Why are auto part store stocks doing poorly?
46 segments
So, O'Reilly Automotive, AutoZone,
Genuine Parts, Advance Auto Parts. These
are the companies that
you see them if you go in as a consumer
I want to buy some Prestone antifreeze
and wiper blades or a new battery.
But, a majority of that industry
actually goes through professionals. So,
in other words, I go to my garage and
the mechanic says, "Greg, you need new
brakes."
And they'll call up O'Reilly, get the
brakes, and then get me my car back
later in the day.
>> Okay, so why have these stocks done
poorly this
>> I think basically they had a great year
last year.
>> Okay.
>> They were seen as a very good tariff
protected company. So, right. So, as
tariffs came in across all different
categories, including new cars, that has
only extended the age that the existing
vehicle fleet has is is up to now 13
years old. So, a lot of people said,
"Well, if my new car is going to cost
more and I've got a perfectly good
operating old car, why don't I just fix
it up and make it run for another year?"
And it goes back to as a consumer across
income levels that has been stretched.
>> Right.
>> And so, they did a very good year last
year.
The tariff inflation generally passed
through and the concern the market has
is that as that as we cycle all that
tariff price hikes, that comps are just
going to decelerate from say 8% at
O'Reilly to four or five later in the
year. AutoZone, potentially down to 3%.
So, what's happened is good companies,
the stocks are on sale now because of
the second derivative of their comp
store sales.
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