meet up in the real world all of that is

14:32

is part of an overall ecosystem that is

14:34

very defensible because one you know

14:36

people want all of that packaged up

14:38

together.

14:38

>> Why is it fundamentally defensible from

14:40

if we think about first principles or

14:42

human masloavian needs. Let me give you

14:44

a big answer to that which is if we go

14:46

back in time to the agricultural age,

14:48

farmers had to know when was a good time

14:51

to plant the crops and then they had to

14:53

go out and toil the soil and put the

14:55

seed in the soil and the soil did most

14:57

of the value creation in the economy. At

14:59

the end of that process, the farmer had

15:01

to know this is the day to harvest and

15:03

then we need to harvest that and we need

15:05

to turn it into something and take it to

15:07

market. And AI is very similar, which is

15:10

that it's very good at doing the middle

15:12

to the middle. It's not good at knowing

15:14

what to do in the very first instance or

15:16

knowing when to stop and how to take it

15:18

to market. So the the entrepreneurs job

15:21

is to do step one and two, let AI do

15:23

steps three to eight, and then do steps

15:25

9 and 10 and to basically have a

15:28

coherent cohesive view as to what you're

15:30

trying to get the AI to create.

15:32

>> Theoretically though, I could I could

15:33

ask an AI agent to think about the goal

15:35

that will benefit me the most and make

15:36

as many AI agents as it needs to to

15:38

fulfill that goal. And then it would

15:40

make start one business and that would

15:41

start another business. lots of

15:42

different businesses,

15:43

>> start another business, build another

15:44

website, contact a supplier.

15:46

>> I think what you're into here is two or

15:48

three steps ahead of yourself where, you

15:51

know, all of this is theoretically

15:52

possible, but we haven't seen those kind

15:54

of examples happening yet, right? We

15:55

haven't seen whether that will

15:58

ultimately unfold. I'm not saying it

16:00

won't. I think we are moving into a

16:01

completely new economy. Like like when

16:04

you lived in the agricultural age, it

16:07

was completely like unbelievable to you

16:09

what the industrial age would have

16:10

looked like. like it's beyond all

16:12

comprehension if you had an agricultural

16:15

age mindset to imagine factory

16:17

production or coal production

16:19

>> and the thing the principle there that

16:21

allows you to see what the future might

16:22

look like when it's exponential and not

16:23

linear is imagining any rate of

16:25

improvement and so this is how I think

16:28

always in my business is when I'm

16:30

thinking about which bet to make I

16:31

imagine if there's just 5% rate of

16:34

improvement per quarter eventually this

16:36

happens

16:37

>> and so with some things we've done on

16:39

this show we started two years ago and

16:42

for the first 18 months it didn't work

16:44

and then 6 months ago it exploded

16:46

because eventually the rate of

16:48

improvement got to the point where it

16:49

was viable and now it's the single most

16:51

important disruptive thing we've ever

16:52

done

16:53

>> and I think about what I the example I

16:54

just gave there of agents I'm like if

16:55

you just imagine any rate of improvement

16:57

just imagine 1% a year

16:59

>> and obviously it's way more than that

17:00

but imagine 1% a month eventually we get

17:02

to a point where a team of agents

17:03

>> if nothing if nothing disrupts it one

17:05

thing that is very likely to happen in

17:08

the next three years is the whole thing

17:09

comes crashing

17:11

It doesn't financially make any sense to

17:14

build the data centers that we're

17:15

building.

17:15

>> But you're not saying that AI is going

17:17

to disappear.

17:18

>> The technology itself is remarkable, but

17:21

the financial model just makes no sense

17:23

whatsoever at the moment.

17:24

>> At the moment, which is kind of typical

17:26

of bubbles, right?

17:27

>> So over the last 180 years, there have

17:30

been infrastructure buildouts that have

17:32

bankrupted the economy consistently

17:33

again and again and again. In fact,

17:35

there's a pattern. Whenever we spend

17:38

more than 3% of the overall GDP of the

17:41

economy on an infrastructure buildout,

17:42

it bankrupts the economy briefly for 10

17:45

years. Right? So this happened when we

17:48

did railway tracks. In fact, it happened

17:50

twice in the UK and twice in um the USA.

17:53

Then we bankrupt ourselves putting the

17:54

electrification grid in place. We

17:56

bankrupted ourselves putting uh highways

17:58

in place. Now there's something that

18:00

makes this worse than ever before and

18:03

that is that when we built train tracks

18:05

they lasted for 100 years. When we built

18:08

roads they lasted 50 plus years. The

18:10

telecommunications g uh fiber optics 30

18:13

years. All of these investments were

18:15

multi-deade investments that we could

18:17

get benefit from and and and leverage

18:20

for decades. Data centers last 3 to four

18:23

years before they need to be replaced.

18:25

So we are building something that has a

18:27

3 to four year life cycle that costs

18:30

hundreds of billions and it has to be

18:32

replaced every few years and there is no

18:35

financial model attached to this that

18:36

justifies it at all. So one thing that

18:39

I'm predicting is that in 2029 100 years

18:42

after the great depression we will see a

18:45

massive financial meltdown based off the

18:47

back of these data centers that have

18:48

been um developed at the moment. And for

18:51

someone that doesn't know what a data

18:52

center is,

18:53

>> so it's like a big Walmart or an airport

18:55

filled with computers and those

18:58

computers are running AI, right? So

19:00

every time you go on AI, you're

19:02

actually, you know, your request is

19:04

going off to a big computer in a

19:06

Walmartized building somewhere. But

19:08

those GPUs, those uh computer stacks,

19:11

those big ginormous computers, they are

19:14

like iPhones. They last about 3 years

19:16

before they get superseded. This year

19:18

ahead, we're going to spend 650 billion.

19:21

650 billion sounds like so abstract.

19:24

It's the equivalent of giving every

19:26

single person in America an iPhone Pro

19:29

with AirPods. But here's the crazy

19:31

thing. 95% of people who have been given

19:34

the the free uh iPhone are not willing

19:37

to pay for it. And the tiny number of

19:40

people who are willing to pay for it,

19:42

they're only willing to pay $20 a month,

19:44

most of them. So this $20 a month,

19:47

everyone's getting a free iPhone

19:48

effectively and then a small 5% of

19:51

people are willing to pay $20 a month.

19:52

The numbers are just astronomically out

19:55

of balance.

19:56

>> The numbers are astronomically out of

19:57

balance. So what happens next? You're

19:58

predicting in 2029 there's a financial

20:00

crash.

20:01

>> There's not a 0% chance that the

20:03

financial model around what what we've

20:05

launched with AI is catastrophic. It's a

20:08

huge financial problem that very few

20:09

people are talking about.

20:11

>> So let's talk about in a world of AI.

20:14

What are the skills that survive? And

20:18

like what what are the professions that

20:19

you believe survive? You've got

20:22

children, Daniel. When when they come to

20:24

you and they say, "Dad, um I'm hearing

20:26

about all this AI stuff and I've seen

20:27

these robots in China doing back flips.

20:30

What should I be learning now to make

20:32

sure that the next 20, 30, 40 years of

20:33

my career is prosperous?"

20:35

>> It's the entrepreneurial skill set that

20:37

is the most important skill set. It is

20:39

essentially the skills of identifying an

20:42

opportunity prototyping fast and cheap

20:45

experiments to see if you've got

20:46

something that people want, taking it to

20:49

market, making your initial sales,

20:51

scaling up to your addressable market,

20:53

and then exiting and then coming up with

20:55

a new idea. Because even if you're in a

20:57

big corporate, they're going to want to

20:59

prototype things. They're going to want

21:00

to spin out new products. They're going

21:02

to want to come up with new initiatives.

21:04

And we need to step through that process

21:06

of is this a good idea or not? Can we

21:08

validate it? Can we scale it? Right? And

21:11

you want to go through that process as

21:12

fast and as cheap as possible the way an

21:14

entrepreneur would.

21:15

>> And on that first point of identifying a

21:17

good idea.

21:19

Now is there any way to know if the idea

21:22

that I have is a good idea or a bad

21:25

idea?

21:25

>> Yeah, this is a step that entrepreneurs

21:27

call validation. And the rookie

21:30

entrepreneurs that fail, they don't do

21:31

this step very well, right? So they

21:33

don't do market validation. They don't

21:34

do product validation. They simply get

21:36

excited about an idea and then they go

21:38

all in on the idea. And what really

21:41

experienced entrepreneurs do is that we

21:44

come up with ways to do fast cheap

21:46

experiments. So for example, last year I

21:49

had two ideas and I I actually kind of

21:51

liked one a lot and I liked one a little

21:54

bit. And what I did is I set up a

21:56

waiting list campaign and I basically

21:59

invited people to join the waiting list

22:00

for idea number one and about 750 people

22:04

joined that waiting list and they filled

22:05

in a set set of questions so that I knew

22:08

that 750 people were interested in this

22:10

idea. This was my favorite idea. And

22:12

then the second idea I invited people to

22:15

join that waiting list and 4 and a half

22:17

thousand people joined that waiting

22:19

list. So even though this wasn't my

22:21

favorite idea, it was way more exciting

22:24

for people and way it was sitting on top

22:26

of a much bigger need. So off the back

22:29

of collecting 4 and a half thousand

22:30

people on the waiting list and

22:31

collecting all the data and the

22:32

information, we went to some angel

22:34

investors about a week later after doing

22:37

that and we raised quarter of a million

22:38

pounds. So about300 or $400,000

22:41

and all of that took about a week or

22:43

two. With that example, how do you know

22:46

that the business itself and the

22:49

delivery of that idea actually meets

22:51

their expectation? Because I can think

22:52

of multiple examples where someone

22:54

clicked on an idea that I had, but

22:58

actually the delivery of that idea fell

23:00

short of expectation because sometimes

23:02

things can sound good when you you see

23:04

the flyer or the poster or the advert,

23:06

but the reality of the experience is

23:08

actually not that great.

23:10

>> So, let me walk you through the six

23:11

steps quickly. Step one is called

23:13

founder opportunity fit and founder

23:16

opportunity fit is finding something

23:17

that you want to do. Step two is

23:19

validation. Right? So this is where we

23:21

actually try and see is there a market

23:23

could we could we build something? Could

23:24

we sell something? Right? So that's two

23:26

validation. Can we build it? Can we sell

23:28

it? Step three is called product market

23:30

fit. And this is the next step where

23:32

you're actually trying to figure out can

23:34

we actually make this live up to

23:35

people's expectations so that they

23:36

really like it. Is there a group of

23:38

people who buy this and they're happy

23:39

with the purchase? And we want to do

23:41

that carefully and cheaply. And then

23:43

finally once people say well or the next

23:45

step once people say yes we can do that

23:48

we go to market and go to market is

23:50

making sales. And then after going to

23:53

market we scale up right step five. And

23:56

then the final step is we exit. So we go

23:59

through those six steps and we call that

24:00

a value creation loop. And that value

24:03

creation loop goes through those six

24:04

steps and each step has its own little

24:06

job. And what we're trying to do is just

24:09

validate, go to the next step, achieve

24:12

the milestones, go to the next step. And

24:14

and that's how we do it as

24:15

entrepreneurs.

24:16

>> So in a world of AI, are there any

24:18

particular opportunities that you think

24:20

are um new and exciting that anybody

24:23

listening right now could pursue to make

24:25

money, whether it's passive income on

24:26

the side or to leave their current role

24:28

and pursue entrepreneurship for?

24:30

>> Well, the starting point is that

24:32

everything is an opportunity because

24:34

what do entrepreneurs do? we find things

24:36

that could be done better, faster,

24:38

cheaper or with more emotional benefits.

24:39

>> But has AI created any particular

24:41

interesting opportunities in your view

24:43

that you think that's a a huge arbitrage

24:45

opportunity?

24:45

>> I think one of the best opportunities is

24:47

a small SAS company. So software as a

24:50

service was an elite level business

24:52

opportunity that very very few people

24:53

could enter. That was something that

24:55

only maybe tens of thousands or hundreds

24:58

of thousands of founders at most

25:00

globally could have a software company.

25:02

So it was very very elite. And the

25:04

reason it was elite is because it was

25:06

very very hard to mobilize the talent

25:08

required to build a software company.

25:10

You probably needed, you know, maybe 10,

25:12

20 or 30 uh developers to build a

25:15

software product that would actually be

25:16

a good software product. You needed to

25:18

raise millions of dollars to get through

25:20

the costs of developing software uh

25:22

companies. And you probably needed

25:24

10,000 customers to have a break even

25:26

software company. Now, because of AI,

25:29

all of those costs have massively come

25:31

down. And there are software companies

25:33

that are wildly profitable that have 500

25:35

customers or a thousand customers. They

25:37

service a tiny little niche. Uh they

25:40

attach a community and some media and

25:42

some training to those little software

25:44

niches. So one of the most exciting

25:46

things is that if you essentially said

25:49

that I would like to take what I know,

25:52

turn it into a playbook, take that

25:54

playbook, ask AI to advise me on what

25:56

software we could create, and then use

25:58

AI tools to build out that software.

26:00

you're able to get very deep into that

26:03

journey for almost no money.

26:06

>> I was thinking about this the other day

26:07

because in my company, we're rebuilding

26:09

our entire ATS ourselves.

26:12

>> So, an ATS is basically the system you

26:14

use when you recruit people. Everyone's

26:16

name goes into the ATS. It's kind of

26:17

like a like a search engine. Yeah, like

26:20

a database of where candidates who have

26:21

applied for your company currently are.

26:23

>> And over the last couple of years, I've

26:25

paid tens of thousands of dollars every

26:26

year for an ATS for my companies. And

26:29

this year I thought, you know what,

26:30

actually I reckon we could build an ATS

26:32

in a couple of weeks ourselves and it

26:33

could be bespoke to us. So we started

26:35

that project. I saw the the first

26:36

version of it yesterday. We started a

26:37

week ago

26:38

>> and the first version the the version of

26:41

it I saw I was like, "Oh, this is

26:42

significantly better than what we were

26:44

using before because it's bespoke."

26:45

>> Yeah. And this made me think about the

26:46

the opportunity of creating software

26:49

generally, which is that in a world

26:50

where it becomes, as you say, like

26:52

cheaper, easier, faster, we're all going

26:55

to be using more software, but we're

26:57

probably not going to be paying

26:59

other people for their software,

27:03

especially when it's these kind of

27:04

tools, productivity tools and systems.

27:07

>> It's purely a tool, it's very easy to

27:09

replicate. But if it's a tool that comes

27:11

with a community, if it comes with

27:13

education and training, if it comes with

27:15

agents that

27:16

>> education and training.

27:17

>> Yeah. So like for example, if you were

27:19

to do an ATS, right, an applicant

27:20

tracking system, a a hiring tool, and

27:23

you had the DOAC uh system and method

27:26

that I can go and attend the training as

27:28

to how you on board people, how you

27:30

create culture, how you do things at

27:32

DOAC, I'm now interested in the software

27:34

because it comes with that exciting

27:36

training. if there was also a boot camp

27:38

that I could go to that was attached to

27:40

that product. If there was also an

27:41

annual retreat or a dinner series, if

27:43

there was also uh some funding

27:45

opportunities that came with that. So

27:48

once upon a time you were just simply

27:50

going to focus on creating a software

27:52

tool because that was so labor intensive

27:55

and also it had a natural moat or

27:57

protection around it that you didn't

27:59

have to get creative. But now we live in

28:02

a world where the AI lets you to build

28:03

the product pretty quickly. It helps you

28:05

to do all these other things that we

28:07

talked about and suddenly it's actually

28:09

quite a a fun product that you that you

28:11

can spin up. What you've already created

28:14

would have probably cost 500,000 in 6

28:17

months.

28:18

>> Oh my god. 6 months. I wish.

28:19

>> Not that long ago.

28:20

>> Yeah. It would probably cost It would

28:21

have probably taken about 18 months

28:23

total end to end.

28:24

>> And you've done it in a week.

28:25

>> Yeah. And so everyone else can do it in

28:28

a week. And in fact, if anyone if that's

28:30

anyone's business right now, there's

28:32

going to be a thousand new ATS systems a

28:35

day. One's going to trend on Twitter.

28:36

You know, people are going to download

28:37

that one and then they're going to jump

28:38

ship because a new one emerges and it's

28:40

better, it's more agentic, whatever. And

28:42

so, again, I think are we seeing

28:43

software generally become a commodity?

28:45

>> What we're going to see is we're going

28:47

to see all business opportunities be

28:49

like YouTube content. I mean, if I went

28:51

back 25, 30 years ago and said there's

28:54

going to be 10 person unfunded little TV

28:56

studios that produce content every

28:59

single week for almost no money.

29:02

You you would think that's crazy. I

29:04

mean, Seinfeld used to cost 5 million an

29:06

episode. Um, The Simpsons and Friends,

29:09

these were all multi-million dollars per

29:11

episode. And we've now replicated that

29:13

that can be done like by a tiny little

29:16

team for free every week. It's

29:18

interesting because the minute we say

29:19

that the answer is to do these things

29:21

that are now easy and free and cheap to

29:23

do, it's almost like we we then don't

29:25

acknowledge the fact that if everyone's

29:26

doing it, it's no longer a valuable

29:28

thing to do.

29:29

>> It's less valuable.

29:30

>> Yeah. As it becomes easier, the other

29:32

access is the decline in the value. So,

29:34

we're saying we're saying to people go

29:36

be a content creator. But the very fact

29:38

that they can without needing a CNN size

29:41

skyscraper or production equipment also

29:42

means everybody can which means that

29:45

that that actually is losing value at

29:47

the same rate that it's becoming easy

29:49

theoretically and and so what I

29:52

continually think about from first

29:53

principles is what is it that I can bet

29:55

on that is irreplaceably human which

29:58

only I can do and a kid in Mumbai cannot

30:01

do. And so when we say software I go kid

30:03

in Mumbai and then we say content I go

30:05

kid in Mumbai. Well, uh, physical

30:07

experiences in the world, real world, I

30:09

agree with you. So, standing on a stage

30:12

and telling your story is something I

30:14

mean, you already see that thousands of

30:17

people show up to see this and to be

30:19

part of to be in a room with other

30:20

people who are sharing an experience.

30:22

See, the thing that the AI version of

30:24

you can't do is turn up to an event.

30:26

>> I agree. So, I I say what I say because

30:29

I genuinely want to be challenged here.

30:31

I I'm I sit here with these AI experts

30:34

and CEOs because I genuinely I hope that

30:37

they say something that

30:39

>> tilts the current belief that I have and

30:41

like makes me go, "Oh, actually, you

30:43

know, that's a good point. I'm in search

30:44

of good points on the subject matter."

30:46

So, when I said what I just said about

30:48

content software becoming increasingly

30:50

commoditized and because it's becoming

30:52

commoditized, we're like tempting people

30:53

to go do more of it without

30:54

acknowledging the fact that the very

30:56

fact that people are doing more of it

30:57

means it's less valuable and it's more

30:59

of a commodity. And what I'm saying

31:00

though is that these things have to go

31:02

together. So simply like anyone who's

31:05

doing real world experiences, I think

31:07

what's going to happen is you'll go to a

31:08

conference and that conference will come

31:10

with custom software that lasts 2 or 3

31:12

weeks that is really really interesting

31:15

and it relates to that conference and

31:17

that software was created as a SAS

31:19

product for the attendees of that

31:21

conference and it kind of pops into

31:23

existence very briefly. These things

31:25

used to be separate and now they all

31:26

cluster together, right? So, it's a

31:28

buffet of things that you all put

31:29

together. If we take most successful

31:32

businesses now, they do social media.

31:35

That used to be a standalone business.

31:37

It was crazy to think that a hair salon

31:40

could also be a media business. I've met

31:42

with tens of thousands of entrepreneurs

31:44

and the number of people who want to go

31:46

big is tiny. It's a fraction of the

31:48

entrepreneurial community. What most

31:50

people want is a business that provides

31:52

an amazing lifestyle. They want to live

31:55

and work from anywhere. They want to be

31:56

able to travel. They want to do three or

31:58

four days a week. They want to drop

31:59

their kids off at school. They want to

32:02

uh do non-monotonous, interesting work

32:05

that is a little chaotic, a little

32:08

creative, a little bit fun, a little bit

32:10

challenging. They want to work with a

32:11

small group of people that they get to

32:12

know and enjoy and travel through life

32:14

together. And those are the types of

32:16

things that the majority of people

32:18

actually want. Very few people actually

32:20

want big. So, one thing that I'm

32:22

noticing is that it's probably harder

32:24

than ever to build a big business, but

32:26

it's easier than ever to build a small

32:28

successful business. So, if we were to

32:31

say that a business that does 1 to 5

32:32

million of revenue with a team of 10

32:34

people, that is like totally

32:38

like super uh possible. But once you go

32:41

beyond that, it's becoming harder and

32:43

harder because you get disrupted more

32:45

frequently. So you have to be an elite

32:46

athlete of entrepreneurs to withstand

32:48

the constant disruption and and um the

32:52

the constant change that's coming. So

32:54

because your natural mindset is to think

32:56

really really big, you're probably

32:59

missing that for many people who are

33:02

working in a annoying corporate

33:04

environment and their job is monotonous

33:07

and they feel tethered to a desk or they

33:10

feel tethered to a team that doesn't

33:11

really care about them. you know, a lot

33:13

of those people are going to actually

33:14

end up in small dynamic little

33:15

businesses that will never be big, but

33:17

they'll be great. They'll be fun, you

33:19

know, and people will, you know, have

33:21

flexibility and they'll have uh, you

33:24

know, great, you know, great

33:25

opportunities as a result.

33:27

>> I think you're right. I do have a bias

33:29

towards trying to find, you know, big

33:30

opportunities. But actually, I think the

33:32

big blue ocean opportunity, which is,

33:35

for anyone that doesn't know, I think of

33:37

red oceans from the the book called Blue

33:38

Ocean Strategy as very competitive,

33:41

>> hyper competitive horrible markets where

33:43

it's like a race to the bottom. You're

33:44

all doing the same thing. Like you're

33:47

all saying the same thing, doing the

33:49

same thing, and you all think that your

33:51

unique positioning is is unique, but

33:53

it's actually not. The market doesn't

33:54

value it any differently. Like a wine

33:56

company saying that their wine is a year

33:57

older or that using a fancier word on

33:59

the label. It's a red ocean, a blood

34:00

bath. A blue ocean is an uncont

34:03

uncontested waters where you have room

34:05

to grow much less competition and there

34:08

is actually something fundamental to

34:09

your proposition your business idea the

34:11

thing the value you're giving to the

34:12

world that is unique

34:14

>> I'm looking for blue oceans

34:16

>> and yes I will try and build a big boat

34:19

in the blue ocean

34:20

>> because that's my nature but also life

34:22

is easier when you sail in blue oceans

34:25

for everybody even if you want a

34:26

lifestyle business I think one of the

34:27

great examples at the moment is if you

34:29

started a marketing agency when I

34:30

started In 2014, especially a social

34:33

media agency, you were in the blue

34:34

ocean.

34:35

>> You were briefly

34:36

>> briefly. And they say, you know, blue

34:37

oceans often last for 10 years. In 2024,

34:40

my best friends, I'd say 70% of them run

34:44

marketing or brand agencies.

34:45

>> Yeah.

34:46

>> I'm having the same same therapy session

34:48

with them once a month at the moment.

34:49

And if you look at the big five, big

34:50

four, big five agencies in the world,

34:52

the WPPs and Martin Surl's business,

34:55

>> they're all

34:56

>> they're all competed to way their

34:57

margins. They're struggling. Yeah.

34:59

>> They're losing their profit. they're

35:00

losing their market share.

35:01

>> And AI and digital technology means that

35:04

this disruption cycle happens in months,

35:06

not years anymore. So you said a blue

35:08

ocean can last for years or decades. Not

35:09

in the world of AI. In the world of AI,

35:12

as soon as we've identified that you've

35:13

got a blue ocean, we can replicate that

35:15

real fast and we can come and fly out to

35:17

your blue ocean with with an with lots

35:19

of competition. Here's something that's

35:20

interesting. Throughout all of history,

35:23

whenever you find societies that have

35:26

low social mobility and hyper

35:28

competition, there's lots and lots of

35:30

festivals. So you go into medieval

35:33

times, they've got a festival for every

35:35

season. They've got a festival for every

35:36

life event. There's just constant

35:38

festivals. You go into rural Africa,

35:40

rural India, and it's festivals,

35:42

festivals, festivals, right? Weddings,

35:44

funerals, seasonal festivals. It's a

35:47

huge part of human culture that we have

35:49

lost in big cities. like we don't do a

35:52

lot of festival or rare it's rare that

35:53

we do a lot of festivals these real

35:55

world experiences but I don't

35:56

necessarily think it's a blue ocean

35:58

because uh as soon as people realize how

36:01

much people want to do festivals and

36:03

want to do real world experiences a lot

36:05

of companies can also add this to the

36:06

mix I think what is defensible is

36:10

community experience and embracing the

36:13

constant chaotic change and coming up

36:15

with new stuff all the time

36:17

>> one of the bets I'm making and it goes

36:18

back to what like again reasoning up

36:20

from those principles. If the question

36:22

is what can I do that an AI agent or AI

36:25

could not do and especially in the

36:26

context of what humans will continue to

36:29

need.

36:29

>> Mhm.

36:30

>> When you were born Dan, you're born with

36:31

a bunch of needs and those needs like

36:33

fundamentally haven't changed. One of

36:34

them is like connection.

36:36

>> I think you'll always be able to discern

36:37

what is real human connection from

36:40

artificial connection. I remember being

36:42

16 years old and in my psychology class

36:44

at the back when they told me about the

36:45

recess monkeys experiment where they got

36:47

a recess monkey, this little small

36:48

little monkey. They pretended that its

36:50

mother was a wire mesh. So they made a

36:53

wire mesh mother. The recess monkey

36:54

grows up to be a psychopath because it's

36:57

it fundamental human need of connection

36:59

is not met. They then did it with a

37:01

cloth and the recess monkey grew up to

37:04

be a bit more stable. And then obviously

37:05

they showed the examples where the

37:07

recess monkey actually had a physical

37:09

flesh mother and it was it was fine. So

37:12

I say this to illuminate the fact that

37:14

we have fundamental needs that if not

37:15

met there will be consequences. One of

37:17

ours is connection. So, as a content

37:19

creator, I can sit here and I can tell

37:21

you what happened today, right? I can

37:23

say at 6:00 this guy broke into this

37:25

bank and then he left. I think that's a

37:28

commodity. Now,

37:29

>> I think the thing that I can do as a

37:30

podcaster, as a behind-the-scenes

37:32

content creator, as a streamer,

37:35

>> this is why I'm so bullish on streamers

37:37

>> is they're making irreplaceably human

37:39

content. There's no AI that can an AI

37:41

can tell you what menop what happens in

37:43

menopause. An AI can't tell you its

37:45

experience of menopause. Yes, we need to

37:47

find something that only we can say as

37:49

humans. And every single person has this

37:51

by the way, but a lot of us overlook

37:53

what we can say as a human. I recently

37:56

came across a financial planner and his

37:58

name is Matt Pitcher and he gave a TED

38:01

talk and the TED talk is about what it

38:04

was like for him to meet 100 people who

38:07

had won the lottery. So, he had a

38:09

partnership as a financial planner with

38:11

the uh British lottery. And every week

38:13

someone wins the lottery and then he

38:15

goes in and meets them a week later

38:17

after they've discovered they've won the

38:19

lottery.

38:19

>> Wow.

38:20

>> But what he did did is he looked back at

38:22

his history and he had lots of different

38:23

things that he was doing, but he looked

38:24

back at his history and he connected

38:26

some dots and he said, "Hey, wait a

38:27

second. There's something that only I

38:29

can talk about. There's something that

38:30

is that is my thing that I've

38:32

experienced that I live through that

38:34

I've sat in those living rooms. I've sat

38:35

eye to eye with those people and only I

38:37

can talk about that." And because of

38:39

that TED talk, he's he's had half a

38:41

million views in the first few weeks and

38:43

you know, his business is obviously

38:44

going to explode and all of those kind

38:45

of things because he found something

38:47

that only he could say. I believe that

38:49

every person has something that's human

38:51

that only they can say that's highly

38:53

relatable. You shared with me an

38:54

interesting philosophy. Uh when we first

38:57

met, I did my first episode on Diary of

38:58

a CEO and it got millions of views. And

39:01

I said to you, why is it that my episode

39:03

got millions of views, but a few weeks

39:05

ago there was a billionaire CEO who only

39:08

got a few hundred thousand views. And a

39:10

few weeks before that, there was a

39:11

billionaire CEO who only got a few

39:13

hundred thousand views. And you said,

39:15

Daniel, relatable beats impressive.

39:17

>> Yeah.

39:17

>> And a lot of people think that they have

39:19

to cure cancer or launch a rocket to

39:22

Mars or that they have to win a Nobel

39:23

Peace Prize or float a company on the

39:25

NASDAQ. And actually each individual

39:27

person, we have to discover what I would

39:30

call your personal intellectual property

39:31

or your personal intellectual capital

39:33

and your personal story, your personal

39:36

playbooks, you know, your your triumphs

39:38

and your disasters, the things that

39:40

you've done that are interesting to a

39:42

certain group of people that you can

39:43

quantify, that you can describe, that

39:45

you can give me what it was like. Those

39:47

are your personal playbooks. Now once

39:49

you have personal playbooks, you have

39:51

the ability to turn that into all sorts

39:53

of products and services through AI. But

39:55

you but it starts with having personal

39:57

playbooks.

39:58

>> I think this is the key mistake that a

39:59

lot of content creators are um making,

40:02

which is because it's easy to make stuff

40:03

now, it's tempting just to churn stuff

40:05

out.

40:06

>> Yeah.

40:06

>> Whereas I'm making less content now in a

40:10

world of AI. If you look at my LinkedIn,

40:11

I used to post, if you go back like

40:14

three or four years, I was just churning

40:16

stuff out my quote picture, anything

40:18

fluffy, like just fluff

40:19

>> data.

40:19

>> Yeah. Now I go, well, if everyone can do

40:21

it, the reason why my LinkedIn, you'll

40:23

see almost every post I post now is a

40:25

human story about something I've gone

40:27

through, you'll see photos of me, you'll

40:28

see photos of my family.

40:30

>> You're saying stuff that only you can

40:31

say.

40:33

>> Yeah. So, we all have to find what is

40:34

the thing that only you can say. And no

40:38

robot, no AI could ever say that because

40:41

it hasn't lived that experience.

40:43

>> Yeah, it's got all the data. It's got

40:44

all the knowledge, but it's got no lived

40:45

experience. And also from a business

40:48

perspective, an AI can never stand on a

40:50

stage. An AI can never host a dinner

40:52

party. Uh an AI can never meet someone

40:54

face to face and put their hand on their

40:56

shoulder and say, "Hey, I've been

40:57

through what you've been through and

40:58

you're going to be okay." Right? So all

41:00

of those things AI can't do. So once you

41:03

discover something that only you can say

41:05

it it becomes a superpower.

41:06

>> I think my best performing post this

41:08

year was actually me proposing to my

41:10

fiance a prime prime example of

41:12

something that is irreplaceably human

41:14

which is getting down on one knee and

41:16

telling another human being that you

41:17

love them. There's no AI that has ever I

41:20

mean listen

41:20

>> it's never experienced it.

41:21

>> Yeah. Exactly. So and there's something

41:23

so human about that.

41:24

>> It's relatable. It's not impressive.

41:26

It's relatable. Um from first principles

41:29

I ask myself which type of content am I

41:32

making is creating the the strongest

41:33

parasocial relationship

41:35

>> with the person on the other end. If I

41:37

post on my LinkedIn everything happens

41:39

for a reason. Am I how much have I moved

41:42

the needle on our our relationship my

41:43

relationship with you? Probably zero. If

41:46

I talk about something more human, some

41:49

struggles that I'm having uh from a

41:50

human perspective, if I'm more honest,

41:53

authentic, and open or vulnerable about

41:55

the experience I'm going through, like

41:57

streamers who sit there for seven I

41:59

think did I say this last time that I I

42:01

asked a streamer a couple of questions.

42:03

>> And I asked the streamers like, "What do

42:04

you do?" And he was like, "Oh, nothing.

42:05

I just sit there and

42:06

>> sit for seven hours and watch Judge Judy

42:07

with the audience and we chat." I say,

42:09

and this is a prime example of

42:10

Parasocial.

42:11

>> They actually talk to you. They go chat.

42:13

Let me know if you think X Y or Z chat.

42:16

Drop W's in the chat. That's a friend.

42:19

>> That's the closest thing to a friend.

42:21

It's the strongest parasocial

42:22

relationship.

42:23

>> Well, you said about the football game

42:24

where the loudest cheers in the audience

42:26

came for those streamers who were just

42:28

connecting with people.

42:29

>> They've built friendships basically with

42:30

their audience. So, of all, I think in a

42:32

world of AI where justformational

42:34

content, which is this thing happened or

42:36

this is what the gut microbiome is, is

42:38

going to become commoditized. The thing

42:40

that isn't commoditized is content that

42:42

creates relationships with audiences and

42:45

then as you say then converts that

42:46

relationship into stronger experiences

42:49

like IRL events and so on and so forth.

42:51

I've got a couple more ideas that I I

42:53

haven't fully shared with the world yet

42:55

but I'm just I'll wait for the right

42:56

time about all of this stuff.

42:58

>> See it's not one piece that is adding

43:00

the value. It's the ecosystem of pieces.

43:02

So it's having something to say that

43:04

only you can say. Let's call that your

43:05

personal playbooks. Let's call that your

43:07

personal intellectual property. It's

43:09

having the people or your community that

43:11

you're going through life with, right?

43:12

That's called that your ideal customers,

43:14

your ideal personas if you want to make

43:16

it a clinical definition of in marketing

43:18

speak that that gives rise to a personal

43:21

brand. When those two things touch, you

43:23

then end up with a personal brand,

43:24

right? As if by magic, you end up with a

43:26

personal brand because you've got

43:27

intellectual property and you've got an

43:28

ideal customer who connects with that

43:30

and then you you are the person who

43:31

embodies it. So you you give rise to

43:33

that. And then the question is, well,

43:35

how do you make money from that? Well,

43:37

you productize it. You create products

43:39

and services. And it's the product and

43:41

service ecosystem that makes money. It's

43:43

not one product or service. It used to

43:44

be that you could just have a a product

43:46

or service that you offer. And now it's

43:48

the product and service ecosystem. The

43:49

people that I see making the most money

43:52

at the moment, they don't do one thing.

43:54

You don't do one thing. Right? So, if I

43:56

look at uh your personal P&L, you've

43:59

probably got 27 different ways that

44:01

money came and hit your bank account

44:02

last month. There's speaking, there's

44:04

podcasting, there's AdSense revenue,

44:06

there's sponsors, there's shareholdings

44:08

in different companies that you've got.

44:10

Um, there might be some one-to-one

44:12

coaching that you might have done. There

44:14

might be an appearance fee. There might

44:15

be some book royalties. There's multiple

44:17

books. Uh, there might be some software

44:18

that you've launched. So there's all

44:20

this stuff that sounds crazy and chaotic

44:24

in a pre-AII world, but in a postAI

44:26

world, it's not that hard to create all

44:27

these different products and services

44:29

and to be launching different things and

44:30

to be going on a journey with people and

44:32

having a product and service ecosystem.

44:33

I'm the same, by the way. I've probably

44:35

got 20 different things that, you know,

44:37

that I'm involved in at any given time.

44:39

>> I was reading yesterday that the for the

44:41

first time, I mean, I was reading a few

44:42

things. One of the interesting things I

44:44

read is that Spotify said their best

44:45

developers haven't written a line of

44:47

code since December thanks to AI, which

44:49

again is a whole another conversation.

44:51

Maybe we should touch on that. What are

44:53

the occupations that you genuinely

44:56

believe won't exist 5 years from now as

44:59

we know them?

45:00

>> People say lawyers are going to be

45:01

disrupted.

45:02

>> Well, I recently had a law legal case

45:05

that I had to resolve and it was going

45:07

to cost us £50,000. So, $60,000

45:11

uh as a start the process with a law

45:13

firm. We took matters into our own hands

45:15

and we used Claude and we actually fixed

45:17

the process and resolve the process by

45:19

spending 20 a month, $20 a month. And

45:22

Claude gave us a coaching session on how

45:24

to handle it. Gave us multiple decision

45:26

tree pathways. Gave us the documents

45:29

that we would need. Gave us an Excel

45:31

spreadsheet of do say this, don't say

45:33

this in the negotiation. And it made me

45:35

realize, my goodness, what a lawyer's

45:37

going to do. Uh because if all they do

45:40

is charge for time for money to

45:42

regurgitate contracts, I don't need that

45:44

anymore. Right?

45:45

>> Multiple reports say legacy legal tech

45:47

and data firms have lost roughly 20% of

45:50

their value so far in 2026.

45:52

>> 280 billion was wiped off the value of

45:54

publicly traded companies like that in

45:56

the last week. Like it's wild. Um

45:59

because we're not going to need that. I

46:01

don't believe we're going to need these

46:03

business models as they currently stand.

46:05

I think they're going to have to change

46:07

and adapt. I think a lawyer needs to

46:08

take a completely different shape. Part

46:10

business coach, part lawyer, part prompt

46:12

engineer. They're going to be the key

46:14

person of AI in the room who the

46:17

lawyer's job will be to work with you on

46:19

your AI prompting and help you get the

46:21

resolution. You're probably going to

46:23

need a lot less of a lawyer's time. Blue

46:25

collar work has been devalued. And we've

46:28

seen people who work with their hands

46:29

and people who uh turn up to your house

46:31

and fix your house in a devalued role.

46:35

And it could be in the next, you know,

46:37

uh, couple of years. These are the roles

46:39

that are elevated the most and that

46:42

plumbers regularly earn more than

46:43

lawyers simply because the nature of the

46:46

economy has changed. One thing I've

46:47

learned over the last 25 years is the

46:49

pendulum swings. Things that very few

46:52

things stay the same. There is always

46:53

this swinging pendulum. And the swinging

46:55

pendulum is like, oh yeah, white collar

46:57

work behind a screen is the high value

46:59

thing. Oh, no, it's actually blue collar

47:01

work with your hands. You talked about

47:03

supply and demand. We dis the government

47:06

disrupted the natural way children go

47:09

out and find opportunities in the world

47:10

by making university loans come along.

47:13

And they said, "Oh, everyone can just

47:14

take out a university loan and go to

47:16

university. In fact, you must and you

47:17

should go go to university. Get yourself

47:19

in debt or else you'll never get a job

47:21

anywhere if you don't do a university

47:22

degree." And lots of young people who

47:25

should have been plumbers, electricians,

47:27

and concreers and brick layers went off

47:30

and became a m got a master's degree in

47:32

the mating habits of butterflies and you

47:34

know some random degree that doesn't

47:36

have a job attached and they ended up in

47:38

60 70 $80,000 worth of debt to get this

47:41

degree that no one was asking for. That

47:43

market distortion means that we now

47:45

don't have many plumbers and

47:46

electricians and the blue ocean is now

47:49

being a trades person.

47:52

There's a phase a lot of companies hit

47:53

where they're no longer doing the most

47:55

important thing, which is selling. And

47:56

they get really bogged down with admin.

47:58

And it's often something that creeps up

48:00

slowly and you don't really notice until

48:02

it's happened. Slowly momentum starts to

48:04

leak out. This happened to us and our

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48:57

>> Steve, what are you doing?

48:59

>> Uh, just making myself a delicious

49:01

coffee

49:01

>> from the freezer.

49:03

>> From the freezer. Have you not heard

49:04

about Contier?

49:04

>> No.

49:05

>> Oh my gosh. This is going to change your

49:07

life. A couple of months ago, the

49:09

founder of this business called Matt

49:10

sent a big shipment of this coffee to

49:14

our office in London. What most people

49:15

don't know is that the processing of

49:16

coffee takes out a lot of the taste. So,

49:18

what they do is they flash freeze it at

49:21

the optimal moment when it's most tasty

49:24

and they send you in the post the coffee

49:26

in these little frozen ice cubes. Now,

49:28

Matt sent a big shipment to my office. I

49:30

moved it to the kitchen. I said to the

49:31

team, "Knock yourselves out." And then I

49:33

saw so many messages in our Slack

49:35

channel of people going, "Oh my god,

49:37

what the hell is that? It's so

49:38

delicious." All I have to do is pop it

49:40

out in the morning using the little

49:41

button on the back of this thing. I pour

49:44

my hot water in and I mix it and that is

49:48

done. You can get $30 off your first

49:50

order of Cometier coffee if you go to

49:53

cometier.com/stephven.

49:56

Try it and please Instagram DM me,

49:58

LinkedIn me and let me know if you love

50:00

it as much as I do. I was looking at the

50:03

um top 10 jobs according to AI that are

50:06

most likely to be disrupted and it said

50:08

things like drivers with Mackenzie

50:09

estimating 30% of them will be automated

50:11

by 2030 customer service representative

50:13

and call center reps which I used to be.

50:15

>> Mhm. Same

50:16

>> 50% headcount reductions after AI roll

50:18

out according to some estimates some go

50:20

up to about 80%. I actually saw a tool

50:22

on my timeline yesterday that is real

50:25

human voice indistinguishable from

50:26

humans that's just launched and is

50:28

causing a huge stir. So that they're

50:30

thinking that will replace even more of

50:32

the customer service roles. I I did

50:34

speak to the CEO of Cler TLDDR as he

50:37

said we currently have 7,000 employees.

50:39

We're going to be able to get down to

50:41

3,000. He said after summer because of

50:44

um AI and we'll be using our existing

50:48

team members that are in customer

50:50

service roles to do more sort of bespoke

50:51

white glove VIP

50:53

>> VIP stuff will go up. In fact, Jean's

50:55

paradox would suggest that a lot of the

50:59

dehumanizing repetitive work will go

51:01

away. But actually, if there are AI bots

51:05

that are really good at setting

51:07

appointments for a VIP human person to

51:09

have a conversation, then that work will

51:11

go through the roof. Because one of the

51:13

reasons that people, like right now,

51:15

most companies wish they could have more

51:17

VIP conversations, but the appointment

51:19

setting, they don't have a lot of the

51:20

low-level appointment setting stuff

51:22

happening. And if the appointment

51:23

setting stuff, if the cost of that goes

51:25

to zero, then the the the affordability

51:27

of the VIP level treatment um becomes

51:31

you know becomes uh much more feasible.

51:34

>> Retail cashes, admin assistants,

51:36

bookkeepers and payroll clerk, sales

51:38

development reps, warehouse workers with

51:41

um Amazon and others reporting that

51:42

robots now assist or replace labor in a

51:44

roughly 40% of fulfillment tasks. And

51:46

that Boston Dynamics video, which I'll

51:47

put up on the screen, shows a humanoid

51:49

robot working in a factory. What's nice

51:51

about some of this is that many of the

51:53

jobs here are jobs that a lot of people

51:55

don't actually like doing. They are

51:57

repetitive and dehumanizing. They're

51:59

late night. They're early mornings. So

52:02

potentially,

52:04

provided there is a Jeins paradox that

52:06

something happens that's more fun, more

52:07

humanizing, more interesting, more VIP,

52:10

more chaotic, and you know, all of that

52:12

sort of stuff. It could be a very

52:14

positive thing.

52:15

>> Fast food workers. Um, or

52:16

>> I used to be a fast food worker.

52:18

>> So did I in McDonald's? I think it was

52:19

two days. I did two years at McDonald's.

52:21

>> Oh, really? Because this disruption is

52:23

happening at record speeds. Where do all

52:25

these people go? Because, you know, even

52:27

in examples, oh, they could do AI

52:29

labeling. They need to be upskilled and

52:31

trained. And I worry that the rate of

52:33

disruption isn't going to meet the rate

52:35

of creation of new opportunities.

52:37

>> And I really do worry about this. Like I

52:38

think people wonder why I have these

52:39

conversations on this podcast over and

52:41

over again. My philosophy to talking

52:42

having conversations on this podcast is

52:44

basically I'll say to my team I'll say

52:46

Steve you want to have a conversation

52:47

about

52:48

>> you know this particular subject the gut

52:49

microbiome and I'll say

52:51

>> we've covered it

52:52

>> which basically means I'm no longer

52:54

curious y

52:55

>> I have the answers I know about the

52:57

trillions of gut micro and I know how

52:59

the gut brain access let's move on

53:00

>> I keep having these conversations about

53:02

AI because I feel like I'm getting no

53:04

good answers

53:05

>> okay so here's what's interesting there

53:07

is something which you have which is

53:10

this elite mindset which is how do I

53:13

organize society

53:15

so that everyone gets a job and everyone

53:18

does stuff right and this is this is the

53:20

trap that many people have fallen into

53:22

and it's actually at the root cause of

53:24

socialism so the root of socialism is

53:26

that I know better than everybody else

53:29

and I will come up with a way of running

53:32

society so everyone gets looked after

53:34

that's the top down mindset the crazy

53:37

mindset that actually works is if If we

53:41

give people education and training and

53:43

we make opportunity transparent and we

53:46

actually let people know what's actually

53:47

happening in the market and we give them

53:49

price signal data, they will

53:51

selforganize and reorganize and they

53:53

will have a bottom-up revolution and

53:55

they will find amazing interesting

53:57

things to do. The money is in the

53:59

economy, right?

54:00

>> You think that's true?

54:01

>> That's called capitalism.

54:02

>> I know, but

54:03

>> capitalism works

54:04

>> in the UK. Let's take the UK as an

54:05

example, cuz we're all just screaming at

54:07

each other about brown people. We're not

54:08

talking about the the real alien, which

54:10

is like the fundamental economic

54:12

disruption of AI. Yeah. There's a report

54:14

that came out yesterday showing that

54:15

unemployment in the UK has hit

54:18

>> it's 25% up and youth unemployment has

54:20

grown by more than 25%.

54:22

>> It's like 16.1% of people that are

54:23

between 16 and 24 unemployed now.

54:26

>> Yeah.

54:26

>> And we're still not talking about the

54:28

economy. We're talking about brown

54:29

people.

54:30

>> When people feel that they can't get

54:31

ahead, they look for somebody to blame.

54:33

And this is historically consistent.

54:36

What is really happening is that the

54:38

government has become so big in the

54:40

economy. The the UK government is now 45

54:42

to 50% of all spending in the UK

54:44

economy. That's essentially a socialist

54:46

or it's getting socialist. Every amount

54:49

of government spend is a market

54:51

distortion regardless of what it's for.

54:53

And I'm saying there plenty of things

54:54

governments should be spending money on,

54:56

but all government spending is a market

54:58

distortion. It's not market driven. And

55:00

there is a monopoly on spend. So

55:01

therefore, it is a market distortion.

55:03

The more government spending you have,

55:05

the more market distortions you have.

55:07

>> What do you mean by market distortions?

55:08

>> So a market distortion is where the

55:10

markets are not really able to function

55:13

because there is some big organization

55:15

like the government spending money and

55:17

taking away price signals and taking

55:18

away the realities of the market. So a a

55:21

great example is what happened with

55:23

student loans. So rather what in a

55:25

capitalist society what would have

55:27

happened is that young people would have

55:29

heard oh my goodness there's a shortage

55:31

of brick layers. Have you heard that

55:33

brick layers are making £300 a day? Wow,

55:36

I would love to make £300 a day. I'm

55:38

going to go be a brick layer. Guess

55:40

what? It's a brick layers apprentice.

55:41

I'm going to go and be an apprentice.

55:42

I'm going to get paid to learn this

55:44

trade. And there would be a market

55:46

driven pull towards being a brick layer.

55:48

A young person would get a job at a bank

55:51

and the bank would say, "Hey, can we

55:53

please pay for you to do a finance

55:55

degree because we need more people

55:56

who've got a finance degree and we will

55:58

actually pay for you to go through

56:00

that." So that's a functioning market.

56:02

It's basically based on uh needs and

56:04

wants and things that are needed within

56:06

the economy. What the government did is

56:08

they created a what's called a market

56:09

distortion. They said to all young

56:11

people, we are going to give you as much

56:14

uh lending as you like to go out and

56:16

take whatever university courses you

56:18

want. Um there's no price data, there's

56:20

no signaling data. It's just you if you

56:22

want to borrow £50,000, you can go to

56:25

any course. If you're really interested

56:27

in the breeding habits of butterflies,

56:29

go and do a master's degree in that. and

56:32

um you know, happy days, right? You you

56:34

could it doesn't matter whether there

56:36

are jobs associated with it, you must go

56:38

and get a a university degree. So, they

56:40

set up an entire system that pushed

56:42

young people to go get £50,000 worth of

56:45

debt and do a degree that no one was

56:46

asking for. That's a market distortion.

56:48

We now have a bubble of over 280 billion

56:51

pounds worth of uh debt that will

56:53

probably never be repaid. Uh we have a

56:56

entire generation of young people who

56:59

are saddled with this debt that takes

57:01

away all motivation. There's no point in

57:03

working because they pay such high taxes

57:06

every single time they make a payment to

57:08

pay off their student loan. They they

57:10

pay 600 but the debt goes up by 650.

57:14

Right? It's it's absolutely insane. And

57:16

that's a classic example of governments

57:18

meddling with the markets creating a

57:20

market distortion. And now we have

57:22

hundreds of billions of dollars worth of

57:24

people who are very angry, very upset uh

57:26

because they are trapped in a student

57:28

debt that will not go away for decades.

57:30

>> Rashi Sunnak, the former prime minister

57:32

of the UK wrote an article last week

57:34

which you might have seen where he said

57:36

that if the UK fails to fix its

57:38

productivity problems and seize the AI

57:41

opportunity, the country risks becoming

57:44

a tourist theme park.

57:46

>> Yeah. Not even a good tourist theme

57:48

park. you know, there's there's, you

57:50

know, there's not a lot, you know, at

57:52

least a lot of other countries have

57:54

beaches and mountain ranges and ski

57:56

resorts and, you know, the UK doesn't

57:58

have a lot of that. We have to let

58:00

markets function. The issue that we

58:01

have, and this is this is actually a

58:03

trap that you're falling into is trying

58:05

to figure out top down, how do we

58:07

organize society, which is socialism,

58:10

right? The top down approach of trying

58:11

to fix this problem for everybody is the

58:13

socialist mindset. And it does it it

58:16

doesn't work. If you were the prime

58:17

minister

58:18

>> Yeah.

58:18

>> and you you can see the future that's

58:20

coming.

58:20

>> Yeah.

58:21

>> What would you do?

58:22

>> So the number one thing the UK needs to

58:24

do is reduce government involvement

58:25

where we need to get the government

58:27

spending down less than 35%.

58:30

>> Where'd you cut?

58:30

>> Right. So the key thing that you need is

58:33

that you need well there's loads of

58:34

places to cut, right? Like getting

58:36

involved in trying to do wind farms and

58:39

solar farms and all of this 40 billion

58:41

and all this sort of stuff. Preventing

58:43

companies from accessing natural gas

58:44

that is just sitting under our feet is a

58:47

crazy thing to do. Spending 20 billion

58:49

trying to give away one of our islands

58:50

to someone is a crazy thing to do.

58:52

There's all sorts of crazy things that

58:54

the government is spending money on.

58:55

Bureaucracy is a crazy spend. Do you

58:57

know that the um Birmingham City

58:59

Council, they wanted to migrate from SAP

59:03

to Oracle

59:04

>> and from a CRM system with SAP to a CRM

59:07

system with Oracle, a software system,

59:09

right? So they wanted to migrate from

59:11

one software system to another software

59:12

system. They thought that it would cost

59:14

£19 million which in itself is a very

59:17

high amount to migrate from one software

59:18

to another software. It cost £220

59:20

million.

59:21

>> So are you saying that you think the

59:23

government should just do less stuff?

59:24

>> They should be involved in less stuff

59:26

because what's happening right now is

59:28

that there is so

59:31

much government spending that the

59:33

benefits for succeeding are being eroded

59:35

by taxation and people are just leaving.

59:38

See, here's the thing. There's with

59:40

capitalism, the only benefit of

59:43

capitalism is the creative

59:44

entrepreneurial process, right? That

59:46

creative entrepreneurial process that

59:48

produces amazing companies and amazing

59:50

innovations and it creates stuff that is

59:52

better, faster, and cheaper for

59:54

everybody's lives. That comes from

59:56

capitalism. But if you take away the

59:58

incentives for doing that, you

60:00

essentially don't have that happen

60:01

within your country. And then as soon as

60:03

you don't have that, you don't have any

60:04

economic growth. And then as soon as you

60:06

don't have any economic growth, all

60:08

you're left with is the debt. And the

60:10

debt erodess your economy and kills your

60:12

economy and you don't have any growth to

60:15

counterbalance the debt. So you enter a

60:16

downward spiral. And that is basically

60:18

the same socialist scam that happens

60:20

over and over again everywhere that it's

60:22

tried. You're essentially trying to get

60:23

rid of the worst elements of an economy,

60:25

which is cronyism and extraction. But

60:28

that happens under socialism. you just

60:30

simply lose the one thing that doesn't

60:32

happen under socialism which is the

60:34

creative process, the entrepreneurial

60:36

process, the innovative process that

60:38

creates new value in the economy. So

60:41

what we've currently done in the UK,

60:43

we've taken away all incentives for

60:46

people to be in the UK and to succeed.

60:49

I'm sure you know people personally who

60:51

are no longer in the UK as tax

60:52

residents, who should be in the UK as

60:54

tax residents. They like the UK, they

60:56

enjoyed living in the UK, but what

60:58

happened? they left. You and I had a

61:00

debate with a guy a year ago and he

61:03

said, "Oh no, people are not going to

61:04

leave the UK. We can tax them as high as

61:06

we possibly can. We can ramp up the

61:08

taxes."

61:08

>> Gary Stevenson.

61:09

>> Yeah, Gary Stevenson. And Gary's

61:11

prediction was that rich people are not

61:13

going to leave. And he also predicted

61:15

that the house prices are going to

61:16

explode and that we're going to have

61:17

these horrible house prices. What's

61:19

happened? Housing market has gone flat

61:22

because people are leaving. the

61:24

economically active produ producers,

61:26

providers, they have left in their

61:27

droves and the economy is now in real

61:30

trouble. If you ask anyone who has left,

61:32

what do they tell you is the reason that

61:33

they left the UK?

61:34

>> Well, it's one of two things. It's

61:35

generally, I think they feel a sense of

61:37

pessimism about building their future in

61:39

a place that that feels like it's

61:41

unmanaged decline to some people.

61:44

>> And then the other cohort will say tax

61:46

reasons,

61:47

>> high taxes and and it just feels like

61:49

you can't get ahead. And also the third

61:50

I'd say is they they think that talent

61:52

is elsewhere. So they think they have a

61:54

better chance of getting capital and

61:55

talent employees if they move to America

61:57

or Dubai or wherever else.

61:58

>> Yep. And if you go to Dubai low taxes

62:01

and if you go to America lower taxes um

62:04

more opportunities. So we are living in

62:07

a time where you know a lot of countries

62:09

are exploring this socialism thing and

62:11

unfortunately it's a scam. But even

62:14

what's interesting is even your mindset

62:16

is we need to fix this top down as

62:17

opposed to fix it bottom up. With AI, we

62:20

need to give people price data, price

62:21

signals.

62:22

>> What does that mean?

62:23

>> It means that they need to be able to

62:24

see what's happening in in the economy.

62:25

A young person needs to know that

62:28

someone's making a lot of profit. They

62:29

need to be able to see there is

62:31

opportunities to do this, there's

62:32

opportunities to do that. They need to

62:34

also see, oh, this is no longer an

62:36

opportunity. So, this was great. This

62:38

was a great opportunity 5 years ago, but

62:39

it's not such a great opportunity now. A

62:42

lot of young people are going to

62:43

discover, oh, wait a second. I could get

62:45

into house renovations because a lot of

62:47

houses need renovating. And they go,

62:49

"Oh, cool. I've heard about someone

62:50

who's making money doing that. I'm going

62:51

to go do that." So, that's just having

62:53

access to price data.

62:54

>> When I look back over the last couple of

62:56

years, data from Henley and Partners in

62:58

2023, it says 3,200 millionaires net

63:02

left the UK. In 2024, 9,500 millionaires

63:05

net left the UK. In 2025, projected

63:09

16,500

63:11

millionaires are expected to leave the

63:13

UK, which is a record outflow. And

63:16

predictions that have not yet been

63:17

published warn that the trend is likely

63:20

to continue into 2026. When you think

63:23

about this, like I guess there's two

63:24

questions, which is why does this

63:26

matter?

63:26

>> Mhm.

63:27

>> And then the next question is what

63:28

should I do about it on an individual

63:30

level?

63:30

>> So why does it matter is because 1% of

63:32

people pay for 30% of the bills and uh

63:35

10% of people pay 60% of the bills. So

63:38

if those people leave then those bills

63:40

get passed on to everybody. We've seen

63:42

this here in New York. So we're at the

63:44

moment we're in New York and this

63:46

socialist mayor Mandani has basically

63:49

just come out today and said we need to

63:51

put everybody's taxes up because we need

63:54

to spread the bills of the city across

63:56

all the residents um because people are

63:58

leaving. Right. So he wants to propose a

64:01

9.5% tax rise on all people uh who who

64:04

own homes regardless of the value of

64:06

those homes. So essentially when rich

64:09

people leave they leave behind a lot of

64:11

bills that everybody else has to pay

64:14

that they were previously paying.

64:16

>> In his February 2026 preliminary budget,

64:19

New York Mayor Zorhan Mandani proposed a

64:22

9.5% property tax increase to address a

64:25

projected 5.4 billion budget shortfall.

64:28

This proposal acts as a last resort

64:30

alternative to his preferred plan which

64:32

was increasing taxes on top earners and

64:34

corporations to fill the revenue gap. H

64:37

>> he promised free stuff and he promised

64:39

that everything was going to be paid for

64:41

for free. Nothing is free. Someone has

64:43

to pay for everything. If the rich

64:44

people leave, there is not people who

64:46

can pay for all the free stuff. And

64:48

that's what New York is suddenly

64:49

discovering. So why does it matter?

64:52

Because rich people essentially create

64:54

the growth. They are the high taxpayers.

64:57

whichever way you want to say it or

64:59

discover or discuss it. It is a small

65:01

group of people who pay a lot of the uh

65:03

taxes, you don't want those people to

65:04

leave the economy. What do you do about

65:06

it? The number one thing to do about it

65:08

is you need to identify the opportunity

65:10

that's right for you. That's called

65:11

founder opportunity fit. What you're

65:13

looking for is an opportunity where you

65:16

can earn money no matter where you are

65:18

in the world. If you're somewhere that

65:20

you don't perhaps like being for any

65:22

reason, you can pick up and move. Um, so

65:24

the best kind of businesses and the best

65:26

kind of opportunities at the moment are

65:27

the ones that are not geographically

65:29

limited to a particular city.

65:30

>> It says that in New York, personal tax

65:32

income remains pretty strong, but

65:34

business tax collections have started to

65:36

soften. Recent reports show they are

65:37

roughly 378 million lower than initially

65:41

projected as business formation slows

65:43

down in New York.

65:44

>> Yeah, it's the same story. We've seen

65:46

this over and over again. Um, socialism

65:49

is like a hot stove that every

65:50

generation has to touch for themselves.

65:52

that essentially every generation of

65:55

young people, they think they've

65:56

discovered something new. They think,

65:57

"Oh my goodness, what if we just go to

65:59

the rich people and take it off them and

66:01

give it to everybody else and we'll

66:03

redistribute the wealth." And even

66:05

though it's been tried for 180 years

66:08

since KL Marx came along, uh it just

66:10

doesn't work. It it is a disaster and it

66:13

ruins economies over and over and over

66:15

again. And trying to offer lots and lots

66:17

of free incentives without any

66:18

productivity gains is a downward spiral.

66:21

What's your bare case for the future of

66:24

AI?

66:24

>> Well, the bare case is that we have

66:26

something called the angles pause. The

66:27

angles pause is what happened in the

66:29

industrial age where for 50 years all

66:31

the wealth went to the top uh because of

66:33

the new technology of the

66:34

industrialization. When we went from

66:36

agriculture to industrial age, that new

66:39

technology displaced so many people that

66:41

there were revolutions off the back of

66:42

it.

66:43

>> I mean, this is going to be even faster

66:44

and more disruptive.

66:45

>> Yeah, it's very disruptive. Yeah. I said

66:48

this once before in a conversation I had

66:49

about AI, but I went to my friend's

66:51

accelerator in San Francisco, which used

66:54

to be a software accelerator. And when I

66:55

walked in there and went around, he has,

66:57

you know, so hundreds of entrepreneurs

66:58

in there building stuff. I was like, why

67:00

is everyone building robots? And he was

67:01

like, oh, because and he showed me this,

67:03

I said this in a couple of episodes ago,

67:04

showed me this frying pan which had an

67:06

arm, a robotic arm attached to it. And

67:08

he was like, cook your dinner for you.

67:09

>> Yeah.

67:10

>> And and he was like, so 10 years ago,

67:13

the expensive thing wasn't actually the

67:16

robotic arm. He's like, "All these

67:17

pieces, all these, they've been around

67:19

for for decades." He goes, "The

67:20

expensive thing was the intelligence."

67:22

>> He goes, "Now it costs sense. Back then

67:23

it would have cost me tens of thousands

67:25

to to buy the intell intelligence that

67:28

would know how to make your omelette for

67:30

you." So he goes, "What you're seeing

67:31

now is we're actually in the the

67:32

Renaissance age of robotics." And I

67:34

looked around everywhere. I was like,

67:35

"Oh, there's what's that machine over

67:36

there?" He goes, "That makes your

67:37

perfume for you in the morning." Yeah.

67:38

>> You tell it how you want to smell today.

67:40

It makes it has all the sense loaded in

67:42

and it'll make you and you can see the

67:43

making

67:44

>> anything that is currently got a

67:46

Bluetooth in it will have intelligence

67:47

in it. So your toothbrush will tell you

67:50

whether you've brushed your teeth well

67:51

enough and book it'll probably be the

67:53

thing that books an appointment for your

67:54

dentist uh and all that sort of stuff.

67:56

>> I'll go even further. I'd say even

67:58

things that don't like my bed sheet my

68:00

bed sheets my pillows my mattresses

68:02

>> and they they will all have access to

68:03

agents and all that sort of stuff. My

68:05

bare case for AI is not about the

68:07

intelligence side of things. I generally

68:09

believe that more intelligence means a

68:10

better society. Um, there's never been a

68:12

situation where lots of intelligence was

68:14

a bad thing. Um, so I think intelligence

68:16

has a pretty strong bullcase to it, but

68:19

financial bubbles are a real thing and

68:21

I've lived through a couple of them. And

68:23

what I've discovered is that they have

68:24

widespread massive impacts on all sorts

68:27

of areas of society that you wouldn't

68:28

even expect. And my real bare case for

68:32

AI is that we overinvest in these data

68:34

centers. We cause a massive financial

68:36

collapse. uh and that we wipe out

68:38

pension funds. I don't know if you know

68:40

this, but they're packaging up the debt

68:42

for these financial uh assets and

68:44

they're selling that to um pension funds

68:47

as private credit. So all of these huge

68:50

data centers, what they're doing is

68:52

paying 6% above inflation as a packaged

68:54

up debt. They send it over. Now when

68:57

they go to the pension funds, they say,

68:58

"Oh, this is backed by Google and backed

69:00

by Microsoft and backed by uh Amazon."

69:03

and then they say, "Oh, you know, it's a

69:04

6% um financial instrument backed by

69:07

these huge companies." But

69:09

unfortunately, the mathematics of

69:11

spending 600 billion a year on something

69:13

that only has a three or four year

69:15

lifespan, every single time in the last

69:18

180 years that we've spent more than 3%

69:20

of our economy on an infrastructure

69:22

buildout, we've ended up with either a

69:23

massive recession or a depression.

69:25

>> Did you hear the Anthropic CEO? For

69:28

anyone that doesn't know, Anthropic is

69:29

one of the large AI companies. Yeah,

69:31

they're they're the maker of Claude. Did

69:33

you hear what he was saying the other

69:34

day in the article he wrote about his

69:36

concerns?

69:37

>> Yeah. Yeah. I I saw at Davos.

69:40

>> Yeah. He wrote it just after he left

69:41

Davos. Um Daria Amed.

69:44

>> Yeah.

69:45

>> He said, "Humanity is about to be handed

69:48

almost unimaginable power, and it is

69:50

deeply unclear whether our social,

69:52

political, and technological systems

69:54

possess the maturity to wield it. I

69:57

believe we are entering a right of

69:58

passage, both turbulent and inevitable,

70:01

which will test who we are as a species.

70:04

We are considerably closer to real

70:06

danger in 2026 than we were in 2023.

70:10

If the exponential continues, which is

70:12

not certain, but now has a decade long

70:15

track record supporting it, then it

70:17

cannot possibly be more than a few years

70:18

before AI is better than humans at

70:21

essentially

70:22

>> everything.

70:23

>> Everything. The same AI enabled tools

70:26

that are necessary to fight autocracies

70:28

can be turned inward to create tyranny

70:32

in our own countries. There is an

70:34

alarming possibility of global

70:36

totalitarian dictatorship. AI is so

70:39

powerful, such a glittering prize that

70:43

it is very difficult for human

70:44

civilization to impose any restraints on

70:47

it at all. And he said this remarkable

70:50

thing about um in that essay about

70:52

imagining if there was an island with

70:56

50,000

70:58

>> geniuses on it

70:58

>> a billion a billion geniuses on it.

71:01

>> Yeah.

71:01

>> What would happen to society? And I

71:04

think there's I don't know like do you

71:05

know what I hope I'm really wrong about

71:07

this but when I think about this idea

71:09

that there's 50 million geniuses on this

71:11

brand new island

71:13

>> and I ask myself

71:14

>> I'm willing to work for free.

71:15

>> Willing to work for free. when one

71:17

learns something, they all learn

71:18

something.

71:20

>> You just take that as a first principle.

71:21

You go, hm, society is going to be very,

71:23

very, very, very different. And maybe

71:25

all of the advice we've been giving for

71:27

the last 5, 10 years about how to be

71:29

successful, how to be an entrepreneur,

71:30

how to succeed in business, maybe

71:32

>> it's for an economy that no longer

71:33

exists. Yeah, we're going for we're

71:35

going from a fundamental industrial age

71:38

economy to a AI age economy, right? That

71:41

is that is different. We will have

71:43

different economic models. We also have

71:45

a problem of aging. For all of human

71:47

history, we've had a small number of old

71:49

people at the top and a lot of young

71:50

people at the bottom. And we now have

71:52

65% of all wealth in the economy is held

71:54

by people over 65. And then you've got

71:57

the financialized economy and the

71:59

government economy which is inflationary

72:01

and that they pump money in as stimulus.

72:04

So while the entrepreneurs are making

72:06

everything cheaper, even free, the

72:09

governments are actually inflating the

72:10

economy and the financial systems

72:12

inflating the economy slightly faster

72:14

than productivity gains. Right? So

72:16

what's happening is the entrepreneurs

72:18

bring down the cost of everything and

72:20

the governments and the financial system

72:22

top it up with new stimulus. According

72:24

to the rules that the government runs

72:26

by, as AI creates huge deflationary

72:30

impacts, they can actually just inflate

72:32

the economy like unbelievably. they can

72:34

pump huge amounts of stimulus into the

72:36

economy. So this whole idea of um UBI,

72:40

universal basic income, it actually

72:42

stacks up from economic fundamentals

72:45

basics uh principles uh where you can

72:49

actually provided you're getting the

72:50

productivity gains where things are

72:52

costing zero because of AI, you can

72:54

actually just pump money into the

72:55

economy and give give money away for a

72:58

period of time while we're going through

73:00

that transition. Hopefully that prevents

73:02

massive craziness from unfolding. And

73:05

hopefully as a result of having a huge

73:07

amount of intelligence, we find really

73:10

interesting fun ways to structure

73:12

society and do things.

73:14

We're not necessarily leaving utopia. We

73:17

shouldn't necessarily be grieving the

73:18

loss of shitty jobs and grieving the

73:21

loss of dehumanizing

73:24

low connectivity jobs. We have ruined

73:28

the way that we pair bond. We've ruined

73:30

the way that we do community. We've

73:32

ruined the way that families run. We've

73:35

got people working two jobs just to

73:38

survive. Like that's not something to be

73:40

grieving the loss of. We need a new

73:42

system. Maybe AI is going to actually

73:44

give us the breathing room that we need

73:47

to actually create a system that gets us

73:49

back to a little bit towards the way

73:51

that humans have flourished.

73:52

>> Are we going to go to towards UBI?

73:54

>> It seems like in the short term that

73:55

would have to be the case. So Sam

73:57

Alman's over here working to build open

73:58

AI, working 24 hours a day. Let's just

74:00

say theoretically.

74:01

>> Um we're going to have to take some of

74:03

his hard work away and give it to

74:06

theoretically we're going to have to

74:07

give it to someone who is maybe not

74:10

working.

74:11

>> Yeah. And I mean Sam Alman, funny

74:12

enough, he actually backed a study

74:14

called Open Research in 2024 that looked

74:17

at the impact of UBI. And it showed that

74:20

recipients who received UBI, which is

74:23

money basically given to them, worked

74:25

fewer hours and earned less money than

74:26

the control group. Instead of using the

74:28

freedom to find better jobs to improve

74:30

their education, many participants

74:31

simply dropped off the workforce or

74:33

reduced hours for leisure, resulting in

74:36

a net decrease in household income

74:37

despite cash payments.

74:38

>> Yeah, humans want stuff to do. We need a

74:41

we need a meaningful struggle. We need

74:43

something that we um that we're up to in

74:44

the world. And that is that is a very

74:46

difficult thing. The likely thing that I

74:48

think will probably happen is that these

74:50

data center investments will be so

74:52

catastrophic financially that

74:53

governments will have to bail them out.

74:55

And then the governments will have to

74:56

own all the data and all the data

74:58

centers and then the tech companies will

75:00

have to essentially pay royalties back

75:02

to the government over long periods of

75:04

time to manage this kind of uh

75:05

infrastructure buildout. So you'll have

75:08

to have something where the government

75:09

actually owns the primary asset and that

75:12

is the thing that pays for the UBI. I

75:13

mean we're we're kind of theorizing and

75:15

just kind of

75:16

>> we're going to find out.

75:17

>> We are going to find out.

75:17

>> This is going to be on the internet

75:18

someday.

75:19

>> The mathematics bend reality at age at

75:21

about 2029 once you the financial

75:24

engineering required to make this thing

75:25

work. You need something like a 45 times

75:29

growth in the number of people paying

75:30

for subscriptions and the number of

75:32

businesses. Like you take something that

75:36

is over the last uh 5 10 years there's

75:39

been a product that has gone exponential

75:42

which is ampic and GLP1 weight loss

75:45

drugs the amount of spend to build out

75:48

and satisfy that demand is actually

75:50

pretty minimal. Those companies spend

75:52

about 20% of their revenues building new

75:54

factories to produce new GLP drugs.

75:57

Right? So capex is about 20% of revenue.

76:00

We're seeing with the AI stuff, capex is

76:02

hundreds of percent of revenue, right?

76:05

So, it is a financial feat that we've

76:08

never attempted before.

76:10

>> I've had so many founders speak to me

76:11

and say, "Why didn't this particular ad

76:13

that I ran on this platform work for me?

76:16

Maybe the copy wasn't good, the creative

76:17

wasn't strong, but usually the problem

76:19

is they're not having the right

76:20

conversation because that ad never

76:22

reached the right person." And if you're

76:23

in B2B marketing, that is much of the

76:26

game. And this is where LinkedIn ads

76:28

solves that problem for you. Their

76:30

targeting is ridiculously specific. You

76:32

can target by job title, seniority,

76:34

company size, industry, and even

76:36

someone's skill set. And their network

76:38

includes over a billion professionals.

76:41

About 130 million of them are decision

76:43

makers. So when you use LinkedIn ads,

76:45

you're putting your brand in front of

76:47

the right people. And LinkedIn ads also

76:49

drive the highest B2B return on ad spend

76:51

across all ad networks in my experience.

76:53

If you want to give them a try, head

76:55

over to linkedin.com/diary.

76:58

And when you spend $250 on your first

77:01

LinkedIn ads campaign, you'll get an

77:03

extra $250 credit from me for the next

77:06

one. That's linkedin.com/diary.

77:09

Terms and conditions apply. We have

77:12

finally caved in. So many of you have

77:15

asked us if we could bundle the

77:17

conversation cards with the 1% diary.

77:19

For those of you that don't know, every

77:20

single time a guest sits here with me in

77:22

the chair, they leave a question in the

77:23

diary of a CEO and then I ask that

77:25

question to the next guest. We don't

77:27

release those questions in any

77:29

environment other than on these

77:30

incredible conversation cards. These

77:32

have become a fantastic tool for people

77:34

in relationships, people in teams, in

77:37

big corporations, and also family

77:38

members to connect with each other. With

77:40

that, we also have the 1% diary, which

77:42

is this incredible tool to change habits

77:44

in your life. So many of you have asked

77:46

if it was possible to buy both at the

77:48

same time, especially people in big

77:50

companies. So, what we've done is we've

77:52

bundled them together and you can buy

77:54

both at the same time. And if you want

77:56

to drive connection and instill habit

77:58

change in your company, head to the

78:00

diary.com to inquire and our team will

78:02

be in touch.

78:03

>> Let's bring this back to uh

78:04

>> back to reality,

78:06

>> the reality of the person listening and

78:08

uh the pressing questions they have

78:09

about all this stuff and what they

78:10

should do. Is there anything else that

78:12

you would give people that are listening

78:14

right now in terms of advice to be able

78:16

to weather the incoming turbulence that

78:19

the CEO of Anthropic describes there?

78:21

Yeah, look, the things that I know are

78:23

good for people is I really believe that

78:26

everyone should build a little bit of a

78:28

personal brand. So, a personal brand

78:30

means that 2 to 20,000 people know who

78:33

you are. They know what you do. They

78:35

know you what your experiences are like.

78:37

They could approach you about an

78:39

opportunity that would be a good

78:40

opportunity. So, build a bit of a

78:42

personal brand. Don't be invisible uh in

78:44

this particular time because you know it

78:47

is one of your assets which is to take

78:49

some of your knowledge some of your

78:50

playbooks and to let people know that

78:52

that exists. So I think build a bit of a

78:54

personal brand. Second one is have a go

78:58

at entrepreneurship, right? Join an

79:00

entrepreneurial team, do an

79:02

entrepreneurial side hustle, read some

79:04

entrepreneurial books, watch some

79:06

entrepreneurial um videos that are out

79:08

there. start the process of thinking,

79:10

okay, the school system taught me to be

79:13

a standardized uh employee, a

79:15

standardized labor. Uh the school system

79:17

wanted me to fit in with an office or a

79:19

factory, but actually there's this whole

79:21

other way of creating value which is

79:23

non-standardized called

79:24

entrepreneurship. This is spotting

79:25

opportunities and coming up with

79:27

solutions to it. So, you know, play

79:30

around with the game, even if it's a

79:32

small game. Like you might notice that

79:33

there are dirty cars on the street and

79:35

you might say, "You know what? I'm going

79:36

to go and knock on doors and wash the

79:38

cars and see if I can make a couple

79:39

hundred bucks in a day because I've seen

79:41

an opportunity. I've seen something

79:43

that's wrong and I I'm going to go and

79:44

have a go at fixing it."

79:45

>> A lot of founders are telling me, Mark

79:47

Cuban said the other day that one of the

79:48

great opportunities now is

79:50

catering for the gap between small

79:52

business owners that don't know how to

79:53

use AI and helping them learn how to use

79:55

AI.

79:56

>> Yeah. Huge, right? Join a join a join a

79:59

founder team and help them do that. Um

80:00

as I said as well 65% of all the

80:03

businesses by valuation are people over

80:06

65 now. So there is a mathematical

80:09

certainty that 2/3 of the businesses

80:11

that run the economy by valuation have

80:13

to change hands in the next 10 15 20

80:15

years. So this is a massive business

80:18

opportunity. Uh baby boomers want to get

80:20

rid of their businesses. They want to

80:22

retire. Baby boomers are willing to fund

80:24

you to buy their business if you present

80:25

yourself well if you've got a little bit

80:27

of a personal brand. So, that's a that's

80:29

a huge opportunity. So, look into that.

80:31

Um, you know, Cody Sanchez, a mutual

80:33

friend of ours, she talks to people all

80:35

the time about how to buy a baby boomer

80:37

business and and take it over and run

80:39

it. So, um, you know, that's a that's a

80:41

great opportunity. Play with these toys

80:44

called AI tools. Someone has given you a

80:47

free iPhone which you can just use

80:49

called AI tools um on the free account.

80:51

That is such good advice that we don't

80:53

hear enough because I think people think

80:56

there's where I am right now in my life

80:58

and what I do and then there's like Sam

81:01

Alman and Elon Musk and I I either I'm

81:03

one or the other but actually what I'm

81:06

seeing as an employer who's employing we

81:08

probably employ I'd say 20 people a

81:10

month at current rate.

81:11

>> We're hiring 20 more people a month

81:13

>> is increasingly on our culture test when

81:16

we're screening who the right candidates

81:17

are. We're looking for some kind of

81:19

evidence that they're playing or messing

81:21

around with AI.

81:22

>> Yeah.

81:22

>> And one of my team members

81:24

>> is she was trying to figure out how to

81:27

get a 100 different documents

81:31

to synthesize and understand the data

81:33

within these documents. Now, there's two

81:36

types of people I can hire to do that.

81:38

There's the old fashioned way of doing

81:39

that where someone might sit there for

81:41

four or five weeks and try to figure out

81:42

how to get an Excel document to have the

81:45

right formulas. And then there's her who

81:47

we hired. Even though she doesn't have

81:50

skills in that particular thing, she has

81:51

no experience in it. But because of her

81:53

mindset and her agency, she went, "Hm,

81:55

maybe I could put this into Claude

81:57

Co-work and ask set up an agent to run

82:00

this for me

82:01

>> by the time dessert came." She pulled

82:04

her laptop over to me and showed it to

82:05

me. And she goes, "Stephen, I've ran all

82:07

those hundreds of documents um into this

82:09

file and I can see the sentiment on

82:10

every single post you've made on every

82:12

single social platform, including every

82:13

LinkedIn post you've made over the last

82:15

couple of years. And we can see that

82:17

actually even though these point posts

82:19

get more likes, these ones are actually

82:21

the best posts you're doing."

82:22

>> She did that by dessert.

82:24

>> Yeah.

82:24

>> That and I thought there a isn't that

82:26

interesting. How do you find people who

82:28

have that bias in the modern world where

82:30

they lean into change? She's not

82:32

curiosity, isn't it?

82:33

>> Yeah. It's curiosity, but there's also

82:34

something which is like and being fluid

82:37

about your identity and what you know.

82:39

>> Yes.

82:39

>> Which is she has no experience in that.

82:42

>> But I can try.

82:43

>> I can try.

82:43

>> And the one thing for anyone watching or

82:46

listening is that don't use AI as a

82:48

search tool. Don't use it the way you

82:50

used it a year ago. Give AI your hardest

82:53

problem and say, "Hey, help me to solve

82:55

this problem." So, for example, you

82:57

might say, "I'm really struggling with

82:59

these areas of my life. Here's all the

83:01

data. Here's all the information. Here's

83:03

the PDF documents. Here's the, you know,

83:05

the the backstory. Help me solve this.

83:08

Help me write it. What kind of piece of

83:09

software might I be able to use to to to

83:12

build here?" I'll give you a real

83:14

example. One of our team members used AI

83:16

to analyze all the sales calls for the

83:17

last 3 months and discovered a huge

83:20

opportunity. What they discovered is

83:22

that 75% of all of our sales calls, the

83:26

person who we were on the phone to

83:27

mentioned that their spouse was a

83:29

decision maker and that they needed to

83:30

talk to their spouse and that decision-m

83:33

because it was a family business and

83:34

that there was either a spouse or a

83:35

family member. There was no point in our

83:37

process where we invited collaboration

83:40

with other family members. So none of

83:42

our sales calls said, "Do you want to

83:44

bring someone along to the sales call?

83:45

Like would you like to have someone do

83:48

that?" The AI analyzed it, discovered

83:50

that opportunity, wrote a script as to

83:52

how to invite people onto the call so

83:54

that that you get all decision makers on

83:56

the call and now our sales conversions

83:57

are going up dramatically.

83:59

>> I think this is the the real bification

84:01

in terms of the employment market of

84:03

what we're seeing is certain people have

84:05

a a positive relationship to disruption

84:07

in technology and change. They get

84:08

excited by it where others fall into

84:11

cognitive dissonance where they they get

84:12

so concerned that it's going to take out

84:14

their business that they ostrich head in

84:15

the sand. And then the these other

84:18

people have this in inherent figure out

84:21

ability. I could say to a certain team

84:23

member of mine, here's a big problem and

84:25

they would grab onto this big problem

84:27

and even though they have no proficiency

84:29

in data or technology or AI or CL, they

84:32

will just they'll plug away at it on a

84:34

computer and they'll figure it out and

84:36

they'll use all available tools, not

84:38

their identity, what they learned in

84:40

university or their experience as the

84:42

only tool in the tool box. That's the

84:44

difference between employee mindset and

84:46

entrepreneur mindset. Entrepreneurs see

84:48

problems as opportunities. They get

84:49

excited by problems and they apply the

84:51

entrepreneurial process. And employees

84:54

say, "Hey, wait a second. I was never

84:55

trained for this. I was never told how

84:57

to do this. I was not given the rulebook

84:59

for this. So therefore, I'll just ignore

85:01

it. I'll stay away from it because

85:02

problems, it's not my problem." And this

85:04

is the big fundamental shift. We need to

85:06

say, "Hey, problems are great. We want

85:08

problems. And is this problem for me?

85:11

How would I test my assumptions? How

85:14

would I build something quickly and

85:15

cheaply? How would I then test that? How

85:17

would they I then scale that? Right? And

85:20

it's just those kind of few steps that

85:21

if you embrace those entrepreneurial

85:23

steps, then life becomes great.

85:26

>> I have a contrarian take that I think

85:28

writing is actually more important now

85:30

than ever before because writing is a

85:32

proxy of understanding. And in a world

85:34

of AI, what I'm finding when I look at

85:36

like my innovation teams or where

85:37

breakthroughs are coming from in my

85:38

company, it's actually someone had a

85:41

really good question.

85:42

>> Yes.

85:43

>> So they were like, could we

85:45

theoretically analyze all of our sales

85:47

calls using Claude to see if there's

85:50

something interesting in there? Now that

85:51

starts with someone understanding sales

85:54

calls, understanding the tools that

85:55

allow you to analyze them. They have

85:56

lots of reference points. They

85:57

understand lots of um variant things.

85:59

And that means they ask a really great

86:01

question. So for me, one of the ways

86:03

that I've been um been able to

86:05

understand more things is to to write

86:06

more often about them.

86:07

>> Can I go one step further?

86:09

>> And that is a process called pause

86:11

reflect document. And pause reflect

86:13

document. If you do it correctly, you go

86:15

into nature away from noise and away

86:18

from technology and you take a pen and a

86:21

paper and you sit in nature on a bench

86:24

and you just pause and just let some

86:27

boredom set in. You reflect on what's

86:31

going on. You try and zoom out to the

86:33

bigger picture. You do some journaling

86:36

and you do some dot connecting where you

86:38

say, "What are some of the dots that

86:39

have happened in the last 5 years? What

86:40

are some of the bigger picture impacts

86:42

that I've made? What are some of the

86:44

problems that I've struggled with? What

86:46

if this was possible? What if that was

86:47

possible?" We live in this incredible

86:50

fast-paced world where the one thing

86:52

that no one allows themselves to do is

86:55

to pause, reflect, document with a pen

86:58

and paper. And those people who I know

87:01

who are doing incredibly well are doing

87:03

more and more of this.

87:04

>> Yeah.

87:05

>> Yeah.

87:05

>> Same same. I mean, you're one of them.

87:07

You're a person who's I mean, look at

87:09

this.

87:10

>> Yeah.

87:11

>> This is a lot of books.

87:12

>> That's my head.

87:12

>> But you tweet every day. You post every

87:15

day. You're constantly experiencing

87:17

something in the real world, writing it

87:19

down to develop your thinking, which

87:21

Richard Fryman talks about the process

87:23

of understanding where you learn

87:24

something, condense it, so an average

87:26

person can understand it, then you share

87:27

it with the world to collect feedback on

87:29

that thought. He said that's the like

87:31

the fastest best way to learn. Yeah.

87:32

Yeah,

87:33

>> but actually in a world of AI where chat

87:34

can do all of that for me, we're

87:36

deferring our ability to sort of

87:38

condense, compress, and understand to an

87:40

AI because we think it's creating an

87:42

efficiency gain or a productivity gain

87:44

in the near term. Like maybe today's

87:46

email will will save you 30 seconds, but

87:49

that the tax you're paying I think is an

87:51

understanding.

87:52

>> And understanding is the is a proxy of

87:54

therefore, you know, writing great

87:56

questions.

87:57

>> I find myself writing more. I wrote a

87:59

memo this I was up till 2 a.m. last

88:00

night writing a memo.

88:02

>> Yeah.

88:02

which means you were up late thinking.

88:05

>> You were thinking clearly and that was

88:07

what you were really doing. A great

88:09

question I want people to reflect on. I

88:10

want them to think about the last 5

88:12

years and ask the question when did I do

88:14

something special

88:16

that impacted a certain type of person.

88:18

I can explain how I did it step by step

88:20

and how it felt and it would be of

88:23

interest to plenty of people. All right.

88:25

And that question contains what we

88:28

talked about earlier which is lived

88:30

experience feelings playbooks and

88:34

connecting the dots looking backwards

88:36

and actually coming up with some things

88:38

that only I can do things that only I

88:40

can say. So that that particular prompt

88:42

that particular question to sit in

88:44

nature and think clearly and memo and

88:46

and document and write a memo about it.

88:48

You know I I see so many people and you

88:50

and I have done this over the last

88:51

couple hours. We think so much about the

88:53

future and the uncertainty of the future

88:55

but a lot of value comes from just

88:57

looking backwards and connecting the

88:59

dots and then thinking what what is it

89:01

that I now know that I want to take

89:03

forward and add value to others. sort of

89:05

adjacent to that but related is another

89:07

thing I think a lot about which is um

89:10

trying to get more information and

89:12

experiences from a wide set of reference

89:15

points because when I think about

89:17

innovation generally innovation is the

89:19

connection of like two ideas or thoughts

89:22

or principles that someone else hasn't

89:24

put together so I think about the like

89:26

non-stick frying pan it was a guy who

89:29

was fishing and was trying to make get a

89:31

material so his tackle his fishing

89:33

tackle didn't stick together and his

89:34

wife walks past allegedly and says, "I'd

89:37

love some of that stuff on our pans."

89:39

And that ends up selling tens and tens

89:41

of millions of non-stick pans. And even

89:42

the even when you think about the

89:44

iPhone, that was a combination of a of

89:46

an internet device,

89:47

>> a music device,

89:49

>> and a telecommunications device

89:51

>> put together, which you rarely found

89:53

those three things in one space. Three

89:54

different reference points. To achieve

89:56

that, someone would have had to

89:57

understand music, the internet, and

89:59

phones.

90:00

>> Yeah. Yeah. And even Steve Jobs himself,

90:02

his skill stack contains typography and

90:04

design which is why why he was able to

90:06

disrupt Blackberry.

90:07

>> He stumbled into a calligraphy class at

90:10

university and loved calligraphy and he

90:12

was the first company to ever have fonts

90:14

and those fonts became a huge

90:16

differentiator on the first Mac and it

90:18

was only because he had like combined

90:20

calligraphy with uh with with computers

90:23

he created the font uh idea.

90:25

>> So maybe the future's owned by the wide

90:27

not the narrow in this regard.

90:28

definitely become more of a generalist,

90:30

become more curious and go out of your

90:33

comfort zones, right? The the industrial

90:35

age asked us to simply specialize and do

90:37

one thing over and over. The grandfather

90:39

of capitalism is a guy called Adam Smith

90:41

and he said ultimately efficiency is

90:43

about doing one thing in the process

90:45

over and over and over, but he said it's

90:47

going to destroy the human spirit. He

90:48

actually wrote about the fact that that

90:50

destroys the human spirit. having to

90:51

just twist this knob over and over that

90:53

creates the most value in the economy,

90:55

but it's horrible for you as a human.

90:57

And what and he recognized that problem

91:00

from the very beginning. What we've been

91:02

trained to do is just twist the knob,

91:04

twist the knob, twist the knob, do the

91:06

same thing over and over. What we need

91:07

to relearn how to do is allow us to

91:10

become more human and say, "Actually,

91:12

I'm going to explore nature. I'm going

91:14

to explore this weird passion that I

91:16

have for um, you know, particular

91:18

theater companies and how they run. I'm

91:20

going to go and explore this thing about

91:22

like entrepreneur accelerators. Um, you

91:24

know, I'm going to combine things. It's

91:26

those rare combinations and you need to

91:28

trust your instincts that you're

91:29

actually pulling on a few threads and

91:31

bringing them together. I do that while

91:35

still focusing on a job, etc. Because I

91:36

do this for a living.

91:38

>> So, I get to sit here, you know, someone

91:40

walked in before you and they were

91:41

talking to, you know, Alex Honold was

91:42

talking to me in that chair before you.

91:45

That's why the little taipe statues

91:46

behind us about, you know, then you've

91:48

talked to me today about this, then the

91:49

next person will talk to me about

91:50

neuroscience and bringing a human brain.

91:52

And that's allowed me to kind of connect

91:53

these interesting reference points. What

91:55

I'm saying here is you don't need to

91:56

like

91:57

>> quit your job and go and live in Peru to

92:00

to to orchestrate your life in such a

92:02

way. I think you just need to be really

92:03

intentional about resisting the urge to

92:07

be a narrow person and to identify too

92:09

much with one's identity. And so when I

92:12

left my former business, one of the

92:14

chapters I wrote my book is how do I now

92:16

resist all my labels? Because now I'm a

92:18

social media CEO. And it's so tempting,

92:21

>> yeah,

92:21

>> to gather around social media people, go

92:24

to social media parties, put it in my

92:26

bio, get social media opportunities, and

92:28

just go further and further and further

92:29

down that narrow line. So that's why I

92:30

went and worked in psychedelics and

92:32

biotech. I worked in cancer biotech. I

92:35

started to DJ. I started a podcast

92:37

called The Diary of a CEO. I tried to do

92:39

as many things as I possibly could to

92:40

remain wide. Yeah. And your superpowers

92:43

are extra superpowers when you take them

92:45

somewhere new.

92:46

>> So if you've got social media

92:48

superpowers within the social media

92:50

bubble, everyone's got those

92:51

superpowers. But if you go and take them

92:53

into a completely new place, you

92:55

discover that actually what you what you

92:58

learned over here becomes a massive

93:00

differentiator over here.

93:01

>> Is there anything else the audience need

93:02

to know about the big opportunities you

93:05

see as we head into the future?

93:07

>> We all want the future to be bright. We

93:09

all want the future to be uh amazing and

93:11

we love the idea of trying to improve

93:14

the world. One of the best ways to

93:16

improve the world is to improve your own

93:19

situation because the world is made up

93:21

of people who have their own situation.

93:23

You know when we try and fix every

93:24

problem on the planet it feels

93:25

completely crushing and it feels so much

93:27

weight on your shoulders. when you

93:29

actually say what's my opportunity like

93:31

if I could if I improve the world by

93:33

building myself a really great business

93:35

that helps a few people that helps 500

93:37

clients do something and if I'm actually

93:40

out there adding value in my unique way

93:42

and I'm finding a way through this AI

93:44

weird adventure that we're going on

93:46

that's actually helping the world right

93:48

so you're bringing yourself forward

93:50

you're discovering something I really

93:52

want people to resist the trap of trying

93:54

to fix everyone and fix everything try

93:56

and figure out what is your opportunity

93:59

What is your way of adding value to

94:00

others? What is your way of getting

94:02

paid? What is your way of doing creative

94:03

entrepreneurship? Uh what's your

94:05

contribution to the world? And that is

94:07

actually a contribution.

94:09

>> Is that difficult to do? Because I think

94:12

it assumes certain level of

94:13

self-awareness that is not always easy.

94:18

>> If you find it difficult to do, find

94:20

someone who inspires you and see if you

94:22

can join their team. So that's totally a

94:24

valid move as well, right? just get onto

94:26

a team where someone's figuring this

94:29

stuff out. Um, you know, follow your

94:31

inspiration and sometimes your

94:33

inspiration is to start something.

94:34

Sometimes your in inspiration is to help

94:36

propel something forward, being part of

94:38

someone else's team who does inspire

94:39

you. Self-awareness is is a skill that

94:41

we all have to learn. We're all on a

94:42

crash course with reality. Every single

94:44

one of us is on a crash course with

94:45

reality. There's a lot of narrative on

94:47

on the internet that everybody can live

94:49

their dream, you know, and I

94:54

wonder whether every it's good I wonder

94:58

whether it's good advice to tell

94:59

everybody to like quit their job and

95:00

pursue their dream.

95:01

>> I believe that the new size of business

95:03

that makes the most sense is small and

95:05

dynamic and lean and is probably close

95:08

to 10 to 50 people. Um, and that is the

95:10

new size of company that is really

95:13

shaking things up and doing stuff. In

95:14

fact, it's probably 2 to 20 people. I

95:17

think that being part of a small,

95:20

dynamic, vibrant, entrepreneurial team

95:23

is a great place for people to go and

95:26

have a look and explore. Does that mean

95:28

that everyone's suitable to quit their

95:30

job and go start something from scratch

95:31

with a blank piece of paper? Probably

95:33

not, right? That's that's a particular

95:35

role called the founder. Not everyone's

95:37

ready to be a founder. In the same way,

95:39

everyone could probably get a black belt

95:41

if they if they joined a martial arts

95:42

and stuck with it. But not everyone can

95:44

start as a black belt. That's not where

95:46

you start

95:46

>> even in those numbers. So if we said

95:48

everyone's gonna have, you know, a team

95:50

of 10 to 50, those numbers suggest that

95:53

one in 50 or one in 10 people are going

95:56

to be a founder.

95:57

>> Possibly a lot more people are going to

95:58

be founders. I really believe a lot more

96:00

people are going to be founders. I also

96:01

don't think it's wildly unnatural to be

96:03

a founder. If you go through all of

96:05

history, most people worked in little

96:07

family businesses. That was actually the

96:09

vast majority of people. Mo, you know,

96:11

most businesses never got past 30

96:13

people. That our natural way of being is

96:15

in family groups and tribal groups and

96:17

little groups of less than 150 people.

96:19

We've built up this idea that to be a

96:21

founder means Steve Jobs, Elon Musk or

96:23

something massive like that and that

96:25

you're trying to build something that

96:26

changes the world. I've got so many

96:28

friends and clients who it's them, their

96:31

assistant, and uh someone who's like

96:34

head of customer development, and

96:36

there's three or four of them, and

96:37

they're having a great time, and they're

96:38

doing 600, 700 grand worth of revenue,

96:40

and they got loads of flexibility.

96:42

Everyone takes their kids to school.

96:43

Everyone finishes up at 4 4 p.m. Um they

96:47

can travel, they can live and work

96:48

anywhere. Um you know, that's really

96:50

cool. This is your most recent book,

96:52

Lifestyle Business Playbooks: How to

96:54

Have Fun, Freedom, and Fulfillment with

96:56

Your Own Business. You've written a lot

96:58

of books. You could have written a book

96:59

about anything. What's this book about

97:02

and who is it for?

97:03

>> This book is about the times that we're

97:04

living in, right? So, what I'm trying to

97:06

do, I'm trying to give people some hope.

97:09

There's such a negative narrative that

97:11

AI is going to wipe out everything and

97:12

that technology is going to destroy

97:14

everything and that, you know, all this

97:16

negativity about the times that we're

97:19

in. I'm trying to create a

97:20

counternarrative that actually more than

97:23

any other time in history, you could

97:25

live and work from anywhere. You could

97:27

have a group of 500 to a few thousand

97:29

clients all over the world. You could

97:31

add value to people in a unique and

97:33

interesting way. You could have a career

97:35

that's based on randomness and

97:37

creativity and fun. And that there are

97:39

some new rules to play by. and that if

97:42

you learn the playbooks of

97:43

entrepreneurship and if you learn the

97:44

trends that are unfolding that actually

97:47

it could work out really really well for

97:49

you.

97:49

>> A lot of people want to, you know, they

97:50

want a side hustle, they want passive

97:52

income. What's your general perspective

97:54

on the reality of being able to generate

97:56

passive income and a side hustle? I

97:58

think passive income reflects people's

98:00

desire that they currently feel that

98:02

they're working really hard and they

98:04

hate work and they hate going to work

98:06

and that earning money is a horrible

98:09

thing and therefore they just wish it

98:11

would just kind of take care of itself.

98:13

The truth is that when you discover what

98:15

I would call a lifestyle business where

98:17

you work a reasonable amount of time and

98:20

you have a lot of fun with great people,

98:22

you don't necess the as if by magic the

98:25

desire for passive income just

98:26

evaporates. you go, "This is this is

98:28

better than passive income because I'm

98:29

on a creative journey and I'm making

98:31

great money and I'm having a lot of fun

98:32

and I'm expressing myself." I think

98:34

passive income ultimately comes from

98:36

assets. It's not it's not passive

98:37

income, it's asset income. Um, you're

98:39

either going to have to create an asset,

98:41

which could be a business that is a

98:42

digital asset. Um, or you make so much

98:45

money in your lifestyle business that

98:47

you own traditional assets like houses

98:49

or stocks and shares and all that sort

98:50

of stuff. Um, but I'm not really

98:52

focusing people on the idea of passive

98:54

income. I'm focusing on the idea of

98:56

having a lifestyle business that

98:57

supports the way you want to live.

98:59

Anyway,

99:00

>> a lot of people would would want that,

99:01

but they're scared, right? They're

99:02

scared that they have to quit their job

99:03

and I've got a mortgage to pay. I've got

99:05

kids. So, it's easier said than done,

99:07

Daniel.

99:07

>> Yeah. So, that that's why in the

99:09

playbooks, playbook one is called a side

99:10

hustle or an apprenticeship. So, an

99:12

apprenticeship, let's say let's say you

99:14

currently earn $100,000 a year for uh a

99:19

really big corporate, but you know

99:21

that's not your future. An

99:22

apprenticeship might be that you join

99:24

four boards for 20 25,000 each and you

99:27

actually work with some startups that

99:29

are more entrepreneurial and you take a

99:32

position where you have four companies

99:34

that are paying 25 grand. So you still

99:35

earn 100 grand a year but now you've got

99:38

four smaller startups that you're

99:40

learning from and they're learning from

99:41

you and you're learning from them. So

99:42

that's that's a version of an

99:44

apprenticeship. Um, an apprenticeship

99:46

could also be that you go from working

99:48

for a big traditional company to getting

99:50

a job that pays almost as much but with

99:52

a smaller, more interesting business

99:54

that you can learn from a founder. A

99:56

side hustle is where you do stuff on the

99:58

side and it's open and shut. You build

100:00

your entrepreneurial confidence. So

100:02

those are like starting points and then

100:04

after that and the these are not

100:06

designed to make a big leap financially.

100:09

After that we talk about a twoerson

100:11

scout team scouting an opportunity. We

100:13

talk about a fourperson fire starting

100:15

team getting something started. We talk

100:18

about an eightp person core team running

100:20

a really cool little lifestyle business.

100:23

So it it it's not like people think that

100:25

they have to go from zero to 100 in one

100:27

jump. And it's like no, there are little

100:29

steps along the way that make this

100:30

really easy.

100:31

>> I think uh it's really important with

100:33

all of this advice to like know your

100:34

nature and to know who you are and kind

100:36

of honestly to like know what you want

100:38

from life,

100:38

>> which a lot of people don't and they're

100:40

handed what they want from life from

100:41

like scrolling on Instagram or LinkedIn.

100:42

and they cool

100:43

>> I need to build a $5 billion AI company

100:45

etc. I think I've I've noticed with

100:47

myself that I started a business. I was

100:49

really I was ambitious about the goals

100:51

for that business and then you know I

100:54

ran that business for some time. I left

100:56

that business when I was what 20 maybe

100:58

20 years old. Went to work in Silicon

101:00

Valley as basically a consultant.

101:01

>> Mhm.

101:02

>> And that was okay for a time being but

101:04

then eventually I realized that

101:06

>> the money really doesn't m it's really

101:08

about like doing it with people you like

101:10

and having a and having a challenge. So

101:12

that then led me back into the ambitious

101:15

building businesses. Did that for six

101:16

years. But big big business around the

101:18

world

101:19

>> and then left that and then I went

101:20

through a period where

101:22

>> I guess I was kind of a consultant

101:23

freelancery type guy for a while again

101:26

fundamentally unfulfilling for me.

101:28

>> Yep.

101:28

>> Because going on a mission with a group

101:30

of people, an audacious mission really

101:32

regardless of what it is that filled me

101:34

up. It was never really about the money.

101:36

>> A lot of people discover this. A lot of

101:37

people discover that more is not better.

101:40

Uh, a lot of people discover that bigger

101:41

is not more fun. Do

101:42

>> you know what else they discover? They

101:44

discover that their idea of independence

101:47

and freedom is also not what they

101:49

thought. And this is like a quite a

101:50

contrarian take, but I have more

101:53

responsibility now than I've ever had.

101:55

>> Yeah.

101:55

>> I could choose less responsibility, more

101:57

freedom, and I would be less satisfied

101:58

and less fulfilled in my life.

102:00

>> Totally. Look at rich kids. They've

102:01

they've got everything taken care of,

102:03

and there's all this financial resource

102:04

around them, and there's nothing for

102:06

them to do. They live in a constant

102:07

state of depression. We love

102:09

responsibility. We love creative

102:11

tension. Uh we love being up to

102:13

something in the world. There's nothing

102:15

greater than being up to something to

102:17

being on a mission, especially with a

102:18

great group of people that you're

102:19

traveling through life with that you're

102:21

on this rock with. Um and you find your

102:23

group of people that you want to be up

102:24

to something with and you natter and you

102:26

solve and you get curious and you run

102:29

ideas past each other and you voice note

102:31

at 2:00 in the morning. You know, that's

102:33

that's where the juice is. That's where

102:34

the joy is. Um there's a chapter in

102:36

there that says know when enough is

102:37

enough. And it says that a huge part of

102:40

the times that we're in is you know we

102:41

live in a time of endless scrolling.

102:43

There's no cue that says you've been

102:44

scrolling long enough you know go to

102:47

bed. And it's same with business that we

102:50

think bigger would be better. Having a

102:51

bit bigger business another you know

102:53

another product another thing another uh

102:56

million would make you happier. And the

102:58

truth is it's it's not the it's normally

103:01

not the case. Well, what is the case

103:02

though is that we all need increasing

103:05

levels of challenge. It seems to me, you

103:07

know, this is why crosswords get more

103:10

difficult and video games get have

103:11

levels because they realize through the

103:13

studies that when something becomes

103:15

incrementally more difficult, you drop

103:16

into a flow state and motivation

103:18

increases and if it doesn't, then you

103:19

lose motivation. And so, I think this is

103:21

why even in my life, like I'm striving

103:23

to make things bigger and better because

103:25

it's actually just a proxy of like I

103:26

want to be challenged.

103:27

>> Well, there's a couple of things. You

103:29

can either go really big with one thing

103:31

and just be really really focused or you

103:34

can have challenge across a portfolio of

103:35

interests. One thing that is happening

103:37

to your generation, if I can be so bold,

103:40

cuz I'm just 15 years older or whatever,

103:43

is that you've taken all the energy that

103:46

normally went into kids and you're

103:48

putting it into business, right? And the

103:52

normal natural thing that is meant to

103:54

happen around this age is that you're

103:56

meant to struggle with a business or

103:58

struggle with a way of providing and

104:00

also struggle with raising kids and all

104:03

that sort of stuff. So there's this

104:04

reservoir of creative energy that is

104:08

meant to be divided amongst a few

104:09

projects. And I'm seeing a lot of people

104:12

that that misplaced maternalism or

104:14

paternalism goes into just one thing and

104:17

then we're expecting to get the joy and

104:20

the fulfillment that would normally come

104:22

back from family

104:23

>> and we wonder why that's missing. You

104:25

know, it's like, oh, I'm pouring myself

104:26

into the creation of these companies and

104:28

they're proxies for kids. And it's like,

104:30

why don't I feel this warmth back? Cuz

104:33

your biology is not wired to receive

104:35

warmth back from something other than a

104:38

kid. So this is happening because we're

104:40

not having we're not having kids. So one

104:42

of the things that uh well one of the

104:45

things I encourage everyone to do is

104:46

have kids because it's the best thing

104:47

ever and to have a portfolio of

104:49

interests that you don't have to

104:51

struggle to get to a billion. You could

104:53

say, you know what, the business

104:54

bucket's full at 3 million and I'm

104:56

really really happy with a revenue of 3

104:58

million in a team of 10 and now I want

105:00

to have a portfolio of interests that

105:02

includes health and fitness or travel or

105:04

teaching at a local uh you know youth

105:07

group, you know, or I want to play a

105:09

bigger role in my church. Like there's

105:10

all these other things that you say,

105:12

okay, these are the portfolio of

105:13

interests that that are more human.

105:16

>> Lifestyle business playbook. going to

105:18

link this book below for anyone that

105:19

wants to give it a read who is compelled

105:21

by the lifestyle that Dan has described

105:24

there where you can have fun, freedom

105:26

and fulfillment with your own business.

105:29

As you know, Daniel, cuz this is, I

105:30

think, is your seventh time being on

105:32

this podcast. Record breaker. We have a

105:34

closing tradition. The question that has

105:37

been left for you is, what fear have you

105:39

overcome to become who you are today?

105:45

You know, I grew up on the Sunshine

105:46

Coast. Uh, I dropped out of school or I

105:50

dropped out of university. I've got zero

105:52

qualifications.

105:54

Um,

105:56

I'm not particularly good at anything in

105:58

particular. I've got no skills. Yeah,

106:01

there's me at 21. I tell you, this was a

106:03

huge fear. Running my first ad in the

106:05

newspaper. I put everything on a credit

106:07

card just to run an ad in the newspaper

106:09

for $8,000. and it had to work or else I

106:12

was in serious trouble.

106:14

>> I've had a weird 25 years. I've boom

106:17

busted over and over again. Um, so I had

106:20

a massive boom in my early 20s, built a

106:23

$10 million company rapidly and then

106:25

lost it. And then I built another

106:26

multi-million dollar business and then

106:28

lost it. And then I got wiped out by a

106:31

co experience and had to reinvent the

106:32

business. And then I had a negative

106:34

experience with a co-founder and had to

106:35

reinvent the team. So I've had these

106:37

kind of like huge forif for for the

106:39

first 15 years it was boom bust boom

106:41

bust boom bust and the fear was is that

106:44

it would never feel a sense of

106:46

fulfillment. I'd never get to a place

106:48

where I could actually say it was all

106:50

worth it. Um and to just keep going and

106:53

going and going when I felt exhausted uh

106:56

was a massive thing. You know have a

106:58

family.

106:59

>> Yeah. and the fear of will I be able to

107:01

provide for the family and the fear of

107:04

uh will my business ideas be valued by

107:06

anyone else other than myself? Am I

107:08

doing something stupid? Am I doing

107:09

something um that will fail again? So,

107:13

it's been a lot of fear. Um but you know

107:17

what? It's been a wonderful journey that

107:19

every time I've pushed through that

107:20

fear, we get to the other side. And

107:22

actually, it's better on the other side.

107:24

It's even better. Had you known how hard

107:26

it would be, do you think that

107:28

21-year-old Daniel would have done it?

107:32

>> I don't think I had any other choice.

107:34

>> But if I'd sat that Daniel down and I'd

107:36

say, "Daniel, this is what's going to

107:37

happen in the next 20 years. You're

107:38

going to go up and then you're going to

107:39

lose it all. Then you go up, you lose it

107:41

all. You're going to feel like this at

107:42

this moment. It's going to be the worst

107:43

day. Then you're going to feel like this

107:45

and then this and then this and you're

107:46

going to be working hard the whole time.

107:47

Then you're going to lose faith."

107:49

Would you have done it?

107:50

>> Secretly, yes. And the reason for that

107:54

is I kind of I kind of like the roller

107:56

coaster. Feel like I needed to go

107:59

through boom bust boom bust boom bust

108:01

because I I secretly didn't want a

108:05

straight line. I think I think I

108:07

actually want the the the I want the

108:09

more interesting story. At 24, I was

108:12

offered $14 million for my company. Uh

108:14

and I blew it. I I screwed up the

108:17

negotiation and we ended up all walking

108:19

away from the deal. I think it would

108:20

have been the worst thing possible had I

108:22

had $14 million at uh at age 24.

108:27

>> So I've drawn a a little graph here on

108:29

this iPad. One axis is your success and

108:32

the other axis is time. Could you draw

108:34

for me what your career looks like in

108:36

terms of success over time including the

108:39

ups, the downs, etc., etc.

108:41

>> Well, if we just talk objectively what

108:43

other people would have seen. Um I do

108:45

this nightclub party and that's amazing.

108:48

And then I go and I get a job with a

108:50

mentor and then we build this business

108:52

that's like 6 million in its first year

108:54

and I'm like right close to it and we go

108:56

from zero to like 60 employees and then

108:59

I have a fight with my mentor and he

109:01

tells me go start your own business. So,

109:03

I go right down to start from scratch

109:06

again and I'm in I'm in a really

109:07

negative place. And then we get started

109:10

and suddenly I've got myself a

109:11

multi-million dollar business. And then

109:13

the government changes the law and we

109:15

have to reinvent that business. And then

109:18

we get a new amazing contract and now we

109:20

do a million a month. And this, by the

109:22

way, this is only like age 24. And then

109:25

we screw up the negotiation and it's

109:27

right back to the start. And then I go

109:29

to London and I start a new business.

109:31

And that goes really really well really

109:33

quickly and like one year in we've got

109:35

the palladium theater and we're doing

109:36

hundreds of thousands a week worth of

109:37

sales and then the global financial

109:39

crisis resets the whole business and I

109:41

lose the major contracts that we have

109:43

and and then I relaunch the business and

109:46

then co comes along and we're by by this

109:49

stage we're in uh 11 cities doing a

109:52

couple of million per city and then I

109:55

relaunch the business as a digital

109:56

business and it goes off the scale again

109:59

right I'm running out of space here and

110:01

Now we've figured out, okay, we own the

110:02

assets, we own the brand, uh we've got a

110:04

great team, we've got multiple

110:06

businesses, and at the moment, and this

110:07

is around the time I have kids as well,

110:09

and it and it starts to really uh become

110:13

more stable and more fun and uh less up

110:15

and down. But that was my starting

110:17

point. Up, down, up, down, up, down.

110:20

>> And this is over the period of how many

110:22

years?

110:22

>> This was this was from 20 to 35. It was

110:25

just boom bust, boom bust, punch in the

110:28

face, get back up, punch in the face,

110:30

get back up. Uh, zero millions, zero

110:33

millions, zero millions. I say all of

110:36

this because I think it's important to

110:39

people for people to realize the reality

110:42

of what it takes and how hard it is.

110:44

And, you know, oftent times if we want

110:46

to get, you know, have a high performing

110:48

podcast or write a great selling book,

110:50

we kind of describe it as a linear

110:51

journey. you're going to do this, then

110:52

you do this, then this is going to

110:54

happen, then you do this. Stick at it

110:55

for long enough, and then and then why?

110:57

But actually, in my experience, the

110:59

graph either looks like a boom and bust

111:00

cycle, which is kind of what I'm seeing

111:01

here in your graph, or it looks like

111:05

nothing, nothing nothing, nothing

111:07

nothing, something exponential.

111:08

>> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.

111:10

>> I mean, even this podcast, if you look

111:12

at the graph, it is nothing, nothing,

111:13

nothing, nothing, nothing, nothing,

111:14

nothing exponential.

111:15

>> 2 million, 4 million, 8 million, 16

111:17

million. Yeah. And so the question for

111:19

me always becomes like what would it

111:22

take for you to survive either in your

111:26

story this boom and bust scenario

111:29

>> or in many of the things I've done in my

111:32

life this no man's land

111:35

>> period of no it takes a certain

111:38

something in someone

111:39

>> Yeah

111:40

>> to be able to weather such a storm and

111:42

well I guess what what is that you said

111:44

a second ago I had no choice. Yeah, I

111:46

had no choice because I have no skills.

111:48

I'm not good at anything. You know, I've

111:50

got friends who are good at coding or

111:52

good at editing or they're good at

111:53

designing. They've got accounting or

111:56

they've got dentistry or something like

111:57

that to fall back on. I have no

111:59

qualifications. I've got a driver's

112:00

license is my only qualification. Um,

112:02

and I'm all I'm good at is organizing

112:05

teams and getting people in the room and

112:07

getting them excited and essentially

112:10

encouraging them to work with me and and

112:12

build something together. So, I kind of

112:14

didn't have a choice but to keep playing

112:17

the game, keep trying.

112:19

>> And by the way, I wouldn't change any of

112:20

that. Like, there's there's no point

112:22

there where I'd go back and say,

112:23

"Actually, cuz where where I am now,

112:25

every single one of those crushing drops

112:28

is where I really learned something that

112:30

I leverage today." actually something I

112:32

said to someone who works in my team as

112:34

my business partner now, George Gibson,

112:36

when she emailed me two years ago asking

112:37

me to invest in a startup, a startup

112:39

that I myself had failed at. I basically

112:41

was trying to say, "This is not going to

112:43

work, but do it anyway because the

112:46

actual thing of value here might not be

112:48

the million-dollar exit. It's going to

112:50

be the lessons you learn from the

112:52

failure are going to then be leveraged

112:54

as I did at 20 years old when I went to

112:56

Silicon Valley and started talking to

112:57

people about this thing. I'd spent two

112:58

years failing and was getting paid

113:00

$70,000 a month to talk about this thing

113:02

as a 20-year-old with no qualifications

113:04

because I was one of the very few people

113:05

who had failed in social media and

113:07

therefore had a deep understanding and a

113:08

rare skill. You're no longer going on

113:10

BBC News night or in Forbes as the

113:13

person who did this, but of all the

113:15

things you've done in your life, this

113:16

great failing is going to be the most

113:18

valuable asset you have. And this is

113:20

what your story proves because every

113:21

time it goes higher.

113:23

>> Yeah, it really does. Yeah, it was it

113:24

was amazing. like the the like I can

113:27

tell you what the moments feel like at

113:29

the bottom and they're horrible and

113:31

alcohol's involved and uh you know like

113:34

wanting to just completely hide and you

113:36

know never be seen by anyone ever again

113:38

and then suddenly you go okay I mean

113:41

I've got this friend of mine who who's

113:42

an entrepreneur who's failed several

113:44

times and he says you feel like you're

113:45

on a tight rope and then you fall off

113:46

the tightroppe and you realize it was

113:48

only 6 in off the ground you know it's

113:50

not as bad as you think and you can hop

113:52

back on the tight rope and go and you

113:54

can go again But

113:56

every single time it's just gotten

113:58

better and better and better and bigger

114:00

and bigger and more more stable and more

114:02

like reliable.

114:04

>> There is another story which is one that

114:07

doesn't have the survivorship bias

114:08

because now Daniel, you've been wildly

114:11

successful. Walk down the street, people

114:13

know who you are. They, you know, you've

114:14

got millions of people that tune in to

114:16

watch you give advice. But there's also

114:18

a version of reality where that wasn't

114:20

the ending.

114:21

And I actually know someone who has

114:24

fought for 15 years to build businesses

114:26

all across the world

114:28

>> and they they just don't have that

114:31

self-awareness piece.

114:32

>> Mhm.

114:32

>> I don't know if I'm self-aware. Like

114:34

none of us can actually know cuz that

114:35

requires self-awareness.

114:37

>> We've all got our blind spots.

114:38

>> They'll continue to start businesses and

114:40

it's putting their family at risk now.

114:42

>> They go through the same boom and bust

114:43

cycle, but it never goes higher.

114:45

>> Y

114:46

>> and if you were to ask me objectively,

114:48

do I think they'll ever have the moment

114:49

you've had now? You have a survivorship

114:52

bias that I have. We did something, it

114:54

was hard, and then it paid off.

114:56

>> Here's the thing. There are no happy

114:58

endings. Uh, life ends abruptly.

115:03

One thing that happens when you get a

115:04

little older is you start discovering

115:07

that actually when when you're under 40,

115:09

you think everything ends well. And then

115:12

later on, you discover there are no

115:13

happy endings. Everyone dies. You get a

115:16

phone call one day and someone who is an

115:18

amazing person has a stroke.

115:21

And that's them. That's them hit. That's

115:23

that's it. What you thought of that you

115:25

thought they'd have 20 more years and

115:26

they don't. You know, their entire life

115:29

changes.

115:30

You you're left with the realization

115:33

that it's just an adventure. Sometimes

115:36

sometimes the happy ending that other

115:38

people would call as a happy ending or

115:39

an objective happy ending is actually

115:42

pretty miserable in the middle of it.

115:44

There are people who have everything.

115:45

you've met them and objectively they

115:47

have the houses and the cars and the

115:49

private jets and all that sort of stuff

115:50

and they're not particularly happy.

115:52

They're miserable. And then there are

115:53

some people who they lose all of that

115:56

stuff, but then they reconnect with a

115:57

group of friends and they're like

115:58

happier than they've ever been.

116:00

>> Something's given you this insight.

116:04

>> Yeah. So, someone very close to me, very

116:06

dear to me, recently had a stroke, you

116:08

know, and

116:10

yeah, you realize that the happy ending

116:12

is not guaranteed. In fact, the opposite

116:13

is guaranteed. you realize everyone

116:16

everyone dies, everyone decays, everyone

116:18

gets old. If you're lucky, you get old.

116:20

Uh and if you're unlucky, you don't get

116:22

old. Um so you have to there comes a

116:25

point where you have to release the idea

116:27

that you're going to have this happy

116:28

ending. You're going to have moments of

116:30

triumph and moments of disaster. You're

116:32

going to lose people. You're going to

116:35

have everything taken from you. It's

116:37

guaranteed everything is taken from you.

116:40

>> How did that change your perspective?

116:41

this loved one going through this,

116:45

>> you you realized that uh

116:48

you real or I realized that the mental

116:53

timeline of endless decades spreading

116:56

out ahead, endless amounts of health,

116:59

endless amounts of relationships

117:02

is not it's a it's a nice fantasy that

117:05

keeps us together, but it's not

117:08

guaranteed. And then the impact for me

117:10

is to treasure relationships.

117:14

Um there comes a moment

117:17

where I don't know if this has ever

117:19

happened to you yet, but you go, "Wow, I

117:22

didn't know that was the last

117:23

conversation."

117:25

Um, you don't realize this, but one of

117:29

the legacies that you leave behind, not

117:32

you because you've got this body of

117:34

work, but one of the legacies that

117:35

people leave behind is little voice

117:37

notes that they leave in your phone that

117:40

they leave in your WhatsApp

117:42

and

117:44

you listen back to some of these voice

117:45

notes and you go, "Wow, I didn't know

117:48

that was a treasure. Didn't know that

117:49

was a special thing." Um, and this

117:53

particular person who got impacted with

117:55

the stroke, he was wonderful at voice

117:57

notes. He he had this thing that he

118:00

would do called uh, it's not lost on me,

118:03

voice notes. And I don't even think he

118:05

knew he was saying this, but it was his

118:06

one of his favorite phrases, which was

118:08

it's not lost lost on me. So he'd he'd

118:10

leave a voice note and he'd say,

118:12

"Stephen, it's not lost on me how much

118:14

you're dealing with at the moment and

118:15

it's not lost on me that you are

118:18

responsible for a lot of people's lives

118:20

and all this and I just want to

118:22

acknowledge you." So, so he would leave

118:25

these voice notes and um and he did this

118:28

with everyone like it came out of the

118:30

woodwork that everyone got these lovely

118:32

voice notes from this guy and um

118:37

yeah, you you don't realize but like

118:39

literally that is a huge part of

118:41

people's legacies. You think you're

118:43

going to leave behind all this money.

118:44

You think you're going to leave behind

118:46

all of this big stuff. You think you're

118:48

going to leave behind some huge

118:50

financial structure. And in the end, you

118:53

leave behind some really touching voice

118:55

notes as as one of the things that will

118:57

be most treasured if you're lucky.

119:00

>> You've been listening to the voice

119:01

notes?

119:01

>> Yeah, I have. Yeah. Yeah. Really, really

119:04

nice. Really, really nice.

119:07

>> What is that emotion in your face,

119:09

Daniel? What's the range of emotions?

119:16

Um, it's just the deeper awareness that

119:21

the the the real, you know, we talk a

119:23

lot about technology, we talk a lot

119:25

about business,

119:27

but the whole game is relationships.

119:32

>> It's very easy to get that wrong,

119:34

>> isn't it?

119:36

>> Very easy for you to get that wrong

119:38

>> because um you're surrounded by such a

119:41

whirlwind.

119:44

And

119:46

people want so much from you. You know,

119:48

a lot of people want a lot from you. And

119:50

you think you have to lift people up

119:52

around you and you have to do this

119:54

heroic effort. Actually, little text

119:57

message, little voice note means a lot.

119:59

It's interesting. You for me, I figured

120:02

out that we're that we're on a rock. We

120:05

get a few little laps around the sun.

120:07

That's it. We get this. We like

120:10

literally pop into existence like an

120:11

electron spinning around a a neutron,

120:14

whatever it is, and we we get we're

120:16

we're on the rock. The most valuable

120:19

thing is that we're on the rock

120:20

together. Like you zoom out enough,

120:23

we're all just little dots. We're all

120:25

just little dots trying to figure stuff

120:26

out. Um and we're all trying to make

120:29

sense of our own lives and we're all

120:31

trying to ignore how, you know,

120:33

difficult things can be. And um but then

120:36

you realize that it's just the fact that

120:38

we are moving through time together. But

120:41

yeah, you you as I said, you hit a point

120:43

where you realize that uh there is no

120:45

happy ending. Unfortunately, there's not

120:47

uh you you you know the the ending is

120:49

sad. When you hit a certain age, people

120:52

that you really love get old get old and

120:54

die or they get illnesses. They lose a

120:57

big chunk of themselves in one fell

120:58

swoop. So, um, while those moments are

121:02

happy, while you've got those happy

121:04

moments, treasure those happy moments.

121:06

Really, really embrace them.

121:08

>> Do you have any regrets in this regard

121:10

that might help me avoid having similar

121:12

regrets?

121:13

>> I really don't. I'm really, really happy

121:16

that things like I'm really

121:19

the biggest relationships are with my

121:22

kids and with my wife and family

121:26

formation.

121:28

I've I've had unbelievably high highs.

121:31

Like I've been on the big boats. I've

121:33

flown on the private jets. I've had

121:35

parties in my honor. I've had big

121:38

paydays.

121:39

All of that cool stuff that people dream

121:41

of. Family formation is where like the

121:44

core the core of it. Like that's the

121:46

core of happiness for me, you know, the

121:49

the the intergenerational passing of

121:52

life. Uh which is which is kind of like

121:56

wow. like that that we I think we've

121:59

forgotten how cool that is. I think

122:01

we've forgotten the idea that you're

122:03

passing on consciousness and that this

122:06

being has their own consciousness. They

122:07

do their own thing. They come up with

122:09

their own ideas. They have their own

122:10

challenges. Um yeah, it's wild.

122:16

>> Daniel, thank you. We're done.

122:18

>> That was great. YouTube have this new

122:20

crazy algorithm where they know exactly

122:22

what video you would like to watch next

122:24

based on AI and all of your viewing

122:26

behavior. And the algorithm says that

122:28

this video is the perfect video for you.

122:31

It's different for everybody looking

122:32

right now. Check this video out and I

122:34

bet you you might love

Interactive Summary

In this video, entrepreneur Daniel Priestley and host Stephen Bartlett discuss the transformational shift from the industrial age to the AI age. They explore the 'Jevons Paradox,' which suggests that as technology lowers the cost of creating products like software, it will lead to an explosion of millions of small, niche businesses. The conversation covers the specific risks of AI disruption for white-collar jobs versus the rising value of blue-collar trades and human-centric roles. Priestley outlines a six-step entrepreneurial 'value creation loop' and warns of a potential financial collapse in 2029 due to the massive, short-lived capital expenditures required for AI infrastructure. Ultimately, the discussion emphasizes that building a personal brand and focusing on irreplaceably human experiences are the best ways to remain relevant and fulfilled.

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