HomeVideos

Scott Galloway Says Iran War is “The Definition of a Quagmire” | Pivot

Now Playing

Scott Galloway Says Iran War is “The Definition of a Quagmire” | Pivot

Transcript

2059 segments

0:00

This is kind of the definition of a

0:01

quagmire and that is I'm not sure at

0:04

this point he has any choice but to put

0:06

boots on the ground. I would argue at

0:08

this point Cara Iran is winning.

0:16

>> Hi everyone. This is Pivot from New York

0:18

Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast

0:20

Network. I'm Carara Swisser

0:21

>> and I'm Scott Callaway.

0:23

>> Scott, I have officially left your

0:25

apartment in New York State.

0:26

>> Oh, you moved into your new place? Yes,

0:28

I bought a small apartment in Brooklyn

0:30

in

0:31

>> Parkrooklyn where all the kid core kids

0:33

are.

0:33

>> I have to say I enjoyed it. We went this

0:35

weekend went to IKEA for 17 hours which

0:38

was fun. Actually bought a range of

0:40

inexpensive furniture and it's very

0:43

lovely actually. We we we it's very

0:45

nice. I miss you but I have to move on

0:49

from our relation our housing

0:50

relationship.

0:51

>> So do you know how many times I've been

0:52

to Brooklyn in 25 years?

0:54

>> How many?

0:55

>> Twice. both times to be to go to the so

0:57

house there. There's no reason to ever

0:58

live the island unless you're going to

1:00

JFK or LaGuardia.

1:01

>> It's nice. We're very well known in Park

1:03

Slope. I can tell you that. I got to

1:04

stop.

1:04

>> I don't doubt it. Royalty in Brooklyn.

1:07

Jesus Christ. I can't even imagine.

1:09

>> Hi, Cara. Welcome to Brooklyn.

1:11

>> I know. That's exactly what happened. It

1:13

was two other things. Let me just say

1:15

two other phenomena. So, I have all

1:17

these books that I get for my podcast

1:19

and probably you do too, right? I I I

1:21

cannot get rid of them here. I put them

1:23

out on the stoop in Brooklyn. they were

1:24

gone. Like I have to say I get all these

1:27

free books and they're good books and

1:29

they're all interesting, but I have to I

1:30

like the whole culture of people walking

1:33

by and taking things and giving away

1:35

things. It's really nice. So yeah, there

1:37

you have it. We are now officially semi

1:40

not we don't live there, but it's nice

1:42

and anyone can stay. All you listeners

1:44

can stay at my Brooklyn place. No, you

1:46

can stay. I extend an invitation to you,

1:48

Scott Galloway.

1:50

>> Happen. Um so gonna happen because it

1:52

has a key of furniture. That's why

1:54

>> uh you went to IKEA.

1:55

>> Yeah, I love IKEA.

1:56

>> Um don't uh why why do you like IKEA?

2:00

>> Uh cuz it's cuz actually it's f it's

2:02

it's perfectly nice stuff. If you get

2:04

the the more the slightly more expensive

2:06

stuff there, it's fine. And it's it I

2:08

don't want I don't want to buy more. I

2:10

have really nice furniture in where I

2:12

live and I just don't need more

2:14

furniture.

2:15

>> The when I was there, the IKEA sales

2:17

lady wanted to have sex with me, but all

2:19

I wanted was a was one night stand.

2:22

get it.

2:23

>> I don't believe you have an IKEA joke at

2:24

the ready.

2:25

>> I don't think I've ever been to an IKEA.

2:27

It's a phenomena. It's um

2:29

>> I still was making a furniture all night

2:32

long.

2:33

>> I don't know. IKEA for me is is like uh

2:37

a porn video and that is I'll never be

2:39

able to do the same thing at home. It

2:41

just it looks different at IKEA than in

2:43

my own home when I try it.

2:45

>> Yeah. Well, I'm a lesbian so I can

2:46

assemble things. Well, I'm very good

2:48

with that.

2:49

>> You're

2:50

>> Are you building a wood canoe in your

2:52

living room?

2:52

>> I did. I have to build this bed. I gave

2:54

up on it.

2:54

>> Woodwork.

2:55

>> Yeah. The other thing I did, and I want

2:56

to recommend I went to my friend Sean

2:58

Hayes's show called The Unknown. And

3:00

it's a little bit about internet. It's a

3:03

little bit about It's really good. It's

3:05

a one-man show. Uh it's a M I think it's

3:07

by David Kale, I think, is the

3:09

playright. What a wonderful show. I have

3:11

to We had a really nice time on this

3:12

Broadway.

3:13

>> It's off Broadway. He started off

3:15

Broadway. I recommend it. The unknown.

3:16

My Mexican friend

3:18

>> builds all my IKEA furniture. I call him

3:20

my instruction I call him my instruction

3:22

Manuel.

3:24

>> Oh my god. Just go. Okay. All right.

3:28

Anyway,

3:29

>> at least upgrade to At least upgrade to

3:31

West Elm.

3:32

>> I have Westm stuff. I have I have uh the

3:35

other one.

3:36

>> Position the brand of West Elm. It's one

3:37

of my first clients.

3:38

>> I like Westm actually. They make I have

3:40

several I have some I have a West Elm

3:41

bed here and I love it. I have

3:43

>> You know what the strategy was? Well,

3:44

I'm patting myself in the back. I my

3:46

first strategy engagement.

3:48

>> Oh yeah.

3:48

>> Uh out of business school was helping

3:50

position the Old Navy brand.

3:52

>> And it was pretty easy. 80% of the gap

3:54

for 50% of the price. And so my big

3:55

insight at William Sonoma 5 years later

3:57

was

3:58

>> West Elm 80% of Pottery Barn for 50% of

4:02

the price.

4:02

>> Oh, interesting. It's nicer than Pottery

4:04

Barn. I think Pottery Barn sort of lost

4:06

the

4:06

>> West Elm is the fastest zero to a

4:08

billion dollar brands in history have

4:10

been that axiom. 80% of the 80% of the

4:13

kind of industry leader for 50% of the

4:15

price whether it's Southwest or Old Navy

4:18

or West Elm.

4:19

>> It's West's a little nicer. And then

4:20

there's the one room and board which is

4:22

nice. I get a lot

4:23

>> No, they do a great job.

4:23

>> They do be I get a lot of their stuff.

4:25

>> Not nearly as successful financially

4:27

though.

4:27

>> Yeah. And then what's the one that has

4:29

uh the big air couch? The big uh

4:32

>> Well, Restoration Hardware.

4:33

>> Restoration Hardware. I have a that's

4:35

that has that has all of my stuff in San

4:37

Francisco. I got Restoration. Well,

4:39

Gary, I I would I used to be very into

4:41

merchandising because I was in that

4:42

business. The greatest, in my opinion,

4:43

the greatest merchant of the last 20

4:44

years is is uh Gary Freriedman, the CEO

4:47

of Restoration Hardware.

4:48

>> Yeah, he had seen Cloud Couch. It's a

4:50

cloud couch.

4:51

>> Uh he and I he and I are friends. He he

4:53

gave me a tour of their space in um

4:56

>> in the meat packing district. They It

4:58

was really interesting in the

4:59

restaurant, which I think does more

5:00

dollars per square foot than the store

5:02

combined, but they don't serve alcohol

5:04

cuz he said he wanted a safe place for

5:06

women to come and just hang out. And

5:08

then when when people drink alcohol,

5:09

they get rowdy and obnoxious, which I

5:11

thought was interesting. They have a

5:12

beautiful alcohol

5:13

>> in Manhattan, like go to lunch there.

5:15

It's nice. Anyway, I have different

5:17

levels of furniture depending on the

5:18

house. San Francisco is all restoration

5:20

hardware. Yeah. Anyway, all right. We'll

5:22

move on because we got to get to the We

5:24

love furniture

5:26

day. No, no. I go I went to IKEA. I I

5:29

assembled furniture this weekend.

5:30

Anyway, before we get to the news, uh

5:33

this weekend around 8 million One thing

5:35

I didn't do, I didn't go to a No Kings

5:37

rally over because I was assembling a

5:38

key of furniture. Over 3,300 events

5:41

around the world. I went to the last

5:43

one, I think, over 200,000 people

5:45

attended the flagship rally in

5:46

Minnesota. Incredible crowds. Some signs

5:49

uh stand out, including you can't bomb

5:51

away bomb your way out of the Epstein

5:53

files. My country went to hell and all I

5:54

got was this lousy ballroom. and balls

5:57

for grabs with a sign that said free

5:58

balls for Republicans.

6:02

They were I love the signs. I you know

6:04

it was really a lot of people. Eight

6:05

million people. That's a lot of people.

6:07

>> I'm in London. Although they did have a

6:08

protest here which I did which I didn't

6:10

go to but

6:11

>> I don't know. I did what all lazy people

6:13

do to virtue signal. I reposted Yeah.

6:15

>> I reposted other people sacrificing.

6:17

>> No, it was they looked wonderful and

6:19

festive. I thought Bruce Spring I

6:20

thought they were also did the messaging

6:22

was excellent. I thought it was

6:23

affordability. It's about no kids. It

6:27

was everybody has all the progressives

6:29

have modulated in a way that I think is

6:31

very attractive. Very they're moving

6:33

into the James Terico version of

6:36

Democrats, right? The hey, what are we

6:38

going to hear to help you affordability?

6:40

We want a thing. And the one thing I

6:43

really like, there was a picture, a

6:44

beautiful picture of Joan Bayz and um

6:47

>> uh Jane Fonda that was with gray hair

6:50

together was gorgeous. I thought that

6:52

was I just thought it was visually very

6:54

attractive. I think there is a real

6:56

movement of people of all these

6:57

elections happening and people are so

7:00

sick of feeling bad and feeling like

7:03

everything's a grift. It just feels it

7:05

there was definitely a tide. I don't

7:08

know if these protests help, but I like

7:09

them. I think they're

7:10

>> supposedly Well, first off, it just

7:12

feels and I say this all the time, but

7:14

my buddy Dan Harris action absorbs

7:16

anxiety. It feels really good to do

7:19

things with other people. And Timothy

7:21

Snder says that protests start to build

7:23

an infrastructure for organization and

7:26

taking names and people get invested in

7:27

it. So they want to turn out again and

7:29

they want to register people to vote.

7:31

Also supposedly the supposedly there's a

7:34

tipping point where if you get 3 and a

7:35

half% of the population to demonstrate

7:37

that usually conotes change. So this

7:39

wasn't that cuz that would be I think

7:40

about 11 or 12 million people. Just some

7:42

data here. The October pro protest drew

7:46

roughly 7 million and uh Saturday's

7:49

turnout was nine million. So it's

7:51

building. And what's interesting or the

7:52

most piece of data I thought is that

7:54

twothirds of the RSVPs came from outside

7:57

major urban centers including

7:59

>> including conservativeleaning states

8:02

such as Idaho, Wyoming, Montana, Utah,

8:04

South Dakota, Louisiana.

8:05

>> Yeah. Those protests that takes a thing

8:08

for people to do things like that there

8:09

like the villages. Did you see all the

8:11

little villages carts? Yeah. Yeah. That

8:13

was kind of cool.

8:14

>> What is traditionally very conservative

8:16

and also the kind of the flagship was at

8:18

uh Minneapolis where almost a quarter of

8:21

a million people turned out. Uh

8:23

Springsteen performed. You mentioned

8:25

Joan Baz and Jane Fonda, Maggie Rogers

8:27

and Senator.

8:30

>> So just some context, the Women's March

8:32

in January 2017,

8:34

previously considered the largest single

8:36

day protest in US history, drew an

8:38

estimated uh 3.3 to 56 5.6 million

8:41

people. So this was bigger. The BLM

8:44

protest in June of 2020 drew an

8:46

estimated 15 to 26 million people, but

8:48

over several weeks, but that was spread

8:50

across multiple days. So if the 9

8:53

million uh person turnout estimate hold,

8:56

Saturday's protest would be the largest

8:57

single day demonstration in American

8:59

history.

9:00

>> People are tired and they want to do

9:01

something. And it's not it's not

9:02

hopeless. I went to the women's one. I

9:04

actually I took my sons to that. I made

9:07

them wear [ __ ] hats. Well, that's the

9:08

way it goes. Anyway, it was we had

9:10

actually had a wonderful time. I like

9:12

doing things like that with my kids

9:13

because they can see things in action.

9:15

Okay, moving on. Uh, President Trump

9:17

says the US is in serious discussions

9:20

with the new regime in Iran, but he's

9:21

also threatening to completely destroy

9:23

key energy sites if a deal is not

9:24

reached. That's a nice way to negotiate.

9:27

This is the Pentagon preparing for what

9:28

could be weeks of ground operations in

9:30

Iran, according to the Washington Post.

9:32

Total number of US troops in the Middle

9:34

East are now 50,000 around 50,000. That

9:36

is insane amounts of people. roughly

9:38

10,000 higher than typical levels. Uh

9:41

the Iranian military is warning that any

9:43

US occupation would lead to captivity,

9:45

dismemberment, and disappearance. It is

9:47

worrisome with all those people there.

9:49

There's always something bad going to

9:50

happen. And as the war drags on, markets

9:52

are sliding down with NASDAQ and Dow

9:53

falling into correction territory last

9:55

week and the S&P down about 7%. Markets

9:58

are sort of a a trailing indicator of

10:00

some of this stuff, I think. But um I

10:02

think it it's creates a jittery feeling

10:04

just because of the shifting back and

10:05

forth. And if you noticed, a lot of

10:07

Trump people, especially Marco Rubio and

10:09

JD Vance, were not on any of the Sunday

10:11

shows. They're avoiding all the cabinet

10:13

members are avoiding the Sunday shows.

10:16

Um, I had a really interesting interview

10:19

before I went to New York with Tom

10:20

Tillis, which I think you should all

10:22

listen to. It's up today. I mean, he was

10:24

expressing great distaste for this whole

10:26

action. Um, we had a he's a obviously a

10:30

very conservative senator from North

10:31

Carolina. He's leaving Congress so he

10:33

feels like he can say whatever he wants,

10:34

which he did. Um, so what do you think's

10:37

happening here, Scott? I mean, the back

10:39

and forth and the people are sort of

10:42

trying to get out of the Trump blast

10:44

zone on this situation. I'm sorry to use

10:45

that metaphor, but

10:49

>> well, to say it's complicated is an

10:50

understatement, but I'm one of the

10:52

people that would argue that

10:54

>> we've been at war with Iran for the last

10:56

47 years. The first act of this regime

10:58

in 1979 was to take Americans hostage.

11:01

The question is, is this escalation in

11:03

the war? Uh, was it a smart idea? And I

11:07

think if it had gone 72 hours in terms

11:09

of getting some coordination with

11:11

European allies and even Gulf allies,

11:14

>> you could have potentially declared

11:15

victory and really had a win. Um, but

11:18

this is kind of the definition of a

11:20

quagmire and that is I'm not sure at

11:23

this point he has any choice but to put

11:25

boots on the ground because I and I had

11:27

Senator Warner on my podcast. I would

11:28

argue at this point, Cara, Iran is

11:31

winning.

11:32

>> Yeah, that's that the IRGC has shown

11:34

that they can they can push back the,

11:36

you know,

11:37

>> the great Satans of Israel and the

11:40

United States. And what is at the end of

11:44

the day, I think this is an enormous

11:46

failure of uh our intelligence director

11:49

uh Tulsi Gabbard.

11:50

>> Yeah.

11:51

>> To not contemplate or consider a

11:53

scenario where they cut off the straits

11:55

of Hormuz. She probably advised that.

11:58

She didn't want to go. She's the America

12:00

first. Greg, her ad and Vance are on the

12:03

maybe not so much kind of group.

12:05

>> Yeah, but you okay, but they they're

12:07

claiming now that they're going to try

12:08

and work with their allies who are all

12:10

saying [ __ ] you if you're going to be

12:11

this much of a prick to us. But they

12:14

they're doing [ __ ] in reverse order.

12:15

They should have secured the straits of

12:16

foremost before doing this. They should

12:19

have contemplated, well, what happens if

12:20

they start firing Shihad drones that

12:22

cost $20,000 and it cost us 2 million to

12:25

shoot them down? What if they start

12:26

firing them into Dubai? So some basic

12:30

scenario planning and intelligence from

12:32

the people char I mean

12:34

>> I think he got that. I think some guy

12:36

told him to do this like I the

12:38

>> there's no leadership that it doesn't

12:40

matter if it doesn't bubble up

12:41

>> which is what Tillis said. Tillis was

12:43

like I he always tries very hard not to

12:45

insult Trump himself but he's like the

12:47

advisers and he's particularly for

12:49

example went after Steven Miller on

12:51

immigration. He particularly goes after

12:54

the adviserss. He's like he's either you

12:56

have an adviser who's stupid and just

12:58

like tells them dumb things or you have

12:59

an adviser who knows better who says

13:01

nothing, right? Who doesn't who tries to

13:04

like assuage the president versus and he

13:07

goes either way his adviserss suck, you

13:09

know? And I think that's true, but at

13:12

some point it's treating Trump like a

13:13

toddler. Oh, we managed to keep him this

13:16

or that. So, it's a complicated

13:18

situation there is this guy wants to do

13:20

what he wants to do now and he has

13:21

advisers who are either too weak to tell

13:24

him the truth or tell him the truth and

13:26

then get fired or slapped for it kind of

13:29

stuff. I don't know. It's a problematic

13:30

sit it's not certainly not the the group

13:33

of rivals that Lincoln had.

13:35

>> Well, but a lot of people would argue on

13:37

the opposite side that basically

13:39

Secretary Rubio is a shadow president

13:41

making these decisions and so is his

13:42

son-in-law Kushner. So,

13:44

>> right,

13:44

>> you know, which is it? Is he listening

13:46

to people or is he not? Because it to me

13:50

this is just such a striking

13:51

intelligence failure to not do some

13:53

basic scenario planning around what if

13:56

and we are now in a position of weakness

13:57

where I mean the general not the

14:00

consensus but when I speak to people in

14:01

the intelligence community there's a

14:04

feeling okay the most obvious next step

14:06

here is that he feels to save face

14:08

because the RGC has said [ __ ] you you

14:10

can pretend you're talking to us we're

14:12

not talking back we have dispersed we

14:15

anti we did scenario planning we We

14:17

anticipated what if our leadership is

14:20

killed and they have dispersed military

14:22

and executive authority out to the

14:25

various regions. So they're like cut off

14:26

the head of the snake. That's okay. We

14:28

the snake's going to keep moving. So

14:30

there was no basic uh essential basic

14:33

scenario planning here. And the general

14:35

feeling is that he will land troops

14:38

potentially on Car Island and then try

14:40

and secure Kar and do a deal to exchange

14:42

Carg for opening the Straits of Hormuz.

14:45

>> Right. No, but that's what we had

14:47

before. Like one of the things that

14:48

>> I'm not arguing it's we're in a good

14:50

spot.

14:50

>> One of the things when I talked to

14:51

Tillis and when I also talked to Warner

14:53

is that the same thing you're talking

14:54

about these drones and everything else

14:56

like the word obliterate that he

14:58

obliterated it months ago the nuclear

15:00

facilities but now he's obliterating

15:02

more and you know tell us who's sort of

15:05

had seems to have run out of [ __ ] was

15:06

like yeah we obliterated again and then

15:08

we obliterated it like you know

15:10

>> you can't that's like to say you

15:13

obliterate. All right. So essentially

15:14

what you have

15:14

>> making fun of Trump. I believe that's

15:16

what was happening there.

15:17

>> Again the the key word in all of this

15:19

coming out of Ukraine and now this war

15:22

is asymmetry. And that is wars and

15:25

shaping of you know energy routes and

15:28

ability to solve things without when

15:30

diplomatic means have failed have been

15:32

based on very expensive platforms and

15:33

technology no one else had access to. It

15:36

has gone the entirely other way. And now

15:38

you can essentially build a drone for

15:41

$20,000 with a two-stroke engine similar

15:44

to what's in a motorcycle. And that's

15:46

like to say you're gonna obliterate it.

15:48

If if we all of a sudden declared war on

15:50

Texas and most of the Southwest

15:53

actually, which Iran is bigger than, and

15:54

said, "Okay, how do you find every

15:57

little factory that's pull push pulling

15:59

together lawnmowers?" That's what you're

16:01

up against. you're not going to be able

16:03

and then they launch 40 of these things

16:05

and the defense systems get confused and

16:07

all you need it's similar similar to the

16:09

Department of Homeland Security or the

16:11

FBI they have to stop every terrorist

16:15

attack right

16:16

>> and the notion that just one

16:20

>> one

16:21

>> one ship is set on fire or the Burj

16:24

Khalifa is taken down in Dubai

16:26

>> that's all they need and what's actually

16:28

stopping this and you can imagine

16:31

>> if you're if you're transporting tens or

16:34

hundreds of millions of dollars of a

16:35

product called oil through a dangerous

16:37

area, there needs to be insurance

16:40

against that payment against that that

16:44

substance arriving at its destination.

16:46

In other words, there's cross party

16:48

collateralization in insurance. And

16:50

right now, I would argue what's actually

16:52

holding up the straits of Hormos is I

16:53

don't believe any insurance company is

16:55

willing to insure these tankers right

16:56

now.

16:56

>> Yeah, I don't know what I would do if I

16:58

was running these companies. Anyway,

16:59

we'll see what happens. It's still

17:01

confusing and it's gone on far too long.

17:03

This confusing and I think that's the

17:04

real problem. He's really stuck in a a

17:06

quagmire.

17:07

>> A quagmire. This is the definition in a

17:09

corner.

17:10

>> If he had after 72 hours said we've

17:13

we've further diminished their ability

17:14

to fund proxies. We have substantially

17:16

denigrated their launch capabilities. We

17:19

have we have made the the the leadership

17:22

infrastructure much more insecure and

17:24

diminished it vastly. we are now going

17:25

to work with our Gulf allies and

17:28

European nations to try and maintain a

17:30

sense of security and keep in a box. He

17:32

probably could have declared at some

17:34

level victory.

17:35

>> But Scott, chaos follows this guy. The

17:37

chaos is his his brand right now.

17:39

Anyway, um

17:40

>> agreed.

17:41

>> Uh let's move on. The boys are uh really

17:44

back together. Speaking of which,

17:46

speaking of chaos, Elon Musk joined a

17:48

phone call with President Trump and

17:49

India's Prime Minister Modi about the

17:51

Strait of Hormuz. It's unclear whether

17:53

Mus spoke on the call and neither

17:54

government mentioned his presence in the

17:56

official readouts. Meanwhile, as we all

17:58

know, SpaceX is preparing to launch the

18:00

largest IPO of all time, reportedly

18:01

targeting a $ 1.75 trillion valuation,

18:04

which is kind of a lot over their

18:06

revenues, but okay, fine. That's a Musk

18:08

company. Musk reportedly wants to have

18:10

investors come to SpaceX's seat

18:11

facilities and rocket launches. He does

18:13

that a lot. He invites people in to show

18:15

off his wares of impressive wares. He

18:17

does He's doing that with robotics, too,

18:19

which are pretty cool. Um, the company

18:21

is also considering limiting share sales

18:23

by early investors, a preferential

18:25

treatment for investors in Musk's other

18:27

companies, which is why they suck up to

18:29

him so and reserving a large That's why

18:31

they buy Twitter, so they can get into

18:33

this. And reserving a large portion of

18:35

the shares for individual investors.

18:36

That's fine. That's great. Speaking of

18:39

making amends with his enemies, text

18:41

released as part of Musk's lawsuit

18:43

against OpenAI show that Zuckerberg

18:44

tested Musk saying, "Looks like Doge is

18:47

making progress. I've got our teams on

18:48

alert to take down contact doxing or

18:51

threatening the people on your team. Let

18:52

me know if there's anything I can do to

18:54

help. Oh, he does want to content

18:55

moderate. Musk hearted the message and

18:58

then asked Zucker would be open to

18:59

bidding on open AI with him, which the

19:01

two seem to have spoken about on the

19:03

phone. I mean, these people say one

19:05

thing in public and another in private,

19:07

but talk first about um the phone call,

19:09

then the IPO, and you know, Mark

19:11

Zuckerberg will talk to anybody if it

19:13

means a deal. So, that's what I think

19:14

about that.

19:16

I don't I I don't have a problem with

19:18

the president inviting people into a

19:20

call that he thinks can help achieve the

19:22

objectives whether it's someone who has

19:24

domain expertise whether Musk is the

19:26

right person to have on the call but I

19:28

think the president should bring to bear

19:29

any resources he thinks going to result

19:31

in a more productive conversation

19:33

and Modi is probably wants probably

19:37

wants uh you know Starlink or maybe Modi

19:40

and Musk have a pre-existing

19:41

relationship who knows or maybe like you

19:43

said he's just showing them off. The

19:46

staggering thing for me is I I can't

19:49

wait for the S1 because the target

19:52

valuation of 1 8 trillion. This company,

19:56

you know, it's projected or generated

19:59

roughly 15 to 16 billion and about 8

20:01

billion in profit in 2025.

20:04

That means at the IPO it's trading at

20:07

109 times trailing revenue.

20:09

>> That's a must company, right? Are you

20:11

going to do like you did with Weiwork?

20:13

I'd love to see.

20:13

>> Oh, but that's more than pound. Oh, no.

20:15

No. This is a real company. It might be

20:16

overvalued. Yeah.

20:18

>> But we work as it scaled lost more

20:19

money. This is a company with

20:21

unbelievable

20:23

product and moes. It's But two things

20:25

can be true at once. Is it an

20:27

unbelievable company with I think

20:28

probably the widest moes in the business

20:30

world right now? Absolutely.

20:32

>> For now.

20:33

>> For now. Um but everyone feels like a

20:36

distant number two. Like who's the

20:38

number two here?

20:38

>> I don't know. I think people will catch

20:40

up in this. I think I take a lot

20:42

everyone said no when it catch Tesla.

20:44

Everyone caught Tesla and it was a lot

20:45

faster than we thought. Right.

20:46

>> Yeah. But manufacturing manufacturing an

20:49

EV versus a launch capability.

20:52

>> I just I think

20:53

>> you think someone's going to catch up.

20:55

>> I think I think Bezos is working on it.

20:57

I think a lot of countries there's ones

20:59

happening in Europe. I think look it's

21:01

not going to be the only one and

21:02

everyone's going to be like why are we

21:03

you know it's sort of like the Lockheed

21:05

problem right? I think a lot of people

21:06

think it's an attractive thing. 90% of

21:10

launches.

21:11

>> I get it. They are the only remember

21:13

when he said it.

21:14

>> They are the only company in the world

21:15

right now that is capable of putting

21:17

humans into space.

21:18

>> Yep. Yep. And when you look at when you

21:20

look at space and whether it's energy or

21:23

connectivity or or or space military or

21:26

space defense, they're all for a while

21:28

going to have to come through SpaceX. At

21:31

the same time,

21:31

>> no question.

21:32

>> At the same time, is it worth

21:35

>> Yes.

21:35

>> 109 times revenue? I don't

21:37

>> situation. Tesla is declining

21:39

precipitously and yet it still trades at

21:42

a ridiculous.

21:43

>> But Musk owns roughly 42% of SpaceX. So

21:46

this IPO could make him the first

21:48

recorded trillionaire in history. And on

21:50

Kyi the odds that he'll become the a

21:52

trillionaire this year are 71%. So

21:55

there's almost a three in4 chance

21:57

according to a lot of people

21:59

>> that Musk is about to become the

22:01

trillionaire. And that is in my view

22:05

really uh troubling uh because I think

22:09

as a species we need guard rails and

22:13

money directly translates to power and I

22:16

don't think any unelected person should

22:17

have this much power.

22:18

>> Yeah, he definitely pushes himself into

22:21

every single aspect of our lives, you

22:23

know, in some way and he'll do a

22:25

trillion dollars. Say he takes

22:26

>> politically he'll be problematic. say he

22:29

says, "Okay, I'm I'm going to die soon

22:31

and I want to be worth five trillion and

22:34

I'm going to I want to I want to decide

22:36

who the next president is. I'm going to

22:38

take 3% of my net worth, which would be

22:42

$30 billion." There's there's evidence

22:44

that he had influence on Trump's

22:46

election with 250 million.

22:48

>> Mhm.

22:48

>> So with

22:49

>> But he didn't in Wisconsin with 25.

22:51

That's a lot in that state. Like I think

22:53

it's a mixed bag. When he shows up, it's

22:56

a lot of money. When he shows up, it's a

22:58

lot of Yeah. No, you know, I think

23:00

>> Citizens United and a guy being worth a

23:02

trillion dollars.

23:02

>> Agreed.

23:03

>> Is really scary.

23:04

>> It also has effects of if this guy is

23:07

he's like the Soros or he's the Soros of

23:09

the right essentially now, right on some

23:12

level. And I do think it has a negative

23:14

impact and and alerts people to this

23:17

situation that he I don't think money

23:19

buys everything. He's he's failed in a

23:21

number of areas like Doge. he's failed

23:23

and like he fails quite a bit which of

23:25

course is his his brand is I fail and

23:27

then I succeed. Um

23:29

>> I think in a close election which most

23:30

presidential elections are he could

23:32

absolutely swing it.

23:33

>> He already has he already has had more

23:35

impact than any individual in recent

23:37

history especially killing people across

23:39

the globe with Doge. I mean again I I

23:42

it'll we'll see what happens here but

23:44

they certainly it's going to be the

23:46

blockbuster IPO and it will be

23:48

overvalued by a lot given you know

23:51

they'll have a lot of the skis to cover

23:53

and then they'll have the money to do

23:54

so, right? To to sort of create that

23:56

moat even wider.

23:58

>> Incredible. It's an incredible I won't

23:59

even call it a product because what it

24:01

really is, it's global infrastructure.

24:03

Um they have the largest commercial

24:05

satellite constellation. It's no, which

24:07

by the way is no longer NASA, it's

24:08

SpaceX. And as of May 2025,

24:11

Starlink controlled more than 7,600

24:13

satellites or 2/3 of all active

24:15

satellites in orbit. The majority of new

24:18

satellites launched globally in late

24:20

2024 were Starlink. And SpaceX plans to

24:23

scale to 42,000 satellites. That's up

24:25

sixfold.

24:26

>> Yep. They control global global

24:28

information system.

24:29

>> Making Starlink the deacto broadband

24:31

backbone in space and projections for

24:33

the end of 2025. 6 million subscribers

24:36

and 62% of global satellite broadband

24:39

revenue um going to one company. And

24:42

most competitors can match SpaceX's

24:44

price, cadence, or reliability. I know

24:46

Facebook has tried uh Amazon has tried.

24:49

They're all trying. I I I always feel

24:51

like this is these are these high water

24:53

marks for these people, but that's I I

24:55

you know it you have to hand it to him.

24:57

I remember when he talked about it for

24:58

the first time to me um that the

25:01

creating this two people were talking

25:02

about this at the time. Him and oddly

25:05

enough Jerry Yang had an investment in a

25:07

low and it's the first time I learned of

25:09

it. So I got real I learn I I I got

25:11

caught up on the topic like what it was

25:14

going to do. But Jerry Yang had an

25:16

investment in one and it was he's the

25:17

first person who talked about it and

25:18

then Musk that same year started talking

25:21

about it. This was a long long long time

25:22

ago and it was really at the time I

25:25

remember thinking no one's talking like

25:27

this like everyone else was like doing a

25:29

[ __ ] dating service or some dumb

25:30

thing.

25:31

>> It comes down to some very boring

25:33

numbers and that is the cost to launch a

25:38

kilogram of material usually a satellite

25:40

into low earth orbit. And this is what

25:44

SpaceX's Falcon Heavy rocket can launch

25:47

into a kilogram for. They can launch a

25:49

kilogram into space for $1,500.

25:53

Uh Aron's 5G, it costs them $9,200.

25:58

Their Electron product cost $19,000.

26:01

Their launches, SpaceX's launches occur

26:03

every 2 to three days. No other provider

26:04

is within range. So they are they are 6x

26:09

less expensive. The Chinese certainly

26:11

have capabilities here. So anyway,

26:13

>> do they I don't know that much about

26:14

Chinese.

26:15

>> They do they and so you know one of the

26:17

things it'll be interesting to see what

26:18

happens here and what the these forces

26:21

are really powerful and he is very

26:23

powerful single person. It does put him

26:25

at great risk too of being a not just

26:28

not a physical target. That's not what

26:30

I'm talking about. But when something

26:31

like this happens there's always forces

26:33

against it that I think that we that

26:36

will start to build. He becomes and he

26:39

becomes soros. He becomes Soros in a

26:41

weird way.

26:42

>> But I I feel much more benign about

26:43

Soros. Why do you

26:44

>> I do too, but I'm talking about to the

26:46

right he or the Koch brothers like pick

26:48

pick whatever one who's or Henry Ford

26:51

back in the day. There was also a Texas

26:52

billionaire and I can't remember his

26:54

name a million years like in the 20s

26:56

that did stuff like that.

26:57

>> But there's a different like so and cork

26:59

the Koch brothers they were all quite

27:01

philanthropic.

27:02

>> Well not him not not Elon for sure. Musk

27:05

is not. And Musk is infinitely more

27:08

powerful and has a technology that can

27:10

basically decide

27:11

>> wars. And this is a guy who is

27:13

reportedly addicted to ketamine. What

27:14

could go wrong?

27:15

>> Things are wrong. Let me just tell you,

27:17

I'm glad.

27:17

>> It does feel like a bond film, but less

27:19

than is glad she's in Park Slope. I'll

27:21

be protected by the lesbian.

27:22

>> Oh yeah, you're safe in Brooklyn. Yeah.

27:24

A nuclear device gets detonated 500

27:26

meters above Midtown. Yeah, Brooklyn's

27:28

going to be fine.

27:29

>> No, what I mean is that like if he's

27:30

coming after me, he's he's not a fan of

27:32

Caris Swisser. Um, but maybe you should

27:35

make nice with them.

27:36

>> That's what I don't get about I talked

27:37

to one of these guys that is building

27:39

the bunker in New Zealand, a guy, you

27:40

know, and

27:41

>> and I'm like, you realize if [ __ ] gets

27:43

real

27:44

>> and you fire up the G650 and had to

27:48

peace out to New Zealand, you realize

27:49

your your pilots are going to kill you

27:51

and [ __ ] your wife, right?

27:52

>> That's correct.

27:53

>> And the table went quiet.

27:55

>> I know. I said that to one of them who

27:56

had a plan. I said, "What's your plan?"

27:58

I said, "I'm going to kill you and take

27:59

your motorcycle out to your

28:01

>> [ __ ] your wife." I was like, "Of

28:03

course." And then they were like, "You

28:04

could see them calculating, how do I

28:05

stop Cara from killing me?" I said, "You

28:06

won't see me coming."

28:08

>> You think if if if the [ __ ] goes to

28:10

where these think people think it's

28:12

going

28:12

>> Yeah.

28:13

>> This the people who die right away are

28:15

the lucky ones.

28:16

>> I Exactly. I sometimes think that living

28:18

in Washington, I feel okay about that.

28:20

Anyway, let's not go there. Let's not go

28:22

there. Congratulations, Elon Musk, on

28:24

your SpaceX victory.

28:26

>> You're still terrible person. No matter

28:28

how rich you get, you're completely

28:30

unlikable. Anyway, oh, I have to say one

28:32

Brooklyn thing. So, I was it was there

28:35

was this crazy cyber truck parked across

28:37

the street. I thought, "Oh, who's doing

28:38

this?" Right where my apartment is and

28:41

it was tricked out. It was all manner of

28:42

[ __ ] on it. I didn't know. It was some

28:44

sort of commercial thing. And you know,

28:46

there's a bunch of teen boys and they

28:48

weren't they were just hanging out and I

28:50

thought first they were like admiring it

28:52

and what was really funny is and they

28:54

weren't they weren't sort of typical

28:56

parks. I'm trying to like they were they

28:58

were sort of sitting in front of it like

29:00

talking about it. I'm I went over and

29:02

I'm like what do you think? And I wasn't

29:03

making an opinion. They're like what a

29:05

douche. And it was like they were like

29:08

it was interesting because I just

29:09

interviewed Louis Thorough uh Thoru. Uh

29:11

who's Justin.

29:12

>> Oh you you interviewed about the

29:13

manosphere.

29:14

>> Yes. Exactly.

29:15

>> You're beating me to my content.

29:16

>> I'm so sorry. I'm way ahead of you.

29:18

>> How was it? That's Justin's cousin.

29:20

>> Fantastic. I know it's Justin's cousin.

29:22

Um he's also a great filmmaker. Uh, I

29:24

got to say was really interesting is one

29:26

the point thing you pointed out is even

29:27

though a lot of these manosphere guys

29:28

are really popular, there's also a whole

29:30

group of young men who are like they

29:33

they mock them and enjoy being in on the

29:36

joke and mocking them at the same time

29:38

and also liking some of it but mocking

29:40

them. And that was going on in front of

29:42

the Cybertruck. They're like is such a

29:44

douche but like whatever. And they were

29:46

so cool and I was like, "Oh, I feel so

29:48

much better about you after talking to

29:50

these guys because they were so cool and

29:53

they also were in on the joke and I

29:56

don't know, I just felt better." Anyway,

29:57

yes, Louis. Yes, it was great. And we

29:58

talked of you

30:00

>> just so you know.

30:01

>> Good. I'm glad I'm supposed to have him

30:03

on. I wrote a my number. I wrote a

30:05

review of the of the show.

30:06

>> I loved it.

30:08

>> Yeah, it was really illuminating for me.

30:10

>> Can I tell you the one line I loved the

30:11

best of all? I liked his I like his

30:13

interview style and I was actually

30:14

looking at as a professional how he does

30:16

the interview style. I agree.

30:17

>> When he's work when he's HS whatever tdy

30:21

whatever ticky talkie whatever tick-

30:23

tockie um he was working out and he goes

30:26

is this your leg day he's British and

30:28

the guy goes of course it is you know

30:31

like like an [ __ ] and like shows off

30:33

his thigh which is quite a beefy thigh

30:36

>> and Louis Lou Louisie looks at him and

30:39

he goes you could work on those calves

30:41

and the guy just melts and I was like I

30:43

love you Louis thu I love him pronounced

30:46

it through. Unlike Justin, they

30:48

pronounce it differently. Um,

30:50

>> anyway, it he has all these lines like

30:52

that in there that he just eviscerates

30:54

these people with kindness in a way

30:55

that's really

30:56

>> Yeah, I agree.

30:57

>> It's a really good show. Anyway, uh

31:00

Elon, good luck. Anyway, uh let's go. Uh

31:03

Elon, you could work on your calves. Uh

31:05

okay, Scott, let's go on a quick break.

31:07

When we come back, Anthropic scores a

31:09

win against the Pentagon. Support for

31:12

this show comes from Framer. Your

31:13

website can set the tone for your brand

31:15

and it's the one touch point that every

31:16

single one of your customers sees on the

31:18

daily. So if you still struggle to make

31:20

small changes or simple updates, you're

31:22

potentially leaving opportunities on the

31:24

table. That's why so many companies are

31:26

turning to Framer, the website builder

31:28

that turns your from a formality into a

31:30

tool for growth. Framer is an

31:32

enterprisegrade noode website builder

31:34

used by teams at companies like

31:36

Perplexity and Miro to move faster. With

31:38

real-time collaboration, a robust CMS

31:40

with everything you need for great SEO

31:42

and advanced analytics that include

31:44

integrated AB testing, your designers

31:46

and marketers are empowered to build and

31:48

maximize your.com from day one. Changes

31:50

to your Framer site go live to the web

31:52

in seconds with one click without help

31:54

from engineering. So whether you want to

31:56

launch a new site, test a few landing

31:58

pages, or migrate your full.com, Framer

32:00

has programs for startups, scaleups, and

32:02

large enterprises to make going from

32:04

idea to live site as easy and fast as

32:06

possible. Learn how you can get more out

32:08

of your.com from a framer specialist or

32:11

get started building for free today at

32:13

framer.com/pivot

32:14

for 30% off a Framer Pro annual plan.

32:17

That's framer.com/pivot

32:19

for 30% off. framer.com/pivot.

32:23

rules and restrictions apply.

32:26

Scott, we're back anthropic to score a

32:28

win in his fight with the Trump

32:29

administration. Obviously, a federal

32:31

judge in California granted a

32:33

preliminary injunction temporarily

32:34

blocking the Pentagon's efforts to label

32:36

the company a supply chain rest. The

32:38

judge didn't mince words in her ruling,

32:39

saying, "This is a classic illegal first

32:41

amendment retaliation." Exactly. She

32:44

also called it a quote Orwellian notion

32:46

to brand an American company a potential

32:48

adversary for expressing disagreement.

32:50

The Pentagon is pushing back, expected

32:51

to appeal, of course, with senior

32:53

official Emil Michael, another Loathome

32:55

character, tweeting, "The ruling is a

32:57

disgrace." Oh, Emil, get over it. The

33:00

final decision in this case could still

33:02

be months away. There's also a second

33:03

lawsuit pending in DC. Anthropic won the

33:06

battle. You know, it's it's problematic

33:08

to be in this ridiculous fight. I think

33:10

it'll be over by midterms when they they

33:12

jack Hegath out of the place. But also a

33:15

potent and Emil too also a potential

33:18

factor. Anthropic is reportedly

33:19

considering going public as soon as

33:20

October. That is problematic for them.

33:23

Um so what do you what do you and

33:25

related a federal judge has put on hold

33:27

the $6.2 billion merger between Nextar

33:30

and Tegno which would create the largest

33:31

operator of local TV in the country 69%

33:34

o over the former 30ome percent amount

33:37

you're allowed to um bring together. The

33:40

judge granted a request from Direct TV

33:42

arguing the merger violates antitrust

33:44

laws. A 14-day restraining order has

33:46

been issued and a hearing is scheduled

33:47

for April 7th. Eight attorneys general

33:50

have filed a separate lawsuit. Um, I'm

33:53

going to just play this. Let's listen to

33:55

what our least favorite FCC chair,

33:57

Brenda Carr, I'm sorry, Brendan Carr,

33:59

uh, had to say at CPAC.

34:02

>> President Trump took on the fake news

34:03

media and President Trump is winning.

34:05

Look at the results so far. PBS

34:08

defunded. NPR defunded. Joy Reed gone

34:12

from MSNBC.

34:14

Sleepy Eye Chuck Todd gone. Jim Acasta

34:17

gone. John Dickerson gone. Coar is

34:20

leaving. CBS is under new ownership. And

34:23

soon enough, CNN is have new ownership

34:25

as well.

34:25

>> Boy, this guy is just just not doing his

34:27

job. Honestly, it's seriously he's such

34:29

a suckup to the Trump administration.

34:31

He's just explicit about it. And he's

34:33

also not very smart. He's a [ __ ] Um,

34:35

so talk about these these next star the

34:37

the anthropic thing. It looks like

34:39

everything as usual Trump does he does

34:41

something aggressive and stupid and

34:43

loses in court, but he still does

34:45

damage. So talk and then you can talk

34:48

about Brenda if you want, but that's up

34:50

to you.

34:50

>> Well, I'll go in reverse order. Brenda

34:52

Carr has no business in the federal

34:53

government. You're you're not supposed

34:54

to go into the government to use it as a

34:57

means of attacking your political

34:58

enemies and freedom of speech.

35:00

>> Yep. I mean, just the notion

35:03

this guy makes gals look thoughtful and

35:05

that is the directly calling out people

35:08

who don't agree with your political

35:09

views and then weaponizing government to

35:11

try and get people whose views you don't

35:14

agree with off the air. That's I it's

35:18

like it's just so blatant. It's okay.

35:21

So, when we get to appoint an FCC chair,

35:25

we're going to go after Hannity. And

35:27

>> I mean, is that is that where we're

35:29

headed? You want us to start blather on

35:31

this idiotic stuff. I don't care. He

35:33

annoys me.

35:33

>> No. Look, with it's just not qualified

35:37

to be in government. With respect to

35:39

anthropic, most major AI companies have

35:41

bent the knee to the government and

35:43

worked with them in any any military

35:46

context. I want last year, Google

35:47

dropped its ethical guidelines that

35:49

included a list of applications it would

35:51

not pursue, including weapons and

35:53

surveillance,

35:53

>> but it used to be able to do so without

35:56

a problem.

35:57

>> Is that right? And then they put in

35:58

guidelines and then they I thought they

36:00

were they relaxed their guidelines.

36:02

>> They did relax them. But I'm saying they

36:03

used to be able to say no and nobody had

36:05

a problem. They just didn't work for

36:07

them. That's all.

36:08

>> Well, that's the whole point of private

36:09

enterprise. You get to choose your you

36:10

can fire your clients. Just the way

36:12

consumers get to pick companies,

36:13

companies get to pick their consumers

36:15

unless it's based on sexual orientation

36:16

or race or what have you.

36:18

>> Meta changed its policy to allow US

36:20

government agencies and contractors to

36:22

access its llama models for national

36:24

security purposes. Open AI, which once

36:27

stated its goal was to benefit humanity

36:29

as a whole, now has multiple contracts

36:31

with the military and defense

36:33

contractors. And by the way, I don't I I

36:35

I don't mind when companies like

36:38

Palunteer say, "We're going to work with

36:40

the government on in the defense

36:41

department." I get it, but you should

36:44

also have the right to not to. I don't.

36:46

So Anthropic is really they're the only

36:49

major AI company that has drawn a public

36:51

line on autonomous weapons and mass

36:53

surveillance and now it's the only one

36:55

being punished for it

36:56

>> but it's also winning in court which is

36:57

good but it's still is it problematic

36:59

for the IPO from your perspective?

37:02

>> Well IPO the the the threat to the IPO

37:06

is a bunch of companies say there is

37:08

there all there are alternatives out

37:10

there. We appreciate your stand Dario

37:14

but for the time being we're not

37:16

expanding our enterprisewide

37:18

relationship with you because we don't

37:19

want to be put on a list

37:20

>> right

37:21

>> uh now having said that having said that

37:24

again see above what I believe is the

37:26

biggest commercial opportunity in

37:29

decades is um to say no and if you look

37:34

at what's happened to Anthropic they're

37:36

now getting 70 cents on the dollar of

37:38

every new AI dollar being allocated to

37:41

AI from the enterprise. So, it looks as

37:44

if their ability to say no and get a

37:46

court to say, "Yeah, this is [ __ ]

37:48

This is socialism, cronyism, whatever

37:50

you want to call it, it looks like it's

37:52

it's setting up really I think anthropic

37:55

right now. I've said that I think

37:56

anthropic at this anthropic at this

37:58

moment is worth more than open AI." What

38:02

happens is the mark that people invest

38:04

at is a bit elucory because if they get

38:06

a preferred return, meaning no matter

38:08

what happens, they get their money out

38:10

sooner or they're getting a guaranteed

38:12

17.5% return, which is what Sam is

38:15

offering to private equity firms, then

38:17

that $850 billion number is a bit of a

38:21

head fake because as long as I'm getting

38:22

17.5% regardless of what it goes public

38:25

at, but I would argue right now the an

38:28

the momentum around anthropic is really

38:32

strong and the momentum around open AI

38:35

is really uh is really weird.

38:37

>> So you think it won't affect it? What

38:38

about the next star thing? Speaking of

38:40

mor on Brendan,

38:42

>> well we heard I was actually really

38:44

moved. A lot of people pushed back on my

38:45

comments about how local news is a dying

38:47

business and a lot of people push back

38:49

and said

38:50

>> I hate to hear this. It's a it's really

38:52

important work. And also to be fair,

38:56

you know, there's a lot of local

38:57

corruption

38:59

that and the only check on it is local

39:01

news. You know, seven I remember seven

39:03

on your side.

39:04

>> Seven on your side.

39:05

>> From the hills to the seas to the San

39:06

Gabriel Mountains. I'm Jerry Dumpy.

39:08

>> Yeah.

39:09

>> Who by the way, Ted Baxter from Mary

39:10

Tyler Moore was based on supposedly

39:12

wasn't supposedly Jerry wasn't very

39:13

smart. Um but he had broad shoulders and

39:16

just made it all the time. I love Dorian

39:18

Gensler in DC when I was in college. And

39:20

they also had Bruce Herschensson and Jim

39:22

Tunny and Point Counterpoint. And that

39:24

27 minutes of real news was bested by

39:27

the 3 minutes of two people arguing like

39:29

crazy.

39:31

>> If it had been that era, you and I would

39:33

have been a good local news team. Like

39:35

>> I would have predicted hail the size of

39:37

of canned tomatoes. I I would have loved

39:39

being a weatherman. I actually took

39:40

meteorology my senior year when I was

39:43

trying to figure out what the [ __ ] to do

39:44

with my life my senior year in college.

39:47

I thought I could be a weatherman and I

39:49

took meteorology.

39:51

>> I thought I was thinking about a

39:54

weatherman.

39:54

>> I was going to go in the military and

39:56

you were going to be a weatherman and

39:57

here I am.

39:58

>> Perfect. Yeah. David Letterman started

40:00

as a weatherman. Anyways, but we got

40:02

push back saying how important or I got

40:04

pushed back saying how important local

40:06

news is. And so I agree they they do a

40:10

great job that you know God be with you.

40:12

Um

40:13

>> so next star Ta.

40:15

>> Okay. Sorry. A judge has temporarily

40:17

blocked what is it a $6 billion merger?

40:19

>> Yep. 6 months.

40:20

>> Between Nextar and Tegna, which would

40:22

create the largest operator and uh the

40:27

number from 30ome% to 69%.

40:30

>> Yeah. 2/3. Basically, they'll have a

40:31

lock on it. And a US District judge uh I

40:34

think it's in Sacramento granted uh

40:36

temporary restraining order siding with

40:38

Director V who argued Directory V. God,

40:40

they're still around. Which argued the

40:42

merger violates federal antitrust laws

40:44

and eight eight state attorney generals

40:47

led by California's Rob Bont filed a

40:49

separate lawsuit. And then no uh in the

40:52

ruling he noted that companies do not

40:55

contest the merger will increase

40:56

NextStar's bargaining leverage to

40:58

extract higher fees. And what does the

41:00

ruling mean? It means that Nextar and

41:02

Tegna can't integrate options integrate

41:05

operations for 14 days. A hearing is set

41:07

for April 7th to decide whether to issue

41:08

a preliminary injunction. So like you

41:11

said, if if the merger goes through,

41:12

NextStar would own roughly 260

41:14

television stations across the country,

41:16

reaching about 60% of US households. And

41:19

like you said before, it was about 39%.

41:22

And the deal does violate FCC rules

41:24

limiting how many stations a single

41:26

company can operate.

41:27

>> Brenda let it through, but go ahead.

41:30

Well, so as we as we said, look, it's

41:34

not a great business to be in unless

41:35

you're in a swing district where they

41:37

just basically start trying to advertise

41:39

like crazy. Less than half of television

41:40

stations report generating any profits

41:43

from news. And last year, about 40% of

41:45

surveyed local television stations

41:47

reported decreasing their news budget.

41:49

And local television has lost, get this,

41:51

about half of its media spending market

41:53

share since since 2017. The business has

41:57

been cut

41:58

>> in half in the last nine years and as of

42:00

June last year

42:01

>> local TV accounted for just 6% of total

42:04

media spend. Digital video digital video

42:06

on the other hand accounts for about

42:09

50%. So I look I I don't

42:13

I mean it we're going to I think at some

42:15

point we got to end up with and people

42:17

hate the BBC but I like a certain amount

42:20

of public funding.

42:21

>> I'm troubled right now. We should talk

42:22

about that but later another time. a

42:24

certain amount of public funding for

42:27

what I'll call

42:28

>> local

42:29

>> yeah local public news. I think there's

42:32

like what Craig Newark did I I think is

42:34

really important and I I don't know if

42:36

it's a philanthropist. I don't know if

42:37

it's government funding like we do at

42:39

the BBC here with a house tax.

42:41

>> I don't think anyone should own 60% of

42:43

any industry even

42:45

>> that does feel uncomfortable even I

42:47

don't care. They can they can eke out a

42:48

good little business from it and and

42:51

influence things in ways that just and

42:52

they're also they're the ones that sort

42:54

of sucked up to Brenda during the Kimmel

42:56

thing. Yeah.

42:57

>> Yeah. You know, I just nobody I don't

42:59

want a liberal running 60%. I don't want

43:01

anybody like I just feel like it needs

43:03

to be dispersed. Even if that problem is

43:06

like a lot of media, it's a bad business

43:08

if you don't have monopolies. Um and

43:11

then it's just an okay business. I I

43:13

don't know whatever it's I hope they

43:14

stop it, but they're not going to. But

43:16

nonetheless, I hope then the industry

43:18

dies and I hope there

43:19

>> I'm just wonder entrepreneurial local

43:22

efforts going on. And there are a lot of

43:24

them by the way across the country in

43:26

Mississippi and Baltimore. So let's just

43:29

have new stuff and forget these these

43:31

compromised

43:32

>> I'm shocked you didn't bring up Vox. The

43:34

our companies in play.

43:35

>> Oh yes. Oh yes. Would you like to

43:37

discuss that?

43:39

>> Uh well I I have first off let me say I

43:41

have absolutely no insider information

43:42

here. Um

43:43

>> and I have a lot.

43:44

>> You have a lot. I'm on the outside.

43:47

>> Supposedly Vox is in discussions with

43:48

Comcast who's an existing shareholder to

43:51

take

43:51

>> Versent not Comcast

43:52

>> I'm sorry Versant. Yeah. Which owns

43:55

>> like Quasant

43:56

>> MSNBC and CNBC to take the pods. Then

43:59

they would sell the digital business and

44:02

also sell off NY. And the way I would

44:04

loosely describe it is the digital stuff

44:07

is a shitty business getting worse.

44:09

Anytime you're dependent upon Amazon,

44:12

Meta, and Google, eventually they will

44:15

screw you and take all the margin. Uh

44:17

those are difficult businesses. The New

44:19

York Magazine is a trophy asset. What do

44:21

I mean by that? There is some crypto or

44:24

hedge fund douche that will pay an

44:26

extraordinary amount of money to own New

44:28

York Magazine.

44:29

>> There's a lot of people. It does well,

44:30

too. It doesn't It's not like a big

44:32

>> It'll trade at an irrational price.

44:34

>> Yeah, it will.

44:35

>> Football teams make no money. They got

44:37

sold for five, seven, and 10 billion

44:38

dollars because some guy wants to go

44:39

from being an overweight tech guy to the

44:42

sexiest man in Cleveland by owning the

44:43

Browns overnight.

44:44

>> Okay. Can I just say it's also a really

44:46

good journalistic enterprise and it does

44:48

okay. I'm sorry. I'm going to

44:49

>> Okay. It It won't go for an okay price.

44:51

I'm I'm saying it'll go for no It'll go

44:53

it'll go for an irrational price.

44:55

>> It's a nice property.

44:56

>> The new owner is not going to be into it

44:58

for the cash flow or for journalism. The

45:00

new owner is going to be someone who

45:02

wants to say I own NY Mag. It's like

45:04

going billionaires own football teams.

45:06

Democrats own media companies. It'll go

45:08

for

45:09

>> So Scott will be buying it soon.

45:10

>> It's a trophy asset.

45:12

>> It's a No, I'm sponsoring the Met Gala.

45:14

I don't know if you heard. And I'm

45:16

taking Emily Rodicowski. If that's what

45:18

it takes

45:20

her because you didn't introduce

45:21

yourself when you were in her presence.

45:23

>> I got is I got texted Vanessa Freeman

45:25

who I think is a wonderful writer that

45:26

covers fashion text me. He's like, "Do

45:28

you have any thoughts on the Met Gale

45:30

and Jeff Bezos?" I'm like, tech has way

45:32

too much money, way too little cool.

45:34

Fashion has way too little money, way

45:36

too much cool. This is an exchange of

45:38

value.

45:38

>> Yes. A good quote. Good.

45:40

>> This is the most expensive midlife

45:42

crisis in history. Wouldn't it be easier

45:44

for these guys just to buy a Ferrari and

45:45

start banging their assistance

45:47

>> or penis enhancement

45:48

>> versus sponsoring the medala? But

45:50

anyways,

45:50

>> back to New York. Yes, it will sell. We

45:52

know this. So,

45:53

>> so NY Mag will go for an irrational

45:55

price.

45:56

>> My arm

45:56

>> and then the trophy assets. And I'm not

45:59

talking my own book here because PropG

46:00

is independent. We just sell our ads

46:02

through Vox, but Pivot is co-owned by

46:04

Yum, Mei, and Vox.

46:05

>> Well, no, they don't own it. We own it

46:07

and they're our partner for the next

46:08

three years. I wish you would do that

46:09

correctly. People think they own it, but

46:11

they don't. We do.

46:12

>> Okay. We own We own it. Uh, and we can't

46:14

do anything with it for the next three

46:15

years. But anyways, the

46:16

>> That's okay.

46:17

>> Uh, those are the assets. podcasting at

46:20

Vox and I'll just talk about us uh is

46:24

growing, you know, 25 plus percent a

46:26

year, maybe 30% a year. And when they

46:29

and when they get scaled, they're

46:30

amazing businesses because quite

46:31

frankly, there's just not there's not a

46:33

lot of cost involved in these things.

46:36

And you're seeing and quite frankly, I

46:38

also think we're benefiting from Trump

46:40

to the extent that I think people are

46:41

really hungry for thoughtful,

46:44

I don't want to call it progressive, but

46:45

a thoughtful push back.

46:47

>> We But we also do good. You did Warner,

46:49

I did Tillis, we do all kinds of manner

46:51

of things.

46:52

>> Anyways, the the the crown jewel is is

46:55

the Vox Media podcast network. But the

46:57

the thing that makes the most sense

46:58

here, which is what Jim is doing, is

47:01

that when you have a conglomerate that

47:03

doesn't have really obvious synergies,

47:05

which quite frankly I would argue this

47:06

one doesn't. People, the market looks at

47:09

the shittiest asset in the portfolio,

47:10

which is these digital properties, and

47:12

it assigns that valuation to the entire

47:14

thing. So the disposition of assets is

47:16

accretive to shareholders and Jim has

47:19

figured that out and he's going to split

47:20

up the company and he's going to have a

47:21

very focused podcast company that tries

47:23

to industrialized podcasting and video I

47:26

would say because podcasts are video now

47:28

>> that's that's a great point because

47:29

effectively what you have is podcasts

47:32

are the new TV shows with a lower means

47:34

of cost of production but I would argue

47:37

if he sells he'll get an amazing assume

47:39

and I don't I again I see above I have

47:41

no insider information here he'll get an

47:43

amazing irrational price for New York

47:45

Mag. He could sell the digital stuff for

47:47

a dollar and just be a podcast company

47:49

growing 25% a year and it would be worth

47:52

more. So this it makes all sorts of

47:54

strategic sense. Comcast is probably

47:58

Comcast I think invested

48:00

>> Comcast did invest. Yes. And so did

48:02

>> Comcast was the initial investor.

48:04

>> Yes. But the investment went over to

48:05

Versent just so you know.

48:07

>> Well, okay. The Robert Robert's family

48:09

is ready to get some money back. They've

48:12

been in this thing for 10 years, 11

48:14

years. They've probably said, "Okay, we

48:16

want some money back. You need a

48:17

strategy here."

48:18

>> I think it's going to be very

48:19

interesting to see.

48:20

>> Yeah, we'll see. One of the things that

48:21

I think reporters have gotten wrong

48:22

about it, and I I'm not going to say

48:24

much more because I do know a lot is you

48:26

can't, one of them is like you can pick

48:28

off these podcasters what's it worth

48:29

because you can you actually can't once

48:31

you have a good and Scott and I went out

48:33

in the market and looked at lots of

48:34

people and there a lot of them were

48:35

great, but a lot of them don't have

48:38

stuff, right? And so this would be

48:39

attractive to people who it's really

48:41

hard to sell advertising well. It's

48:43

really hard to do distribution well.

48:45

It's very hard to do production well.

48:47

And Vox does that well. And there's a

48:49

couple of companies like that that do it

48:50

well too. There's Crooked I think does a

48:52

nice job. So it's valuable and it's not

48:55

as easy to replicate as you think. And

48:57

getting picked off is you sign four-year

48:59

deals everybody. And some of people have

49:01

guarantees. We don't happen to have that

49:03

but uh because we wanted more more

49:05

revenue to us. Um, but it's harder to do

49:08

than you think. And even if you're not

49:10

satisfied with the advertising sales or

49:13

whether you got big or not, it's there.

49:16

Box is one of the better ones, which is

49:18

why we stayed, right? And and and we

49:20

could certainly sell our own

49:22

advertising. It's just a slog and it's

49:24

hard. It's really hard to do it well.

49:26

And so it is an attractive asset and

49:29

there's a lot of people this could plug

49:30

into a lot and just use your

49:32

imagination. And also not just companies

49:35

but individuals who want platform who

49:37

want

49:37

>> CNBC needs to do something.

49:39

>> Exactly. That mean you know you're

49:42

seeing CNN trying to do podcasting with

49:44

Jake Tapper and Anderson.

49:45

>> CNBC is local news with with sleeveless

49:48

dresses and Andrew Ross Orin. I mean

49:50

plus

49:50

>> they're going to be your new friends.

49:51

>> By the way, why why does Joe Karen get

49:53

sleeves and none of the other people do?

49:55

Um anyways the

49:57

>> we do not want to see that. Mark

49:59

>> Brian Roberts and Comcast they are very

50:01

>> it's not Comcast. You have to say Vers.

50:04

No, it's not whatever. It's not the They

50:06

own only a certain portion of it as a

50:08

public company. It's similar. There's

50:10

others anyway. It would help Vers, which

50:12

also needs to be innovative. So, in that

50:14

regard, but there's lots of others.

50:16

>> MSNBC,

50:17

MS Now, I'm sorry, MS Now, MS Now and

50:21

CNBC need a growth strategy. They're

50:23

they are in businesses in structural

50:25

decline. The average age of M MS Now

50:28

viewer I think is 64. CNBC at 67. The

50:32

average age of a podcast listener is 34.

50:35

The average age of pivot listener is 42.

50:37

They need an audience that isn't is

50:39

going to be around for another 5 or 10

50:41

years that buys [ __ ] that is in the

50:43

midst of buying homes, having kids,

50:45

making investments, buying mutual funds.

50:47

And they're smart people. So they do I

50:50

mean CNBC does an amazing job. They have

50:52

some of the finest financial journalists

50:54

in the world. MS now has some of the

50:56

most talented people in the world. So,

50:58

but what they need is is they need a

51:00

structural growth engine. They need to

51:01

find platforms that are growing and are

51:03

attracting

51:04

>> audience. And they've been trying, but

51:06

they're they've definitely been trying

51:07

more than other.

51:07

>> You know who probably inspired this

51:09

whole idea?

51:10

>> Me. What? No.

51:11

>> Other than you is Nicole Wallace.

51:14

>> Yes. Because Nicole, who's got a very

51:17

popular show on MS Now, started a

51:19

podcast that immediately

51:21

>> went to the top of the I would bet

51:23

Nicole's podcast is probably doing seven

51:26

or 10 million a year in ad revenue,

51:27

which doesn't seem like a lot, but I bet

51:29

six or seven of that is go close to the

51:31

bottom line. So, you got to think the

51:34

folks at Versant, Comcast, Roberts, Joey

51:37

Bag of Donuts, HBO Now, whatever you

51:38

want to call it, it have said

51:40

>> they got to be looking, they've got to

51:41

be looking,

51:42

>> they need to be in this business. Look

51:44

at the charts. You and I are near the

51:45

top as in Pivot. Uh individually, both

51:48

of us are. All your market stuff are. Um

51:52

lots of lots of Vox podcasts are near

51:54

the top and over all the the network

51:56

ones. We're often we're always higher

51:59

than all of them. So anyway, it's

52:00

interesting. It's an interesting time.

52:01

We'll see what happens. And we're

52:02

nothing at all. Nothing at all might

52:04

happen. We'll see. Anyway, um uh it

52:07

makes sense to us though. Uh uh we'll go

52:10

on a quick break and when we come back

52:12

the White House launches an app.

52:15

>> Support for Pivot comes from Anthropic.

52:17

Some questions are easy, but other

52:18

questions are a lot more complicated

52:20

than a simple yes or no. And when you're

52:22

deep in the weeds trying to find an

52:23

answer to one of those problems, you

52:25

want a partner who works just as hard as

52:26

you do. And Claude from Anthropic was

52:29

designed to be that partner. Claude is

52:31

the AI for minds that don't stop at good

52:33

enough. It's a collaborator that

52:34

actually understands your entire

52:35

workflow and thinks with you. Whether

52:37

you're debugging code at midnight or

52:38

strategizing your next business move,

52:40

Cloud extends your thinking to tackle

52:42

the problems that matter. And with

52:43

Cloud, you can actually build

52:44

interactive tools and apps to help your

52:46

workflow. Just describe what you need

52:48

from custom calculators to data

52:50

visualization dashboards or even

52:52

prototypes. And Cloud can cover it all

52:54

without writing a single line of code.

52:56

Plus, Cloud's research capabilities go

52:58

deeper than basic web search. It can

52:59

have comprehensive, reliable analysis

53:01

with proper citations, turning hours of

53:03

research into minutes. Ready to tackle

53:05

bigger problems? Get started with Cloud

53:07

today at cloud.ai/pivot.

53:10

That's cloud.ai/pivot

53:12

and check out CloudPro, which includes

53:14

access to all of the features mentioned

53:16

in today's episode. cloud.ai/pivot.

53:22

Scott, we're back with more news. The

53:24

White House just launched an official

53:25

app for iPhone and Android featuring

53:27

press releases and affordability

53:28

tracker, and an ICE tip line. Of course,

53:31

the Trump administration says the app

53:32

offers a direct line to the White House,

53:34

letting people text the president sign

53:35

up for newsletters. But those features

53:37

just link to White House contacts forms

53:38

that are already there, letting the

53:40

administration access users personal

53:41

information and some additional privacy

53:43

concerns. People digging into the app,

53:45

it took 5 seconds, found that it's

53:47

tracking GPS location data every four

53:49

and a half minutes. It's a privacy

53:51

nightmare. Do not download it. Um, just

53:54

very briefly, then we'll get to Winston

53:56

Fails. I would rather give my ex-wife

53:59

access to my text message history than

54:02

sign up for I mean who is [ __ ] stupid

54:06

enough to do that?

54:07

>> I know it's not trustworthy. Don't sign

54:09

up for it.

54:10

>> You think?

54:10

>> No, but I mean I wouldn't mind that the

54:12

White House has an app. It's just this

54:14

one is a People were like, "Okay, a

54:17

company doing this, you'd call them

54:18

scummy. The government doing this to its

54:21

citizens." The same people that are

54:22

demanding voter roles

54:24

>> that are that are that are targeting

54:27

people that are hiring Palunteer to

54:29

surveil people and you want to sign up

54:31

for their app

54:32

>> don't and it's really sad because the

54:33

White House should have direct

54:34

communication with people but to help

54:36

people not to take advantage of their

54:38

[ __ ] information. These people like

54:40

literally but someone who does apps is

54:42

like I I would think this is scummy for

54:45

a scummy person, right? Not our federal

54:47

friaking government. Very typical of the

54:49

Trump administration. Do not get it. do

54:51

not get it. And also an ice tip line.

54:54

What kind of person are you that you tip

54:55

on people? Gh,

54:57

>> as my grand my grandfather was, you

54:58

know, a mob mob adjacent, I would say.

55:02

Not really in the mob. Um, but like I

55:05

hate a a rat. A rat a rat. Like, you

55:09

know, it's fine to say see something,

55:10

say something. You see a bag in an

55:12

airport, yes, report it. But reporting

55:14

on your fellow citizens is if they're

55:16

not criminals, if they're not criminals,

55:18

[ __ ] you for doing that. You terrible

55:20

people. Anyway,

55:21

>> yeah,

55:22

>> one more quick break. We'll be back for

55:24

wins and fails. Okay, Scott, let's hear

55:27

some wins and fails. I think I shall

55:29

start.

55:30

>> You go.

55:31

>> Um, I, you know, I really, I have to say

55:34

I really like Slope. I didn't think I'd

55:37

say that, but I do. I'm a Manhattan

55:38

girl, but I really enjoy uh being there

55:41

and uh spending time there. I like going

55:43

to different places and but I mostly

55:45

want to say the win is Scott Gallery for

55:46

being such a good landlord to me when I

55:48

was in New York.

55:48

>> That's nice. Thank you. He's been

55:50

generous and I love his apartment. It's

55:52

wonderful. I I love being in like a lot

55:54

I feel really good about cities and I

55:56

feel like New York feels great.

55:58

Washington does feel great. I'm going to

56:00

San Francisco soon. I just I'm very uh

56:03

I'm very up on cities these days and

56:05

like kind of the creativity that you see

56:07

everywhere um in in them and just kind

56:10

of just a I just love a melting pot of

56:12

people. I really do. Um so I really I

56:14

I'm I'm winds are cities again. melting

56:17

poted $3,000 a square foot.

56:20

>> Yeah. Who's melting?

56:21

>> No way. But I'm just saying I went all

56:23

over. I went all over the city and and

56:26

it just was I just love a city. I just

56:27

love a city.

56:28

>> I so could have predicted you to end up

56:29

in Brooklyn.

56:30

>> I No, I would have done

56:33

>> I would have done the West Village, but

56:35

Amanda really likes that area and she's

56:38

friends there. And I get it. And I get

56:39

it. I get it. I get it. Anyway, um

56:43

>> Oh god, you're going to have

56:43

Birkenstocks.

56:44

>> No, I'm not. I never wear Birkenstocks.

56:46

This is never happening. No, I wear

56:48

Vans. Let's be clear. All right. And my

56:50

fail is um Oh, God, there's so many. But

56:52

I think the worst one is

56:54

>> I mean, I was going between Melania

56:56

Trump's robot for teaching children,

56:58

which I'm like, worst idea ever. I'm

57:01

sorry. Like, I don't mind robots folding

57:02

laundry, and I'm sure we'll have them,

57:04

and I don't mind them delivering things.

57:06

Fine, whatever. But teaching children

57:09

should be done by people with help from

57:11

technology. That is fine. But this

57:13

personalized educators for American

57:15

children and her walking out there. I

57:16

couldn't tell which was the robot and

57:17

which was Melania, which is a typical

57:20

joke, but honestly, what an idiot. I

57:22

She's really What an amoronic thing to

57:25

to feature at the White House is a

57:27

featured stage and to stage the idea and

57:30

insulting teachers. I I my my kid just

57:33

got in, my little kid got into the same

57:35

public school Claire is in for next

57:37

year. And I went walked by the teacher

57:39

and I said, "Alex, I mean Saul got in um

57:43

to the class and she was like, "Yay,

57:45

go." And I just love I just I love the

57:47

teachers. They really are dedicated and

57:48

committed, the ones we have dealt with,

57:50

especially in public schools, but all

57:52

the schools that the kids have been to.

57:53

Um and so I just hated that that thing.

57:55

And the second one was Trump signing the

57:57

US currency. It was always been a

57:59

Treasury Secretary person. Just another

58:02

grotesque like look at me, mommy didn't

58:05

hug me moment. So just gross. Just just

58:09

like I can't wait till we get rid of all

58:11

this stuff off all all the gold in the

58:13

office which has gotten out of control

58:15

and the whole thing. I can't wait we

58:16

tear it all down. Every bit of it. So

58:19

including getting his signature off the

58:20

dollar when when he puts it on. Anyway,

58:22

Scott,

58:24

>> I like those. Uh so my win is and you

58:27

mentioned this. I watched Louis

58:28

Thorough's documentary The Manosphere

58:30

and I I really I it was very

58:32

illuminating for me. Um, and a few of

58:35

the takeaways,

58:37

uh, first off, these quoteunquote,

58:40

you know, icons of the manosphere, these

58:42

podcasters or the folks portrayed,

58:45

>> they're grifters and they don't even buy

58:48

the things that they don't even buy into

58:50

the ideology. There's always a crypto

58:52

scam or a trading platform.

58:55

>> Yeah.

58:56

>> Or or, you know, buy their course or

58:59

whatever it is. Um, and they themselves,

59:03

this is not about ideology for them.

59:05

This is just this is just purely a

59:07

grift. And

59:09

>> and I think a decent

59:10

>> they're selling ideology as a product.

59:12

>> Well, and they're also trying to sell

59:14

masculinity and what I would argue is a

59:16

decent proxy for or a decent query for

59:19

masculinity is simple and ask yourself a

59:21

question. Are you optimizing for

59:23

attention or for service? And these guys

59:26

are optimizing for attention. Full stop.

59:28

And the other takeaway is I thought that

59:32

uh Louie really did a good job of

59:34

exemplifying that

59:37

um strength is more about he's this

59:40

slight guy who's a bit awkward and he

59:44

owns the room when he's in it.

59:45

>> He does

59:46

>> because he's quiet. He asks hard

59:49

questions.

59:50

>> He's not mean. And the other thing, the

59:53

takeaway I think for younger men

59:55

watching that is it's okay to

59:57

occasionally absorb a blow. And that,

59:59

and I didn't learn this until I was

60:01

older, I thought if someone was rude to

60:02

me or coming off in traffic, I had to

60:04

restore equilibri equilibrium to the

60:05

universe and get back in their face. And

60:07

at one point in the documentary, his

60:10

subjects were making fun of him, mocking

60:11

him, and he just takes it. It's like, I

60:14

got a job to do. The other thing that

60:15

kind of rattled me was,

60:18

and I think this is true of the

60:19

manosphere, and it's a lesson for the

60:21

left, I don't think I think a lot of the

60:24

young men who are quoteunquote in the

60:26

manosphere or drawn to these these these

60:30

men or these I don't know what you would

60:31

call them grifters.

60:35

It's not that they necessarily buy into

60:37

this [ __ ]

60:39

um ideology of dominating women or I

60:42

mean actually some of these some of the

60:43

stuff it actually starts off fine. Be

60:45

fit, take control, be aggressive,

60:48

initiate your life, manifest success and

60:51

then it comes off the [ __ ] rails and

60:52

it's usually about just dominating women

60:54

and being a total misogynist.

60:56

>> But what you found, I thought what was

60:58

most interesting is when they

60:59

interviewed some of the acolytes, the

61:00

people who are really drawn to these

61:02

people.

61:03

>> Inspiration. It's really upsetting

61:06

because what these kids, what these

61:08

boys, and they aren't boys, what they're

61:09

looking for,

61:10

>> Yeah.

61:11

>> they're not, it's not that they're drawn

61:13

to this ideology or this political

61:15

viewpoint. It's not even they're drawn,

61:16

I I don't think, to the misogyny.

61:19

>> They're drawn and they're so desperate

61:22

for community.

61:23

>> They are.

61:23

>> They want a reason to hang out with and

61:26

have a common bond

61:28

>> among other young men.

61:29

>> Yeah. They want to get better. They want

61:31

to feel better about themselves. They

61:32

want to improve This is where the left

61:34

has failed.

61:35

>> Mhm. I agree.

61:36

>> What orthodoxy or ideology on the left

61:38

creates a community for young men.

61:41

>> Yeah. What is it?

61:41

>> You you said that early on when

61:43

commisers didn't have stuff on her thing

61:45

about men. I don't think they

61:46

>> tell young men they're the problem.

61:47

That's not a community to rally around.

61:49

>> And pointed that out. And I think I

61:51

think what we have to do is like feel

61:53

like we're in it. Like I I the questions

61:56

I got, you know, I have expert

61:57

questions. One was for the guy who did

61:58

adolescence, Jack. And then I had

62:00

Gretchen Whitmer ask a question which

62:02

who's been doing a lot of man boy stuff

62:04

in in the state because she understands

62:07

it and so you're right. You're 100%

62:10

right. Okay.

62:10

>> Anyways, my win I thought Louis Thorough

62:12

documentary the manifest I found it so

62:14

rattling. I thought these young men just

62:17

so sad. One one of the young men he was

62:19

talking about his brother took his own

62:20

life. You could tell these young men are

62:22

just so desperate to find community and

62:25

a sense of safety and and other people

62:27

who it's not even the ideology they're

62:30

bonding over. They're just bonding.

62:32

Anyways, uh that's my win. My fail is

62:35

that I can I believe that the Democrats

62:38

continue to show a lack of creativity

62:39

and leadership around a series of

62:41

incentives of what they are going to do

62:43

and spell it out very specifically what

62:46

they are going to do when they get

62:46

control of the House and potentially the

62:48

Senate. And it should be something along

62:49

the lines of the following. Everyone is

62:52

saying, "Oh, we can't go after these

62:54

individuals despite their crimes because

62:55

they're just going to get a pardon."

62:57

[ __ ]

62:58

If you look at the law, once once

63:02

Democrats control of Congress and

63:04

Senate, they have subpoena power. Once

63:06

they get subpoena power, they should go

63:08

after specific individuals for crimes.

63:10

And then they should coordinate, and

63:11

this is the key, with the attorney

63:13

generals in blue states and start going

63:16

after these individuals who are no

63:17

longer protected by federal pardons. So,

63:21

for example, the attorney general in

63:22

California might decide that if a trade

63:25

on crypto went through and that family

63:28

members of the Trump administration were

63:30

illegally manipulating markets or

63:32

engaging in any sort of insider trading

63:35

that California AG can coordinate with

63:37

Democratic representatives to bring a

63:39

case against them and that case is not

63:41

subject to the protections of a federal

63:43

pardon. They need to sooner rather than

63:45

later put these people on notice that if

63:48

you are murdering people uh under the

63:51

oposes of a secret police, if you are

63:53

lying under oath, if you are engaged in

63:55

crypto scams, if you have companies that

63:57

overnight get contracts from the

63:58

military violating the imalments clause,

64:01

be clear,

64:02

>> it's crazy. and a a a candidate for

64:05

president or a senator or Democratic

64:07

representatives should outline specific

64:09

cases they are going to bring against

64:12

specific individuals in coordination

64:14

with specific AGS in specific states

64:17

that are not protected by a presidential

64:20

pardon.

64:21

>> Yeah.

64:21

>> And and who's done that?

64:24

>> Mhm.

64:24

>> [ __ ] nobody.

64:26

>> Some of these attorney generals are

64:27

working at it. Scott, I think that's not

64:28

fair. I think they are preparing them.

64:30

>> We got close

64:31

>> Yeah.

64:31

>> with what was her name? Fanny Hill.

64:33

Fanny

64:34

>> in Georgia, the Fulton County.

64:36

>> Yep.

64:36

>> But unfortunately, she like Chrissy

64:38

Gnome was [ __ ] her number two, which

64:40

blew that case apart.

64:42

>> Yes, that did.

64:43

>> But there is real opportunity here.

64:45

>> There is. I think there's more. I'm

64:47

being contacted by a lot of I think

64:48

attorney generals are really starting to

64:50

coordinate quite a bit on around these

64:51

things. And one of the things that's

64:53

critical for all of you people waiting

64:54

for a Trump pardon. Remember, he's not

64:56

going to give it to you till the very

64:57

end because he's loyal only to himself.

64:59

And he's going to extract something from

65:00

you. And that might be too late. So

65:03

>> I'm saying take that off the table.

65:04

>> Yeah. No, I know. But I'm just saying it

65:06

just I think a lot of people are gonna

65:08

get

65:08

>> if the AG in Minnesota is saying you

65:10

committed manslaughter and you lied

65:12

under oath and as a result we have an

65:14

ICU nurse who was who is buried.

65:18

We can come after you. Presidential

65:20

pardon or not. And these are the people

65:22

we're coming for. And these are the

65:24

subpoenas we're issuing when we're in

65:25

control of Congress and the Senate.

65:26

Okay. Anyways, that's my that's my fail

65:28

is I think the Democrats need to start

65:30

punching back more creatively and more

65:32

aggressively.

65:33

>> I like it. I like it a lot. Okay, we

65:35

want to hear from you. Send us your

65:37

questions about business, tech, or

65:38

whatever is on your mind. Go to

65:39

nymag.com/pivot to submit a question for

65:41

the show or call 8551 pivot. Elsewhere

65:43

in the Karen Scott universe from the

65:45

latest episode of On with Cara Swisser,

65:47

I spoke with North Carolina Republican

65:49

Senator Tom Tillis. We talked about his

65:51

upcoming retirement and how he can more

65:52

freely criticize the Trump

65:53

administration right now. Let's listen

65:55

to a clip. I have expressed my concern

65:58

in the past. I no longer have to worry

66:01

about what language I use to communicate

66:04

it because I don't have to go through

66:05

the cost.

66:06

>> You can be clearer than some of your

66:08

colleagues because I have to tell you

66:09

when I talk to some of your colleagues

66:10

off the record, the Republicans, they're

66:12

much more critical of Trump or

66:13

>> of course. But look, I mean, you know

66:15

what all martyrs have in common? What?

66:17

>> They're dead. And in politics, that's

66:19

losing elections.

66:21

>> Very smart guy. Very interesting guy.

66:23

But some people call him too late. Tell

66:25

us that he's done he always thought this

66:27

and didn't say it. Other people think,

66:28

well, good for him. And he is actually

66:30

holding up uh the the the Fed chair

66:33

thing because of the [ __ ] uh thing

66:35

and he's holding up a lot of stuff. He

66:37

helped get Christy Gnome out of there.

66:39

So I'm you know whatever. My friend Neil

66:41

Brennan, he was he said something very

66:44

>> cogent and he said despite the

66:45

temptation to say you idiots, we told

66:47

you so or whatever,

66:49

>> we need to be really good at welcoming

66:51

anybody, right? And praising anybody.

66:53

>> Yeah,

66:54

>> I agree. I agree. I think he's been he's

66:56

going to be very effective through

66:57

January of getting stuff cuz he's he's

67:00

he's a very complex politician who's

67:02

very behind uh gay marriage and stuff

67:04

like it's he's a complex conservative

67:06

and that's what we should.

67:07

>> When you say behind gay marriage, you

67:08

mean against it? No, for he helped pass

67:11

it when he was in North Carolina or

67:12

something of protections. He's he's much

67:14

more um complex as a as a politician and

67:17

we should allow our conservative and

67:19

liberal politicians to be complex and

67:22

maybe not fully be on board with the

67:24

purity test on either side. Agreed.

67:26

>> Okay, that's the show. Thanks for

67:27

listening to Pivot and be sure to like

67:28

and subscribe to our YouTube channel.

67:30

We'll be back on Friday.

Interactive Summary

This episode of Pivot discusses several key topics including the political situation in Iran, the growing influence of Elon Musk and his companies, and the challenges facing the media industry. The hosts analyze the complexities of the US-Iran conflict, noting the potential for a quagmire and the failure of intelligence planning. They delve into Elon Musk's ambitions with SpaceX, its potential IPO valuation, and the broader implications of his immense wealth and power. The conversation also touches on the struggles of traditional media, particularly local news, and the strategic shifts occurring within media conglomerates like Vox Media, with a focus on the growing importance of podcasting. Additionally, the episode critiques the Trump administration's actions, including the White House app's privacy concerns and the approach to international relations. Wins and fails are shared, highlighting positive city experiences and critiquing political and personal failings.

Suggested questions

10 ready-made prompts