HomeVideos

My Top 2 Stocks to Get Rich in 2026 (Without Getting Lucky)

Now Playing

My Top 2 Stocks to Get Rich in 2026 (Without Getting Lucky)

Transcript

390 segments

0:00

Millionaires are made when the stock

0:01

market crashes, and the bigger the

0:03

crash, the bigger the opportunity.

0:05

Especially if we can be greedy when

0:07

others are fearful. So, in this video,

0:10

I'll show you everything you need to

0:11

know about the latest market downturn

0:13

and why I think this is the investment

0:16

opportunity of a lifetime. Your time is

0:18

valuable, so let's get right into it. I

0:20

say this every time the market drops,

0:22

but I can't say it enough. The most

0:24

important thing that every investor

0:26

needs to do is make decisions based on

0:28

facts, not feelings. That's not always

0:31

easy, and finding the right data to

0:33

drive your decisions can be even harder.

0:35

So, I've put it all together for you in

0:37

this video. I'm also not here to waste

0:39

your time. So, here's everything we're

0:41

going to talk about. What just caused

0:43

this latest market downturn? why I think

0:45

this is the opportunity of a lifetime

0:47

for long-term investors, exactly how to

0:50

be greedy when others are fearful, and

0:52

of course, which stocks I'm buying as

0:54

prices continue to drop. There's a ton

0:56

to talk about, but let's start with this

0:58

latest market downturn. Stock markets

1:00

around the world dropped after

1:01

September's jobs report showed mixed

1:03

results. Jobs data for September just

1:05

came out after being delayed by almost

1:08

two months because of the government

1:09

shutdown and it showed the US labor

1:11

market grew by 119,000 jobs which is far

1:15

above the 50,000 jobs that forecasters

1:17

expected. However, the job market gains

1:20

for July and August were revised down by

1:22

a combined 33,000 jobs and unemployment

1:25

rose to 4.4% which is the highest it's

1:28

been since 2021. This combination is the

1:31

worst of both worlds for the stock

1:33

market because on one hand, higher

1:35

unemployment and lower jobs revisions

1:37

for previous months mean that the

1:39

overall economy could be weaker than

1:41

expected. And that means it could be

1:43

time for the Federal Reserve to cut

1:44

rates. But this latest jobs report

1:46

coming in much stronger than expected

1:48

means the labor market isn't slowing

1:50

down, which gives the Fed less reason to

1:53

cut rates at their upcoming December

1:55

meeting. When the Federal Reserve lowers

1:57

interest rates, so do banks. that

1:59

encourages people to borrow more money

2:01

for major purchases and businesses to

2:03

borrow more money to hire employees and

2:06

make more goods and services, eventually

2:08

leading to higher revenue growth for the

2:10

companies that we invest in. And higher

2:12

revenue growth usually means higher

2:14

stock prices. When the Fed keeps

2:16

interest rates high, the opposite

2:18

happens. It's more expensive for

2:19

consumers and businesses to borrow

2:21

money, which leads to lower revenues,

2:23

slower growth, and ultimately lower

2:26

stock prices. The Federal Reserve lowers

2:28

interest rates to keep the job market

2:30

healthy and unemployment low. So

2:32

September's jobs data, more than

2:34

doubling expectations could make the Fed

2:36

less likely to reduce rates. But higher

2:38

interest rates are actually a double

2:40

whammy for the stock market because when

2:42

interest rates stay high, the yields on

2:44

bonds and savings accounts go up. That

2:46

makes the stock market less attractive

2:48

by comparison. So more money moves into

2:50

bonds and stocks trade at lower

2:52

multiples of their revenues or earnings.

2:55

So higher interest rates mean lower

2:57

earnings for companies and lower price

2:59

toearnings ratios for their stocks.

3:01

That's the big connection between

3:03

interest rates, the overall economy, and

3:05

the market. And of course, adding fuel

3:07

to that fire is Michael Bur, who's

3:09

betting over a billion dollars that AI

3:11

stocks are the next bubble to pop. Bur

3:13

is famous for predicting the global

3:15

financial crisis and shorting the US

3:17

housing market before it collapsed in

3:19

2008. And earlier this month, his fund,

3:21

Scion Asset Management, disclosed a $900

3:24

million short position against Palanteer

3:27

and another $200 million short position

3:30

against Nvidia. These two short

3:32

positions are almost 80% of Michael

3:34

Bur's overall portfolio, making this a

3:36

massive bet against AI stocks. Bur has

3:39

two big arguments for the AI bubble.

3:42

First, major cloud and AI infrastructure

3:44

companies are under reportporting the

3:46

depreciation of their AI chips by

3:48

claiming they have a longer useful

3:50

lifespan that lets them spread out their

3:52

depreciation costs over longer periods

3:54

of time and artificially boost their

3:56

earnings. And since companies like

3:58

Amazon, Oracle, Google, Microsoft, and

4:01

Meta Platforms are all spending hundreds

4:03

of billions of dollars a year on

4:05

hardware, Bur says this accounting

4:07

tactic could lead to companies like Meta

4:09

Platforms and Oracle overstating their

4:11

profits by over 20%, which is tens of

4:14

billions of dollars. Bur's second

4:17

argument for the AI bubble is that true

4:19

demand for AI is ridiculously small and

4:21

most of the growth is actually coming

4:23

from circular deals where AI model

4:26

makers, cloud infrastructure providers,

4:28

and semiconductor companies are all

4:30

buying hardware and software from each

4:32

other while simultaneously getting

4:33

funding, equity, cloud credits, or other

4:36

forms of payment from the very same

4:38

companies they're buying from. The thing

4:40

is, Bur is famous enough to move the

4:42

market. So, his short positions become

4:44

something of a self-fulfilling prophecy

4:46

since all the media attention and

4:48

headlines that cover them become the

4:50

exact same reason those stocks fall in

4:52

the first place. But the headlines you

4:54

don't see can still move the markets.

4:56

And that's where Ground News comes in.

4:58

Ground News analyzes over 60,000

5:00

articles a day and rates each news

5:02

source for political bias and

5:04

factuality. For example, check out this

5:06

story about flight cancellations during

5:08

the recent government shutdown with

5:10

about twice as much coverage from the

5:12

left versus the right. While most of

5:14

these news sources have a high

5:15

factuality rating, there's also some

5:17

serious bias. Headlines from the left

5:19

say that President Trump was threatening

5:21

to ground even more planes if no deal

5:23

was reached. While headlines on the

5:25

right said that reducing air travel was

5:27

actually a datadriven decision. And

5:29

their blind spot feed shows me which

5:31

stories are being ignored by one side or

5:33

the other. Because knowing what isn't

5:35

being talked about is just as important

5:37

as what is. These features help me keep

5:39

my facts straight and save me a ton of

5:41

time. And right now, Ground News is

5:43

giving my audience 40% off their Vantage

5:46

plan. That's their biggest discount yet.

5:48

So go to ground.news/tsy

5:51

or click my link in the description to

5:53

get unlimited access to every Ground

5:55

News feature for just $5 a month. That's

5:57

a no-brainer for any serious investor.

6:00

All right, so this downturn was caused

6:02

by the latest jobs numbers coming in

6:04

much higher than expected and reducing

6:06

the odds for the Fed lowering interest

6:08

rates. On top of that, Michael Bur is

6:10

adding fuel to the fire by claiming the

6:12

AI bubble is about to pop and spending

6:14

over a billion dollars shorting Nvidia

6:16

and Palanteer. But as a long-term

6:18

investor, it doesn't matter exactly when

6:21

the Fed lowers interest rates. They meet

6:23

eight times a year, and the longer

6:25

interest rates stay high, the longer we

6:27

can buy great stocks at great prices.

6:29

And neither of Michael Bur's arguments

6:31

make much sense based on readily

6:32

available data. For example, Nvidia

6:35

releases lots of updates that improve

6:37

their GPU performance over time. One

6:39

example I showed in previous videos was

6:41

an open- source software package called

6:43

Tensor RTLM, which literally doubled the

6:47

inference performance of Nvidia's GPUs.

6:49

Not just the ones in data centers, but

6:51

the previous generations as well, which

6:54

means they should actually last longer

6:56

in data centers and be depreciated over

6:59

a longer period of time. And we know

7:01

that demand for AI is actually through

7:03

the roof by looking at very obvious

7:05

metrics like chat GPT's weekly active

7:08

users over time. OpenAI released Chat

7:10

GPT exactly 3 years ago, and it

7:13

currently serves around 800 million

7:15

people a week. That's one out of every

7:17

10 people on Earth. Another obvious

7:20

place to look would be Nvidia's latest

7:22

earnings results, which they just

7:23

reported earlier this week. Nvidia's

7:25

revenue grew to $57 billion for the

7:28

quarter. That's up 22% from quarter 2

7:31

and 62% year-over-year. Set another way,

7:34

they added over $10 billion of revenue

7:37

in just the last 90 days. But their

7:40

earnings per share also grew by 20%

7:42

quarter-over-arter and 67%

7:45

year-over-year, which isn't something we

7:47

would see if Nvidia was spending all

7:49

that money with other companies like

7:51

Michael Bur claims. Not to mention that

7:53

more and more of Nvidia's data center

7:55

revenue is actually coming from

7:57

networking technologies like Spectrum X

7:59

Ethernet, Quantum Infiniband, and

8:01

NVLink. Nvidia's revenues from

8:03

networking grew from $3.1 billion last

8:06

year to $8.2 billion this past quarter,

8:09

or almost two times more than all of

8:12

AMD's data center revenues. In fact,

8:14

this 164% year-over-year growth just

8:18

made Nvidia the largest networking

8:20

business on the planet. So 16% of

8:23

Nvidia's data center revenues now come

8:25

from networking, not compute. And I

8:27

expect that percentage to grow because

8:29

network bandwidth is one of AI's biggest

8:31

bottlenecks. And that's important

8:33

because data centers can upgrade their

8:35

networks and their AI chips completely

8:37

separately to keep increasing their

8:39

overall system performance, which

8:41

increases the useful lifespan of their

8:43

hardware even further and pokes another

8:45

hole in Michael Bur's arguments about

8:47

depreciation. And that's exactly why I

8:50

think this is a once-ina-lifetime

8:52

opportunity. We have the market pricing

8:54

in fears of the Federal Reserve keeping

8:56

interest rates high and Michael Bur

8:58

shorting two of the highest performing

9:00

AI stocks on the market at a time where

9:02

half a trillion dollars worth of AI

9:04

infrastructure is being built by some of

9:06

the biggest, safest, and most

9:08

diversified businesses on Earth. Even

9:11

Warren Buffett just bought over $4

9:13

billion worth of Google stock just this

9:15

past quarter. And of course, that brings

9:17

us to Buffett's most famous quote. be

9:19

fearful when others are greedy and

9:21

greedy when others are fearful. So, let

9:23

me show you exactly how I do that

9:25

because this has made me a lot of money

9:27

over the years. This is CNN's fear and

9:30

greed index, which I check every time

9:32

the market drops. The index goes from 0

9:34

to 100, and it's currently showing

9:36

extreme fear in the market. You can also

9:39

see a one-year timeline, which is a good

9:41

way to see how fast the index fell into

9:43

extreme fear territory, which is very

9:45

useful information for anyone looking to

9:48

be greedy when others are being fearful.

9:50

Like I say in every one of these videos,

9:53

this is one of my favorite indexes

9:54

because it's calculated from seven very

9:57

useful measures of risk in the market,

9:59

including stock price momentum, strength

10:01

and breath, the ratio of puts to call

10:03

options, market volatility, and overall

10:06

demand for stocks versus bonds. The two

10:09

indicators I watch the most are market

10:11

momentum and volatility. I put more

10:13

money into the market when the S&P 500

10:16

dips below its 125day moving average,

10:19

which is 6 months worth of trading days.

10:21

As you can see, we are almost there. And

10:24

the last time the S&P went below its

10:26

six-month moving average was from

10:27

mid-March to midMay, mostly after

10:29

President Trump announced his liberation

10:31

day tariffs. And that ended up being a

10:33

great time to buy stocks. I also buy

10:36

stocks when the VIX, which measures the

10:38

S&P 500's volatility, hits around 30 or

10:41

more. And if we look back at April, we

10:43

can see that it topped out on April 8th,

10:46

which is the exact bottom for the S&P

10:48

500. These levels of extreme fear are

10:51

enough for me to start dollar cost

10:53

averaging in to stocks more

10:54

aggressively. But I always hold enough

10:56

cash in case the market drops even

10:59

lower, like if the Federal Reserve

11:00

really doesn't lower rates in December

11:02

or Michael Bur makes more headlines that

11:05

keeps spooking the markets. And now that

11:06

we've come full circle, we can talk

11:08

about which stocks to buy if the market

11:10

keeps dropping. And if you feel I've

11:12

earned it, consider hitting the like

11:14

button and subscribing to the channel.

11:16

That really helps me out and it lets me

11:17

know to make more content like this.

11:20

Thanks. And with that out of the way,

11:21

here are the AI stocks that I think are

11:23

the most undervalued right now. Let's

11:25

start with Vertive Holdings, ticker

11:27

symbol VRT. Verdive provides

11:29

missionritical power, cooling, and

11:31

physical infrastructure for data

11:33

centers. Almost every hyperscaler uses

11:35

Vertive for their large-scale

11:37

expansions. And Verdives's revenue rises

11:39

with the volume and speed of data center

11:41

buildouts, which are currently at

11:43

all-time highs. And once a big tech

11:45

company integrates Vertive's power and

11:47

cooling solutions, they often stick with

11:49

them for future upgrades and expansions.

11:51

Because switching can be risky and

11:53

costly due to the required downtime and

11:55

retraining their staff. Discounted cash

11:57

flow models like Simply Wall Streets

11:59

calculate the fair value of Vertive

12:01

stock to be around $215 per share while

12:04

the current price is at $160. That makes

12:07

Verive around 25% undervalued based on

12:10

their expected future cash flows. Set

12:12

another way, Verive stock would have to

12:14

go up by 35% to hit its fair value

12:17

today. And speaking of data centers,

12:19

Meta Platforms is investing over half a

12:21

trillion dollars into AI data centers

12:23

over the next three years. As of their

12:25

latest earnings call, Meta has over 3.5

12:29

billion unique daily active users across

12:31

its family of platforms, including

12:34

Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp,

12:36

Messenger, and threads. That's almost

12:38

half the population of the entire

12:40

planet, which gives Meta one of the

12:42

biggest and richest data sets for AI

12:44

training, inference, and monetization

12:46

through personalized ads. There are only

12:48

a handful of companies on Earth that can

12:50

compete with Meta Scale for digital

12:52

distribution or their physical AI

12:54

infrastructure, let alone both.

12:56

According to DCF models, Meta Platforms

12:58

is currently 45% undervalued. So, it

13:01

would have to go up by 84% to hit its

13:04

fair value today. That's an 84% upside

13:07

on one of the biggest, most profitable,

13:10

and diversified founder-led AI companies

13:12

on Earth. Like I said at the start of

13:14

this video, millionaires are made when

13:16

the stock market crashes. And now you

13:18

can see why. In fact, Meta Platforms is

13:21

trading at a much cheaper forward price

13:23

to earnings ratio than Google,

13:25

Microsoft, and Apple while having higher

13:27

earnings growth than all of them. Talk

13:29

about an obvious investment for the

13:31

entire AI era. Hopefully this video

13:33

helped you understand why stocks dropped

13:35

over the last week, how to be greedy

13:37

when others are being fearful, and of

13:39

course, a couple great stocks to buy if

13:41

and when prices continue to fall.

13:44

Because making decisions based on data

13:46

instead of your gut is a great way to

13:48

get rich without getting lucky. And if

13:50

you want to see what else I'm buying to

13:52

get rich without getting lucky, check

13:54

out this video next. Either way, thanks

13:56

for watching and until next time, this

13:58

is Tickerol U. My name is Alex,

14:01

reminding you that the best investment

14:02

you can make is in you.

Interactive Summary

This video explores the reasons behind the recent stock market downturn, primarily driven by stronger-than-expected jobs data which reduces the likelihood of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates. The host addresses concerns regarding a potential 'AI bubble' sparked by Michael Burry’s massive short positions against Nvidia and Palantir. By providing data-driven counterarguments to these concerns, the video highlights why the current climate represents a long-term investment opportunity. The host further explains how to use tools like the CNN Fear and Greed Index to make strategic investment decisions and identifies Vertiv Holdings and Meta Platforms as undervalued stocks worthy of consideration.

Suggested questions

4 ready-made prompts