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Why are auto part store stocks doing poorly?

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Why are auto part store stocks doing poorly?

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46 segments

0:00

So, O'Reilly Automotive, AutoZone,

0:02

Genuine Parts, Advance Auto Parts. These

0:04

are the companies that

0:06

you see them if you go in as a consumer

0:08

I want to buy some Prestone antifreeze

0:09

and wiper blades or a new battery.

0:12

But, a majority of that industry

0:14

actually goes through professionals. So,

0:15

in other words, I go to my garage and

0:18

the mechanic says, "Greg, you need new

0:19

brakes."

0:20

And they'll call up O'Reilly, get the

0:22

brakes, and then get me my car back

0:24

later in the day.

0:25

>> Okay, so why have these stocks done

0:26

poorly this

0:27

>> I think basically they had a great year

0:29

last year.

0:30

>> Okay.

0:30

>> They were seen as a very good tariff

0:32

protected company. So, right. So, as

0:34

tariffs came in across all different

0:35

categories, including new cars, that has

0:38

only extended the age that the existing

0:41

vehicle fleet has is is up to now 13

0:45

years old. So, a lot of people said,

0:47

"Well, if my new car is going to cost

0:48

more and I've got a perfectly good

0:49

operating old car, why don't I just fix

0:52

it up and make it run for another year?"

0:54

And it goes back to as a consumer across

0:56

income levels that has been stretched.

0:58

>> Right.

0:58

>> And so, they did a very good year last

1:00

year.

1:01

The tariff inflation generally passed

1:02

through and the concern the market has

1:05

is that as that as we cycle all that

1:07

tariff price hikes, that comps are just

1:09

going to decelerate from say 8% at

1:11

O'Reilly to four or five later in the

1:13

year. AutoZone, potentially down to 3%.

1:16

So, what's happened is good companies,

1:19

the stocks are on sale now because of

1:20

the second derivative of their comp

1:22

store sales.

Interactive Summary

The discussion highlights automotive parts retailers such as O'Reilly Automotive and AutoZone, which cater to both consumers and professional mechanics. These companies experienced strong performance last year, largely due to tariffs on new cars, which encouraged people to repair their older vehicles instead of purchasing new, more expensive ones. However, the market is currently concerned that as the effects of tariff-induced price increases normalize, comparable store sales will decelerate significantly, leading to a current sale on these otherwise good company stocks.

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