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Is Trump Using the WHCD Shooting as an “Opportunity” to Push His Agenda? | Pivot

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Is Trump Using the WHCD Shooting as an “Opportunity” to Push His Agenda? | Pivot

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1924 segments

0:00

The biggest psychological tax cut in

0:03

history would be if we elected a

0:06

technocrat

0:08

who maybe checked in once a month.

0:10

>> Yeah, I agree.

0:11

>> But wasn't in your face every [ __ ]

0:13

day and dominating the table

0:15

conversation at dinner.

0:22

Hi everyone, this is Pivot from New York

0:24

Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast

0:26

Network. I'm Cara Swisser with my annual

0:28

cold. Nice.

0:30

>> Uh, it seems it seems to be semianual.

0:32

See, the thing is it's kids.

0:34

>> Yeah, it is. But I haven't gotten sick

0:35

for a while, actually.

0:37

>> Yeah,

0:37

>> it's been a while. Very long. You

0:39

remember I got sick all the time when

0:40

they were babies.

0:41

>> I do remember that.

0:42

>> Yeah.

0:42

>> So, I'm I'm This is going to sound very

0:45

maha, but I think I've been sick two or

0:47

three times as an adult, and I'm

0:49

convinced it's because I never went to

0:50

the doctor and never had antibiotics as

0:51

a kid.

0:52

>> Oh, interesting. What? Really? That's

0:54

>> I get sick on the dime every 10 years.

0:57

>> Really? Of what?

0:58

>> I don't get sick. I have a cough or

1:00

something. But no, my point is I I

1:02

couldn't tell you the last time I was

1:03

sick.

1:04

>> Anyway, let's get to the news. As we

1:06

record, Cole Thomas Allen, the

1:07

31-year-old suspect in the White House

1:09

correspondent's dinner shooting, is set

1:10

to be arraigned in federal court. He'll

1:13

be charged with two counts of using a

1:14

firearm and one count of assault on a

1:16

federal official using a dangerous

1:18

weapon. US Attorney for DC Janine Piro

1:21

says more charges are expected. Alan was

1:24

arrested Saturday night after running

1:25

through a security checkpoint at the

1:27

Washington Hilton and exchanging fire

1:29

with law enforcement. Um, President

1:32

Trump and top officials were rushed out

1:33

of the room while journalists and other

1:34

attendees took cover under the tables

1:37

except one guy who kept eating his

1:38

salad. Um, the motive is still being

1:41

determined though Allen appeared to be

1:43

targeting Trump and the administration

1:44

officials but not Cash Patel for some

1:47

reason. According to his writings, he

1:49

also mentioned lack security and that he

1:50

expected more security there. He was a

1:53

guest at the hotel and he walked very

1:55

close to the ballroom. I have been there

1:57

and various people are debating it, but

2:00

he was very close. He's right before the

2:02

stairs that you go down into the

2:03

ballroom um having been there. Um we'll

2:06

get to to Trump and the the ballroom

2:09

stuff, but what was your initial

2:11

reaction and what do you make of the

2:12

coverage? I was I I was not I there's

2:15

some people did a great job and it's

2:17

worth noting by the way the president

2:19

cabinet officials and journalists

2:20

experience Saturday night is something

2:21

that many Americans face every day

2:23

especially school kids though without

2:25

the protection of the Secret Service. So

2:27

this was the finest protection in the

2:28

land and it didn't really work as well

2:30

as it should have. Um although nobody

2:33

got hurt um except for one officer uh

2:35

who was shot. Your first thoughts? Well,

2:38

my first thoughts were somewhat

2:40

superficial on that is the brand that is

2:41

the US is just eroding around the world.

2:44

You know, Putin isn't chased out by a

2:46

gunman of a hall that's supposed to be a

2:48

social gathering. It just America comes

2:51

across as a rogue nation that is chaotic

2:54

and has no control internally. But

2:57

immediately, I don't think I don't think

3:00

it's fair to say that the president is

3:01

so incendiary that this is his fault.

3:03

Nor do I think it's fair to say that the

3:05

Democrats being critical of the

3:07

president raises ele escalation of

3:09

violence. I think at the end of the day,

3:14

you have a large cohort of of usually

3:17

young men who have a mental breakdown or

3:20

a psychotic break and then they have

3:23

access to firearms and they typically go

3:26

after in what they believe will be a

3:28

restoration of social capital and a

3:30

heroic act of violence. They go after

3:32

very very famous people. And the thing

3:34

about Trump, and I'm not saying his

3:35

fault, but it is just a fact.

3:37

>> He's in everyone's [ __ ] face and in

3:40

their brain all goddamn day over and

3:42

over and over.

3:44

>> Yeah.

3:44

>> He's like the biggest psychological tax

3:48

cut in history

3:50

>> would be if we elected a technocrat

3:53

who maybe checked in once a month.

3:56

>> Yeah, I agree. but wasn't in your face

3:58

every [ __ ] day and dominating the

4:00

table conversation at dinner. And so the

4:04

most famous people will always

4:06

unfortunately be targets that that that

4:09

mental illness will manifest in more

4:11

shootings as long as people have access

4:14

this type of access to guns. If he had

4:16

tried to fly, he wouldn't have been able

4:18

to do it. But you can cross state lines

4:20

on a train with firearms. Also, my first

4:23

and I'll let you go. My also my first

4:25

reaction is when I heard about this guy,

4:27

a Caltech grad who was teacher of the

4:30

year.

4:30

>> He's a very good writer by the way

4:32

>> and he's very eloquent. You read his

4:34

manifesto and it's like Jesus, I don't

4:36

agree with it, but the guy is

4:38

>> it's just such a tragedy. His life is

4:40

ruined.

4:41

>> Yeah.

4:41

>> And to see to see an event I think the

4:44

event is [ __ ] stupid. I was invited

4:45

last year. I have no desire as part of

4:48

what I'll call the fringe alternative

4:49

media show up and have basically a

4:51

hijacker lecture me about air safety. I

4:54

do not understand how people in the

4:57

media go to a go to a celebration in

5:00

ties to hear a man say you're fake news

5:02

and you're I I have no idea why anyone

5:04

would show. Kudos to the New York Times

5:06

who does not go.

5:07

>> There were times reporters there

5:08

covering the president in the pool which

5:11

seems perfectly appropriate. They travel

5:13

with him wherever he goes. But I have to

5:15

say I just I covered it as back as I've

5:18

noticed you said I covered it back in

5:19

the Truman administration. Um I mean I

5:23

mean the Roosevelt administration tr

5:26

>> I got that I got that wrong. I'm sorry.

5:28

It was um it was uh yeah that's right. I

5:30

was going to I was waiting for I

5:32

couldn't remember FDR.

5:33

>> I hated it when I covered it 20ome years

5:35

ago. I thought it was such a suckup

5:38

between um public officials and the

5:40

media. I don't like the grid iron

5:42

dinner. I don't like any of I hated

5:44

covering them. And even then it seemed

5:46

like so um it's one of the reasons I

5:48

left Washington sort of the the cozy

5:51

relationship. And now he was going to

5:54

come and insult them. First of all,

5:55

everyone in that room in his cabinet has

5:58

taken shots at the press in a really

5:59

repulsive way. And even though other

6:02

presidents have been hostile to the

6:03

press, this is explicit attacks. Um and

6:06

so he was ready to and even Carolyn

6:08

Levit said it. He's some shots will be

6:10

fired. That's the last thing she said

6:12

like minutes before this happened to a a

6:15

media person. And he was going to attack

6:17

everyone. And I was thinking I was

6:19

talking to a few people there. I'm like,

6:20

"What are you going to do if he starts

6:22

directly attacking you or your company?

6:25

You're going to get up and walk in a

6:27

really gross and crass way, which he was

6:29

planning to do, I believe." Um, and then

6:32

of course he used the opportunity for

6:34

propaganda. Every single one of his

6:36

lackeyis messaged the same thing about

6:38

the ballroom. We'll get to that in a

6:40

second. Um, and and it just is this sort

6:43

of and I thought the press were

6:45

especially lap lap doggy throughout and

6:48

also performative as influencers. Three

6:52

people stood out as doing their job,

6:54

which was Wolf Blitzer, who happened to

6:55

be near the gunman. He just called in

6:58

from his phone and he said, "What

6:59

happened?" That's it. He didn't say, "I

7:01

I lost my shoe." Which he apparently

7:03

did. He didn't say, "Oh, wo is me." He

7:06

didn't act like um it was anything but

7:09

his job to say to tell CNN what

7:11

happened. Same thing with Sarah Seidner.

7:13

Very calm. Same thing actually with

7:14

Stephanie Rule. Tons of people both

7:16

online, especially online and on on the

7:20

air were like this is how I feel about

7:23

this. And I was like I don't give a [ __ ]

7:25

what you feel about it. What is

7:26

happening? What's going on? Um and a lot

7:29

of like there was one reporter who was

7:32

pointing the camera towards herself.

7:34

like I don't not what was happening like

7:37

I'm under the table. I'm like good for

7:39

you if you're going to do this pointed

7:41

outwards so we can see what's there was

7:43

plenty of video by the way which was

7:45

disturbing but um it just was this like

7:48

all these media people trying to behave

7:50

like and get their licks in like they

7:53

were influencers and I just and then of

7:55

course the influencers were too you know

7:57

doing you know all manner of nonsense.

8:00

So I found it very disappointing in the

8:02

press conference after they let him get

8:04

away with stuff. The only you know at

8:05

one point Norah O'Donnell from CBS which

8:08

has been particularly obsequious to

8:10

Trump got the interview but Norah did

8:12

try her best to do like tough question

8:15

not tough questions but pertinent

8:17

questions and Trump called her disgrace.

8:19

So he had just minutes just the day

8:22

before talked about unity and then he

8:24

was talk he was calling her a disgrace

8:26

and you're discuss whatever whatever

8:27

words he uses for the press. So, I

8:29

thought it was a fail. I thought init

8:32

the whole thing is a fail. Um, but it's

8:35

uh and then there was I mean a party I

8:37

happened to have been invited to which I

8:38

didn't go to obviously after they kept

8:41

doing the party, you know, it's just

8:44

weird. Anyway,

8:45

>> but we don't in a in a culture of

8:47

violence or again for me at all reverse

8:49

engineers do. We don't have a monopoly

8:51

on political division. We don't have a

8:53

monopoly on mentally ill men. We have a

8:55

monopoly on political division mentally

8:57

ill men with access to just such easy

8:59

access to firearms and also

9:02

>> the secret service. There's only so much

9:04

you can do if you want a president to go

9:06

out in the public. If you want to be

9:07

able to walk around freely

9:08

>> the most disappointing thing

9:10

>> that there was more private security

9:11

employed in America than there are cops

9:13

now and the secret service can only do

9:17

so much. The other thing is this levy is

9:18

such an enormous tax on us. One,

9:22

one of the things I love about my school

9:23

here in London, you know what they don't

9:25

have?

9:26

>> They do not have shooter drills.

9:28

>> Yeah.

9:28

>> I I just don't think any 11year-old

9:31

should have to engage in a shooter

9:33

drill. I just something's wrong, right?

9:36

And

9:38

the other tax we're about to all pay as

9:40

someone who travels a lot. I travel a

9:42

lot to hotels where there'll be some

9:43

political event or whatever or they're

9:46

hosting the president of Finland. It's

9:49

going to be another [ __ ] 10 minutes

9:50

to get in and out of a hotel now because

9:52

part of the security lapse here was this

9:54

guy figured out a hack and that is just

9:57

staying at the hotel being a guest. You

9:59

get past the first level of security.

10:00

>> He could have gotten all the way to the

10:01

ballroom without that. I have to tell

10:04

you it's

10:04

>> But didn't he have did wasn't it easier

10:06

because he checked into the hotel?

10:08

>> He could bring his gun in. Yes. But he

10:10

could have hidden a gun easily. There

10:12

there is so little I've go I don't go to

10:15

these things anymore cuz there's so

10:16

little security. And then the fact that

10:18

you have to do security. I I mean

10:19

although I have to say there was there

10:21

was more security at a concert than you

10:24

know than anything else that I've been

10:26

to. But this should be the top level of

10:28

security. And then you had the whole

10:29

press corps hiding under tables. It's

10:32

just the whole visual is so bad. And

10:34

then the per and then Trump of course

10:36

took advantage of it in the aftermath of

10:38

the shooting. He was quick to say the

10:40

incident underscored the need for his

10:42

$400 million White House ballroom. He

10:44

argued that if the event had been held

10:46

in a military top secret ballroom,

10:48

whatever that is, the shooting never

10:50

would have happened. Of course, well,

10:51

no, the White House has been attacked.

10:53

But still, um, it's not just Trump. MAGA

10:56

accounts and I said administration

10:57

officials started like acting ag Todd

11:00

Blanch are tweeting about the ballroom

11:02

instantly. There were con, of course,

11:04

the worst part about it were these

11:06

conspiracy theories floating around from

11:08

the left and the right claiming the

11:10

shooting was staged or that they let him

11:12

in so that they could create a situation

11:14

so that they can pitch the ballroom or

11:17

that it wasn't they had him in a holding

11:19

room. Uh, you know, this that was in

11:22

insane, you know.

11:24

>> So, so ju just a just a quick comment

11:26

because I'm I'm really I'm asking this

11:28

question and I'm open to learning here

11:29

because I purposely try to avoid media

11:31

this weekend.

11:33

the notion that okay this is the world

11:36

we live in both sides will try and make

11:38

political hay of it that in fact one use

11:42

of the ballroom might be an an ability

11:44

to have more secure events like this or

11:46

events like this with more security to

11:48

me distinct of the im immediate

11:51

politicization of a of a violent event

11:53

or near violent event was wrong but that

11:55

argument to me seems reasonable your

11:58

thoughts

11:58

>> yes yes but not the way he did it and

12:01

he's just trying to jam it through he

12:02

just tore down the house without any he

12:04

is supposed to consult with Congress.

12:06

He's he just he just wanted to jam it

12:08

through. There's also a whole facility

12:09

under there that nobody knows anything

12:11

about. Probably should they. Um but the

12:15

except for the right people, but um who

12:17

whose job it is is to protect the White

12:19

House. Um there's no question they need

12:21

a ballroom at the White House. I've gone

12:22

there a million times and it's really

12:25

underwhelming as a as a facility. That

12:27

said, this event couldn't have fit in

12:29

that. It's too small. the even though

12:31

the ballroom is ridiculously large. So

12:33

he the fact that he took the opportunity

12:36

for something it could have never taken

12:37

place there um was one thing but I don't

12:41

I I'm not I don't equivalent

12:45

for lots of reasons for Prince King

12:49

Charles etc etc bringing more people in

12:52

having more events there although that's

12:54

a thing of it in and of itself if you've

12:56

ever tried to get in and out of the

12:57

White House that takes 3 years sometimes

13:00

um but that's not the it's not linked I

13:03

link it suddenly here and and it just

13:05

seemed like oh let's you any opportunity

13:08

of a disaster or a tragedy to push for

13:11

something that is unreasonable to have a

13:14

ballroom. It's unreasonable how he did

13:16

it and then use this as an excuse to do

13:19

so. I think it just is it makes us look

13:21

just lots of people don't want the

13:23

ballroom. Most people think it's a good

13:26

idea if he had done it in the way where

13:28

he's consulting architects, where he's

13:30

consulting Congress and everything else.

13:32

Instead, he's now going to try to shove

13:33

it through. And then the instant

13:35

something tragic happens, MAGA accounts

13:38

and these administration officials,

13:39

every opportunity is an opportunity for

13:42

press in order to to to either shine up

13:46

himself as a hero of some sort or to get

13:50

what he wants. And that to me is not how

13:52

America works. I'm sorry. I just I I

13:54

agree with you. It's reasonable to think

13:55

we should have a ballroom, but they

13:57

could only hold a certain amount of

13:59

things in this ballroom even gargantuan

14:02

size.

14:03

>> I just thought you just walk away. You

14:05

always want to walk away with this was

14:07

right, this was wrong, this is who's at

14:09

fault. I just looked at this and just

14:11

said, "This is bad." I just

14:13

>> You're right. I think

14:14

>> there's not I don't think it illuminates

14:16

anything about Democrats or Republicans

14:18

or the president. I think what it

14:19

illuminates is our country is in a

14:22

terrible state and and okay, let me

14:24

blame someone. I just I think in 30

14:27

years we're going to look back on this

14:28

era and we're we're going to be just

14:32

horrified at how we put cyanide in our

14:34

drinking water called social media

14:36

>> and kept drinking it

14:37

>> and just it makes everyone more

14:40

Americans are fearful of their neighbors

14:43

than Russian soldiers pouring over the

14:45

border in Ukraine. They're convinced the

14:47

enemy is the guy with the wrong

14:49

political sign across the street from

14:51

him or her. And every day you're taught

14:54

to believe in what is a page out of the

14:58

fascist handbook, which is incredibly

15:00

unfortunately profitable. You're taught

15:02

to believe that it's the enemy within.

15:05

It's not climate change. It's not income

15:07

inequality. It's not it's not a fascist

15:10

government or someone trying to invade

15:13

Europe. It's not the cease. The enemy is

15:16

within is us.

15:17

>> Is us. The enemy is us. No, I agree with

15:19

you. It feels very McCarthy era and

15:21

you're right. The constant non-stop

15:23

pitching. I don't I think the media

15:25

Trump has been doing prop propaganda for

15:28

a decade now. It's a decade in our

15:30

brains and the media still hasn't

15:32

figured out how to cover him. They

15:34

should get back to the important things.

15:36

Iran, affordability, gas prices. You

15:39

know, I do think the Epstein files is an

15:41

important story. I don't think it's the

15:42

most important story, but it talks it's

15:44

about corruption, about corruption,

15:46

about um getting getting kids safe in

15:50

schools. Like, if this is an opportunity

15:52

to talk about kids if they suddenly feel

15:54

nervous cuz they had a toss under the

15:56

table to understand what it's like for

15:58

kids, fine. Like, I don't care. I just

16:00

think no one behaved in any way that was

16:03

any way that is American to me. Anyway,

16:06

we'll move on. Go ahead. Sorry. Let me

16:08

just have one side note because

16:09

obviously I've been getting all these

16:10

Tik Toks. I will say this, there was a

16:12

contrast just going to this this Steven

16:16

Miller.

16:17

>> Uhhuh.

16:18

>> I do not like the guy.

16:19

>> Neither do I. He did walk out his wife

16:21

in a very

16:21

>> He did walk out his wife. Did you see

16:23

what the other men did?

16:24

>> Yeah, they ran.

16:25

>> They ran.

16:26

>> And Carol Hines was chasing RFK.

16:28

>> Yeah, I feel I feel petty even saying

16:31

this, but at least like like to Stephen

16:34

Steven Miller's instincts were the

16:35

correct ones.

16:36

>> Yeah, he did. He he had his hands on his

16:38

wife and was escorting his wife out. Um

16:41

>> anyway, I there's no way not to come

16:43

away from this and just feel a little

16:45

bit shittier. I don't

16:47

>> I would agree. I think that's exactly

16:48

the reaction to have. I just I would

16:50

like the press I I don't Trump is Trump.

16:53

He's going to behave anyway the the same

16:55

way every single time and then he'll

16:56

switch right back to nasty.

16:59

Let me say the press could do a better

17:01

job. And I do give kudos to people who

17:04

just were reporting the facts and I

17:05

agree. It's a news story, but seriously,

17:08

I don't really I I No, I know a lot of

17:11

people are traumatized, but I don't want

17:13

to know how you feel. I want you to tell

17:15

me what's happening as a news news

17:17

organization. That's all. And I don't

17:19

want to know what you think of unity. I

17:21

don't know what I don't want to hear

17:22

about it. I just want you to tell me

17:24

what's going on, who this guy is, and do

17:25

the reporting. Anyway, I love the media,

17:28

and I was repulsed. Um, okay. Uh, let's

17:31

go on a quick break. When we come back,

17:32

Elon Musk and Samman head to court. big

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18:37

Scott, we're back with more news. Elon

18:38

Musk and Sam Alman are headed to court

18:40

this week over OpenAI's conversion to a

18:43

for-profit entity. Musk is asking for

18:45

over $150 billion in damages from OpenAI

18:48

and Microsoft and for Altman to be

18:51

removed from the company's board and and

18:53

a CEO. I think um jury selection is

18:55

taking place as we tape on Monday and

18:57

opening arguments are expected on

18:58

Tuesday starting off with several week-l

19:00

long trial. Musk Alman and Sacha Nadella

19:03

as well as other big tech figures are

19:05

expected to testify. I we got a clip

19:07

from um actually CNN legal uh senior

19:10

legal analyst Ellie Honeig who I've

19:12

interviewed many times for. I think he's

19:13

really smart on what's to come. I

19:15

thought he would have an interesting

19:16

take. The thing about trial is it all

19:19

comes out because both sides by now have

19:22

engaged in discovery, meaning they have

19:24

one another's internal emails, texts,

19:27

corporate communications. Three things

19:28

I'm watching for. First of all, what

19:30

were Altman and Musk and their

19:32

principles saying about AI? Do they view

19:34

it as an existential threat or something

19:36

else? Second of all, what do the

19:38

employees think of the bosses? What are

19:40

the people who work in these companies

19:42

really saying to one another about Sam

19:44

Alman and Elon Musk? What are they

19:45

saying about Caris Swisser? I'll bet

19:46

you're in there, Cara. I'll bet your

19:48

name pops up in this trial. And then

19:49

third of all, how will Altman and Musk

19:51

fare on cross-exam? Cuz these are two

19:54

guys, moguls, used to being told, "Yes,

19:56

sir. Yes, sir." Now they're going to get

19:58

cross-examined by aggressive litigators

20:01

who are looking to undermine them,

20:02

discredit them, maybe even embarrass

20:04

them. How's that going to go? This will

20:06

be fascinating. Check it out.

20:07

>> Uh, I thought that was pretty smart. I

20:08

mean, it's the technical aspects of this

20:10

are really interesting. Um, what I don't

20:13

understand is why this was going to

20:14

trial, why they didn't settle. Um, the

20:16

only thing I can think of is that I mean

20:18

to me open a should have somehow settled

20:20

with him. But there's no plus for Musk

20:22

to settle even though most odds are that

20:25

he is going to lose. Um, it's a really

20:28

complex trial. It's a jury trial but the

20:30

jurors cannot decide on dies. The judge

20:34

only can. The judge allowed certain

20:36

things to go forward that most people

20:38

think are ridiculous. Um, you know, most

20:41

of the odds are Musk will not win. But I

20:43

can't believe they didn't settle cuz my

20:46

only thing is is Musk loves this. He's

20:48

already a villain. And when you you

20:51

start wrestling with a pig, the pig

20:53

likes it and you get filthy. And so I

20:55

don't think it's good for open AI at

20:57

all.

20:58

>> It's interesting. I had and again you

21:00

you you might be right here, I might be

21:03

wrong. My initial reaction was that Musk

21:06

has more to lose and that he'll settle

21:09

right as the trial is beginning or right

21:11

after it starts.

21:12

>> Okay. Tell me why

21:13

>> Musk isn't doing this cuz he's Okay, so

21:16

the basic premise is this is supposed to

21:18

be a nonprofit

21:20

focusing on

21:22

protecting the public from AI. Okay. He

21:26

then, my understanding is wanted to buy

21:28

it or he wanted to control it.

21:30

>> He wanted to control it. Yes. And then

21:33

walked out. He did walk out.

21:34

>> And so and then when Alman said, "No,

21:36

you don't get to control it." He said,

21:38

"Then I'm taking my ball and I'm

21:40

leaving." thing and he signed a ton of

21:41

documents saying I no longer have

21:42

ownership in this.

21:43

>> Yeah.

21:43

>> And then when it converted to become the

21:45

leading AI platform in the world, he

21:47

went [ __ ] crazy

21:48

>> and he has his own company

21:50

>> that he But here's a guy who's very

21:53

concerned with ensuring there's an

21:55

entity policing AI safety and

21:57

regulation, but he starts his own

21:59

forprofit AI.

22:00

>> Yeah, exactly.

22:01

>> As your the commentator very deafly

22:03

said, these guys aren't used to a

22:06

cross-examination with emails that says,

22:08

"I'm not impressed with you. You are

22:10

full of [ __ ] You wanted to control

22:12

this. When you couldn't control it, you

22:16

threw a hit. You threw a fit. You have

22:18

signed papers that are legally

22:20

enforcable with no ownership. And now,

22:22

>> like the Twitter when he took over tried

22:24

to get out of the Twitter deal saying,

22:26

>> "Yeah, this guy, he's angry that he he

22:29

walked away from what ended up being the

22:30

best I kicking myself because I've had

22:33

two investments recently that have gone

22:35

bad and they needed to raise more

22:37

capital. And one of the things about

22:38

investing early is you have your pro

22:40

rata. And I wasn't sure whether to

22:41

invest or not. And on one specifically,

22:43

I didn't do my PR rata. And then they

22:45

figured out a way to develop these

22:46

innovative turbines to power off-grid AI

22:49

centers. And the valuation has gone up

22:51

10x.

22:52

>> Wow. And so you feel like I'm a

22:53

>> and now I'm [ __ ] furious.

22:55

>> Yeah. Yeah.

22:55

>> But I'm not going to go back and sue the

22:57

company. I mean,

22:58

>> right.

22:59

>> So I I think Discovery here I think

23:01

Musk's lawyers are going to say, you

23:04

realize you can't perger yourself. this

23:06

isn't Twitter. You can't lie. And when

23:10

they he goes, "This is the" and they the

23:12

day before in the briefing or the

23:14

coaching of him, they're going to say,

23:15

"This is what I would ask you and you

23:18

can't lie and this is the evidence

23:21

they're going to bring up and he's going

23:22

to go settle this."

23:24

>> Yeah.

23:24

>> I think he's playing poker.

23:26

>> Like, by the way, he has settled.

23:28

>> Remember the Delaware Chancery Court?

23:29

>> Yeah. Mhm.

23:30

>> He was like, "Threatening threatening

23:32

threatening." Okay.

23:33

>> I I think you're very smart here. I

23:35

think that's probably my I don't believe

23:37

none of them settled you know I don't I

23:39

guess going to court is always like why

23:42

couldn't you possibly settle this right

23:44

essentially very crude instrument

23:46

>> which I don't understand why neither of

23:50

them did on both sides right

23:52

>> and it seemed like I mean it's always up

23:55

until the trial where they settle right

23:57

that's always the

23:57

>> well he's trying to slow them down he's

23:59

trying to create doubt

24:00

>> that's the other thing

24:01

>> hurt their fundraising capabilities slow

24:03

them down IPO So

24:05

>> I think if I believe if Musk want Musk

24:08

ideally I believe if he was and he's

24:10

very smart would be trying to delay the

24:12

case to create to maintain

24:14

>> he has I think he has done that. I think

24:15

he's out

24:16

>> and Open AI wants to go to court and say

24:19

you signed papers

24:21

>> legally forfeiting your ownership and

24:23

governance here. Yeah,

24:24

>> you're out.

24:25

>> Yeah. One of the things that's

24:27

interesting about it is that obviously

24:29

he created his own companies that aren't

24:30

doing as well. um is that he when I when

24:34

he both of them started talking about

24:35

this back in the day they were worried

24:38

about the strength of Google and

24:40

Facebook and others they were maybe in

24:42

their own self-interest but at the time

24:44

it was a real I would say a genuine

24:46

worry about where AI was being developed

24:48

especially that the government had

24:50

abregated its responsibility so you know

24:53

these two have come a long way what's

24:55

interesting it's also a duel of their

24:56

reputations now Elon's full-on villain

24:59

now right so it'll be interesting to see

25:01

how jury thinks of him. Alman now

25:03

doesn't have a great reputation, right?

25:05

Is he a liar? There's a lot of, you

25:07

know, after the Ronan Pharaoh piece and

25:08

everything else. The thing is, I think

25:10

most juries haven't really paid

25:11

attention to the Sam Alman portion of

25:13

this reputation decline. I think they

25:17

all know Elon Musk is a giant [ __ ]

25:20

So, I think that probably um or you

25:22

know, every bit of him jumping up and

25:24

down and being so partisan and you know,

25:26

posting racist stuff all over the he's

25:30

doing that more than ever recently. Um

25:33

I think he's in in a on his back foot on

25:36

this because I as much as I'd like to

25:38

paint Sam as this oily liar essentially,

25:41

I don't think it's sunk in with most

25:42

people. I don't I just don't I don't

25:44

think they even know who he is kind of

25:46

thing. But

25:47

>> not only that, the secret weapon here I

25:49

think for

25:51

for OpenAI will be Nadella. I think

25:54

Nadella will reflect really well on Open

25:58

AI. He comes across as very measured.

26:00

>> Yeah.

26:01

>> And I I I would love to be I would love

26:04

to be the defense council here. It's

26:06

like, okay, so you're claiming you're so

26:09

concerned about protection and safety.

26:12

What have you done? Have you did you go

26:14

and start? You have you're the

26:15

wealthiest man in the world. Did you

26:17

start another entity looking at safety

26:18

or oh wait, you've you've you started a

26:21

for-profit AI and you're competing

26:23

against this company. Isn't this nothing

26:25

but an attempt to slow them down because

26:27

you're jealous you [ __ ] up and sold

26:29

your shares? I I just I think this is

26:32

going to be a very easy narrative for

26:35

for the defense to say this the

26:38

wealthiest man in the world is trying to

26:39

abuse you, waste your time and get in

26:42

the way of the capitalism, the small

26:44

part of capitalism, the small part of

26:46

the internet he doesn't own and he's

26:48

furious about it. He owns space. He owns

26:51

EVs. He owns, you know, a 180 character

26:55

messaging application. But because he

26:57

[ __ ] up and sold the best corner of

27:00

AI, he now wants it back.

27:02

>> He wants everything. Yeah. He's this

27:03

greedy [ __ ] Yeah, it's true. I don't

27:05

think slamming Alman's going to work

27:07

here. And he's tried to, trust, he's

27:09

really tried to and personally and

27:10

professionally. Um, but

27:12

>> it'll make them both look bad. There'll

27:14

be emails that'll come out that'll be

27:15

like, "Everyone look bad.

27:16

>> Everyone looks bad." Well, it's great.

27:18

It's great for brand AI. Again, the only

27:20

one who looks good, Daario, whom I spent

27:23

time with this weekend. He's a

27:25

>> What was your general impression?

27:26

>> It was an off the record thing, but he

27:28

was, I have to say, very funny. Doesn't

27:31

like any of these people, by the way.

27:33

>> Um, but very funny. I'm not going to

27:36

call him Steve Jobs, but he at least had

27:38

range to talk about. You know, I reread

27:40

his essay um machines of loving grace,

27:43

which I hated the headline of many. It

27:45

was two years ago and was talking about

27:46

that and I have to say he's ariodite

27:49

like he was quoting from Arcadia and

27:52

stuff like that. And I think he he's a

27:54

he's a very complex and interesting

27:55

figure and much more jolly than I give

27:58

him credit for in a way. So he's it's

28:01

you know he's having the time of his

28:02

life because they're all like shooting

28:04

each other in the head and he's merrily

28:06

going along and being the successful one

28:08

and creating the best technology. So

28:10

anyway, I I I really actually I hate to

28:13

say this cuz I I really enjoyed talking

28:16

to him. I did. It was it was fun. It was

28:19

he also give gives as good as he gets.

28:22

Um and I like that like he wasn't scared

28:25

of questions which a lot of them get all

28:27

>> Did you do it was it on with Caris

28:29

Fisher? No, not yet. But he's coming on

28:31

with car and I told him about your

28:33

interest. Anyway, I really enjoyed it.

28:35

It was an enjoyable interview, I have to

28:36

say. Um, by the way, speaking of Sam

28:39

Alman, he apologized to the community of

28:41

Tumblr Ridge for failing to alert

28:43

authorities about an account of a

28:45

shooter who killed eight people and

28:47

whose chat GPT account was suspended for

28:49

violent messages. In the letter, Altman

28:51

reaffirmed a commitment to find ways to

28:53

prevent similar tragedies in the future.

28:56

I I this is it's always a backwards

28:59

looking like oh sorry I don't know I

29:02

just feel like they can apologize all

29:04

they want why don't they create services

29:05

that have some level of safety or

29:08

reporting uh despite all the free speech

29:10

stuff there's some clear clear worries

29:12

that people have if you had someone in

29:14

your neighborhood who was doing this you

29:17

would turn them in would so I don't know

29:20

what to say

29:20

>> we had a school I was involved in

29:22

Florida you know we had a kid writing or

29:26

drawing violent weird images. Next day

29:29

FB FBI was at their house looking for

29:31

firearms.

29:33

And so there's got to be I mean to Sam's

29:36

credit he did what most of these guys

29:38

don't do. He apologized um and he's he

29:40

is claiming to want to put in some sort

29:42

of safeguards

29:44

but he we shouldn't need their apologies

29:46

and their safeguards. There should be

29:47

regularly help here.

29:49

>> It should be liability. It should be you

29:52

guys have this you have technology that

29:54

can scan basically everything that's

29:57

ever been written in history and then

29:59

start making really intelligent thesis

30:02

on what should be written about this

30:03

topic by recognizing past patterns of

30:06

everything that has been written in

30:08

history. You should be able to highlight

30:11

threats pretty easily and then

30:13

immediately using the agentic layer

30:16

notify that local police department and

30:19

not overwhelm them but say okay this is

30:22

level nine threat.

30:24

>> Right. Exactly.

30:24

>> What do you want to do with it? What how

30:27

can we cooperate with you?

30:29

>> And that's where humans get involved. We

30:30

you know they they observe it. This is

30:33

just reporting possible danger and it

30:36

should be easy for these people but it's

30:37

not. By the way, speaking of Anthropic,

30:39

Google plans to invest as much as $40

30:41

billion in the company, $10 billion now,

30:44

and another $30 billion would be

30:46

invested when Anthropic meets certain

30:47

milestones. Probably smart move from

30:49

Google, who is also a dominant player in

30:51

this who is quietly I think remember

30:54

your I said I think Google will win all

30:56

this because they have all the parts. I

30:58

think they've handled this really well

30:59

and I think investing in anthropic in

31:01

this case is probably a very good idea

31:03

for them.

31:04

>> Yeah. And then what I saw which shocked

31:05

me is there it's val the deal values

31:08

anthropic at 350 billion. I was

31:10

potentially I indirectly own anthropic

31:12

shares but

31:13

>> no from you bought the Sam Bankman Freed

31:14

stuff right

31:15

>> yeah about the FTX claims which owned a

31:17

bunch of anthropic lot

31:19

>> um but anyways the uh in the secondary

31:22

market I follow the secondary markets

31:23

anthropic trading at a trillion dollars.

31:25

>> Wow.

31:26

>> Anthropic is now trading at a higher

31:28

valuation in the secondary markets than

31:31

>> Open AI. So Google coming in here,

31:34

they'll get a preference on it.

31:36

>> They're strategic. Yeah, it's a great

31:38

investment. I would invest. Um, hello

31:40

Dario. I would invest at 300 of $350

31:43

million.

31:44

>> I'll I'll give you his let him know.

31:46

Anyway,

31:47

>> not a journalist. Not

31:48

>> a journalist. I do not want to invest

31:49

Dario, but I I really did enjoy talking

31:52

to you. Uh, last thing, Meta Plans lay

31:54

off around 10% of its workforce. It sort

31:56

of went under the radar. 6,000 open and

31:58

closed 6,000 open roles. The company's

32:01

chief people officer said the move was

32:02

being made to run the c company more

32:04

efficiently and to offset other

32:06

investments. Maybe that he lost 75

32:08

billion in the metaverse. But meanwhile,

32:10

Microsoft will begin offering voluntary

32:12

buyouts to 7% of US employees. One-time

32:15

retirement program will be available to

32:17

employees whose age and years of service

32:19

total 70 or higher. This is these are

32:22

just stacking up these big tech layoffs

32:24

where they're trying I mean I think they

32:25

overhire during co as you and I both

32:28

said. Um, but this is a real tipping

32:30

point to impact overall employment

32:33

levels. It seems these were the big

32:35

hirers and now they're the big fireers

32:37

at this point.

32:38

>> As I said, AI is corporate ompic. It's

32:41

turned off the signal that in order to

32:42

grow, you need more calories. In this

32:44

case, calories means employees. And I've

32:46

had I had Andrew Yang on my podcast

32:49

who's having another moment because an

32:51

Andrew is very early and precient about

32:54

capital replacing labor. Capital

32:56

displacing labor. and and he's now

33:00

getting a lot of attention correctly for

33:03

and he's on this whole the capital the

33:06

capital destruction of labor here is

33:08

just going to be dramatic and he's

33:09

pointing to these companies. You do

33:12

though have to have some perspective and

33:13

that is pre- pandemic meta 2019 had

33:17

35,000 employees now they have 80. So

33:21

firing 8,000 people quite frankly takes

33:23

them back to I think late 2024, early

33:27

2025.

33:28

>> They overhired, that's for sure.

33:29

>> So the the scary thing is these guys are

33:32

early adopters of AI and as their

33:35

revenues grow, they're actually

33:37

shrinking their workforce, which is

33:39

amazing for earnings. But if they're the

33:42

early adopters and this starts to

33:44

waterfall down to other parts of the

33:46

economy, you can see why people are

33:49

scared. And Andrew said something really

33:51

appreciate or I thought insightful. He

33:52

said, "The easiest people to fire are

33:54

the people you haven't hired yet." And

33:57

this is going to put pressure on new

34:00

hires out of college. And I I don't want

34:02

to come across as non-empathetic,

34:04

but when I graduated from Berkeley, 40%

34:07

of us had jobs on graduation day, which

34:10

meant 60% didn't.

34:11

>> Yeah, I did. And we're we're so used to

34:15

anyone under the age of 40 or 45 has

34:17

only really known one labor economy

34:19

where there's a war for talent,

34:22

>> especially educated talent. And what's

34:23

interesting about this cycle is for the

34:26

first time in decades, the unemployment

34:28

rate among college grads is greater than

34:30

the unemployment rate among non-ol

34:33

grads. So I I look at this as quite

34:38

frankly just part of an economic cycle.

34:40

I don't buy the catastrophizing. The key

34:43

question is there's no doubt this is a

34:45

disruption that's going to displace

34:48

certain types of information work that

34:50

can be routinized. The question is how

34:53

severe and fast it'll be because

34:56

typically when we no longer need

34:58

elevator operators or we no longer need

35:01

sewing machine operators or secretaries,

35:03

it's been slow enough such that the

35:06

majority of the people are able to

35:08

adapt, retrain and find something else.

35:11

Not all of them but the majority of

35:12

them. The fear here is that the V is so

35:15

severe and so fast that even if there

35:19

was a potential recovery, there's going

35:21

to be so many people left out in the

35:23

dust.

35:23

>> Well, that's cuz people were going to

35:25

those job, right? That was where they,

35:26

you know, I have to say, Alex Wisher

35:28

called this one a while back. He's like,

35:30

I'm going into mechanical engineering

35:31

and energy. He got right. I thought he

35:34

would go into computer software and he

35:35

said, no, AI will replace all these

35:37

things. Um, which I thought was pretty

35:40

pressing of him. And so he's working on

35:42

areas where there is, you know,

35:44

>> things making things

35:45

>> making things forward employment. And

35:47

interestingly, Louis Swisser now may

35:49

have three jobs um because he's working

35:52

on a campaign. He's he's and he's trying

35:55

doing cooking jobs. Two really

35:57

interesting cooking jobs. So he's trying

35:59

a variety of things which are not

36:01

replaceable, right? which were really

36:03

it's really kind of he has it's just

36:05

interesting like but I have to tell you

36:08

both of them were thinking about this

36:10

without my prompting like where is the

36:13

where are the where's employment going

36:15

but um but but young people have to

36:18

think really hard now about that and

36:20

figure

36:20

>> yeah but they'll they'll be fine because

36:22

their mom is rich

36:23

>> no I understand that but they're making

36:25

their own money

36:26

>> middle class warfare there by the way

36:28

>> make their own money

36:29

>> by the way car how do you spot the blind

36:30

man at anus each.

36:32

>> Oh, wow.

36:34

>> Cara, it's not hard.

36:37

>> Oh,

36:39

all these jokes now they're like take a

36:41

minute.

36:42

>> Little little second order. I'm going

36:44

for the intelligent stuff. I'm going for

36:46

the stuff that takes me an hour to

36:47

figure out cuz I know that hard penis.

36:50

Got it. Um, anyway, I just think it's I

36:53

think young people have to really think

36:55

hard. AI is going to is going to

36:57

massively level up some people and

36:59

massively massively

37:01

>> uh level down level down others. But and

37:04

again I I'm a contrarian say this was

37:06

brought up in this you know someone

37:08

asked about the idea that we sort of

37:10

could care less about workingass people

37:12

during the during the NAFTA days and now

37:14

you want us to cry for information

37:16

workers

37:17

>> for people making a ton of who are

37:18

taking making a ton

37:19

>> and one of the things and I it was off

37:21

the record but one of the things I think

37:22

is just an obvious thing that Daria

37:24

pointed out was that it does level up

37:26

the workers right because like if you're

37:29

plum it does it's people have college

37:31

level information at their fingertips.

37:33

tips that is easily digested. Exactly.

37:35

Right. There's

37:36

>> which is interesting.

37:37

>> There were more new business

37:38

applications formed in the last 12

37:40

months than I think in any time in

37:42

history. If Alex wants to start his own

37:44

small company milling and manufacturing

37:47

ball bearings for some weird esoteric

37:49

use, he doesn't need $10 million in

37:50

capital and 40 engineers.

37:53

He needs he needs, you know, $50,000 and

37:56

a bunch of site licenses and one or two

37:58

co-founders. So there's a there's a ton

38:01

of um there's a ton of opportunity. I

38:05

the very basic axiom and the thing the

38:08

thing I I think the next a lot of our

38:10

candidates should be focused on is that

38:12

if you loosely break down the labor

38:14

economy or capital formation to

38:17

shareholders/investors,

38:19

workers and consumers, it's pretty easy.

38:22

We need, you've had a massive leakage of

38:25

power, leverage, and capital from

38:28

consumers and labor to investors. And we

38:32

need public policy, whether it's

38:34

alternative minimum taxes, taxes on uh

38:37

shares that you borrow against, um maybe

38:40

some form of uh lowering estate tax,

38:42

lowering estate tax exemptions. We need

38:44

to transfer capital back from investors

38:48

to employees and consumers.

38:50

>> Yeah, I agree. And it's a fairly basic

38:52

dynamic. These three entities investors

38:55

as a percentage of our GDP

38:58

share the the market cap has never been

39:00

higher. As a percentage of our GDP,

39:02

wages have never been lower. This isn't

39:05

rocket science. We need policies. You

39:08

talked about one. Increase minimum wage.

39:11

Stop taxing earners as much. Start

39:13

taxing owners more. It's not it's not

39:16

complicated. People will create this

39:18

incredible like arguments that it's

39:20

about things they can't control like

39:22

network effects and AI. Don't tax.

39:25

There's talk about an AI tax. There's

39:26

not an you shouldn't have an AI tax. You

39:28

should have an alternative minimum tax

39:29

for any profitable company that's making

39:31

billions and billions. This notion

39:33

Andrew and and Andrew I think gets it 70

39:35

or 80% right. And we had a really

39:37

productive conversation and I I'm I love

39:39

Andrew Yang. I'm an investor in his

39:40

company because I I have so much

39:41

confidence in him. But if you start I

39:45

hate industry specific taxes. There's a

39:47

lot of talk about an AI tax right now.

39:50

No. Have a tax lower payroll taxes such

39:53

that it's not more expensive to hire

39:55

someone than buy a robot, right? And

39:58

have some sort of cap. Don't let people

40:00

depreciate capex in year one and have

40:03

payroll taxes such that it's more

40:05

economically advantageous to buy a

40:07

[ __ ] robot as opposed to hiring

40:08

somebody.

40:08

>> That's a really good point. There's just

40:10

like some basic people now focused on

40:13

and I have to say that people are very

40:15

much and I think just because of these

40:17

layoffs at Meta and Microsoft they they

40:19

bring people's attention to it in a way

40:21

that because they're supposed to be the

40:22

big job places and so

40:24

>> the bell weathers for the whole economy.

40:26

>> Exactly. So I think I more and more

40:28

people are thinking about this idea of

40:30

where our employment goes which is

40:32

always a good thing. Anyway um let's go

40:34

on a quick break. When we come back the

40:36

DOJ drops its Powell probe. Support for

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41:41

>> Support for the show comes from NPR. Oh

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42:42

Scott, we're back. The DOJ is ending its

42:44

criminal probe into the Federal Reserve

42:46

and its chair, Jerome Powell. Although

42:47

the US Attorney, Janine Pero, is warning

42:49

the case could be reopened if new facts

42:51

emerge. As usual, they always cover

42:53

their [ __ ] bases. Still, uh, Senator

42:55

Tom Tillis says he's ready to move

42:57

forward with the confirmation of Trump's

42:58

nominee, Kevin Worsh. And with that

43:00

hurdle removed, Worsh's confirmation by

43:02

the end of Powell's term on May 15th is

43:05

looking likely. At his confirmation

43:06

hearing last week, Worsh rejected the

43:08

idea that he's Trump's sock puppet. Um,

43:10

hence the long how long after he's

43:13

confirmed as Trump threatened to fire

43:15

him. Let's just remember Trump hired

43:16

Jerome Powell. He just it wasn't a sock

43:19

puppet. And that was a problem for Trump

43:20

who's trying to take over. I think Tom

43:23

Telis did a great job here. Now, let's

43:24

see if Janine Piro tries to do some

43:26

tricks after Worshes um is uh in place.

43:30

They could do that cuz they're a bunch

43:32

of persistent liars. Um so, and quick

43:36

thoughts.

43:37

>> Um I'm glad kudos to Senator Tillis. I

43:40

think he's the reason that it was

43:41

dropped and

43:44

I'd like to see most of these cases uh

43:46

continue. I love I love that Patel uh

43:51

Director Patel filed a suit against the

43:52

Atlantic. I would love the discovery

43:54

against Patel. By the way,

43:56

>> that tribe will never see the light

43:57

today.

43:58

>> No, he lost he lost one or

43:59

>> his lawyers are going to sit him down

44:01

and go, "Okay, these are the questions

44:02

they're going to ask."

44:03

>> Yeah,

44:04

>> that was a ridiculous. That was lawfair.

44:06

That was a nuisance suit. I'm glad it's

44:09

been dropped. That's just that's just a

44:10

a distraction. But I also want to bring

44:12

up I've I've been very complimentary of

44:15

Walsh. I was again rattled by his

44:17

inability to state on the record

44:20

>> that Biden won the 2020 election.

44:22

>> I agree with you. He was a sock puppet.

44:24

I think Warren did a great job

44:26

interviewing him. By the way,

44:27

>> it's okay. You're supposed to be You're

44:30

claiming you're going to be an

44:31

independent Fed, which is key to the

44:33

growth of an economy, and you won't. So,

44:36

was Chairman Powell appointed legally? I

44:40

mean there at some point folks there has

44:42

to be a truth and you have to you have

44:45

to be willing to state that truth under

44:47

oath and they all state the same thing

44:48

saying he was duly sworn in

44:50

>> right yeah oh my god

44:52

>> I know I know he really was a wimp he

44:55

definitely took some shine off of him

44:57

I'll tell you that and I think they all

44:59

feel that way like even Tillis said to

45:01

me when I interviewed him look I had to

45:04

say those things cuz if not I'd get run

45:06

over I would be a martyr is dead you

45:07

know a martyr is dead so I don't what to

45:10

tell you. Um, and that's a really

45:12

ridiculous way to hire this thing. And

45:13

of course, Trump will continue to try.

45:15

He has two years to try to [ __ ] up the

45:16

feds. So, he will. So, Kevin Marsh, get

45:19

ready. You better start to find a

45:20

backbone. Um, also, speaking of

45:23

communism, the Trump administration is

45:25

reportedly considering invoking the

45:27

Defense Product uh, Production Act to

45:28

bail out Spirit Airlines, though it's

45:30

still unclear what exactly the

45:32

justification would be. There's talk of

45:34

a plan that would loan Spirit, which has

45:36

filed for bankruptcy twice, about $500

45:38

million. In exchange, the government

45:39

would own as much as 90% of the airline.

45:42

It's a playbook we've seen before Trump

45:44

with the government taking stakes in

45:45

Intel, US Steel, and others. But Trump

45:47

is facing push back correctly from

45:49

fellow Republicans with Senator Ted Cruz

45:52

calling the bailout a terrible idea. Um,

45:55

you've said many times that some

45:56

companies deserve to fail. Is Spirit one

45:58

of them?

46:00

>> This is [ __ ] insane. Insane. Our, let

46:04

me get this. We're capitalists on the

46:05

way up and then on the way down we bail

46:07

out companies. We're crony. So we're

46:09

total that's not even socialism. It's

46:10

cronyism.

46:12

Bankruptcy as someone who has started

46:14

companies who have gone bankrupt. As

46:15

someone who's invested in companies that

46:17

have gone bankrupt as someone who's been

46:18

on an operator, an investor in a company

46:21

as we pull it emerge it out of

46:22

bankruptcy. Bankruptcy is a feature not

46:24

a bug. Uh a company's the market changes

46:27

and the company no longer can support

46:30

the assets and obligations it has given

46:32

changes in the market. It declares

46:33

bankruptcy. They get an umbrella,

46:36

basically coverage to get out of leases,

46:38

to get out of capital or expenses or

46:40

debt to Boeing or sell their gates. They

46:43

get out of union contracts. They get to

46:45

repackage and they reemerge to fight

46:47

another day. When you start bailing out

46:50

companies that aren't sustainable, all

46:52

you do is invite taxpayers to bail out

46:54

more. The government is not supposed to

46:56

pick winners and losers here. Delta,

46:59

American, and United all had CEOs who

47:02

paid themselves $150 million in

47:05

compensation due to options that were

47:07

artificially elevated because they took

47:09

all of their free cash flow pre-COVID

47:11

and used it to buy back shares, juicing

47:13

their stock, juicing their options, see

47:15

above 150 million in compensation. And

47:17

then when [ __ ] gets real and COVID comes

47:19

and the airlines shut down, they all

47:21

decide all of a sudden, we're all in

47:23

this together. And they go [ __ ] hat

47:25

in hand. They should have all been

47:27

allowed to go bankrupt. And guess what?

47:31

And we we've decided that airlines are

47:33

somewhat uniquely American and that we

47:36

need to bail out Spirit. [ __ ] that.

47:38

Burn, baby, burn. This sh this [ __ ]

47:40

should absolutely go out of business.

47:43

And guess what? In 3 years, it's more

47:45

likely to survive under the protection

47:47

from its creditors of a Chapter 11

47:49

bankruptcy. This is stupid.

47:51

>> Stupid. I agree. I don't You've said it

47:53

best. I it'll be interesting to see like

47:55

I remember interviewing Chimath

47:57

Polyhaped who said essentially this what

47:59

he's saying now like he's like no what

48:01

we really need to do is protect these

48:03

things. You're right them companies

48:05

deserve to

48:06

>> that's socialism and as Margaret

48:08

Thatcher said with socialism eventually

48:09

you run out of other people's money. You

48:11

end up with Delorean.

48:12

>> You end up with Air France where you

48:15

pick national champions and keep bailing

48:17

them out. Do you remember what it was

48:18

called? And air chance

48:21

that it was so bad. You don't remember.

48:23

>> Bankruptcy. I've been involved. I was on

48:25

the board of Eddie Bower. They put me on

48:27

the board when they were going bankrupt.

48:28

Remember them?

48:29

>> Yeah.

48:30

>> And And we decided, okay, the way to the

48:33

way to do it was to Did you just say you

48:35

liked it?

48:35

>> No, I never did.

48:37

>> I was always like I walked in cuz then

48:40

Patagonia showed up or something

48:41

whatever else or or REI and then

48:44

>> keep up. But anyways, the one of the

48:46

wonderful things about America is that

48:49

one, we let people and companies fail.

48:52

And two,

48:54

we give them a second chance. And a key

48:57

component of that, a key construct of

48:59

that is bankruptcy law.

49:01

>> Yep. Yep. It works well. It works well.

49:03

It keeps everyone clean. Um, speaking of

49:05

not clean, a US Army soldier has been

49:07

charged with making $400,000 by betting

49:09

on the removal of Venezuelan leader

49:11

Maduro on poly market. soldier used

49:13

classified information. He's quite close

49:15

to the situation to make wagers in the

49:17

weeks leading up to the capture. Poly

49:19

market said it referred the matter to

49:21

the Justice Department. Again, of

49:23

course, of course, like nobody's

49:25

catching the Trump people. They get the

49:27

soldier who pulls this [ __ ]

49:28

>> Exactly. Right. um you know but uh you

49:31

know he shouldn't be exposing classified

49:34

information but they have got to clean

49:36

up their acts poly market and the rest

49:38

of them because insiders it's got to be

49:40

dead obvious to them who's doing this

49:43

right including the Trump family or

49:45

whoever close affiliations are doing

49:47

this they've got to go after a big fish

49:49

not this I mean this soldier did the

49:51

wrong thing he's betraying his his his

49:54

uh job um but uh it seems like we're

49:57

picking up the little fish

49:59

Yeah, but okay.

50:01

I mean, my defense would be, well, our

50:03

commander-in-chief is doing it, isn't

50:04

he? I mean, I think I think a really

50:06

scrappy state GA or attorney general

50:08

should be suing this guy and then

50:10

figuring out a way to have discovery at

50:11

the highest levels to see if they're

50:13

doing it because I think this is going

50:15

on everywhere.

50:16

>> Yeah.

50:17

>> Now, I don't Is it fair to say he

50:19

revealed confidential information or he

50:20

just traded on it?

50:22

>> He knew about what was I think he was

50:23

part of that team. So,

50:24

>> but he didn't reveal he didn't

50:25

compromise the security. just traded on

50:28

it

50:28

>> in betting on it. He certainly did by

50:30

saying, "I know the outcome." Nobody

50:32

knew who he was, but he was using so

50:35

sideways, I guess. I don't know. I guess

50:38

there's no getting around it. It's

50:39

wrong.

50:39

>> Yeah. But when people who make more

50:41

money as elected officials are making

50:44

more money engaging in similar type

50:46

behavior, whether it's trading on

50:47

insider information in stocks or

50:49

insider, the the options activity before

50:52

Trump announces anything about the war

50:55

in the oil market is crazy. So there are

50:58

clearly dozens if not hundreds of people

51:00

perhaps even including cabinet members

51:02

who are making money

51:04

>> in the predictions markets. And so

51:06

>> let's find them.

51:07

>> Yeah. So have it. And by the way, the

51:09

the the enforcement division for crypto,

51:12

that was the one of the first divisions

51:14

where they were fired.

51:15

>> That's right.

51:16

>> Anyone rem anyone kind of any sheriff,

51:19

anyone with a badge actually looking

51:20

into this stuff has been fired. Uh the

51:23

same way they've neutered the IRS

51:24

because they're like the the greatest

51:26

way, you know, the easiest way to commit

51:28

crimes is to make sure there's no

51:29

enforcement.

51:30

>> No, no cops.

51:31

>> I don't want to say I feel for this guy,

51:32

but I think his defense is going to be

51:34

pretty robust. And it's

51:37

>> pointing up pointing up

51:39

>> and it goes back to the same thing. Poly

51:42

market and cowshi shouldn't have to

51:43

shouldn't have to decide. I mean so for

51:46

example I think kshi find somebody for

51:48

for some congress people for trading.

51:50

>> No they kicked them off the platform I

51:52

think.

51:52

>> Gave them off the platform. Okay.

51:54

>> I think that's like Ford Motor

51:57

figuring out that someone was going 100

51:59

miles an hour in their Mustang and then

52:01

repossessing the Mustang. It's not up to

52:03

Ford. It's up to the highway patrol.

52:05

It's up to the government.

52:06

>> If they have a business, they should

52:07

make sure insider trading is not being

52:09

used to bet. It's unfair to the people

52:10

on their platform. By the way, it

52:12

doesn't

52:12

>> I think it's the government's job.

52:13

>> I know, but for their own self-interest,

52:15

if there's all these insiders [ __ ]

52:17

with you, it's a shitty platform, right?

52:19

So, they don't have

52:22

>> I get it, but it's good for their

52:23

business not to for people to feel like

52:25

it's all gamed by rich sons of Trump

52:28

administration officials, etc.

52:30

>> So, there's Okay, to be fair, so I'm

52:32

just thinking this through. There's in

52:34

finance there's know your customer and

52:36

to trade on a platform they have to

52:38

ensure you're an accredited investor.

52:39

There is some regulation by the banks

52:42

around trading. But

52:44

>> compliance divisions all investment

52:45

banks do all they all have compliance

52:48

divisions.

52:48

>> But isn't it pretty easy to hide your

52:50

identity? Did this guy sign up as

52:51

master?

52:52

>> They can find them. They can find he

52:54

did. He tried but it's not that hard.

52:56

But is it the is it the platform's

52:57

responsibility or is it the government's

52:59

responsibility and cooperation

53:00

>> to alert people to unusual trades

53:02

seconds before that kind of stuff they

53:04

can do and then alert government

53:06

>> I don't doubt it but the enforcement

53:08

mechanism and and penalties should be

53:10

>> govern it enforcement is referrals right

53:13

and that's the thing anyway not a good

53:15

look for them but not a good look for

53:17

anyone but you know what this soldier

53:18

he's a cheater but look keep looking

53:21

upwards everybody because and then they

53:22

and you should because lots of people

53:25

have benefit.

53:26

>> All I got to say is that we're going to

53:27

put the wrong guy in prison.

53:28

>> That's right. That's right. All right.

53:30

Anyway, one more quick break. When we

53:32

get back, we'll have wins and fails.

53:35

>> Support for this show comes from Virgin

53:37

Atlantic. Flying to your dream

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to learn more. Okay, Scott, let's hear

54:35

some wins and fails. You would you like

54:37

me to start?

54:38

>> You go first.

54:39

>> You know, I'm going to stick um there in

54:42

between this. the Trump administration

54:43

terminated se uh the board, the National

54:45

Science Foundation's board. Um which

54:47

again, it's he does all these things all

54:49

the time. He's trying to hollow out any

54:50

kind of compliance or over people who

54:53

overlook anything cuz he wants to do

54:55

whatever he wants. Um but I would have

54:57

to say I I think the the media failed in

55:00

this this thing over the weekend. It was

55:03

really disappointing to see so many um

55:06

people acting like

55:09

taking advantage of a tragedy to just

55:12

stick their chests out and do these

55:13

dramatic videos and act like they were

55:15

influencers. I thought I found it

55:17

embarrassing and sad. Um I uh I I ran

55:21

into some of them and I looked at my

55:23

shoes. I didn't know what to I for once

55:25

I was like I really would like to tell

55:26

them they suck. Um but uh but it was uh

55:30

it was disappointing and obviously

55:33

continued disappointment with the Trump

55:34

administration taking advantage of it,

55:36

but I expected them to do this and then

55:38

snap right back into shape. Um so I have

55:40

very lower standards for Trump

55:42

administration people. Um but not for

55:44

the media and I just this is not the way

55:47

you chase audiences to chase whatever

55:50

they were chasing. It was really painful

55:53

to watch and I do some people were

55:55

really traumatized because it is

55:56

terrifying. I suspect to be there. But

55:59

again, your job is to report the news

56:01

and that's what I would really like it.

56:02

So kudos to those who did. Um my win. Um

56:06

I just I don't know if you're watching

56:07

B. Middler on social media. Um she is so

56:11

funny. She is sort of has a whole new

56:14

life on social media and it's in it's so

56:16

clever. She puts out so much funny stuff

56:19

and she just put out a protest song with

56:21

the music video featuring her and her

56:23

beaches co-star Barbara Hershey. They

56:25

apparently go to a lot of these kings

56:27

marches or marches together and I just

56:28

love the two of them. I love that movie

56:31

Beaches by the way. Um, and I just think

56:33

she's using her platform in a really

56:35

very much on brand with her and I think

56:38

it's it dubtales into her incredible

56:40

still incredible singing voice and

56:42

cleverness and uh I just really love her

56:45

and I I love her all over again.

56:48

when I was uh I think I was in college

56:51

and I went with my buddy Lee to see

56:53

beaches as two men do. Go see

56:55

>> yes the movie. Anyways, and we're

56:58

sitting in line. My friend Lee Lotus is

57:00

literally the funniest person in the

57:02

world. There's only two people that make

57:03

me laugh out loud. One is Lee Lotus, the

57:05

other is David Frey. But anyways, we're

57:07

sitting in line as he used to do at the

57:09

Man brewing like a line around the block

57:11

to see, you know, opening night of

57:12

beaches with B Midler and Barbara

57:15

Hershey. And we knew it was about best

57:17

friends and we knew one dies and

57:19

everyone coming out was sobbing and Lee

57:21

goes, "It must mean that Barbara Hershey

57:23

died. No one would sob. Midler died. No

57:26

one sobs about the overweight singer

57:28

dying."

57:28

>> And I thought that was so [ __ ] funny.

57:30

I couldn't stop laughing.

57:32

>> It's like no one's going to be that sad

57:34

about B. Midler.

57:35

>> I would. She died in the She played

57:37

Janice Joplin. Do you remember what was

57:39

that movie?

57:39

>> Oh no. Let me be clear. In real life,

57:42

there will be there are a few people

57:44

more beloved than that Midler. What I'm

57:46

saying is in the movie,

57:48

>> it's like it's clear that the hot the

57:50

hot one, the pretty girl dying is the

57:52

real tragedy.

57:53

>> But it was how she died and the Oh, the

57:55

end. Oh,

57:57

>> I'm going to go back. We should watch it

57:58

together cuz I would say you are the

58:00

wind beneath my wings, but really you're

58:02

appreciate that good on bed. Yeah, she

58:04

was uh Barry Manalo was her pist, her

58:07

backup pist when she when she was in the

58:09

in the foray audiences. Always been

58:12

>> also I got to be honest, she's the

58:14

source of one of my favorite jokes,

58:16

>> which is

58:16

>> my favorite jokes. My partner

58:19

>> uh my partner is Polish and on Friday

58:22

nights I dress up like Germany and

58:23

invade her.

58:26

>> She said that. That was her joke.

58:28

>> That was her joke. She said her husband

58:30

her husband was German.

58:32

>> Yeah. Yeah. She has a lot of dirty

58:33

jokes. She used to be a lot dirtier, but

58:35

she's still delightful. Anyway, your

58:37

wins and fails.

58:39

Uh so I got all bummed out when I saw

58:42

this uh the shooting and I personally

58:44

went on social media and to make myself

58:46

feel better I find

58:48

I do find some solace or respit in data

58:50

and I looked up data about uh gun

58:53

violence and uh actually in terms of

58:57

homicide

58:58

America has never been safer and that is

59:01

despite all the recent public and

59:03

political violence and the fact that you

59:05

get served it on your social media feed

59:07

America's homicide rate fell by the fell

59:10

by the largest amount ever recorded in

59:13

2025.

59:15

And preliminary data tracking local

59:18

murder rates shows that this could be,

59:20

get this, the lowest murder rate since

59:23

1900,

59:25

the lowest murder rate on record. And

59:28

the FBI has to confirm this later in

59:30

2026,

59:32

but the decline has followed two sharp

59:34

declines in 23 and 24, making this a

59:38

sustained trend, not a blip. So, while

59:42

our blood pressure and our anxiety is

59:44

up, if you actually look at the data on

59:46

a lot of levels, America has never been

59:49

safer or less violent,

59:50

>> which has been the trend, which has been

59:52

the trend actually. And but if you just

59:54

watch Tik Tok or these videos, you would

59:56

think it's chaos in the Wild West

59:59

everywhere. Also,

60:00

>> except in schools, Scott, school

60:02

shootings are way up. It's crazy.

60:03

>> I think that's fair. I I And mass

60:06

shootings are way up.

60:07

>> Mass shootings. Yeah.

60:08

>> But the actual the actual number of

60:10

homicides,

60:11

>> yeah,

60:12

>> is at appears to be at an all-time low.

60:14

>> Yeah. All right.

60:15

>> Also, drug overdose deaths are seeing a

60:17

sustained decline. In the 12 months

60:18

before November 2025, the US saw about

60:21

70,000 drug overdose deaths, which is a

60:23

16% decline from the year before. And in

60:26

2024, overdose deaths fell 27%, the

60:30

largest single year decline on record.

60:31

It feels as if, you know, we did

60:34

recognize or started to move in on the

60:36

opiate crisis and we're seeing a really

60:38

healthy, wonderful decline in overdose

60:40

deaths. Uh, anyways, I just I I always

60:43

like to go to the data when I'm freaking

60:44

out to see should I be freaking out and

60:47

upset and I do find comfort in the fact

60:49

that it does look like America is

60:51

becoming less or the homicide rate

60:54

appears to be at an all-time low. Um,

60:57

my loss is more depressing. My loss is

61:00

um um an increase in HIV diagnoses in

61:04

Zambia um a year after the Trump

61:06

administration froze PEPFAR

61:09

which is just America at its best. HIV

61:12

services in parts of Zambia

61:15

>> and they basically it's collapsed the

61:17

funding and now new infections are

61:19

rising. Zambia had 84% of its HIV

61:22

financing coming from PEPFAR at the

61:24

start of 2025,

61:26

which is one of the largest aid

61:27

dependencies of any country globally.

61:29

And the cuts put 23,000 health workers

61:32

supporting the HIV response out of work.

61:34

23,000 people working on HIV.

61:38

>> George Bush thing, by the way, for

61:39

people.

61:40

>> Yeah. PEPAR, it's his legacy, his most

61:42

positive legacy.

61:43

>> Absolutely. And in clinics where

61:44

services were interrupted, new HIV

61:46

diagnoses dropped nearly 30 um%. In

61:51

other words, they're not diagnosing it.

61:52

And not because infections fell, but

61:54

because people stopped getting tested.

61:56

And for the first time in PEPAR's

61:58

history, the program put fewer people on

62:00

HIV therapy than the year before. And

62:02

without rapid restoration, models

62:05

project um HIV prevalence in Zambia

62:08

could quadruple with more than one and a

62:11

half million lives at risk. uh children

62:13

and women hit hardest and globally

62:17

sustained funding gaps uh could produce

62:20

6 million additional infections and 4

62:22

million more AIDS deaths by 2029.

62:25

So it's it's really strange. It's and I

62:28

wrote about this in my newsletter last

62:29

week. If you want to kill millions of

62:31

people, do it slow and methodically. And

62:33

there's definitely a zone of empathy

62:35

where when people are thousands of miles

62:38

away, you're somewhat comfortable with

62:41

millions of deaths.

62:42

>> It's um I believe this is all Musk and

62:46

Trump on their

62:47

>> Doge and Trump. This is just

62:49

>> and also it's not only the wrong thing

62:51

to do this this funding these funding

62:54

cuts. It's the stupid thing to do

62:55

because what people don't realize is how

62:57

much we benefit from the soft power and

63:00

positive brand of America. They're

63:01

obnoxious. They're a bit imperialist,

63:03

but at the end of the day, their heart's

63:05

in the right place. They know people who

63:07

got funding. They know a soup kitchen in

63:10

Ukraine. They know someone who survived.

63:13

This is why I was so [ __ ] pissed off.

63:14

I'm not pissed off. All the all the

63:17

bullshits. Oh, I won't call. All the

63:18

scrutiny and virtue signaling around

63:21

Bill Gates. Quite frankly, the four

63:24

million people alive who would have died

63:26

from malaria don't give a flying [ __ ]

63:28

that Bill Gates [ __ ] Russian

63:29

prostitutes. Like in my mind, Bill gets

63:32

a lot of hall passes.

63:34

>> Anyways, a little bit of a diversion

63:35

there.

63:36

>> Okay. All right.

63:36

>> But we have we have millions of people

63:39

dying and it's it reflects so poorly our

63:43

budgets reflect our values and the fact

63:46

that we decided to cut this budget which

63:48

is arguably the best money spent both

63:50

from a brand perception and just a

63:52

morality viewpoint. Million I mean for

63:55

God's sakes.

63:56

>> Yep.

63:57

>> 4 million people. I know it's there's

63:59

going to be millions more. Um, can I

64:01

just say I'm we have to get going, but I

64:03

I was walking in DC this weekend. It's

64:06

so funny upper of this is I was walking

64:08

with my kids and Amanda and this woman

64:10

was walking behind us and then got in

64:13

front of us and then she turned around

64:14

and realized who I was and she said,

64:16

"Can I just thank you and Scott Galloway

64:18

for talking about this issue?" She's

64:20

from USAD and she goes, she goes, "I

64:23

just want to say you all talking about

64:25

it all the time makes the biggest

64:26

difference." and I was sort of she's

64:28

like I was laid off the things were the

64:30

thing the damage that's been done has

64:32

been irreparable in many ways and she

64:35

just was lovely just was she she got

64:37

very emotional and I was like well

64:39

you're doing the real work like you know

64:41

not us um but anyway I'm glad you

64:43

brought that up totally separate like

64:45

literally yesterday it happened

64:47

>> I heard from I heard from so there was

64:50

this lovely young man in my fraternity

64:52

named Greg Townsend

64:54

>> everybody one of those guys everybody

64:55

liked everybody liked and we went to the

64:57

same high school. He was a couple years

64:58

younger than me. Hadn't heard from him

65:00

in 30 years. We do that segment talking

65:03

about cutting funding. He went to a he

65:06

went to law school and decided he wanted

65:08

to devote his life to um hunting down

65:12

and prosecuting war criminals for the UN

65:15

or some agency out of Switzerland. So

65:17

he's spent the last 20 years building

65:18

cases against war criminals to try and

65:21

create disincentive for people to think

65:24

twice when they go out and start

65:26

committing war crimes. And he got a

65:28

notice that because of government

65:30

cutting and in Doge that he's out of a

65:32

job. And I'm like to have a guy that

65:34

talented who could have been making 2

65:35

million bucks a year protecting white

65:37

collar crime for Scat and Aarbs decide

65:39

that no

65:39

>> defending Elon Musk and his lawsuit.

65:41

>> Yeah. He said no. I want to create

65:43

disincentive such that leaders think

65:45

twice before they start killing

65:47

civilians. And he's I can't think this

65:50

kid was so smart and so talented.

65:53

>> We need to restore much of this. Not all

65:55

of it, but much of it.

65:56

>> And what do we do when we get the gift

65:57

of these people's humanity where they

65:59

decide to apply their expertise against

66:02

saving people we will never meet,

66:05

disincentivizing acts of war, acts of

66:07

horror, and then we cut the funding.

66:10

>> Yep. Yep. All right. Well, that's great.

66:12

I think that's a great one. Anyway, we

66:14

want to hear from you. Send us your

66:15

questions about business, tech, or

66:16

whatever's on your mind. Go to

66:17

nymag.com/pivot

66:19

to submit a question for the show or

66:20

call 85551 pivot. Elsewhere in the Karen

66:23

Scott universe, this week on On with

66:25

Cara Swisser, I spoke to Ested Hearnden,

66:27

host of the new Bucks podcast, America

66:29

Act, who's a former New York Times, a

66:31

wonderful New York Times reporter. We

66:33

talked about the uh uh about the show,

66:35

what politics will be like after Trump

66:37

and the playbook Democrats will be using

66:38

in the upcoming midterms and beyond.

66:40

Let's listen to a quick clip.

66:41

>> Maybe it's become a little more

66:42

progressive, but it's certainly become

66:44

more um activist. It's certainly become

66:47

more um uh less passive for I think the

66:50

traditional Democratic playbook. And so

66:52

I think those shifts are some of what

66:54

we're seeing in Maine and I think what

66:56

we're seeing across the country.

66:57

>> Okay, that's the show. Thanks for

66:58

listening to Pivot. Be sure to like and

66:59

subscribe to our YouTube channel. We'll

67:01

be back on Friday.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses the White House correspondents' dinner shooting, the trial of Elon Musk and Sam Altman over OpenAI, and the impact of AI on employment and the economy. It also touches on the DOJ dropping its probe into the Federal Reserve, the Trump administration's potential bailout of Spirit Airlines, and the issue of insider trading. The discussion highlights the need for better reporting in the media, the societal impact of social media, and the importance of data-driven analysis of crime rates and public health trends. Finally, it features a 'wins and fails' segment, touching on Bette Midler's social media presence and the decline in US homicide rates, contrasted with rising HIV diagnoses in Zambia due to funding cuts.

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