Trump's 15% Tariffs Will Make Millionaires in 2026 (Here's How)
392 segments
About a year ago, President Trump's
tariffs triggered the biggest stock
market crash since the pandemic. And the
bigger the crash, the bigger the
opportunity. Well, those same tariffs
just got struck down by the Supreme
Court, marking a massive shift in trade
policy that will make some investors
rich and destroy the portfolios of
anyone who's not paying attention. So,
in this video, I'll walk you through
what's actually happening with Trump's
tariffs, what almost all the headlines
are missing, and which stocks are set to
win big as a result. Your time is
valuable, so let's get right into it.
First things first, if you feel confused
about Trump's tariffs and his trade war,
you are not alone. Every major media
outlet is asking way more questions than
they're answering right now. But
confusion can create huge opportunities
for investors, especially the ones who
slow down, figure out what actually
changed and make moves based on data and
policy instead of headlines and hot
takes. That's exactly what this video
will help you do. And I'll break
everything down into four parts. First,
what the Supreme Court just killed and
what it didn't. Second, what this means
for Trump's trade war in general and his
AI strategy specifically. Third, which
companies are most at risk after this
decision. and of course which stocks are
set to win big as a result. There's a
ton to talk about, so let's dive right
into the Supreme Court's decision around
Trump's tariffs. About a year ago,
President Trump declared that unfair
foreign trade practices were a national
emergency. And he used a law called the
International Emergency Economic Powers
Act, or the EA, to slap a 10% tariff on
all countries, plus much higher
reciprocal tariffs on countries where
the US has a big trade deficit. Those
reciprocal tariffs quickly turned into
serious international trade tensions
that triggered the single steepest stock
market drop since the COVID crash with
the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ dropping by
about 20% in a matter of weeks. I
actually made seven separate videos
covering Trump's different rounds of
tariffs, why I thought they wouldn't
last, and the big buying opportunities I
thought they presented. Those videos got
over 3 million views combined, and many
of the stocks in them have more than
doubled in price in the months that
followed. I'm not trying to show off
here. I'm trying to show you the direct
connection between paying attention to
tariffs and getting rich without getting
lucky. Fast forward to this past week in
a six-to3 decision, the Supreme Court
ruled that President Trump overstepped
his authority under the EPA. Basically
saying this emergency law lets the
president regulate imports during a real
national emergency, but it doesn't give
him the power to redesign the whole
tariff system or run a permanent global
tariff program all by himself. That
means most of Trump's reciprocal
tariffs, which hit more than a 100
countries, are now being unwound.
Importers and lawyers are already
scrambling to figure out how to handle
more than $130 billion that were
collected under these tariffs now that
the Supreme Court says they weren't
authorized in the first place. But
here's what almost all the headlines
have been missing. This ruling only
touches tariffs relying on that
Emergency Economic Powers Act. It didn't
strike down Trump's separate national
security tariffs under section 232,
which includes the new 25% tariffs and
compliance rules on specific
semiconductor equipment and AI chips
that took effect in January. Those more
targeted sector specific tariffs are
still in place, and they're the real
lynch pin in Trump's ongoing trade war,
especially for AI and semiconductor
stocks. But here's where things get
really interesting. Trump isn't treating
the Supreme Court loss like the end of
his overall strategy. He's treating it
like a little speed bump and reaching
for different weapons altogether. Within
hours of the ruling, President Trump
went on camera, called the court deeply
disappointing, and announced a brand new
10% global tariff using a different law,
section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act, which
lets him impose up to a 15% baseline
tariff for a limited period without
congressional approval. He also
specifically said that all tariffs
imposed under other laws like the
section 232 national security tariffs I
just mentioned will remain in full force
and effect. Quick update as I'm
recording this video. President Trump
just raised his 10% global tariff all
the way to 15%. Which is the maximum
allowed under the trade act that he's
using to enact it. At the same time, his
team has been quietly shifting the trade
war towards advanced chips and AI
hardware. For example, the Trump
administration imposed a 25% tariff on
more advanced AI accelerators like
Nvidia's H200s and AMD's MI325X
and paired that with new export controls
that effectively take a share of chip
revenues from China. All that is
completely outside the Emergency
Economic Powers Act. So, the Supreme
Court ruling doesn't affect these things
at all. The White House also signed a
semiconductor deal with Taiwan that ties
future tariffs directly to how much
Taiwanese companies invest in US
manufacturing. Chip makers that build
fabs in America can import up to 2.5
times their planned US capacity without
tariffs while the plants are being built
and about 1.5 times that capacity once
they're up and running. Funny enough, if
this policy holds, I think it could make
Taiwanese chip makers overpromise on
their planned capacity and take more
time to complete their US fabs. That
way, they maximize the number of high-v
value chips that they can ship without
paying those tariffs. But either way,
the era of blanket emergency style
reciprocal tariffs is coming to an end.
But the era of targeted AI and
semiconductor tariffs is just getting
started, and that's where the real
market winners and losers start to be
more clear. Speaking of winners and
losers, a new study shows that US
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below today. All right. So, under the
old policy that was just struck down,
almost every product from almost every
country got hit with some version of
President Trump's reciprocal tariffs.
And the higher the US trade deficit with
the country, the higher the tariffs that
country faced. With this new setup, the
extreme deficit-based charges are being
rolled back. and the extra pressure is
now being concentrated on a narrow set
of high-end chips, tools, and supply
chains that Washington is treating as
national security assets. There are two
big reasons this matters to investors.
First, for anything tied to advanced AI
infrastructure like GPUs and custom
accelerators, high bandwidth memory,
advanced packaging, leading edge
foundaries and the machines inside them,
US policy is now focused on pulling more
of that capacity on shore or into
friendly countries even harder than it
was before by using tariffs, export
controls, and targeted deals with allies
like Taiwan. And second, any business
relying on demand from China, low margin
commodity hardware, or generic
electronics that foreign countries can
easily undercut is losing their old
blanket tariff protections, making them
much more exposed to new retalatory
tariffs and brutal price competition.
The overall takeaway for investors is
that Trump's trade war is moving from
tariffs on everything to a filter that
specifically separates AI and
semiconductor companies into two
buckets. those that benefit from these
new policies and the ones at risk
because of them. So, let's talk about
that next, starting with which companies
are most at risk. And if you feel I've
earned it, consider hitting the like
button and subscribing to the channel.
That really helps me out and it lets me
know to make more content like this.
Thanks. Now, let's talk about which
companies these policies hurt the most.
First, any US-listed semiconductor or
hardware companies with outsized China
exposure that aren't treated as national
security assets under these new
policies. Companies like Qualcomm,
ticker symbol QCOM, Marll, MRVL, Western
Digital, WDC, and SanDisk, SNDK, could
have anywhere from 25 to 40% of their
revenues effectively tied to Chinese
OEMs or Chinacentric supply chains. Just
to be clear, I'm not saying these are
bad businesses, but they are more
vulnerable to new Chinese trade
policies, customer reshoring inside
China, and aggressive competition from
Chinese chip and hardware vendors if
tensions continue to escalate. Second,
low margin commodity hardware businesses
that were benefiting from broad tariff
shelters. Think about the Quantas and
Foxcons of the world. Foxcon
manufactures Apple's iPhones and iPads,
Microsoft's Xbox consoles, Amazon's
Kindle devices, and even AI server
equipment for Amazon, Microsoft, and
Meta, all on 2 to 4% margins. And now
those same items are losing their broad
tariff protections, which impacts the
supply chains of every tech company and
product I just mentioned. So, if a
company's competitive edge depends on
demand from China, manufacturing in
China, or other low-cost nations, this
version of President Trump's trade war
is an even tougher environment than the
one that just got overturned. Now, let's
talk about the companies that should
benefit the most from the next phase of
this AI trade war, and [clears throat]
the biggest long-term investing
opportunities as a result. First up are
the AI accelerators and custom chips the
Trump administration is treating as
national security assets. Nvidia and AMD
are front and center here since the 25%
tariff under section 232 literally calls
out chips like Nvidia's H200 and AMD's
MI325X.
The export control rules on these chips
are designed to limit sales to China
while keeping US companies and US allies
well supplied. That combination of
strict limits on China and massive AI
spending in the US is exactly the kind
of setup that lets the strongest chip
vendors keep demand high without having
to slash prices. Second would be the
memory and advanced packaging ecosystem
around those same chips. High bandwidth
memory is already in short supply and
the section 232 actions plus the Taiwan
deal are pushing more of that memory and
packaging capacity into US and allied
fabs instead of China. That's a clear
tailwind for companies like Micron in
the US as well as SKH Highix and Samsung
in South Korea since these companies
make the memory that AI chips can't run
without. Third are the semiconductor
foundaries and equipment makers willing
to make more in the US. Chip
manufacturers like TSMC and Intel are
being subsidized to expand their US
production with tariff rules that get
more generous the more they invest here.
And equipment vendors like ASML, Applied
Materials, Lamb Research, and KLA also
benefit from these buildouts because
every new advanced manufacturing line is
filled with their tools and machines.
All right, so here's how I'm actually
using all this information for my own
portfolio. And as always, this isn't
financial advice. I'm just sharing what
I'm personally doing. Just like last
year, I'm treating tariff headlines as
entry points, not as reasons to panic.
While investors get more fearful around
Trump's new announcements, court
rulings, or responses from China, and
all the AI and semiconductor stocks I
cover sell off with the rest of the
market, that's when I dollar cost
average in even more aggressively into
every layer of the AI stack from Nvidia
and Micron to TSMC and ASML. I'm also
paying close attention to the important
data points that I always talk about
during drawdowns like CNN's fear and
greed index and the S&P 500's volatility
index. If volatility and fear in the
market spike at the same time, that's my
signal to get more greedy. If volatility
stays low and greed stays high, I'll
wait for the next headline. And there
will be a next headline. Remember, this
is an evolving story. President Trump
has already shown that he's willing to
use one legal tool after another to
pressure his trading partners. The US
Congress and other countries are still
responding to this latest decision, as
well as Trump increasing his new global
tariff from 10 to 15%. So, I'll keep
tracking the changes to these tariffs
and trade policies so I can keep you
updated on what they mean for AI and
semiconductor stocks. But hopefully this
video helped you understand what
happened so far. The Supreme Court just
overturned Trump's reciprocal tariffs
under the International Emergency
Economic Powers Act, the ones that hit
more than 100 countries and helped
trigger a 20% drop in the market last
year. President Trump immediately fired
back with a temporary 10% global tariff
under a different law, section 122 of
the 1974 Trade Act. Then just one day
later, he increased that global tariff
to 15%, which is the maximum allowed
under that law. while keeping all the
other tariffs and export controls fully
in place. That includes the section 232
national security tariffs and the China
focused export controls we walked
through in this video. Put together,
that means there's even more pressure on
advanced AI chips and their supply
chains, which Washington DC is treating
as national security assets to move more
production to the US, while blanket
protections for low margin hardware
companies and China dependent revenue
streams are starting to go away. All of
these changes make the core AI stack,
including GPUs and custom accelerators,
high bandwidth memory and advanced
packaging, and the company's moving
fabs, machines, and tools to the US, a
great way to get rich without getting
lucky. And if you want to see what else
I'm investing in to get rich without
getting lucky, check out this video
next. Either way, thanks for watching,
and until next time, this is Tickerol U.
My name is Alex, reminding you that the
best investment you can make is in you.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video analyzes the impact of the Supreme Court striking down President Trump's reciprocal tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. While these broad, deficit-based tariffs are being unwound, the video highlights that sector-specific national security tariffs, particularly regarding AI and semiconductors, remain in force and are expanding. Trump has already countered the court's decision by implementing a 15% global tariff under the 1974 Trade Act. The presenter argues that this shift creates a clearer divide between companies at risk—those with high China exposure or low-margin commodity businesses—and AI/semiconductor leaders expected to benefit from reshored infrastructure and secure supply chains.
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