Massive Oil Stockpile Release; Iran Market Volatility | Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition
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>> Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager.
>> And I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the
stories we're following today. Breaking
across the Bloomberg this morning, the
International Energy Agency is proposing
a release of emergency oil reserves that
would be the largest ever in its
history. Sources tell Bloomberg that the
IEA has proposed a release in the range
of about 300 million to 400 million
barrels as governments seek to contain a
spike in energy prices driven by the
Middle East war. We get more from
Bloomberg Middle East breaking news
editor Patrick Sykes. That would be a
huge amount of supply potentially to
enter the market at a time when of
course lots and lots of ships are stuck
on the wrong side of the straight of
moose in the Persian Gulf and uh some of
those producers in the Middle East have
had to shut in production or cut it back
at least uh as a result of the crisis
>> and Bloomberg's Patrick Sykes says the
near total closure of the straight of
Hormuz have led to cuts from Persian
Gulf producers that have so far shaved
about 6% of global oil output
>> and As the war enters its 12th day,
Karen, the White House has been sending
mixed messages. First, Energy Secretary
Chris Wright posted and deleted a
message that the US Navy had escorted a
tanker through the straight. White House
press secretary Caroline Levit says the
military is still working on options to
keep Hormuz open.
>> The US military is drawing up additional
options following the president's
directive to continue keeping the
Straight of Hormuz open. White House
spokeswoman Caroline Levit and President
Trump posted there were no reports of
Iran laying mines in the straight only
to announce later that the US had
destroyed 10 inactive mine laying boats.
All this as attacks continue for a 12th
day and we get the very latest from
Bloomberg's owner aunt in Dubai.
Yesterday marked the uh most intense day
of strikes on Iran uh by the US
according to American officials. And
overnight into Wednesday, we have seen
countries in the Persian Gulf
intercepting various uh drone and
missile launches from Iran. some of them
uh headed for again other energy assets
including the Shea oil field in Saudi
Arabia uh as well as the eastern region
in Saudi Arabia again which is home to
some of the uh some of the largest oil
producing uh assets in the kingdom
>> and Bloomberg's own says the UK Navy
reported three ships hit by suspected
projectiles in the straight of Hormuz
and the Persian Gulf this morning. One
of them was a cargo ship that had a fire
on board. And one of the two members of
the Iranian women's soccer team, who was
granted asylum by Australia last night,
has decided to withdraw her claim and
return to Iran. Several members of the
team were branded traitors after they
failed to sing their national anthem
before a women's Asian Cup match last
week.
>> Well, Karen, analysts are weighing in on
whether this will be a short or long
conflict. Richard Hos is president of
the Council on Foreign Relations. The
problem with the US position is it only
took one to start the war, us, but it's
going to take three to end it. And
that's mean, first of all, the United
States is going to have to, shall we
say, lean on Israel, to be blunt, to
bring the war to an end sooner than the
prime minister wants. Even more
difficult is the United States going is
going to have to persuade Iran to bring
a war to uh this war to an end. And that
that I think is going to be the the
biggest challenge for this president who
increasingly wants to wrap this up,
declare victory, declare mission
accomplished. But again, he doesn't have
the power to do that. He's got to bring
Iran around.
>> Council on Foreign Relations President
Emmeritus Richard Hos spoke to
Bloomberg's Roma Bostic and Katie
Grinfeld. You can watch their full
interview on our new video experience on
the Bloomberg business app.
>> Well, we turn to politics at home now,
Nathan. in one of the most conservative
congressional districts in the US, a
special election in Georgia to replace
former representative Marjgerie Taylor
Green has produced an unusual runoff. A
Democrat facing a Republican endorsed by
President Trump. The Democrat Shawn
Harris is a retired Army general and
cattle farmer. He leads Republican
District Attorney Klay Fuller 37.3 to
34.9%
with 99% of the vote counted. Both
candidates will face off again after
neither of them won the majority in a 17
candidate field. Harris spoke with the
Bloomberg's balance of power before the
votes were counted and said he has what
it takes to win.
>> My name is the name that people know and
trust here in the district. And that's
why we actually going to win this thing
tonight. And if we don't win it tonight,
we're going to win the runoff because
I'm getting Democrats, independents, and
yes, Republicans are voting for me. And
Georgia Democrat Sean Harris will face
Clay Fuller in an April 7th runoff to
fill the remainder of Marjgerie Taylor
Green's term this year.
>> And Karen, it was also a primary
election day in Mississippi. And
incumbent Republican Senator Cindy Hyde
Smith will face Democratic challenger
Scott Column in November after they
easily won their races. Hyde Smith was
endorsed by President Trump and with 93%
of votes counted, she defeated Sarah
Adladka 80.8 to 19.2%.
Column received 73% of the Democratic
votes and House incumbents including
longtime Democratic Congressman Benny
Thompson also easily won their
Mississippi primary races. And we are
hearing now that the International
Energy Agency is proposing a release of
reserves oil stockpire release of about
300 to 400 million barrels. Still, NEX
crude oil remains higher this morning up
4.8% 8% up $4.3 at $8748 a barrel. Brent
is up 4 and a4% it's at $9141.
>> And Karen futures are lower this morning
ahead of a key reading on inflation.
Before the opening bell, we get the
consumer price index for the month of
February. It's projected to show core
inflation stripping out volatile energy
and food prices rose 210% last month.
>> And right now taking a look at Oracle
and company news. Shares are up 10% in
early trading. Revenue topped analyst
estimates and the software maker gave an
outlook that suggested there is little
let up in demand for AI computing and
covers Oracle for Bloomberg
intelligence.
>> It's actually very clean numbers. I
think the things that sticks out most is
capital expenditure is not going to go
up. I think people are worried about a
lot of these uh cloud providers adding
to capex. So that's a good thing with
revenue slightly higher, capex remaining
flat, the backlog is growing. So I think
this is a good print from you know
multiple facets.
>> And Bloomberg Intelligence's honor notes
that before the report Oracle stock had
lost more than 50% of its value from its
September peak as Wall Street grew
worried about its high AI costs.
>> Wall Street's biggest bank JP Morgan
Chase Karen is restricting its lending
to private credit funds after marking
down the value of certain assets in
their portfolios. Sources say the
devalued loans are to software
companies. That is a sector that has
been in the spotlight in recent weeks
due to investor concern over the
potential impact from artificial
intelligence. This news is the latest
sign of stress in a once booming segment
of the credit market.
>> And a programming note, markets may
close on Friday, but the world does not.
That's why we bring you a new live radio
and TV show. Bloomberg this weekend is
looking beyond the daily headlines to
the bigger themes driving politics,
business, and culture. Join David Gura,
Christina Ruffini, and Lisa Mateo for
smart conversations and in-depth
interviews that help make sense of the
week that's been and what comes next.
Get Bloomberg This Weekend live
Saturdays and Sundays from 7 a.m.
Eastern on Bloomberg Radio TV and the
Bloomberg Business App.
Time now for a look at some of the other
stories making news in New York and
around the world. And for that, we're
joined by Bloomberg's Michael Bar.
Michael, good morning.
>> Good morning, Karen. The Department of
Homeland Security remains without
funding approval from Congress as TSA
agents are working without pay. That
means long lines at security with
increased sick calls. The former
governor of New Hampshire, Chris
Cenounu, is now president and CEO of the
trade group Airlines for America.
>> Is this the new norm? Is this the new
populism politics where airlines and the
American public are penalized every time
these don't guys don't agree on
something? Meanwhile, some US airports,
including San Francisco International
Airport, use private contractors for
security screenings. The private
contractors pay comes from a federal
contract. So, it continues even when the
government shuts down. First, responders
are searching beneath the rubble of
structures leveled by what appears to be
a tornado that ripped through Newton
County, Indiana, minutes after one was
reported over the border in Illinois.
Newton County Sheriff Shannon Catherine.
We're still trying to assess damages.
Uh, injuries so far have been minor that
have been reported.
>> Sheriff Catherine says there's about a
three mile stretch of damage. New Jersey
Governor Mikey Cheryl says she wants to
scale back the state's new property tax
relief program for senior citizens to
help close a $3 billion structural
deficit. In her first budget address
since entering office in January, Cher
proposed $2 billion in spending
reductions. The largest reduction would
come from the shrinking size and
eligibility of the stay New Jersey tax
benefit for homeowners age 65 or older
who make below $500,000.
Cheryl 6 uh Cheryl's $60.7 billion
budget proposal would lower the
qualifying income threshold for the tax
benefit to $250,000
and reduce the maximum annual benefit to
4,000 from 6,500. Global News 24 hours a
day and whenever you want it with the
Bloomberg News Now. I'm Michael Bar and
this is Bloomberg. Aaron,
>> thanks Michael. Time now for our
Bloomberg sports update and for that we
bring in John Stashour.
>> Thanks Darren. Bam. Attabaya was only
the third leading scoreer on the Miami
Heat. The 38th leading scorer in the NBA
at least going into last night when
Adabio exploded against Washington. He
scored 83 points. That's two more than
Kobe Bryant scored in 2006. It's topped
only by the 100 points that Will
Chamberlain had in 1962. Upset in the
World Baseball Classic, Italy beat the
US 8-6. If Mexico beats Italy and scores
four or fewer runs, the US is out.
That's your Bloomberg Sports Update.
>> Stay with us. More from Bloomberg
Daybreak coming up after this.
Coast to coast on Bloomberg radio,
nationwide on SiriusXM, and around the
world on Bloomberg.com and the Bloomberg
Business app. This is Bloomberg
Daybreak.
>> Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager. As the
war with Iran enters its 12th day, major
moves may be on the way now to calm an
energy market that has been whipsawed by
the fastmoving conflict. Bloomberg News
has learned that the International
Energy Agency is now proposing the
largest ever release of emergency oil
reserves. For the latest, we're joined
from Istanbul by Bloomberg News Middle
East breaking news editor Patrick Sykes.
And Patrick, before we got this latest
word, we had already heard that this
could be the biggest release since uh
Russia's invasion of Ukraine. What's the
latest we're hearing now?
>> Yeah, indeed. That would be a huge
amount of supply potentially to enter
the market at a time when of course lots
and lots of ships are stuck on the wrong
side of the straight of full moons in
the Persian Gulf and uh some of those
producers in the Middle East have had to
shut in production or cut it back at
least uh as a result of the crisis. I
think we'll be watching potentially
later to today later today for a final
decision uh on those reserves but
potentially yes some release to the
market in the form of supply
>> 300 to 400 million barrels a day is what
sources are telling us. Will that be
enough to calm the market as we are
watching uh NYX and crude both spiking
still this morning?
I think the market will quite quickly I
mean I'm sure it'll uh it'll it'll
provide some limited relief but I think
longer term the market will get quite
quickly back to question of duration in
the straight of foremost this is an
emergency measure it'll provide some
relief at the front end but for
longerterm calming of the market any
return to the kind of price levels we
saw before the start of the war I think
you need a resolution uh to the conflict
and particularly to the security
situation and homeless.
>> What does the security situation look
like right now? We've heard reports of
uh some ships being hit potentially or
targeted.
>> Yeah, by my account, today has been one
of the worst for attacks on shipping in
the region. We've had three separate
incidents reported by the UK Navy agency
uh that looks at these. I think a cargo
uh a bulk carrier. Um, so it just
underlines, you know, I think hours
after Trump and and his administration
were talking about uh targeting Iranian
mining capabilities to secure the
strait, Iran appears to have responded
with an uptick in attacks.
>> It raises a question about whether the
US is ready to fulfill President Trump's
promise to uh escort ships through the
straight of Hormuz. Uh what's the
situation there?
Yeah, there was some confusion
yesterday. One US official had said that
that had hap that had begun. One ship
had passed and that was later denied by
the White House and the the post in
question was deleted. Uh I think if and
when it comes, yes, perhaps similar to
these reserves, right? It'll provide
some relief uh in that traffic will be
able to start moving again. On the other
hand, those uh convoys are going to be
themselves a target and the rate of
transit is still going to be very very
low with the kind of uh hardware you
would need to commit to get them
through. So you're looking at
potentially resumption but at a much
lower volume still.
>> This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning
podcast on the stories making news from
Wall Street to Washington and beyond.
Look for us on your podcast feed by 6:00
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>> And don't forget to subscribe to
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informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow.
>> And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again
tomorrow morning for all the news you
need to start your day right here on
Bloomberg Daybreak.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The International Energy Agency is proposing its largest-ever release of emergency oil reserves (300-400 million barrels) to counter spiking energy prices driven by the Middle East war and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. The White House has faced challenges and sent mixed messages regarding securing the Strait, where attacks on shipping continue. In US politics, a special election in Georgia has led to an unusual runoff between a Democrat and a Trump-backed Republican, while Mississippi primaries also saw incumbents win. Economically, Oracle's shares surged after strong earnings indicated robust AI computing demand, contrasting with JP Morgan Chase restricting private credit fund lending due to devalued software company loans, signaling market stress. Domestically, the Department of Homeland Security faces funding issues leading to TSA agents working without pay, and New Jersey proposes scaling back senior property tax relief to address a budget deficit. Sports news included a remarkable NBA scoring performance and an upset in the World Baseball Classic.
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