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How Elon's OpenAI Lawsuit Backfired Spectacularly | Pivot

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How Elon's OpenAI Lawsuit Backfired Spectacularly | Pivot

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2375 segments

0:00

We've made a lot of predictions. We get

0:02

some wrong. This was a [ __ ] layup.

0:04

>> It was.

0:10

>> Hi everyone. This is Pivot from New York

0:11

Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast

0:13

Network. I'm Cara Swisser

0:14

>> and I'm Scott Galloway.

0:16

>> Well, let's get straight to the breaking

0:18

news of the day. Hey, Elon Musk just

0:20

lost his high stakes lawsuit against Sam

0:22

Alman and OpenAI, which alleged OpenAI

0:25

had violated a promise to remain a

0:27

nonprofit after deliberating less than

0:30

two hours uh which means they didn't get

0:32

the free lunch. A federal uh jury ruled

0:35

unanimously 9 to zero that Altman and

0:38

Open Eye did not betray their nonprofit

0:40

founding missions. There was a statute

0:42

of limitations, technicality, but I

0:44

think they're basically saying Elon, you

0:46

giant adult toddler, too bad. Um, Scott,

0:49

we've been saying this all along that

0:51

this would happen. Check it out. I think

0:53

this jury can't possibly side with him.

0:55

I mean, ultimately, I don't think they

0:57

proved anything. And it's a sort of he

0:59

said, he said kind of thing. And Elon's

1:01

the most lo of the pair, right? By far

1:04

by the country mile. So, I think Elon's

1:07

made a spectacle of himself. If he wins,

1:08

it would be something else. Like, I'll

1:10

tell you that. Um, but I can't imagine

1:12

the jury thinks this guy got the got a

1:14

short end of the stick or that he's

1:15

stupid and didn't know what was

1:16

happening to him. The judge backed the

1:18

verdict and dismissed all claims,

1:20

including one against Microsoft. Both

1:22

men are racing towards massive IPOs with

1:24

OpenAI valued at over $850 billion. And

1:27

SpaceX expected to go public very soon

1:30

after merging with Musk's XAI, which has

1:32

been pretty much of a failure in the AI

1:34

department, possibly one of the reasons

1:36

for this lawsuit. Uh thoughts? Look, as

1:39

predicted, I thought this was an easy

1:41

one. And I thought this was a messiah

1:44

complex and

1:46

sellers regret cosplaying a legal

1:48

argument. The only thing that came out

1:50

of this entire case was that Musk was

1:52

[ __ ] a board member in that she nor

1:55

he disclosed it after he had left.

1:57

>> Well, if if they did it that way, let's

1:58

be we don't know how that happened.

2:01

There was something.

2:02

>> Okay.

2:02

>> All right.

2:03

>> Okay.

2:04

>> Alleged. You're saying she she would it

2:06

was immaculate immaculate conception

2:08

>> in there was let's not get into it but

2:12

they're romantically involved now. Okay,

2:15

got it.

2:16

>> This was a lawfare.

2:20

Um, and this was again I I am turning so

2:27

I think we now need alternative minimum

2:29

taxes of 60 or 70%

2:32

on anything over a billion dollars for

2:35

an individual because these individuals

2:38

are under the impression that they are

2:41

not subject to the standards of of

2:43

Western society, decency or any or the

2:46

law. The fact that they would even he

2:49

would even bring this case

2:50

>> nonsense

2:51

>> uh

2:51

>> waste of time

2:53

>> is okay you don't have a legal argument

2:55

but I'm Elon Musk and [laughter]

3:00

nonprofits are allowed to convert to

3:02

forprofits they do it all the time he

3:05

tried to convince them to become a

3:07

for-profit that he would control and

3:10

when they said no he left and started

3:12

his own for-profit AI company and then

3:16

six years later decided to give up all

3:18

ownership and governance of that now

3:21

that it was worth $850 billion. he

3:24

wanted some of that or he wanted to at

3:26

least slow it down for his failing

3:28

>> right

3:29

>> uh LLM th this was

3:32

this was we've made a lot of predictions

3:35

we get some wrong this was this was a

3:38

[ __ ] layup

3:39

>> it was I have to say one of the things

3:40

that people look look first of all it's

3:42

a waste of our legal our legal time it's

3:45

a waste of those nine jurors time it was

3:48

ridiculous how let me tell you all of

3:50

them came off badly right Sam Alman

3:52

doesn't look

3:53

Siobhan Zillis, the alleged person,

3:56

girlfriend thing. Um, no, she is a

3:59

girlfriend, I guess. I don't know. I

4:00

don't care. Um, but Greg Brockman, the

4:03

only person who came off like an adult

4:05

is Sacha Nadella, who's the CEO of

4:07

Microsoft, right? He looks like he did

4:09

the right thing. He handled it well. All

4:11

his texts are fine. The rest of them

4:13

look like [ __ ] babies and unhappy and

4:17

just, why are they in charge of our

4:18

fate? Why are they why are they so

4:20

unhappy and so rich?

4:22

um all kinds of like weird dramas

4:25

between them, personal dramas, and it's

4:27

a waste of our legal systems time. It's

4:29

just rid the judge seemed perplexed as

4:33

to what it was doing there. Um and

4:34

again, it does come down to Elon Musk

4:36

and sour grapes. He has the sourest

4:38

grapes on the planet, even though he's

4:40

about to become the richest person on

4:42

the planet, right? In the history of the

4:44

planet. The other thing is that both of

4:47

them are sucking wind while Gemini and

4:50

Anthropic are lapping them, right? So

4:53

all this waste of time and energy over

4:56

companies that are pro have problematic

4:58

real problems, right? In their own in

5:01

their own thing and it's just the whole

5:02

thing is just I just and I I think the

5:06

fault lies of course with Elon Musk who

5:08

just can't like lose. He's he's a sore

5:11

he's a sore winner is what he is. I

5:13

don't know what else. and he's a bad

5:15

loser essentially. And you know, would

5:17

do you think it'll affect their IPOs or

5:19

positions in the overall AI race?

5:21

Because I don't see anyone coming off

5:23

well except for uh Gemini and Anthropic

5:26

in this deal essentially.

5:28

>> Well, Gemini and Anthropic win by just

5:31

virtue of the fact that this is a big

5:33

distraction for a non-competitor XAI and

5:37

a real competitor, OpenAI.

5:39

The only nuance I would add to your

5:41

comments is one,

5:43

there's a small fraction of people, us

5:45

included, very small, that we're

5:47

tracking the nuance and the details of

5:50

the case. Generally speaking, the

5:53

majority of people will will read this

5:54

today and it it it distills down to a

5:58

very basic thing. Musk lost and Alman

6:01

won. So I actually think Alman comes out

6:03

of this as a winner.

6:04

>> That's fair. That's fair

6:05

>> because the majority of us didn't listen

6:06

to the testimony and just how petty and

6:09

childish and weird these people are. Uh

6:12

so it's like they'll they'll remember

6:14

one thing about this. Oh, Musk lost and

6:16

Alman won.

6:17

>> You're correct.

6:18

>> And I don't I don't I think the

6:20

prediction markets I don't know what

6:21

they were at one point it had Musk at

6:23

50%. Which was a great bet

6:26

>> but the thing I looked at was the

6:27

secondary market and I didn't see shares

6:29

in Open AI decline in value. So I think

6:33

this I think this gives new not new wind

6:36

but existing wind in the sales of the

6:39

open AI uh IPO and also I don't think it

6:43

to be fair I don't think it hurts M's

6:45

IPO because I think people are so

6:47

intoxicated for real for many good

6:49

reasons by the IPO of SpaceX. This was

6:54

and the the the most interesting thing I

6:56

saw in the CNN article that we just

6:58

pulled up was the judge almost appears

7:01

to be wallpapering over why they didn't

7:04

dismiss it in the first place. Why did

7:06

they even let this get to trial? Because

7:08

the judge was saying that she, you know,

7:12

one of the reasons I was thinking of

7:13

dismissing,

7:15

you're going to have legal scholars look

7:16

at this and go, "How the [ __ ] did this

7:18

ever go to trial?" because of a

7:20

technicality because of a statute of

7:22

limitations. Correct.

7:24

>> Was that it? Yeah. Well, statute of

7:25

limitations and also there is a certain

7:29

there is a certain benchmark for what

7:30

actually proceeds to a jury trial.

7:32

>> Yeah. A nuisance lawsuit. Yeah.

7:34

>> Yeah. So I look I think this will go

7:36

down um as as I don't want to call it a

7:39

nothing burger but something that was

7:41

distracting for them that people the TMZ

7:44

of the tech community loves reading the

7:46

testimony and all that but at the end of

7:48

the day this this is a this is a speed

7:50

bump not even a speed bump a bump for

7:53

both firms but the the distillation is

7:56

the following our court system still

7:57

works Musk lost Altman won but bigger

8:02

picture neither of their IPOs is

8:04

threatened by this.

8:04

>> Yeah. Who the [ __ ] cares is what I

8:06

thought. The whole thing was such a like

8:08

I do think I agree with you about the

8:09

nuance. I think you're absolutely right.

8:10

No one will remember that. But boy did I

8:13

get an insight to what a bunch of

8:14

[ __ ] babies these people are. Really

8:16

truly out of I thought that and now I'm

8:19

like unconfirmed

8:21

[laughter] and conf like a lot of the

8:22

stuff like that I had heard about Zillis

8:25

not telling the board about uh the

8:28

pregnancy the twins and stuff. I I heard

8:30

that and I was like that can't be. And

8:32

then it was like like like a lot of and

8:36

Greg Brockman's journal and I know

8:38

that's sort of like we're interested in

8:39

it or I am at least but it does like

8:42

really does I was like I thought they

8:44

were babies and indeed in court they

8:47

were babies.

8:48

>> Can I tell you about my pregnancy story

8:50

[laughter] conflict?

8:53

>> Do you want to bring this back?

8:55

>> My baby.

8:55

>> You want to bring you know stranger

8:57

things have happened.

8:59

>> Okay. So, uh, you got to tell me you

9:01

want the story first. So,

9:02

>> I want the story. Go ahead. Really

9:04

briefly, though. Okay.

9:06

>> That's that's Scott briefly is an

9:08

oxymoron. Um, [laughter] so I'm a

9:11

professor. I'm just getting traction at

9:13

Stern. It's like 200 when was it? I

9:16

should know this. 2007.

9:18

Finally, I'm finally getting traction as

9:20

a professor. And and my dean calls me

9:24

and says, "I need you to come up right

9:26

away." And when the dean calls me and

9:28

says, "Come up right away." right away.

9:29

It's either very good or very bad news.

9:30

So, I roll up there and he goes, he

9:32

goes, "Okay, so there's a rumor and he

9:35

goes, there's a second year who looks

9:36

like she's about to give birth." And I

9:40

mean, she's clearly very, very pregnant,

9:43

a second year student. Oh, no.

9:44

>> And there's a rumor that you're the

9:46

father.

9:47

>> What?

9:48

>> Yeah. True story. He goes, "There's a

9:50

rumor that you're the father." And I go,

9:51

"Well, I've got good news and bad news."

9:54

And he literally put his head in his

9:55

hands and went, "Oh, [ __ ] No. [panting]

9:58

And I said, "The bad news is I am the

10:01

father." And I said, "The good news is

10:03

we've been having sex for several

10:04

years." We disclosed in her application

10:06

that we were living together and in a

10:08

relationship together.

10:10

>> Thank you. [laughter]

10:11

>> But we didn't pivot.

10:13

>> We didn't tell anyone, especially

10:15

students, and I didn't tell any of my

10:16

colleagues. I just disclosed it when she

10:18

was applying to the school. And uh but

10:21

yeah, that was that was I was I had

10:24

knocked up I had knocked up a student

10:26

who was who was walking around.

10:28

>> Oh no. Oh god. Okay. All right. On that

10:31

note, I had a lovely pregnancy and it

10:34

was all in a

10:35

>> open AI.

10:36

>> Open AI

10:37

>> and then I went and then I went on to do

10:38

the IPO of Red Envelope and a market cap

10:40

of 108 million.

10:42

>> Oh god, that ended badly. Okay, it did

10:45

end.

10:45

>> By the way, the legal stuff isn't over.

10:47

Moving on to more open AI legal news.

10:49

The company is reportedly weighing

10:51

possible legal action against Apple over

10:53

how chat GPT has been integrated into

10:56

devices and apps that were just waiting

10:57

for this trial to end. And here we are.

11:00

This deal could open uh that OpenAI

11:02

thought would bring billions of dollars

11:03

in subscriptions. Has not turned out

11:05

that way. Openey believes Apple failed

11:07

to give Chat GBT prominent placement in

11:10

Siri and iOS and didn't significantly

11:12

promote the integration. Apple has its

11:14

own concerns about open AI as they

11:16

should. questions around privacy and the

11:18

company's push into hardware and

11:20

devices. They did hire Johnny Ibata's

11:22

company. Another sign of the fring

11:24

relationship, Apple is planning to let

11:25

users choose between multiple AI models

11:27

the way they do with search, even though

11:29

they favor Google, including Gemini from

11:31

Google and Claude from Anthropic across

11:34

its software later this year. Um maybe

11:37

they'll sell the poll position to one of

11:38

them, but supposedly it was supposed to

11:40

be OpenAI. What do you think about

11:42

OpenAI taking on Apple? I don't know

11:43

what the contract is, but it kind of

11:46

goes to the notion that even one of the

11:47

most powerful companies in AI, it's all

11:50

about placement and distribution.

11:51

>> Absolutely.

11:52

>> Even going as far back as when um I was

11:56

running a strategy firm and we were

11:58

working for Levis's, they initially

12:00

decided they needed to go vertical

12:02

because J Penney would put their own

12:06

um Arizona brand at the front. I mean,

12:09

distribution just has so much power,

12:11

right? And even someone even something

12:13

as powerful as Open AI, if you put them

12:15

at at the bottom, they're not going to

12:18

get as much. But I've I've said for a

12:20

long time, I thought Apple was going to

12:21

continue to be the arbiter and basically

12:23

say, unless you pay us a lot of money,

12:25

we're not putting you at the top,

12:27

especially a company like Open AI. But I

12:29

don't know what the contract I don't

12:30

know if it's an actual I don't know if

12:32

it's an actual formal breach of contract

12:34

>> like the Disney Soros one that you had

12:36

called out as possibly being a nothing

12:38

burger. I I just I wonder, do you really

12:41

want to piss off the premier means of

12:43

distribution

12:44

with the kind of access to cheap capital

12:46

that Open AI has? And Sam Alman's a

12:48

smart man regardless of what you think

12:49

of them. I I don't see I would be trying

12:53

to figure out a way to cut a deal

12:56

similar to what Google did where we're

12:57

going to pay a [ __ ] ton of money and

12:58

we're going to be your default AI. So I

13:00

don't going after them legally. I don't

13:03

I don't

13:04

>> Maybe Apple doesn't want them to be

13:05

default AI. Maybe Apple does have

13:07

concerns. I don't know anything about

13:08

this. Do you know anything about the

13:09

legal veracity of the case? [snorts] I

13:10

just

13:11

>> I don't know. I mean, they obviously the

13:12

deal doesn't like these they they struck

13:13

all these very high-profile deals

13:15

whether it was Disney which became a

13:17

nothing burger. It was an experiment and

13:19

didn't really go anywhere. They, you

13:20

know, they did a lot of like ta kind of

13:23

things and this is the biggest one of

13:24

them. Um, and then they turned around

13:26

and did the Johnny IV thing, right,

13:28

which has got to chap Tim Cook's ass

13:31

like on some level, right? Even though

13:33

he's going to be stepping down. And at

13:35

the same time, they would have questions

13:37

about what they want to do. Now, of

13:39

course, Apple is a pay-to-play kind of

13:41

company too by giving Google probably

13:44

Google maps are very good. Theirs were

13:46

very good. There were other players.

13:48

They didn't give search to they gave

13:50

search to Google because they paid them

13:51

much. So, they they are they will take

13:54

your money and Google certainly has

13:56

issues around all manner of issues. So,

13:58

they didn't they sort of overlook those.

14:01

Um, so I don't know. I just I feel like

14:03

they'll be I I think letting people

14:05

choose between the multiple models is

14:07

the best way to go. I don't love this

14:09

place paytoplay kind of stuff cuz it

14:11

doesn't it may give you a good version

14:13

but it doesn't give you necessarily the

14:15

one you want. So it seems to me that

14:17

people should be able to choose their AI

14:19

model since Apple's not going to be

14:21

deploying that themselves. Um you know

14:24

if you want to use Claude you should be

14:26

able to use Claude and whoever and may

14:28

the best man win kind of thing. But

14:29

that's hard to do because people don't

14:31

really choose, do they? They just

14:33

default use Google Maps or Google

14:35

Search.

14:36

>> Well, you can make being your default if

14:38

you want. I I think they I think they I

14:41

don't think they

14:42

>> I think they

14:43

>> they play they play on the the inertia

14:46

of consumers and that is that's right.

14:48

They essentially basically my

14:50

understanding is with Google search

14:51

being the default on iOS, they make it

14:53

easier for you to use Google search than

14:56

use Bing.

14:56

>> Oh, it comes with it. You have to go

14:58

deep into the thing to change it like to

15:00

any of them just it's like six it's like

15:03

a lot of steps. I mean this is the same

15:05

across all of big tech. Amazon if you

15:07

want to be in the golden buy box you

15:09

know if you want to be top of search

15:10

results you have to pay and the way they

15:12

extract payment is that you have to use

15:14

Amazon media group you have to use their

15:17

fulfillment and then the algorithm

15:19

slowly but surely puts you towards the

15:20

top or depp prioritizes you and it's

15:22

like it's like having a store on Mars

15:24

just because you're on Amazon unless you

15:26

figure out a way to do pay for play. I

15:29

I' I've said for a long time, I think

15:30

eventually it'll move from these

15:32

companies getting paid by Apple to

15:34

Apple, extracting a lot of payments from

15:36

them.

15:36

>> Right. Right.

15:37

>> What I I think with Open AI though,

15:39

they're now

15:40

>> Well, Google pays Apple for those

15:41

things, right? They do get paid.

15:44

>> I thought Apple paid Google a billion

15:46

dollars to be the engine behind.

15:48

>> It's the opposite. It's the opposite.

15:50

Oh,

15:50

>> okay. So, they already

15:52

>> cases. Yes. Yes. They're used to that

15:54

model of let's we'll pick the winners

15:56

and then get paid

15:59

paid for it.

16:00

>> I thought Apple paid Google a billion

16:02

dollars a year for access to a custom

16:04

Gemini model.

16:04

>> Sounds like they they I'm talking about

16:06

search and maps. They they get paid. So

16:09

Google pays Apple to be the default

16:11

search, but yes, Apple is paying Google

16:13

around a billion dollars for Gemini.

16:15

They did this deal with Open AI, right?

16:17

To to get make them the favored nation.

16:19

At the time they did it. We thought that

16:20

was pretty smart of opening had to move

16:22

in there on Gemini and at the time

16:25

Claude was not that big a player right

16:27

so it was sort of a move on Gemini and

16:29

so um and here it didn't work out and I

16:33

bet Apple has all kinds of problems with

16:35

their privacy issues and the sort of

16:37

image around Sam everything else you

16:40

know what I mean like that's what it

16:41

feels like to me it's like it's a

16:43

regretful link or something and maybe

16:46

they aren't doing what it takes but a

16:48

lawsuit is not Great for open AI I

16:51

assume correct or not doesn't matter for

16:53

Apple. Well, it the fear is among

16:56

amongst open AI is this hands Google's

16:58

Gemini the keys of the Apple universe

17:00

and that's the same keys they've

17:02

possessed with search for two decades

17:04

right and Apple roots hysteria queries

17:08

through its private cloud compute

17:10

framework claiming user data is never

17:11

stored or used to train Google's models

17:14

and Apple evaluated or claims they

17:16

evaluated open AI and anthropic before

17:18

choosing Google I got to think there's

17:20

20 billion reasons why Apple wants to

17:22

maintain a good relationship with

17:23

Alphabet Also, that could be a court

17:25

case in a future Democratic

17:26

administration, too, right? Like they're

17:28

not they've already been in trouble for

17:31

those deals. That's been always been

17:32

part of the thing.

17:33

>> Well, that $20 billion accounts for

17:35

about 20% of Apple's annual services

17:37

revenue. So, it's real. I mean, that is

17:39

real. That's a that's a very that

17:41

strikes me as the the perfect

17:43

relationship that [ __ ] consumers.

17:46

>> Yes. Exactly. They they will get paid.

17:48

Apple will be the get the payee here.

17:50

They're not going to pay Google.

17:52

>> Oh, no. No. They control the

17:53

distribution. They control the

17:54

interface. They control custody of the

17:56

consumer. And it's the age-old argument

17:58

of who's more important, the

17:59

distribution or the manufacturer's

18:00

brand. And there's there's always an

18:03

argument. And that and then the

18:04

companies that get really really uh uh

18:07

have extraordinary shareholder value,

18:09

always either reverse engineer into

18:11

creating their own brands and

18:12

controlling and taking advantage. They

18:14

everyone goes vertical at some point or

18:17

they forward integrate and start

18:18

opening, you know, original Levi stores.

18:20

they start opening their own stores. But

18:23

in the case of Apple, they've done a

18:24

great job of deciding what they're going

18:26

to go vertical on and what they should

18:27

just extract a lump of flesh for. And I

18:30

would, again, I've said this before, I

18:32

think Apple's smart move, and as far as

18:34

I can tell, their strategy is to um

18:36

decide that around AI, they're going to

18:40

be the toll booth and let whoever the

18:42

highest bidder is be the default AI.

18:44

>> Yeah, it'll be questionable if they, as

18:45

we talked about last week about whether

18:46

they do this with Siri, right? Because

18:49

Siri just sucks. Are they going to make

18:50

Siri better or use someone else's? Siri

18:54

has never been intuitive. I I spend more

18:57

time arguing with Siri than anything

18:58

else. What I say

19:00

>> I think Oculus and Siri are arguably

19:03

arguably two of the worst brands in tech

19:05

over the last 10 years. I think they

19:07

become total cliches for [ __ ] that

19:09

doesn't work or that doesn't live up to

19:11

its its potential

19:13

>> because a lot of the AI interface is

19:15

going to be talking, right? Like, hey,

19:17

like like you're on the like you're in

19:19

Iron Man.

19:21

>> So, who does that?

19:22

>> Scarlett Johansson, it'll be her, right?

19:24

>> Yeah. Right. But who does who is that

19:26

company? Are they going to is Apple

19:28

going to default that or is that going

19:29

to be their thing? because they they

19:31

they I I I wish someone would do like a

19:34

really deep dive into what happened with

19:35

Siri, why it's so bad, and why it is

19:38

under resourced or I don't really I

19:41

don't even know, but it seems to me like

19:43

that's going to be the real interface is

19:45

the voice. But maybe not. I don't know.

19:48

>> No, I think you're right. I think what I

19:50

I think where it's shaping up and one of

19:51

the big

19:53

the under appreciated or insights is

19:57

that from a sensory perception I think

19:59

AI is going to be more about your ear

20:01

canal than your cornea or your eyes and

20:04

that is truly seamless AI will be a

20:06

function and again the Apple will

20:09

control the distribution with their

20:10

AirPods. What you're saying is what will

20:12

the branded voice be or will it be

20:14

branded? I guess you'll have to say hey

20:16

something to prompt it. Is it part of

20:18

who runs it? Who's the back? Anyway, I I

20:21

feel like there's a huge opportunity

20:22

here for one of these AI companies

20:24

because that's what you know as if

20:26

anyone who's done a a chatbot like this,

20:29

it's really it's the it's the way to

20:31

communicate. It's much faster. You don't

20:33

have to type things in. It's much

20:34

better. Anyway, speaking of we may not

20:36

get there because as these companies

20:38

fight, Americans are pushing back on

20:39

data centers powering all of it. Uh all

20:42

especially the AI. According to new

20:44

Gallup polling, seven in 10 Americans

20:46

oppose constructing data centers in

20:48

their local area. That's well no Trump

20:51

just had new polling. It's he's down

20:53

even further. But they don't like Trump.

20:55

They don't like data centers. The

20:56

opposition cuts across every major

20:58

demographic and political group.

21:00

Although Democrats are significantly

21:01

more likely than Republicans to strongly

21:03

oppose these data centers, but

21:04

Republicans don't like them either. Like

21:06

let's be clear, it's pretty interesting

21:08

that it's it's something that's quite

21:10

bipartisan. Um, you know, a lot of

21:13

people think this is going to be the

21:14

biggest. I do too when you hear from

21:16

people, especially as Elon like runs

21:18

rough shot over the Tennessee town with

21:21

his methane engines or whatever. Um,

21:24

with these Colossus, it just creates

21:27

this feeling of of I don't know what it

21:30

is. It's like these rich [ __ ] are

21:32

[ __ ] with our environment now, right?

21:34

And not to our benefit essentially. But

21:37

your thoughts on this? I think it's the

21:39

same reason that all these commencement

21:41

speakers got booed uh when they

21:43

mentioned AI.

21:44

>> That was I mean first off no one is

21:48

using AI more than college students and

21:52

there's also some evidence that it's not

21:54

the demand on the electricity or the

21:56

environmental concerns that I mean some

21:59

people will argue quite frankly that has

22:01

been exaggerated. I would like to see

22:04

the scientific evidence on that but

22:06

there's just no getting around it. But

22:07

what this represents is the following.

22:09

Whether you're booing Eric Schmidt or or

22:12

rallying against a data center,

22:15

Americans see their prices going up and

22:18

they're not participating in the wealth

22:21

creation of AI and it's just a proxy for

22:24

income inequality that okay, I hear

22:26

about,

22:28

you know, Anthropic is worth a trillion

22:30

dollars. San Francisco real estate

22:32

prices are booming, jet sales are

22:34

booming. There are 28-year-olds who are

22:37

lucky enough to get a job in coding at

22:40

OpenAI who are selling 710 $15 million

22:43

in stock and I can't afford detergent. I

22:47

I can't I'm worried about food costs.

22:50

And so when I hear a data center is

22:52

going up 40 miles from me in Utah, I

22:55

show up to the protest. whether or not I

22:57

see direct evidence of it hurting me or

22:59

not, this is a way of saying

23:01

AI has become indicative of income

23:04

inequality

23:06

and and so when anyone anyone shows up

23:09

at a commencement speech and starts

23:11

lecturing them on AI or they hear about

23:13

a data center, I think this is

23:15

essentially a vessel of people just uh

23:18

filling it and there I don't want to I

23:19

don't want to diminish their concerns. I

23:21

think there are some real questions that

23:22

need to be answered around these d these

23:24

data centers. But I feel mostly this is

23:28

a vessel for people's rage around it

23:30

seems like everyone is doing well except

23:33

for me and that America's giant bet on

23:36

AI is paying off for a small group of

23:38

people and I'm not part of that group.

23:40

>> Why why not the companies themselves and

23:42

why these because I guess data centers

23:44

are physical, right? They're here,

23:46

they're there, they see

23:46

>> gives you somewhere to go protest.

23:48

>> It's also dystopian, right? They're feel

23:50

dystopian. They feel like they're

23:52

probably not going to have a lot of

23:53

people running them. It's not going to

23:55

provide the jobs. They're going around

23:58

local governments to try to like pay off

24:00

people to put them in in the way others.

24:03

There are worries about the energy costs

24:06

that'll go up in these areas. There's

24:08

like some real things. And then there's

24:10

the pollution aspect. And I think Elon's

24:12

as usual been like the the poster child

24:15

for abuse of poor people, right? These

24:17

are usually in poor areas. Also, I think

24:19

it's just even beyond the worries about

24:21

things. It's more of a a creeping worry

24:25

about what tech is. Again, the more

24:28

villainous they they we don't assume the

24:30

best of these people ever, nor should

24:33

we. That kind of thing.

24:34

>> Well, the one being planned in Utah

24:35

that's sort of been the lightning rod or

24:37

kind of embodies this one. They have the

24:39

wrong spokesperson. Kevin Olri is seen

24:41

as someone who's not that empathetic.

24:43

>> Oh god. an old white guy who just

24:45

doesn't he does not appeal to this this

24:48

cohort. It's going to be two and a half

24:51

times the envisioned data center is

24:53

going to be two and a half times the

24:54

size of Manhattan.

24:56

Um they have not figured out a way to

24:58

communicate the economic benefits and

25:00

you're right this notion that you could

25:02

turn the lights off on these things

25:03

during the day because there's so few

25:05

people working there. The bigger threat

25:07

in my view and of course we're not

25:09

talking about this but if you look at

25:11

history when we have spent more than 3%

25:13

of GDP on any infrastructure buildout

25:16

whether it's the railroads where I think

25:17

we got up to 10% we did two big

25:19

buildouts whether it's the

25:21

electrification and the highways

25:23

remember the telco infrastructure

25:24

buildout of the late '9s

25:26

>> sure

25:27

>> whenever we do that and go over above 3%

25:29

in 3 years there's a crash because and

25:32

what might make this crash especially

25:33

severe is that railroads need upgrading

25:37

every 50 years, telco every 20 years, a

25:40

data center is basically obsolete in

25:41

four or five years.

25:42

>> Yeah.

25:43

>> Yeah.

25:43

>> So I think there I think obviously you

25:46

need to look at the environmental

25:47

concerns, you need to look at energy

25:49

costs, but I would imagine there's so

25:51

much money on the line here that these

25:52

companies and these city councils would

25:55

be able to come to some sort of

25:56

accommodation around how do we ensure

25:58

the local populace does not see its

26:00

electricity costs just go through the

26:02

roof.

26:03

One would imagine and I know the Trump

26:04

administration has been trying to do. I

26:06

think the hiring of Dena Powell was the

26:08

reason for that is she's very as

26:11

president of Meta. I think that's

26:12

probably going to be a lot of her jobs

26:13

these data centers worldwide. By the

26:15

way, it's also in the Middle East. It's

26:16

also because they want to have big data

26:18

centers there and they have much more

26:20

control over their populace. Um but I do

26:22

think it's sort of the last play of

26:24

these governments not to put up with

26:27

this. I you know it's a really

26:28

interesting dynamic of people who are

26:31

sort of years ago uh one of the Joe

26:34

Kennedy Jr. I think I've said this came

26:36

I had I went to his office and he was

26:38

talking about Amazon putting in a

26:39

warehouse into his district and he goes

26:42

well what this is probably good for

26:43

people. I said oh no it's it's not good

26:45

it's not going to be good for people.

26:47

They're here to help themselves. I think

26:49

people at their very core understand as

26:51

you were saying that this is not for

26:53

them. This is for others to to benefit

26:56

and it's not to help them in any way. So

26:59

why should we give up environmental

27:02

stuff or more energy prices more than

27:04

environmental? Anyway,

27:05

>> again, I think I think the the the curb

27:10

or the retail story or the cover story

27:12

is we're worried about environmental and

27:14

demands on the grid. I think what's

27:16

really going on here is this is just

27:18

rage at income inequality and

27:21

>> big tech and the data center is the

27:23

manifestation

27:24

>> and can see it

27:25

>> that we can see it and protest against

27:27

it. I I I think this is I think we're

27:30

whenever we get to these levels of

27:31

income inequality we have war, famine or

27:33

revolution. I would argue we have all

27:35

three of those but revolution always

27:36

takes on a different complexion. I think

27:38

what we have now is a series of small

27:40

revolutions and they're going after

27:43

people they generally speaking big tech,

27:46

old people, white people, rich people.

27:51

>> Okay.

27:52

Tell me tell me you're involved in a

27:54

data center without telling me you're

27:55

involved in

27:56

>> I know Kevin earlier shows up with his

27:57

multi-million dollar.

27:58

>> He's literally the worst spokesperson in

28:00

the world for this show.

28:01

>> Did you see that outfit he was wearing?

28:03

I was like, "Oh my god, you literally

28:05

look like the guy, you know, the

28:06

Monopoly man. That's what he looks like,

28:08

the Monopoly man." Like, it just is not

28:11

I I I'm not a fan of of Mr.

28:13

>> Yeah. It's only a matter of days before

28:15

you see AOC and Bernie Sanders at these

28:17

sites whipping people up into a friend.

28:19

It'll be like

28:20

>> It'll be like the modern day equivalent

28:21

when Bob Barker used to go to animal

28:23

shelters and just go crazy and

28:25

>> Yeah. Yeah.

28:26

>> Yeah. We'll see where it goes. Now,

28:28

speaking of this, which I think is

28:30

getting people furious, too, and I do

28:31

think this is the new financial

28:33

disclosures show Trump or his investment

28:35

advisors made more than 3,700 stock

28:37

trades in the first quarter of 2026

28:39

involving hundreds of millions of

28:40

dollars. The filings show major buys in

28:43

companies like Nvidia, Boeing, Intel,

28:45

Microsoft, and Oracle, many of which are

28:46

directly affected by Trump

28:48

administration uh policy decisions, as

28:50

the FCC chairperson Anna Gomez calls

28:52

billionaire buddy deals. Um, in the case

28:55

of Palanteer, Trump made at least seven

28:57

purchases of the stock totaling as much

28:58

as $530,000 in March, then just happened

29:02

to praise the company on Truth Social

29:03

after shares suffered their worst week

29:05

in a year the following month. I mean,

29:08

uh,

29:09

what what does it actually take to have

29:11

consequences here? And does it all end

29:14

up with Trump or is he permanently

29:15

changed what Americans will tolerate

29:16

from presidents? cuz this is like

29:18

there's a great I literally feel like

29:20

he's going to start taking milk money

29:22

from kids like at some point if you

29:24

remember that that expression. I just

29:26

this is like is there anywhere he

29:28

doesn't cheat and advantage himself in a

29:31

way that's like really obvious grift

29:35

like obvious and really kind of

29:37

upsetting grift.

29:38

>> I think you asked exactly the correct

29:40

question and that is what can be done

29:42

about it. I'm just I'm I want to move

29:44

past the Democrats indignation and

29:46

constantly bitching about it, but no

29:49

real ideas on how to stop it. And so,

29:52

let's set the table here to your point

29:53

about a level of griff that is just

29:55

absolutely unprecedented.

29:57

>> He has um executed more than 3,700

30:00

trades in the first quarter of 2026.

30:03

He's doing 40 trades a day, by the way,

30:06

throughout his life. It's not like he's

30:07

someone addicted to trading on Robin

30:09

Hood. And this is just him, you know,

30:11

Trump being Trumpy. He usually didn't

30:14

make this many trades in a year. And all

30:16

of a sudden, he has access to influence

30:18

around these companies and he's decided

30:20

to start trading stocks. Trump bought

30:22

500,000 to a million dollars in Nvidia

30:24

stock one week before his commerce

30:26

department approved Nvidia chip sales to

30:28

China. He bought somewhere between 1

30:30

and5 million the week before they

30:31

announced a major deal with Meta. He's

30:35

he he bought Dell stock before he

30:37

started carving up Tik Tok and giving it

30:39

to wait for it Michael Dell. The same

30:42

with Oracle. And we have unfortunately

30:45

relied on a series of norms that has

30:48

resulted in every president since LBJ

30:50

using a blind trust. Obama did index

30:53

funds and treasury bills. Everyone else

30:55

has put their stuff into a blind trust.

30:57

He claims his trust is blind dish

30:59

because his sons operate it who are the

31:01

same people roaming around extracting a

31:03

pound of flesh

31:04

>> and on the trips to China just here to

31:06

support dad. Give me a [ __ ] break.

31:09

>> So insider trading or the veil or the

31:12

appearance of insider trading has

31:13

essentially defined Trump's second term.

31:16

Just before liberation day, more than a

31:19

dozen government officials made

31:20

welltimed stock sales. What a what a

31:23

coincidence.

31:24

So his his memecoin hit a $27 billion

31:28

market cap inauguration week with 58

31:30

anonymous wallets making over a billion

31:32

dollars dumping it while 800,000 retail

31:35

investors lost 2 billion combined. 15

31:37

minutes before Trump announced Iran

31:39

peace stocks 500 million in oil futures

31:41

and one and a half billion in S&P

31:43

futures traded hands.

31:44

>> Cali trading who knows he's doing that.

31:46

All let's be clear. There appears to be

31:48

an unprecedented pattern of information

31:50

that seems to be only available from

31:52

Trump or people surrounding him engaging

31:55

in what feels like either market

31:56

manipulation or what could classically

31:58

be defined as insider trading. And the

32:01

damage there is it's not only a conflict

32:03

of interest and skewing their decisions,

32:06

it creates a lack of trust in the

32:08

markets where people think if I don't

32:10

have insider information, I shouldn't

32:11

buy stocks because the person buying or

32:13

selling stock has more information than

32:14

me. And you start to see Russia which

32:16

has uh a total stock market value of

32:19

what our stock market trades about every

32:21

seven seconds and you lose access to

32:23

cheap capital and your whole economy

32:25

starts to decline because companies

32:26

can't can't find uh pools of capital

32:29

that are formed based on a certain rule

32:31

of law and fair play. The question is

32:33

okay great now what do we do about it?

32:35

And this is where I think the Democrats

32:36

again have fallen short and that is

32:39

we're long on indignation but we're

32:41

short on ideas. And I believe that

32:44

someone running for president should say

32:46

one of my first acts is I'm going to

32:48

work with the following states AGs. I

32:50

think there's been insider trading. I

32:53

think they'll have to discourage at a

32:54

minimum their profits, including

32:56

Democrats. Including Democrats who've

32:58

engaged in insider trading. I think

33:00

there has been wire fraud. I think there

33:02

has been effectively what announced

33:05

defense concerns or violations of the

33:07

imalments clause. I'm going to go after

33:09

cabinet members. I'm going to go after

33:10

their sons through the letter of the

33:12

law. And the key here is I'm going to do

33:15

it with the following state ages such

33:17

that this legal action is not exempted

33:21

or protected by a presidential pardon.

33:23

>> Right.

33:24

>> But somebody needs to lay this [ __ ] out.

33:26

>> Right. Right.

33:28

>> I mean,

33:28

>> yeah. Well, Rahm Emanuel has. Others

33:30

have. Some several have. Let me be

33:33

>> Well, Ram Rahm is the only one.

33:35

>> He just laid it out in a piece. Ram is

33:37

the only one who's actually moved to the

33:39

ideas part of if I worry we are going to

33:43

be in for a rude awakening if we think

33:45

we're going to win just based on

33:48

indignance and hating Trump. It's got to

33:50

be all right. What are you going to do

33:52

about it? And the way you get legitimacy

33:54

here is one by saying any Democrat

33:57

that's engaged in this [ __ ] which

33:59

they have we're going after as well. And

34:01

also, don't think a presidential pardon

34:04

is going to get you out of this, folks,

34:05

because this comes down to incentives.

34:06

And until these believe people believe

34:08

they could be subject to something on

34:10

January 21st of 2028 or excuse me, 2029,

34:14

they're going to continue to engage in

34:15

it,

34:16

>> right? Because these are easily, you

34:17

know, these cases are much easier to

34:19

win, by [laughter] the way, in terms

34:20

>> digital proof everywhere.

34:22

>> That's right. I I I have told you this

34:23

but there is a group of people

34:25

technologists who are saving crypto

34:28

things for later like so later when it

34:30

happens like when it when you can do

34:32

something like this they'll be

34:33

>> they have prints on the trades. Yes,

34:35

they have been watching [clears throat]

34:35

it. They've been collecting it and

34:37

they're holding it. And so there are

34:39

there's an ability to track this stuff,

34:41

folks. And you're absolutely right. This

34:42

is this grift has got to be they're not

34:45

going to Some of them are going to Look,

34:47

Trump probably is going to walk away.

34:48

Let's be clear. Unfortunately,

34:51

getting our hands on him is going to be

34:53

pointless, angerfilled.

34:55

>> Let biology take care of

34:56

>> Let it let him He's old. Like he is not

34:59

going to be gotten. the sons of these

35:01

people and the Lutniks of the world. All

35:03

these people, it feels so dirty like

35:06

what's happening with Witoff and the all

35:09

these kids are like swanning around. I

35:11

can tell you they're swanning around

35:13

Washington and there is Dumb and Dumber

35:16

doesn't even begin to describe them and

35:18

they are just they're just they're just

35:20

on the make and it's grotesque. It's

35:22

just grotesque what's going on here. And

35:24

let me tell you the people who are mad

35:25

about data centers, they're also taking

35:27

advantage you everywhere else. And so

35:30

[ __ ] you is their [ __ ] how to [ __ ] you

35:32

is their is their operating principle.

35:34

And if they can do it in a shortcut way

35:36

without working at it, that's their

35:38

favorite way. And so I agree with you

35:40

there. This is what any any democratic

35:43

person wants to come and talk to us, we

35:45

will give you a speech for you to do

35:47

this. Um anyway, we have to go on a on a

35:49

quick break. Uh when we come back, Elon

35:51

Musk's plan to make sure no one can fire

35:53

him from SpaceX, another monarchy.

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37:07

Scott, we're back with more news. SpaceX

37:09

is expected to file for its IPO this

37:11

week, which will be interesting. I'm

37:12

excited for you to read it and tell me

37:13

all about it. at a valuation of roughly

37:16

$2 trillion, aiming to go public June

37:18

12th on NASDAQ. We're also learning

37:20

about more about the governance

37:22

structure. No surprise, CEO Elon Musk

37:24

would control a super majority of class

37:26

B stock with 10 times the voting power

37:28

of ordinary shares. This is not

37:30

uncommon. Google and other companies

37:31

have this um meta things like or version

37:35

of this. The prospectus says Elon can

37:37

only be removed by class B shareholders

37:39

and he will control the election and

37:41

removal of directors as long as he holds

37:43

his stake. Investors are warned this

37:45

will limit or preclude your ability to

37:47

influence corporate uh matters. It's

37:50

already in place right now, by the way,

37:52

but come on. Of course, he's going to do

37:54

this. And there's another yet another

37:56

incentive for Elon. If SpaceX reaches a

37:59

$7.5 trillion valuation, and it

38:02

establishes a 1 million person colony on

38:04

Mars, he could receive up to 200 million

38:07

in shares. Let's talk about this board

38:10

membership. Uh Scott, because you you've

38:12

been an investor, you've been a board

38:13

member. Elon defended on ex writing, "I

38:15

need to make sure SpaceX stays focused

38:17

on making life multilanetarian,

38:20

extending consciousness to the stars,

38:21

not pandering to someone's [ __ ]

38:23

quarterly earnings bonus." In other

38:24

words, he doesn't want to have a public

38:26

company, but he wants the benefits of a

38:28

public company. Um, only thing I will

38:30

say here, he truly does believe in this

38:32

multilanetary extending consciousness.

38:35

It's not, this is not marketing on his

38:37

behalf. He has a demented loony idea

38:40

that humanity will die and he should be

38:42

the god of Mars. So, and speaking of

38:45

war, um, but your thoughts on this

38:48

entire thing besides monarchy and

38:50

god-like feelings that he has?

38:52

>> Well, just a brief history of dual class

38:53

shareholder companies. They were

38:55

originally invented by media companies

38:56

who claimed they wanted to pursue

38:58

journalism without the vagaries.

39:00

>> New York Times.

39:01

>> Well, yeah, a bunch of them actually.

39:03

Almost a lot of them said, and there's

39:05

some legitimacy there. These families

39:07

said, "We don't want someone who hates

39:09

us to show up and start dictating

39:11

editorial control. So, we want to

39:12

maintain control. Whether you believe

39:15

that or not, fine." But then the first

39:17

tech company to do that was uh the

39:20

Google guys. They said, "We want two

39:22

classes of shares." And what's

39:24

interesting is in the late '9s there was

39:28

a rumor that Seoia was trying to sell

39:31

its shares in a private uh Google

39:34

because the they they clashed they

39:37

really clashed with Sergey and Larry who

39:39

demanded two class of shares and that

39:41

was so unusual and Sequoa's thought was

39:44

you're not going to be able to get

39:45

public. You're not a newspaper company.

39:47

you're not a journalism company or a

39:48

tech company. And basically Google then

39:52

everybody else has followed in Google's

39:54

footsteps. Now to be fair to Musk, uh,

39:57

you know, when I went on the board of

39:58

the New York Times and was the largest

39:59

shareholder,

40:01

I all I really was was heckling from the

40:03

cheap seats and effectively an advisory

40:05

board. So while you get some sort of

40:08

representation, you really don't have at

40:11

the end of the day, the family decides

40:12

what they're going to do over

40:13

Thanksgiving dinner. The Ford family is

40:15

the same way. They own very few shares

40:17

but they control the company and tech

40:19

has figured this out. So this is this is

40:21

nothing nothing new and to be fair most

40:23

of the academic studies have shown that

40:25

dual class shareholder companies have

40:27

not vastly underperformed single share

40:29

companies.

40:29

>> Yeah I don't think that's the issue.

40:31

It's they can't be fired.

40:33

>> Oh he's in charge. And not only that but

40:35

I mean this is where the [ __ ] will get

40:36

crazy and I can't wait to read the S1.

40:39

you know, Adam Newman wanted his kids to

40:41

inherit the company, you know, and Musk

40:44

is saying, so but look, you the reality

40:48

is shareholders have a choice around

40:49

whether they want to buy shares. And

40:52

what you do with a tool class

40:53

shareholder company is one, eventually

40:55

you get a bad king, and two, you take

40:57

out a premium of of a possible takeover.

41:00

And that is Warner Brothers Discovery.

41:01

When AT&T spun Warner Brothers, they

41:05

demanded a single class share stock such

41:07

that the company could be put into play.

41:10

And whenever a company is a single share

41:12

uh class share company, it usually

41:14

trades theoretically at a bit of a

41:16

premium because someone could come in

41:18

and buy it. So this is this is just you

41:22

have to decide whether you believe in

41:24

Musk and to be also just the market says

41:27

not people are not only willing to put

41:28

up a dual class shareholder company

41:30

they're willing to buy at what are

41:33

errant abnormal extraordinary valuations

41:36

because of Musk's involvement but this

41:39

is these super voting shares started

41:42

with media companies or newspaper

41:43

companies then leaked into tech and now

41:45

almost everyone is doing it when they go

41:48

public Right. I I that that I don't

41:50

fault him on. Like, of course. And he,

41:51

by the way, he's been running Tesla like

41:53

that anyway without having

41:55

[clears throat] this kind of thing,

41:56

right? It doesn't matter. The the board

41:58

has has has has

42:01

whatever he wants. It's like it's a

42:02

completely bought and paid for board

42:05

essentially. And so, he gets that shares

42:08

and he always threatens to leave and he

42:09

throws a fit and it just didn't work at

42:11

Open AI. That's what happened there.

42:13

They're like, "Yeah, we'll be fine

42:14

without you." And they were um for a

42:16

time. Uh, so I think this is not an

42:19

unusual thing and you do have to realize

42:21

he's not going to he is a key man here.

42:24

It's just like one bad night in Austin

42:26

and you know that's the problem with all

42:28

this stuff or he loses interest like

42:30

he's done at Tesla. Now the shares have

42:32

stayed up because it's a meme stock but

42:35

the company's not headed in the right.

42:36

He's just lost interest in it and is you

42:39

know that's the problem you have here is

42:41

these single monarchies. Uh same thing

42:44

with with with Zuckerberg. He happens to

42:46

be vibrant right now, but boy has he

42:48

made a series of idiotic move that would

42:50

have gotten other people fired and he

42:52

won't be fired. And it it is part of a

42:55

mentality of I am the king, I am the god

42:58

and that that you have got to buy into

43:00

but it has enormous risk because it's

43:03

all based predicated on one person and

43:07

sometimes that's good but sometimes

43:09

that's not so good. Like I just feel

43:11

like that buyer beware essentially you

43:14

could do well. I think that Musk I I

43:16

think there's no way to build a company

43:17

like SpaceX or Tesla without having a

43:21

ton of good people around him. The

43:22

reason why the Messiah complex comes

43:25

into effect in that is no one is allowed

43:27

to get near.

43:29

>> I'm pretty sure the fastest way to get

43:30

fired at Tesla or SpaceX is to ever say

43:33

anything at a mic. Only Elon is allowed

43:37

to talk. This is all about Elon. He's

43:39

the genius.

43:41

>> We don't There is no Ruth Pat, you know.

43:44

There is no Tim Armstrong. There is no

43:46

correct. There's no one else anyone's

43:48

allowed. You're locked in.

43:49

>> Can I say something? Can I just

43:51

interject? When I wanted to interview

43:52

Gwen Shotwell years and years ago at one

43:54

of my code conferences, they said only

43:56

Elon will speak to you. Like I was like,

43:59

what are you talking about? She's

44:00

obviously doing an amazing job. Like I

44:02

really wanted to

44:05

>> all about Elon.

44:06

>> Only Elon. And I was like I remember at

44:08

the time being like well that's [ __ ]

44:09

up because she deserves like I want to

44:12

hear from her anyway. But but what I

44:14

would suggest investors do when the S1

44:16

comes out and I'm going to spend some

44:17

time on this is not focus on the dual

44:20

class shareholder structure but simple

44:22

uh basic boring stuff uh or the boring

44:24

knitting of valuation and that is the

44:26

following. At some point an amazing

44:29

company is a shitty investment if it

44:30

gets too expensive and at some point a

44:32

shitty company is an amazing investment

44:33

if it gets cheap enough. And let's just

44:34

talk about valuation here. Google IPOed

44:38

trading at about 10 times trailing

44:40

revenue and it was growing revenues 240%

44:43

before the IPO. So 10 times revenue

44:46

growing 240% a year. Meta IPOed at 28

44:50

times trailing revenue growing revenues

44:52

at 88% a year before the IPO. Saudi

44:55

Aramco five times trailing revenue

44:57

growing revenues 41% a year. SpaceX will

45:00

IPO at 109 times trailing revenue,

45:04

growing revenues at 20% a year.

45:07

>> Ouch.

45:08

>> So, and to be clear, space is the

45:11

ultimate addressable market. They have

45:13

most the size of the Amazon, but it's

45:16

going out at 10 times the valuation on a

45:20

multiple basis as Google did with a

45:22

tenth of the growth. And then if you

45:25

just want to look at valuations, Amazon

45:27

went public at 900 million. Microsoft at

45:29

2.3 billion, Apple at 7 billion, and

45:32

Google at 40 billion, and what SpaceX is

45:36

targeting two trillion. So, all I have

45:39

to say is, is is SpaceX an amazing

45:43

company or is it massively overvalued?

45:47

The answer is yes.

45:48

>> Yes. Yeah. Well, we'll see. And you

45:50

could still do well. Okay, moving on

45:51

very quickly. Louisiana Senator Bill

45:53

Cassie lost his Republican primary after

45:55

President Trump targeted him in

45:56

retaliation for voting to convict him in

45:58

his impeachment trial 5 years ago. Trump

46:01

backed Representative Julia Lelo uh who

46:04

finished ahead with about 45% of the

46:06

vote on true social. Trump celebrated

46:08

the loss saying that Cassid's disloyalty

46:10

to the man who got him elected is now

46:12

part of legend and it's nice to see that

46:14

his political career is over. Cassidy

46:16

took a swipe at Trump during his

46:17

concession speech. Just listen to a

46:19

clip. When you participate in democracy,

46:22

sometimes it doesn't turn out the way

46:24

you want it to. But you don't pout. You

46:27

don't whine. You don't claim the

46:29

election was stolen. You don't find a

46:31

reason why.

46:36

[applause]

46:38

You don't manufacture some excuse. You

46:41

thank the voters for the privilege of

46:43

representing the state or the country

46:45

for as long as you've had that

46:46

privilege. So interestingly also just

46:49

for a related story, Supreme Court

46:50

blocked an effort to revive Democratic

46:52

backed Virginia congressional map that

46:54

could have flipped several GOP house

46:56

seats. The map uh had been approved by

46:58

voters but struck down by Virginia

46:59

Supreme Court and Supreme Court did not

47:01

give a reason for denying the emergency

47:02

appeal in the order. They usually don't

47:04

meddle with Supreme Courts really is

47:06

what I'm told. Um so there's some worry

47:08

that Democrats should worry about the

47:10

political environment. Others feel no

47:12

that it's not the case that it was it

47:14

was a good thing to have but not a

47:15

mustave. I mean, this Cassie thing is

47:17

interesting because suddenly, again,

47:19

like Tom Tillis, he's found his balls

47:21

and he does have until January to do

47:23

something about it. He's the one that

47:24

backed RFK and even though he knew

47:26

better, he did a lot. He voted yes for

47:28

Pete Hegathth. Shouldn't have done it,

47:30

now can be regretful of it. I know

47:32

Tillis took a really big slap at

47:34

Hegathth this week. These two could make

47:37

trouble for Trump until January. Quite a

47:39

bit of trouble. Um, but you know, as

47:42

Tillis did with the with um around the

47:45

uh Fed chairman uh vote. Uh so what do

47:49

you think about this? I mean, democracy

47:50

is democracy and Trump has power in

47:52

these states. So thoughts about both

47:54

things?

47:55

>> I'm torn because I understand I'm

47:57

sympathetic to the notion that you can't

48:00

do good if you don't get elected. And

48:02

this is no longer the Republican party.

48:04

It's MAGA. It puts these people in a

48:05

very difficult position. I also think

48:07

there's some legitimacy to the argument

48:09

that Bill Cassidy should lose his

48:10

medical license because to

48:12

>> oh

48:13

>> to be well he was the swing vote

48:15

>> I know that I got

48:17

>> believe it

48:18

>> they got RFK

48:20

I mean I've said this before no one is

48:22

doing more damage abroad than Secretary

48:25

Hagsath no one is doing more damage to

48:26

children domestically than RFK Jr.

48:30

Uh, measles is on the rise.

48:32

>> I know you mean it's repulsive.

48:35

>> He's a [clears throat] murderer. He's a

48:37

murderer.

48:37

>> So, and this is the doctor. He took a

48:40

hypocratic oath

48:43

and he confirmed a guy he knew was was

48:47

creating fear and insecurity around our

48:49

medical our great medical institutions

48:50

and around and and and demonizing

48:54

vaccines.

48:55

And he's a [ __ ] doctor. I mean, so I

49:00

I I want to feel some glee here, but

49:02

here's the problem.

49:04

It was good to have a doctor on many of

49:05

these panels. He was about as reasonable

49:08

as they came. The person that's probably

49:11

going to replace him is going to be

49:12

worse. So, this is just one of those

49:14

things. It's like shavings of [ __ ] on a

49:16

[ __ ] salad. And it's fun to be gleeful

49:19

about it and say, "Senator Cassidy,

49:21

you're, you know, the only thing I know

49:24

that's gonna come of this is, oh my god,

49:26

wait and see the testicles that this

49:28

senator is suddenly about to find he

49:30

has."

49:30

>> Yes, he just did.

49:31

>> Just watch him on Bill Maher. All of a

49:33

sudden, he's going to turn into a trutht

49:35

teller.

49:35

>> Yeah. Yeah.

49:36

>> I can't wait to see what he says about

49:38

RFK now.

49:39

>> Yeah.

49:39

>> And the problem is, folks, that's not

49:41

when we need your testicles.

49:43

>> That's correct.

49:44

>> That's not when we need you to be a

49:46

leader. So I I I just think this is you

49:49

look left, you look right, and this is

49:51

[ __ ] avenue because he was a reasonable

49:54

guy. You do need medical professionals

49:56

on these panels to say, "Okay, one of us

49:59

is a doctor. Everyone else shut the [ __ ]

50:01

up." I I think that training does pay

50:04

off. I believe in expertise. I believe

50:06

in credentials. I believe in

50:07

peer-reviewed research. I believe in

50:08

science. And so should America. We need

50:11

more doctors, I think, in in Congress.

50:14

the person who replaces him and he must

50:16

be pissed off because quite frankly

50:18

while they're saying he came in third,

50:20

he actually barely lost because he got

50:22

25.

50:24

The other candidate who was anti-Trump

50:26

or not a Trumpy got 28. So if he had

50:28

just gotten 28 or 29, he might have won

50:32

in the general. I got to be honest

50:34

though, you know what I'm so excited to

50:36

see?

50:36

>> What?

50:37

>> Oh my god, he's going after village

50:40

idiot Lauren Boowbert.

50:41

>> Oh, he's going after Lauren Boowbert.

50:42

And I just I just want to say I'm going

50:44

to host a fundraiser for for Boowbert

50:47

and it's going to be whoever wins, she

50:49

has to go on a date with your

50:50

17-year-old son. [clears throat]

50:51

I think she is the best date for a high

50:53

school.

50:54

>> Oh my god.

50:54

>> She'll let you.

50:58

She goes to Beetlejuice.

51:00

>> Where were you when I was 17?

51:02

Representative Boowbert, where were you?

51:05

>> No, you didn't say anything about the

51:06

Democratic thing in Virginia. Briefly,

51:08

>> but I said this last week. I we we're

51:11

hoping that that redistricting

51:15

is beat by vibes. I just don't think

51:18

there's any way to to to polish this.

51:20

This is bad for Democrats.

51:22

>> Yeah, I think I I think he can't deny

51:24

polling. Polling is polling and

51:25

everywhere it happens. You got to win by

51:28

winning the votes. That's the way you

51:29

got to do it.

51:30

>> But but I take the other side of that.

51:31

If you jerrymander enough, you can win.

51:33

You can win more than you deserve.

51:35

>> I still think it's an overwhelming It's

51:37

going to be a train. the latest. All

51:39

right. Well, we'll see. We'll see. We'll

51:41

see. By the way, I believe in the

51:42

voters.

51:42

>> By the way, another talking point, Pete.

51:45

Pete or Rom. This is my grid. I took a

51:48

grid. It's It's my my eight-year-old did

51:52

it. You know, Pete has little kids. He

51:54

draw he drew eight lines exactly

51:57

equidistant, horizontally, and he put it

52:00

on top of the US map. And this is what

52:02

I'm going to propose for congressional

52:05

districts. I'm going to dejerrymander

52:08

the United States. I think that is a

52:09

great talking point right now.

52:11

>> That's another good one. Great. Let's go

52:12

on a quick break. When we come back, the

52:14

reality star in the LA mayoral race.

52:18

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53:50

Scott, we're back with more news. This

53:51

one. Oh my god. You could have run for

53:53

mayor of Los Angeles at this point.

53:55

Spencer Pratt, formerly a reality show

53:57

of The Hills, an generally awful person,

54:00

is unexpectedly emerging as a contender

54:02

in the Los Angeles mayor's race. I'm not

54:04

so clear he's going to win, but he's got

54:05

the mo. Despite his lack of uh political

54:08

experience, Pratt has gained traction

54:09

through viral social media campaigning

54:12

and support from figures like Joe Rogan

54:14

and Elon Musk. Of course, Elon Musk.

54:16

Pratt has built his campaign around

54:18

frustration with the cost of living in

54:19

the city's response to wildfires which

54:21

destroyed his own home. Um, lot of

54:23

reporting by Harvey Levan has shown most

54:26

of the stuff he's saying to be nonsense.

54:28

Um, thank God for TMZ at this point. Um,

54:32

he's signed up uh, of course an

54:33

unscripted series following his bid to

54:35

be mayor and going into mayor of course

54:37

because this is all a scam with Spencer

54:39

Pratt and elsewhere in California

54:41

politics which seems insane this at this

54:44

particular juncture. California

54:45

gubernatorial candidate Tom Styer is

54:47

under investigation after his campaign

54:49

paid influencers to post favorable

54:51

content without clearly disclosing it

54:52

was sponsored. California law requires

54:54

paid political content to include

54:56

disclaimers as it should and state

54:58

regulators are now looking into whether

54:59

those rules were violated. Both

55:00

Democratic Republican groups report

55:02

spent millions of this type of

55:03

endorsement over the past few campaign

55:05

cycles. It's very it's propaganda. Um,

55:08

so reality stars, influencers, of course

55:11

it's California, Spencer [ __ ] Pratt,

55:14

like what in the [ __ ] [ __ ] And a lot of

55:17

people donate to him, by the way, don't

55:18

live in Los Angeles, but that's neither

55:21

here nor there. Thoughts?

55:23

>> I had a friend call me and ask me to

55:25

have him on the raging moderates pod.

55:26

And look, a reality TV star. He lost his

55:30

house in the Palisades. He's very good

55:32

on camera. He understands social media.

55:34

Uh, he's got a lot of momentum. He's

55:36

running against what I think is a weak

55:37

candidate and a frustrated populace. LA

55:39

has become a little bit like I would

55:41

describe it as Cape Town. There are some

55:43

areas of Cape Town I think this is the

55:44

nicest place in the world and then if

55:46

you venture a few minutes outside of

55:48

them it gets really ugly really fast.

55:50

>> And the homeless problem, you know, I

55:53

think it's fair for people to say, "I'm

55:55

paying some of the highest taxes in the

55:56

nation.

55:57

>> I want I have to walk this way to my

56:00

kids to school so they don't see a

56:02

homeless man masturbating or [ __ ] in

56:04

the streets." that you know you you can

56:07

understand the the amount of bureaucracy

56:10

trying to deal with the fires. A lot of

56:12

people don't like the way the fires.

56:13

This is ripe for somebody to challenge

56:16

Karen Mayor Bass. Uh where I land on the

56:20

following is the following. Spencer

56:21

Pratt embraced Alex Jones is said 911

56:26

was an inside job and brought up doubt

56:28

about Sandy Hook. Go [ __ ] yourself. I I

56:31

would vote for anyone over someone who

56:34

has embra embracing Alex Jones

56:36

disqualifies you to run the what is one

56:38

of the great cities in the world. So

56:41

this guy is evidence again of revolution

56:44

and people so angry and so upset I hope

56:48

and it's also evidence of just how hard

56:49

it is to find reasonably competent

56:52

people to run for office

56:54

>> like Rick Caruso was supposed to

56:56

challenge her who

56:57

>> Rick would have been great. I'm trying

56:58

to get my friend Jamie Patrickov to run.

57:01

He's nice. He loves LA. He has the

57:02

money, which is important. He's

57:04

pragmatic. He's a business person. None

57:07

of these people want to put their family

57:08

or themselves through this [ __ ]

57:10

Also, somebody has to come in and take

57:12

on many of the special interest groups,

57:14

including unions, including entrenched

57:15

Democrats. A and it is a a lot of people

57:19

will say, people really thought go LA

57:22

like California has become nearly

57:24

ungovernable. And that is the special

57:27

interest groups are so entrenched and so

57:28

hard to overcome. There's so much

57:30

bureaucracy. It is so hard to find

57:31

talented people to try and do this.

57:34

Everybody wants theirs and that it's

57:36

become a very difficult but Spencer

57:38

Pratt.

57:38

>> I know it's just amazing that some that

57:40

people are backing this guy. This guy

57:42

and by the way I I'm not kidding about

57:43

Harvey Lean. He actually showed how much

57:46

he was living at the Bair Hotel and was

57:49

pretending to Anyway, look, there's

57:51

frustration over everything. A lot of

57:53

the stuff that he's talking about is not

57:55

the responsibility of Bass, but there's

57:57

anger at Bass about how she handled

57:59

that. No question. There's anger and

58:01

frustration about homelessness. There's

58:02

anger and frustration. But your your

58:04

your choice is not to go with Spencer

58:06

[ __ ] Pratt, by the way, who's just

58:09

one con after another. He really is. He

58:12

really is. And lie and con after

58:14

another. There's another council member

58:15

who's also showing some some a little

58:19

bit not momentum but some numbers who

58:21

had backed Bass and now is running

58:23

against Bass probably should

58:25

>> I hate to say this but probably strike

58:28

some sort of deal with Bass step down

58:29

and she will probably win Bass will

58:32

because she's there's no

58:33

>> pe no Latinos or black people are voting

58:36

for Spencer Brat and it's all outside

58:38

money it's all people who have like very

58:41

little interest in it but he is

58:43

articulating in anger

58:44

Even if he's the worst vessel poss

58:48

>> that's exactly right and but this guy

58:50

makes Trump look like a genius. Like let

58:52

me just say this is not even close. It's

58:54

it would be such an embarrassment for

58:56

this to happen in San Francisco. You get

58:58

Daniel Lur, someone who's a really who's

59:01

doing a good job. And by the way, I I

59:03

still don't think Lennon Breed did the

59:04

worst job of all. It just was she had a

59:06

lot of stuff that got piled up on top of

59:08

her. Um and and and and didn't have the

59:11

tools because of different legal things

59:13

that got passed later that she couldn't

59:15

deal with the homeless issue there, but

59:17

now Lur can. Um you you need someone

59:20

like Luri, like find someone like that,

59:23

like who is going to be like little

59:25

maybe a little more centrist than the

59:26

left wants, maybe a little uh not as not

59:29

as conservative as others want, right?

59:32

someone who's going to try to solve

59:33

problems and at least make an attempt to

59:36

do so and instead this laughable like

59:39

con man is the person you're picking and

59:41

and full of constant lies. It will be a

59:43

disaster for Los Angeles is one of the

59:45

most beautiful places on earth and if

59:47

they could be now Los Angeles compared

59:49

to San Francisco is a quantum level of

59:51

difficulty of running. It just is like

59:53

let's be clear. Um and uh but this is

59:57

not what you want. And I think Bass has

59:59

started to acknowledge the problems, is

60:01

saying all the right things. It's likely

60:03

she'll win. But the momentum for this

60:05

[ __ ] clown, especially, let me tell

60:07

you, anyone who calls me from Los

60:09

Angeles, and several have that say

60:12

they're looking at them, we are no

60:13

longer friends. Like, sorry. Just sorry.

60:16

Like,

60:16

>> but the reason they're looking at them,

60:17

quite frankly, you're being very

60:19

generous to Mayor Bass,

60:20

>> right? I am. I am. I I agree. I think

60:22

she's I has has not been great, but this

60:24

is the choice you have, right? This is

60:26

the

60:26

>> Fair enough. But there's a couple

60:27

takeaways here. Mayor Lurri and

60:29

Democrats, especially Democrats in

60:32

executive roles, not legislative roles.

60:34

There's a difference. Governor and

60:36

mayor, it's an executive role.

60:37

>> Agree.

60:38

>> And what Mayor Luri is doing, and every

60:40

Democratic um mayor needs to take a

60:42

lesson, a note out of this page book and

60:44

governor because if if Democratic

60:45

governors and mayors can't figure out a

60:47

way to not make their cities come across

60:49

as [ __ ] holes, it is going to be very

60:51

hard for them to run. They've got to

60:53

show they have the ability to say no to

60:55

special interest groups and be about

60:56

blocking and tackling such that they

60:58

focus on quality of life issues. And

61:01

what Mayor Lurri has done that is so

61:03

impressive is if you ask him about

61:05

Israel, if you ask him about Ukraine, if

61:07

you ask him even about a national issue,

61:10

bodily autonomy that doesn't directly

61:12

affect right now San Franciscans who

61:14

have access to family planning, he says,

61:16

"I'm not going to talk about it. That's

61:18

not why I'm here." Every mayor and

61:20

governor in the United States thinks

61:22

that their mayoral or their governor

61:24

governorship is a kickoff campaign for

61:26

them to run for president. No. Get the

61:29

subways to run on [ __ ] time. Figure

61:31

out the way the trash gets picked up.

61:33

Figure out a way to strike a deal with

61:35

the unions if you're dealing with that

61:36

such that they make good livingings, but

61:38

it's not they're not making $180,000 a

61:41

year for their 40% agree with you in

61:43

retirement. Stop talking about national

61:46

and international issues. No one gives a

61:48

[ __ ] what you think. run this city. And

61:51

that is exactly what Mayor Lur is doing.

61:53

And he's very popular and he's getting a

61:55

lot of support and he's getting [ __ ]

61:57

done and he's making hard decisions

61:58

around homelessness and around municipal

62:01

transportation. The other thing I want

62:03

to say that'll be Tommy Star has

62:06

basically been accused of astroturfing.

62:09

I mean, that's effectively what it is.

62:10

You're paying for people who endorse you

62:12

who don't disclose their endorsement.

62:14

Okay. So is everyone else,

62:18

>> right? I get it.

62:19

>> When when Manny was running and I said

62:22

anything about the mayoral race,

62:24

hundreds of comments from bots, you're

62:29

going to tell me they somehow weren't

62:30

connected to money and his campaign.

62:33

>> No, it's a part of modern political

62:35

life.

62:36

>> And so if Tom Styer does an astroturf,

62:38

then good for him and he's going to

62:40

lose. This is now the world we live in.

62:43

Unless the platforms figure out an

62:44

airtight way to get rid of anonymous

62:46

accounts and unless they start going

62:49

after agencies that claim to be PR and

62:51

comm's firms, you are. Let me go

62:53

further. You're stupid not to astroturf

62:56

back because everyone's doing it to you.

62:59

>> It is. It's just that there's got to be

63:01

a way to solve this because it's such

63:03

like it's so

63:04

>> platforms have to do it.

63:05

>> No, absolutely. It's so noisy we can't

63:07

hear what people are saying. In this

63:08

case, it looks like probably Basera

63:10

looks like he's surging ahead at this

63:12

point. But that whole California race

63:14

has been insane. Like all of them have

63:17

got to someone needs to knock heads

63:18

there, but no one could knock heads

63:20

anymore, right? So it's sort of a race

63:22

to be an influencer or something or some

63:24

version of cheap and dirty. And that's a

63:27

real shame. Um it really is. It's, you

63:29

know, California is an important state

63:30

and should be governed by serious people

63:33

both as cities are important cities. Um

63:36

they've led the way on innovation.

63:38

whether they have troubles now that's a

63:39

different issue. I wish there was an

63:41

alternative to Bass that was serious and

63:43

I you know I get why you'd want to be

63:45

behind it but this you're doing this

63:47

there's something wrong with you.

63:48

There's something real wrong with you

63:49

anyway. We'll see what happens. We'll

63:51

see. He may just fade just cuz he's such

63:53

a seems like such a village idiot. But

63:55

we'll see. And if he wins watch out

63:57

[ __ ] below

63:58

>> I've watched some of his stuff. I'll

63:59

give him I think he's actually he's got

64:01

some of that Trump charisma. He does.

64:03

He's got some of that.

64:04

>> That's why he was a successful reality.

64:06

>> Anger and outrage tapping in. Again,

64:08

this all comes back to the same thing.

64:10

People are getting 110 notifications on

64:13

their phone that everyone's making bank

64:15

and has a hot boyfriend or girlfriend

64:18

except them. Everyone feels as if

64:20

they're falling behind. And when you're

64:23

falling behind and you're angry, chaos

64:26

is your preferred candidate.

64:28

>> That's correct. You're absolutely right.

64:30

Anyway, uh well, we'll see what happens

64:33

there. Uh I I'd be interested. Don't

64:35

have Spencer Pratt on if you don't mind.

64:37

You can, but you have to whack his the

64:38

[ __ ] out of him.

64:39

>> No. Jess said Jess said if we do that,

64:42

we have to have Mayor Bass on. And I'm

64:43

like, I don't I'm not going to platform

64:45

anyone who said 9/11 is was an inside

64:48

job and is and has shared the stage with

64:51

Alex Jones.

64:52

>> And other than saying my heart goes out

64:55

to the victims of Sandy Hook,

64:57

>> that's just disqualifying. I I'm doing a

65:00

lot of virtue signaling right now, but

65:01

those are red lines. Those are okay.

65:02

Those are red lines. Those are good

65:04

virtues, I would say. They're not virtue

65:05

signaling. It's virtues. They're

65:07

virtuous. What? Virtuous. Those are good

65:09

virtues. Uh there are some good virtues

65:11

uh these days. Anyway, one more quick

65:12

break. We'll be back for wins and fails.

65:15

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67:34

Okay, let's do some wins and fails.

67:37

Should I go first?

67:37

>> You go first.

67:38

>> Okay. I'm going to put it as a win and a

67:40

fail on both. Now, I love Steven

67:42

Colbear, right? I love him. I think he's

67:44

really funny. I think he's gonna have an

67:46

enormous career after he leaves. Uh I

67:48

think they're overdoing it on the

67:50

Goodbye Tour. I have to say it the plays

67:52

I hate to agree with people, but it's

67:53

like

67:54

>> it's like a woman's birthday party that

67:56

turns into a Jubilee [laughter]

67:57

coronation for two [ __ ] years.

67:59

>> Like come on. It's you know already.

68:01

>> Like it's it's like and it's also like

68:03

it's the five white guys. I was like

68:05

this you're not making yourself feel

68:07

[clears throat] like I get it. I'm

68:09

pissed. I'm pissed myself about

68:12

the takeover. I I am too. But I'm not

68:15

going to like go on about that said when

68:18

they what I did love is when they bring

68:20

Letterman back who I love when he's mad.

68:22

Like I love a Letterman anger and I

68:23

think it's really funny and that was

68:25

sort of his brand and sort of dispic

68:27

anger and they threw the furniture and

68:29

then they threw the melons and they

68:30

threw the um the birthday cake off the

68:33

roof. I thought that was so funny and

68:36

just exactly all I needed. So there that

68:39

was my win and fail at the same time.

68:41

And when he says, "Good night and good

68:42

luck, motherfuckers." That made me laugh

68:45

hysterically. Like, do it in humor, but

68:48

it's getting like it's getting a little

68:50

much. I God, I can't believe Megan Kelly

68:53

said a version of this. And I hate to

68:55

agree with her, but and I love Steven

68:57

Cobear, and I think he's got I think

68:59

they're not telling the truth about what

69:00

happened here. I do know that these

69:02

shows are declining, and this is the way

69:04

it goes. They could have done a lot of

69:06

other things, but just stick with the

69:08

funny and we all know you got [ __ ]

69:10

Like, I get it, but just go on and do

69:13

great things. That's what I would say. I

69:15

just am feeling a little bit like, okay,

69:17

boys, you know, there are lots of people

69:19

that get [ __ ] So, let's let's let's

69:22

do something about it as you say. All

69:24

right, your win and fail. People are

69:26

gonna be mad at me, but I love Steven

69:27

Coar anyway. Well, I have a fail and a

69:30

prediction and

69:33

okay, so um my fail is Nicholas Kristoff

69:38

and what I believe is a breakdown in

69:39

standards at the New York Times and his

69:42

piece on Palestinian prisoners. I think

69:45

it's my fail and not because the subject

69:46

isn't serious and not because

69:50

it's not it's an important issue. I

69:52

believe that our military operations in

69:54

Western societies and democracies need

69:56

to be held to a higher standard.

69:58

And whether it's a second strike

70:01

[snorts] on a on a on a boat, not a Navy

70:04

vessel, with survivors and not giving

70:06

them quarter, or the abuse of

70:08

Palestinian prisoners, I think that the

70:10

IDF should be held to a higher standard

70:13

than any military in the Middle East.

70:15

So, it's not that it's it's not that

70:16

it's not an important issue, but there's

70:19

a line in the piece suggesting that dogs

70:21

were trained to rape prisoners.

70:24

That's an extraordinary claim. And

70:27

extraordinary claims require a level of

70:29

evidence that was not met here. Not

70:31

vibes, not hearsay, not someone said. If

70:34

you're going to publish something that

70:36

incendiary, you need airtight sourcing,

70:39

multiple corroborated on there

70:41

confirmations or clear documentation.

70:43

And as someone who has a background or

70:47

experience with Belgian Malininois and

70:49

uh has come very close to adopting a

70:52

canine dog, the notion that a dog can be

70:54

trained to physically rape somebody,

70:57

it's just [ __ ] ridiculous.

71:00

And I feel that they're not informing

71:02

the public. They're injecting a

71:03

narrative accelerant into one of the

71:05

most volatile conflicts on the planet.

71:08

And here's the bigger problem. When

71:10

legacy media outlets, especially one

71:12

that has the prestige, the reputation,

71:15

the talent of the New York Time, runs

71:17

with claims like that that aren't

71:19

bulletproofed. They're not risking being

71:21

wrong. They're they're risking a further

71:24

erosion and trust in everything else

71:26

that's true. And they hand ammunition to

71:29

people who want to dismiss all reporting

71:32

as biased or fabricated. And this isn't

71:35

I'm trying not to take sides here. I

71:37

think this is about standards. War is

71:39

where truth goes to die on both sides.

71:42

Which means journalism needs to be

71:44

really disciplined. And if you lower the

71:46

bar because the story aligns with your

71:48

priors, you're no longer doing

71:50

journalism, you're doing advocacy with a

71:52

by line. And I think that these abuses,

71:55

the ones that can be proven, get

71:57

discounted because the media couldn't

71:59

resist the most shocking version of the

72:00

story. This reminds me of all those

72:02

stories about child soldiers that really

72:05

upset people for the right reason. You

72:07

take something innocent and talk about

72:10

killing, taking dogs and combining it

72:12

with rape. I it just I read it and I

72:14

thought this is just over the [ __ ]

72:16

top for the New York Times.

72:18

>> Well, can I just I'm not going to push

72:21

back because I think there's a lot of

72:22

controversy around the story that it was

72:24

in the opinion section that in this case

72:27

it probably the New York Times reporters

72:29

on the scene should have written

72:31

>> a a follow-up story or something to talk

72:34

about this. Now, Kristoff is known as an

72:38

excellent journalist, has done amazing

72:40

work,

72:40

>> feels not just that, not just cuz he won

72:42

the Post Prize, but like amazing work on

72:44

all sorts of abuses across the world,

72:46

and he's been accurate as a he's a very

72:48

good reporter, too.

72:50

>> Um, but this was an opinion section

72:52

piece, as you know. Um, and the New York

72:54

Times has been very supportive of him,

72:56

but I think in this case, this should

72:59

have been also reported because of the

73:02

nature of it. You've got to have like

73:04

extensive reporting on this even if it

73:08

because it's so incendiary and I I think

73:11

probably I don't know what happened and

73:13

they need to talk about it but the New

73:14

York Times is backing his reporting. The

73:17

question is should they do more

73:19

reporting right on and if this was the

73:21

same allegations on the Israeli side as

73:24

been has been I mean on the Hamas side

73:26

um of the same sexual abuses same thing

73:29

right like allegations same thing and so

73:33

that's what's important here is to do as

73:35

I think you double report stuff like

73:38

this triple report and quadruple report

73:40

it'll be interesting to see how it how

73:42

it pans out because the times has been

73:45

backing him on this

73:47

Um and and he he is citing a lot of UN

73:51

stuff. He's citing a lot of reports on

73:53

the scene. He's citing a lot of stuff,

73:54

but it requires extra extra reporting.

73:58

As much as, you know, that may be seem

74:00

offensive to some, I I think I do agree

74:02

with you here. They've got to really

74:04

button it up in a way that

74:06

because of the incendiary nature and

74:09

where it is at the same time. Even if

74:11

you you you have a side and you feel

74:13

like you know that war does result in

74:16

terrible abuses of the citizenry.

74:18

>> Yeah. I'm going to defer to you on

74:19

journalistic standards. I just read it

74:21

and thought I I have trouble. This seems

74:25

so

74:28

unbelievable that it required more than

74:32

uh more evidence and better reporting

74:34

than I I felt was evident in the

74:37

article. And that on something that is

74:39

so important in terms of how we in the

74:42

west and I do consider Israel Israel is

74:45

an ally and part of the west the

74:46

standards they should be held to are

74:48

really important and deserve they

74:50

deserve scrutiny. I mean, I get it.

74:54

People who when people claim I'm not

74:56

anti-Semitic, I'm anti-Israel. I say to

74:59

them, you know, I can relate to that

75:01

because I don't like Netanyahu, but I

75:03

care so much about Israel that I would

75:04

like to see Netanyahu voted out of

75:06

office because I don't think they have

75:07

acquitted themselves well in terms of

75:09

many of the ways they have approached

75:10

this conflict. I get it. But when you

75:14

when you reduce the veracity of your

75:17

reporting on this key issue and other

75:18

ones by as someone I don't feel like I

75:22

have domain expertise around how prisons

75:24

are treated. I have some domain

75:26

expertise around dogs quite frankly and

75:29

I just thought okay I have I can't even

75:32

this is unimaginable for me for someone

75:34

who has spent a lot of time around

75:35

Belgium Malininois

75:37

for them to say that and then I'm like

75:38

where's the evidence where the pro

75:39

where's the proof where's the double the

75:41

corroboration the further investigation

75:43

and it wasn't there and I thought it

75:46

reminded me of when you see those in

75:48

just unthinkable

75:50

pictures at the end of the war Americans

75:52

were really horrified by what they saw

75:55

in concentration camps. They were almost

75:57

as horrified by the Germans enlisting

76:00

14-year-olds and sending them to the

76:02

front lines because you took children,

76:03

something innocent, and you collided it

76:06

with something heinous, killing other

76:09

people. And I this this rireed of that

76:12

to me. Let's find the most innocent

76:13

creatures in the world, dogs, and let's

76:16

combine it with rape.

76:17

>> Well, let let me just read that for just

76:19

for this for people to know. It'll we'll

76:21

see where it zeros out, but I'm assuming

76:23

there's they're going to do further

76:25

reporting would be my guess internally.

76:27

Um, and there's a lot of people saying

76:29

they're going to they're going to

76:30

retract it. I this is Kristoff has said

76:32

this is not true. Um, this is the this

76:35

was the quote that the New York Times

76:36

gave just so we have it. There is no

76:38

truth uh to this at all. Nicholas

76:40

Krischoff is a two-time Pulitzer

76:42

Prizewinning journalist who has reported

76:44

on sexual violence for decades and is

76:45

widely regarded as one of the best the

76:47

world's best on ground reporters

76:49

documenting and bearing witness to

76:50

sexual abuse experienced by women and

76:52

men in war and conflict zones. He

76:54

traveled to the region to report

76:55

firsthand on the stories of Palestinians

76:57

who suffered abuse. And this article

76:58

collects accounts of the victim's own

77:00

words backed by independent studies. So,

77:02

we'll see. This has another chapter

77:04

happening because they're getting such

77:05

push back and including from Netanyahu.

77:08

I I I I I do hate to say like you have

77:11

to do extra reporting on certain topics,

77:13

but I think there's you have to

77:15

anticipate even if um it's Netanyahu or

77:18

whoever it happens to be and have

77:21

everything locked up tight. I would

77:22

agree with you on that. Anyway, we'll

77:24

see where it goes. Uh but

77:25

>> that was a productive conversation. I

77:26

appreciate it.

77:27

>> No problem. No problem.

77:28

>> So, uh

77:29

>> people are going to be mad anyway no

77:30

matter what. But

77:32

>> there's no talking about this without

77:33

everyone going to their corner.

77:35

>> Yeah.

77:36

>> And and getting very upset. And I

77:38

understand that. Um

77:39

>> Yeah.

77:40

>> Look, my [clears throat] this is I'm not

77:42

supposed to do prediction, but I

77:44

couldn't help it. It just struck me as

77:46

fairly obvious. You're going to see um

77:51

uh you're going to see uh an invasion

77:55

of some of the islands off the coast of

77:59

China. Um well, let me back up.

78:03

Basically, um my prediction is Kinman

78:06

and Matsu Islands are going to be

78:08

invaded in the next 24 months or seized

78:11

and you're going to have what the

78:12

Chinese

78:13

>> Yeah. You'll probably have an economic

78:14

blockade. You can't have

78:18

I don't think an amphibious assault of

78:19

Taiwan is feasible. And I think China

78:22

after seeing what's happened in Ukraine

78:23

and Iran and the fact there isn't a

78:25

single single person in the Chinese

78:27

military who has any combat experience,

78:30

I don't think they want to get an

78:32

amphibious landing in Taiwan is

78:34

unthinkable. However, the Straits of

78:35

Taiwan are where where 50% of all

78:37

shipping goes through.

78:39

>> Y

78:39

>> I think a soft economic blockade is

78:41

coming for the following reasons. A

78:43

chill went down my spine when on Air

78:45

Force One, Trump was asked if he would

78:47

support and defend Taiwan and he said,

78:50

uh, I'm not going to let anybody know

78:52

that. Oh,

78:52

>> he's such an imbecile, such a

78:54

>> What is clear to me, and the fact

78:56

pattern is just so obvious here, is that

78:58

Trump is concerned with one thing, and

79:01

that is becoming the wealthiest man in

79:02

the world. And I believe he sold out

79:06

Taiwan in a private meeting at that

79:08

summit. And evidence of that was for the

79:11

first time an American president has

79:12

said, "Well, I'm not going to say

79:13

anything about how I feel about

79:17

America's continued support of Taiwan."

79:20

And it's not only turning our back on a

79:22

democratic ally, but the basic the basic

79:25

counterbalance counterbalances amongst

79:28

between US Cena relations is the

79:30

following. They control 90% of the

79:33

processing of rare earth materials. We

79:35

control 90% of the most advanced chips

79:37

because because of our tight

79:40

relationship with Taiwan. If China gets

79:44

access to those Taiwanese chips, which

79:45

is another reason they wouldn't do an

79:47

amphibious invasion because they don't

79:48

want to destroy those factories. But if

79:50

they use their economic clout to do what

79:52

is effectively a soft creeping takeover

79:55

of Taiwan and we're not there to support

79:57

them, China has won

80:00

>> 100%.

80:02

It's it's it's the move. It's the move

80:04

if you were them.

80:05

>> And I think Trump I don't think Trump

80:07

gives a [ __ ] about geopolitics, the

80:11

decline of US negotiating leverage. I

80:15

think he cares about

80:16

>> consumers. He doesn't care about

80:17

>> I think he cares about one thing. I

80:20

think she if I were she, I would have

80:21

said the following. You know, you

80:24

realize I'm super interested in your

80:25

coin and with just a fraction of our

80:28

budget, I can use offshore accounts to

80:30

take the Trump coin. I think I can get

80:33

it worth here's my my ma my math guy

80:35

here. I think I can get it worth to be

80:39

two 300 billion because price discovery

80:41

is at the margins. I think I can take it

80:43

there within say 90 days 6 months before

80:46

your presidency uh ends and then you'll

80:49

have 90 days to uh divest of your

80:51

holdings. And by the way, is there any

80:54

way you can move out Ohio class

80:56

submarines from all the straits of

80:58

Taiwan? And by the way, I think economic

81:02

reintegration of Taiwan into the great

81:04

nation of China would make sense without

81:06

any bloodshed. What do you think? I

81:08

think that conversation has already

81:09

happened and I think evidence of it was

81:11

what he said on Air Force One.

81:13

>> Yeah, he's a [ __ ]

81:14

>> And again, [clears throat] another

81:15

talking point for a Democrat. We will

81:19

back Taiwan economically and militarily

81:23

if necessary because chips are the

81:26

future. Don't don't don't get backed

81:29

into a corner about threatening another

81:30

forever war. Say chips are the future,

81:33

folks.

81:34

>> And Taiwan is an amazing ally of ours.

81:36

And the only reason that we have control

81:38

over 90% of what is the new oil in an

81:40

information economy, and that's chips.

81:42

We cannot let Taiwan go to the Chinese.

81:45

Make an economic argument, not a

81:47

military argument.

81:48

>> You know what I would do on top of that?

81:49

I would make Jensen Juan move to Taiwan.

81:52

See how he feels about that. like with

81:54

the Chinese blockade like let's have

81:56

some these this selling chips to the

81:59

Chinese is such a mistake. It is such an

82:01

advantage we have. You 100 I love this

82:04

prediction. Scott, you should be mayor

82:05

of Los Angeles. That's what we should

82:07

run.

82:08

>> I'd run out on the In-N-Out on the

82:09

In-N-Out ticket. In-N-Out Burger ticket.

82:11

>> Yeah, we could run. I I'll be top

82:13

adviser and speech right.

82:14

>> I like it. I'm in.

82:15

>> I'm in. Okay. Anyway, Scott, that is

82:17

really smart. That is a really You're

82:19

absolutely right. That's exactly how

82:20

they're going to do it. and Trump has

82:21

sold out a critical critical part of our

82:24

uh security. Anyway, and calling David

82:27

Sanger, by the way, can I just just last

82:29

thing? David Sanger, speaking of great

82:31

New York Times reporters, is one of the

82:33

top reporters in this area. Calling him

82:35

a traitor is is the one of the more

82:38

there's so many heinous things Trump

82:40

says, but just just absolutely, as I

82:43

always say, every accusation is a

82:45

confession. He's the traitor. Anyway, uh

82:48

we want to hear from you. Send us your

82:50

questions about business, tech, or

82:51

whatever's on your mind. Go to

82:52

nymag.com/pivot

82:53

to submit a question for the show or

82:54

call 85551 pivot. Okay, that's the show.

82:58

Thank you to for listening to Pivot. Be

82:59

sure to like and subscribe to our

83:01

YouTube channel. We'll be back on

83:02

Friday.

Interactive Summary

This episode of Pivot with Cara Swisher and Scott Galloway covers a wide range of current events, starting with the jury verdict in the lawsuit between Elon Musk and OpenAI, which ruled in favor of Sam Altman and OpenAI. The hosts discuss the petty nature of the individuals involved and the lack of impact the case will have on the companies' respective IPOs. Other topics include OpenAI's potential legal issues with Apple regarding distribution, the bipartisan public backlash against data centers, the ethical concerns surrounding President Trump's stock trading, and Musk's governance plans for SpaceX's upcoming IPO. Finally, the hosts discuss the controversial Los Angeles mayoral candidacy of Spencer Pratt and provide predictions regarding China's future economic moves towards Taiwan.

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