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Why are auto part store stocks doing poorly?

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Why are auto part store stocks doing poorly?

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46 segments

0:00

So, O'Reilly Automotive, AutoZone,

0:02

Genuine Parts, Advance Auto Parts. These

0:04

are the companies that

0:06

you see them if you go in as a consumer

0:08

I want to buy some Prestone antifreeze

0:09

and wiper blades or a new battery.

0:12

But, a majority of that industry

0:14

actually goes through professionals. So,

0:15

in other words, I go to my garage and

0:18

the mechanic says, "Greg, you need new

0:19

brakes."

0:20

And they'll call up O'Reilly, get the

0:22

brakes, and then get me my car back

0:24

later in the day.

0:25

>> Okay, so why have these stocks done

0:26

poorly this

0:27

>> I think basically they had a great year

0:29

last year.

0:30

>> Okay.

0:30

>> They were seen as a very good tariff

0:32

protected company. So, right. So, as

0:34

tariffs came in across all different

0:35

categories, including new cars, that has

0:38

only extended the age that the existing

0:41

vehicle fleet has is is up to now 13

0:45

years old. So, a lot of people said,

0:47

"Well, if my new car is going to cost

0:48

more and I've got a perfectly good

0:49

operating old car, why don't I just fix

0:52

it up and make it run for another year?"

0:54

And it goes back to as a consumer across

0:56

income levels that has been stretched.

0:58

>> Right.

0:58

>> And so, they did a very good year last

1:00

year.

1:01

The tariff inflation generally passed

1:02

through and the concern the market has

1:05

is that as that as we cycle all that

1:07

tariff price hikes, that comps are just

1:09

going to decelerate from say 8% at

1:11

O'Reilly to four or five later in the

1:13

year. AutoZone, potentially down to 3%.

1:16

So, what's happened is good companies,

1:19

the stocks are on sale now because of

1:20

the second derivative of their comp

1:22

store sales.

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