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AI Whistleblower: We Are Being Gaslit By The AI Companies! They’re Hiding The Truth About AI!

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AI Whistleblower: We Are Being Gaslit By The AI Companies! They’re Hiding The Truth About AI!

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3558 segments

0:00

So much of what's happening today in the

0:02

AI industry is extremely inhumane.

0:04

>> But this is me playing devil's advocate.

0:06

And logically, it could be the case that

0:08

the civilization that accelerate their

0:10

research with AI is going to be the

0:12

superior civilization.

0:13

>> No, it's not. This is a prediction that

0:14

you're making, right?

0:15

>> Making Zuckerberg's making.

0:18

>> And do you know what the common feature

0:19

of all of them is? They profit

0:20

enormously off of this myth. You know, I

0:22

have all these internal documents

0:24

showing that they're purposely trying to

0:26

create that feeling within the public so

0:28

that they can extract and exploit and

0:30

extract and exploit. So, what do we do

0:32

about it?

0:32

>> We need to break up the empires of AI.

0:35

>> You know, I've been covering the tech

0:36

industry for over 8 years, interviewed

0:38

over 250 people, including former or

0:40

current OpenAI employees and executives.

0:42

And I can tell you that there are many

0:44

parallels between the empires of AI and

0:46

the empires of old, right? like Lelay

0:48

claimed the intellectual property of

0:49

artists, writers, and creators in the

0:50

pursuit of training these models.

0:52

Second, they exploit an extraordinary

0:53

amount of labor, which breaks the career

0:55

ladder because someone gets laid off and

0:57

then they work to train the models on

1:00

the very job that they were just laid

1:01

off in, which will then perpetuate more

1:03

layoffs if that model then develops that

1:05

skill. And when they talk about that

1:07

there's going to be some new jobs

1:08

created that we can't even imagine, a

1:10

lot of the jobs that are created are way

1:12

worse than the jobs that were there. And

1:14

then there's the environmental and

1:15

public health crisis that these

1:17

companies have created and how they're

1:20

able to also spend hundreds of millions

1:21

to try and kill every possible piece of

1:23

legislation that gets in their way and

1:25

will censor researchers that are

1:27

inconvenient to the empire's agenda. But

1:30

what I'm saying is not that these

1:32

technologies don't have utility. It's

1:34

that the production of these

1:35

technologies right now is exacting a lot

1:37

of harm on people. But we have research

1:39

that shows that the very same

1:42

capabilities could be developed in a

1:44

different way that doesn't have all of

1:46

these unintended consequences. So let's

1:48

talk about all of that.

1:53

This is super interesting to me. My team

1:54

given me this report to show me how many

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2:40

Please help us. Really appreciate it.

2:42

Let's get on with the show.

2:47

Karen, how you've written this book in

2:50

front of me here called Empire of AI:

2:52

Dreams and Nightmares in Sam Alman's

2:55

Open AI. I guess my first question is

2:58

what is the research and the journey you

3:00

went on in order to write this book

3:02

we're going to talk about and the

3:03

subjects within it today

3:04

>> I took a strange route into journalism I

3:07

studied mechanical engineering at MIT

3:09

and so when I graduated I moved to San

3:11

Francisco I joined a tech startup I

3:13

became part of Silicon Valley and I

3:16

basically received an education in what

3:18

Silicon Valley is about because a few

3:19

months into joining a very missiondriven

3:21

startup that was focused on building

3:23

technologies that would help facilitate

3:25

the fight against climate change. The

3:27

board fired the CEO because the company

3:29

was not profitable. And this was in

3:32

hindsight a very pivotal moment for me

3:35

because I thought if this hub is

3:37

ultimately geared towards building

3:40

profitable technologies and many of the

3:43

problems in the world that I think need

3:45

solved are not profitable problems like

3:47

climate change. Then what are we

3:50

actually doing here? like what how did

3:52

we get to a point where innovation is

3:54

not actually necessarily working in the

3:57

public benefit and sometimes even

3:58

undermining the public benefit in

4:00

pursuit of profit. In that moment, I had

4:03

a bit of a crisis where I thought, well,

4:06

I just spent 4 years trying to set

4:10

myself up for this career that I now

4:11

don't think I am cut out for. And I

4:16

thought, well, I might as well just try

4:18

something totally different. I've always

4:20

liked writing and that's how after 2

4:22

years I landed at a role at MIT

4:26

technology review covering AI full-time

4:28

and that gave me a space to then explore

4:31

all of these questions of who gets to

4:33

decide what technologies we build how

4:35

does money and ideology also drive the

4:38

production of those technologies and how

4:40

do we ultimately make sure that we

4:42

actually reimagine the innovation

4:44

ecosystem to work for a broad base of

4:48

people all around the world. And so that

4:51

is kind of how I then set off on this

4:53

journey of ultimately writing a book. I

4:56

didn't realize that I was working

4:58

towards writing a book, but starting in

5:01

2018 when I took that job was

5:04

essentially the moment in which I began

5:06

researching the story that I I document

5:08

in it.

5:09

>> A very timely time to start working in

5:11

artificial intelligence. For anyone that

5:12

doesn't know, this is pre OpenAI chat

5:14

GPT launch moment that shook the world.

5:19

But in writing this book, you

5:20

interviewed a lot of people and went to

5:21

a lot of places. Can you give me a

5:22

flavor of how many people you've

5:24

interviewed, where it's taken you around

5:26

the world, etc.

5:27

>> I interviewed over 250 people. So over

5:29

300 interviews, over 90 of those people

5:32

were former or current OpenAI employees

5:35

and executives. So the book covers the

5:38

inside story of opening eyes's first

5:40

decade and how it ultimately got to

5:42

where it is today. But I didn't want to

5:45

write a corporate book. I felt very

5:47

strongly that in order to help people

5:49

understand the impact of the AI

5:52

industry, we would also have to travel

5:54

well beyond Silicon Valley. These

5:56

companies tell us that AI is going to

5:58

benefit everyone and that's their

5:59

mission. But you really start to see

6:02

that rhetoric break down when you go to

6:05

the places that look nothing like

6:07

Silicon Valley, that speak nothing like

6:09

Silicon Valley, and that have a history

6:11

and culture that are fundamentally

6:12

different as well. And that's where you

6:14

start to really understand the true

6:17

reality of how this industry is

6:21

unfolding around us.

6:22

>> Karen, I often try and steer

6:24

conversations, but in this situation, I

6:26

feel like it's probably my

6:27

responsibility to follow. So with that

6:30

in mind, I'm going to ask you where does

6:32

this journey begin and where should we

6:33

be starting if we're talking about the

6:34

subjects of empire of AI, AI generally

6:38

artificial intelligence and also I'd say

6:40

one thing I'm really keen to do in this

6:42

conversation which is I often see in

6:43

conversations is left out is let's

6:46

assume that our viewers know nothing

6:47

about AI.

6:48

>> Yeah. So they don't know what scaling

6:50

laws are or GPUs or comput or whatever

6:52

and let's try and keep this as simple as

6:54

we possibly can in terms of language or

6:57

explain all the complicated language so

6:59

that we can bring as much people with us

7:00

as we possibly can.

7:01

>> Yes.

7:02

>> Where should we start?

7:03

>> I think we should start with when AI

7:06

started as a field. So this was back in

7:09

1956

7:11

and there were a group of scientists

7:13

that gathered at Dartmouth University to

7:15

start a new discipline, a scientific

7:17

discipline to try and chase an ambition.

7:20

And specifically an assistant professor

7:22

at Dartmouth University, John McCarthy

7:24

decided to name this discipline

7:25

artificial intelligence.

7:28

This was not the first name that he

7:29

tried. The previous year he tried to

7:32

name it Automata Studies. And the reason

7:34

why some of his colleagues were

7:36

concerned about this name was because it

7:38

pegged the idea of this discipline to

7:41

recreating human intelligence. And back

7:44

then, as is true today, we have no

7:47

scientific consensus around what human

7:50

intelligence is. There's no definition

7:52

from psychology, biology, neurology. And

7:55

in fact, every attempt in history to

7:59

quantify and rank human intelligence has

8:02

been driven by nefarious motives. It's

8:05

been driven by a desire to prove

8:09

scientifically that certain groups of

8:10

people are inferior to other groups of

8:13

people. There are no goalposts for this

8:17

field and there are no goalposts for the

8:19

industry when they say that they are

8:21

ultimately trying to recreate AI systems

8:24

that would be as smart as humans. How do

8:26

we even define what that means? And when

8:29

are we going to get there if we don't

8:31

know how to define the destination? And

8:34

what that effectively means is that

8:37

these companies can just use the term

8:39

artificial general intelligence which is

8:41

now the term to refer to this ambitious

8:44

um goal to recreate human intelligence.

8:47

They can use it however they want to and

8:49

they can define and redefine it based on

8:51

what is convenient for them. So in

8:53

OpenAI's history, it has defined and

8:55

redefined it many times. When Sam Alman

8:57

is talking with Congress, AGI is a

9:00

system that's going to cure cancer,

9:02

solve climate change, cure poverty. When

9:05

he's talking with consumers that he's

9:07

trying to sell his products to, it's the

9:09

most amazing digital assistant that

9:11

you're ever going to have. When he was

9:14

talking with Microsoft, you know, in the

9:16

deal that OpenAI and Microsoft struck

9:18

where Microsoft invested in the company,

9:21

it was defined as a system that will

9:23

generate hundred billion of revenue. And

9:26

on OpenAI's own website, they define it

9:28

as highly autonomous systems that

9:30

outperform humans in most economically

9:33

valuable work. This is like not a

9:36

coherent vision of one technology. These

9:39

are very different definitions that are

9:41

spoken out loud to the audience that

9:44

needs to be mobilized to ward off

9:47

regulation or get more consumer buy in

9:50

into the the industry's quest or to get

9:54

more capital more resources for

9:56

continuing on this journey with

9:58

ambiguous definitions. I mean, speaking

10:01

about different definitions through

10:02

time, in 2015, in a blog post that Sam

10:06

Waltman wrote before open air was

10:07

officially announced, he explicitly

10:10

outlined the existential risk by saying,

10:12

"Development of superhuman machine

10:14

intelligence is probably the greatest

10:16

threat to the continued existence of

10:18

humanity. There are other threats that I

10:20

think are more certain to happen, for

10:21

example, an engineered virus, but AI is

10:24

probably the most likely way to destroy

10:27

everything

10:28

>> in general." When Alman is writing for

10:31

the public or speaking for the public,

10:33

he does not just have the public as the

10:35

audience in mind, there are other people

10:38

that he is trying to motivate or

10:40

mobilize when he says these things. And

10:43

in that particular moment, Alman was

10:46

trying to convince Elon Musk to join him

10:48

on co-founding OpenAI. And Musk in

10:52

particular was spending all of his time

10:55

sounding the alarm on what he saw as a

10:58

huge existential threat that AI could

11:00

pose. And so in that blog post, if you

11:03

look at the the language that Alman uses

11:05

side by side with the language that Musk

11:07

was using at the time, it mirrors all

11:10

the things that Musk was saying

11:11

>> identical. I mean, 10 years ago, Musk

11:13

was going on podcast saying, tweeting,

11:16

whatever, that the greatest existential

11:18

risk to humanity was AI.

11:19

>> Yeah. And so you know like his

11:21

parenthetical there are other things

11:23

that we that might actually be more

11:26

likely to happen like engineered

11:27

viruses. It's because up until then

11:29

Alman had been talking just about

11:32

engineered viruses. And so now that he

11:35

needs to pivot to speak to an audience

11:37

of one to Musk. He needs to kind of

11:40

resolve the contradiction between what

11:42

he's now elevating as his new central

11:45

fear to be the same as Musk's new

11:47

central fear with what he had previously

11:49

been saying. So that's why he's like I

11:51

think this is now even though before I

11:54

said this

11:55

>> and are you saying that Sam Alman

11:57

manipulated Musk because Elon did end up

12:01

donating a huge amount of money to um

12:03

open AAI and co-founding it I believe

12:06

with Sam Alman. Elon Musk did end up

12:07

co-ounding it with Altman. And certainly

12:09

from Musk's perspective, he does feel

12:12

manipulated because he feels like Alman

12:16

was engineering his language in a way

12:20

that would make Musk trust him as a a

12:24

partner in this endeavor. And of course

12:27

then Musk is leaves. Um and through some

12:31

of the documents that came out during

12:32

the the lawsuit that Musk and Altman are

12:35

engaged in now, it has become clear that

12:38

there was a degree to which Musk was

12:40

actually muscled out a little bit. And

12:43

so that's why he's left with this

12:47

very intense personal vendetta against

12:48

Altman, saying that somehow Alman

12:51

tricked him into being part of this. So

12:54

in in 2015, Sam Alman is writing these

12:56

blog posts saying this is, you know, one

12:58

of the greatest existential threats. At

12:59

the same time, in 2015, Musk is doing

13:02

some very famous speeches at the time at

13:04

MIT. He said that AI was the biggest

13:06

existential threat and compared

13:08

developing AI to summoning the demon.

13:11

And what you're saying here is you're

13:12

saying that Samman was just mirroring

13:14

the language that Elon was using to get

13:16

Elon involved in open open AAI. And

13:18

later it appears and again there's a

13:20

legal case taking place now that Sam

13:23

might have muscled Elon out in some

13:24

capacity.

13:25

>> Yeah. So we know from the lawsuit and

13:27

the documents that have come out in the

13:28

lawsuit that Ilia Sgver who is the chief

13:33

scientist of OpenAI at the time and Greg

13:35

Brockman chief technology officer at the

13:37

time when they were deciding whether or

13:40

not to maintain OpenAI as a nonprofit

13:43

because it was originally founded as a

13:44

nonprofit. They decided okay we need to

13:46

create a for-profit entity but the

13:47

question was who should be the CEO of

13:49

this for-profit entity. Should it be

13:50

Musk or should it be Alman? because it's

13:52

they were the two co-chairmen of the

13:54

nonprofit. And in the emails, it became

13:58

clear that Ilia and Greg first chose

14:01

Musk to be the CEO.

14:05

But through my reporting, I discovered

14:08

that Altman then appealed personally to

14:11

Greg Brockman, who was a friend of his

14:13

that they had known, they had known each

14:15

other for many years through the Silicon

14:16

Valley scene, and said, "Don't you think

14:20

that it would be a little bit dangerous

14:22

to have Musk be the CEO of this company,

14:26

this new for-profit entity, because, you

14:28

know, he's a famous guy. He has a lot of

14:31

pressures in the world. He could be

14:33

threatened. He could act erratically. He

14:36

could be unpredictable. And do we really

14:38

want a technology that could be super

14:41

powerful in the future to end up in the

14:43

hands of this man? And that convinced

14:46

Greg and Greg then convinced Ilia, you

14:49

know, I think there's a point here. Do

14:52

we really want to give this much power

14:54

to Musk? And that is why Musk then

14:57

leaves because then they the two switch

15:00

their allegiances. They say, "Actually,

15:02

we want Altman to be the CEO." And then

15:04

Musk is like, "If I'm not CEO, I'm out."

15:06

>> So, it sounds like Sam again managed to

15:08

persuade someone to do something.

15:10

>> Mhm.

15:12

>> I guess this begs the question, what do

15:14

you think of Sam Orman?

15:17

>> I think he's a very controversial

15:18

figure.

15:19

>> You did an interesting pause. It's a

15:22

pause where someone tries to select

15:24

their words. Well, this is this is this

15:27

is what's so interesting

15:30

about those interviews is people are

15:33

extremely polarized on Alman there. No

15:36

one has in between feelings about him.

15:39

Either they think he's the greatest tech

15:41

leader of this generation akin to the

15:43

Steve Jobs of the modern era or they

15:46

think that he's really manipulative and

15:49

an abuser and a liar. And what I

15:53

realized because I interviewed so many

15:55

people is it really comes down to what

15:58

that person's vision of the future is

16:00

and what their goals are. So if you

16:04

align with Altman's vision of the

16:06

future, you're going to think he's the

16:08

greatest asset ever to have on your side

16:10

because this man is really persuasive.

16:12

He's incredible at telling stories. He's

16:14

incredible at mobilizing capital, at

16:16

recruiting talent, at getting all the

16:18

inputs that you need to then make that

16:20

future happen. But if you don't agree

16:23

with his vision of the future, then you

16:26

begin to feel like you're being

16:28

manipulated by him to support his vision

16:33

even if you fundamentally don't agree

16:34

with it. And this is the story

16:36

especially of Daria Amade, CEO of

16:39

Enthropic, who was originally an

16:41

executive at OpenAI. So for people that

16:43

don't know, Dario now runs anthropic

16:45

which is the maker of Claude. A lot of

16:47

people probably are more familiar with

16:48

Claude.

16:49

>> Yeah. And it's one of the biggest

16:51

competitors to OpenAI.

16:53

And Amade at the time when he was an ex

16:57

executive at OpenAI,

16:59

he thought that Alman was on the same

17:03

page with him and then over time began

17:06

to feel that Altman was actually on

17:08

exactly the opposite page of him and

17:11

felt that Altman had used Amade's

17:15

intelligence, capabilities, skills to

17:19

build things and bring about a vision of

17:22

the future that he actually

17:23

fundamentally didn't agree with. And so

17:25

that's why people end up with this bad

17:28

taste in their mouths. And so, you know,

17:30

I've been covering the tech industry for

17:33

over eight years and covered many

17:35

companies. I've covered Meta, Google,

17:36

Microsoft in addition to Open AI. and

17:39

OpenAI and Altman is it's the only

17:43

figure that I've seen this degree of

17:45

polarization with where people cannot

17:48

decide

17:50

whether he's the greatest or the worst.

17:53

>> You mentioned Dario there and I found it

17:56

really what I found really interesting

17:57

is to look at how people's quotes evolve

17:59

over time with their incentives. So I

18:01

was looking at all of the all of the

18:03

things they've said on the record on

18:04

podcasts in their blog post to see how

18:06

it's evolved over time and Dario who was

18:08

the former VP of research open AAI and

18:11

has now moved on to enthropic who are

18:13

taking a slightly different approach to

18:14

developing AI said back in 2017 while he

18:17

was still at open AI that this is a

18:20

quote I think at the extreme end is the

18:22

Nick Bostonramm style of fear that an

18:24

AGI could destroy humanity. I can't see

18:27

any reason in principle why that

18:29

couldn't happen. My chance that

18:31

something goes really quite

18:33

catastrophically wrong on the scale of

18:34

human civilization

18:36

might be somewhere between 10% and 25%.

18:40

And also you mentioned Ilia who was a

18:43

co-founder of OpenAI and then left. I

18:45

guess the first question I'd ask is why

18:47

did I leave?

18:49

>> It's a great question.

18:52

So he was instrumental in trying to get

18:54

Sam Alman fired and he's another one of

18:58

the people who over time began to feel

19:00

like he was being manipulated by Alman

19:03

towards contributing something that he

19:05

didn't believe in. And for

19:07

>> you know

19:07

>> because I interviewed a lot of people

19:09

Ilia in particular had

19:12

two pillars that he cared about deeply.

19:16

One is making sure we get to so-called

19:19

AGI and the other is making sure that we

19:22

get to it safely. And he felt that

19:25

Altman was actively undermining both

19:28

things. He felt that Alman was creating

19:31

a very chaotic environment within the

19:33

company where he was pitting teams

19:35

against each other where he was telling

19:37

different things to different people.

19:39

>> Have you ever spoken to him?

19:40

>> I have. So, so I interviewed him in 2019

19:43

for a profile that I did of OpenAI um

19:47

for MIT Technology Review

19:48

>> and back in 2019, he has a quote where

19:51

he says, "The future's going to be good

19:52

for AIs regardless. It would be nice if

19:54

it was also good for humans as well.

19:56

It's not that it's going to actively

19:58

hate humans or want to harm them, but

19:59

it's just going to be so powerful. And I

20:01

think a good analogy would be the way

20:02

that humans treat animals. It's not that

20:04

we hate animals. I think humans love

20:06

animals, and I have a lot of affection

20:08

for them. But when the time comes to

20:10

build a highway between two cities, we

20:11

are not asking the animals for

20:13

permission. We just do it because it's

20:15

important to us. And I think by default,

20:17

that's the kind of relationship that's

20:19

going to be between us and AI, which are

20:22

truly autonomous and operating on their

20:25

own behalf. And that was in 2019, the

20:27

year that you interviewed him.

20:29

>> One of the things that I I feel like we

20:30

should take a step back to examine is

20:32

going back to this idea of what even is

20:34

artificial intelligence and what do we

20:36

mean by intelligence? And a huge part of

20:40

the views of the different people and

20:41

the quotes that you're reading derives

20:43

from a specific belief that they each

20:46

have in this question of what is

20:49

intelligence, what constitutes

20:50

intelligence.

20:52

For Ilia, he has throughout his research

20:55

career felt that ultimately our brains

21:00

are giant statistical models. This is

21:03

not something that you know we actually

21:05

know but this is his own hypothesis also

21:08

the hypothesis of his mentor Jeffrey

21:10

Hinton who also was on this podcast.

21:13

This is why they have such a strong

21:15

conviction in the idea of building AI

21:18

systems that are statistical models and

21:20

that this particular approach is going

21:22

to lead to intelligent systems as we are

21:26

intelligent. It's a hypothesis that they

21:28

have. It's not one that has been proven

21:30

by science. And some people vehemently

21:33

disagree with them on this particular

21:35

thing. But if you step into their shoes

21:38

and take on that hypothesis and assume

21:41

that it's true, that our brains are in

21:44

fact statistical engines and that these

21:48

systems that they're building are also

21:50

statistical engines, that they're making

21:51

bigger and bigger and bigger until they

21:53

become the size of the human brain.

21:55

That's why they say that making this

21:59

comparison where the system will become

22:02

equal to human intelligence and then

22:03

maybe exceed human intelligence is

22:06

relevant in their framework. And um Ilia

22:09

gave a talk at one point at this really

22:12

prominent AI research conference that

22:14

happens every year called neural

22:16

information processing systems. It's a

22:18

mouthful, but he gave this keynote where

22:21

he shows this chart of the size of

22:25

brains and the intelligence of a

22:27

species. And it's roughly linear. The

22:31

bigger the size of the brain, the more

22:32

intelligent the species. And so for him,

22:36

he thinks he's building a digital brain

22:39

because he he thinks brains are just

22:41

statistical engines. So from that logic

22:44

it's like okay if we then build a bigger

22:47

statistical engine than the human brain

22:50

then based on this chart it will be more

22:53

intelligent and then we will be

22:55

subjected to the same treatment that

22:56

we've subjected animals but it's really

23:00

important to understand that these are

23:01

scientific hypotheses of specific

23:03

individuals within the AI research

23:05

community and there's a lot a lot of

23:08

debate about whether this is in fact the

23:10

case and some of The biggest critics say

23:14

it's very reductive to think of our

23:15

brains as simply just statistical

23:17

engines.

23:18

>> Why why does it matter to know the

23:21

mechanism?

23:23

Is it not just important to know the

23:25

outcome which is that it's going to be

23:27

able to do make a video for me or agents

23:30

are going to be able to do the work that

23:31

I do. Does it does it really really

23:33

matter for us to know the mechanism

23:35

behind it?

23:36

>> Yes and no. So it matters because these

23:40

companies

23:41

they are driving their future actions

23:44

based on this hypothesis.

23:47

So they have decided we think that this

23:52

hypothesis is true like we should just

23:54

continue building larger and larger

23:55

statistical models in the pursuit of

23:57

artificial general intelligence. And

24:00

that's then having global consequences

24:02

like in order to continue doing that

24:04

they're hoovering up more and more data.

24:07

They're building more and more data

24:08

centers. They are having uh they're, you

24:11

know, exploiting more and more labor in

24:13

order to continue on this path. Here's a

24:16

question that I think is important to

24:18

ask is why are we trying to build AI

24:21

systems that are duplicative of humans?

24:23

We're kind of having this conversation

24:24

right now where we've just taken the

24:27

premise of this industry as a good

24:30

thing. Like they said that we should be

24:32

building AGI, so we say that we should

24:34

be building AGI. I would like to ask

24:36

like why are we doing that? Why is it

24:39

that we are building a technology that

24:42

is ultimately designed to replace and

24:44

automate people away? That is not the

24:47

enterprise of technology. Like we should

24:51

be building technology and the purpose

24:53

of technology throughout history has

24:55

been to improve human flourishing, not

24:58

to replace people. And so this is like a

25:03

a critical part of my critique of these

25:05

companies and and these scientists that

25:07

have just adopted this goal and have

25:10

relentlessly pursued it and have had

25:12

enormous capital and enormous resources

25:13

to pursue it. Is is this the right goal?

25:16

What like why are we doing this? Why

25:18

can't we just build AI systems that do

25:22

things like accelerate drug discovery

25:24

and improve people's health care

25:26

outcomes, which are systems that have

25:28

nothing to do with the statistical

25:30

engines that they're trying to build to

25:32

duplicate the human brain?

25:33

>> So why are they doing it? I mean, you've

25:35

interviewed all these people. I think

25:36

it's what, 300 people in total, 80 or 90

25:39

of them from OpenAI, the maker of

25:41

CHACHBC. Why do you think they're doing

25:43

it?

25:44

I think it's because they're driven by

25:46

an imperial agenda. And that is why I

25:48

call these companies empires of AI.

25:50

>> What do you mean by an imperial agenda?

25:52

What does that term mean?

25:53

>> Empire is the only metaphor that I've

25:57

ever found to fully encapsulate all of

25:59

the dimensions of what these companies

26:01

do and the scale that they operate and

26:05

what motivates them to do what they do.

26:07

And there are many parallels that you

26:10

see between what I call the empires of

26:12

AI and the empires of old. They lay

26:15

claim to resources that are not their

26:16

own in the pursuit of training these

26:17

models. That's the data of individuals,

26:20

the intellectual property of artists,

26:21

writers, and creators. Their land

26:23

grabbing in order to build these

26:25

supercomputer facilities for training

26:27

the next generation models. Second, they

26:29

exploit an extraordinary amount of

26:30

labor. They contract hundreds of

26:33

thousands of workers all around the

26:35

world including in the US to ultimately

26:38

make these technologies. We can talk

26:40

about that more. And they also design

26:44

their tools to be labor automating so

26:46

that when the technologies are deployed,

26:48

it also affects labor rights because it

26:52

erodess away labor rights. And this is a

26:54

political choice that they have. Third,

26:57

they monopolize knowledge production.

26:59

And so they project this idea that

27:00

they're the only ones that really

27:01

understand how the technology works. And

27:03

so if the public doesn't like it, it's

27:05

because they don't actually know enough

27:06

about this technology. They do this to

27:08

the public. They do this to policy

27:10

makers. And they've also captured the

27:13

majority of the scientists that are

27:14

working on understanding the limitations

27:16

and capabilities of AI.

27:18

>> You think they're gaslighting the public

27:20

in a way?

27:20

>> They are. Yeah. So if most of the

27:23

climate scientists in the world were

27:25

bankrolled by fossil fuel companies, do

27:28

you think we would get an accurate

27:29

picture of the climate crisis?

27:31

>> No.

27:32

>> And in the same way they employ and

27:35

bankroll the AI industry employs and

27:37

bankrolls most of the AI researchers in

27:39

the world. So they set the agenda on AI

27:42

research in soft ways simply by

27:44

funneling money to their priorities so

27:47

that only certain types of AI research

27:49

are produced. But they also will censor

27:52

researchers when they do not like what

27:55

the researcher has found. And so I talk

27:58

about the case of Dr. Timmy Gabru in my

28:00

book who was the ethical AI team co-lead

28:04

at Google when she was literally hired

28:07

to critique the types of AI systems that

28:10

Google was building. She then co-wrote a

28:13

critical research paper that was showing

28:15

how large language models specifically

28:18

were leading to certain types of harmful

28:20

outcomes. And in an attempt to try and

28:24

stop this research from being published,

28:26

Google ended up firing Gabru and then

28:29

fired her other co-lead Margaret

28:31

Mitchell.

28:33

And so they control and quash the

28:38

research that is inconvenient to the

28:41

empire's agenda.

28:42

>> Did you have an example where this is

28:44

happening to journalists as well that

28:46

are asking questions of their team

28:48

members? I think I was watching a video

28:50

of yours where there was a young man

28:52

that was saying he had someone show up

28:53

at his door, knocked on his door and

28:55

asked for information, emails, text

28:58

messages, and this person was from one

28:59

of the big AI companies.

29:01

>> This was opening. I started subpoenaing

29:03

some of its critics. Yeah. Um as a as

29:06

part of a

29:09

what's what appears to be a campaign of

29:11

intimidation, but also what appeared to

29:12

be a campaign of fishing for more

29:14

information to figure out to map out the

29:18

network of critics further. But this was

29:20

a man who runs a small watchdog

29:24

nonprofit and they had been doing a lot

29:26

of work during that time to try and ask

29:30

questions about OpenAI's attempt to

29:32

convert from a nonprofit to a

29:34

for-profit. Ultimately, OpenAI was

29:36

successful in that conversion. But

29:37

during the period where it was sort of

29:40

existential for open AI to complete this

29:43

conversion, there were a lot of civil

29:45

society groups and watchdog groups like

29:47

MIDAS who were trying to prevent the

29:52

process from happening in the dead of

29:54

night. They were trying to get more

29:56

transparency. They were trying to have

29:57

more public debate about this because

29:59

it's unprecedented. And it was then that

30:03

um there was a knock on his door and he

30:06

was served papers.

30:08

>> What did the papers say?

30:09

>> The papers asked him to reproduce every

30:12

single piece of communication that he

30:15

had had that might have involved Musk.

30:17

So this was like this strange paranoia

30:18

that OpenAI had that Musk was somehow

30:21

funding these people to block the

30:23

conversion. None of them were actually

30:24

funded by Musk. So in this particular

30:27

case their request he simply was just

30:29

answered you know I I don't have any

30:31

documents because this doesn't exist.

30:33

>> So going back to this point of empires

30:35

you were saying that one of the factors

30:36

of an empire is a land grab and then the

30:39

next one was

30:40

>> was labor exploitation

30:42

>> labor exploitation. The third one,

30:44

controlling knowledge production.

30:47

>> And one of the other ones that's really

30:50

important to understand about the AI

30:52

empires in particular is empires always

30:56

have this narrative that they they say

30:59

to the public like we're the good empire

31:02

and we need to be an empire in the first

31:04

place because there are also bad empires

31:06

in the world. And if you allow us to

31:10

take all the resources and use all of

31:12

the labor, then we promise we will bring

31:15

you progress and modernity for everyone.

31:18

>> We will bring you to this utopic state

31:20

akin to an AI heaven. But if the evil

31:24

empire does it first, we will descend

31:26

into a hell.

31:28

>> And the evil empire being in this case,

31:30

>> in this case, most often it's China. But

31:33

actually in the early days, Open AI

31:35

evoked Google as the evil empire.

31:38

>> So all of their decisions were about we

31:40

need to do it first because otherwise

31:42

Google, this evil corporation that's

31:44

driven by profit, us as a benevolent

31:47

nonprofit. Like this is a this is a

31:50

critical contest of who wins.

31:54

>> Do you think the people building these

31:56

AI companies believe that the outcome is

32:00

going to be all good now? Do you think

32:02

they think that it's going to be it's

32:04

going to serve everyone? It's going to

32:05

be the age of abundance. Everything's

32:07

going to go up well. What do you think

32:08

they believe? What do you think Sam

32:09

believes?

32:10

>> So, so this is so funny is such a core

32:13

part of the mythology that they create

32:15

around the AI industry includes the

32:19

belief that it could go very badly. It

32:22

goes hand in hand. like they need that

32:25

part of the myth in order to then say

32:28

and that's why we need to be in control

32:30

of the technology because that's the

32:32

only way that it's going to go really

32:33

really well and Alman has said publicly

32:35

you know the worst case lights out for

32:38

everyone but best case we cure cancer we

32:42

solve climate change and there's

32:43

abundance and Dario Amade same kind of

32:46

rhetoric was like worst case

32:49

catastrophic or existential harm for

32:52

humanity best case mass human

32:55

flourishing. So this is like two sides

32:57

of the same coin. Like they have to use

33:00

both of these narratives in order to

33:03

continue justifying an extremely

33:06

anti-democratic approach to AI

33:07

development where there should not be

33:10

broad participation in developing this

33:12

technology. They must be the ones

33:14

controlling it at every step of the way.

33:16

>> Sam Orman did a tweet saying, "There are

33:18

some books coming out about open AI and

33:20

me. We only participated in two of them.

33:23

one by Kesh Hegy

33:25

>> Keegy

33:26

>> Khaggy focused on me and one by Ashley

33:29

Vance on OpenAI.

33:31

Um he went on to say no book will get

33:33

everything right especially when some

33:35

people are so intent on twisting things

33:38

but these two authors are trying to

33:41

you quote retweeted that tweet from Sam

33:44

Alman and you said the unnamed book

33:47

empire of AI is mine.

33:51

Do you believe that tweet from Sam Alman

33:53

was in reference to your book?

33:55

>> 100%. Because there's only three books

33:57

coming out about him

33:58

>> and he had caught wind that your book

33:59

was coming out and

34:00

>> he knew my book was coming out because I

34:02

had contacted OpenAI from the very

34:04

beginning of my process and said I'm

34:05

working on a book now. Will you

34:07

participate in it? And actually

34:09

initially they said yes even though so

34:12

my history with OpenAI I profiled the

34:14

company for MIT technology review. I

34:16

embedded within the office for 3 days in

34:19

2019. my profile comes out in 2020, the

34:22

leadership are very unhappy. And in my

34:25

book, I actually quote an email that I

34:27

received that Sam Alman sent to the

34:30

company about my profile saying, "Yeah,

34:33

this is not great."

34:36

And from then on, the company's stance

34:40

to me was,

34:43

"We are not going to participate in

34:46

anything that you do. we are not going

34:48

to respond to anything any of the

34:49

questions that you receive. And this

34:51

was, you know, this was things that they

34:54

explicitly articulated. It wasn't like

34:56

me inferring. Um, so I I had a a

34:59

colleague at MIT Technology Review that

35:01

also covered AI. And at one point

35:03

opening, I sent him this press release

35:05

being like, "We would love for you to

35:06

cover this story." And he was like, "I'm

35:07

really busy. Will you send it to Karen?"

35:10

And they were like, "Oh, no. We have a

35:13

history. You understand?" And so, so for

35:17

three years they they refused to talk to

35:19

me, but then I ended up at the Wall

35:22

Street Journal where if they felt a a

35:25

bit compelled because it was the journal

35:27

to reopen the lines of communication.

35:30

And so I I I started having, you know,

35:33

more dialogue with them. Every time I

35:35

wrote a piece, I would always send them

35:37

here's my request for comment. I would

35:39

always ask them like, will you sit for

35:40

interviews? And we did get to a more

35:43

productive relationship. And then I

35:45

embarked on the book. So I I left the

35:47

journal to focus on the book full-time.

35:49

And I told them right away, I'm working

35:52

on this book. I want to continue this

35:55

productive conversation where I make

35:58

sure I reflect OpenAI's perspective in

36:01

the book. And so they were like, we can

36:04

arrange interviews for you. You can come

36:05

back to the office. We'll set up some

36:09

conversations.

36:10

And then as we were going back and forth

36:13

on this, the board fired Sam Alman.

36:17

And that's when things started going

36:19

kind of south because the company

36:21

started becoming very sensitive to

36:23

scrutiny. And so then they started

36:25

pushing kicking the can down the road,

36:27

down the road, down the road. And I kept

36:28

saying, "Hey, when are we rescheduling

36:30

this? What's going on?" And then I get

36:32

an email saying, "We are not going to

36:34

participate at all. You are not coming

36:36

to the office. You're not doing

36:37

interviews." and I had actually already

36:39

booked my tickets. So, I was already

36:41

going to fly to San Francisco to have

36:44

the the interviews. And so, then I told

36:48

them I was like, "That's fine. I will

36:51

still engage in the process where I'll

36:53

give you extensive requests for comment.

36:55

I'll ask through my reporting, I'll keep

36:57

you updated on all the things that I'm

36:59

finding so that you can choose to still

37:01

comment." I gave them 40 pages of

37:04

requests for comment. and I gave them

37:07

over a month to respond to all of that.

37:09

So, this was when the tweet came out was

37:12

we were doing all this back and forth

37:14

trying to

37:15

and that's when Alman tweeted this.

37:20

>> H

37:21

>> and they never responded to a single one

37:23

of the one of the 40 pages.

37:25

>> Sam Alman does a lot of interviews.

37:27

>> Yeah.

37:28

>> You know, he's doing a lot of interviews

37:29

all the time. He's done every podcast.

37:31

I've seen him on everything from Tucker

37:33

Carlson to I think he's done Theo, Joe

37:35

Rogan, um podcasts all over the world.

37:39

>> I wonder why he won't do mine.

37:45

>> Well, maybe.

37:46

>> I don't know why. I I I don't know. I

37:48

think I'm fair with everyone. I just ask

37:49

I just ask questions I genuinely care

37:50

about. I don't come in with huge

37:52

preconceptions or at least meet people

37:54

for the first time. But I've heard

37:56

through the grape vine

37:58

um that he doesn't want to do mine. I

38:00

mean, going back to what you were saying

38:02

earlier that

38:04

with this the way that OpenAI and these

38:06

companies control research, you asked,

38:09

do they also do this with journalists?

38:12

I mean, yes, the answer is yes. And

38:14

apparently they they also do it with

38:16

anyone who has, you know, a broad mass

38:18

communications platform.

38:20

>> It's not just about the conversation

38:22

that you're going to have with them.

38:24

It's about who you also choose to

38:26

platform.

38:28

And there's this huge problem in

38:30

technology journalism where companies

38:33

know that a really big carrot that they

38:37

can give to technology journalists is

38:38

access.

38:39

>> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.

38:40

>> And they will withhold that access at

38:44

the drop of a hat if they catch wind

38:46

that you're speaking to someone that

38:47

they didn't want you to speak to.

38:49

>> This is so true. And I don't think the

38:51

average person really truly understands

38:53

this.

38:54

>> Yeah. So, this kind of sounds like

38:55

theory as you say it, but I'm not going

38:57

to name names here because I don't think

38:59

it's important, but there is a

39:01

particular person in AI who um whose

39:05

team have basically dangled the carrot

39:08

of them coming here for like 18 months.

39:10

And I'm like, you don't you don't have

39:11

to dangle the carrot. I'm going to speak

39:13

to whoever I want to regardless of the

39:14

carrot or not. And when this person

39:16

comes, if they want to come, I'll I'll

39:17

give them a fair shot. I'll ask them all

39:19

genuinely curious questions about what

39:21

they're doing, their incentives. I won't

39:23

gotcha them. I don't have a history of

39:24

ever gotchering anybody. Even if I dis

39:26

like even if I have a different of

39:28

opinion, I'll ask the question.

39:29

>> Yeah.

39:29

>> But they dangle carrots and they say,

39:31

"Well, if you know he he's thinking

39:33

about it, let's think about a date." And

39:34

what what the strategy is, and I don't

39:36

think they they think those people don't

39:37

understand, is if we just dangle it for

39:39

long enough, then they will

39:42

um perform in the way that we want them

39:44

to do and they'll be

39:46

>> they'll be pleasant about us. They won't

39:49

be critical. They won't give a give a

39:52

critics.

39:52

>> Our critics.

39:53

>> And I think a lot of their game is just

39:55

dangle the carrot forever.

39:57

>> Yes. Yeah.

39:57

>> That's like the optimal outcome is if we

39:59

just dangle it. If we just tell them,

40:00

yeah, look, we're just trying looking at

40:01

the schedule.

40:03

>> It just doesn't work. I think in the

40:04

modern world, you just have to go there

40:05

and give your opinion and allow the

40:07

clash of ideas in the public forum, let

40:08

the viewers un decide for themselves.

40:10

>> Yeah.

40:11

>> What they think.

40:12

>> Yeah.

40:12

>> Um, but this is a Yeah. This is such a

40:14

huge part of their machinery is the way

40:18

that they use these tactics to massage

40:21

the public image of these companies and

40:23

make sure that information that they

40:24

don't want out and even opinions that

40:26

they don't want out there go out there.

40:28

>> Mhm.

40:29

>> And so this is this is you know I feel

40:33

very lucky now that opening I shut the

40:36

door early on me

40:38

>> at the time I didn't feel lucky. I felt

40:40

like I had screwed myself over. I was

40:43

nicer

40:45

access

40:47

to a journalist, right? Like you're

40:49

supposed to report the truth and you're

40:51

always supposed to report in the

40:53

interest of the public. Like that is the

40:55

point of journalism. And in that moment

40:58

it I I was like relatively junior in my

41:00

career. I was like, did I misunderstand

41:03

what journalism about is is about? Like

41:06

>> should I have actually been playing the

41:08

access game?

41:09

>> Mhm.

41:09

>> But it was too late. I had the door shut

41:11

to me and so I had to build my career

41:15

understanding that the door the front

41:16

door was never going to be open.

41:18

>> Yeah.

41:19

>> And that actually really strengthened my

41:22

own ability to just tell it like it is

41:26

like objective. Yeah. And just report

41:28

what I see are the facts being presented

41:31

to me irrespective of whether the

41:33

company likes it or not. And most often

41:35

the company really does not like it but

41:38

>> I can continue to do the work. They

41:40

don't need to open the front door for

41:41

me. I was still able to do more than 300

41:44

interviews.

41:45

>> So Sam Alman gets

41:49

kicked off the OpenAI executive team.

41:55

Did you find out why that happened?

41:57

>> Yeah, there's a

42:00

scene by scene recounting

42:02

>> from who? I can't remember the exact

42:04

number of sources, so I don't want to

42:06

misquote myself, but it was around six

42:08

or seven people that were directly

42:10

involved or had spoken to people

42:11

directly involved in the decision-making

42:13

process.

42:15

So,

42:18

Ilia Satskever

42:20

is seeing these serious concerns about

42:24

the way that Altman's behavior is

42:27

leading to

42:29

bad research outcomes and poor

42:32

decision-m at the company.

42:35

He then approaches a board member, Helen

42:38

Toner. Ilia, for anyone that doesn't

42:40

know, is the the co-founder we mentioned

42:42

earlier. The co-founder of OpenAI we

42:44

mentioned earlier.

42:45

>> Yes. And he kind of does a bit of a

42:50

sounding board thing to Helen just

42:51

because Ilia is freaking out. He's like

42:54

he's been like sitting on this these

42:56

these concerns for a while and he's like

42:58

if I tell this to someone, this could

43:01

also be really bad for me if Alman finds

43:05

out.

43:06

And so he asks for a meeting with Toner

43:12

and in that first meeting he's like

43:15

re like he barely says a thing. He's

43:18

just like dancing around trying to

43:20

figure out hey is this someone that I

43:23

can maybe trust to divulge more

43:25

information.

43:25

>> And Toner's role and responsibilities at

43:27

OpenAI were

43:28

>> she was a board member.

43:29

>> Just a board member.

43:30

>> Yeah. And and specifically an

43:31

independent board member. So opening eye

43:34

when it was a nonprofit the board was

43:36

split between people who had a stake

43:38

financial stake in the company and then

43:40

people who were fully independent and

43:42

this was meant to be a structure that

43:43

would balance the decision-m to be in

43:47

the benefit of the public interest

43:48

rather than to be in the benefit of the

43:49

for-profit entity that opening I then

43:51

created

43:52

>> and

43:54

Ilia as a

43:57

non-independent board member was

43:59

approaching toner as an independent

44:01

board member her to try and see whether

44:05

or not she was potentially seeing or

44:08

hearing the same things that he was

44:10

about the effect that Alman was having

44:12

on the company. This then sets off a

44:14

series of conversations first between

44:17

Ilia and Helen and then between Amir

44:21

Moratti and some of the board members.

44:23

Samir Moratti was at that point the

44:25

chief technology officer of OpenAI where

44:28

these two senior leaders essentially

44:30

through these conversations and through

44:31

documentation that they're pulling

44:33

together like email, Slack messages and

44:35

so forth, they convey to the independent

44:37

board members, three independent board

44:39

members, we are very concerned about

44:44

Altman's leadership like he is creating

44:47

too much instability at the company and

44:51

it is like he is the root of the

44:54

problem. It's not they they they were

44:57

trying to say to these independent board

44:58

members like the problem will not be

45:01

fixed unless Alman is removed because of

45:04

the way that he's pitting teams against

45:06

each other and creating this environment

45:09

where people are unable to trust each

45:10

other anymore and they're competing

45:12

rather than collaborating on what's

45:14

supposed to be this really really

45:15

important technology. When you say

45:18

instability,

45:20

that's a that's quite a vague term. That

45:21

could mean lots of things. Like

45:23

instability could mean pushing people

45:24

hard to work harder,

45:25

>> right?

45:26

>> What do you mean by instability in spec

45:28

as specific terms as you can possibly

45:30

say them?

45:31

>> When chat GBT came out in the world,

45:34

OpenAI was wholly unprepared.

45:36

>> They didn't think that they were

45:38

launching a gangbusters product.

45:41

>> Yeah. They thought they were releasing a

45:43

research preview that would help them

45:46

get the data flywheel going, collect a

45:48

bunch of data from users that would then

45:50

inform what they thought would be the

45:53

gang busters product, which was a

45:55

chatbot using GPT4 and chat GBT was

45:59

using GPT 3.5.

46:01

And because of that, there were servers

46:06

crashing all the time because they they

46:08

weren't they had to scale their their

46:10

infrastructure, you know, faster than

46:12

any company in history. And there were

46:15

um there were all of these outages. They

46:17

were trying to also hire faster than any

46:19

company in history to try and have more

46:20

personnel there. And they were then

46:23

sometimes hiring people that they were

46:24

like, "Actually, we made a mistake. We

46:26

shouldn't have hired you." So they were

46:27

firing people left and right. and people

46:29

were just disappearing off of Slack and

46:32

that's how their colleagues would learn

46:33

that they were no longer at the company.

46:35

And so it was yes like many fast growing

46:39

companies a very chaotic environment and

46:42

a particularly chaotic environment

46:44

because it was extra fast like they had

46:48

to accelerate more than any other

46:51

startup.

46:52

And on top of that mirror Morati and

46:55

Ilasgiver felt that Alman was making it

46:58

worse like he was not actually

47:00

effectively ameliorating the

47:02

circumstances of the chaos. He was

47:05

actually sewing more chaos, getting

47:06

these teams to be more divided.

47:10

And this is where it's important to

47:13

understand that the executives and the

47:16

independent board members, they're all

47:19

operating under this idea that they're

47:21

building AGI and that AGI could either

47:24

be devastating or utopic to humanity.

47:29

And so it's not yes it's like any other

47:32

company and no it's not like any other

47:34

company. You cannot have like in their

47:37

view you cannot have this degree of

47:39

chaos as the pressure cooker for

47:42

creating a technology that they in their

47:44

conception could make or break the

47:47

world.

47:48

And so that is basically what the

47:51

independent board members also begin to

47:53

reflect on. They have these

47:54

conversations amongst themselves where

47:56

they're like,

47:58

"Well, based on what we're hearing about

48:00

Altman's behavior, like if this was an

48:02

Instacart, would that warrant firing

48:04

him?" And they concluded, "Maybe not,

48:08

but this is not Instacart."

48:10

And that's why they were like, "Well,

48:12

crap. Maybe this is actually this does

48:15

rise to the to the bar where we should

48:18

consider replacing him because we are

48:21

ultimately building a technology that we

48:24

think could have transformative impacts

48:27

either in the positive or negative

48:29

direction. And so that is what happens.

48:31

It's like these two executives and then

48:33

the independent board members also they

48:35

were hearing other feedback as well from

48:37

their connections within the company

48:38

with other people in the industry. At

48:40

one point, Adam D'Angelo, who is one of

48:42

the independent board members and the

48:44

CEO of Kora, uh, which is, you know,

48:46

start a tech startup in the valley, he

48:49

is at a party in San Francisco, and he

48:52

starts to hear some of these rumors that

48:56

there's something weird about the way

48:58

that OpenAI has structured its OpenAI

49:02

startup fund, which was this fund that

49:04

they the company had created to start

49:06

investing in other startups.

49:08

>> Mhm.

49:09

and he realizes they'd never really seen

49:13

documentation about how the startup fund

49:15

had been set up from Alman. And finally

49:17

they get the documents and it turns out

49:18

that OpenAI startup fund is not OpenAI's

49:21

startup fund. It's Altman's startup

49:23

fund. And this was something like one of

49:28

several experiences that the independent

49:29

board members were also having where

49:31

they're like there's something not right

49:33

about the fact that there continuously

49:37

are inconsistencies inconsistencies

49:39

between the way that Altman is

49:40

portraying

49:42

what is being done versus what is

49:44

actually being done. And so when these

49:47

two executives approach the board or the

49:49

independent board members, then they're

49:51

like, "Okay, this lines up with also the

49:54

experiences that we've been having."

49:58

And at that point, they then have this

50:01

series of very intense discussions where

50:04

they're meeting almost every day talking

50:06

about should we actually really consider

50:09

removing Altman?

50:12

And in the end they conclude, yes, we

50:16

should. And if we're going to do it, we

50:18

need to do it quickly. Because they were

50:20

very concerned that the moment that

50:22

Alman found out, his persuasive

50:23

abilities would make it impossible to

50:26

do. And so they end up firing Altman

50:31

without telling anyone. You know, they

50:33

don't talk to any stakeholders to get

50:36

them on the same page. Microsoft gets a

50:38

call right before they execute the

50:40

action saying, "We're going to fire

50:42

Altman."

50:42

>> And Microsoft, for anyone that doesn't

50:43

know, are a lead investor in OpenAI at

50:45

the time.

50:46

>> Yes. One of the only investors in OpenAI

50:51

at the time. And that is what then

50:54

devolves the whole thing because every

50:57

single person that is affected by this

50:59

decision is now extremely angry that

51:02

they were not involved. And that is what

51:05

then creates this campaign to bring

51:08

Altman back. And then Alman is

51:10

reinstalled as CEO days later.

51:13

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53:24

How does a CEO of a major company get

53:27

fired by the board? Because board

53:29

members, there's a quote in your book on

53:30

page 357 where you say about Ilia

53:33

saying, "I don't think Sam is the guy

53:35

who should have the finger on the button

53:36

for AGI." Now, I I asked myself this

53:39

question. You know, I work with lots of

53:40

people here. We have 150 people that

53:42

work in this business and

53:46

those people know me best.

53:48

>> Yeah.

53:48

>> They see me on camera. They see me off

53:50

camera. So if they said that we don't

53:52

think Steven is the right person to host

53:54

the direc

53:55

>> Yeah.

53:56

>> It would take a lot for them to say

53:58

that.

53:58

>> Yeah.

53:58

>> They must have seen some off camera

54:01

for them to go we don't think he's the

54:02

right person to be on camera. Yeah.

54:04

>> Or for whatever reason. And in the case

54:05

of AI, which is much more consequential

54:07

than a podcast that is, you know, filmed

54:09

in my old kitchen. Um it almost sends a

54:12

chill down one's body to think that the

54:14

co-founder of a business has gone to the

54:16

board and said this isn't the guy to

54:18

lead this consequ I mirror Marotti then

54:21

also said I don't think Alman is the

54:23

right guy

54:23

>> and then they both left later.

54:26

>> So then Altman comes back and lo and

54:28

behold Ilia never comes back. So his

54:31

concerns about the fact that Alman

54:33

founding out would be bad for him

54:35

manifested. He ended up not coming back

54:37

and Miriam Marotti then left shortly

54:40

thereafter.

54:41

>> Quite a lot of these people leave, don't

54:43

they? Open AAI

54:44

>> they do. So if you consider

54:49

one of the

54:51

origin stories of open AI is this dinner

54:54

that happened at the Rosewood Hotel,

54:57

which is a very swanky hotel um right

54:59

right in the heart of Silicon Valley

55:01

that uh was one of Elon Musk's favorites

55:04

whenever he was coming up from LA to the

55:06

Bay Area. And there was this dinner that

55:08

was there where Altman was intending to

55:11

recruit the OG team that would start

55:14

OpenAI. So he's kind of telling everyone

55:18

you might have a chance to meet Musk

55:20

because Musk is going to come to this

55:21

dinner dinner. And he cold emails Ilia

55:24

and gets Ilia to then come because and

55:27

Ilia specifically wants to come because

55:28

he wants to meet Musk. And he also

55:31

emails all these other people including

55:33

Greg Brockman, Dario Amade. These are

55:35

all people that ended up working at Open

55:37

>> and they all almost all of them not not

55:40

every one of them but almost all of them

55:42

end up working at OpenAI

55:45

>> and leaving

55:46

>> almost all of them end up leaving

55:49

specifically after they clash with Alman

55:52

>> and Ilia he left and launched a company

55:55

called Safe Super Intelligence.

55:59

>> Yeah.

56:00

>> Which is I mean that's an indirect if

56:02

I've ever heard one. Do you know what I

56:05

mean? Do you know what I mean? If

56:07

someone like co-ounded this podcast with

56:10

me and then they left and started a

56:12

podcast called Safe Podcasting, I

56:17

I'd take that as a slight.

56:19

I' I'd have people knocking on their

56:21

door and asking for their texts. One of

56:24

the things that is happening here is

56:30

>> it is not a coincidence that every

56:32

single tech billionaire has their own AI

56:34

company.

56:35

>> Mhm.

56:38

>> They want to create AI in their own

56:40

image and that's why they keep not

56:44

getting along. And in fact, it's not

56:46

just don't get along, they end up hating

56:49

each other after working together.

56:51

>> Mhm. and then splinter off into their

56:54

own organizations. So after Musk leaves,

56:57

he starts XAI. After Dario leaves, he

56:59

starts Anthropic. After Ilia leaves, he

57:01

starts Safe Super Intelligence. After

57:03

Meera leaves, she starts thinking

57:05

machines lab. They want to have control

57:12

over their own vision of this

57:14

technology. And the best way that they

57:18

have

57:20

derived from their experiences of trying

57:24

to put their vision into the arena is by

57:28

creating a competitor and then competing

57:30

with OpenAI and with all the other

57:32

companies out there. Do you think some

57:33

of these AICOs realize that they are

57:35

quite literally summoning the demon as

57:36

Elon said 10 years ago, but they don't

57:40

really care because being the person

57:42

that summoned the demon is makes you

57:45

consequential and powerful and

57:47

historical even if the outcome is

57:50

potentially horrific. Even if there's

57:52

like a 20% outcome of it being horrific.

57:53

I remember I think it was Dario, he's

57:56

the one that said there's somewhere

57:57

between a 10% and 25% chance of things

58:02

going catastrophically wrong on the

58:04

scale of human civilization. 25% is a

58:07

one in4 chance.

58:10

If you put bullets in a fourchamber

58:13

revolver and said Steven, the upside is

58:17

you could become a multi-gazillionaire

58:19

and be remembered forever. The downside

58:21

is that there would be a bullet in your

58:22

head. There is no chance that I would

58:24

take take that bet with a 25% potential

58:27

chance of things going catastrophically

58:30

wrong.

58:31

>> So, I have a very long answer to this

58:33

because

58:36

do they know if they're summoning the

58:37

demon? It really depends on what we

58:38

define as summoning the demon. And in

58:41

this particular case, to go back to what

58:44

we were saying before, there's a

58:46

mythology that the AI industry uses

58:50

where summoning the demon is an integral

58:52

part of

58:55

convincing everyone that therefore they

58:58

can be the only ones that are developing

59:00

this technology.

59:01

>> I got it. So on one end, you got to say

59:03

if we don't, China will and that's

59:05

terrible.

59:06

>> Yeah. But if we let anyone else do it

59:08

other than me, then we're as

59:09

well.

59:10

>> Exactly.

59:11

>> So that means that I have to do it and

59:12

you have to give me money and support.

59:14

>> Exactly. So when they're saying these

59:15

things,

59:18

we should understand it as not as like a

59:21

genuine prediction based on what they're

59:23

seeing because first of all, we don't

59:24

predict the future. We make it. We

59:27

should understand this as an act of

59:29

speech to persuade other people into

59:32

believing that they should seed more

59:34

power, more resources to these

59:36

individuals. And so, do they know that

59:39

they're summoning the demon?

59:41

I mean, they are purposely trying to

59:43

create this this

59:47

feeling within the public that they are

59:49

because it is a crucial part of their

59:52

power.

59:53

But do they if we were to define

59:57

just do they realize that the things

59:59

that they are doing are having already

60:01

really harmful impacts all around the

60:03

world on vulnerable people, vulnerable

60:06

communities, vulnerable countries.

60:09

That's where I'm like maybe yes, maybe

60:11

no. and they don't really care because

60:15

in the frame of mind like I sometimes

60:19

use the analogy that the AI world is

60:21

like Dune.

60:22

>> Dune for anyone that doesn't know Dune

60:24

>> science fiction epic written by Frank

60:25

Herbert and it's set in this

60:28

intergalactic era where there are all

60:30

these houses and they're fighting each

60:32

other for spice. So it's a call back to

60:34

colonialism and empire and they all are

60:37

trying to control the spice. But one of

60:38

the features of this story is that there

60:41

are these myths that are seated on the

60:44

different planets about a a religious

60:47

myth basically about the coming of the

60:48

Messiah that are used as ways to control

60:51

the people.

60:52

And Paul at Trades when he arrives at

60:56

the planet Iraqis uh with with the

60:59

intention of um trying to then fight

61:01

against the empire and um avenge his

61:06

father's death. He steps into a myth

61:09

that has been seated on this planet that

61:11

says that one day there will be a

61:13

Messiah that comes and saves the planet.

61:15

So he steps into the role of the Messiah

61:18

and leans into this idea in order to

61:21

better control the people and rally them

61:24

behind him as a leader to help with this

61:27

quest.

61:29

He knows that it's a myth in the

61:30

beginning, but because he lives and

61:33

breathes and embodies it, it kind of

61:37

starts to blur in his mind whether this

61:39

is really a myth or whether he's really

61:40

the messiah. And this is what I think

61:44

happens in the AI world. On one hand,

61:48

there are all these executives that

61:51

actively engage in mythmaking because,

61:54

you know, I have all these internal

61:55

documents that I write about in the book

61:57

where they are very keenly aware of how

62:00

to bring the public along with them by

62:03

showing them dazzling demonstrations of

62:06

the technology by using crafting a

62:09

mission that will sound really good uh

62:12

and and and make people give more

62:15

leniency to their companies. So they

62:18

know they're doing the mythmaking and

62:20

also I think many of them lose

62:23

themselves in the myth because they have

62:26

to live and breathe and embody it day in

62:28

and day out. And so when you know Daario

62:31

says he thinks that 10 to 25% of the

62:35

future could be catastrophic or or

62:37

whatever the probability is 10 to 25%.

62:40

He is actively engaging in the

62:41

mythmaking but also he's losing himself

62:44

in the myth. Like I think if you were to

62:46

ask him, "Do you genuinely believe

62:47

that?" He would be like, "Yes, I

62:49

genuinely believe that." Because there's

62:51

been a blurring of when he's saying

62:54

something just to say something versus

62:57

when he actually believes what is he's

63:01

required to believe in order to then

63:04

continue

63:06

doing the things that he's doing.

63:09

>> And this is the whole psychology of

63:11

cognitive dissonance, right? where you

63:12

the brain struggles to hold two

63:14

conflicting worldviews at the same time.

63:16

So it's it's incentivized or it

63:18

endeavors to dismiss one. So if you you

63:20

know if you wanted to be a healthy

63:21

person but also a smoker. Um and I

63:24

pointed out that smoking is bad for you.

63:25

The first words out of your mouth are

63:26

going to be yes but

63:28

>> smoking helps me with stress. Yeah, but

63:31

I only do it when I think I don't know I

63:34

kind of see that at the moment because

63:35

these companies have to raise

63:37

extortionate like huge amounts of money

63:39

to fund their AI research and they're

63:42

building out all of these data centers.

63:44

>> So when they're out in the public,

63:46

they're always fundraising. All of these

63:47

major companies are fundraising all the

63:48

time at the moment.

63:49

>> So you can't be fundraising and saying,

63:51

"I'm going to destroy your children's

63:52

future potentially. There's 25% chance

63:54

that your children aren't going to have

63:56

a great life."

63:58

Which might be the truth. I mean that is

63:59

actually what they say Dario. This is

64:01

what famously Dario Amade does. He's

64:03

like

64:03

>> he does that but the others Sam's not

64:05

doing that as much anymore.

64:06

>> Yes. And it's because you know

64:10

it goes back to like each of them kind

64:11

of distinguish themselves a little bit

64:13

as as the brand that they need to

64:16

project.

64:17

>> Do you think any of them are more have a

64:20

stronger moral compass than others? cuz

64:22

I think Dario often gets the credit for

64:23

having more of a, you know, more of a

64:26

backbone and being more conscious of

64:28

implications.

64:31

>> He does get a lot of credit for that.

64:33

>> He's from Claude and Anthropic. For

64:34

anyone that doesn't know,

64:37

>> I don't think it truly matters that

64:41

question, the answer to that question,

64:43

because to me,

64:44

>> even if you were to swap all the CEOs

64:46

for someone that people would say is

64:49

better at running these companies, it

64:52

doesn't fix the problem that I identify

64:54

in the book, which is that there is a

64:56

system of power that has been

64:58

constructed where these companies and

65:00

the people running these companies get

65:02

to make decisions that affect billions

65:04

of people's lives. lives around the

65:05

world and those billions of people do

65:07

not get any say in how it goes.

65:10

>> Those people, they can go to the polls,

65:13

right? So, if the public are

65:14

sufficiently educated, they can go to

65:16

the polls and pick a leader that says

65:18

they're going to legislate or pass laws

65:21

or try and pass laws.

65:22

>> Yes.

65:23

But at the speed and pace at which these

65:26

companies operate and at the sheer scale

65:28

and size, they're able to also spend

65:31

extraordinary amounts of money, hundreds

65:33

of millions in this upcoming midterms to

65:35

try and kill every possible piece of

65:37

legislation that gets in their way and

65:39

craft legislation that would codify

65:40

their advantage.

65:42

And so to me,

65:45

I think sometimes as a society, we

65:47

obsess a little bit with

65:50

are these leaders good or bad people?

65:53

And to me the bigger question is is the

65:56

governance structure that we've created

65:59

a sound one or that allows broad

66:01

participation or an anti-democratic one

66:04

that has consolidated this

66:05

decision-making power in the hands of

66:06

the few because no person is perfect. It

66:09

does I don't I don't care who is on at

66:12

the top of these companies. they're not

66:14

going to have the ability to make

66:16

decisions on behalf of so many people

66:18

around the world who live and talk and

66:22

um and and have a culture and history

66:24

that are fundamentally different from

66:26

them without things going wrong.

66:29

And so that is why throughout history

66:31

we've moved from empires to democracy.

66:36

It's because empire as a structure is

66:39

inherently unound. it does not actually

66:42

maximize the chances of most people in

66:46

the world being able to live dignified

66:48

lives.

66:49

>> I'm going to try and take on their point

66:51

of view. So, this is me playing devil's

66:52

advocate. Okay. But Karen, if the US

66:58

don't continue to accelerate their

66:59

research with AI, at some point, China's

67:02

model is going to become so smart and

67:05

intelligent that we're basically going

67:07

to have to rent it off them and we're

67:08

going to be, you know, they'll get the

67:09

scientific discoveries. They'll discover

67:11

the new era of autonomous weapons and we

67:14

will be their backyard. And like

67:17

logically

67:19

that argument does appear to be pretty

67:21

true.

67:22

>> No, it's not.

67:23

>> If we scale up, if we just imagine any

67:25

rate of change with this intelligence,

67:26

at some point we're going to come to a

67:29

weapon that could theoretically disable

67:32

um all of the United States electricity,

67:34

their weapons systems. It would know

67:37

exactly how to disable the United States

67:39

from a cyber perspective because it

67:41

would be that smart. All you've got to

67:42

imagine is any rate of improvement of

67:44

any period any sort of long period of

67:46

time. So this is a theory that might be

67:50

true and if it's true

67:52

>> I mean yeah any theory might be true

67:55

>> but but if but but you know again going

67:57

to this point of like even if it's a

67:58

small percentage it's worth paying

67:59

attention to on the other side of the

68:00

foot. This is a theory that people talk

68:04

about. It could be the case that the

68:06

most intelligent civilization is going

68:09

to be the superior civilization.

68:12

Logically, that's a pretty sound thing

68:13

to say. No.

68:14

>> So, there's a lot of a lot of

68:17

fundamentals in this argument that would

68:19

need to be true in order for this to be

68:21

a viable argument. And let's knock them

68:23

down one by one. So the first one is

68:26

that

68:29

these systems are intelligent and that

68:31

just scaling them is going to bring us

68:32

more intelligence.

68:34

So far so true.

68:35

>> No, it's actually not because first of

68:39

all again we don't actually know if

68:42

these systems are like intelligence is

68:45

not it's not like the right analogy

68:46

almost. It's sort of like

68:50

it's like is a calculator a calculator

68:52

can do math problems faster than a

68:53

human. Does that make it intelligent?

68:56

>> It has a narrow intelligence because

68:57

they're solving a narrow problem which

68:58

is like 1 plus 1 equals 2. But

69:01

>> and these systems, they actually also

69:03

are quite narrowly intelligent in the

69:06

sense that even though these companies

69:07

say that they're everything machines

69:09

that can do anything for anyone, they

69:11

actually can only do some things for

69:12

some people. This is like the jagged

69:14

frontier of these AI models like some of

69:17

the capabilities are quite good, other

69:19

capabilities are not that good. You know

69:20

why that happens? is because the company

69:23

can only focus on advancing certain

69:24

types of capabilities. It can't

69:26

literally focus on advancing all types

69:28

of capabilities. They have to actually

69:30

set their mind to advancing a certain by

69:32

gathering the data that is needed for

69:33

that capability by taking uh you know

69:37

getting a bunch of human contractors to

69:39

annotate and train the model to do that

69:42

exact thing. And so

69:45

scaling these models is actually a

69:48

perpendicular question to are we

69:51

actually getting

69:53

more cyber capabilities specifically and

69:56

more military capabilities specifically.

69:58

>> I would argue that most of the most of

70:00

the top people in AI believe that the

70:02

intelligence is going to continue to

70:04

scale for some time. a lot of them do

70:06

like Jeffrey Hinton does.

70:07

>> And again, it's it's back to his

70:10

hypothesis about how human intelligence

70:12

works and what the appropriate model of

70:14

the brain is. His hypothesis throughout

70:17

his career has been the brain is a

70:19

statistical engine.

70:20

>> But that's his hypothesis and that is

70:22

not universally agreed upon especially

70:25

among people that are not in the AI

70:27

world. When you talk with

70:28

neuroscientists and psychologists,

70:29

people who actually study human

70:30

intelligence in the human brain, that is

70:32

where you start to get a lot of debate

70:35

and disagreement about this particular

70:36

view that Hinton has. And so this is

70:42

kind of like one of the one of the

70:44

things is like AI

70:46

is already being used in the military

70:48

and has been used in the military for a

70:50

long time. But ex specifically

70:54

accelerating large language models

70:57

isn't just the only path for getting

71:01

military cap. like the companies would

71:02

have to choose to specifically pick

71:05

military capabilities to accelerate not

71:08

just like general intell it's like you

71:10

know what I'm saying like they create

71:12

this myth that they are actually pushing

71:15

the frontier of all of the capabilities

71:17

of the model but that's not what's

71:18

actually happening internally and I have

71:20

I had hundreds of pages of documents on

71:22

like how they were specifically training

71:24

models they pick what capabilities they

71:27

want to advance and you know how they

71:28

pick them it's based on which industries

71:31

countries would be able to pay them the

71:32

most money for their services. So they

71:35

pick finance, law, medicine, healthcare,

71:40

commerce. It's not actually intelligent

71:43

like a like a a baby where you the the

71:47

more that you that the baby grows up,

71:48

they start having this like general

71:50

these general abilities.

71:52

>> I think I have jagged intelligence. I'll

71:54

be honest. I wasn't going to say it, but

71:57

I think I know a little I know a little

71:59

bit about uh No, I know a lot about a

72:01

little bit.

72:02

>> Yeah, but if but you also have the

72:04

capability to learn and acquire

72:05

knowledge by yourself. And you also have

72:06

the ability to choose what you're going

72:08

to learn and acquire by yourself.

72:10

>> It's not easy and it takes a lot more

72:11

time than these models. It seems less

72:13

compute, but

72:14

>> and you can learn how to drive in one

72:16

place and then immediately know how to

72:17

drive in another place. These models

72:19

cannot do that. Every time a

72:21

self-driving car is shifted to another

72:24

location, it has to completely retrain

72:26

on that location. It's like all the

72:28

self-driving cars. I mean, we're sitting

72:29

in Austin right now and there's all

72:30

these self-driving cars that are driving

72:32

through Austin.

72:34

But when one of them learns, they all

72:35

learn

72:36

>> which is which

72:37

>> well it's just because it's a it's an

72:40

operating system that is has an AI model

72:43

as part of it and you're training the AI

72:45

model and then you deploy that AI model

72:47

across all the self-driving

72:48

>> a big advantage because if one optimist

72:51

robot learns one thing in one factory

72:54

they all learn it and imagine that

72:56

imagine if humans if we all learned what

72:57

all the other humans learned that would

73:00

be that would give us such an

73:01

unbelievable competitive advantage. I

73:02

mean one of the ways we did that is

73:03

through communication.

73:04

>> They could not because they could be

73:05

learning the wrong thing which has also

73:06

happened again and again with these

73:08

technologies is that all of them then

73:10

learn the wrong thing and they all have

73:11

the same failure mode. I mean part of

73:13

the resilience of human society is that

73:15

we do have different expertises and we

73:17

also have different failure modes.

73:19

>> I think sometimes we hold AI models to a

73:21

higher standard than we hold humans to.

73:23

And in a weird because I I' I'd hear on

73:25

stage we're in we're in Austin at the

73:26

moment and I'd hear people go ah but you

73:29

know them AI models they hallucinate

73:30

sometimes. I'm like, "Have you met a

73:32

human?" Like, I I hallucinate all the

73:35

time. I can barely spell or do math.

73:39

>> So,

73:40

>> yes, but it's it's once again like using

73:42

this analogy that was specifically

73:43

picked in the early days of the field as

73:46

a way to market these technologies. like

73:48

we're repeatedly using the intelligence

73:50

analogy and relating these machines to

73:52

human intelligence as a a way to try and

73:56

gauge whether or not it is good or

73:59

worthy or capable in society. I think

74:01

the output is the thing that really m is

74:03

the most consequential which is like

74:04

okay it might have a different brain and

74:06

a different system but does it arrive at

74:07

the same capability like does it is it

74:10

able to do surgery on someone's brain is

74:12

it able to drive a car like my car

74:13

drives itself in in Los Angeles I don't

74:16

touch the steering wheel and I can drive

74:17

for many many hours and in here in

74:19

Austin I just saw the ones the other day

74:20

where they've removed the steering wheel

74:22

and the pedals the new cyber cabs so I

74:24

go it doesn't really matter if it's

74:25

using a different system if it's

74:26

navigating through the world as a car it

74:28

has a better safety record than human

74:30

beings

74:31

Um then as far as I'm concerned,

74:34

intelligence or not, it's like

74:36

>> yes, you know,

74:36

>> but that was not the original argument

74:38

that you made, which was like these

74:40

systems are just generally going to

74:41

become more intelligent across different

74:43

things based on the prediction. This is

74:46

a prediction that you're making, right?

74:47

Like that and this is a prediction that

74:49

all the AI um

74:50

>> Ilia's making, Dario's making, Elon's

74:52

making, Zuckerberg's making, man's

74:54

making, Dennis is making.

74:56

>> And do you know what the common feature

74:57

of all of them is? They profit

74:59

enormously off of this myth.

75:01

>> Elon has recently spearheaded the

75:04

construction of Colossus, a massive

75:05

supercomputer in Memphis housing a

75:07

100,000 GPU specifically to scale up

75:10

their API models faster than their

75:12

competitors. It appears that they've all

75:14

converged around this idea that you can

75:16

brute force your way to greater, more

75:18

generalized intelligence. They've

75:20

converged around the idea that you can

75:22

brute force your way into models that

75:24

they can sell to people for automating

75:27

certain tasks that are that are

75:29

financially lucrative.

75:30

>> And I heard Elon say that if you're a

75:32

surgeon, there's just no point. He was

75:33

like, don't train to be a surgeon. He

75:35

says in a couple of years time, Optimus

75:37

and AI generally are going to be better

75:39

than any surgeon that's ever lived.

75:40

>> Yeah. You know,

75:41

>> do you think these things are true?

75:42

Well, you know, I I'm pretty sure it was

75:44

Hinton that famously slash infamously

75:46

said there would be no need for

75:48

radiologists anymore.

75:50

>> There would be no need for radiologists

75:51

anymore in he set a deadline that we've

75:54

already passed. I don't remember how

75:56

many years.

75:58

Radiology is doing great as a

76:00

profession.

76:00

>> Do you think it will be in 5 years?

76:02

>> Okay. So, this this once again goes back

76:05

to this question of like why do we build

76:06

technology and why should we

76:08

specifically be building AI? Okay. And

76:11

for me like the whole project of

76:14

technology development advancement is

76:15

not to advance technology for

76:17

technologies sake.

76:18

>> It's to help people.

76:21

And there have been lots of research

76:23

that has shown that actually the best

76:26

outcomes for people in a healthcare

76:28

setting is for the radiologist to have

76:31

the AI model in their hands

76:36

and for the for the human expert to use

76:40

the AI model as a tool as an input into

76:43

their judgment. And it is that

76:45

combination that leads to the most

76:48

accurate and early diagnoses of certain

76:51

types of cancer that then help improve

76:53

the prognosis of the patient.

76:55

>> Do you believe that in the coming years

76:58

all the cars pretty much all the cars on

76:59

the road will be driving themselves?

77:00

>> No.

77:01

>> You don't you don't think so?

77:02

>> Mm-m.

77:02

>> How come?

77:03

>> Because of the way the technology works.

77:06

>> Because because these are statistical I

77:09

mean currently the way that AI models

77:11

are primarily developed. They're

77:13

statistical engines. You have what's

77:15

called a neural network, which is a

77:17

piece of software that has a bunch of

77:20

densely connected nodes and

77:22

>> like parameters. Is this what they call

77:24

parameters?

77:24

>> Yeah, pretty much. And you're just

77:26

pumping a bunch of data into it and then

77:29

it's analyzing the data and creating

77:31

this all of these finding all these

77:33

correlations in the data, finding all

77:34

these patterns and then it's through

77:36

those patterns that the machine is then

77:39

able to act autonomously, right? And so

77:42

the way that they're training a

77:43

self-driving car is they're they're

77:45

recording all this footage and then they

77:48

have tens of thousands or hundreds of

77:49

thousands of human contractors that draw

77:53

literally around every single vehicle in

77:57

the footage, every single pedestrian,

78:00

every single traffic light, every single

78:02

lane marking and label it exactly as

78:04

such. So that then it's fed into an AI

78:07

model that can identify all of these

78:10

different components and then it's

78:11

connected to another piece of software

78:14

that is not AI that's saying okay if you

78:17

if the AI model recognizes the

78:19

pedestrian we do not run over the

78:21

pedestrian.

78:23

If the AI model recognizes a red traffic

78:26

light we stop. And so the like the thing

78:30

about statistical engines is that it's

78:32

based on probabilities. It's not based

78:34

on deterministic logic.

78:37

So

78:39

systems make errors all the time and

78:41

it's impossible. It is technically

78:44

impossible to get them to stop making

78:47

errors.

78:48

>> Humans make errors way more than

78:50

>> systems in this case. Like the safety

78:53

record is like isn't it like 10 times

78:54

more safe to be driven in a Tesla with

78:57

autonomous driving than it is to for a

78:59

human to drive?

78:59

>> It depends on the place. It depends on

79:02

whether the Tesla was trained to

79:03

specifically navigate the place that

79:05

you're driving.

79:05

>> Get drunk

79:06

>> because if it's in Mumbai,

79:09

>> in some place in Vietnam, no, it would

79:12

not be safer. I WOULD MUCH RATHER be

79:15

driven

79:16

>> by someone that has been driving in that

79:18

place their whole life. I'm I'm not

79:20

arguing against like the fact that in

79:22

certain places where the car has been

79:24

explicitly trained to drive in this

79:26

place that it has a better safety record

79:29

than the humans that are driving in that

79:30

place. But you specifically asked if I

79:33

think that all of the

79:34

>> most cars

79:35

>> most cars in the world in the US

79:38

>> in the United States cuz we're here.

79:40

>> I don't actually think that it's like

79:41

imminently on the horizon

79:43

>> 10 years.

79:44

>> No, I don't think so.

79:45

>> I sat with Dra from Uber and he's pretty

79:47

convinced that his 9 million couriers

79:48

will be replaced by autonomous vehicles.

79:51

>> I mean, how long have has self-driving

79:53

cars been

79:55

invested in thus far? It's been more

79:57

than 10 years. And what percentage of

79:59

cars right now are autonomous

80:03

>> on the US roads? I mean, so part of it

80:05

is it's actually not a technical

80:07

problem, right? Like part of it is also

80:09

social problem like do people even trust

80:11

getting into these vehicles? Part of it

80:13

is also a legal problem which is if the

80:16

car the self-driving car kills someone,

80:19

which it has happened.

80:20

>> Yeah, it has happened.

80:22

>> Who is responsible? So, in the case in

80:24

LA, it was both Tesla and the driver

80:26

because the driver dropped their phone,

80:29

they looked down, and this was a couple

80:30

of years ago, I believe. Um, and they

80:32

went to grab their phone and they hit

80:34

someone, and so it went to court, and

80:36

they were held both responsible, both

80:38

the driver and Tesla. Um, in terms of

80:42

Tesla,

80:44

pretty much everyone that gets the car,

80:46

it comes with autonomy now for pretty

80:47

much most people, I believe.

80:49

>> Partial autonomy. Yeah, it's called full

80:50

self-driving at the moment where it's

80:51

like

80:52

>> I mean, yes, it is called full

80:53

self-driving.

80:54

>> Full self-driving supervised where you

80:56

kind of have to be looking in the d. You

80:57

have to be looking in the right

80:58

direction, but

80:59

>> Yeah. So, it's partial autonomy.

81:01

>> And here in Austin, it's full autonomy

81:04

cuz there's no steering wheel.

81:05

>> Yeah.

81:06

>> On the new car. Um, so you can't drive

81:07

it anyway. But it is, you know, the

81:09

Model Y is the undisputed highest

81:11

selling car, bestselling car in the

81:13

world across all brands. Well, I guess

81:16

my point here is like these predictions

81:19

where they say AI is going to completely

81:22

change transportation and driving. It's

81:24

going to completely change lawyers

81:25

aren't going to have jobs. Accountants

81:26

aren't going to have jobs. Um, do you

81:29

believe that they are true? Do you

81:30

believe that there's going to be mass

81:31

job displacement?

81:33

>> Okay, so I do think that there is going

81:35

to be huge impacts on employment and we

81:37

already seeing those impacts.

81:39

It is not simply because the AI models

81:42

are just automating those jobs away. It

81:44

is specifically

81:47

because the models are improving in

81:49

certain capabilities based on what the

81:51

companies that are developing them

81:52

choose to improve them on. And

81:56

executives at other companies are then

81:58

deciding to fire or lay off their

82:00

workers because they think that AI can

82:04

replace the worker irrespective of

82:06

whether that might be true. And there,

82:08

you know, there have been cases of like

82:09

the CLA CEO who laid off a bunch of

82:11

people thinking that he would replace

82:12

everyone with AI and then it didn't

82:13

actually work and he had to ask some

82:15

people to come back.

82:16

>> I actually DM'd him about this. If

82:18

you're hearing this, this is because

82:19

I've DM'd Sebastian and he's fine with

82:21

me sharing this.

82:22

>> He said, because I've heard his name

82:24

mentioned a lot and so when I when we

82:25

talked about AI in the past and people

82:27

mention Sebastian and Cler as the

82:29

example, I wanted to clarify with him

82:31

what the truth was.

82:32

>> He said, "It's great to hear from you.

82:33

Um, I think sometimes people struggle

82:35

with two things can be true at the same

82:37

time. I think it might be time to come

82:39

back on your podcast.

82:41

To your point, this is the media

82:42

misinterpreting my tweet. We are

82:44

doubling down on AI more than ever. Cler

82:46

is shrinking with almost 100 employees

82:48

per month due to AI. We used to be 7,400

82:52

at the peak. A year ago, 5,500. Now

82:56

we're 3,300.

82:58

And by the end of summer, so this was

83:00

last year, will be 3,000 people. AI

83:04

handles 70% of our customer service

83:06

conversations at this moment. This is

83:08

because we have realized that with AI,

83:10

the production cost of software comes

83:12

down to almost zero. Just like

83:13

manufacturing used to be all handcrafted

83:15

and then the machines came. Code used to

83:17

be all handcrafted up until a few years

83:19

ago. And now it is machine produced. And

83:23

ultimately we pay people more than ever

83:26

for the unique handcrafted man-made

83:29

stuff. China is a bank. People will want

83:31

to connect to humans not only machines.

83:33

They want us to be personable,

83:35

relatable, even flawed. So we need to

83:38

make sure while we are automating

83:40

replacing with AI in parallel, we make

83:42

sure we offer a super available human

83:46

experience. I'm really glad you read

83:48

this because I think it touches on some

83:50

really important nuances to

83:54

the AI. Yeah. Like the impact that AI is

83:56

going to have on employment. So I think

83:58

the there's often these binary

84:00

narratives. It's like AI is going to

84:02

come for every job.

84:04

>> Mhm.

84:04

>> Or people say AI is not actually working

84:07

and it's not actually coming for jobs.

84:09

And like the reality is it's coming for

84:11

jobs. There are definitely jobs that are

84:14

being automated away because of the

84:17

capabilities of their models. And

84:18

there's also jobs that are being lost

84:19

because executives are deciding to lay

84:21

off the workers even if the models don't

84:23

match the capabilities because it's good

84:25

enough. Like they would rather have the

84:26

good enough model for way cheaper

84:28

>> or they made a mistake with hiring. They

84:30

blowed their team and it's a great

84:31

convenient thing to say.

84:32

>> Exactly. Like there's there's there's

84:34

many reason but like clearly we're

84:35

already seeing impacts on the job

84:37

market. Like the um US jobs report that

84:40

came out earlier this year showed that

84:43

there has been a decline in hiring is a

84:47

slowdown in hiring across especially

84:49

white collar professional industries.

84:53

And you saw Anthropic's report the new

84:54

this week. The TLDDR is it matches kind

84:56

of what you were saying where they

84:57

Anthropic looked at exactly how people

85:00

were using their models and they looked

85:02

at like what people are saying.

85:04

>> Yeah.

85:04

>> And they said that there's been a 40%

85:06

reduction in entry- level jobs in

85:08

particular and then they made this graph

85:09

which has gone viral over the internet.

85:11

The red shows where we are now in terms

85:12

of capability and based on how people

85:15

are currently using the models they

85:17

prediction

85:17

>> extrapolated out that the blue part will

85:19

be the disrupted parts. This is the

85:21

things that they say AI can do right

85:23

now, but people don't realize it yet.

85:25

So, if you look at it, it's like it's

85:27

kind of all the stuff you would expect.

85:28

>> Yeah.

85:29

>> It's the physical real world human stuff

85:31

>> which robots maybe can do someday like

85:33

construction or agriculture that are

85:35

untouched, but like office and admin, um

85:38

like saying finance stuff, math,

85:40

>> and notice that these are all the things

85:42

that I just named that they purposely

85:44

>> finance, math, law,

85:46

>> media and arts. That's me cooked.

85:48

>> Yeah.

85:50

office and admin. I mean they do focus a

85:52

lot on like assistant type and

85:55

managerial work.

85:56

>> So but but the the other thing that the

85:59

CLO CEO said was

86:02

but people also want human experiences.

86:05

So it's not actually just about the

86:07

capabilities of the models. It's also

86:08

about what people want like some things

86:11

they would turn to AI for and some

86:14

things they wouldn't irrespective of

86:16

whether or not AI is capable of doing it

86:19

but because of a preference that they

86:22

want humanto human interaction

86:24

>> and so what we're seeing right now is

86:29

yeah the the thing that happens with

86:30

every wave of automation which is that

86:33

there is a bunch of entry-level work

86:34

that gets automated away and there There

86:38

are also new jobs created, but the jobs

86:40

that are created are one in one of two

86:42

categories. There are people that get

86:45

even higher skilled jobs and what he was

86:47

saying like we pay people more for like

86:49

the handcrafted code now

86:52

>> and there's also the people who get way

86:54

worse jobs and so there was this amazing

86:57

article in New York magazine that was

86:59

talking about how a lot of people are

87:02

getting laid off and then they end up

87:05

working in data annotation which is the

87:09

labor that I've been referring to

87:10

throughout this conversation that

87:11

companies need in order to teach their

87:14

models the next thing that the companies

87:16

are trying to automate. And so like a

87:18

marketer gets laid off and then they go

87:21

and work for a data annotation firm to

87:24

train the models on the very job that

87:27

they were just laid off in which will

87:29

then perpetuate

87:31

more layoffs if that model then develops

87:33

that skill. And the article was talking

87:37

about how this has become a huge

87:43

catchall for a lot of people that are

87:44

struggling with finding job

87:46

opportunities right now, including like

87:48

awardwinning directors in Hollywood that

87:51

are actually secretly doing this data

87:52

annotation work to put food on the

87:54

table. And so when they talk about

87:58

there's going to be mass unemployment

88:01

and then there's going to be some new

88:02

jobs created that we can't even imagine,

88:04

I think a lot of these narratives rarely

88:06

talk about like first of all, why are

88:09

some jobs going away? It's not just

88:10

because of the model capabilities, it's

88:11

also because of executive choices and

88:13

because of the rhetoric that they use if

88:15

they want to just downsize. Um, but the

88:18

other thing that is rarely talked about

88:20

is the jobs, a lot of the jobs that are

88:22

created are way worse than the jobs that

88:26

were there

88:27

>> and it breaks the career ladder. So,

88:29

it's the entry level and the mid tier

88:31

jobs that get gouged out. It's higher

88:34

order jobs and then way more lower order

88:37

jobs that get created. And so, how do

88:42

people continue to progress in their

88:44

careers? There's no more rungs on the

88:45

ladder.

88:46

>> I actually don't know the answer to this

88:47

question. And I've been furiously trying

88:48

to find a good answer to this question

88:50

because I can, you know, everything is

88:52

theory. And for my audience, I would say

88:55

most of my audience don't run

88:56

businesses. A lot of them do, a lot of

88:58

them aspire to, but they don't run

88:59

businesses. So, they're kind of, they're

89:00

also in the land of theory. They're

89:02

hearing lots of different things. Jack

89:03

Dorsey does his tweet saying he's

89:04

halfing his headcount because of AI.

89:06

They don't know what's true. They don't

89:07

know the sort of internal economics at

89:09

Jack's company and did he bloat the

89:11

company during the pandemic and he's

89:12

just using this as an excuse to make

89:13

this share price spike seven points

89:15

because his investors now think they're

89:16

an AI company or whatever.

89:18

>> Mh.

89:18

>> It's hard to pass through. So eventually

89:20

I go, okay, what am I doing?

89:22

>> I have hundred hundreds of team members,

89:24

probably 70 companies I invest in, maybe

89:26

five or six that I'm like the lead

89:27

shareholder in. What am I actually doing

89:29

on a day-to-day basis right now? I am

89:31

I'm also I also consider myself to be

89:32

head of recruitment

89:34

>> but in the last month in particular I

89:36

have met extremely capable candidates in

89:38

terms of cultural alignment hard work

89:40

those kinds of things but I've had to

89:42

take a great deal of pause because when

89:44

I run the experiment of can I get an AI

89:46

agent to do that exact same thing the

89:48

answer is increasingly yes

89:50

>> especially in a world of open clause

89:53

>> and so what I'm curious like

89:56

>> now you confront this decision where

89:58

you're seeing in this short-term period

90:01

you could just choose the AI agent

90:05

and in the long-term period

90:07

there is no career ladder. So, so who

90:11

are you promoting into these senior

90:13

roles? Like what how do you resolve it

90:15

for your own company?

90:16

>> Yeah, it's a good question. So, there's

90:17

kind of two ways I'm thinking about it.

90:18

I think really deep expertise is very

90:21

very valuable because if you're now the

90:22

orchestrator of potentially AI agents,

90:25

it's really about um having a deep

90:27

understanding of the right question to

90:28

ask and and that's someone who has deep

90:30

expertise on something. So I need my CFO

90:33

>> because if she's going to be

90:34

orchestrating our team of agents that

90:36

might be doing financial analysis or

90:37

whatever else, she needs to understand

90:40

what to tell them to do in our company.

90:43

>> Mhm.

90:43

>> And in turn financial analysts can't do

90:45

that. They need this the 50 odd years of

90:47

experience that you know CLA has. On the

90:50

other end, I need Cass. Cass is 25. Cass

90:53

knows everything about AI agents. He's a

90:56

young Japanese kid who's highly highly

90:58

curious. You know, on the weekend, he's

90:59

building AI agents to solve problems in

91:01

my life. I need those two kinds of

91:03

thinking, which is highly proficient

91:06

agent maxing young kids or they don't

91:07

necessarily need to be young, but like

91:09

really lean in high curiosity. That's

91:11

creating a force multiplier in my

91:12

business. And then I need deep

91:13

expertise. Now the everything else

91:16

outside of there is another one I've

91:18

thought of another group is like people

91:19

with extremely great IRL people skills

91:23

>> because we do meet people in real life.

91:26

We greet you when you arrive here. We

91:27

greet we when we go for lunch with big

91:29

clients that we have whether it's Apple

91:31

or LinkedIn or whoever it might be. We,

91:32

you know, we need to smoosh.

91:34

>> Mhm.

91:35

>> And we have teams who, you know, are in

91:37

person in the office. So, we we do a lot

91:39

of stuff IRL and increasingly we're

91:41

building communities even for this show.

91:42

We're doing community events all around

91:43

the world. So, we need people that are

91:44

good at that as well. IRL, bringing

91:47

people together in real life and

91:48

organizing stuff. Those are the three

91:49

groups of people that I'm like, you

91:51

know, irreplaceable right now. And if

91:54

you were to to all of the all the roles

91:58

that could be done by AI agents, if we

92:00

were to replace them with AI agents, do

92:01

you think you would still have these

92:02

three roles pools of people to hire and

92:06

promote into the three critical things

92:08

that you need in the long term?

92:10

>> If things carry on at the the current

92:12

rate of trajectory,

92:14

>> yeah,

92:14

>> one could assert that even those roles

92:16

would experience pressure. If you just

92:18

imagine like people think of things

92:20

either statically or linearly or

92:21

exponentially. Yeah,

92:22

>> you imagine an exponential rate of

92:24

improvement, which is kind of what I've

92:25

seen. Even like a 10% compounding rate

92:26

of improvement at some point,

92:32

>> at some point, at some point, I think

92:34

what remains is actually the IRL

92:37

irreplaceably human stuff, human to

92:39

human, our Maslovian needs of being in

92:41

person like we are now aren't going to

92:43

change. We need connection. Humans get

92:44

very sick when they don't have other

92:46

human beings in their life and strong,

92:48

deep relationships. 100% agree. So that

92:51

stuff is going to matter a whole lot. I

92:53

have this contrarian weird take that

92:54

actually maybe this is the first

92:56

technology that's going to deliver on

92:57

the promise of making us human and

92:59

connected because we're going to be

93:00

rendered useless of everything else

93:01

other than what humans are good at. Cuz

93:04

all the other technology said, "Oh,

93:05

we're going to make you more connected,

93:06

connecting the world." And they

93:08

disconnected the world and isolated the

93:09

world. But maybe this is the one. It's

93:10

so intelligent now that it doesn't need

93:12

us to around in spreadsheets

93:13

anymore.

93:13

>> Do you see

93:16

that actually happening in real time

93:18

right now that it's making us more

93:20

able to be in person, connected with one

93:23

another, having deeper social community

93:26

engagements.

93:28

>> Yes.

93:29

>> Yes.

93:29

>> And I'll give you some data points.

93:31

>> Okay.

93:31

>> Data point number one, the Financial

93:33

Times released a report on social media

93:35

usage. And what they saw is 2022 was the

93:39

peak and it's plateaued ever since. The

93:40

generation that's plateaued the fastest

93:42

and heading down is the younger

93:44

generations. The boomers are still off

93:46

to the races, right? So on Facebook and

93:48

stuff. And then you look at the way Gen

93:50

Alfa are using social media. They're not

93:52

posting as much. They call it uh posting

93:54

zero. They're scrolling sometimes, but

93:56

they're in dark social environments like

93:57

WhatsApp and Snapchat and iMessage.

93:59

They're not like performing to the

94:00

world. They also value IRL experiences

94:02

much more than any other generation.

94:04

They're like not getting smashed. We're

94:05

seeing every brand has a run club.

94:08

um I mean runs exploding around the

94:10

world and we're seeing this real sort of

94:13

sort of almost like innate realization

94:16

that like technology let us down at some

94:18

fundamental level like dating apps let

94:20

us down social networking kind of has

94:22

let us down and we're seeing I think

94:24

maybe a bifocation of society where a

94:26

lot of people are going this like I

94:27

want to go back to what it is to be a

94:29

human

94:29

>> and I I would imagine that in such a

94:31

world where intelligence is so

94:33

sophisticated that we no longer needed

94:34

to sit at laptops and like I think

94:37

screen time is going to continue to

94:38

fall. I think you go into an office,

94:39

you're not going to see people sat at

94:40

laptops. You're gonna see something

94:41

completely different. And I think maybe,

94:45

you know, and then we talk about robots

94:47

and Optimus robots. Elon says there'll

94:48

be 10 billion Optimus robots. Elon has

94:51

been wrong with timing before. He's

94:54

almost never been wrong on the big

94:56

things completely. He's just his timing

94:59

is got a bad track record. Um, so I

95:02

think he's he's probably right. You

95:03

know, I think I've I've got some people

95:05

on the way from Boston Dynamics and

95:06

these other big companies like Scale AI,

95:08

and they're actually bringing the robots

95:09

here to show it, like folding laundry,

95:11

doing the dishes. I'm not saying that's

95:12

what I would want in my home, but I

95:13

think factory work is going to

95:15

completely change. I think a lot of

95:16

manual labor is going to completely

95:17

change, and I think we're going to be

95:18

forced to do what only we can do. Um,

95:22

Sebastian, who's the CEO of Cler, has

95:24

actually just called me.

95:29

>> Hello, Sebastian. You're right.

95:30

>> Hey, how are you?

95:31

>> I'm good. How are you?

95:33

It's been a while.

95:34

>> It has been a while since you're on the

95:36

show. I was just saying we do need to

95:37

get you back on.

95:38

>> I I just I just had a couple of simple

95:40

questions cuz you know I do a lot of

95:41

interviews and um Clan has always

95:43

mentioned because I think the media has

95:45

said that you like double down on AI

95:46

then you reversed because it didn't work

95:48

out. So I know I spoke to you a while

95:50

ago and we exchanged a couple of DMs

95:51

about it but that was more than a it was

95:53

almost a year ago now.

95:54

>> So I just wanted to get an update on

95:56

Cler's business AI agents and all of

95:58

that if possible. First and foremost, we

96:00

were early on uh released um AI uh to

96:04

support our customer service which had

96:06

that uh initial uh benefit of uh more

96:10

calls being dealt with by AI which

96:12

customers liked because those calls or

96:13

chat messages were much much faster and

96:16

more qualitative. Then since then that

96:18

has actually expanded slightly. Um what

96:21

we did however try to communicate as

96:23

well is that we believed in a world of

96:25

where AI is cheap and available the

96:28

value of human interaction will be

96:31

regarded as higher. So the future of

96:33

customer service VIP is a human um we

96:37

have then hence doubled down on

96:38

providing more of that but at the same

96:41

time the efficiency gains within the

96:42

company has continued. I mean we used to

96:45

be about 6,000 people and and now we are

96:49

less than 3,000 which is 2 3 years since

96:52

we stopped recruiting and at same point

96:54

in time our revenue has doubled right so

96:57

you can clearly see that AI has allowed

96:59

us to be do more with less people but we

97:02

have avoided layoffs and instead relied

97:05

on natural attrition when people kind of

97:08

move on to other jobs. I mean from my

97:11

perspective we will continue to be very

97:14

you know not really recruit much. I mean

97:16

we recruit a little bit here and there

97:17

but we expect that kind of natural

97:19

attrition of 10 15% per year to continue

97:23

and to become fewer. I think the big

97:26

breakthrough was really in November

97:27

December last year where even the kind

97:30

of more most skeptical

97:33

uh engineers who were like very

97:35

well-renowned and and appreciated like

97:37

the founder of Linux and stuff like that

97:39

basically said that coding has now been

97:42

resolved and hence is not you know uh

97:45

you don't need to code anymore and that

97:46

was kind of a common sentiment. So I

97:48

think in in coding that's definitely an

97:51

engineering work that has been a

97:53

tremendous shift in the last six months.

97:55

>> What do all these people go do

97:57

Sebastian?

97:58

>> I am optimistic. I mean I think

98:00

obviously people will have a lot of

98:02

opinions about this topic but I still

98:05

believe that we are going to move

98:07

towards a richer society. Now in the

98:09

short term there could be more worry

98:12

about what happens if people don't get a

98:14

job and and so forth. But I think in the

98:16

longer term, I I am optimistic what it

98:19

means for society and humanity.

98:21

>> Thank you so much, Seb. I'll chat to you

98:23

soon. Thank you for taking the time. I

98:24

appreciate you, mate. Thanks.

98:25

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99:38

the things I've learned is that when you

99:40

aim at the big big big goal, it can feel

99:43

incredibly psychologically uncomfortable

99:46

because it's kind of like being stood at

99:47

the foot of Mount Everest and looking

99:49

upwards. The way to accomplish your

99:51

goals is by breaking them down into tiny

99:54

small steps. And we call this in our

99:56

team the 1%. And actually this

99:57

philosophy is highly responsible for

100:00

much of our success here. So, what we've

100:02

done so that you at home can accomplish

100:04

any big goal that you have is we've made

100:06

these 1% diaries and we released these

100:09

last year and they all sold out. So, I

100:12

asked my team over and over again to

100:13

bring the diaries back, but also to

100:14

introduce some new colors and to make

100:16

some minor tweaks to the diary. So, now

100:18

we have a better range for you. So, if

100:22

you have a big goal in mind and you need

100:24

a framework and a process and some

100:26

motivation, then I highly recommend you

100:28

get one of these diaries before they all

100:30

sell out once again. And you can get

100:32

yours at the diary.com.

100:34

And if you want the link, the link is in

100:36

the description below.

100:38

>> Any thoughts? Well, I actually had

100:40

thoughts on something that you said

100:42

before he called,

100:44

>> which is you were saying that the

100:46

Jenzers like there's this trend that

100:48

they're actually disconnecting from

100:49

technology. So, they're becoming more in

100:51

person. And then there's this other

100:53

class of workers that are actually

100:54

leaning into the technology, but then

100:56

becoming more human because they're

100:57

leaning into the technology

101:00

>> because they're realizing that they

101:01

should actually just be spending more

101:03

time doing inerson interactions rather

101:06

than staring at a spreadsheet. And so

101:08

they're no longer doing the typing,

101:09

whatever. I really want to go back to

101:10

this New York Magazine piece that just

101:12

came out

101:13

>> because what you're describing is true

101:16

for a very specific category of people,

101:18

which is often like the business owners

101:20

and leadership within companies that

101:22

actually can make these decisions on how

101:25

they spend their time and what they

101:27

ultimately do with their time. But what

101:30

the piece talks about is the working

101:34

class like people like people who are

101:36

not business owners that are then having

101:39

to experience being laid off and then

101:43

working for the data annotation industry

101:46

which is now one of the top jobs on

101:48

LinkedIn by the way. Um the yeah so

101:51

LinkedIn had a report that showed the

101:53

top 10 jobs with the highest growth in

101:56

the last year and data annotation is on

101:59

that list.

102:00

>> And for anyone that doesn't know what

102:01

data annotation is.

102:02

>> Yeah. So data annotation is the process

102:05

of teaching these chat bots or or any AI

102:09

system to do what they ultimately are

102:12

able to do. So the fact that chat GBT

102:14

can chat is because there were tens of

102:16

thousands or hundreds of thousands of

102:17

people that were literally typing into a

102:20

large language model and showing it.

102:23

This is how you're supposed to then

102:24

respond when a user types in a prompt

102:27

like this. Before they did that work,

102:31

chatgbt didn't exist. Like it just it

102:34

would just you would prompt the model

102:35

and the model would generate some text

102:37

that was not in dialogue with the

102:39

person. It would kind of generate

102:40

something that was adjacently related.

102:42

Is this what they call reinforcement

102:43

learning where you kind of you give it

102:44

like a

102:45

>> it's a part of the process of

102:46

reinforcement learning. So you do data

102:48

annotation which is literally um showing

102:51

lots of different

102:53

um you know examples of things that you

102:55

want the model to know and then

102:57

reinforcement learning is getting the

102:58

model to then train on those examples

103:00

iteratively in a way that then

103:02

>> gives the model some of those

103:04

capabilities. And what the New York

103:07

Magazine piece highlighted is many many

103:10

of the people that are getting laid off

103:12

now or or or are struggling to find

103:14

work. And these are highly educated

103:16

people. They're college graduates, PhD

103:19

graduates, law degree graduates,

103:21

doctors, um and again like award-winning

103:24

directors that are that are then

103:27

struggling to find employment in the

103:29

economy because the economy has been

103:31

very much restructured by AI. they are

103:33

then finding themselves being serving

103:36

this industry and the industry is

103:39

designed in a way that is extremely

103:41

inhumane because what the companies the

103:45

companies that use these data annotation

103:47

services like there's these third party

103:48

providers that are data annotation firms

103:52

an open AI a gro um a Google they will

103:55

hire these firms to then find the

103:58

workers to perform the data annotation

104:00

tasks that they need for these These

104:02

firms, these third party firms, they are

104:05

incentivized to pit workers against each

104:07

other because they want this data

104:10

annotation to happen at speed and as

104:12

cheaply as possible so that they can

104:14

also compete with one another in this

104:16

middle layer to get the the the bid the

104:19

the contract from the the client. And so

104:24

all of these workers that were

104:25

interviewed for this New York Magazine

104:27

story talk about how they actually no

104:29

longer have an ability to be human

104:32

because they are waiting at their laptop

104:35

to be pinged on Slack for when a project

104:38

is going to open up for data annotation

104:40

because they've tried job hunting. They

104:42

literally can't find anything else. This

104:44

is the thing that's going to help them

104:45

put food on the table for their kids.

104:46

And there was this one woman who said

104:49

like, "I have so much anxiety about when

104:52

the project is going to come, when it's

104:54

going to leave that when the project

104:56

came, it was right when my kid was

104:58

coming off of off of school." And I just

105:01

started tasking furiously because I

105:03

don't know what's going to go and I need

105:04

to earn as much money as possible in

105:05

this window of opportunity. So then my

105:07

when my kid came home and tried to talk

105:10

to me, I screamed at my child for for

105:13

distracting me. And then she was like,

105:16

"I've become a monster and I'm not even

105:19

allowed to go to the bathroom or take

105:22

care of my kids, let alone myself,

105:25

because this industry that is absorbing

105:28

more and more of the workers that are

105:30

being laid off, is mechanizing my life,

105:34

atomizing my work, devaluing my

105:38

expertise, and then harvesting it for

105:42

the perpetuation of this machine that

105:44

all of these AI executives are saying is

105:46

then going to come for everyone else's

105:48

jobs. And so what you were saying about

105:52

these this class of workers,

105:54

the business owners that get to become

105:57

more human because there are all of

105:59

these AI models now doing the tasks that

106:01

they don't have to do anymore. It is at

106:03

the cost of the vast majority of people

106:06

who are not business owners that are

106:09

struggling to find work getting absorbed

106:11

into the work of then providing these

106:15

technologies that the business owners

106:16

can use

106:18

>> and instead of becoming more human they

106:21

feel like their humanity has been

106:23

squeezed and diminished and they have no

106:27

ability to have control, agency and

106:30

dignity in their lives anymore. I think

106:32

this is a big I think this is a big

106:33

question that kind of pertains to this

106:34

graph here which is you know all of

106:37

these people if we believe anthropics

106:39

prediction of who will be disrupted

106:41

these people in these industries like

106:43

arts and media legal um life and social

106:47

sciences architecture and engineering

106:49

computer and maths business and finance

106:52

and management and also office and

106:54

admin. These people if we believe this

106:56

would have to retrain at something else

106:58

and unlike the industrial revolution

107:00

where you might get 10 20 years to

107:01

retrain because factories take a long

107:03

time to build. The distribution layer

107:05

that AI sits on top of is the open

107:06

internet. So this is why chat can go and

107:09

get hundreds of millions of users in no

107:11

time at all and become the fastest

107:12

growing company of all time. Um one of

107:15

my fears is that this disruption takes

107:17

place at a speed where we can't

107:20

transition.

107:21

And that was you know that I think you

107:23

you you said that sentence in the

107:25

passive voice the transition would

107:28

happen at a speed but who is driving

107:31

that speed?

107:32

>> Um

107:33

>> it's the companies

107:34

>> and their race with one another.

107:36

>> Yeah. And so they are driving the

107:38

transition to happen at a speed at which

107:42

it would be really hard to take care of

107:46

all of the people that would be

107:47

bulldozed over by

107:49

>> this is one of the crazy questions that

107:50

no one can answer for me when I sit with

107:52

these people that are AI CEOs. So I go,

107:54

"So what happens to the people if this

107:55

is if you agree that this is going to

107:56

happen at super speed?" You know, I

107:58

spoke to that CEO of Uber, Dar, who said

108:00

very similar things to what you're

108:01

saying is, you know, there'll be data

108:03

labeling jobs, for example, for the

108:04

drivers. But um they can't all become

108:07

data labelers. And there's a question

108:09

around meaning and purpose and

108:10

fulfillment. And that comes from losing

108:13

your meaning in life. I s also sit here

108:15

with so many people who talk about how

108:17

their father lost their job in Iran or

108:19

some some other country and came to the

108:22

United States and had to be a a toilet

108:24

cleaner on particular case was a doctor

108:26

in Iran but came to the US and was a

108:28

toilet cleaner and had to deal with the

108:30

sense of shame that that particular

108:31

person felt and the lack of dignity that

108:33

that caused and how that made that

108:35

person's self-esteem feel and the

108:36

depression alcoholism that transpired

108:38

from that. um if this happens at a large

108:40

scale across society, there's going to

108:43

be a ton of consequences like that.

108:45

>> I mean, this is this is like the core

108:47

themes of my work. And the reason why

108:49

I'm critical of these companies is that

108:50

they are creating technologies in a way

108:53

that creates the halves and have nots in

108:56

an extreme form that we have. It's it's

108:59

exacerbating the inequality that we

109:01

already see in the world. Like the

109:03

people who have things will have way

109:07

more riches. they'll have way more free

109:08

time. They'll be allowed to be more

109:10

human. But the people who don't have

109:12

things are even being squeezed even

109:16

more. And it's not just from a work

109:20

perspective. I mean, I talk in my book

109:23

also about the environmental and public

109:25

health crisis that these companies have

109:27

created where they are building these

109:31

colossal supercomput facilities. there

109:35

and and in in comm community like

109:37

communities all around the world and

109:39

they specifically pick some of the most

109:41

vulnerable communities. We're sitting in

109:42

Texas right now. Open AAI's largest one

109:46

of its largest data center projects is

109:48

being built in Abalene, Texas as part of

109:50

the Stargate initiative which was an

109:52

effort announced at the beginning of

109:54

Trump's second administration to spend

109:56

$500 billion on AI computing

109:58

infrastructure.

110:00

This facility

110:02

consumes will when it's finished will

110:05

consume more than a gigawatt of power

110:07

which is over 20%

110:11

over 20%. So this is actually a little

110:13

bit inaccurate now. Um this was

110:15

something that circulated online for a

110:17

while but there's updated numbers

110:18

>> just for someone that can't see cuz

110:20

they're listening on Spotify or

110:21

something. It's a picture of the size of

110:23

this facility.

110:25

>> So this is not the Abene Texas one. This

110:28

is a meta facility. Yeah. So, let's

110:29

first talk about opening eyes facility

110:31

in Texas. That one would be the size of

110:34

Central Park and it would run a million

110:37

computer chips and it would require the

110:41

power of more than 20% of New York City.

110:45

>> Do you know one of the things which I

110:47

found confusing, so I'd like to like

110:48

alleviate the dissonance is I thought

110:50

you were saying earlier that you didn't

110:51

think the job disruption promises were

110:53

real.

110:55

No, what I was saying is that when we

110:59

talk about what these executives predict

111:03

about the future, we need to understand

111:05

that they are ultimately trying to

111:08

influence the public in a way that

111:10

allows them to continue maintaining

111:11

control over the technology.

111:13

>> But objectively, do you think that the

111:14

job disruption that they talk about

111:16

where

111:16

>> Yeah. Yeah. I mean I I mentioned

111:18

>> real

111:18

>> well I

111:20

>> I don't want to comment specifically on

111:21

like this chart but it's like we've

111:23

already seen in job reports that there

111:25

is a restructuring of the economy

111:27

happening right now. Yeah.

111:28

>> But but going back to like the data

111:30

center. So this supercomputer facility

111:32

it's a meta supercomputer facility

111:34

>> is being built in Louisiana

111:37

>> and it would be four times the size of

111:39

the Abene Texas one and use half of the

111:43

average power demand of New York City.

111:44

So it's one the size of Manhattan. This

111:46

makes it seem like almost all of

111:48

Manhattan, but it's it would be 1/5 the

111:49

size of Manhattan. When these facilities

111:52

go into these communities, what happens?

111:55

Power utility increases, grid

111:57

reliability decreases. The facilities

112:01

also need fresh water to generate the

112:04

power for powering them as well as fresh

112:06

water to cool. And there have been lots

112:08

of documented stories of communities

112:10

that are already really constrained in

112:12

their freshwater resource. they're under

112:13

a drought when a facility comes in and

112:15

then there are people the community is

112:17

actually like competing with this

112:19

facility for fresh water. I talk about

112:20

one of those communities in my book and

112:22

also sometimes these facilities instead

112:25

of connecting to the grid they instead a

112:29

a power plant pops up next to it. So in

112:31

Memphis Tennessee where Musk built

112:34

Colossus the supercomputer for training

112:36

Grock he used 35 methane gas turbines to

112:41

power the facility. This is a

112:42

working-class community, a black and

112:44

brown community, a rural community that

112:47

was not even told that they would be the

112:49

hosts of this facility. And they

112:52

discovered it because they literally

112:54

smelled what seemed like a gas leak in

112:58

all of their living rooms. And that's

112:59

when they discovered that these methane

113:02

gas turbines were taking away their

113:05

right to clean air. And this is a

113:08

community that's already been facing a

113:10

history of environmental racism. They

113:12

had already had lots of struggles to

113:15

access their right to clean air. And now

113:18

there's this huge supercomput that's

113:21

landed in their midst that is pumping

113:24

thousands of tons of toxins into their

113:27

air, exacerbating the asthmatic symptoms

113:30

of the children, exacerbating the

113:32

respiratory illnesses of other people.

113:35

that it's it's one of the communities

113:36

that has the highest rates of um lung

113:40

cancer

113:41

and so

113:42

>> and that supercomputers taking their

113:44

jobs

113:45

>> and then they also have supercomputers

113:46

taking their jobs. So, so this is what I

113:48

mean is like the halves and have nots

113:51

are fundamentally

113:53

being pulled apart even further. Like if

113:56

you in this version of Silicon Valley's

113:59

future are in the misfortunate category

114:03

of being a have not, we are talking

114:06

about you now getting a job that is way

114:09

worse than what you had because you

114:11

might be doing data annotation

114:13

>> and you might be treated as a machine

114:16

rather than as a human to extract value

114:18

the value of your labor for perpetuating

114:20

this labor automating machine that these

114:23

people are building. You might be

114:26

competing with these facilities for

114:28

freshwater resources. They're also

114:30

polluting your air. Your bills have

114:32

increased. So, the affordability crisis

114:34

is getting worse.

114:37

Like, how is that making people able to

114:40

be more human?

114:41

>> What do we do about it?

114:43

>> Yes.

114:45

>> Okay. So, one of the analogies that I

114:47

always use is AI is like the word

114:50

transportation. Transportation can

114:52

literally refer to everything from a

114:53

bicycle to a rocket. And we have nuanced

114:57

conversations about transportation where

114:59

we always say we need to transition our

115:01

transportation towards more uh

115:05

sustainable options. We need a

115:06

transition towards you know public

115:08

transport, electric vehicles. And we

115:11

don't we don't ever say everyone should

115:13

get a rocket to do every to serve all of

115:16

their transportation needs, right? Like

115:18

we're in Austin. If you use a rocket to

115:20

fly from Dallas to Austin, like that

115:22

would just make not no sense. It's just

115:24

a disproportionate use of resources to

115:26

get the benefit

115:28

of getting from point A to point B. This

115:31

how we should think about AI. So all of

115:33

the models that we've been talking

115:35

about, I like to think of them as the

115:37

rockets of AI. They use an extraordinary

115:40

amount of resources and they provide

115:41

benefit some dramatic benefit to some

115:44

people but they're also exacting an

115:47

extraordinary cost on a large swath of

115:49

people because of the like the costs of

115:53

developing this technology.

115:57

Why don't we build more bicycles of AI?

116:00

This is things like deep minds alpha

116:02

fold which is a system that predicts how

116:06

proteins will fold based on amino acid

116:08

sequences. It's really important for

116:10

accelerating drug discovery for

116:14

understanding human disease and it won

116:15

the Nobel Prize in chemistry in 2024.

116:18

And the reason why it's a bicycle of AI

116:20

is because you're using small curated

116:23

data sets. you're just you just have

116:26

data that has amino acid sequences and

116:29

protein folding. So that means you need

116:32

significantly less computational

116:35

resources to develop the system, which

116:36

means significantly less energy, which

116:38

means less emissions, so on and so

116:39

forth. And you're providing enormous

116:42

benefit to people.

116:43

>> It feels like the

116:46

horse has left the stable in this regard

116:48

because they've already taken people's

116:50

IP, they've taken media, they they train

116:52

on this podcast. We know they do because

116:54

it it shows that they do. Um I think

116:56

there's a button actually in the back

116:57

end of YouTube now that allows you just

116:58

to click it and it says we will train on

117:00

your YouTube channel. Um so the horses

117:04

kind of left.

117:04

>> Here's the thing. If the horse truly had

117:06

left the stables, they wouldn't have to

117:08

train on anything anymore. Why is it

117:10

that their appetite for data has

117:12

actually expanded? It's because in order

117:15

to build the next generations of their

117:17

technologies, in order to have the

117:18

technologies continue to be relevant and

117:21

continue to update with the pace of new

117:25

knowledge creation and society's

117:27

evolvement, they need to train again and

117:30

again and again and again. And why are

117:33

they employing actually more and more

117:35

and more data annotation workers over

117:36

time? It's because they need more and

117:39

more of that work over time. I mean,

117:41

I've been reporting on data annotation

117:44

work for over 7 years now, and it's not

117:47

gone down. It's gone it's increased.

117:50

>> Do you think there's any chance of it

117:52

going down? Do you think there's any

117:54

chance of this sort of brute force

117:55

scaling approach where you take data,

117:57

you take computational power, energy,

118:00

and you, you know, you have um the data

118:04

labelers and, you know, building out

118:05

more and more parameters for the models.

118:07

Do you think there's any chance it's

118:09

going to stop or go in a different

118:10

direction other than the one it's going

118:11

in now?

118:12

>> I would love to reframe the question and

118:14

say what should we be doing in this

118:16

moment where it's not going down where

118:19

we do recognize that actually these

118:21

companies in this moment need continued

118:24

resources, inputs and labor to

118:26

perpetuate what they are doing.

118:28

>> Yeah. because this sounds like stop

118:30

>> and I just feel like stop is like a HUD.

118:33

It feels like I just think you know with

118:35

the government in place they're

118:36

supporting these companies like crazy.

118:37

Globally this is happening. So I'm like

118:40

stop doesn't feel

118:41

>> I always say we need to break up the

118:43

empire and we need to develop

118:44

alternatives and we are already seeing a

118:47

flourishing of incredible grassroots

118:50

movements that are applying an enormous

118:52

amount of pressure to the way that the

118:54

empire is trying to unfold its agenda.

118:58

80% of Americans in the most recent poll

119:00

think that the AI industry need to be

119:02

regulated.

119:03

>> Yeah.

119:04

>> When was the last time that 80% of

119:05

Americans were on the same side of an

119:07

issue?

119:07

>> No. Yeah. When I have these

119:08

conversations on the podcast, the

119:09

comment section are clear.

119:10

>> Yeah.

119:11

>> There's no there's no disagreement.

119:12

There's no one in there going, "Oh, no.

119:13

I think they should crack on."

119:14

>> Yeah. Dozens dozens of protests against

119:17

data centers have broken out all around

119:19

this country and the US, all around the

119:21

world.

119:22

>> So, what do we do about it?

119:23

>> So, these are thing people that are

119:25

doing something about it. They are

119:27

actually reasserting their agency and

119:30

exercising democratic contestation

119:33

against the ways that the empires are

119:35

going about their business.

119:36

>> What goal should we be aiming at? So, if

119:38

I said to my audience, Janet at home,

119:40

because this is kind of what I see in

119:41

the comments, it's hopelessness. It's

119:42

like, what can I do? I'm just a

119:44

>> Yeah. Well, well, well, the goal is not

119:47

that we completely get rid of this

119:49

technology. The goal is that these

119:50

companies need to stop being empires.

119:52

And the way I define like a typical

119:53

business versus an empire is that the

119:55

empires are predicated on this idea that

119:58

they do not have to provide a fair

120:00

exchange of value with the workers who

120:02

work for them or the people who use them

120:04

or all of the other people that are

120:05

involved in like the supply chain of

120:07

producing and deploying these

120:08

technologies. They can extract and

120:10

exploit and extract and exploit and get

120:12

more value than what they offer. Whereas

120:15

typical businesses, there's a fair

120:16

exchange. you you buy a service, you

120:19

feel like you got the same amount of

120:20

value as the service that you provided.

120:22

But like for these data annotation

120:23

workers, for example, they do not feel

120:25

in any way that they're being paid the

120:27

same value that they provide to these

120:28

companies. So that's like for me the

120:30

north star is like we should be pushing

120:33

back and holding accountable these

120:36

companies when they operate in an

120:38

imperial way. And that's what we've seen

120:41

with all of these people that are now

120:43

literally protesting in the streets

120:44

against data centers and having an

120:46

enormous effect, by the way, actually

120:48

stalling data center projects and also

120:51

completely banning data centers from

120:53

being developed in their localities.

120:54

We're seeing that with artisan writers

120:56

that are suing these companies for

120:59

intellectual property infringement and

121:00

creating a huge public conversation

121:02

about what is it that we actually how do

121:05

we actually want to protect our

121:06

intellectual property? It's like I three

121:09

weeks ago I met Megan Garcia who is the

121:12

mother of Sul Settzer III who is the

121:16

14-year-old who died by suicide after

121:19

being sexually groomed by a

121:21

characterized chatbot.

121:23

And she when that happened

121:27

I mean obviously was incredibly

121:30

devastated by what had happened to her

121:32

son. She also decided to do something

121:35

about it. She sued the companies and

121:37

that lawsuit then sparked many other

121:39

parents and families who were actually

121:41

experiencing similar things to sue these

121:44

companies as well. That has created an

121:46

enormous public conversation about what

121:50

these companies are actually doing when

121:52

they exploit and they extract. What is

121:55

the cost to the lives of people around

121:58

the world including children? So, what

122:01

do you think my audience should do if

122:02

they if they agree with everything

122:03

written in your book, Age Empire of AI,

122:06

Dreams and Nightmares, and Sam Mortman's

122:08

Open AI? If they agree with everything

122:10

said here, if they agree with everything

122:11

we've discussed today, they're concerned

122:13

about their kids, they they don't want

122:15

everyone to become data labelers, they

122:17

don't think that's a, you know,

122:18

particularly great solution, what what

122:20

can they actually go and do?

122:22

>> When I was writing the book, the only

122:24

discourse that was happening was this is

122:26

the best thing since sliced bread.

122:27

>> Mhm. because of all of the actions of

122:30

these people like saying when they're

122:32

comp they're they're not happy with the

122:35

things that these companies are doing.

122:37

We now have 80% of Americans that want

122:39

to regulate this industry. And so I

122:40

would say to people, think about all of

122:43

the ways that your life intersects with

122:46

the resources and the that the AI

122:49

industry needs to perpetuate what they

122:50

do and also the spaces that they would

122:53

need to deploy these technologies to

122:55

continue having broad-based adoption

122:58

>> in their work. So you're a data donor to

123:02

these companies. You could withhold that

123:05

data. And that's what those artists and

123:07

writers are are doing. like they're

123:08

suing these companies to withhold to try

123:10

and create mechanisms by which that data

123:12

would then be withheld. You probably

123:15

have a data center popping up around

123:16

you. If you're at a school environment

123:19

or a company environment, you're

123:21

probably having a discussion in those

123:23

environments right now about what should

123:25

the AI adoption policy be? And these

123:27

companies they like I was talking with

123:30

some open air employees just the other

123:32

day and they were telling me that it's

123:35

understood internally that the revenue

123:38

targets for the company are

123:41

extraordinary and they need things to go

123:44

flawlessly for it to all work out. And

123:48

so they would need every single person

123:51

to adopt this, every single space to

123:53

adopt this. They would need to be able

123:55

to build their data centers at the speed

123:57

that they're trying to build them. And

123:59

so what I would say to everyone of your

124:01

viewers is let's not make it go

124:03

flawlessly if we don't agree with what

124:05

they are doing.

124:06

>> Ah, okay. I got you.

124:08

>> And then let's build alternatives.

124:09

Because

124:11

the thing is what I'm saying is not that

124:14

these technologies don't have utility.

124:16

It's that specifically the political

124:18

economy that has emerged to support the

124:20

production of these technologies right

124:22

now

124:23

>> is exacting a lot of harm on people. But

124:25

we have research that shows that the

124:28

very same capabilities could be

124:31

developed with much more efficient

124:33

methods with much less resource

124:35

consumption. And we have a lot of

124:38

different other AI systems at our

124:40

disposal that are like the bicycles of

124:41

AI that we also know provide

124:44

extraordinary benefit at very little

124:46

cost. So let's break up the empire and

124:48

let's forge new paths of AI development

124:50

that are broadly beneficial to everyone.

124:53

>> It's strange. I'm quite I think I'm I'm

124:56

I've trained myself to deal with

124:58

dichotoies in my head. And this for me

125:00

is such is a dichotomy where I as a CEO

125:04

and as a founder, as an entrepreneur and

125:05

someone that loves technology, I think

125:07

it's incredible. It's absolutely

125:08

incredible AI. It's just so amazing and

125:11

incredible the things it's enabled me to

125:12

do and create.

125:13

>> Yeah. Because it's designed to enable

125:15

people like you.

125:16

>> And my car driving in the morning and

125:19

being safer. Incredible. Um I think you

125:23

know the billion odd people that use AI

125:25

tools or chat or whatever it might be,

125:26

they'd probably say that it's added

125:28

value to their life. But and this is the

125:30

part that people find confusing that you

125:32

can and I like I invest in companies

125:33

that are you know heavily using AI but

125:36

and the big butt is is it possible to

125:37

think that is true and also think that

125:40

there are significant unintended

125:42

consequences which technology in the

125:44

history of technology should have taught

125:45

us to take a moment to pause to talk

125:47

about because

125:48

>> I think this is absolutely like you can

125:52

have both of these things in your head

125:53

and what I'm saying is that this tension

125:55

doesn't have to be a tension because we

125:58

could actually preserve the utility and

126:01

benefits of these technologies but

126:03

actually develop and design them in a

126:05

different way that doesn't have all of

126:07

these unintended consequences.

126:09

>> Yes. And I think there needs to be a big

126:10

social conversation which is why I have

126:12

so many conversations about AI in the

126:13

show like there needs to be a big social

126:14

conse uh conversation about being

126:17

intentional about the social impact um

126:20

the social and environmental impact and

126:22

that conversation is not being had in

126:23

the in government. From what I can see,

126:26

the conversation takes place in the

126:28

industry and actually trying to pull it

126:30

out of the industry and and open

126:31

people's minds to it is hopefully what

126:33

we've been doing over the last couple of

126:34

months with this subject because

126:35

>> I think it's actually been it it has

126:38

been been happening everywhere outside

126:40

of the industry and for local

126:42

governments and state level governments

126:44

there have been huge conversations about

126:46

this everywhere. Like I've been on book

126:48

tour, I've been to dozens of cities

126:49

around the world. People are having

126:53

these crucial conversations everywhere.

126:56

I have not gone to a single city.

126:57

>> Yes. Everywhere. Even here in South by.

126:59

>> Yeah. I haven't gone to a single city

127:00

where the room is not packed and people

127:03

are not wrestling with the same exact

127:04

questions as every other person in every

127:06

other room that I've been in.

127:08

>> Speaking of packed rooms, I know you've

127:09

got to go cuz you've got you've got to

127:11

talk today. So, I'm going to we've got a

127:13

last question which is the closing

127:14

tradition on this podcast. How would

127:15

your advice to a friend with a terminal

127:17

diagnosis differ from what you would do

127:21

yourself?

127:22

>> That's a great question.

127:24

>> Differ from what you would do yourself?

127:25

>> Oh my god. I have

127:28

I I would tell them like enjoy

127:31

like live life for yourself. Um you

127:33

wouldn't do it

127:34

>> and take it easy. And yeah, I I I

127:38

am not taking it easy.

127:39

>> Well, I think it's a good thing you're

127:40

not taking it easy because you're

127:41

leading a conversation which is

127:42

incredibly important. And I think that's

127:44

the thing. I think the conversation is

127:46

the important thing. And so, you know,

127:49

because of algorithms and echo chambers,

127:50

it's so rare to have a conversation

127:52

>> these days, especially a long form one.

127:54

I agree.

127:55

>> Like this. So, I think they're so

127:56

important. And your book is for anyone

127:58

that's curious about

127:59

>> I think a lot of people would have

128:01

learned a lot of stuff today cuz I sit

128:03

here with and interview AI people all

128:04

the time and I've learned so much today.

128:06

From reading your book and the extensive

128:08

objective perspective that your book

128:10

takes, you you're able to unravel all of

128:12

these stories that we sometimes see in

128:14

tweets and we don't know if they're true

128:15

or not because you've gone and met the

128:16

people and you've done your research and

128:18

you're incredibly intelligent person,

128:20

extremely intelligent person who clearly

128:23

has humanity's interests as your north

128:26

star and that shows up in everything you

128:28

do and everything you say. So please

128:29

continue to fight in the way that you

128:30

are um because it's an incredibly

128:32

important one. people like you that are,

128:35

I think,

128:36

galvanizing the world to take the

128:39

collective action that we're starting to

128:40

see everywhere.

128:42

>> Yeah.

128:42

>> Empire of AI: Dreams and Nightmares in

128:44

Sam Alman's Open AI by Karen How. I'll

128:47

link it below for anyone that wants to

128:49

read this book. I highly recommend you

128:50

do. It's a New York Times bestseller for

128:51

good reason. Karen, thank you.

128:53

>> Thank you so much, Stephen.

128:54

>> YouTube have this new crazy algorithm

128:56

where they know exactly what video you

128:58

would like to watch next based on AI and

129:01

all of your viewing behavior. And the

129:02

algorithm says that this video is the

129:06

perfect video for you. It's different

129:07

for everybody looking right now.

Interactive Summary

The discussion delves into the pervasive influence and ethical concerns surrounding AI, particularly focusing on OpenAI and Sam Altman. The speaker, Karen, highlights how the pursuit of AI development is driven by profit and power, often at the expense of human well-being and public benefit. Key issues raised include the exploitation of labor, monopolization of knowledge, environmental impact, and the suppression of inconvenient research. The conversation also touches upon the historical context of AI, the ambiguity of terms like AGI, and the manipulative tactics used by companies to shape public perception and influence regulation. The role of key figures like Sam Altman, Elon Musk, and OpenAI co-founders is explored, revealing internal conflicts and power struggles. The speaker contrasts the "imperial agenda" of AI companies with the potential for beneficial AI applications, advocating for a more democratic and human-centric approach to AI development. The impact of AI on employment, the creation of new, often worse, jobs, and the widening inequality are discussed, alongside the environmental consequences of massive data center infrastructure. The conversation concludes with a call to action, urging listeners to challenge the current trajectory of AI development and advocate for alternatives that prioritize broad societal benefit over corporate profit.

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