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Graham Platner, Jon Ossoff, and the New Rules of Political Attention | The Ezra Klein Show

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Graham Platner, Jon Ossoff, and the New Rules of Political Attention | The Ezra Klein Show

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2211 segments

0:00

How did Graham Platner, a political

0:03

unknown a year ago, come from nowhere to

0:07

so thoroughly dominate the primary that

0:09

Janet Mills, the sitting governor of

0:12

Maine, dropped out [music] or suspended

0:14

her campaign, I should say, and didn't

0:16

even come back in as Platner was rocked

0:19

by even more scandals. Now, the national

0:21

pundits, the political establishment,

0:23

they keep looking for that one story,

0:26

that one headline, that one moment in my

0:30

life that they can define the campaign

0:32

by. But in trying so hard to understand

0:35

me, they failed to understand that this

0:38

is not about me at all. This is a

0:41

movement about us.

0:46

The answer is that he had [music] the

0:49

most important political resource right

0:50

now and she was not able to grab any of

0:52

it. That resource is attention. It's a

0:55

constant theme now for me on the show

0:57

that you need to see attention as its

0:59

own substrate of American politics. And

1:01

attention is working in really unusual

1:04

ways this year in the Michigan

1:06

Democratic primary for Senate where

1:08

Abdul Alied is now in the lead.

1:09

>> Who here believes in Medicare for all?

1:12

[cheering]

1:15

And who believes it's time to abolish

1:16

ICE? [cheering]

1:19

>> And who believes we got to get MONEY OUT

1:21

OF POLITICS AND IN YOUR pocket

1:23

[cheering]

1:24

>> in Texas where James Terico, another

1:27

person people hadn't really heard of a

1:28

couple years ago, is now the Democratic

1:30

nominee for Senate.

1:32

>> One thing is clear today. We're about to

1:35

take back Texas. [cheering]

1:38

in Los Angeles where we actually saw it

1:40

fail in the mayoral candidacy of Spencer

1:42

Pratt.

1:43

>> Reality TV star Spencer Pratt's

1:45

insurgenting campaign for LA mayor has

1:47

officially run its course.

1:49

>> These corrupt crooks really do look out

1:51

for each other, don't they?

1:52

>> What's happening with John Of and the

1:54

sudden rise in interest in what he's

1:56

doing.

1:56

>> He's a failed president and a national

1:58

disgrace.

2:01

>> All of it has a lot of lessons, I think,

2:02

for how attention is working right now

2:04

in American politics. To help me unpack

2:06

them, I want to have on my favorite

2:08

person to talk about this particular

2:09

topic with, my friend Chris Hayes.

2:11

>> Good evening from New York. I'm Chris

2:13

Hayes, host of AllIn with [music] Chris

2:14

Hayes and author of the great book on

2:17

attention in the modern moment, The

2:19

Sirens [music] Call: How Attention

2:20

Became the World's Most Endangered

2:23

Resource. As always, my email if you

2:25

need our attention. Ezra Klein show at

2:28

[music] NY Times.com.

2:34

[music]

2:35

Chris Hayes, welcome back to the show.

2:36

>> Always great to be back.

2:37

>> So, I want to have you here for one of

2:39

our every so often check-ins on how

2:41

attention is working in American

2:42

politics. And I wanted to start with a

2:44

Wall Street Journal interview uh that

2:47

was with the people who recruited Graham

2:50

Platner.

2:51

>> How did you find Graham Platner?

2:54

>> Well, so I mean we went through

2:56

thousands and thousands of prospects. Um

2:59

we, you know, through a number of means,

3:01

you know, assessed just a huge amount of

3:03

people. Then, you know, Liam pulled up

3:06

this video of this guy with an oyster

3:08

farm.

3:09

>> My name is Graham Platner and I live in

3:11

Sullivan, Maine, the owner of Frenchman

3:13

Bay Oyster Company.

3:14

>> And then she pulled up his FC history

3:16

and saw, you know, the money he had

3:18

given to Bernie Sanders and, you know,

3:21

some other people. Um, and that was

3:23

enough information to know that we had

3:26

the best prospect that we'd maybe ever

3:28

seen.

3:30

>> Okay, I want to flesh this out because

3:31

I've been told this story by multiple

3:33

people.

3:35

this group like they were like who could

3:37

run in Maine,

3:38

>> right?

3:38

>> Like lobster farmer, oyster farmer, some

3:41

kind of fisherman.

3:42

>> And so when he says we looked at

3:43

thousands of people like the computer

3:46

looked through occupational and other

3:48

forms of records,

3:48

>> right?

3:49

>> It was like which lobster farmers like

3:53

who has donated to a populist candidate?

3:55

which is to say that, you know, we

3:57

normally think of candidates

3:59

as being, you know, recruited because

4:01

they're important in their communities.

4:02

They're a lawyer, they run a hospital,

4:05

something like that. A lot of people

4:07

grow up wanting to run for office. But

4:10

Graham Platner was cast, right? It was

4:13

like like Hollywood looking for somebody

4:15

to fill a role.

4:17

>> There's a long history there. I mean,

4:20

the Democrats are running someone in a

4:21

in in Tom Keane's district who's a like

4:23

helicopter pilot. Mikey Cheryl was a

4:25

helicopter pilot. They like, you know,

4:27

that's that that's a bio. That's

4:29

>> Abigail Spanberger, a former CIA.

4:31

>> Exactly. So, like that part of it is an

4:34

interesting version of a sort of

4:36

grassroots lefty populist group doing

4:38

what the DRIP will do or the DSC.

4:41

>> But the reason this worked was because

4:43

of the charisma. And charisma at one

4:46

level it's like I do think there's a

4:48

kind of full circle thing happening in

4:49

politics which is like of course

4:50

charisma is important to politics. But

4:52

[snorts] I think particularly at the

4:54

level of scale, there was a period where

4:56

the formula really didn't take into

4:58

account charisma. Yes,

5:00

>> it was like bio, social capital,

5:02

connections, ability to raise money, all

5:05

that stuff. And then like whatever,

5:07

we'll cut some ads for them. We'll get

5:08

them a good team and they'll be fine. I

5:11

think charisma matters much more now

5:12

because attention matters more and

5:14

charisma is the talent for grabbing and

5:17

holding attention. So I I want to hold

5:18

on what you just said about the DC

5:20

because I think we both know a fair

5:22

amount about the way they recruit.

5:23

>> And one of the grim realities of how

5:27

they recruit is they very heavily

5:29

emphasize how much money you can raise.

5:31

>> One, they will force you to sit on the

5:33

phone 6 hours a day.

5:35

>> Yep.

5:35

>> 6 hours a day. And and they will punish

5:37

you if you don't, right? You want to be

5:39

on things like their red toblue lists.

5:41

And so I know candidates who are just

5:44

browbeaten into being on the phone

5:46

raising money for hours and hours and

5:47

hours a day.

5:48

>> And the DC the which is the sort of the

5:51

Democratic Congressional Campaign

5:52

Committee isn't doing that because

5:55

they're cynics or they have a fetish for

5:57

it.

5:57

>> They love money. You you need money. But

6:00

the thing money is buying

6:02

>> uh largely is attention. I mean it also

6:05

buys field and organizing and other

6:06

things but it buys attention. It buys

6:08

TV. And so what what this group is doing

6:10

when they they cast Platner, he's not a

6:13

person who you go to and think, can you

6:16

raise the money to buy attention.

6:18

>> He's a person you go to and think, can

6:21

you like unleash the charisma to earn

6:25

attention?

6:26

>> Yes. Exactly.

6:27

>> Which then will bring in money.

6:29

>> Yes.

6:29

>> But even if it doesn't, attention. And

6:33

this is the point is that you have to I

6:34

think you have to have a theory of

6:37

attention for a successful campaign

6:39

right now in a way that when that

6:42

formula was as dead set as it was in the

6:44

kind of you know high point of broadcast

6:48

TV ads right like raise as much money as

6:51

possible hit the airways with a ton of

6:54

broadcast TV and that's the that's the

6:56

recipe that's 90% of a campaign as

7:00

broadcast TV particularly and as

7:01

broadcast TV ads decline in their

7:04

salience, right? You have to have some

7:06

alternate theory of how you're going to

7:08

get to people. In some places, like in

7:11

North Carolina with Roy Cooper, like

7:13

everyone in the state knows who Roy

7:15

Cooper is,

7:16

>> right? He doesn't have the same problem.

7:17

The guy's been elected statewide, I

7:19

think, five times at this point,

7:20

something like that. So, he doesn't have

7:22

to do that. But if you're running

7:24

another race, you do have to come up

7:26

with some theory of how you're going to

7:28

do it. In this case, it was casting and

7:31

then it was finding a person who

7:32

genuinely has real obvious raw political

7:36

talent and charisma.

7:37

>> Okay. But we're underelling here the

7:39

accomplishment of Platner because they

7:42

are running in that race ultimately

7:45

against a Roy Cooperlike figure. Yes. In

7:48

Janet Mills. Yes.

7:49

>> This is not a situation where there is

7:52

an open primary of nobodies. It's not a

7:55

situation where they're going into a

7:56

place like Nebraska where they recruited

7:57

Dan Osborne, the the independent who

7:59

ran, you know, a cycle ago and is

8:01

running again um this cycle. This is a

8:03

situation where Chuck Schumer and the

8:05

Democratic Senate campaign committee had

8:08

a candidate in mind, right? They have a

8:11

Democratic governor of Maine and they're

8:13

going to run the Democratic governor of

8:14

Maine against Mills to pick up that

8:16

seat. And what happens just very very

8:19

very quickly is that Platner squeezes

8:22

Mills out intentionally. She just the

8:26

charisma gap between them

8:28

>> and the ability that he has to command

8:30

attention

8:32

>> particularly online but that then

8:34

translates into all other forms of

8:35

attention cuz like the newspapers follow

8:37

it, the cable news follows it. He's on

8:38

your show.

8:39

>> He also

8:40

>> he knocks out a sitting governor, right?

8:41

But he also I mean this is the other

8:42

part of it is he out campaigns her in

8:45

that state on the ground like it's not

8:48

just the online part of it. I mean and

8:50

again this is part of attention too.

8:52

Maine is a small state right? I mean

8:54

Maine is a state where you know Susan

8:56

Collins

8:57

>> at this point knows like literally knows

9:00

a shockingly high percentage of mayors

9:02

right [laughter] this is just the way it

9:04

works when you're an institution like

9:06

her. It's the kind of state where you

9:07

can make inroads in retail politics in a

9:10

way that you can't the California

9:12

governor's race. Right. So part of it

9:14

too is that he just outworks her. But I

9:16

think that much younger than she is. I

9:18

mean Mills is a 78year-old candidate.

9:21

>> Yes. And I think there's actually an

9:22

interesting relation here between

9:25

attention

9:27

and risk appetite because I think the

9:29

two are so related. I think a lot of the

9:33

things that have

9:35

guided Democratic politics around

9:37

attention have also related to risk

9:39

aversion.

9:40

Don't get negative press. If you're

9:43

choosing between no press and negative

9:44

press, minimize downsides. Okay? Other

9:48

people could have run that primary. They

9:49

knew that Schumer was trying to recruit

9:51

Mills. She actually got in after Platner

9:52

officially. Almost all of the bigname

9:55

politicians in the state of Maine went

9:57

for the governor's race,

9:59

>> right, which was going to be vacated. it

10:00

wasn't going to have a sitting incumbent

10:02

and you weren't going to take on the

10:03

electoral colossus of Susan Collins.

10:06

That's a lower risk choice.

10:08

>> Platner made a high-risisk bet and I do

10:11

think there's a relationship between

10:13

risk appetite and attention that's

10:17

very much part of Democratic politics

10:20

which is there is a kind of

10:23

institutional

10:24

lowrisk appetite.

10:26

>> I want to pick up on the word

10:27

institution there. So Democratic Party,

10:29

the Republican party pre-Trump is like

10:31

this too.

10:33

They choose people who succeed in

10:36

institutions. So I mean if you think

10:38

about the the candidates after Barack

10:40

Obama, right? Hillary Clinton, Joe

10:42

Biden, um in a different way, Kla

10:43

Harris, right? They're all people they

10:45

they were not electoral juggernauts,

10:47

right? Clinton lost to Barack Obama,

10:50

>> but she was beloved within the

10:53

Democratic party at that time. Joe Biden

10:54

was Barack Obama's vice president. And

10:56

it kind of goes down like this.

10:58

I think that there is an inverse

11:00

relationship between the personality

11:03

type.

11:04

>> Yes.

11:04

>> That succeeds institutionally and the

11:07

personality type that succeeds

11:08

attentionally.

11:10

>> That's true.

11:11

>> I think it is related to what you're

11:13

talking about with risk.

11:14

>> Yeah.

11:14

>> But I think it has created an almost

11:16

structural problem in party recruiting

11:19

>> because parties as you were noting they

11:22

look for all these signals that are

11:24

fundamentally signals of institutional

11:26

capacity. Yeah.

11:28

>> Social capital,

11:29

>> right?

11:29

>> Ability to raise money. Uh jobs tend to

11:33

have risen through the institutions. I

11:35

mean, Platner is a downwardly mobile

11:38

oyster farmer whose oyster farm doesn't

11:40

really make money and sells to his mom's

11:42

fancy restaurant. Right. He is not, you

11:43

wouldn't just look at it and think that

11:45

guy is the most impressive person in

11:47

Maine. Right.

11:48

>> Right. It's not like Mikey Cheryl as a

11:49

Navy pilot, you know? But the people who

11:52

succeed in institutions are often do not

11:56

have

11:57

personalities

11:59

that are

12:01

spiky in the way the attentional moment

12:04

currently rewards. So I think that's

12:06

true. I think there's a few things going

12:08

on. One is we should talk about success

12:09

in institutions and credentiing which

12:11

are sort of two different things, right?

12:12

You know it means a lot in the world of

12:15

democratic progressive politics if

12:16

someone went to Yale law. So there's the

12:18

credential part of it. There's actual

12:20

success in institutions. There's

12:21

relationships to those institutions. And

12:23

then there's a kind of personalities

12:25

that succeed in those institutions. The

12:28

old term that you would use in the 50s

12:29

and 60s, right, in a different era was

12:31

like a company man, right? And like a

12:34

company man is someone that gets along

12:36

well with others in an organizational

12:38

setting. Um doesn't make waves, doesn't

12:41

upset people. And I think the idea of a

12:44

company man is kind of what has been the

12:46

template again almost necessarily,

12:49

right? I mean, if you like as you said

12:51

at the beginning of this part of the

12:53

conversation, the Democratic Party is an

12:55

institution. One thing that Platner is

12:57

able to carry in a way that feels

13:00

authentic is a genuine feeling that the

13:04

system is hollow at its core.

13:08

You know, people talk about

13:10

>> which is not a put on with him. I which

13:11

is the key part of this.

13:12

>> I think that's really yes I think that's

13:14

important. I mean you can say a lot

13:15

about his life and what he has done or

13:17

has not done and we'll talk about some

13:18

of that too.

13:19

>> But he is somebody who believes the

13:21

institutions have failed because they

13:23

have failed for him and he has failed

13:25

out of them.

13:26

>> Right. The hostility is authentic.

13:27

>> Yes. And [snorts] when you listen to him

13:30

on the stump

13:32

more than he is carrying a message about

13:34

singlepayer healthcare or a green new

13:37

deal, he is carrying a message about uh

13:41

you know in a very different way I think

13:43

than Bernie did but using similar

13:44

language about an unspecified political

13:45

revolution. He's carrying a message

13:47

about

13:49

this is all wrong somehow.

13:52

>> Yeah. And what you need is somebody who

13:54

fundamentally believes it is all wrong

13:57

somehow.

13:58

>> The world that we live in today is not

14:00

natural.

14:02

We do not live in a political and

14:04

economic reality that is organic.

14:08

It is a system that is built by policy

14:10

decisions. Policy that is written by

14:14

establishment politicians in Washington

14:16

DC at the behest of their donors and

14:20

their supporters. And it is a system

14:23

that was made to make sure that no

14:25

matter how hard you work, you will never

14:29

feel like you have power. Power is for

14:31

these people. And they're up there.

14:33

They're qualified. They have the

14:35

pedigree. They have the background.

14:38

They're the ones that are allowed to

14:39

make decisions for us. Don't worry

14:41

ourselves. Let them take care of it.

14:44

Well, I'm going to tell you right now,

14:45

that story is [ __ ] And you can look

14:48

across a lot of the candidates who are

14:50

succeeding right now. You know, here I

14:51

do think Bomb Donnie, you know, is a,

14:53

you know, fits in. We'll talk about

14:54

Abdul say. Donald Trump was obviously

14:56

like this. A large number of the

14:59

candidates who have broken through are

15:01

breaking through with a

15:05

with a a a message more even than an

15:07

agenda

15:09

of like genuine

15:12

disillusionment. Yes.

15:13

>> And anger.

15:15

>> Yeah. I mean, I think there's there's a

15:16

few related questions. So, one, I think

15:18

people use the term populism, which I

15:20

think gets probably as close as any to

15:22

what we're describing as a tendency. Um,

15:25

you know, disillusionment, frustration

15:27

with a failed status quo, elite failure

15:30

particularly. So, there's a few

15:32

interesting questions that flow out of

15:33

that. One is, does that have a specific

15:36

ideological veilance? Can you be a

15:38

moderate populist, right? Can you be a

15:39

centrist populist is one interesting

15:41

question. Another is um can you channel

15:45

the attentional politics when you are

15:48

suddenly in the

15:51

incumbent position? I want to pick up on

15:53

something you said about being a

15:54

moderate populist. You can be a moderate

15:56

populist. And you know how we know that?

15:58

Because there was one in Maine,

15:59

>> right?

16:00

>> The Democrat in the House representing

16:02

the reddest district in the country

16:04

>> is Jared Golden. Um he's a Maine member

16:07

of Congress. He's a populist who was a

16:09

Bernie Sanders supporter. He is also a

16:12

moderate. You know, he kind of famously

16:14

wrote this opet about how Donald Trump

16:15

wouldn't be the end of the world. He

16:17

supported Donald Trump on tariffs, but

16:19

he is also very, very pro- labor. He's

16:22

very, you know, disgusted with politics.

16:26

>> And he has existed in a kind of

16:30

politically miserable existence.

16:31

>> Yes,

16:32

>> he's been holding a seat probably no

16:34

other Democrat could hold.

16:35

>> And in fact, he's leaving now.

16:36

>> And he is this year getting primared

16:38

from the left.

16:40

and he decided, "I'm done. I'm

16:42

retiring." You know, you could have

16:43

imagined a world where the Democratic

16:45

party, you know, fell in love with this

16:47

guy, embraced him, and elevated him to

16:51

run against Susan Collins. And in that

16:53

world, I'd be like, Susan Collins is

16:55

gone.

16:56

>> Like, she is gone. Um, but I think the

16:59

the issue you see with Jared Golden in

17:01

moderate populism is that you become

17:04

very vulnerable in primaries.

17:07

>> Yes. because on both the right but now

17:09

on the left I mean the polling on this

17:10

is really fascinating if you look at the

17:12

number of Democrats who said they were

17:14

very liberal in say 1995 right you know

17:17

most Democrats were not liberal or very

17:19

liberal in 1995 like they self-described

17:21

as moderate and now it's like very

17:24

liberal um it's very hard to survive and

17:27

it's also just very unpleasant

17:28

>> yes it's very that that part of it is a

17:30

big part of it

17:30

>> even if you can survive the daytoday of

17:32

being like yelled at by the advocacy

17:35

groups on your side by your own friends.

17:38

The thing that you cannot seem to do

17:40

right now is hold that together with

17:45

being a successful candidate in

17:48

primaries where you are having to appeal

17:50

to a high attention electorate with very

17:55

very very sorted political opinions

17:57

>> and you have right particularly in this

18:00

sort of nationalized attentional

18:02

atmosphere. I mean, that's part of it,

18:03

too. Like, in another universe,

18:06

people, no one online is paying

18:08

attention to what Jared Golden's doing,

18:10

right? Like, you could be Jared Golden

18:14

for your district and like the local

18:15

news would cover you and the, you know,

18:17

the local TV news, the newspapers, maybe

18:20

some, you know, some nerds would read

18:22

about you and roll call because we're

18:24

all operating in one attentional sphere.

18:29

There's there's little there's less and

18:31

less room for that sort of variation

18:34

that used to just come about because

18:35

like people just didn't pay pay

18:37

attention to what the main two

18:39

congressional candidate was doing.

18:41

>> I think it's like brings up some of the

18:43

the the flip side of Platner and one

18:44

reason I think Platner is such an

18:45

interesting figure to start with here is

18:48

he

18:49

represents both sides of the gamble

18:51

being made, right? The high-risk high

18:53

attention charisma on the one hand. On

18:56

the other hand, the point of getting

18:57

this high-risk candidate with a sort of

19:00

anti-institutional life story is you're

19:04

not getting somebody who has been

19:07

watching his step for a long time. And

19:08

you're getting somebody who's maybe

19:10

missteped quite a lot. So, you've got

19:11

the Nazi tone cuff tattoo on the chest

19:15

>> and this kind of pulsing question about

19:18

whether or not he knew about that

19:20

>> of I'm honestly a little skeptical that

19:21

he did not know about it for as long as

19:23

he says he didn't.

19:24

>> I share that skepticism. Um, you have

19:26

him texting uh seems like about a half

19:29

dozen women during this marriage

19:31

>> or at least, you know, texting with them

19:34

in in in an effort to um

19:38

set up some kind of relationship. Also,

19:40

there'll be some claims from an

19:41

ex-girlfriend, the one who works in

19:42

Republican politics, that he was, you

19:44

know, borderline abusive when they

19:45

fought.

19:47

>> I've had this trouble with Platiner

19:48

because on the one hand, I've had him

19:51

very charismatic. much of what he says I

19:54

like.

19:55

No particular thing that has come out

19:58

about him has been I mean he's also he's

20:01

very politically incorrect Reddit post

20:02

is maybe the best way to put it.

20:04

>> Nothing that's come out about him on its

20:06

own has been disqualifying for me. I

20:08

don't think he's anti-semite. He's he

20:10

was so politically incorrect on Reddit

20:11

that if he weren't anti-semite I think

20:13

we would know [laughter]

20:14

I think I think that one would have come

20:16

out pretty clearly.

20:17

>> That's a good point.

20:17

>> I think I think he knew what the tattoo

20:20

was earlier.

20:20

>> Yeah. And I think the spirit in which

20:23

he, this is my view of him, right? This

20:24

is not based on anything but my reader's

20:26

situation. The spirit in which he and

20:28

his friends got it was edge lordy. It

20:30

was about it as a signal of a kind of

20:33

vicious badasserie,

20:35

>> not a signal about Jews or Nazis. That's

20:38

my view. Um I don't have I cannot prove

20:41

it, but I'm telling you what I think.

20:43

>> The the thing that worries me about

20:45

Platiner isn't any one thing. It is the

20:48

sense that there is just bad judgment in

20:51

the guy. I mean the the the sexing with

20:54

like the women's is like it's early in a

20:57

marriage and that's pretty recent.

20:58

>> Yeah.

20:59

>> Right. The the thing that worries me

21:00

about platiner isn't kind of any one of

21:03

these things individually. It's that you

21:05

know one thing about a guy who's failed

21:07

out of a bunch of institutions and has

21:09

kind of been downwardly mobile and has

21:11

made a bunch of weird decisions and had

21:12

a kind of Nazi tattoo is you might think

21:14

yeah I want the best for him. I hope for

21:17

all the best for him.

21:18

>> Should he be a US senator?

21:19

>> Should he be a US senator is a very

21:21

different question than that, right?

21:23

Yes. I mean, what I h if I were

21:25

appointing people from Maine, would I

21:26

appoint Graham Platner? Like I would

21:28

not. But that's also not how right

21:30

>> elections work.

21:31

>> Yeah. We have the 17th amendment, right?

21:34

[laughter]

21:34

>> Yes. But but so that I think is but

21:37

here's like the thing. He's not run in a

21:39

general election yet. [snorts] Susan

21:42

Collins overperforms in polls. He has

21:44

been

21:45

>> totally

21:46

>> generating attention and energy among

21:48

Democrats and among particularly like

21:51

the online left and whether or not it

21:55

creates an attack surface that you know

21:58

you can attack this guy is fundamentally

22:00

unreliable

22:01

>> which is what they will do

22:02

>> which is what they are doing

22:04

>> are doing

22:04

>> with a lot of money.

22:05

>> Yeah.

22:06

>> Uh if Democrats win that seat maybe this

22:10

all looks genius. If they lose that

22:12

seat, I I think there's going to be like

22:16

a level of factional hell to pay. So,

22:20

let me say that I basically share

22:24

essentially share everything you said

22:25

like could and have made those

22:27

arguments. Let me just for the sake of

22:28

this conversation

22:30

>> take the other side for a second.

22:32

>> One is they did run someone in 2020 who

22:36

was the most standard possible

22:38

>> state legislator. no scandal to speak

22:41

of, raised a ton of money, a woman, and

22:45

she got her butt kicked.

22:47

>> Yeah.

22:47

>> In fact, she lost by like I think nine

22:49

points, right?

22:49

>> When she was up in all the polls, she

22:51

was up in all the polls.

22:51

>> Part of why people are so nervous about

22:52

this race.

22:53

>> They're nervous about the race. But the

22:54

other thing is it's not like that was

22:56

not tried against Susan Collins. It was

22:58

tried. It didn't work. The second thing

23:00

I would say, and this goes back to our

23:01

risk thing, is there were like five

23:04

people in that gubanatorial primary.

23:06

They could have run for Senate.

23:07

>> Mhm. Like the big names of Maine all ran

23:10

for governor. So part of this is a

23:11

little like everyone's sort of bringing

23:13

their hands. It's like well you have to

23:15

have people running.

23:16

>> Totally.

23:16

>> They didn't run. He ran.

23:18

>> Yeah.

23:19

>> What do you want? Like what is the magic

23:21

wand that makes them run? And they

23:23

didn't run because that was a harder

23:25

race.

23:26

>> The third thing I would say is

23:29

I think there's a theory of the case

23:30

here and I'm not saying this is true.

23:32

I'm just presenting it as a possibility

23:34

is that part of the brand problem for

23:37

the Democrats has been excessive

23:40

conscientiousness.

23:41

>> Yes.

23:41

>> That this is the party of essentially

23:44

kind of like school marm tisktisking.

23:48

Now that's extremely gendered. I want to

23:51

be very clear about that. Um and I think

23:53

a lot of the conversation about plat on

23:54

both sides of the very intense polarized

23:56

debate within the Democratic coalition

23:58

is very gendered. That said, I think

24:01

it's, you know, there is a kind of

24:03

postcoid hangover of the sort of idea

24:07

that the Democrats are just this like

24:09

again this kind of like quick to cancel,

24:12

tell you what you can and can't do,

24:14

kicking people out who talk a little

24:16

salty, etc.

24:18

I think there's something to that. I

24:20

think there's a particularly something

24:21

to that with a certain subset of

24:23

crossressured swing voters.

24:27

And maybe this is a kind of antidote to

24:30

it.

24:30

>> Yeah. Maybe maybe none of this is

24:32

negative for him,

24:33

>> right? Like the Reddit post people have

24:35

joined me as a joke. The Reddit posts

24:36

are the median voter, right? That's the

24:37

joke people made.

24:38

>> When I saw the Reddit post, I was like

24:39

that's a asset,

24:41

>> right? I don't have to agree with them

24:43

or like them to be like that's a

24:45

political asset. I mean, this is a line

24:48

I I I say all the time, but and at some

24:50

point need to like spin out into an

24:52

essay, but the personality type of the

24:53

left is bureaucratic and the personality

24:54

type of the right is autocratic.

24:56

>> Yeah. And and those are failures, right?

24:58

That that the the left is another

24:59

version of it that I use is the left is

25:01

overformed by institutions and the right

25:03

is underformed by institutions. Well

25:05

said,

25:05

>> but you can imagine a world where

25:07

Platiner loses

25:09

>> or doesn't win by as much as he could

25:10

have. And the answer is simply like you

25:12

kind of almost got it right with him.

25:14

>> Yeah.

25:14

>> You know, you just pick somebody like a

25:16

little too underformed, right? You don't

25:18

want the straight A student

25:20

>> and you don't want the kid smoking pot

25:22

in the parking lot. You need something

25:24

sort of

25:24

>> right. He needs something sort of in

25:26

between there. But uh but but but the

25:29

question is really we're going to see a

25:31

test of whether or not this works in

25:33

>> of whether or not this works in Maine.

25:34

It's going to be very very interesting

25:35

>> totally

25:36

>> to see how that plays out.

25:37

>> Can I say two more things about him? So

25:39

one is I think the way that I also think

25:42

there's something interesting in how he

25:43

has handled the last few weeks.

25:45

He has been doing a lot of press

25:48

>> and I I think this is another thing

25:49

where you have to if you're going to do

25:52

it you got to be all in which is you're

25:53

going to go and you're face questions

25:55

and you're going to talk to people and

25:57

that is I think one of the lessons of

26:00

our new era of the dynamics of scandal

26:03

whatever they are is that attention

26:05

moves very quickly and if you embrace

26:09

that and you're like talk to people you

26:12

can move through things in a way that

26:15

used to be very difficult.

26:16

>> Yeah.

26:16

>> And then the last thing I'll say about

26:18

Platner, I think this is a really

26:19

important aspect of his appeal. People

26:22

have talked about the fact, oh, he went

26:23

to a private school and his grandfather

26:24

was this famous architect and his mom

26:26

has this restaurant. Um,

26:28

>> dad bought his house.

26:29

>> Dad bought his house. This is a guy who

26:33

was enlisted.

26:34

>> Mhm.

26:35

>> An enlisted Marine during the global war

26:37

on terror in multiple tours fighting in

26:41

really brutal circumstances. Mhm. And

26:44

here is what I why I think that's

26:45

politically salient. He has an ability

26:48

to, for lack of a better word, code

26:50

switch. I think code switching is

26:52

actually like one of the superpowers of

26:54

a successful Democratic politician

26:56

because the Democratic party is so

26:59

varied and diverse and pluralistic. You

27:02

have to move between different groups.

27:05

And it's hard to learn how to do that

27:07

without some organic experience in

27:09

different worlds. Graham Platner really

27:12

genuinely has that. It gives him that

27:14

thing where he's able to talk to

27:16

different audiences. Barack Obama really

27:18

had it. Bill Clinton, Bill Clinton,

27:20

Alexandria Okasiocortez,

27:22

all of these people,

27:24

you know, Bill Clinton was like,

27:26

>> that's interesting. Does Okasiocortez

27:27

have code switching at that level?

27:29

>> I think she does actually. And I think

27:30

one of the things that you see also, you

27:33

saw this with Obama, you saw it with

27:35

you, you know, they used to call Barack

27:36

Obama in the right-wing press Barry

27:39

because he was Barry in high school at a

27:41

certain point. The idea being this guy's

27:43

inauthentic. He's not really who you

27:45

think he is. He's pretending to be this

27:47

thing. The flip side of that is this is

27:49

a person who's had many different

27:50

experiences in radically different life

27:53

worlds that has given this person an

27:55

organic ability to connect across

27:57

difference. that proves to be the

27:59

superpower in Democratic politics.

28:01

>> Take a beat on Okasiocortez here because

28:03

it it's something I'm really interested

28:05

to see with her. I think nobody knows if

28:07

she's going to run for president. I'm

28:09

not sure she knows if she's going to run

28:10

for president. She is a tremendous

28:13

political talent by any measure. But

28:16

unlike say a Bernie Sanders or as we

28:19

were just saying a Graham Platner, she

28:21

stays away from disagreement. Mhm.

28:23

>> You do not see her doing what Bernie

28:26

does, what Roana does.

28:29

>> She's not on flagrant.

28:30

>> No,

28:31

>> she's not out there with Lex Freedman.

28:32

>> No,

28:33

>> she I mean, she just did a thing with

28:35

More Perfect Union, which is like a

28:36

lefty content producer, you know,

28:39

talking to Trump voters, but in a very

28:41

>> controlled environment.

28:41

>> Controlled environment. Right. She's not

28:43

on Jubilee, which Roana and for that

28:45

matter, James Telerico went on. And I

28:48

think one of the biggest questions for

28:49

her is actually whether she is

28:53

comfortable. Yeah, that's interesting.

28:54

>> Either switching into places that are

28:56

not natural alliances for her

29:00

>> or um being herself in those places.

29:02

Gavin Newsome is doing this everywhere

29:04

right now, right? He will go anywhere he

29:05

is asked and he particularly wants to go

29:08

to places where it's going to be unusual

29:10

to see him there. She runs a very very

29:14

very

29:16

careful operation. Yes.

29:17

>> And often when she is in spaces where

29:19

she's not comfortable like the

29:22

>> Munich Security conference,

29:24

>> it can get hairy for her. She can sort

29:26

of fumble.

29:27

>> And Congressman, I'll start with you.

29:28

Would and should the US actually commit

29:31

US troops to defend Taiwan if China were

29:35

to move? Um, you know, I think that uh

29:40

this is such a uh you know, I I think

29:44

that

29:46

this is a um

29:49

this is of course a a very long-standing

29:53

um

29:54

policy.

29:55

>> I I mean, if I were her adviser, and I'm

29:57

not, I think the problem is she's not

29:59

doing enough. So [snorts] she's not

30:01

getting the sea legs and not getting

30:03

comfortable with things going wrong and

30:04

also not getting the sort of like

30:06

swiftness to to sort of rescue them when

30:08

they do. Right? You remember that Gavin

30:10

do something a couple months ago where

30:11

he's doing a book talk and he's like I'm

30:13

just like you to a mostly black

30:14

audience.

30:15

>> I'm like you. I'm no better than you.

30:19

You know I'm a 960 SAT guy.

30:24

>> It's like my SAT sucked and I can barely

30:26

[laughter] read.

30:26

>> I can barely read. Yeah.

30:28

>> Like it looked really bad. it was

30:30

everywhere for a couple days, but then

30:31

you just go do something else. It just

30:33

keeps moving forward.

30:34

>> Partly though, I think all of these

30:36

calculations about risk, reward,

30:38

control, lack of control, how much

30:39

you're going in is is what your own

30:42

personal

30:44

position is with respect to attention,

30:46

right? Because she is so commanding of

30:49

it, she has the luxury to take much more

30:52

sort of conservative stances about what

30:54

press she does.

30:55

>> Mhm.

30:56

>> And I think that's a trade-off. I agree

30:57

with you that like there's probably a

30:59

degree to which more would be better.

31:00

>> Taylor Swift doesn't need to do a lot of

31:02

interviews.

31:02

>> Exactly. That's exactly it. But she just

31:04

doesn't have to go

31:06

>> Yeah. Whereas chasing around Jubilee

31:08

like

31:08

>> Yeah. Roan is everywhere because he is

31:10

trying to build like attentional

31:12

strength. I want to move to Michigan. Uh

31:14

what let's start here. Do you want to

31:16

just give a overview of the Michigan

31:18

Senate Democratic primary?

31:21

I mean, you have a situation in which

31:23

you have a departing incumbent

31:25

Democratic senator, Gary Peters, who's

31:28

retiring. So, you have an open seat. You

31:30

have a a very, I would say, from the

31:33

Republican perspective, high quality

31:35

recruit for the Republican side, who is

31:38

Republican Congressman Mike Rogers, who

31:40

is truly out of like normie Republican

31:43

kind of central casting. Like if you're

31:45

trying to win a swing state, he is not,

31:47

you know, he he's not some Peter Teal

31:51

weirdo who's going to do an ad with his

31:53

gun silencer.

31:55

>> This is designed to kill people. I'm

31:57

Blake [music] Masters. I'm running for

31:59

the US Senate in Arizona.

32:01

>> And then on the Democratic side, you've

32:02

got Abdullah Sayed, who is a really

32:06

fascinating dude who was a public health

32:08

official in Detroit. He's a he's a road

32:10

scholar. Um

32:12

>> MD PhD.

32:12

>> MD PhD. incredibly credential,

32:14

>> has run statewide and lost for governor.

32:17

>> Exactly. And but is very very

32:19

charismatic. Um extremely bright too.

32:22

>> Had a crooked media podcast.

32:23

>> Had a crooked media podcast. I don't

32:24

know if you've you know I've spoken to

32:26

him at length. He's

32:27

>> an incredibly impressive dude. Just in

32:29

terms of like he's a really smart guy

32:30

who knows a lot of stuff. Um you have a

32:32

state senator Mallerie McMorro um who

32:34

has been kind of like a I would say like

32:36

a charismatic upandcomer in national

32:38

politics even when she was a relatively

32:40

obscure state rep.

32:41

>> Yeah. Starting with this big speech he

32:43

gave after being accused of being a

32:44

groomer. Yes.

32:45

>> So, I want to be very clear right now.

32:47

Call me whatever you want. I hope you

32:49

brought in a few dollars. I hope it made

32:51

you sleep good last night. I know who I

32:54

am. I know what faith and service means

32:56

and what it calls for in this moment.

33:00

We will not let hate win.

33:04

>> But she also has good like good video

33:05

content.

33:06

>> Yeah, she's [clears throat] very

33:06

charismatic. you know, like a year ago

33:08

if I were doing this, I'd be like

33:09

Mallerie McMorro, like one of the big

33:10

attentional like emergent attentional

33:12

stars.

33:13

>> And then you have the person who I think

33:16

there's reporting to indicate that I

33:17

think and it's probably true that Haley

33:19

Stevens who's a sitting uh congresswoman

33:22

um who is I think probably the

33:24

establishment choice to see was

33:26

recruited by the establishment in part.

33:28

Um, and what's happened is she has not

33:32

taken off and she's not of the three

33:35

candidates, whatever you think about

33:37

Haley Stevens issue positions, her

33:39

qualifications, whether she'd be a good

33:40

senator, like I think she's the least

33:42

potentially gifted of the three.

33:45

>> Um, and I think the polling indicates

33:48

that right now Abdul Elsite is probably

33:50

in the lead. He's gotten a huge amount

33:51

of benefit from

33:54

sort of the the the Bernie faction of

33:56

the party. Streamer Hassan [ __ ] who did

33:58

it came and did a a rally with him which

34:00

was both controversial but got a ton of

34:02

attention. And in a first pass to post

34:04

again first pass the post primary split

34:07

field. What do you have to get? You got

34:08

to get 30% 35% of the vote 38% of the

34:13

vote. So I want to talk about this

34:14

primary because first in one way Abdul

34:17

said is like the opposite candidate from

34:19

Graham Platner, right? He he is

34:21

attentionally capable but he is not a

34:26

outside the institution, right? Like

34:27

he's a guy who he taught at Columbia,

34:29

>> the road scholar.

34:30

>> Road scholar.

34:31

>> He's like the ultimate brass ring of

34:33

credentiing in the American meritocracy

34:35

is worn on his hand.

34:36

>> Yes. Uh he has run before and lost. He

34:39

when people talk about candidates who

34:41

have wanted to be in public office for a

34:43

very long time, he is one of those

34:45

candidates.

34:46

>> And if you like look at the polling in

34:49

this race, you look at Poly Market or

34:50

Kelsey in this race,

34:52

>> you can see that he did not walk in and

34:55

start dominating it, what happened was

34:59

that he started centering

35:03

Israel and Gaza. Hassan [ __ ] coming was

35:07

part of this and the the role per played

35:09

in this to me when the way at least I

35:12

observed it happening. It's not that it

35:14

was Piker's endorsement or something

35:15

that mattered. It's that per himself was

35:18

so controversial that outside groups

35:21

like Third Way and then the other two

35:24

candidates attacked.

35:25

>> Yep. And in attacking they centered

35:28

Israel and Gaza which turned the like

35:32

Israel and Gaza is like an attentional

35:35

superconductor.

35:36

>> Yes, it is

35:37

>> right. It is like no other issue with

35:40

the exception maybe Donald Trump himself

35:42

in American life and for an engaged

35:46

Democratic primary electorate

35:48

>> Abdul Aliad is more on the right side of

35:50

that issue.

35:51

>> Yes. And so I I think you're saying

35:53

something that's going to be very

35:54

important about attentions like there

35:55

are certain issues in any moment like

35:58

his background the way I came to know

36:00

him as a political figure is Medicare

36:01

for all.

36:02

>> Yeah.

36:02

>> Right. he emerges in politics, you know,

36:04

Bernie Sanders guy and like like his

36:07

whole thing is Medicare for all and like

36:08

he still believes in that and

36:10

>> and from a healthare a public health

36:11

>> from a public health perspective but

36:13

what has happened here is that there

36:15

like a lot of attention on Israel and

36:18

Gaza and it has become like the defining

36:21

issue and and Michigan obviously very

36:23

big Arab population right so

36:25

>> and also the Haley Stevens component of

36:28

this right because I mean we should we

36:29

should give the backstory here which is

36:30

that

36:31

>> you [snorts] know Haley Stevens primary

36:33

to Andy Lemon. Andy Lemon was was this,

36:36

you know, labor organizer

36:39

and very kind of

36:43

two-state solution Israel critical

36:45

Jewish lefty

36:47

>> synagogue president.

36:49

>> Synagogue president who was who had like

36:52

a ton of Apac money dumped on his head.

36:54

>> Yeah.

36:55

because he was insufficiently loyal to

36:57

the essentially the Netanyahu line and

37:00

Stevens knocked him off as part of that

37:02

effort. And the other thing I would say

37:03

is and I think this is incredibly

37:06

dangerous for the folks who spend their

37:09

time worrying about America's

37:11

relationship to Israel and defense of

37:13

Israel.

37:15

you have a situation in which you have

37:16

kind of stacked these different things

37:18

at top each other where it's like money

37:20

and politics, the establishment, the

37:22

failed status quo, the pro-Israel lobby

37:25

are all stacked at top each other and

37:28

very hard to disentangle. And so being

37:31

the populist insurgent against the

37:33

status quo,

37:35

your criticism as Israel, your criticism

37:37

of the war in Gaza, your views on that

37:41

put you across these incredibly salient

37:44

divides that sort of reach up and down

37:47

from the actual issue of Gaza. And

37:49

>> I I wrote a piece on this when all the

37:51

attacks were centering on [ __ ] and and

37:54

one of the points of that piece was that

37:56

it is going to be very very very

37:58

important to break the effort to

38:02

conflate

38:03

>> yes

38:03

>> anti-semitism and Zionism and it is

38:06

going to only become more important as

38:09

Israel's actual actions make anti-ionism

38:13

a more popular and

38:17

like morally compelling position.

38:19

position among progressively minded

38:21

people.

38:22

>> I mean, look, you can look at polling of

38:23

young Jews,

38:24

>> right?

38:25

>> Right. How many of them want a one-state

38:26

solution? It's pretty high now.

38:28

>> So, I will say also, and it's worth

38:30

playing this, I thought Abdul say

38:32

himself

38:33

>> had a very, very good answer

38:36

disentangling this.

38:38

>> What do you say to the Jewish community

38:40

who you're going to want to vote for you

38:41

about your positions on Israel, on Apac

38:46

funding, etc., uh and and how they

38:48

shouldn't feel alienated by a candidate

38:51

like you.

38:52

>> Well, Kate, I'll tell you this. Nobody

38:53

understands what it's like to be

38:54

discriminated against for how you pray,

38:56

like someone who gets discriminated

38:57

against for how we pray. And most of the

38:59

time, we don't ask how we pray. Most

39:01

people are asking, "What do you pray

39:02

for?" And I pray for peace and dignity

39:04

and basic goodness for all of our kids,

39:07

whether they're Jewish kids who are

39:10

neighboring a couple houses down from me

39:11

or my kids who are Muslim. And I'll tell

39:14

you that it's really important for us to

39:16

be able to differentiate between

39:18

Judaism, the Jewish people, Jewish

39:20

culture, Jewish contributions to this

39:21

country, which are vast, and Apac and

39:24

Israel. Those are two different things.

39:26

I, when I'm elected, will be the chief

39:29

opposition to what the Egyptian

39:30

government does. Now, my family

39:31

immigrated from Egypt. That doesn't make

39:32

me anti-Egyptian. That just means that I

39:35

want my tax dollars to be spent here

39:37

rather than sent over there to cement

39:39

the chokeold of a military dictatorship

39:41

on its own people. And I apply the same

39:43

exact principles to Israel. I don't want

39:45

my tax dollars being spent to backtop

39:47

backs stop apartheid and genocide when

39:49

they could be used to provide things

39:51

like glasses or healthcare or schools

39:53

for our own kids. And I worry that a lot

39:55

of times people want to use the the word

39:57

anti-semitism to spread to defend a

40:00

foreign government. And I think it's

40:01

just really important for us to

40:02

differentiate between those two because

40:04

I don't want to be held accountable to

40:06

what another government does simply

40:07

because I share ethnicity with the

40:08

people who live there. And I know the

40:10

same for my Jewish sisters and brothers.

40:12

>> I remember a sign that was put up in Los

40:14

Angeles. I saw a picture of in 2008.

40:18

It was on a lampost and it was during

40:20

the Hillary Iraq primary. And the sign

40:24

was a campaign sign and it had one

40:27

sentence and it said she voted for the

40:29

war. Mhm. And it was like that's all you

40:32

need to know. Like that vote for the

40:35

Iraq war that was the thing that was the

40:37

reason Hillary Clinton lost that

40:38

primary. ultimately there's a million

40:40

reasons and she came very close and talk

40:43

relitigated but that was the thing

40:45

>> I know a lot of uh particularly like

40:47

older Jews who will say to me I I don't

40:50

understand why get so much attention

40:51

>> right

40:52

>> you know look at what China's doing to

40:54

the weaguers or

40:55

>> and one of the things I I say I'm is

40:58

that they are making themselves a center

41:01

of attention right they they really

41:03

pushed hard to have America join them in

41:05

a war they've expanded the scope of that

41:09

war they have allowed just constant you

41:12

know in addition to Netanyahu saying he

41:15

wants now 70% of Gaza they have like

41:18

allowed and enabled and protected and

41:21

caused like a constant stream of

41:23

atrocities out of the West Bank you can

41:26

it is you can support what Israel is

41:29

doing but I don't think you can deny

41:31

that is going to come with a tremendous

41:34

cost and if you are not willing to have

41:37

Israel pay the cost of its actual

41:40

actions. I don't think you should be

41:41

supporting its actions.

41:42

>> I mean, let's let's talk about what

41:44

happened in the Israel Day parade here

41:45

in New York.

41:47

>> Uh in terms of attention

41:49

>> so you got this you got the Israel Day

41:50

parade. It's happened every year and in

41:52

in the context of New York, it has been

41:54

a kind of you know cross ideological day

41:57

of Jewish unity and solidarity. Now this

42:01

year it's controversial for reasons. The

42:03

mayor is not going to attend for the

42:04

first time uh in a long time. other

42:06

politicians will be there.

42:09

What happens in that parade? Bezel

42:12

Smaltric,

42:14

the most one of the most far-right

42:15

ministers who's in the Israeli

42:16

government, who is, you know, pushed for

42:19

along with Bengavir, the law to

42:23

execute people by hanging, who has been,

42:27

you know, proponent of the settlers and

42:30

>> more than that has put out a functional

42:32

plan for the expulsion of Palestinians.

42:34

what what I think it is reasonable to

42:36

call the ethnic cleansing of the West

42:37

Bank.

42:37

>> Yes. He shows up at the Israel parade

42:39

with a bunch of like also hardcore

42:42

extremist right-wingers. And they do

42:44

>> his attentional politics.

42:45

>> His attentional politics. And they do a

42:46

bunch of interviews. And he even says to

42:48

one of the interviewers, "I love this

42:50

parade. It reminds me of Jerusalem Day,"

42:52

which of course is like the far-right

42:54

parade that happens every year in

42:56

Jerusalem where like a very extremist

42:59

right-wing Israelis march through

43:00

Jerusalem in an act of like very clear

43:03

provocation.

43:03

>> Yeah. [laughter] like chanting

43:04

horrifying things

43:07

as a

43:08

>> but Smrich says this because he's

43:10

playing his own attentional politics

43:13

>> but you can't it's like so then after

43:14

that it's like well whose fault is it

43:16

that people are paying attention to the

43:18

parade.

43:19

>> Yeah.

43:20

>> You know and and you could say well he's

43:23

an extremist he doesn't represent he's

43:24

in the Israeli government.

43:25

>> He's got authority over the West Bank.

43:27

>> Yeah. It it actually drives me

43:29

completely insane. [laughter]

43:31

And it happens all the time in

43:32

conversations I'm in. But it it drives

43:34

me insane the effort to say that what

43:37

these sitting cabinet ministers in

43:41

Israel are doing is irrelevant or

43:43

they're controversial or

43:46

it is what it is. There is

43:48

>> they're in power.

43:49

>> They're in power. There's also there's a

43:50

southern expression I love this throwing

43:52

rocks and hiding hands

43:53

>> which I love. And there's just also I

43:55

feel like this this isn't the Israeli

43:57

government but APA pack and and sort of

43:59

groups around them and associated super

44:00

PACs. There's a lot of throwing rocks

44:02

and hiding hands. You've just played in

44:04

a succession of the most expensive

44:06

congressional races in history like a

44:08

set of record setting ones

44:10

>> where you have spent the money that have

44:13

made them the most expensive. That's

44:15

fine. It's America in the post Citizens

44:17

United era. People get to do that.

44:20

>> What you can't do is be like, why is

44:22

everyone focused on us? [laughter] It's

44:23

like you spent tens of millions of

44:25

dollars to knock people out. Like you

44:28

you could do one or the other. You know,

44:29

you you you play in these races. You

44:31

play in these races, but then you get to

44:32

be criticized for it.

44:34

>> All right. I want to move to Texas. And

44:36

I want to move to

44:36

>> Texas is so interesting right now.

44:38

>> James Telerico because I think he

44:42

he reflects maybe something different

44:44

than what we've been talking about. He

44:45

is the one case in which I think you can

44:47

really see an attentional superstar who

44:50

rose during this cycle

44:52

>> but did not rise because he was so far

44:55

left or so far right. He has I mean I

44:57

had him here on the show. It's a great

44:58

interview. People should go check it

44:59

out. He has bog standard progressive

45:02

politics. Now it is connected to a

45:08

beautifully articulated Christian moral

45:11

framework

45:13

but but he's somebody who has broken

45:14

through intentionally not by being very

45:17

far left

45:18

>> or very far right not by choosing a

45:21

highly controversial issue but actually

45:24

by

45:26

frontloading

45:28

a religiously rooted decency that in

45:32

part got him on Joe Rogan's

45:34

podcast

45:35

>> and became this signal that maybe he

45:38

could do something other Democrats

45:39

couldn't and win Texas. So, I'm curious

45:42

what you've made of him.

45:44

>> Again, I would start with the thing that

45:46

we've been saying about a number of

45:47

these people, including Platner and I

45:49

think Abdo say is that he's he's

45:50

charismatic in in again in the ancient

45:52

Greek sense. Um, and I think obviously

45:55

the the sort of pastoral tradition that

45:57

he's coming out of means that he's both

46:00

naturally charismatic and also has

46:03

access to a set of rhetorical tools that

46:06

have been developed literally over

46:08

thousands of years [laughter] to grab

46:10

and hold people's attention. Right? So,

46:12

I think that's a huge part of what's

46:13

going on. And again,

46:16

I think that connects to this Back to

46:17

the Future theme that we keep coming

46:19

back to, which is like you can't just

46:21

raise money and run ads, right? If you

46:24

want to be successful, you got to have

46:25

something going on about how you grab

46:28

people. And he clearly has that. I think

46:31

you're totally right that he's a unicorn

46:34

in that it's not connected to that kind

46:37

of populist message. In the same way he

46:39

is a I think a populist and I think he's

46:41

very much framing himself as a sort of

46:43

insurgent outside the status quo but

46:45

he's not

46:46

>> he's really not relying on any kind of

46:49

us versus them framework. Um I mean he

46:51

does a little bit of the billionaires

46:53

but but it's rhetorical flourishing.

46:56

>> It's it's not the core in the way

46:57

platner and platner is like

46:59

>> that is platner's thing. It's what comes

47:01

out.

47:01

>> This guy is a former president of his

47:03

college democrats.

47:04

>> Exactly. [laughter]

47:05

>> Like he is a different type. He is a

47:07

person who has wanted to run for He's a

47:09

Teach for America kid,

47:10

>> right? He's not

47:11

>> such a great

47:12

>> person who has been failed by American

47:15

institutions.

47:16

>> He is not a person who you feel harbors

47:20

a great anger

47:21

>> at the Democratic establishment. you

47:23

know, he's a state representative

47:25

>> and and I think that's an interesting

47:26

dimension of him, but he also has a

47:28

quality that Platner does in a different

47:30

way, which is that while I don't I'm not

47:32

saying he was cast in the sense that

47:34

somebody came out and found him the way

47:36

they came out and found Platner,

47:39

>> he does look like what he is in the same

47:41

way that Platner looks like what he is.

47:42

I mean, a lot of people are oyster

47:44

farmers or lobstermen,

47:46

>> but they don't like you wouldn't see

47:48

them on the street and think, well, you

47:50

definitely spend all your time on the

47:51

water,

47:51

>> right? Yes.

47:52

>> And like you know Platin looks like a

47:53

seaman.

47:54

>> Yes.

47:54

>> And Telerico like you would cast him

47:58

>> as a pastor

47:59

>> to play the idealistic young pastor

48:02

>> like rooting out corruption.

48:03

>> Yes.

48:04

>> In a complicated church.

48:05

>> Yes. Exactly.

48:06

>> Um he just has the whole

48:08

>> you could put him in a scene and there

48:09

will be blood.

48:09

>> And he Right. Exactly. And he rises you

48:13

know by

48:15

running his social media strategy which

48:18

you know eventually gets him on Rogan.

48:20

And I think that he also reflects this

48:23

yearning people that I think is really

48:25

powerful and now is underplayed which is

48:28

not just for populism or radicalism or

48:32

even inspiration but in the Trump era

48:34

for decency.

48:35

>> Totally. And there's a yearning for

48:37

public virtue which I think is a sort of

48:39

funny inversion of some of the politics

48:41

of our you know our youth.

48:43

>> I talk a lot about virtue on this show.

48:44

>> Yeah. And I'm thinking about a lot about

48:45

virtue. I think that's partly the

48:49

experience of Trump. It's partly that

48:50

I'm a middle-aged dad with three kids

48:52

and I think a lot about moral

48:53

instruction. Um, and

48:56

particularly a moral instruction in a

48:58

world in which like the most powerful

49:01

and famous figure in the country is a

49:03

moral degenerate. The other thing I

49:05

would say is there's these different

49:09

there's different kind of vibratory

49:11

levels that

49:13

different coalitions play on. And I do

49:15

think that like the appeal for

49:18

connection,

49:19

brother and sisterhood, solidarity,

49:21

unity, you know, that was the thing that

49:24

Barack Obama was able to marshall.

49:27

[snorts] And that's still deep in the

49:30

progressive soul. I think I think it's

49:31

deep in the American soul. [snorts] It's

49:34

the not what Donald Trump Donald Trump

49:36

is totally incapable of playing in that

49:39

register. I think the Republican party

49:42

increasingly in his era is incapable of

49:44

playing that register. And and the last

49:46

thing I'll say, and I think this this

49:48

applies to John Oaf as well.

49:49

>> Where we're going next.

49:50

>> Oh, good.

49:51

>> Uh in when you think about like what's

49:54

the opposite of Trump?

49:56

>> Mhm. [clears throat]

49:56

>> One typology of the opposite of Trump is

49:59

a nice young man.

50:01

Like what's the opposite of Trump? It's

50:03

like a nice young man. James Rico is a

50:05

nice young man.

50:05

>> Let let me hold before we go to John Of

50:07

and and the different Obama registers.

50:09

The nice young man, the what it means to

50:12

be nice, the weakness of being nice has

50:15

been the main form of attack. The Paxton

50:18

campaign has decided to unleash

50:20

>> like low ti tofu telerico taperico which

50:23

now the telerico campaign has talo

50:25

shirts. I think that one was a a Paxton

50:27

mistake.

50:28

>> But but the the weakness they think they

50:32

have sensed

50:34

is that people want strength.

50:36

>> Yeah. and a nice young man

50:40

who wants you to like him

50:42

and speaks often of his own humility and

50:45

has a vegan girlfriend

50:47

is not strong enough for Texas.

50:50

>> I mean that's a charitable version.

50:51

They're calling him the fsler is what

50:52

they're doing. I mean I mean that you're

50:54

giving a charitable version of what the

50:56

actual

50:56

>> Well, and I mean and and actually quite

50:58

literally like you know you have Steven

51:00

Miller saying the first transgender

51:02

candidate, right? You know he's a queer.

51:04

It's very schoolyard all of it.

51:06

>> Yes. Um when we take a step back just

51:08

like cruelty versus kindness. They're

51:10

really they're really playing into the

51:12

campaign Taller Rico wanted to set up. I

51:14

I once heard somebody around the the M

51:16

Donnie Cuomo campaign be like they both

51:18

got the exact

51:20

antagonist they wanted.

51:21

>> Yeah, that's a great point.

51:23

>> Right. And it just turned out mom Donnie

51:25

was right about which antagonist he

51:26

wanted and Cuomo wasn't. I

51:28

>> in terms of that race and who's making

51:29

the right tactical calls. We should just

51:31

take a step back and say, you know,

51:33

Texas is Texas for a reason. And if you

51:36

run a moderately competent campaign with

51:37

a moderately competent candidate, you

51:38

will win by five points. [laughter]

51:41

>> Like, as a Republican,

51:42

>> as a Republican, it's just structurally

51:44

there. So, you really got to screw

51:46

things up,

51:46

>> if not more than five points.

51:48

>> Yes. I mean, 10 10 to five, right? You

51:50

run a bad campaign, it's five. You run a

51:52

miserable campaign like Ted Cruz did in

51:54

2018, in a really, really good year for

51:56

Democrats, you win by two. What I would

51:58

say is about Paxton is that he's kind of

52:01

the worst of all worlds in this way,

52:03

which is that Ken Paxton is someone with

52:05

a lot of baggage. He was uh impeached by

52:07

a, you know, supermajority Republican

52:10

state legislature for corruption. He was

52:12

indicted for securities crimes, although

52:13

not convicted. He was also not convicted

52:16

on his impeachment. His wife recently

52:18

divorced him for what she called more

52:19

biblical reasons. There were a number of

52:21

his ex-staffers who came out with a a

52:24

statement where they talked about um

52:26

just how awful he was as a boss and in

52:30

his public positions. I've covered Ken

52:32

Paxton a ton in my journalism career.

52:34

You don't hear him talk that much. This

52:35

is not a super charismatic guy.

52:37

>> Yeah.

52:38

>> He's got all the baggage and none of the

52:39

charisma. It's a weird combination of

52:41

things, but he's there's it's not like

52:44

there's some amazing magnetism on the

52:46

other side of it. So

52:50

if you were setting up the worst kind of

52:53

candidate in this era who's got the kind

52:54

of all the negatives of sort of

52:56

high-risk attentional strategies and

52:57

none of the positives, it kind of is Ken

52:59

Paxton. Yes. But this is where I think

53:02

there's like just something genuinely

53:03

interesting about Telerico because he to

53:06

me shows

53:08

there's actually a lot of pathways in to

53:11

breaking out intentionally. It's

53:13

generally interesting that Telerico was

53:14

able to beat um Jasmine Crockett who is

53:17

also like big MSNBC figure. Jasmine

53:20

Crockett big on viral video and is not

53:25

super guarded and talking pointsy, you

53:27

know, that that and I think that's a

53:29

good attribute and it, you know, he beat

53:30

her in that primary,

53:31

>> but it it goes to show I think that

53:33

there's probably a lot of different

53:35

angles,

53:35

>> yes,

53:36

>> that you can play here. I think one

53:38

thing that these platforms sniff out and

53:41

I don't know why but podcasting video

53:44

etc. I think they sniff out

53:46

inauthenticity that in a way that was

53:48

not true when you were giving quotes in

53:50

newspapers or going on meet the press or

53:52

being on the nightly news. I think

53:54

actually inauthentic figures could do

53:56

perfectly well there. Somehow

53:58

institutions to go back to what we were

54:00

talking about institutions don't care

54:02

about authenticity. They actually want

54:04

you to change who you are to conform to

54:07

what they need.

54:08

>> Yes.

54:08

>> But these sort of anti-institutional

54:11

spaces

54:12

>> they do. Yeah. There's something about

54:14

them where people I always feel this

54:15

when people on the show. The first thing

54:17

the audience can sense is

54:18

inauthenticity. The first thing they can

54:19

sense is you not telling them what you

54:21

really think.

54:22

>> Yeah. And you got to be that I think

54:23

that's such a good point that you have

54:25

to be

54:27

you have to be some version of your

54:29

actual self to figure it out and to do

54:32

and to do it right. Rahm Emanuel is not,

54:35

in my view, likely to be the Democrat's

54:37

2028 nominee, but his somewhat unlikely

54:40

presidential campaign is going to do

54:43

better than I think people realize it's

54:45

going to do in being a sort of force in

54:47

the primary because he is fundamentally

54:49

himself.

54:50

>> Totally. Yes.

54:51

>> In all places.

54:51

>> Yes.

54:52

>> And so that allows him to just sort of

54:54

attack and run plays and be compelling.

54:58

>> And also he's got the to go back to the

55:00

risk calculation, he's got nothing to

55:01

lose. He can say yes to everything

55:02

>> and he's a high-risisk personality.

55:04

>> Yeah, he's got a high risk personality.

55:05

>> He's an unusual highly institutional

55:06

figure who [clears throat]

55:07

>> very high risk.

55:08

>> Has very very very high risk appetites.

55:11

>> Um speaking of 2028, uh I we talked

55:14

about AOC a little bit ago and I think

55:15

she's one of the big figures here, but

55:18

what have you made of John Oasus

55:20

emergence

55:21

>> as uh like a a cross ideological 2028

55:26

dark horse? person who I've been talking

55:28

about for a while but Hassan [ __ ] is

55:30

talking about you know the Madag

55:32

Glaciius is talking right like you know

55:34

Michelle Goldberg just did a great piece

55:35

on him there's something interesting in

55:38

in what people are projecting on to John

55:40

Oaf I have been jokingly calling him in

55:43

our team Slack the Leisan Algib uh which

55:47

is a Dune reference to to the like

55:49

[laughter] the the the you know the the

55:51

Shalamé figure who is essentially the

55:54

kind of chosen one right the the

55:56

foretold old prophet. This is a joke

55:57

just to be clear. And the reason that I

55:59

use that is

56:00

>> Jewish Kennedy man.

56:02

>> There is something about

56:04

the the way that he is performing

56:09

his candidacy, the social media videos

56:12

that putting out, the fact that he is

56:15

very conventionally handsome and young

56:18

and could be in a movie like AOC. He's

56:21

very controlled in his media.

56:22

>> Yeah. He's not playing a volume game.

56:24

>> Not playing. I don't see him on podcast

56:26

interviews right now.

56:27

>> No, not playing a volume game. I think

56:30

that he has figured [clears throat] out

56:32

a way in a broadly palatable ideological

56:38

fashion to leverage a populist moral

56:41

critique of the rot of Trump that can

56:45

appeal across the different Democratic

56:46

factions, which is important,

56:48

>> but also he's running for reelection in

56:50

a swing state and is right now polling

56:54

very well. We'll see what happens. But

56:58

if you back up a couple years, if I said

57:01

to you in 2024,

57:04

which of the or 2022 or whatever, um,

57:09

which of Georgia's Democratic senators

57:11

is everybody going to be talking about

57:13

in 2026

57:15

as a 2028

57:17

savior? I think the answer would been

57:20

Raphael Waro,

57:20

>> 100%.

57:22

>> And instead, Osaf,

57:24

>> yes,

57:25

>> is the one people are talking about. And

57:26

and I was looking at Raphael Waro's

57:29

YouTube page cuz he's doing content, but

57:32

it doesn't have any of the visual

57:35

grammar. One thing that, you know, you

57:37

see in a Mi, you see in a John O, you

57:39

see in a James Terrio is we this is not

57:42

just a like a an age of algorithms. It's

57:44

visual,

57:45

>> very visual. And you know, you'll see

57:47

Waro and he's like talking in, you know,

57:49

the Senate press conference setups and

57:51

he's just like in front of American

57:52

flags and and OFF they figured out you

57:55

you know the clip like immediately when

57:58

you see it and OV used to be a

58:00

documentarian who did documentaries on

58:02

international corruption, right?

58:04

>> So there's a background here. This guy

58:06

actually knows how to create TV.

58:08

>> Yep.

58:09

>> About corruption. Y

58:11

>> but there's something really interesting

58:13

to me about yeah first the scarcity the

58:18

the creating want this who is John O

58:20

this building anticipation

58:22

um plus this figuring out of a visual

58:26

grammar

58:27

>> that's distinct and wholly your own

58:29

>> and looks like Obama

58:30

>> yes it does look like Obama

58:32

>> looks like it's also the hero shot

58:34

>> it's always a hero shot which was a

58:35

constant you remember there's an

58:36

>> you got to be skinny for that to work I

58:37

just want for anyone else who's taking

58:39

notes out there in production you You

58:40

got to be pretty thin for that hero

58:41

shot.

58:42

>> There was a great the hero shot being

58:43

this sort of 3/4 upwards angle

58:45

>> and otherwise you get a lot of chins.

58:47

>> Yeah, you get a lot of chips.

58:48

>> And there was this great onion article

58:50

on Obama uh something like Obama

58:54

accidentally stares too far into future

58:57

[laughter]

58:58

>> because he was he was very good at this

59:01

>> and the off shot is always

59:03

>> it's always like this like he doesn't

59:04

seem like he's looking at a crowd.

59:06

>> He's looking past the crowd. [laughter]

59:08

>> No, you're right. And I do think it's

59:10

true that kind of visual branding is so

59:12

interesting. There's one other dimension

59:14

of Osaf that I think is really worth

59:16

mentioning in terms of 2028 um and which

59:20

is that he's Jewish.

59:21

>> Yes.

59:22

>> And and a genuine Israel critic. to see

59:25

this is so I think

59:28

to go back to what we were saying about

59:30

that Michigan race

59:32

there's no way of getting around the

59:35

fractures in the party on Gaza Israel

59:40

perceptions of anti-semitism perceptions

59:42

of undue influence by the Israel lobby

59:47

like

59:49

the coalition contains both elements

59:52

and someone's going to have to figure

59:53

out how to thread that needle. And if I

59:57

were if you were asking me what that

59:59

person might look like, I would say the

60:03

first Jewish nominee in history who is

60:06

also a critic of Israel would be one

60:09

recipe to thread a very difficult needle

60:13

for the the coalition.

60:14

>> Yeah. And the point here is that OV has

60:16

substance on this. So he early on sent

60:18

onto a Bernie Sanders letter that I

60:19

think only had 19.

60:21

>> Yes. Very like w with a small group. It

60:23

was a small group

60:24

>> that was against sending more arms y

60:27

>> to Israel given the level of

60:30

humanitarian devastation that was

60:33

currently being inflicted by Israel upon

60:35

Gaza. Um you my colleague Michelle

60:37

Goldberg had a great profile of him and

60:40

you know she she mentions like aar's

60:42

piece which is like the liberal Israeli

60:43

newspaper saying well this position is

60:45

going to make it much harder for Asaf to

60:47

win in in Georgia and no it put Osaf in

60:50

position to actually navigate this in a

60:53

way the others are going to have a lot

60:55

of trouble with. Yep.

60:56

>> Josh Shapi is gonna have a lot of

60:58

trouble here is already having a lot of

60:59

trouble here.

61:00

>> And you know but if you go too far to

61:02

the other side you're gonna have Right.

61:04

you're gonna need somebody who can

61:06

represent both sides of the divide at

61:08

once.

61:09

>> And Of who is one centering on a

61:13

corruption story,

61:14

>> who is two centering on a he moves a

61:18

corruption critique into an argument for

61:21

liberal pluralism.

61:22

>> Yes.

61:23

>> Right. It's sort of a populist critique

61:25

with a liberal pluralist answer. Right.

61:28

Talks a lot about values, talks a lot

61:30

about being rooted in the civil rights

61:31

movement. um and then is able to

61:34

navigate this dimension of the party's

61:37

schism.

61:38

>> He's also done something on corruption

61:39

that I have struggled to do and I don't

61:41

know if you felt the same way.

61:44

The corruption is so overwhelming and

61:49

and you can hear in my voice right now

61:50

like so

61:53

it leaves me speechless. It's so brazen.

61:55

It's so insane. Every single day I

61:57

discover some new story that is like

61:58

would have been the end of any other

62:00

politician I've covered. Assaf has

62:02

figured out how to tell that story very

62:04

very well. But one reason is that he

62:07

often he moves it to be as about Donald

62:11

Trump and also about the Democratic

62:15

party also about the existing

62:16

institutions. Right?

62:18

>> See I get why people voted for him

62:21

>> because even before he came on the

62:24

scene,

62:26

America had the most corrupt political

62:28

system in the Western world. It's been

62:30

running on corporate money, secret

62:33

money, billionaire money, both sides,

62:39

>> and it's worse than ever now.

62:42

Citizens United was the worst court

62:44

decision in modern American history.

62:49

[cheering]

62:50

[applause]

62:56

And and when members of Congress aren't

62:57

begging for money from lobbyists,

62:59

they're trying to dodge getting carpet

63:01

bombed by these super PACs. And see,

63:04

this is why nothing works for ordinary

63:06

people. It's not because of woke college

63:09

kids or trans students or because there

63:11

are interracial couples in serial

63:13

commercials.

63:16

It's because the people's elected

63:19

representatives don't represent the

63:20

people. They represent the donors.

63:24

There's a credibility. He's very careful

63:27

always to do this, which again is

63:29

another Obama move. Obama would always

63:33

include an argument from the other side

63:35

in the argument he was making.

63:37

>> Always.

63:37

>> Always. It was

63:38

>> people say,

63:39

>> "Yeah, right." And he does that, right?

63:42

You know, both sides. and he's very very

63:45

careful to make this a critique of the

63:48

system itself

63:49

>> of which Donald Trump is taking

63:52

advantage of it but is not its

63:54

originating costs.

63:55

>> Yeah. Yeah. And I think that's also part

63:57

of again it does help to I' it helps to

64:03

be getting your reps before the Georgia

64:06

electorate.

64:06

>> Yeah.

64:07

>> You know it's like comedians.

64:08

Politicians are like comedians. You work

64:10

the room. You see where your laugh lines

64:12

are. you you work different rooms, you

64:14

work larger and larger rooms, and the

64:16

room matters a lot. And what you the

64:17

feedback you get from the room is it

64:19

matters a lot. It helps to be in a

64:22

context where the room that you're

64:24

working is a Georgia elector. I I think

64:25

this was true of Bernie Sanders in in

64:27

[snorts] Vermont where, you know, he

64:30

only got to where he was after many

64:33

failures, many electoral failures, many

64:35

years in the electoral wilderness by

64:37

figuring out how to talk to the median

64:39

Vermont voter who was not a committed

64:41

ideological socialist.

64:42

>> It's why Barack Obama was as good as he

64:44

was because he was a black politician

64:45

who had to work white rooms.

64:47

>> Yeah. you know, and he's talked about

64:48

that how much he had to do in, you know,

64:50

to win statewide in Illinois to to win

64:52

in these rural areas where people were

64:54

very skeptical of a person named Barack

64:57

Hussein Obama

64:59

>> in 2004.

65:01

The the other thing that I think is

65:04

worth touching here, one thing I see

65:06

among the Democrats right now is they're

65:08

all competing to prove they're the

65:10

fighter

65:11

>> and relatively few are working in the

65:13

more inspirational side of the

65:14

tradition. Mhm.

65:16

>> That you look at Newsome, you look at

65:18

AOC, you look at um Pritsker, right?

65:21

Like they're all like, "I am your

65:23

brawler."

65:24

>> Mhm.

65:24

>> Right. I will rip their throats out for

65:26

you. Um and Osaf, even though we sort of

65:31

attacking corruption, he is

65:33

>> not in that mode at all.

65:34

>> It's a different register. There's a

65:36

there's a type of Democrat

65:38

who even if they have learned to

65:41

suppress it,

65:43

their fundamental feeling at all levels

65:46

is a disbelief.

65:47

>> I can't believe this is happening. I

65:48

literally happening that anybody could

65:50

like this guy that these things aren't

65:52

sinking him

65:53

>> and he is formed in races

65:56

>> exactly where that

65:58

>> where that is not a register that

66:00

>> works and you cannot

66:03

>> a lot of Democrats have to kind of

66:05

abstractly come to the view that there

66:07

are people in this world who like Donald

66:08

Trump but they don't know any of them.

66:10

>> Yeah.

66:11

>> And if they do they maybe cut them out

66:12

of their lives,

66:13

>> right?

66:13

>> And that is not Yeah. John O's world.

66:15

>> That's that's what I mean. So he's

66:17

formed fully he's formed fully in an

66:20

environment in which the appeal of Trump

66:22

and Trump's power over the electorate

66:24

and Trump's power over specific people

66:26

that are that he has to win over or

66:28

whose family members he has to win over

66:31

is present from the beginning and I

66:33

think there's something really useful

66:35

and powerful about that for just again

66:36

how you train

66:37

>> but if you look at polling um and if you

66:41

particularly now look at the prediction

66:43

markets polling Kla Harris has a lead. I

66:47

think people are skeptical that lead

66:49

will lead to primary dominance, but I

66:51

guess we'll see if she runs. But if you

66:53

look at prediction markets, the lead is

66:54

Gavin Newsome. And we all knew Gavin

66:57

Newsome wanted to run for president. I

66:58

would say six years ago. I was pretty

67:00

dismissive of how that was likely to go.

67:03

You know, handsome white guy with a

67:05

bunch of scandals from California was

67:07

like not the

67:08

>> not what the Democratic party seemed to

67:09

be looking for.

67:11

who he is in some ways has changed or

67:14

actually in some ways maybe come closer

67:16

to a a core of him.

67:19

What do you think about the way Newsome

67:20

has maneuvered himself

67:23

into one attention capable in a way he

67:26

wasn't always but two into I think it is

67:30

the fairly wide consensus right now that

67:33

he is a Democratic front runner for

67:34

2028.

67:35

>> Um I think I have complicated feelings.

67:38

I mean, I think that there's some part

67:40

of me that just thinks

67:43

governor of California is tough.

67:45

>> A a tough thing to do to to win national

67:49

to be the president. Of course, New York

67:51

real estate developer is also pretty

67:53

tough, too. So, what do I know? Um, yes,

67:57

I think that I think the the choice he's

67:59

made intentionally is the mo one of the

68:01

most interesting, which is he was always

68:04

a charismatic guy, but he was not he has

68:07

chosen omniresence.

68:09

>> He's chosen to say yes to everything.

68:10

He's chosen to go everywhere. He's

68:12

chosen to host his own podcast. He's

68:14

chosen to host his own podcast.

68:15

>> He just had Ashley Sinclair on it. They

68:17

had Ben Shapiro on not long ago. He's

68:18

doing things you would not expect.

68:20

>> Exactly. And I think it has produced a

68:23

comfort

68:25

that is really really useful in the

68:28

world that we live in. I think there's a

68:31

question of both what the Democratic

68:35

primary electorate wants and what the

68:37

general electorate wants in relation to

68:39

Donald Trump. And here's what I mean by

68:41

this. You were talking about like being

68:42

a fighter.

68:44

And I think there's a little bit of

68:48

Freddy Hampton said, you don't fight

68:49

fire with fire, you fight fire with

68:51

water. And there's a little bit of a

68:52

question between do you want to fight

68:54

fire with fire or do you want to fight

68:56

fire with water?

68:58

And the our fighter version, like our

69:01

brawler, our Trump essentially, which I

69:04

think is appealing to some people in the

69:05

Democratic electorate, is sort of the

69:07

mode

69:09

that some Democratic politicians have

69:11

gone and in some almost sort of parotic

69:14

ways that Nuome has gone by doing the

69:16

whole like Trump shtick online. Okay,

69:19

but let me complicate this in one way

69:20

because it's why I find Newsome really

69:22

interesting

69:22

>> because he is doing more than that. I

69:23

agree. Yes,

69:24

>> there are two things. So, one is the

69:26

number of reps he's getting, places he's

69:28

going. I mean, you and I just saw him at

69:30

the CAP ideas conference. He's just

69:32

gotten better.

69:33

>> Yeah.

69:33

>> He's gotten better faster than the other

69:35

half. Uh but the other thing

69:40

I think a really big problem Democrats

69:42

have faced since Obama is about

69:45

describing a kind of unity that we can

69:49

find as a country, a way of living here

69:51

together despite our disagreements,

69:52

despite our history, despite our

69:55

differences. And Bill Clinton did a lot

69:57

in this register, right? He, you know,

69:59

road scholar but poor Arkansas boy, you

70:02

know, new south.

70:03

>> Yep.

70:03

>> Obama, I mean, the master

70:07

But because he was a master of this

70:08

register,

70:10

>> he somewhat destroyed the ability of

70:12

anybody else to use it. Because if he

70:13

couldn't achieve it,

70:15

>> right, that's a good point. If what the

70:17

Obama era cashed out into was Donald

70:20

Trump and the division and dissolution

70:25

of like the shared moral and democratic

70:28

framework we had, then to speak like

70:31

Obama did in ' 04, to speak like he did

70:34

in '08 becomes naive. Nobody's going to

70:37

believe you, right? But the weird thing

70:40

Nuome is doing is containing this these

70:43

two opposite ideas on himself,

70:45

>> which is one like I'll be your brawler.

70:48

>> But two,

70:50

we will just disagree honestly and in

70:54

public.

70:54

>> Yeah.

70:55

>> And continue the relationship with each

70:57

other under those terms. You know, he'll

70:59

talk to Charlie Kirk, you know, before

71:02

Charlie Kirk was killed. He'll talk to

71:04

Michael Savage. He'll talk to Ben

71:05

Shapiro. He'll go to the left. and and

71:07

Newsome is sort of it almost seems to me

71:10

making this argument that is not that we

71:14

can live here together in some way where

71:18

our differences dissolve. [snorts] It's

71:20

that our fights with each other can be

71:22

productive. Yeah. I mean I think that's

71:24

I hadn't thought of it in those terms

71:25

before. It's a very ezrainist

71:28

[laughter] approach. I do wonder

71:32

whether there's also a kind of

71:34

incoherence in that

71:35

>> narratively that makes it a little

71:38

difficult to pull off.

71:39

>> I don't think he's been able to

71:39

synthesize them yet. I'm not sure you

71:41

can. It's why I find his campaign very

71:43

interesting.

71:44

>> He he'll often talk about the the place

71:46

right now in his rhetoric that falls the

71:47

most flat for me is he'll start talking

71:49

about they need to be a repairer of the

71:51

breach, right? A repairer of the breach.

71:53

It's biblical line,

71:54

>> right?

71:56

And you don't feel it like you don't

71:58

feel how he's going to repair the

72:00

breach,

72:01

>> right?

72:02

>> I want to end here on the big

72:03

intentional campaign that kind of ended

72:06

in failure, which was Spencer Pratt in

72:09

Los Angeles.

72:10

>> Cuz if you were online, it was like this

72:13

former reality star is coming out of

72:15

nowhere. He's got the greatest ads. You

72:17

can't be on X for 5 minutes without

72:18

seeing something from him. You know,

72:20

he's going to, you know, maybe win 50%

72:22

in the runoff. maybe, you know, maybe at

72:24

least make the runoff, but then it

72:26

didn't pan out to anything. He

72:28

underperformed Donald Trump.

72:29

>> I think and I think it's a great

72:30

counterpoint to many of the theories

72:32

I've beenosing. So, I'm glad we're

72:34

talking about it because

72:36

I mean, it was a very successful

72:39

campaign attentionally. I do think

72:40

there's something going on. We should

72:42

just say there's something going on with

72:44

X right now under Elon Musk that is a

72:47

little distinct to that platform which

72:49

is that it's become

72:52

a kind of hermetically sealed hot house

72:54

of insanity that when you enter it when

72:57

you're not in it all the time you enter

72:58

it you're like you guys are nuts and

73:00

that's exactly the way many people felt

73:03

about like what we might call kind of

73:04

peak woke Twitter. So part of it I think

73:06

is a product of how much that was an ex

73:09

candidacy.

73:09

>> Yeah. There's also a question of what's

73:10

real there, right? What's being clip

73:12

farmed? Totally.

73:13

>> What has a lot of bots pushing it?

73:15

>> But the other lesson I think here, it is

73:18

never going to be the case that

73:19

attention is the entire story.

73:21

>> There has to be something else

73:22

happening.

73:23

>> And I think with Pratt, there was

73:25

nothing else happening really. There was

73:27

no reason for that man to be mayor.

73:28

First of all, why that guy? I [snorts]

73:31

do think

73:33

the Pratt campaign to me really is an

73:36

object lesson in what X is at this point

73:38

that I think would be very useful for

73:40

everyone to internalize because you and

73:42

I both remember back in the day when

73:44

people would say Twitter is not real

73:45

life. [laughter]

73:47

And weirdly, I think that's even more

73:50

the case now under

73:52

the algorithmic empire of one Elon Musk.

73:56

I think one of the greatest advantages

73:58

Democrats have going into 2028

74:00

>> is not being there

74:01

>> is that Elon Musk has control of

74:04

Twitter. I think people think of this as

74:06

a problem for Democrats. the opposite

74:08

because something to that

74:10

>> must warping Twitter towards a a

74:14

hardight conspiratorial

74:17

hermetic nature and in the way that when

74:20

Democrats had dominance over Twitter

74:22

when liberals and progressives and

74:23

leftists had dominance over talking to

74:25

each other

74:25

>> they convinced themselves of a bunch of

74:27

ideas that were politically lethal

74:30

>> but they didn't understand that because

74:32

where they were it's like to have normie

74:34

opinions was politically lethal that's

74:37

how it is for the right now on Twitter

74:38

and JD Vance is there and all of their

74:40

staffers are there whereas like like the

74:43

liberals and Democrats and leftists are

74:44

are split and broken across different

74:46

platforms and that is genuinely an

74:49

advantage.

74:49

>> I have come to this exact same

74:51

conclusion.

74:51

>> Yeah. Like Twitter it's like it's a kind

74:53

of a curse, right? It makes you feel

74:56

very powerful

74:57

>> and you pay for it.

74:58

>> Yeah.

74:59

>> Let's end there. Always our final

75:00

question. What are three books you

75:01

recommend to the audience? Um, so I'm

75:03

going to spare you my all my reading on

75:06

Italian history, which I think is

75:07

probably not particularly relevant. Um,

75:09

I read and loved Ben Learner's newest

75:11

transcription. I will say as someone who

75:13

went to Brown and uh, he was in my class

75:14

there and I just went to my 25th reunion

75:16

with Kate who I met there, it had a

75:18

particular potency for me that may not

75:20

have to the general audience.

75:22

>> I recently read, and I can't believe I

75:24

had never read this book, but uh, I read

75:27

The Godfather,

75:28

>> the original novel by Mario Pusu. It's a

75:31

combination of some really weird and

75:34

truly awfully misogynistic stuff, but it

75:37

is incredible how good that book is in

75:39

some ways, and also it kind of makes you

75:42

understand why the movie is a

75:44

masterpiece. Like, I didn't quite

75:45

realize how faithful the movie was to

75:48

the original uh uh source material. And

75:52

the last [snorts] one is a new novel

75:53

that I just am about halfway through uh

75:55

through uh someone else that I know,

75:57

Courtney Mom, called Allan Ops Out,

75:58

which is a great kind of uh really

76:01

insightful searing comedic look at a

76:04

Greenwich advertising executive who goes

76:06

to live in the Playhouse in his

76:08

backyard. Chris Hayes, thank you very

76:10

much.

76:10

>> Thank you.

76:13

[music]

76:23

>> [music]

76:24

>> Hey. Hey. Hey.

Interactive Summary

The video features a conversation between Ezra Klein and Chris Hayes, focusing on the changing dynamics of attention in American politics. They discuss how candidates are increasingly 'cast' for roles to maximize charisma and attention, the risks associated with institutional versus non-institutional candidates, and the challenges of campaigning in an era where social media and viral moments play a central role. Specific examples like Graham Platner, Abdul El-Sayed, James Talarico, and Jon Ossoff are analyzed to illustrate these points, highlighting how attention is a crucial political resource that can either propel or doom a campaign.

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