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3 Massive IPOs. Scott Galloway Predicts a Crash | Pivot

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3 Massive IPOs. Scott Galloway Predicts a Crash | Pivot

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1605 segments

0:00

Every election is a choice, not a

0:02

marriage proposal. We're not hiring a

0:04

priest, we're hiring a senator.

0:11

>> Hi everyone, this is Pivot from New York

0:13

Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast

0:14

Network. I'm Carara Swisser

0:16

>> and I'm Scott Galloway.

0:17

>> With just a week to go before Maine

0:19

Senate primary, Graham Platner, the

0:20

presumptive Democratic nominee, is

0:22

facing his latest controversy. Multiple

0:24

outlets reported over the weekend that

0:25

Platner's wife told a campaign aid last

0:28

year that her husband sent sexually

0:30

explicit texts to several women outside

0:32

the marriage. Um, by the way, this

0:34

campaign person had a falling out with

0:36

Platner and has dropped a dime, which is

0:38

has its own ethical considerations.

0:40

Platner is calling these reports gossip

0:42

from a former staffer and accused the

0:43

media of journalistic malpractice. Not

0:45

as of this recording, none of the women

0:47

involved in in the text exchanges have

0:48

come forward. Platner's wife, Amy

0:50

Gertner, released a video, which I

0:52

thought was fascinating over the weekend

0:54

defending her husband and their

0:55

marriage. Let's listen because it was

0:57

really quite something to to listen to.

0:59

It makes me really angry, um,

1:02

disappointed,

1:04

and

1:06

I find it really shameful that there's a

1:09

group of media outlets

1:13

and people who are willing to spread

1:16

gossip

1:18

um, instead of talking about real issues

1:20

that Graham is

1:24

is running on like healthcare and

1:27

education and child care. As I said,

1:30

it's the, you know, this cont, this has

1:31

been a controversial campaign. You know,

1:33

he reportedly has an active account on

1:35

kicks, a private messaging app sometimes

1:37

used for sexing. He's faced scrutiny, of

1:39

course, about his Nazi symbol tattoo. He

1:42

later expressed regret and covered it

1:43

up. There were posts from a deleted

1:45

Reddit account recent, all manner of

1:46

sex, you know, jokes about sexual

1:48

assault, and he's also apologized for

1:51

that. It's a really interesting issue,

1:52

and lots of people disagree on this. I I

1:55

I'll tell you what I think in a second,

1:56

but there's Platner appears to be the

1:58

real chance of unseating Republican

2:00

Susan Collins and uh who is the zombie

2:03

of all senators. He's been leading in

2:05

recent polls. Um I personally, I'm going

2:08

to just very quickly say I think voters

2:10

don't care about this. I don't. And I

2:12

thought his wife handled it well. Um I

2:14

have others. I had an argument with

2:16

Amanda this weekend. She doesn't like

2:18

the Nazi tattoo. She doesn't like this.

2:20

Um, I feel as if if they if the husband

2:22

and wife are working it out, it remind

2:24

me a little when Hillary Clinton did I

2:27

should I stand by my man when he had

2:29

those Jennifer Flowers things? Reminds

2:31

me a little bit of that. Um, turned out

2:33

to be a pretty good president and not

2:35

everything. Not of course the Monominsky

2:37

stuff, but um, uh, it's a really

2:40

interesting question. I don't get

2:43

bothered by it as much, none of it. Um,

2:46

I think he's an he's, as Amanda Litman

2:48

correctly said, he's someone who had a

2:50

drinking problem as a Marine, probably

2:52

got that tattoo, has some mental health

2:54

challenges, which he's trying to

2:55

overcome, marriage problems, which he's,

2:57

his wife is insisting they're going to

2:59

counselors and overcoming. I'm not so

3:02

sure in the era of Trump this matters at

3:05

all. So, what do you think?

3:07

>> Look, okay, every election is a choice,

3:10

not a marriage proposal.

3:14

We're not hiring a priest, we're hiring

3:17

a senator. Do you want to make sure that

3:19

women's rights aren't continued to be

3:20

rolled back? Do you want a more

3:22

responsible economic policy? Do you want

3:25

different um approaches to labor that

3:27

raise the wages of nurses and students?

3:29

Do you want something regarding fiscal

3:31

sanity? Do you want to stop have a check

3:34

against the unfettered unprecedented

3:36

corruption, but we're going to talk

3:38

about [ __ ] tattoos and sexing?

3:41

I mean the the obsess the obsession with

3:44

personal purity has become a luxury

3:46

belief and it folks if your house is on

3:48

fire you don't ask whether the

3:51

firefighter has problematic DMs

3:54

>> right right

3:54

>> now having said that

3:56

>> right

3:56

>> the comm's person for the platner

3:59

campaign should be fired

4:03

>> you don't go after media you don't say

4:05

this is gossip you don't say these are

4:08

texts he said it was

4:10

>> it was journalist IC malpractice. Guess

4:12

what? These texts are accurate.

4:15

>> The reporting has been accurate.

4:18

>> Good for you, Scott.

4:19

>> The response should be the following. I

4:22

am an imperfect man. I have demonstrated

4:25

terrible judgment on several occasions

4:27

in my marriage and I have a great

4:30

marriage. What about you? What about

4:34

you? That are we going to continue to

4:38

have one strike and you're out? I'm a

4:39

Jew. I don't love a Totten comp tattoo.

4:43

Okay, if he gets drunk one night and

4:44

gets a stupid [ __ ] tattoo, the fact

4:46

that he's trying to protect our

4:48

liberties the next day and might be

4:49

blown up by an IED, he gets a hall pass.

4:53

So, okay folks, if you want to keep

4:55

applying purity tests, we end up with an

4:59

incompetent running against a 9/11

5:01

denier in Los Angeles. We're not going

5:02

to have any candidates,

5:04

>> right,

5:04

>> running. So, one, stop the purity tests.

5:10

And two, the the Platner campaign,

5:14

it's not the crisis that brings people

5:16

down,

5:17

>> right?

5:17

>> It's their inability to own it. I [ __ ]

5:20

up.

5:21

>> Did you What? Did you watch his wives

5:22

thing? I thought it was It reminded me a

5:24

lot of the Hillary Remember when Hillary

5:25

Clinton and Bill Clinton sat down? When

5:27

they sat down together on 60 Minutes?

5:30

>> Yeah. It was really interesting to me.

5:33

It had a lot of echoes of that. I

5:35

thought, you know, someone said to me

5:37

like, "Oh, she looks like someone who's

5:39

the wife's in denial." I'm like, "No, I

5:40

think she seems to not be in denial. She

5:42

understands his problems." And I think

5:45

it just reminded me a great deal of

5:47

that. Um, and there's, you know, as a

5:49

person, you can have com as a personal

5:51

thing, you have comments about people on

5:54

a political thing. I I'm like, I want to

5:56

talk about this idea of imperfect allies

5:58

that you and I have talked about.

5:59

Obviously, I'd heard it first from Sarah

6:01

McBride, but uh oh, Representative Sarah

6:03

McBride, who has plenty of reasons to be

6:05

angry to people and isn't um she's a

6:08

writer named David Gate posted about it

6:10

on Substack. Let me read a quote.

6:12

Working with someone toward a shared

6:13

goal does not require believing they are

6:15

morally perfect. Requires believing the

6:17

goal itself matters enough to justify

6:18

strategic alignment. He goes on to say,

6:21

"The planet is on fire, as you noted

6:23

just now, Scott, while many people are

6:25

still conducting background checks on

6:26

one another's vibes." So talk about that

6:30

concept because it's a really it's a

6:33

really difficult one for many people to

6:35

get around this guy. Many people

6:37

supported him. Others were like no we

6:39

have to we have to like have background

6:42

checks. So what do you think about that?

6:44

Can people get to that idea of for I

6:47

guess forgiving people for their

6:49

imperfections or

6:50

>> one of the reasons we're seeing a crash

6:53

in birth rates

6:55

is a lack of dancing.

6:58

And that is a dancing is a key component

7:01

or a key mating ritual. And when you

7:04

dance, typically it helps if you drink a

7:06

little bit. The anti-alcohol movement is

7:08

hurting it. But more than anything, and

7:10

there was a wonderful Tik Tok on this by

7:12

some young man, and I thought, God, this

7:14

was so powerful.

7:16

People have a camera on them all the

7:17

time.

7:18

>> Yeah, they do. 19-year-old men don't

7:21

want to dance because they're worried

7:22

about or they don't they don't want to

7:24

take risks like dancing like approaching

7:27

a a romantic a potential expressing

7:30

romantic interest because they're

7:31

worried one false move and you're out

7:33

everything in a digital world. So unless

7:35

we move to at least some basic notion of

7:38

as our digital world increases and

7:40

everything we've done is going to be

7:42

recorded and potentially used against us

7:44

unless we have a little bit more grace

7:46

and okay what's interesting here is that

7:50

I just hope the same thing holds and

7:52

that is if the Republicans decide the

7:54

best candidate for a Senate seat in

7:56

Texas is someone whose wife divorced him

7:59

on biblical grounds if they can

8:02

>> and who has a history of fraud If we can

8:05

decide that this guy can have his finger

8:07

on the button and be the most powerful

8:09

person in the world while he's banging

8:11

adult uh movie stars while his wife is

8:14

home nursing. And to a certain extent,

8:17

I'm kind of like, I don't care if the

8:19

pilot is a good person. I want someone

8:22

who's really good at flying the [ __ ]

8:23

plane. So, I think the same thing needs

8:26

to go to our politics. I just hope that

8:28

the same what I'll call focus on

8:31

perceived effectiveness is the same for

8:33

Democrats. And I am still ripe angry at

8:38

Senator Gillibrand who thought a

8:40

seven-minute run for president was worth

8:42

kicking Senator Al Franken out. The

8:45

Democrats want to walk around and say,

8:46

"Well, we'll have our dignity." Okay,

8:49

hold on to your dignity as a 15-year-old

8:52

has her pelvis broken cuz she's forced

8:54

to carry a child to term. But yeah, you

8:57

you kicked Platner out.

8:59

>> Is there something that there should be

9:01

a line? Like obviously

9:02

>> I think at some point if it I mean, let

9:05

me put it this way. If Graham Platner

9:07

was was, you know, it it ended up that

9:10

he was kind of fond of wearing a white

9:12

hood

9:13

>> and was was constantly engaging in

9:17

anti-semitic behavior, then that that

9:19

that tattoo isn't an errant mistake from

9:22

a youthful soldier.

9:23

>> It's a pattern. The corruption of the

9:27

Trump family is a pattern. This is not

9:29

This is This speaks to their character.

9:32

But folks, all of us have made mistakes.

9:36

I I I I mean, okay, Barack Obama doesn't

9:39

appear. We can't seem to find a mistake

9:41

on President Obama.

9:42

>> I can't, but go ahead.

9:43

>> Well, okay. But you know what I mean. Or

9:46

scandal,

9:47

>> right?

9:48

powerful men

9:50

um are under the illusion that that they

9:55

mistake

9:56

kindness for sexual interest. And as

9:58

they become more powerful, power

9:59

corrupts and they're more likely to

10:01

believe that they're immune from

10:02

standard norms and engage in stupid

10:05

reckless behavior. By the way, more

10:07

women do that than they get credit for.

10:09

I will I will argue that it's it infects

10:11

a lot more men than women, but you know,

10:14

Secretary Gnome was banging her number

10:16

two on government property. So,

10:18

>> yeah, she did a lot of work for that.

10:20

Yeah, she

10:22

counts for 10, Matt, I have to say. But

10:25

>> oh man,

10:26

>> look, I don't I I I saw this and I was

10:29

like, okay, at what point at what point

10:31

I'm hoping we've passed the purity test

10:33

on the Democratic side,

10:35

>> but more than anything, I want to call

10:37

the Platner campaign and say,

10:39

>> "Oh,

10:40

>> stop attacking." Yeah. Stop attacking

10:41

the

10:42

>> Don't say it's gossip or it's not

10:43

accurate reporting.

10:45

>> It's been corroborated.

10:46

>> I think the point they were trying to

10:47

make is shouldn't we be focusing on the

10:49

important issues and that's all they

10:51

needed to say. I think the sec first

10:53

part should have been removed, right?

10:54

Just say, you know what, we get why

10:56

people might stare at this. It feels

10:58

like a traffic accident and it kind of

11:00

is, but let's focus on the real matters.

11:03

I have a question. Do you think we're

11:04

imperfect allies? I think we are a

11:06

little

11:06

>> imperfect allies.

11:08

>> Yeah. Like people you don't always agree

11:09

with everything and but I think you I I

11:12

think that I mean the reality is Cara is

11:15

I'm a we're both progressives and the

11:19

fact disagree on things. Yeah. where the

11:21

real progress needs to be is between

11:23

moderate Democrats and moderate

11:24

Republicans. I mean, if if the two, you

11:28

know, on almost every major issue, you

11:30

and I are within two basis points of

11:32

each other in terms of actually what we

11:34

believe. We might believe in tech, you

11:36

know, we might have differences around

11:38

>> text and tone or whatever. But what we

11:41

really need, I mean, a couple things.

11:43

One, I think this is we have to from a

11:46

young age start thinking, "All right,

11:48

folks, unless you don't want to unless

11:51

you want to live a life with a fake user

11:54

account and VPN for fear you ever do

11:56

anything wrong, we're going to have to

11:58

demonstrate more grace with each other."

12:00

The Democrats applying these purity

12:02

tests to themselves. It's just like

12:03

that. The Republicans are just laughing

12:06

that we would do this.

12:07

>> Like, people be naughty. Like, people be

12:09

naughty.

12:10

>> Have at it. But the thing that really

12:13

the Platiner campaign, Graham Platiner,

12:15

should do the following.

12:18

I've had I've demonstrated terrible

12:20

judgment numerous times.

12:21

>> He has on other issues. Yeah.

12:23

>> Numerous times in my in my professional

12:26

and personal life.

12:27

>> Yeah.

12:27

>> I've also served my country. I think I'd

12:30

be a great senator. And by the way, I

12:32

have a fantastic marriage.

12:34

>> Yeah.

12:34

>> So have at it, folks. If you want to if

12:36

you want to engage in this stuff, I

12:38

realize it's titillating. Have at it.

12:40

All he's doing and his campaign are

12:42

doing is keeping the story alive by

12:45

denying it and by attacking the media.

12:48

>> I don't think there's anything wrong

12:50

with the media reporting this because

12:51

well I I do have a I have to say I'd

12:53

like to know I I'd like to know a little

12:56

more about this campaign person who

12:57

keeps dropping dimes on this guy and

12:59

what her agenda is. I have to say she's

13:02

been doing it a lot. She she wants she's

13:04

mad and I want to know I'd like to know

13:06

about her in specifics also. That's what

13:10

I would say the media needs to do a

13:11

little bit more of because I need to

13:12

understand what the source's motivations

13:14

are and she's not here to protect us, I

13:16

don't think. Anyway, um let's move on.

13:18

Uh self-help podcaster J Shetty has

13:20

signed a deal to bring a video version

13:22

of his show exclusively to Spotify and

13:24

Netflix. Another one of these deals,

13:26

which is interesting. The deal is

13:27

reportedly over worth over hund00

13:28

million over multiple years. Who knows?

13:30

Um Shetty and his previous partner

13:32

iHeart uh media parted ways. They could

13:35

not come to terms. This is something

13:36

happening. Obviously Scott and I went

13:38

through a bunch of these, not this

13:40

amount of money, but it's a really

13:41

interesting um that Netflix

13:44

>> I hate to break it to you, but over 5

13:46

years we're getting more than this.

13:47

>> Okay.

13:47

>> And that's why we're in Perfect Allies,

13:49

as you realize on bank.

13:51

>> Yeah, we're pretty high on the news list

13:52

this week. I was noticing we're moving

13:54

up. We still haven't passed Megan Kelly,

13:56

but we will. Um

13:57

>> we're coming for you, Megan.

13:58

>> We're coming for you, Megan. And not

14:00

like that way in any way physically or

14:03

just

14:04

>> No. In the Apple podcast ranking.

14:06

podcasting, let's be clear, so you don't

14:08

make a show out of it. Um, so, uh, but

14:11

talk about these deals because they're

14:12

really because you can't go on YouTube.

14:14

It's all of them, right? Is that And he

14:16

was he did it the the normal way, which

14:18

was an iHeart deal. You could do those.

14:20

There's a bunch of companies like this,

14:22

but now this was a this is for Spotify

14:24

and Netflix, which is interesting. And

14:26

Spotify had tried, you know, the Rogan

14:28

thing obviously they did signed a bunch

14:29

of deals that didn't work out. Um, you

14:32

know, and so talk a little bit about

14:34

this. What do you how do you look at

14:35

this market right now and what do these

14:37

indicate to you?

14:38

>> Well, first off, uh let me just say with

14:41

with Jay, I'm really happy for him. I I

14:43

don't know him well, but I know him.

14:45

I've been on his podcast a couple times.

14:48

I think he's a lovely man and I think he

14:50

does a good job. And essentially what he

14:52

realized is the most valuable media

14:54

asset in podcasting isn't sports like it

14:57

is on cable TV. It's loneliness. He

15:00

figured how to monetize the largest

15:02

market in America and that is people who

15:04

need a friend. And so in Okay, so I'm

15:09

happy for Jay. I think he does a great

15:10

job. And by the way, I cannot get over

15:12

and I think it's total [ __ ] all the

15:14

hate that Jay and Mel Robbins get.

15:16

>> They get a lot

15:17

>> and it's just like, okay, don't listen

15:20

to their podcasts. They're not bad.

15:22

>> That's how I feel. I don't I'm not a big

15:23

fan of I mean, I like them. I like Mel

15:26

personally, but I just I get why people

15:28

find it annoying. It's a little bit

15:29

much.

15:29

>> Fine, then don't listen to it. But

15:30

>> I was literally in an elevator and

15:32

someone says, "Do you know Mel Robbins?

15:33

I find her very annoying." I'm like,

15:34

"Okay,

15:35

>> then don't listen."

15:36

>> That's what I said.

15:38

>> Of nothing.

15:39

>> I mean, the reality is any bestselling

15:40

author, if you say bestselling author is

15:43

full of [ __ ] you get elevated in the

15:45

the ratings. So, people are [ __ ] posting

15:47

every bestselling author to get another

15:49

70 bucks from from [ __ ] TikTok. Have

15:51

at it. But I've never understood the

15:53

hate for Jay and Mel. I think they're

15:56

both nice people doing their best, doing

15:58

good work. And if you don't like their

15:59

work, which I understand, it's not for

16:00

everybody. You know, the whole kind of

16:03

monk rap gets a little bit old

16:05

sometimes.

16:05

>> I'm not a fan of the self-help stuff.

16:07

>> Yeah, fine. Then don't listen. That's

16:08

fine.

16:09

>> Yeah.

16:09

>> But there's two things here. This

16:11

dynamic that's colliding is the

16:12

following.

16:14

The largest the fastest growing ad

16:17

supported medium is not even

16:20

it's not even YouTube in terms of

16:22

revenue or or meta. It's podcasts. They

16:25

think the I think the ad revenue is

16:27

going to be up 21% this year on

16:29

podcasting. In addition,

16:32

40% of I think about 20% of ours and 40%

16:35

of Propy Markets pods are watched or

16:38

listened to on a TV cuz they're streamed

16:40

off of YouTube. So essentially what a

16:42

podcast is, it's a television show

16:46

>> for 10% of the production value or cost.

16:50

>> So the means of production of TV is

16:51

being arbed into podcasting. And now 55%

16:54

of Americans have listened to a podcast

16:56

recently. So in addition, the intimacy

16:59

of the relationship advertisers really

17:02

like and the CPMs for Pivot are $45. The

17:05

CPMs for CNN are 13. And then you

17:08

combine it with the following.

17:11

There's this dirty secret of podcasting

17:13

called the RSS feed. And slowly but

17:15

surely, you build up subscribers. And

17:17

every time a show comes out, it's

17:19

automatically downloaded to an iPhone

17:21

and it's counted as a listen. So the

17:24

people who've been in it for 3, 5, 10

17:27

years, as you have, who have built large

17:30

RSS feeds have moes. So what you have is

17:34

a series of acquirers going, we need

17:36

growth. Let's go find a podcast and a

17:41

small number of podcasts that actually

17:44

have large RSS feeds because you cannot

17:47

uh you know when LandMen comes out it's

17:49

a hit overnight. It's hard for a podcast

17:53

if you look at the top 10 podcasts even

17:55

a in any category they're usually the

17:58

original gangsters or they're people

17:59

who've been around for a while.

18:01

>> You're absolutely right. So you have

18:02

demand and you have sequestered or

18:07

pretty big moes which all adds up to

18:10

large acquisition prices relative to

18:12

their revenues. I bet Jay does 10 to 20

18:15

million a year. So he's getting sold at

18:16

10 to five times revenues which is a

18:18

lot. But you're about to see and we've

18:21

been predicting this and I'm talking our

18:23

own book here but I've been saying this

18:24

for the last two years. There just

18:27

aren't when Spotify, iHeart, Sirius,

18:31

you know, and James Murdoch go looking

18:33

for podcasts. There aren't that many of

18:36

scale,

18:36

>> you know. It's really interesting and it

18:39

is the cost structure and which people

18:40

don't understand and it is television

18:42

because our YouTube audience find uh

18:45

revenues are growing pretty smartly. Um

18:47

and it's a really interesting way to

18:49

deliver news. that's, you know, it's

18:51

it's what people want, which is why

18:53

you're seeing the podification of

18:56

network news. I just don't think it's

18:57

going to work. I think you either just

18:58

have to go this way or not. I don't

19:01

think you can switch that audience over

19:03

because they're older and they like the

19:05

way it is. So, you're going to see these

19:06

declines like you see at CBS because

19:08

they don't like the new stuff you're

19:09

doing. Um, you it's kind of just like a

19:12

you need to do a hard reset with a lot

19:14

of this stuff. Um, but I agree. I think

19:17

it's interesting and they can actually

19:18

usually make the money back. But the

19:20

foregoing of YouTube versus Netflix is a

19:23

really interesting and it'll depend on

19:25

the on on what your product is at any

19:29

one time whether you want to sort of be

19:30

in the safe harbor of Netflix, Spotify

19:33

or you want to be out in the open in the

19:35

in a YouTube Google world essentially.

19:38

Um which I people can mix and match too

19:40

by the way which is what's great about

19:42

it, right? Presumably.

19:43

>> Well, the most powerful media company in

19:46

the world that's on a tech. Well, the

19:48

most powerful

19:48

>> saying you're a giant hand there. Look

19:49

at that. Keep put your big hand up

19:51

there. Oh. Oh. Okay.

19:52

>> I'm very self-conscious of my hands. I

19:53

have my I have my mother's hands.

19:55

They're not

19:57

my hands I in the competition for my

19:59

worst feature. It is the Olympics. I

20:01

mean, it is there's a lot of

20:02

competitors. Yeah.

20:03

>> But my hands are right up there. I'm

20:04

very self-conscious of my hands. That's

20:06

why I don't wear jewelry.

20:07

>> They're perfectly nice. Anyways, so uh

20:10

Netflix I think is the most powerful

20:12

media company in the world or

20:13

traditional media company and they're

20:14

getting into podcasting and overnight

20:18

they're going to be able to whoever they

20:20

decide to distribute or acquire

20:22

overnight that podcast is going to be I

20:24

mean they'll be king they'll be the new

20:25

king and queen makers of podcasting.

20:27

>> I thought it was bad news for iHeart

20:29

I'll tell you that was a good

20:30

>> I think that's right. iHeart is a

20:33

company that's gone I think through

20:35

bankruptcy once or twice and they have

20:36

to be economically rational. They don't

20:38

have access to cheap capital. So they if

20:41

iHeart shows up and Spotify and Netflix

20:43

show up to a bidding war,

20:45

>> you go with them.

20:45

>> I don't know who wins. I just know

20:46

iHeart loses.

20:47

>> Yeah. Yeah.

20:48

>> iHeart can't can't justify the

20:50

valuations these guys can justify. you

20:53

know, if you know even a serious

20:56

basically I think you're going to see

20:57

Spotify

20:59

and Netflix take the whole value of the

21:01

podcast ecosystem up. And not only that,

21:04

if your podcast does

21:07

a 10 million downloads a month, you're

21:10

worth four times the podcast that does 5

21:12

million because it is so hard in this

21:15

environment to find scale. It's very

21:17

similar to cable TV in the sense that

21:21

the there's a small number of

21:22

personalities who extract the majority

21:24

of the economics.

21:25

>> Yeah.

21:26

>> And it's the same it's the same in

21:27

podcasting. But but I want to finish

21:29

where I started.

21:30

>> I'm really happy for Jay. I like it when

21:32

people

21:33

>> he's been in the business for 10 years.

21:34

He's a nice man.

21:35

>> He has worked at it. Yeah, he has worked

21:36

at it.

21:36

>> Good for him.

21:37

>> Yeah. Well, just don't listen to him if

21:39

you don't like him. That's my feeling on

21:40

a lot of things.

21:40

>> He and I have been sexing in related

21:42

news

21:43

>> on kicks. Kicks is a dreamy. Let me just

21:46

tell you screamy. He has the most

21:47

beautiful eyes.

21:48

>> Latner definitely picked the dirty one.

21:50

I'll just say he picked the dirty one.

21:52

Kicks is dirty.

21:54

>> I don't know anything about how would

21:55

you even know that? I don't know any of

21:56

these

21:57

>> because I know all these sites. I don't

21:58

use any of them.

21:59

>> Really? Do you go on talk about do you

22:01

offer other to powerwash other lesbians

22:04

backyard? You little saucy mink. You

22:06

>> Scott, I fix my power washer this

22:08

weekend. I was very excited. Anyway, uh

22:10

>> so just on that note before we go, I

22:13

think the new thing a guy asked me for

22:15

dating advice and he's like I'm never

22:16

going to go graduate from college. What

22:18

will I ever be able to find a woman? And

22:20

I'm like I think the new sexy is

22:22

bluecollar romance and that is

22:24

>> no poetry. Don't send a car for her.

22:27

>> Fix her [ __ ] refrigerator. I think

22:29

that gets women really hot.

22:31

>> Look at a woman's stressors

22:33

>> and treat them like they're your enemy.

22:35

Fill up her car with gas.

22:37

>> All right. Okay. Like

22:39

>> Amanda is not impressed with my power

22:40

washing. She makes fun of me, but that's

22:42

fine.

22:43

>> I think if you want to get a woman, I

22:46

think humor is the ultimate aphrodesiac

22:47

with women behind maybe money, but I

22:50

think a a decent runner up is to look at

22:53

a woman's acts of service. And if you

22:55

know how to fix [ __ ] you know, move

22:57

your girlfriend, show up and fix fix the

23:00

air conditioner, like attack her

23:03

problems like they're your enemies.

23:05

>> I like it. Self-help from Scott

23:06

Galloway. Okay, Scott, let's go. In a

23:08

quick break, when we come back, big IPO

23:10

news from Anthropic.

23:13

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23:57

Scott, we're back with breaking news.

23:58

Anthropic just confidentially filed its

24:00

IPO with the SEC. It has not disclosed

24:02

the size or terms the offering. I'm

24:04

excited for you to read it for me and

24:05

tell me what's in there. But before

24:07

that, Anthropic hit a major milestone

24:09

last week, passing OpenAI to become the

24:11

most valuable AI startup in the world.

24:12

The company announced a 65 billion

24:15

funding round. I can't believe I'm

24:16

saying billion round that values at 965

24:20

billion, very close to uh very close to

24:22

the top. Um to put things in

24:24

perspective, uh OpenAI announced a $730

24:28

billion valuation back in February, but

24:30

it took the company to around a decade

24:32

to reach that number. It just keeps

24:34

escalating. Anthropic, which was founded

24:36

5 years ago, has beaten the valuation in

24:38

half the time. Uh did anyone see this

24:40

coming? Scott Galloway did. Let's listen

24:42

to Scott's prediction from February.

24:44

>> As we sit here today, I actually think

24:46

that Anthropic or in the next 12 months,

24:49

this one of our predictions is going to

24:50

be worth more than open AI. Very well

24:52

done. What does this valuation mean for

24:54

Anthropics IPO as well as OpenAI and

24:56

SpaceX? By the way, SpaceX is now

24:58

targeting an IPO valuation of 1.8

25:00

trillion after feedback from advisers

25:02

and investors according to Bloomberg.

25:03

That's a step down from the initially

25:05

reported 2 trillion. Uh it's still too

25:07

much. Um uh anyway, uh thoughts? What do

25:10

you think? You got that one right, and

25:12

we'll be looking at the the filing when

25:15

we get to be able to see it, but we

25:17

don't know a lot yet. I don't think any

25:18

company in the world has the momentum

25:20

right now of Anthropic. And it was built

25:23

a genius move. They went after the

25:25

enterprise market.

25:27

And I mean the pivot, you have never

25:30

seen a number two this viciously become

25:32

the number one this fast.

25:33

>> Yeah.

25:34

>> You know, you've never seen Avis

25:35

overtake Hertz this fast. You've never

25:37

seen Pepsi overtake Coke like this this

25:39

fast. And the thing the thing that's so

25:43

impressive about this isn't the

25:44

valuation. It's the speed.

25:48

Google took 20 years to reach a trillion

25:50

dollars. Anthropic got there in five. It

25:54

was founded in 2021 and if it had been

25:56

founded in Amsterdam, it would be one of

25:58

the five most valuable companies in

25:59

Europe. And it did it in five years.

26:02

>> I mean, it's it's not capital formation.

26:05

It's it's financial teleportation. Five

26:08

years. Zero to a trillion dollars.

26:10

>> Yeah.

26:11

>> We keep talking about how AI might

26:13

transform the world. May maybe, maybe

26:15

not. But it's definitely transforming

26:17

capital formation.

26:19

And I mean, the one advantage America

26:22

has is that we will do these $60 billion

26:25

rounds after two or three years. And in

26:29

Europe, they just don't have that type

26:30

of capital formation. They just

26:32

>> I want you to give me the downside

26:34

because you were you definitely called

26:36

this, but what would be the worry for

26:38

you of maybe all three IPOs or this one?

26:41

What would be the warning signs or

26:43

something you would pay attention to

26:45

because you're not always fully like up

26:47

and to the right as a person?

26:49

>> Oh,

26:50

these stocks and the collective

26:52

hallucination around the valuations

26:54

here.

26:55

One or more of these stocks is going to

26:57

be off 40 to 70% and it's going to send

26:59

the US and the global economy into a

27:01

recession. The US has become a giant bet

27:03

on AI and these companies are

27:05

overvalued. The technology will survive.

27:07

These valuations won't. There's just I'm

27:10

sorry SpaceX at 100 times revenues

27:13

you know open AI at what's it going on

27:16

at 20 every every big company we follow

27:20

has in the last 10 years been off

27:22

between 40 and 70% in a 12-month period

27:25

that's fine that's part of the cycle of

27:28

high growth companies up and down the

27:30

difference here is that we've bet the

27:32

entire economy on these magnificent 10

27:35

93% of our GDP growth is coming from AI

27:38

high capex. So when these companies, you

27:41

know, they always say company, if the

27:43

American economy sneezes, the world

27:45

catches a cold. We're going to catch

27:47

[ __ ] pneumonia, right?

27:48

>> When the expectations, an MIT professor

27:51

just came out with a study saying 95% of

27:53

CFOs aren't seeing the ROI on their

27:56

investments in AI.

27:57

>> As we noted last week with the Uber uh

27:59

COO, right, talking about about the

28:01

money spent,

28:02

>> the the danger here is the following. Uh

28:06

folks, I I don't think I think Anthropic

28:09

is the only one of these three that has

28:11

a reasonable shot at trading above its

28:15

IPO price 12 months out. There's just

28:18

gravity. No basketball player has ever

28:21

been in the air for more than 1 second.

28:23

For some reason, 1 second is the limit.

28:26

None of these companies can justify

28:29

their valuation unless they are able to

28:32

literally destroy the labor market. I

28:34

just got off the I just got off a

28:36

podcast with the CEO of Lily and I said

28:38

AI as it relates to drug discovery

28:40

underhyped or overhyped. This is a

28:41

measure guy and he's like overhyped.

28:44

The the the incentives from Amazon that

28:49

the more you more tokens you use the

28:50

more will compensate you. That shit's

28:52

about to go away. And the first big

28:53

company that announces we're cutting

28:55

back our AI spending,

28:58

you know, you're going to see the GDP of

29:00

Germany come out of the market. And

29:02

unfortunately the US market

29:04

>> is is frothy because of that. Because of

29:06

that

29:07

>> we're now concentrated the entire US

29:09

economy is a bet on 10 companies.

29:11

>> You know I have to say months ago Mark

29:13

Cuban said there's going to be a point

29:14

where tokens are being more expensive

29:16

than people. Like and he wanted me to

29:19

ask Daario that question. Yeah. It's a

29:20

great question.

29:20

>> He was like I was interviewing him at an

29:22

off-site thing and he's like that's the

29:24

question. When do people cost less than

29:26

tokens? And tokens are getting too

29:28

expensive which is interesting. Anyway,

29:29

we'll see what happens. But we'll I'm

29:31

excited for you to read it for me. Um,

29:33

all right, let's go on a quick break.

29:35

When we come back, some updates on

29:36

America's 250th celebration.

29:39

>> Support for the show comes from Better

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31:48

Scott, we're back with more news.

31:49

America's 250th birthday. Will now be a

31:52

mega rally. Apparently, President Trump

31:54

called for cancing the concert series at

31:56

the planned event after several

31:57

musicians dropped out because they they

31:59

were told it was nonpartisan. It's

32:00

obviously not nonpartisan. Instead,

32:02

Trump suggested he should headline the

32:04

event, calling himself the number one

32:06

attraction anywhere in the world, but

32:07

there's a lot, you know, and now his

32:09

name's going to be yanked off the the

32:11

Kennedy Center. A judge has ordered his

32:13

name to be taken down. I again, a lot of

32:16

performative stuff, but still

32:17

irritating. any predictions for the

32:19

250th celebration? It feels like no

32:21

one's any closer to that he is not

32:23

backing down on on celebrating himself,

32:26

including a $250 bill. Scott Besson has

32:28

soiled himself once again. So thoughts?

32:31

>> Yeah, you know, it's obnoxious and we'd

32:33

like to think that it's bad for him, but

32:36

you know, I hate to admit it as someone

32:37

who thinks about brands a lot. You could

32:39

make an argument that the most

32:41

successful consumer brand of the last

32:43

decade isn't Tesla, Apple, or Nike. It's

32:46

Trump. And

32:48

you know,

32:49

>> he's put it out. He's used the

32:50

presidency to to

32:52

>> That's the right analogy. It used to be

32:54

a public office and now it's

32:55

increasingly an entertainment franchise.

32:58

And I think he has I I just think

33:00

Democrats, like Robert McNamera said, if

33:02

you want to defeat an an enemy, you have

33:04

to empathize with them. There's just no

33:06

getting around it. The guy has an

33:08

incredible feel for branding and

33:10

marketing. And the product is awful. It

33:14

is It is like the greatest brand. what

33:17

he's been able to do with this shitty a

33:19

product, an inconsistent product.

33:21

>> The stakes, the water.

33:23

>> It really is in incredible. I I think

33:25

this is quite frankly, I think this

33:26

comes and goes. I don't think it's a big

33:28

story. What do you think?

33:28

>> I don't I think it's it makes us all

33:30

feel bad about America on the 250th

33:32

anniversary. I mean, I'm going to be

33:34

somewhere far away uh from Washington.

33:36

Um and I just think him I think all

33:38

these these artists pulling out was

33:41

interesting that you know, they were

33:42

like, "Yeah, no, they I think they see

33:44

what's going to Vermont. Isn't that

33:45

where all

33:46

>> That's where I'm going. That's

33:47

whereactly where I'm going. It's with

33:49

Amanda's family.

33:50

>> Did I get that right?

33:50

>> You did.

33:51

>> Oh my god. Stereotypes are for a reason.

33:55

>> Amanda's family has rebuilt their their

33:57

barn. They had a barn house and it was

33:59

going to fall down and they rebuilt it

34:00

and it's very lovely. And so we're going

34:02

up there. That's where we're going.

34:04

>> I can't believe I got that right.

34:05

>> You totally got that right. Oh my god.

34:08

Um anyway, um I'll trumpmp around and

34:10

hike.

34:11

>> You got the dog guard for the German

34:12

Shepherd in the back of the Subaru. Oh,

34:14

I don't have a dog. I would like to have

34:15

a dog, maybe, but they mess up my

34:17

beautiful yard work. Um, so cats don't

34:20

mess up yard work. They just bring in

34:21

chipmunks into the house. Um, uh, no, I

34:25

think it's just, you know, I remember.

34:27

Do you remember the 200th? I do. I do. I

34:29

was I was a kid. I was at camp. I

34:32

remember

34:32

>> I got a special commemorative coin from

34:34

the Franklin Mint.

34:35

>> Yeah. I really like the 200th. And I

34:38

felt very proud of this country at the

34:39

time. And I feel like gh like why do you

34:43

have to make everything so cheesy and

34:44

griy and gross like it would I'm excited

34:48

for the 300th. I'll be dead but that's

34:50

okay. Um but I mean it's just it feels

34:53

like grifty and gross. Although I did

34:55

recently run into um

34:57

>> you might be around. Actually I'm going

34:59

to call challenge on that. You'll be 13.

35:02

>> No I will not be around for that. Anyway

35:04

I just ran into Ken Burns at something.

35:06

He always makes me feel better about

35:08

about things. I just always I want to

35:10

hang out with Ken Barn Burns in Vermont

35:12

and go hiking. That's what I want to do

35:14

because I like listening to him tell

35:16

tales of our founding fathers and I feel

35:18

better.

35:19

>> Well, but but but just to that point, if

35:22

you want to feel better about America

35:23

and this the space we're in and we're

35:26

incredible narcissists, we like to think

35:27

that we're in uniquely good or uniquely

35:29

bad times. Folks, as bad as things are,

35:32

things have been much worse in America

35:33

and we've always been able to come back

35:35

stronger.

35:35

>> Yeah.

35:36

>> That's not to say you don't need to

35:37

vote. You don't need to be alarmed. You

35:39

don't need to take action. But at 1.1%

35:41

of America, American population

35:43

controlled the government and it

35:44

happened to be the slave owners. 80

35:46

years ago, we were interning people in

35:47

makeshift concentration camps because

35:49

their parents were or because they

35:50

immigrated from Japan. We have been in

35:52

pretty dark places before.

35:53

>> Yeah. Yeah, we have.

35:54

>> Anyways, history makes me feel with Ken

35:56

Burns in Vermont. That's my goal. Um,

35:58

anyway, last story. Blue Origin is

36:00

facing a major setback ever. New Glenn

36:02

rocket exploded during a test on a

36:03

launch pad last week. The company said

36:04

all personnel were safe and described

36:06

the incident as an anomaly. Jeff Bezos

36:08

posted on X, very rough day, but we'll

36:10

rebuild whatever needs rebuilding and

36:11

get it back to flying. It's worth it.

36:13

The explosion which damaged Blue

36:14

Origin's launchpad, which is a critical

36:16

problem. It's a significant blow. Uh

36:18

they've spent about a billion dollars on

36:20

it. I think it's a Cape Canaveral um to

36:23

challenge SpaceX in the commercial space

36:25

race. And one of the things about the

36:26

New Glenn is they can put up they're

36:28

they're trying with their LEO system um

36:30

to put up lots of satellites. they have

36:32

a couple hundred and and space uh

36:34

Starlink has I don't know 10,000 or

36:37

close to 10,000 and so they've been

36:39

trying to do this and these new Glenn

36:40

rockets would put up I think 48 or 50 as

36:43

opposed to a couple that they put up in

36:44

their smaller rockets. Um you know it's

36:48

a real problem for the launch pad they

36:49

only had one for the big for the big one

36:52

and for it to blow up on the launchpad

36:54

from what I understand I've been talking

36:55

to a lot of rocket people is bad. Um, it

36:57

should have blown up in the air of all

36:58

things because then they would have been

37:00

able to preserve the launch pad. Um,

37:02

it's not great. It's not a great thing.

37:04

And thank God Elon didn't didn't, you

37:07

know, go o on and on about it. He

37:09

because he knows he blows up his own

37:11

rockets frequently. Um, but it's a it

37:14

would be nice to have more than one uh

37:16

in this area, although two of the same

37:18

people, but still the compet

37:20

competition. Thoughts?

37:22

>> I I just couldn't wait. Like as soon as

37:24

I saw the explosion, I immediately

37:25

posted it on threads and said Bezos back

37:28

on CNBC again. Um, which I thought was

37:31

really good. It didn't get that many

37:33

likes, but I thought that was funny.

37:34

Like my favorite I always like to hear

37:37

the live broadcast because the the

37:39

individual

37:40

>> and they're trained to do this. They

37:42

always call an explosion an anomaly.

37:44

>> An anomaly. Yeah.

37:45

>> Which is like calling my divorce a

37:47

scheduling conflict.

37:50

It's like

37:52

>> we can make jokes cuz nobody was gay.

37:54

>> A disagreement. A mild disagreement.

37:56

>> Metal mangled. Yeah.

37:57

>> You know, and and my favorite I it's

38:00

like

38:01

>> I don't fully understand and this this

38:03

happens all the time, but when a rocket

38:05

blows up on the launch pad, isn't that

38:07

like failing a sobriety test in the

38:09

parking lot?

38:10

>> Yeah.

38:10

>> I mean,

38:11

>> yeah.

38:11

>> You I need to understand the physics,

38:14

but just to be clear,

38:15

>> not good. One of the reasons private

38:18

companies like SpaceX and Blue Origin

38:21

have succeeded or have caught in some

38:23

way surpassed NASA is that they're

38:26

allowed to move further out the risk

38:29

curve and explode rockets on the

38:32

launchpad. If NASA did this, there's a

38:35

feeling of government failure. They

38:36

can't take these kinds of risks. And to

38:38

a certain extent, just as I feel like

38:40

you see need a certain number of bank

38:42

failures every once in a while to show

38:43

that you are allocating capital at close

38:46

to or near the efficient frontier of

38:47

growth, you do I hate to say this, I

38:50

think you do need a certain number of

38:52

explosions on the launchpad because what

38:54

that says is

38:56

>> and by the way my understanding is not a

38:58

single person was injured or killed

38:59

here.

38:59

>> That's right.

39:00

>> This is a loss of capital from a company

39:03

that has access to a lot of capital.

39:05

>> It's not good. It's not because they

39:07

were trying to get like think about it a

39:09

couple hundred versus 10,000 satellites

39:11

like you

39:12

>> but Elon's had them explode. This is a

39:14

function of

39:14

>> No, no, no. But he has 10,000 satellites

39:16

up there. This is this is everyone talks

39:18

about Mars and everything else. This is

39:19

a race for satellite dominance. But only

39:22

one company dominates at this point. And

39:24

so it's a setback in that they can't get

39:26

dozens of these things up. They can get

39:28

a couple on these smaller rockets. And

39:30

you know, they're trying very hard. It's

39:32

just it's still someone when they saw

39:34

the explosion said to me, "Oh, look.

39:36

It's the Washington Post budget for a

39:37

year like or something." I was sort of

39:40

laughed. It's true. He doesn't mind

39:41

losing money here. And he's losing

39:43

money. Let's be clear. Um he he's hoping

39:46

for a payoff later. Although looking at

39:47

the the rocket business at Spa SpaceX is

39:51

not the greatest business in the world

39:52

right now yet either. Well,

39:54

>> Starlink is Starink is

39:56

>> it's got to drive him crazy that he's

39:58

behind

39:59

>> he looks like he's behind a guy who's

40:00

running six companies at the same time.

40:02

>> Yeah. Yeah.

40:03

>> And and right now, you know, Blue Origin

40:07

is looking less like NASA and more like

40:09

I don't know, Neiman Marcus with

40:10

Propulsion. I mean, just like

40:12

>> True. But, you know, there's summer

40:13

yaching to do. You know, I don't know if

40:16

you know that, but that's Bezos's job

40:17

during the summer.

40:19

>> I'm I told you I'm here for his midlife

40:20

crisis.

40:21

>> Yeah, I know you like that. I think I've

40:23

got invited back to the event he goes to

40:24

that I thought I was disinvited from

40:26

because I thought Elon was going. I'm

40:27

not going to tell you because I don't

40:28

want to get disinvited.

40:29

>> God, I never get invited.

40:31

>> How do you get invited to? What do they

40:32

think you're like? Like a psy.

40:34

>> They think they can turn me, I think.

40:36

And by the way, I am a psy. You've

40:37

listened to my interview.

40:38

>> You can be turned. Actually, part of me

40:40

thinks that you can be.

40:41

>> Oh, no. If I if I turn, it's going to be

40:43

towards way to the left.

40:45

>> Yeah. Okay.

40:45

>> Every day I get a little bit more

40:47

Bernie.

40:48

>> Oh, wow. Okay. All right. No, but but uh

40:50

>> people are always coming for you and

40:52

really it irritates me especially cuz

40:54

they're irritating people that come for

40:55

you anyway.

40:56

>> Coming for you mean hating on me or

40:58

inviting

40:58

>> wanting you to do stuff. I'm very

41:00

irritated.

41:01

>> That bothers you. I like that.

41:02

>> Bothers me. I'm like get get your mitts

41:05

off my dick jokes at conferences.

41:08

>> Get your mitts off my imperfect ally.

41:11

>> No, no. I told a dick joke right while

41:12

Anthony Blinkin was on stage. That was a

41:14

that was a moment.

41:15

>> Oh, okay. All right. He's a nice He's a

41:18

handsome man.

41:19

>> Yeah, he's a handsome man.

41:20

>> I I ran into him at the party recently.

41:22

>> I think people are scared of you. I

41:23

think they're less scared of me.

41:24

>> I don't know. I never

41:25

>> And they know I like to drink. I bring a

41:27

good vibe.

41:27

>> All right. Okay. Not unfun. I'm going on

41:30

the view anyway.

41:32

>> Oh, that is true. That's a big You know

41:33

what? That's a That's a You would rather

41:35

be invited to be on the view than go to

41:37

this thing.

41:38

>> You're right. You're right. But I like

41:39

to just So because I like to see their

41:41

discomfort when I'm there because I

41:43

never really do anything. I'm quite

41:44

cordial. Oh, speaking of invitations and

41:46

bringing this back to me. I'm going to

41:47

Brilliant Minds next week.

41:49

>> Oh, you are? That's fun. I went to it

41:50

many years ago. The first like

41:52

>> It's in Sweden, right? Yeah, it was

41:54

lovely. It was very lovely. The sun

41:56

never sets, which [ __ ] with me.

41:58

>> No, that's why I'm gone. I can't wait to

41:59

go to Star.

42:00

>> The Sun Never Sets. And that was

42:01

offsetting to me for some reason. It

42:03

just I couldn't stand it being so bright

42:05

at midnight. That was Anyway, one more

42:07

quick break. We'll be back for Winds and

42:10

Fails.

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43:06

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43:08

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44:19

Okay, Scott, let's hear some wins and

44:21

fails. I I Should you go first or should

44:24

>> No, you go first. I've been doing all

44:25

the talk.

44:25

>> Okay, I'm gonna win. I just interviewed

44:27

this young man, Theo Baker. It's right

44:29

here. This is his book, uh, How to Rule

44:31

the World. Um, and it's about it's

44:34

education and power at Stanford

44:35

University. This is the kid who did all

44:37

those stories as a 17-year-old on the

44:39

head of Stanford. Um, being part of a

44:42

false he didn't falsify the information,

44:44

but several papers he had his name on

44:46

did and he never moved to correct them.

44:48

Um, just a he's the son of two

44:50

well-known Washington reporters. I'm not

44:52

going to say their names because I he's

44:53

his own person. Wonderful book about

44:56

power techn he's a technologist who

44:58

loves technology. He's also an

44:59

astonishing reporter. uh just a great uh

45:02

really great I felt so good for

45:04

journalism. He started off as a and just

45:07

really is doing it got amazing reviews,

45:09

How to Rule the World, Theo Baker. He's

45:10

very young. He's just graduating

45:12

Stanford in two weeks. uh although he

45:14

he's just run right over them with his

45:16

amazing reporting and this is a really

45:18

interesting book including about this

45:20

one group called How to Rule the World,

45:22

the course, the secret course that you

45:24

have to get tapped for at Stanford and

45:26

how they made so many um misshapen

45:29

entrepreneurs, mentally misshapen

45:31

entrepreneurs. And I just it's nice to

45:32

hear from a young person in this regard.

45:34

Um and I just think he's a really he has

45:37

a big career ahead of him.

45:38

>> That's nice. Um, yeah. And and Amy

45:40

Pascal has bought the book for a movie

45:42

and

45:43

>> he's the kids are all right. I always

45:45

when I did this interview, I felt the

45:46

kids are [ __ ] all right.

45:48

>> Uh, and it extends also to my kids. Like

45:50

Alex is killing it at his job. I can't

45:52

say where it is, but it's a it's a big

45:54

car company and he's loving it and he's

45:56

the enthusiasm is enormous. And Louisie

45:58

is working at a restaurant in San

45:59

Francisco and he loves it in a political

46:01

campaign. So, the kids are [ __ ] all

46:03

right. That's what I feel good about.

46:05

So, um,

46:06

>> named a car company. Let me get this. He

46:07

went to Michigan.

46:09

>> There's a lot of them. I don't know.

46:10

He's having a great time. He's having a

46:12

great time. He's learning so much and

46:13

it's really wonderful for him. Um, he

46:16

asked me not to, so I'm not going to.

46:17

Okay. My fail is I do think it's around

46:20

this uh Graham Platner thing. And I

46:22

Amanda and I did have a disagreement

46:24

about it. She's quite irritated by him.

46:26

>> Did you have hot sex after?

46:28

>> No. No, we did not. We were exhausted

46:30

from all the children's parties. Um, let

46:32

me say and my power washing. Um, let me

46:36

say this. I know this people don't like

46:39

it, but at some point we just have to

46:41

this and I know people are going to say

46:43

we have to have purity tests and you

46:45

coming from white lady Cara, old white

46:47

lady Cara who has money, etc. I don't

46:50

care. I just I never have cared for

46:53

zeroing in on people's personal issues.

46:56

I can have personal feelings about it

46:58

like friends who have shitty boyfriends

47:00

or whatever, but Grand Platner's wife is

47:03

not my friend. I might have a different

47:05

piece of advice for her if that was the

47:06

case. And but I just feel like it's

47:09

their business. Like it's even even with

47:12

Ken Paxton as much of a I think he's

47:14

more the fraudulent stuff with his wife.

47:16

I don't it sounds like he's a liar and a

47:19

cheat in that way he handled it and

47:21

treated her which says a lot about his

47:23

judgment and I think that's pertinent

47:25

but I almost don't care even about that

47:27

and and although there are some things

47:30

to learn and so I think the judginess of

47:32

people has really got to stop it's got

47:34

and not only because the Republicans do

47:36

it that's not the reason to do it it's

47:38

not kind and it's not and it's not there

47:41

is a goal here and we cannot make people

47:44

feel like [ __ ] all the time for

47:46

mistakes. I've made mistakes. Scott's

47:48

made mistakes. Um I we're all imperfect

47:51

and that's that's what I think about. So

47:54

it's a failure of our country to

47:55

continue on to in that down that road.

47:58

We have to leave some things behind.

48:00

Thank you.

48:00

>> Uh my win I just interviewed uh the CEO

48:04

of Eli Lily, a guy named David Ricks,

48:06

and I I'm just fascinated with Lily.

48:08

They made a huge bet on GLP-1 drugs as

48:12

you know I'm I think a revolutionary. I

48:13

think GLP1 is going to be a more

48:15

important technology than AI. And this

48:18

company has uh quintupled its market cap

48:20

in the last 5 years. And one of the

48:23

things I absolutely cuz they made a big

48:25

bet on GLP1. GLP1's just 12 months ago

48:28

were averaging $1,000 a month. They've

48:30

already been cut to $250 to $500. It's a

48:33

definition of elasticity. I think at

48:35

some point these drugs are going to be

48:36

less than $100 a month and maybe even

48:38

lower than that. And I think the demand

48:40

will absolutely explode. So, I think the

48:42

market is doing a really good job here

48:43

of trying to get these drugs to the

48:45

people who need them the most. And I

48:47

think these drugs are just absolutely

48:48

revolutionary in terms of everything

48:50

from obviously from obesity, but

48:52

reduction in alcoholism, biting your

48:54

nails, they're giving it to kids with

48:56

social media addictions. I, you know, I

48:58

I think it's it's not about eating less,

49:01

it's about wanting less. I just I'm

49:03

fascinated by these things. And this

49:04

company, Eli Liy, is the first trillion

49:06

dollar was the first pharmaceutical

49:08

company to breach a trillion dollars.

49:10

It's the 13th most valuable company in

49:12

the world. And the thing I love about

49:13

this place, it's not in San Francisco,

49:16

it's not in New York, it's not in

49:17

London. Do you know where their

49:18

headquarters are?

49:19

>> No, I don't. Where are they?

49:20

>> Indianapolis.

49:21

>> Oh, cool.

49:22

>> And this guy kind of reeks it. He went

49:25

to Purdue, followed uh love of his life

49:28

to Indiana where he went to the Kelly

49:29

School. They employ 50,000 people. It's

49:31

easily the most important company in

49:33

Indiana if not the Midwest. But we spend

49:35

so much time talking about the Bay Area

49:37

or New York. And I just love a trillion

49:40

dollar company.

49:40

>> That's a great interview for you. That's

49:41

a great interview. You've been you have

49:43

been a very early person on GLP1s.

49:47

>> I find them absolutely fascinating. Much

49:50

talk to someone who uses AI for their

49:52

work and just loves it. And talk and if

49:54

that person is also on GLP1, ask them

49:56

what's had a bigger impact on their

49:58

life.

49:58

>> I think if I could go short AI and long

50:01

GLP1, that would be my investment thesis

50:03

for the next decade. Anyway,

50:05

>> okay. great company,

50:07

CEO is just reeks of kind of Midwestern

50:10

values and I'm glad they're just doing

50:12

so well. I think it they've made a huge

50:13

bet and it's paying off in spades. My

50:16

fail was going to be what you said. I I

50:18

I personally don't trust anyone who

50:20

hasn't said something stupid or drank

50:24

too much at some point or I don't know

50:28

had failings in their m I I I always

50:31

wonder okay should we stab this person

50:33

with a fork to see if they're actually

50:34

human when they present this pure image

50:36

of themselves and I'm sure those people

50:38

are out there but you're you know

50:42

there by the grace of God go I and if

50:44

you want if you want better candidates

50:46

folks

50:47

focus on whether they'd be a good

50:49

[ __ ] senator. They're not they don't

50:50

need to be your rabbi. Like, do you

50:53

think they're smart around policy? Do

50:54

you think they demonstrate good

50:55

leadership skills? And if you look at

50:57

the best leaders in terms of actually

50:59

moving America forward, sometimes

51:01

they're not exactly

51:03

priests. I mean, anyway, I But where my

51:08

fail is, you you summarize that more

51:10

articulately than I did, but where I go

51:12

is the real fail. Jesus Christ.

51:15

>> Yeah. Platiner. Just own it.

51:18

>> Own it. Yep.

51:19

>> Own it.

51:19

>> Own it.

51:20

>> I've made a mistake. I've demonstrated

51:22

terrible judgment in my marriage.

51:24

>> Boy, yes. Me, too.

51:27

>> And I have a great marriage.

51:29

>> Yeah.

51:30

>> And guess what? The majority of people

51:32

in America who have demonstrated

51:33

terrible judgment in relationships can

51:35

still have great marriages.

51:37

And it says something about her. It says

51:39

something about me. It says something

51:40

>> I get better. I have to say I'm better

51:42

at this marriage. Although not perfect

51:43

either, by the way. I have a lot of

51:44

failings. But um you get better

51:46

>> as you get older. You do get better. I

51:47

agree. These candidates fail and crisis

51:51

communications is so easy yet everyone

51:53

gets it wrong.

51:54

>> Own the issue. Acknowledge the problem.

51:56

>> Own

51:58

but all they've done is they've kept it

52:00

alive in the cycle by denying it and

52:02

attacking the media. They couldn't have

52:04

in my opinion help themselves.

52:06

>> Again, it's not about the scandal,

52:07

folks. It's how you handle it. That's

52:10

it. Anyways, that's my deal.

52:12

>> They're mad. They're mad. What do you

52:14

want? Anyway, uh that was a great one.

52:15

We want to hear from you. Send us your

52:17

questions about business tech or

52:18

whatever is on your mind. Go to

52:19

nymag.com/pivot to submit a question for

52:21

the show or call 8551

52:23

Pivot. And elsewhere in the Karen Scott

52:25

universe this week and on with Caris

52:27

Swisser, I talked to former NPR host

52:28

Audi Cornish and Ari Shapiro who have

52:31

reunited for a new CNN cultural podcast

52:33

called Engagement Party. Audi says the

52:35

goal is to help people get out of the

52:36

cultural silos. Speaking of that, um

52:38

that put social media puts us in. Let's

52:41

listen to a clip. I'm doing this kind of

52:44

show to jailbreak the algorithm. I hate

52:46

the for you page. My kingdom for an

52:48

actual search that works. I don't like

52:51

the word feed. Like everything about the

52:53

way they have structured social media in

52:55

the last 10 to 15 years bothers me

52:57

deeply.

52:58

>> You know, the only word that they say

53:00

user, that's the other industry that

53:02

uses the word user.

53:04

>> Drugs.

53:04

>> Exactly. Like all those I do the same

53:07

thing. I'm like, yeah. Feed user. like

53:09

just everything about it, content, it's

53:13

just

53:14

>> they hate us.

53:15

>> It was really fun. It was actually a

53:16

really fun interview with the two of

53:17

them. Uh they're really

53:18

>> She's very talented.

53:19

>> She is. And so is Ari. Ari is terrific,

53:21

too. Really interesting pairing. They're

53:23

trying to do pivot, but less dick jokes,

53:25

I think.

53:25

>> Um okay, that's

53:27

>> Well, then [ __ ] them.

53:28

>> [ __ ] them. [ __ ] them. They can't.

53:31

>> [ __ ] you, Ari. Good luck. Um okay,

53:35

that's Everyone's trying to do pivot,

53:36

just so you know. Okay, that's the show.

53:38

Thanks for listening to Pivot. Be sure

53:40

to like and subscribe to our YouTube

53:41

channel. We'll be back on Friday.

Interactive Summary

In this episode of Pivot, Kara Swisher and Scott Galloway discuss the controversy surrounding Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner, emphasizing the need to move past 'purity tests' in politics and focus on effective governance. They also touch upon podcasting business trends, the massive growth and market impact of Anthropic in the AI sector, and share personal wins and failures including the revolution of GLP-1 drugs.

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