An American Nuclear Energy Debacle
358 segments
In the early 1970s, a small agency of about 81 people backed by some of Washington state's
local utilities decided to build five nuclear power plants. Simultaneously.
And it went about as well as you might think. With the country's
biggest municipal bond bankruptcy up until then. And four abandoned power stations.
The story of Washington Public Power Supply System’s attempt to pull off America's most
complicated construction project is a fascinating mix of civil service,
bad estimates, nuclear immaturity, and just plain mismanagement.
In this video, a good old-fashioned American nuclear energy debacle.
## Beginnings
Washington is a state in the northwestern United States.
They received statehood in 1889. Afterwards, its population boomed
as settlers poured in from the East during the various Gold Rushes and World War I.
These larger populations needed water and power services, and new utilities
were founded to provide them. In major cities like Seattle and Spokane, those
utilities were owned by the city and that helped keep their rates reasonably low.
But the rural areas did not have that benefit.
This left them vulnerable to private utilities that served them at extortionate prices. Their
practices and monopoly status engendered anger and annoyance amongst the people.
Urged on by a progressive organization called the Washington State Grange,
the state authorities adopted public utility districts or PUDs.
PUDs are community-owned, nonprofit power
utilities. Unlike regular private utilities subject to the state utility commission,
PUDs are governed by commissioners elected by the local community.
## PUDs and Dams
Over the next few years, these PUDs bought and resold power out of the federal hydropower system.
Washington state has a rugged,
mountainous landscape. Winds blow moist clouds from the Pacific to these mountains,
causing them to drop their moisture in the form of rain. Lots of rain, rugged terrain.
These conditions are ideal for hydroelectric power. During the Great Depression,
the US Federal Government funded the construction
of dams and hydroelectric power plants as part of its New Deal public works programs.
Building these new dams led to questions about how the power would be distributed.
So the government formed a bureau called the Bonneville Power Administration, or the BPA.
The BPA distributes and markets the power generated by the US government's hydropower dams,
reselling it to utility customers like the PUDs at cost. The PUDs in turn bring
it to local residents while also handling customer service and other day to day things.
## Forming a Combine
These local PUDs' heavy dependency on the power provided to them by the
Federal government led to concerns in the 1950s.
That decade, the US Federal Government began to lose its taste for New Deal-style involvement
in the economy. In 1956, President Dwight Eisenhower pushed for changes in the funding
model of the Tennessee Valley Authority, another federal agency similar to the BPA.
Eisenhower, a fiscal conservative, saw the TVA and its ilk as socialism - halting several federal dam
projects and even mulled selling the whole thing off. And if they can do it to the TVA,
then they can do it to the BPA too, which would leave the utilities high and dry.
To head off such a thing, seventeen public utility districts formed a new agency.
Announced in mid-1956, the new agency was called the Washington Public Power
Supply System. The name immediately received a fortunate acronym: WPPSS, pronounced "whoops".
## How It Worked
I think it is important to make clear that WPPSS - let me just
call them Washington Supply System - was not a utility.
Rather, their intent was to help "shore up" its member PUDs' power
generation sources by either purchasing existing dams from
the federal government if available or funding the construction of new ones.
While the agency itself is authorized by state law, its projects are not funded by state taxes.
Instead, the agency is authorized to issue nontaxable state bonds to raise money.
Washington Supply System started out as a small organization with little to do and
seemingly little reason to exist. Quickly, three PUDs dropped their membership. The
agency knew they had to find projects fast. As one manager colorfully put it,
"We better get pregnant or they'll dissolve us."
An outside engineering firm hired as a consultant brought five potential jobs.
One was a small hydroelectric project at the somewhat remote Packwood Lake,
about 25 miles outside of Mount Rainier, the namesake of those amazing cherries.
In 1962, the agency issued about $13.7 million in bonds
to help fund the Packwood dam's construction.
The dam project was completed two years later. Despite being delivered a few months late,
the project was a big financial success.
## Hanford
Now for this second part of the story, we are going to have to dial back a few years.
During the Manhattan Project, the US Government set up a major plutonium
production site along Washington state's largest river the Columbia. The site was
named Hanford and its plutonium was used to manufacture two of the first atomic bombs.
For a long time, hot water from Hanford’s plutonium production
reactors was simply returned to the river,
which seemed wasteful. Why not use this waste heat to generate power for civilian purposes?
In 1956, Washington's influential senator Henry "Scoop" Jackson proposed a law to have
the US government spend $65 million to build a dual-purpose "convertible" reactor at Hanford.
The bill faced substantial opposition from the Eisenhower administration and members of
Congress who did not think that the Atomic Energy Commission - the US federal agency then in charge
of nuclear energy development - should be involved in generating power. So in 1956, it didn't pass.
But by 1958, things had changed, in part thanks to the launch of
Sputnik. The locals were also excited by the possibility of receiving energy from Hanford.
So the proposal made it into a larger bill and Eisenhower reluctantly signed
it - thus allocating money for the construction of
a new plutonium reactor called the N-reactor or New Production Reactor.
Unlike Hanford's other reactors, this produced both plutonium for nuclear
weapons and high-pressure steam that can be used to generate electricity.
Nobody in Congress opposed the plutonium part lest they look weak on national security.
But coal and private utility interests killed Congressional funding for building
the steam-generating part of the facility. The Washington state
government looked into picking up the slack but passed as well.
## WPPSS and Hanford In early 1959, Washington Supply System is in the
midst of locking down the project for Packwood Lake.
Flush off that success, Managing Director Owen Hurd with authorization from the board
starts investigating nuclear power. They eventually put themselves forward
as a partner with the AEC to fund and build the 800-900 megawatt power plant.
To get Congressional opponents on board, Washington Supply System
lobbies and offers to sell half the power generated to private utilities.
With popular support rising, this revised Hanford
Generating Project passes in 1962 and President Kennedy signs it into law.
If you really think about it, the whole thing is a bit crazy.
Washington Supply System was just a few years old, was run by a thin staff of local
utility operators, and did not even have their own engineering staff.
Yet it works out. Despite some labor issues - including some unofficial
strikes and walkoffs - Washington Supply System closely oversees the Hanford steam
plant and shepherds it to completion. It begins operation in April 1966.
At startup, the plant was the country's largest civilian nuclear power plant by
a large margin. It was a massive installation, with eight pipes
bringing hot steam to what were then the two largest turbine generators in the world.
In 1967, Hanford singlehandedly accounted for 43% of the country's nuclear power.
Washington sold $122 million of bonds at a 3.26% interest rate to fund the construction.
The project was finished below budget, and the remaining funds used to retire
debt. Despite the labor disputes, the whole thing can be called a pretty good success.
Being associated with such a massive plant brought untold prestige. And soon enough,
Washington Supply System starts calling this generator Hanford One.
## Growing Demand
A key assumption that Washington Supply System and the rest of the
utility industry operated under in the late 1960s was that energy demand would grow.
Per analyses and forecasts made by the AEC, electrical loads in the region had grown at
an average of 5-7% each year and there seemed to be no reason that the trend wouldn't continue.
The number of residential customers had grown 2.5 times between 1937 and 1967.
And kilowatt-hours those customers used grew from 1,200 to 12,200.
Commercial and industrial customers' loads were growing just as fast or even faster.
Industrial customers used 90 times more power in 1967 than they were in 1937.
Nobody questioned the assumptions behind these trends or the validity of the projections.
Utilities instead worried about where to get the power to meet those needs.
The Pacific Northwest region lacked reserves of good fossil
fuels. And the number of ideal sites for new hydroelectric power plants was dwindling.
So the only scalable alternative seemed to be
uranium. In the late 1960s, the BPA's administrator brought together all the
region's utilities and discussed the need for nuclear energy to meet all that demand.
## The Big Plan
After several years of wrangling, the group unveiled the Hydro-Thermal Power
Program - a sprawling 20 year plan covering the years from 1970 to 1990.
Phase I called for seven large plants to be built from 1970 to
1980 - a mix of coal and nuclear plants. With the BPA by law unable to build them,
Washington Supply System quickly found itself responsible for building three
nuclear plants. First WNP-2 committed to in 1971, and then WNP-3 and WNP-1 in 1973.
Looking back, it feels like an overreach but it is important to note that Washington
Supply System felt a civic duty to go where others cannot. The Hanford One job - which
both the US federal and Washington state governments turned down - is a prime example.
Moreover, it was the start of the golden age of nuclear energy.
After an initial hesitancy, utilities were adopting it
wholesale with 31 plants announced in 1967 alone. The TVA announced 17 by themselves.
And even if Washington overbuilt a little bit,
what's the big deal? The thinking of the time was that nuclear would make power "too cheap
to meter". Any extra capacity can be used to lure another aluminium smelter to town.
Finally, the BPA threw in another safety net called "net billing".
Explaining this in full would be a bit tiring.
The short version is that net billing means the BPA commits to buying nuclear
power - more expensive than its hydropower - and spreads
out the cost difference across all of its utility customers.
Net billing is meant to help spread out the high cost of building new power generating sources
across a wide population. And from a development standpoint, I get it. But it also commits every
utility customer to the plant. And critically, that holds even if the plant is never built.
## Changes in Plan
Basically as soon as things got rolling, changes had to be made.
In October 1970, Washington Supply System had to relocate the 1,100 megawatt WNP-2 - initially
estimated to cost $500 million - from its original planned location at Roosevelt Beach.
National park staffers wanted a six-year study to see whether the
plant's hot water would affect the local clam population. So WNP-2 was relocated to
Hanford, where the environmental studies had already been done.
A few months later in January 1971, Washington Supply System received
an unpleasant call from the federal government. The Nixon administration
was cutting spend. And with plutonium needs declining thanks to arms agreements,
they wanted to shut down Hanford One's N-reactor and the 860 megawatt power plant attached to it.
A furious lobbying effort followed. Various players in Washington state
said that the shutdown would create a power crisis in the
area. Ordinary people sent letters to the government asking to reverse the shutdown.
A compromise was reached in mid-1972. The old N-reactor can run for a few more years.
But since its weapons capability cannot be practically removed,
the whole thing had to go. So to prevent a permanent loss to the grid,
Washington Supply System pledged to build a replacement, WNP-1 to replace Hanford One.
That is how Washington Supply System ended up committing to two nuclear projects in 1973.
And why WNP-2 and WNP-1 both happen to be at Hanford, while WNP-3 is at the town of Satsop,
west of Olympia. And why WNP-2 was scheduled to start before WNP-1.
## Adding 4 and 5 Washington Supply System now had to manage
a budget that had abruptly tripled from $500 million to $1.6 billion.
For an organization of just 81 employees in 1971,
this is a substantial ask. They rapidly hired and moved to a new office to keep
up with the monumental task of three nuclear power plant builds.
At the same time, they had to adjust to the requirements of a new
era. The 1970s marked the rise of the environmental movement,
leading to new regulations issued by the AEC leading to constant design changes.
The newly passed law NEPA also necessitated extensive studies
and Environmental impact reports that cannot be
ignored or downplayed - especially in the wake of the momentous Calvert Cliffs court decision.
Finally, the net billing safety net broke. A 1972 tax ruling by the IRS regarding
nontaxable bonds plus the rapidly rising costs of the Hydro-Thermal Power Program hitting BPA
customers meant that net billing can no longer be used for nuclear projects after WNP-1, 2, and 3.
So tell me why, oh why, did Washington Supply System then decide to add
another two nuclear reactors? It ties back to the energy crises.
In the late 1960s, people talked of an impending energy crisis. Then in the
1970s it seemed like those days had come. A light snowpack in 1972 meant
less water for the region's hydropower dams, causing factories to shut down.
Then in 1973 was the Yom Kippur War and the resulting oil embargoes. With the gas rationing,
conservation programs, etc. People at both the BPA and utilities believed
that 1973 would be just the beginning. The only thing to do was to push forward
to Phase II of the Hydro-Thermal Power Program and build more nuclear plants.
The hope was that "twinning" WNP-4 and WNP-5 with WNP-1 and WNP-3 at
Hanford and Satsop can realize some $400 million of cost savings. And at the time,
the feeling about progress at the three plants was that they were
slow but on the right track. A feeling that later turned out to be incorrect.
With net billing no longer available, utilities were asked to commit themselves to building the
plants, then estimated to cost $2.25 billion. With the BPA's aggressive help - including a
potential threat of shutoff by 1983 - 88 utilities signed an agreement by 1976.
One major exception to the trend was the big utility Seattle Light,
which owned its own hydropower stations and was not heavily dependent on the BPA.
They asked the Seattle city council for authorization to buy into the WNP-4 and
5 projects, and the council voted no, saying that it cost too much.
## What Went Wrong
That is how Washington Supply System committed to five nuclear power projects in five years.
And as it turned out, many of the assumptions motivating that urgency were incorrect.
First of all, the Washington state region was not hurdling towards a power crisis.
As they like to say, past performance is not indicative of future returns.
The 5-7% annual growth forecasts had been prepared by a body called the Pacific Northwest Utility
Conference Committee, which compiled historical data from utilities and made a crude projection.
But some of this historical growth can be attributed to the fact that
the Pacific Northwest had some of the lowest power costs in the country,
thanks to its plentiful hydropower dams. No sophisticated economic analysis was
done to see what might happen if the price of power went up. And it came to be that rising
energy prices and good conservation programs blunted that demand curve.
During the Seattle Light drama, an outside consulting firm was brought
in to do their own estimates of future electricity demand,
and what they came up with was 1.5% - far lower than even Seattle's low 4-5% forecast.
The second major miscalculation was believing that nuclear power plants would get cheaper
as they got bigger. Back in the 1960s, GE told potential customers that net
cost per kilowatt for a 1,000 megawatt plant would be half that of a 200 megawatt plant.
There had been no data to back this assertion and as they tried
to build these new facilities they found it was not true. In 1967,
the AEC estimated that a 1,100 megawatt plant would cost $134 million. Two years later,
that was revised up 79% to $240 million. That price trend would only go up in the coming years.
## Mismanagement
But those do not excuse the fact that the single biggest factor behind the debacle was
Washington Supply System's struggle to manage the project within the restraints put upon it.
Washington grew its staff to 550 and then 2,000 people. But even so they were
ill-equipped to handle what was without question the biggest megaproject in the US at the time.
These five plants were rushed to construction with no attempt to achieve economies of scale.
Consider the French nuclear industry. Many of the French plants built in the 1970s had
the same 900 megawatt design with the same components and shared a single supply chain.
Washington Supply System's five plants,
on the other hand, were of three different designs done by three different designers.
It was noted that a state law nominally prevented consolidation of the jobs and that no standard
design then existed. Nevertheless, the savings would have been substantial.
EDF was a massive organization run by a tight-knit group of educated elites. And
they kept a tight grip on the project, embedding their own people at the engineering sites and
strictly refused to take on design changes even when they seemed good on the surface.
Washington Supply System - perhaps overwhelmed - exercised lax control over its contractors. They
elected three separate architect/engineers - apparently to spread out the risk - who
then struck different contracts with different supply and engineering firms.
Contracts were awarded while the designs were still being finalized. And contractors were
allowed to make changes on the fly - leading to careless modifications, component delays,
lots of waiting around, shoddy work, and extensive rework.
One concrete and steel job was initially estimated at
$40 million but the moving goalposts caused its price to balloon to well over $200 million.
In another major incident, in June 1980, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission or NRC
fined Washington Supply System $61,000 when they discovered that the sacrificial
shield wall - a protective barrier between the reactor vessel and the
containment buildings - was done profoundly terribly and would not survive an accident.
The issue was that bad work was being done on top of bad work. Inspectors reported
cracks in the wall's structural beams since 1977. Even so, two contractors built on top
of its flawed structure. This is not on the workers, but their supervisors.
Washington initially thought the fix would take 3 weeks,
it ended up taking 13 months of 24/7 work by over 100 workers.
## Mismanagement: Labor Strife And then there was extensive labor strife
between the contractors and the labor unions doing the work.
In 1976, a strike by the Plumbers and Steamfitters union shut down work entirely for four months,
costing up to $500,000 each day. Washington Supply System struggled
to mediate between the contractors and its unions.
The unionized workers felt that they were being blamed for what they thought
was incompetent management. And they are of course right.
But it is a two way street. I should note this was the 1970s, a time of ... volatility,
and the workers were not doing their best work. They did whatever they can get away with.
Walkoffs and strikes continued throughout the next few years.
Between April 1978 and July 1979, there were over 100 work stoppages or secondary
boycotts. And at Satsop alone, there were 18 labor disputes in just 1979.
## Mismanagement: Just Sad Things
And then there are the things that just make you sad.
The hope had been that "twinning" the number 4 and 5 stations would save money.
But the time between construction start of these two build phases
were so close together that none of those benefits were ever realized.
In August 1978, heavy rains in Satsop washed away all the excavation work
done for WNP-3 and 5 into a nearby creek, adding $51 million to the cost. The area
gets an average of 90 inches of rain each year, this should have been accounted for.
And then in early 1979 came a double hit. First,
the movie thriller called "China Syndrome", depicting a possible nuclear reactor meltdown.
Twelve days after the movie was released came the nuclear incident
at Three Mile Island - an accident that shattered the credibility of
the American nuclear industry and led to a massive revamp in the NRC's overview.
Washington Supply System employees later blame the NRC and its safety regulations
for 50% of the project's overruns in its first four years. This estimate has been
contested, with others instead blaming Washington's general mismanagement.
## Ballooning Costs
The estimated price tag of $4 billion for all five plants
had been too optimistic from the very beginning.
Even as utilities were committing to plants 4 and 5, the strikes, delays,
and new changes were blowing the original estimates out of the water.
By 1978, the plants were delayed by two years and costs went up to
$8.5 billion. In 1979, that had gone up to $11.7 billion. By the end of 1980,
the time delay had stretched to 13 years and costs to $17.3 billion.
Those costs had to go somewhere. Rates rose very quickly from 0.351 cents per kilowatt-hour in 1979
to 2.2 cents in 1983. A significant portion of those rises can be attributed to the power plants.
This was 1979. Per polls, the number one issue that people cared about that
year was inflation and energy. The absolute worst thing to be doing was raising rates.
At the same time, Washington Supply System's interest rates rose from
5.93% in 1977 to 11.77% in 1981. Part of this was the inflationary environment,
but there were also concerns that they were selling too many bonds.
From 1978 to 1980, 20% of all the gas and electric bonds came from Washington alone.
By 1980, they were selling $200 million every
45 days. Half of the company's costs were just the interest on its debts.
Worse yet, the people buying those bonds were not given proper information about the state
of the project. In late 1979, a mutual fund manager reportedly toured the site himself,
and then immediately sold every Washington Supply System bond they had. Yet Washington
kept selling $200 million of bonds almost right up until the end.
## Cancellation
The early 1980s saw the US economy hit by a sizable recession.
Unemployment rates in Washington state doubled from 1979. Lumber mills closed
and electricity demand plunged. With the rough economic situation,
there was no possible justification to finish all five power plants.
In early 1981, the new Washington Supply System director Robert Ferguson orders a
ground-up cost estimate for the project. The new estimate puts the cost of completion at
$23 billion, or about $86 billion today.
As one estimate put it, enough to build the Great Wall of China with union labor.
Ferguson realized that the organization simply cannot do it and recommends that the board put
a 1-year moratorium on construction for plants 4 and 5. The board is shocked,
feeling that they had not been told about all this, but agrees.
The fallout is immediate. Wall Street analysts predict that plants 4 and 5
will not be completed. Thousands of workers in Hanford are laid off, and they protest.
The ratepayers rose up in fury, suing their local utilities to keep them from paying for the plants.
In January 1982, WNP-4 and 5 are cancelled. But of course,
the bondholders still want to get paid back for the bonds they bought for those projects. The
utilities - and their ratepayers - were on the hook. In some cases up to $12,000 per customer.
However the Washington Supreme Court makes a somewhat dodgy ruling that
the utilities and energy cooperatives did not legitimately enter the agreement for 4 and 5,
releasing them from their obligations to the project.
So in August 1983, Washington Supply System defaults on the $2.2 billion of bonds issued for
stations 4 and 5. It was the largest municipal default in American history up until then.
## Conclusion
As with any lawsuit, the bondholders sued, alleging malfeasance, incompetence, and fraud.
The lawsuit dragged on for six years and was finally resolved in late December 1988
with the 75,000 bondholders getting 10 to 40 cents back for every dollar they put in. The
lawyers certainly made out well, earning $33 million, though they asked for $100.
The estimate to finish WNP-1, 2, and 3 was over $12 billion - a ridiculous number. They
raised $1.6 billion in an attempt to continue before deciding to cancel 1
and 3 - with both at over 60% completion rate - so they can just focus on WNP-2.
WNP-2 finally opened in 1984 at the cost of nearly $3,000 per kilowatt. To compare,
the French had an average weighted cost of $1,200 per kilowatt.
It is now called Columbia Generating Station and has worked fine without
much drama. Which is exactly what you want out of a nuclear power station.
In 1995, the remains of WNP-1 and 3 were demolished.
The two plants at Satsop are still out there
and are frequently the subject of YouTube exploration videos.
Finishing the first nuclear plant somewhat redeemed Washington Supply System but a lot
of the baggage remained. In 1998, they renamed themselves to Energy
Northwest - after paying $260,000 to deal with a trademark issue.
Since then, they have kept their heads down, successfully developing other renewable forms
of energy like the Nine Canyons wind turbine project and the Horn Rapids solar projects
alongside Packwood and Columbia. A troubled start, but a reliable cornerstone since.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The Washington Public Power Supply System (WPPSS), nicknamed 'Whoops', was an agency formed in 1956 by 17 public utility districts in Washington state. Initially, its purpose was to ensure a stable power supply for its member utilities, which were concerned about the federal government potentially reducing its involvement in power generation. WPPSS successfully funded and built the Packwood Lake hydroelectric project and partnered with the Atomic Energy Commission to build the Hanford One nuclear power plant. However, driven by an assumption of continuous energy demand growth and spurred by the energy crises of the 1970s, WPPSS embarked on an ambitious plan to build five nuclear power plants (WNP-1, WNP-2, WNP-3, WNP-4, and WNP-5). This plan was plagued by escalating costs, mismanagement, labor disputes, design changes, and flawed execution. The projected costs ballooned from an initial $4 billion to an estimated $23 billion for completion. Ultimately, WNP-4 and WNP-5 were canceled in 1982, leading to the largest municipal bond default in American history at that time. WNP-1 and WNP-3 were also eventually canceled. Only WNP-2, later renamed Columbia Generating Station, was completed in 1984 at a very high cost. WPPSS subsequently renamed itself Energy Northwest and focused on other renewable energy projects, eventually finding success.
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