HomeVideos

Leopold Aschenbrenner Is Buying These AI Stocks Now (SHOCKING)

Now Playing

Leopold Aschenbrenner Is Buying These AI Stocks Now (SHOCKING)

Transcript

924 segments

0:00

Do you want to know which AI stocks

0:01

could be the next Nvidia before Wall

0:03

Street figures it out? Well, today we're

0:04

going to look at a portfolio of a

0:06

24year-old investor named Leopald Ashen

0:09

Brener, who is in charge of investing in

0:11

AI Frontier emerging technology ideas.

0:13

Now, he turned $1 billion into over $4.5

0:17

billion by betting on artificial

0:19

intelligence. What's shocking is that

0:21

he's no longer buying many of the AI

0:23

stocks investors are chasing today. He

0:26

has shifted his focus to the major

0:27

constraint that investors haven't really

0:29

invested in just yet as energy and

0:31

infrastructure. His fund is called

0:33

situational awareness. Situational

0:35

awareness is aggressively long the

0:37

physical infrastructure layer of AI data

0:39

center buildouts. Specifically, Ashen

0:42

Burner's portfolio includes meaningful

0:43

positions in competing neocloud

0:45

companies later mentioned. Before

0:47

launching his fund, he worked at FTX

0:49

during the Sam Bankman Freed era and he

0:51

later joined Open AI where he became

0:53

wellknown for his views on AGI and AI

0:56

acceleration. He's also engaged to the

0:57

chief of staff anthropic CEO Dario Amodi

1:00

which means that he's connected to some

1:02

of the most influential people building

1:04

frontier emerging technology right now.

1:05

Now, I'm not saying he's like Nancy

1:08

Pelosi, but I'm also not saying his

1:10

returns are normal, if you know what I

1:12

mean. This guy is almost a decade

1:14

younger than me and he's on a

1:15

generational money run. Clearly, he is

1:18

doing something different from everybody

1:19

else on Wall Street. So, I looked into

1:21

his 13F filing on all his positions and

1:24

I want to share with you my findings

1:26

today. Some of these stocks I have

1:27

already caught on to myself before doing

1:29

the digging and other stocks really

1:31

shocked me. Here's the value of his 13F

1:33

filing from Q4 2024 when he was just 23

1:37

years old. Leopald Ashenberger's public

1:39

portfolio shows his disclosed portfolio

1:42

exploding from roughly 255 million at

1:45

the end of 2024 to nearly 14 billion by

1:48

the first quarter of 2026. That means

1:51

the disclosed portfolio grew

1:52

approximately four times from Q4 2024 to

1:55

Q1 2025. then 2.1 times from Q1 2025 to

2:00

Q2 1.95 times the next quarter 1.33

2:03

times the next quarter and pretty much

2:05

in the last quarter up to Q1 2026 2.48

2:09

times overall $255 million to 13.6

2:14

plus billion in 15 months. I would not

2:17

say that's anywhere near normal. So

2:19

what's going on here and what does Leo

2:20

Paul know that most investors do not

2:23

know? More recent reports indicate that

2:25

the fund is essentially up over a,000%

2:27

since inception and approximately 270%

2:30

in 2026 alone a year to date making it

2:34

one of the most successful AI focused

2:36

funds in the entire world. The fact that

2:38

AI right now is a very competitive

2:40

market means that the competition is

2:42

stiff. He's done a major recent pivot

2:44

but it's essentially following his

2:46

methodology which he listed in his

2:48

165page thesis called situational

2:50

awareness same as the fund's name. Now,

2:52

my description has a report of his

2:54

stocks and a summary that I condense

2:56

into a short PDF that you can download

2:58

on his holdings and my personal opinion

3:00

on it. You can also Google it or just

3:01

download my free guide, which also

3:03

includes which stocks I believe are the

3:04

best holds amongst his picks for the

3:06

next 12 months. Now, let's get into

3:08

Leopold's five biggest positions

3:10

according to his latest 13F filing,

3:12

because this is where the real sauce is.

3:14

This is where his thesis really comes

3:16

alive and we get to learn about what his

3:18

thought process is in which stocks may

3:20

likely be tomorrow's winners. And also

3:23

this can teach us something about making

3:24

some money and making some gold. And you

3:26

guys already know that I'm a gold

3:27

digger, right? So I'm trying to look for

3:29

next best opportunity. So look, the

3:30

first stock is Nebius, ticker symbol

3:33

NBIS. Leopold's biggest position is

3:35

Nebius. And what's really surprising

3:37

here is Leopold's fund disclosed

3:39

ownership of 12.41 41 million Nebia

3:42

shares representing roughly 5.6%

3:45

not of his portfolio of the company 5.6%

3:50

of the company. The stake is worth

3:51

approximately $2.5 to $2.8 billion

3:55

depending on Nebius because it's a very

3:57

volatile stock and this also does make

3:58

up his largest position and significant

4:00

portion of his entire portfolio. Now

4:02

this position was disclosed through a

4:04

separate schedule not the 13F. It was

4:07

actually reported on 13G filing and this

4:10

was not visible in his Q120613F

4:14

suggesting that it was built after March

4:17

31st. Now, here's why this is a big

4:19

deal. A13F is filed quarterly by

4:22

investment managers with over $100

4:24

million under management. It shows long

4:26

positions and it also shows certain

4:29

option positions and holdings as of the

4:31

last day of the quarter. The last day of

4:33

the quarter would be March 31st. But for

4:36

Nebius, this is very different. This

4:38

report only comes out 45 days after the

4:42

quarter end. A 13G is different. A 13G

4:46

is filed when an investor acquires more

4:48

than 5% ownership of a public company.

4:51

You see what's going on here is a 13G,

4:54

it is designed to notify the market that

4:56

someone now owns a meaningful piece of

4:59

the business. So Mr. Ashen Brener's fund

5:02

crossed the 5% ownership threshold in

5:05

Nebus. Yeah, crazy. This 24 year old guy

5:08

has over 5% of the entire company,

5:11

Nebius, a company that's worth almost

5:13

$70 billion and fluctuating wildly

5:16

between 65 to 75 billion. That is a very

5:20

large position. So, he's betting very

5:22

heavy on this company. And I'm actually

5:24

not surprised that this is his top pick.

5:27

You guys know that I've talked about the

5:28

stock multiple times before in my

5:30

Discord community. In fact, I first made

5:32

a public video when Nebius hit $90 per

5:36

share and I said that this stock is

5:37

going to be one of my favorite stocks

5:39

over the next 1 to 3 years. I was early

5:42

on the trade and I understand why

5:44

Leopold is betting so hard on it. Every

5:46

AI company on Earth has literally the

5:49

same problem. What could it be? Well,

5:51

they need GPUs and they need lots of

5:54

GPUs. literally like neverending amounts

5:57

of GPUs, thousands. And Nvidia isn't

6:00

selling intelligence. Nvidia is selling

6:02

the machine that creates intelligence.

6:05

Nebus buys those machines, builds out

6:07

the infrastructure around them, and

6:10

rents that computing power to customers.

6:13

This is part of a rapidly emerging

6:15

category called a neocloud. You already

6:17

know traditional cloud companies like

6:19

Amazon, Microsoft, and Google. They ran

6:21

out computing power for websites,

6:23

databases, applications, and uh

6:25

enterprise software. Neoclouds are

6:27

different. Leo Paul believes the biggest

6:28

winners in AI won't necessarily be the

6:31

companies building AI applications. They

6:34

could be the companies providing the

6:35

infrastructure that every AI company

6:37

needs to operate. A neocloud is a cloud

6:40

provider built specifically for

6:43

artificial intelligence renting massive

6:45

GPU computing power to AI companies

6:48

instead of focusing on traditional

6:50

business software and websites. And this

6:52

is absolutely genius of Leopold. Whether

6:54

it's OpenAI, Anthropic, XAI or some

6:57

other startup nobody has even heard of

6:59

yet, right? Some brand new company comes

7:01

to the market, they will all need one

7:03

thing which is enormous amounts of

7:05

computing power. If AI demand keeps

7:07

growing basically how it's been growing,

7:09

then computing becomes like oil.

7:10

Everybody needs it. Everybody is

7:12

fighting for it. They're like choking

7:14

each other because they need it to win.

7:16

They needed to make money and to

7:18

progress. And the companies that can

7:19

secure GPUs, data centers, power, and

7:22

customers all at the very same time can

7:24

become extremely valuable. Those are the

7:27

companies that are going to win. So

7:29

access here matters. Leopold established

7:31

a giant position that's so big that it

7:34

had to file a 13G due to being over 5%.

7:37

The stock has made investors, including

7:39

my own community, very wealthy. And the

7:41

biggest reason that investors are still

7:44

excited is actually very simple. Nebus

7:46

has a real chance to become one of the

7:48

dominant independent AI infrastructure

7:50

providers on the entire planet. What

7:52

makes that opportunity so exciting is

7:53

that even the largest technology

7:55

companies in the world can't seem to get

7:57

enough computing power. And when

7:58

companies worth trillions of dollars are

8:00

still scrambling over more GPUs and

8:03

signing partnerships outside their own

8:05

ecosystem, it tells you the shortage

8:07

isn't just temporary. It's one of the

8:09

defining bottlenecks of the entire AI

8:12

revolution. Of course, there is a major

8:14

risk. This business requires enormous

8:16

amounts of capital to succeed. It's one

8:18

thing to have customers lined up wanting

8:20

AI compute, but it's another thing

8:22

entirely to secure the power and acquire

8:25

the GPUs, build the facilities, and

8:27

raise billions of dollars needed to

8:30

actually scale. Every Neocloud is racing

8:33

against time. See, time right now for

8:35

the AI race is very important because if

8:38

capacity isn't built fast enough,

8:40

customers may find another provider

8:42

before the infrastructure is ready. as

8:44

part of the big NEOC cloud risk

8:46

assessment an investor has to consider

8:48

and now clearly Mr. Leopold whether

8:51

through research or information that he

8:54

has maybe it's public information or

8:56

maybe it's private information not sure

8:58

but he has a very strong opinion on this

9:01

company and he has already been

9:02

extremely profitable on his bet which is

9:04

a very telling piece of information now

9:07

the bullcase for Nebus over the next

9:09

three to even longer 5 10 years that

9:12

becomes one of the few global AI

9:14

infrastructure platforms outside of the

9:16

big four cloud companies and that is the

9:18

big thesis that Leo Bill is likely

9:20

betting on. Now, here's my June trade on

9:23

Nebius that I shared with my own

9:25

community. I personally bought Nebus 255

9:27

put options. Now, this sounds crazy

9:29

because, you know, aren't we bullish

9:30

here on Nebius? Well, I bought these

9:31

puts as downside protection because

9:33

Nebius had become extremely volatile

9:35

after a massive run, giving me insurance

9:37

in case the stock pulled back sharply

9:39

while I maintain my bullish long-term

9:41

position. And I ended up closing those

9:43

three contracts on Nebas just one day

9:45

later. And I ended up closing my hedge.

9:47

and quickly I personally had profited

9:49

$1,020. And I did also share this live

9:52

with my Discord community. And this

9:53

position that I opened up is proving

9:55

that basically once again that

9:56

volatility can be monetized even when

9:58

you're bullish on a long-term stock.

10:00

Now, as you can see, I also sold put

10:02

options on Nebius, which I was assigned

10:04

100 shares at $225 per share, which I

10:07

was completely comfortable with because

10:08

I already viewed Nebus as one of the

10:10

strongest AI infrastructure plays in the

10:12

entire market. I was happy to own more.

10:13

I'd open these positions in my Discord

10:15

community as a sell put with the goal of

10:17

getting assigned and the other option

10:19

position that I made over $1,000 on

10:21

personally with my community was a hedge

10:23

against any short-term risk because I

10:24

saw for one of my VSSL indicators that

10:26

basically there would be a short move on

10:28

the downside for Nebius and that was a

10:30

high probability trade that I could

10:31

take. Now I'm still holding Nebius and

10:33

getting a sign of $225 per share ended

10:35

up being a very amazing entry point for

10:38

me to further buy Nebia stock. Now going

10:41

forward, what what is Leop Paul doing?

10:43

What do I see with the stock? Well, I

10:45

think Nebas has more room to run since

10:47

Leopold is unlikely acquiring so many

10:49

shares to just dump those shares in the

10:51

short term. I mean, it wouldn't really

10:52

make that much sense to go above 5%

10:54

ownership for that to become public. He

10:56

knows that's going to be in the 13G,

10:58

right? He's he's a genius after all. So,

10:59

he knows that that piece of information

11:01

is going to become public only to then

11:02

dump it right away. That would most

11:04

likely hurt his reputation. So, in my

11:06

opinion, I think that he is acquiring

11:08

shares for the long term and that he

11:09

knows info that's likely to make the

11:11

stock continue its generational run.

11:13

From a long-term perspective, Nebius has

11:15

excellent leadership. Their CEO is

11:17

Arcadi Vish. This isn't some

11:18

entrepreneur who just jumped into AI

11:20

bandwagon after, you know, Chad GPT went

11:22

viral. Volish has literally spent

11:24

decades building technology companies at

11:26

scale. And he is the founder of Yandex.

11:28

He helped create one of the largest and

11:30

most sophisticated technology platforms

11:32

outside of the United States with

11:33

experience spanning from search engines,

11:36

mapping, cloud computing, artificial

11:37

intelligence, and managing thousands of

11:39

engineers. That background matters

11:41

because Nebus is not just trying to rent

11:43

GPUs. The bigger vision is to build a

11:46

full stack AI cloud and that means that

11:48

physical data centers, GPUs, cloud

11:50

software, no developer tools, and

11:52

eventually higher margin services

11:54

layered on top. This is the difference

11:56

between a company that owns a bunch of

11:58

chips and a company that could become a

12:00

real platform. The market might be

12:02

missing that part. A lot of people look

12:04

at Nebus and say, "Okay, well this is

12:06

just another GPU rental company." But

12:07

the real upside is if Nebius becomes a

12:10

cloud company that starts with GPUs and

12:12

then expands into everything around AI

12:14

workloads. Now the biggest competitors

12:16

are Coreweave, INEN, Lambda, Crusoe,

12:20

Oracle Cloud and obviously all the giant

12:23

hyperscalers like Microsoft Azure, AWS

12:25

and Google Cloud. Compared to those

12:27

giants, Nebius is smaller but faster and

12:30

far more specialized. Microsoft has to

12:32

support everything from Office 365 and

12:35

Xbox to corporate databases and

12:37

government contracts. While Amazon Cloud

12:39

powers millions of websites and

12:40

applications around the world, Nebius

12:42

doesn't have to be everything to

12:44

everyone. that's probably not the best

12:46

bet for them. It could focus almost

12:48

entirely on the opportunity building AI

12:50

infrastructure and delivering GPU

12:52

compute to companies racing to develop

12:54

artificial intelligence. And this is

12:55

what is called a pure play. Nebius is

12:58

one of the few publicly traded pureplay

13:00

bets on AI infrastructure. Doesn't have

13:03

to advertise. It doesn't have to spend

13:05

tons of money on that. Doesn't, you

13:06

know, have to do e-commerce or office

13:09

software or social media business.

13:11

Doesn't need to do any of that. Its

13:12

success is tied directly to just one

13:14

thing, the growth of artificial

13:16

intelligence. Unlike Microsoft, Amazon,

13:18

or Google, Nebius is a pure play AI

13:21

infrastructure company. Investors aren't

13:23

buying a conglomerate with like dozens

13:26

of business lines. That's not what's

13:27

going on here. They're getting direct

13:29

exposure to one of the most important

13:30

trends in technology, the one and only.

13:33

So, could Nebus realistically take

13:34

market share from bigger players? Well,

13:36

the opportunity isn't that Nebius

13:38

replaces Amazon, Microsoft, or Google.

13:40

That's not really what I think Leopold

13:42

is betting on. That's unlikely his

13:43

thesis. The thesis based on Leopold's

13:46

165page essay that I spent an entire I

13:48

don't even know like over weeks reading,

13:50

so you don't have to, by the way, is

13:52

that the AI demand grows so fast that

13:54

even the largest cloud providers on

13:56

Earth can't build capacity quickly

13:57

enough to keep up. And in that world,

13:59

companies like Nebus don't need to steal

14:01

customers from Amazon, Microsoft, or

14:03

Google. They simply need to absorb the

14:04

overflow. And that's the crazy part. The

14:06

opportunity isn't taking market share.

14:08

It's serving a market that's growing

14:10

faster than everyone can supply it. Now,

14:11

is the stock cheap? Well, absolutely

14:13

not. This is not the type of stock that

14:14

you buy because it trades at a low PE

14:16

ratio or looks statistically

14:18

undervalued. This is a stock where

14:19

investors are betting that today's

14:21

growth is only a small preview of what

14:22

the business could become over the next

14:24

5 to 10 years. In other words, the

14:26

market is already pricing in aggressive

14:27

growth, major customer wins, successful

14:29

execution, and billions of dollars of

14:30

future infrastructure expansion. If

14:32

management stumbles, if AI demand slows,

14:34

or if competitors build capacity faster,

14:36

this stock is going to experience some

14:38

heavy volatility. But it's not like the

14:39

stock's not already volatile and it has

14:41

been just fine in the past. So going

14:43

forward, as long as those big risks

14:45

don't actually happen, and you know, the

14:46

supply doesn't actually end up catching

14:48

up, then this stock is likely to

14:50

experience more explosive growth. That's

14:52

also why Leopaul's position is so

14:54

fascinating to me. He isn't betting on

14:56

what Nebius is today. He's betting on

14:58

what Nebius could become. If the company

15:00

continues signing large customers,

15:02

expands it data center footprint,

15:03

secures additional power capacity, and

15:05

converts these contracts into recurring

15:08

revenue streams, the current valuation

15:09

could look far less expensive in

15:11

hindsight. What could turn Nebius into a

15:13

monster winner is actually pretty

15:14

simple. More hyperscaler partnerships,

15:16

more AI laboratory partnerships, more

15:18

GPU capacity coming online, more

15:20

long-term customer contracts, and all of

15:22

these things I see very probable. And

15:24

obviously, Leopold is likely looking at

15:26

at it the same way. Perhaps most

15:28

importantly, proof that revenue growth

15:30

eventually translates into meaningful

15:31

profitability is what actually has to

15:33

happen for the company to be worth a

15:35

hundred billion, $200 billion, and so on

15:37

and so forth for Nebius to actually

15:39

reach larger and larger valuations.

15:40

Because at the end of the day, revenue

15:42

alone doesn't create shareholder value.

15:44

Profitable growth does. So over the next

15:46

few years, investors should pay close

15:47

attention to new contract announcements,

15:49

infrastructure expansion updates, power

15:51

availability, customer diversification.

15:53

Yeah, that is actually very important.

15:55

And margin trends. So those factors will

15:58

tell us whether Nebius is simply riding

15:59

the AI wave or whether it is becoming

16:01

one of the foundational infrastructure

16:03

companies powering the entire AI

16:05

ecosystem. And if Leopaul's thesis is

16:07

correct, Nebius may not just be another

16:08

AI stock. It could be one of the

16:10

companies that is helping build the

16:12

backbone of artificial intelligence

16:13

himself. So that's a long summary on

16:15

Leopalt holding Nebius's biggest stock.

16:18

Now let's go into his second holding

16:19

which is Bloom Energy. Bloom Energy is

16:22

Leopold's second largest position and

16:24

honestly it might be the most unexpected

16:26

stock in the entire portfolio. When most

16:28

people think about AI investments, they

16:30

think about Nvidia, cloud computing,

16:32

software or you know robots. Bloom

16:34

doesn't do any of that. Bloom sells fuel

16:36

cell systems that generate electricity

16:38

directly at the customer location. At

16:40

first glance, that sounds about as

16:42

exciting as watching paintry till you

16:44

realize one very important thing. The

16:47

next major bottleneck in artificial

16:48

intelligence may not be chips. It may be

16:51

power. So, everyone is talking about GPU

16:53

shortages, but AI data centers are

16:55

consuming staggering amounts of

16:56

electricity. In many cases, companies

16:58

secure the land, the building, and even

17:00

the Nvidia chips, and then they realize

17:03

the real problem is getting enough power

17:05

to actually turn everything on. And

17:07

that's where Bloom enters the picture.

17:08

Instead of waiting years for utilities

17:10

to upgrade the electrical grid, Bloom

17:12

offers companies a way to bring power

17:14

directly to the site and get operational

17:17

much faster. and speed matters a

17:19

tremendous amount in this context. If a

17:21

company can launch an AI data center 12

17:24

months earlier, that could literally

17:25

mean hundreds of millions of dollars in

17:27

additional revenue. Suddenly, the

17:28

question isn't, well, what's the

17:30

cheapest power source? It's how quickly

17:32

can I get my hands on power right now?

17:35

That shift in thinking is why investors

17:37

become increasingly interested in Bloom

17:39

Energy. The company has recently

17:40

benefited from growing demand tied to AI

17:43

infrastructure projects, including

17:44

relationships connected to companies

17:46

such as Cororeweave, Oracle, Brookfield,

17:48

and yes, Nebius, the first stock in

17:50

Leopold's holdings. So, investors are

17:52

beginning to realize that electricity

17:54

isn't just supporting the AI boom. It

17:56

may be one of the most important ways to

17:58

invest in it. The bull case is

18:00

relatively straightforward. If AI data

18:01

centers continue expanding at the

18:03

current pace, developers will need

18:04

faster solutions than traditional

18:06

utility upgrades can provide. Bloom

18:08

could become one of the preferred

18:10

providers for on-site power generation,

18:12

making it a critical piece of AI

18:14

infrastructure. In other words, while

18:15

everyone is also selling picks and

18:17

shovels, Bloom might be supplying the

18:18

fuel needed to run the entire operation.

18:21

Now, let's talk about the founder

18:22

because this story gets even more

18:24

interesting. CEO KR Sridner isn't some

18:26

executive who suddenly decided to add AI

18:28

to a PowerPoint presentation. Before

18:30

founding Bloom, he worked on a

18:32

technology related to producing oxygen

18:34

on Mars. He spent time working with

18:36

NASA, taught as a professor, and

18:37

eventually helped create Bloom, the

18:39

commercial fuel cell technology. That's

18:41

a founder fit story that you don't see

18:43

every single day. Bloom has spent years

18:45

developing energy solutions. And the

18:46

rise of AI simply created a massive new

18:49

customer base that desperately needs

18:50

that Bloom already has. Of course, there

18:52

are risks. Fuel cells have gone through

18:54

multiple hype cycles over the years.

18:56

Investors have heard big promises

18:57

before, and the technology can still be

18:59

very expensive. Many systems rely

19:01

actually on natural gas. There are

19:03

legitimate questions about whether Bloom

19:05

can scale fast enough to serve enormous

19:06

AI campuses requiring hundreds of

19:08

megawatts of power. There's also no

19:10

shortage of competition. Traditional

19:12

utilities could improve connection

19:13

times. Gas turbines remain a viable

19:15

alternative. Battery technology

19:17

continues advancing. Companies like GE,

19:18

Vernova, Seaman's Energy, Caterpillar,

19:21

Cumins, and others are all competing for

19:23

a piece of the future energy market. So,

19:25

what is Leopold seeing here? And why is

19:26

it such a big position for him? And what

19:28

makes Bloom Energy so different? Well,

19:30

its biggest advantage may be flexibility

19:32

and deployment speed. Bloom systems can

19:34

be installed directly where power is

19:36

needed, reducing dependencies on long

19:38

utility weight times and allowing

19:39

projects to move forward sooner. The

19:41

market may be underestimating how

19:42

valuable that really is. Because when

19:44

you're building an AI campus, every

19:46

month of delay really matters. Every

19:48

quarter of delay matters. The sooner you

19:49

get the power to the facility, the

19:51

sooner that you can start generating

19:52

revenue, right? So that's why Bloom

19:54

isn't really competing on energy cost

19:55

alone. It's actually competing on time.

19:57

Compared with a giant like GE Venova,

19:59

Bloom is obviously the smaller company.

20:01

GE has great scale, more resources, and

20:03

a longer operational history, but Bloom

20:04

may offer more direct exposure to one

20:06

specific trend, and that is the growing

20:08

need for immediate power solutions for

20:10

AI infrastructure. Now, let's talk a

20:12

little bit about valuation. Is Bloom

20:14

Energy cheap? And again, h it is not

20:17

really cheap. Mr. Ashener isn't really a

20:19

value investor, though, so I'm not too

20:21

concerned. when I look deeper into Bloom

20:23

Energy, what I think is going to

20:24

literally make like bicep over tricep

20:26

money. Why is Mr. Leopold investing in

20:28

such an aggressive company? Well,

20:29

clearly it's because he sees Bloom

20:31

Energy already having a significant run

20:33

and he sees it going further. Look at

20:34

the year-to- date return. Investors are

20:36

clearly pricing in the future success.

20:38

But unlike many speculative stories,

20:40

Bloom is increasingly backing up that

20:41

narrative with improving financial

20:43

performance, revenue growth, and

20:45

stronger guidance and better execution.

20:47

So, while I couldn't call it cheap, I

20:48

would say it is becoming increasingly

20:50

supported by real business results. Leo

20:52

Paul appears to be making a very

20:54

interesting decision on Bloom Energy.

20:56

And what I find interesting is that

20:57

Bloom fits the exact same patterns we

20:58

saw with Nebius. Leopold isn't just

21:00

buying the AI companies. He's buying the

21:02

bottlenecks. First, it was compute with

21:03

Nebius, and now it's power with Bloom.

21:05

If his thesis is correct, the biggest

21:06

winners of the AI revolution may not be

21:08

companies building the applications, but

21:10

the companies supplying the resources

21:12

every AI company desperately needs. And

21:14

that's what makes Bloom one of the most

21:15

interesting positions in his entire

21:17

portfolio. This is one of the stocks

21:18

that I cover my own report that you can

21:20

download for free in the description

21:21

based on the companies that I find most

21:23

attractive amongst Leopal's holdings.

21:25

Now, his next holding is SanDisk.

21:27

Leopold's next major position might be

21:29

the most overlooked stock in his entire

21:31

portfolio. When people think about AI

21:32

infrastructure, they immediately think

21:34

about Nvidia GPUs and all the same kind

21:36

of reasons and stocks that I already

21:37

mentioned. Now some investors might also

21:40

be thinking about AMD or Broadcom or

21:42

custom AI chips which is also very

21:44

interesting but almost nobody's really

21:46

thinking about storage. Storage is very

21:48

important and of course a lot of people

21:50

know Micron technology which has been

21:52

doing extremely well in the storage

21:54

space but this company Sandesk is one of

21:56

Leopold's biggest holdings and that

21:58

might not be a mistake because every AI

22:01

model does need storage and specifically

22:03

they need enormous amounts of data. So

22:06

training data, inference data, video

22:07

data, agent memory, vector databases,

22:10

robotics data, synthetic data, model

22:12

checkpoints. Literally, the amount of

22:13

storage that is required is going to

22:16

continue to explode, especially as AI

22:18

just becomes more powerful. The AI

22:20

revolution isn't just creating

22:21

intelligence. It's creating a digital

22:23

tsunami of information that has to be

22:25

stored, retrieved, organized, and

22:27

accessed. And that's where Sandex comes

22:29

in. Sandex is one of the largest nan

22:31

flash and SSD storage companies in the

22:33

entire world. And Leopold appears to be

22:35

making a very specific bet. The market

22:37

understands that compute is the

22:38

bottleneck. The market is starting to

22:40

understand the power bottleneck. The

22:42

market may still be underestimating the

22:44

storage bottleneck. So for years,

22:46

storage companies were viewed as

22:47

commodity businesses. Demand would rise,

22:49

prices would spike, competitors would

22:51

add supply, and eventually margins would

22:54

collapse. It was one of the most

22:55

cyclical industries in the entire

22:57

technology market. But AI could change

22:59

that equation. And if AI workloads

23:01

continue expanding at the current pace,

23:03

storage demands may remain elevated much

23:06

longer than investors are used to

23:07

seeing. That's exactly what has been

23:09

happening lately. So since becoming an

23:11

independent company following the

23:12

Western Digital separation, Sandusk has

23:14

reported explosive improvements in

23:16

revenue, profitability, and cash

23:18

generation. Data center demand has

23:19

become a much bigger driver of the

23:21

story, and management is increasingly

23:23

talking about the long-term customer

23:25

relationship rather than short-term

23:26

pricing fluctuations. And that's a major

23:29

shift. Investors aren't simply getting

23:30

excited because NAND prices are higher.

23:32

They're getting excited because Sandesk

23:34

could become a strategic supplier to

23:35

some of the largest AI infrastructure

23:37

projects in the world. The bullcase is

23:39

actually pretty simple. If AI agents

23:41

become very common, they won't just

23:42

process information. They're going to

23:44

constantly generate information. Every

23:46

interaction, every image, video, file,

23:49

memory, every database query, every

23:51

autonomous decision, and all of it has

23:53

to live somewhere. That brings us to one

23:55

of the most important concepts investors

23:57

should understand. Persistent storage.

24:00

Training an AI model is expensive. Just

24:02

running millions of AI agents every

24:04

single day could create an entire

24:05

different level of storage demand. That

24:08

is the long-term bet. Now, let's talk

24:09

about management. CEO David Geocller

24:12

isn't new to enterprise technology.

24:14

Before leading SanDisk, he ran Western

24:15

Digital and spent years as a senior

24:17

executive at Cisco. That experience

24:19

matters because SanDisk's future isn't

24:21

about selling memory cards to customers

24:23

or consumers. It's about selling

24:24

missionritical storage solutions to

24:26

hyperscalers, enterprises and AI

24:29

infrastructure providers. So the

24:30

contract size is in fact going to be

24:32

much larger than individual consumers.

24:35

Now recent capital allocation decisions

24:37

are also very interesting. Management

24:38

authorized a large share repurchase

24:40

program after earning surge that could

24:42

prove extremely intelligent if current

24:44

profitability is sustained. But it could

24:46

also look poorly timed if industry

24:48

eventually returns to traditional memory

24:50

downtrend. Now of course there's risks.

24:51

Memory investors have heard this story

24:53

before. Every cycle feels different.

24:55

Every cycle looks stronger and

24:56

eventually supply catches up and that's

24:58

why skeptics remain cautious. Sandesk is

25:00

already primarily a nan flash company

25:02

which creates another challenge. The

25:04

next stock is Cororeweave. If Nebius is

25:06

Leopold's biggest position, Cororeweave

25:08

may be the company that validates the

25:09

entire Neocloud investment thesis. This

25:11

is the stock that everybody in AI

25:12

infrastructure watches, not because it's

25:14

the biggest or the safest, but because

25:16

it's the first real public market stress

25:18

test for whether the AI cloud model

25:20

actually works. Goreweave story is wild.

25:23

The company originally started in crypto

25:24

mining. Then management recognized

25:26

something that most investors completely

25:27

miss. GPUs were becoming more valuable

25:29

for artificial intelligence than

25:31

cryptocurrency. That realization changed

25:33

everything. Instead of mining digital

25:34

coins, they began building

25:36

infrastructure to rent GPUs to companies

25:38

building AI. Today, some of the largest

25:40

technology companies in the world rely

25:42

on Core Wave. We're talking about names

25:43

like Microsoft, OpenAI, Meta, and

25:46

Anthropic. Those customer relationships

25:48

matter because they prove something very

25:50

important. The demand is real. Nobody

25:52

can say AI demand is fake. But demand

25:54

alone doesn't mean that this can be a

25:56

successful investment for Leopold.

25:59

That's where things get really

26:00

interesting. Coreweave may have one of

26:02

the strongest demand profiles and

26:03

technology, but also has one of the most

26:05

aggressive infrastructure buildouts in

26:07

the market. The company is spending

26:08

enormous amounts of capital building

26:09

data centers, financing expansion,

26:11

signing leases, raising debt. Everything

26:13

has to keep improving forward and moving

26:16

forward. It's almost like watching a

26:17

Formula 1 car racing at 200 mph. It's

26:19

incredibly impressive, but there isn't

26:21

much room for mistakes. The founder and

26:23

CEO, Michael Inttorer, deserves a lot of

26:26

credit for recognizing the opportunity

26:28

early. Before Cororeweave, he worked in

26:30

commodities trading. And honestly, that

26:31

background may have been the perfect

26:33

training ground for him as a CEO because

26:35

Cororeweave isn't just a software

26:36

company, not a cloud company. It's not

26:38

an infrastructure company. It's a

26:40

business built about acquiring scarce

26:41

assets and monetizing them efficiently.

26:44

And he himself is a trader. So that is

26:47

pretty much the perfect training for a

26:49

future CEO. Now, one of the scarce

26:51

assets happened to be GPU compute. And

26:53

trader realized years ago that GPUs

26:55

could become one of the most valuable

26:56

resources in technology. If you could

26:58

secure them before everyone else,

26:59

finance them correctly, deploy them

27:01

quickly, and rent them to customers

27:03

desperate for capacity, you could create

27:05

enormous value. That's exactly what

27:07

happened. The next phase, however, is

27:09

much harder. The challenge now is

27:10

proving Horwave can evolve from an AI

27:12

compute landlord into a durable platform

27:15

company. It seems to me that Leopold is

27:16

investing this company because he sees a

27:18

very bright future. And compared to AWS,

27:21

Azure, and Google Cloud, Cororeweave is

27:23

far more specialized. And that may be

27:25

where Cororeweave's advantage is.

27:26

Compared to Nebus, Lambda, Corso, and

27:29

many other NeoClouds, Cororeweave has

27:31

stronger customer validation and larger

27:33

scale deployments. It sits in a very

27:35

unique middle ground. Large enough to

27:36

matter, small enough to move quickly.

27:38

And that perhaps is the opportunity that

27:40

Leopold is viewing very closely. Now, if

27:42

Nebius is the sophisticated AI cloud

27:45

story and Cororeweave is the

27:46

institutional favorite, IN might be the

27:49

most explosive stock in Leopal's entire

27:51

portfolio and also one that could blow

27:53

up the fastest. That's what makes it so

27:55

interesting. Most investors still think

27:57

of Irene as a Bitcoin miner and

27:59

technically they're not wrong, but I

28:00

think that's becoming an outdated way to

28:02

look at the company because Bitcoin

28:03

mining was never really the asset. The

28:05

asset was always the power, the land,

28:07

the infrastructure, and data centers.

28:09

Bitcoin just happened to be the first

28:11

customer. Now AI wants to become the

28:13

second customer and that's where things

28:15

get interesting. When the AI boom

28:16

started, companies everywhere began

28:18

scrambling for GPUs, data centers, and

28:20

electricity. Iran already had something

28:21

that many AI companies desperately

28:23

needed, power, and lots of it. That's

28:26

why Leopold owns the stock. The market

28:28

is beginning to realize that power-rich

28:29

infrastructure companies may have a head

28:31

start in the race to build AI capacity.

28:33

And recently, that thesis became much

28:35

more credible. Microsoft showed up,

28:37

Nvidia showed up. Suddenly, this wasn't

28:38

just another crypto company talking

28:40

about artificial intelligence. The

28:41

market started paying attention because

28:43

there is huge difference between saying

28:44

that you're pivoting to AI and actually

28:46

attracting customers. And that is what

28:48

really matters to investors and to

28:50

shareholders. That's what changed the

28:51

story. The bullcase is incredibly

28:53

straightforward. If AI demand continues

28:55

growing, somebody needs to convert

28:56

electricity into revenue producing AI

28:58

infrastructure. IN controls large

29:00

amounts of power capacity and physical

29:02

infrastructure. The question is whether

29:04

management can convert those assets into

29:06

contracted AI revenue fast enough. What

29:08

I think many investors are missing is

29:09

that I rent doesn't need to become the

29:11

next Amazon Web Services. That's not the

29:13

goal. The goal is much simpler. Take

29:14

power, take land, take facilities, GPUs,

29:17

and convert them into AI revenue faster

29:19

than competitors. If management can do

29:21

that repeatedly, the market may begin

29:22

valuing Iran very differently than it

29:24

does today. Of course, plenty can go

29:26

wrong. Equipment delays, construction

29:28

delays, cooling challenges, customer

29:30

concentration, capital raises, debt,

29:32

Bitcoin volatility, lower GPU rentals.

29:34

This is not a risk-free story. This is

29:37

one of the highest risk names that Leo

29:38

Paul owns. That's also why it has

29:40

attracted so much attention. Because if

29:42

the Microsoft and Nvidia relationships

29:44

are the beginning rather than the end of

29:45

the story, investors may eventually view

29:47

Iran as something entirely different

29:49

than a former Bitcoin miner. They may

29:51

view it as one of the fastest power to

29:53

compute conversion stories in the public

29:55

market. And honestly, that's why I think

29:56

Leopold owns this company. He's not

29:58

betting on crypto. He's betting on the

30:00

idea that electricity becomes one of the

30:01

most valuable assets in the AI economy.

30:03

And if that thesis is correct, companies

30:05

that already control large amounts of

30:07

power may end up holding a stronger hand

30:09

than many investors realize today. I sat

30:11

down with Leopold's 165page situational

30:14

awareness thesis and went through the

30:16

filings name by name and wrote up the

30:18

part that actually matters. What each

30:20

company really does, where the real

30:22

bottleneck is, and how I think about

30:24

owning them over the next 12 months.

30:26

It's free, and the link is in the

30:28

description. I'm not telling you to go

30:29

buy any of this. I'm telling you to do

30:31

what I did. Study it, read through it,

30:33

take your time, and decide for yourself

30:34

whether the story holds up.

Interactive Summary

The video analyzes the investment portfolio of 24-year-old investor Leopold Aschenbrenner, whose fund 'Situational Awareness' has achieved massive returns by focusing on the 'physical infrastructure' bottleneck of the AI industry. Instead of popular AI stocks, Aschenbrenner invests in 'neocloud' providers and power-related infrastructure companies, viewing GPU compute and electricity as the critical resources for the future of AI. The narrator provides a detailed breakdown of his top five holdings, including Nebius, Bloom Energy, SanDisk, CoreWeave, and IREN, explaining how each company acts as a bet on the necessary infrastructure to support the rapid growth of artificial intelligence.

Suggested questions

4 ready-made prompts