OpenAI May Delay Its IPO. Scott Galloway: "Anthropic Is Eating Their Lunch" | Pivot
1486 segments
The internet doesn't have a speech
problem. It has an accountability
problem. And our fetishization for free
speech and anonymity has resulted in a
total lack of accountability.
We've got a lot to get to today, so
let's dig in. We we there's so much
news. Scott even participated in the
group chat. He was like, there's so much
news. But actually, his selections were
correct. But because the first one is
something I think I was a little was I
surprised Comcast is spinning off NBC
Universal and Sky into a separate
publicly traded company. The new NBC
Universal will include NBC, the
Universal Film Studio, theme parks and
Sky. This is the the satellite service
they have in in the in Europe. Comcast
keeps Exfinity Internet and Wireless. So
it's back to square one. I guess the
market liked it. Comcast shares jumped
21% in pre-market trading Monday
morning. It's not a total clean bait.
Comcast will hold a roughly 20% stake in
the new NBC Universal. I think they
still have a big stake in MS now, too.
Um, and the deal is expected to close
with in about a year. There's a catch,
though. Analysts say, well, the spin-off
gives NBC Universal more freedom to do
deals. It leaves Comcast broadband
business more exposed at a time when
cable is already under pressure. So,
talk about this. The people they're
putting in place are very good
executives. Um, but does NBC now now
remerge with MS now or what in the You
need to explain this to me. I really
didn't quite understand why they're
doing it now. Uh, what the troubles
they're seeking. I know they had looked
at uh buying Warner at one point. Um, so
could Netflix buy NBC Universal? Um,
what what there's a lot there. There's a
lot at those studios. So thoughts.
>> So this is why companies conglomerate.
The board who decides to see his
compensation hires a firm called Towers
Parent- because compensation is the
hardest part and one of the most
important things that a board does. And
because boards don't want to do any
work, they pay this firm, Towers Parent,
$200 or $300,000, and they come in with
a survey. And the survey says on a scale
of 0 to 100, 50 being the average
compensation, and they look at the
industry and the size of the business.
And so if you're running a bank that
does 10 billion a year in business and
50% might be three million a year. But
if you're running a bank that does 80
mill 80 billion in business or whatever,
then the average compensation is 20
million. So the incentives and also the
ego and the also the testosterone and
the and the and the penis and the
midlife crisis all lead
>> incentives for the CEO to get bigger and
bigger and bigger. And sometimes there
are real synergies around different
businesses, but almost always not.
Typically what happens is you end up
with a Frankenstein. And so the market,
it gets to a point where the you have
these Frankensteines of businesses that
had no synergy. And what the market
>> can I change the metan
has a tendency to do is it looks at the
shittiest business because it says
there's no synergy here. And it says,
"Okay, New York Times, you own 17% of
the Boston Red Sox and the seventh
tallest building in America."
>> This is previously.
>> This is how much the building is worth.
This is how much the Boston Red Sox are
worth. But instead, we're going to look
at your shittiest business, your
regional newspapers, which traded four
to five times, and we're going to assign
that multiple to the entire business
because they don't give you any credit
for the for the stuff that's working
really well. So the dispositions the
disposition of assets becomes accretive
to shareholders and in this case you
have a media business that's strong and
growing while the connectivity business
is shrinking and what they do is
shareholders assign the multiple on the
connectivity business to the strong and
growing business. Last quarter the media
division get this reported a 40%
increase in revenue to nearly 12 billion
for the quarter. Theme parks grew 24%.
Media
>> grew 61% and studios grew 21% and over
the same business over the same period
>> the connectivity division shrunk
revenues 3%.
>> So what you have
>> connectivity that's not as
>> that's right residential connectivity
shrunk about 4% while business
connectivity grew 6%. So what happens is
if you split these things apart, you
have one company, the connectivity
business, which is a mature business
that's in structural decline but still
spends off a ton of cash. And then you
have a growth business when it becomes a
pure play growth business gets a much
higher multiple and the result is a
stock that was up 25% based on these two
companies.
>> Two companies. So what happens to each
of them? Is there like look you have MS
they they split off MS now and now it's
trying to create its own little new
division and doing well for what it is
right it actually has seen some growth
under uh those executives and then you
have the media business that has by the
way there's some fine executives at the
media part like
>> Don Donna Langley it's a very smart
group of people whenever I meet them I'm
always so impressed um but they weren't
able to participate in the Warner thing
for example and I know it was
frustrating because they were actually
the natural owner for that. You know, I
was like,
>> of all the things I was like, Paramount,
they're a bunch of incompetence. Netflix
is going to is too big and going to get
in trouble. Comcast was the perfect
buyer for that, you know, in terms of
quality people and the theme parks and
everything else. Um, so what what
happens here? And the other thing just
just for as a sidlight the other two
things. Could Netflix come in and do
something here? I think it's too much.
Um Disney CFO has signaled they intend
to keep the linear and streaming
businesses together for now. They don't
they don't own a cable division and not
split it off. So they're keeping those
together, the studios and the streaming
and everything else. So, is the strategy
seems like it's the same strategy if
they're going to hold on to uh NBC,
Universal, Film Studio, theme parks, and
Sky, right? So, they're So, that's a
little connectivity, I guess. But
thoughts on that? What what what happens
to each of these parts? What happens to
the cable parts? And then what happens
to the I mean could like Elon come in
and buy the cable parts for Starlink or
there were rumors of him buying one of
the uh the phone service businesses.
>> Well well I mean it's scary but with a
$2 trillion market cap there's very
little he couldn't buy right now. Um so
Versant their stock is down 21% since
the spin-off.
I don't know what happens. Okay, first
off, Disney for the time being is
holding on to its cable assets. That
means they no one's offered the price
they want. It it will make sense for
them to shed that business because the
parks, the IRL business, the parks is an
unbelievable business. So, this is all a
long-winded way of saying I'm not sure
what they're going to do, but they have
simplified and created pure plays
because here's the bottom line. If you
put yourself in the shoes of an
investor, they don't need the Roberts
family to diversify for them. CEOs love
diversification. Why? Okay, my
connectivity business is down, but my
parks were up 24%. In other words,
>> right? Yeah,
>> they sleep better at night because they
can grow six, eight, 10% a year and not
worry that, oh [ __ ] I got a problem at
MSNBC.
Whereas, this is the thing though,
investors, I don't need you to diversify
for me. I can buy Versant stock if I
think it's really cheap. I can buy the
parks business stock if I think it's a
grower and I want growth. But CEO's
incentive and compensation and quite
frankly wanting to sleep at night and be
bigger and better leads to an
elomeration or a conglomeration that
eventually the stock market throws up
on. And that's what's happened here. And
you know what the next really there's a
stock right now that if it broke up it
would triple. You know what that company
is?
>> What is
>> I'll give you a hint. I went to their
dinner last Sunday night.
>> I don't know. What is it? Maybe you've
mentioned it before.
>> I'll give you another hint. The um VR
but only Subscale.
>> Oh, Snapchat.
>> If Snap spun their spectacles group, the
stock would triple or quadruple.
>> Oh, interesting. Yeah,
>> that is the most that is the greatest
unlock spectacles though.
>> Well, that's the problem. It's a single
It's a dual class shareholder and Evan
controls the company.
>> Yeah, he loves them spectacles. Do you
realize that? I think Meta gets about
$400 in market cap per user. Uh, Snap
gets 17.
>> Wow. Yeah, you're right. He should get
rid of the spectacles.
>> If they spun and did a deal with Shia or
something. If they spun the Spectacles
group and it was just a pure play social
media platform, rocket ship.
>> Get this. Do you know how much the stock
>> I like that idea.
>> Do you know how much the stock is off
the last 5 years?
>> A lot. A lot. Yeah.
>> 93%.
>> Yeah. It's crazy.
>> 93%. Oh, I like that little
>> pure play 500 million people a day
social media network that has the most
attractive user base for advertisers in
history that is people under the age of
25
>> is still inventive.
>> You get rid of this weeping sore called
the spectacles unit that is subscale
>> rocket ship.
>> What happens to each of these? So what
there's there's Versent obviously um
Warner is his own little nightmare
although there's rumors that CNN will
get spun off um with Rob Bont and the
California attorney general. But what
happens to each of these divisions?
>> Well, I think I think the media parks
business has real synergy because if you
put out a Harry Potter film, you can
have a Harry Potter ride, right?
>> Yeah. Right. Right. Exactly.
>> The connectivity business should be
indeed.
>> Yes, they do indeed.
>> They just get focused. Now, in terms of
Versa and the cable assets, those are
declining businesses, but those can be
amazing businesses. You go yellow pages,
and that was this is the weakest flex in
the world. I was on the board of the
world's largest yellow pages company,
and all we did was just go around the
world
>> and buy other yellow pages companies and
basically hold on to the salespeople,
get rid of everybody else and their cash
machines.
>> And that's what you're going to see. It
doesn't make CN CNN should go into
Versant and ABC should sell their [ __ ]
They need to consolidate the backend on
these these cable properties and that's
what they'll do and they'll still be
good businesses. They'll just be in
decline.
>> Yeah, that's absolutely right. They
could buy they could be the largest uh
small player, right? The like it it'll
do well. It'll do well for a long time.
>> Well, they're hugely profitable
businesses.
>> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. It'll be interesting.
I wonder if they'll bring Versant back.
Will they? Why would you Why would you
want them?
>> No, I don't think so. Again, the story
has to be clean, right? I I mean,
Alphabets learned their lesson. They're
going to spin Whimo. Whimo is already
spent. I guess it's an independent
company.
>> Why didn't Sky stay with the cable
business?
>> That's a correct question. I don't know.
>> That was the one that stuck in my head.
So, it'll be interesting. Yeah, because
they do. You're right. Theme Parks, the
film studio, NBC. I'm not sure where
that fits in exact. A broadcast network.
>> I guess it just Why not? Probably
doesn't cost that much. It's a good
>> Comcast and Hurst are the most
underrated management teams in media.
>> I would agree. They're just very smart
people who consistently do the right
thing for shareholders. They're
aggressive. They're smart and they're
totally under the radar. Like they they
don't want they don't want their their
CEOs getting in trouble or making
earnings doing
>> they also couldn't play in the Warner
thing. I remember I went to the Wicked
premiere and I ran into a bunch of them
and they were like, "We are the obvious
right owner." I was like, "Oh, I know
but you're not getting it cuz Richie
Rich over there and the crazies at
Netflix can't you can't beat them,
right? You can't beat either of those
companies, but I think this does give
them a cleaner shot at buying stuff up.
You know, there's all kinds of things
for sale like Lionsgate. There's a man
there's all manner of stuff for sale in
Hollywood. So, we'll see what happens.
You're going to see a lot of M&A, as
Scott Galloway says. Uh, anyway,
interesting move by Brian Roberts, who I
really like a lot. I have to say he's a
classy guy. Everyone over there is
classy. They're a classy gang. They're
very competent.
>> They're from Philadelphia, which means
they've killed people. That's all I
know.
I'm sorry. Anyone who's anyone any
family that is self-made billionaires in
Philadelphia, there's definitely people
buried in the foundation of a building
of that sky tower.
>> You know why I have a good feeling for
Brian Roberts is because I was working
for Murdoch and then I went over to
Comcast and it was such a pleasure. Let
me just tell you it was I went it was
such a different personality. Although
Rupert was more fun at a party. Anyway,
let's go on a quick break. When we come
back, why Open AI might delay its IPO.
We're all tech this week.
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>> Scott, we're back. Open is reportedly
considering delaying its IPO until next
year. According to the New York Times,
the company has been planning to go
public as soon as the third or fourth
quarter this year. Valuation appears to
be one of the sticking points. Sam Alman
is reportedly holding out for a $1
trillion when they all want this. The
company was valued at $850 billion back
in March, 850 billion. There's also some
hesitation in light of SpaceX IPO, which
is sort of bumpy, which has been
trending downward after the sky-high
debut, though it's doing a little better
as we record. News of the possible delay
led to a a tech selloff, stock selloff
with shares of Oracle, Core Weave, and
Soft Bank all falling. Um, and there's a
possibility that Anthropic is breathing
down their neck that they may delay,
too. There was some chatter about that.
So, is it important for them to wait? As
you talked about, the money is getting
sucked out of the system. And their
financials leaked a few weeks ago with
losses increasing nearly 8x in 2025 and
spending hitting $34 billion. It's not
the greatest story in the world. And of
course, they've got Enthropic right in
front of them. Not breathing down their
neck right in front of them. They're
riding behind it. I think this is not
systemic or I think this is uh an
individual thing and that is I I believe
the anthropic is still going to get out.
This is what I call the great flipping
and that is
>> flipping. Is that a word you made up? Is
that a vulgar word you made up?
>> Flipping. Yeah, there you go.
>> There you go. In the Lincoln bedroom
tonight.
>> Sound like a sex act, doesn't it?
>> There you go.
>> Flipping. What would that be?
>> Well, I feel as if I need to use my safe
word right now.
>> Mhm.
>> Maybe. Anyways, the the great flipping
>> I laugh at that every time. You've said
it hundreds of times to me and I laugh
every time. Go ahead.
>> Um, so Q4 of 2025, OpenAI is the
dominant leader. Right now, Anthropic is
the We've never seen Avis overtake Herz
this fast. This isn't even Pepsi
overtaking Coke. It's like RCA one
morning is the market leader.
>> RCA.
>> And I think Anthropic gets out. But I
think open AI if they were going to have
to show their wares or open their
cupboards there was just going to be
evidence everywhere that Anthropic is
eating their lunch. And I talked to a
lot of CEOs about AI and the comp a
company I'm an investor in section talks
it does all this helps companies upscale
around AI. what they're seeing is the
following is quote unquote blame the
model and everyone's blaming open AI and
swapping them out for anthropic
believing they're going to get a much
greater ROI.
So I think that basically if when we
look back on the great draw down that
will be AI valuations that is I think
going to happen in the next 12 months.
This will be seen as a real crack that
that it kind of was a signal of what's
to come.
>> Is it smart to wait? You talked about
the sort of lack of cap. There's not
enough money here essentially.
>> I don't I I if they could get out, they
would. I I think what I think what this
says is the CFO talked to the banker and
the banker said, "Okay, there's no
wallpapering over this. Your business
has lost a ton of momentum." And then
you combine it with the second thing
that is different than Anthropic. Alman
has taken the Amazon and Netflix fake it
until you make it, spend more money than
anyone else and your stock will go up.
He's taken that to an extreme that is
too much and that is if you look at how
much money they are burning. I think
with the S1's and they would be they
would be side by side immediately.
Everyone would be comparing Anthropic
and Open AAI's financials against each
other.
>> Yeah.
>> And I think what you would see is the
following. Not only has OpenAI massively
lost momentum against Anthropic, it is
also operating much more promiscuously
with cash. And that is despite
Anthropic's massive investments and
massive losses, it's projecting that
it'll break even by 2030. And Sam
Alman's whole thing is, oh no, I'm
committing to a trillion dollars in
capex because the future there's only
one winner. And I think the market I I
think the S1 side by side would show a
company that is losing momentum and is
spending way too much money and losing
too much money. And I think the bankers
have come back and said
>> they don't want the comparison.
>> Well, this is what's going to happen in
the next 6 months. This is going to be
the great
exit from cost. This is going to be the
great reduction in spending and capex
commitments by open AI. they are going
to massively decrease
their expenditure and capex commitments
because I think
>> Oracle, it hits a lot of them. It hits
all of them, right?
>> Still an amazing company. It's still
growing really fast. But the the amount
of money they were committing to in
terms of capex has gotten out of
control. And then you couple that with a
reversal in momentum. I think Goldman
and JP Morgan and the CFO have said to
Sam, uh, this is going to be hard. So,
so then what do they do if is it is it
if Anthropic gets out at over a
trillion, they've got to meet that,
right? Speaking of dick measuring
contests, they kind of want that number.
Can they actually get out then in 2027?
>> Oh, I think I think this is a cost story
and that is I think they're just going
to have to reduce their
>> clean up. They got to clean it up.
>> Yeah. Because Okay, say they get out at
700 and not a trillion, that's still
pretty good. I mean,
>> yeah,
>> at some point at some point they're
going to need to raise capital in the
public markets, I think.
>> Or maybe could they raise in the private
markets? The weird thing is I wonder if
TBG and the private equity firms that
got a 16 or 17% pick, which is really or
guaranteed return, which is really
unusual in the private markets. I wonder
if they would still do that deal today
because the reversal in fortunes here
has been like nothing I've ever seen in
business without a scandal. And so
>> weird question, does it get bought?
>> There's so few players that could buy
it. I mean, it's a handful of companies
that could afford to buy it. It's one of
the big tech companies or SpaceX. That's
it. There's maybe five.
>> There was all this online plotting that
Elon did sort of bought made sure the
SpaceX IPO was too big and then failed a
little bit to stop them. Just so you
know, there was a conspiracy.
>> Well, if the next round see rather than
do a down round, uh what Altman did was
he he he offered
>> he guaranteed it. Yeah, he offered these
these terms that typically you don't
agree to, I a guaranteed return because
he wanted the headline number to be
whatever it was 850 billion or whatever.
>> Yeah.
>> But at some point if they start running
into a cash crunch, which I don't think
they will. The bottom line, I think the
second half of 2026 is about Sam Alman
rationalizing the expense side of the
business and their capex uh commitments
because it's still growing like crazy.
>> Drop it goes out, doesn't delay, goes
out. If I were Dario, I'd want to be
like, I'm on top, [ __ ] I'm going
public.
>> Yeah. Yeah. Right away. Yeah. They've
got to It's a momentum story for them.
Absolutely.
>> And they have a great story. I think the
S1 is going to look really good for
Anthropic.
>> Yeah. In comparison. I mean, what's
really interesting is how kind of pissy
the open people are about the story
Daario gets over and over again. I mean,
he can be imperious himself and, you
know, a little bit self-righteous, which
is interesting, but uh I think he's got
the better story. He does. And a lot of
this is narrative and it actually be
good for anthropic for not to have them
there. Although, you know, looking
better than open AI is a good thing for
them, right? Presumably,
>> this is the CFO and JP Morgan and
Goldman Sachs said, uh, you don't want
these numbers public right now.
>> Yeah. Yeah. Yep. Absolutely. And by the
way, the perception to the ones that did
go public wasn't great. Um, all right.
We'll see what happens. Interesting
story. very interesting developing
story, but it will impact companies like
Oracle and other ones. You saw that draw
just a a small draw down of their shares
uh because they have so many commitments
all around the board. All right, Scott,
let's go on a quick break. When we come
back, we'll discuss Pete Buddha Judge
getting targeted.
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>> Uh Scott, we're back. I want to talk
about a story that came out over the
weekend about Pete Buddha Judge's
family. Buddha Judge says police showed
up at his house after an anonymous tip
claimed his four-year-old twins were at
risk. CPS investigated the claim and the
Michigan State Police later confirmed
the report was completely fabricated. Uh
while the incident was being
investigated, Buddha Judge was not
allowed to be alone with his
four-year-old children for 24 hours, and
they were interviewed by authorities
without either parent present. The
incident happened during Pride Month,
right after the family posted of
Father's Day uh photos online. Uh I was
I this was terrifying to someone like
myself. This was like it was just some
tip that was called in about another tip
of something Pete allegedly. It was all
nonsense from but they had to because
their authorities and he's a well-known
person. They had to actually investigate
which is their job. I think they felt
sick to do it but uh turned out to be
all false. Uh it's a it's a version of
swatting but more nefarious
>> swarming
>> swarming or whatever. uh and you know
he's polling well for the 2028
presidential run. This is just I can't
imagine I know I know them pretty well.
I know especially Chaston uh uh you know
this is the fear they have as gay
parents and something I've discussed
with them. You know this is the fear
this is this sort of weird feeling
people have about gay parenting that is
just it's I don't even want to call it
gay parenting just parenting um but that
they get stuck with. Um they are
wonderful parents and these kids are
lovely. Uh and for them to have to go
through this just sent a chill when I
read his piece and he's not someone who
usually is particularly dramatic but he
was furious about what happened as he
should have been. Any any thoughts on
this?
>> I don't think this is a gay thing. I
think this is stochastic terrorism. I I
know a couple I know a couple a straight
couple in the Midwest and Child
Protective Services showed up at their
door one day and said, "We need we're
from Child Protective Services. we need
to speak to your children. They had no
idea what was going on. Uh, by the way,
the whole neighborhood found out about
it. There's no way you recover from
that. No, no matter how innocent you are
proven, that's on your Wikipedia page.
>> If you're ever on trial for anything,
the prosecutor can ask, "Weren't Child
Protective Services called to your
house?" And when I go through TSA, I
immediately feel guilty. I immediately
like, "Oh, where's that joint in my p?
I've done something wrong." when they
when you see your suitcase go to the go
to the part of the the the part where
they they investigate it, you
immediately feel guilty. How does a
four-year-old not remember that
strangers who you're supposed to speak
to who have the authority to separate
you from your parents start asking these
types of questions? How do you not
somewhere in your brain think are mommy
and daddy not good people?
>> Right? How do you 100%
>> how do the parents, the community, their
reputation and the kids
>> ever recover from that?
>> Yeah.
>> Ever.
>> I agree.
>> And this is the problem. This is a
result of the fetishization
and anonymity being linked to
shareholder value. And that is
democracy depends upon disagreement but
also accountability.
And when the loudest voices face no
consequences,
the most thoughtful ones log off in
fear. And what happens here is the
following. Child protective services,
their heart is in the right place.
They're trying to encourage people to to
to bubble up real instances of child
abuse.
>> Yeah. Because they usually miss a lot of
them, right? You know, that's
>> that's right. But here's the problem,
and here's what needs to be done. The
fix isn't to end anonymity. It's smarter
than that. The solution is verified yet
anonymous credentiing and that is
online. There should be a digital stamp
that proves you are a unique human being
without revealing which human you are.
When you call child protective services
and as it ended up so the family I was
referencing, you know what it ended up?
Two months later they found out one of
their daughters was in a beef with
another girl in the same high school.
And the girl, the rival girl called.
>> Wow.
>> This happens all over. But here's the
problem. The family faces no
consequence.
So if you call child protective
services,
we're going to guarantee your anonymity,
but after investigation, if we find out
there's no evidence, guess what?
>> We're going to investigate you.
>> I agree. I was I was like, who are these
people who did this? And you know,
swatting is bad. Swatting is dangerous
because there's guns involved like with
kids and everything else. And to me,
it's so heinous the idea of it. U
swatting is when you call in that
there's some terrible thing happening at
the house and then you know SWAT teams
come in as they should when cuz they
never know, right? And so this is such
an abuse of a system that's already
broken, right? It's already a
problematic system. They don't catch
enough child abuse and sometimes kids
don't get checked on. And you read those
stories over and over again. But in this
case, what what sick [ __ ] would think of
this thing? Like what sick [ __ ] would
make this stuff up? That to me, and I
would like to find them. And you know
what I do to them, but I think the
authorities really need to have a
system. And the thing is, you don't want
to discourage people from telling on
real issues of abuse, right? That's the
thing. It's a it's just I I was so upset
by this. But the bigger issue is the
following. That same architecture,
anonymous, consequence-free,
u infinitely scalable
uh online platforms. They let bots flood
elections, radicalize millions, and make
public service a target sport. And the
bottom line is this is where the right
gets it wrong and the left gets it
wrong. The internet doesn't have a
speech problem. It has an accountability
problem. And our fetishization for free
speech and anonymity has resulted in a
total lack of accountability. If you
believe the kids across the street are
being abused and child protective
services shows up and they find out, oh,
you misunderstood the situation, you're
still not liable. You didn't do anything
wrong. Your your reasons were valid. But
if it finds out you're just a homophobic
[ __ ] weirdo or your your daughter has
had a beef with the other with with
another girl in the high school,
>> there should be consequences.
>> There's consequences
>> there. I think Pete was talking about
that. I know they're worried about this
these issues as gay parents as we all
are because I was always worried about
I've been it's just sticks in the back
of your mind. If it prevents him from
running, which is really I hope it
doesn't. That's what I hope it doesn't.
I mean, because let me just say, they're
wonderful parents. They're wonderful
people and they're wonderful parents.
>> Yeah. But what do you say to the kids?
And there's these strange people in
suits saying, "We need you to go stay."
>> Yeah. The whole thing is
>> like, what do you say to your kids? Like
a fouryear-old, what do you say to them?
>> I wouldn't even I don't even want to
think about it. It was so upsetting.
Anyway, uh Pete uh and and Chest, we're
so sorry. This is just this is
disgusting and this is not how you
behave towards people who are decent,
great parents. And uh whoever did this,
I hope they find you and I hope you have
some sort of reckoning. As of this
recording, by the way, we're going to
move on. House Speaker Mike Johnson says
he's sending the landmark housing bill
to the White House days after Trump
abruptly canled the signing ceremony for
that bill. Interesting move. The bill,
which passed both houses of Congress
with overwhelming bipartisan support,
aims to and also would be a win for
Trump, aims to bring down housing costs,
expand home ownership, and boost
construction. But Trump says he won't
sign it into law until Congress passes
his Save America Act, which would
require a photo ID to vote and
effectively end mail-in voting. By the
way, the Supreme Court just upheld a
Mississippi law for late arriving
mail-in ballots, a blow to the Trump
administration's efforts to queer the
election, which is what they're trying
to do. Uh, and the housing bill can
still become law even if Trump doesn't
sign it. So, it's technical. If he
doesn't sign it, it can become law. if
he vetos it, I believe they have the
votes to overcome his veto. So, they're
kind of putting him in a position. Uh,
under the Constitution, the president
doesn't sign a bill within 10 days, it
becomes law without his signature. And
again, Congress can override this one.
And so, it was interesting that Johnson
did this. He obviously knows it's a good
thing for to have this on the Republican
record or at least take credit for it,
even though it's kind of bipartisan. Uh,
thoughts on that? Housing is one of the
biggest problems in America. Whether
it's I was reading this morning that
Finland took an opposite route. Instead
of focusing on mental health or veterans
affairs for the homeless, they just
focus on housing. They're like, just
build cheap housing and get people in
housing. And it ends up that housing is
a weird form of birth control that every
10% increase in housing prices, birth
rates go down 1%. It reduces people
coupling. It reduces birth rates. It
reduces self-esteem.
you know, housing, affordable housing is
really important. And what we have here
is again the incumbents once they've
owned homes make it more and more
difficult for new permits. It's gone way
too far. Uh Congress, to their credit,
recognized it. This bill attempts to get
rid of NIMI legislation and proposed
Yimi legislation, credits, more credits,
more federal sponsorship for communities
that have more housing. This is I
actually thought the bill itself when
you read it is pretty weak sauce but
it's a very strong symbolic
>> movement in the right direction. And in
addition,
>> when does the last time Congress voted
358 to 32 on anything,
>> right? Right.
>> So this makes all sorts of sense. Trump
getting in the way of this was just
stupid. And again, it's veto proof. So I
I think this is a win.
>> What does he do? What does he do? Sign?
He's got to sign it and take credit,
right?
>> Yeah, I think so. I I
>> He should. But he's going to He's still
going to try everything possible. This
Save Act that's not going to pass,
President Trump. It's not It's not
happening.
>> So why does he keep doing this?
>> Oh [ __ ] I I mean, you're asking me to
get into this guy's brain. I would have
thought he would, if I were advising
him, I would say, "Oh my god, put on
>> put on a put put on a tool belt like
you're on a construction site and and
run around and take credit for this
thing. take credit for
>> housing. This is this is a big big issue
for Americans,
>> right? You know, instead he's obsessed
with, you know, now he wants to build a
golf course and put trees in front of
the White House. He's just obsessed with
all these weird obsessive things around
the DC area to preserve his legacy,
which seems more interest to him. He
went and visited. It was pouring rain
yesterday and he was out at Hannes Point
where he wants to put in a a golf course
of some sort. Uh there is a golf course
there, but he wants to improve it. Um,
and then putting maple trees around
Lafayette Square, all this stuff. And
then of course touting his really loser,
uh, American State Fair, whatever, that
was nobody went to. Um, he just seems
all obsessed with that kind of stuff and
not something that is, even if it's
symbolically,
even symbolically, it's important to to
I don't get this. This is this guy. I
think he's terrified that things are
going to go very badly after November.
And so it seems to he's going to self
soothe with maple trees.
>> There you go. Self
>> soo.
>> Self soo. Right. But he should take
credit for this one and he won't. Um all
right, Scott, we'll be uh we're going to
have one more quick break. We'll be back
for wins and fails. Okay, Scott, we're
going to do some wins and fails. I think
I shall go first. There were so many
failed choices. The grift watch of the
Trump mining deal in Kazakhstan with Don
and Eric Stand profit along with uh
Lutnik's Lutnik family. Um the what's
happening in Venezuela is really
depressing watching them try to find
people. So many people have died. But
I'm going to be a little personal here.
There's two people who died this week uh
who I know very well and were very
impactful on my life. One was uh Malik
uh one of the very early tech bloggers.
Uh someone who had worked very like me
in regular media. Um but then sort of
spun off and started doing a really
fascinating kind of bloggy and yet fully
reported uh attitude uh attitudinal
stuff back way back in the day an
excellent reporter. He also did events.
He did parties and I really I got a lot
of inspiration from M who was one of the
most jolly fellows. Uh I just really
enjoyed we thought a lot about a lot of
things but what an amazing impact he had
on early tech journalism when it was a
lot more help you know a lot more
hopeful in a lot of ways but he actually
did call people on things very early
very wonderful guy um he had uh you know
he had shifted to becoming a venture
capitalist I didn't go that direction um
but just a really wonderful and he's
getting much deserved um praise from all
of us who are around then and He
struggled with heart issues for a long
long time and uh was uh just a really
wonderful guy. The other one was my
assistant. I don't have an assistant but
I did for many years. Ed Dailyaly also
died. Um another he had also had health
problems with around diabetes and
everything else and just a tremendous
important part of the growth of my
businesses in the beginning of them and
worked for me for a long time was an
invaluable help and you know the kind of
person you don't hear about. thought he
wasn't a reporter, but did so much stuff
to really build the businesses Walt and
I built. Um, and just was a wonderful
guy and was wonderful to my kids. Uh,
especi Louis and Alex took them on
camping trips with his partner Mark and
just just a one one of these hardworking
really wonderful people who who helped
so many people and uh just really sad.
I'm sorry he Louie just went to see him
recently. So, I'm glad that happened.
but really big impact on my life and uh
just a tremendously huge-hearted person.
Uh so that is my fail. Um although I I I
also my heart goes out the people in
Venezuela and everything else. Um and my
win is the Supreme Court just rejected
Trump's attempt to get $5 million
verdict in the Eene Carol sexual abuse
case toss out. This is the end of the
road for him. Now I think he's gonna I
just texted Robbie Kaplan. Let me see if
she wrote back. but uh who is the lawyer
in the case. Um we'll see where it goes.
Uh on the smaller verdict, he has to pay
the 5 million. There is the 80 I think
85 million $80 million verdict that is
still being disputed. Uh but he has to
give her the 5 million. Um and which I
just kind of love. Uh and now he is very
firmly what he is accused of he did. Um
and he can't take it any further. Uh and
we'll see on the second part of which is
a defam had defamation related to this
case. Um, anyway, good for Eugene Carol
and pay up Donald Trump you for what you
did to her. And I just felt that it was
like today is the day that the Supreme
Court kicks Trump in the teeth a little
bit after giving him a lot of wins on
immigration. Uh, which were that the
Haitian particularly the Haitian ruling
was really terrible for really
hardworking people in this country. Um,
in any case, uh, congratulations to
Eugene Carol.
>> Nice. So, uh, okay. So, my fail is
uh I can't get over well, you could
argue it's a win for uh
broadcast news, but there were two
really illuminating interviews uh this
weekend. The first was John Carl from
ABC News interviewed Senator Todd Young
and uh along with Senator Mark Kelly.
>> I saw that.
>> And they talked about how President
Trump accused Mark Kelly of sedition.
Senator Kelly flew combat missions and
also flew the space shuttle at 20,000
[ __ ] miles an hour. I mean, there are
few things more patriotic or than than
the actions of Senator Mark Kelly. And
uh and they asked I I appreciate John
Carl calling Senator Todd Young out in
front and say how come you didn't do you
agree with this? And of course, Senator
Todd Young broke into song about he
texted
Senator Kelly to make sure he was all
right, but he didn't say a [ __ ] word.
>> He didn't.
>> And at some point, I'm waiting for
people before they are, you know, lose
their primary.
At NYU, we have we have a second year,
which is really a waste of money. It's
such that we can charge the kids
140,000, not 70. And we teach all these
electives like sustainability and
leadership and ethics. Let me save you
$7,000 on the leadership course of any
major university.
Do the right thing even when it's hard.
There you just save $7,000. And we bring
in a formally important person to talk
about what a [ __ ] amazing person they
are and how the world was against them,
but they did the right thing. And we
call it a leadership course. Thank you
for your $7,000 in student debt.
There is such a lack of leadership on
the most obvious issues. And I don't
understand the calculus from a senator
who I believe is a probably a good man
and respects his fellow colleague coming
out and saying it is wrong to accuse
Senator Kelly, an American hero and
patriot of sedition. That is just beyond
the line. And in the same time,
um, Ryan Nobles, who was an outstanding
standin for Kristen Welker, who I also
think is wonderful. on Meet the Press
basically kind of got in the face of
Senator Roger Marshall and asked him to
site a single example of where voter
fraud has influenced an election.
>> He did a great job
>> and I thought he I watched it. I'm like
go and and of course this guy just went
into blather and and
>> doctors need to be trusted by I was like
what in the [ __ ] are you talking about?
pilots need to be and it's like but
there's no problem here planes crash
there there is no
>> no one has ever been able to provide
evidence that a single election has been
influenced much less decided by voter
fraud
>> this guy's been all over the TV the Dr.
Roger from Ganzas, the senator, and he's
doing the same song and dance
everywhere. I don't know why. Maybe he's
in a tough fight. I don't know. It's
weird. He does this a lot. He's just
done this a lot.
>> Well, I understand that the only way you
can do good is to get elected. But at
some point, they've got to recognize
that, you know, this guy is coming is
becoming a lame tradan, as you would
say. And at some point, they're going to
show something resembling leadership.
And I can't I can't swear the calculus
of a senator coming out and saying
Senator Kelly is an American hero
>> here. Exactly. I don't get it. It's the
same thing when they when Fox News was
broadcasting from that American States
thing which looks like a like the fire
festival and they're like look at all
the people and I'm like there's nobody
behind you. Like how do they do that?
Peter Ducey, how did you manage to do
that? Oh, everyone's having fun here and
there's 26 people there. And it was so
weird. I don't get it. Like when are
they going to give? when are they going
to give? When do you think they're going
to give on? Same thing with this guy.
It's like, you know, don't believe your
lion eyes kind of thing. I don't know.
>> Anyways, I guess it's sort of a win for
for uh ABC and NBC News. And these these
programs still matter despite the
declining audiences. They do are still
really relevant. And specifically, it
just strikes me at some point senators
who are elected to six-year terms
at some point are going to begin to
understand that,
>> okay, with the definition of
quoteunquote leadership. My my win is
that Bill Maher was awarded the um um
>> Mark Twain Award,
>> the Mark Twain Award, and I thought it
was really fitting that it was at the
Kennedy Center. Uh, but look, I have
said this. Something I don't like about
myself is I have been way too influenced
by comments in social media, which I
think are so [ __ ] corrosive because
they start influencing me to say this
type of thing and not this type of
thing. And I've tried really hard in the
last couple years to say, "I'm going to
say what I mean, mean what I say, and I
don't care what the comments are." There
are very few posts that get as much
blowback as when I say the following and
I mean it. Bill Maher is a hero of mine.
And I think if you were to take every
political pundit and have at zero say I
don't know who the craziest right-wing
person is and on 100 be the craziest
left-wing person. If I had to identify
someone who was exactly at 50, it would
be Bill Maher. And evidence that he is a
centrist is that everyone appears to
hate the guy publicly. And then every
podcast I go on, the hosts when I follow
up and say, "Is there anything I can do
to help you?" They ask me, "Can I can I
introduce him to someone at Bill Maher?"
>> Oh, interesting.
>> The guy has been in the business for 33
years. He is fearless. He is funny. His
contribution isn't defending the idea
that people uh who disagree should be
allowed in the same room. is that the
weirdest thing is that it's so
remarkable. And today that is
remarkable. And he he didn't build an
audience by telling people what they
wanted to hear. He built one by telling
everyone something they didn't want to
hear. He literally pisses off everybody.
>> Yeah. Which is why he gets a blow. I
mean, he does he does seek out like his
earlier stuff on Islam and stuff like
that. So he he is who he is. And I do
I'm always fascinated by how much I get
blowback on your behalf, which is
interesting. um or why are you on that
show when I go on? I I it's a really
interesting discussion and I don't I
don't lump him in with all the others
who I do find somewhat heinous in that
regard and I agree. I think he deserve
that. I think he's very funny. I think
he I don't always agree with him. That's
for sure. Um but it really is
>> that's the point.
>> Yeah. I I don't find it um I don't know.
He attracts an unusual amount of eye. He
really does.
>> We'll get push back on this. I when I
say he's a role model mine there are few
like when I gradu I was trying to think
when I graduated from college when I got
my first bonus check when I sold my
first business there are moments in your
life you remember professionally
>> one of those biggest moments for me was
three or four years ago during co when
Susan Bennett called me and said we'd
like you to be on Bill Marcus it's the
only show my dad watches
>> Susan's a producer for having
>> a producer
>> terrific producer
>> and I think the guy is is fearless and
he he brings to light the notion that
free speech isn't isn't tested by
popular opinions. It's tested by the
people who piss you off. And and he does
that. And he's an equal opportunity
um agitator. And uh he was one of the
last people in television willing to to
make both sides equally uncomfortable. I
mean, he's really an independent voice.
And I don't think it his contribution
will be remembered as changing minds. It
was proving that you can disagree
without deciding the other person is
evil. and his legacy, although he's a
great comedian, I don't think his legacy
is comedy. It's defending the
proposition that democracy requires
conversation, not just conviction. And
we have lost so much of that. I don't
know him. I I sort of know him, but
don't know him well. But the people he
surrounds himself with, here's some
things about Bill Maher. He has this big
rant on how he doesn't have kids and
married.
>> Yeah.
>> Everyone around him has been working
with him for 20 years.
>> Yeah. the woman in makeup, the guy who
brings you to your COVID test,
>> his producers. I think he's a very loyal
man.
>> I think he shows up. I think he works
very hard. I think he's unafraid. I
think he's a great role model for people
who, like me, want to be centrist,
distinct of the the hate you get because
you piss off everybody. I thought he is
an outstanding
>> recipient for the Mark Twain Prize.
Anyways, my
>> I would agree. My win is the unafraid,
courageous
uh believer in free speech that pisses
off everybody and everybody wants to be
on his show after 33 years. And that is
Bill Maher.
>> Good for you. Good for you. You do care
about comments, Scott. You're never
going to not care about comments. Never.
>> Well, I'm addicted to the affirmation of
others here. It's really pathetic.
>> It's not pathetic. You're It's not
pathetic. You'll give yourself a hard
time. It does get to you. It gets It
doesn't get to me as much as it gets to
you, but it gets to me, too. I mean, I
think it's uh I think you will it's okay
for it to hurt. I have to tell you that
>> shaming is a very popular a very
powerful feeling because until about 50
years ago, if you were shamed and
expuned from the tribe, it meant you
were going to starve or beaten by a bear
in 72 hours or less.
>> Well, you're not going to get eaten by a
bear.
>> Yeah, I don't think so.
>> You're vulgar, but you're not getting
eaten by a bear. But no, I agree with
you. I think Bill deserved that award.
And I know people, you know, we often
disagree. We really do. Listen, if you
don't like Bill Maher, don't watch him.
I don't know what else to say. That's my
feeling. It's like that's what I say to
people. And by the way, you know, people
in my family, my one of my kids was
like, "Why are you going on his show?"
And I'm like, "You know what? It's none
of your [ __ ] business." I am cuz I
like I like going on it. I enjoy the
show. So,
>> I'm going I'm going I'm going on later.
I'm going on I think July 29th. I'm
going to take my I'm going to take
Bayata and I'm going to take my both my
sons and
>> I never take them all to anything. And I
said, "This is important to me. I want
you to come with me."
>> Anyway, uh good ones. Good ones for you.
That was a good one. Um, can I do one
more brief fail and I don't want any I
just want to say Scott Weiner is a
friend of mine and what happened to him
in San Francisco last week was heinous.
Like I don't usually mind criticism
around uh of Israel and I think it's
really important for and I don't think
every criticism in Israel is
anti-semitic but what happened to him
and he has been a supporter of all
manner of things in San Francisco he's
was anti-semitic was really truly and
strange and that kind of that really
shouldn't I feel terrible for Scott for
because he's been you know there's lots
of things you could disagree has got on
but not what they were yelling at him
about. And so it had a real tinge of
real hatred. And I that is a real that
really repulsed me in a way that I
usually am okay with some critic with
criticism of all manner of countries and
stuff like that. And so just that cannot
be tolerated by the Democrats. That
cannot be tolerated that kind of
behavior. So I would just want to say
that but I feel bad for Scott who's been
a really um hardworking public servant.
Anyway, um, all right. So, that's the
show. Um, congratulations to Bill Maher.
We want to hear from you. Send us your
questions about business, tech, or
whatever is on your mind. Go to
nymag.com/pivot
to submit a question for the show or
call 855-51
pivot. Elsewhere in the Karen Scott
universe, this week on I just spoke to
Jim Bankov, the CEO of Vox Media, and
Meredith uh Copit Levian, president and
CEO of the New York Times at K Lions,
uh, which was really fun. We talked
about the ways they adapted to a
changing media landscape and the effects
of AI on publishing and it was a great
session and thanks to UTA for hosting us
uh and keeping it quiet. Let's listen to
a clip. The leverage is even the LLMs
will need an information ecosystem with
high quality independently produced
verified information. If they don't have
it their products will not ultimately be
good either. We all want to live in a
society where quality information is
available and I believe they do too and
I think that's leverage.
>> I believe they do too.
>> I think that they the they're these are
information companies. These are
information tools and I think
information at a certain point for you
to have a healthy functioning democracy
you have to have high quality
information and people have to be able
to identify the difference. This was a
really good uh discussion and we had a
little testiness around some a couple of
things but uh they it was great. It was
a really interesting discussion about
media and where it's going and Meredith
both Scott and I have huge regard for
her and that Jim Bankoff guy is nice
too. Um
>> so you want a little known fact about
the CEO of New York Times.
>> No, let me tell.
>> He's got a dreamy boyfriend. He's a tall
drink of lemonade. Have you met him?
>> Yes, I have.
>> I went up to her and I'm like that
dude's so handsome. And she looked
around and she's like I know. He's like
literally like I I'll take my
masculinity to go. Jesus Christ.
>> She's I I love everything about
Meredith. I think she's a great uh
executive. She's a great parent. Um
>> she's really she's she's all that in a
bag of chips, as they say. So, so lucky
for him to have her. Okay. Uh that's the
show. Thanks for listening to Pivot and
be sure to like and subscribe to our
YouTube channel. We'll be back on
Friday.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video provides a critical analysis of current media and tech industry dynamics, specifically focusing on Comcast's spin-off of NBCUniversal, the concept of corporate conglomeration and CEO incentives, and the potential challenges facing OpenAI's IPO amidst intense competition from Anthropic. The discussion also touches upon the alarming incident involving the swatting of Pete Buttigieg's family, the importance of corporate accountability in a digital age, and a look at political accountability and media leadership.
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