3 Massive IPOs. Scott Galloway Predicts a Crash | Pivot
1605 segments
Every election is a choice, not a
marriage proposal. We're not hiring a
priest, we're hiring a senator.
>> Hi everyone, this is Pivot from New York
Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast
Network. I'm Carara Swisser
>> and I'm Scott Galloway.
>> With just a week to go before Maine
Senate primary, Graham Platner, the
presumptive Democratic nominee, is
facing his latest controversy. Multiple
outlets reported over the weekend that
Platner's wife told a campaign aid last
year that her husband sent sexually
explicit texts to several women outside
the marriage. Um, by the way, this
campaign person had a falling out with
Platner and has dropped a dime, which is
has its own ethical considerations.
Platner is calling these reports gossip
from a former staffer and accused the
media of journalistic malpractice. Not
as of this recording, none of the women
involved in in the text exchanges have
come forward. Platner's wife, Amy
Gertner, released a video, which I
thought was fascinating over the weekend
defending her husband and their
marriage. Let's listen because it was
really quite something to to listen to.
It makes me really angry, um,
disappointed,
and
I find it really shameful that there's a
group of media outlets
and people who are willing to spread
gossip
um, instead of talking about real issues
that Graham is
is running on like healthcare and
education and child care. As I said,
it's the, you know, this cont, this has
been a controversial campaign. You know,
he reportedly has an active account on
kicks, a private messaging app sometimes
used for sexing. He's faced scrutiny, of
course, about his Nazi symbol tattoo. He
later expressed regret and covered it
up. There were posts from a deleted
Reddit account recent, all manner of
sex, you know, jokes about sexual
assault, and he's also apologized for
that. It's a really interesting issue,
and lots of people disagree on this. I I
I'll tell you what I think in a second,
but there's Platner appears to be the
real chance of unseating Republican
Susan Collins and uh who is the zombie
of all senators. He's been leading in
recent polls. Um I personally, I'm going
to just very quickly say I think voters
don't care about this. I don't. And I
thought his wife handled it well. Um I
have others. I had an argument with
Amanda this weekend. She doesn't like
the Nazi tattoo. She doesn't like this.
Um, I feel as if if they if the husband
and wife are working it out, it remind
me a little when Hillary Clinton did I
should I stand by my man when he had
those Jennifer Flowers things? Reminds
me a little bit of that. Um, turned out
to be a pretty good president and not
everything. Not of course the Monominsky
stuff, but um, uh, it's a really
interesting question. I don't get
bothered by it as much, none of it. Um,
I think he's an he's, as Amanda Litman
correctly said, he's someone who had a
drinking problem as a Marine, probably
got that tattoo, has some mental health
challenges, which he's trying to
overcome, marriage problems, which he's,
his wife is insisting they're going to
counselors and overcoming. I'm not so
sure in the era of Trump this matters at
all. So, what do you think?
>> Look, okay, every election is a choice,
not a marriage proposal.
We're not hiring a priest, we're hiring
a senator. Do you want to make sure that
women's rights aren't continued to be
rolled back? Do you want a more
responsible economic policy? Do you want
different um approaches to labor that
raise the wages of nurses and students?
Do you want something regarding fiscal
sanity? Do you want to stop have a check
against the unfettered unprecedented
corruption, but we're going to talk
about [ __ ] tattoos and sexing?
I mean the the obsess the obsession with
personal purity has become a luxury
belief and it folks if your house is on
fire you don't ask whether the
firefighter has problematic DMs
>> right right
>> now having said that
>> right
>> the comm's person for the platner
campaign should be fired
>> you don't go after media you don't say
this is gossip you don't say these are
texts he said it was
>> it was journalist IC malpractice. Guess
what? These texts are accurate.
>> The reporting has been accurate.
>> Good for you, Scott.
>> The response should be the following. I
am an imperfect man. I have demonstrated
terrible judgment on several occasions
in my marriage and I have a great
marriage. What about you? What about
you? That are we going to continue to
have one strike and you're out? I'm a
Jew. I don't love a Totten comp tattoo.
Okay, if he gets drunk one night and
gets a stupid [ __ ] tattoo, the fact
that he's trying to protect our
liberties the next day and might be
blown up by an IED, he gets a hall pass.
So, okay folks, if you want to keep
applying purity tests, we end up with an
incompetent running against a 9/11
denier in Los Angeles. We're not going
to have any candidates,
>> right,
>> running. So, one, stop the purity tests.
And two, the the Platner campaign,
it's not the crisis that brings people
down,
>> right?
>> It's their inability to own it. I [ __ ]
up.
>> Did you What? Did you watch his wives
thing? I thought it was It reminded me a
lot of the Hillary Remember when Hillary
Clinton and Bill Clinton sat down? When
they sat down together on 60 Minutes?
>> Yeah. It was really interesting to me.
It had a lot of echoes of that. I
thought, you know, someone said to me
like, "Oh, she looks like someone who's
the wife's in denial." I'm like, "No, I
think she seems to not be in denial. She
understands his problems." And I think
it just reminded me a great deal of
that. Um, and there's, you know, as a
person, you can have com as a personal
thing, you have comments about people on
a political thing. I I'm like, I want to
talk about this idea of imperfect allies
that you and I have talked about.
Obviously, I'd heard it first from Sarah
McBride, but uh oh, Representative Sarah
McBride, who has plenty of reasons to be
angry to people and isn't um she's a
writer named David Gate posted about it
on Substack. Let me read a quote.
Working with someone toward a shared
goal does not require believing they are
morally perfect. Requires believing the
goal itself matters enough to justify
strategic alignment. He goes on to say,
"The planet is on fire, as you noted
just now, Scott, while many people are
still conducting background checks on
one another's vibes." So talk about that
concept because it's a really it's a
really difficult one for many people to
get around this guy. Many people
supported him. Others were like no we
have to we have to like have background
checks. So what do you think about that?
Can people get to that idea of for I
guess forgiving people for their
imperfections or
>> one of the reasons we're seeing a crash
in birth rates
is a lack of dancing.
And that is a dancing is a key component
or a key mating ritual. And when you
dance, typically it helps if you drink a
little bit. The anti-alcohol movement is
hurting it. But more than anything, and
there was a wonderful Tik Tok on this by
some young man, and I thought, God, this
was so powerful.
People have a camera on them all the
time.
>> Yeah, they do. 19-year-old men don't
want to dance because they're worried
about or they don't they don't want to
take risks like dancing like approaching
a a romantic a potential expressing
romantic interest because they're
worried one false move and you're out
everything in a digital world. So unless
we move to at least some basic notion of
as our digital world increases and
everything we've done is going to be
recorded and potentially used against us
unless we have a little bit more grace
and okay what's interesting here is that
I just hope the same thing holds and
that is if the Republicans decide the
best candidate for a Senate seat in
Texas is someone whose wife divorced him
on biblical grounds if they can
>> and who has a history of fraud If we can
decide that this guy can have his finger
on the button and be the most powerful
person in the world while he's banging
adult uh movie stars while his wife is
home nursing. And to a certain extent,
I'm kind of like, I don't care if the
pilot is a good person. I want someone
who's really good at flying the [ __ ]
plane. So, I think the same thing needs
to go to our politics. I just hope that
the same what I'll call focus on
perceived effectiveness is the same for
Democrats. And I am still ripe angry at
Senator Gillibrand who thought a
seven-minute run for president was worth
kicking Senator Al Franken out. The
Democrats want to walk around and say,
"Well, we'll have our dignity." Okay,
hold on to your dignity as a 15-year-old
has her pelvis broken cuz she's forced
to carry a child to term. But yeah, you
you kicked Platner out.
>> Is there something that there should be
a line? Like obviously
>> I think at some point if it I mean, let
me put it this way. If Graham Platner
was was, you know, it it ended up that
he was kind of fond of wearing a white
hood
>> and was was constantly engaging in
anti-semitic behavior, then that that
that tattoo isn't an errant mistake from
a youthful soldier.
>> It's a pattern. The corruption of the
Trump family is a pattern. This is not
This is This speaks to their character.
But folks, all of us have made mistakes.
I I I I mean, okay, Barack Obama doesn't
appear. We can't seem to find a mistake
on President Obama.
>> I can't, but go ahead.
>> Well, okay. But you know what I mean. Or
scandal,
>> right?
powerful men
um are under the illusion that that they
mistake
kindness for sexual interest. And as
they become more powerful, power
corrupts and they're more likely to
believe that they're immune from
standard norms and engage in stupid
reckless behavior. By the way, more
women do that than they get credit for.
I will I will argue that it's it infects
a lot more men than women, but you know,
Secretary Gnome was banging her number
two on government property. So,
>> yeah, she did a lot of work for that.
Yeah, she
counts for 10, Matt, I have to say. But
>> oh man,
>> look, I don't I I I saw this and I was
like, okay, at what point at what point
I'm hoping we've passed the purity test
on the Democratic side,
>> but more than anything, I want to call
the Platner campaign and say,
>> "Oh,
>> stop attacking." Yeah. Stop attacking
the
>> Don't say it's gossip or it's not
accurate reporting.
>> It's been corroborated.
>> I think the point they were trying to
make is shouldn't we be focusing on the
important issues and that's all they
needed to say. I think the sec first
part should have been removed, right?
Just say, you know what, we get why
people might stare at this. It feels
like a traffic accident and it kind of
is, but let's focus on the real matters.
I have a question. Do you think we're
imperfect allies? I think we are a
little
>> imperfect allies.
>> Yeah. Like people you don't always agree
with everything and but I think you I I
think that I mean the reality is Cara is
I'm a we're both progressives and the
fact disagree on things. Yeah. where the
real progress needs to be is between
moderate Democrats and moderate
Republicans. I mean, if if the two, you
know, on almost every major issue, you
and I are within two basis points of
each other in terms of actually what we
believe. We might believe in tech, you
know, we might have differences around
>> text and tone or whatever. But what we
really need, I mean, a couple things.
One, I think this is we have to from a
young age start thinking, "All right,
folks, unless you don't want to unless
you want to live a life with a fake user
account and VPN for fear you ever do
anything wrong, we're going to have to
demonstrate more grace with each other."
The Democrats applying these purity
tests to themselves. It's just like
that. The Republicans are just laughing
that we would do this.
>> Like, people be naughty. Like, people be
naughty.
>> Have at it. But the thing that really
the Platiner campaign, Graham Platiner,
should do the following.
I've had I've demonstrated terrible
judgment numerous times.
>> He has on other issues. Yeah.
>> Numerous times in my in my professional
and personal life.
>> Yeah.
>> I've also served my country. I think I'd
be a great senator. And by the way, I
have a fantastic marriage.
>> Yeah.
>> So have at it, folks. If you want to if
you want to engage in this stuff, I
realize it's titillating. Have at it.
All he's doing and his campaign are
doing is keeping the story alive by
denying it and by attacking the media.
>> I don't think there's anything wrong
with the media reporting this because
well I I do have a I have to say I'd
like to know I I'd like to know a little
more about this campaign person who
keeps dropping dimes on this guy and
what her agenda is. I have to say she's
been doing it a lot. She she wants she's
mad and I want to know I'd like to know
about her in specifics also. That's what
I would say the media needs to do a
little bit more of because I need to
understand what the source's motivations
are and she's not here to protect us, I
don't think. Anyway, um let's move on.
Uh self-help podcaster J Shetty has
signed a deal to bring a video version
of his show exclusively to Spotify and
Netflix. Another one of these deals,
which is interesting. The deal is
reportedly over worth over hund00
million over multiple years. Who knows?
Um Shetty and his previous partner
iHeart uh media parted ways. They could
not come to terms. This is something
happening. Obviously Scott and I went
through a bunch of these, not this
amount of money, but it's a really
interesting um that Netflix
>> I hate to break it to you, but over 5
years we're getting more than this.
>> Okay.
>> And that's why we're in Perfect Allies,
as you realize on bank.
>> Yeah, we're pretty high on the news list
this week. I was noticing we're moving
up. We still haven't passed Megan Kelly,
but we will. Um
>> we're coming for you, Megan.
>> We're coming for you, Megan. And not
like that way in any way physically or
just
>> No. In the Apple podcast ranking.
podcasting, let's be clear, so you don't
make a show out of it. Um, so, uh, but
talk about these deals because they're
really because you can't go on YouTube.
It's all of them, right? Is that And he
was he did it the the normal way, which
was an iHeart deal. You could do those.
There's a bunch of companies like this,
but now this was a this is for Spotify
and Netflix, which is interesting. And
Spotify had tried, you know, the Rogan
thing obviously they did signed a bunch
of deals that didn't work out. Um, you
know, and so talk a little bit about
this. What do you how do you look at
this market right now and what do these
indicate to you?
>> Well, first off, uh let me just say with
with Jay, I'm really happy for him. I I
don't know him well, but I know him.
I've been on his podcast a couple times.
I think he's a lovely man and I think he
does a good job. And essentially what he
realized is the most valuable media
asset in podcasting isn't sports like it
is on cable TV. It's loneliness. He
figured how to monetize the largest
market in America and that is people who
need a friend. And so in Okay, so I'm
happy for Jay. I think he does a great
job. And by the way, I cannot get over
and I think it's total [ __ ] all the
hate that Jay and Mel Robbins get.
>> They get a lot
>> and it's just like, okay, don't listen
to their podcasts. They're not bad.
>> That's how I feel. I don't I'm not a big
fan of I mean, I like them. I like Mel
personally, but I just I get why people
find it annoying. It's a little bit
much.
>> Fine, then don't listen to it. But
>> I was literally in an elevator and
someone says, "Do you know Mel Robbins?
I find her very annoying." I'm like,
"Okay,
>> then don't listen."
>> That's what I said.
>> Of nothing.
>> I mean, the reality is any bestselling
author, if you say bestselling author is
full of [ __ ] you get elevated in the
the ratings. So, people are [ __ ] posting
every bestselling author to get another
70 bucks from from [ __ ] TikTok. Have
at it. But I've never understood the
hate for Jay and Mel. I think they're
both nice people doing their best, doing
good work. And if you don't like their
work, which I understand, it's not for
everybody. You know, the whole kind of
monk rap gets a little bit old
sometimes.
>> I'm not a fan of the self-help stuff.
>> Yeah, fine. Then don't listen. That's
fine.
>> Yeah.
>> But there's two things here. This
dynamic that's colliding is the
following.
The largest the fastest growing ad
supported medium is not even
it's not even YouTube in terms of
revenue or or meta. It's podcasts. They
think the I think the ad revenue is
going to be up 21% this year on
podcasting. In addition,
40% of I think about 20% of ours and 40%
of Propy Markets pods are watched or
listened to on a TV cuz they're streamed
off of YouTube. So essentially what a
podcast is, it's a television show
>> for 10% of the production value or cost.
>> So the means of production of TV is
being arbed into podcasting. And now 55%
of Americans have listened to a podcast
recently. So in addition, the intimacy
of the relationship advertisers really
like and the CPMs for Pivot are $45. The
CPMs for CNN are 13. And then you
combine it with the following.
There's this dirty secret of podcasting
called the RSS feed. And slowly but
surely, you build up subscribers. And
every time a show comes out, it's
automatically downloaded to an iPhone
and it's counted as a listen. So the
people who've been in it for 3, 5, 10
years, as you have, who have built large
RSS feeds have moes. So what you have is
a series of acquirers going, we need
growth. Let's go find a podcast and a
small number of podcasts that actually
have large RSS feeds because you cannot
uh you know when LandMen comes out it's
a hit overnight. It's hard for a podcast
if you look at the top 10 podcasts even
a in any category they're usually the
original gangsters or they're people
who've been around for a while.
>> You're absolutely right. So you have
demand and you have sequestered or
pretty big moes which all adds up to
large acquisition prices relative to
their revenues. I bet Jay does 10 to 20
million a year. So he's getting sold at
10 to five times revenues which is a
lot. But you're about to see and we've
been predicting this and I'm talking our
own book here but I've been saying this
for the last two years. There just
aren't when Spotify, iHeart, Sirius,
you know, and James Murdoch go looking
for podcasts. There aren't that many of
scale,
>> you know. It's really interesting and it
is the cost structure and which people
don't understand and it is television
because our YouTube audience find uh
revenues are growing pretty smartly. Um
and it's a really interesting way to
deliver news. that's, you know, it's
it's what people want, which is why
you're seeing the podification of
network news. I just don't think it's
going to work. I think you either just
have to go this way or not. I don't
think you can switch that audience over
because they're older and they like the
way it is. So, you're going to see these
declines like you see at CBS because
they don't like the new stuff you're
doing. Um, you it's kind of just like a
you need to do a hard reset with a lot
of this stuff. Um, but I agree. I think
it's interesting and they can actually
usually make the money back. But the
foregoing of YouTube versus Netflix is a
really interesting and it'll depend on
the on on what your product is at any
one time whether you want to sort of be
in the safe harbor of Netflix, Spotify
or you want to be out in the open in the
in a YouTube Google world essentially.
Um which I people can mix and match too
by the way which is what's great about
it, right? Presumably.
>> Well, the most powerful media company in
the world that's on a tech. Well, the
most powerful
>> saying you're a giant hand there. Look
at that. Keep put your big hand up
there. Oh. Oh. Okay.
>> I'm very self-conscious of my hands. I
have my I have my mother's hands.
They're not
my hands I in the competition for my
worst feature. It is the Olympics. I
mean, it is there's a lot of
competitors. Yeah.
>> But my hands are right up there. I'm
very self-conscious of my hands. That's
why I don't wear jewelry.
>> They're perfectly nice. Anyways, so uh
Netflix I think is the most powerful
media company in the world or
traditional media company and they're
getting into podcasting and overnight
they're going to be able to whoever they
decide to distribute or acquire
overnight that podcast is going to be I
mean they'll be king they'll be the new
king and queen makers of podcasting.
>> I thought it was bad news for iHeart
I'll tell you that was a good
>> I think that's right. iHeart is a
company that's gone I think through
bankruptcy once or twice and they have
to be economically rational. They don't
have access to cheap capital. So they if
iHeart shows up and Spotify and Netflix
show up to a bidding war,
>> you go with them.
>> I don't know who wins. I just know
iHeart loses.
>> Yeah. Yeah.
>> iHeart can't can't justify the
valuations these guys can justify. you
know, if you know even a serious
basically I think you're going to see
Spotify
and Netflix take the whole value of the
podcast ecosystem up. And not only that,
if your podcast does
a 10 million downloads a month, you're
worth four times the podcast that does 5
million because it is so hard in this
environment to find scale. It's very
similar to cable TV in the sense that
the there's a small number of
personalities who extract the majority
of the economics.
>> Yeah.
>> And it's the same it's the same in
podcasting. But but I want to finish
where I started.
>> I'm really happy for Jay. I like it when
people
>> he's been in the business for 10 years.
He's a nice man.
>> He has worked at it. Yeah, he has worked
at it.
>> Good for him.
>> Yeah. Well, just don't listen to him if
you don't like him. That's my feeling on
a lot of things.
>> He and I have been sexing in related
news
>> on kicks. Kicks is a dreamy. Let me just
tell you screamy. He has the most
beautiful eyes.
>> Latner definitely picked the dirty one.
I'll just say he picked the dirty one.
Kicks is dirty.
>> I don't know anything about how would
you even know that? I don't know any of
these
>> because I know all these sites. I don't
use any of them.
>> Really? Do you go on talk about do you
offer other to powerwash other lesbians
backyard? You little saucy mink. You
>> Scott, I fix my power washer this
weekend. I was very excited. Anyway, uh
>> so just on that note before we go, I
think the new thing a guy asked me for
dating advice and he's like I'm never
going to go graduate from college. What
will I ever be able to find a woman? And
I'm like I think the new sexy is
bluecollar romance and that is
>> no poetry. Don't send a car for her.
>> Fix her [ __ ] refrigerator. I think
that gets women really hot.
>> Look at a woman's stressors
>> and treat them like they're your enemy.
Fill up her car with gas.
>> All right. Okay. Like
>> Amanda is not impressed with my power
washing. She makes fun of me, but that's
fine.
>> I think if you want to get a woman, I
think humor is the ultimate aphrodesiac
with women behind maybe money, but I
think a a decent runner up is to look at
a woman's acts of service. And if you
know how to fix [ __ ] you know, move
your girlfriend, show up and fix fix the
air conditioner, like attack her
problems like they're your enemies.
>> I like it. Self-help from Scott
Galloway. Okay, Scott, let's go. In a
quick break, when we come back, big IPO
news from Anthropic.
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Scott, we're back with breaking news.
Anthropic just confidentially filed its
IPO with the SEC. It has not disclosed
the size or terms the offering. I'm
excited for you to read it for me and
tell me what's in there. But before
that, Anthropic hit a major milestone
last week, passing OpenAI to become the
most valuable AI startup in the world.
The company announced a 65 billion
funding round. I can't believe I'm
saying billion round that values at 965
billion, very close to uh very close to
the top. Um to put things in
perspective, uh OpenAI announced a $730
billion valuation back in February, but
it took the company to around a decade
to reach that number. It just keeps
escalating. Anthropic, which was founded
5 years ago, has beaten the valuation in
half the time. Uh did anyone see this
coming? Scott Galloway did. Let's listen
to Scott's prediction from February.
>> As we sit here today, I actually think
that Anthropic or in the next 12 months,
this one of our predictions is going to
be worth more than open AI. Very well
done. What does this valuation mean for
Anthropics IPO as well as OpenAI and
SpaceX? By the way, SpaceX is now
targeting an IPO valuation of 1.8
trillion after feedback from advisers
and investors according to Bloomberg.
That's a step down from the initially
reported 2 trillion. Uh it's still too
much. Um uh anyway, uh thoughts? What do
you think? You got that one right, and
we'll be looking at the the filing when
we get to be able to see it, but we
don't know a lot yet. I don't think any
company in the world has the momentum
right now of Anthropic. And it was built
a genius move. They went after the
enterprise market.
And I mean the pivot, you have never
seen a number two this viciously become
the number one this fast.
>> Yeah.
>> You know, you've never seen Avis
overtake Hertz this fast. You've never
seen Pepsi overtake Coke like this this
fast. And the thing the thing that's so
impressive about this isn't the
valuation. It's the speed.
Google took 20 years to reach a trillion
dollars. Anthropic got there in five. It
was founded in 2021 and if it had been
founded in Amsterdam, it would be one of
the five most valuable companies in
Europe. And it did it in five years.
>> I mean, it's it's not capital formation.
It's it's financial teleportation. Five
years. Zero to a trillion dollars.
>> Yeah.
>> We keep talking about how AI might
transform the world. May maybe, maybe
not. But it's definitely transforming
capital formation.
And I mean, the one advantage America
has is that we will do these $60 billion
rounds after two or three years. And in
Europe, they just don't have that type
of capital formation. They just
>> I want you to give me the downside
because you were you definitely called
this, but what would be the worry for
you of maybe all three IPOs or this one?
What would be the warning signs or
something you would pay attention to
because you're not always fully like up
and to the right as a person?
>> Oh,
these stocks and the collective
hallucination around the valuations
here.
One or more of these stocks is going to
be off 40 to 70% and it's going to send
the US and the global economy into a
recession. The US has become a giant bet
on AI and these companies are
overvalued. The technology will survive.
These valuations won't. There's just I'm
sorry SpaceX at 100 times revenues
you know open AI at what's it going on
at 20 every every big company we follow
has in the last 10 years been off
between 40 and 70% in a 12-month period
that's fine that's part of the cycle of
high growth companies up and down the
difference here is that we've bet the
entire economy on these magnificent 10
93% of our GDP growth is coming from AI
high capex. So when these companies, you
know, they always say company, if the
American economy sneezes, the world
catches a cold. We're going to catch
[ __ ] pneumonia, right?
>> When the expectations, an MIT professor
just came out with a study saying 95% of
CFOs aren't seeing the ROI on their
investments in AI.
>> As we noted last week with the Uber uh
COO, right, talking about about the
money spent,
>> the the danger here is the following. Uh
folks, I I don't think I think Anthropic
is the only one of these three that has
a reasonable shot at trading above its
IPO price 12 months out. There's just
gravity. No basketball player has ever
been in the air for more than 1 second.
For some reason, 1 second is the limit.
None of these companies can justify
their valuation unless they are able to
literally destroy the labor market. I
just got off the I just got off a
podcast with the CEO of Lily and I said
AI as it relates to drug discovery
underhyped or overhyped. This is a
measure guy and he's like overhyped.
The the the incentives from Amazon that
the more you more tokens you use the
more will compensate you. That shit's
about to go away. And the first big
company that announces we're cutting
back our AI spending,
you know, you're going to see the GDP of
Germany come out of the market. And
unfortunately the US market
>> is is frothy because of that. Because of
that
>> we're now concentrated the entire US
economy is a bet on 10 companies.
>> You know I have to say months ago Mark
Cuban said there's going to be a point
where tokens are being more expensive
than people. Like and he wanted me to
ask Daario that question. Yeah. It's a
great question.
>> He was like I was interviewing him at an
off-site thing and he's like that's the
question. When do people cost less than
tokens? And tokens are getting too
expensive which is interesting. Anyway,
we'll see what happens. But we'll I'm
excited for you to read it for me. Um,
all right, let's go on a quick break.
When we come back, some updates on
America's 250th celebration.
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Scott, we're back with more news.
America's 250th birthday. Will now be a
mega rally. Apparently, President Trump
called for cancing the concert series at
the planned event after several
musicians dropped out because they they
were told it was nonpartisan. It's
obviously not nonpartisan. Instead,
Trump suggested he should headline the
event, calling himself the number one
attraction anywhere in the world, but
there's a lot, you know, and now his
name's going to be yanked off the the
Kennedy Center. A judge has ordered his
name to be taken down. I again, a lot of
performative stuff, but still
irritating. any predictions for the
250th celebration? It feels like no
one's any closer to that he is not
backing down on on celebrating himself,
including a $250 bill. Scott Besson has
soiled himself once again. So thoughts?
>> Yeah, you know, it's obnoxious and we'd
like to think that it's bad for him, but
you know, I hate to admit it as someone
who thinks about brands a lot. You could
make an argument that the most
successful consumer brand of the last
decade isn't Tesla, Apple, or Nike. It's
Trump. And
you know,
>> he's put it out. He's used the
presidency to to
>> That's the right analogy. It used to be
a public office and now it's
increasingly an entertainment franchise.
And I think he has I I just think
Democrats, like Robert McNamera said, if
you want to defeat an an enemy, you have
to empathize with them. There's just no
getting around it. The guy has an
incredible feel for branding and
marketing. And the product is awful. It
is It is like the greatest brand. what
he's been able to do with this shitty a
product, an inconsistent product.
>> The stakes, the water.
>> It really is in incredible. I I think
this is quite frankly, I think this
comes and goes. I don't think it's a big
story. What do you think?
>> I don't I think it's it makes us all
feel bad about America on the 250th
anniversary. I mean, I'm going to be
somewhere far away uh from Washington.
Um and I just think him I think all
these these artists pulling out was
interesting that you know, they were
like, "Yeah, no, they I think they see
what's going to Vermont. Isn't that
where all
>> That's where I'm going. That's
whereactly where I'm going. It's with
Amanda's family.
>> Did I get that right?
>> You did.
>> Oh my god. Stereotypes are for a reason.
>> Amanda's family has rebuilt their their
barn. They had a barn house and it was
going to fall down and they rebuilt it
and it's very lovely. And so we're going
up there. That's where we're going.
>> I can't believe I got that right.
>> You totally got that right. Oh my god.
Um anyway, um I'll trumpmp around and
hike.
>> You got the dog guard for the German
Shepherd in the back of the Subaru. Oh,
I don't have a dog. I would like to have
a dog, maybe, but they mess up my
beautiful yard work. Um, so cats don't
mess up yard work. They just bring in
chipmunks into the house. Um, uh, no, I
think it's just, you know, I remember.
Do you remember the 200th? I do. I do. I
was I was a kid. I was at camp. I
remember
>> I got a special commemorative coin from
the Franklin Mint.
>> Yeah. I really like the 200th. And I
felt very proud of this country at the
time. And I feel like gh like why do you
have to make everything so cheesy and
griy and gross like it would I'm excited
for the 300th. I'll be dead but that's
okay. Um but I mean it's just it feels
like grifty and gross. Although I did
recently run into um
>> you might be around. Actually I'm going
to call challenge on that. You'll be 13.
>> No I will not be around for that. Anyway
I just ran into Ken Burns at something.
He always makes me feel better about
about things. I just always I want to
hang out with Ken Barn Burns in Vermont
and go hiking. That's what I want to do
because I like listening to him tell
tales of our founding fathers and I feel
better.
>> Well, but but but just to that point, if
you want to feel better about America
and this the space we're in and we're
incredible narcissists, we like to think
that we're in uniquely good or uniquely
bad times. Folks, as bad as things are,
things have been much worse in America
and we've always been able to come back
stronger.
>> Yeah.
>> That's not to say you don't need to
vote. You don't need to be alarmed. You
don't need to take action. But at 1.1%
of America, American population
controlled the government and it
happened to be the slave owners. 80
years ago, we were interning people in
makeshift concentration camps because
their parents were or because they
immigrated from Japan. We have been in
pretty dark places before.
>> Yeah. Yeah, we have.
>> Anyways, history makes me feel with Ken
Burns in Vermont. That's my goal. Um,
anyway, last story. Blue Origin is
facing a major setback ever. New Glenn
rocket exploded during a test on a
launch pad last week. The company said
all personnel were safe and described
the incident as an anomaly. Jeff Bezos
posted on X, very rough day, but we'll
rebuild whatever needs rebuilding and
get it back to flying. It's worth it.
The explosion which damaged Blue
Origin's launchpad, which is a critical
problem. It's a significant blow. Uh
they've spent about a billion dollars on
it. I think it's a Cape Canaveral um to
challenge SpaceX in the commercial space
race. And one of the things about the
New Glenn is they can put up they're
they're trying with their LEO system um
to put up lots of satellites. they have
a couple hundred and and space uh
Starlink has I don't know 10,000 or
close to 10,000 and so they've been
trying to do this and these new Glenn
rockets would put up I think 48 or 50 as
opposed to a couple that they put up in
their smaller rockets. Um you know it's
a real problem for the launch pad they
only had one for the big for the big one
and for it to blow up on the launchpad
from what I understand I've been talking
to a lot of rocket people is bad. Um, it
should have blown up in the air of all
things because then they would have been
able to preserve the launch pad. Um,
it's not great. It's not a great thing.
And thank God Elon didn't didn't, you
know, go o on and on about it. He
because he knows he blows up his own
rockets frequently. Um, but it's a it
would be nice to have more than one uh
in this area, although two of the same
people, but still the compet
competition. Thoughts?
>> I I just couldn't wait. Like as soon as
I saw the explosion, I immediately
posted it on threads and said Bezos back
on CNBC again. Um, which I thought was
really good. It didn't get that many
likes, but I thought that was funny.
Like my favorite I always like to hear
the live broadcast because the the
individual
>> and they're trained to do this. They
always call an explosion an anomaly.
>> An anomaly. Yeah.
>> Which is like calling my divorce a
scheduling conflict.
It's like
>> we can make jokes cuz nobody was gay.
>> A disagreement. A mild disagreement.
>> Metal mangled. Yeah.
>> You know, and and my favorite I it's
like
>> I don't fully understand and this this
happens all the time, but when a rocket
blows up on the launch pad, isn't that
like failing a sobriety test in the
parking lot?
>> Yeah.
>> I mean,
>> yeah.
>> You I need to understand the physics,
but just to be clear,
>> not good. One of the reasons private
companies like SpaceX and Blue Origin
have succeeded or have caught in some
way surpassed NASA is that they're
allowed to move further out the risk
curve and explode rockets on the
launchpad. If NASA did this, there's a
feeling of government failure. They
can't take these kinds of risks. And to
a certain extent, just as I feel like
you see need a certain number of bank
failures every once in a while to show
that you are allocating capital at close
to or near the efficient frontier of
growth, you do I hate to say this, I
think you do need a certain number of
explosions on the launchpad because what
that says is
>> and by the way my understanding is not a
single person was injured or killed
here.
>> That's right.
>> This is a loss of capital from a company
that has access to a lot of capital.
>> It's not good. It's not because they
were trying to get like think about it a
couple hundred versus 10,000 satellites
like you
>> but Elon's had them explode. This is a
function of
>> No, no, no. But he has 10,000 satellites
up there. This is this is everyone talks
about Mars and everything else. This is
a race for satellite dominance. But only
one company dominates at this point. And
so it's a setback in that they can't get
dozens of these things up. They can get
a couple on these smaller rockets. And
you know, they're trying very hard. It's
just it's still someone when they saw
the explosion said to me, "Oh, look.
It's the Washington Post budget for a
year like or something." I was sort of
laughed. It's true. He doesn't mind
losing money here. And he's losing
money. Let's be clear. Um he he's hoping
for a payoff later. Although looking at
the the rocket business at Spa SpaceX is
not the greatest business in the world
right now yet either. Well,
>> Starlink is Starink is
>> it's got to drive him crazy that he's
behind
>> he looks like he's behind a guy who's
running six companies at the same time.
>> Yeah. Yeah.
>> And and right now, you know, Blue Origin
is looking less like NASA and more like
I don't know, Neiman Marcus with
Propulsion. I mean, just like
>> True. But, you know, there's summer
yaching to do. You know, I don't know if
you know that, but that's Bezos's job
during the summer.
>> I'm I told you I'm here for his midlife
crisis.
>> Yeah, I know you like that. I think I've
got invited back to the event he goes to
that I thought I was disinvited from
because I thought Elon was going. I'm
not going to tell you because I don't
want to get disinvited.
>> God, I never get invited.
>> How do you get invited to? What do they
think you're like? Like a psy.
>> They think they can turn me, I think.
And by the way, I am a psy. You've
listened to my interview.
>> You can be turned. Actually, part of me
thinks that you can be.
>> Oh, no. If I if I turn, it's going to be
towards way to the left.
>> Yeah. Okay.
>> Every day I get a little bit more
Bernie.
>> Oh, wow. Okay. All right. No, but but uh
>> people are always coming for you and
really it irritates me especially cuz
they're irritating people that come for
you anyway.
>> Coming for you mean hating on me or
inviting
>> wanting you to do stuff. I'm very
irritated.
>> That bothers you. I like that.
>> Bothers me. I'm like get get your mitts
off my dick jokes at conferences.
>> Get your mitts off my imperfect ally.
>> No, no. I told a dick joke right while
Anthony Blinkin was on stage. That was a
that was a moment.
>> Oh, okay. All right. He's a nice He's a
handsome man.
>> Yeah, he's a handsome man.
>> I I ran into him at the party recently.
>> I think people are scared of you. I
think they're less scared of me.
>> I don't know. I never
>> And they know I like to drink. I bring a
good vibe.
>> All right. Okay. Not unfun. I'm going on
the view anyway.
>> Oh, that is true. That's a big You know
what? That's a That's a You would rather
be invited to be on the view than go to
this thing.
>> You're right. You're right. But I like
to just So because I like to see their
discomfort when I'm there because I
never really do anything. I'm quite
cordial. Oh, speaking of invitations and
bringing this back to me. I'm going to
Brilliant Minds next week.
>> Oh, you are? That's fun. I went to it
many years ago. The first like
>> It's in Sweden, right? Yeah, it was
lovely. It was very lovely. The sun
never sets, which [ __ ] with me.
>> No, that's why I'm gone. I can't wait to
go to Star.
>> The Sun Never Sets. And that was
offsetting to me for some reason. It
just I couldn't stand it being so bright
at midnight. That was Anyway, one more
quick break. We'll be back for Winds and
Fails.
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Okay, Scott, let's hear some wins and
fails. I I Should you go first or should
>> No, you go first. I've been doing all
the talk.
>> Okay, I'm gonna win. I just interviewed
this young man, Theo Baker. It's right
here. This is his book, uh, How to Rule
the World. Um, and it's about it's
education and power at Stanford
University. This is the kid who did all
those stories as a 17-year-old on the
head of Stanford. Um, being part of a
false he didn't falsify the information,
but several papers he had his name on
did and he never moved to correct them.
Um, just a he's the son of two
well-known Washington reporters. I'm not
going to say their names because I he's
his own person. Wonderful book about
power techn he's a technologist who
loves technology. He's also an
astonishing reporter. uh just a great uh
really great I felt so good for
journalism. He started off as a and just
really is doing it got amazing reviews,
How to Rule the World, Theo Baker. He's
very young. He's just graduating
Stanford in two weeks. uh although he
he's just run right over them with his
amazing reporting and this is a really
interesting book including about this
one group called How to Rule the World,
the course, the secret course that you
have to get tapped for at Stanford and
how they made so many um misshapen
entrepreneurs, mentally misshapen
entrepreneurs. And I just it's nice to
hear from a young person in this regard.
Um and I just think he's a really he has
a big career ahead of him.
>> That's nice. Um, yeah. And and Amy
Pascal has bought the book for a movie
and
>> he's the kids are all right. I always
when I did this interview, I felt the
kids are [ __ ] all right.
>> Uh, and it extends also to my kids. Like
Alex is killing it at his job. I can't
say where it is, but it's a it's a big
car company and he's loving it and he's
the enthusiasm is enormous. And Louisie
is working at a restaurant in San
Francisco and he loves it in a political
campaign. So, the kids are [ __ ] all
right. That's what I feel good about.
So, um,
>> named a car company. Let me get this. He
went to Michigan.
>> There's a lot of them. I don't know.
He's having a great time. He's having a
great time. He's learning so much and
it's really wonderful for him. Um, he
asked me not to, so I'm not going to.
Okay. My fail is I do think it's around
this uh Graham Platner thing. And I
Amanda and I did have a disagreement
about it. She's quite irritated by him.
>> Did you have hot sex after?
>> No. No, we did not. We were exhausted
from all the children's parties. Um, let
me say and my power washing. Um, let me
say this. I know this people don't like
it, but at some point we just have to
this and I know people are going to say
we have to have purity tests and you
coming from white lady Cara, old white
lady Cara who has money, etc. I don't
care. I just I never have cared for
zeroing in on people's personal issues.
I can have personal feelings about it
like friends who have shitty boyfriends
or whatever, but Grand Platner's wife is
not my friend. I might have a different
piece of advice for her if that was the
case. And but I just feel like it's
their business. Like it's even even with
Ken Paxton as much of a I think he's
more the fraudulent stuff with his wife.
I don't it sounds like he's a liar and a
cheat in that way he handled it and
treated her which says a lot about his
judgment and I think that's pertinent
but I almost don't care even about that
and and although there are some things
to learn and so I think the judginess of
people has really got to stop it's got
and not only because the Republicans do
it that's not the reason to do it it's
not kind and it's not and it's not there
is a goal here and we cannot make people
feel like [ __ ] all the time for
mistakes. I've made mistakes. Scott's
made mistakes. Um I we're all imperfect
and that's that's what I think about. So
it's a failure of our country to
continue on to in that down that road.
We have to leave some things behind.
Thank you.
>> Uh my win I just interviewed uh the CEO
of Eli Lily, a guy named David Ricks,
and I I'm just fascinated with Lily.
They made a huge bet on GLP-1 drugs as
you know I'm I think a revolutionary. I
think GLP1 is going to be a more
important technology than AI. And this
company has uh quintupled its market cap
in the last 5 years. And one of the
things I absolutely cuz they made a big
bet on GLP1. GLP1's just 12 months ago
were averaging $1,000 a month. They've
already been cut to $250 to $500. It's a
definition of elasticity. I think at
some point these drugs are going to be
less than $100 a month and maybe even
lower than that. And I think the demand
will absolutely explode. So, I think the
market is doing a really good job here
of trying to get these drugs to the
people who need them the most. And I
think these drugs are just absolutely
revolutionary in terms of everything
from obviously from obesity, but
reduction in alcoholism, biting your
nails, they're giving it to kids with
social media addictions. I, you know, I
I think it's it's not about eating less,
it's about wanting less. I just I'm
fascinated by these things. And this
company, Eli Liy, is the first trillion
dollar was the first pharmaceutical
company to breach a trillion dollars.
It's the 13th most valuable company in
the world. And the thing I love about
this place, it's not in San Francisco,
it's not in New York, it's not in
London. Do you know where their
headquarters are?
>> No, I don't. Where are they?
>> Indianapolis.
>> Oh, cool.
>> And this guy kind of reeks it. He went
to Purdue, followed uh love of his life
to Indiana where he went to the Kelly
School. They employ 50,000 people. It's
easily the most important company in
Indiana if not the Midwest. But we spend
so much time talking about the Bay Area
or New York. And I just love a trillion
dollar company.
>> That's a great interview for you. That's
a great interview. You've been you have
been a very early person on GLP1s.
>> I find them absolutely fascinating. Much
talk to someone who uses AI for their
work and just loves it. And talk and if
that person is also on GLP1, ask them
what's had a bigger impact on their
life.
>> I think if I could go short AI and long
GLP1, that would be my investment thesis
for the next decade. Anyway,
>> okay. great company,
CEO is just reeks of kind of Midwestern
values and I'm glad they're just doing
so well. I think it they've made a huge
bet and it's paying off in spades. My
fail was going to be what you said. I I
I personally don't trust anyone who
hasn't said something stupid or drank
too much at some point or I don't know
had failings in their m I I I always
wonder okay should we stab this person
with a fork to see if they're actually
human when they present this pure image
of themselves and I'm sure those people
are out there but you're you know
there by the grace of God go I and if
you want if you want better candidates
folks
focus on whether they'd be a good
[ __ ] senator. They're not they don't
need to be your rabbi. Like, do you
think they're smart around policy? Do
you think they demonstrate good
leadership skills? And if you look at
the best leaders in terms of actually
moving America forward, sometimes
they're not exactly
priests. I mean, anyway, I But where my
fail is, you you summarize that more
articulately than I did, but where I go
is the real fail. Jesus Christ.
>> Yeah. Platiner. Just own it.
>> Own it. Yep.
>> Own it.
>> Own it.
>> I've made a mistake. I've demonstrated
terrible judgment in my marriage.
>> Boy, yes. Me, too.
>> And I have a great marriage.
>> Yeah.
>> And guess what? The majority of people
in America who have demonstrated
terrible judgment in relationships can
still have great marriages.
And it says something about her. It says
something about me. It says something
>> I get better. I have to say I'm better
at this marriage. Although not perfect
either, by the way. I have a lot of
failings. But um you get better
>> as you get older. You do get better. I
agree. These candidates fail and crisis
communications is so easy yet everyone
gets it wrong.
>> Own the issue. Acknowledge the problem.
>> Own
but all they've done is they've kept it
alive in the cycle by denying it and
attacking the media. They couldn't have
in my opinion help themselves.
>> Again, it's not about the scandal,
folks. It's how you handle it. That's
it. Anyways, that's my deal.
>> They're mad. They're mad. What do you
want? Anyway, uh that was a great one.
We want to hear from you. Send us your
questions about business tech or
whatever is on your mind. Go to
nymag.com/pivot to submit a question for
the show or call 8551
Pivot. And elsewhere in the Karen Scott
universe this week and on with Caris
Swisser, I talked to former NPR host
Audi Cornish and Ari Shapiro who have
reunited for a new CNN cultural podcast
called Engagement Party. Audi says the
goal is to help people get out of the
cultural silos. Speaking of that, um
that put social media puts us in. Let's
listen to a clip. I'm doing this kind of
show to jailbreak the algorithm. I hate
the for you page. My kingdom for an
actual search that works. I don't like
the word feed. Like everything about the
way they have structured social media in
the last 10 to 15 years bothers me
deeply.
>> You know, the only word that they say
user, that's the other industry that
uses the word user.
>> Drugs.
>> Exactly. Like all those I do the same
thing. I'm like, yeah. Feed user. like
just everything about it, content, it's
just
>> they hate us.
>> It was really fun. It was actually a
really fun interview with the two of
them. Uh they're really
>> She's very talented.
>> She is. And so is Ari. Ari is terrific,
too. Really interesting pairing. They're
trying to do pivot, but less dick jokes,
I think.
>> Um okay, that's
>> Well, then [ __ ] them.
>> [ __ ] them. [ __ ] them. They can't.
>> [ __ ] you, Ari. Good luck. Um okay,
that's Everyone's trying to do pivot,
just so you know. Okay, that's the show.
Thanks for listening to Pivot. Be sure
to like and subscribe to our YouTube
channel. We'll be back on Friday.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
In this episode of Pivot, Kara Swisher and Scott Galloway discuss the controversy surrounding Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner, emphasizing the need to move past 'purity tests' in politics and focus on effective governance. They also touch upon podcasting business trends, the massive growth and market impact of Anthropic in the AI sector, and share personal wins and failures including the revolution of GLP-1 drugs.
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