Everyone is selling. Whales aren't.
398 segments
Yesterday I told you about how Donald
Trump personally made billions of
dollars in crypto in 2025. The deeper
you dive into the report, the crazier it
gets. He made about 22,000
stock trades in 2025, roughly 60 trades
a day, all with impeccable market timing
around specific macro events. That's
just one of the amazing topics that
we're going to dive into here on The
Daily Wolf. Let's go.
What is up, everybody? Welcome to The
Daily Wolf on Yahoo Finance. I am your
host, Scott Melker, also known as The
Wolf of All Streets, and man, do we have
so many things to talk about today. This
is one of those days where I feel like
just going wildly off the cuff and
ranting and ignoring the actual news and
facts, but we will try to stick to them
because there are a lot of things that
we need to dive into right now. So,
first, we have to talk about the job
numbers, non-farm payrolls. Breaking.
The US economy. They could have actually
just stopped there.
Breaking. The US economy adds 57,000
jobs in June, well below expectations of
114,000. Uh-oh. The unemployment rate
fell to 4.2% below expectations of 4.3%.
Wait, that that's good.
Kind of some cross-currents here. May's
job number was also revised down by
43,000 jobs. The labor market remains in
a volatile situation. So, now,
we live in the upside down, if you've
ever seen Stranger Things, where bad
news is good news, and good news is bad
news, because bad news makes it more
likely that the Fed will cut instead of
hike, which means that we'll get more
liquidity, which means that markets
should be able to go up. So, getting
57,000 jobs instead of 114,000 seems
really bad, because that would be bad
for the people that are losing their
jobs, but it's actually really good,
because your stocks can likely go up
because now Fed Chairman Worsh has more
cover to cut jobs. Now, it's important
to remember
that these job numbers are completely
fake.
Oh, what's your source? I made it up.
Right? We saw under the Biden years
revisions as big as 880,000, 900,000
jobs at the end of the year, meaning
that when people reacted and markets
reacted in real time to the job numbers
they were getting and they were
completely fake and were revised down
while nobody was looking. Meaning that
it was a strong job market that they
were able to, you know, pump stocks on
and then all of a sudden by the end of
the year when nobody was looking, all of
those jobs disappeared. Well, in this
case we had a revision down of May,
43,000 jobs from 172 to 129. And April
reserved that revised down an additional
31,000
jobs. So, the numbers that markets react
to when they're presented are almost
always revised when nobody's looking.
So, apparently
markets cheer when people lose their
jobs. Imagine a a world where Worsh had
to walk down the street. I used to say
Powell, walk down the street in New York
City and say to people, "Listen, I know
that you like your job and I appreciate
that, but would you be willing to give
up that job to save the stock market?"
That's effectively what is happening
here and it is absolutely
wild. So, listen, we'll keep tracking
those numbers, but we know they're fake
and markets react to them anyway. So, my
next story here is one I've showed you
before, but I'm going to add to it. So,
we have obviously a historic outflow of
Bitcoin from spot ETFs. Bitcoin ETF
outflows hit 4.3 billion in June. We're
on another 10-day heater, although I
have a feeling that will reverse today.
Uh and over the last few months we've
seen billions and billions and billions
of outflows. But while retail and people
who've have ETFs are panicking and
puking their coins. I just want to show
you the data of something I keep
mentioning, which is this right here.
270,000 Bitcoin accumulated by whales at
59,000. Largest single accumulation
spike ever recorded on chain, bigger
than the COVID bottom, bigger than the
FTX bottom.
Right? So, ETF outflows hit 4.5 billion
in June. But the smart money, the whales
who sold above 120, these huge wallets,
are now buying back in the largest size
ever, which is something that we tend to
see at the bottom of markets and not at
the top. One more data point for my
theory, which could be completely wrong
because I have no crystal ball, I cannot
tell the future, that Bitcoin and the
crypto market broadly have been in a
bottoming process ever since we hit
60,000 last February. We're in one of
those rare moments now where we've had a
lot of {quote} bad news and the market
tends to absorb it. Price doesn't go
down any further.
Saylor is a perfect example, right? I
mean, we reached peak fear, uncertainty,
and doubt around Michael Saylor last
week. STR C was at 72 bucks last I
checked, it was trading around $90.
Easiest trade ever, right? $18 upside if
you listen to data and facts rather than
emotions and hysterics. And you got a
raised dividend
to 12% and I would venture to bet that
if Saylor was supposed to crash the
entire market, the fact that he did what
he did on Monday, which we covered, uh
gave the market some assurance and
kicked the can way down the road that we
won't even be talking about him very
soon, yet another bottom signal. Now,
listen, I didn't want to necessarily
talk about Trump again today, but uh the
market gods have blessed me with the
opportunity, so I wrote a very long
newsletter about it this morning.
Here it is, right here.
Trump made more from crypto
than Coinbase did. So, this was a fact I
did not share on the show yesterday
because I had not yet seen the chart.
That's my newsletter. You should sign up
for it. I write it five days a week and
that image is so good.
Right? But, here you go.
Trump out-earned biggest listed US
crypto firms in 2025.
Trump made 1.4 billion conservatively.
That's what's reported. Doesn't count
token sales. The family made about 2.2
2.3. Coinbase, which is the I believe
will be one of the 10 most important
companies probably uh on the stock
market, made 1.26
billion.
Donald Trump buys selling his interest
in crypto and making fees and licensing
his name made more than Coinbase last
year. But, that's not even really the
most astounding part.
Let's move over to the stonk market. We
call them stonks in crypto in case
you're wondering. It's a loving term.
Stonks.
Donald Trump declared making more than
22,000
stock transactions
in 2025 according to the Financial Times
analysis. His immediate predecessor Joe
Biden made 13 transactions over four
years. Uh that's cuz he was sleeping.
In his first term, Trump made 517.
So, listen. The insider trading is
illegal even for presidents and Nancy
Pelosi. And now I'm assuming that we
have clear evidence that Pelosi and
Trump probably just have the same stock
broker.
Right? But, I mean this is absolutely
insane. You're talking about 60 trades a
day every single day. Now, they came out
and said that this is automated. It's
consistent with direct indexing.
Uh but, first of all, politicians aren't
really supposed to trade and especially
on insider information. And the more
people dig into it and look at the
timing of the buys and sells, the more
gratuitous it becomes. He just doesn't
care. Like, it's inside trading and they
just don't care. And obviously, nobody's
going to go after them. So, it is what
it is. I mean, check this one out. The
day before Trump paused tariffs and sent
the S&P 500 up 9.5%
his investment accounts bought 327
stocks worth up to 12.8 million. It's
one of the biggest one-day market
rallies in history. The trades were
disclosed more than a year later.
All he was $200.
Parking tickets cost more than that. So,
he did something that was actually
wrong, knowing it was wrong, didn't want
to disclose it, and took the whopping
$200
penalty
as a result. Absolutely astounding.
There are hundreds of examples of these.
If you start digging into the internet,
new X accounts that are being launched
just for this, which I just find
amazing. Now,
a lot of the supporters have said, "Hey,
by the way, I'm non-political. Like, I
make fun of Nancy Pelosi's stock trades
just as much, in case you're wondering.
But,
people are saying, "Ah, that was then.
2025, not 2026."
There is some big news that broke today
that I'd like to show you. It's right
here. Donald Trump on Truth Social. He
truthed it out. How about this?
Micron, a great American company,
announced they're putting $250 million
into the Trump accounts for the future
benefit of children, and their stock
went up nine points today. Thank you,
Micron. President DJT. For the future
benefit of Donald J. Trump, who
purchased a large number of shares in
Micron stock right prior to that
announcement.
Nailed it.
Impeccable timing with no information at
all about what was likely to be
announced by his own self.
Right? Listen, like, it is what it is.
Uh
but, the you shouldn't be able to uh
defend this, if we're being quite
honest. Like, as a person who's pretty
much uh you know, non-political uh as
much as I can be, I can laugh at how
insane this is on both sides. But, man,
it would be amazing to see a law passed
uh by Congress and the government that
prevented people in public office from
trading at all. I think we would all
love to see it, uh but the people who
have to pass it would be them.
The ones who are benefiting from it. So,
I think it's highly unlikely. As my
guest on my 9:00 a.m. show this morning
he said, very wisely, he said, "What we
really need is a copy trading account
that
follows Donald Trump's trades in real
time." So, listen, a huge story
on the less gratuitously grifting side.
Robinhood accelerates global expansion
with Robinhood chain mainnet stock
tokens and jumping trading and new suite
of DeFi products. So, in case you missed
it, Robinhood is building the full stack
of crypto and DeFi products to add to
their centralized exchange. Another
example of the race to become the
everything app. So, they launched a
layer two here on Arbitrum, which I
definitely did not have on my bingo
card. And one of the most famous perp
decks that has lost a lot of its shine
in the hyperliquid days and such. dYdX
has rebranded to Arcus and launched
exclusively on Robinhood chain, which
will allow people to trade perps,
tokenize stocks, pre-IPO access, all the
things that we've been discussing over
the past few weeks. Interestingly, this
opens
Yeah, it's like 120 markets or something
to be able to trade all of these assets.
They'll be launching in Canada with
their acquisition of WonderFi, working
on Singapore. The kicker here is that
they've built the full stack, 7% yield
on USDG, the ability to trade everything
anytime, anywhere with leverage on
crypto rails. Uh
and we're still fighting about yield
and the Clarity Act and genius, right? I
mean, I told you about the fact that X
money is offering, I think it was a 6%
yield while we're fighting stablecoin
yield for retail. Well, part of this
announcement is a 7%
yield
using Robinhood. So, you'll be able to
earn that using their DeFi products by
lending around this, whether you like it
or not. The next story here
is one that's been long debated. The
story itself, no, but is a topic that
has been long debated and it's
re-igniting that argument. Venice AI
becomes unicorn with $65 million Series
A as its privacy-first AI platform takes
off. Great news, right? I think so. So,
Erik Voorhees long been a champion of
decentralization, a legend in the
Bitcoin and crypto space, absolutely
wants
to build this product the right way.
But, the interesting part is they raised
$65 million at a billion valuation
and it was equity.
And they have a token.
And one of the longest-standing debates
in crypto is how does value accrue to
token holders, especially when there's
equity attached. So, you basically end
up with two capital stacks, right? And
the way that this appears is equity is
first and the junior stack is the
already existing token. So, would you
rather hold the equity in a company or
the token that doesn't have the same
protections and it does not have the
same rights as the holders of the actual
equity equity. This is an argument as
old as time. Perhaps the biggest version
of this is whether you should hold
Ripple or whether you should hold the
XRP token. I'm not going to get deeply
into that one again here. I talked about
it a bit on my morning show. But, this
does re-ignite this debate that has been
ongoing. I personally would rather be an
equity holder with the protections and
the upside than a token holder if it's
going to be effectively the junior asset
in the capital stack. Now, Voorhees did
say that he was doing it because they
hold the bulk of the tokens and they
don't want to sell them off despite
VVV's 700% run. Investors get 8.9%
equity, a token grant, warrants. So, it
does tie the two together, but once
again, it has ignited a argument in the
crypto community about equity versus
tokens. And the the final story I want
to give here is an honorable mention.
OpenAI proposes 5% stake to Trump
administration to use Washington
pressure.
So, I I mean, I should have probably
lumped this in with the Trump story,
right? But this is so wild to me. It's
like we're having this horseshoe reach
around but between the communists and
the socialists and the MAGA Republicans
just shaking hands in the background
agreeing on the same thing and not
realizing it. Bernie Sanders has been
saying that the United States government
should take a stake given 50%, which is
much larger, and they should just take
it.
Uh which people think is nuts. It's
socialism. It's communism. But
apparently, if a country bribes the
administration with a 5% stake, that'll
go into a sovereign wealth fund. It's
not socialism or communism. It's just
good old-fashioned capitalism. Listen,
we've got years more of insider trading
coming from politicians here,
specifically from the Trump family.
It is what it is. Uh but I I think that
none of that is going to affect crypto
markets very long into the future. And
I'm starting to become even more
optimistic that we could be bottoming.
That's all I got for you today. I'll be
back on Monday cuz tomorrow's a holiday.
Peace.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
This episode of The Daily Wolf covers a mix of economic data, crypto market trends, and political controversy. Host Scott Melker analyzes the recent US job numbers, interprets market reactions to 'bad news,' and discusses whale activity in Bitcoin. A major focus is placed on the reported stock and crypto trading activities of Donald Trump, highlighting the ethical concerns regarding insider trading and market timing. Finally, the show touches upon Robinhood's expansion into DeFi, the ongoing debate between equity and token ownership in AI startups, and political maneuvers involving OpenAI.
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