SpaceX Goes Public Tomorrow – Look Out Below
921 segments
I think it'll be very volatile and I
think that's going to add a lot of
volatility to the market because when
you don't have a valuation backdrop,
when you don't have comparables, then to
your point, it can trade at 95 times
revenue. It can trade at 50 times. It
can trade at 150 times. There's no rhyme
or reason. It really is about how many
people buy into that vision and continue
to hold on to that vision. And there's
the excitement that we're going to have
tomorrow. There's going to be the
lockups, [music] very significant
lockups after that. There's going to be
index inclusions. There's going to be
index non-inclusions. We would should
expect more volatility in this [music]
stock than anything we've seen in a
stock of this size. And again, it's
going to also have a big impact on the
market. It already has.
Welcome to Profit Markets. I'm Edson. It
is June 11th. Let's check in on
yesterday's market vitals. The major
indices all tumbled more than 1 and a.5%
after President Trump expressed
frustration that negotiations with Iran
were taking too long. The S&P 500 hit a
5we low and then after hours the US
began striking multiple targets in Iran
at which point the price of Brent crude
climbed. Meanwhile, the yield on 10ear
treasuries was mostly stable despite the
hottest inflation report in 3 years.
More on that later. Okay, what else is
happening?
It is a monumental week for the AI
industry. SpaceX is expected to price
tonight and will begin trading on the
NASDAQ tomorrow in what will be the
largest IPO of all time. Currently,
shares for SpaceX are more than four
times overs subscribed, implying at
least $300 billion in investor demand.
Meanwhile, OpenAI filed confidentially
for its IPO earlier this week, hot on
the tail of anthropic. So, very soon,
the public markets are going to get an
unprecedented look into the business of
AI. In the meantime, we got a preview of
investor sentiment on AI from Oracle's
earnings last night, which sent the
stock plummeting 8%. For more on what is
next for the AI trade and also his
thoughts on the SpaceX IPO, we are
speaking with Gil Lura, head of
technology research at DAD Davidson.
Gil, it's good to see you. An
unbelievably important week for the
markets here. And I think we got to
start with SpaceX. $1.77 trillion
valuation. It's priced at 95 times
sales. I've made my opinion on the
matter quite known to our audience. I
think it's overvalued, but I'd love to
hear your views.
>> My view is going to be more descriptive
than prescriptive. Uh when I've been
following Elon Musk companies for uh
more than a decade and they rarely trade
on fundamentals. They rarely trade on
the same valuation metrics as other
companies. And I've thought about why
that is. And I think the answer is that
Elon has this trick that he plays. He
has the business that he has today. the
business that's on the come and then the
big dream business. So for Tesla, the
business he has today is selling cars.
The business that's on the come is robo
taxi and then somewhere down the line
there's Optimus robots running around.
The equivalence for SpaceX is right now
we have Starlink. Soon we'll have
orbital data centers and then eventually
we're putting a million people on Mars,
right? And that allows him to get away
from having his companies valued on the
fundamentals of what he has today
because there's always something bigger
coming near and then something even
bigger coming long term. And that's how
he does it with Tesla and he's been
successful doing it with Tesla for a
long time and now it seems to be working
for SpaceX. Having said all that, I
think it's great that you're cautioning
people ahead of tomorrow. Uh buyer
beware. Yeah, I mean I I guess I'm
skeptical how many people will actually
believe in that story and the putting
people on Mars. I mean, it's one thing
to say we're going to put these humanoid
robots into the world, which by the way,
at least they they've shown some models
of how it would look. Um, but putting
people on Mars, to me, there's a it
starts to go from optimism to delusion.
And I'm skeptical of how many people
actually believe this thing I is
actually going to happen. And I guess my
thought is that we're going to see a lot
of selling activity at least when these
lockups start to expire. So how do you
think the stock will trade over the
course of the day and I guess in in the
in the next weeks and months as well? I
think it'll be very volatile and I think
that's going to add a lot of volatility
to the market because when you don't
have a valuation backdrop, when you
don't have comparables, then to your
point, it can trade at 95 times revenue.
It can trade at 50 times. It can trade
at 150 times. There's no rhyme or
reason. It really is about how many
people buy into that vision and continue
to hold on to that vision. And there's
the excitement that we're going to have
tomorrow. There's going to be the
lockups, very significant lockups after
that. There's going to be index
inclusions. There's going to be index
non-inclusions. We would should expect
more volatility in this stock than
anything we've seen in a stock of this
size. And again, it's going to also have
a big impact on the market. It already
has. We've seen a lot of capital taken
out of a lot of other technology stocks,
a lot of the the rest of the AI trade in
order to fund this because if they're
issuing 75 billion and it's four times
over subscribed, that means investors
have $300 billion ready to invest.
They're not going to get their full
allocation, but they have to have it in
cash just in case they do. So, a lot of
capital's already been pulled out of the
market and we're going to have to see
what happens in order to perpetuate
this.
>> Yes. Plus, you've got Open AI coming up.
You've got Anthropic coming up. You've
got Google's $85 billion equity
offering. You've got Meta supposedly
considering a similar thing. You've got
Oracle, which we could get into, which
just announced a $20 billion equity
offering. I believe $20 billion in debt
as well. It's starting to get to the
point where there is so much stock being
issued into the markets, injected into
the markets. I'm not totally sure if
people even have the money to buy all of
this stuff. And if they don't, then
they're going to have to sell their
existing positions. It sounds like you
believe that that is what is already
happening. And that might describe why
we've seen some of the draw downs in
some of the larger tech names over the
past few days. Is that what's going to
happen? And do you think it could get I
guess worse?
>> Yeah, there's going to be a lot of
sloshing around of capital. Uh and and
the reason is part of the reason and
this is going to happen even more so
when open AI and anthropic go public
because SpaceX is bigger than AI, right?
It's about space exploration and
expanding consciousness into the stars.
A literal quote from the S1. Um but open
AI and anthropic are the pure plays on
AI. So if so far in the market you've
invested every other way in AI by buying
semis and optical and nuclear and
quantum and all these other ways to
invest indirectly in AI. Now you're
going to get a chance to invest directly
in AI. And so again a lot of capital is
going to be pulled from the rest of the
AI trade into open AI and anthropic. And
part of this is a race because you
mentioned the mega caps are going to the
capital markets. These three IPOs are
happening. Each of them wants tens of
billions, maybe even a hundred billion
dollars to raise. There's a finite
amount of capital that could come out of
everything else. And so to some extent,
this is a race. I think when we heard
open what OpenAI said when they filed
confidentially is we'd rather stay
private but we understand that we may
need to go public which is code for we
may need to beat anthropic out or at
least be soon after anthropic because we
don't want them to drive a narrative to
drive how disclosures happen what
metrics get reported. So a rush to
capital right now from all these big
players.
>> Yes. which implies something which seems
to me to be quite important, which is if
they're racing to sell now, that's
because they believe if they sell later,
there will be less available capital and
they won't be able to to command the
prices at which they would like to sell
today. So SpaceX seems to have timed it
great. But the further you go down the
line that it seems that like these CEOs
like Sam Alman believe there might not
be as much capital available later down
the line which makes me feel a little
bit bearish to be honest. It makes me
think that maybe we're at the top. They
think that now is the time to sell
clearly because that's what they're
doing. It makes me think maybe look out
below. What do you think about that
thesis that potentially this IPO race,
this IPO mania could signal the top, at
least for the tech sector?
>> I'm a little bit more optimistic from
the overall perspective because I
actually think the AI models are very
powerful and they're getting a lot
better that the folks that have been
using Fable from uh Anthropic over the
last couple days are saying that's
another big leap forward and we're
already getting a lot of good usage from
the other AI models. At the end of the
day, this is what matters. Are consumers
going to pay subscriptions to for AI?
Are companies going to pay for the
tokens coming from these AI models? As
long as that happens, we're going to
continue to see growth. What these
companies are doing, they're racing to
capital. It's not necessarily that
they're saying that their valuations are
peaking. They're saying what you said
earlier, which is if I don't get the
capital now, it may not be around later
because everybody else will have stood
in line first. This is a game of kings
and queens. You can't participate in AI
without tens of billions and hundreds of
billions of dollars. And if you think
that the couple's going to run out at
some point, you want to be early. By the
way, also compliments to Google for for
being early with the very big fund raise
this week. And and again, I wouldn't
expect Amazon and Microsoft to to linger
in the background. They understand this
is a race. they understand that they're
starting to exhaust their operating cash
flow and they will need resources in
order to keep uh building the AI compute
data centers.
>> Uh final question and then we'll let you
go and I don't know if you're going to
answer it because you didn't quite
answer it before. Do you think SpaceX is
overvalued or undervalued?
>> I I try not to do that with the Elon
companies because I don't think their
valuation has ever made sense. It's
never been had anything to do with
fundamentals. So if people are buying a
dream and a story and hope and and
sometimes that works out. It sure did
work out for Tesla holders that bought
the stock 15 years ago. It did. It did
indeed. All right. Gila, head of
technology research at DA Davidson. Gil,
thank you so much. Appreciate your time.
>> Thank you. We'll be right back. And if
you're enjoying the show, be sure to
subscribe to the Prof Markets YouTube
channel at the link below.
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We're back with Profit Markets.
Inflation rose 4.2% 2% in May from a
year earlier, the hottest reading in 3
years. Fuel oil is up nearly 60% from a
year earlier, and airfare is up 27%.
And for the second straight month, real
wages fell, meaning prices are rising
faster than paychecks. The report has
investors rethinking the [music] Fed's
path ahead. The odds of a rate hike
before the end of the year are now
around 50%. [music]
on Khi. Joining us to discuss this
inflation report, we are speaking with
our friend Mark Zandandy, chief
economist at Moody's Analytics. Marks,
thank you for joining me on the show.
It's always good to see you. I guess my
first question here, 4.2%.
I mean, this number is staggering to me.
Seems like it's all Iran. Is that right?
>> Uh Ed, good to be with you. No, it's
more than Iran. I mean, obviously Iran's
a big part of it. uh the bulk of the in
of the inflation acceleration is energy
prices. Uh but it goes to the tariffs.
There's still some tariff pass through.
It goes to the restrictive immigration
policy which is uh having an impact on
different industries and uh causing
sticky service price inflation and also
AI artificial intelligence. It AI is
juicing up demand you know the data
center infrastructure buildout consumer
spending because of the wealth effects.
uh but it's not lifting supply at least
not yet to any significant degree. The
productivity boost so far has been
pretty small. So more demand not as much
supply that adds to inflation. You can
see in electricity prices you can see it
on chip prices. So there's a lot of
stuff going on here. Inflation is up for
a lot of different reasons but the bulk
of it is is the Iran war.
>> I guess the next question is how long is
this going to last? I mean it's been
going up and up and up. If we stick
around at 4.2% 2%. I mean, we're over
two percentage points above the Fed's
target rate. This problem only seems to
be getting worse. And I think the
question on investors minds is how long
is this going to persist?
>> Well, it does depend on the war, right?
I mean, if uh if the war is kind of uh
close to peaking, winding down here, and
oil prices are not going any higher,
they're going they're around 100 bucks a
barrel, if that's where they stay, come
in a little bit, then the worst of the
inflation is behind us. But, you know,
there's no going back to the kind of 2%
inflation rate that the Fed would
consider to be appropriate, you know,
comfortable for a long time. I mean,
when I say a long time, Ed, we'll be
talking a year from now, inflation will
still be above target. Maybe two years
from now, if even if everything sticks
to script, including the Iran war
winding down. So, this is, you know, we
might be past the worst of it, but we're
not getting back to where we were
anytime soon. Do you think it will get
worse? This is the this is the thing
that I'm not sure what to expect. I
mean, we saw back in 22, we saw a
similar thing of inflation kind of
ripped back up. It went as high as 8 9%.
It got really bad. I mean, how much
worse do you expect it will get in this
round of inflation?
>> Well, I do expect the president to come
to terms with the Iranians and open up
the straight and get production, oil
production ramping up back up again and
oil prices moving south again. So, I
think that's the most likely scenario,
but as you as you, you know, were
alluding to, there's a gazillion
different scenarios here. Uh, and uh
almost all of them are worse than the
baseline, you know, inflation being
higher for longer. The one thing I do
think that we need to watch though to
answer your question is inflation
expectations. I mean if uh expectations
continue to uh for inflation continue to
rise uh particularly bond market
expectations then the risk is that this
inflation becomes more persistent more
entrenched and obviously has big
implications for what the Fed's going to
do. So so far you know inflation
expectations they're on the high side of
where I think the Fed would feel
comfortable but they haven't kind of
breached you know up to the upside. But
that's something to watch uh to to
answer your question.
>> Just to again theory this out like let's
imagine a world where Trump does not
figure out how to negotiate with Iran.
The straight remains closed or the
situation persists as it is. It's hard
to tell whether it's closed or open or
who's blockading what. Point is not
going great over there. That's all we
know. If it remains
as is, call it for the next 6 9 12
months, does the number get worse and
worse and worse or do you expect that it
will plateau at some point?
>> No, that's a pretty ugly scenario
because we're running out of
inventories. I mean, you know, global
inventories of oil have been being
significantly drawn down. I think you
have to go back to the early 80s to find
inventories as low as they are today.
And compared to the size of the economy,
we have to go back even further. So
there's just no inventory. And if uh we
don't see a resolution to the war, if
the straight doesn't open, if production
doesn't pick up, those inventories are
going to get to a place where we're
going to start seeing actual shortages,
physical shortages. Maybe not in the
United States because we produce a lot
of oil. We produce as much oil as we
consume, but in other parts of the
world. And I think at that point,
traders and everyone else would come to
the conclusion that, well, this isn't
going to come to a quick end. You know,
we got a problem here. We need much
higher oil prices to equate demand with
the reduced supply and that means much
higher prices and that means much higher
inflation and that that's a scenario
where you do get inflation expectations
you know breaching the upper limits of
what the Fed would feel comfortable with
and that's a pretty dark scenario but
clearly a scenario with a pro a
meaningful probability attached to it.
>> In other words, it sounds like almost
all of this rests on Trump's ability to
negotiate a deal with Iran. It sounds
like you are somewhat confident that he
will pull that off in the near to medium
term. I guess my question is why do you
feel that way?
>> Well, you know, the president, you know,
whatever you think of him, the one thing
you can say is that, you know, he uh if
things aren't working out in the way he
wants them to, he'll pivot 180 degrees,
declare victory, and move on. At least
that's been what he's done so far. Uh,
so I applying the same kind of logic to
my thinking around what he's going to do
here. He's desperately obviously trying
to figure out a way to wind this thing
down, declare victory, and move on. So
hopefully he finds that sooner rather
than later. Otherwise, we're going to be
in a boatload of hurt. And you know that
the scenario where he doesn't come to
terms in the next few weeks, next month
or so, you know, that's that's a
recession scenario, a stagflation
recession scenario. Yeah, I I personally
don't feel so optimistic about it, but
part of it is something some of the
things that he said about he's not
worried about it. And then he also said
this thing about inflation yesterday. We
have a clip of of what he said. He was
asked about this inflation report. I'm
just going to play this clip and I'd
love to get your reactions.
>> I love the inflation. You know why?
Because as soon as this war is over, you
know, I can say it now. Something you
didn't know. Do you know we've been
taking out millions of barrels of oil?
Nobody knows it. You know who doesn't
know about it? Iran until right now.
>> So Trump says he loves inflation because
they're taking barrels out.
>> I don't fully understand what he's
saying. Is there any way to make sense
of what he's saying?
>> Uh if you can't make make sense of it,
and I don't think I can. I I certainly
can't. I'm not sure what he's talking
about. I mean, I don't know. There's
nothing worse than inflation on every
level. I mean, uh, you know, it's it's
bad for consumers, bad for households,
it's bad for businesses, it's it's bad
for investors, it's, uh, it's bad for
the Federal Reserve Board. I it's a
lose-lose lose lose. So, I I don't know.
I I don't get it. Uh, but I I'm not sure
I I don't know that I attach a whole lot
of weight to that and, you know, and say
that that's what he actually believes.
You know, I'm not sure that's the case.
>> He's just saying what he says. not hard
to make meaning out of anything that he
says. Okay, [music] Mark Zandandy, chief
economist at Moody's Analytics. Mark,
thank you for joining us on Profy
Markets.
>> Anytime, Ed, thanks so much.
>> We'll be right back. And if you're
enjoying the show, be sure to subscribe
to the ProfG Markets YouTube channel at
the link below.
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We're back with Profy Markets.
Apple has finally shown up to the AI
race, but it might be too little too
late. At its Worldwide Developers
Conference on Monday, the company
unveiled Siri AI. The updated assistant
will be powered by Google's Gemini.
However, Siri AI has no firm release
date and it won't be available in the EU
or in China when it launches. Apple
stock hit a record high during the
keynote address on Monday, but it
quickly reversed course and since then
shares have shed [music] more than 7%.
So, here to help us break down Siri AI
and what it means for investors, we're
speaking with Alex Heath, author of the
Sources Newsletter and co-host of the
Access podcast. And Alex has been at the
Worldwide Developers Conference. Alex,
good to see you. Thank you for joining
us. The thing that jumps out to me here
is the fact that Apple comes out with
this AI product, it was supposed to be
exciting. It was supposed to inspire
confidence in investors and the stock
has shed more than 7% of its value. So,
we'll get into that. But what did we
learn at this conference and what do we
know about Siri AI?
>> Yeah, May I don't know. I'm I'm not an
expert on this. Maybe the reason for the
sell-off is that this is kind of what
they showed off two years ago. If folks
remember, they had this glitzy marketing
push around what Siri was going to be.
There were a bunch of TV commercials.
They even got sued over false
advertising around this, I believe, and
they never shipped it. And I think what
we saw uh what I saw at Apple when I was
there a few days ago was essentially
that vision of a more agentic theory
that can actually understand and connect
dots between data on your Apple device.
And they have made a meaningful
improvement there. Like there's no
question that this is a more capable
Siri. Is it anywhere near as capable as
what we're seeing from Anthropic, right,
which just put out its mythos class
model Fable this week or where chatbt is
going and where Codeex is going. No. Uh
it's nowhere near that. And and also I
think people were unclear about the
level of integration that Apple was
going to have with Google and Gemini,
right? There was all this reporting
going into dubdubdub dubdubdub which is
what Apple calls it dubdubdub uh about
how much Google would be powering the
new Siri and it turns out they are but
what Apple's essentially doing is a
bunch of distillation on top of Google's
models and post training and and
customization where they can essentially
ingest Google's model and kind of do
what they want with it. And so it's not
like Gemini in the essence of how
someone would experience Gemini in a
Google surface or on Android is what's
actually underneath Siri. It's actually
many steps removed from what you'd
experience on a Google surface. Uh which
means that Apple's doing a lot of its
own work around that. And I think people
are still, you know, skeptical that
Apple can pull it together here and and
whether um they can catch up and maybe
they don't feel like they need to. That
was kind of the message I got from
executives there at Apple Park was they
think it's early. They think all this
Asian hype is mostly that still hype uh
brittle, not really working. Certainly
not working at scale on a platform like
Apple with, you know, billions of users.
Uh but you saw them take, you know,
little I would say inch forward steps
towards a more capable series.
Certainly,
>> it seems like Wall Street was generally
underwhelmed by their AI integration
here, which at the time when AI is
everything to investors, that seems like
a a really bad thing to underwhelm with
your AI product release. Was that your
reaction? I mean, you say that they made
like a meaningful improvement, but did
you find it personally underwhelming as
someone who covers this stuff regularly?
>> Well, yeah. I mean, here's the thing.
The bar with Siri is so low. Like I
don't know about you, I don't trust Siri
with anything other than like setting a
timer. In fact, Siri for me is
frequently the thing that I'm annoyed by
because it's accidentally
uh sending a text to someone when I
don't want it to. That's usually my
experience with Siri.
>> I turn it off. I don't want to use it.
>> So to improve beyond that is not a huge
bar, right? It's like you're not
accidentally texting someone you meant
to just say aloud to someone in a room.
That said, they have built this new, you
know, I was in this uh this Q&A that
exact said after the keynote, which by
the way, Apple's never done. They've
never done an on there press Q&A after a
keynote, which I think goes to show the
level of uh uh concern they had about
how all this was going to be
interpreted. And they were talking about
how the new foundation of Siri is
modern, adaptable. They use the word
expandable when asked about agents which
I think suggests that they're you know
yes the Siri we're seeing now this new
Siri is is not it's like chatbt from 2
years ago but the foundation of it is
finally a stack that is something they
can quickly adapt as they see fit. I I
saw an investor um after the keynote uh
at Apple Park who made the very smart
observation that Apple has essentially
turned Siri into a harness and the
models underneath are flexible and
replaceable and swappable. Right. Right
now it's Google. Uh I don't think it
will ever be open AI again by the way. I
think that partnership is on the outs. I
wrote about that on sources. But maybe
one day it's claude. Maybe it's one day
one day it's an open- source model that
they've distilled on. Maybe it's their
own fully, you know, frontier Apple
models, which they are still investing
in their own models, especially on
device. But yeah, they're they're not
they're nowhere near where the state of
current AI tools are, right? The new
Siri doesn't have memory. It can't
remember things across different
conversations. It forgets every time,
which if you're using cloud and chatbt
like we are, that's kind of wild in
2026. Um, and you know, I think that's
partly because maybe the technical
foundation isn't there, but also because
Apple's really concerned about the
privacy of this stuff and the branding
risk of it. And maybe we'll have a
Cambridge Analytica moment around AI. I
don't think it's happened quite yet, but
I think they're worried about that.
[snorts] Um, and so they're taking, you
know, small steps, but I think setting
themselves up in a way where they could
lean in aggressively when they feel like
the time is right. I mean, I've said
this before, I think, on the show. Until
people stop buying iPhones because of
AI, Apple's going to do just fine. And
in fact, in meetings I had with
executives, they were touting, you know,
openclaw, you know, driving up Mac Mini
sales, right? So, they're a hardware
layer beneficiary of AI and agents right
now, even though they don't have a great
software experience. just based on what
you said about how they're thinking
about agentic AI, how they're thinking
they you said that they think that
agents are kind of overhyped right now
or at least it's very early in
combination with the fact that they have
come out with what is a largely
underwhelming and I would say dumber
than average AI product. My takeaway is
it sounds like Apple does not take AI
very seriously. Would you say that that
is a fair characterization?
>> I think there's nuance. I think they
take it seriously, but they don't have
this religious fervor. And I use
religious intentionally. I think when
you look at how anthropic talks about
AI, it's almost like they see it as a
deity, right? I don't think they have
this fervor around the technology as
this bigger than life thing the way that
the labs do. And I think they see it as
a tool and as a new kind of technology
substrate that they'll build their
platforms on over time. But they have
the luxury of just kind of watching and
learning as people experiment and fail
and maybe succeed on the margin on the
frontier and they can come in you know a
cycle or two behind which is you know
for people who study Apple that's the
history of Apple right I mean uh there
was the Blackberry before the iPhone
right uh obviously you know PC was quite
strong before the Mac right so uh I
think they can wait I I but I I think
the bigger long-term risk for Apple if
you're thinking about the stock in like
10 years is do agents make the concept
of an operating system as it exists
today archaic right is this services
business that is the majority of you
know Apple's margin growth at risk from
agents and and then potentially new
hardware form factors like whatever open
AI is going to do with Johnny IV the
meta glasses all of that right and Apple
will do glasses I think they're working
on that I think we'll probably see that
next year uh but Yeah, I I think I think
that's the bigger long-term risk.
>> Yeah. Alex Heath, author of the Sources
Newsletter and co-host of the Access
podcast. Alex, thank you so much. Always
appreciate your time.
>> Thanks, Ed. We'll be right back. And if
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We're back with Profit Markets.
T-minus one day until SpaceX goes
public. It will be the largest IPO of
all time. A $75 billion offering at a
$1.77 trillion valuation. My final
message to our listeners before SpaceX
starts trading publicly, my final
message is do not buy this IPO. This
company is dramatically overvalued. And
not only that, this is a rigged game and
the game is not rigged in your favor.
Here is my prediction for what will
happen tomorrow. As soon as it hits the
market, SpaceX stock will immediately
explode 25%. Why? Because this is the
hottest stock in the world and because
the banks need this IPO to be quote
unquote successful. Because if it goes
badly then all the other IPOs like
OpenAI, like Anthropic will be called
into question, which will be a huge
problem for the underwriters and for the
markets at large. In other words, the
bankers won't let this fail. They have
the capital to make sure it won't fail,
at least on the first day. However, my
other prediction is that within 6
months, probably sooner, SpaceX stock
will be cut in half. Why? because the
valuation makes no sense whatsoever. All
of the insiders know this. All of the
banks know this. And as soon as the
lockups expire, you will see one of the
largest selling events in market
history. The stock will tank and you can
lock that prediction in from me right
now. One final point before we go. Don't
convince yourself that you can game
this. If you buy the IPO tomorrow, you
will already have missed the boat. The
stock will pop as soon as it starts
trading. And even if it starts to climb
throughout the day, the reality is that
those returns will be nothing compared
to what the insiders have already
gained. And spoiler alert, at that
point, they will already be selling. You
cannot win this game. You will not win
this game. Do not buy SpaceX tomorrow.
Thank you for watching [music] Profit
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Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video discusses the highly anticipated and massive SpaceX IPO, questioning its valuation and discussing the potential for market volatility as multiple major AI-focused firms look to go public. The host argues that the current IPO mania, including potential future public offerings from OpenAI and Anthropic, could signal a market top and warns retail investors about the risks involved. Additionally, the episode features a discussion on inflation, driven by geopolitical tensions in Iran and energy prices, as well as an analysis of Apple's recent AI strategy, which has received mixed reviews.
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