IT'S OVER! I Can't Stay Quiet on AI Stocks Crashing Any Longer
347 segments
An exceptionally brutal day on Wall
Street.
>> Decidedly red, especially the NASDAQ.
>> Meta and Microsoft shares have fallen
and after [music] hours trading. That's
where the pain really is. Investors are
panic selling some of the best stocks on
the market. And the bigger the decline,
the bigger the opportunity, especially
if we know which stocks to [music] buy
and which ones to avoid. So, in this
video, I'll cover everything you need to
know about this AI stock selloff and
which ones I'm buying as a result. Your
time is valuable, so let's get right
into it. AI stocks around the world saw
heavy losses late last week after Oracle
and Broadcom reported earnings and
sparked new fears of an AI bubble.
Oracle stock had its worst single day
percentage decline since the dotcom bust
after they reported lower than expected
revenues and much higher AI spending.
That caused their free cash flows to
collapse to negative $10 billion for the
quarter, which is twice as low as
analysts expected. Oracle's AI buildout
is turning out to be much more expensive
and much slower to make money than
investors anticipated. And Wall Street
is worried that the same thing is
happening at other AI companies. And
just one day later, Broadcom stock had
one of its largest market cap losses in
history, losing around $220 billion in a
single day after they reported earnings.
The difference is that Broadcom beat
analyst expectations on revenue and
earnings per share, but the stock
dropped anyway. That's because
Broadcom's management warned investors
that gross margins could go down as
custom AI chips became a bigger part of
their overall portfolio and that
Broadcom wouldn't see much revenue from
their multi-billion dollar agreement
with OpenAI in 2026. Both Oracle and
Broadcom stocks are down over 10%. And
this is where Wall Street just made a
huge mistake. Let me show you why.
First, custom chips are nothing new to
Broadcom or to their shareholders.
Broadcom helped design and manufacture
multiple generations of Google's tensor
processing units or TPUs. Meta Platforms
training and inference MTIA chips and
the custom chips that Bite Dance uses to
help power Tik Tok's content
recommendation algorithm. And just 2
months ago, Broadcom announced that
they're partnering with OpenAI to
co-develop and deploy around 10 gawatt
of custom accelerators for Chat GPT,
GPT5, and their other frontier models.
So, of course, investors shouldn't
expect much from that deal in 2026,
which starts in just 3 weeks. Especially
since Advanced AI accelerators take a
lot of time to design, manufacture,
test, optimize, and deploy. And by the
time Broadcom delivers OpenAI's custom
chips, there will be even more demand
for them, which means Broadcom is very
well positioned to win even more
multi-billion dollar contracts from
other AI companies. In fact, on their
most recent earnings call, Broadcom said
that they had a $73 billion backlog of
AI orders over the next 18 months,
including $21 billion from Anthropic.
And it's not just their backlog.
Broadcom's current revenue is also
accelerating, growing by 28%
year-over-year with AI chip revenues up
by 74% over that same time frame. Now,
compare that to Oracle. Broadcom's
revenue has been growing at a compound
annual growth rate of 19% over the last
10 years. That number is just 5% for
Oracle. And while Oracle looks like
they're consistently beating Broadcom in
terms of earnings per share, the
opposite is true. Broadcom's earnings in
2024 included a one-time $4.5 billion
tax charge as part of a supply chain
realignment that I covered when it
happened. and Oracle's earnings per
share were only so high this past
quarter because of a one-time $2.7
billion gain from selling their stake in
Amper Computing. But the biggest
difference between Broadcom and Oracle
is their free cash flows. Broadcom has
been steadily growing their free cash
flows over the last decade, while
Oracles have been in decline and now
they're at -10 billion, which means they
need to finance their AI buildouts and
other major capital expenditures with
debt. My point isn't just that investors
are making a mistake on Broadcom by
treating it like Oracle. My point is
that the market is treating all AI
stocks like their Oracle right now,
regardless of their actual quality. And
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so Oracle and Broadcom's earnings
renewed fears of an AI bubble and now
the market is treating all AI stocks the
same. But like I just showed you, not
all AI stocks are the same. Some are
crushing analyst expectations,
accelerating revenue growth, and growing
free cash flows, while others are doing
the opposite. That's because some of the
best positioned AI companies are
actually ones with strong revenue
streams across many different nonAI
products, services, and software that
can carry them through these kinds of
downturns. So, these are the top three
stocks that I'll be investing in if
prices continue to fall. Let's start
with AMD. AMD stock is down by 15% over
the last month because of intense
competition in data centers, not just
from Nvidia, but now Google is also
starting to sell their custom TPUs to
other companies. And now AMD is down by
almost 5% after Oracle and Broadcom's
earnings. Investors are spooked because
AMD trades at around 100 price
toearnings ratio. But if you've been
watching this channel for a while, you
know that the PE ratio is a terrible
valuation metric for companies with high
earnings growth. AMD is expected to more
than double their earnings next year,
primarily from growing their data center
business by around 80% per year for the
next 3 to 5 years. A lot of that growth
will come from AMD's massive deal with
Open AI, where they'll deploy up to 6
gawatt of Instinct GPUs, which could be
worth over a hundred billion in data
center revenues for AMD. And like I said
when this partnership was announced, the
real win for AMD here is validation for
their Instinct and Rockom ecosystems,
which means they could see more huge
deals for data center accelerators from
other AI companies like Anthropic, just
like we saw with Broadcom. Another
benefit AMD has in this specific
situation is that their revenues aren't
totally tied to AI. Around 43% of AMD's
revenues come from their client and
gaming segment, which focus on PC CPUs,
GPUs, and semi-custom chips for game
consoles. This is the segment that was
actually responsible for the vast
majority of AMD's revenue growth last
quarter because it grew by 73%
year-over-year compared to their data
center segment, which was up by 22%. And
don't forget that around half of AMD's
data center sales are from their epic
line of CPUs, not their Instinct AI
accelerators. I usually point that out
as a negative because I want my
investments to have as much exposure to
AI as possible. But in this case where
investors are panic selling AI stocks,
it's actually an upside because AMD is
very well diversified, much more than
the market is currently giving them
credit for. In fact, discounted cash
flow models like Simply Wall Street's
calculate AMD's fair value to be around
$380 per share, while the stock is
trading at around $210, making AMD more
than 40% undervalued at today's prices.
Set another way, AMD stock would have to
almost double to reach its fair value
today, thanks to the insane revenue and
earnings growth that they're expecting
over the next few years. Like I said at
the start of this video, this is a big
opportunity for long-term investors. And
now you can see why. Another stock
that's trading well under its fair value
is Meta Platforms. According to DCF
models, Meta Stock is 23% undervalued,
which means it has a 30% upside from its
current price, even though it's one of
the biggest money printers on the
planet. Meta is selling off mainly
because investors are nervous about its
AI and infrastructure spending that it's
gotten so big that it could hurt their
near-term earnings and free cash flows,
just like they did with the metaverse in
2022. In their most recent earnings
call, Metaguided their 2025 capex budget
up to $70 billion. That's versus around
$40 billion in 2024, and they warned
that their AI spending in 2026 will be
even higher. Wall Street is worried that
Meta Platforms won't be able to make
money on their AI investments for years
to come, just like Oracle. But Meta is
nothing like Oracle. Meta is already
monetizing AI today, mainly through
better ad targeting, automated tools,
and AIdriven shopping. Meta uses machine
learning to optimize who sees what ads
where and when, which leads to higher
conversion rates and lets Meta charge
more for each impression. And as of
Meta's latest earnings, the annual
revenue from their AI advertising
infrastructure is already over $60
billion, which means a large share of
their current ad revenue is effectively
AIdriven. On top of that, Meta is
rolling out chat bots across Facebook,
Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger, and
their hardware devices that will further
personalize ads and content for more
than a billion monthly active users. For
example, a user can ask Meta's AI to
compare different cameras for travel,
and that will directly feed back into
the kinds of ads that that user will be
shown, not just for cameras, but for
other things that can be useful on the
go. My point is, Meta has a clear and
obvious path to monetizing their AI
infrastructure. And of course, they need
a lot of infrastructure because roughly
3.5 billion people use at least one Meta
app every single day. And around 4
billion people use at least one of their
apps each month. That's roughly half the
people on the planet. And just like AMD,
Meta's revenues are extremely
diversified outside of AI, mainly in
advertising, commerce, and payments, as
well as augmented and virtual reality
devices. The third stock that I think
Wall Street is making a big mistake on
is Microsoft, which is probably the most
well- diversified company on the planet
between products, software, and services
like LinkedIn and GitHub, Visual Studio
and SQL, Microsoft 365 and Teams, and
Azure and Xbox. The list goes on and on.
Microsoft is also on track to invest
around $80 billion in 2025 to build out
AI data centers, which was a big
increase from what they spent in 2024,
and they're going to increase it again
in 2026. And just like Oracle, investors
are worried that Microsoft won't be able
to monetize their AI infrastructure
quick enough for shareholders to see
real returns on all of these
investments. According to Wall Street
analysts, the main challenge is that
models, data centers, and power costs
are already exploding. While user
adoption and pricing are still ramping
up, that causes a lot of concern about
long-term margins and free cash flows
from all these AI applications. But just
like with Meta Platforms, Microsoft's
earnings showed that AI was already a
major contributor to Azure's strong
sales growth, to rising co-pilot
adoption in Microsoft 365 and to solid
overall growth in profits even after
their increased capital expenditures,
which means Microsoft must already be
monetizing AI. DCF models calculate the
fair value of Microsoft stock to be
around $600 per share, which implies a
25% upside from today's price of around
$480. That's a 25% upside on one of the
biggest and most powerful companies
sitting at the center of the entire AI
revolution. So hopefully this video
helped you understand why AI stocks
dropped over the last week. the big
mistake that Wall Street is making by
treating every AI company like it's
Oracle. And of course, three stocks with
a wide variety of revenue streams in and
outside of AI, making them great stocks
to get rich without getting lucky. And
if you want to see what else I'm buying
to get rich without getting lucky, check
out this video next. Either way, thanks
for watching and until next time, this
is Tickerol U. My name is Alex,
reminding you that the best investment
you can make is in you.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video analyzes the recent sell-off in AI stocks, largely triggered by disappointing earnings reports from Oracle and Broadcom. The creator argues that Wall Street is making a mistake by treating all AI companies as if they share Oracle's poor financial metrics, such as declining cash flow and slow monetization. Instead, the narrator highlights that companies like AMD, Meta, and Microsoft are well-positioned with strong, diversified revenue streams, making the current market downturn a significant opportunity for long-term investors.
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