Everyone Is Looking at SpaceX... I'm Trading These 2 Stocks
608 segments
Everyone is talking about SpaceX right
now, but if I had a hundred thousand
dollars, I'd do things really
differently. So here's my humble opinion
on SpaceX and then I'll show you two
ideas that I have instead to generate
income without taking crazy risk on two
stocks that I think are going to do very
well in next three to six months. So in
just a couple of days, SpaceX is going
public. SpaceX can be an incredible
company and honestly it can still be a
terrible trade if the valuation is too
aggressive. And at the reported IPO
price of a hundred thirty-five dollars
per share, investors may be paying
nearly ninety-five times revenue for a
company that still lost billions of
dollars last year. SpaceX is reportedly
looking to raise about seventy-five
billion dollars in this IPO. That would
make it the biggest IPO ever. Not one of
the biggest, literally the biggest. A
one point seven seven trillion valuation
means SpaceX would instantly become one
of the most valuable companies in the
entire world. Now, if SpaceX doubles
after IPO, which a lot of people online
are saying and honestly hoping for, then
the valuation would be three point five
trillion dollars. That would mean
investors are paying almost a hundred
ninety times last year's revenue. Now,
I'm not saying SpaceX is automatically a
bad investment. In fact, Goldman Sachs,
my former employer, reportedly expects
SpaceX AI revenue to increase one
hundredfold by 2030 from around three
point two billion in 2025 to three
hundred twenty-two billion in 2030. But
the problem is with nearly a two
trillion dollar IPO valuation, it
honestly just doesn't look that
appetizing for me. So the first stock
that I want to go over is Palantir
stock. I currently hold a lot of
Palantir, twenty-six hundred shares
myself, and Palantir has been coming
down. In fact, over the last one week
it's down thirteen percent. So it makes
me very excited to see a growth stock
like Palantir down a lot. So a great way
to generate income and buy stocks that
you want to own long-term is by selling
put options. Palantir has approximately
eight billion dollars in cash and very
little debt. Palantir also has their
hand in the cookie jar of the
government. This is why I like Palantir
so much long term because they are
essential to the AI story that we're in
right now. Palantir is making
increasingly high revenues and they're
bringing more of that money to the
bottom line with high margins. My
average cost on Palantir is $22.84 and I
mentioned the stock in my Discord
community a long time ago. In fact, I
bought it at IPO. Now, the strategy that
I want to run on Palantir myself is
selling put options to acquire more
shares of the stock at a favorable
price. Over the last 1 month, Palantir
is flat. A lot of investors got tricked
into buying Palantir in the high 150s or
even 160 range. Now, Palantir is back
trading at $135 per share. A very
interesting strategy that I'm going to
implement is going to be to sell put
options. Let me show you step-by-step
what I'm going to do personally. Here is
the option chain. Now, before I show you
the trade that I'm making, just know
this is for educational purposes only
and I'm not a financial advisor. Now,
let's go to sell put option and my goal
when I sell put options is I want to
generate income. When I sell a put
option, I'm really benefiting from the
premium that I'm collecting and I'm also
looking to enter into the stock. So,
that's what makes this such a strong
strategy is because if you want to buy
the stock outright, you're going to have
to pay $135 per share, right? If you
want to buy Palantir today, that's fine,
you can buy it for 135. However, if I
want a price that's lower than the
current market, I can actually sell a
put option. So, I'm going to go to sell
put. I'm going to pick an expiration
date. Now, typically I do like to trade
monthly options and I actually like the
third Friday, which is a traditional
Friday. This is what I do in my Discord
community. I look for monthly options
that I can sell and I look for the
premium to be attractive. I also look
for the strike price to be around a
support level or a valuation or a price
that I'm comfortable buying the stock
at. So, I'm going to choose July 17
right now and I'm going to go slightly
out of the money. So, an at-the-money
option would be 135 because the stock is
currently trading for 135. So, an
at-the-money option would be 135. An
in-the-money option you would not want
to do would be something above 135 and
this means that your assignment risk
would be pretty high. Here, the delta is
0.52. 0.52 delta just means that there's
a 52% chance of this option expiring in
the money. Although this option would
still make sense for most investors
because look, the 140 strike price is
what you'll have to buy it at. However,
the premium here is $10. So, even
selling an in-the-money option would
give you a break-even price of $129 per
share. That is much more attractive than
$135 per share. In fact, you're getting
over $5 in terms of a lower cost than
the current price of Palantir. However,
with this example, because this option's
in the money, you're almost certainly
going to be assigned and your risk is
that you will have to get assigned 100
shares of the stock at expiration, which
would be July 17th in this example. Now,
I want to do something a little bit
different within my portfolio. So, I'm
looking at the 130 strike price right
here. The reason why I want to go for
130 is because that's $5 below the
current value of Palantir stock. So,
that gives me a $5 discount. Now, rather
than chasing hype IPOs or going for
something risky, I'm very happy owning
high-quality companies for the long term
and selling put options to enter into
those companies. You see, I use selling
puts as a way to enter into a stock, an
entry strategy. So, the reason I like
130, you can see here, is it has a very
nice bid-ask spread. The bid is 540, the
ask is 560. That's very tight. The
tighter the bid-ask spread, the better
because every time you trade, you are
losing money if you trade a lot and the
bid-ask spread is wide. A wide bid-ask
spread is anything, in my opinion,
around 50 cents or anything more than
that. Here, this is only 20 cents
difference, so that's really tight and
nice. Now, this implied volatility on
Palantir is 49%. That means that implied
volatility is actually really juicy
here. When implied volatility is under
30, that's pretty low volatility. That's
pretty safe stocks like Pepsi or
Coca-Cola or something like that might
be under 30. Then, a medium volatility
stock would be between 30 and 50. So,
Palantir is right at the higher end of
what normal volatility is and is
becoming high volatility. Anything above
50 implied volatility is high. So, this
just means that investors are uncertain
and they believe the stock can have a
lot of volatility, either up or down.
This does not indicate any direction at
all. Implied volatility is specific to
how much the stock can move. So, this
49% is pretty close to high volatility.
Now, this all contributes to the
premium. The premium here is $5.40. In
fact, this is a really good premium
because if I were to sell this option,
this is the premium that I collect. So,
I want to open up this 130 put option
for July 17th, and this is going to have
a strike of 130, meaning that if
Palantir goes to 130 or below, I will
get assigned on July 17th. Now, early
assignment does also happen sometimes,
but it really doesn't make sense in most
cases because the time value of the
option is going to be worth more than
just exercising. For example, this 135
put option is in the money because
Palantir is 134.81,
right? The market's opening right now as
I'm making this video. Now, this is an
in-the-money option, right? If you
exercise it, you would make about 19
cents, something very, very, very small,
right? And you can see here that the
premium is $755. And this value here is
essentially the reason why the premium
is high, and this option is really not
in the money by that much, is because of
time value. Time is money. Time is very
important factor within option trading.
So, here, this 755 is all of it is
basically time and volatility and other
factors that are not in-the-money
factors. Now, the market just opened up.
It's 9:30 a.m. as I'm making this video,
and Palantir is basically jumping up and
down between 135. So, for me, I'm
comfortable going for 130, and this has
a premium of something around 550 or
580. It's also bouncing around as this
video is live. But, you can see that the
amount of money I'm making here is this.
That is the max profit. I cannot make
more than this. When I sell a put
option, that is as much money as I can
collect, not a single dollar more. So,
you have a defined return. Now, you also
have a defined risk, and a lot of
investors confuse this, and they get
confused like, "Henry, wow, that's
$12,000 that I can lose." Well, in
theory, if Palantir were to go to $0 and
it would go bankrupt, then yes, your
position would go down by this much.
But, in reality, Palantir has support at
130. Palantir has major support at, you
know, 120 and it has, you know, lots of
assets, lots of intellectual property.
You know, the chances of it going down
to zero are slim to, yeah, very, very
slim. So, anyways, you shouldn't look at
the max loss as exactly your max loss.
Instead, you should look at this as a
capital requirement. Because you do need
to have 100 shares worth of collateral
within your account. So, if you sell a
put option, you collect 570, you need to
have $12,000 in this example to have
enough cash to take assignment. And
again, the risk of assignment really
happens once the stock is 130 or below.
So, even at 130, you can get assigned at
expiration. Especially if it's 129 or
anything under that, then you are
definitely going to get assigned and
your delta is going to increase. The
delta right here explains the chances
that this option can basically expire in
the money. Right now, the delta is 35,
which means there's only 35% chance that
this option is going to expire in the
money, which is pretty nice. That means
if there's a 35% chance of this
happening, that actually means that
there's a 65% chance of this not
happening. That is awesome. That is
awesome because 65% of the time that
means you will be winning on this trade.
So, in reality, if you were to do this,
you know, 10 times or let's say 100
times, 65 out of 100 times you would
just end up making this premium, which
is $585 and this option would expire
worthless and you would do nothing.
However, if this option goes below 130,
which would happen about 35% of the time
or according to the delta now, it's 37%
of the time, it's going to change and
fluctuate as the stock changes, then
basically you are going to get assigned
100 shares. And that's not really a bad
thing because rather than buying
something like SpaceX, which has a crazy
high valuation, it's like $2 trillion
almost and they don't have a whole lot
of cash flow yet, instead I'm looking at
a company that has major cash flow and
Palantir also has major momentum.
Palantir's growth rate is 85% on the top
line growth and it had 133% US
commercial growth and a 71% full year
revenue outlook, which is really
unusually strong for a large cap
software name. And again, it just speaks
to how good Palantir is and what kind of
competitive advantage they have within
the market. Now, one more thing that I
love about Palantir before I move over
into the second stock, Nvidia, is margin
expansion. Palantir has expanded from
31.6% to 37% on the last 12 trailing
months for their margin, which is really
amazing for a software company. Now, a
lot of skeptics will say that Palantir
basically has a high PE ratio. And I
want to mention PE ratio very briefly
because it can be very important for
selling put options. You see, when you
sell a put option, it's essentially a
bullish strategy, right? You are saying
that I'm okay to acquire the stock at
the price that I am selling at that
strike price. And you can see here that
Palantir right now has volatility. And
if I scroll down here, I want to show
you the PE ratio because the PE ratio is
very high. So, selling a put is
basically like kind of you're ready to
acquire shares, right? So, you're
essentially going to be a shareholder in
the stock if you get assigned. The PE
ratio here is very high. It's at 150.
But I want to remind you guys that I've
been doing this for over 10 years, and a
lot of people were saying Palantir is
way too expensive, and that was last
year when Palantir had a 600 PE ratio.
You can see how fast the PE ratio fell
from 600 down to 150. And over the last
1 year, Palantir has had a positive
return. Albeit, this is not really much
of a big return. It's only 6%, so that's
not been, you know, the most attractive
return. But for me, I've been selling
put options, and I have been generating
income personally on Palantir, and I've
been doing this in my Discord community.
And to be completely honest with you, my
members have done great. We have done
fantastic as a community despite the
stock not really having the highest
return. And that's because selling
options, you collect the premium, and
even if the stock has volatility, if it
goes slightly down, slightly up, you
still have that premium. That premium is
yours, and along the way I've been
acquiring shares. So, you know, my
average cost is still very low. But I
just kind of point to show you that
selling put options can be an amazing
strategy, uh not just for entry, but
also for income generation for someone
looking to just collect premium. And
sometimes you get assigned, and you get
a stock that you like and other times
you don't get assigned and just collect
premium. I mean, it's one of the best
strategies in my opinion. It's a
strategy that I've been using for over
10 years and anytime I do coaching
within my Discord community and I also
have my one-on-one students, I will do
selling puts with them and I'll just
acquire high-quality companies. So,
let's go into the second stock which is
Nvidia. Nvidia has had earnings recently
and like always, basically they reported
really good earnings and the stock went
down. However, if you actually look at
Nvidia over 3-month period, it's done
very well and then last 1-year period,
Nvidia has also had a very nice return.
So, what I'm looking to do is I'm
looking to acquire Nvidia in a very
similar way that I want to acquire
shares of Palantir by selling put
options. Put options for me is basically
the ultimate strategy that I love to use
for any single stock that I want to buy
instead of just buying it out right in
the market, I just sell a put. And a
typical delta that I like to go for is
around 30 delta. That's why I showed you
an example of 30 delta roughly on
Palantir. And I'm going to do something
pretty similar to Nvidia. I'm going to
look at the strike prices that I want to
execute. Now, I actually want to execute
this live, so I'm going to execute this
here with you guys as I'm making this
video. So, Nvidia is shooting for 210,
so I'm going to go to trade Nvidia
options and now I'm going to select for
a strike price that I want to own
Nvidia. So, here is the option chain,
essentially the expiration date that I
can choose here. I can either go for a
short-term expiry or a longer-term
expiry. I always tell like new traders
that weekly expirations are completely
okay. A lot of investors want
shorter-term expiry because, you know,
it's it's can be more attractive. It
really can be because the premiums can
really add up. So, if I go for, let's
say, June 18th, which is about 7 days
out, you can see here when I go to sell
put option, you will take notice that
the premium can be very high in the
short term. I'm going to compare this to
a longer-term option. So, for example,
let's look at 200, right? The 200 here
is 177. Okay, so that's not a crazy
return, but it's a okay return within a
week. Now, if I look at something like
30 days out, you're going to see here
that the 7-day option was 177, but the
30-day option is basically a little bit
under 500. And that is less. That's less
money than doing it on a weekly basis.
However, what I like about selling puts
on a monthly basis and why I love the
strategy so much with my students is a
lot of my students really want to
generate more passive income. They want
something that is more stable and they
don't have that much time to manage the
strategy. You know, on a weekly basis,
you can sell put options but in my
opinion, it is more risky because
there's just more management. There's a
lot more work and if it goes into the
money, then you will be assigned sooner
versus going for something on a monthly
basis that gives you more time. So,
that's why I prefer monthly. But, you
know, we can also go for something in
the middle. Let's actually go for June
24 in this example. Now, this is a
15-day option, so it's 2 weeks out, so
kind of somewhere in the middle. Now,
what I want to do is I'm going to expand
this option right here and I'm looking
for the bid-ask. You can only see here
and I kind of did this on purpose. I
picked an option that's not a
traditional Friday. And this bid-ask
spread is terrible. I mean, it's trash.
This is a trash, literally, bid-ask
spread because look how wide it is. So,
if I want to trade this, it's going to
be very difficult. Plus, look at the
volume, it's zero. Like, I mean,
literally zero. Open interest zero.
Like, no one's ever traded this option
before, so I mean, this is a terrible
option. So, you know what? I am going to
go for my traditional strategy of what I
usually do and I'm going to go for July
17. Now, if I expand this $200 put
option right here, the delta is 0.32,
which is great. That's kind of where I
want it to be at with an implied
volatility of right around 40. So, you
can see that this is, you know, fairly
high volatility, not super high and it's
not as high as Palantir, but, you know,
it's over 30 and that's kind of in that
kind of, you know, medium range. I would
call it medium range. So, I I like this.
I like this a lot. Open interest is is
bonkers. I mean, this is insane. It's
almost 100,000 open interest. Very, very
liquid option. You can tell, actually,
by the bid-ask spread. I mean, the
bid-ask spread is amazing. So, I'm going
to go ahead. I'm going to sell this put
option here at 200. I'm going to execute
on this myself, personally. So, I'm
going to click continue here. Now, I'm
going to go for five contracts myself.
I'm comfortable with five contracts.
That would give me a total risk of
100,000. Again, remember the way I
explained it was that, you know, this is
the risk if the stock goes down to zero,
but really it's more so how much
capital and collateral that you need,
okay? So, I'm going to go for a bid ask
spread here of 610. So, let me try 615,
okay? I'm going to try to execute this
trade at 615. And Robinhood is telling
me that it has a medium fill likelihood.
So, let's see what happens here. I'm
going to go to review this order. And
I'm going to uh submit this order and
hopefully I get filled. Um I probably
won't get filled because you can see how
the bid ask spread just changed to 605
615. Now, to save time in this video, uh
instead of playing around with it, I'm
going to go for the lower end of the
range. I'm going to go for 6.05 right
now just so I can get this position
filled and kind of wrap up and tell you
the way I think about managing this
trade from here. So, now I have placed
it at 605 and I actually got assigned
here. Perfect. So, I got filled. Excuse
me. The correct terminology would be
filled not assigned. Assigned is when
the option's in the money and expires in
the money and then you get assigned.
Here, I'm getting filled, okay? So,
Nvidia short put filled, okay? Contracts
five, estimated total credit I got
$3,059.
Now, this would be about for the month,
okay? So, I just collected this amount
of income personally. And um you know,
this is not enough to like retire or
anything like that. But this certainly
adds up, you know, if you're selling put
options on say Nvidia or in Palantir and
and other high quality companies that
you that you like personally, right? You
can do your own research. And I'm just
trying to show you here how selling puts
works, the the strategy behind it. Then
this can be really great. Now, in terms
of managing this strategy, selling puts
is one of the easiest strategies to
manage because if you really want to own
the stock, then you don't need to close
out this put. Now, there is things that
you can do. You can close out the uh put
option sooner if it's down half the
amount. So, if you sold it for $6 and
now it's worth $9 and you know, it it
went against you and you don't want to
own the shares, you can close it. But in
my opinion, if you're looking to use the
strategy as a way to generate income and
you like the stocks that you're selling
puts on, then I would uh simply not
manage the strategy, and I would look to
get assigned if the option goes into the
money. So, both Palantir and Nvidia are
two stocks that I'm trading right now. I
think they're much more reasonably
valued than SpaceX. Palantir
specifically because their government
and commercial sector is growing
significantly, very fast, and their P/E
ratio is going to drop quickly as well,
and I think that their P/E ratio is
going to become very reasonable for many
investors, and it might actually become
a value stock in the longer term, and
they're certainly going to grow into
that. They have not had the best
performance over the last 1 year, which
makes me even more bullish on them
because Palantir is a great company that
investors are not really loving too much
at the moment. Now, Nvidia, reason I
like it so much is because it's clearly
one of the best AI stocks in the entire
universe of AI stocks. They're the
leader, they're the the biggest company
in the world, and I still think Nvidia
has a lot of room to grow. So, instead
of, you know, chasing hype or looking
at, you know, the stocks that are just
very popular or the YouTubers are
pushing or, you know, the the next
whatever multi-bagger stock, those can
be great as a small portion of the
portfolio, but the the bigger chunk of
your portfolio, I I I mean, personally,
I love something like an Nvidia. I feel
very comfortable with it. So, my
management strategy here would just to
simply open these contracts, and now
kind of wait and see, and take a more
passive approach. So, if you want to
learn more about selling put options, I
have a free course here on YouTube. I'm
going to put up on the screen. And also,
if you'd like to see all the sell puts
that I do live and get all my trades,
I'd love to have you in my Discord
community. My community is fantastic. We
have over 1,000 members, and I do live
updates. We have a great community which
talks about different strategies,
managing different trades, and mainly
about option trading. So, if option
trading is something that you want to
take seriously, then I'd love to be your
coach. Go ahead and check out the first
link in the description, and let's learn
and grow together. Thanks for watching.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video discusses the creator's investment approach, specifically focusing on generating income through selling put options on established companies like Palantir and Nvidia, rather than chasing hyped IPOs like SpaceX. The creator provides a walkthrough of his personal trading strategy, including how he chooses stocks, selects strike prices, and manages the risk of assignment.
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