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Double Down or Take Profits on $HOOD?

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Double Down or Take Profits on $HOOD?

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1142 segments

0:01

[Music]

0:03

Robin Hood stock hit a new all-time high

0:05

yesterday, $100 a share. They announced

0:07

this week that they're expanding cryptos

0:09

trading to all of the EU countries. The

0:12

big headline is that they're going to

0:13

start tokenizing US stocks. So, for the

0:15

first time ever, US stocks can be traded

0:17

in Europe as a new type of crypto on

0:19

their newlyannounced Robin Hood

0:21

blockchain. They say that they can

0:22

actually tokenize any asset from real

0:24

estate to private companies, which they

0:26

did, and they gave away both SpaceX and

0:28

Open AI in token form to Robin Hood

0:31

account holders in the EU. This week's

0:33

announcement follows their last event a

0:35

few months ago where they announced that

0:36

they're launching banking services in

0:38

the US. And of course, they also have

0:40

their own prediction markets. They do

0:42

futures. It's all a part of their

0:43

overall master plan to ultimately be a

0:46

part of every financial transaction that

0:48

you make. So clearly, the market likes

0:50

what it sees. So far, the stock is near

0:51

all-time highs, but is it too high? Is

0:54

this the top? The stock price has

0:56

tripled in the last 3 months. They're

0:58

now worth about half of what the big dog

1:00

Schwab is with with their higher value

1:02

customers and massive assets under

1:04

management. So, today on Dumb Money,

1:06

we're going to decide if now is the time

1:07

for us to take profits in Robin Hood or

1:09

maybe, just maybe, we should double

1:11

down. This is Dumb Money Live.

1:16

[Music]

1:18

Hey there, Dave here along with Chris

1:19

and Jordan. We are Dumb Money. Welcome

1:20

to Dumb Money Live. Quick reminder to

1:23

smash the like button. The almighty

1:24

algorithm needs all the help you can get

1:26

as we head into a long Fourth of July

1:28

weekend. It just takes a second. It's

1:30

quick. It's easy. It's free. Find a like

1:32

button somewhere on the interface you're

1:34

watching. Smash away. Chris, uh, love

1:37

the outfit. Uh, before everyone heads

1:41

out for the fourth.

1:42

That is that is amazing.

1:45

If had I known, I would have worn my

1:46

Fourth of July costume as well.

1:49

Um,

1:54

is there a better Dave Jordan, is there

1:57

a better stock to be talking about for

2:00

the Fourth of July episode than Robin

2:02

Hood? Is there a better Is there a

2:04

better representation of American

2:08

ingenuity, of American ambition,

2:11

of American perseverance, of American

2:14

creativity, of American aggressiveness?

2:17

uh founder. Um but it it's a stock

2:21

that's become one of my biggest

2:22

holdings. And Chris, just a few days

2:24

ago, I saw that you posted on X uh that

2:27

Robin Hood has become your top holding.

2:30

You know what? It grew into becoming my

2:33

top holding. It

2:34

It's one of those It's one of those.

2:35

Yes. That that just you bought what you

2:37

thought you needed and it just kept

2:38

going up.

2:40

It just kept

2:40

the last three months. Any stock that

2:42

triples that you hold a lot of is going

2:44

to end up being your top holding. If you

2:46

remember, Robin Hood was I don't it was

2:50

floating between 17 and $26 a share and

2:55

we would regularly talk about it someday

2:58

being the biggest financial institution

3:00

in the world which at the time sounded

3:02

clinically insane. Yeah.

3:04

Okay. And it sounds a lot less insane

3:08

today than it did just months ago when

3:12

we were talking about it being the

3:14

largest financial institution in the

3:16

world. Now people I think are starting

3:18

to see what we have seen for a long

3:21

time. And those of you all that haven't

3:24

been following us for 10 years, you

3:26

might not remember the fact that we

3:31

called every single series. I think it

3:34

was series seed shareholder of Robin

3:38

Hood. Uh this is many years before it

3:40

went public because we had come to the

3:43

conclusion that Robin Hood was going to

3:46

be a very big deal. We actually called

3:49

them with one of our other partners and

3:51

asked if they would sell us some of

3:53

their shares privately. Every single one

3:56

of them, including I think it was Snoop

3:58

Dogg.

3:58

Snoop Dog. Yeah, we found we found Snoop

4:00

Dogg shares that we were trying to get.

4:03

They all said no. They Everyone said no.

4:05

There was one person left and it was uh

4:09

a guy that owned a winery outside of San

4:12

Francisco.

4:14

Uh our business partner Smoot called him

4:19

and he said, "I'll sell you a million

4:22

dollars of my Robin Hood." And so the

4:25

four of us split that million dollar uh

4:29

allocation. Now, it still had to be

4:31

approved by the general counsel. So, we

4:34

had the entire deal done and everything

4:37

was ready to go. And we sent all the

4:39

paperwork to the Robin Hood general

4:41

counsel who never signed the deal. Two

4:45

and a half months later, we didn't know

4:47

what to do. We kept pinging and pinging

4:49

and he just wouldn't respond. So I had

4:52

met Vlad many many years earlier at

4:55

social um no l stock palu Howard Linden

5:00

stock pulooa in San Diego when Vlad was

5:04

originally pitching Robin Hood before it

5:06

was even a real company and at the time

5:09

Howard Linden I think was the first

5:12

check into Robin Hood and I was invested

5:15

in the fund and I went up to Howard and

5:17

said this is the dumbest thing you've

5:19

ever done. you're going to lose our

5:21

money with this one cuz I I heard Vlad

5:23

speak and I was like this guy is out of

5:25

his mind and this is never going to work

5:28

like just I I was a non-believer

5:31

non-believer early on. Okay.

5:33

How how things change

5:35

but but I had a few conversations with

5:38

Vad back Jordan. Remember when we had

5:40

ticker tags and we had a big deal

5:42

working with Vlad and Robin Hood and we

5:44

were going to do this big integration

5:46

and for we just both got distracted and

5:49

we it never materialized. But because I

5:52

had those conversations with him back

5:53

then I had an open door to communicate

5:56

with him. So I emailed Vlad and I said

5:58

listen

6:00

we are not short-term shareholders. Uh

6:03

we're going to buy this stock and we

6:06

will not be selling it before the IPO.

6:08

We are we are believers. Can you please

6:11

get your uh general counsel to sign off

6:14

on this share transfer and the next day

6:18

the next day we got the call and it was

6:20

signed

6:21

and and we became owners of Robin Hood.

6:24

Now

6:24

somewhere I still have the they they

6:26

sent like a certificate form of the

6:28

share in a PDF that I printed out. Like

6:31

how is this even a way to transact

6:33

shares? Tokenization makes so much more

6:36

sense.

6:37

Yeah. Well, it was so complex, but then

6:40

the Robin Hood IPOed and a lot happened

6:42

during that time. Remember, like if if

6:44

we're going back, remember we did the

6:45

big Robin Hood episode when they got in

6:48

trouble with GameStop and we were angry

6:51

with Robin Hood and we were we were

6:53

shareholders but still did not like the

6:56

decision that they apparently made,

6:58

maybe forced into making. But I also

7:02

thought even though like I would I

7:05

thought the company was being

7:06

irresponsible to put itself in a

7:09

situation where that could happen. It

7:13

was a lot of brokers and I did not think

7:16

that they deserved uh what they received

7:20

in the marketplace. I just thought that

7:22

Vlad at the time quite honestly was a

7:24

terrible communicator. Um, and I

7:27

defended the company and our audience

7:30

went nuts on me like start like

7:33

basically

7:34

uh uh uh started to drop dumb money made

7:38

me pull off my Robin Hood shirt on that

7:40

episode. Remember I had to pull it off

7:42

mid episode. Yeah,

7:43

it it was it was a low moment for me

7:46

quite it might have been one of my

7:47

lowest moments in all the years that

7:49

we've been doing dumb money and I always

7:52

hoped that at some point in the future

7:55

the world would would move on beyond

7:58

that. It was a low moment, not just for

8:00

you, but for Robin Hood. For Robin Hood,

8:02

I think I think it's kind of come full

8:04

circle, right? Because what nearly took

8:06

them out, they're now battling back

8:08

against using tokenization, right?

8:11

What? What? Using what?

8:12

Tokenization.

8:14

Oh. Oh. Oh, you're right. Using tok No,

8:16

you're totally right. Because

8:18

look, the the antiquated clearing system

8:21

for stocks is kind of what almost took

8:23

them out. Um, and they want to they want

8:25

to push back against that. And I, you

8:27

know, I I think that's a good idea.

8:31

Well, that that that's a great way of

8:33

thinking about this is if tokenization

8:36

was the standard back then, this might

8:40

that might not have ever happened. The

8:42

whole GameStop fiasco with Robin Hood

8:45

might have never

8:46

That's right. It's just this antiquated

8:48

way of dealing with funds and custody of

8:52

stocks that um that really I mean you

8:56

know uh everybody's mad at Robin Hood

8:58

but it wasn't really their fault. I mean

9:00

you could make an argument that they

9:01

needed to have more funding to

9:05

uh you know to avoid situations like

9:08

that but really it's just a you know

9:11

that was such a low odds situation that

9:13

they were put into. Yeah, but I mean if

9:17

the the backlash was huge, there's a

9:19

whole movie about it. We're in the

9:21

movie. And if you if you don't recall,

9:24

the reason that everyone was pissed off

9:26

at Robin Hood is because you couldn't

9:29

you couldn't buy the stock. You could

9:31

only sell the stock, right? And so

9:34

GameStop was this fastmoving stock that

9:37

was going hyperbolic, but then started

9:40

to tank and you nobody was allowed on

9:44

Robin Hood to buy. They they deleted the

9:46

buy button so that you couldn't you

9:48

couldn't buy shares.

9:49

And Dave, that wasn't just Robin Hood.

9:51

That was like a dozen other random

9:54

brokerages were in the same exact

9:55

situation. And it was because there was

9:57

too high of a concentration risk around

10:00

getting like a backup behind one stock

10:02

of shares that it takes a while to clear

10:06

and you just cannot have that big of a

10:10

backup. Anyway, this is fascinating

10:12

because on the IPO, if you remember

10:15

this, I shortly after the IPO, when it

10:18

when I was able to legally do so, as

10:20

soon as I was able to sell, I sold my

10:22

Robin Hood and I was like, this is going

10:25

to be a hangover for this company for a

10:28

while. And also, the regulatory

10:30

environment was not really in the favor

10:35

of a team like Robin Hood that wanted to

10:38

be aggressive. And I just it was not a

10:40

good time to be in Robin Hood. I sold

10:42

out.

10:43

Stock chart from IPO day

10:46

shot up and then basically just fell off

10:49

for for years and just was was kind of

10:52

stagnant.

10:54

I I started to buy back in I think at

10:56

$17 a share, $167 a share. I got in

11:01

really really heavy at about 20 $30 a

11:05

share. That's when we went all in on

11:07

Robin Hood and we started doing our

11:08

Robin Hood episodes last year.

11:10

Yeah.

11:10

Um and it was really the the primary

11:13

thesis that we had around Robin Hood at

11:15

the time was that Robin Hood Vlad and

11:19

his team uh were going to be the biggest

11:22

beneficiaries of a deregulatory Trump

11:25

administration. That was our ultimate

11:27

thesis. and all of the things that Robin

11:30

Hood had always dreamed of doing, uh,

11:32

that they were stuck the last few years,

11:35

they were going to come out like animals

11:37

during the Trump administration and just

11:39

do it all.

11:41

They launched their prediction market in

11:43

anticipation of Trump winning, saying,

11:44

"Oh, we're not going to get in trouble.

11:45

We'll just we'll just launch the

11:46

prediction market and predict the

11:48

presidency."

11:49

So, all of the things that you've seen

11:51

Robin Hood do, this has been in planning

11:55

for a long, long time. And I'm going to

11:58

tell you something right now. This is

12:01

just the beginning. There are so many

12:04

other things that this company wants to

12:07

do, intends to do. And I actually think

12:11

that they are going to shove all of

12:13

those new projects into the next two and

12:16

a half years. Okay? Like I think three

12:18

and a half years, whatever. While this

12:20

administration is still is still in

12:22

control, I think we are going to see

12:25

three of the wildest years we've ever

12:27

seen in fin creative financial

12:32

uh assets and structuring

12:35

just because of what Robin Hood they're

12:37

going to push they're going to push the

12:40

limits of this administration.

12:42

Yeah. So your your idea is that the DOJ

12:44

is not going to be pushing back on

12:45

banking regulations and things like

12:46

that. Uh, so Jordan, can I just I I'll

12:49

give you I'll give you one example.

12:51

Okay. So,

12:53

because that has been a legitimate

12:55

concern, by the way.

12:56

Okay. So, so the SEC chair Paul Atkins

13:01

um was hailing tokenization as an

13:04

innovation and vowing to put an end to

13:07

regulation through enforcement by making

13:11

clearer rules. What is the one thing

13:14

that every financial institution has

13:17

asked for forever? All they've asked for

13:20

is give us rules.

13:22

Yeah. Let us know what the rules are.

13:23

Give us the groundwork,

13:24

right?

13:25

And we'll follow them.

13:26

Allow us to operate around clear rules

13:29

that you set. If you tell us what we can

13:32

do and what we can't do, we will figure

13:35

out a way to do things legally. Okay.

13:38

The issue is this damn government has

13:42

never set the rules. They've just said,

13:45

"Well, we're not going to tell you

13:47

anything and then as soon as you do

13:48

anything, we're going to go after you."

13:51

Which is

13:51

which is insane. It's not the way. Yeah.

13:54

It's kind of It's kind of like the tax

13:56

code, Jordan. Right.

13:57

Right.

13:59

I mean, they kind of

14:01

all the tax rules. We We know exactly

14:02

how much you owe, but we're not going to

14:04

tell you. You just have to guess. Send

14:06

us what you think you owe. And if it's

14:07

not enough, we're going to penalize you

14:10

and put you in jail.

14:11

Yeah. So, so getting to the question of

14:14

this episode because it's I' I've

14:16

received so many DMs, so many texts from

14:18

friends because listen, if you're in my

14:21

sphere of of like friendship, uh you are

14:24

in Robin Hood because this is all we

14:25

talk about is Robin Hood and Nvidia.

14:28

Like during our free time, they've all

14:30

been asking me like, "What do we do?

14:31

Like what do we do? Do we sell? Do we

14:34

continue to buy?" I had a I I had one of

14:36

my buddies text me, Eric, uh literally

14:39

an hour ago, and he his his text was

14:46

uh almost feels like Hood is a buy right

14:49

here, guys. We'll just watch the episode

14:51

in 45 minutes. I'll take this moment to

14:53

remind everyone we're not financial

14:55

adviserss. We're just joking around with

14:57

what we're actually doing, what our

14:59

thesis is. We are extremely

15:02

uh risk tolerant. and your risk profile

15:05

is very different from ours. So, do not

15:06

copy our trades or our thesis. Just use

15:08

this as a as as idea generation.

15:11

But to answer the question of the title

15:13

of this episode, it sounds very much

15:15

like you're not selling Robin Hood,

15:17

you're doubling down.

15:19

Well, it's not necessarily that I'm

15:21

doubling down, but I am not selling one

15:25

penny of my Robin Hood. I haven't even

15:27

thought about it for one second. But

15:29

I'll give you the why behind that. And

15:31

it first of all, to be fair, it's my

15:33

number one position. It's my largest

15:35

position. So, for me to double down in

15:37

Robin Hood would be a really big deal.

15:40

Uh, but I am not selling my Robin Hood.

15:43

And here's why. I think that what we

15:47

just saw with the tokenization of

15:50

financial assets sounds like a really

15:53

big deal, and it is a really big deal.

15:56

But I think what the more important

15:58

storyline

16:00

is

16:01

what got Robin Hood to that point and

16:04

it's what we've been saying. I think

16:06

that Vlad and his team have plans to

16:09

take over the entire financial world and

16:11

this is just one piece of it. I do think

16:14

that they are going to try to accomplish

16:16

as much of that as possible in the next

16:18

three years. I think Robin Hood is going

16:20

to do things that are going to stun you.

16:23

I think they are going to get into real

16:25

estate like we've talked about in the

16:26

past, right? Like I think they're going

16:28

to try to get into markets where no

16:32

other uh traditional finan like a

16:35

financial broker would even attempt to

16:38

get into. But I think Robin Hood is

16:40

going to be so aggressive the next few

16:42

years that I can't even imagine not

16:46

having a big stake in this company

16:48

because there is no other financial

16:50

institution that I'm even aware of that

16:53

even has a plan to attempt to do the

16:56

things that I think Robin Hood is going

16:58

to attempt to do. I think Robin Hood is

17:01

going to be very much like Amazon.

17:04

Remember during the last 15 years when

17:06

Amazon would get into an industry it's

17:09

like oh my gosh they're going to take

17:10

over that industry like like

17:13

bookto is going to now sell toys.

17:16

Yeah like Amazon's going to sell drugs

17:18

now like like you're going to get all

17:19

your prescriptions from Amazon or

17:21

Amazon's going to do this or that. It's

17:23

like whoa what is Amazon not going to

17:25

do? I think we're going to see a similar

17:28

setup with Robin Hood over the next few

17:30

years where they're going to plant

17:32

themselves into different industry

17:35

sectors until someone says, "Now, you've

17:39

gone too far." Okay, you've gone too

17:42

far. I don't know that anyone's going to

17:44

say that the next few years. And

17:46

and that's okay. So to play devil's

17:49

advocate here, are you at all concerned

17:51

about their current valuation compared

17:54

to competitors? Schwab is the one that

17:57

obviously comes to mind.

17:58

I don't think you can compare them to

17:59

Schwab because the growth trajectory and

18:01

growth rates are totally different.

18:03

What if Schwab? Okay, so if you think

18:05

about Schwab, Schwab used to be a, you

18:07

know, a online broker that charged for

18:10

trades and then Robin Hood came along

18:12

and they had to offer free trades.

18:14

What's to prevent uh I'm not investing

18:17

in Schwab. I'm investing in Robin Hood.

18:18

I'm just trying to ask the question,

18:21

what is to prevent Schwab from saying,

18:22

"Oh, well, we can do prediction markets.

18:24

We can do tokenization. We can do these

18:26

things. Once Robin Hood gets in trouble

18:29

or doesn't get in trouble, they've laid

18:31

the groundwork. We we'll just do what

18:32

they do." I think they ultimately will

18:35

do a lot, not everything, but a lot of

18:38

the things that Robin Hood is doing, but

18:39

they're going to do it way later, way

18:42

slower, in much more of an antiquated

18:45

way. And they are not going to capture

18:47

the minds of the the the the customer

18:51

set. Meaning that if you are a youngish

18:54

investor, you do not want to be sitting

18:58

with, you know, a a grandpa company like

19:02

Schwab because it's not fun. It's not

19:05

interesting. You're always going to be

19:06

years behind in what you're able to do.

19:08

Like if Robin Hood can somehow pull off

19:11

real estate like we've been talking

19:12

about, if Robin Hood can figure out a

19:15

way to tokenize

19:17

real estate and to actually be the

19:20

company that helps facilitate those

19:22

transactions as well as all other

19:25

financial transactions in the world, uh

19:28

that's a company that you're going to

19:30

want to be with. Otherwise, you're

19:31

waiting years and years for your

19:33

financial institution to catch up. And

19:35

quite honestly, the majority of young

19:38

accounts are

19:39

Yeah. I just think I think Schwab has

19:41

just missed the boat on this younger

19:43

generation by not having, you know,

19:45

crypto and all these things just default

19:47

in their iPhone app. You can't I mean,

19:50

how do you come back from that?

19:51

Well, Dave, we've all worked Listen,

19:53

when we were younger, we all worked at

19:56

huge incumbent companies. You spent a

19:58

decade of your life at Yahoo. Is there

20:01

was there any way even if you had people

20:04

at Yahoo back in the day that saw

20:06

something and said we need to jump on

20:07

this quickly. It's like three years

20:09

later before they actually do and then

20:11

they do it in a worse way and right you

20:13

know

20:14

there were there were people jumping on

20:15

things all the time but actually pushing

20:17

it to the finish line and launching it

20:19

as a product be it just became such a

20:22

it's like trying to move through

20:24

molasses. You can't do it at a big

20:26

company. And that's where I feel like

20:27

companies like Google, we we've been

20:28

talking about Google and the AI race. I

20:30

feel like Google is actually doing more

20:33

than we would have expected

20:35

considering how big and slow they are.

20:37

But um yeah, I just don't see Schwab

20:40

being able to, you know, put it into

20:42

high gear and launch innovative products

20:46

fast enough to get a younger generation

20:49

that, you know, all these you

20:52

Why? I just think it's true. I just

20:54

think they've already, you know, they've

20:55

already missed that customer.

20:57

Do do you know what I think is the

20:58

biggest uh white flag

21:02

on Robin Hood is they did something that

21:05

I thought was stupid, really stupid, but

21:07

it was a big white flag. The fact that

21:09

they came out, you remember when they

21:11

came out a few months ago and announced

21:13

that they were going to deliver cash to

21:16

you if you needed cash? That was a dumb

21:19

thing. I don't really understand it. But

21:22

the fact that someone said this would be

21:25

cool. Let's let's float this. Let's just

21:28

see if it works. And and and the company

21:31

said, "What the hell? Let's deliver cash

21:34

to people." Could you even imagine?

21:37

Could you even imagine a scenario where

21:40

a Charles Schwab or any other financial

21:42

institution in the world

21:44

that conversation happening within the

21:46

walls of Charles Schwab or Goldman Sachs

21:49

or you know

21:50

would that product ever make it to the

21:52

light of day? Never. That one product,

21:56

the fact that the CEO came out and said,

21:59

"Hey, we're just going to start

22:00

delivering cash to you." not knowing if

22:02

it would be the dumbest thing in the

22:04

world if anybody would use it or if it

22:05

would even still be a product in six

22:07

months. The fact that this company is

22:09

willing to take a risk on something as

22:11

stupid as that.

22:12

Yeah.

22:13

Now, you know, they're going to take the

22:15

risk on other things that have potential

22:18

to be multi-deion

22:20

industries if they work. That's what I

22:23

love. That's what that's why we're doing

22:25

this episode on the Fourth of July

22:27

weekend, right? Like this is what

22:29

America is all about. taking huge risks

22:32

to do great things, things that are so

22:35

wild and so creative that nobody

22:38

anywhere in the world in their right

22:40

mind would ever even consider doing

22:42

anything like this. The spirit of

22:45

American entrepreneurial like like

22:48

business like this is it. This is what

22:51

this company is all about. This is what

22:53

Robin Hood is about. like this is why

22:55

they're my number one position because I

22:57

would rather roll the dice with this

22:59

company and take a chance that they

23:01

might be a little bit overvalued right

23:02

now based on what they've currently

23:04

achieved. Uh because

23:06

I do want to bring up one thing that

23:08

people are bringing up in the chat and

23:10

that is this private

23:14

you know uh where you can invest in

23:15

private companies

23:17

via tokenization.

23:20

um they they distributed OpenAI shares

23:23

and they distributed SpaceX shares and

23:26

you sent the text um you know a little

23:28

bit before the episode that Open AI has

23:30

come out and said we didn't approve any

23:32

of this. So I want to talk about that

23:34

because this is part of the moving fast

23:36

breaking things. Is this a big problem

23:39

that they say they can deliver this and

23:42

n

23:44

tell me why I've got thoughts on this

23:45

and I'd like

23:46

Okay. So, so I think before we talk

23:48

about what what they're doing, I think

23:50

uh let's explain to everyone how this

23:52

works. So, in in secondary markets, a

23:56

lot of the companies, this was started

23:57

by Elon Musk and and then copied by Sam

24:00

Alman. Uh they have extraordinarily

24:02

strict rules on transfer of private

24:06

shares. So they technically have rules

24:08

that they do not allow you to sell your

24:12

shares to any

24:13

Well, that's what we were talking about

24:14

earlier with when we were trying to buy

24:16

Robin Hood shares. They it literally had

24:17

to be signed off by the general counsel

24:19

who let it just sit on his desk for, you

24:22

know, months

24:23

because when we did that transaction,

24:26

people would only do transactions in the

24:28

right way. Years later, we acquired or I

24:32

acquired, I think you guys might have

24:33

acquired them as well, I believe. So,

24:35

Coinbase shares before they went public.

24:37

And the way that that a lot of people

24:40

were transacting Coinbase shares because

24:42

those were not approved uh to trade

24:44

either privately is you you would

24:46

actually do uh you would actually do a

24:50

forward contract with an employee. So,

24:52

you find an employee, you do not

24:55

transfer the shares, right? The shares

24:56

are not transferred. You get into a

24:58

private legal agreement. It costs about

25:00

$5,000 of legal. And that employee, you

25:04

have to trust them, basically commits

25:06

legally to sell you those shares at a

25:09

set price uh once the shares are public

25:13

and they're capable and legally able to

25:15

sell you those shares.

25:16

And by the way, most of the preIPO

25:18

stocks that I've invested in is via this

25:21

method, right? So via the SPV it's it's

25:24

an agreement that you get those shares

25:27

whenever the employee you know has

25:30

access to them then they can transfer

25:32

them to you.

25:33

Yeah. So so this this happens. So there

25:35

are many there are actually many

25:37

different creative ways and this is why

25:39

you have all these secondary uh market

25:41

brokers now that are trading shares

25:45

buying and selling shares even though

25:48

it is not permitted. It's a gray area.

25:51

So the question you have,

25:52

so it's a gray area, but I think look,

25:55

so this is the way that I think about

25:56

it. It I think it's fine as long as it's

25:59

disclosed what the what what the status

26:01

of those shares are, right? And so if

26:04

you're going to tokenize OpenAI shares,

26:07

I think it just needs to be disclosed

26:08

that these aren't actually shares. These

26:11

are a promise to shares via some, you

26:14

know, SPV agreement or whatever. And it

26:16

it just needs to be disclosed.

26:18

Yeah. A and there is there is fin there

26:21

is risk here. There's legal risk that

26:23

someone like an Elon or Sam Alman

26:25

someone can sue Robin Hood for helping

26:28

to facilitate

26:31

uh an action which is not permitted. I

26:33

think the opposite side of that story is

26:36

these CEOs are focused on a lot of

26:39

things. They don't like this. They might

26:42

sue someone, but they have way more

26:44

important things than, you know, someone

26:47

trading secondary shares. Like the

26:49

But who hates it more? Do you think the

26:51

CEO hates it more or do you think the VC

26:54

firms hate it more?

26:56

I don't think anyone likes it, uh, VC or

27:00

the CEOs. But, and by the way, a lot of

27:03

what's h I'm glad you brought that up,

27:04

Jordan, because I talk about this all

27:06

the time. What's happening right now in

27:09

private in private company finances

27:12

financing is that traditionally uh

27:15

companies would be relying on the

27:16

venture capital network to raise funding

27:19

that is breaking down. What's happening

27:22

now is individual investors whether it's

27:24

high- netw worth family offices uh guys

27:28

like us that want to acquire shares of

27:32

Andrew or any of these hot companies in

27:34

the private market. Um, we are now going

27:37

direct to that company through like a

27:40

random SPV provider that says, "You know

27:42

what? Give me 25 million bucks. Give me

27:45

$50 million." I

27:46

like our guy that got us into uh um

27:49

Figure.

27:51

Correct. Uh you know, we went through,

27:54

you know, one of those people when we

27:56

acquired Figure years ago, we were

27:57

actually transacting this way for

27:59

Appronic. like like we raised, you know,

28:01

I I raised, you know, well over hund00

28:04

million uh for Appronic doing something

28:06

similar. And so this is the new way to

28:12

raise funding. And you do not need to

28:15

rely on a VC to be like thumbs up,

28:19

thumbs down,

28:20

right?

28:21

And you don't get bullied by the VC

28:22

either. When you got when you can find a

28:25

guy that has access to so many

28:28

investors, you can get the money without

28:30

the same terms without

28:31

But but here's the thing, Jordan. It's

28:33

no longer about the guy. The guy is a

28:36

middleman simply transact because what

28:39

you're really doing is okay. So Andrew's

28:41

a great a great example of this. So

28:43

Andrew was on like 60 minutes, I don't

28:45

know, a month ago, five weeks ago. Every

28:48

single day almost I get a call from a

28:51

random person in my network, a high net

28:53

worth person that says, "Chris, I know

28:55

you're invested in Andrew. Can you help

28:57

me get in?" And I'm like, "Well, I got

28:58

in through this person. Let me see if

29:00

they're still doing uh a fund raise."

29:02

Um, but the thing is, the end investors

29:05

are actually seeking those shares. So,

29:08

there's all these marketplaces like Hive

29:11

and Forge where you could actually place

29:13

bids for shares that don't even exist

29:16

yet. And that way that way Forge knows

29:18

like, hey, if we can get this, we've

29:20

already got 50 guys that'll throw in,

29:22

you know, 100K a piece or whatever it

29:24

is.

29:25

Yes. And what's happening is beyond

29:27

those big those big like the big brokers

29:29

that you see like Hive and Forge, there

29:31

are a hundred big SPV guys that are

29:35

doing the same thing with their network.

29:37

So they're calling their guy saying,

29:39

"Hey, I want to buy 5 million of Android

29:41

or 10 million Android." And then the

29:42

guy's like

29:43

or just email. I get emails from these

29:44

guys all the time and they just tell me

29:46

what the current what what they're

29:47

working on.

29:48

Yeah. But but then once they get 20 $30

29:50

million of demand, they then either call

29:53

the company or they will contact

29:56

shareholder. They will say, "Hey, I got

29:58

this ready to go." And the company's

30:00

like, "Dude, there's like a 100 million

30:02

of demand right now for our shares.

30:05

Let's just do a fundraising round and we

30:08

don't have to have a single VC involved

30:12

if we don't want to. But by the way,

30:13

what happens is once that happens, the

30:16

VCs end up backdooring in last to the

30:21

transaction. So this is wild. It used to

30:23

be that you needed the VC thumbs up

30:25

first and then you could backfill with

30:28

these random other investment vehicles.

30:31

Yeah. No, now the CEO can go to the VC

30:33

and say, "These are the terms you want

30:34

in or out."

30:36

Yeah.

30:36

And tokenization almost creates a new a

30:39

new era of liquidity for this type of

30:41

thing and will, I think, make private

30:43

companies rethink the restrictions that

30:45

they've put historically on their their

30:47

their preip.

30:49

They don't have to give up board seats

30:50

to VCs and all this stuff. Um, if they

30:53

don't want to, I think it's a better

30:54

situation.

30:55

Well, correct. But the the V what they

30:56

they don't like what the CEO does not

30:58

like is this are the secondary

31:01

transactions that happen after the

31:03

primary because they want all of the

31:06

demand to then bubble up bubble up

31:09

bubble up until they could do another

31:10

primary transaction with

31:12

yeah the liquidity kind of drains the

31:14

you know drains some of the hype. Um,

31:17

well, I mean, listen, they would prefer

31:19

that once you buy your shares in that

31:21

company, you now have to hold those

31:24

shares until an exit down the road, like

31:26

a an IPO or something, right? Or an

31:29

acquisition.

31:30

They would love you to only get to buy,

31:32

but never get to sell. So, that's what

31:34

the CEO's

31:35

But technically, you haven't sold,

31:37

right? Um, and that's the that's the

31:39

weird thing here. You haven't sold your

31:41

shares. You've sold rights to your

31:43

shares. That's what's getting traded on

31:46

these secondary markets. They're rights.

31:48

They're not shares.

31:49

But Jordan, the problem is it creates

31:51

sell pressure, which brings

31:53

Hey, I know it's market forces, right?

31:55

Yeah. Yeah. I Yeah, but that's why the

31:57

CEOs don't love it. Here's the thing. I

31:59

actually there is regulatory risk

32:02

globally here, right? There's especially

32:04

Europe, there's regulatory risk for

32:05

Robin Hood, and that's something that

32:07

every investor in Robin Hood needs to

32:09

understand right now is massive amounts

32:11

of regulatory risk. There's also lawsuit

32:13

risk coming directly from the companies

32:15

that can say, you know what, we're just

32:16

going to sue Robin Hood because you're

32:18

facilitating this stuff that we have not

32:20

approved. So, that's a real risk factor.

32:22

But, you know what? I'm willing to take

32:24

on that.

32:25

Well, I think you have to let the courts

32:26

decide, right? And and see how it shakes

32:29

out, right?

32:30

But there's something else happening

32:31

here even with tokenization I want to

32:34

talk about because no one's talking

32:35

about this, right? This is the next

32:37

thing on tokenization. So once once you

32:40

start to tokenize all of these assets

32:43

globally, the next big thing. Okay. So

32:46

guys, do you know how where all the

32:49

crypto and all the Bitcoin uh

32:52

transaction volume is going right now?

32:55

Where like the massive amounts of volume

32:57

and is going it it's all going to

33:00

perpetual futures, right? these these

33:02

basically futures where you can get

33:05

three, five, 10x leverage without having

33:09

to like pick a specific future and then

33:12

trade in and out of it. They're just

33:13

always going and going. So, if you just

33:15

want to always have 3x or 5x or 10x on

33:18

Bitcoin, there's a way to do that with

33:20

perpetual futures. Now, the problem is

33:22

those perpetual futures are only with

33:25

like certain crypto exchanges where most

33:27

regular investors don't trade. So, one

33:30

of the things that Robin Hood is trying

33:32

to do is bring those kind of perpetual

33:36

futures to crypto uh on Robin Hood. But

33:41

what they're not talking about, because

33:43

I'm in conversations uh with another

33:46

private company uh that's looking to do

33:49

exactly what I'm about to talk about. Uh

33:51

basically perpetual futures for equities

33:54

to where anyone in the world that wants

33:57

to just be levered in Tesla or levered

34:00

in Nvidia or levered in Robin Hood and

34:03

they just want to have a three, four,

34:04

five, 6x leverage, but they don't even

34:06

live in America. They might live halfway

34:09

around the world. they could actually do

34:12

that through perpetual futures that are

34:15

based on a crypto uh backbone, okay? A

34:19

tokenized backbone, which is what Robin

34:21

Hood now has for for for equities. So,

34:25

the concept of perpetual futures is

34:28

quickly going to come to equities this

34:31

next year. Okay? And let me tell you

34:34

something about perpetual futures.

34:37

I can't even imagine how much money the

34:41

company that brings this to the market

34:43

is going to make every time you trade a

34:46

because these are leverage complex

34:48

vehicles in the background. Yeah.

34:50

Okay. So, you're going to pay a pretty

34:53

penny to be able to trade perpetual

34:57

futures in Tesla uh from Saudi Arabia or

35:01

from the UK or from Brazil. Okay. And so

35:05

there is so much no Vlad knows that he

35:09

sees this right. There is so

35:11

he sees it he sees it in crypto it the

35:14

existing crypto that has perpetual

35:16

futures available and Robin Hood just

35:18

announced they have up to 3x leverage in

35:20

I believe just the EU that they're that

35:22

they're bringing per perpetual futures

35:25

to existing crypto. But when they when

35:28

they turn that on for for US equities,

35:31

uh the fee structure for trading a US

35:34

equity is there's so much liquidity that

35:36

they they barely make any juice on the

35:39

uh the spread there, right? The spread

35:42

in prop in these derivative products is

35:45

huge. It's it's huge. And so, actually,

35:48

Meet Kevin did a really good episode, I

35:50

think maybe yesterday or a couple days

35:52

ago, or maybe it's a few days ago on

35:54

right after the Robin Hood event,

35:55

basically breaking down everything that

35:58

was announced. And and and why it's so

36:01

important is because the the the more

36:05

illquid an asset class, the more money

36:09

is made by the financial institution

36:11

that enables that asset class to be

36:14

traded. So once you get into stuff like

36:16

perpetual futures which we already know

36:19

is one of the hottest things in the

36:22

entire world. So you know someone said

36:24

here hyperlid does this for crypto

36:26

that's why Hyperlid's so hot. Once you

36:30

once you bring that to market the amount

36:32

of juice you make as a financial

36:35

institution is massive on the back end.

36:38

So, if you think people are getting

36:39

excited about Robin Hood simply allowing

36:42

the trading of equities, um, wait till

36:46

they start to bring these levered

36:49

products to the entire world because

36:52

that the the reality is I think most

36:54

people are wanting to do this with like

36:56

10 or 15 stocks as well as US indexes.

36:59

So, you'll trade perpetual futures on

37:01

indexes and all the big US stocks.

37:04

Yeah. And maybe some foreign stocks as

37:05

well. Uh, so this is what I'm excited

37:08

about. I'm excited about the next

37:10

product. I'm excited about them getting

37:12

involved in real estate transactions and

37:14

that tokenization. Um, there are and the

37:18

other five things that Vlad hasn't even

37:20

told us about that they'll be announcing

37:23

a year from now and two years from now.

37:26

So, I just think this is a very special

37:29

company. I'm not selling one share. And

37:32

and the one thing that is difficult for

37:34

me about Robin Hood right now is timing.

37:37

It's really difficult for me to assess

37:40

like when do I want to be levered in

37:42

Robin Hood? When do I not want to be

37:44

levered? And so unlike Nvidia where I've

37:47

been trading massive amounts of call

37:49

options every week for the past seven,

37:51

eight weeks, it's been one of my biggest

37:53

trades of the year. I'm not at the

37:55

moment I'm not trading Hood options. I

37:58

just have a massive equity position in

37:59

Hood. I'm just gonna let it roll.

38:01

Just let it hold.

38:03

Yeah, you can let it roll. What I do is

38:05

I um you know, like yesterday when it's

38:08

super green, when it's up, you know,

38:09

however many% it was up 8% yesterday, I

38:12

sold a little and then today when it's

38:14

red, I bought a little.

38:17

The last time, Jordan,

38:18

this is not rocket science, Chris. You

38:20

just you sell a little and then you buy

38:21

a little so much fun.

38:23

The last time,

38:24

but then you might miss that like 40%

38:26

run up. No, but you always have you

38:28

always have a position.

38:30

You just sell a little on sell a little.

38:34

But you did this on Nvidia a couple

38:36

episodes and right after you said you

38:38

sold because it was up a little bit then

38:40

it went up a lot right after.

38:42

Yeah. But then it dropped down again and

38:43

then I bought a little

38:48

fine. I'm not going to do that. Guys, I

38:51

have to hop in a few minutes, but I want

38:53

to talk about something real quick and

38:54

see if people would be interested in

38:56

this. So,

38:58

uh, Jordan, Dave and I used to get

39:01

together before we had Dumb Money Live

39:03

in the late 201s and we did a show

39:06

called Dumb Money, which is still out

39:07

there. We did like 50 episodes. It was

39:09

fully edited, three camera pain in the

39:12

butt to do.

39:12

You're not recommending you do that

39:13

again, are you?

39:14

No. No, we're not doing that ever again.

39:17

Well, we but we would visit with

39:18

founders uh when we were doing a ton of

39:20

startup investing and and we had these

39:22

episodes where we took you through the

39:23

entire sequence of how we meet with

39:25

founders, how we make decisions on

39:27

private early stage investments and we

39:29

would always do this over barbecue. So,

39:32

we'd meet the founder, we'd take that,

39:34

you know, we'd do the interviews and

39:35

we'd film it and then we'd have

39:37

barbecue. So, we just started this thing

39:39

where we did text Friday for the first

39:42

time. Well, me and Dave have done it a

39:43

couple times, but Jordan joined us. By

39:45

the way, I had so many of those uh what?

39:49

White peach margaritas.

39:50

Dude, I think Jordan might have had like

39:53

nine of them. Nine of them. And so

39:55

I think I for real had five.

39:58

We We probably We probably almost got

40:00

kicked out of that restaurant. I think

40:01

we were getting dirty looks from like

40:02

half the table.

40:03

Were Were we? I didn't Were we loud?

40:06

We were almost in like our own private

40:08

room, but there were several other

40:10

tables in there. And I can only imagine

40:11

the volume of our table compared to all

40:13

the others. We were we were twice as

40:15

loud as all the other tables combined,

40:17

but we had some awesome investment combo

40:20

that was great. And we were like, dude,

40:22

we wish we were filming cuz it was like

40:25

really off the rocker type stuff. But

40:27

but we might we might take we might go

40:29

live with one of these if you guys want

40:31

us to go live with one of these next

40:34

Friday.

40:34

Production wise, how are we going to how

40:36

how do we mic that? We can't have

40:38

cameras in a restaurant.

40:40

Just it could just be our We've done it

40:42

before, Dave.

40:43

What? No, we don't need to do the big C.

40:46

Can't we just stick an iPhone and three

40:49

mics?

40:49

Yeah. Yeah, we can. We could definitely

40:51

record to iPhone for audio, but I just

40:53

don't know how we're going to live

40:54

stream multiple cameras of video from a

40:57

restaurant while drinking margaritas.

40:59

All right. Well, if we could figure it

41:01

out.

41:01

We can do an audio for sure.

41:04

Text me text Friday. And because we have

41:07

so many text places, we could probably

41:08

hit up a different one every week for

41:11

two years. in in Dallas and never run

41:15

out of Techmex.

41:17

Um,

41:18

yeah,

41:19

it was good. Jordan, did you did you get

41:21

the uh Wagu fajitas? Is that what you

41:23

end up getting?

41:24

No, I got Wagyu tacos.

41:26

They were good, right?

41:27

They were good. Yeah.

41:28

Not as good as those margaritas though,

41:30

dude. The peach the peach margaritas at

41:33

at where

41:34

I told Adrian about that by the way and

41:36

she was like you

41:39

white girls getting peach margaritas.

41:43

They're so good though. They're so good.

41:46

Uh for the record, I switched to

41:47

traditional margaritas after the peach

41:49

margarita uh initial.

41:51

Oh, not me.

41:53

I think I sw I I

41:56

We had way too many. Chris Chris drove

41:58

us there and then had to uh leave his

42:01

car there and we Ubered home.

42:04

Oh, I I lifted there and back. I I knew

42:07

I knew what was going on.

42:08

And then uh we were standing in Chris's

42:11

front yard and I think we ended up

42:13

talking for another like hour because

42:15

like your neighbors kept going by like

42:16

you guys are still here.

42:20

We were very responsible. I if I have

42:22

more than one drink, put me in an Uber

42:25

or eventually a robo taxi.

42:27

Taxi for sure.

42:28

You know what my limit is? Zero. I If I

42:30

have one drink, I do not drive.

42:33

Yeah, me too. Well, I I will have one

42:36

and drive.

42:37

Yeah.

42:37

One. I will have one drink and drive.

42:40

Anything above one, I'm not. Listen,

42:41

happy fourth, guys. Again, America, what

42:45

a great time to be an investor

42:49

in American assets like this. Nvidia,

42:53

what a run. I, by the way, I am going to

42:55

chill out on Nvidia starting next week.

42:58

Uh, I I had at one point, guys,

43:01

yesterday, I had 1,600

43:04

call options in Nvidia. Uh, I've cashed

43:09

out of all,600. I've had between 500 and

43:13

1,600 calls every single week for the

43:17

past six, seven, eight weeks on Nvidia

43:20

and I am chilling out now. I I've rolled

43:23

those calls. I only have 400 for next

43:26

week and I might downsize that on Monday

43:30

because you can't go from like 1,600 to

43:33

nothing. You have to you have to like

43:36

otherwise you start getting anxiety that

43:39

you don't have enough. Right. So yeah,

43:42

I'm down to four. I just rolled them. I

43:45

only have 400 for next week. And thank

43:49

you, Jensen. Jensen, you have made my

43:52

month. You have made my year. I still

43:56

have a lot to talk about when it comes

43:58

to Nvidia. We should probably do another

43:59

Nvidia episode soon.

44:02

But guys, I don't want to think too much

44:05

about stocks this weekend. Uh, have a

44:08

great fourth, guys. Any everyone that's

44:11

been watching, I I think everyone needs

44:13

to enjoy what has happened the last

44:15

couple months in the market. Like, stop

44:17

stressing out about the next money you

44:19

want to make. I bet you almost everybody

44:22

watching has had a damn good last couple

44:25

months, right? Sometimes you just got to

44:27

like enjoy it and just chill out and

44:30

just not think about it. It was it was

44:32

hard not to make money this past month

44:34

or so.

44:35

Yeah, it's very hard not to. I feel bad

44:38

for you if if you're not if you're not

44:40

crushing it right now.

44:42

Anyway, happy fourth, guys.

44:43

Happy fourth, everyone. We'll see you

44:44

next week.

44:49

[Music]

Interactive Summary

This episode of Dumb Money Live discusses the rapid growth and innovative strategies of Robinhood, particularly focusing on their new tokenization feature and expansion into EU markets. The hosts analyze why they view Robinhood as a long-term investment, comparing it to Amazon's aggressive expansion style, and debate the potential risks and rewards of their current business model. They also reflect on past challenges the company has faced, such as the GameStop incident, and share personal experiences with investing in Robinhood, while emphasizing the importance of staying updated with market trends.

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