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MAGA Civil War Erupts Over Iran | Pivot

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MAGA Civil War Erupts Over Iran | Pivot

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2214 segments

0:00

I predict this mega micro penis war is

0:03

going to get worse and I am here for it.

0:12

>> Hi everyone, this is Pivot from New York

0:13

Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast

0:15

Network. I'm Cara Swisser

0:16

>> and I'm Scott Callaway.

0:18

>> Scott, have you recovered from South by

0:19

Southwest at

0:21

>> I'm still basking in the glow. I thought

0:22

it was great.

0:23

>> It was good. Yeah, I had a good time in

0:25

the end. It was really fun. Um, what was

0:27

your favorite highlight of it?

0:29

>> My favorite highlight, um,

0:31

>> besides our time together,

0:32

>> the way Representative Talerico

0:36

described masculinity and he talks about

0:39

his father, I guess, used to come home

0:40

on Sunday and immediately change and

0:43

then mow their lawn and then without

0:46

ever talking about it, just went next

0:48

door and mowed the lawn of this old

0:49

ladies and thought and he described

0:53

>> that really struck you. You mentioned it

0:54

at the show that way. Did you did Did

0:56

you ever mow people's lawns, Scott?

0:57

>> I used to mow lawns for money, but I I

1:00

didn't do it. I showed up to the house

1:02

before I mowed a lawn and said, "Hey,

1:04

seven bucks in Ohio and I'll mow your

1:06

lawn."

1:07

>> Oh, wow.

1:08

>> And I had a manual lawn mower and I was

1:10

all of about 120 lbs pushing a manual

1:12

lawn mower around.

1:13

>> So you you were not taught to mow

1:15

people's lawns?

1:16

>> No, I was taught to make money. I My dad

1:18

was like, "Go make money." My my son got

1:21

a um a job at a taco truck last summer.

1:26

>> It was so good for him. Um you know, so

1:28

many Anyways, I think chores chores,

1:32

jobs, and sports. I mean, anyways, and

1:36

>> anyway, the reason I'm asking is cuz

1:38

it's introspecting when you're

1:39

introspection. Well, I've gotten I I've

1:41

gotten much more introspective just to

1:43

today I'm here in Tulum and I've had

1:45

some time to

1:47

>> really contemplate and I've decided to

1:49

it's time for me at this age, Cara. It's

1:51

time for me Life is finite. It's time

1:53

for me to start to start living my

1:54

dream. So, I'm going to start showing up

1:56

for tests I'm not prepared for naked.

2:01

>> Well, as always, so you're in the Mark

2:03

Andre school. Have you heard about this

2:05

situation, Mark? Let me just say what it

2:07

is. Mark Andre, who I really don't like

2:10

anymore. I didn't like that much then,

2:11

but he's really become such a troll. He

2:14

said uh on the he's an a famous he's he

2:17

was part of the Netscape browser thing.

2:20

I wouldn't say he was the only person.

2:21

He did take a lot of credit. Um but uh

2:24

important entrepreneur in Silicon Valley

2:26

um and etc. Now he's a venture

2:28

capitalist. On the founders podcast with

2:30

David Senra, he said, "My goal is zero

2:33

introspection as little as possible. 400

2:35

years ago it would never occur to

2:36

anybody to be introspective like the

2:38

whole idea I mean just all the modern

2:40

conceptions around introspection and

2:42

therapy and all the things that kind of

2:43

result uh from that are kind of

2:45

manufactured 1910s 1920s uh this is very

2:49

much in line with him being an expert on

2:51

everything. He used to lecture me about

2:52

things he knew nothing about a lot. Um

2:55

it all it says to me is this man is in

2:58

desperate need of therapy. Um to you

3:01

know he's just trying to be like I don't

3:02

think about anything. Um, and I find it

3:05

I found it very uh dystopian and I find

3:08

him dystopian in general. Um, but this

3:11

idea that introspection is a weakness

3:13

again is not masculine. It's not

3:15

feminine. It's not h human I think in

3:18

some way.

3:19

>> Yeah. I think it's important to

3:20

occasionally,

3:22

you know, do do some sort of I don't

3:25

know pondering. I, you know, ask

3:26

yourself ask yourself if you could only

3:29

bring one thing to a desert island, what

3:30

would you bring? And I decided the

3:32

answer is I wouldn't go.

3:33

>> No.

3:34

>> Uh I need edibles streaming media and my

3:37

plane car.

3:38

>> Mhm.

3:38

>> Um no. Look, look, in all seriousness,

3:41

it's as if these guys

3:43

>> Mhm.

3:43

>> Alman and Andre hired a publicist, the

3:46

brightest comms person in the world, and

3:48

said, "How do we convince humanity we're

3:50

bad for humanity?"

3:52

>> Right. Right. And this notion that

3:54

technology requires less energy to get

3:56

to a point of critical thinking than a

3:58

human is just so nihilist and so weird.

4:02

And then introspection is how we move

4:05

forward as a species.

4:05

>> It was like Socrates, Plato, Marcus

4:08

Aurelius, like it's been around. He's

4:10

like, "Oh, it's just the 1910s." He's so

4:12

ignorant. Like the idea introspection is

4:15

a critical element of all philosophy

4:17

going back. Also, by the way, Jesus test

4:21

the Bible. It's all about thinking about

4:24

>> reflecting on how you become a better

4:27

introspection is why we have the

4:28

Marshall Plan and why people reconnect

4:30

with their family members. Introspection

4:32

is how you

4:33

>> try to become a better person and

4:35

realize the errors of your actions and

4:38

that your actions have ramifications and

4:40

what can you do to be leave the world a

4:43

better place. It

4:44

>> Yeah.

4:44

>> And it's it's indicative again of this

4:47

faright

4:48

performative. I won't even call it

4:50

masculinity, but macho that I don't

4:52

care. I just plow ahead because I'm such

4:53

a baller.

4:54

>> Yeah.

4:55

>> It's just so It's just like, okay,

4:56

>> it's crazy. I I I I don't like my

4:59

grandmother didn't introspect a lot. She

5:00

grew up in the depression, right? She

5:02

didn't wonder if she was happy. I think

5:03

she was probably could have been

5:05

happier, right? That kind of thing. And

5:06

there's there's an element to that. But

5:08

this idea that this the idea of

5:10

thoughtfulness has not been around since

5:12

the dawn of time drives me

5:14

crazy. The second thing is look this guy

5:16

has a very famously doesn't speak to his

5:19

family right like there's all manner of

5:22

upness that is buried very deep

5:24

in this particular person who has

5:26

influence on other who has massive

5:28

influence on everybody else and you know

5:31

he's like a he's an emotional uh I don't

5:34

want to use you know he's just a tiny

5:36

little man from a from a soul point of

5:39

view like extraordinarily small um and I

5:42

find it really just bragging about it is

5:45

is the last is you know he's the one

5:47

that said we should fight more like we

5:49

should physically fight like as if he

5:51

could get in a fight with anybody he'd

5:52

lose in a second but this it's just they

5:55

just you're right they they're trying to

5:56

be villains or something by the way the

5:59

the main villain in the Marvel movies is

6:02

quite introspective FYI but go ahead

6:05

>> well I would argue that probably I mean

6:09

people would say the greatest mind of

6:10

the 20th century is Einstein but they

6:12

should take could play take a page from

6:14

the playbook of the greatest

6:16

>> arguably the greatest technologist

6:18

>> of the 20th century. And that was

6:20

someone who not only had a vision for

6:21

technology but but could bring together

6:22

people to what was at that moment

6:26

develop and deploy the most important

6:27

technology in history or at least the

6:29

most profound and that was Oenheimer and

6:31

he was hugely introspective.

6:32

>> So was Einstein. If you read some of

6:34

this,

6:34

>> they were hugely introspective. They

6:36

were they were really worried about what

6:39

about the the ramifications of their

6:42

actions and how they could spend the

6:44

rest of their lives trying to, you know,

6:48

they didn't just say the the in

6:50

introspection isn't some AI guy who

6:52

vests his shares and then scares the

6:54

out of the world as he pieces out

6:56

to the cotzora. That is not

6:58

introspection. Mhm.

6:59

>> Uh Bill Gates for all the Bill

7:01

Gates is getting and a lot of it is

7:02

warranted.

7:03

>> He is a he decided I have become the

7:06

wealthiest person in the world at that

7:08

moment.

7:09

>> I am smart. What could I do with my

7:12

resources to impact millions of people?

7:14

And he started distributing.

7:15

>> He decided I think I can stop malaria in

7:18

a continent.

7:19

>> That is introspection.

7:21

>> Yeah. Anyway, it's it's it's led to a

7:23

lot of very funny memes, you know,

7:25

Marcus Andronicus and then nothing. It's

7:28

called nothing. What a soulless empty

7:31

person. And these are not where we

7:32

should be getting clues as we go

7:34

forward. That's just my feeling. And I

7:36

think one of the more damaging figures

7:38

uh from a from in terms of training

7:40

young men uh at Silicon Valley is this

7:43

guy. He's not someone to follow. Let me

7:45

just say I've known him since he was

7:46

very young and he and he's progressed

7:49

negatively and and backwardly in a way

7:51

that's really quite depressing. Uh oddly

7:54

enough in in in relation and then we'll

7:56

finish up on this. I had lunch at South

7:58

by Southwest with Mark Cuban. What a

8:01

person who has developed in a really He

8:02

was telling me all about his cosplush,

8:04

the passion around it.

8:06

>> Um I just was like,

8:07

>> he also looks great, by the way.

8:08

>> He looks great. Yeah, he's eating clams.

8:10

That's another story.

8:11

>> Jesus, did he bore you with that story?

8:13

I had to suffer through that. He buys on

8:15

Amazon.

8:16

>> Yeah, I Let's not get into it. We We'll

8:18

have him on to talk about it at some

8:19

point. He's trying to get protein.

8:21

>> If oysters means GLP1, I believe it. I

8:24

seriously I met with him and Michael

8:26

Dell and they're both claiming that

8:27

they're playing a lot of Pedell and I'm

8:30

like your old you could eat you right

8:32

now. Pedel my ass.

8:34

>> Pedell. Anyway, they um I just was like

8:37

I had a wonderful talk about uh

8:39

prescription drugs about life about his

8:41

kids. Like what a It was such a

8:43

difference like he is the opposite of of

8:46

like a good man trying to add value.

8:48

>> Yeah, exactly. Anyway, uh we have to

8:50

move on but Mark honestly stopped all of

8:53

you. Alex Karp said a number of things

8:55

stupid things like stop talking all of

8:57

you stop talking because what you say is

9:00

nonsensical and actually makes you look

9:02

so stupid and pathetic that it's I'm

9:05

just here to help you on that issue

9:07

anyway

9:08

>> but look even if you're religion you're

9:11

supposed to reflect on some of it is

9:13

somewhere Jesus

9:16

>> if Jesus could feed the world with two

9:17

fishes and a loaf you know if you really

9:20

think about it that's tapas

9:24

I mean, peace out. Peace out.

9:26

>> All right, let's move on. I can't do any

9:28

better than that. I can't do any better

9:29

than that.

9:29

>> Okay. Um, as of this recording, oil

9:32

prices in the morning,

9:34

>> that's a segue.

9:35

>> That's a segue in the in a more real

9:37

situation. Uh, prices of oils over $119

9:40

a barrel at one point following attacks

9:42

on energy sites in the Gulf. President

9:44

Trump has been lashing out at US allies

9:46

this week demanding they send warships

9:48

to help secure the Strait of Hormuz. Uh

9:51

the response has been quote global

9:53

raspberry as one analyst put it. We're

9:55

seeing also the first resignation over

9:57

this war. Counterterrorism official Joe

9:59

Kent stepped down saying Iran posed no

10:01

imminent threat. Of course he went on

10:03

Tucker Carlson. His he's of that ilk. He

10:05

has some he has some problems himself.

10:07

But nonetheless, he quickly went on

10:09

Tucker Carlson to discuss his departure

10:11

because this is like the train, the

10:12

right-wing MAGA train if you're going in

10:15

one direction. Meanwhile, the Pentagon

10:17

is asking the White House to approve

10:18

$200 billion request for Congress to

10:21

fund the Iran war. I think of an entire

10:24

I think Joe Biden was 180 billion for

10:27

like years long wars or whatever.

10:29

Defense Secretary Pete Hex says just

10:30

said in a briefing that the number could

10:32

move because it takes money to kill bad

10:34

guys. Speaking of introspection, what an

10:36

idiot. Um, uh, the next move, what

10:40

happens here? Trump also said this week,

10:41

by the way, that a former president told

10:43

him he regretted not bombing them, but

10:45

all the former living presidents denied

10:47

saying that. So, I guess he's talking to

10:48

himself. I mean, they've denied it.

10:51

Like, he's such a liar. It's astonishing

10:54

like what this guy does. Um, obviously

10:57

either cognitive or just a liar. I'm not

10:59

sure. Where do you think what do you

11:00

think's happening here now? Let's have a

11:02

quick update. Well, I mean, the mother

11:05

of all understatements is it's

11:06

complicated. Look, I think the fatal

11:09

flaw of the Trump administration is they

11:11

don't recognize our power as a species

11:12

and as a country. And that is as

11:14

powerful as we are, we're only a third

11:16

of the world's GDP, but because we were

11:18

seen as the good guys and innovators,

11:20

and that we did

11:22

embrace this notion that if we can make

11:24

you wealthier and more peaceful,

11:26

ultimately that wealth and peace will

11:28

return home in the form of you buying

11:30

our trucks and being our ally. And we

11:32

can put a military base there. And the

11:34

operating system of 60 or 70% of the

11:38

world was US laws, military flows of

11:41

energy, general rule of law, even

11:43

democracies, even laws and justice

11:45

systems were based off the US model. And

11:48

to to his lesser extent, the British

11:50

model, it just got evolved. We were sort

11:52

of 2.0. And he's decided, no, with 30%,

11:55

I can go at it alone. And what he's

11:57

found is all of a sudden he's 1/3 versus

12:00

2/3. And this is just when my we, you

12:04

know, we warn my son not to take

12:05

grapefruit juice into the to the living

12:07

room with the brand new couch and he

12:09

tells us, "Don't be an idiot. I can

12:11

handle it." And then he screams, "Dad, I

12:13

need help." And I know exactly what's

12:14

happened. It's just

12:15

>> Yeah, he spilled the grape juice.

12:15

>> Well, what do you know? We're going to

12:17

I'm going to do this unilaterally. I'm

12:19

not going to go to the UN. I mean, talk

12:22

>> Gulf won. George Bush put together a

12:25

coalition of I think 31 countries. He

12:27

got UN authorization and he got the

12:29

allies to pay 62 of the 707 $70 billion

12:32

in cost. That war cost

12:33

>> and at great and at great sacrifice for

12:35

many of them and of course he's been

12:36

downplaying their sacrifice and they're

12:38

now like literally saying no and by the

12:41

way and if you get come out of NATO fine

12:44

like they're now at that point I mean

12:45

you know whatever

12:47

>> he asked China for help and by the way

12:50

>> China's ships are flowing through. So

12:52

the notion that he's going to quote

12:54

unquote an enemy or nemesis going to

12:56

people he's been really rude to. I mean

12:59

this is just and they didn't anticipate

13:00

that they wouldn't be able to count on

13:02

their allies.

13:04

I I

13:05

>> didn't anticipate the Iran push back the

13:07

strength of the I mean he was advised by

13:10

by the way pretty much stories coming

13:12

out now are like he was told this he was

13:14

told this he was told they would do this

13:16

they would close the straight moves.

13:18

like everyone's leaking their the

13:20

out of things which is really I mean

13:22

what's interesting I I know it's the

13:24

smallest part of it but the lie about

13:26

presidents was weird was just weird like

13:30

why would you say that and then they all

13:32

say no and it looks like he's it's a lie

13:35

or he's talking to himself or whatever

13:38

it the whole thing seems like lies come

13:41

out of his mouth every day now that are

13:42

easily checkable like easily checkable

13:45

lies and that don't really work and so

13:47

Something's going on. Something's

13:49

happening in a way that's I mean, I

13:52

don't want to give him an excuse. Maybe

13:53

he's just a malevolent prick, but it

13:55

seems problematic that he's leading this

13:58

coalition of the one.

13:59

>> When you hire incompetent conspiracy

14:02

theorists, which is what Joe Kent is.

14:04

>> Mhm.

14:05

>> I mean, this is very upsetting for me as

14:07

someone, you know, quite frankly, as a

14:09

Jew, and that is

14:10

>> he immediately said that

14:12

>> that basically the largest military in

14:14

the world in the United States is being

14:16

manipulated by Jews. Mhm.

14:18

>> And this just plays into a very

14:19

anti-semitic trope being fermented on

14:21

the far right. And I don't I don't Megan

14:24

Kelly, there's a bunch of them, right?

14:26

>> Yeah. That this is all be this is all

14:27

Jews fault.

14:28

>> Yeah.

14:29

>> That is just what they were doing.

14:30

>> That's not helpful.

14:32

>> Yeah.

14:32

>> So,

14:33

>> it's one thing to be against the war and

14:35

I think there's some legitimate like

14:37

>> or to say has too much influence over. I

14:40

get it.

14:40

>> No, I get it. No, I'm just saying the

14:42

American first people can say we don't

14:43

like wars and but they do always take it

14:45

right into that. That was that that

14:48

Tucker Carlson's a dangerous person in

14:50

that regard, I'll tell you. Like

14:52

>> they're doing a video. They're like the

14:54

number whatever five at the,

14:56

>> you know, in our intelligence unit is is

14:59

saying what what Candace Owens and

15:01

Tucker Carlson are saying. It's the

15:02

Jews. We're being manipulated by the

15:05

Jews.

15:05

>> Yeah. It's problematic. It's

15:08

problematic. So what So oil prices, what

15:10

what is what actual impact is this going

15:12

to have on the economy as a whole? It's

15:14

immediate. I mean, unfortunately, and it

15:17

always happens. It hurts. It hurts uh

15:20

middle-income families and lower income.

15:22

Already, you're talking about an

15:24

increase for every dollar increase at

15:26

the pump. And it looks like we are going

15:27

to have about a dollar increase. It's

15:29

another $530 a year. And low-income

15:31

families spend almost, get this, 20% of

15:34

their income on home and auto energy

15:37

costs.

15:37

>> Yeah. And then the the residual effects

15:39

of food from everything. Every single

15:41

>> everything you touch is impacted.

15:43

everything got to you using some form of

15:45

fuel or or is consuming fuel

15:48

>> and it's going to probably spike

15:49

inflation an additional 100 bips um in

15:53

the short run. So

15:55

>> speaking speaking of which Jerome Powell

15:57

says he'll stay on his Fed chair until

15:58

his successor is confirmed by the

16:00

Senate. Even if that's after his term

16:02

expires he has every right to. It could

16:03

be a while. The Senate hasn't even

16:05

scheduled a hearing for Trump's nominee

16:07

Kevin Walsh. GOP Senator Tom Tillis, who

16:09

I'm talking to uh next week, says he

16:11

won't vote on confirmation until the DOJ

16:14

investigation on Powell is over. They've

16:16

they've been handed some um uh court

16:20

things, Janine Piro and the rest around

16:23

Powell. Uh for his part, and they're

16:24

appealing it, I think for his part,

16:26

Powell also says he'll stay on as Fed

16:28

governor, which I said he would,

16:30

remember I said this until the

16:31

investigation is well and truly over. Um

16:34

this is ex I thought he would do this.

16:36

He looks like he ran out of a long

16:38

time ago. Um, and well and truly over

16:40

means he could stay as long as he is a

16:42

while there on that Fed governor thing.

16:44

You know, as you noted many times,

16:46

enormous influence. So, he's the this is

16:49

the opposite of what Trump wanted and

16:51

he's stuck with Powell and Tillis, I can

16:53

tell you, is not give I mean is not

16:56

stopping at all at all. So

16:59

>> I think if it had been a different

17:01

president who' demonstrated more grace

17:03

to him, I don't doubt he would have

17:05

stepped down or if he'd said to him,

17:07

"Listen, I want you to be my chief

17:09

economic advisor. I I you know, I have a

17:12

even something more important for you."

17:13

But keep in mind, as long as Jerome Pal

17:15

is in the room, I've said this. There's

17:18

there's how you think there's the

17:19

governance structure and then there's

17:21

actually how boards and body politic

17:24

works. And this is how this is

17:26

essentially a board of directors. This

17:28

is how they work.

17:29

>> There's a bunch of them

17:31

>> in every board. There's 12 people, and

17:33

there's two people who matter.

17:35

>> There's the largest shareholder, which

17:37

doesn't doesn't

17:39

uh apply here. And then there's someone

17:41

who's so smart that everyone

17:43

they don't speak a lot. They listen a

17:44

lot, but when they speak, everyone has a

17:46

tendency to nod their head. and that

17:49

tell me the whatever it is the other 11

17:52

governors are going to when when Jerome

17:54

Pal says you know who whatever the the

17:57

chair is the person who

17:58

>> well he's going to run it I don't think

18:00

I think Tillis isn't G I I know Telus

18:02

isn't giving up he said it he's like he

18:04

Tillis now suddenly as you said his

18:06

balls and he's like no I'm going to do

18:08

the right thing for he's very offended

18:11

by the Jerome Powell thing I know that

18:12

and so I think it's he's a business

18:15

person he's a really well he had a you

18:17

know he was

18:18

even though you know he sounds like he's

18:20

like from the country smart guy

18:21

>> very smart guy is very stuck on this

18:24

Powell not putting uh wash through um

18:27

obviously he helped take down Christine

18:30

um I think there's there's such a push

18:32

back not just from our allies abroad but

18:34

here and if you're someone like Tom

18:36

Tillis and can stop this you do it like

18:39

why not what's what's the negative for

18:41

him there's nothing because he's now

18:43

because Trump tried pushed him out

18:45

essentially of the Senate and now he's

18:47

an enormous position of power and and

18:50

influence the same thing. And so

18:52

Powell's Powell is not going to bring

18:53

rates down, by the way, especially with

18:55

inflation up. So Trump has gotten the

18:57

opposite of everything he wanted. So

19:00

>> no, Cal said there was a 99% likelihood

19:03

they would not cut rates. But where I

19:05

was headed was I would bet 98% of the

19:09

decisions in the Fed from the board of

19:12

governors, regardless of who's in

19:14

charge, regardless of who takes the mic,

19:17

uh the new chair, whatever Jerome Pal

19:20

said was probably the right move in that

19:22

meeting is what they're going to do.

19:24

>> Yeah. This is the guy that had a Marylu

19:29

Retin like stick the landing of the

19:31

economy where he basically tamed

19:33

inflation

19:34

>> by 600 basis points while not going into

19:37

recession. like no one

19:39

>> in economics.

19:40

>> No,

19:41

>> you know,

19:43

and

19:44

>> I think Worsh is perfectly qualified,

19:45

but Trump now has Jerome Powell forever

19:47

like especially the dumb attack

19:49

>> another six or 12 years or something or

19:51

whatever. Basically,

19:53

>> he's going to stay there as the as the

19:55

head of it. It's just Anyway, it's it's

19:57

>> good for him.

19:58

>> Good for him.

19:59

>> I think he is I think he is lit the

20:01

first hero.

20:02

>> The first Medal of Freedom recipient.

20:04

>> Yeah, he's a hero. One, Democrats love

20:06

to show that they're bipartisan. It'll

20:08

probably be Vice President Spence will

20:10

be first, the first one, and the second

20:12

one will be Jerome Pal.

20:13

>> Vice President Spence. Who's

20:16

>> um Pence? I'm sorry.

20:17

>> Oh, Vice President Pence. Yeah. Oh,

20:19

that's a good idea. The two of them. Oh,

20:22

Pence does not get enough recogn.

20:26

>> Yes. Daddy. Dad. Father. I like father

20:29

at this point. Father is actually father

20:32

and Powell. No, that's that'll work for

20:34

me. Uh, okay, Scott, let's go on a quick

20:36

break. When we come back, we'll say

20:38

goodbye to the metaverse. We hardly knew

20:40

you at all.

20:43

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22:27

Scott, we're back with more news. And

22:29

Meta is shutting down its VR metaverse

22:31

on June 15th. And legless people are

22:34

gone. The VR social network Horizon

22:36

Worlds never drew more than a couple

22:38

hundred thousand active users a month. I

22:40

mean, I think I think it was like a

22:42

thousand were using it by the end. Some

22:44

users reported that daily active users

22:46

actually dropped to under a thousand.

22:48

Who are those people? I want to meet

22:49

those people. Over 70 billion was spent

22:52

on the project over time. Uh you have

22:54

talked about this for a long time. I

22:56

never like the metaverse.

22:57

>> So some breaking news that broke after

22:59

the recording. Cara, we just learned

23:01

that Meta is not shutting down VR

23:04

support for Horizon Worlds. That's

23:06

according to an Instagram post from Meta

23:07

CTO Andrew Bosworth. He said there was

23:11

uh open quote a lot of misinformation

23:12

about the company's plans. We announced,

23:15

hey, we're moving away from Horizon

23:16

Worlds in VR. And the headline is that

23:18

Horizon is dead. He said it's not. And

23:21

likewise, VR is not dead. We're

23:24

continuing to invest tremendously.

23:26

Uh, this is weak sauce. We up.

23:29

Nana is on life support. And despite the

23:31

fact she might have brain waves, we're

23:32

pulling the plug soon. This is, in my

23:35

view, an attempt to uh backtrack and not

23:39

totally freak out the remaining

23:40

employees before they find them another

23:42

job or lay them off. This is this is

23:45

dead. uh in my view and uh you know uh

23:50

an attempt to if you will say no there's

23:53

still hope when they believe uh and

23:56

every indication here is that uh this

23:59

thing is maybe in hospice but be clear

24:02

it it's it's on the green mile of that

24:06

let's move on

24:07

>> while the press was fawning over the

24:08

idea you were not impressed let's take a

24:10

look at what you've said over the years

24:12

>> I was the original hater of headsets and

24:15

metaverse Web 3.0, the metaverse. It's

24:18

supposed to be the next dimension of the

24:20

internet.

24:20

>> I just love the fact that Mark

24:21

Zuckerberg is is showing up with

24:24

literally the biggest thud in

24:26

history.

24:27

>> I am proud to announce that starting

24:29

today, our company is now Meta.

24:34

>> I think this thing is already a giant

24:35

flaming bag of If it was working,

24:38

they'd be putting out all sorts of

24:39

numbers and press releases about people

24:42

signing up. You know, by the end of the

24:44

decade, we hope to basically get to

24:46

around a billion people in the metaverse

24:48

doing hundreds of of dollars of commerce

24:50

each.

24:50

>> If I were to try and devise a strategy

24:53

to weaken the corpus that is Facebook, I

24:56

would invent this distraction called the

24:58

metaverse and specifically the Oculus to

25:01

pour billions of dollars down a single.

25:03

>> They pivoted their entire company to the

25:05

metaverse. I think I mean if I had tried

25:07

to figure out a way to kneecap Meta

25:10

which is a net negative for society I

25:11

couldn't come up with a strategy as

25:13

brilliant as this.

25:14

>> Nice call Scott let me just say that.

25:16

Second of all I didn't like Meta because

25:18

the legless it was weird. Remember when

25:19

he introduced it was so weird and

25:21

awkward at the time. Um, one of the

25:24

things that's astonishing here is that

25:26

he could have this much of a loss and

25:27

still they're doing so well elsewhere um

25:32

that this $70 billion loss doesn't

25:34

matter and he's fed while other people

25:36

who have losses get slapped back to but

25:39

this is such a failure. Please, please

25:41

take a lap and conclude this chapter of

25:45

Mark Zuckerberg's life for us. care of

25:47

the fact that $70 billion in capex got

25:50

taken into a street and burned and that

25:52

people didn't want to live on a legless

25:53

future where they didn't want to be in a

25:55

place where 40% of them were within 20

25:58

minutes nauseous or that they further

26:00

separate from human I'm shocked Cara I'm

26:02

shocked this didn't work I I had big

26:05

hopes for it because anything Mark

26:06

Zuckerberg is clearly right

26:09

uh the scariest thing I think the

26:12

scariest thing about our economy other

26:14

than the income inequality is the fact

26:15

that we have now tied the fate of the

26:17

S&P and the 10% wealthiest households

26:21

who control the economy now and

26:23

government. We've tied it to our ability

26:25

to evolve a new species of asocial

26:28

asexual males and some females.

26:31

And the thing is this is this is a

26:34

healthy gag reflex for mammals. one, on

26:38

a very instinctive level, it's very

26:41

uncomfortable, especially for women, but

26:43

for everybody, when you're walking on

26:45

the sidewalk alone and you hear

26:47

footsteps behind you or the side of you,

26:50

>> because the things you can eat and the

26:52

things that can eat you don't come

26:53

straight at you. They have a habit of

26:54

coming from behind you or from the side.

26:57

>> And so your peripheral vision, and the

26:59

reason why billboards on the highway are

27:01

still a big business, is you notice

27:03

in your peripheral vision. You're very

27:04

subconsciously conscious of what's in

27:06

your peripheral vision or what isn't.

27:08

>> And when it's blocked with a headset,

27:11

>> you feel uncomfortable.

27:12

>> So, no, they never spoke to an

27:15

anthropologist

27:17

to say, "All right, what happens when we

27:20

invent a technology that from the moment

27:21

they turn it on, it's like if you turned

27:23

on your PC and it made you feel slightly

27:25

nauseous by turning it off."

27:27

>> Yes. Remember all those um those all all

27:29

of that stuff? Remember they showed it

27:30

at CES years ago where you looked at a

27:32

TV that was jumping out at you? It was

27:34

sickening and no one and never. It was a

27:36

big thing one year at CES and then it

27:38

wasn't. Let me ask you I'm going to ask

27:40

you a more challenging question. All

27:41

right. Look, we're going to have

27:42

immersive worlds, right, in some way.

27:44

And some of it is kind of cool. I

27:46

remember 20 years ago, Walt and I went

27:48

to Korea and went to either Sony or LG

27:51

and we were looking at these headsets in

27:52

movies.

27:54

Pretty cool. I remember thinking

27:56

that. And I wasn't nauseous. I went to

27:58

the sphere this week which I loved. I

28:00

saw the Dorothy thing and I thought it

28:02

was wonderful and we were all in the big

28:04

room and I have to say it was a lovely

28:06

communal experience because everyone was

28:08

laughing and they dropped apples out of

28:10

the sky and everything else. There is

28:13

something I want you to say what will

28:15

work here because there is an immersive

28:17

experience with screens that is very

28:21

satisfying. What would you if you had to

28:23

pick a business in this in the immersive

28:26

screens either on your head or in a

28:28

situation like the sphere which I think

28:29

is a spectacular achievement um in a lot

28:32

of ways and it's also beautiful on the

28:34

outside cuz it's delightful. Um what do

28:37

you what do you imagine that to be?

28:39

>> They're I don't think they'll ever be

28:41

big businesses care. I think they're

28:43

niche experiences. I think that our

28:45

species has gotten really used to and

28:48

comfortable with as bad as it is this

28:50

world. So IMAX is an immersive

28:52

experience, but it's never really lived

28:55

up to the potential outlined.

28:56

>> It's a good business though. It's a good

28:58

business.

28:58

>> Yeah, it's been quite frankly over the

29:00

last 40 years, it's been a shitty

29:01

business. IMAX

29:03

>> relative to the cost, it's been okay. I

29:06

love IMAX every time. That's what I do

29:08

when I take my I love seeing in

29:10

IMAX.

29:10

>> I'm going to see Project Hail Mary

29:12

tomorrow night.

29:13

>> It's a niche business. The only place I

29:16

want an immersive experience is when I'm

29:18

having my teeth cleaned by a hot single

29:20

mother, Brazilian single mother. And

29:22

then she puts on headset that I can

29:24

watch, heated rivalry,

29:26

>> right?

29:26

>> And she, you know, and then I start

29:28

crying cuz I start thinking about my mom

29:29

and I'm under the influence. I tell her

29:31

to when she says,

29:32

>> she says 1 to 10 nitrous. I go 12 baby.

29:36

>> 12 baby. I'll have it. So, but you don't

29:38

you like look, let me can I tell you

29:40

what I liked about like you're right.

29:41

They're experiential things. One of the

29:43

things that was cool about Spheres, I

29:45

have seen Wizard of Oz a million times

29:47

recently too because my little kids are

29:49

now watching it. So, it's not something

29:51

I want to see again and again. But one

29:53

of the things I thought was quite

29:54

beautiful was the ability to see things

29:56

in the movie that I never saw like some

29:58

of the beautiful costumes, some of the

30:00

beautiful, you know, set design and

30:03

oddly enough the faces of all the people

30:05

that weren't Dorothy like or the or the

30:08

main characters. It's like I found

30:10

myself looking at these beautiful faces

30:12

from another era, right? Like there was

30:14

two twins there that I never noticed.

30:16

And so one of the things I found it

30:18

wasn't just everyone was like, "Oh, the

30:20

tornado." And I was like, "That was

30:21

cool." But what was beautiful was I

30:24

could really see things in a way that I

30:26

appre in a way I appreciated. So it

30:28

there is something valuable about

30:30

immersive in some way like travel I

30:33

suppose if or or when you go to a theme

30:36

park and you you get on one of those

30:37

rides that you like you know you go you

30:39

soar past the Golden Gate Bridge. I love

30:41

all those things.

30:42

>> No look going into another world you

30:45

feel like an explorer. It's it's sensory

30:47

overload. It's really exciting and then

30:49

you want out.

30:50

>> Yeah.

30:50

>> Escape escape room is correctly named.

30:54

>> You wouldn't you wouldn't want to live

30:56

in this sphere. Your body can't handle

30:58

that much sens sensory stimulation. And

31:01

the sphere, by the way, similar to IMAX,

31:03

>> an amazing product,

31:05

>> it's not doing well economically.

31:07

>> Yeah.

31:08

>> So, the idea or even the ultimate

31:11

sensory experience, the ultimate moment

31:13

of awe supposedly according to

31:14

astronauts is to go into space and see

31:16

the world

31:17

>> from another perspective. But guess

31:19

what? What's the first thing they want

31:20

to do after a week?

31:21

>> They want to get home.

31:23

>> Yeah. So what what I think I wish

31:26

technology was more focused on I hate

31:30

this notion that we need to colonize

31:31

Mars. No, the real genius here is

31:34

something that's going to make this

31:35

place a little bit more

31:36

habitable.

31:38

>> I'm in Tulum staring out at palm trees

31:40

and coconuts and the sand, the sugary

31:42

sand,

31:43

>> and I'm in awe and I'm comfortable

31:46

>> and this is the only universe I

31:48

want to be in.

31:48

>> Yeah. No, I know it's I've never wanted

31:50

to go to the space anyway. It it look

31:52

it's a disaster. Mark, you you were

31:53

wrong and Scott was right. That's all I

31:55

have to say. Speaking of scaling back,

31:57

OpenAI is scaling back on projects and

31:59

focusing on coding and business uh

32:01

users. Pressure for the change comes

32:02

from competitors like Anthropic, which

32:04

you and I have been talking about,

32:05

dominating the business AI market.

32:07

Employees also felt the company's do

32:09

everything strategy led to a lack of

32:11

focus. Speaking of which, uh, OpenAI

32:13

delayed the launch of the adult mode,

32:15

which would allow sexually explicit

32:16

conversations due to concerns from

32:18

advisers over mental health risks. You

32:20

think also of concern, an age prediction

32:22

system that has been mclassifying minors

32:24

as adults 12% of the time. The feature

32:26

which the company still plans to release

32:28

eventually would be text only. Um this

32:31

is all the influence of Fiji Simo uh who

32:33

is the um is is the new top executive

32:36

there. Very similar when Errol Schmidt

32:38

came to Google. They they were sort of

32:40

chaotic and did everything the two

32:42

founders Larry and Sergey. Um and then

32:44

they brought uh Eric in to really clean

32:46

it up. seems sort of basic this you know

32:49

this this executive but they do have

32:51

done made like a million stupid

32:53

announcements and it does remind one of

32:55

Google in that regard thoughts

32:58

>> you're exactly right it's remember when

33:00

Google was doing like trying to

33:01

cure death and then I I feel like Eric

33:04

brought in managerial competence and how

33:06

to scale an organization but Ruth Pat

33:09

showed up and said all right mom is home

33:11

>> fun time's over the dog's pregnant and

33:13

the garage is on fire I'm in charge now

33:15

>> y And this is the right move for open

33:18

AI. And that is and by the way, and this

33:22

will go to my prediction, Anthropic is

33:24

now worth more than OpenAI. I don't care

33:25

what the last mark is on a preferred

33:28

funding, but Anthropic has surged to 19

33:32

billion in annual recurring revenue up

33:34

from 14 billion just a couple weeks ago.

33:37

6 billion in AR was added just in

33:39

February. Open AI AR was 20 billion at

33:43

the end of 2025.

33:45

And here's the key. It's all about the

33:46

enterprise because they're the only ones

33:48

that are willing to make these huge

33:49

investments. And an and get this car

33:52

anthropic enterprise market share has

33:53

increased to 32% surpassing

33:57

OpenAI's 25%. And since 2023,

34:01

enterprise AI revenue has exploded from

34:04

1.7 billion

34:05

>> to 37 billion. Yeah, they've got to be

34:08

the open AI is really

34:09

>> and then the other the other the other

34:11

staggering statistic here that is why

34:13

open AI is focusing which is the right

34:16

thing to do

34:17

>> is anthropic is now capturing

34:20

>> three out of four new spending in

34:24

enterprise AI.

34:26

>> So they're getting 73% of all spending

34:28

among companies buying AI tools for the

34:30

first time.

34:31

>> Yeah.

34:32

>> And 10 weeks ago the split with open AI

34:34

was 5050. So get this

34:38

get this hag Seth

34:39

>> it was 6040 in open AI's favor as

34:42

recently as early December from so from

34:44

December to now it's gone from 6040 to

34:49

20 to 2773.

34:52

>> Yeah.

34:52

>> So they are they are literally losing

34:54

the enterprise market.

34:56

>> Yeah. So it's starting to feel like open

34:58

is Netscape not Google. Right. That's

35:00

how it

35:01

>> that's an interesting analogy you've

35:02

seen. I just I was there when Google was

35:04

the first bout of chaos was at the

35:06

beginning and there was you know there

35:08

was a cover of Fortune magazine chaos at

35:10

Google and of course Ruth also shut down

35:12

all their all manner they had so many

35:14

ridiculous they were doing and they

35:16

could do it just like Mark with with the

35:18

metaverse because they had all this

35:20

money but it was like dumb like it was

35:22

at the time when they would have you in

35:24

and I was always like this seems dumb

35:26

like why are you doing this like why

35:28

don't you stick with your business and

35:29

they just wanted to be more creative or

35:31

more something more interesting in some

35:33

fashion. But it's really interesting

35:35

because this is at a time when I think

35:37

you know anthropics been under pressure

35:40

from the government but in the end they

35:42

will soar and Pete Hagsath will be a you

35:45

know a a sad little footnote a sad

35:48

little drunken footnote in our history.

35:50

Um anyway we'll see what happens. Um

35:53

speaking of someone who won't be a

35:54

footnote I would say is Bob Iger stepped

35:56

down as Disney CEO again. Iger passed

35:59

the baton to his successor Josh Demorro

36:01

at Disney's annual shareholder meeting

36:03

this week. Tomorrow, a 28-year-old

36:05

veteran of the company, was most

36:06

recently head of Disney Experiences,

36:08

which includes parks, cruises, and

36:09

resorts. Iger is set to stay on as an

36:12

adviser and board member until the end

36:13

of 2026. Not very long. It's unclear

36:16

what he'll do after that. Before the

36:17

last time he left, he did a bunch of

36:19

advising and sailing around on a boat in

36:21

the South Seas. Um, uh, I last time he

36:24

retired, which I said he wasn't going to

36:26

stay retired, I asked him whether he

36:27

planned to get into politics. Let's

36:29

listen to what he told me in 2022.

36:32

Would you ever run for office?

36:34

>> Uh, I'm not planning to run for office.

36:36

>> That is that a no?

36:38

>> That's just what I said. I'm not.

36:39

>> Okay. All right. Fine. I think you are.

36:41

Um, so last thing. Um, you should I I

36:44

don't usually I usually do not tell

36:46

another white guy, "Oh, please run for

36:48

office. We don't have enough of you."

36:49

But I think you would be an excellent

36:51

because I think you'd be an excellent

36:52

politician because I don't think you

36:53

give a Uh anyway, I don't think

36:55

he's going to run for office. Actually,

36:57

I don't I can't imagine he's going to do

36:58

that. Um but what do you think his next

37:01

act will will be? Uh I mean, he

37:03

certainly had his ups and downs and the

37:05

stock has not reflected much of it.

37:07

Although I do think he did a lot around

37:09

digital. I think he did a lot around

37:10

streaming. Um I think he was a very good

37:14

CEO for much of his tenure and not so

37:16

good in other things. I think probably

37:18

the Fox purchase is one people point to

37:20

as being problematic, but in general,

37:23

pretty good tenure. Um, especially

37:25

around streaming. I I think that he made

37:27

those moves. Um, what do you think his

37:29

next act should be?

37:30

>> Hit the golf course and enjoy his life.

37:32

And I I would call challenge on his

37:34

tenure, Cara, because

37:35

>> Okay.

37:36

>> The last 10 years have been the most

37:38

prosperous in the history of the world

37:40

for American companies, and his stock is

37:42

below where it was 10 years ago. And at

37:44

the end of the day, as a CEO,

37:46

>> that's your what you're evaluated.

37:47

That's your kind of metrics 1, two, and

37:49

three. He quite frankly, he really

37:52

up. He's the guy who went to

37:54

Vietnam, completed his tour honorably,

37:56

came home with medals pinned to his

37:57

chest. He could be a viable candidate

38:00

for the Democratic nomination right now,

38:02

but he's more he looks less like Mark

38:04

Cuban and more like Cheryl Samberg.

38:06

>> And that is his second tenure. First

38:09

off, he was heckling from the cheap

38:10

seats. He left and never really left the

38:12

room, but convinced the board, as far as

38:14

I can tell, to fire the new guy and put

38:16

me back in like some returning hero. And

38:18

he has had huge wins in his face. But

38:22

Disney has become

38:24

Disney has gone from being probably the

38:26

most iconic company in the creative

38:28

community. To a certain extent, it

38:29

represents what's happened to the

38:30

creative community. And that is distinct

38:32

of how incredible it is and their great

38:35

IP and their great creativity. It's been

38:37

bad for shareholders and it's probably

38:39

been a difficult place to work the last

38:41

10 years. And he did he did make a lot

38:44

of the right moves. He launched a

38:46

streaming network. He invested in the

38:47

parks. But at the end of the day, his

38:50

last 10 years, there was a there was

38:52

never a clear succession path. He

38:54

started to feel a little bit like I

38:56

forget the name of that guy at City CR

38:58

that anytime someone got near him, got

39:00

shot in the head. So he leaves. He's

39:04

very likable. He's very smooth. Had he

39:07

stayed away and then just let someone

39:10

else run with it, I think he'd probably

39:12

be a cabinet member, maybe even by, you

39:15

know, in the next administration at a

39:17

minimum. Now he's Now he's the guy that

39:21

quite frankly took Disney. I he he

39:25

didn't take the stock anywhere. I get

39:26

that. I I understand. I think doing the

39:28

streaming stuff was critical to its

39:30

future and he definitely pushed that

39:31

through. Like I I was there watching. I

39:33

mean, he made a number of dumb digital

39:35

moves over the years. They kept changing

39:36

Disney Bu a Vista when he I mean, I was

39:39

I wrote stories on every one of them and

39:41

but I do think directionally very few

39:44

people leaned into digital and streaming

39:46

the way he did, right? And I think

39:47

>> Oh, I don't know. I would argue Netflix

39:49

leaned in.

39:49

>> Well, Netflix, of course. No, no. Yes.

39:51

No, they should have bought Netflix when

39:52

they had the chance and they everybody

39:54

had the chance at one point, but yeah,

39:56

you're right. Netflix was in the in the

39:58

right position. But you are dragging

40:00

around a legacy organization makes makes

40:02

it very hard

40:03

>> a legacy organization that had the

40:05

world's best IP. I mean

40:07

>> Netflix so okay so Disney in the last 10

40:12

years has market returns of of zero and

40:18

Netflix is up four I'm sorry it's up

40:23

600%. Yeah. Yep.

40:26

>> Granted, the other studios have not

40:28

fared any better,

40:30

>> right?

40:30

>> But with that IP, with the Parks or Cash

40:34

Flow,

40:36

>> Yeah. Look, Bob, what's the lesson here?

40:41

The lesson is the following, and I think

40:43

about this a lot. Mhm.

40:44

>> It is very hard to pull off the ultimate

40:48

gangster move for your brand when you're

40:49

in a position of power and you're doing

40:51

well, and that is to leave the party too

40:54

early.

40:56

Um, and that is people have a tendency

40:59

when they're doing well and they're so

41:01

iconic as Bob Iger is and was to think

41:04

to just stay too long.

41:06

>> Yeah.

41:06

>> You want to leave the stage while people

41:08

are clapping. You want to leave a party

41:10

10 minutes too early. You want to leave

41:11

the Vanity Fair Oscar party at midnight,

41:14

not at 4:00 a.m. when you're wandering

41:15

around alone. And it's clear Emily

41:16

Rodikowski is not going to speak to you.

41:19

>> Was she there?

41:21

>> By the way, at one point I was sitting

41:23

at the bar.

41:23

>> We didn't talk about this cuz you were

41:24

blabbing away to all your other

41:26

>> I was sitting at the bar, no joke, in

41:28

between John Ham, who's quite handsome,

41:31

and Jacob Allerty, who is even more

41:33

handsome and much taller.

41:35

>> Yeah. Emily started walking towards the

41:37

bar and all I could think of is there's

41:39

no way she's coming to me right

41:40

now. Yeah. No way. I'm like

41:43

>> I'm like the price is right.

41:45

>> This is the real Emily. You saw her.

41:48

>> Oh yeah. Trust me. I saw her.

41:50

>> Okay.

41:51

>> Uh yeah. By the way, she looks she looks

41:53

pretty good. She looks pretty.

41:55

>> So wait, what happened? Wait, the I I

41:57

only want the Ratikowski part. Go ahead.

42:00

>> Nothing. She did. She just walked up and

42:01

had a drink. And at some point I'm like,

42:02

I I want to be the professor, not the

42:05

stalker.

42:06

>> So, uh, but my favorite moment is

42:08

>> You didn't say hello.

42:09

>> I'm too intimidated.

42:11

>> Oh my god.

42:12

>> I said hi to I said hi to Morin Dow and

42:15

Caitlyn Collins. Those are my friends.

42:16

>> I saw that.

42:18

>> Those are That's who I hang out with.

42:19

And the Smartless guys. Those guys are

42:21

fun. I like those guys.

42:22

>> Those are fun.

42:23

>> And they they're like they feel sorry.

42:24

The only people that come up to me are

42:26

like think of me as an intellect. They

42:27

think, "Oh, it's so cute. They have a

42:29

professor here. Let's go be nice to him.

42:31

That's our charity for the night. And

42:33

everybody comes up to me and says, I

42:34

have sons and I very much appreciate

42:36

your work. And then they say, oh, can I

42:37

meet, you know, can can can I meet Jud

42:40

Appatile now? I mean, I'm convinced half

42:43

the people half the people talking to me

42:46

>> Yeah.

42:46

>> were checking themselves out in the

42:48

reflection of my glasses.

42:49

>> Oh no.

42:51

>> I can't believe you didn't speak to

42:52

Emily Rat.

42:53

>> By the way, that party.

42:55

>> Yeah.

42:55

>> Vanity Fair.

42:56

>> Yeah.

42:57

>> Those people are geniuses. I'm going to

42:59

subscribe twice. Okay. The the the

43:02

environment they pulled together that

43:03

night.

43:04

>> Yeah. It's nice. It's a nice part.

43:05

>> I would I think it's the most

43:06

aspirational environment I've ever been

43:08

in in my life. I just couldn't get over

43:10

the wardrobe, the environment, the food,

43:13

the vibe.

43:13

>> You've always done a good job.

43:14

>> I just saw it uh the new editor in

43:17

Unbelievable.

43:18

>> Mark. Yeah.

43:19

>> Yeah. Mark just is an amazing handsome

43:21

guy, too.

43:22

>> Yeah. I have to say they've always had a

43:24

good party. They they've been good at

43:25

that under under all their different

43:27

editors. I think it's been

43:28

>> And I got to hang out with Larry David.

43:29

It's like angry meet depressed.

43:30

Depressed meet angry.

43:31

>> Oh my god, you look alike. What

43:33

happened? Was there like a moment?

43:35

>> Larry and I are friends now.

43:37

>> Oh, you're friends.

43:37

>> We totally got along. Okay. All right.

43:39

>> Yeah, we hit it off. And by the way, the

43:41

Larry David Show is really the David

43:43

Larry David Show. He's like, that's

43:45

exactly who he is.

43:47

>> He's like, what's the point of an Oscar?

43:48

He just starts into a and you're

43:50

like, okay, here we are.

43:51

>> He has a new show that looks hysterical

43:53

that he did with the Obamas about

43:54

history.

43:55

>> My very lovely wife, too. Anyways, I

43:57

very much

43:58

>> I don't know. Was Bob Iger there?

44:01

Because it was

44:02

>> I did not see Bob. I did not sense a

44:04

Kashmir sweater or tuxedo anywhere.

44:06

>> Uh but the thing is you walk in and they

44:09

like do you want to do a red carpet in

44:10

Morningington? It's like I'm not doing a

44:11

red carpet. I'm like I am so doing the

44:13

red carpet and they have

44:14

>> Yeah. So you had

44:15

>> hundreds of photographers and there's

44:17

three X's and I guess you're supposed to

44:20

go to one X.

44:21

>> Yeah.

44:21

>> And take pictures.

44:23

>> Yeah.

44:23

>> I didn't know that. So, I go to the

44:24

first X and they're like, "Hello,

44:26

professor and they're all nice." And I'm

44:28

like, "Now I'm going to go to the second

44:29

X and sit here and pose.

44:30

>> Get the out of here."

44:31

>> And then I go to the third X and by the

44:32

time I got to the third X, I realized

44:34

everyone's like, "What the is this

44:35

guy doing?"

44:38

>> And one of the one of the photographers

44:40

just out of a moment of like feeling

44:41

sorry for me, kind of waved me along.

44:43

He's like, "You're supposed to go to

44:44

just one X."

44:45

>> And I turned red. I'm a bad celebrity.

44:48

>> Oh my god. Can I ask you one question?

44:49

Did you see Jeff Bezos? He was there

44:51

looking.

44:52

>> I saw him with Lauren. I thought they

44:53

looked great. I don't

44:54

>> No, I didn't. I thought they

44:55

>> I don't mind Jeff's midlife crisis. I'm

44:58

here for it.

44:58

>> I know. But did you say hello?

45:00

>> I said hello to all three of them. I

45:01

mean, I said Yeah. No. No. I said hello.

45:04

>> Um I did not. I'm tell I'm intimidated.

45:07

Unless people come up to me, I'm

45:08

intimidated. I don't like

45:10

>> gone and said Carara says hello. That

45:11

that in that one you could have done

45:13

that.

45:13

>> That's like hi. My rich father knows

45:16

you. I just don't want to do that. I

45:17

don't know.

45:18

>> He doesn't like me. I would be bad. He

45:19

would

45:20

>> I literally freaked out at about

45:21

midnight. And I'm like, this is the best

45:23

party of my life. I need to go home and

45:25

take a Xanax and just recover from all

45:26

the I feel like a kid who candy store

45:29

for 8 hours.

45:30

>> Did you? I can't believe my only note is

45:32

I can't believe you didn't say hello to

45:34

Emily Ratowski. You're a loser. You're a

45:36

loser. Anyway, Bob Iger's next act very

45:39

quickly.

45:40

>> He'll go on a couple boards and he'll

45:42

enjoy his life and he deserves to do all

45:43

of this. Hang out with his lovely wife

45:46

and speak at USC's film school.

45:48

>> He's got to do something else. I think

45:49

it's something else. Let me tell you,

45:50

when he was

45:51

>> Bob is 74, 73.

45:53

>> He is in really good shape. When he

45:55

looks really good, when he was in the

45:56

last one, he texted me far too much. And

45:58

I was like, I think you need to do

45:59

something else cuz I think he's got

46:01

another thing in him. I don't know what

46:02

it is.

46:03

>> I know. He's 75. Yeah.

46:04

>> Yeah. He could be in the cabinet. He

46:06

could be in a

46:07

>> Well, what is that? 77

46:10

head. Yeah.

46:11

>> Could be the head. Could he be the

46:12

commerce secretary? I don't know.

46:13

>> I don't know. He probably doesn't want

46:14

to. What do you need that for

46:16

anyway? If he wants to help people,

46:18

>> ambassador to France and throw amazing

46:19

parties at like the the US residents.

46:23

>> That's perfect. Ambassador to France.

46:25

Let's do it. Bob, we're going to send

46:26

you to France. Anyway, let's go on a

46:28

quick break. When we come back, we'll

46:30

talk about Khi facing criminal charges.

46:32

Your favorite groups of people there,

46:34

Scott.

46:36

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47:35

Scott, we're back with more news. Kelshi

47:37

is facing criminal charges in Arizona

47:39

where prosecutors say the prediction

47:40

market platform illegally let people bet

47:42

without a gambling license. Keli says

47:44

the charges are meritless and said they

47:46

should be regulated federally rather

47:47

than by individual states. The case is

47:49

the first criminal prosecution against a

47:51

prediction market company. It's more to

47:52

come. I actually when I was at South by

47:54

South met met with the California

47:56

Attorney General who today um did a

47:59

lawsuit uh one of the lawsuits against

48:01

the Nextar um the Nextar whatever that

48:05

ridiculous merger was. Um in any case

48:08

this is the states have been regulating

48:10

gambling for year like forever for

48:12

decades. So it's not meritless. Um so

48:15

what what do you think does this because

48:17

what was interesting another story

48:19

popped up which I found fascinating.

48:20

Times of Israel reporter received death

48:22

threats from gamblers on poly market

48:24

after reporting an Iranian missile

48:26

strike that affected a high stakes

48:27

prediction market bet. Some betters

48:28

tried to pressure him to change the

48:30

story so the market would resolve in

48:32

their favor. And let me just say it feel

48:35

this is a topic people are really

48:36

interested in. I'll read an email from

48:38

one of our listeners. I'm a journalist

48:39

and a fan of the show. I don't

48:41

understand why I'm hearing Kelie

48:42

percentages cited during the show as

48:44

it's anything. It's people guessing. I

48:46

think it's more harmful than helpful.

48:47

That's you doing it, Scott. I don't do

48:48

that. I agree with you. Um what do you

48:50

think about these markets shifting from

48:52

predicting events to actively

48:54

influencing them in certain given the

48:56

gaming part easily gamed uh unregulated

49:01

bad actors it is gambling um and

49:04

gambling is very well regulated. So what

49:07

do you think about that?

49:08

>> I think there's some truth to all of

49:10

that. I I'm this is one of those things

49:11

I'm hugely conflicted by because I am

49:13

absolutely fascinated with the data

49:15

where I would push back on the listener

49:18

is oh no this data is incredibly

49:20

insightful

49:22

um the wisdom this is the wisdom of

49:23

crowds this is this does illuminate

49:26

whenever I'm looking at political races

49:29

whenever I'm looking at interest rate

49:31

movements I go to I go to

49:32

>> a trailing indicator you don't think

49:34

it's a trailing indicator

49:35

>> it's pretty much up to date and the

49:36

thing about money and the thing about

49:38

looking at Typically the people who did

49:41

this stuff were were academics,

49:43

economists or an investment banking

49:46

analyst. All of them are conflicted. All

49:48

of them want to catastrophize because it

49:50

makes us look smarter. All of us have

49:51

third party influences. Nothing is more

49:54

amoral and pure than money. It just when

49:58

someone bets on something, it really

50:01

shows you what they really think is

50:02

going to happen. And if you look at it's

50:05

these comp these speculative markets,

50:07

speculation markets or prediction

50:08

markets have essentially put pollsters

50:10

into a certain extent investment banking

50:12

analysts out of work because guess what?

50:14

They're much

50:14

>> kind of I I would push back on that. I

50:16

just met with a bunch of pollsters on

50:17

this topic, but go ahead.

50:18

>> In my opinion, they're done. They if you

50:20

look at if you look at if you look at

50:21

the prediction markets record versus

50:24

pollsters in the last election, the

50:26

prediction markets kicked their ass.

50:28

Absolutely. I love the data. I am

50:32

swimming in the data. It's one of the

50:33

first things I do before I get on a show

50:36

is I look at I look at Cali data. Cal

50:40

I'm totally conflicted because at the

50:42

same time

50:43

>> Mhm.

50:44

>> there's a really good argument that this

50:45

is just gambling. Now what

50:48

>> what's happening is they're being

50:49

charged with four counts of election

50:50

wagering.

50:52

>> Um is the the debate is over the

50:55

fundamental definition of gambling

50:57

versus event contracts. and Arizona

50:59

charges claim that putting money on a

51:01

contingent future event or occurrence is

51:03

illegal. But at the same time, Car, if

51:05

that's true, then traditional options

51:09

would be illegal. And that here's the

51:12

problem or the issue.

51:15

Gambling and tapping into a prefrontal

51:19

cortex, an immature prefrontal cortex

51:21

that is dopah hungry and susceptible,

51:25

uh, in some ways there's just no getting

51:26

around it. feels predatory

51:28

and unhealthy. So what do you do? Do you

51:31

infantilize? I think Khi is trying to be

51:33

the the clean the cleanest best lit

51:36

place of this. They're not doing

51:38

contracts on things like war

51:40

>> whereas Poly Market is off offshore and

51:43

Kelsey is trying to get licensed by the

51:45

same people who license the options

51:47

exchange.

51:49

>> But I I want to hear what you think. I

51:52

have no more clarity around.

51:53

>> I think the states have been regulating

51:55

gambling forever. So I think that's

51:56

nonsense that they should if this if

51:58

gambling is going on they need to it's

52:00

it reminds me

52:01

>> they're approving it. They're approving

52:02

it everywhere

52:03

>> proving it in different places.

52:05

>> States have been approving gambling all

52:08

over the place.

52:08

>> They are but so they need to be

52:09

regulated in the same way. Like it's

52:11

it's my thing with everything. It's like

52:12

if open is giving legal, medical or

52:16

psychological advice, they need to be

52:18

subject to the same rules people are

52:20

right the same everybody. Like I I was

52:23

in Vegas for a second. I have to tell

52:24

you you're absolutely right. It's dead.

52:26

Vegas is dead. Like I

52:27

>> You need to be in Vegas. Vegas is in

52:28

your pocket.

52:29

>> That's right. I was like I literally

52:30

like Oh my god, Scott was right. It was

52:32

so freaky to be in Vegas without people.

52:34

It felt like I was in like Plurabus,

52:36

right? It was so weird. And you could

52:39

feel the the innovation of a place that

52:41

is just with these big rooms and the

52:44

casinos empty. It's weird. And so it's

52:47

it's definitely hurting businesses,

52:48

right? these kind of things, whether

52:50

it's sports betting online or this kind

52:52

of thing, there's they need to be

52:54

regulated the same way everybody else

52:56

is. And and states have every right to

52:58

do this. This is this is not and maybe

53:01

there should be federal gambling laws,

53:02

but there haven't been really.

53:04

>> I think that would be good. I think they

53:05

would want that. I think they want some

53:06

regulation.

53:07

>> Yes.

53:07

>> But let me ask you let me ask you a more

53:10

old tech company said, "Oh, we please

53:11

bring us regulation."

53:12

>> I think I actually think they're I think

53:14

they're I think they would actually

53:16

please bring us regulation.

53:18

Let me ask you this. You have sons.

53:20

>> I think about this a lot. Let's be

53:22

clear, much of this is gambling.

53:25

>> Yeah.

53:25

>> Uh and and it and but at the same time,

53:28

do you infantilize children? And I I I

53:31

know firsthand as someone who

53:32

appreciates data. There is real value in

53:36

this data.

53:37

>> There is. It can also be easily gained.

53:40

So easily

53:41

in it. There's a lot of potential for

53:43

insider trading. But the more liquid

53:45

markets, people are more greedy. Anyway,

53:48

huge potential for insider trading. I

53:49

get it. But let me ask you this.

53:51

>> Mhm.

53:52

>> Do you think it should be they should be

53:54

put out of business, regulated, or let

53:56

to just run free?

53:58

>> Regulated.

53:58

>> And what does that mean?

54:00

>> I'm not sure. I'm not I'm not an expert

54:01

on this, but I feel like how are g I

54:03

want to know how gambling things are

54:05

regulated and how

54:06

>> age getting to 21 would be one good

54:08

start, right?

54:10

>> Possibly. Yes. 21. It's interesting.

54:12

Yes. Yes. Yes. actually on certain

54:14

parts, other parts it's fine. But yes,

54:16

agegating would be one thing and it's

54:18

not infantilizing. We do it all the time

54:21

with with with real businesses. And so

54:24

what

54:25

>> foreign, alcohol, military,

54:26

>> what upsets me is we're different. All

54:29

it's the same it's the same song and

54:31

dance from all internet companies. We're

54:33

different. We don't deserve the same.

54:35

And they get unfair advantage here. Um

54:38

as to

54:38

>> who gets unfair advantage.

54:40

>> These these these markets get unfair

54:41

advantage. It made me very

54:44

uncomfortable, for example, when uh CNN

54:47

and others sign deals with them because

54:49

I'm like because I don't think they know

54:50

how to use them properly. That's the

54:52

other thing. It can be so

54:54

>> it's not reporting like it's not it's

54:56

some it's an indicator. It's a data

54:58

point, but it's not I guess I don't like

55:01

them doing polls either. So, I guess I I

55:04

just I find it very weak and it can be

55:06

very influential in a way. And so I just

55:09

feel like it it it obviously needs to

55:11

have some regulatory thing with my sons.

55:13

They don't actually they're not they're

55:14

not big bettors. I don't I'm not I don't

55:17

know why. I mean I I get that why like I

55:19

was in Vegas for two days and I didn't

55:21

bet once. Like I was like I walked right

55:23

through the casinos. But that's me. Um

55:25

but I just feel like it's the death

55:27

threat. This reporter thing was a really

55:29

interesting thing. Like this this has

55:31

implications that have been around since

55:34

the dawn of time. The these and and they

55:36

think they're different. And so how I

55:38

think we need to have more transparency

55:40

into how they're doing things. I think

55:42

they should have you know they shouldn't

55:44

bet on deaths like I mean they they

55:46

shouldn't be I don't know if we should

55:48

make them not do it or if you say okay

55:51

you're going to do that.

55:52

>> Yeah. But to be fair I do think Cali has

55:54

said we're not going to we're not going

55:56

to create markets and things like war

55:58

that might involve an incentive that

56:00

might involve death or

56:01

>> geopolitical. That's the kind of stuff

56:03

but there's going to be someone who's

56:04

going to. So maybe we need some laws,

56:07

right? Anyway, we we have to move on.

56:09

It's a really interesting it's a

56:10

developing situation, but I think it's

56:12

in every state's rights to do this. So

56:14

Ky should stop being so like high-handed

56:16

with them. Of course, they're going to

56:17

come in. It's affecting things. So um

56:20

this is exactly why the government

56:21

should come in in some fashion. At least

56:23

think about it, have hearings, talk

56:24

about it, and and let's discuss the

56:26

things. Um just before we finish, this

56:29

is the last thing. Uber plans to invest

56:31

$1.2 $2 billion in Rivian as part of a

56:33

deal to deploy 50,000 robo taxis. I

56:36

recently spoke with uh Rivian founder

56:38

and CEO RJ Scaring on on with Care

56:41

Swisser. I also saw him for an extended

56:43

amount of time at South by Southwest.

56:45

Let's listen to a clip where he talked

56:47

about self-driving.

56:48

>> If you're a customer and you have a

56:49

choice of I can buy a car for 35 $40,000

56:52

and it can, you know, drop me at the

56:54

airport, it can go to the grocery store

56:55

to pick up, you know, stuff for me. It

56:58

can drop a friend at a house. it can do

57:00

all those things or a car that doesn't

57:02

do that. It's it's going to be very

57:04

binary where I think there'll be very

57:06

few people that will self- select to say

57:09

I don't want those features. Even folks

57:11

who are not comfortable with the idea of

57:13

self-driving once you experience it one

57:14

or two times.

57:15

>> It does. I try to say that to everybody.

57:17

>> It's so sticky because you get your time

57:19

back. Suddenly you can be reading a book

57:21

on your phone. It's it's just so sticky.

57:23

>> I my one way of convincing one person

57:26

I'm like who likes to party. I'm like,

57:28

you can you can text and drink.

57:30

>> I don't know what to say. There's my

57:32

that's my sale for you. I think that was

57:34

you I was talking about. Um it was

57:36

really it was super interesting. I think

57:38

it's a real blow again to Tesla. Um and

57:40

I I I drove the Rivian 2 at um South by

57:43

Southwest. I also they have a really

57:45

nifty bike called Also, which I liked a

57:48

lot. Um I really like the Rivian. I I

57:51

think he's interesting. I think he's a

57:53

great spokesperson for this stuff. Um,

57:56

and they're wonderful. It's a wonderful

57:58

I may buy one. I may buy an R2 um

58:00

because I was super impressed with it.

58:02

Um, in any case, it's a really

58:04

interesting um move by Uber who needs to

58:06

get into this business and uh and uh and

58:09

it's a good thing for Rivian who, you

58:11

know, it's a tough struggle to get these

58:13

cars to get a car company going. Um,

58:15

your thoughts on Rivian?

58:17

>> I I think it's a win-win. I I think it's

58:20

uh Rivian is subscale. Automobile

58:22

platforms cost so many billions to

58:23

produce. I think Rivian has done as good

58:25

a job as anyone. I'm moving when I move

58:28

back to the US. I'm going to if I buy a

58:31

car and I've really enjoyed not having a

58:33

car for four years, I'm probably going

58:34

to buy a Rivian.

58:36

>> The two is nice. It's smaller.

58:37

>> I was one of those people that put 5,000

58:39

bucks down on it like five, six years

58:41

ago and never took delivery of it. By

58:43

the way, I should probably look into

58:44

that.

58:45

>> Um, new couch market. What's the

58:48

likelihood that Scott gets gets his

58:49

money back?

58:50

>> I I think this is they're there. Look,

58:52

Tesla's missed a real opportunity here

58:54

again and again and again, but I don't

58:55

think he cares about the cars anymore,

58:56

does he? I mean, he he was introducing a

58:58

a cyber cab that doesn't exist and isn't

59:01

being used anywhere. I mean, think

59:03

between Whimo and Rivian, I think

59:04

they've sort of ran around.

59:05

>> But let me It's also very one,

59:09

>> they need more scale. So, this is a

59:11

great win for Rivian. to I think one of

59:14

the biggest brand enhancements is to be

59:16

known like there are few brands that

59:19

have fallen further faster in the last

59:20

20 years and made shittier cars than

59:22

Jaguar. This is one of the great the one

59:25

of the great British brands in history.

59:27

The design and the and the cars the last

59:30

20 years have just been remarkably

59:31

uninspiring.

59:33

Now the best brand move in my opinion of

59:35

Jaguar is they have been um the car of

59:38

choice that I've seen for

59:41

>> Whimos. Yes, they are.

59:42

>> So immediately it's like, "Oh, Jaguar is

59:45

the kind of the Pepsi generation new

59:48

cool car." I didn't even know what the I

59:50

I had to look. I I didn't even recognize

59:52

the car. That's a Jaguar.

59:54

>> So it's Brand enhancing for Rubian. It

59:56

gives them all sorts of scale.

59:58

>> And also what people have

60:01

underappreciated is that the biggest

60:03

winner, the obvious biggest winner in

60:06

autonomous, regardless of all the

60:08

press releases, people realize

60:10

it's not Tesla. It's likely Whimo. They

60:12

have the capital. They're miles ahead of

60:13

everyone. They have exponentially more

60:16

miles under their under their under

60:18

their belt in terms of testing this. But

60:20

there's an outside shot that the biggest

60:23

winner here

60:24

>> Mhm.

60:25

>> is going to be Uber

60:26

>> because when you control

60:28

>> sort of like the apple. See, they're

60:29

sort of like the apple.

60:31

>> I love we always used in consulting we

60:33

always used to the term use the term

60:35

custody of the consumer. My first client

60:38

was Levi Strauss company and they were

60:39

always complaining about J C Penney and

60:41

Sears. I'm like, "Yeah, but they have

60:42

custody of the consumer. You need to

60:43

open your own stores. You need to go

60:45

vertical to control the relationship

60:46

with the consumer."

60:48

>> In the US, Uber has 75% market share.

60:52

They're basically a monopoly.

60:54

>> Yeah. Der is a very effective.

60:56

>> And so what they can do is they can say

60:58

they can push up an icon saying, "Why do

61:00

you need to download the Whimo or the

61:02

Tesla app? Just click here for

61:04

driverless." Yeah, they could also do

61:06

deals with Whimo too by

61:08

>> and they can play them off against each

61:09

other. They can find the company that

61:11

wants to work with them the most and get

61:13

market share the same way Apple

61:15

>> You could also use Uber to summon Whimo

61:17

if you I mean think why not like why not

61:19

>> my point. Yeah. And then take a take a

61:22

large margin. So what did Apple do?

61:24

Because they controlled custody of the

61:26

billion wealthiest people in the world

61:28

through UI and people don't want to

61:29

learn a new app. They extract $20

61:32

billion a year from Alphabet to be to

61:34

make to make Google the default search

61:37

engine.

61:37

>> Uber's in a position to extract

61:39

extraordinary deals around autonomous

61:42

>> and make it and say to people, "Oh yeah,

61:44

you want autonomous? No problem. Here's

61:46

the Uber app

61:47

>> you love." And so I I look Whimo,

61:51

>> it's going to be interesting.

61:52

Autonomous. I think I think one of the

61:54

places that AI actually comes to

61:55

fruition and exceeds our expectations is

61:57

around autonomous.

61:58

>> I agree. The question is, what's

62:01

interesting is

62:02

>> two of the biggest winners hands down

62:04

>> are going to be Uber and Whimo. And I

62:07

wouldn't be surprised if Uber is in fact

62:09

the biggest winner because they have

62:11

custody of the consumer.

62:12

>> Yeah. Ultimately, I've been a big, as

62:14

you know, a big proponent of of

62:16

self-driving in a safe mode. I I will

62:18

tell you, I would never get in a Tesla

62:20

given I had a long talk with with R.J.

62:23

about, you know, I think he's he's more

62:25

on you don't need this many points of

62:27

safety, but he put them on there anyway,

62:29

right? And so compared to Elon who's

62:32

like, I just have one camera with the

62:33

guy in the back. Like I feel so unsafe

62:35

in Teslas in that regard. Um, and I

62:38

think the way Whimo's done it is

62:40

correct, but you're right. Uber's in in

62:41

a very they could have been it could

62:43

have been easily sidelined by all these

62:45

companies but they have they I always

62:47

used to say they have the reservation

62:48

system and that and you're right it's

62:51

the chain of custody and and you do

62:52

trust Uber what a brand I mean I know

62:55

Travis Kalan is trying to come back in

62:56

this sector but I got to say DAR took

62:59

that company and really made it into one

63:01

like you know you know what is

63:03

comparatively

63:03

>> really been eye opening for me and it

63:05

goes to something you said that's always

63:06

really resonated with me and that is

63:08

>> the thing about tech executives They're

63:10

traditionally white males who went to

63:12

elite schools, raised in wealthy

63:14

families. And when you never been a

63:16

victim, it's difficult to understand

63:19

victimization. That's always struck me

63:20

that like until I walk in those shoes,

63:23

you don't. And you know what women say

63:25

to me that I it makes so much sense. I

63:27

just never realized it. I get into an

63:30

Uber, the driver doesn't usually doesn't

63:32

talk to me. I don't want to talk to him.

63:34

And I know that sounds terrible. I just

63:35

don't I don't want to talk. I want to be

63:36

on my phone. Every woman I've talked to

63:39

says when they get in an Uber, the Uber

63:41

driver tries to chat her up.

63:44

>> And it's not me, but Yes. Yes.

63:46

>> Well, it's uncomfortable, especially if

63:49

you talk to young women.

63:51

>> Mhm.

63:51

>> And they don't. And you know who's

63:53

really used loves Whimo is women.

63:56

>> Women. They do. Or else you can also now

63:57

on Uber, by the way, uh request a woman.

64:01

>> Um there's a they they've done a great

64:03

job. Let me tell you, Dar goes for I

64:05

don't agree with on everything. I think

64:06

sometimes he can be a little too

64:07

compromisy with terrible people. I think

64:09

he knows it. He's a great He's a great

64:12

CEO. He's done a great job here.

64:14

>> All right. Uh, one more quick break.

64:16

We'll be back for predictions.

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65:31

Okay, Scott, let's hear a prediction.

65:32

Can I just start very quickly? Of

65:34

course. I predict this mega micro penis

65:37

war is going to get worse. And I am here

65:39

for it. Do you know about this? Right.

65:42

Megan Kelly said Mark Levin had a microp

65:44

penis and then President Trump defended

65:47

his micropenis and then Marjorie Taylor

65:49

Green came in with a micropenis and

65:52

Megan Kelly's doubling down on it. It's

65:54

completely crude and awful and repulsive

65:56

and I think it's going to get a lot

65:58

worse and I'm very pleased. Thank you.

66:02

>> Yeah, that's my prediction.

66:02

>> No, I I I don't I don't I think it's

66:04

inappropriate to talk about man's

66:06

genitalia. Um, by the way, I was at a

66:09

stall last night and a guy looked over

66:11

and he said, "Circumcised?" And I said,

66:13

"Nope, that's just the wear and tear."

66:16

>> Oh my god, you've told that joke before.

66:19

I'm going to start clocking your penis.

66:21

By the way,

66:22

>> I'm not going to say Adam Grant, but

66:23

Adam Grant said, "You got to cut back on

66:25

the penis strokes, the party you missed,

66:26

cuz you wrote the

66:27

>> Oh, my nemesis."

66:28

>> Yes. Your nemesis was like

66:30

>> the more successful version of Scott

66:31

Galloway.

66:32

>> He's doing a podcast on the Vox Media

66:34

Podcast Network with uh with Bnee Brown,

66:36

the two of them. They're trying to be

66:37

the nice version of Scott and Cara, I

66:39

think. Um and he was he commented on

66:42

your penis drugs and I said and I

66:43

literally Scott I I said I love them. I

66:47

defended you so hard.

66:48

>> I appreciate that. And I was like,

66:50

"People love them." And he's like,

66:51

"Yeah, but do you think it's the right

66:52

thing?" I go, "It's the right thing. I'm

66:55

no matter how much my brain

66:56

>> That's right. I don't want to be wrong."

66:57

And then also also I want to be a little

67:00

bent to the left. Um

67:02

>> anyway, just congratulations

67:04

and Adam on

67:05

>> It's a condition. I'm a special needs

67:08

person.

67:09

>> Anyway,

67:09

>> it's a condition. Don't penis. I'm here

67:11

for now. talking about mic. Sorry, Adam,

67:14

but micro penis work cracks me the

67:16

up and I'm I'm here for it and I hope

67:18

more to come and I think I think we're

67:20

not done with the micro penis.

67:22

>> I got to be I love it when they were

67:23

with each other because one of the

67:24

things I don't like about the Democratic

67:26

party

67:27

>> is that I find for the most part when I

67:30

just went on this great podcast PBR PB

67:34

this really lovely guy. He's a

67:35

conservative out of Fort Lauderdale.

67:37

>> Oh, you want the guy that guy? Mhm.

67:39

>> Oh, I like him. I thought he was nice.

67:40

Um anyways, um

67:44

the thing I find generally speaking

67:45

about Republicans is they're like, "Oh,

67:47

you want to be a Republican? Come on

67:48

in."

67:49

>> Uh and when you say, "Oh, I want to be a

67:51

pro progressive." It's like, "We'll

67:53

see."

67:55

>> I feel like we apply way more Sarah.

67:58

There's a new Democrat in town. But go

68:00

ahead.

68:01

>> If you don't choose the right words, if

68:02

you don't hold the gun correctly, let's

68:04

court marshall you and hang you.

68:06

>> It's the right that's doing it now. But

68:08

go ahead. No, they're you know what this

68:09

is? This is a bunch of podcasters who

68:13

know the algorithm, the more fights they

68:15

get into and the more incendiary they

68:16

are.

68:16

>> I suppose you're right.

68:17

>> You know, Candace Owens makes a living

68:19

off of saying really vile things because

68:22

the algorithms and the reason our nation

68:24

is being torn apart at the seams is

68:26

there's now a financial incentive in

68:28

being vile and incendiary. The

68:30

algorithms love it. In a world where

68:32

there were editors and fact checkers and

68:34

more reasonable people saying is that a

68:37

reasonable thing we want to print? She

68:39

would be nowhere or anyway. So I

68:43

I don't I love it when these guys fight

68:46

but at the end of the day it's it's it's

68:48

indicative of a bigger problem and that

68:51

is our media our overlords

68:54

are algorithms deciding that this is

68:57

news.

68:57

>> Oh, you're so good. I don't care. I like

68:59

the micro penis. Anyway, I defended you

69:01

to Adam Grant on the page. I appreciate

69:03

that. All right.

69:04

>> I tell you, other than academic

69:05

credibility and talent and higher IQ,

69:08

that that dude has nothing on me.

69:09

>> That dude has nothing on. Do you know he

69:11

was a diver in college?

69:13

>> Even better.

69:13

>> He was a diver.

69:14

>> Yeah.

69:15

>> All his sort of like, you know, his

69:18

tweets about, you know, characters doing

69:21

the right thing when no one's looking.

69:22

Oh, you.

69:23

>> All right, move along.

69:25

>> Adam Grant, you and Bnee Brown.

69:28

thoughtfulness and deep

69:29

>> interest. Poundforound, they're better

69:31

people than us, but that's okay.

69:32

>> Well, that's that's Bern's obvious.

69:35

>> I love that, Bnee. Anyway,

69:37

>> I want to be I like them both and Adam

69:39

is a friend, so I I trust he's taking us

69:41

all in just

69:42

>> I hope so. One would assume. Maybe

69:44

they'll discuss it on their new show.

69:46

Maybe we should have a Rumble with them.

69:47

>> I think we could be evil twins. I think

69:49

with his intellect and my I don't know,

69:52

my something, we could take over

69:53

Australia and Bnee would be queen of

69:55

>> a crossover show. We're gonna I'm gonna

69:56

invite them on a crossover show. All

69:57

right. We could switch partners. You

69:59

know when they switch the husband and

70:00

wives?

70:01

>> I you know I' I've I've tried it but I'm

70:03

the one that ends up alone and no one's

70:05

up for it.

70:06

>> You know it's called show. You could

70:08

have Bernay and Well, you've been on

70:09

Bernation anyway. Finish. Do your do

70:11

your prediction. Prediction.

70:12

>> Oh, I'm sorry.

70:14

>> Uh my prediction is OpenAI Sora social

70:17

media app will be shut down soon.

70:19

>> Oh,

70:20

>> Sora. Really? What do you know? You know

70:22

something?

70:23

>> No, I don't. I I've done no original

70:25

reporting.

70:26

Okay. All right.

70:26

>> Um, but they're focusing, which is the

70:29

right thing to do. SOAR is essentially

70:31

OpenAI's uh, it's sort of a tick-like

70:34

social media platform and for AI

70:36

generated content.

70:37

>> Yeah, it's pointless.

70:38

>> And users use their video model to

70:41

generate short form content and they can

70:44

upload it and share and share it, right?

70:47

And upon its release, Sora came out at

70:50

number one in the app store. Um, and

70:54

actually got more downloads out of the

70:56

gates than Chat GPT did. However, like

70:59

the parties ended. Downloads fell 32%

71:02

month over month in December and another

71:04

45% in January. And some Sora is the

71:06

little engine that didn't. And also

71:10

users continue to drop like flies. Um,

71:13

and but at the same time, Open I open AI

71:15

has to spend a ton of money to keep the

71:17

lights on there. And some estimates are

71:20

that

71:20

>> also brings a lot of legal challenges.

71:22

But

71:23

>> well, it's costing them 15 million bucks

71:25

a day or 5 billion a year.

71:27

>> And despite that, the app is bringing in

71:30

less than half a million dollars per

71:31

month. And given their new focus, which

71:33

is the right one,

71:35

>> uh, on focus,

71:37

>> it's not central to OpenAI's, uh, core

71:40

competences. They're an AI company, not

71:42

a social media company.

71:43

>> It's not creating revenue.

71:45

>> Yep.

71:46

>> Big losses. And also, it's really

71:48

unpopular. 62% of Americans disapprove

71:51

of online videos created with AI.

71:53

>> A lot more trouble than it's worth.

71:54

>> It feels dystopian. 70% of people

71:56

globally would be uncomfortable

71:57

consuming fully AI generated creative

71:59

content. So

72:01

>> this new focus, this new adult in the

72:03

room saying we need to focus on the

72:05

enterprise market is now quite frankly

72:07

we have seated so much share and value

72:09

to anthropic. The first

72:11

>> Yeah. It's stupid. It's stupid.

72:13

>> Anyways, the first example I like of

72:15

this focus is that open AI Sora uh rest

72:19

in peace. It's going to be shut down.

72:21

>> All right. Okay. Oh, I like that. That's

72:22

a big that's a big call. I think that's

72:24

a good one. Um I just want to make one

72:26

other note before we go. Um, President

72:29

Trump's comments about dyslexia. Um, I

72:31

have a lot of friends who have dyslexia,

72:33

by the way. He said Governor Newsome

72:34

should not be president because he had

72:36

dyslexia or has, but uh, gross. What a

72:39

gross thing to say. I just was I'm just

72:41

like, stop it. Like, stop like make

72:44

demonizing things that are learning

72:46

disabilities. It's gross. He's does it

72:47

all the time, but it's a continual thing

72:49

and everyone just lets him go. But

72:51

honestly, what it just And I predict it

72:54

will have bad effects. Anyway,

72:56

>> are you really are you really surprised

72:59

though?

72:59

>> No, but I just don't I'm like no. Like

73:01

we I I I think we should keep saying no

73:03

to this Gh. It was just gross. I

73:05

have a lot of friends.

73:06

>> I don't know. I I put the I put the sex

73:08

in dyslexia. Wait. Sexy dyslexia. Sexy

73:12

>> Anyway. Anyway,

73:15

that's good. Got it. I got it. Anyway,

73:16

you're grotesque. I I'm sorry. I think

73:18

we have to call these out all the time.

73:20

Anyway, we want to I'm not angry about

73:21

it. It's just

73:23

um we want to hear from you. My favorite

73:25

stripper has uh has dyslexia. Her name

73:28

was density.

73:32

>> Adam Grant, take that. Talk about

73:35

character and being a good manager. Try

73:37

to compete with my my stripper density.

73:40

My dyslexic stripper density.

73:43

>> Yeah, right.

73:44

>> Okay. Let's see who wins the iHeart

73:47

podcast of the year award.

73:48

>> Density should be president. Anyway, we

73:50

want to hear from you. to send us your

73:52

questions about business, tech, or

73:53

whatever's on your mind. Go to

73:54

nymag.com/pivot

73:56

to submit a question for the show or

73:57

call 85551 pivot. Okay, that's the show.

74:00

Thanks for listening to Pivot and be

74:01

sure to like and subscribe to our

74:03

YouTube channel. We'll be back next week

74:06

because there's so much news.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses the recent trend of prominent figures, particularly in Silicon Valley, expressing a disdain for introspection. This is contrasted with historical figures like Socrates and Einstein who valued introspection. The hosts criticize this trend, viewing it as a form of performative masculinity or a way to appear 'villainous.' The conversation also touches upon Meta's struggles with its metaverse project, the economic impact of oil prices, Jerome Powell's role at the Federal Reserve, and the success of Anthropic over OpenAI in the enterprise AI market. Additionally, they discuss Bob Iger's departure from Disney and the potential for immersive experiences in technology, while also touching on the legal issues surrounding prediction markets like Kelsi and the future of autonomous vehicles with Uber and Rivian. Finally, the discussion moves to OpenAI's Sora social media app and predictions about its shutdown, as well as President Trump's comments on dyslexia.

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