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Rahm Emanuel: “Nobody Believes Our President” on Iran | Pivot

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Rahm Emanuel: “Nobody Believes Our President” on Iran | Pivot

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1850 segments

0:00

I would like to say you have dropped the

0:02

fbomb three times on

0:04

>> I know. I know. I know. I know. You can

0:06

do it anytime.

0:06

>> I'm zero.

0:14

>> Hi everyone. This is Pivot from New York

0:16

Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast

0:17

Network. I'm Cara Swisser. Scott is off

0:20

still. I don't know where Scott is. He's

0:22

just off rambling around. Actually, I'm

0:24

going to see him tonight at the premiere

0:25

of my uh new series for CNN. Uh, but I

0:28

brought on another incredible co-host.

0:30

He's been ambassador to Japan and the

0:33

mayor of Chicago. It seems like he's

0:35

running for president. It's Rahm

0:36

Emanuel. Hey, Rah. How you doing?

0:38

>> I'm good. How are you?

0:40

>> Good. Good. You have been everywhere.

0:42

What What's happening?

0:43

>> Try to tell us what's happening besides

0:45

lecturing the Democratic party, which

0:46

we'll get to in a minute. But what what

0:49

what are you doing?

0:50

>> Well, um, first of all, I'm listening to

0:51

American people. been out and uh talking

0:54

to them about things like how to make

0:56

sure they get ahead, their families get

0:58

ahead on the community college plan. Uh

1:00

but also, you know, like a young man I

1:02

met in Spartanberg who's going to

1:03

community college, he's got a job

1:05

waiting at GE for 33 an hour with

1:08

benefits and he was unemployed. And what

1:10

they're doing at that community college

1:11

is exactly what I want to see us do

1:13

everywhere. Something similar we did in

1:14

Chicago, something similar lacrosse. but

1:17

also, you know, listening to the nurse

1:19

in Iowa who's talking about that she now

1:21

spends close to 50% of her time arguing

1:23

with the insurance companies. So, and

1:26

about how to make sure that people get

1:27

the healthcare that they're actually her

1:29

and the doctor are prescribing.

1:30

>> You've been a public figure, but often

1:32

in the in the in the national way,

1:34

you've been a sort of behind this and

1:36

you've been a congress person, but how

1:38

do you how is it different what you're

1:39

doing here in terms of running for

1:41

president or trying or thinking about

1:43

running for president?

1:44

>> Yeah, I mean that's fair. Look, I mean,

1:45

I've been a congressman. I've been a

1:47

mayor of both.

1:48

>> Not insignificant.

1:49

>> Front facing. Yeah. Front facing.

1:51

>> Yeah. Also chairman of a leadership in

1:54

Congress. But that said, I mean, you're

1:57

evaluating uh and one of the things I

2:00

know about running for office uh is you

2:02

got to make sure your head, your heart,

2:03

and your gut are all align.

2:05

>> Uh I I'm going to just say it up front.

2:07

I don't need a title.

2:10

I got more titles. I can auction them

2:12

off. I'm also I'm about getting stuff

2:15

done. Like take something I'm very proud

2:17

about. You know this because from our

2:18

many conversations, we raised our

2:20

graduation rate from 56 to 83%. 98% of

2:25

our kids had a pan post high school

2:27

college community college branch of the

2:29

armed forcification school. I'm not I'm

2:31

about getting stuff done, not about

2:33

getting another title. and do I think I

2:36

actually understand what it takes to

2:38

move this country and move help the

2:39

American people get ahead and their kids

2:42

get ahead and do I have the fortitude to

2:44

do that and so that's what what I'm

2:46

looking at I'm not I don't need as I

2:48

said titles is for other people getting

2:51

crap done is what we did in Chicago

2:53

20,000 kids went to community college

2:55

for free every child had a plan post

2:57

high school on education we started prek

3:00

and kindergarten so I'm into moving

3:03

stuff and as I We like to say in

3:05

Chicago, taking the garbage out, getting

3:07

stuff done. And

3:08

>> so what

3:08

>> do I think I do? I So you evaluate that,

3:12

>> right?

3:12

>> But you know, this also takes I jokingly

3:15

said when I was recruiting candidates

3:16

for Congress,

3:18

>> takes a a little level of a little kind

3:20

of irrational act because you're jumping

3:23

over without uh any nothing below and

3:25

nothing above. Mhm. So if you're like

3:28

Ram Rahm Emanuel evaluating you as a

3:30

competitor, what would be your biggest

3:32

asset and your biggest negative from

3:34

your perspective? If you were like, I'm

3:36

going to get this. Let's go ahead. This

3:39

I'm getting on the couch and we get to

3:40

make sure Blue Cross covers that at one

3:42

level

3:44

on the positive side and here's how I

3:46

stand it is

3:48

>> putting out ideas from like we did on

3:51

elementary uh school and learning and

3:53

reading and addressing the 50% of our

3:55

kids can't read. went to Mississippi

3:58

how to reform our high schools so

3:59

they're less about diploma more about

4:01

college career planning and community

4:02

college educational ed to social media

4:05

ban basically a wealth of ideas I am

4:07

tired of having a debate about how to

4:09

restore a past and about how to build a

4:12

future and that is what I'm so on that

4:14

point get an A uh on the kind of

4:18

strength and energy that is determined

4:20

not only for the job

4:21

>> Mhm. uh bringing there uh an agame as

4:24

well. And I also think more importantly

4:27

>> telling people the truth.

4:28

>> I'm not going to tell you what you want

4:29

to hear. I'm going to tell you what I

4:30

think you need to know and we're in this

4:32

together rather than trying to fight

4:34

each other all the time. And that's a

4:36

rare moment for a middle child to say

4:37

that. Uh on the other side is you have a

4:41

campaign which is slightly about it's

4:43

not slightly there's a big debate about

4:46

generational change and I've been

4:48

around. Now, the good news of that is uh

4:51

I I think I know the family room. I know

4:54

what I could call uh the classroom, the

4:57

break room, the boardroom, the situation

4:59

room, and I want the Democratic party to

5:00

get out of the bathroom. I'm tired of

5:02

being there. That said, you're all your

5:05

strengths are your weaknesses. So, the

5:07

long resume, I can hit the job one. The

5:10

problem with the uh resume is in a

5:11

period of change, you're you kind of

5:13

don't represent that from one level. The

5:16

other part of change though is for a

5:19

party known for its weakness.

5:21

>> I don't bring that. I bring a different

5:22

level of strength.

5:23

>> Sure. Right.

5:24

>> So that's how I evaluate it.

5:25

>> Is it I'm just curious. Is it Do you

5:27

ever worry about like you and I are both

5:29

I would say difficult people in a good

5:31

way necessarily and I'm I'm saying that

5:33

about myself too. And

5:34

>> we're let's just let's do it smoother.

5:36

We're we're acquired taste,

5:38

>> right? That's what I mean. We're

5:40

acquired taste. Do you I mean cuz you

5:42

know there's there's a there's a a

5:44

likability kind of thing and I I like

5:46

you but do you think about that or has

5:48

that changed in in in

5:50

>> No, you know uh no because uh first of

5:54

all I know how I am out with I'm out

5:57

about people where I was in Lacrosse

5:59

Wisconsin in Grand Rapids Michigan in

6:03

Franklin New Hampshire or in the uh what

6:06

is referred to in South Carolina as a

6:08

corridor of shame and Abbyville etc. all

6:10

the black counties that were ignored by

6:14

uh Colombia, South Carolina. So, I know

6:17

that on the other hand, I am I am I

6:19

mean, again, this gets back to this is

6:21

true for you, it's true for me, it's

6:22

true for everyone, which is your

6:23

strengths, your weakness. I'm direct.

6:25

I'm forthright. Nobody walks away from

6:27

me and go, "Boy, was he subtle? We

6:29

didn't really know what he said." Uh,

6:31

now that one level

6:34

>> that works. At another level,

6:36

>> it doesn't. And that, but here's the

6:38

thing. I'm at a point in my life

6:40

This would be the last race. I'm going

6:41

to tell you what I think has to happen.

6:43

As I said, in 2024, you didn't have a

6:46

choice. 2028, it's going to be Baskin

6:48

and Robbins. And I plan on being Rocky

6:50

Road.

6:50

>> Right. Rocky Road.

6:52

>> I'm I'm going to say this is in this

6:53

moment of where I'm with my therapist,

6:55

Miss Dr. Swiss or

6:56

>> Yeah, right. That's me.

6:58

>> I am liberated at a different place than

7:00

I've been as President Obama's chief of

7:02

staff or as mayor or ambassador or

7:04

whatever.

7:05

>> I'm going to This is it. Final race. I'm

7:09

going leave it on the field in the sense

7:10

of we as a country

7:14

literally have hunger games. I'm This is

7:17

about the future. We've had two

7:19

presidents who've argued about restoring

7:21

a past that's not coming back and either

7:23

we're going to build that future or

7:25

we're going to talk about America in

7:26

past tense and I don't want to do that

7:27

and I'm not going to selines commenting

7:30

about it.

7:31

>> Yeah. Yeah. You've run out of but

7:32

you never had Fox Rom. So that's that's

7:34

kind of an interesting situation. This

7:36

is really interesting. I really am

7:38

fascinated. You know, a lot of people

7:39

ask me, I'm like, I don't know. Maybe

7:40

it's appealing to people, right? You

7:42

don't have to be slick. You don't have

7:43

to be likable, you know, and obviously

7:46

Trump has turned from he had a charisma

7:48

to something else. That's really good.

7:50

>> But I don't, you know, the one thing I

7:52

know about presidential politics,

7:55

President Obama was an answer to George

7:56

Bush. George Bush was an answer to Bill

7:58

Clinton. Bill Clinton was an answer to

8:00

the Reagan Bush years.

8:02

Not where is Donald Trump. You're

8:04

interested in clicks.

8:07

I'm not that. I'm interested in kids

8:09

knowing calculus. You're interested in

8:11

social media posts. Great. I'm

8:12

interested in making sure we know our

8:14

social studies. So, that's not it. And I

8:16

think where the puck will be in 2028

8:19

isn't about how do you how do you

8:21

imitate Donald Trump? It's actually how

8:24

do you act like an adult? And I think if

8:26

we're all honest with ourselves, I do

8:29

look, President Biden, uh, Build Back

8:32

Better,

8:34

>> Donald Trump's MAGA is about restoring

8:36

something that is not coming back. The

8:39

sooner we get to figuring out a future

8:41

and then how to work together to get

8:43

that done will actually matter. And the

8:48

reason all the things I happen to think

8:51

education is a ticket to the middle

8:53

class and to families making it and your

8:55

kids making it.

8:57

>> The reason I've been so focused on it is

8:58

you're not getting there with 50% of our

9:01

kids not able to read at grade level.

9:03

You're not getting there when we don't

9:06

have a plan how to make sure that we

9:08

have the electricians, the carpenters,

9:10

the sailors, the nurses,

9:12

>> or the chemical engineers. not just

9:14

people who know how to do fast trading

9:17

on the stock market, but the engineers

9:18

that know how to actually build

9:19

something for the future. Uh that to me

9:22

is more important. And if it's not

9:25

rejected, my ego is not hurt. I'll have

9:28

done what I think I think is important

9:29

to shape the debate and get us focused

9:31

on the future in a way that I think the

9:34

last 20 years focused on the past.

9:36

>> It certainly can't be anti-Donald Trump

9:39

or it can be a little bit as you said. I

9:40

remember you said let's make the to 2026

9:43

anti-Donald Trump and then we leave him

9:45

behind in the dust bin like if they win

9:48

2026 is we just coming in the shadows of

9:51

Wisconsin. It is a referendum on Donald

9:54

Trump and a rubber stamp Republicans.

9:56

2028 is a choice election and unless we

9:59

have a compelling story to tell about

10:00

the future and what we're going to do,

10:03

we won't win that. We have to have a

10:06

compelling story and that is my focus

10:08

not only for the campaign but more

10:09

importantly for the country and that

10:12

also I can tell you from being all over

10:15

the country we have to make common cause

10:18

with the largest party in America which

10:20

is independent non-aligned

10:23

stop talking to ourselves and start

10:24

talking to the people that will

10:25

determine because in the last three

10:27

presidential elections seven states

10:30

700,000 voters have determined who's

10:32

president of the United States and if we

10:34

don't find common pause with quote

10:36

unquote independent voters, right?

10:38

>> We will continue to be a minority party.

10:40

>> That was exactly what my political just

10:42

told me in an interview I did with him

10:43

last week. Same thing. Um, so let's get

10:46

to the news then. Let's talk about

10:47

what's happening right now and we'll

10:49

talk a little bit more about the future

10:50

after that. But as of this recording,

10:52

the Iran, this is an important thing for

10:54

the future. The Iran war ceasefire is

10:56

looking a little shaky. There's

10:57

confusion around the status of the

10:58

Strait of Hormuz and the disagreement

11:00

over whether the truce includes Lebanon.

11:03

Uh the truce includes Lebanon. Trump

11:05

announced a two-we ceasefire on Tuesday

11:06

night. Two weeks is always his magic

11:08

number. He backed down from his threat

11:10

of a whole the whole civilization would

11:12

die if the deal wasn't released. Um

11:14

reached. Jimmy Kimmel called it the taco

11:17

Tuesday of all. Taco Tuesday. Um and

11:20

then of course, you know, it's um you

11:22

know, walk back Wednesday essentially.

11:25

Uh Megan Kelly, I'm going to play her. I

11:26

don't usually do it because she gives me

11:28

a headache. Wasn't too happy either. Um

11:31

but listen to this. Listen to this.

11:33

Let's play it.

11:34

>> I don't know about you, but I am sick of

11:36

this I'm just I'm I'm sick of it.

11:40

Can't he just behave like a normal

11:43

human? I mean, honestly, like the

11:45

president, 3D chess, just shut up.

11:49

shut up about that You

11:52

don't threaten to wipe out an entire

11:54

civilization. We're talking about

11:57

civilians just casually in a social

12:00

media post.

12:02

I don't often agree with Megan, but

12:04

there you go. I think she's sort of

12:06

articulating what's happening on the

12:07

right.

12:07

>> Donald Trump's bringing people together

12:09

rather than dividing them. You like

12:10

Megan Kelly. Think of the upside of this

12:12

a new a new level of humanity in you

12:16

that's been found towards people you

12:18

disagree.

12:18

>> It's not humanity. It's like are you I

12:20

agree with her. And I I find

12:22

common cause with Marjorie Taylor Green,

12:24

right? Until I start talking about some

12:26

other topics. But Pope Leo is also

12:28

weighing in calling the threat against

12:29

Iranian people truly unacceptable. He's

12:31

in a his for some reason Trump's gotten

12:33

in a beef with the pope which is

12:35

terrible. In terms of what happens next,

12:37

Vice President JD Mance is traveling to

12:38

Pakistan to for peace talks this weekend

12:40

along with Steve Witco and Jared

12:42

Kushner. Uh Dumb and Dummer Trump says

12:45

that all US military personnel and

12:47

assets will stay near Iran until real

12:49

agreement is reached. Talk a little bit

12:51

about this. You've been in these rooms.

12:52

Like what is It seems like he's not

12:55

playing chess. he's eating the pieces

12:57

like or or something or maybe he's not

12:59

getting good advice or else he's

13:00

cognitively has

13:02

>> I don't want I don't want to just say

13:04

about the room but

13:06

>> it's clear there isn't a situation room

13:08

they've moved it into the oval office

13:11

and whoever walks in there's a couple

13:13

doors there's four doors there's there's

13:15

one outside there's one to the uh you

13:17

know where the assistant lit sit there's

13:19

one to the goes to the roseell room and

13:21

there's one that also goes to the uh

13:23

first president's library and they've

13:25

moved

13:26

all in there. There's not a serious

13:28

analysis. Uh think about this. You have

13:31

Vice President B is going there. You

13:33

have Wickoff and uh and Jared Kushner

13:36

with no diplomatic uh support. Go back

13:39

to when they're meeting uh in Geneva.

13:42

There was no experts around the nuclear

13:44

capacity or everything. Wikoff and

13:46

Kushner were winging it and it clearly

13:48

showed because the UK intel officer who

13:51

was there

13:52

>> said Iran was actually offering us

13:55

something very serious in the sense of

13:57

concessions to avoid the military

13:59

confrontation and neither Kushner or W

14:03

>> understood it. Now

14:05

>> I said this jokingly but I'm very

14:06

serious. if they ever do a sequel to

14:08

Dumb and Dumber, there's going to be a

14:09

lot of competition for who gets to play

14:11

the lead in this administration.

14:13

>> Right

14:13

>> now, the other piece is, and you led on

14:16

this, and we're talking about what Megan

14:17

Kelly uh said. Um, look, there's a lot

14:21

of different roles to the president.

14:24

There is the moral voice of the

14:27

presidency when the challenger goes

14:29

down, you know, bringing the country or

14:31

9/11 like President Bush. There is the

14:33

commanderin-chief

14:35

which is the most solemn position of the

14:37

president of the United States.

14:40

The president the commanderin-chief

14:44

Roosevelt understood it when he said

14:45

America would be the arsenal of

14:47

democracy.

14:49

Lincoln understood at the beginning of

14:50

the war. He understood it midway when he

14:52

did the Emancipation Proclamation

14:54

changing the definition of the war. We

14:56

have a president of the United States

14:57

who has asked 50 plus thousand

15:00

servicemen and women, not counting all

15:02

the other pieces that are supporting

15:03

those 50,000 on the front line to

15:05

achieve a mission of national security

15:08

importance for the United States. And

15:10

he's talking about obliterating a

15:11

civilization. You owe the troops a

15:14

definition of why. You owe the

15:16

servicemen and the country. You owe the

15:18

servicemen here's what victory will look

15:20

like. So, we've accomplished our goals

15:22

and here's how it's going to end and

15:24

this is how we know we have succeeded in

15:26

one and two. None of that by the

15:29

commander-in-chief has been

15:30

accomplished.

15:31

>> Right. They declare they have been

15:33

declaring victory over and over in

15:34

Carol.

15:35

>> But but but but this is what I say. But

15:38

here, step back underneath what you just

15:41

said. You know, and everybody else in

15:43

the world knows except for people of

15:44

1600 Pennsylvania. Nobody believes our

15:46

president. Now, this has been overused

15:48

as an anecdote. When Stevenson goes to

15:51

see De Gaul during the Cuban missile

15:52

crisis, he's about to take photos out.

15:55

>> De Gaul says,

15:56

>> "I have the word of the president of the

15:58

United States. I don't need those

15:59

photos." Nobody would do that here.

16:01

Everybody is looking at our our Keystone

16:04

cops at 1600 Pennsylvania. They know a

16:07

president of the United States who

16:08

literally truth is the most flexible

16:10

thing he's ever seen. He doesn't believe

16:12

in truth. He believes in spin. And so

16:15

this is the degradation of the word, the

16:18

credibility and the and the mantle of

16:20

the president of the president of the

16:21

United States and more importantly the

16:22

United States of America because this is

16:24

a baton that gets handed off. So at

16:27

every level, not only did they start not

16:30

knowing that they actually had

16:32

accomplished something, they were too

16:34

foolish and stupid and arrogant to know

16:36

that. B, they go into a war without

16:38

clear objectives

16:40

and then they literally talk about a

16:43

victory here. Now I have I thought about

16:45

the you know there's two points I would

16:47

make right now

16:49

>> because they went into a war to

16:51

obliterate degradate whatever word you

16:54

want to use the nuclear capacity of

16:56

Iran.

16:56

>> They already had even we obliterated

16:59

then we obliterated it again and then

17:01

now we're going to obliterate it. He was

17:02

even making fun of the of

17:04

>> Iran discovered they have a nuclear

17:05

operation called the straight of

17:06

hermoose. So, first and foremost,

17:09

declare a policy either all ships get

17:11

out or no ships get out. That would cut

17:15

off Iran's economic lifeline to China

17:17

and would put pressure on both of them.

17:20

two m medium-term

17:23

the United Nations international

17:25

maritime uh group would run the straight

17:28

of Hermuz in the sense of a fee that

17:30

would be split between Iran, Bahrain,

17:33

UAE,

17:35

Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, all the countries

17:37

affected. So they don't collect it. The

17:39

United Nations and international

17:41

association does. And it's split because

17:43

the war affected both parties, not one

17:45

party. Third and doesn't allow Iran to

17:48

control the straight arm which is an

17:50

international body of water body

17:52

long-term

17:54

take the Abraham Accords for the United

17:56

States as a party to and do three things

18:00

and use it which doubles down on America

18:03

as a permanent power in the in that part

18:05

of the world which is the Iran's goal

18:08

which is to get us out to build

18:11

pipelines for Bahrain, Kuwait, Iraq, UAE

18:17

and other countries in that region out

18:19

to the straight of Hermuz to the Red Sea

18:21

or to Oman uh Gulf, the Gulf of Oman

18:24

that would have a short-term,

18:26

medium-term, long-term plan and would

18:28

also reinforce that the Abraham Accords

18:30

the United States has is the vehicle for

18:33

our Gulf allies and countries that don't

18:35

become now subjugated to Iran's

18:38

blackmail and corrosion uh coercion. To

18:41

me, that is the most important. Now, I

18:44

don't think, in fact, I can tell you

18:45

this since I haven't seen a single idea

18:48

where except for the president says,

18:49

"Well, Iran's 10 points are pretty

18:51

good." I can't believe a president of

18:52

the United States, a commander-in-chief,

18:54

a leader of the free world, a person

18:56

with a military uh instruments that he

18:58

has, just said the other party,

19:02

their term sheet is the term sheet we're

19:05

going to work off of. Everybody in the

19:07

quote unquote art of the deal, you don't

19:09

use the other side's term sheet. So at

19:12

every level I find this uh incredibly

19:15

dangerous, reckless. What is it?

19:17

>> What's occurring here? Because his own

19:18

people are like he doesn't know. Like

19:20

what was really interesting about the

19:21

the New York Times piece is like they're

19:23

all running for the hills cuz they're

19:25

all telling them wasn't me. Wasn't me.

19:27

It was him.

19:28

>> They're pointing fingers at him

19:30

directly, not or at BB Netanyahu, but

19:33

they're certainly trying to say, "I

19:35

thought it was Farc." That's obviously

19:37

from the head of the CIA. I thought it

19:39

was wrong. Susie Wilds, etc., etc.

19:42

>> Yeah. No, they're going to let they're

19:43

going to let one guy wear the the guy

19:44

with the duncap gets to keep the duncap

19:46

at the end of this process. Here's what

19:48

I would say to you is there are four

19:51

tools in your national security uh

19:54

toolbox. Military power, economic

19:57

statecraft, political persuasion, and

20:01

cultural attraction. And you will

20:03

assemble them

20:05

differently in different parts of the

20:06

world, in different areas, etc.

20:09

somewhere in the second term. The now

20:12

the president degraded the first three,

20:14

but in the second term as opposed to the

20:17

first term, he's decided military power

20:21

is the most not only the most important

20:23

tool, the tool he's most comfortable,

20:24

which was not true in the first term. He

20:27

is degraded through tariffs. He's

20:30

degraded through belittling our NATO

20:32

allies and not consulting them and the

20:34

brand of America from a cultural

20:36

standpoint. So all three of the four

20:38

tools have been totally drained of any

20:42

capacity and a person who was risk

20:45

averse in the first term is now reduced

20:48

America's national security to a single

20:50

tool and made it the toolbox and what is

20:54

dangerous about that is obviously the

20:57

servicemen and women uh are becoming

21:01

literally a play toy for the

21:02

commander-in-chief with no respect for

21:04

the what he's asking of them who have

21:06

volunteered ed to serve the national

21:08

interest of this country and more

21:10

importantly the other tools are

21:13

atrophying at this very time and we

21:16

economically politically culturally as

21:18

you can see the way he's banging out of

21:20

NATO are more isolated than leading you

21:23

can't be a leader if nobody is following

21:27

that was the casualty here our NATO

21:29

allies and our Gulf allies and our Asian

21:33

allies are not following the United

21:35

They're distancing themselves

21:38

in that case. What is what happens next?

21:42

Cuz his own people are distancing

21:44

themselves. Also, speaking of leaders,

21:46

>> watch what he does. He's going to blame

21:48

somebody.

21:49

>> He's now going to the next thing is who

21:51

he tries to blame. And that's kind of a

21:53

palace coup type, palace, you know,

21:55

intrigue game.

21:56

>> I'm into not that. And I understand the

21:59

lore of that. My thing is what do we do

22:03

to take a generational approach to

22:05

restore the trust, credibility, and the

22:07

capacity of this country?

22:09

>> Well, how can we with him in the seat?

22:11

He's in the seat. Whether I mean some of

22:14

the seat

22:15

>> and this is my argument both to

22:17

Democrats but also Republicans as a

22:18

country.

22:19

>> Mhm.

22:20

>> We're Americans. There's no reset button

22:23

at the Resolute Desk. I try to lay out a

22:27

different scenario by different parts of

22:28

the world. How do you assemble these

22:30

different tools into different kind of

22:31

stacking orders of priority? There's no

22:34

reset. So the when Carne when Prime

22:36

Minister Carney in Canada says this is a

22:39

rupture, you're not getting superlue and

22:42

reassembling. We have to earn not only

22:44

the trust, we have to build our

22:46

strengths that have been atrophying.

22:48

Where is the political uh power? Where's

22:51

the cultural persuasion? How do we

22:53

recreate the economic state craft where

22:56

again the American economy is central to

22:58

the world not sidelined and I do think

23:01

the last 25 years when you look at this

23:05

war if you look at covid you look at uh

23:07

different things that have happened in

23:08

the last 25 years this will be the era

23:11

of supply chain uh and will be known as

23:14

the era of supply chain you took oil

23:16

take uh ammonia take the petrochemicals

23:20

of the region you take what happened

23:21

during covid medical gear

23:23

etc. and the pharmaceutical products to

23:25

deal with the vaccines. This is the era

23:29

of supply chains, little things that

23:32

hold the entire whether it's the

23:33

straight of Hermoose or whether it's the

23:36

products coming out of the straight of

23:37

Hermoose or whether it's medical

23:39

supplies and vaccines, little things

23:42

take the entire global economy to a

23:44

whole drone. A drone a $50,000 I said

23:48

this the other day and I'll just repeat

23:49

this. You have two countries Mhm. with

23:52

no navy, but they control both

23:54

waterways, Ukraine and Iran,

23:56

>> without a navy. We have a theory in

23:59

America's national security being able

24:01

to fight two wars simultaneously.

24:04

>> We're going to have to rewrite it to be

24:05

able to fight two different wars

24:07

simultaneously. One conventional and one

24:10

unconventional.

24:10

>> That's it. He's still president for a

24:12

long time. Even, you know, you've got

24:14

maybe to the midterms where he loses a

24:16

lot of power

24:17

>> or three more years. What happened? What

24:21

from your if you had to guess what

24:24

happens next because they're not these

24:26

people look like they're not going to

24:27

keep. You have Megan Kelly saying

24:28

you. You have people in the cabinet

24:30

clearly leaking saying not us.

24:33

Something's got to give. Or does it?

24:36

>> Well,

24:36

>> I mean someone did stop Nixon, right?

24:38

Someone walked up to Pennsylvania.

24:41

I mean

24:42

>> Yeah.

24:42

>> Yeah. I mean, I don't want to look. I

24:44

didn't listen to the podcast with

24:47

Senator Tillis.

24:48

>> Mhm.

24:48

>> But, you know, I I this is a criticism.

24:52

You were the you were the key vote for

24:54

headsets becoming Secretary of Defense.

24:55

I'm sorry. Like, you know, okay, fact is

24:59

you have a person with a drinking

25:00

problem and other types of problems who

25:02

now the head of a military who's

25:04

involved right now

25:06

>> in a military political purge of the

25:09

military. The greatest turnaround in

25:11

American history was the armed forces

25:13

post Vietnam. I've worked with the the

25:16

head of the seventh fleet, head of

25:18

Indopaccom. These are incredible men and

25:20

women. Amy and I I just want to side

25:22

note. We do a ROC scholarship named

25:26

after Lisa Franchetti, the former CNO of

25:29

the Navy. She's an incredible capacity.

25:32

Fired out of political retribution. This

25:35

is stuff you read in China,

25:36

>> right? and Senator Tillis who obviously

25:39

has found his conscience and that's good

25:42

>> but you confirmed this person that you

25:44

knew in your gut

25:47

>> was not right and I want to say one

25:48

thing when I was chief of staff I was an

25:50

employee when I was senior adviser to

25:51

president I was an employee how many

25:53

times I've walked into the Oval Office

25:54

daily and said no and here's the

25:57

consequence of you you're a US senator

25:59

you're independently elected you're

26:01

independently elected congressman you

26:02

have your own voting card you have your

26:04

own pin for security what are you doing.

26:06

>> Mhm.

26:07

>> You imagine they'll do it or are they

26:09

just waiting for the end?

26:11

>> I think what's going to happen is the

26:12

United States Congress is going to flip.

26:14

The Senate's 50/50 and you're going to

26:16

finally have the third branch of

26:17

government that has been basically in

26:19

deep freeze for the last two years.

26:21

>> I said this once privately couple

26:23

months, right? That's

26:25

>> Yes. I said this privately to a

26:26

Republican senator.

26:28

>> I said, "You're going to want a

26:29

Democratic president."

26:30

>> He goes, "Oh, no, no." I said, "Yeah,

26:32

the reason is you put your manhood in a

26:34

lock box and you're finally going to

26:35

take it out in about three years from

26:36

now, right? That's what's going to

26:37

happen. You I can't believe these

26:39

individuals who know better and say it

26:41

privately under cloaked force of course

26:43

and what will happen is elections have,

26:45

as to quote my good friend and my former

26:49

boss, President Obama,

26:50

>> elections have consequences. Yes, we got

26:53

X months till November.

26:56

>> Republicans doesn't hear the hear the

26:59

sound of the footbeat coming. You saw

27:00

that in Wisconsin. You're going to see

27:02

it in Indiana. Saw it in North Carolina

27:04

the other day. You saw it in Georgia.

27:06

>> And the fact is you're going to have the

27:07

third branch of government, co-equal

27:09

branch, finally exert its

27:11

responsibility.

27:12

>> You are you are it's just it's a matter

27:14

of time. We're going to move over this.

27:15

But I would agree with you. They're

27:16

suddenly appearing on my podcast. So,

27:18

you know what I mean? Like suddenly

27:19

they're like I do I wanted is so

27:23

frustrating. Take the take a look at the

27:25

center of Louisiana. Mhm.

27:27

>> You confirmed a guy, Health and Human

27:29

Services, Kennedy. You as a doctor, you

27:31

know, was wrong.

27:33

>> The president turns around, flips on

27:34

you, and and you try to do that to

27:37

encourage favor or, you know, bring

27:40

favor to yourself, and he's going to

27:41

mess with your reelection, and you knew

27:45

Kennedy was not right. Senator Tillis,

27:47

I'm glad he's speaking up. I'm I'm glad

27:49

he found his voice,

27:50

>> but when your vote was needed,

27:52

>> Mhm.

27:53

>> he decided, you decided to go somewhere.

27:55

out. Maybe you're making up for lost

27:56

time, but the rest of us, most

27:58

importantly,

27:59

>> the men and women in uniform

28:01

>> have to deal with a secretary of

28:03

defense.

28:03

>> And so now therefore, I mean, he

28:06

certainly did the I hate to use the term

28:07

killshot to gnome, but he did. He did.

28:10

And some people are like, it's too late.

28:11

I'm like, but he did it, so he has to

28:13

keep doing it is what you're saying. I

28:14

like that.

28:15

>> Yes.

28:15

>> Yeah. He has to keep and not only have

28:18

to say that, you have to work with

28:19

others to finally uh get your vote and

28:22

your voice to kind of line. Your vote

28:24

was not where your voice is or your

28:26

conscience.

28:26

>> Yeah, reach down and grab it. Okay,

28:28

Rahm, let's go on a quick break. When we

28:29

come back, Democrats keep the momentum

28:31

going with another string of election

28:33

wins.

28:34

>> Support for this show comes from

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29:19

Rom, we're back. Democrats notched their

29:21

biggest shift yet in the House special

29:22

election, dramatically narrowing the gap

29:24

in Georgia's 14th. Trump carried the

29:26

district by 37 points in 2024, but even

29:28

in the race, the margin shranked around

29:30

12 points, a major swing, even though

29:31

the Republicans took the win. Democrats

29:33

also expanded their majority on

29:35

Wisconsin's Supreme Court, very

29:36

significant, from 4 to 3 to 5 to two,

29:38

and that'll last for for a decade, I

29:40

think, for something like that or a very

29:42

long time. You recently wrote a piece in

29:44

the Wall Street Journal titled How

29:45

Democrats can use their coming majority.

29:47

You say investigations of Trump won't

29:48

satisfy voters and that energy be better

29:50

spent on a positive agenda. You and I

29:52

have talked about this. Talk about, you

29:54

know, your ideal plan. You just sort of

29:56

vaguely mention it up to the midterms

29:59

and assuming they have a strong showing

30:01

without any um nonsense from Trump or

30:04

any hijinks or whatever he's trying to

30:06

do, but it doesn't seem like it's going

30:08

to work. Um in recent days, over 70

30:10

lawmakers have said Trump's cabinet

30:11

needs to invoke the 25th Amendment. Um,

30:14

>> uh, that's he's supposed to be in a coma

30:17

apparently for that, but we'll we'll

30:18

see. Um, I don't I don't see them doing

30:20

that. They can hardly speak up in any

30:22

way. Talk about the distraction of it

30:25

because one of the things is if you

30:26

spend all your time investigating and

30:28

certain people, by the way, should be

30:29

investigated for corruption.

30:30

>> No, let me let me be really clear,

30:34

etc. Yeah.

30:35

>> As I said in that piece, I said there's

30:36

a difference between corruption and

30:38

dishonesty. I'm for absolute

30:41

investigation of all the corruption.

30:43

This is crony capitalism run a muck.

30:47

People trading on inside information.

30:49

They abnormalize corruption 100% for

30:52

that. I the c you cross the line when

30:56

it's all about retribution, vindication,

30:59

and not addressing what I think is not

31:02

only the affirmative agenda, but I do

31:04

believe the their corruption. I've said

31:06

it two years ago. That's the backdrop.

31:09

So, I'm 100% for what did Christine

31:12

Gnome do at DHS? I'm 100% for everything

31:15

the inspector generals have reported and

31:17

all the type of corruption both inside

31:19

outside members of family

31:20

>> or the Trump kids

31:23

100% for that.

31:24

>> Don't get caught in a game of politics

31:26

of retribution where then the people go

31:29

it's just more Washington.

31:30

>> Right.

31:30

>> Now, on the affirm I think on the

31:32

affirmative and this was part of that

31:34

piece. If you go back to the

31:36

presidentials of both President Clinton

31:39

and President Obama first terms '08 and

31:41

1992,

31:43

what George Mitchell does in 1990,

31:45

forcing President Bush to raise taxes

31:48

and break his pledge on read my lips,

31:50

and what we did in forcing Bush to veto

31:55

the children's health insurance

31:57

initiative in 2007 sets up 1992 Bill

32:01

Clinton and sets up President Obama

32:04

2008.

32:05

2027.

32:08

I look at the uh kind of landscape of

32:11

all the issues from minimum wage to

32:15

predictive markets to health care cost

32:18

control andor a rateayers bill of

32:20

rights. I lay out a number of piece

32:22

ideas in that piece. you now a part of

32:25

this politically is determining you have

32:27

the Senate or not is get a bill on the

32:30

desk that one creates divisions within

32:33

the Republican party and two

32:36

either force the president like Bush

32:39

does in 1990

32:41

signs a bill or vetos a bill like

32:44

President Bush does in 2007 on the

32:48

children's health insurance program that

32:50

creates divisions inside the Republican

32:52

party and advance

32:54

your agenda that you're ready to take

32:56

and secure the future. So, I do think

33:00

Democrat, let's just just fast forward.

33:02

Democrats win both the House and the

33:04

Senate. What they do in 2027 will be as

33:08

determinative as who we nominate in

33:10

2028. My view, this is mine,

33:15

is go to those predictive markets and

33:18

put a piece of legislation on the

33:20

president's desk that ban all members,

33:24

Congress, Senate, executive branch,

33:26

judicial branch, staff, family from

33:29

participating in the predictive markets

33:31

and that there's a division of the

33:32

criminal market. Right. Yeah.

33:35

>> Yeah. And the reason is and first of

33:38

all, all that can be done by executive

33:39

order.

33:40

>> Mhm. president will not do it because

33:41

his two sons are investors in it

33:44

>> and you drive right there because the

33:46

Republicans are there, independent

33:47

voters are there, the president of the

33:49

United States is not there. And I would

33:50

take that bill and run it right down

33:52

through one end of Pennsylvania Avenue

33:54

to the other and put it on his desk

33:57

because everybody and I can tell you

33:58

this from Lacrosse, Wisconsin to

34:00

Franklin, New Hampshire to Abbyville's

34:03

partner,

34:04

>> everybody in their gut

34:06

>> knows that these prediction markets are

34:08

being played and manipulated with inside

34:10

information. And yes, and people other

34:12

people are putting their lives at risk

34:14

while little Nepo babies in Palm Beach

34:16

are making money. Most importantly, Don

34:19

Jr. and the rest of the family and

34:21

Lutnik's kids and Wickoff's kids. Put it

34:24

on his desk. Make him pick his wealth or

34:27

the American people's democracy and

34:29

political and economic.

34:31

>> I already know the answer to that.

34:34

>> I mean, you ask me that's what I would

34:35

do because you were talking about things

34:37

that you wish would happen probably

34:38

won't pass. You should do like all like

34:41

$25 minimum wage, whatever it happens to

34:43

be. It doesn't have to win it. You just

34:46

have to make a stance is what you're

34:47

talking about right now.

34:48

>> In 1990, in 1990, President Bush signs

34:52

the bill. It actually does help reduce

34:54

the deficit, but it creates Pap Buchanan

34:56

and a Republican revolt. And 20

35:00

Republican senators support that, but

35:03

the other 25 do not. In 2007 when we do

35:07

the children's health insurance bill,

35:09

President Bush 43 vetos it, but 60

35:13

Republicans in the House and Senate

35:15

align themselves with Democrat. What

35:17

brings us together? What divides the

35:20

other side? And whether it's signing or

35:23

vetoing as I would say to quote that

35:25

great philosopher, when you get to a

35:27

fork in the road, take it.

35:29

>> And that's what you want to do to the

35:31

Republicans,

35:32

>> right? And you want to constantly be

35:33

saying what you're for. And that says

35:34

what you're for

35:35

>> and even if you fail,

35:36

>> says what you're for,

35:38

>> who you're going to fight for

35:39

>> and what the other side

35:41

>> is willing to do. And I think this

35:42

president

35:43

>> is running a crony capitalist system.

35:47

It's from everywhere. It's how much you

35:48

pay and how much he gets. And what you

35:51

want to do is drive your

35:55

car right to that division point inside

35:58

the Republican party. And the

35:59

Republicans

36:00

know they're not in on this prediction

36:03

market in a sense

36:05

the way the Trump kids are. And the

36:06

president and I would also taunt them.

36:09

>> Sign an executive order.

36:10

>> Yeah. Do something.

36:11

>> No, Mr. President, you signed all these

36:13

other executive orders. I mean, yes,

36:14

here's one that you can do,

36:15

>> right?

36:16

>> He won't do it. And so drive right

36:17

there.

36:18

>> What do you make of these shifts in in

36:20

the the Democrats have done rather well

36:22

all over the place, right? Even

36:23

including in Palm Beach. Speaking of

36:24

Palm Beach, no babies, they now have a

36:26

Democratic.

36:26

>> I actually think one thing that slightly

36:29

uh didn't get the coverage. I mean, I

36:31

went up to Wisconsin 6 weeks ago for the

36:34

Supreme Court for Rebecca Cook in the

36:36

third district, Southwest Corner. In

36:39

Wisconsin, battleground state. First of

36:42

all, the Supreme Court candidate does

36:46

better than any of the other two from a

36:48

year ago.

36:49

The Democrats in Wisconsin win the

36:52

important county outside of Milwaukee.

36:54

That's the Republican base that counters

36:56

the Milwaukee vote. We now have the

36:58

county executives. The Supreme Court

37:00

nominee in the third congressional

37:01

district, the southwest corner where

37:03

Lacrosse is, etc. that Ron K used to

37:06

represent and is a Republican there that

37:08

Trump won. The Supreme Court Democrat,

37:11

not Democratic, but the progressive

37:12

candidate takes 57%.

37:18

Donald Trump won that with overwhelming

37:19

amount. That tells you if you win that

37:22

seat, you're winning the majority. So

37:25

when you look at Wisconsin at the top

37:28

all the way down and all the races

37:30

between, it's a unbelievable

37:33

victory and it says the same thing.

37:36

>> It's the independence.

37:37

>> Massive energy in the Democratic vote

37:39

base and Republican turnout depressed.

37:42

>> Mhm.

37:43

>> The two the election in North Carolina

37:46

>> Mhm. when Donald Trump uh endorsed a

37:49

state senate majority leader, the most

37:53

powerful Republican, he loses the

37:55

Republican primary.

37:56

>> Mhm.

37:57

>> That was more important than Mara Lago.

37:59

I get the value of Mara Lago. It's kind

38:01

of I get it. But the fact is power over

38:05

the Republican primary voters,

38:06

>> right?

38:07

>> You want to call liberation day, that's

38:09

liberation day. So all you Republican

38:11

congressmen and senators, Senator

38:13

Tillis, that you were scared of your

38:14

shadow for the last four year year and

38:17

four years ago, you don't have to be

38:18

scared of your shadow,

38:19

>> right? What about Texas? Obviously,

38:21

that's

38:22

>> Well, now in the Senate in Texas, I

38:25

think that you have a Republican primary

38:27

that ends up it doesn't matter who who

38:29

wins in one level, they're going to both

38:31

be a weakened candidate for the general

38:33

election.

38:34

>> Mhm.

38:35

>> That's what I think. Can I you know and

38:37

I happen to one thing I would also say

38:38

to my fellow Democrats

38:40

>> when you look at the healthc care for

38:44

President Obama

38:46

>> or the IRA the clim the climate bill

38:49

under President Biden

38:52

under the healthc care bill. Senator

38:54

Nelson from Nebraska

38:57

helps us pass that. It's the 60th vote

39:00

and the senator from West Virginia

39:04

helps pass the IRA.

39:08

If you don't win in purple to red states

39:13

as a Democrat, we're not going to get

39:15

the type of economic and political legis

39:18

and social legislation we want. The two

39:20

most significant pieces of legislation

39:22

Democrats passed in the last 20 years,

39:25

they clinched the vote

39:27

>> with a Republican,

39:28

>> with a senator from a state that is not

39:30

quote unquote safe blue. So winning in

39:33

Ohio, winning in North Carolina, winning

39:36

in Texas, winning in Iowa,

39:38

>> winning in places Democrats have not

39:41

presidentially won

39:43

>> is how you secure the type of

39:44

legislation.

39:46

>> Interesting. And I just met Telerico. I

39:48

call him the baby Jesus.

39:50

Anyway, what one of the things, of

39:52

course, look, Democrats are not

39:54

slathering himself in perfection right

39:56

now. Um, as Trump waited into the

40:00

California governor's race this week by

40:01

endorsing former Fox News host Steve

40:03

Hilton, who I know very well, actually,

40:05

mostly as a husband of someone I know

40:07

very well, but I actually know Steve. My

40:09

favorite Steve thing is he was lecturing

40:11

me on populism and the elites when he

40:13

was staying at the Bair Hotel and I was

40:15

like I can't afford this place

40:17

my friend like and you're telling me

40:19

about like elites. Um anyway I he's a

40:22

funny guy actually. There might be um

40:24

good news for Democrats the the the

40:26

Trump um backing there. But Democrats

40:28

have been worrying about a doomsday

40:30

scenario with the state's jungle primary

40:31

and people don't know there it's there's

40:34

there's not primaries is who the top two

40:36

are. If the two GOP candidates, Hilton

40:38

and Sheriff uh Chad Biano, and ex

40:41

exactly what he sounds like, um first

40:43

and second in the primary, Democrats

40:46

would be locked out in the general

40:47

election. It's a concern. And there's

40:48

eight Democrats in the race with no

40:49

clear front runner. Um but by

40:52

consolidating G support behind Hilton,

40:54

Trump may have helped reduce the

40:55

chances. And I've noticed both Jane

40:57

Vaugh and Ro Con are backing the

40:59

billionaire, which is unusual, Tom

41:02

Styer. Um uh which is fine. like all the

41:04

left went crazy, but I'm like, well,

41:06

he's he's he's different. He's he's not

41:09

like there's he's not Mark Zuckerberg.

41:11

Let me just be clear.

41:12

>> But um that said, there's all kinds of,

41:14

you know, issues there um um with with

41:18

what's happening there. And you've got,

41:20

you know, a number of candidates that

41:21

each have a little chunk. It's not like

41:23

one has the biggest chunk. So, I'm

41:25

sitting there, I'm like, where's Nancy

41:27

Pelosi hitting heads or where's Nuome or

41:29

what's what is happening there? And you

41:31

I'm sure you've spoken to them. If

41:33

you're running the Democratic party

41:34

>> mean what's happening in the Democratic

41:36

>> party. What has to happen there in order

41:38

to like knock people out? They don't

41:40

seem to be leaving any of them. It looks

41:42

like

41:43

>> Yeah. I don't I Well, that you know,

41:45

California is not

41:47

>> Chicago,

41:48

>> right?

41:49

>> We would find something wrong with their

41:50

signatures and knock them out that way.

41:52

>> Yeah.

41:53

>> You're not getting on the ballot on this

41:55

one. You want another race? That's

41:56

evidence. You know, uh I don't you know

41:58

I have no idea what I think the

42:00

leadership of the party has stood back.

42:02

I part of me wonders whether Kla Harris

42:05

thinks again like maybe I made a

42:07

mistake. I should have gone for that

42:08

office etc. Given when you look at the

42:10

field I think this is a jump ball. You

42:13

got a uh I look at it from a distance

42:16

but about four candidates all kind of

42:19

hovering within two points from each

42:22

other. And so my guess is the leadership

42:23

of the party doesn't want to put their

42:25

thumb on the scale prefer looking like

42:27

they don't have the leadership that they

42:29

thought they did.

42:30

>> So what happens? It could be. Is that a

42:32

bad thing for the

42:35

>> you know I I uh I I do buy the

42:37

conventional wisdom

42:40

>> that the president's endorsement of uh

42:44

Mr.

42:44

is a kiss of death.

42:46

>> Mhm. And I think that will uh bear out

42:49

uh and I what happens

42:52

eventually there's a co coalescing

42:55

that trigger hasn't happened yet but I

42:58

instinctively believe it will happen

43:01

well how the papers endorse what

43:04

something will happen that will tri that

43:05

will be a conversion that will convert

43:08

the moment it will be a catalytic

43:10

conversion of the moment and then there

43:12

will be a coalesing around a singular or

43:14

two candidates that catapult to the

43:17

front of the class

43:17

>> possibly.

43:19

Do you remember the movie Face Off where

43:20

they're all pointing guns at each other?

43:22

That's what it feels like. Someone's got

43:24

to put the gun down, you know, and then

43:25

the the pigeons fly.

43:27

>> It's a little early for that, but you'll

43:28

get that.

43:29

>> You'll get that. You'll get Is there any

43:31

candidate you think

43:32

>> will emerge of all those? I'm not close

43:34

enough to uh to uh I'm not close enough

43:38

to that race to I mean in the back of my

43:40

head I'm it will be a Democrat

43:43

>> and you know there's 90% of them agree

43:45

on the same thing so it won't uh matter.

43:48

Now it could I could you know obviously

43:50

this is electoral politics so it could

43:52

be totally wrong. Mhm.

43:53

>> Uh but so far I believe that there will

43:57

be a coalescing at the very end at least

43:59

around one if not two candidates and the

44:01

rest will really

44:02

>> be seen as a wasted vote. Um the one

44:05

good news is uh the president's

44:07

endorsement is going to uh force the

44:09

Democrats to kind of shape up real

44:11

quickly.

44:12

>> Shape up real quickly. Yeah.

44:13

Interesting. It's a real it's a real

44:14

wrinkled Steve is like are you kidding

44:16

me? I mean, my thing my thing is

44:19

>> Mhm.

44:19

>> look, take Iowa and take Ohio

44:24

and then take Florida and Georgia. And

44:26

I'll tell you why on those is

44:28

>> Ohio. The Democratic nominee for

44:30

governor, which was in Governor DeWine's

44:33

public health official, she's ahead. In

44:36

Iowa, you have an open senate, also an

44:38

open governor. And the a state auditor

44:42

in Iowa is in a very strong position. uh

44:45

been elected twice already statewide for

44:47

the governor's race and we're going to

44:49

have a pretty competitive uh nominee I

44:51

think for the Senate and I think what's

44:53

happening because of what the president

44:55

did to the rural economy the corn

44:58

soybean wheat farmers

45:00

>> business and the gone out of business

45:02

the rural economy is really hurting this

45:03

war has really touched them fertilizers

45:06

etc

45:07

>> you're going to see something in the

45:08

Midwest in the prairie states that's

45:10

going to come and bite the Republicans

45:12

right where they need to be bitten and

45:14

kicked

45:14

Yeah.

45:15

>> Then you go down to Georgia and Florida.

45:19

In both cases in the Democratic primary

45:22

are former Republican- elected officials

45:24

who've decided the Republican party

45:25

under Donald Trump's not their home

45:27

anymore. The Democrats are. Whether they

45:29

get out of the primary or not, I'm not

45:31

sure. But there is a 10 to 12% of

45:34

Republicans and I've also seen this

45:36

going all over the country who don't

45:39

identify

45:40

with Donald Trump.

45:43

Not sure about the Democrats. They all,

45:45

you know, they say way too left for them

45:47

culturally, politically, economically.

45:50

But you have a fraction of what we I

45:52

call traditional Republicans that rather

45:55

than a look at this election or the

45:57

future elections as transactional,

46:00

we should look as transformational.

46:02

They have chosen those two candidates in

46:05

Florida and and Georgia to see

46:08

themselves and their future politically

46:11

more at home with the Democratic party

46:14

than Republicans.

46:15

>> At least for now.

46:15

>> That tells you the beginning, right?

46:17

Well, that is the first steps

46:19

>> towards a realignment of coalitions.

46:22

>> And we as a party have to look at these

46:24

elections, right?

46:26

>> I'll give you one analysis. I Okay.

46:27

Because we're going to move on and

46:29

stuff. Yeah. Go ahead.

46:29

>> Okay. I'll be really quick. In 2020, you

46:32

had what I call Joe Biden Republicans.

46:35

And the real question was, were we going

46:37

to govern with the idea of making that

46:39

transformational or transactional? And

46:42

one of the mistakes I think made in the

46:44

Biden administration was rather than try

46:45

to unite the country, a lot time was

46:47

spent trying to unite the party

46:49

>> and we lost the bigger narrative in that

46:51

process.

46:52

>> Right. That's a very fair point. Um, I'm

46:53

going to move on to some business stuff.

46:55

Um, lots going on in this area of AI of

46:58

something that you've written about a

46:59

lot and you and I have talked about

47:00

social media and everything else. Now,

47:02

in this case, Elon Musk wants to have

47:04

OpenAI CEO Sam Alman and President Greg

47:07

Brockman removed from the company as

47:08

part of a case claiming the company

47:09

deceived him to donating $38 million. I

47:12

was there when that happened, actually.

47:13

Meanwhile, OpenAI sent a letter to the

47:15

California and Delaware AGs alleging

47:17

Musk has been working to undermine

47:19

OpenAI through various attacks,

47:20

including by working with Mark

47:22

Zuckerberg. I mean, this is true. Um,

47:24

Serge jury selection begins in this

47:26

high-profile trial where the tech is

47:28

sort of eating each other. Like, it's a

47:30

really interesting time. And while we're

47:32

talking about AI, hopefulness among AI

47:34

among young people has dropped to 18%

47:36

from 27% last year. You're welcome every

47:39

at tech. I'm I'm glad to help it do

47:41

that. Almost a third of young adults uh

47:43

say AI made them feel angry. Um, and

47:46

speaking of Elang, shortly after he

47:47

filed his SpaceX IPO last week,

47:49

speculation is growing about a merger

47:51

with Tesla. Um, I've been saying this

47:53

would happen. Let's listen to a clip

47:55

from last April. It looks like he's not

47:57

interested in making cars anymore or

47:59

he's making other things. He wants to

48:00

shift Tesla and I I think you're going

48:02

to merge XAI

48:04

X and this together in a big on the

48:07

whole.

48:08

>> Yeah. Mhm.

48:09

>> Yeah. I had already predicted that he

48:11

would put Twitter into Grock and then

48:13

they would put it into SpaceX and it

48:15

made sense for a lot of thing. Um, so

48:17

>> there's a whole new meaning of rollup.

48:19

>> Yeah. And actually there there there's a

48:21

story in Reuters they're going to

48:22

possibly make a cheaper EV which he

48:23

should have done four years ago but

48:25

that's another issue. Talk a little bit

48:27

that's the only answer for Tesla given

48:29

how the numbers are declining. He has to

48:30

either have a great car or he has which

48:33

he's not seemingly interested in a

48:35

really great car that sort of wins

48:37

everything or he has to merge them all

48:38

together and then he can hide the losses

48:40

pretty easily in this spectacular IPO

48:43

that's going to happen with SpaceX. Um

48:45

so which is hugely overvalued but that's

48:47

all right. people are going to buy into

48:49

it. So talk a little bit about what's

48:50

happening here in AI because there's a

48:52

whole shift of people not trusting these

48:54

people. You know, it's sort of like a

48:56

pox on all their houses. Which side do

48:58

you want to pick? Altman or Musk or

49:01

these people or David Sachs who's like

49:03

pushing the president even as the

49:05

numbers are declining?

49:08

>> I think there's three categories that I

49:10

kind of take back from this week. One is

49:14

the tech bros all basically urinating on

49:17

each other's leg telling you the other

49:19

guy it's raining outside and Americans

49:21

aren't going to stand for sit on the

49:23

sidelines literally

49:24

>> while Alman and Daario and Alam Musk all

49:29

play and fight with each other like

49:30

little kids in the sandbox without adult

49:33

supervision. The second

49:36

is both open AI and anthropic withhold

49:40

product because it's too risky to the

49:43

>> right. I was going to mention that too.

49:44

These are these are new products

49:46

>> that they have coming that they're

49:48

worried about security issues and now

49:50

they brought a coalition together to try

49:52

to patch things but quite dangerous. But

49:54

go ahead. And then the third thing which

49:56

is whether forget the motivation for say

50:00

Sam Alman puts uh out a kind of updated

50:05

AI New Deal social contract to compete

50:09

in my but again I shouldn't do that

50:12

because I said don't put aside the

50:13

motivation with Daario

50:17

own's view which is this is going to be

50:20

so disruptive we have to figure out not

50:23

only how the product and the and the

50:25

industry, but also how we include the

50:28

American people in this. So, it's a net

50:30

win rather than three guys win and 333

50:34

million lose. Those three boxes are

50:37

they're all overlapping.

50:40

Now, I step back also as a former mayor

50:43

and chief of staff to a president in

50:45

massive changing times. the government

50:47

is set up to kind of set up a

50:50

regulation, wait 30 years to see if it

50:52

work, which is an industrial model, and

50:55

you're good. You're in the post analog,

50:57

postdigital into something totally

50:59

different. And I do think when you look

51:02

at Daro and and Open AI deciding not to

51:06

put a product out, forget the boys

51:09

acting like boys,

51:12

they're

51:14

they are begging

51:16

for oversight and rules and they're

51:20

making it up as they go. The government

51:22

needs industry leaders, academics,

51:27

and comments in real time to be making

51:30

decisions in real way. We can't rely on

51:33

two CEOs social conscience to say I'm

51:35

withholding a product because it's

51:37

dangerous. While I appreciate that they

51:39

did that, that is not how this is going

51:41

to work. So, we're going to have to have

51:43

a a board that is required to update its

51:47

rules and regs and oversight in real

51:50

time with an industry that's changing at

51:53

a pace the government's not used to.

51:55

There's going to have to be principles

51:57

that guide it. Now, is a threat from

51:59

China real?

52:00

>> 100%.

52:01

from a competitive standpoint

52:03

>> which I find one side note

52:06

>> we're a country with a lot of social

52:09

whether you think it should be expanded

52:11

social insurance our country is fearful

52:14

from AI China has none of the social

52:16

infrastructure underneath it so if you

52:18

fail to get support healthcare

52:20

unemployment insurance etc and yet

52:22

they're hugely optimistic about AI

52:25

>> the countries are in different places

52:27

given the support that the public sector

52:29

and I find that just as a polit as a

52:32

>> they do a lot more monitoring of it. The

52:34

c the government does much more

52:36

monitoring than we do.

52:37

>> Well, there's a confidence since

52:38

somebody's going to control and that

52:41

you're not going to be left out on the

52:42

sideline. So to me, we're going to have

52:45

to have a real and I do think this

52:48

regardless of whatever my personal

52:51

the

52:53

two Sam Alman's kind of social contract

52:57

Dario's view that uh from anthropic that

53:01

we need a kind of a new agreement which

53:04

is the difference between kind of

53:05

capital versus labor but how AI will b

53:08

what I say democratize the benefits of

53:11

AI to more people from both skills but

53:15

also jobs and economic opportunity and

53:17

if you don't the American people are

53:19

going to data center rebell you know re

53:23

rebellion against it's just minor

53:25

compared to what's going to happen

53:26

>> and the government's going to have to

53:28

step in and do this from an executive

53:29

branch standpoint

53:30

>> but the tech the tech people are still

53:33

aside from those guys like David Sachs

53:35

was like how dare you do this this is

53:36

our greatest thing and is pushing Trump

53:39

even as this is happening and he has

53:41

been integral to what I think has been a

53:44

disaster for the tech industry in terms

53:45

of their imagery, right? They look like

53:48

villains now. They're villains now.

53:49

They're the villains.

53:50

>> Well, they are babies,

53:53

>> right? I mean, they're they're villains

53:54

and they're actually also they want to

53:57

take all the benefit and you're just

53:59

going to live in their world. Now, I'm

54:02

sorry, that's not how a democratic

54:04

capitalist system works. There is real

54:06

opportunity.

54:08

Look, given the competitiveness with

54:10

China, this is going to be one one like

54:12

fusion, like quantum computing, etc.

54:14

like life sciences, one of the dominant

54:17

uh technologies of the future, but it's

54:19

not going to be three winners and 333

54:21

million losers. That is not how we're

54:23

keeping score.

54:24

>> I think that in the end of the day, like

54:26

everywhere else,

54:29

>> industry likes regulations because it

54:31

sets rules, guidelines, and principles.

54:33

Correct. when you go back to what's

54:34

happening like insider training

54:38

>> that for the fact that businesses are

54:40

not calling that out this is going to

54:42

come back to bite you right in the butt.

54:43

>> That's what I said. I you know it's

54:45

interesting when I saw those statistics

54:46

and then David Sachs yammering on about

54:48

it. I was like you know David sit the

54:50

down because the American people

54:52

don't like what you're doing. So and

54:54

Trump is stupid to listen to.

54:56

>> What?

54:56

>> You have dropped the fbomb three times

54:58

on that side.

54:59

>> I know. I know. I know. I know. You can

55:01

do it anytime. That's more your

55:02

brother's thing. That's more your your

55:04

elderly brother's thing.

55:06

>> You will never find me ever saying it

55:08

publicly.

55:09

>> I know.

55:09

>> In my whole career. Do not do that.

55:11

>> I know you don't. That I'm just telling

55:12

you that's your brother. I have a tape.

55:14

Even though my mother Even though my

55:15

mother is deaf, she'll hear it and come

55:17

and grab me.

55:19

>> I have a voice of your brother saying,

55:20

"Caris Swisser, you." So, I'm going

55:23

to keep it for the rest of I'm making

55:25

thinking of making it my way.

55:25

>> That was probably a term of endearment.

55:28

>> It was. It was. It's because he didn't

55:29

invite me to some party. Anyway, I don't

55:31

want to go to his party. It doesn't

55:32

matter. But happy birthday. Um, all

55:34

right, Rahm, let's go on a quick break.

55:35

When we come back, we'll talk about very

55:37

quickly RFK getting into the podcast

55:39

game. Rahm, we're back with just one

55:41

more quick story. I regret to inform you

55:43

that RFK Jr. is launching a podcast. You

55:45

know, it's trouble. Now, the pod will

55:47

focus on telling the truth, especially

55:48

when it's uncomfortable in confronting

55:50

the spiritual malaise. Let's watch a

55:53

clip of the announcement. I guess it's

55:54

not quite as bad as his as his strange

55:57

porn movie with Kid Rock, but let's go.

56:00

If we want a healthy nation, we have to

56:02

confront the lies that have made us

56:04

spiritually, morally, and physically

56:06

sick. The time for half measures is now

56:09

over. We're launching a new era of

56:11

radical transparency in government here

56:13

at HHS. I hope you'll join us in our

56:16

mission to make America healthy again.

56:18

>> Oh my goodness. And of course, just as

56:20

there is news in the Washington Post

56:21

that they're trying to suppress a CDC

56:23

report that vaccines are good for you,

56:25

uh, COVID vaccine. So, just transparent

56:28

>> gives a whole new me. Yeah. Yeah. I was

56:30

going to say it gives a whole new

56:31

meaning to what transparency is not.

56:33

>> Yeah. So, is he just preparing for his

56:35

next career when he gets bounced or what

56:36

what is happening? And I hope are you

56:38

co-hosting his podcast?

56:39

>> First of all, two things. One is he's

56:42

preparing that, but it's also to uh

56:43

airbrush his past. He has been an

56:45

absolute horrible secretary of health

56:48

and human services on every measure

56:51

>> outside of what's happened with opiates

56:53

and he has nothing to do with it. United

56:55

States.

56:55

>> Best friend to measles is what I call

56:56

him. Best friend to measles.

56:58

>> Yes. measles, the lack of confidence in

57:01

the American CDC, our other types of our

57:04

life sciences, our capacities, our

57:07

health care cost, everything that he has

57:08

touched in the great tradition of this

57:11

administration is broken. It needed

57:14

repair. It needed to be strengthened.

57:15

And across the board, you cannot walk

57:17

from a single agency or department. And

57:19

he's been the kind of a point of

57:20

despair. It's the largest domestic

57:23

agency in the United States, health and

57:26

human services. and he has made a mess

57:29

of it and the people he's appointed have

57:31

made a mess of it from CDC to NIH to

57:34

what Medicare Medicaid

57:36

>> and they have done nothing

57:39

>> to measurably improve the health of the

57:41

American people

57:42

>> and

57:43

>> I will say having dealt with this as

57:45

both chief of staff but more importantly

57:47

when I helped pass the ACA or President

57:49

Clinton's children's health insurance

57:50

but as mayor of the city of Chicago 8%

57:53

of our workforce was driving 70% of our

57:57

healthare costs around chronic

57:59

illnesses, heart, obesity, etc. He could

58:02

have focused on something that actually

58:05

moved the needle in both dropping health

58:07

care costs and improving public health.

58:10

>> Yeah.

58:11

>> And rather than bring the country

58:12

together like everything in this

58:14

administration, never lose an

58:15

opportunity to divide Americans. They

58:18

have they have from the president to his

58:20

cabinet have found m multiple

58:22

opportunities

58:23

>> to divide people and and literally

58:25

repressed examples where they could

58:28

actually bring people together of

58:29

different political views to work on a

58:31

common issue

58:32

>> and shame on doctors in the Senate who

58:34

voted for him. I mean I just the

58:36

Republican would

58:37

>> well that gets back to you know Senator

58:39

Ga Senator Cassidy is going to pay the

58:41

price like Senator Tillis

58:43

>> for having basically taking your

58:44

conscience and put it in a lock box when

58:46

the vote came and you knew what was

58:48

right. You took the polit politically

58:51

expedient case and I don't want to draw

58:52

this to myself but since I'm on I'll

58:54

draw it to myself. I can't tell you how

58:55

many times I used to walk into Clinton's

58:57

office or President Obama's oh I said

58:59

you're out of your mind if you do this

59:01

this is the Christ. I'm going to let you

59:03

lay it out to you. You'll have a debate

59:04

about it, but understand the

59:06

consequences of this. I was an employee.

59:09

Get out of here. This You're an

59:11

independent US senator. I was a

59:12

congressman. I was You got elected.

59:15

>> You have a responsibility

59:17

to what the

59:18

>> trust has told me, you know what a

59:20

martyr is? He's dead. Like he was he was

59:23

like, you can't you can't operate from a

59:25

position of dead. And that I still was

59:27

like, I don't care. Be dead then.

59:29

>> You know what I mean? Cuz you'll you'll

59:32

say that politically. Yeah,

59:33

>> he may say that politically,

59:35

>> Mhm.

59:35

>> but that vote gave a license to a guy to

59:38

do a political purge of the greatest

59:40

military forces this country did, the

59:42

greatest turnaround this country did.

59:43

I've worked with these men and women at

59:45

all levels. The amount of dedication,

59:48

the amount of understanding of politics,

59:51

culture, history, working

59:53

diplomatically, working militarily.

59:55

Hex doesn't hold a candle any of the

59:58

people.

59:58

>> Same thing with RFK. So, you won't be

60:00

listening to his podcast. In other

60:01

words, all right. Uh, one more quick

60:03

break. We'll be back for predictions.

60:05

Okay, Rahm, let's hear prediction.

60:07

There's so many things. Keep it brief.

60:09

We got just a little time. I want to

60:10

play one thing at the end from NASA um

60:13

from the Artemis. But what is your

60:15

prediction?

60:16

>> Prediction that nobody will be held

60:18

accountable for playing the games in the

60:20

prediction market with inside

60:21

information. The CFTC, the SEC, the

60:24

Justice Department not only are asleep,

60:27

they're in on the scam.

60:29

>> Nobody for now.

60:32

Nobody for now under this administration

60:34

until they're held accountable.

60:36

>> And

60:36

>> can I do one thing personal?

60:37

>> Sure, please. Absolutely.

60:39

>> All right. My son runs a 2hour 39minut

60:43

marathon. He did it in Boston.

60:44

>> Amazing.

60:45

>> He's going to run the Boston Marathon

60:46

again. I think he'll have a personal

60:47

best.

60:48

>> Oh,

60:48

>> he ran a 2-hour 39 uh which was

60:50

incredible

60:51

>> in uh marathon.

60:54

>> I think I think this coming Boston he's

60:56

running again. He's going to get a

60:58

personal best. Oh, that's very

61:00

>> a prediction, a hope and a wish. And I'm

61:02

very proud of him.

61:02

>> Oh, that is amazing. You should run with

61:04

him. You should run with him. No, I

61:06

couldn't do it.

61:07

>> I'm not that. No, that Amy runs

61:09

marathons. As I always say, we're going

61:11

to have to do a test because I don't

61:12

know who your father is. I have no idea

61:14

about this man.

61:15

>> The kid's an incredible runner.

61:17

>> Uhhuh. Okay. And that I want to leave a

61:20

thing of hope. Speaking of hope, that's

61:21

wonderful. I one of the things I did

61:23

feel I think Americans really start

61:25

really watch this Artemis flight done by

61:27

NASA. It was sort of a wonderful moment.

61:29

All all Americans it was the numbers are

61:31

quite high which is wonderful. Um NASA

61:34

and they did a great job on social media

61:35

and this crew is just so wonderful. Men

61:38

hugging and crying and saying wonderful

61:41

things and laughing and it just has been

61:43

a real it's a wonderful group of people

61:45

up there and it sort of represents the

61:47

best of America in that regard. Kind and

61:50

good-hearted. NASA is preparing for the

61:52

return of Artemis 2 after this historic

61:54

moon flyby. These pictures are

61:55

delightful and amazing and astonishing

61:57

and it also makes you appreciate Earth.

61:59

So, let's listen to a clip from crew

62:01

member Christina Cook after the

62:03

spacecraft passed by the moon. I thought

62:05

it was just one of the most beautiful

62:07

things. Let's listen.

62:08

>> We will explore. We will build. We will

62:11

build ships. We will visit again. We

62:14

will construct science outposts. We will

62:16

drive rovers. We will do radio

62:18

astronomy. We will found companies. We

62:21

will bolster industry. We will inspire,

62:24

but ultimately we will always choose

62:27

Earth. We will always choose each other.

62:30

>> Just what you were talking about, Rahm

62:33

Maker, the head of NASA.

62:34

>> I actually think it was a a perfect

62:37

antitheical spirit to what you're seeing

62:41

uh out of this administration.

62:43

>> We'll choose Earth and we'll choose each

62:44

other

62:45

>> in a period where we did a war of

62:47

choice. Yeah, it was a act and it

62:49

touched. Look, I do think there's this

62:51

yearning

62:53

out there to actually not see our fellow

62:56

Americans as the enemy or the it could

62:59

be an opponent but from a political

63:01

standoint but it's not your enemy and I

63:03

thought she touched that human

63:05

conspirator and also most importantly

63:06

for uh the United States that's

63:09

something we can unify around I I don't

63:11

know about you I get on the you know

63:14

open my iPad first thing I do is see the

63:16

pictures they're sending

63:17

>> they're beautiful

63:18

>> and uh look at the I looked at the earth

63:20

from that eclipse photo which I Mhm.

63:22

>> was most beautiful

63:25

>> shot. And then there was also

63:26

complimentary the web telescope put out

63:29

new pictures of the galaxy.

63:30

>> Yeah.

63:31

>> And it's just it it it there's it

63:34

kindles and it's and it has that little

63:36

light that illuminates in you of

63:38

something that

63:39

>> uh you can as you said hopeful, proud

63:42

and optimistic about

63:43

>> and I thought her message was uh just

63:45

>> beautiful. It's a beautiful

63:47

>> family like the popes.

63:48

>> We have a beautiful planet. Anyway, we

63:50

want to hear from you. to send us your

63:51

questions about business, tech, or

63:53

whatever's on your mind. Go to

63:54

nymag.com/pivot to submit a question for

63:56

the show or call 8551 pivot. Elsewhere

63:59

in the Karen Scott universe this week,

64:00

my new CNN show, Caris Wisher Wants to

64:02

Live Forever, is premiering this

64:04

Saturday, April 11th at 9:00 p.m.

64:06

Eastern. Scott is actually going to

64:07

interview me at the premiere in New York

64:09

tonight. And also, your brother Zeke is

64:11

in it, and he's hysterical. He and I are

64:13

wearing Colonial Garb together, and we

64:16

had a ball. Um he he worked for the

64:18

season. He's he's he's really good. It's

64:21

a making of a star. Anyway, you're all

64:23

you're all fascinating. The Emanuals. Um

64:25

anyway, thank you so much for joining me

64:27

today. There's never a dull moment.

64:30

That's the show. Thanks for listening to

64:32

Pivot and be sure to like and subscribe

64:34

to our YouTube channel. We'll be back

64:35

next week. Scott will be back from

64:37

wherever the hell he's gone. Uh and

64:39

we're excited to have him back. But all

64:40

the guest hosts, Kristen Sultz, Anderson

64:43

Rom, uh and Anthony Scaramucci have been

64:45

amazing. And I really appreciate it.

Interactive Summary

In this episode of Pivot, Cara Swisher is joined by guest co-host Rahm Emanuel, former Mayor of Chicago and Ambassador to Japan. They discuss Emanuel's potential political future, his focus on "getting stuff done" in education and infrastructure, and his critique of the current Democratic and Republican landscapes. The conversation covers a wide range of topics, including the Trump administration's handling of the Iran ceasefire, the need for a forward-looking Democratic agenda focused on the middle class, and the shifting political coalitions in states like Wisconsin and Georgia. They also delve into the tech world, discussing the lack of adult supervision in AI development and the ongoing legal battles between Elon Musk and OpenAI. The episode concludes with a critique of RFK Jr.'s leadership at HHS and a hopeful segment on NASA's Artemis mission.

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