MAGA Civil War Erupts Over Iran | Pivot
2214 segments
I predict this mega micro penis war is
going to get worse and I am here for it.
>> Hi everyone, this is Pivot from New York
Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast
Network. I'm Cara Swisser
>> and I'm Scott Callaway.
>> Scott, have you recovered from South by
Southwest at
>> I'm still basking in the glow. I thought
it was great.
>> It was good. Yeah, I had a good time in
the end. It was really fun. Um, what was
your favorite highlight of it?
>> My favorite highlight, um,
>> besides our time together,
>> the way Representative Talerico
described masculinity and he talks about
his father, I guess, used to come home
on Sunday and immediately change and
then mow their lawn and then without
ever talking about it, just went next
door and mowed the lawn of this old
ladies and thought and he described
>> that really struck you. You mentioned it
at the show that way. Did you did Did
you ever mow people's lawns, Scott?
>> I used to mow lawns for money, but I I
didn't do it. I showed up to the house
before I mowed a lawn and said, "Hey,
seven bucks in Ohio and I'll mow your
lawn."
>> Oh, wow.
>> And I had a manual lawn mower and I was
all of about 120 lbs pushing a manual
lawn mower around.
>> So you you were not taught to mow
people's lawns?
>> No, I was taught to make money. I My dad
was like, "Go make money." My my son got
a um a job at a taco truck last summer.
>> It was so good for him. Um you know, so
many Anyways, I think chores chores,
jobs, and sports. I mean, anyways, and
>> anyway, the reason I'm asking is cuz
it's introspecting when you're
introspection. Well, I've gotten I I've
gotten much more introspective just to
today I'm here in Tulum and I've had
some time to
>> really contemplate and I've decided to
it's time for me at this age, Cara. It's
time for me Life is finite. It's time
for me to start to start living my
dream. So, I'm going to start showing up
for tests I'm not prepared for naked.
>> Well, as always, so you're in the Mark
Andre school. Have you heard about this
situation, Mark? Let me just say what it
is. Mark Andre, who I really don't like
anymore. I didn't like that much then,
but he's really become such a troll. He
said uh on the he's an a famous he's he
was part of the Netscape browser thing.
I wouldn't say he was the only person.
He did take a lot of credit. Um but uh
important entrepreneur in Silicon Valley
um and etc. Now he's a venture
capitalist. On the founders podcast with
David Senra, he said, "My goal is zero
introspection as little as possible. 400
years ago it would never occur to
anybody to be introspective like the
whole idea I mean just all the modern
conceptions around introspection and
therapy and all the things that kind of
result uh from that are kind of
manufactured 1910s 1920s uh this is very
much in line with him being an expert on
everything. He used to lecture me about
things he knew nothing about a lot. Um
it all it says to me is this man is in
desperate need of therapy. Um to you
know he's just trying to be like I don't
think about anything. Um, and I find it
I found it very uh dystopian and I find
him dystopian in general. Um, but this
idea that introspection is a weakness
again is not masculine. It's not
feminine. It's not h human I think in
some way.
>> Yeah. I think it's important to
occasionally,
you know, do do some sort of I don't
know pondering. I, you know, ask
yourself ask yourself if you could only
bring one thing to a desert island, what
would you bring? And I decided the
answer is I wouldn't go.
>> No.
>> Uh I need edibles streaming media and my
plane car.
>> Mhm.
>> Um no. Look, look, in all seriousness,
it's as if these guys
>> Mhm.
>> Alman and Andre hired a publicist, the
brightest comms person in the world, and
said, "How do we convince humanity we're
bad for humanity?"
>> Right. Right. And this notion that
technology requires less energy to get
to a point of critical thinking than a
human is just so nihilist and so weird.
And then introspection is how we move
forward as a species.
>> It was like Socrates, Plato, Marcus
Aurelius, like it's been around. He's
like, "Oh, it's just the 1910s." He's so
ignorant. Like the idea introspection is
a critical element of all philosophy
going back. Also, by the way, Jesus test
the Bible. It's all about thinking about
>> reflecting on how you become a better
introspection is why we have the
Marshall Plan and why people reconnect
with their family members. Introspection
is how you
>> try to become a better person and
realize the errors of your actions and
that your actions have ramifications and
what can you do to be leave the world a
better place. It
>> Yeah.
>> And it's it's indicative again of this
faright
performative. I won't even call it
masculinity, but macho that I don't
care. I just plow ahead because I'm such
a baller.
>> Yeah.
>> It's just so It's just like, okay,
>> it's crazy. I I I I don't like my
grandmother didn't introspect a lot. She
grew up in the depression, right? She
didn't wonder if she was happy. I think
she was probably could have been
happier, right? That kind of thing. And
there's there's an element to that. But
this idea that this the idea of
thoughtfulness has not been around since
the dawn of time drives me
crazy. The second thing is look this guy
has a very famously doesn't speak to his
family right like there's all manner of
upness that is buried very deep
in this particular person who has
influence on other who has massive
influence on everybody else and you know
he's like a he's an emotional uh I don't
want to use you know he's just a tiny
little man from a from a soul point of
view like extraordinarily small um and I
find it really just bragging about it is
is the last is you know he's the one
that said we should fight more like we
should physically fight like as if he
could get in a fight with anybody he'd
lose in a second but this it's just they
just you're right they they're trying to
be villains or something by the way the
the main villain in the Marvel movies is
quite introspective FYI but go ahead
>> well I would argue that probably I mean
people would say the greatest mind of
the 20th century is Einstein but they
should take could play take a page from
the playbook of the greatest
>> arguably the greatest technologist
>> of the 20th century. And that was
someone who not only had a vision for
technology but but could bring together
people to what was at that moment
develop and deploy the most important
technology in history or at least the
most profound and that was Oenheimer and
he was hugely introspective.
>> So was Einstein. If you read some of
this,
>> they were hugely introspective. They
were they were really worried about what
about the the ramifications of their
actions and how they could spend the
rest of their lives trying to, you know,
they didn't just say the the in
introspection isn't some AI guy who
vests his shares and then scares the
out of the world as he pieces out
to the cotzora. That is not
introspection. Mhm.
>> Uh Bill Gates for all the Bill
Gates is getting and a lot of it is
warranted.
>> He is a he decided I have become the
wealthiest person in the world at that
moment.
>> I am smart. What could I do with my
resources to impact millions of people?
And he started distributing.
>> He decided I think I can stop malaria in
a continent.
>> That is introspection.
>> Yeah. Anyway, it's it's it's led to a
lot of very funny memes, you know,
Marcus Andronicus and then nothing. It's
called nothing. What a soulless empty
person. And these are not where we
should be getting clues as we go
forward. That's just my feeling. And I
think one of the more damaging figures
uh from a from in terms of training
young men uh at Silicon Valley is this
guy. He's not someone to follow. Let me
just say I've known him since he was
very young and he and he's progressed
negatively and and backwardly in a way
that's really quite depressing. Uh oddly
enough in in in relation and then we'll
finish up on this. I had lunch at South
by Southwest with Mark Cuban. What a
person who has developed in a really He
was telling me all about his cosplush,
the passion around it.
>> Um I just was like,
>> he also looks great, by the way.
>> He looks great. Yeah, he's eating clams.
That's another story.
>> Jesus, did he bore you with that story?
I had to suffer through that. He buys on
Amazon.
>> Yeah, I Let's not get into it. We We'll
have him on to talk about it at some
point. He's trying to get protein.
>> If oysters means GLP1, I believe it. I
seriously I met with him and Michael
Dell and they're both claiming that
they're playing a lot of Pedell and I'm
like your old you could eat you right
now. Pedel my ass.
>> Pedell. Anyway, they um I just was like
I had a wonderful talk about uh
prescription drugs about life about his
kids. Like what a It was such a
difference like he is the opposite of of
like a good man trying to add value.
>> Yeah, exactly. Anyway, uh we have to
move on but Mark honestly stopped all of
you. Alex Karp said a number of things
stupid things like stop talking all of
you stop talking because what you say is
nonsensical and actually makes you look
so stupid and pathetic that it's I'm
just here to help you on that issue
anyway
>> but look even if you're religion you're
supposed to reflect on some of it is
somewhere Jesus
>> if Jesus could feed the world with two
fishes and a loaf you know if you really
think about it that's tapas
I mean, peace out. Peace out.
>> All right, let's move on. I can't do any
better than that. I can't do any better
than that.
>> Okay. Um, as of this recording, oil
prices in the morning,
>> that's a segue.
>> That's a segue in the in a more real
situation. Uh, prices of oils over $119
a barrel at one point following attacks
on energy sites in the Gulf. President
Trump has been lashing out at US allies
this week demanding they send warships
to help secure the Strait of Hormuz. Uh
the response has been quote global
raspberry as one analyst put it. We're
seeing also the first resignation over
this war. Counterterrorism official Joe
Kent stepped down saying Iran posed no
imminent threat. Of course he went on
Tucker Carlson. His he's of that ilk. He
has some he has some problems himself.
But nonetheless, he quickly went on
Tucker Carlson to discuss his departure
because this is like the train, the
right-wing MAGA train if you're going in
one direction. Meanwhile, the Pentagon
is asking the White House to approve
$200 billion request for Congress to
fund the Iran war. I think of an entire
I think Joe Biden was 180 billion for
like years long wars or whatever.
Defense Secretary Pete Hex says just
said in a briefing that the number could
move because it takes money to kill bad
guys. Speaking of introspection, what an
idiot. Um, uh, the next move, what
happens here? Trump also said this week,
by the way, that a former president told
him he regretted not bombing them, but
all the former living presidents denied
saying that. So, I guess he's talking to
himself. I mean, they've denied it.
Like, he's such a liar. It's astonishing
like what this guy does. Um, obviously
either cognitive or just a liar. I'm not
sure. Where do you think what do you
think's happening here now? Let's have a
quick update. Well, I mean, the mother
of all understatements is it's
complicated. Look, I think the fatal
flaw of the Trump administration is they
don't recognize our power as a species
and as a country. And that is as
powerful as we are, we're only a third
of the world's GDP, but because we were
seen as the good guys and innovators,
and that we did
embrace this notion that if we can make
you wealthier and more peaceful,
ultimately that wealth and peace will
return home in the form of you buying
our trucks and being our ally. And we
can put a military base there. And the
operating system of 60 or 70% of the
world was US laws, military flows of
energy, general rule of law, even
democracies, even laws and justice
systems were based off the US model. And
to to his lesser extent, the British
model, it just got evolved. We were sort
of 2.0. And he's decided, no, with 30%,
I can go at it alone. And what he's
found is all of a sudden he's 1/3 versus
2/3. And this is just when my we, you
know, we warn my son not to take
grapefruit juice into the to the living
room with the brand new couch and he
tells us, "Don't be an idiot. I can
handle it." And then he screams, "Dad, I
need help." And I know exactly what's
happened. It's just
>> Yeah, he spilled the grape juice.
>> Well, what do you know? We're going to
I'm going to do this unilaterally. I'm
not going to go to the UN. I mean, talk
>> Gulf won. George Bush put together a
coalition of I think 31 countries. He
got UN authorization and he got the
allies to pay 62 of the 707 $70 billion
in cost. That war cost
>> and at great and at great sacrifice for
many of them and of course he's been
downplaying their sacrifice and they're
now like literally saying no and by the
way and if you get come out of NATO fine
like they're now at that point I mean
you know whatever
>> he asked China for help and by the way
>> China's ships are flowing through. So
the notion that he's going to quote
unquote an enemy or nemesis going to
people he's been really rude to. I mean
this is just and they didn't anticipate
that they wouldn't be able to count on
their allies.
I I
>> didn't anticipate the Iran push back the
strength of the I mean he was advised by
by the way pretty much stories coming
out now are like he was told this he was
told this he was told they would do this
they would close the straight moves.
like everyone's leaking their the
out of things which is really I mean
what's interesting I I know it's the
smallest part of it but the lie about
presidents was weird was just weird like
why would you say that and then they all
say no and it looks like he's it's a lie
or he's talking to himself or whatever
it the whole thing seems like lies come
out of his mouth every day now that are
easily checkable like easily checkable
lies and that don't really work and so
Something's going on. Something's
happening in a way that's I mean, I
don't want to give him an excuse. Maybe
he's just a malevolent prick, but it
seems problematic that he's leading this
coalition of the one.
>> When you hire incompetent conspiracy
theorists, which is what Joe Kent is.
>> Mhm.
>> I mean, this is very upsetting for me as
someone, you know, quite frankly, as a
Jew, and that is
>> he immediately said that
>> that basically the largest military in
the world in the United States is being
manipulated by Jews. Mhm.
>> And this just plays into a very
anti-semitic trope being fermented on
the far right. And I don't I don't Megan
Kelly, there's a bunch of them, right?
>> Yeah. That this is all be this is all
Jews fault.
>> Yeah.
>> That is just what they were doing.
>> That's not helpful.
>> Yeah.
>> So,
>> it's one thing to be against the war and
I think there's some legitimate like
>> or to say has too much influence over. I
get it.
>> No, I get it. No, I'm just saying the
American first people can say we don't
like wars and but they do always take it
right into that. That was that that
Tucker Carlson's a dangerous person in
that regard, I'll tell you. Like
>> they're doing a video. They're like the
number whatever five at the,
>> you know, in our intelligence unit is is
saying what what Candace Owens and
Tucker Carlson are saying. It's the
Jews. We're being manipulated by the
Jews.
>> Yeah. It's problematic. It's
problematic. So what So oil prices, what
what is what actual impact is this going
to have on the economy as a whole? It's
immediate. I mean, unfortunately, and it
always happens. It hurts. It hurts uh
middle-income families and lower income.
Already, you're talking about an
increase for every dollar increase at
the pump. And it looks like we are going
to have about a dollar increase. It's
another $530 a year. And low-income
families spend almost, get this, 20% of
their income on home and auto energy
costs.
>> Yeah. And then the the residual effects
of food from everything. Every single
>> everything you touch is impacted.
everything got to you using some form of
fuel or or is consuming fuel
>> and it's going to probably spike
inflation an additional 100 bips um in
the short run. So
>> speaking speaking of which Jerome Powell
says he'll stay on his Fed chair until
his successor is confirmed by the
Senate. Even if that's after his term
expires he has every right to. It could
be a while. The Senate hasn't even
scheduled a hearing for Trump's nominee
Kevin Walsh. GOP Senator Tom Tillis, who
I'm talking to uh next week, says he
won't vote on confirmation until the DOJ
investigation on Powell is over. They've
they've been handed some um uh court
things, Janine Piro and the rest around
Powell. Uh for his part, and they're
appealing it, I think for his part,
Powell also says he'll stay on as Fed
governor, which I said he would,
remember I said this until the
investigation is well and truly over. Um
this is ex I thought he would do this.
He looks like he ran out of a long
time ago. Um, and well and truly over
means he could stay as long as he is a
while there on that Fed governor thing.
You know, as you noted many times,
enormous influence. So, he's the this is
the opposite of what Trump wanted and
he's stuck with Powell and Tillis, I can
tell you, is not give I mean is not
stopping at all at all. So
>> I think if it had been a different
president who' demonstrated more grace
to him, I don't doubt he would have
stepped down or if he'd said to him,
"Listen, I want you to be my chief
economic advisor. I I you know, I have a
even something more important for you."
But keep in mind, as long as Jerome Pal
is in the room, I've said this. There's
there's how you think there's the
governance structure and then there's
actually how boards and body politic
works. And this is how this is
essentially a board of directors. This
is how they work.
>> There's a bunch of them
>> in every board. There's 12 people, and
there's two people who matter.
>> There's the largest shareholder, which
doesn't doesn't
uh apply here. And then there's someone
who's so smart that everyone
they don't speak a lot. They listen a
lot, but when they speak, everyone has a
tendency to nod their head. and that
tell me the whatever it is the other 11
governors are going to when when Jerome
Pal says you know who whatever the the
chair is the person who
>> well he's going to run it I don't think
I think Tillis isn't G I I know Telus
isn't giving up he said it he's like he
Tillis now suddenly as you said his
balls and he's like no I'm going to do
the right thing for he's very offended
by the Jerome Powell thing I know that
and so I think it's he's a business
person he's a really well he had a you
know he was
even though you know he sounds like he's
like from the country smart guy
>> very smart guy is very stuck on this
Powell not putting uh wash through um
obviously he helped take down Christine
um I think there's there's such a push
back not just from our allies abroad but
here and if you're someone like Tom
Tillis and can stop this you do it like
why not what's what's the negative for
him there's nothing because he's now
because Trump tried pushed him out
essentially of the Senate and now he's
an enormous position of power and and
influence the same thing. And so
Powell's Powell is not going to bring
rates down, by the way, especially with
inflation up. So Trump has gotten the
opposite of everything he wanted. So
>> no, Cal said there was a 99% likelihood
they would not cut rates. But where I
was headed was I would bet 98% of the
decisions in the Fed from the board of
governors, regardless of who's in
charge, regardless of who takes the mic,
uh the new chair, whatever Jerome Pal
said was probably the right move in that
meeting is what they're going to do.
>> Yeah. This is the guy that had a Marylu
Retin like stick the landing of the
economy where he basically tamed
inflation
>> by 600 basis points while not going into
recession. like no one
>> in economics.
>> No,
>> you know,
and
>> I think Worsh is perfectly qualified,
but Trump now has Jerome Powell forever
like especially the dumb attack
>> another six or 12 years or something or
whatever. Basically,
>> he's going to stay there as the as the
head of it. It's just Anyway, it's it's
>> good for him.
>> Good for him.
>> I think he is I think he is lit the
first hero.
>> The first Medal of Freedom recipient.
>> Yeah, he's a hero. One, Democrats love
to show that they're bipartisan. It'll
probably be Vice President Spence will
be first, the first one, and the second
one will be Jerome Pal.
>> Vice President Spence. Who's
>> um Pence? I'm sorry.
>> Oh, Vice President Pence. Yeah. Oh,
that's a good idea. The two of them. Oh,
Pence does not get enough recogn.
>> Yes. Daddy. Dad. Father. I like father
at this point. Father is actually father
and Powell. No, that's that'll work for
me. Uh, okay, Scott, let's go on a quick
break. When we come back, we'll say
goodbye to the metaverse. We hardly knew
you at all.
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Scott, we're back with more news. And
Meta is shutting down its VR metaverse
on June 15th. And legless people are
gone. The VR social network Horizon
Worlds never drew more than a couple
hundred thousand active users a month. I
mean, I think I think it was like a
thousand were using it by the end. Some
users reported that daily active users
actually dropped to under a thousand.
Who are those people? I want to meet
those people. Over 70 billion was spent
on the project over time. Uh you have
talked about this for a long time. I
never like the metaverse.
>> So some breaking news that broke after
the recording. Cara, we just learned
that Meta is not shutting down VR
support for Horizon Worlds. That's
according to an Instagram post from Meta
CTO Andrew Bosworth. He said there was
uh open quote a lot of misinformation
about the company's plans. We announced,
hey, we're moving away from Horizon
Worlds in VR. And the headline is that
Horizon is dead. He said it's not. And
likewise, VR is not dead. We're
continuing to invest tremendously.
Uh, this is weak sauce. We up.
Nana is on life support. And despite the
fact she might have brain waves, we're
pulling the plug soon. This is, in my
view, an attempt to uh backtrack and not
totally freak out the remaining
employees before they find them another
job or lay them off. This is this is
dead. uh in my view and uh you know uh
an attempt to if you will say no there's
still hope when they believe uh and
every indication here is that uh this
thing is maybe in hospice but be clear
it it's it's on the green mile of that
let's move on
>> while the press was fawning over the
idea you were not impressed let's take a
look at what you've said over the years
>> I was the original hater of headsets and
metaverse Web 3.0, the metaverse. It's
supposed to be the next dimension of the
internet.
>> I just love the fact that Mark
Zuckerberg is is showing up with
literally the biggest thud in
history.
>> I am proud to announce that starting
today, our company is now Meta.
>> I think this thing is already a giant
flaming bag of If it was working,
they'd be putting out all sorts of
numbers and press releases about people
signing up. You know, by the end of the
decade, we hope to basically get to
around a billion people in the metaverse
doing hundreds of of dollars of commerce
each.
>> If I were to try and devise a strategy
to weaken the corpus that is Facebook, I
would invent this distraction called the
metaverse and specifically the Oculus to
pour billions of dollars down a single.
>> They pivoted their entire company to the
metaverse. I think I mean if I had tried
to figure out a way to kneecap Meta
which is a net negative for society I
couldn't come up with a strategy as
brilliant as this.
>> Nice call Scott let me just say that.
Second of all I didn't like Meta because
the legless it was weird. Remember when
he introduced it was so weird and
awkward at the time. Um, one of the
things that's astonishing here is that
he could have this much of a loss and
still they're doing so well elsewhere um
that this $70 billion loss doesn't
matter and he's fed while other people
who have losses get slapped back to but
this is such a failure. Please, please
take a lap and conclude this chapter of
Mark Zuckerberg's life for us. care of
the fact that $70 billion in capex got
taken into a street and burned and that
people didn't want to live on a legless
future where they didn't want to be in a
place where 40% of them were within 20
minutes nauseous or that they further
separate from human I'm shocked Cara I'm
shocked this didn't work I I had big
hopes for it because anything Mark
Zuckerberg is clearly right
uh the scariest thing I think the
scariest thing about our economy other
than the income inequality is the fact
that we have now tied the fate of the
S&P and the 10% wealthiest households
who control the economy now and
government. We've tied it to our ability
to evolve a new species of asocial
asexual males and some females.
And the thing is this is this is a
healthy gag reflex for mammals. one, on
a very instinctive level, it's very
uncomfortable, especially for women, but
for everybody, when you're walking on
the sidewalk alone and you hear
footsteps behind you or the side of you,
>> because the things you can eat and the
things that can eat you don't come
straight at you. They have a habit of
coming from behind you or from the side.
>> And so your peripheral vision, and the
reason why billboards on the highway are
still a big business, is you notice
in your peripheral vision. You're very
subconsciously conscious of what's in
your peripheral vision or what isn't.
>> And when it's blocked with a headset,
>> you feel uncomfortable.
>> So, no, they never spoke to an
anthropologist
to say, "All right, what happens when we
invent a technology that from the moment
they turn it on, it's like if you turned
on your PC and it made you feel slightly
nauseous by turning it off."
>> Yes. Remember all those um those all all
of that stuff? Remember they showed it
at CES years ago where you looked at a
TV that was jumping out at you? It was
sickening and no one and never. It was a
big thing one year at CES and then it
wasn't. Let me ask you I'm going to ask
you a more challenging question. All
right. Look, we're going to have
immersive worlds, right, in some way.
And some of it is kind of cool. I
remember 20 years ago, Walt and I went
to Korea and went to either Sony or LG
and we were looking at these headsets in
movies.
Pretty cool. I remember thinking
that. And I wasn't nauseous. I went to
the sphere this week which I loved. I
saw the Dorothy thing and I thought it
was wonderful and we were all in the big
room and I have to say it was a lovely
communal experience because everyone was
laughing and they dropped apples out of
the sky and everything else. There is
something I want you to say what will
work here because there is an immersive
experience with screens that is very
satisfying. What would you if you had to
pick a business in this in the immersive
screens either on your head or in a
situation like the sphere which I think
is a spectacular achievement um in a lot
of ways and it's also beautiful on the
outside cuz it's delightful. Um what do
you what do you imagine that to be?
>> They're I don't think they'll ever be
big businesses care. I think they're
niche experiences. I think that our
species has gotten really used to and
comfortable with as bad as it is this
world. So IMAX is an immersive
experience, but it's never really lived
up to the potential outlined.
>> It's a good business though. It's a good
business.
>> Yeah, it's been quite frankly over the
last 40 years, it's been a shitty
business. IMAX
>> relative to the cost, it's been okay. I
love IMAX every time. That's what I do
when I take my I love seeing in
IMAX.
>> I'm going to see Project Hail Mary
tomorrow night.
>> It's a niche business. The only place I
want an immersive experience is when I'm
having my teeth cleaned by a hot single
mother, Brazilian single mother. And
then she puts on headset that I can
watch, heated rivalry,
>> right?
>> And she, you know, and then I start
crying cuz I start thinking about my mom
and I'm under the influence. I tell her
to when she says,
>> she says 1 to 10 nitrous. I go 12 baby.
>> 12 baby. I'll have it. So, but you don't
you like look, let me can I tell you
what I liked about like you're right.
They're experiential things. One of the
things that was cool about Spheres, I
have seen Wizard of Oz a million times
recently too because my little kids are
now watching it. So, it's not something
I want to see again and again. But one
of the things I thought was quite
beautiful was the ability to see things
in the movie that I never saw like some
of the beautiful costumes, some of the
beautiful, you know, set design and
oddly enough the faces of all the people
that weren't Dorothy like or the or the
main characters. It's like I found
myself looking at these beautiful faces
from another era, right? Like there was
two twins there that I never noticed.
And so one of the things I found it
wasn't just everyone was like, "Oh, the
tornado." And I was like, "That was
cool." But what was beautiful was I
could really see things in a way that I
appre in a way I appreciated. So it
there is something valuable about
immersive in some way like travel I
suppose if or or when you go to a theme
park and you you get on one of those
rides that you like you know you go you
soar past the Golden Gate Bridge. I love
all those things.
>> No look going into another world you
feel like an explorer. It's it's sensory
overload. It's really exciting and then
you want out.
>> Yeah.
>> Escape escape room is correctly named.
>> You wouldn't you wouldn't want to live
in this sphere. Your body can't handle
that much sens sensory stimulation. And
the sphere, by the way, similar to IMAX,
>> an amazing product,
>> it's not doing well economically.
>> Yeah.
>> So, the idea or even the ultimate
sensory experience, the ultimate moment
of awe supposedly according to
astronauts is to go into space and see
the world
>> from another perspective. But guess
what? What's the first thing they want
to do after a week?
>> They want to get home.
>> Yeah. So what what I think I wish
technology was more focused on I hate
this notion that we need to colonize
Mars. No, the real genius here is
something that's going to make this
place a little bit more
habitable.
>> I'm in Tulum staring out at palm trees
and coconuts and the sand, the sugary
sand,
>> and I'm in awe and I'm comfortable
>> and this is the only universe I
want to be in.
>> Yeah. No, I know it's I've never wanted
to go to the space anyway. It it look
it's a disaster. Mark, you you were
wrong and Scott was right. That's all I
have to say. Speaking of scaling back,
OpenAI is scaling back on projects and
focusing on coding and business uh
users. Pressure for the change comes
from competitors like Anthropic, which
you and I have been talking about,
dominating the business AI market.
Employees also felt the company's do
everything strategy led to a lack of
focus. Speaking of which, uh, OpenAI
delayed the launch of the adult mode,
which would allow sexually explicit
conversations due to concerns from
advisers over mental health risks. You
think also of concern, an age prediction
system that has been mclassifying minors
as adults 12% of the time. The feature
which the company still plans to release
eventually would be text only. Um this
is all the influence of Fiji Simo uh who
is the um is is the new top executive
there. Very similar when Errol Schmidt
came to Google. They they were sort of
chaotic and did everything the two
founders Larry and Sergey. Um and then
they brought uh Eric in to really clean
it up. seems sort of basic this you know
this this executive but they do have
done made like a million stupid
announcements and it does remind one of
Google in that regard thoughts
>> you're exactly right it's remember when
Google was doing like trying to
cure death and then I I feel like Eric
brought in managerial competence and how
to scale an organization but Ruth Pat
showed up and said all right mom is home
>> fun time's over the dog's pregnant and
the garage is on fire I'm in charge now
>> y And this is the right move for open
AI. And that is and by the way, and this
will go to my prediction, Anthropic is
now worth more than OpenAI. I don't care
what the last mark is on a preferred
funding, but Anthropic has surged to 19
billion in annual recurring revenue up
from 14 billion just a couple weeks ago.
6 billion in AR was added just in
February. Open AI AR was 20 billion at
the end of 2025.
And here's the key. It's all about the
enterprise because they're the only ones
that are willing to make these huge
investments. And an and get this car
anthropic enterprise market share has
increased to 32% surpassing
OpenAI's 25%. And since 2023,
enterprise AI revenue has exploded from
1.7 billion
>> to 37 billion. Yeah, they've got to be
the open AI is really
>> and then the other the other the other
staggering statistic here that is why
open AI is focusing which is the right
thing to do
>> is anthropic is now capturing
>> three out of four new spending in
enterprise AI.
>> So they're getting 73% of all spending
among companies buying AI tools for the
first time.
>> Yeah.
>> And 10 weeks ago the split with open AI
was 5050. So get this
get this hag Seth
>> it was 6040 in open AI's favor as
recently as early December from so from
December to now it's gone from 6040 to
20 to 2773.
>> Yeah.
>> So they are they are literally losing
the enterprise market.
>> Yeah. So it's starting to feel like open
is Netscape not Google. Right. That's
how it
>> that's an interesting analogy you've
seen. I just I was there when Google was
the first bout of chaos was at the
beginning and there was you know there
was a cover of Fortune magazine chaos at
Google and of course Ruth also shut down
all their all manner they had so many
ridiculous they were doing and they
could do it just like Mark with with the
metaverse because they had all this
money but it was like dumb like it was
at the time when they would have you in
and I was always like this seems dumb
like why are you doing this like why
don't you stick with your business and
they just wanted to be more creative or
more something more interesting in some
fashion. But it's really interesting
because this is at a time when I think
you know anthropics been under pressure
from the government but in the end they
will soar and Pete Hagsath will be a you
know a a sad little footnote a sad
little drunken footnote in our history.
Um anyway we'll see what happens. Um
speaking of someone who won't be a
footnote I would say is Bob Iger stepped
down as Disney CEO again. Iger passed
the baton to his successor Josh Demorro
at Disney's annual shareholder meeting
this week. Tomorrow, a 28-year-old
veteran of the company, was most
recently head of Disney Experiences,
which includes parks, cruises, and
resorts. Iger is set to stay on as an
adviser and board member until the end
of 2026. Not very long. It's unclear
what he'll do after that. Before the
last time he left, he did a bunch of
advising and sailing around on a boat in
the South Seas. Um, uh, I last time he
retired, which I said he wasn't going to
stay retired, I asked him whether he
planned to get into politics. Let's
listen to what he told me in 2022.
Would you ever run for office?
>> Uh, I'm not planning to run for office.
>> That is that a no?
>> That's just what I said. I'm not.
>> Okay. All right. Fine. I think you are.
Um, so last thing. Um, you should I I
don't usually I usually do not tell
another white guy, "Oh, please run for
office. We don't have enough of you."
But I think you would be an excellent
because I think you'd be an excellent
politician because I don't think you
give a Uh anyway, I don't think
he's going to run for office. Actually,
I don't I can't imagine he's going to do
that. Um but what do you think his next
act will will be? Uh I mean, he
certainly had his ups and downs and the
stock has not reflected much of it.
Although I do think he did a lot around
digital. I think he did a lot around
streaming. Um I think he was a very good
CEO for much of his tenure and not so
good in other things. I think probably
the Fox purchase is one people point to
as being problematic, but in general,
pretty good tenure. Um, especially
around streaming. I I think that he made
those moves. Um, what do you think his
next act should be?
>> Hit the golf course and enjoy his life.
And I I would call challenge on his
tenure, Cara, because
>> Okay.
>> The last 10 years have been the most
prosperous in the history of the world
for American companies, and his stock is
below where it was 10 years ago. And at
the end of the day, as a CEO,
>> that's your what you're evaluated.
That's your kind of metrics 1, two, and
three. He quite frankly, he really
up. He's the guy who went to
Vietnam, completed his tour honorably,
came home with medals pinned to his
chest. He could be a viable candidate
for the Democratic nomination right now,
but he's more he looks less like Mark
Cuban and more like Cheryl Samberg.
>> And that is his second tenure. First
off, he was heckling from the cheap
seats. He left and never really left the
room, but convinced the board, as far as
I can tell, to fire the new guy and put
me back in like some returning hero. And
he has had huge wins in his face. But
Disney has become
Disney has gone from being probably the
most iconic company in the creative
community. To a certain extent, it
represents what's happened to the
creative community. And that is distinct
of how incredible it is and their great
IP and their great creativity. It's been
bad for shareholders and it's probably
been a difficult place to work the last
10 years. And he did he did make a lot
of the right moves. He launched a
streaming network. He invested in the
parks. But at the end of the day, his
last 10 years, there was a there was
never a clear succession path. He
started to feel a little bit like I
forget the name of that guy at City CR
that anytime someone got near him, got
shot in the head. So he leaves. He's
very likable. He's very smooth. Had he
stayed away and then just let someone
else run with it, I think he'd probably
be a cabinet member, maybe even by, you
know, in the next administration at a
minimum. Now he's Now he's the guy that
quite frankly took Disney. I he he
didn't take the stock anywhere. I get
that. I I understand. I think doing the
streaming stuff was critical to its
future and he definitely pushed that
through. Like I I was there watching. I
mean, he made a number of dumb digital
moves over the years. They kept changing
Disney Bu a Vista when he I mean, I was
I wrote stories on every one of them and
but I do think directionally very few
people leaned into digital and streaming
the way he did, right? And I think
>> Oh, I don't know. I would argue Netflix
leaned in.
>> Well, Netflix, of course. No, no. Yes.
No, they should have bought Netflix when
they had the chance and they everybody
had the chance at one point, but yeah,
you're right. Netflix was in the in the
right position. But you are dragging
around a legacy organization makes makes
it very hard
>> a legacy organization that had the
world's best IP. I mean
>> Netflix so okay so Disney in the last 10
years has market returns of of zero and
Netflix is up four I'm sorry it's up
600%. Yeah. Yep.
>> Granted, the other studios have not
fared any better,
>> right?
>> But with that IP, with the Parks or Cash
Flow,
>> Yeah. Look, Bob, what's the lesson here?
The lesson is the following, and I think
about this a lot. Mhm.
>> It is very hard to pull off the ultimate
gangster move for your brand when you're
in a position of power and you're doing
well, and that is to leave the party too
early.
Um, and that is people have a tendency
when they're doing well and they're so
iconic as Bob Iger is and was to think
to just stay too long.
>> Yeah.
>> You want to leave the stage while people
are clapping. You want to leave a party
10 minutes too early. You want to leave
the Vanity Fair Oscar party at midnight,
not at 4:00 a.m. when you're wandering
around alone. And it's clear Emily
Rodikowski is not going to speak to you.
>> Was she there?
>> By the way, at one point I was sitting
at the bar.
>> We didn't talk about this cuz you were
blabbing away to all your other
>> I was sitting at the bar, no joke, in
between John Ham, who's quite handsome,
and Jacob Allerty, who is even more
handsome and much taller.
>> Yeah. Emily started walking towards the
bar and all I could think of is there's
no way she's coming to me right
now. Yeah. No way. I'm like
>> I'm like the price is right.
>> This is the real Emily. You saw her.
>> Oh yeah. Trust me. I saw her.
>> Okay.
>> Uh yeah. By the way, she looks she looks
pretty good. She looks pretty.
>> So wait, what happened? Wait, the I I
only want the Ratikowski part. Go ahead.
>> Nothing. She did. She just walked up and
had a drink. And at some point I'm like,
I I want to be the professor, not the
stalker.
>> So, uh, but my favorite moment is
>> You didn't say hello.
>> I'm too intimidated.
>> Oh my god.
>> I said hi to I said hi to Morin Dow and
Caitlyn Collins. Those are my friends.
>> I saw that.
>> Those are That's who I hang out with.
And the Smartless guys. Those guys are
fun. I like those guys.
>> Those are fun.
>> And they they're like they feel sorry.
The only people that come up to me are
like think of me as an intellect. They
think, "Oh, it's so cute. They have a
professor here. Let's go be nice to him.
That's our charity for the night. And
everybody comes up to me and says, I
have sons and I very much appreciate
your work. And then they say, oh, can I
meet, you know, can can can I meet Jud
Appatile now? I mean, I'm convinced half
the people half the people talking to me
>> Yeah.
>> were checking themselves out in the
reflection of my glasses.
>> Oh no.
>> I can't believe you didn't speak to
Emily Rat.
>> By the way, that party.
>> Yeah.
>> Vanity Fair.
>> Yeah.
>> Those people are geniuses. I'm going to
subscribe twice. Okay. The the the
environment they pulled together that
night.
>> Yeah. It's nice. It's a nice part.
>> I would I think it's the most
aspirational environment I've ever been
in in my life. I just couldn't get over
the wardrobe, the environment, the food,
the vibe.
>> You've always done a good job.
>> I just saw it uh the new editor in
Unbelievable.
>> Mark. Yeah.
>> Yeah. Mark just is an amazing handsome
guy, too.
>> Yeah. I have to say they've always had a
good party. They they've been good at
that under under all their different
editors. I think it's been
>> And I got to hang out with Larry David.
It's like angry meet depressed.
Depressed meet angry.
>> Oh my god, you look alike. What
happened? Was there like a moment?
>> Larry and I are friends now.
>> Oh, you're friends.
>> We totally got along. Okay. All right.
>> Yeah, we hit it off. And by the way, the
Larry David Show is really the David
Larry David Show. He's like, that's
exactly who he is.
>> He's like, what's the point of an Oscar?
He just starts into a and you're
like, okay, here we are.
>> He has a new show that looks hysterical
that he did with the Obamas about
history.
>> My very lovely wife, too. Anyways, I
very much
>> I don't know. Was Bob Iger there?
Because it was
>> I did not see Bob. I did not sense a
Kashmir sweater or tuxedo anywhere.
>> Uh but the thing is you walk in and they
like do you want to do a red carpet in
Morningington? It's like I'm not doing a
red carpet. I'm like I am so doing the
red carpet and they have
>> Yeah. So you had
>> hundreds of photographers and there's
three X's and I guess you're supposed to
go to one X.
>> Yeah.
>> And take pictures.
>> Yeah.
>> I didn't know that. So, I go to the
first X and they're like, "Hello,
professor and they're all nice." And I'm
like, "Now I'm going to go to the second
X and sit here and pose.
>> Get the out of here."
>> And then I go to the third X and by the
time I got to the third X, I realized
everyone's like, "What the is this
guy doing?"
>> And one of the one of the photographers
just out of a moment of like feeling
sorry for me, kind of waved me along.
He's like, "You're supposed to go to
just one X."
>> And I turned red. I'm a bad celebrity.
>> Oh my god. Can I ask you one question?
Did you see Jeff Bezos? He was there
looking.
>> I saw him with Lauren. I thought they
looked great. I don't
>> No, I didn't. I thought they
>> I don't mind Jeff's midlife crisis. I'm
here for it.
>> I know. But did you say hello?
>> I said hello to all three of them. I
mean, I said Yeah. No. No. I said hello.
>> Um I did not. I'm tell I'm intimidated.
Unless people come up to me, I'm
intimidated. I don't like
>> gone and said Carara says hello. That
that in that one you could have done
that.
>> That's like hi. My rich father knows
you. I just don't want to do that. I
don't know.
>> He doesn't like me. I would be bad. He
would
>> I literally freaked out at about
midnight. And I'm like, this is the best
party of my life. I need to go home and
take a Xanax and just recover from all
the I feel like a kid who candy store
for 8 hours.
>> Did you? I can't believe my only note is
I can't believe you didn't say hello to
Emily Ratowski. You're a loser. You're a
loser. Anyway, Bob Iger's next act very
quickly.
>> He'll go on a couple boards and he'll
enjoy his life and he deserves to do all
of this. Hang out with his lovely wife
and speak at USC's film school.
>> He's got to do something else. I think
it's something else. Let me tell you,
when he was
>> Bob is 74, 73.
>> He is in really good shape. When he
looks really good, when he was in the
last one, he texted me far too much. And
I was like, I think you need to do
something else cuz I think he's got
another thing in him. I don't know what
it is.
>> I know. He's 75. Yeah.
>> Yeah. He could be in the cabinet. He
could be in a
>> Well, what is that? 77
head. Yeah.
>> Could be the head. Could he be the
commerce secretary? I don't know.
>> I don't know. He probably doesn't want
to. What do you need that for
anyway? If he wants to help people,
>> ambassador to France and throw amazing
parties at like the the US residents.
>> That's perfect. Ambassador to France.
Let's do it. Bob, we're going to send
you to France. Anyway, let's go on a
quick break. When we come back, we'll
talk about Khi facing criminal charges.
Your favorite groups of people there,
Scott.
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Scott, we're back with more news. Kelshi
is facing criminal charges in Arizona
where prosecutors say the prediction
market platform illegally let people bet
without a gambling license. Keli says
the charges are meritless and said they
should be regulated federally rather
than by individual states. The case is
the first criminal prosecution against a
prediction market company. It's more to
come. I actually when I was at South by
South met met with the California
Attorney General who today um did a
lawsuit uh one of the lawsuits against
the Nextar um the Nextar whatever that
ridiculous merger was. Um in any case
this is the states have been regulating
gambling for year like forever for
decades. So it's not meritless. Um so
what what do you think does this because
what was interesting another story
popped up which I found fascinating.
Times of Israel reporter received death
threats from gamblers on poly market
after reporting an Iranian missile
strike that affected a high stakes
prediction market bet. Some betters
tried to pressure him to change the
story so the market would resolve in
their favor. And let me just say it feel
this is a topic people are really
interested in. I'll read an email from
one of our listeners. I'm a journalist
and a fan of the show. I don't
understand why I'm hearing Kelie
percentages cited during the show as
it's anything. It's people guessing. I
think it's more harmful than helpful.
That's you doing it, Scott. I don't do
that. I agree with you. Um what do you
think about these markets shifting from
predicting events to actively
influencing them in certain given the
gaming part easily gamed uh unregulated
bad actors it is gambling um and
gambling is very well regulated. So what
do you think about that?
>> I think there's some truth to all of
that. I I'm this is one of those things
I'm hugely conflicted by because I am
absolutely fascinated with the data
where I would push back on the listener
is oh no this data is incredibly
insightful
um the wisdom this is the wisdom of
crowds this is this does illuminate
whenever I'm looking at political races
whenever I'm looking at interest rate
movements I go to I go to
>> a trailing indicator you don't think
it's a trailing indicator
>> it's pretty much up to date and the
thing about money and the thing about
looking at Typically the people who did
this stuff were were academics,
economists or an investment banking
analyst. All of them are conflicted. All
of them want to catastrophize because it
makes us look smarter. All of us have
third party influences. Nothing is more
amoral and pure than money. It just when
someone bets on something, it really
shows you what they really think is
going to happen. And if you look at it's
these comp these speculative markets,
speculation markets or prediction
markets have essentially put pollsters
into a certain extent investment banking
analysts out of work because guess what?
They're much
>> kind of I I would push back on that. I
just met with a bunch of pollsters on
this topic, but go ahead.
>> In my opinion, they're done. They if you
look at if you look at if you look at
the prediction markets record versus
pollsters in the last election, the
prediction markets kicked their ass.
Absolutely. I love the data. I am
swimming in the data. It's one of the
first things I do before I get on a show
is I look at I look at Cali data. Cal
I'm totally conflicted because at the
same time
>> Mhm.
>> there's a really good argument that this
is just gambling. Now what
>> what's happening is they're being
charged with four counts of election
wagering.
>> Um is the the debate is over the
fundamental definition of gambling
versus event contracts. and Arizona
charges claim that putting money on a
contingent future event or occurrence is
illegal. But at the same time, Car, if
that's true, then traditional options
would be illegal. And that here's the
problem or the issue.
Gambling and tapping into a prefrontal
cortex, an immature prefrontal cortex
that is dopah hungry and susceptible,
uh, in some ways there's just no getting
around it. feels predatory
and unhealthy. So what do you do? Do you
infantilize? I think Khi is trying to be
the the clean the cleanest best lit
place of this. They're not doing
contracts on things like war
>> whereas Poly Market is off offshore and
Kelsey is trying to get licensed by the
same people who license the options
exchange.
>> But I I want to hear what you think. I
have no more clarity around.
>> I think the states have been regulating
gambling forever. So I think that's
nonsense that they should if this if
gambling is going on they need to it's
it reminds me
>> they're approving it. They're approving
it everywhere
>> proving it in different places.
>> States have been approving gambling all
over the place.
>> They are but so they need to be
regulated in the same way. Like it's
it's my thing with everything. It's like
if open is giving legal, medical or
psychological advice, they need to be
subject to the same rules people are
right the same everybody. Like I I was
in Vegas for a second. I have to tell
you you're absolutely right. It's dead.
Vegas is dead. Like I
>> You need to be in Vegas. Vegas is in
your pocket.
>> That's right. I was like I literally
like Oh my god, Scott was right. It was
so freaky to be in Vegas without people.
It felt like I was in like Plurabus,
right? It was so weird. And you could
feel the the innovation of a place that
is just with these big rooms and the
casinos empty. It's weird. And so it's
it's definitely hurting businesses,
right? these kind of things, whether
it's sports betting online or this kind
of thing, there's they need to be
regulated the same way everybody else
is. And and states have every right to
do this. This is this is not and maybe
there should be federal gambling laws,
but there haven't been really.
>> I think that would be good. I think they
would want that. I think they want some
regulation.
>> Yes.
>> But let me ask you let me ask you a more
old tech company said, "Oh, we please
bring us regulation."
>> I think I actually think they're I think
they're I think they would actually
please bring us regulation.
Let me ask you this. You have sons.
>> I think about this a lot. Let's be
clear, much of this is gambling.
>> Yeah.
>> Uh and and it and but at the same time,
do you infantilize children? And I I I
know firsthand as someone who
appreciates data. There is real value in
this data.
>> There is. It can also be easily gained.
So easily
in it. There's a lot of potential for
insider trading. But the more liquid
markets, people are more greedy. Anyway,
huge potential for insider trading. I
get it. But let me ask you this.
>> Mhm.
>> Do you think it should be they should be
put out of business, regulated, or let
to just run free?
>> Regulated.
>> And what does that mean?
>> I'm not sure. I'm not I'm not an expert
on this, but I feel like how are g I
want to know how gambling things are
regulated and how
>> age getting to 21 would be one good
start, right?
>> Possibly. Yes. 21. It's interesting.
Yes. Yes. Yes. actually on certain
parts, other parts it's fine. But yes,
agegating would be one thing and it's
not infantilizing. We do it all the time
with with with real businesses. And so
what
>> foreign, alcohol, military,
>> what upsets me is we're different. All
it's the same it's the same song and
dance from all internet companies. We're
different. We don't deserve the same.
And they get unfair advantage here. Um
as to
>> who gets unfair advantage.
>> These these these markets get unfair
advantage. It made me very
uncomfortable, for example, when uh CNN
and others sign deals with them because
I'm like because I don't think they know
how to use them properly. That's the
other thing. It can be so
>> it's not reporting like it's not it's
some it's an indicator. It's a data
point, but it's not I guess I don't like
them doing polls either. So, I guess I I
just I find it very weak and it can be
very influential in a way. And so I just
feel like it it it obviously needs to
have some regulatory thing with my sons.
They don't actually they're not they're
not big bettors. I don't I'm not I don't
know why. I mean I I get that why like I
was in Vegas for two days and I didn't
bet once. Like I was like I walked right
through the casinos. But that's me. Um
but I just feel like it's the death
threat. This reporter thing was a really
interesting thing. Like this this has
implications that have been around since
the dawn of time. The these and and they
think they're different. And so how I
think we need to have more transparency
into how they're doing things. I think
they should have you know they shouldn't
bet on deaths like I mean they they
shouldn't be I don't know if we should
make them not do it or if you say okay
you're going to do that.
>> Yeah. But to be fair I do think Cali has
said we're not going to we're not going
to create markets and things like war
that might involve an incentive that
might involve death or
>> geopolitical. That's the kind of stuff
but there's going to be someone who's
going to. So maybe we need some laws,
right? Anyway, we we have to move on.
It's a really interesting it's a
developing situation, but I think it's
in every state's rights to do this. So
Ky should stop being so like high-handed
with them. Of course, they're going to
come in. It's affecting things. So um
this is exactly why the government
should come in in some fashion. At least
think about it, have hearings, talk
about it, and and let's discuss the
things. Um just before we finish, this
is the last thing. Uber plans to invest
$1.2 $2 billion in Rivian as part of a
deal to deploy 50,000 robo taxis. I
recently spoke with uh Rivian founder
and CEO RJ Scaring on on with Care
Swisser. I also saw him for an extended
amount of time at South by Southwest.
Let's listen to a clip where he talked
about self-driving.
>> If you're a customer and you have a
choice of I can buy a car for 35 $40,000
and it can, you know, drop me at the
airport, it can go to the grocery store
to pick up, you know, stuff for me. It
can drop a friend at a house. it can do
all those things or a car that doesn't
do that. It's it's going to be very
binary where I think there'll be very
few people that will self- select to say
I don't want those features. Even folks
who are not comfortable with the idea of
self-driving once you experience it one
or two times.
>> It does. I try to say that to everybody.
>> It's so sticky because you get your time
back. Suddenly you can be reading a book
on your phone. It's it's just so sticky.
>> I my one way of convincing one person
I'm like who likes to party. I'm like,
you can you can text and drink.
>> I don't know what to say. There's my
that's my sale for you. I think that was
you I was talking about. Um it was
really it was super interesting. I think
it's a real blow again to Tesla. Um and
I I I drove the Rivian 2 at um South by
Southwest. I also they have a really
nifty bike called Also, which I liked a
lot. Um I really like the Rivian. I I
think he's interesting. I think he's a
great spokesperson for this stuff. Um,
and they're wonderful. It's a wonderful
I may buy one. I may buy an R2 um
because I was super impressed with it.
Um, in any case, it's a really
interesting um move by Uber who needs to
get into this business and uh and uh and
it's a good thing for Rivian who, you
know, it's a tough struggle to get these
cars to get a car company going. Um,
your thoughts on Rivian?
>> I I think it's a win-win. I I think it's
uh Rivian is subscale. Automobile
platforms cost so many billions to
produce. I think Rivian has done as good
a job as anyone. I'm moving when I move
back to the US. I'm going to if I buy a
car and I've really enjoyed not having a
car for four years, I'm probably going
to buy a Rivian.
>> The two is nice. It's smaller.
>> I was one of those people that put 5,000
bucks down on it like five, six years
ago and never took delivery of it. By
the way, I should probably look into
that.
>> Um, new couch market. What's the
likelihood that Scott gets gets his
money back?
>> I I think this is they're there. Look,
Tesla's missed a real opportunity here
again and again and again, but I don't
think he cares about the cars anymore,
does he? I mean, he he was introducing a
a cyber cab that doesn't exist and isn't
being used anywhere. I mean, think
between Whimo and Rivian, I think
they've sort of ran around.
>> But let me It's also very one,
>> they need more scale. So, this is a
great win for Rivian. to I think one of
the biggest brand enhancements is to be
known like there are few brands that
have fallen further faster in the last
20 years and made shittier cars than
Jaguar. This is one of the great the one
of the great British brands in history.
The design and the and the cars the last
20 years have just been remarkably
uninspiring.
Now the best brand move in my opinion of
Jaguar is they have been um the car of
choice that I've seen for
>> Whimos. Yes, they are.
>> So immediately it's like, "Oh, Jaguar is
the kind of the Pepsi generation new
cool car." I didn't even know what the I
I had to look. I I didn't even recognize
the car. That's a Jaguar.
>> So it's Brand enhancing for Rubian. It
gives them all sorts of scale.
>> And also what people have
underappreciated is that the biggest
winner, the obvious biggest winner in
autonomous, regardless of all the
press releases, people realize
it's not Tesla. It's likely Whimo. They
have the capital. They're miles ahead of
everyone. They have exponentially more
miles under their under their under
their belt in terms of testing this. But
there's an outside shot that the biggest
winner here
>> Mhm.
>> is going to be Uber
>> because when you control
>> sort of like the apple. See, they're
sort of like the apple.
>> I love we always used in consulting we
always used to the term use the term
custody of the consumer. My first client
was Levi Strauss company and they were
always complaining about J C Penney and
Sears. I'm like, "Yeah, but they have
custody of the consumer. You need to
open your own stores. You need to go
vertical to control the relationship
with the consumer."
>> In the US, Uber has 75% market share.
They're basically a monopoly.
>> Yeah. Der is a very effective.
>> And so what they can do is they can say
they can push up an icon saying, "Why do
you need to download the Whimo or the
Tesla app? Just click here for
driverless." Yeah, they could also do
deals with Whimo too by
>> and they can play them off against each
other. They can find the company that
wants to work with them the most and get
market share the same way Apple
>> You could also use Uber to summon Whimo
if you I mean think why not like why not
>> my point. Yeah. And then take a take a
large margin. So what did Apple do?
Because they controlled custody of the
billion wealthiest people in the world
through UI and people don't want to
learn a new app. They extract $20
billion a year from Alphabet to be to
make to make Google the default search
engine.
>> Uber's in a position to extract
extraordinary deals around autonomous
>> and make it and say to people, "Oh yeah,
you want autonomous? No problem. Here's
the Uber app
>> you love." And so I I look Whimo,
>> it's going to be interesting.
Autonomous. I think I think one of the
places that AI actually comes to
fruition and exceeds our expectations is
around autonomous.
>> I agree. The question is, what's
interesting is
>> two of the biggest winners hands down
>> are going to be Uber and Whimo. And I
wouldn't be surprised if Uber is in fact
the biggest winner because they have
custody of the consumer.
>> Yeah. Ultimately, I've been a big, as
you know, a big proponent of of
self-driving in a safe mode. I I will
tell you, I would never get in a Tesla
given I had a long talk with with R.J.
about, you know, I think he's he's more
on you don't need this many points of
safety, but he put them on there anyway,
right? And so compared to Elon who's
like, I just have one camera with the
guy in the back. Like I feel so unsafe
in Teslas in that regard. Um, and I
think the way Whimo's done it is
correct, but you're right. Uber's in in
a very they could have been it could
have been easily sidelined by all these
companies but they have they I always
used to say they have the reservation
system and that and you're right it's
the chain of custody and and you do
trust Uber what a brand I mean I know
Travis Kalan is trying to come back in
this sector but I got to say DAR took
that company and really made it into one
like you know you know what is
comparatively
>> really been eye opening for me and it
goes to something you said that's always
really resonated with me and that is
>> the thing about tech executives They're
traditionally white males who went to
elite schools, raised in wealthy
families. And when you never been a
victim, it's difficult to understand
victimization. That's always struck me
that like until I walk in those shoes,
you don't. And you know what women say
to me that I it makes so much sense. I
just never realized it. I get into an
Uber, the driver doesn't usually doesn't
talk to me. I don't want to talk to him.
And I know that sounds terrible. I just
don't I don't want to talk. I want to be
on my phone. Every woman I've talked to
says when they get in an Uber, the Uber
driver tries to chat her up.
>> And it's not me, but Yes. Yes.
>> Well, it's uncomfortable, especially if
you talk to young women.
>> Mhm.
>> And they don't. And you know who's
really used loves Whimo is women.
>> Women. They do. Or else you can also now
on Uber, by the way, uh request a woman.
>> Um there's a they they've done a great
job. Let me tell you, Dar goes for I
don't agree with on everything. I think
sometimes he can be a little too
compromisy with terrible people. I think
he knows it. He's a great He's a great
CEO. He's done a great job here.
>> All right. Uh, one more quick break.
We'll be back for predictions.
>> Support for the show comes from Back
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Okay, Scott, let's hear a prediction.
Can I just start very quickly? Of
course. I predict this mega micro penis
war is going to get worse. And I am here
for it. Do you know about this? Right.
Megan Kelly said Mark Levin had a microp
penis and then President Trump defended
his micropenis and then Marjorie Taylor
Green came in with a micropenis and
Megan Kelly's doubling down on it. It's
completely crude and awful and repulsive
and I think it's going to get a lot
worse and I'm very pleased. Thank you.
>> Yeah, that's my prediction.
>> No, I I I don't I don't I think it's
inappropriate to talk about man's
genitalia. Um, by the way, I was at a
stall last night and a guy looked over
and he said, "Circumcised?" And I said,
"Nope, that's just the wear and tear."
>> Oh my god, you've told that joke before.
I'm going to start clocking your penis.
By the way,
>> I'm not going to say Adam Grant, but
Adam Grant said, "You got to cut back on
the penis strokes, the party you missed,
cuz you wrote the
>> Oh, my nemesis."
>> Yes. Your nemesis was like
>> the more successful version of Scott
Galloway.
>> He's doing a podcast on the Vox Media
Podcast Network with uh with Bnee Brown,
the two of them. They're trying to be
the nice version of Scott and Cara, I
think. Um and he was he commented on
your penis drugs and I said and I
literally Scott I I said I love them. I
defended you so hard.
>> I appreciate that. And I was like,
"People love them." And he's like,
"Yeah, but do you think it's the right
thing?" I go, "It's the right thing. I'm
no matter how much my brain
>> That's right. I don't want to be wrong."
And then also also I want to be a little
bent to the left. Um
>> anyway, just congratulations
and Adam on
>> It's a condition. I'm a special needs
person.
>> Anyway,
>> it's a condition. Don't penis. I'm here
for now. talking about mic. Sorry, Adam,
but micro penis work cracks me the
up and I'm I'm here for it and I hope
more to come and I think I think we're
not done with the micro penis.
>> I got to be I love it when they were
with each other because one of the
things I don't like about the Democratic
party
>> is that I find for the most part when I
just went on this great podcast PBR PB
this really lovely guy. He's a
conservative out of Fort Lauderdale.
>> Oh, you want the guy that guy? Mhm.
>> Oh, I like him. I thought he was nice.
Um anyways, um
the thing I find generally speaking
about Republicans is they're like, "Oh,
you want to be a Republican? Come on
in."
>> Uh and when you say, "Oh, I want to be a
pro progressive." It's like, "We'll
see."
>> I feel like we apply way more Sarah.
There's a new Democrat in town. But go
ahead.
>> If you don't choose the right words, if
you don't hold the gun correctly, let's
court marshall you and hang you.
>> It's the right that's doing it now. But
go ahead. No, they're you know what this
is? This is a bunch of podcasters who
know the algorithm, the more fights they
get into and the more incendiary they
are.
>> I suppose you're right.
>> You know, Candace Owens makes a living
off of saying really vile things because
the algorithms and the reason our nation
is being torn apart at the seams is
there's now a financial incentive in
being vile and incendiary. The
algorithms love it. In a world where
there were editors and fact checkers and
more reasonable people saying is that a
reasonable thing we want to print? She
would be nowhere or anyway. So I
I don't I love it when these guys fight
but at the end of the day it's it's it's
indicative of a bigger problem and that
is our media our overlords
are algorithms deciding that this is
news.
>> Oh, you're so good. I don't care. I like
the micro penis. Anyway, I defended you
to Adam Grant on the page. I appreciate
that. All right.
>> I tell you, other than academic
credibility and talent and higher IQ,
that that dude has nothing on me.
>> That dude has nothing on. Do you know he
was a diver in college?
>> Even better.
>> He was a diver.
>> Yeah.
>> All his sort of like, you know, his
tweets about, you know, characters doing
the right thing when no one's looking.
Oh, you.
>> All right, move along.
>> Adam Grant, you and Bnee Brown.
thoughtfulness and deep
>> interest. Poundforound, they're better
people than us, but that's okay.
>> Well, that's that's Bern's obvious.
>> I love that, Bnee. Anyway,
>> I want to be I like them both and Adam
is a friend, so I I trust he's taking us
all in just
>> I hope so. One would assume. Maybe
they'll discuss it on their new show.
Maybe we should have a Rumble with them.
>> I think we could be evil twins. I think
with his intellect and my I don't know,
my something, we could take over
Australia and Bnee would be queen of
>> a crossover show. We're gonna I'm gonna
invite them on a crossover show. All
right. We could switch partners. You
know when they switch the husband and
wives?
>> I you know I' I've I've tried it but I'm
the one that ends up alone and no one's
up for it.
>> You know it's called show. You could
have Bernay and Well, you've been on
Bernation anyway. Finish. Do your do
your prediction. Prediction.
>> Oh, I'm sorry.
>> Uh my prediction is OpenAI Sora social
media app will be shut down soon.
>> Oh,
>> Sora. Really? What do you know? You know
something?
>> No, I don't. I I've done no original
reporting.
Okay. All right.
>> Um, but they're focusing, which is the
right thing to do. SOAR is essentially
OpenAI's uh, it's sort of a tick-like
social media platform and for AI
generated content.
>> Yeah, it's pointless.
>> And users use their video model to
generate short form content and they can
upload it and share and share it, right?
And upon its release, Sora came out at
number one in the app store. Um, and
actually got more downloads out of the
gates than Chat GPT did. However, like
the parties ended. Downloads fell 32%
month over month in December and another
45% in January. And some Sora is the
little engine that didn't. And also
users continue to drop like flies. Um,
and but at the same time, Open I open AI
has to spend a ton of money to keep the
lights on there. And some estimates are
that
>> also brings a lot of legal challenges.
But
>> well, it's costing them 15 million bucks
a day or 5 billion a year.
>> And despite that, the app is bringing in
less than half a million dollars per
month. And given their new focus, which
is the right one,
>> uh, on focus,
>> it's not central to OpenAI's, uh, core
competences. They're an AI company, not
a social media company.
>> It's not creating revenue.
>> Yep.
>> Big losses. And also, it's really
unpopular. 62% of Americans disapprove
of online videos created with AI.
>> A lot more trouble than it's worth.
>> It feels dystopian. 70% of people
globally would be uncomfortable
consuming fully AI generated creative
content. So
>> this new focus, this new adult in the
room saying we need to focus on the
enterprise market is now quite frankly
we have seated so much share and value
to anthropic. The first
>> Yeah. It's stupid. It's stupid.
>> Anyways, the first example I like of
this focus is that open AI Sora uh rest
in peace. It's going to be shut down.
>> All right. Okay. Oh, I like that. That's
a big that's a big call. I think that's
a good one. Um I just want to make one
other note before we go. Um, President
Trump's comments about dyslexia. Um, I
have a lot of friends who have dyslexia,
by the way. He said Governor Newsome
should not be president because he had
dyslexia or has, but uh, gross. What a
gross thing to say. I just was I'm just
like, stop it. Like, stop like make
demonizing things that are learning
disabilities. It's gross. He's does it
all the time, but it's a continual thing
and everyone just lets him go. But
honestly, what it just And I predict it
will have bad effects. Anyway,
>> are you really are you really surprised
though?
>> No, but I just don't I'm like no. Like
we I I I think we should keep saying no
to this Gh. It was just gross. I
have a lot of friends.
>> I don't know. I I put the I put the sex
in dyslexia. Wait. Sexy dyslexia. Sexy
>> Anyway. Anyway,
that's good. Got it. I got it. Anyway,
you're grotesque. I I'm sorry. I think
we have to call these out all the time.
Anyway, we want to I'm not angry about
it. It's just
um we want to hear from you. My favorite
stripper has uh has dyslexia. Her name
was density.
>> Adam Grant, take that. Talk about
character and being a good manager. Try
to compete with my my stripper density.
My dyslexic stripper density.
>> Yeah, right.
>> Okay. Let's see who wins the iHeart
podcast of the year award.
>> Density should be president. Anyway, we
want to hear from you. to send us your
questions about business, tech, or
whatever's on your mind. Go to
nymag.com/pivot
to submit a question for the show or
call 85551 pivot. Okay, that's the show.
Thanks for listening to Pivot and be
sure to like and subscribe to our
YouTube channel. We'll be back next week
because there's so much news.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video discusses the recent trend of prominent figures, particularly in Silicon Valley, expressing a disdain for introspection. This is contrasted with historical figures like Socrates and Einstein who valued introspection. The hosts criticize this trend, viewing it as a form of performative masculinity or a way to appear 'villainous.' The conversation also touches upon Meta's struggles with its metaverse project, the economic impact of oil prices, Jerome Powell's role at the Federal Reserve, and the success of Anthropic over OpenAI in the enterprise AI market. Additionally, they discuss Bob Iger's departure from Disney and the potential for immersive experiences in technology, while also touching on the legal issues surrounding prediction markets like Kelsi and the future of autonomous vehicles with Uber and Rivian. Finally, the discussion moves to OpenAI's Sora social media app and predictions about its shutdown, as well as President Trump's comments on dyslexia.
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