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AI Adoption Curve

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AI Adoption Curve

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296 segments

0:00

We certainly have gone beyond whether if

0:02

we will use AI, but rather how we will

0:04

use AI. But we still see AI adoption

0:07

curve lag behind expectations,

0:09

especially when it comes to looking at

0:10

them from the enterprise level. And

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here's one way to dissect the industry

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into three segments. AI applications,

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agentic applications, and AI native. So

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given this framework, I'll be covering

0:20

how AI adoption plays at each of these

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segments and drill down on specific on

0:25

barriers in AI adoption. A quick shout

0:27

out to Woven sponsoring this video. More

0:29

on them later. AI applications solve

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immediate problems that are meant to

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help us with tasks. Applications like

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Chacha PT, Perplexity, and Copilot fit

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into this category. And you can use them

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at your disposal without changing how

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you get work done. You can use this tool

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optionally to get something done or just

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do it the old way without it. Totally up

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to you. And typically these applications

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have lower barriers to entry from you

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since it's relatively non-invasive in

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nature and require little upkeep and

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little information from you or your

0:58

system. So AI adoption on the AI

1:00

application level is a lot higher since

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the barrier to entry is extremely low

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and they more or less help you get

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things done faster on a task level.

1:09

Agentic applications are a bit more

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invasive than AI applications because

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they are autonomous by nature. The

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barrier to entry is slightly higher

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since they require more from you and

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your systems to get going. And they're

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meant to go beyond a simple task

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completion tool, but deeper into the

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workflow. And contrary to popular

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belief, agentic applications are

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actually pretty rare, mostly because

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people either aren't ready for it or

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they just don't want them because it

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generally doesn't solve the right

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problem. And finally, AI native, which

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is a relatively new and uncharted

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territory, but worth mentioning because

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it's sort of like the golden snitch from

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Harry Potter, where catching the golden

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snitch is difficult, but if someone ends

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up catching it, the game ends in your

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favor, even if you are losing the game

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in the first place. The idea behind AI

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native is that everything starts and end

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with AI systems front to back. So,

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tasks, workflows, and systems, all of

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it. And while you might have a lot of

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skepticism towards AI native, since most

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organizations try to adopt AI from

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outside in, meaning they try to automate

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existing tasks using AI applications,

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then transition into agentic

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applications to automate workflows and

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then finally apply AI systematically.

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But if you think about it from startups

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that have the luxury of starting from

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scratch, this fits into the narrative of

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golden snitch analogy where if executed

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right, it could be just as viable as the

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other way around. Now keep in mind that

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the topic is not about what strategy

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works best in adopting AI but rather

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looking at the current landscape of AI

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based applications and how they are

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being adopted by the public and

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organizations to draw insights on what

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AI adoption actually looks like. Let's

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start with an application that we are

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all familiar with which is Chacht. The

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reason why Chacht is a really good

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example to start with is because the

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barrier to using Chacha PT is probably

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lower than most AI applications that we

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have today. And that's because the

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learning curve is so low to start using

3:00

it. And you don't need to connect chach

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with other systems to start seeing

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values from it. You just log in and

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start asking questions. But just as easy

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as it is to start using chach, a lower

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barrier to entry typically means lower

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return on value. Meaning if you look at

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it from return on investment for chacha,

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it's somewhat fixed to the amount of

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work going in to get the value out. For

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example, if you wanted to use Chachip

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Piti to write an essay, you put in all

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the work in defining the scope and

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parameters of the essay to get around

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70% of the work done by Chachi PT. So

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the value that Chachip brings is

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somewhat tied to the effort that you put

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in since it's an isolated system that

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only helps you with the tasks that you

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give, which in this case is writing an

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essay. Another example is coding agents

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like claude code or client. Even though

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these applications are advertised as

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agentic applications, in reality we use

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them to solve specific tasks like

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writing code, modifying code, and code

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reviews. So here, even though cloud code

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carries out tasks agentically where it

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autonomously reads and writes code in

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your codebase, they are not a true agent

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in a sense because they don't go beyond

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a simple task completion tool. In other

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words, completing tasks agentically is

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not the same as agent autonomously

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completing tasks. And meanwhile, we have

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news articles like the Anthropic CEO

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saying that AI could be writing 90% of

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their code within six months. Meta also

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saying 20 to 30% could be written by AI

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and Microsoft also saying that 30% of

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the code in Microsoft could be written

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in AI. So looking at these figures, it

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certainly feels like AI is about to

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disrupt the entire coding industry. But

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the reality is that these projections

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are still focusing on a task level.

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Meaning because AI applications are

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getting more and more effective in task

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completion like writing new code,

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modifying existing code and reviewing

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code, the AI applications are more like

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task delegation tool where we ask AI to

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complete a specific task and delegating

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tasks are important especially when it

4:52

comes to hiring people. Which is why I

4:54

wanted to do a quick description of

4:55

Woven sponsoring this video. I've been

4:57

looking to hire a software developer in

4:59

my previous company and one thing I

5:01

always found was that candidates always

5:03

had different skill sets and some people

5:05

were really good at code reviews and

5:07

others were good at system debugging and

5:08

now with AI agentic programming. So

5:11

coming up with coding evaluations for

5:13

each role took a lot of time and effort

5:14

to build scenarios and give feedback. It

5:17

just wasn't fun for everyone involved in

5:19

the process. Woven is a humanpowered

5:21

technical assessment tool that makes

5:22

hiring streamlined. So, if you're

5:24

looking to hire engineers, Woven is

5:26

offering 14 days free trial with 20% off

5:28

of your first hire. Check the link in

5:30

the description. So, while we truly are

5:32

seeing complete disruption on task level

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where tasks like writing code, reviewing

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literature, modifying existing code, and

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code reviews, things start to look

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differently when it comes to agentic

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applications. Even though AI

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applications can certainly complete

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tasks agentically, agentic application

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is a different paradigm where it goes

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beyond task completion but rather

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workflow automation and autonomous

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execution. Let's think of this scenario.

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Let's say I wanted to sell you an AI

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calendar app, but I gave you two

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different explanations. First, this is

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an AI application that helps you manage

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your calendar. And second, this is an AI

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application that manages your calendar.

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Although the wording is similar, the

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impact is quite different. The first

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statement, the AI application that helps

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me manage my calendar. I would be more

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inclined to use it since I don't have to

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change how I already manage my calendar,

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but it could help with calendar related

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tasks like adding appointments and

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changing schedules. In other words,

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trying this application doesn't require

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me to change how I currently manage my

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calendar, but it's more or less a faster

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way to get done what I already get done.

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But the second statement is quite

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different. Since it's an applications

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that manage my entire calendar, I would

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be more reluctant to try it because I

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have to relinquish how I already manage

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my calendar to this new agentic

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application. So the core difference here

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is that AI applications helps you solve

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the problem you already know that you

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have since when you ask something it

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completes calendar tasks but within your

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existing workflow that you might already

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be satisfied with. But Agentic

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application is quite different. It tries

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to take over the entire workflow even if

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you never felt like the workflow itself

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was a problem. This kind of shift can

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cause unnecessary friction. So there in

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lies the current gap in AI adoption when

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it comes to agentic application which is

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are agentic applications truly solving

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the right problem that people have.

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What's actually common to see is that we

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have a situation where agentic

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applications become an overkill and

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people essentially reduce agentics

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application into a simple task

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completion tool. Sort of like owning a

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Lamborghini but living in a school zone.

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And that's because while an agentic

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application might be more powerful than

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AI application, solving problems that

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exist on a workflow level is so unique

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and complex that it's hard to not throw

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the baby with a bathwater. And here's a

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really cool analogy. In computer

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science, there's a common metric called

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time and space complexity where it

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measures the scalability of performance

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as the input size scales. For example,

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if the complexity is O of N^ squ, that

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means that if you double the input size,

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the upper bound in time and space that's

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needed to solve that problem is

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quadrupled. So this makes scaling very

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inefficient. Now, if you transfer this

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kind of framework into AI adoption and

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the input size is human resources, we

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can draw a similar insight where as the

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size of the organization grows, the

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complexity in adopting AI likely grows

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unscalably. In other words, adopting AI

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into an organization that has 100

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employees will take proportionately less

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complexity than an organization that has

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a thousand employees. And this is why

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most gains in value from AI are still

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reduced down to the individual rather

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than the sum. In other words, employees

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are finding ways to improve their

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individual tasks to code faster, code

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better, and execute tasks rather than

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trying to use AI on an organizational

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level. And trying to force AI into an

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organization often creates an uglier

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outcome at the expense of making some

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parts really good. And this is also

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reflected in the Dora report that says

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that AI is an amplifier that magnifies

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the strength of high performing

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organizations and the dysfunctions of

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struggling ones. The report goes on to

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say in well-aligned organizations AI

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amplifies flows in fragmented ones it

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exposes pain points. So there in lies

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the question is AI adoption capped at

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the task level? Meaning, are AI

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applications only as helpful as helping

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individuals complete tasks? Or are we

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yet to see how AI can transform beyond

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individuals in completing tasks and

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towards a true agentic system where it

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can autonomously decide how to interact

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with the real world and bring value in

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an organizational level. Similar

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sentiment can also be found in the Dora

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report that says without intentional

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changes in workflows, roles, governance,

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and cultural expectation, AI tools are

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likely to remain isolated boosts in an

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otherwise unchanged system, a missed

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opportunity. To scale AI's impact,

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organizations should invest in

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redesigning their systems. So, are we

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better off adopting AI from inside out

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rather than outside in? Meaning, will

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organizations that master every tasks

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with AI outperform newer organizations

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that might adopt AI natively, but with

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the advantage of pivoting to changing

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demands by employing AI at every stage

10:01

of the company.

Interactive Summary

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The video discusses the adoption of AI, distinguishing between AI applications, agentic applications, and AI-native approaches. AI applications, like ChatGPT, offer task-based assistance with low barriers to entry but limited return on investment, often being used to augment existing workflows rather than transform them. Agentic applications, designed for autonomous workflow automation, face higher adoption barriers and are often underutilized or reduced to task completion because they may not address immediate, perceived problems. AI-native, a newer concept, involves building systems entirely around AI, which is challenging for established organizations but potentially advantageous for startups. The adoption of AI is currently more effective at the individual task level, magnifying existing organizational strengths or weaknesses, as highlighted by the Dora report. True organizational-level AI transformation requires intentional changes in workflows, roles, governance, and culture, suggesting a need to redesign systems rather than just integrate AI into existing ones.

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