Market Hang (12:30–1:30 p.m. ET)
1754 segments
Hey, welcome to the market hang. I'm
Dandy D Franchesco. We have Jess here.
We have Julie here. We have Jed here.
It's the J show. Um and
>> I didn't even think about that, isn't
it?
>> Yeah, it's all the J's JJ and D. Um so
we've been talking a lot, you know, are
things going to go bad? Are things going
to go bad? And and in this sea of
markets, right, the the stock market
ship has faced a lot of headwinds, but
the what the gust in the sales has been
earnings time and again, it's pushed it
through everything, and earnings are
starting up again. and uh PepsiCo
reported and you know we had a very
interesting point made on yesterday's
show. It's another reason why you should
be watching every day by Chris Versace.
So I want everyone to listen in to what
Chris said
>> before earnings. This is yesterday.
>> We're all talking about AI and tech. You
know that's 40% of the market tech
adjacent 50% of the S&P 500. So you got
to sit there and you got to wonder about
the other half.
>> Mhm. And then you take a look at the
run-up in diesel prices, cotton prices,
you know, all sorts of other inputs. You
look at the warnings that you've got in
the S&P um global US composite report
for August, September about input
prices, the pass through of output
prices, something's going to have to
give. Mhm.
>> And if you look at PepsiCo and their
fleet, you look at PepsiCo and their
snack business in the ingredients, you
look at PepsiCo in sugar prices,
>> to me, they're going to be they're
they're going to be like one of the
first reads outside of tech that tells
us about all of these things that have
been moving higher causing inflation.
>> Crystal ball apparently. And he knew.
And what do you know? PepsiCo reports
today and and what comes out? It lowers
its guidance. It says consumers are
looking for cheaper products. They're
they're, you know, they're not
completely pulling back, but they're a
lot more costconcious and it's pulling
down on their margins. I think the Pepsi
CEO also said, "We don't feel good about
the beverage industry," which is not
what you want to hear the CEO of a
beverage industry person say. So, I will
put it to all of you. Is this the uh to
again to rely on an old journalism term,
the canary in the coal mine? Are we
starting to get nervous or is this just
kind of the status quo? And look,
consumers are being more costconcious.
Jasmine, we'll start with you.
>> Um, we've already known that consumers
are being very costconcious, especially
on the lower end, and I have been
concerned with that consumer for quite
some time, especially with this
environment. But we're seeing rising
input costs. This is a squeeze on
margins. If this bleeds over into the
rest of earnings season, then we could
really have a problem because what's
carrying the market right now is
earnings momentum. it is concentrated in
AI and technology and that is broadening
a little bit but if this is more of a
constraint on a consumer then that could
have a ripple effect
>> and that's just something to pay
attention to
>> right Julie where do you come out
>> yeah I mean I don't think that Pepsi is
necessarily that big flashing warning
sign I mean first of all the stock is up
today which is interesting right and the
company seemed to open the door on the
call at least more than they have in the
past to the possibility of separating
the businesses
which have been there have been
questions about that in the past. I
think they've kind of dismissed it. So
this time they were a little bit more
open to that. Maybe that's one of the
reasons the stock isn't down more. Um
>> international also doing I think better
>> doing better than domestic for sure. And
so I don't know. I mean in terms of the
read through for other stuff from higher
costs to Jess's point like yes we're
going to see that across the board.
anything that is touched by diesel, by
agricultural costs of any kind, by some
of the tariffs that are still in pace
place. Aluminum for example, right? All
of that, we're going to see those cost
pressures make their way around anything
that has anything to do with that.
>> Jed, what about you?
>> Uh, we own Pepsi in our dividend select
strategy at Argent. So, I'm offended by
this whole
um uh ju just joking, not really. Um, we
own Pepsi because uh they pay a high
dividend and we think they can grow the
dividend, you know, five or six or 7% a
year. And in a diversified portfolio,
that's a good thing to have, especially
when times get tough. But I think all of
your commentary is right. Input costs
are rising. Consumers are being pickier
than normal. Consumers are shifting to
healthier snacks. Um, a breakup would be
beneficial. I think um Coke has, you
know, significantly outperformed Pepsi
over the years. So, uh, all of that is
true. I don't think it's a canary in the
coal mine. Um, I think that um um like
the like the spokesperson said, tech is
over half of the S&P 500. So that's
driving the boat and uh everything else
is way in the back of the boat and
Pepsi's back there.
>> Sure. I will throw in one more, right?
Constellation also came in this week,
showed that shipping was up, but
depletions, right? Constellation is the,
you know, owner of a bunch of, uh, you
know, beverage uh, companies, a lot of,
uh, beer, I think Medela and whatnot.
Um, but depletions, which is also what I
like to say when I use their product,
um, which is sending to the retailers,
that was actually down. So, again,
another little bit crack. So, I I
definitely see your point though, Jess,
to your point, like this is something
we've known for a while. It's a matter
of is it going to continue to kind of
spiral out to to the other players in
the market, right? That's when we start
to get nervous.
>> Yeah. I mean, and Constellation's
actually doing a little bit better than
some of its
>> sure
>> competitors even though it's not doing
great because there's a lot of sort of
headwinds in the in the alcohol
industry, right? There aren't enough
depletions. You're not doing your job.
>> I'm not doing my job. Yes, I'm not doing
my job. Um, I guess we're talking about
the consumer. I'm just going to jump to
it because I'm very excited about this.
There's been a report. Imagine a world.
You're like, you know what? What do I
need? I need some coffee. I'm going to
go to Starbucks. I'm going to get my
Venti cold brew. And you know what? I'm
feeling pretty hungry, too. Why don't I
get a burrito? The the the massive
combination, Starbucks and Chipotle.
Now, there's a lot to unpack here. I
mean, my first inclination is obviously
I think of I grew up very close to a
Duncan BaskinRobins. You have the KFC um
Taco Bell combo or KFC Pizza Hut. Um do
we think these are two brands that are,
you know, working on a turnaround,
right? And we can get to the CEO
flip-flop, too. Uh what is what stands
out to you? Again, this is all reported.
Nothing this is all, you know,
reporting. I think the FT was the one
that broke it. I know Sephor was in the
mix, too. So, nothing is definitive yet,
but um what do we make of these two very
big consumer brands potentially coming
together?
>> I mean, can I just chime in and say like
I'll leave you guys to talk about
whether it makes business sense. To me,
this is like Brian Nickel who obviously
was at Chipotle, had a very successful
run at Chipotle, and now is trying to
turn Starbucks around. And meanwhile,
Chipotle stock has been cut in half, and
he's looking back and he's like,
>> "Oh, man. What about my legacy? I was
the guy at Chipotle. What are we going
to do?" Well, we're gonna buy it and I'm
gonna do work my magic on it again. I I
I don't know. It feels a little like
that.
>> Plus, he hasn't moved since leaving
Chipotle. You know, he hasn't moved up
to he still lives where he's
>> right. So, do you think he secretly just
wants his old job back? Maybe. Um I've
I've never had a coffee in my life, so
I'm I'm unqualified to join this
discussion, but um I think it's a it's a
horrible idea. uh fixing Starbucks is is
yeah I think he thinks that fixing
Starbucks is harder than he than he
probably bargained for a year a year
year and a half ago and it would be easy
to buy something that he is cheap and he
knows um
>> J I'm sorry never had coffee
>> never not once
>> really are you a tea guy? No, no tea. My
wife, so you're not a caffeine guy,
>> correct?
>> Good for you.
>> Yeah.
>> Wow. Interesting. I almost I want to
give you a coffee and see like we're
going to unlock things. This is like
limitless.
>> I want to analyze all of his health
levels in comparison. That's the the
detail where my
>> wife's working hard on it. Um
>> if you've gotten this far without it, I
think you're probably in good shape.
>> Yeah, you're definitely better off than
the rest of us. Um, sorry, Jess. I Where
do you come out on this the Starbucks uh
Chipotle monster?
>> Um, I'm curious on this massive deal
just how they would fund it and what
that would look like because right now
we're in this capital constraint
environment. We're have equities
issuance to raise capital. We have free
cash flow coming down from big tech and
then that's going into the bond market.
So, how are they going to actually fund
it?
>> Interest rates are high today. I mean,
the financing on something like that
would probably be like seven or eight%
I'm guessing.
>> Yeah. But does does Starbucks have the
cash though? Don't they have I mean I
don't know. I haven't looked at their
>> Now I want to look at their
>> Yeah, I believe that they sold their
China subsidiary and probably improved
their balance sheet significantly when
they did that in the past year. So
>> I mean they have some cash. It looks
like they've got a not a huge amount
three and a half billion or so but um
and they already have some debt it looks
like.
>> Right. So Jed top line though a
combination not something that like oh I
want that in my portfolio. the history
of large consumer M&A and retail M&A is
very poor.
>> So I you know this is one where you're
like 9010 this is a bad idea.
>> Jess do you kind of land the same place
or do you see a little more optimism in
a potential deal here and for for
investors perspective
>> you know this is definitely not my area
of expertise in looking at M&A but from
I just think it's odd
>> as in I can't really point to anything
that is of recent of that. It seems like
an odd time to do that just to where the
consumer is. And I just think the timing
makes me question management.
>> Pumpkin spice burrito bowls. I mean,
guacamole frappuccinos. Guys, there's
real synergies here. I think we're
selling short on it.
>> Does it mix?
>> Julie, you mentioned the legacy thing. I
think another interesting thing I was
having this conversation before uh is so
have you ever had a friend you didn't
like their significant other and they
broke up and immediately you're like
thank god you got rid of that person
they're the absolute worst. Do you think
there's any people sitting in the uh in
Chipotle management that like the second
Brian was out the door maybe not
publicly maybe behind the back talking a
little trash and now they're like wait
he's coming back like
>> I think this is going to be a nightmare.
I'm pretty sure his reputation there was
pretty good.
>> I'm sure, but you never know. You
>> know, I I don't know. I you know, who
knows?
>> You know, people have, you know, once
somebody's out the door. Oh, I would
have done it way differently than that
guy. Um, not that I mean, he has a great
obviously reputation for for ways to do
Chipotle. Um, I guess do we think it's
tough, right? I know we're not M&A
bankers here, but ultimately, does
anyone want to put odds on the reality
of this happening? You know, I I trust
in FT's reporting and and stuff like
this and semaphore, but just curious if
this is the type of thing that it gets
floated and then it doesn't eventually
land.
>> Yeah, I would say low probability of
actually happening.
>> Yeah,
>> I think I think investor interest would
be real low from both sides of this
deal.
>> I mean, Starbucks shares are selling off
on this, so clearly we're already seeing
that vote. I mean, and I'm with you. If
you look at the history of consumer
conglomerates,
>> brands and stuff,
>> I mean, Pepsi obviously a different type
of business, but you know, melding
things together, unless there are really
clear synergies or strategic reasons to
do so. Chipotle is also a lot smaller
than Starbucks, like in terms of the
number, it's something like 20,000 plus
Starbucks and I think under 5,000
Chipotle, even though it feels like
they're everywhere, they're not
everywhere. Um, and so I just I just
don't know like what is it for? What do
you
>> who is this good for other than the CEO,
>> right? The ingredient, you know, if you
think about supply chain, the there's
not a lot of overlap in ingredients. I
also frankly like and this is something
I've said about I think Starbucks
quality is meh at best. And like I
remember when they bought um Labul or
whatever it was called when they brought
in the new food and they made that
acquisition, they were like the food's
going to be so good. And I'm like uh no
it is not.
>> And I actually think Chipotle is pretty
good in terms of the quality of the food
for a f, you know, for a chain. Yes.
>> Yeah.
>> And so like if it mean I don't know. I
just
>> What's your call? Are you a Duncan? Are
you a Waw Wa? Are you a Tim Hortons? I
know we don't get a lot of Tim Hortons.
>> Lately I've been making it at home.
>> Oh. Do you have a fancy setup?
>> Um I usually do um French press and
grind the beans and then make the French
>> or or I make it in the machine here.
It's like one or the other. It's just
the m the the office machine coffee or
the fancy coffee at home.
>> Jed, I know we're speaking a different
language for you right now. I don't know
what any of this means.
>> Yeah. Jez, are you a Starbucks or a
Duncan or where do you have a specific
preference or you kind of like whatever
is closest?
>> Um, I prefer a really good local coffee
shop to be honest. I like that. I do.
Um, also there is no event contract
officially. I was trying to see if we
could get at least
for CMG and and Starbucks there, but the
only connection that I could find is the
CEO and perhaps he just wants a
multibrand conglomerate. And we forgot.
I love breakfast burritos.
>> That is okay. We have
>> I don't I have a low degree of
confidence that it would be well
executed.
>> Oh, I I agree with that completely. I
think this is someone um
>> wanting to have a big conglomerate just
to have a big conglomerate is not a good
idea. We need we need the financials.
>> We need more fundamental reasons than
just uh it looks really cool if we have
these all. All right.
My dreams of a cold brew burrito combo
seem to be dashed. Um,
>> you just have to make multiple stops.
>> Yeah, you just have to make multiple
stops, which I know there's a bunch of
apps out there and I'll just use my muse
instinct to just, you know, ask, so
it'll be fine. There you go.
>> Um, so again, to get back to, you know,
beyond the consumer stuff, we're, you
know, more and more it feels like every
day another analyst or someone's coming
out saying, "Oh, this indicator is
showing that we're a lot closer to a
crash than we And I know this has been
the kind of the topic dour for a while
now. Um we talked about this yesterday
Julie about how we feel like there will
be a come down. Um when it will come and
to what degree it will be I think is the
question. But J Jess I want to bring you
in. Do you you know the bubble talk and
all this? How much do you buy into it?
How bullish or bearish are you feeling?
What's what's your sentiment right now?
>> Uh feeling pretty bullish. I don't think
there's a bubble. I don't think
anything's going to pop. I don't think
anything's going to crash. I think we're
um we're building new infrastructure for
a new, you know, type of computing and
uh we're in the middle innings.
>> Um interesting.
>> And so I think there's a long way to go.
I think Nvidia is going to grow their
revenue a lot next year and the year
after that. And I think that the big
tech companies are making um high return
investments in these data centers and
they're going to keep going.
>> Okay.
>> So um we uh we think the outlook for the
stock market is really good. So no the
circular financing the trying to find
product the the revenue none of that
gives you sweat makes your palm sweaty.
>> We uh the circular financing is worth
paying a lot of attention to. I think
Nvidia has made um guarantees and um you
know like backup facilities and stuff
like that to about $600 billion worth of
of um of loans and that's a heck of a
lot but their their EBITDA is over 200
billion now and growing. So I think in
the scope of their balance sheet and
with a $6 trillion market cap um 500
billion is actually manageable and thus
far actually Nvidia's made a lot of
really good investments. If you look at
coreweave, if you look at um a lot of
their model maker investments in private
companies, they've actually invested
really well. So we think um uh
management of Nvidia and also the big
tech companies deserve the benefit of
the doubt and are doing very well thus
far.
>> Yeah, Jess.
>> Yeah, I I completely agree. I think the
market is in a healthy spot. I do think
it's been rather narrow just as of late,
but I think that what's happening
underneath the surface is actually
looking better from a technical
perspective and that gives me more
positivity.
>> What do you mean what's been looking
better
>> as as in every other sector aside just
from technology? I think we focus on
that because it has been holding up the
market. But there they they were coming
down breaking all my technical levels
and now I'm seeing areas of support
which means that I
>> in the other groups
>> in the other groups. So I want to see
broadening now more specifically from
that's a technical perspective solely.
Now what my biggest risk is that I've
I've flagged within the market right now
is what's happening with yields.
>> If we can get a ceiling on the 10-year
that would be really great for the
equity market and that has a lot to do
with oil as well. So once we
>> get some stabilization I think that's
all that the bulls need. We just need
some stabilization within yields. It's
not necessarily them coming down just
being stable. Well, we see right here
it's, you know,
>> yeah,
>> you know, okay,
>> that's Yeah, but one day doesn't make
stability.
>> Yeah, I know.
>> Little wins, Julie. We're looking for
little wins, you know, here and there.
But, okay. So, yeah. And I and I think
to the to both of your points, right?
Even if ultimately there will be a drop,
like you can still be right but be wrong
because if you're screaming like you got
to get out, hold cash or whatever, and
the market keeps rising, even if
eventually drops, you're missing out on
obviously all those gains, you know. So,
I Yeah, I I told Julie, what do you what
do you think? Are you as optimistic as
these two? Well, we you know I'm not
because we talked about it yesterday.
No, I mean listen, do I think that
things are going to crack tomorrow or
even next year? Not necessarily. Do I
think like to Jed's point, are there
things to pay a lot of attention to?
Absolutely. And do I think everyone's
going to be a winner? Like for example,
do I see a scenario where um the Nvidias
of the world could still do great, but
open AI and Anthropic that their busts,
that their IPOs don't go well, that
there's not a lot of demand, that they
get supplanted by some of the openweight
models? I think that's not a zero
chance, right? Is it a 50-50 chance? I
don't I don't know about that. But like
there are definitely um scenarios in
which a not everybody's a winner and b
that there are um some areas of weakness
that could spill over into bigger parts
of the market. Sure.
>> I don't think that's happening
immediately,
>> right? The AI stocks that we like least
or I just outright dislike are the
Neoclouds. I think heavily levered um
super dependent on Nvidia um for supply
and even financing and uh no competitive
advantage. Also massive customer
concentration. So, so yeah, I agree with
you. You've got to um discriminate
within the AI group. It's not
everything's not going to go up and to
the right.
>> Yeah. So, Jess, you mentioned yields,
right? Jed, for you, is there anything
out there that that's the one where it's
like when things start to change in that
specific sector or that stat line or
whatever the technical figure might be,
then that's where you're like, okay, now
we're now I'm keeping a keener eye.
>> Yeah. The main leading indicators we
focus on is uh number one GPU pricing
where we see, you know, pretty pretty
strong results. Typically, you would
expect to see like a steady gradual
decline in GPU pricing. M um another one
is the pace of model development from
the labs and we see improvement an
actual like acceleration there. A year
and a half ago inv or uh Anthropic was
releasing a new model every six months.
Now it's every three or four months.
It's really amazing.
>> And then um a third leading indicator is
uh is just the the revenue growth for
the big hyperscalers who are doing all
that capex spending. If they continue to
deliver accelerating revenue growth and
profits um by all means they should keep
investing. Mhm.
>> Um the one thing I just want to um point
out when it going back to rates for a
second is that um Reesfor wrote this up
a note from McQuary um on Yahoo Finance
today that pointed out it's not just
about yields getting to a certain level.
It's the pace at which they move, the
velocity, right? Absolutely. And that we
have seen such a big move in a pretty
short period of time in yields. And
historically, if you go back, that's
when you see cracks,
>> right? So, you know, could we see a
sell-off as we continue to get yields
going higher?
>> We could definitely see a sell. Does
that mean like it's a bare market and
everything's cracked? No. But like we
could definitely see another pullback
based on that.
>> We've been experiencing that though.
We've had increased volatility within
the bond market and that's translated
into the volatility that we have within
the equity market.
>> But not not much, not a lot at all
>> because of artificial intelligence. If
we were to strip out those artificial
intelligence stocks, then we would see
>> for sure. But I but there is a
possibility that even with the AI, you
know, cushion, if you will, that you
could still see a little bit of more
alarm than we've been seeing.
>> That's a good term though, AI cushion.
That is a new cushion on the market. I
like that. I guess if we think about and
again play ifs and buts or whatever but
if things do go bad is this something
because of how and just I see your point
about you know things broadening out but
because so much of the risk is so
concrated is this something where when
it turns it will turn very quickly or
will it be a kind of a slow burn as far
as like this is it going basically is it
going to be a pop or is it going to be a
deflation
>> depends on why hopefully it's because we
have some resolution within the straight
of Hormuse and then that will be very
positive for equities yields will tame
and And I mean, we even saw the the the
auctions earlier this week. There was
really good demand there. That made me
feel so much better about the market.
The bid to cover ratio was that was
good.
>> Right. Right.
>> Things I care about. But we've got
another one in 10 minutes. So, we'll see
how that goes.
>> Jed, what about for you? What what's
your prediction on the timeline?
>> I think I think investors fear the
scenario where um the supply of
accelerated computing catches up to
demand. We we haven't we haven't seen
that in the you know the four or five
years that Nvidia has been releasing
these chips. Um it'll happen one day. Um
when that happens that's obviously
really bad news for all the companies in
the data center capex supply chain, the
comfort systems of the world and the
eatens of the world and the Nvidas of
the world. Um
>> I don't though necessarily assume that
that's bad news for like Amazon and
Google. After all, they're the ones
doing all the capex spending. If we get
to the point where they don't need to do
that and they can pull back on capex,
then their free cash flow explodes. Um,
so I think there are scenarios where
Nvidia and the data center capex group
struggle, but many of the big weights in
the SP500 in broader tech land, Meta,
Google, you know, etc. actually do well.
So I don't I don't really fear this like
wipeout scenario that I think like gets
kind of talked about and assumed quite a
bit.
>> Okay. there. I mean I think you could
spin up a scenario like maybe I just
have bias because I covered the
financial crisis right but like you
could see a scenario where you know you
had the recent report that Oracle was
talking about declaring force majour one
of its projects where it wouldn't have
to pay on the same timeline if you had a
more severe and it's still paying it's
just asking to pay on a more delayed in
a more delayed way but you could
envision a scenario particularly if
you're talking about the neoclouds where
there's delay delayed payments or
there's even suspended payments. We know
that there is a lot of exposure to that
debt and to those financing instruments,
right? Um because of all of the
offbalance sheet financing and how
sophisticated it has been. So you could
see a situation where there is some
degree of spillover into the financial
system. It's it's not out of the
question, right? Not again, I'm not
saying it's gonna happen, but like these
are the things that it's, you know, I
think we have to talk about this stuff.
Jess is just as skeptical.
>> Sure. Well, I it makes me think about
bank earnings, which we have next week,
>> right?
>> Um, and I will be listening for any
signs of credit stress. Are they
increasing loan provisions and what's
happening there? I think that will give
us more of an
>> insight into the consumer, but that
might give us a little more insight into
this as well. I know they're more
sophisticated with their debt structure,
but that's something that I think could
at least give us an idea.
>> Yeah. And it's not just, you know, the
banks of the world. It's the Apollo's
parent company of Yahoo. Um, my little
disclaimer. Um, you know, it's the
Apollo of the world. It's the Aries of
the world. It's the banks of the world.
Yeah. We have to
>> Julie, is it fair to say that the banks
are better capitalized, a lot better
capitalized than 08 and 07?
>> I think Yeah, I think that's fair to
say. um you know, but they're not the
ones holding all of this either. You
know,
>> they're not carrying the bulk of it. Uh
so where are the safe harbors? If things
do get a little hairy, where do we feel
comfortable then for investors that they
should look to to put their money? Any
any suggestions?
>> It depends on why,
>> right? I know. I know. I'm giving you a
lot of like absolutes.
>> It's just it depends. I mean, I've not
I'm going to go back to the bond market.
So if the earnings yield all of a sudden
comes down, maybe we could look at
something with pricing power,
>> high quality, high dividends might be a
good solution. But then if yields are
increasing, that to me is the biggest
risk within the market that could cause
that selloff. Then that would make
anything the yields more attractive and
that's going to be your safe haven to be
honest.
>> I know. I'm sorry, Jess. I'm g I'm
asking you to finish a painting and I
have not told you at all what the
painting is.
>> We painted it there.
>> We did. We did. You did a great job.
Jed, what about you? What do you What do
you
>> Yeah. Um you you ask a difficult
hypothetical to answer. And so what I
where my mind goes is this is why it's
important to have a diversified,
well-balanced portfolio.
>> Sure.
>> Um because there will be surprises that
pop up over the next year or two. We
have some ideas about where that might
come from, but we don't know for sure,
right? So it's important to have that
balance um so that way your portfolio
can survive a gut punch.
>> Sure. So one thing and Julie you
mentioned it this anthropic IPO right so
June 1st it it confidentially files
supposed to come rumors were September
October now we're hearing they want to
get it out before Thanksgiving uh is
that a massive bell weather for this
whole AI trade really working meaning
the IPO goes well then okay we're all
systems go the IPO doesn't or is this
just one piece of the puzzle I will just
say my I think it's I think it's the key
I think if things go badly there I think
there's a knockon effect just because a
lot of people are invested in it because
it's a signal if this is one of the top
players and they can't figure out how to
go to the public market and investors
aren't interested in them then we're
really in trouble. Maybe I'm
overindexing on the importance of that.
Um I don't know you you guys tell me
where do you fall on on the importance
of the anthropic IPO. I mean, if you saw
what I mean, SpaceX wasn't the end- all
beall,
>> but SpaceX is much more nuanced, right?
That's a that's a space company. That's
a a social media company. That's a lot
of different things. Anthropic is it's
it's AI. That's I mean, when you think
of the AI trade, you think of Nvidia,
Open AI, and you think of anthropic in
my mind, at least, maybe I'm simplifying
it. So, that's why I think boomer there,
that really tells a bigger story.
>> Yeah, I mean, I get where you're coming
from.
Something that pops into my head though
is the Google IPO went really bad, you
know, a long time ago and then a year
later Google stock has doubled or
tripled.
>> Facebook IPO also was a disaster.
>> So, so I get I get where you're coming
from and that resonates with me what you
said. I I I think you're right.
Anthropic is a bellweather. Um I mean I
think Anthropic's valuation has been
doubling every like three or four
months. So, um I what what's in my head
is um
>> they're going to release a pretty cool
model or two that they've got locked
away right before that IPO.
>> They're going to promote like ever here
over the next month just like SpaceX did
and it's going to be all that we talk
about for a couple weeks.
>> And um and then they're going to do this
IPO and I think it'll probably be
successful. I think demand will probably
be really high and and then I think
Anthropic and Nvidia are going to be in
a race to see who can get to 10 trillion
first.
Yeah,
>> I think I think the financials of
Anthropic are going to be really
interesting. We've already gotten some
leaked financials, but most of it was
from 2025. We haven't gotten so much
this year. Right. Right. We already got
the leaked like risk factors page, which
is like ending all humanity as a risk
factor, right? But um you know, but I
think that's going to be illuminating
>> just to know exactly how much they are
spending and how much they are losing um
as a result of of their buildout. I
think it'll do one thing for the market.
Just like when um we had the most recent
election results,
>> a couple years ago, the market doesn't
like uncertainty. So, this will give us
some type of certainty. So, any
certainty that we can bring to the
market outcome, good or bad, however you
feel about it, is tends to be really
good for equities.
>> That's a great point because there have
been so much unknown out there. Now, we
have kind of a definitive data point.
I'm curious. We I think you know the S1
drop is going to be like must readad,
you know, must readad uh uh thing. What
jumps out to you? Like the S1 drops,
what's the first thing you're going to
look at? First thing you're going to
search, you know, command F, where are
you going?
>> ARR, they won't disclose that. I don't
think, you know, SpaceX didn't really
disclose that. It's the way SpaceX works
was they they disclosed a bunch of the
boiler plate and a bunch of the like
kind of gap audited financials and then
they did the road show and a bunch of
additional kind of like non-GAAP metrics
came out of that
>> and so I guess my assumption is similar
will happen with anthropic.
>> Um but we'll see. Yeah, the the S1 is I
I agree with you. I'm I'm looking
forward to it but uh I feel like it's
going to be a little antilimactic and
then the road show might be better.
>> Yeah. Yeah.
>> Very interesting.
>> I'll give one data point. We had a it's
San Francisco Tech Week right now.
Business Insider had an event out there
and um we we had one of our reporters
had a conversation with an anthropic
investor and then afterwards he asked
the crowd would you invest in Anthropic
at a $3 trillion valuation which is a
little bit of a leading question I
understand because they're talking about
going to market at two but in the entire
crowd three people raised their hand and
then he dropped it down and cut in half.
He said what about 1.5 trillion and a
couple more people. Granted this is not
a scientific experiment. I understand
that doesn't show real market sentiment,
but I think that's what gives me a
little bit of pause is that, you know, I
think what was SpaceX was 1.77 trillion,
very mature Starlink business, Anthropic
looking to go to. It's big. I I guess
the last question.
>> Well, listen. Sure.
>> Just to interrupt you a little bit, the
difference between Star between um
SpaceX and and Anthropic. Um Daario,
Elon,
>> Sure.
>> And in terms of who's the better
salesman,
>> Sure. for retail investors in
particular, but I think for investors
more general. I mean,
>> well, I mean,
>> Dario's one more weekend update away
from being an SNL.
>> I mean, like whatever whatever else you
you can like say whatever you know about
Elon being great a great technologist
blah blah blah. He is a very good
marketer. I mean, that's
the cloud users though, they are very
dedicated.
>> I'm a cloud user. Listen, I'm a fan.
Does that mean I'm buying I'm investing
in it? That's another question.
It's just it's interesting the salesman
part because I think that's really
shifted within markets now and I I spend
a lot of time in the creator economy and
I've been going to a lot of events just
understanding the creator economy and it
it's so interesting to me
>> and are those people interested in
investing in anthropic?
>> Well, that's where the marketing
happens. So that's where taking away the
salesman and what it is. So, and I I say
this so many times, but going back to
the initial release of these models when
we had Bard come out from Google, it
just completely flopped. Even though but
>> but that was a PR issue and that's it's
just so important to have good marketing
around these. So, I think paying
attention to that is also going to be a
very important inflection point. And a
lot of that happens on social media.
It's so interesting have virality, how
it takes the world by storm. If a lot of
consumers are buying into it and that
translates into revenue, arguably you
could draw some parallels into the
psychological aspects of the stock
market and what happens with social
media.
>> I totally agree and I think a great
example too is what happened with Meta,
right? You have Muse, oh this fluffy
little thing. This is such a cute mascot
and you have Alexander Wang, this like
prototypical stereotypical Jenzer. He
comes out with Crocs and he's got the
Australian mullet and it's like this is
cool. we can get behind this like let's
forget about all the other you know
meta's history with privacy and whatever
and and so I totally agree that like
marketing is a huge aspect of it I guess
to that point with the last thing and we
can kind of move on when it comes to the
this two- horse race between open AI and
anthropic do you think the fact that
anthropic will be first to market will
that ultimately benefit them because
they're going to be the first mover
advantage or will they have to kind of
like plow the trail that then open AAI
can kind of follow in their tracks and
understand what mistakes were made I I'm
giving you a lot of hypotheticals I know
this is tough. I'm sorry, Jess.
>> I mean, my thought process is is
thinking about what Apple's done.
>> Okay.
>> Apple's waited for everyone,
>> right?
>> That's done really well for them.
>> Sure. It helps they have the best
distribution model in the world in the
iPhone.
>> That's true. They have a big ecosystem
and and really great free cash flow. But
um but they had that because they
waited,
>> right?
>> They had a good story before that, but
nonetheless, so I think any more
information as you're going to market
could certainly help you. It's different
if you're going to market as in from a
consumer perspective, but if you're
going to market from the public markets,
any more information, I think, is
helpful.
>> Jed, what about you? Anything on like
better to be first or better to be
second and get it right.
>> Um, Jess, you mentioned earlier like the
the competition for capital that's
pushed up yields in the bond market. Um,
there's only so much equity capital um
out there. We don't know what that limit
is. Um SpaceX did an $80 billion equity
issuance. I think you know what what was
a week or two before Google issued 80
billion dollars of equity as well. So
that's 160 that's a lot of billions.
>> Um Anthropics is going to be somewhere
between 50 and 100 billion as well. So
man we're these are huge amounts of
money. How much is left over?
>> Sure.
>> And um and have the people willing to
pay the most um you know bought
something already. So yeah I think you'd
rather be first. I think Elon you know
Elon in so many ways is so smart. He
rushed his IPO out there, got out first.
Um, it wouldn't surprise me if that ends
up being a good strategy and and you'd
rather be second than third,
>> right?
>> Okay. So, we're going to try something
new now. We, you know, us here, we have
a little voice of God, but the voice of
God is gracing us with our presence.
Avana, our producer, is here and we're
in the next segment. We're going to
we're going to talk about some of these
very fun consumer profiles that Amazon
is building all of us. So, Avana, why
don't you take it from there?
>> Okay. Well, um, so this is based on the
recent Amazon story talking about the
about you profile and it kind of like
reading through a little bit on your
like spending habits. And so our team as
we were discussing it this morning, we
were therefore wondering the question of
if you would have an AI dossier, what
would it reveal about your spending
habits? And personally, I fear that it
would tell me that I spend too much on
going to concerts. I'm not going to lie.
There's no such.
>> Probably a little high. Um,
>> what's the last concert you went to?
>> That is a really good Oh, uh, role model
um, back in September, Radio City.
Really, really good time. Good
performance there. A lot of movement on
stage. I'm not going to divulge a little
bit more on that, but yeah. Uh, it was a
good time. Um, and also merchandise
surprisingly. That's that's my
>> like concert merch.
>> No, no, online sales. Okay. I did not
realize that to be honest. I thought,
you know, it's a little bit of a divide,
you know, experience economy and like
goods economy. I'm in both. I'm in both
fronts. I'm I'm steering the ship on
both ends.
>> So, we were wondering if you guys if you
had an AI dossier, like what would it
reveal about your spending habits?
>> Mine
>> good thing, bad thing?
>> Yeah. Well, I I think so. 5 years ago,
I'd be embarrassed by how much takeout I
have ordered. It'd be like, "Bro, you
need to learn how to cook here. Like,
settle down." Um, the one thing I got a
kick out of my Amazon about me was
because I've I we got a new home. It's
an old home, so trying to do some work
around the house. And it's like, oh,
must work in construction or manual
labor. It's like that's me punching in
the clock at the newsletter factory. Um,
so that's the the one thing I get. But
yeah, probably my take takeout pullback
has been good. So I I'd be proud of
that. But yeah, I don't know. What about
you guys? Anything stand out for?
>> Just spend too much is probably the
standout. I mean, I have two teens, so I
spend a lot on groceries and like
>> all the other things
>> that they do. Like, I'm going to a rock
climbing competition in a couple weeks,
so that's going to spend money
>> to travel to the thing to pay for the
fee, entrance fees, all of that. So,
that's definitely
Yeah,
>> that is exactly where my mind went. I
have I have a 15-year-old son, so
there's a bunch of 15year-olds and
16-year-olds at my house all the time.
They eat so much.
instead of constantly buying food or
giving them something to go somewhere
and that that's where all my money goes.
>> Way too much Iowa Hawkeye clothing for
me. Mostly for nephews and nieces and
>> not to be confused with the Atlanta
Hawks.
>> Don't you dare.
>> Sorry.
>> Don't you dare confuse the Atlanta Hawks
for Caitlyn Clark. That would be a
terrible thing. That was
>> Well, it's been it's been done recently,
but we won't get into that.
>> That is one of the best clips of the
year, wasn't it? That was a Missouri
senator, I believe, from my my home
state. Um
>> should know better. I think he lives
like 10 minutes away from me, too. He's
Yeah. kind of funny. Um, anyways, I have
a question for you guys. Are you buying
fresh um produce or meats from Amazon
now that they're offering it? Are they
offering it in your guys'
>> Yes, I have, but I don't do it
regularly. Okay.
>> Cuz I'm a um I'm a farmers market girly,
so I probably spend a lot on that.
Although the the gap between what you
spend at the farmers market and what you
spend at the store has has shrunk. And
I'm a Trader Joe's,
>> okay,
>> person also, but I do buy some. I have
done it on Amazon.
>> I'm desperately looking for convenience
in my life. And so we we're doing more
and more fruits and veggies from from
Amazon.
>> I'm a big And my wife gets very upset
with me. I'm a big Costco guy. Um we
don't have a massive home. I don't have
a second fridge. I don't have a big
pantry. So it's literally like the I
went last weekend and I called on my
way. I'm like, I'm going to go to
Costco. I said, I promise it won't be
that bad. I'll behave. But I always,
why'd you get so much chicken in the
freezer? Why'd you do this? We don't
have enough. But I'm a big I'm a big
Costco person. That's that's my um
that's that's that's my sweet spot. They
have a great
>> I think I should be a Costco person and
I'm still I'm not.
>> He he loads up on increased inventory.
>> Exactly. Yeah. Exactly. So there you go.
Ivon, do we have any other questions for
for the group or Okay. Yeah. I mean,
when it comes to um I guess how do you
feel about cuz I think we all understand
that these tech companies are collecting
a ton of data on this. That's always
been the case. The Amazon, you know,
trend was interesting because you kind
of see it in blatant terms. Um but I
wonder now with Muse or Instinct like
people are opening up their you know
data castles to these companies. Um like
let me start there. Are any of you AI
agent users?
Okay. All right. Which ones?
>> Muse.
>> Muse.
>> I have so many with Rod.
>> Are there do you have moes where you're
like that's something that I won't share
or is it like anything goes as far as
data?
>> Um I have specific things but I I have
um a whole team where we have specific
AI agents for specific things and then
we have a Slack channel for our AI
agents.
>> This is for work.
>> I can go nut.
>> I mix personal and work. I feel like I
don't know if anyone's watching for tax
purposes. This is for work. So,
>> what what are your home AI agent use
cases?
>> Um, at home, I don't think I use them
for I do not use them for anything
specifically as in within my household.
Okay. But because I I juggle so much, so
I obviously talk about the market a lot
and then I've somehow ended up being a
financial influencer, which is complete
accident, but now most of my income, so
I got to keep doing it. And
so I have agents that one keep me up to
date on the market and then it pulls
together multiple different things. I
even I have Claude editing my videos now
which is great. So um there's
>> lots of use cases but it's specific for
me in my ecosystem and what I need. And
to your point earlier the biggest asset
that I would love more of is time. And
so these agents just saved me time by
automatically going through my email,
giving me an update for the day, telling
my agent what he needs to do, and then
keeping me on top of being a mom, a
wife, a content creator, talking about
the markets, and then my other little
software company that is totally for tax
purposes.
>> Jed, you mentioned you use Muse. What
about what's your use case for it?
>> Yeah. Yeah. So, we're we're meta
shareholders, so I'm I wanted to try out
Muse. Um, I have at home like a old
Excel spreadsheet that I tracked our
personal spending on before I even met
my wife. And so I'm like have been
entering like I spent $6 on groceries or
ice cream or whatever. And it's a heck
of a lot to maintain when you have a
wife and three kids. And so I've been
doing a bad job keeping up with this
thing, but I I can't abandon it. I put
like 15 years into this thing. Anyways,
so I connected my checking account and
my credit card to Muse and it now
updates it and puts all the spending in
the right categories. When it has a
question, it asks me. It does it every
morning at 7 a.m. It tells me what it
did. I like it a lot. It is cool. And my
wife yells at me for entrusting Meta
with with our personal account.
>> Yeah. What's the priv privacy concerns
there?
>> Yeah. She she thinks she thinks I'm I'm
nuts. Um
>> and you think And you
>> and I and I and I say to myself, "This
is convenient. This is great.
>> So, it's a price you're willing to pay
to give Amazon your checking account
information and your credit card
information.
>> I feel like our credit card is saved on
a dozen or two dozen websites. Um, I
assume they get hacked every so often.
>> Um, I haven't we haven't um had money
stolen from our our checking or credit
card accounts in the past. Um, I grew up
in Iowa in the middle of nowhere. We
didn't really lock our doors a whole lot
in the house I grew up in. We didn't
lock our car doors when we drove places.
I'm probably way too trusting. Um, and
uh, probably irresponsible, but
nonetheless, I do it anyways.
>> I mean, I would just say Meta has proven
that it's not a great custodian.
>> Fair. Yeah, fair
>> in the past. I mean, you were saying
like, you know, you've got cute cuddly
muse. That's ahead of Aaron Circin
coming out and reminding us all what
what Meta is all about, right?
>> Interesting timing there. Yeah. Right.
Before before that,
>> we're like, we got to get this thing out
before that movie comes out. I mean, I I
I I joke, but you know, maybe please. I
I think you're you're spot on there. I
think this this the idea of like just
talking about where you leverage AI, it
works nicely into something else that I
want to bring up. We the Nestle CEO was
interviewed by a BI reporter and talked
about the most important skills in the
AI era. And I think one thing that
really stood out to me was the fact that
he said it's not so much about learning
like a specific tool. It's more so being
willing to adopt the trend and kind of
continue to evolve with it. So it's not
like, you know, because you it's this
tech evolves so fast by the time you
learn something and fully implement it,
it could already be too late. It's more
so being agile. But how do you all, you
know, so Jess, maybe we start with you
when you think about new tech,
especially AI, like how do you adopt
the, you know, the appropriate skills or
decide like this is something I want to
implement into my workflow?
>> Well, one, it's documentation of what
you do in order to optimize and have
efficiency. anything that you feel can
be automated, you need to document that
and understand that. So something that I
little busy work
>> the best way to utilize AI is just to
ask AI. So for example that literally AI
editing my videos is a new thing that it
I've started two days ago. I'm so happy
with the latest anthropic update. Um
>> but it was not explicitly said that it
could do that.
>> So I asked Claude, "Hey, can you do
this? I've done it with Codeex. Codex
does an okay job, but I want I I wanted
um Claude to do it. Claude had me run
some test scenarios. I already have
documentation and processes of what I
like and what I do. So, I showed it what
I did. I gave it examples of what I've
done and and past things. And then I had
it write a skill and we refined it
together. So, the best way is one, you
just have to have a keen understanding
of your
>> workflow, right? If you have that, then
you automate anything that is taking too
much time.
>> Sure.
>> And just ask AI to do that. But in an
enterprise perspective, that's where
consulting I think would be great and
why I like something like IBM.
>> Interesting. So Jed, you had the the
spreadsheet. Perfect example of
something that you could take off your
plate. What about on a professional
side? Anything there? How do you think
through it?
>> Yeah, a using AI for summarization and
and time savings is a is a great one for
me. I mean, I spend a lot of time
reading 15 and 20 page earnings
transcripts. Um, asking it to break that
down into 500 words is a really super
useful thing for for me and our team.
>> Um, also like AI in new idea research is
really helpful. You know, instead of
spending instead of sending one of our
analysts to go spend three days looking
into this company and all of its
competitors, we can have AI get 80% of
the way there in about 15 minutes and
then ask the analyst to go do the the
remaining 20%. So, it's a real it's a
really big efficiency tool for knowledge
work.
>> Juliana, I feel like with us it's like
it's like almost a taboo word sometimes.
>> Listen, I mean, yeah, I basically use it
for the same thing that Jed uses if
we're, you know, I ask it to summarize
things. Here's the thing about AI. No
matter how good it is, it cannot put the
information in my brain.
>> Sure.
>> So, we're sitting here talking about all
of this stuff. AI can't do that for me.
I eventually humans still have to learn
the information. I still like what
frustrates me is when I hear I'm going
off on a little tangent here, but like
when people talk about school and they
say, "Oh, you don't like when Jensen
says, "Oh, you don't have to learn basic
math anymore or you don't have to like
>> you need those things,
>> the foundations.
>> You need the foundations because it
teaches you how to think."
>> I agree with that so much.
>> And you need that background. You need
the historical context. You need like I
was an English major. I wouldn't trade
that for anything. I love to read books
and like that is valuable information in
my brain that then helps with all of the
other things that I do in tangible and
intangible ways. So anyway, that's just
a defense of not but but I here's I find
it helpful but not revolutionary.
>> Sure.
>> Thus far in my work.
>> Okay.
>> I mean I I think it can help you think
so very much.
>> I agree with that but again helpful but
not re in my experience so far.
>> Expertise oversight I think is extremely
important with AI. It does not replace
an expert whatsoever. Especially when it
first came out, I was drilling it with
options questions and it kept getting
them incredibly wrong and it doesn't
anymore. But but what's interesting is
if you have and I'm afraid I'm training
these models sometimes, but with the the
expertise oversight is I've learned if
you build some skills on just offloading
your brain, then that's when you can
really start optimizing artificial
intelligence. So, I've I've it took me
about I want to say two to three weeks
just to build my technical analysis
skill on how I look at the markets that
way and then the specific data sources
and how to pull the FRED APIs into a
spreadsheet and look at that and then
how I would look at the consumer. But
>> here's here's the other thing. Here's
here's the other thing with all of this
and like all of this thing about the
death of software software even with
vibe coding and all this stuff. I was
trying to vibe code something today like
what a drag it is.
>> I'm not a coder. Like I don't even if
I'm vibe coding. It's not though. It's
really not. Like I would I still want
somebody to give me a piece of software
to do all this stuff. Okay. I don't know
like that's good for
>> software companies Julie is your your
your lazy but like but like the people
in Silicon Valley whose job it is to
code they are the ones who see this as
most revolutionary because they are
native to that and it is most
revolutionary for what they specifically
do for what we do like I'm I don't know
I
>> I just get so nervous this idea of like
AI atrophy the idea of like okay I'm
going to outsource a little bit here and
I'm going to outsource a little bit here
and then it becomes the AI creep and it
does more and more and look the less you
do that like
>> I can barely write in cursive. I have
one vendor, one person that I need to
write a check to and it's like a I mean
it's ter if
>> you don't have to write the check in
cursive by the way.
>> You have to sign you have to sign your
name.
>> You can it doesn't even matter anymore.
Just put a line in there.
>> I know. Well, any fraudsters out there,
you you can have that in my bank
account. Um but it's that's where I
really get nervous and I think um you
know and and Jess maybe I'm interested
to hear with you. Where do you find the
most? Because for me, it's like, okay, I
might get some short-term gains here,
but if ultimately I'm losing those
skills or ultimately we're automating it
too much. Like the long term is I'm just
going to, you know, automate myself out
of a job. Now, I know you're in a little
bit of a different situation, but do you
ever get worried about like losing some
of those things you're automating?
Again, video editing, maybe that was
never your passion to begin with, so
it's like I'm happy to get it off my
plate.
>> I It's the tedious work. I am happy to
offload all of the tedious work.
Absolutely. But I mean, I did with my I
I have automated a lot of my job. I
built a quantua model completely for
stockbrokers.com that analyzes all the
brokerage firms and that is um not AI
powered but it would not have been able
to be done without artificial
intelligence because of the really deep
data that's there. So I I did have it
actually replace me right
>> but it increased productivity as well.
So I think what we're learning from this
conversation is it's different use cases
and it really depends on the person and
what you utilize it for
>> and the role
>> and yeah and the role that you're in. I
completely agree. So
>> I think in the next phase of I'm
bringing it back to the stock market.
>> Yeah, please.
>> Is we picks and shovels. I think we're
we're kind of on the the tail end of
that as soon as we see the the supply
demand from the GPU CPUs. Then I need to
see an increase in productivity from
that capex spend.
>> And that's what I think we need to look
for. But it's you can hear it
anecdotally by I I did it. It's
something that you used to do. You said
that took you three weeks, takes you 15
minutes, that's that's increased
productivity, difficult to measure, but
we could see once we start seeing that
more hearing it with earnings
transcripts. So, putting earnings
transcripts into AI, seeing how many
times they say the word tariff, you
know, that's that's some good use cases.
Um, I still find it revolutionary. I
think I'm trying to convince you, Julie.
>> When it comes to the productivity,
>> maybe I'm just too hard to impress.
Maybe I'm too cynical. It's not a bad
thing. When it comes to the productivity
gains, is the benefit for the company
ultimately we're more productive so we
can do more business or we're more
productive so we need less people?
>> Both. You can do more with less but
right now we've had a supply change in
the workforce. So
>> right
>> helpful timing.
>> Yeah.
>> Yeah. Yeah, I think it depends on the
company and I think you know um in the
case of if you're in an industry that's
growing rapidly and you're constrained
by the amount of R&D folks you can hire
or whatever then then yeah productivity
savings lead to more growth perhaps in
an industry that's not growing um like a
lot of financial services for example I
think AI is probably going to mean fewer
back office employees at insurance
companies and banks
>> sure well so to that point oh sorry go
Julie go
>> I was just going to bring it back around
to something you asked earlier which is
like how do you where's the safety or
how do you hedge? And I think like I
don't know it was I think it was a
couple months ago Mike Wilson over at
Morgan Stanley said now is the time to
look to companies to like yes you should
obviously you should still be invested
in the picks and shovels and all of that
but
>> you should start to look for the
companies that are going to benefit from
all of this right not the hyperscalers
not the tech but like and an example I
always come back to is United Healthcare
the last time it reported it did better
than expected because it had saved money
and been more efficient with its
customer service because of AI. So this
earning season, I'm going to be looking
for more of those examples. What are the
companies like, forget about tech for a
minute. What are the non- tech companies
that are leveraging AI to make their
business better? And maybe it's a little
bit early, but that's going to be the
next thing eventually.
>> So this is Can I give you So yesterday
we were disagreeing about robots. Now
I'm going to disagree on the United
Healthcare. Okay.
>> So this is my bare take on United
Healthcare. So Muse, right? Instinct,
all of these. I have two young kids.
Every couple days, some bill. Oh, we
went to the pediatrician. I kind of look
at my wife. Did we do this? I think so.
Sure. Okay. Send it. You know, write the
check with my my bad handwriting. Um,
we've heard examples now of these AI
agents going out and basically fighting
for you. I think that's a massive risk,
right? We've already heard about the the
hidden subscriptions, right? Which I'm
well aware of working in the media
business and the subscription model,
like you know, ending subscriptions. I
think the health care companies that can
be known to kind of insurance companies
send out bills or whatever and yeah yeah
just pay this. I think there's a massive
risk there that what was normally just a
okay yeah I have to do it people just
think oh I have healthcare bills I have
to do it now sending off their agents to
go and and fight that fight.
>> Well there's already been a Blue Cross
and Blue Shield just came out with that
study that said that hospitals are now
upcoding right so there's a diagnosis
code that goes with everything that you
get done by a healthcare provider. Now
they're putting on a secondary diagnosis
that says so they're then increasing
their billing to the insurance company
and ultimately probably to us. So
they're getting in other words they
might get squeezed from both sides.
>> Yeah. I don't know. Jess, where do you
come out on that? Do you view that as a
risk or not as much?
>> Yeah, I think that is a risk. Um first
thing that pops into my head when you
talk about the subscriptions and
negotiating is um the cable company, you
know, like I'm a charter cable
subscriber and
>> you know you haven't cut the cord yet.
Uh, I do have Hulu Live for cable, but I
get internet through Charter still.
Okay. And, uh, I recently called them
and had to spend a half an hour on the
phone and they cut my monthly bill from
120 a month to 70 and I was really happy
about that.
>> Um, but I spent a half an hour doing it
and I would have rather much rather sent
Muse to go talk to them and see if they
can do even better and I didn't have to
push that hard. So, they probably would
have done better. So,
>> yeah, I I think that I think that will
happen. Um, we have a a hospital
investment, um, HCA, a publicly traded
company, and I found it funny,
>> the health insurance companies say that
the hospitals are further along in in
adapting AI for their negotiations. Um,
and then you go talk to the hospital
companies and they say, "Oh, no, no, the
health insurers are way further along in
adopting AI. Like, we we're really
struggling to negotiate against them.
It's getting harder." So, I don't know.
I don't know where the truth lies in
that. They're both, I think, adopting AI
rapidly. Um, and I think that they're
kind of trying to do that under the
radar because I think that there is this
consumer concern about where this is
heading and how it's going to affect my
pocketbook.
>> Yeah.
>> Yeah. Yeah. Jess, I don't know. I we got
about a minute left here. I don't know
if you have a thoughts on these, you
know, agents fighting for us or
>> Oh, I think healthcare is one of the
best sectors that are primed for
disruption from artificial intelligence,
from a lot of different factors. It's
from pharmaceuticals. It's from finding
cures for diseases. It's from the
customer service and the operational
efficiencies within the hospitals. It's
for the relationships that you have with
doctors. And even I spend a lot of time
talking to my primary care about things
like this in our checkups where there
was been a big push where all of our
medical data has is all electronic and
then a lot of my family's in the medical
field. So you can see a prescription
that was made here that was made there
where you had people who were abusing
the system trying to you know get other
things. So there is operational
efficiency already where they push to
data and then I'm thinking about what's
needed for artificial intelligence is
step number one is good data. Healthcare
has already done that
>> always data is always the source. Well I
think on that we can leave it there.
Thanks so much all of us for joining us.
This was great and uh until tomorrow
we'll see you then.
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The video discusses current market trends, starting with PepsiCo's earnings which reveal a more cost-conscious consumer. The panel debates the logic behind a rumored Starbucks and Chipotle merger and explores the bullish outlook for the AI sector, specifically focusing on Nvidia and the upcoming Anthropic IPO. Additionally, the hosts discuss the practical application of AI agents in their daily workflows and the potential for AI to disrupt the healthcare industry's billing and operational efficiency.
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