Nancy Guthrie Disappearance Raises New Surveillance Questions | Pivot
1898 segments
I'm glad they got these pictures of this
guy. At the same time, this is an edge
case. They're they're keeping your video
that which I which everyone thought they
were doing and they said they weren't.
>> Hi everyone, this is Pivot from New York
Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast
Network. I'm Cara Swisser.
>> And I'm Scott Galloway.
>> Scott, we just did a great on with Cara
Swisser about resist and unsubscribe,
but I'd like
>> you have another podcast. Did I find
that out? This
>> dude, you were quite substantive. Where
are we right now? Give us a quick
update.
>> Uh, it lulled Tuesday and Wednesday. It
appears to have come back today because
Chelsea Handler, who reached out to me,
posted something of all the things she
was unsubscribing to. And just to give
you an example of how much impact one
person can have. Uh, I went on AI, I
went on to my site analytics. I think
she just that one video she did on
Instagram, that one post is going to
inspire 6 to 7,000 unique site visits.
conversion of 5% that's 300 people
unsubscribing average of two platforms
600 unsubscribes average 200 that's
$12,000
times or excuse me $120,000 times 10 so
$1.2 $2 million in market cap getting
taken out of these companies because of
one Insta Post. So,
>> Right. Exactly. And, you know, I'm going
to see her uh tomorrow night, I think.
Um, tomorrow night. She's here in DC. We
should get them all to do things like
that. Let's let's reach into the celebs,
we know, and get them to do.
>> I'm going to bug them all.
>> Okay.
>> I like it. Thank you.
>> Yeah. If they do that and put even just
one thing up, it matters and it's an
easy thing for a lot of them. And they
>> what people don't realize about about
economic protests, the most famous one
was a Montgomery bus strike. It wasn't
the one cinematic moment. It was it was
um an organization of thousands of car
pools over the course of a year.
>> Yeah.
>> So it takes it takes a while, but
>> any individual who subs unsubscribes
from Open AI OpenAI right now is taking
$10,000 out of their market valuation,
>> which is great. And that
>> and there's a substitute, the free the
free chat GBT
>> and also all kinds of other free
services. Gemini, all the others, you
don't have to pay for it necessarily.
And by the way, you can use things for
free. You're taking stuff from them,
right, without paying them. Like paying
is the issue is what you pay for. So
just keep that in mind. Everyone's like,
"Oh, now I can't use Google." I'm like,
"No, it's free."
>> Well, just just to give an example how
how these this unsubscribes to these
recurring revenue tech platforms or tech
companies, T-Mobile just had an earnings
call. They were projected to add 992,000
new subscribers. they added 962. So
30,000 fewer because 30,000 people
didn't show up for subscription. So not
only do these do these actions punch
above their weight class in terms of
economic impact, if you take if Sam
Alman is grows his subscriptions 7 12%
versus 8% month, he's not going to close
his $850 billion round.
>> Yep.
>> So this is literally this is the string.
If you if if you don't have the time or
the energy to do some of the very other
important work, whether it's protests or
or or calling your congressman, you can
have a massive impact by unsubscribing
right now.
>> Yeah, you can. Now, speaking of which,
and something the administration does
care about, Attorney General Pam Bondi,
who we'll talk about more in a minute,
was testifying in front of the the Jan,
crazy Jan, was testifying in front of
Congress about Epstein on Wednesday. She
made it clear she'd prefer to be talking
about other things. What did she zero in
on? Let's listen. Dow is over $50,000. I
don't know why you're laughing. You're a
great stock trader as I hear rascin. The
Dow is over $50,000
right now. The S&P at almost 7,000
and the NASDAQ smashing records.
Americans 401ks and retirement savings
are booming. That's what we should be
talking about.
>> Well, she's not the Treasury Secretary,
but this is what shows what they care
about. They really do. the fact that it
was inappropriate to bring this up in
here given they were talking about
victims sexual uh uh abuse victims, but
nonetheless, this is what floats their
boat is is this money, right? And so,
let's also listen to a great idea one of
our listeners sent in.
>> Every child of an elderly person should
also go through all of their parents
subscriptions. I went through my
mother's this weekend and was able to
take $125
off of some bills by unsubscribing
subscriptions she didn't even know she
had.
>> That is a great idea. I do that with my
mom all the time and I'm trying very
hard to take the New York Post off of
her subscriptions.
>> Two years after my mother died, I found
that Geico was still taking $220 out of
her bank account a month for car
insurance.
>> Wow. Crazy. if you don't, and I've used
this example before, when I unsubscribed
from AT&T, went to Noble, I'm saving
about 20 or 30 bucks a month, but in
addition, I found out
>> I had four accounts with AT&T for
Blackberries and iPads, which have been
in landfills for years, cuz I never went
on and unsubscribed them. And even
though they know they're not getting a
GPS signal from these things, and they
could send you an email saying, "Hey,
you know, you're paying 70 bucks a month
>> for something you haven't used in 5
years,
>> you're going to save money. It's these
companies are very good at figuring out
a way to get you to subscribe and get
you to forget that it's coming that this
money is coming out of your pocket every
month.
>> Yeah. You know, there's a couple
services and I don't have the names to
show where your subscriptions are and to
unsubscribe, but this is a better way to
do it. But then you can use those
services to find them all over the
place. You'd be surprised of what you're
I found an AT&T thing. I was still from
when Apple first had the iPhone when
they had unlimited if you remember.
Anyway, uh it's a great thing to do.
Keep going. We're going to do more.
We're gonna every little thing we can
pull on. The administration cares about
this issue. Uh it's the only thing left
is the DAO at this point. The fallout
from the
>> What's that $50,000? She's the [ __ ]
attorney general. She clearly knows
nothing about economics. What is she
talking about? She called the Dow.
>> I know. Also, also calling a
representative Rascin. Who does [ __ ]
does she think she is? She's in his
house. She's in his house. He calls him
Rascin. I'm going to call you Galloway
when I use your house. Hey, Galloway.
Anyway, the fallout from the Epstein
files continues. Speaking of which, as I
mentioned, crazy Attorney General Pam
Bondi, who really needs to be medicated,
testified before the House Judiciary
Committee on Wednesday, and things got
heated. She soiled herself multiple
times. Um, Bondie sparred with
Democrats, not just Democrats, over DH's
handling of the Epstein files and
refused to apologize to survivors. She
wouldn't even look at them there. It
turned out she's never talked to them.
She also clashed with uh GOP Congressman
Thomas Massie. Massie criticized Bondi
and the DOJ for failing to redact
victim's names while blacking out the
names of businessmen uh businessman Les
Wexner. Let's listen to the exchange.
>> Within 40 minutes, Wexner's name was
added back
>> within 40 minutes of me catching you
redhanded.
>> Red hand. There was one redaction out
and we invited you in. We This guy has
Trump derangement syndrome. He needs to
get You're a failed politician.
Uh really crazy crazy craziness I have
to say. I just don't know what to say.
She's What is wrong with her? Like ser
speaking of derangement syndrome. Like
honestly I don't know what she was doing
up there. I know it's an audience of one
but he can't even find this impressive.
It's grotesque. I mean I don't know.
>> Yeah. It really feels like we have
>> wheels are coming off. I mean it's it's
it's a shame because it's just so
>> it's a serious issue
>> weird and it's the attorney general
making a mockery of the institution and
just
u no no decorum but for I'm curious what
you thought about the hearings but the
moment that I found really chilling
was when I think it was representative
Jaipal
had um some of the the survivors uh
stand up and asked how many of them have
reached out to the DOJ
>> to provide evidence or input, but all
these survivors stood up.
>> Yeah.
>> And it was clear they've reached out to
the DOJ and the DOJ has um has is has
ignored them. And you thought, let me
get this, the Department of Justice
>> investigating what is arguably may go
down as the crime of the century to date
>> and survivors and people with direct
knowledge about what happened or what
didn't happen. They could also, quite
frankly, they might exonerate some
people.
>> Right. Exactly.
>> They don't want to talk to them.
>> Right. Right. And she wouldn't look at
them. That was another moment. She
wouldn't turn around. She wouldn't do
it. She This woman is insane. I just I
don't She a crazy one. She's like, it
was so strange. And And I know this
audience of one they always do, but in
this case, I was like, "Wow, you people
are desperate and terrified of what's
coming next for you." You know, I
thought Massie was effective. I thought
Becca Balant was effective. I thought
Gipol's effective, Rascin, um I thought
they all one of the things someone who
works there said, "How do you think it
went?" And I said, "The only problem
with this kind of thing was you lay down
with pigs. The only one only people that
like wrestling with pigs are the pigs,
right? If you get in the mud with them."
But I thought they rel they relatively
handle it well. It's just that the the
craziness is what gets attention and not
the victims, right? It becomes a
ridiculous circus. And on some level,
what was interesting is Fox didn't show
it, right? They they they they keep
they're obsessed with the Nancy Nancy
Guthrie kidnapping, which is a terrible
thing, too. But they're not even airing
it. They don't want to see show you the
crazy like and any normal person looking
at this would be like, "What? Honey, you
need some you need some therapy like
stat kind of thing." And you're you
know, and what happened to you? So, I
thought that was it was a really
interesting This Epste thing isn't going
away, Pam. I'm sorry. It's just not now
cuz it's so very clear that you didn't
do your job and neither did people
before you, by the way. But guess what?
>> It's a valid point.
>> You're in the chair now. I don't really
>> It's her It's her DOJ.
>> It's her DOJ
>> and her boss her boss is mentioned
>> in the Epstein files more times than
Jesus is mentioned in the Bible or the
term meth is mentioned in Breaking Bad
over eight seasons. And I felt like
every day, every time yesterday, she
>> she claimed that, you know, the
president had been the most quote
unquote transparent president. When she
uses the term transparent, I think some
somewhere there's a thesaurus filing for
protective custody. It's just
>> why are you laughing at me was just
and al just it's it was so weird. It's
so weird. It's so culty. It's so
strange. One of the things I do think is
effective is a lot of these Congress
people are going in and seeing
unredacted versions which are very
upsetting. um
>> when they come out and they look like
they've seen a ghost.
>> I know. Even Cynthia Lumis who was I
didn't know it was there now. Whoa.
Whoa. Folks, like Cynthia Lumis, I'm so
glad she's leaving politics. But I have
to say, even someone like that who
literally puts in the least effort
possible. Um same thing. They're looking
like, "Oh my [ __ ] god, you're kidding
me here." And you know, nobody's
>> I got to be honest. I didn't I didn't
realize it was this bad.
>> Yeah. when the more information you you
read about this
>> Yeah.
>> in terms of the number of victims.
>> Yeah.
>> In terms of how many people were
involved, uh how many
>> how many opportunities there were to
stop it.
>> Yeah.
>> And it just gets the web keeps getting
deeper and uglier.
>> Yes. And the lies like when commerce
secretary Howard Letic was on Capital
Hill this week as well. He told the
Senate committee he and his family had
lunch on Epstein's island in 2012, but
insisted he'd not have a relationship
with him. Of course, this was he had
given this sort of haha interview with
one of these right-wing outfits where he
said, "I never in that."
>> He was indignant. I was disgusted by him
and I said, "We're never we're going to
have no contact with him again." And
here's the thing.
>> He took his kids. I I I took my four
kids and their nannies and I got all the
kids off the island. That by
>> But this is the thing. It's not It's
It's not It's usually not the the
infraction itself. It's the cover up. If
he had said,
>> why'd he say the first thing? That's
>> But if he had just said right up front,
he's a neighbor. He had powerful
friends. I didn't do the diligence I
should have. I went with me and my kids
to his island once cuz it sounded like
fun.
>> Yeah.
>> Okay. Poor judgment, but go along, get
along.
>> Instead of trying to wrap yourself in
some sort of indignance that you
immedately smelled a rat and you're
lying
>> and you decided to
>> I mean, if he just come clean in the
beginning, said like, "Yeah, it was bad
judgment. took my kids to his island,
had a lunch. I'd heard he was a big
philanthropist and who knows maybe it
was okay. All right. Bad judgment. Move
along. But it again, it's the cover.
>> He had to take a laugh. He had to take a
I'm so pure laugh. And he that's cuz
he's a [ __ ] Let's let's be clear. This
guy's a [ __ ] And people are asking for
him to resign. He really is a liar. He's
a liar and a [ __ ] And it doesn't mean
he had to do anything, but he's a liar
and a [ __ ] The one that one that's
interesting under scrutiny is
entertainment executive Casey Wasserman.
Chapel Rowan and other artists have cut
ties with Wasserman as is their right
after latest file show exchanged emails
was Julian Maxwell seemed to have some
kind of relationship with her probably
extramarital who knows who serves as
chairman of the LA Olympics organized
appears to be holding on to that role.
They're backing him. There were other
names floated to take his place. He let
me be clear for people not letting him
out but it was 2003 before any of this
was known. He may have been able to pick
it up. That's different. Um but uh but
this was well before the first
conviction, the first um sweetheart deal
that Epstein did with in Florida. Um so
he's even even he's under scrutiny and
people are cutting ties. And again, this
is this artist right. They don't like
the cut of his jib. That's perfectly
fine. In his case, there's just the the
blast zone of this is so far right. It's
really
>> it's so indiscriminate. And again, I go
to the following.
>> Yeah.
>> If we had an institution we could trust,
including the Department of Justice and
the institutions that actually assembled
these files, if they could go through it
and go, "Okay, there are three circles
here. There's people who either engaged
in provided infrastructure or trafficked
and facilitated crimes, we are going to
release those names in the form of grand
jury indictments, and we're going to go
after these people." That's the headline
here. That's what the Department of
Justice isn't supposed to ruin people's
careers. It's supposed to create an
incentive system where people follow the
law by prosecuting criminals and
exonerating people who are not guilty.
That is what they are there to do. And
then the second circle, and this is a
harder one, is okay, if a cabinet, if a
cabinet member has clearly lied under
their testimony or under oath, should
they release that information? Didn't
didn't commit a crime. This is Howard
Lutnik. Should the president, who has
not so far been accused of a crime, if
he's mentioned in this thing 6,000
times, should we release that
information? I think that is a really
important point. The biggest circle,
quite frankly, is go I have seen on Tik
Tok and on Instagram people talking
about models, how they talked about
going to a museum with Jeffrey Epstein
and we should no longer uh have anything
to do. They're trying to shame all these
people and it's like, you know what,
folks, that's just pure gossip. And
unfortunately, the ring light shaming of
all these courageous, virtuous people
when they're behind a a keyboard and
have much higher standards for other
people than they do for themselves, that
is distracting from what the Department
of Justice is supposed to do. And that
has put pedophiles in prison.
>> Yeah, I would urge people to read. It
was really interesting. you know, Kathy
Katherine Rumler, who's the the legal
head of Goldman, you know, she was she
had a lot of emails and very chummy kind
of emails with Epstein going on for a
while. Um, I thought Bill Cohen did a
great job talking about why she was in
that relationship and most of it was in
fact she was professional. She's looking
for work, right? And that's a whole
different
>> guy who knows rich guys who can send me
a for wealth management.
>> Yes, exactly. So I would urge people to
read that and again one or two of them
and and one or two places she when he
said oh I it was only prostitution she
goes that's justice abusive Jeffrey like
she she unfortunately he kept saying
there are gifts there was a business
relationship I thought it was it was
actually a really um complex situation
that made me think god if she was a guy
and she did like golf with him she'd get
off because she was a woman was vaguely
flirty kind of she wasn't like it was it
was a great piece cuz it made me rethink
I was like okay like not great judgment
right should have known better should
have stopped talking to him after the
first thing um but didn't business it
was just interesting it was it made me
think a lot I recommend Bill Cohen's
column in pock and I thought this was
this is his area of expertise in finance
and I thought okay I got this is why
there she was he was trying to explain
why they haven't let her go, right? So,
I thought that was interesting. Anyway,
um speaking of uh um power, six
Republicans joined Democrats in the
House on Wednesday to vote for a
resolution aimed at ending President
Trump's tariffs on Canada that it's a
symbolic gesture, even if it clears the
Senate. Uh Trump would veto it, but that
didn't stop him from making threats.
Trump posted on True Social, that any
Republican who votes against the
terrorists would seriously uh suffer
consequences come election time, and
that includes primaries. Uh I think he's
losing the grip, as they say. What what
do you think?
>> Well, there's some new data that shows
that about So, the initial notion was
the tariffs would
uh mostly be paid by either
corporations, sort of a populist thing,
or the uh uh importer or excuse me, the
exporter themselves, the the country
would absorb it or whoever was sending
the products. It ends up and there's
finally analysis 94%
of the costs have been borne by US
consumers and then the other 6% have
been borne by companies either deciding
to take a bit of a hit or the the
importer themselves or excuse me the
exporter themselves reducing their
prices. You have about 15% of the
economy is um imports.
It they thought the tariffs average
around 20% so that's 3%. some managed to
get out of it. So, call it a 2% to the
economy, but the problem is it's an
unnecessary 2% hit to the economy. To be
fair, it hasn't had the catastrophic
effect a lot of people thought it was
going to have, but in a weird way.
>> Well, if Yeah, it's just
>> I feel it myself and the shelves are
emptier. It's weird. I never have
noticed that.
>> Well, but why reduce people's prosperity
by 2% for no real reason? It doesn't
cause growth. It doesn't cause
innovation. And all it's doing is is is
urging or reconfiguring the supply chain
>> around the United States. The EU is
entering into an agreement with
Merkasaur. There all kinds of new trade
zones being opened up such that people
are not as reliant on the US. And a
weird a weird thing though is that if
his tariffs are overturned
in by the Supreme Court or by the
Congress, I actually think the markets
will rip. So, in a weird way, it could
end up it could end up helping him if if
these things are turned back. I think
the markets will scream if these tariffs
are found to be uh illegal.
>> Yeah. Well, we'll see. And although
apparently he's got all these plans to
put other kinds of fees in place to take
their place that are that he that he'll
have to go back to court and stop him
for those. He's doubling down. This is
something he's talked about for years.
So, I don't know if he's going to back
off so quickly and take the
>> take the victory here. He'd like to take
the L. Honestly,
>> I don't know. No, they you know that
lunatic Peter Navaro talks about him
like that we have a whole bunch of
things to happen if the Supreme Court
>> overturns this. What's taking the
Supreme Court so long by the way?
Anyway, uh we'll see what happens. I do
think on the broader sense that there's
lots more um Republicans willing to push
back because of their own political
survival is not linked to Donald Trump
as much anymore. The other thing is it
looks like they may lose control of the
House.
>> That's right. Another person's
resigning, right?
>> So, you know, they're one they're one
sick person away from losing having the
Democrats in control. So, it's a really
interesting time. He doesn't have the
the power is slipping away and that's
why he screamy Pam or this nonsense and
stuff. So we'll see more of that I
think. Um okay Scott let's go on a quick
break. When we come back social media on
trial very important case
support for pivot comes from anthropic.
There are bumps in the road. The ones
you can just throw a band-aid on and be
done with it. And then there are the
bigger problems. The ones where you
really have to stop and think through.
The ones when you finally crack it feels
unbelievable. And for those problems,
you're going to need a partner to help
you understand where you're at, where
you're going, and how you're getting
there. Claude from Anthropic is that
partner. Claude is the AI for minds that
don't stop at good enough. It's a
collaborator that actually understands
your entire workflow and thinks with
you, whether you're debugging code at
midnight or strategizing your next
business move. Claude extends your
thinking to tackle the problems that
matter. Plus, Claude's research
capabilities go deeper than basic web
search. It can use comprehensive,
reliable analysis with proper citations,
turning hours of research into minutes.
Ready to tackle bigger problems? Start
with Claude today at claude.ai/pivot.
That's claude.ai/pivot.
And check out Claude Pro, which includes
access to all the features mentioned in
today's episode. Claude.ai/pivot.
Support for the show comes from
Corewave. AI isn't just a new tool. It
encompasses so much more. It's spurring
a revolution across all industries and
reshaping itself to become a big part of
our future together. Coreweave is at the
center, powering some of the biggest
names in AI. As the essential cloud for
AI, Corewave provides an AI platform
that combines next generation
infrastructure, intelligent tools, and
expert support. It's powering the
world's most complex AI workloads faster
and more efficiently. From medical
research and diagnosis to education,
from complex visual effects from movies
to breakthroughs in science and
technology. If it's AI, Cororeweave is
uniquely ready to power it with
purpose-built tech. The big ideas, the
wild visions and what-ifs and why nots.
Cororeeve is working to build what's
never been built before. Cororeweave is
the essential cloud for AI. Ready for
anything, ready for AI. To learn more
about how Coree powers the world's best
AI, go to corweave.com/refor.
Scott, we're back with more news. A
landmark social media trial got underway
this week with Meta and YouTube accused
of deliberately designing their
platforms to addict young users. You
think the lawsuit is the first of more
than500 similar cases to go to trial.
This is something that's been building
for a long time. The plaintiff's lawyer
is arguing that his client, a
20-year-old woman, got hooked on these
apps as a kid because they were like
digital casinos delivering dopamine
hits. Instagram head Adam Msari uh
testified on Wednesday that he doesn't
think users can be quote clinically
addicted to the app. Adam Msari is not a
doctor, just so you know. I can't
believe he said that. It was kind of a a
mistake on his part. Meanwhile, and also
he's wrong. Meanwhile, YouTube is
arguing it's not social media, it's an
entertainment platform like Netflix and
it's not addictive. That is also not
true. The jury, anyone who has kids
knows that. Uh it's very different from
Netflix. The jury trial, I mean, it's
become more like Netflix recently, but
it's also an addictive situation. The
jury trial is expected to last six to
eight weeks with Mark Zuckerberg and
YouTube's Neil Mo expected to testify.
This is a really important trial. The
big names are coming out and talking
about an issue you and I have talked
about for years. Um, what what are the
actual effects and who is responsible
for creating an addictive product? And
I'm sorry, Adam. I'm not a doctor
either, but any fool will tell you it's
anyone, not fool, any person will tell
you it's addictive. Anyone who uses it.
Um, and you design and there's so much
proof that you've designed it like a
casino or a cigarette or whatever it
happens to be. Thoughts?
>> Well, imagine you're 14 and someone you
go into your room and if you were like
me, your mom wasn't home until 6:00 or 7
p.m. and you're home alone.
>> Gilligans Island
>> and yeah, that's it was Bugs Bunny and
Gilligans Island and I Dream of Genie
for me. But what if in the corner there
was a casino? What if there was an
arcade? What if there was?
What if there was unlimited music? What
if there And then you say, "No, no, no.
Study. What if there was the high school
cafeteria where I could say something
mean about someone else or someone could
say something mean about me and all I
could think about the rest of the day
and night was what they were saying
about me?" That the high school
cafeteria never never left. And it ends
up that about 6% of teenagers are
clinically addicted or or meet the
clinical definition of addicted to
either drugs or alcohol. But under that
same those same standards, 24% are
addicted to social media. And just some
data, the average American team teen
spends 4.8 hours a day using social
media. 16% of teens or one in six use
Tik Tok almost constantly. 15% for
YouTube, 13% for Snap, 12% for
Instagram. And roughly half of all teens
report feeling addicted to social media.
And you say, well, okay, fine. What's
the impact? Teens who are in the highest
use group expressed two times more
suicidal intent or self harm than those
in the lowest use group. And the highest
use group also express poor uh body
image at three times more than the
lowest use group. And it typically takes
a society or it takes America 20 to 30
years to respond to really negative
externalities. Took us 30 years with
tobacco. It took us 20 years with
opiates. And if you think about social
going on mobile in 2012, it 20 years is
probably the right number. I think when
I'm I mean parents always ask me what
should I do with my kids and I say how
old are your kids? And if they say three
or five, I'm like, we'll have it figured
out by then because the data here is so
overwhelming and we're up against uh
intrigence and people trying to delay an
opuscate similar to those tobacco
executives and they have more money and
they're more skilled this time. But
eventually the tide, the tsunami of
parental concern here, you know,
understandable parental concern is
washing over all this [ __ ] where so
I think in I would say I mean you have
entire countries now age gating. Look at
what Australia is doing. I think another
two to three years I'm hopeful the
landscape's going to be much different
for children. The the remedies would be
warning sign there's lots of remedies
like with cigarettes peopleating age
gating warning signals um they check
ages legal liability the age checking is
harder
>> what every what every other substance
company and manufacturers media company
is subject to
>> they've got to be kidding you know
there's so much you they have so many
emails of them talking about this that's
the problem for Adam is sorry to say
this he doesn't think it's clinically
addictive come on Adam, come on. We all
think it is. We The problem is every
adult knows this in their bones, right?
It's like
>> cuz we're addicted.
>> We're addicted. Like, we are. It's a
problem. You cannot put it down. And it
is different from television. It is very
different. And television. Listen,
Gilligans Island's addictive enough. I
can't believe I watched all that [ __ ]
But you can walk away from it in a way.
You cannot walk away from this. It's I
find myself I'm I have to throw the
phone across the room, right? Sometimes
I'm like, "Put it down." Um, you know,
every Amanda, same thing. We just It's
really interesting. And sometimes I
think about it. I'm like, I like news
and I'm read I'm mostly reading news,
but I don't stop. That's the difference.
I put down magazines. I put down
newspapers. And I love news. So, this is
the all this stuff as it gets out, as
you see the emails in inside the company
talking about it. And especially early
on, they knew just what they were doing.
And um perhaps they weren't meaning to
be malevolent at the beginning, but it's
malevolent for many young people and the
impact is huge. And then they just keep
doubling down with AI relationships and
synthetic relationships and everything
else. This is the time has come round at
last for these companies. We'll see how
well how how this trial does, but it's
going to it's going to just uncover more
and more about what they knew. very much
like the cigarette companies.
>> When you have hundreds of billions of
dollars in shareholder value, trillions
of dollars of shareholder value, hundred
billions in revenue, millions of some of
the brightest people in the world, and
trillions of data points, all trying,
all aiming towards one thing. How do we
get people to spend one more second
every day on social and less time
somewhere else, whether it's sports,
friends, studying, sleep, and they're
winning. And young people, especially
young men, who have this tremendous fall
in their brains where they're constantly
dopah hungry, they're up against an
indomitable foe. And then the other
>> like sugar. It's like sugar. It's the
same thing. It's the same.
>> And then there's two or three. But your
kid your kid can take, you know, a 10
pound bag of sugar into his bedroom with
him.
>> The the the other kid my kid could, but
go ahead.
>> The other two things it is a cumulative
effect that I think have really hurt our
youth are one. I do think parents have
some culpability here and that is we
have decided that our job is to clear
out all borders and obstacles for our
kids. We engage in concierge and
bulldozer parenting and by the time the
kid gets to college he or she has never
had a sea or a disappointment
>> and we've created this princess and pee
um generation with good intentions. We
thought we were doing our kids a good
thing. And then something that doesn't
get talked a lot about but I absolutely
think is adding up to a generation that
is at a disadvantage and that is if you
are 21 since the age of 10 the person
you are supposed to look up to most in
the world is Donald Trump. So
performative verality, coarseness and
cruelty,
>> online scams,
>> crypto, doubling down on lies. This has
been the role model
>> as kids brains are being wired during
puberty. And no matter who is president
or what you think of the office,
>> president is the person that millions of
young Americans look to as the as the
ultimate of success in American values.
So what have we done? We've raised a
generation of kids who are dopah hungry
and their primary role model maybe with
a close second the richest man in the
world
>> the greatest control of all time
>> are exhibiting values that are very
>> I mean and what do you know these 21
year olds are not it's shocking it's
shocking what good people they are what
they have to deal with
>> I would agree I think they do resist
more than you think and actually there
are a lot of parents one of the things I
spent a lot of time doing with my kids
whenever like can Can you go get this
from me? Can you talk to that person if
they wanted something? I'm like, you
need to do it. Like you I you figure it
out has became one of my lines with my
kids, my older kids. You figure it out.
I do it with my younger kids now. With
Saul, I'm like, you figure it out. I
don't know. I know, but you can do it
yourself. And so that's it's the best
piece of advice you can give to like a
kid. You
>> I've started giving my kid pounds when
he gets good grades. Is that wrong?
>> I slip him I slip him a 20 pound. And I
slip him a note when he gets an A on a
test.
>> Do not do that. Well,
>> totally.
>> No. No.
>> Anyway, um
>> that's called that's called capitalism.
>> Okay.
>> You got to get a bunch of money.
>> Okay. All right. Whatever. Whatever you
want to do there, Scott. We should write
competing parenting books. Uh in the
same genre about surveillance, as you
know, that's another thing I go crazy
about. Um investigators in the Nancy
Guthrie abduction case have recovered
footage from the Nest doorbell. Nest is
owned by Google. It was initially
thought to have no video because there
was no active subscription. When you
sign up, you have, for people who don't
know, for Nest or any of these things,
you can buy a subscription. If you
don't, they say they don't keep the
video. As it turns out, they do. The
incident shows that Nest uploads video
to Google Cloud before you decide to
keep it with a paid plan so it can
linger after it says it's been deleted,
is supposed to be deleted. I'm glad they
got these pictures of this guy. At the
same time, this is an edge case. They're
they're keeping your video that which I
which everyone thought they were doing
and they said they weren't. The FBI
working with Google engineers took 10
days to recover the footage from
Guthri's camera. I the companies need to
spell out in plain English how long
deleted footage actually remains on
their servers. And by the way, they're
also getting incredible push back from
the Ring ad for the Super Bowl, which is
like, "We're watching everybody, but
only for your dogs." And there's been a
million memes about only for people we
need to take away. like the surveillance
of these kind of things and the ease of
which they are hacked by the way not
just taken off the door like this
terrible person did um but hacked into
are quite something a lot of people are
getting them hardwired into their house
so that they can't do that and also so
that they can't be um taken via wireless
there's a lot of wireless activity here
but there are ways to a lot of these
things are open season on your home I
don't when I Just speaking of my son, my
kids, Alex took I had one of them up at
one of our houses when we bought it. It
was there, one of these Amazon or Echo
or whatever. He took them all out. He
took one day I came back and everything
was gone. And I was like, "Why?" And he
goes, "Because they can watch us." And I
was like, "Don't be paranoid." He goes,
"I'm not." And he was right. So
>> I think we're I think we have a bit of a
different view on this in the sense that
I think technology I think we gave up
our privacy a long time ago. Yes, Scott
McNeely, we did
>> what I want to see. Oh, remember Scott?
>> Yeah, he said that
>> privacy doesn't exist. Get used to it.
Remember,
>> if you are in London or New York, you
can't go more than I think it's 30 feet
agree
>> outside without a camera.
>> And the reason they did that was they
implemented massive they have like a a
security headquarters because of 911.
And I actually what I think you need
though is really really wellthoughtout
laws and institutions that say we're not
going to go fishing unless it's a felony
crime. We don't investigate it.
>> In other words, people have the right
You said something I've thought about a
lot and that is people have the right to
have secrets.
>> Yeah.
>> And if you want to if you want to go
into a store, if you're I don't know,
you you should be able to do what you
want. If you murder somebody then quite
frankly and there are enough there's
enough evidence to say that you are a
reasonable person of interest then we
are going to utilize uh cameras data
video footage
>> I agree with you I just think you buy
this product and it says it isn't
keeping it if you don't pay for it then
it's not keeping it like I'm sorry
that's just the deal that's just the
deal when you buy I have several of
these and I've taken most of them off my
house, but they say ex and I pay a lot
of attention. We if you don't pay this
stuff is deleted. This is deleted. If it
says it's deleted, it should be deleted.
That's all. It's just the deal you make
with them. And so I don't think they
should keep it if it's supposed to be
deleted. Same thing with Echo. It
shouldn't be listening if it says it's
not listening. Right. That's what that's
if you want it to listen, you can tell
it. That's in your home. I'm talking
about this outside. I think we've lost
that battle. They're going to their
cameras are everywhere in talk about
London. Monte Carlo is really wired. So
is the United States of America. And
that's a good thing when it comes to
crime, but it's a very bad thing when it
comes inside of your house. Cuz Scott, I
know if you want to wear your frilly
underwear, I think I Oh, wait. Was that
a secret? Um, I back people in their
homes. I'm just
>> Daddy goes commando. Big and the twins
want to be free. But I I think it's it's
in this case it was good to be able to
get the picture of this guy. At the same
time, she didn't the intent wasn't to.
So if plain English of what you're doing
and how long it remains and then it
should tell you when it's deleted and
permanently deleted. If they say
permanently deleted, it needs to be
deleted. That's I I feel like that's
>> at some point you should be able to
have, you know, I have cameras around my
house. You can see almost everything.
I try to sneak in all the time
>> if someone were to break in. But I think
what you want is like
this is the hack that I think is coming.
Somebody hacks into Uber with your Uber.
If you use Uber a lot, I think you can
find out when someone is with a thin
layer of AI on top of your Uber trips
where
>> they go.
>> Mhm.
>> They'll be able to know if you just
terminated a pregnancy.
>> Yep.
>> Or if you're a Russian spy. Why is this
person continually going to the Russian
embassy? Why is this are you having
affairs with sameex?
A thin layer of AI on top of your ride
history when and where you are going
places.
>> It would be they would it would be very
easy to say, okay, this person is
clearly suffering from diabetes. This is
why they keep going to this
>> type of clinic. You could. This person
is clearly engaged in a love affair with
this dude at this address. This person
is clearly
>> sure is constantly going to Amtrak. But
go ahead.
>> This person is clearly cooperating with
the CIA as evidenced by the fact they
keep going to this one address that is a
co. They could find out. So that hack,
folks, this is this is the trade we all
make and we all talk a big game. Anyone
who talks about privacy is typically
over the age of 50 and in Brussels or
DC. We consistently trade our privacy
for utility.
>> Yep, we do.
>> And and what I want is massively
Okay. Unless it's a felony, maybe even
more than that, it's a felony that with
that has a threat of violence and
there's really strong evidence against
one person, all that [ __ ] is off limits.
No one can use it.
>> All I'm saying is if they say it's off,
it needs to be off like
>> or at least give you the power to delete
it.
>> It's like if you buy like I don't know,
organic apple, it's not organic. You
can't do that. I mean,
>> it's the same thing. You're selling a
product, you say what it is, stay with
what you say it is. But at the same
time, I love the fact, okay, when when
there's a crime,
>> crime is hitting despite all the
scariness and everyone saying whether
it's whether they saying saying it's,
you know, Eric Adams or mom Donnie or
it's it's bedum in the streets,
>> crime, the number of shootings in New
York last year, I think, hit like an
all-time low.
>> Violence is going and crime, violent
crime has consistently gone down the
last several decades. It was, is it
because we're a better people? I don't
think so. is because if you commit
crimes now, everyone has seen those Law
and Order SUVs
>> that if you if you go into a 7-Eleven in
the middle of [ __ ] nowhere
>> and shoot the clerk,
>> they're film
>> ATMs have cameras. So, was there any
ATMs outside? Then they check the
footage on the ATM. I like I don't like
a surveillance state. I like a state I
like a place where if a really strong
lawyers that where they consistently
say, "I get you think a crime is
committed here. There's not enough
evidence. You do not have access to this
video.
>> Right.
>> Stop. There's evidence that you're
planning a terrorist attack. Sorry,
boss. We're violating your privacy
rights. Every ring light, but we have
Uber. We still I still think we have a
dupe process. We can't have the wrong
people getting a hold of stuff. Anyway,
I I hope they find Nancy Guthrie and I
hope it helps that they have these, but
we have to be it brings up a big issue
about surveillance and we should pay
attention to it. Um, and I hope it helps
find find her and bring her home safely
to her family. Um, anyway, let's go on a
quick break. We come back, uh, we'll
talk about the latest in AI news.
There's a lot of it.
Support for the show comes from Indeed.
Hiring isn't just about finding someone
willing to take the job. It's about
connecting with someone who can move
your business forward. For that, check
out Indeed Sponsored Jobs. Indeed
sponsored jobs boosts your job post for
quality candidates so you can reach
people that can help your business
thrive. People are finding quality hires
on Indeed right now as we speak. In the
minute I've been talking to you, 27
hires were made on Indeed, according to
Indeed data worldwide. Join the 3.3
million employers worldwide that use
Indeed to connect with quality talent
that fits their needs. Spend less time
searching and more time actually
interviewing candidates who check all
your boxes. Less stress, less time, more
results now with Indeed sponsored jobs.
And listeners to this show will get a
$75 sponsored job credit to help get
your job the premium status it deserves
at indeed.com/pivot.
Just go to indeed.com/pivot
right now and support our show by saying
you heard about Indeed on this podcast,
indeed.com/pivot.
Terms and conditions apply. Hiring, do
the right way with Indeed.
Support for this show comes from Quint.
Style doesn't come from chasing new
trends every season. Real style comes
from slowly and intentionally
cultivating a wardrobe filled with
highquality staples that will last. And
if you're on the lookout for a perfect
addition to your closet, look no further
than Quint. You'll find organic cotton
sweaters, polos for every occasion,
light jackets that will help keep you
warm as the seasons change year after
year. Not to mention their famous 100%
Mongolian cashmere. If there's anything
better than Kashmir, I'd love to hear
it. Every Quint's item is built for
everyday wear and made with ethically
sourced materials from top factories.
And by partnering with manufacturers
directly, Quint keeps things affordable.
So, you're only paying for the quality
clothing and not the brand markup. I
have finally bought new Quint clothes,
not just uh soft pants that I can wear
when I do sports. I actually bought more
of those, but I also bought a lovely
cardigan that is so soft. I wear it all
the time. I fell asleep in it the other
day. I bought a beautiful jacket and I
just love it. I have to say this this
cardigan I'm wearing is so comfortable.
It's really good-looking. The fabric,
everything else, it feels richer than it
was. Um, and the same thing with the
coat. It's really good-looking and I
really like wearing it. Again,
comfortable, simple, uh, and just
lovely. I really, really like it.
Refresh your wardrobe with Quint. Don't
wait. Go to quint.com/pivot
for free shipping on your orders and
365day returns. Now available in Canada,
too. That's quinc.com/pivotpivot
t to get free shipping and 365day
returns. quint.com/pivot.
Scott, we're back with more news. Time
for rapid fire of AI news. First up,
Anthropic is in the final stages of
raising $20 billion in new capital at a
valuation of $350 billion
uh valuation. And also at Anthropic, a
researcher submitted a resignation
letter saying the world is in peril,
saying employees constantly face
pressures to set aside what matters
most. That researcher is going off to
write poetry, by the way, which should
trouble you. Over at XAI, Elon Musk has
lost two co-founders, Jimmy Ba and Tony
Woo. Both announced their departure is a
big restructuring over there too when he
as he's brought it into uh SpaceX. The
company at OpenAI, the company's fired
an executive after she opposed plans for
an AI erotica feature in chat GBT citing
sexual discrimination. We don't actually
know what happened here. Uh Anthropic
raised the funding uh raised twice the
funding initially sought based on
investor demand. Uh so thoughts on any
of these stories? Lots of different lots
of stuff happening around AI again.
>> Yeah, the why people get fired or why
they say they were fired? I don't know.
I haven't sorted through that. What I I
think is already happened whether it's
reflected in the valuations or not. I
think Anthropic is now worth more than
open AAI. I think open AAI
>> what was their valuation? 800 billion.
>> Well, they're I think they're trying to
close around at 850.
>> Yeah. 850.
>> But that one VC who kind of if there was
a moment where the the the balloon was
burst, if you will, the bubble was
burst. It was when that VC had Sam Alman
on his podcast and said, "You've made a
trillion dollars in spending commitments
on a company with 20 billion in revenue.
How are you going to do that?" And he
got very defensive about it. And they've
gone consumer anthropics gone
enterprise. Uh they haven't made the
kind of crazy commitments. I I think
there's been the kind of the mother of
all industrial pivots. I think now, if
you will, Avis is now hurts. I think
Anthropic is now worth more or will be
soon than Open AI.
>> They are not making the money.
>> Yeah, that's but they're they're
stronger in the enterprise. Anyways, I
none of this makes any sense in terms of
a multiple on revenues, but uh I think I
think Open AI is in real
um I don't know, crisis is the wrong
word. There's a lot of arguments over on
X about that they have now do not have
he his big thing was I have the best AI
researchers now he does not right from
what most people intelligent people are
saying about it but you know he always
does this he always goes in and shakes
the tree and then shakes the tree again
that's that's his emmo I guess they're a
distant what third or fourth something
>> well these guys are all here's an a
symbol of how easy it is and how
difficult or how vulnerable they are. It
says, "Here are some Daario and Daniela
Emodi.
Uh, we're at OpenAI now at anthropic."
Ilia Sitsker, open AAI, now at safe
super intelligence. Aravan Shinavas,
Open AI, now at Perplexity. Mera Morati,
open AAI now at thinking machines.
Arthur Mench was at Google, now at
Mstral AI. It's the brightest minds here
are supposedly in I used to work with a
lot of luxury brands and they said the
biggest problem they were having in
China
>> Mhm. is that at the biggest malls, if
Prada was had a store across the street
from Bautega Vanetta,
>> if if the manager of that Prada didn't
have people show up, he could go across
the street during the lunch hour to the
lunch court and offer someone 11 bucks
an hour from the Bautga store who was
making 10 and they wouldn't even go back
after their lunch break. They would go
over and work out. It was just so easy
to pick off people by offering them a
dollar more per hour. And it feels so
many of these deep these people who
have, you know, fairly or unfairly have
established themselves as some of the
few minds that really understand this
stuff. The amount of money and
temptation to go do their own thing or
join another firm. It is I mean
supposedly wasn't there reports that
Zuckerberg was paying some people$100 or
$300 million and then he wasn't.
>> I mean it just feels like it's total I
don't know bedum right now. Right. It's
it's they all think they're going to be
the one, right? I'm going to be the
final one standing and I'm going to own
the world essentially, which is a bet.
It's a bet, right? I think one of the
things that continues to plague these
companies are these researchers who are
like, we're [ __ ] everybody. Like they
come out and almost, you know, like
they're sort of like, sh it's going to
kill us,
>> I think. But quite frankly, K, I think a
lot of it is people
backfilling
uh the reason why they're living with
leaving with morality sometimes or some
sort of victimhood. If you look at just
to go back to musical chairs here, if
you look at XAI, the company lost its
second co-founder in just two days. And
that means that half of XAI's founding
team, six of the 12 have left the
company in less than three years of
existence. and Mus said, you know, we we
reorganized XAI to improve the speed of
execution, which required parting some
ways with some people. And I think for
some of these founders, there's legal
risk to staying at XAI. The EU is
currently investigating the company for
its creation of non-consensual sexual
deep fakes based on real people,
including children. So, this really is
the wild west. This is um you know, I
don't know. I I think it's just it's so
difficult to even keep track of
>> Yeah. Yeah.
>> You know, who ends up where and why.
>> It's like as if a science people went
crazy, right? But I I do think the
warnings are getting really interesting.
They're like I wish someone would just
explain what we're in peril. How how are
we in
>> Yeah. How does that manifest? What does
that mean? Hey. Hey. Like, oh, it's like
the people who knew that we were about,
you know, in those movies where a bunch
of people know we're about to get hit by
a like a comet or something and they're
not telling us. They're like, I would
>> love your family. Why
>> is it Arnold Schwarzenegger showing up
at your door wearing Oakleys and a lot
of leather? Like, what is it?
>> What is happening?
>> What does it look like here? What does
it What does it mean? Cuz the employment
destruction that was supposed to be
already well underway, I would argue is
not happening yet. I don't know. But why
would someone say they're in peril?
We're in peril and set aside what
matters most, which is safety
presumably. And then they go off and
write poetry. I would like some more
information if you don't mind. If you're
going to do that, you need to tell me.
>> Yeah. Why exactly why are we in peril?
>> Why are we in peril? But
>> from what? Tell me. Tell us. I know. I
know there's these legal things, but if
it's so terrifying, you need to like
step out and like tell us tell us what
it is and have bring proof, too. by the
way, would love to know when the comet's
going to hit us. In any case, uh
>> but the VP of product policy at OpenAI
was fired after she voiced opposition to
Open AI's upcoming erotica features for
adult users.
>> Yeah,
>> she she did something else
>> that enabling erotica would likely
strengthen feelings that users already
have for the chatbot. Based on a recent
report released by OpenAI, out of chat
GBD's 800 million weekly users,
>> 1.2 And 2 million users are prioritizing
talking to chat GBT over their family,
friends, school, or work. That's less
than I would have thought. Roughly 560K
are experiencing psychosis or mania.
This is shitty research. As a as a as a
ratio by 800 million people, is that
normal or not normal?
>> That's a lot.
>> And about 1.2 million people discuss
suicide with chat GPT. Again, what I
want to see is someone to say,
>> "All right, is that just a function of
people who are depressed thinking they
can talk to chat GPT just as they would
talk to a friend or a therapist, right?
>> Or is it something about talking to chat
GPT?"
>> Right? You get the psychosis,
>> suicidal ideiation or psychosis.
>> Ladder, you know, interesting. I just
did an interview with Sher Challe from
my doc series and she's been saying it
for years and she's like, I've never
seen anything like it now. It was before
on the sidelines and in the darker
places or people had, you know, it was a
small group of people. She goes, "It's
really gone mainstream in a way. I I
would like the information from these
people. Would you come out and bring a
bag and bring it to me or Scott or
something like that?"
>> Anyway,
Carisher, on a separate note, speaking
of sort of normal journalism and getting
information out, one of the most
depressing things, Hong Kong media mogul
and pro-democracy activist Jimmy Lie was
sentenced this week to 20 years in
prison after he found guilty in a
sedition and collusion with foreign
forces. It's the longest sentence ever
handed down under a death sentence.
>> Death sentence. Uh Eli's children are
saying a potential visit by President
Trump April could be crucial in securing
the release of their 78-year-old father.
This is something Trump should do. Back
in December, Trump said he asked uh
President Xi to consider releasing lie.
But on the campaign trail in 2024, he
was a lot more confident saying 100%
I'll get him out. He'll be easy to get
out. He's not so easy to get out. Let's
not forget the real surveillance
economy, the real control economy. We've
talked about these issues around control
and the uses of AI for badness. Um,
China wins the boats everywhere and they
they go after this guy who's a really
important uh figure um uh figure in in
this area. And so if President Trump can
do anything, please do it. If anyone can
do anything, but Jimmy Li is a hero and
and what's happened to him is is as you
say a death sentence.
>> Look, I go to the economics. when you
start imprisoning journalists, whether
it was Turkey in 2012, Soviet Union at
the turn of the century or China, uh,
putting the, you know, taking a very
hardfed approach to Hong Kong in 2021 as
kind of best epitomized by Timi being
imprisoned,
distinct of the morality of it, distinct
of the importance it plays in a society,
the nation gets poorer and angrier. It's
a it is literally a conard a canary in
the coal mine saying we are about to
send a chill across some of the most
talented people and scrutiny about what
can be said about companies that hurts
the economy. The nations get poorer and
angrier and it's literally a symbol of
when an economy is about to move to an
authoritarian state which is really bad
for innovation for attracting outside
capital.
When you're thinking about investing
in Turkey, and all of a sudden they
start locking up journalists. Does that
thing does that does that if you're
Google, you think, "Yeah, I'm going to
start I'm going to open an office in I'm
going to open an office in Istanbul."
You think, you know, I'm going to wait
and see if they sort that out. If you're
one of the brightest PhDs in the world
and you're doing research on
authoritarian governments or you're
doing research on innovation and you're
worried that your research might might
contradict something that the leadership
is espousing to do you go teach at those
universities? No, you go somewhere else.
So
this is look China is not you know is
not a model for
but having said that I was just supposed
to be on with Don Lemon who got
arrested. Why the [ __ ] why are they
arresting Don Lemon?
>> Don Lemon like give me a break. They
shouldn't be arresting any journalist
like this. It's just ridiculous. I would
agree. Um I'm going to finish up with
any Jimmy L. Let's get him out. Let's
let's get him out. He's a hero. Um I'm
going to finish up with something that
just happened. Um Gail Slater, who a
hugely respected lawyer, antitrust
lawyer who was running antitrust of DOJ,
just announced she's stepping down. It
follows uh the the resignation of a guy
named Mark Hammer, who was one of his
her top deputies. She's had clashes with
Pam Bondi over the Hanley antitrust
investigations. I have heard she was in
a real bind over the Paramount thing.
They're trying to like shove through
things that are friendly to the Trump
administration and she just can't do it.
She can't do it. that during her 11
months on the job, she found herself in
this bind caught between the Trump
administration's um
she was close to JD Vance. This is a
very respected and well- reggarded
antitrust version. This should be an
enormous signal that Gail Slater is
stepping down. Um I had hoped to talk to
her, but everyone had told me they
didn't know what she was going to do
about the the Netflix Paramount thing.
Um you cannot be against the Netflix
thing if you're not against the
Paramount thing. I'm sorry. like and of
course she's being, you know, she she
had a she's been put in a bind all over
the place. A talented and and well
regarded person has put into a bind and
so she's stepping down. Um I just don't
know who they'll put in some idiot like
a Brandon Carr type of person who will
just do what they say. Um but it really
brings it down rather significantly.
Even even um Megan Del Reinver works for
Paramount actually now very well
regarded like they're going to have to
put in it in a village [ __ ] idiot in
the Pam Bondi mode. So not a good sign.
Not a good sign.
>> Yeah, great.
>> Anyway, uh one more quick break. We'll
be back for predictions.
>> Support for the show comes from
Netswuite. We all hear all the time how
AI can push businesses to new frontiers.
If you're still not sure what that
actually looks like, particularly for
you and your company, then look no
further than Netswuite by Oracle.
Netswuite is a top AI cloud ERP trusted
by over 43,000 businesses. It's a
unified suite that brings your
financials, inventory, commerce, HR, and
CRM into a single source of truth. With
all that connected data, your AI doesn't
throw out its best guess. It actually
knows what it's talking about. It can
intelligently automate routine tasks,
deliver actionable insights, and help
make fast AI powered decisions with
confidence. Now with Netswuite AI
connector, you can use the AI of your
choice to connect to your actual
business data. Plus, you can automate
those tiresome manual processes. It's AI
built into the system that runs your
business, affording you total
flexibility. Get ahead of the game and
put AI to work today with Netswuite. If
your revenues are at least in the seven
figures, get the free business guide,
Demystifying AI, at netsweet.com/pivot.
The guide is free to you at
netsweet.com/pivot.
netsweet.com/pivot.
>> Okay, Scott, let's hear a prediction.
>> I think that
what was supposed to be the most
anticipated IPO, maybe with the expect
exception of kind of Space X, AI, Tesla,
the
>> whatever Tesla's not in there yet.
>> Probably the most anticipated was Open
the IPO of Open AI in 2026, sometime
this year, early 27. I don't think
that's going to happen. Um I think that
yeah I think this company is is now is
gone into full
um I don't call it panic mode but it
feels as if the m momentum has a habit
of creating more momentum and I think
the momentum is really negative around
this company
>> what happens where does it go what does
it do
>> well I think they'll substantially
um scale back there I mean have you
already seen the war have you already
seen Jensen Hang and Sam Alman who were
you
Bud buddies are already [ __ ] posting
each other,
>> right?
>> Claiming that the hundred billion dollar
agreement with was a framework and
they're actually not the hundred billion
investment.
>> May I just say you said that
>> well that was ridiculous. These circular
deals I'll give you a hundred billion.
I'll invest 100 billion if you invest
100 billion in our chips. And now and
now quote unquote Jensen's backtracking
and saying well it was just a framework
they couldn't justify it. Nvidia stock
has gone down because people are worried
about exposure to open AI. Right. So
what does OpenAI do? They start ship
posting Nvidia and saying no was because
their chips didn't live up to our
expectations. When when the biggest
player in the space Jensen Hong and kind
of the young gun Open AI start ship
posting each other and and they back out
of this hundred billion dollar
investment framework. That is a really
bad sign.
>> He kept using what was the word? We're
honored to be invited. What was he
saying? It was so funny. Yeah, but
they're both going on background now and
blaming each other.
>> Oh, totally. Utterly. Like, can I just
give people a lesson? When you hear
sources close to the situation, if they
were any closer to either of them,
they'd be on the other side of them.
>> That's them, right? The
>> So, I think I think the momentum the the
worm has turned. And it's not that
OpenAI isn't an unbelievable company
that could go public at like a $50
billion market capitalization. But the
problem is when you sell some investors
in at 250, 450, and then if he's able to
close this round at 850, they're not
willing to go public or let you have a
liquidity event that cuts there. What
happens in an IPO? Say he went public at
300 billion next year and said, "Okay,
the market isn't what we thought."
Unless there's a couple years where the
latest round of investors get so
fatigued they're willing to take a 60%
haircut. All of your shares, the last
round of investment has a preference,
meaning they they're the first money
out. So the 50 or 100 billion going in
at 850 doesn't want to give up their
liquidity preference and let them go
public if they're going public at less
than 850, which I think they would. So
your last round of investors become a
veto block for going public unless
you're going to go public at a valuation
greater than 850.
>> So what do they do? You haven't answered
my question.
>> They'll dramatic, in my opinion, they'll
dramatically scale back their capital,
their capex and they'll end up with a
much smaller, much less ambitious
amazing company that's only worth a
100red or 200 billion. It's only one of
the 30 most valuable companies in
America. Not the
>> get bought what? Well, that means
everyone else will get collapsed, right?
Or not. I think the whole my opinion if
you look at and I look at weird signals
the percentage of ads at the Super Bowl
right if you look at all this I think
there's a ton of anecdotal evidence
showing that while AI may live up to its
potential the market cap of the biggest
players this year is about to throw up
which isn't to say that similar in 2000
when the market cap of Amazon went down
95% it's still not going to be an
unbelievable company but I think we're
about to see a dramatic recalibration in
the markets which includes Open AAI's
IPO plans getting queered. Now, who's
going to take their place? And this is
the prediction.
>> Mhm.
>> The most impressive numbers hands down
that no one I wasn't expecting.
>> Khi's
year on year
>> and not Poly Market, right?
>> Well, Khi's Khi is actually of the two
the clean well-lit space of this I see.
Okay.
>> Of this marketplace, right? It's a
little Cali is CFTC regulated. It's also
in the US. It's peer-to-peer trading.
It's federally regulated. Um I have some
I don't have moral clarity around these
issues because I do think they tap into
the dopa of a young more risk aggressive
male brain. But just let me go straight
to the numbers here.
>> In 2026 or in this Super Bowl, right,
>> over a billion dollar in trading volume
on Cali. That's up 2,700%.
It was up 28fold this year. And you know
who's getting absolutely the [ __ ] kicked
out of them is Flutter is the gambling
sites.
They're killing these guys. The sports
market accounted for about 90% of Kow's
activity this month. And it's it's
having an incredible impact on
traditional gambling and sports book. Um
analysts have noted that Khu's ride ride
rise coincides with the underperformance
in major sports books stock prices draft
kings flutter as traders shift some
activity towards prediction markets and
with a venue that's easy to access
nationwide which koshi is even in states
without legal sports betting the firm is
attracting betterers who might otherwise
um have used traditional sports books.
So this is this company and my my
prediction is the following.
Open AI way to the downside doesn't get
public. Khi is about is going to be in
my opinion the kind of IPO we're all
trying to get into in Q2 of Q3 of this
year.
>> Kchi it is. All right. Well, that's
interesting. You've been sounding this
alarm for these companies. Interesting.
Fascinating. That's a big one, Scott.
That's a big one.
>> We'll see. Right.
>> Yeah. Anyway, we want to hear from you.
Send us your questions about business,
tech, or whatever's on your mind. Go to
nymag.com/pivot
to submit a question for the show or
call 85551 pivot. Uh elsewhere in the
Cara and Scott universe this week on
Profy Markets, Scott spoke with Esar
Prasad, professor of trade policy and
economics at Cornell University to
discuss why he thinks economics,
domestic politics, and geopolitics are
stuck in a doom loop. Doom loop. Let's
listen to a clip. Globalization used to
be seen as a positive sum game where
countries could benefit mutually from
trade and that would be an offset to
what is intrinsically the zero sum game
of geopolitics where one country can
gain influence only at the expense of
another. But now even globalization has
become seen as a zero sum game. So it
isn't offsetting the zero sum game of
geopolitics and worse some of the
negative dynamics of globalization have
started infecting domestic politics not
just in the US but in many other
countries.
>> God I feel smarter already my people
>> you know there's
professor um
>> Prasad that one of the things that
struck me and I said this
>> we graduated the same year from
undergraduate me from UCLA him from the
University of Madras.
>> Mhm. I graduated with a 2.27 GPA with an
incredible ability to make bongs out of
any household item.
>> He won a scholarship in India that
identified like one of the 50 smartest
kids of a billion kids.
>> And so what what do what does a guy
who's one of the 50 like he this guy
could walk into the Rose Bowl and take
the average IQ of those 80,000 people up
a couple points. That's how smart and
hardworking this man is. So what are we
doing to what are we saying to these
people now? Can you imagine a kid coming
out of the University of Memphis right
now in 2026? Is he going to go to Brown?
>> Yeah.
>> No, he's going to go to Miguel or he's
going to go to Instituta or he's going
to go to
>> INSEAD
>> or who knows maybe
>> maybe the University of Cordova in
Argentina. I mean,
>> speaking of doom loops, academic doom
loops.
>> We're the sports team that used to have
access to the number one draft at any
college in the world and we've said no,
we don't want
>> and now we just have Prof coming back to
the
Anyway, it's it sounds like a great
interview. I'll be listening to it. That
is the show. Thanks for listening to
Pivot and be sure to like and subscribe
to our YouTube channel. Uh we'll be back
next week.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The podcast discusses several current events, beginning with the "unsubscribe" economic protest, highlighting its impact on companies like OpenAI and the financial benefits for individuals. It then shifts to the controversial testimony of Attorney General Pam Bondi regarding the Epstein files, critiquing her focus on economic prosperity over victim concerns and the DOJ's perceived inaction. The conversation delves into surveillance and privacy issues, particularly concerning smart home devices like Nest doorbells storing "deleted" footage. A major segment addresses the social media addiction lawsuit against Meta and YouTube, presenting alarming statistics on teen addiction and its severe psychological effects. The hosts also touch upon the economic implications of Trump's tariffs, recent developments in the AI industry including Anthropic's funding and OpenAI's internal issues, the imprisonment of Hong Kong media mogul Jimmy Lai, and a prediction about OpenAI's IPO prospects versus the rise of prediction market platform, Kohi.
Videos recently processed by our community