Where quant traders invest their savings
289 segments
Hey, what's up guys? So, a common
question that I get in my comments is,
if you worked in Wall Street, why don't
you just do what you were doing at work,
but at home? The reason why you can't
just do what you're doing on Wall Street
at home as a retail trader is because
there's this barrier to entry to execute
Wall Street strategies from home.
Technology costs, sometimes inside
information. I mean, maybe I wouldn't
call it that, but you know, you're
getting calls from brokers and stuff,
and it's like a lot of gray area
information, access to quant with PhDs
from MIT.
So, the way I would describe it is Wall
Street is like a well fortified castle
with a moat around it and a drawbridge.
And within the courtyard in the castle
is an orchard with all these like
healthy apples growing. And you can just
pluck these lowhanging fruit. They're
just everywhere. they just plop down on
the floor. But outside of the castle and
the moat is the rest of the world, the
retail world, and it's highly
competitive and the trees are all barren
and there's like a few highanging fruits
still remaining. So, the way a retail
trader would think about and construct
strategies for how to pluck those
highanging fruit are going to be vastly
different from the way uh people within
Wall Street are going to think about how
to pluck the lowhanging fruit. So the
guy on the outside, the retail trader,
he might deep dive on like one strategy
like swing trading or something and find
ways, you know, I would compare that to,
you know, building a ladder or something
or building a trampoline. And the guy on
the inside, they're not going to build
ladders and trampolines. They're going
to try to build like a Zamboni type of
system where they can just ride on it
and just pluck fruits and have them just
fall into a basket on their Zamboni. You
can understand how their efforts are in
totally different directions. One isn't
really that applicable to the other. So
that's the first explanation as to why
you can't just take what you know from
trading within Wall Street and then
apply it to being a retail trader once
you're outside of the castle.
Now that said, there are going to be
people who try to use their alpha from
working on a trade desk within Wall
Street and try to apply it to their own
personal account to make money. They use
that knowledge to go on their phone and
try to make some trades on Robin Hood or
whatever that they believe will have a
positive expectation because of all the
signals that they're getting at work
from brokers or from their their
elaborate trading systems that are built
off of quant models. Initially, uh,
companies would allow this, but then
eventually the compliance department at
these companies started banning that
practice because, well, one, it creates
conflict of interest. You might make
trades on your phone that you could have
made at the trade desk at work, you
know, prioritizing your own profits
above the company's profits. And two,
it's just a distraction, right? You're
being paid to make money for the
company. So, when you're looking down
all the time and like, you know,
prioritizing your own personal account,
like that's a distraction to the
company. It means you're not trading as
optimally for the company as they want
you to. So, for those two reasons and
maybe more, the compliance department
banned people from trading the same
products that the company trades within
their own personal accounts.
Let's talk about Bitcoin. A lot of major
trading firms like jump trading and DRW,
they are pretty active in crypto. They
have a lot of trading signals around
whether they believe it's going to go up
or down in the short term. With all of
this investment into crypto, a lot of
the traders asked the 401k
administrators to allow Bitcoin to be
added as one of the asset classes that
you could invest in through your 401k.
And there was a lot of debate over it.
But then the 401k administrators within
the company uh eventually said no
because they said it's too risky. So
it's kind of interesting, right, within
a trading firm that already is heavily
active with crypto that they won't allow
their traders to invest in Bitcoin in
their own 401ks. But at the same time, I
think the standards for risk within a
401k and within a trading desk are going
to be vastly different. So I can
understand that perspective. The larger
point being that even within a
quantitative trading firm, choices
within your 401k are very conservative.
So you have your standard S&P 500 funds
and you have your international fund and
a bond fund and a few target date funds.
I just want to let people know that that
a lot of the quant traders within tier
one trading firms, large percentage of
their retirement savings are just
sitting in very vanilla assets like the
S&P 500. And even me personally, you
know, I've answered this question
multiple times in my comments, but I
have the vast majority of my personal
savings in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ and
things like that. I'm a pretty vanilla
investor with my own personal money when
I'm not actively trading it. Now, let's
talk about a couple of the other
investments that quant traders tend to
make. When uh gold and silver were
rallying like crazy, I want to say circa
2012, one of the traders from one of my
previous trading firms that I worked at
bought silver at the very top. I think
silver was trading at like 45 or
something and he bought it to someone
else who sold it at the top. So in
defense of the other trader, they made
that trade right at the top. These guys,
they're both excellent traders within
their trading firms. You know, it goes
to show you that being an excellent
trader within Wall Street doesn't mean
that your miscellaneous speculations
outside of Wall Street are going to go
well. Another quant trader and portfolio
manager, this guy has the mightest
touch. Uh he's a partner at the previous
firm I worked at, but every trade desk
they move him to, he just he just makes
all the right decisions and then he
turns losing trading desk into winning
trading desk. They just like move them
around. Move them to London, move him
here, move him there, and he just goes
there and he he he figures out what's
going on and then it becomes a
profitable trading desk. But this guy
who's such such a brilliant portfolio
manager, he he told a story during happy
hour once where he got really caught up
in trying to find these patterns and the
uh lean hogs and live cattle futures
markets and he said he blew out almost
his whole net worth over some uh some
futures trades.
>> Another partner at my previous firm,
he's also a partner at Revolution
Brewery, which is one of the uh
breweries in Chicago. That's a bit more
of a conservative investment. But a lot
of these guys, these white guys from the
Midwest really like beer and breweries.
They like this idea. At least two
separate pit traders I know of, they
made a couple of big bonuses and then
they started their own breweries. So I
think uh for a lot of these traders,
trading is just this way to make fast
money and then they eventually move on
to a kind of chill job that they like.
Another uh quant trader I know of, he
worked at the hedge fund division of the
last firm I worked at. He worked on the
index rebalancing team. For those of you
who don't know, index rebalancing is
when say the S&P 500 introduces a new uh
name. You know, like when Tesla joined
the S&P 500, they have to push something
out so that it stays 500 companies. A
lot of big banks have this department
that tries to forecast which names are
going to join the S&P 500, which ones
are going to get removed and try to get
ahead of those moves because then you
can make money from it, right? This guy
is obsessed with real estate,
particularly in Texas.
Basically, every time he gets a big
bonus, he's like, "Oh, yeah, that's
going straight into real estate, bro."
And he just buys new properties. He owns
a ton of them outside of like Houston,
Dallas, Austin. I think his wife is sort
of like the property manager. She just
kind of manages it part-time. So, he's
just slowly building up his real estate
empire in Texas. And he's been doing
this for a while, so he's probably up a
lot of money on it. Another large
percentage of quant traders will just
invest in other people's startups. I
think that's a fun way to spend your
money, but you know, it's high risk,
high reward, which I guess is no
surprise since, you know, you work in
quant trading. One of them is a partner
at one of the major uh restaurants in uh
River North Chicago.
Of course, there's the whole group of
quant traders that are really bullish on
Bitcoin. Some of them own a ton of
Bitcoin from back when Bitcoin was
trading like at 200, 300. So, a lot of
those guys are basically like retired,
but they're still trading at work just
to trade and their Bitcoin's worth
millions and millions of dollars. So, I
guess they just hold diamond hands
through all those volatile swings cuz,
you know, quant trading is a risky
career anyway. So, they just have a
higher risk tolerance than most people.
I think the takeaway from all of the
places that these quant traders invest
is that if you're going to average it
out across all of these people, like the
guy who lost money buying silver at the
top, the partner who was making
speculative bets on lean hogs and live
cattle and almost blew out his whole net
worth, you know, and then you compare it
to, you know, some of the the
investments that probably just kind of
went sideways, like the friends who
maybe opened breweries or were invested
in restaurants. Um, and then you compare
it to the guys who bought Bitcoin and,
you know, made ridiculous returns. If if
you take the average of all of these
guys, it's probably just the same as
investing in the S&P 500. And so, the
takeaway of this video is that from my
sample space of I'd say 20 to 30 people
that I talked to, quant traders, it
doesn't seem like they have any extra
alpha in their decision-m just because
they worked within Wall Street. My point
being that the skill set to perform and
be successful as a trader on Wall Street
is very different from the skill set to
make money as a retail trader or as an
investor outside of Wall Street. I
circle back to the idea that the most
passive investment vehicle for a person
who is outside of Wall Street and no
longer has all that Wall Street edge
from being inside the castle of Wall
Street, I think, is just to invest in
the broad markets. S&P 500. It has the
best ratio of work and effort, like
maintenance required versus returns. I
mean, it's completely passive. You just
let it sit there and it averages 8 to
10% annually. And yeah, just seeing how
all these friends and how their
investments have done, I still stand by
that. Being a conservative, vanilla
investor, I think that that's that's the
wise play with your money. But let me
know if you disagree in the comments.
Take care.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video explains why Wall Street trading strategies are difficult to replicate at home for retail traders, using a "castle with a moat" analogy. It details how Wall Street has advantages like technology and information access, while retail traders face a more competitive environment. The video also touches upon compliance issues that prevent Wall Street employees from trading in their personal accounts, discusses various investment strategies and outcomes of quant traders (including successes with Bitcoin and failures with commodities), and concludes that for most individuals outside of Wall Street, investing in broad market index funds like the S&P 500 is the most prudent and passive approach to wealth accumulation.
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