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Trump's 15% Tariffs Will Make Millionaires in 2026 (Here's How)

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Trump's 15% Tariffs Will Make Millionaires in 2026 (Here's How)

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392 segments

0:00

About a year ago, President Trump's

0:01

tariffs triggered the biggest stock

0:03

market crash since the pandemic. And the

0:06

bigger the crash, the bigger the

0:07

opportunity. Well, those same tariffs

0:10

just got struck down by the Supreme

0:12

Court, marking a massive shift in trade

0:14

policy that will make some investors

0:16

rich and destroy the portfolios of

0:18

anyone who's not paying attention. So,

0:20

in this video, I'll walk you through

0:22

what's actually happening with Trump's

0:23

tariffs, what almost all the headlines

0:25

are missing, and which stocks are set to

0:28

win big as a result. Your time is

0:30

valuable, so let's get right into it.

0:32

First things first, if you feel confused

0:34

about Trump's tariffs and his trade war,

0:36

you are not alone. Every major media

0:38

outlet is asking way more questions than

0:40

they're answering right now. But

0:42

confusion can create huge opportunities

0:44

for investors, especially the ones who

0:46

slow down, figure out what actually

0:48

changed and make moves based on data and

0:50

policy instead of headlines and hot

0:52

takes. That's exactly what this video

0:54

will help you do. And I'll break

0:56

everything down into four parts. First,

0:58

what the Supreme Court just killed and

1:00

what it didn't. Second, what this means

1:02

for Trump's trade war in general and his

1:04

AI strategy specifically. Third, which

1:07

companies are most at risk after this

1:09

decision. and of course which stocks are

1:11

set to win big as a result. There's a

1:13

ton to talk about, so let's dive right

1:15

into the Supreme Court's decision around

1:17

Trump's tariffs. About a year ago,

1:19

President Trump declared that unfair

1:21

foreign trade practices were a national

1:23

emergency. And he used a law called the

1:25

International Emergency Economic Powers

1:28

Act, or the EA, to slap a 10% tariff on

1:31

all countries, plus much higher

1:33

reciprocal tariffs on countries where

1:35

the US has a big trade deficit. Those

1:38

reciprocal tariffs quickly turned into

1:40

serious international trade tensions

1:42

that triggered the single steepest stock

1:44

market drop since the COVID crash with

1:47

the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ dropping by

1:49

about 20% in a matter of weeks. I

1:52

actually made seven separate videos

1:54

covering Trump's different rounds of

1:56

tariffs, why I thought they wouldn't

1:57

last, and the big buying opportunities I

2:00

thought they presented. Those videos got

2:02

over 3 million views combined, and many

2:05

of the stocks in them have more than

2:06

doubled in price in the months that

2:08

followed. I'm not trying to show off

2:10

here. I'm trying to show you the direct

2:12

connection between paying attention to

2:14

tariffs and getting rich without getting

2:16

lucky. Fast forward to this past week in

2:19

a six-to3 decision, the Supreme Court

2:21

ruled that President Trump overstepped

2:23

his authority under the EPA. Basically

2:26

saying this emergency law lets the

2:29

president regulate imports during a real

2:31

national emergency, but it doesn't give

2:33

him the power to redesign the whole

2:34

tariff system or run a permanent global

2:37

tariff program all by himself. That

2:39

means most of Trump's reciprocal

2:41

tariffs, which hit more than a 100

2:43

countries, are now being unwound.

2:45

Importers and lawyers are already

2:47

scrambling to figure out how to handle

2:49

more than $130 billion that were

2:52

collected under these tariffs now that

2:53

the Supreme Court says they weren't

2:55

authorized in the first place. But

2:57

here's what almost all the headlines

2:58

have been missing. This ruling only

3:00

touches tariffs relying on that

3:02

Emergency Economic Powers Act. It didn't

3:04

strike down Trump's separate national

3:07

security tariffs under section 232,

3:10

which includes the new 25% tariffs and

3:13

compliance rules on specific

3:14

semiconductor equipment and AI chips

3:17

that took effect in January. Those more

3:19

targeted sector specific tariffs are

3:22

still in place, and they're the real

3:23

lynch pin in Trump's ongoing trade war,

3:26

especially for AI and semiconductor

3:28

stocks. But here's where things get

3:30

really interesting. Trump isn't treating

3:32

the Supreme Court loss like the end of

3:34

his overall strategy. He's treating it

3:36

like a little speed bump and reaching

3:38

for different weapons altogether. Within

3:40

hours of the ruling, President Trump

3:42

went on camera, called the court deeply

3:44

disappointing, and announced a brand new

3:46

10% global tariff using a different law,

3:49

section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act, which

3:53

lets him impose up to a 15% baseline

3:55

tariff for a limited period without

3:58

congressional approval. He also

3:59

specifically said that all tariffs

4:01

imposed under other laws like the

4:03

section 232 national security tariffs I

4:06

just mentioned will remain in full force

4:08

and effect. Quick update as I'm

4:10

recording this video. President Trump

4:12

just raised his 10% global tariff all

4:14

the way to 15%. Which is the maximum

4:17

allowed under the trade act that he's

4:18

using to enact it. At the same time, his

4:21

team has been quietly shifting the trade

4:22

war towards advanced chips and AI

4:25

hardware. For example, the Trump

4:26

administration imposed a 25% tariff on

4:29

more advanced AI accelerators like

4:31

Nvidia's H200s and AMD's MI325X

4:36

and paired that with new export controls

4:38

that effectively take a share of chip

4:40

revenues from China. All that is

4:42

completely outside the Emergency

4:44

Economic Powers Act. So, the Supreme

4:46

Court ruling doesn't affect these things

4:48

at all. The White House also signed a

4:50

semiconductor deal with Taiwan that ties

4:52

future tariffs directly to how much

4:54

Taiwanese companies invest in US

4:56

manufacturing. Chip makers that build

4:58

fabs in America can import up to 2.5

5:01

times their planned US capacity without

5:04

tariffs while the plants are being built

5:06

and about 1.5 times that capacity once

5:08

they're up and running. Funny enough, if

5:10

this policy holds, I think it could make

5:12

Taiwanese chip makers overpromise on

5:14

their planned capacity and take more

5:16

time to complete their US fabs. That

5:18

way, they maximize the number of high-v

5:20

value chips that they can ship without

5:22

paying those tariffs. But either way,

5:24

the era of blanket emergency style

5:27

reciprocal tariffs is coming to an end.

5:29

But the era of targeted AI and

5:31

semiconductor tariffs is just getting

5:33

started, and that's where the real

5:35

market winners and losers start to be

5:37

more clear. Speaking of winners and

5:39

losers, a new study shows that US

5:41

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below today. All right. So, under the

6:41

old policy that was just struck down,

6:43

almost every product from almost every

6:45

country got hit with some version of

6:47

President Trump's reciprocal tariffs.

6:49

And the higher the US trade deficit with

6:50

the country, the higher the tariffs that

6:52

country faced. With this new setup, the

6:55

extreme deficit-based charges are being

6:57

rolled back. and the extra pressure is

6:59

now being concentrated on a narrow set

7:01

of high-end chips, tools, and supply

7:03

chains that Washington is treating as

7:05

national security assets. There are two

7:08

big reasons this matters to investors.

7:10

First, for anything tied to advanced AI

7:12

infrastructure like GPUs and custom

7:14

accelerators, high bandwidth memory,

7:17

advanced packaging, leading edge

7:19

foundaries and the machines inside them,

7:21

US policy is now focused on pulling more

7:23

of that capacity on shore or into

7:25

friendly countries even harder than it

7:27

was before by using tariffs, export

7:30

controls, and targeted deals with allies

7:32

like Taiwan. And second, any business

7:34

relying on demand from China, low margin

7:37

commodity hardware, or generic

7:39

electronics that foreign countries can

7:41

easily undercut is losing their old

7:43

blanket tariff protections, making them

7:45

much more exposed to new retalatory

7:47

tariffs and brutal price competition.

7:50

The overall takeaway for investors is

7:52

that Trump's trade war is moving from

7:54

tariffs on everything to a filter that

7:57

specifically separates AI and

7:58

semiconductor companies into two

8:00

buckets. those that benefit from these

8:02

new policies and the ones at risk

8:04

because of them. So, let's talk about

8:06

that next, starting with which companies

8:08

are most at risk. And if you feel I've

8:10

earned it, consider hitting the like

8:12

button and subscribing to the channel.

8:14

That really helps me out and it lets me

8:16

know to make more content like this.

8:18

Thanks. Now, let's talk about which

8:20

companies these policies hurt the most.

8:22

First, any US-listed semiconductor or

8:24

hardware companies with outsized China

8:27

exposure that aren't treated as national

8:29

security assets under these new

8:31

policies. Companies like Qualcomm,

8:33

ticker symbol QCOM, Marll, MRVL, Western

8:38

Digital, WDC, and SanDisk, SNDK, could

8:43

have anywhere from 25 to 40% of their

8:45

revenues effectively tied to Chinese

8:47

OEMs or Chinacentric supply chains. Just

8:50

to be clear, I'm not saying these are

8:52

bad businesses, but they are more

8:54

vulnerable to new Chinese trade

8:56

policies, customer reshoring inside

8:58

China, and aggressive competition from

9:01

Chinese chip and hardware vendors if

9:03

tensions continue to escalate. Second,

9:05

low margin commodity hardware businesses

9:07

that were benefiting from broad tariff

9:09

shelters. Think about the Quantas and

9:11

Foxcons of the world. Foxcon

9:13

manufactures Apple's iPhones and iPads,

9:16

Microsoft's Xbox consoles, Amazon's

9:18

Kindle devices, and even AI server

9:21

equipment for Amazon, Microsoft, and

9:23

Meta, all on 2 to 4% margins. And now

9:26

those same items are losing their broad

9:28

tariff protections, which impacts the

9:30

supply chains of every tech company and

9:32

product I just mentioned. So, if a

9:34

company's competitive edge depends on

9:36

demand from China, manufacturing in

9:38

China, or other low-cost nations, this

9:41

version of President Trump's trade war

9:43

is an even tougher environment than the

9:45

one that just got overturned. Now, let's

9:47

talk about the companies that should

9:49

benefit the most from the next phase of

9:51

this AI trade war, and [clears throat]

9:52

the biggest long-term investing

9:54

opportunities as a result. First up are

9:56

the AI accelerators and custom chips the

9:59

Trump administration is treating as

10:01

national security assets. Nvidia and AMD

10:04

are front and center here since the 25%

10:07

tariff under section 232 literally calls

10:09

out chips like Nvidia's H200 and AMD's

10:12

MI325X.

10:14

The export control rules on these chips

10:16

are designed to limit sales to China

10:18

while keeping US companies and US allies

10:21

well supplied. That combination of

10:23

strict limits on China and massive AI

10:25

spending in the US is exactly the kind

10:28

of setup that lets the strongest chip

10:29

vendors keep demand high without having

10:32

to slash prices. Second would be the

10:34

memory and advanced packaging ecosystem

10:37

around those same chips. High bandwidth

10:39

memory is already in short supply and

10:41

the section 232 actions plus the Taiwan

10:44

deal are pushing more of that memory and

10:46

packaging capacity into US and allied

10:49

fabs instead of China. That's a clear

10:51

tailwind for companies like Micron in

10:53

the US as well as SKH Highix and Samsung

10:56

in South Korea since these companies

10:58

make the memory that AI chips can't run

11:01

without. Third are the semiconductor

11:03

foundaries and equipment makers willing

11:05

to make more in the US. Chip

11:07

manufacturers like TSMC and Intel are

11:09

being subsidized to expand their US

11:12

production with tariff rules that get

11:13

more generous the more they invest here.

11:16

And equipment vendors like ASML, Applied

11:18

Materials, Lamb Research, and KLA also

11:22

benefit from these buildouts because

11:24

every new advanced manufacturing line is

11:26

filled with their tools and machines.

11:28

All right, so here's how I'm actually

11:30

using all this information for my own

11:32

portfolio. And as always, this isn't

11:34

financial advice. I'm just sharing what

11:37

I'm personally doing. Just like last

11:39

year, I'm treating tariff headlines as

11:41

entry points, not as reasons to panic.

11:43

While investors get more fearful around

11:45

Trump's new announcements, court

11:47

rulings, or responses from China, and

11:49

all the AI and semiconductor stocks I

11:51

cover sell off with the rest of the

11:53

market, that's when I dollar cost

11:55

average in even more aggressively into

11:57

every layer of the AI stack from Nvidia

12:00

and Micron to TSMC and ASML. I'm also

12:03

paying close attention to the important

12:05

data points that I always talk about

12:07

during drawdowns like CNN's fear and

12:10

greed index and the S&P 500's volatility

12:12

index. If volatility and fear in the

12:15

market spike at the same time, that's my

12:17

signal to get more greedy. If volatility

12:20

stays low and greed stays high, I'll

12:22

wait for the next headline. And there

12:24

will be a next headline. Remember, this

12:26

is an evolving story. President Trump

12:29

has already shown that he's willing to

12:30

use one legal tool after another to

12:33

pressure his trading partners. The US

12:35

Congress and other countries are still

12:37

responding to this latest decision, as

12:39

well as Trump increasing his new global

12:41

tariff from 10 to 15%. So, I'll keep

12:44

tracking the changes to these tariffs

12:46

and trade policies so I can keep you

12:48

updated on what they mean for AI and

12:50

semiconductor stocks. But hopefully this

12:52

video helped you understand what

12:54

happened so far. The Supreme Court just

12:56

overturned Trump's reciprocal tariffs

12:58

under the International Emergency

13:01

Economic Powers Act, the ones that hit

13:03

more than 100 countries and helped

13:05

trigger a 20% drop in the market last

13:08

year. President Trump immediately fired

13:10

back with a temporary 10% global tariff

13:12

under a different law, section 122 of

13:15

the 1974 Trade Act. Then just one day

13:18

later, he increased that global tariff

13:20

to 15%, which is the maximum allowed

13:23

under that law. while keeping all the

13:25

other tariffs and export controls fully

13:27

in place. That includes the section 232

13:30

national security tariffs and the China

13:33

focused export controls we walked

13:35

through in this video. Put together,

13:37

that means there's even more pressure on

13:39

advanced AI chips and their supply

13:41

chains, which Washington DC is treating

13:43

as national security assets to move more

13:46

production to the US, while blanket

13:48

protections for low margin hardware

13:50

companies and China dependent revenue

13:52

streams are starting to go away. All of

13:54

these changes make the core AI stack,

13:57

including GPUs and custom accelerators,

13:59

high bandwidth memory and advanced

14:01

packaging, and the company's moving

14:03

fabs, machines, and tools to the US, a

14:05

great way to get rich without getting

14:07

lucky. And if you want to see what else

14:09

I'm investing in to get rich without

14:11

getting lucky, check out this video

14:13

next. Either way, thanks for watching,

14:15

and until next time, this is Tickerol U.

14:18

My name is Alex, reminding you that the

14:21

best investment you can make is in you.

Interactive Summary

The video analyzes the impact of the Supreme Court striking down President Trump's reciprocal tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. While these broad, deficit-based tariffs are being unwound, the video highlights that sector-specific national security tariffs, particularly regarding AI and semiconductors, remain in force and are expanding. Trump has already countered the court's decision by implementing a 15% global tariff under the 1974 Trade Act. The presenter argues that this shift creates a clearer divide between companies at risk—those with high China exposure or low-margin commodity businesses—and AI/semiconductor leaders expected to benefit from reshored infrastructure and secure supply chains.

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