CIA David Petraeus: Why War Between China and USA Isnt What You Think
145 segments
There's a lot of emphasis on China's
military capabilities. I think since
President Xiinping took over with this
whole wolf warrior diplomacy, it's
called in the west. Um, but what is
their specific capabilities? Because
there's a lot of skepticism over their
naval assets. Yes, they have aggregately
more ships now or battleships than the
US, but
>> not more battleships. I don't think
anybody has any battleships anymore.
>> Sorry. They have a few aircraft carriers
that are building into task forces and
so forth. But again, no, they have a
very
substantially greater military capacity
than they had before and in some
categories. Uh it is greater than what
the United States has. Um I would point
out that they have had no recent combat
experience.
In fact, when Chinese leaders would come
to Washington back when there were
regular exchanges and I was the director
of the CIA, I was often asked if I would
allow them to come out and meet with me
and I always said yes in part because at
some point in our conversation
uh I would note now as you all know
generals I of course had five combat
commands just as a general officer
alone. Uh many of you had uh combat
experience. Oh, maybe. Oh, I guess not.
Because of course, the last real combat
experience any of them had would have
been
uh in in that particular war after our
departure uh in the late 1970s. And
there's really been nothing all that
significant since then. So, yes, they've
built impressive forces. uh they've
realigned their command and control
structure to rationalize that to more of
what we have in terms of regional
combatant commands and joint forces and
so forth. Um by the way, in certain
categories of advanced technology,
they're ahead of us. We have better AI.
They have more applications. And you can
go back and forth all the way along on
all this. They have the stack. We're
betting on this, they're betting on
that. But at the end of the day, if you
have not actually been in combat uh and
really exercised, even if it's against
less than peer competitors, I think
that's a major disadvantage. Uh and our
forces have had enormous experience. And
all of our mid-level and senior level uh
commission and non-commission officers
have had extensive time in combat.
>> So, I was thinking of the word
dreadnots. shows you my uh knowledge
when it comes to maritime military
matters, General. But my last question
for you is you've discussed a little
bit, you touched upon about the potency,
but what's the propensity for there to
be potential engagement between America
and China over Taiwan? I mean, it's the
classic endgame question, but do you
really think that's possible? I think it
is conceivable given Xi Jinping's desire
for national rejuvenation and the window
that is closing. Most people point to
2027 or possibly 28. What would you what
would you share with the viewers about
this element and whether Taiwan is
>> Well, you've already answered the
question. Uh I think it's conceivable
obviously many things are conceivable.
I don't know how likely it is and
frankly there let's remember that we
have we get a vote um big time and that
is if our capabilities
uh are seen as substantial and uh
impressive and if our willingness to
employ those capabilities
uh is uh solid not needlessly
provocative. But again, these are the
elements of deterrence. The potential
adversaries assessment of your
capabilities on the one hand and your
willingness to use them on the other.
And we have agency here. Uh we can make
decisions and we are although I'd argue
that we need to accelerate uh the
application of the decisions when it
comes to transforming our capabilities
in part uh in view of lessons we should
be learning from the war in Ukraine. uh
and then also ensuring that there's no
question of our willingness to use our
forces if necessary, but that we do not
want to be needlessly provocative. Uh if
we do that right, I think the likelihood
is very low. Um if we don't, then I
think it opens the question up a good
bit more. But I'm hopeful actually and
you know one of the values of
unconventional conventional leaders and
certainly President Trump is that as is
uh Secretary Headsth is they're willing
to take actions that others would not
have taken and one of those needs to be
to blow up our military procurement
system and start over. uh to recognize
that the military-industrial
congressional complex as Senator McCain
uh used to describe it uh poratively
uh not fondly uh is that there are
vested interests in existing platforms
and capabilities and weapons systems,
existing basing arrangements, existing
maintenance contracts, all of this
um that all the individuals in these
different complexes, military,
industrial A congressional will say,
"Yes, we need to change procurement, but
don't start with the platform made in my
district. Don't start with the aircraft
carrier task force in my base in my
district. Don't do this, don't do that."
And I think there's got to be some
really aggressive action uh in this
regard to overhaul the overall system
and ideally to drive it with the basic
concepts developed by the Indo-Pacific
commander and his subordinate commanders
uh that then are operationalized
uh in a variety of different ways. Most
important of which would be those that
establish requirements
uh that then guide procurement.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The discussion focuses on China's expanding military capabilities and its comparison to the United States. While China has increased its forces and advanced in certain technologies like AI applications, it lacks recent combat experience, which the speaker identifies as a significant disadvantage compared to the US military. Regarding the potential conflict over Taiwan, the speaker emphasizes that deterrence depends on both capability and the clear willingness to use it. Finally, he calls for a major overhaul of the US military procurement system to overcome political and industrial inertia and better prepare for Indo-Pacific challenges.
Videos recently processed by our community