Scott Galloway Says Iran War is “The Definition of a Quagmire” | Pivot
2059 segments
This is kind of the definition of a
quagmire and that is I'm not sure at
this point he has any choice but to put
boots on the ground. I would argue at
this point Cara Iran is winning.
>> Hi everyone. This is Pivot from New York
Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast
Network. I'm Carara Swisser
>> and I'm Scott Callaway.
>> Scott, I have officially left your
apartment in New York State.
>> Oh, you moved into your new place? Yes,
I bought a small apartment in Brooklyn
in
>> Parkrooklyn where all the kid core kids
are.
>> I have to say I enjoyed it. We went this
weekend went to IKEA for 17 hours which
was fun. Actually bought a range of
inexpensive furniture and it's very
lovely actually. We we we it's very
nice. I miss you but I have to move on
from our relation our housing
relationship.
>> So do you know how many times I've been
to Brooklyn in 25 years?
>> How many?
>> Twice. both times to be to go to the so
house there. There's no reason to ever
live the island unless you're going to
JFK or LaGuardia.
>> It's nice. We're very well known in Park
Slope. I can tell you that. I got to
stop.
>> I don't doubt it. Royalty in Brooklyn.
Jesus Christ. I can't even imagine.
>> Hi, Cara. Welcome to Brooklyn.
>> I know. That's exactly what happened. It
was two other things. Let me just say
two other phenomena. So, I have all
these books that I get for my podcast
and probably you do too, right? I I I
cannot get rid of them here. I put them
out on the stoop in Brooklyn. they were
gone. Like I have to say I get all these
free books and they're good books and
they're all interesting, but I have to I
like the whole culture of people walking
by and taking things and giving away
things. It's really nice. So yeah, there
you have it. We are now officially semi
not we don't live there, but it's nice
and anyone can stay. All you listeners
can stay at my Brooklyn place. No, you
can stay. I extend an invitation to you,
Scott Galloway.
>> Happen. Um so gonna happen because it
has a key of furniture. That's why
>> uh you went to IKEA.
>> Yeah, I love IKEA.
>> Um don't uh why why do you like IKEA?
>> Uh cuz it's cuz actually it's f it's
it's perfectly nice stuff. If you get
the the more the slightly more expensive
stuff there, it's fine. And it's it I
don't want I don't want to buy more. I
have really nice furniture in where I
live and I just don't need more
furniture.
>> The when I was there, the IKEA sales
lady wanted to have sex with me, but all
I wanted was a was one night stand.
get it.
>> I don't believe you have an IKEA joke at
the ready.
>> I don't think I've ever been to an IKEA.
It's a phenomena. It's um
>> I still was making a furniture all night
long.
>> I don't know. IKEA for me is is like uh
a porn video and that is I'll never be
able to do the same thing at home. It
just it looks different at IKEA than in
my own home when I try it.
>> Yeah. Well, I'm a lesbian so I can
assemble things. Well, I'm very good
with that.
>> You're
>> Are you building a wood canoe in your
living room?
>> I did. I have to build this bed. I gave
up on it.
>> Woodwork.
>> Yeah. The other thing I did, and I want
to recommend I went to my friend Sean
Hayes's show called The Unknown. And
it's a little bit about internet. It's a
little bit about It's really good. It's
a one-man show. Uh it's a M I think it's
by David Kale, I think, is the
playright. What a wonderful show. I have
to We had a really nice time on this
Broadway.
>> It's off Broadway. He started off
Broadway. I recommend it. The unknown.
My Mexican friend
>> builds all my IKEA furniture. I call him
my instruction I call him my instruction
Manuel.
>> Oh my god. Just go. Okay. All right.
Anyway,
>> at least upgrade to At least upgrade to
West Elm.
>> I have Westm stuff. I have I have uh the
other one.
>> Position the brand of West Elm. It's one
of my first clients.
>> I like Westm actually. They make I have
several I have some I have a West Elm
bed here and I love it. I have
>> You know what the strategy was? Well,
I'm patting myself in the back. I my
first strategy engagement.
>> Oh yeah.
>> Uh out of business school was helping
position the Old Navy brand.
>> And it was pretty easy. 80% of the gap
for 50% of the price. And so my big
insight at William Sonoma 5 years later
was
>> West Elm 80% of Pottery Barn for 50% of
the price.
>> Oh, interesting. It's nicer than Pottery
Barn. I think Pottery Barn sort of lost
the
>> West Elm is the fastest zero to a
billion dollar brands in history have
been that axiom. 80% of the 80% of the
kind of industry leader for 50% of the
price whether it's Southwest or Old Navy
or West Elm.
>> It's West's a little nicer. And then
there's the one room and board which is
nice. I get a lot
>> No, they do a great job.
>> They do be I get a lot of their stuff.
>> Not nearly as successful financially
though.
>> Yeah. And then what's the one that has
uh the big air couch? The big uh
>> Well, Restoration Hardware.
>> Restoration Hardware. I have a that's
that has that has all of my stuff in San
Francisco. I got Restoration. Well,
Gary, I I would I used to be very into
merchandising because I was in that
business. The greatest, in my opinion,
the greatest merchant of the last 20
years is is uh Gary Freriedman, the CEO
of Restoration Hardware.
>> Yeah, he had seen Cloud Couch. It's a
cloud couch.
>> Uh he and I he and I are friends. He he
gave me a tour of their space in um
>> in the meat packing district. They It
was really interesting in the
restaurant, which I think does more
dollars per square foot than the store
combined, but they don't serve alcohol
cuz he said he wanted a safe place for
women to come and just hang out. And
then when when people drink alcohol,
they get rowdy and obnoxious, which I
thought was interesting. They have a
beautiful alcohol
>> in Manhattan, like go to lunch there.
It's nice. Anyway, I have different
levels of furniture depending on the
house. San Francisco is all restoration
hardware. Yeah. Anyway, all right. We'll
move on because we got to get to the We
love furniture
day. No, no. I go I went to IKEA. I I
assembled furniture this weekend.
Anyway, before we get to the news, uh
this weekend around 8 million One thing
I didn't do, I didn't go to a No Kings
rally over because I was assembling a
key of furniture. Over 3,300 events
around the world. I went to the last
one, I think, over 200,000 people
attended the flagship rally in
Minnesota. Incredible crowds. Some signs
uh stand out, including you can't bomb
away bomb your way out of the Epstein
files. My country went to hell and all I
got was this lousy ballroom. and balls
for grabs with a sign that said free
balls for Republicans.
They were I love the signs. I you know
it was really a lot of people. Eight
million people. That's a lot of people.
>> I'm in London. Although they did have a
protest here which I did which I didn't
go to but
>> I don't know. I did what all lazy people
do to virtue signal. I reposted Yeah.
>> I reposted other people sacrificing.
>> No, it was they looked wonderful and
festive. I thought Bruce Spring I
thought they were also did the messaging
was excellent. I thought it was
affordability. It's about no kids. It
was everybody has all the progressives
have modulated in a way that I think is
very attractive. Very they're moving
into the James Terico version of
Democrats, right? The hey, what are we
going to hear to help you affordability?
We want a thing. And the one thing I
really like, there was a picture, a
beautiful picture of Joan Bayz and um
>> uh Jane Fonda that was with gray hair
together was gorgeous. I thought that
was I just thought it was visually very
attractive. I think there is a real
movement of people of all these
elections happening and people are so
sick of feeling bad and feeling like
everything's a grift. It just feels it
there was definitely a tide. I don't
know if these protests help, but I like
them. I think they're
>> supposedly Well, first off, it just
feels and I say this all the time, but
my buddy Dan Harris action absorbs
anxiety. It feels really good to do
things with other people. And Timothy
Snder says that protests start to build
an infrastructure for organization and
taking names and people get invested in
it. So they want to turn out again and
they want to register people to vote.
Also supposedly the supposedly there's a
tipping point where if you get 3 and a
half% of the population to demonstrate
that usually conotes change. So this
wasn't that cuz that would be I think
about 11 or 12 million people. Just some
data here. The October pro protest drew
roughly 7 million and uh Saturday's
turnout was nine million. So it's
building. And what's interesting or the
most piece of data I thought is that
twothirds of the RSVPs came from outside
major urban centers including
>> including conservativeleaning states
such as Idaho, Wyoming, Montana, Utah,
South Dakota, Louisiana.
>> Yeah. Those protests that takes a thing
for people to do things like that there
like the villages. Did you see all the
little villages carts? Yeah. Yeah. That
was kind of cool.
>> What is traditionally very conservative
and also the kind of the flagship was at
uh Minneapolis where almost a quarter of
a million people turned out. Uh
Springsteen performed. You mentioned
Joan Baz and Jane Fonda, Maggie Rogers
and Senator.
>> So just some context, the Women's March
in January 2017,
previously considered the largest single
day protest in US history, drew an
estimated uh 3.3 to 56 5.6 million
people. So this was bigger. The BLM
protest in June of 2020 drew an
estimated 15 to 26 million people, but
over several weeks, but that was spread
across multiple days. So if the 9
million uh person turnout estimate hold,
Saturday's protest would be the largest
single day demonstration in American
history.
>> People are tired and they want to do
something. And it's not it's not
hopeless. I went to the women's one. I
actually I took my sons to that. I made
them wear [ __ ] hats. Well, that's the
way it goes. Anyway, it was we had
actually had a wonderful time. I like
doing things like that with my kids
because they can see things in action.
Okay, moving on. Uh, President Trump
says the US is in serious discussions
with the new regime in Iran, but he's
also threatening to completely destroy
key energy sites if a deal is not
reached. That's a nice way to negotiate.
This is the Pentagon preparing for what
could be weeks of ground operations in
Iran, according to the Washington Post.
Total number of US troops in the Middle
East are now 50,000 around 50,000. That
is insane amounts of people. roughly
10,000 higher than typical levels. Uh
the Iranian military is warning that any
US occupation would lead to captivity,
dismemberment, and disappearance. It is
worrisome with all those people there.
There's always something bad going to
happen. And as the war drags on, markets
are sliding down with NASDAQ and Dow
falling into correction territory last
week and the S&P down about 7%. Markets
are sort of a a trailing indicator of
some of this stuff, I think. But um I
think it it's creates a jittery feeling
just because of the shifting back and
forth. And if you noticed, a lot of
Trump people, especially Marco Rubio and
JD Vance, were not on any of the Sunday
shows. They're avoiding all the cabinet
members are avoiding the Sunday shows.
Um, I had a really interesting interview
before I went to New York with Tom
Tillis, which I think you should all
listen to. It's up today. I mean, he was
expressing great distaste for this whole
action. Um, we had a he's a obviously a
very conservative senator from North
Carolina. He's leaving Congress so he
feels like he can say whatever he wants,
which he did. Um, so what do you think's
happening here, Scott? I mean, the back
and forth and the people are sort of
trying to get out of the Trump blast
zone on this situation. I'm sorry to use
that metaphor, but
>> well, to say it's complicated is an
understatement, but I'm one of the
people that would argue that
>> we've been at war with Iran for the last
47 years. The first act of this regime
in 1979 was to take Americans hostage.
The question is, is this escalation in
the war? Uh, was it a smart idea? And I
think if it had gone 72 hours in terms
of getting some coordination with
European allies and even Gulf allies,
>> you could have potentially declared
victory and really had a win. Um, but
this is kind of the definition of a
quagmire and that is I'm not sure at
this point he has any choice but to put
boots on the ground because I and I had
Senator Warner on my podcast. I would
argue at this point, Cara, Iran is
winning.
>> Yeah, that's that the IRGC has shown
that they can they can push back the,
you know,
>> the great Satans of Israel and the
United States. And what is at the end of
the day, I think this is an enormous
failure of uh our intelligence director
uh Tulsi Gabbard.
>> Yeah.
>> To not contemplate or consider a
scenario where they cut off the straits
of Hormuz. She probably advised that.
She didn't want to go. She's the America
first. Greg, her ad and Vance are on the
maybe not so much kind of group.
>> Yeah, but you okay, but they they're
claiming now that they're going to try
and work with their allies who are all
saying [ __ ] you if you're going to be
this much of a prick to us. But they
they're doing [ __ ] in reverse order.
They should have secured the straits of
foremost before doing this. They should
have contemplated, well, what happens if
they start firing Shihad drones that
cost $20,000 and it cost us 2 million to
shoot them down? What if they start
firing them into Dubai? So some basic
scenario planning and intelligence from
the people char I mean
>> I think he got that. I think some guy
told him to do this like I the
>> there's no leadership that it doesn't
matter if it doesn't bubble up
>> which is what Tillis said. Tillis was
like I he always tries very hard not to
insult Trump himself but he's like the
advisers and he's particularly for
example went after Steven Miller on
immigration. He particularly goes after
the adviserss. He's like he's either you
have an adviser who's stupid and just
like tells them dumb things or you have
an adviser who knows better who says
nothing, right? Who doesn't who tries to
like assuage the president versus and he
goes either way his adviserss suck, you
know? And I think that's true, but at
some point it's treating Trump like a
toddler. Oh, we managed to keep him this
or that. So, it's a complicated
situation there is this guy wants to do
what he wants to do now and he has
advisers who are either too weak to tell
him the truth or tell him the truth and
then get fired or slapped for it kind of
stuff. I don't know. It's a problematic
sit it's not certainly not the the group
of rivals that Lincoln had.
>> Well, but a lot of people would argue on
the opposite side that basically
Secretary Rubio is a shadow president
making these decisions and so is his
son-in-law Kushner. So,
>> right,
>> you know, which is it? Is he listening
to people or is he not? Because it to me
this is just such a striking
intelligence failure to not do some
basic scenario planning around what if
and we are now in a position of weakness
where I mean the general not the
consensus but when I speak to people in
the intelligence community there's a
feeling okay the most obvious next step
here is that he feels to save face
because the RGC has said [ __ ] you you
can pretend you're talking to us we're
not talking back we have dispersed we
anti we did scenario planning we We
anticipated what if our leadership is
killed and they have dispersed military
and executive authority out to the
various regions. So they're like cut off
the head of the snake. That's okay. We
the snake's going to keep moving. So
there was no basic uh essential basic
scenario planning here. And the general
feeling is that he will land troops
potentially on Car Island and then try
and secure Kar and do a deal to exchange
Carg for opening the Straits of Hormuz.
>> Right. No, but that's what we had
before. Like one of the things that
>> I'm not arguing it's we're in a good
spot.
>> One of the things when I talked to
Tillis and when I also talked to Warner
is that the same thing you're talking
about these drones and everything else
like the word obliterate that he
obliterated it months ago the nuclear
facilities but now he's obliterating
more and you know tell us who's sort of
had seems to have run out of [ __ ] was
like yeah we obliterated again and then
we obliterated it like you know
>> you can't that's like to say you
obliterate. All right. So essentially
what you have
>> making fun of Trump. I believe that's
what was happening there.
>> Again the the key word in all of this
coming out of Ukraine and now this war
is asymmetry. And that is wars and
shaping of you know energy routes and
ability to solve things without when
diplomatic means have failed have been
based on very expensive platforms and
technology no one else had access to. It
has gone the entirely other way. And now
you can essentially build a drone for
$20,000 with a two-stroke engine similar
to what's in a motorcycle. And that's
like to say you're gonna obliterate it.
If if we all of a sudden declared war on
Texas and most of the Southwest
actually, which Iran is bigger than, and
said, "Okay, how do you find every
little factory that's pull push pulling
together lawnmowers?" That's what you're
up against. you're not going to be able
and then they launch 40 of these things
and the defense systems get confused and
all you need it's similar similar to the
Department of Homeland Security or the
FBI they have to stop every terrorist
attack right
>> and the notion that just one
>> one
>> one ship is set on fire or the Burj
Khalifa is taken down in Dubai
>> that's all they need and what's actually
stopping this and you can imagine
>> if you're if you're transporting tens or
hundreds of millions of dollars of a
product called oil through a dangerous
area, there needs to be insurance
against that payment against that that
substance arriving at its destination.
In other words, there's cross party
collateralization in insurance. And
right now, I would argue what's actually
holding up the straits of Hormos is I
don't believe any insurance company is
willing to insure these tankers right
now.
>> Yeah, I don't know what I would do if I
was running these companies. Anyway,
we'll see what happens. It's still
confusing and it's gone on far too long.
This confusing and I think that's the
real problem. He's really stuck in a a
quagmire.
>> A quagmire. This is the definition in a
corner.
>> If he had after 72 hours said we've
we've further diminished their ability
to fund proxies. We have substantially
denigrated their launch capabilities. We
have we have made the the the leadership
infrastructure much more insecure and
diminished it vastly. we are now going
to work with our Gulf allies and
European nations to try and maintain a
sense of security and keep in a box. He
probably could have declared at some
level victory.
>> But Scott, chaos follows this guy. The
chaos is his his brand right now.
Anyway, um
>> agreed.
>> Uh let's move on. The boys are uh really
back together. Speaking of which,
speaking of chaos, Elon Musk joined a
phone call with President Trump and
India's Prime Minister Modi about the
Strait of Hormuz. It's unclear whether
Mus spoke on the call and neither
government mentioned his presence in the
official readouts. Meanwhile, as we all
know, SpaceX is preparing to launch the
largest IPO of all time, reportedly
targeting a $ 1.75 trillion valuation,
which is kind of a lot over their
revenues, but okay, fine. That's a Musk
company. Musk reportedly wants to have
investors come to SpaceX's seat
facilities and rocket launches. He does
that a lot. He invites people in to show
off his wares of impressive wares. He
does He's doing that with robotics, too,
which are pretty cool. Um, the company
is also considering limiting share sales
by early investors, a preferential
treatment for investors in Musk's other
companies, which is why they suck up to
him so and reserving a large That's why
they buy Twitter, so they can get into
this. And reserving a large portion of
the shares for individual investors.
That's fine. That's great. Speaking of
making amends with his enemies, text
released as part of Musk's lawsuit
against OpenAI show that Zuckerberg
tested Musk saying, "Looks like Doge is
making progress. I've got our teams on
alert to take down contact doxing or
threatening the people on your team. Let
me know if there's anything I can do to
help. Oh, he does want to content
moderate. Musk hearted the message and
then asked Zucker would be open to
bidding on open AI with him, which the
two seem to have spoken about on the
phone. I mean, these people say one
thing in public and another in private,
but talk first about um the phone call,
then the IPO, and you know, Mark
Zuckerberg will talk to anybody if it
means a deal. So, that's what I think
about that.
I don't I I don't have a problem with
the president inviting people into a
call that he thinks can help achieve the
objectives whether it's someone who has
domain expertise whether Musk is the
right person to have on the call but I
think the president should bring to bear
any resources he thinks going to result
in a more productive conversation
and Modi is probably wants probably
wants uh you know Starlink or maybe Modi
and Musk have a pre-existing
relationship who knows or maybe like you
said he's just showing them off. The
staggering thing for me is I I can't
wait for the S1 because the target
valuation of 1 8 trillion. This company,
you know, it's projected or generated
roughly 15 to 16 billion and about 8
billion in profit in 2025.
That means at the IPO it's trading at
109 times trailing revenue.
>> That's a must company, right? Are you
going to do like you did with Weiwork?
I'd love to see.
>> Oh, but that's more than pound. Oh, no.
No. This is a real company. It might be
overvalued. Yeah.
>> But we work as it scaled lost more
money. This is a company with
unbelievable
product and moes. It's But two things
can be true at once. Is it an
unbelievable company with I think
probably the widest moes in the business
world right now? Absolutely.
>> For now.
>> For now. Um but everyone feels like a
distant number two. Like who's the
number two here?
>> I don't know. I think people will catch
up in this. I think I take a lot
everyone said no when it catch Tesla.
Everyone caught Tesla and it was a lot
faster than we thought. Right.
>> Yeah. But manufacturing manufacturing an
EV versus a launch capability.
>> I just I think
>> you think someone's going to catch up.
>> I think I think Bezos is working on it.
I think a lot of countries there's ones
happening in Europe. I think look it's
not going to be the only one and
everyone's going to be like why are we
you know it's sort of like the Lockheed
problem right? I think a lot of people
think it's an attractive thing. 90% of
launches.
>> I get it. They are the only remember
when he said it.
>> They are the only company in the world
right now that is capable of putting
humans into space.
>> Yep. Yep. And when you look at when you
look at space and whether it's energy or
connectivity or or or space military or
space defense, they're all for a while
going to have to come through SpaceX. At
the same time,
>> no question.
>> At the same time, is it worth
>> Yes.
>> 109 times revenue? I don't
>> situation. Tesla is declining
precipitously and yet it still trades at
a ridiculous.
>> But Musk owns roughly 42% of SpaceX. So
this IPO could make him the first
recorded trillionaire in history. And on
Kyi the odds that he'll become the a
trillionaire this year are 71%. So
there's almost a three in4 chance
according to a lot of people
>> that Musk is about to become the
trillionaire. And that is in my view
really uh troubling uh because I think
as a species we need guard rails and
money directly translates to power and I
don't think any unelected person should
have this much power.
>> Yeah, he definitely pushes himself into
every single aspect of our lives, you
know, in some way and he'll do a
trillion dollars. Say he takes
>> politically he'll be problematic. say he
says, "Okay, I'm I'm going to die soon
and I want to be worth five trillion and
I'm going to I want to I want to decide
who the next president is. I'm going to
take 3% of my net worth, which would be
$30 billion." There's there's evidence
that he had influence on Trump's
election with 250 million.
>> Mhm.
>> So with
>> But he didn't in Wisconsin with 25.
That's a lot in that state. Like I think
it's a mixed bag. When he shows up, it's
a lot of money. When he shows up, it's a
lot of Yeah. No, you know, I think
>> Citizens United and a guy being worth a
trillion dollars.
>> Agreed.
>> Is really scary.
>> It also has effects of if this guy is
he's like the Soros or he's the Soros of
the right essentially now, right on some
level. And I do think it has a negative
impact and and alerts people to this
situation that he I don't think money
buys everything. He's he's failed in a
number of areas like Doge. he's failed
and like he fails quite a bit which of
course is his his brand is I fail and
then I succeed. Um
>> I think in a close election which most
presidential elections are he could
absolutely swing it.
>> He already has he already has had more
impact than any individual in recent
history especially killing people across
the globe with Doge. I mean again I I
it'll we'll see what happens here but
they certainly it's going to be the
blockbuster IPO and it will be
overvalued by a lot given you know
they'll have a lot of the skis to cover
and then they'll have the money to do
so, right? To to sort of create that
moat even wider.
>> Incredible. It's an incredible I won't
even call it a product because what it
really is, it's global infrastructure.
Um they have the largest commercial
satellite constellation. It's no, which
by the way is no longer NASA, it's
SpaceX. And as of May 2025,
Starlink controlled more than 7,600
satellites or 2/3 of all active
satellites in orbit. The majority of new
satellites launched globally in late
2024 were Starlink. And SpaceX plans to
scale to 42,000 satellites. That's up
sixfold.
>> Yep. They control global global
information system.
>> Making Starlink the deacto broadband
backbone in space and projections for
the end of 2025. 6 million subscribers
and 62% of global satellite broadband
revenue um going to one company. And
most competitors can match SpaceX's
price, cadence, or reliability. I know
Facebook has tried uh Amazon has tried.
They're all trying. I I I always feel
like this is these are these high water
marks for these people, but that's I I
you know it you have to hand it to him.
I remember when he talked about it for
the first time to me um that the
creating this two people were talking
about this at the time. Him and oddly
enough Jerry Yang had an investment in a
low and it's the first time I learned of
it. So I got real I learn I I I got
caught up on the topic like what it was
going to do. But Jerry Yang had an
investment in one and it was he's the
first person who talked about it and
then Musk that same year started talking
about it. This was a long long long time
ago and it was really at the time I
remember thinking no one's talking like
this like everyone else was like doing a
[ __ ] dating service or some dumb
thing.
>> It comes down to some very boring
numbers and that is the cost to launch a
kilogram of material usually a satellite
into low earth orbit. And this is what
SpaceX's Falcon Heavy rocket can launch
into a kilogram for. They can launch a
kilogram into space for $1,500.
Uh Aron's 5G, it costs them $9,200.
Their Electron product cost $19,000.
Their launches, SpaceX's launches occur
every 2 to three days. No other provider
is within range. So they are they are 6x
less expensive. The Chinese certainly
have capabilities here. So anyway,
>> do they I don't know that much about
Chinese.
>> They do they and so you know one of the
things it'll be interesting to see what
happens here and what the these forces
are really powerful and he is very
powerful single person. It does put him
at great risk too of being a not just
not a physical target. That's not what
I'm talking about. But when something
like this happens there's always forces
against it that I think that we that
will start to build. He becomes and he
becomes soros. He becomes Soros in a
weird way.
>> But I I feel much more benign about
Soros. Why do you
>> I do too, but I'm talking about to the
right he or the Koch brothers like pick
pick whatever one who's or Henry Ford
back in the day. There was also a Texas
billionaire and I can't remember his
name a million years like in the 20s
that did stuff like that.
>> But there's a different like so and cork
the Koch brothers they were all quite
philanthropic.
>> Well not him not not Elon for sure. Musk
is not. And Musk is infinitely more
powerful and has a technology that can
basically decide
>> wars. And this is a guy who is
reportedly addicted to ketamine. What
could go wrong?
>> Things are wrong. Let me just tell you,
I'm glad.
>> It does feel like a bond film, but less
than is glad she's in Park Slope. I'll
be protected by the lesbian.
>> Oh yeah, you're safe in Brooklyn. Yeah.
A nuclear device gets detonated 500
meters above Midtown. Yeah, Brooklyn's
going to be fine.
>> No, what I mean is that like if he's
coming after me, he's he's not a fan of
Caris Swisser. Um, but maybe you should
make nice with them.
>> That's what I don't get about I talked
to one of these guys that is building
the bunker in New Zealand, a guy, you
know, and
>> and I'm like, you realize if [ __ ] gets
real
>> and you fire up the G650 and had to
peace out to New Zealand, you realize
your your pilots are going to kill you
and [ __ ] your wife, right?
>> That's correct.
>> And the table went quiet.
>> I know. I said that to one of them who
had a plan. I said, "What's your plan?"
I said, "I'm going to kill you and take
your motorcycle out to your
>> [ __ ] your wife." I was like, "Of
course." And then they were like, "You
could see them calculating, how do I
stop Cara from killing me?" I said, "You
won't see me coming."
>> You think if if if the [ __ ] goes to
where these think people think it's
going
>> Yeah.
>> This the people who die right away are
the lucky ones.
>> I Exactly. I sometimes think that living
in Washington, I feel okay about that.
Anyway, let's not go there. Let's not go
there. Congratulations, Elon Musk, on
your SpaceX victory.
>> You're still terrible person. No matter
how rich you get, you're completely
unlikable. Anyway, oh, I have to say one
Brooklyn thing. So, I was it was there
was this crazy cyber truck parked across
the street. I thought, "Oh, who's doing
this?" Right where my apartment is and
it was tricked out. It was all manner of
[ __ ] on it. I didn't know. It was some
sort of commercial thing. And you know,
there's a bunch of teen boys and they
weren't they were just hanging out and I
thought first they were like admiring it
and what was really funny is and they
weren't they weren't sort of typical
parks. I'm trying to like they were they
were sort of sitting in front of it like
talking about it. I'm I went over and
I'm like what do you think? And I wasn't
making an opinion. They're like what a
douche. And it was like they were like
it was interesting because I just
interviewed Louis Thorough uh Thoru. Uh
who's Justin.
>> Oh you you interviewed about the
manosphere.
>> Yes. Exactly.
>> You're beating me to my content.
>> I'm so sorry. I'm way ahead of you.
>> How was it? That's Justin's cousin.
>> Fantastic. I know it's Justin's cousin.
Um he's also a great filmmaker. Uh, I
got to say was really interesting is one
the point thing you pointed out is even
though a lot of these manosphere guys
are really popular, there's also a whole
group of young men who are like they
they mock them and enjoy being in on the
joke and mocking them at the same time
and also liking some of it but mocking
them. And that was going on in front of
the Cybertruck. They're like is such a
douche but like whatever. And they were
so cool and I was like, "Oh, I feel so
much better about you after talking to
these guys because they were so cool and
they also were in on the joke and I
don't know, I just felt better." Anyway,
yes, Louis. Yes, it was great. And we
talked of you
>> just so you know.
>> Good. I'm glad I'm supposed to have him
on. I wrote a my number. I wrote a
review of the of the show.
>> I loved it.
>> Yeah, it was really illuminating for me.
>> Can I tell you the one line I loved the
best of all? I liked his I like his
interview style and I was actually
looking at as a professional how he does
the interview style. I agree.
>> When he's work when he's HS whatever tdy
whatever ticky talkie whatever tick-
tockie um he was working out and he goes
is this your leg day he's British and
the guy goes of course it is you know
like like an [ __ ] and like shows off
his thigh which is quite a beefy thigh
>> and Louis Lou Louisie looks at him and
he goes you could work on those calves
and the guy just melts and I was like I
love you Louis thu I love him pronounced
it through. Unlike Justin, they
pronounce it differently. Um,
>> anyway, it he has all these lines like
that in there that he just eviscerates
these people with kindness in a way
that's really
>> Yeah, I agree.
>> It's a really good show. Anyway, uh
Elon, good luck. Anyway, uh let's go. Uh
Elon, you could work on your calves. Uh
okay, Scott, let's go on a quick break.
When we come back, Anthropic scores a
win against the Pentagon. Support for
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rules and restrictions apply.
Scott, we're back anthropic to score a
win in his fight with the Trump
administration. Obviously, a federal
judge in California granted a
preliminary injunction temporarily
blocking the Pentagon's efforts to label
the company a supply chain rest. The
judge didn't mince words in her ruling,
saying, "This is a classic illegal first
amendment retaliation." Exactly. She
also called it a quote Orwellian notion
to brand an American company a potential
adversary for expressing disagreement.
The Pentagon is pushing back, expected
to appeal, of course, with senior
official Emil Michael, another Loathome
character, tweeting, "The ruling is a
disgrace." Oh, Emil, get over it. The
final decision in this case could still
be months away. There's also a second
lawsuit pending in DC. Anthropic won the
battle. You know, it's it's problematic
to be in this ridiculous fight. I think
it'll be over by midterms when they they
jack Hegath out of the place. But also a
potent and Emil too also a potential
factor. Anthropic is reportedly
considering going public as soon as
October. That is problematic for them.
Um so what do you what do you and
related a federal judge has put on hold
the $6.2 billion merger between Nextar
and Tegno which would create the largest
operator of local TV in the country 69%
o over the former 30ome percent amount
you're allowed to um bring together. The
judge granted a request from Direct TV
arguing the merger violates antitrust
laws. A 14-day restraining order has
been issued and a hearing is scheduled
for April 7th. Eight attorneys general
have filed a separate lawsuit. Um, I'm
going to just play this. Let's listen to
what our least favorite FCC chair,
Brenda Carr, I'm sorry, Brendan Carr,
uh, had to say at CPAC.
>> President Trump took on the fake news
media and President Trump is winning.
Look at the results so far. PBS
defunded. NPR defunded. Joy Reed gone
from MSNBC.
Sleepy Eye Chuck Todd gone. Jim Acasta
gone. John Dickerson gone. Coar is
leaving. CBS is under new ownership. And
soon enough, CNN is have new ownership
as well.
>> Boy, this guy is just just not doing his
job. Honestly, it's seriously he's such
a suckup to the Trump administration.
He's just explicit about it. And he's
also not very smart. He's a [ __ ] Um,
so talk about these these next star the
the anthropic thing. It looks like
everything as usual Trump does he does
something aggressive and stupid and
loses in court, but he still does
damage. So talk and then you can talk
about Brenda if you want, but that's up
to you.
>> Well, I'll go in reverse order. Brenda
Carr has no business in the federal
government. You're you're not supposed
to go into the government to use it as a
means of attacking your political
enemies and freedom of speech.
>> Yep. I mean, just the notion
this guy makes gals look thoughtful and
that is the directly calling out people
who don't agree with your political
views and then weaponizing government to
try and get people whose views you don't
agree with off the air. That's I it's
like it's just so blatant. It's okay.
So, when we get to appoint an FCC chair,
we're going to go after Hannity. And
>> I mean, is that is that where we're
headed? You want us to start blather on
this idiotic stuff. I don't care. He
annoys me.
>> No. Look, with it's just not qualified
to be in government. With respect to
anthropic, most major AI companies have
bent the knee to the government and
worked with them in any any military
context. I want last year, Google
dropped its ethical guidelines that
included a list of applications it would
not pursue, including weapons and
surveillance,
>> but it used to be able to do so without
a problem.
>> Is that right? And then they put in
guidelines and then they I thought they
were they relaxed their guidelines.
>> They did relax them. But I'm saying they
used to be able to say no and nobody had
a problem. They just didn't work for
them. That's all.
>> Well, that's the whole point of private
enterprise. You get to choose your you
can fire your clients. Just the way
consumers get to pick companies,
companies get to pick their consumers
unless it's based on sexual orientation
or race or what have you.
>> Meta changed its policy to allow US
government agencies and contractors to
access its llama models for national
security purposes. Open AI, which once
stated its goal was to benefit humanity
as a whole, now has multiple contracts
with the military and defense
contractors. And by the way, I don't I I
I don't mind when companies like
Palunteer say, "We're going to work with
the government on in the defense
department." I get it, but you should
also have the right to not to. I don't.
So Anthropic is really they're the only
major AI company that has drawn a public
line on autonomous weapons and mass
surveillance and now it's the only one
being punished for it
>> but it's also winning in court which is
good but it's still is it problematic
for the IPO from your perspective?
>> Well IPO the the the threat to the IPO
is a bunch of companies say there is
there all there are alternatives out
there. We appreciate your stand Dario
but for the time being we're not
expanding our enterprisewide
relationship with you because we don't
want to be put on a list
>> right
>> uh now having said that having said that
again see above what I believe is the
biggest commercial opportunity in
decades is um to say no and if you look
at what's happened to Anthropic they're
now getting 70 cents on the dollar of
every new AI dollar being allocated to
AI from the enterprise. So, it looks as
if their ability to say no and get a
court to say, "Yeah, this is [ __ ]
This is socialism, cronyism, whatever
you want to call it, it looks like it's
it's setting up really I think anthropic
right now. I've said that I think
anthropic at this anthropic at this
moment is worth more than open AI." What
happens is the mark that people invest
at is a bit elucory because if they get
a preferred return, meaning no matter
what happens, they get their money out
sooner or they're getting a guaranteed
17.5% return, which is what Sam is
offering to private equity firms, then
that $850 billion number is a bit of a
head fake because as long as I'm getting
17.5% regardless of what it goes public
at, but I would argue right now the an
the momentum around anthropic is really
strong and the momentum around open AI
is really uh is really weird.
>> So you think it won't affect it? What
about the next star thing? Speaking of
mor on Brendan,
>> well we heard I was actually really
moved. A lot of people pushed back on my
comments about how local news is a dying
business and a lot of people push back
and said
>> I hate to hear this. It's a it's really
important work. And also to be fair,
you know, there's a lot of local
corruption
that and the only check on it is local
news. You know, seven I remember seven
on your side.
>> Seven on your side.
>> From the hills to the seas to the San
Gabriel Mountains. I'm Jerry Dumpy.
>> Yeah.
>> Who by the way, Ted Baxter from Mary
Tyler Moore was based on supposedly
wasn't supposedly Jerry wasn't very
smart. Um but he had broad shoulders and
just made it all the time. I love Dorian
Gensler in DC when I was in college. And
they also had Bruce Herschensson and Jim
Tunny and Point Counterpoint. And that
27 minutes of real news was bested by
the 3 minutes of two people arguing like
crazy.
>> If it had been that era, you and I would
have been a good local news team. Like
>> I would have predicted hail the size of
of canned tomatoes. I I would have loved
being a weatherman. I actually took
meteorology my senior year when I was
trying to figure out what the [ __ ] to do
with my life my senior year in college.
I thought I could be a weatherman and I
took meteorology.
>> I thought I was thinking about a
weatherman.
>> I was going to go in the military and
you were going to be a weatherman and
here I am.
>> Perfect. Yeah. David Letterman started
as a weatherman. Anyways, but we got
push back saying how important or I got
pushed back saying how important local
news is. And so I agree they they do a
great job that you know God be with you.
Um
>> so next star Ta.
>> Okay. Sorry. A judge has temporarily
blocked what is it a $6 billion merger?
>> Yep. 6 months.
>> Between Nextar and Tegna, which would
create the largest operator and uh the
number from 30ome% to 69%.
>> Yeah. 2/3. Basically, they'll have a
lock on it. And a US District judge uh I
think it's in Sacramento granted uh
temporary restraining order siding with
Director V who argued Directory V. God,
they're still around. Which argued the
merger violates federal antitrust laws
and eight eight state attorney generals
led by California's Rob Bont filed a
separate lawsuit. And then no uh in the
ruling he noted that companies do not
contest the merger will increase
NextStar's bargaining leverage to
extract higher fees. And what does the
ruling mean? It means that Nextar and
Tegna can't integrate options integrate
operations for 14 days. A hearing is set
for April 7th to decide whether to issue
a preliminary injunction. So like you
said, if if the merger goes through,
NextStar would own roughly 260
television stations across the country,
reaching about 60% of US households. And
like you said before, it was about 39%.
And the deal does violate FCC rules
limiting how many stations a single
company can operate.
>> Brenda let it through, but go ahead.
Well, so as we as we said, look, it's
not a great business to be in unless
you're in a swing district where they
just basically start trying to advertise
like crazy. Less than half of television
stations report generating any profits
from news. And last year, about 40% of
surveyed local television stations
reported decreasing their news budget.
And local television has lost, get this,
about half of its media spending market
share since since 2017. The business has
been cut
>> in half in the last nine years and as of
June last year
>> local TV accounted for just 6% of total
media spend. Digital video digital video
on the other hand accounts for about
50%. So I look I I don't
I mean it we're going to I think at some
point we got to end up with and people
hate the BBC but I like a certain amount
of public funding.
>> I'm troubled right now. We should talk
about that but later another time. a
certain amount of public funding for
what I'll call
>> local
>> yeah local public news. I think there's
like what Craig Newark did I I think is
really important and I I don't know if
it's a philanthropist. I don't know if
it's government funding like we do at
the BBC here with a house tax.
>> I don't think anyone should own 60% of
any industry even
>> that does feel uncomfortable even I
don't care. They can they can eke out a
good little business from it and and
influence things in ways that just and
they're also they're the ones that sort
of sucked up to Brenda during the Kimmel
thing. Yeah.
>> Yeah. You know, I just nobody I don't
want a liberal running 60%. I don't want
anybody like I just feel like it needs
to be dispersed. Even if that problem is
like a lot of media, it's a bad business
if you don't have monopolies. Um and
then it's just an okay business. I I
don't know whatever it's I hope they
stop it, but they're not going to. But
nonetheless, I hope then the industry
dies and I hope there
>> I'm just wonder entrepreneurial local
efforts going on. And there are a lot of
them by the way across the country in
Mississippi and Baltimore. So let's just
have new stuff and forget these these
compromised
>> I'm shocked you didn't bring up Vox. The
our companies in play.
>> Oh yes. Oh yes. Would you like to
discuss that?
>> Uh well I I have first off let me say I
have absolutely no insider information
here. Um
>> and I have a lot.
>> You have a lot. I'm on the outside.
>> Supposedly Vox is in discussions with
Comcast who's an existing shareholder to
take
>> Versent not Comcast
>> I'm sorry Versant. Yeah. Which owns
>> like Quasant
>> MSNBC and CNBC to take the pods. Then
they would sell the digital business and
also sell off NY. And the way I would
loosely describe it is the digital stuff
is a shitty business getting worse.
Anytime you're dependent upon Amazon,
Meta, and Google, eventually they will
screw you and take all the margin. Uh
those are difficult businesses. The New
York Magazine is a trophy asset. What do
I mean by that? There is some crypto or
hedge fund douche that will pay an
extraordinary amount of money to own New
York Magazine.
>> There's a lot of people. It does well,
too. It doesn't It's not like a big
>> It'll trade at an irrational price.
>> Yeah, it will.
>> Football teams make no money. They got
sold for five, seven, and 10 billion
dollars because some guy wants to go
from being an overweight tech guy to the
sexiest man in Cleveland by owning the
Browns overnight.
>> Okay. Can I just say it's also a really
good journalistic enterprise and it does
okay. I'm sorry. I'm going to
>> Okay. It It won't go for an okay price.
I'm I'm saying it'll go for no It'll go
it'll go for an irrational price.
>> It's a nice property.
>> The new owner is not going to be into it
for the cash flow or for journalism. The
new owner is going to be someone who
wants to say I own NY Mag. It's like
going billionaires own football teams.
Democrats own media companies. It'll go
for
>> So Scott will be buying it soon.
>> It's a trophy asset.
>> It's a No, I'm sponsoring the Met Gala.
I don't know if you heard. And I'm
taking Emily Rodicowski. If that's what
it takes
her because you didn't introduce
yourself when you were in her presence.
>> I got is I got texted Vanessa Freeman
who I think is a wonderful writer that
covers fashion text me. He's like, "Do
you have any thoughts on the Met Gale
and Jeff Bezos?" I'm like, tech has way
too much money, way too little cool.
Fashion has way too little money, way
too much cool. This is an exchange of
value.
>> Yes. A good quote. Good.
>> This is the most expensive midlife
crisis in history. Wouldn't it be easier
for these guys just to buy a Ferrari and
start banging their assistance
>> or penis enhancement
>> versus sponsoring the medala? But
anyways,
>> back to New York. Yes, it will sell. We
know this. So,
>> so NY Mag will go for an irrational
price.
>> My arm
>> and then the trophy assets. And I'm not
talking my own book here because PropG
is independent. We just sell our ads
through Vox, but Pivot is co-owned by
Yum, Mei, and Vox.
>> Well, no, they don't own it. We own it
and they're our partner for the next
three years. I wish you would do that
correctly. People think they own it, but
they don't. We do.
>> Okay. We own We own it. Uh, and we can't
do anything with it for the next three
years. But anyways, the
>> That's okay.
>> Uh, those are the assets. podcasting at
Vox and I'll just talk about us uh is
growing, you know, 25 plus percent a
year, maybe 30% a year. And when they
and when they get scaled, they're
amazing businesses because quite
frankly, there's just not there's not a
lot of cost involved in these things.
And you're seeing and quite frankly, I
also think we're benefiting from Trump
to the extent that I think people are
really hungry for thoughtful,
I don't want to call it progressive, but
a thoughtful push back.
>> We But we also do good. You did Warner,
I did Tillis, we do all kinds of manner
of things.
>> Anyways, the the the crown jewel is is
the Vox Media podcast network. But the
the thing that makes the most sense
here, which is what Jim is doing, is
that when you have a conglomerate that
doesn't have really obvious synergies,
which quite frankly I would argue this
one doesn't. People, the market looks at
the shittiest asset in the portfolio,
which is these digital properties, and
it assigns that valuation to the entire
thing. So the disposition of assets is
accretive to shareholders and Jim has
figured that out and he's going to split
up the company and he's going to have a
very focused podcast company that tries
to industrialized podcasting and video I
would say because podcasts are video now
>> that's that's a great point because
effectively what you have is podcasts
are the new TV shows with a lower means
of cost of production but I would argue
if he sells he'll get an amazing assume
and I don't I again I see above I have
no insider information here he'll get an
amazing irrational price for New York
Mag. He could sell the digital stuff for
a dollar and just be a podcast company
growing 25% a year and it would be worth
more. So this it makes all sorts of
strategic sense. Comcast is probably
Comcast I think invested
>> Comcast did invest. Yes. And so did
>> Comcast was the initial investor.
>> Yes. But the investment went over to
Versent just so you know.
>> Well, okay. The Robert Robert's family
is ready to get some money back. They've
been in this thing for 10 years, 11
years. They've probably said, "Okay, we
want some money back. You need a
strategy here."
>> I think it's going to be very
interesting to see.
>> Yeah, we'll see. One of the things that
I think reporters have gotten wrong
about it, and I I'm not going to say
much more because I do know a lot is you
can't, one of them is like you can pick
off these podcasters what's it worth
because you can you actually can't once
you have a good and Scott and I went out
in the market and looked at lots of
people and there a lot of them were
great, but a lot of them don't have
stuff, right? And so this would be
attractive to people who it's really
hard to sell advertising well. It's
really hard to do distribution well.
It's very hard to do production well.
And Vox does that well. And there's a
couple of companies like that that do it
well too. There's Crooked I think does a
nice job. So it's valuable and it's not
as easy to replicate as you think. And
getting picked off is you sign four-year
deals everybody. And some of people have
guarantees. We don't happen to have that
but uh because we wanted more more
revenue to us. Um, but it's harder to do
than you think. And even if you're not
satisfied with the advertising sales or
whether you got big or not, it's there.
Box is one of the better ones, which is
why we stayed, right? And and and we
could certainly sell our own
advertising. It's just a slog and it's
hard. It's really hard to do it well.
And so it is an attractive asset and
there's a lot of people this could plug
into a lot and just use your
imagination. And also not just companies
but individuals who want platform who
want
>> CNBC needs to do something.
>> Exactly. That mean you know you're
seeing CNN trying to do podcasting with
Jake Tapper and Anderson.
>> CNBC is local news with with sleeveless
dresses and Andrew Ross Orin. I mean
plus
>> they're going to be your new friends.
>> By the way, why why does Joe Karen get
sleeves and none of the other people do?
Um anyways the
>> we do not want to see that. Mark
>> Brian Roberts and Comcast they are very
>> it's not Comcast. You have to say Vers.
No, it's not whatever. It's not the They
own only a certain portion of it as a
public company. It's similar. There's
others anyway. It would help Vers, which
also needs to be innovative. So, in that
regard, but there's lots of others.
>> MSNBC,
MS Now, I'm sorry, MS Now, MS Now and
CNBC need a growth strategy. They're
they are in businesses in structural
decline. The average age of M MS Now
viewer I think is 64. CNBC at 67. The
average age of a podcast listener is 34.
The average age of pivot listener is 42.
They need an audience that isn't is
going to be around for another 5 or 10
years that buys [ __ ] that is in the
midst of buying homes, having kids,
making investments, buying mutual funds.
And they're smart people. So they do I
mean CNBC does an amazing job. They have
some of the finest financial journalists
in the world. MS now has some of the
most talented people in the world. So,
but what they need is is they need a
structural growth engine. They need to
find platforms that are growing and are
attracting
>> audience. And they've been trying, but
they're they've definitely been trying
more than other.
>> You know who probably inspired this
whole idea?
>> Me. What? No.
>> Other than you is Nicole Wallace.
>> Yes. Because Nicole, who's got a very
popular show on MS Now, started a
podcast that immediately
>> went to the top of the I would bet
Nicole's podcast is probably doing seven
or 10 million a year in ad revenue,
which doesn't seem like a lot, but I bet
six or seven of that is go close to the
bottom line. So, you got to think the
folks at Versant, Comcast, Roberts, Joey
Bag of Donuts, HBO Now, whatever you
want to call it, it have said
>> they got to be looking, they've got to
be looking,
>> they need to be in this business. Look
at the charts. You and I are near the
top as in Pivot. Uh individually, both
of us are. All your market stuff are. Um
lots of lots of Vox podcasts are near
the top and over all the the network
ones. We're often we're always higher
than all of them. So anyway, it's
interesting. It's an interesting time.
We'll see what happens. And we're
nothing at all. Nothing at all might
happen. We'll see. Anyway, um uh it
makes sense to us though. Uh uh we'll go
on a quick break and when we come back
the White House launches an app.
>> Support for Pivot comes from Anthropic.
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Scott, we're back with more news. The
White House just launched an official
app for iPhone and Android featuring
press releases and affordability
tracker, and an ICE tip line. Of course,
the Trump administration says the app
offers a direct line to the White House,
letting people text the president sign
up for newsletters. But those features
just link to White House contacts forms
that are already there, letting the
administration access users personal
information and some additional privacy
concerns. People digging into the app,
it took 5 seconds, found that it's
tracking GPS location data every four
and a half minutes. It's a privacy
nightmare. Do not download it. Um, just
very briefly, then we'll get to Winston
Fails. I would rather give my ex-wife
access to my text message history than
sign up for I mean who is [ __ ] stupid
enough to do that?
>> I know it's not trustworthy. Don't sign
up for it.
>> You think?
>> No, but I mean I wouldn't mind that the
White House has an app. It's just this
one is a People were like, "Okay, a
company doing this, you'd call them
scummy. The government doing this to its
citizens." The same people that are
demanding voter roles
>> that are that are that are targeting
people that are hiring Palunteer to
surveil people and you want to sign up
for their app
>> don't and it's really sad because the
White House should have direct
communication with people but to help
people not to take advantage of their
[ __ ] information. These people like
literally but someone who does apps is
like I I would think this is scummy for
a scummy person, right? Not our federal
friaking government. Very typical of the
Trump administration. Do not get it. do
not get it. And also an ice tip line.
What kind of person are you that you tip
on people? Gh,
>> as my grand my grandfather was, you
know, a mob mob adjacent, I would say.
Not really in the mob. Um, but like I
hate a a rat. A rat a rat. Like, you
know, it's fine to say see something,
say something. You see a bag in an
airport, yes, report it. But reporting
on your fellow citizens is if they're
not criminals, if they're not criminals,
[ __ ] you for doing that. You terrible
people. Anyway,
>> yeah,
>> one more quick break. We'll be back for
wins and fails. Okay, Scott, let's hear
some wins and fails. I think I shall
start.
>> You go.
>> Um, I, you know, I really, I have to say
I really like Slope. I didn't think I'd
say that, but I do. I'm a Manhattan
girl, but I really enjoy uh being there
and uh spending time there. I like going
to different places and but I mostly
want to say the win is Scott Gallery for
being such a good landlord to me when I
was in New York.
>> That's nice. Thank you. He's been
generous and I love his apartment. It's
wonderful. I I love being in like a lot
I feel really good about cities and I
feel like New York feels great.
Washington does feel great. I'm going to
San Francisco soon. I just I'm very uh
I'm very up on cities these days and
like kind of the creativity that you see
everywhere um in in them and just kind
of just a I just love a melting pot of
people. I really do. Um so I really I
I'm I'm winds are cities again. melting
poted $3,000 a square foot.
>> Yeah. Who's melting?
>> No way. But I'm just saying I went all
over. I went all over the city and and
it just was I just love a city. I just
love a city.
>> I so could have predicted you to end up
in Brooklyn.
>> I No, I would have done
>> I would have done the West Village, but
Amanda really likes that area and she's
friends there. And I get it. And I get
it. I get it. I get it. Anyway, um
>> Oh god, you're going to have
Birkenstocks.
>> No, I'm not. I never wear Birkenstocks.
This is never happening. No, I wear
Vans. Let's be clear. All right. And my
fail is um Oh, God, there's so many. But
I think the worst one is
>> I mean, I was going between Melania
Trump's robot for teaching children,
which I'm like, worst idea ever. I'm
sorry. Like, I don't mind robots folding
laundry, and I'm sure we'll have them,
and I don't mind them delivering things.
Fine, whatever. But teaching children
should be done by people with help from
technology. That is fine. But this
personalized educators for American
children and her walking out there. I
couldn't tell which was the robot and
which was Melania, which is a typical
joke, but honestly, what an idiot. I
She's really What an amoronic thing to
to feature at the White House is a
featured stage and to stage the idea and
insulting teachers. I I my my kid just
got in, my little kid got into the same
public school Claire is in for next
year. And I went walked by the teacher
and I said, "Alex, I mean Saul got in um
to the class and she was like, "Yay,
go." And I just love I just I love the
teachers. They really are dedicated and
committed, the ones we have dealt with,
especially in public schools, but all
the schools that the kids have been to.
Um and so I just hated that that thing.
And the second one was Trump signing the
US currency. It was always been a
Treasury Secretary person. Just another
grotesque like look at me, mommy didn't
hug me moment. So just gross. Just just
like I can't wait till we get rid of all
this stuff off all all the gold in the
office which has gotten out of control
and the whole thing. I can't wait we
tear it all down. Every bit of it. So
including getting his signature off the
dollar when when he puts it on. Anyway,
Scott,
>> I like those. Uh so my win is and you
mentioned this. I watched Louis
Thorough's documentary The Manosphere
and I I really I it was very
illuminating for me. Um, and a few of
the takeaways,
uh, first off, these quoteunquote,
you know, icons of the manosphere, these
podcasters or the folks portrayed,
>> they're grifters and they don't even buy
the things that they don't even buy into
the ideology. There's always a crypto
scam or a trading platform.
>> Yeah.
>> Or or, you know, buy their course or
whatever it is. Um, and they themselves,
this is not about ideology for them.
This is just this is just purely a
grift. And
>> and I think a decent
>> they're selling ideology as a product.
>> Well, and they're also trying to sell
masculinity and what I would argue is a
decent proxy for or a decent query for
masculinity is simple and ask yourself a
question. Are you optimizing for
attention or for service? And these guys
are optimizing for attention. Full stop.
And the other takeaway is I thought that
uh Louie really did a good job of
exemplifying that
um strength is more about he's this
slight guy who's a bit awkward and he
owns the room when he's in it.
>> He does
>> because he's quiet. He asks hard
questions.
>> He's not mean. And the other thing, the
takeaway I think for younger men
watching that is it's okay to
occasionally absorb a blow. And that,
and I didn't learn this until I was
older, I thought if someone was rude to
me or coming off in traffic, I had to
restore equilibri equilibrium to the
universe and get back in their face. And
at one point in the documentary, his
subjects were making fun of him, mocking
him, and he just takes it. It's like, I
got a job to do. The other thing that
kind of rattled me was,
and I think this is true of the
manosphere, and it's a lesson for the
left, I don't think I think a lot of the
young men who are quoteunquote in the
manosphere or drawn to these these these
men or these I don't know what you would
call them grifters.
It's not that they necessarily buy into
this [ __ ]
um ideology of dominating women or I
mean actually some of these some of the
stuff it actually starts off fine. Be
fit, take control, be aggressive,
initiate your life, manifest success and
then it comes off the [ __ ] rails and
it's usually about just dominating women
and being a total misogynist.
>> But what you found, I thought what was
most interesting is when they
interviewed some of the acolytes, the
people who are really drawn to these
people.
>> Inspiration. It's really upsetting
because what these kids, what these
boys, and they aren't boys, what they're
looking for,
>> Yeah.
>> they're not, it's not that they're drawn
to this ideology or this political
viewpoint. It's not even they're drawn,
I I don't think, to the misogyny.
>> They're drawn and they're so desperate
for community.
>> They are.
>> They want a reason to hang out with and
have a common bond
>> among other young men.
>> Yeah. They want to get better. They want
to feel better about themselves. They
want to improve This is where the left
has failed.
>> Mhm. I agree.
>> What orthodoxy or ideology on the left
creates a community for young men.
>> Yeah. What is it?
>> You you said that early on when
commisers didn't have stuff on her thing
about men. I don't think they
>> tell young men they're the problem.
That's not a community to rally around.
>> And pointed that out. And I think I
think what we have to do is like feel
like we're in it. Like I I the questions
I got, you know, I have expert
questions. One was for the guy who did
adolescence, Jack. And then I had
Gretchen Whitmer ask a question which
who's been doing a lot of man boy stuff
in in the state because she understands
it and so you're right. You're 100%
right. Okay.
>> Anyways, my win I thought Louis Thorough
documentary the manifest I found it so
rattling. I thought these young men just
so sad. One one of the young men he was
talking about his brother took his own
life. You could tell these young men are
just so desperate to find community and
a sense of safety and and other people
who it's not even the ideology they're
bonding over. They're just bonding.
Anyways, uh that's my win. My fail is
that I can I believe that the Democrats
continue to show a lack of creativity
and leadership around a series of
incentives of what they are going to do
and spell it out very specifically what
they are going to do when they get
control of the House and potentially the
Senate. And it should be something along
the lines of the following. Everyone is
saying, "Oh, we can't go after these
individuals despite their crimes because
they're just going to get a pardon."
[ __ ]
If you look at the law, once once
Democrats control of Congress and
Senate, they have subpoena power. Once
they get subpoena power, they should go
after specific individuals for crimes.
And then they should coordinate, and
this is the key, with the attorney
generals in blue states and start going
after these individuals who are no
longer protected by federal pardons. So,
for example, the attorney general in
California might decide that if a trade
on crypto went through and that family
members of the Trump administration were
illegally manipulating markets or
engaging in any sort of insider trading
that California AG can coordinate with
Democratic representatives to bring a
case against them and that case is not
subject to the protections of a federal
pardon. They need to sooner rather than
later put these people on notice that if
you are murdering people uh under the
oposes of a secret police, if you are
lying under oath, if you are engaged in
crypto scams, if you have companies that
overnight get contracts from the
military violating the imalments clause,
be clear,
>> it's crazy. and a a a candidate for
president or a senator or Democratic
representatives should outline specific
cases they are going to bring against
specific individuals in coordination
with specific AGS in specific states
that are not protected by a presidential
pardon.
>> Yeah.
>> And and who's done that?
>> Mhm.
>> [ __ ] nobody.
>> Some of these attorney generals are
working at it. Scott, I think that's not
fair. I think they are preparing them.
>> We got close
>> Yeah.
>> with what was her name? Fanny Hill.
Fanny
>> in Georgia, the Fulton County.
>> Yep.
>> But unfortunately, she like Chrissy
Gnome was [ __ ] her number two, which
blew that case apart.
>> Yes, that did.
>> But there is real opportunity here.
>> There is. I think there's more. I'm
being contacted by a lot of I think
attorney generals are really starting to
coordinate quite a bit on around these
things. And one of the things that's
critical for all of you people waiting
for a Trump pardon. Remember, he's not
going to give it to you till the very
end because he's loyal only to himself.
And he's going to extract something from
you. And that might be too late. So
>> I'm saying take that off the table.
>> Yeah. No, I know. But I'm just saying it
just I think a lot of people are gonna
get
>> if the AG in Minnesota is saying you
committed manslaughter and you lied
under oath and as a result we have an
ICU nurse who was who is buried.
We can come after you. Presidential
pardon or not. And these are the people
we're coming for. And these are the
subpoenas we're issuing when we're in
control of Congress and the Senate.
Okay. Anyways, that's my that's my fail
is I think the Democrats need to start
punching back more creatively and more
aggressively.
>> I like it. I like it a lot. Okay, we
want to hear from you. Send us your
questions about business, tech, or
whatever is on your mind. Go to
nymag.com/pivot to submit a question for
the show or call 8551 pivot. Elsewhere
in the Karen Scott universe from the
latest episode of On with Cara Swisser,
I spoke with North Carolina Republican
Senator Tom Tillis. We talked about his
upcoming retirement and how he can more
freely criticize the Trump
administration right now. Let's listen
to a clip. I have expressed my concern
in the past. I no longer have to worry
about what language I use to communicate
it because I don't have to go through
the cost.
>> You can be clearer than some of your
colleagues because I have to tell you
when I talk to some of your colleagues
off the record, the Republicans, they're
much more critical of Trump or
>> of course. But look, I mean, you know
what all martyrs have in common? What?
>> They're dead. And in politics, that's
losing elections.
>> Very smart guy. Very interesting guy.
But some people call him too late. Tell
us that he's done he always thought this
and didn't say it. Other people think,
well, good for him. And he is actually
holding up uh the the the Fed chair
thing because of the [ __ ] uh thing
and he's holding up a lot of stuff. He
helped get Christy Gnome out of there.
So I'm you know whatever. My friend Neil
Brennan, he was he said something very
>> cogent and he said despite the
temptation to say you idiots, we told
you so or whatever,
>> we need to be really good at welcoming
anybody, right? And praising anybody.
>> Yeah,
>> I agree. I agree. I think he's been he's
going to be very effective through
January of getting stuff cuz he's he's
he's a very complex politician who's
very behind uh gay marriage and stuff
like it's he's a complex conservative
and that's what we should.
>> When you say behind gay marriage, you
mean against it? No, for he helped pass
it when he was in North Carolina or
something of protections. He's he's much
more um complex as a as a politician and
we should allow our conservative and
liberal politicians to be complex and
maybe not fully be on board with the
purity test on either side. Agreed.
>> Okay, that's the show. Thanks for
listening to Pivot and be sure to like
and subscribe to our YouTube channel.
We'll be back on Friday.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
This episode of Pivot discusses several key topics including the political situation in Iran, the growing influence of Elon Musk and his companies, and the challenges facing the media industry. The hosts analyze the complexities of the US-Iran conflict, noting the potential for a quagmire and the failure of intelligence planning. They delve into Elon Musk's ambitions with SpaceX, its potential IPO valuation, and the broader implications of his immense wealth and power. The conversation also touches on the struggles of traditional media, particularly local news, and the strategic shifts occurring within media conglomerates like Vox Media, with a focus on the growing importance of podcasting. Additionally, the episode critiques the Trump administration's actions, including the White House app's privacy concerns and the approach to international relations. Wins and fails are shared, highlighting positive city experiences and critiquing political and personal failings.
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