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Kara Swisher Calls Out Elon Musk and Big Tech’s “Petty, Angry" People | Pivot

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Kara Swisher Calls Out Elon Musk and Big Tech’s “Petty, Angry" People | Pivot

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1721 segments

0:00

These are the richest people on earth

0:01

and they're so manifestly unhappy. They

0:03

just can't shut the [ __ ] up with tiny,

0:06

petty, angry, unhappy people. They all

0:10

are. Every single one of them.

0:15

>> [music]

0:17

>> Hi everyone. This is Pivot from New York

0:19

Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast

0:21

Network. I'm Kara Swisher. And I'm Scott

0:23

Galloway. Ted Turner, the media mogul

0:25

CNN founder who helped create the

0:27

24-hour news cycle has died at 87.

0:29

Turner was also a major philanthropist

0:31

making a record $1 billion donation to

0:33

establish the United Nations Foundation.

0:35

He was a different kind of billionaire.

0:37

You know, although he was also the he

0:39

was called the mouth of the south. Um,

0:40

beyond media and philanthropy, Turner

0:43

pursued countless other passions from

0:45

his Montana Grill, his eco This is a eco

0:47

conscious restaurant chain being named

0:50

yachtsman of the year multiple times. He

0:51

was Larry Ellison before Larry Ellison.

0:54

Uh, he announced he had Lewy body

0:56

dementia, progressive brain disorder in

0:57

2018.

0:59

Jane Fonda, one of Turner's ex-wives who

1:01

remained a close friend, remembered him

1:02

saying, "Men like Ted aren't supposed to

1:04

express need and vulnerability. That was

1:07

Ted's greatest strength, I believe." And

1:09

he was and she I recently interviewed

1:11

her and she had told me he was quite

1:12

ill.

1:13

Um, I I talked to him a little bit for

1:15

my book so on AOL. He was real mad about

1:17

the sale and everything else. Um, except

1:20

that when he sold the company, he had

1:23

that famous quote where

1:26

where he said, um, "This deal was better

1:28

than sex." Do you remember that? He was

1:30

He always had something kooky to say

1:32

Mhm. at any one moment. And I you know,

1:34

a lot of people are like, "Oh, he's the

1:35

reason we have terrible cable." His

1:37

vision of cable was not this what has

1:40

happened. So, I I sort of push back

1:42

against that because his idea was that

1:44

you can get news to to sort of

1:46

democratize the news a little more from

1:48

the big three. And so, I consider him a

1:50

real important his legacy very important

1:54

even though even though it sort of you

1:55

know, morphed into this scream fest that

1:58

it has become. But, his was it was, you

2:00

know, it was it was real news. And and I

2:03

was happen to be with Christiane

2:04

Amanpour who got there pretty early, not

2:06

right away at the beginning. And she had

2:08

nothing but great things to say about

2:10

his tenure when he was sort of do real

2:12

entrepreneurial news

2:14

news and other things, you know, and a

2:17

very a very generous and charitable

2:19

person at the same time. And also funny

2:21

and weird and interesting.

2:23

Your thoughts.

2:25

Yeah, this guy is,

2:27

you know, he kind of defined the term

2:28

that you don't hear anymore, a captain

2:29

of industry.

2:31

And the term captain, he was the

2:34

Something people don't know about him is

2:35

I think he may be the only billionaire

2:37

who was also

2:39

an elite world-class athlete. He won the

2:41

America's Cup. Yeah, he did. And there

2:44

are just aren't very many billionaires

2:45

who have reached the pinnacle of a

2:46

sport. And

2:48

um

2:50

maybe Roger Staubach, is he a

2:51

billionaire now? Anyways,

2:53

but he built CNN from nothing. It's

2:55

really interesting how it emerged. So,

2:58

news when we were growing up was a

3:00

public service, and that is ABC and CBS

3:04

sold a [ __ ] ton of ads from Tang and

3:07

Chevrolet running against All in the

3:08

Family and MASH and The Partridge Family

3:11

and The Brady Bunch. And they felt that

3:13

it was a public service to have 23

3:15

minutes of news and 7 minutes of

3:17

commercial in this money-losing thing

3:18

called the local news.

3:20

And he said he correctly

3:23

figured out that there was

3:25

money in a market for 24/7 news. It was

3:29

very scrappy. If you look go back, it

3:31

wasn't very well produced.

3:33

And he's he started the whole thing.

3:34

Now, where it came off the tracks

3:37

was quite frankly with Rupert Murdoch

3:39

recognizing that the part of the news

3:42

they made an observation, and that is

3:44

KABC news back in the '70s had something

3:47

called Point/Counterpoint. And SNL used

3:49

[clears throat] to mock it. You know,

3:51

Yeah, Jane Ignorance Slap. our show

3:53

pretty much, but go ahead. Anyways, so

3:56

um

3:57

uh so

3:59

they recognized something called point

4:01

counterpoint and it was Bruce

4:02

Herschensohn and Jim Tunney and they

4:05

would start yelling at each other.

4:08

And someone did the analysis is and

4:10

found out that's what people were tuning

4:12

in for. Yeah, I know.

4:13

>> And that was really the key and arguably

4:17

the most dangerous insight that Rupert

4:20

Murdoch made. Yeah, and of course he was

4:23

>> no, this isn't about balance. It's

4:25

enough news to keep to give to create a

4:27

halo of legitimacy.

4:29

And quite frankly, CNN was guilty of it,

4:31

too. Crossfire. Yeah.

4:33

>> And CNN now has a show like that where

4:35

they all just start yelling at each

4:36

other. And then Tucker where Tucker

4:38

Carlson started. Yeah, and and Michael

4:40

Kinsley Remember Tucker and Michael just

4:43

going at it?

4:44

Um and that seemed civil compared to

4:47

what

4:48

>> did. It actually when you watch it, it's

4:49

actually

4:50

>> It seems patrician. It seems

4:52

>> It's intelligent. It's intelligent. It

4:54

is Digressing has become something that

4:56

is

4:57

I don't know. It's a longer talk show.

4:58

Let's get back to Ted Turner.

5:01

He gave away a billion dollars. He

5:02

actually gave away a billion dollars to

5:04

the UN. I would argue when the UN

5:05

actually meant something. Something also

5:08

people constantly ask me for male role

5:10

models for kind of a positive

5:12

aspirational form of masculinity.

5:14

I think Ted Turner is a great role

5:15

model. One let's just go let's just go

5:17

to the male stuff.

5:19

Very aggressive.

5:21

Also

5:22

politically incorrect.

5:24

When Time Warner when Time Warner was

5:27

acquired by CNN, Gerald Levin introduced

5:31

the whole thing and said and now I want

5:32

to introduce my best friend Ted Turner

5:34

and Ted stood up and said, "Best friend,

5:36

I've never been to your [ __ ] house."

5:37

Yeah, he was good. And then my favorite

5:40

was when he did an all hands and it was

5:41

asked Wednesday and there were a bunch

5:42

of people in the audience with ashes on

5:44

their forehead. He's like, "Shouldn't

5:45

you be working at Fox?"

5:47

Oh.

5:48

>> [laughter]

5:48

>> The guy was

5:50

>> funny. I think there's a certain charm

5:53

in a world now where everything is so, I

5:55

don't know. It's He was a different time

5:57

period. He wasn't malleable in that way.

5:59

>> He was charitable, he was visionary, he

6:01

was aggressive, 14 grandchildren, I

6:04

think 14 or 12 grandchildren.

6:06

>> to Jane Fonda. She still loves him, she

6:08

told me. She was She's still in

6:10

>> and also took his seat and his privilege

6:14

and his wealth

6:15

as an obligation to serve and connect

6:19

nations with each other. He was very

6:21

serious about uniting nations and trying

6:23

to promote world peace. He saw his

6:26

wealth and his seat as an obligation

6:29

that he was he was optimizing for

6:32

service, not for attention. Yeah. He's a

6:34

really I would I urge people, if they're

6:37

blaming what cable is now on him, not

6:39

to. It's not what he That was not his

6:41

vision. I was around for that, and it

6:44

became that, and it was not his. He He

6:46

may have created the 24 and they did

6:48

take advantage. Remember the thing that

6:50

really sent them over the top was that

6:51

the girl down the well? Remember the

6:53

girl down the well story? Oh, yeah. Wow.

6:56

That's what That's That's what

6:57

Christiane was She She's like, "Oh,

6:58

that's the thing that really got people

7:00

watching."

7:01

>> That and the Iraq war. Yeah, and but you

7:04

saw

7:04

moments of that where Remember the Studs

7:07

Terkel Arthur Arthur Arthur Kent? Like

7:09

it started to turn. It's That's when you

7:12

started to sort of see the beginnings of

7:14

kind of the circus acts of these cable

7:17

stations. And I was thinking that as I

7:19

was, you know, I went on Sky News and

7:20

BBC and stuff like that. And like the

7:23

constant haunt of And I think it's a

7:25

very serious I'm worried about

7:26

hantavirus, but

7:28

the the the constant Let's go back to

7:30

the cruise ship. Let's go back to the

7:31

And I was like, this Actually, we're in

7:33

a war in Iran. I feel like perhaps we

7:35

need to head over there and take a look

7:37

at what's had the cruising going on in

7:39

the Strait of Hormuz. But it it He is a

7:42

He is a great legacy and a great guy.

7:43

>> Shaw Bernard Shaw, amazing.

7:45

>> Daniel Shaw

7:46

Yeah.

7:47

>> Oh, my dad's favorite for the wrong

7:48

reasons, Bobby Batista.

7:51

Oh, yeah, Bobby. Well, that was great.

7:53

It was great It was And I grew up on

7:54

CNN.

7:55

>> Yeah, and Christiane Amanpour.

7:57

>> I genuinely believe a decent

7:59

administration

8:01

would be CNN anchors. Dana Bash should

8:03

be president. She is smart, she's

8:05

elegant, and she could smother you in

8:07

your sleep. She's got that edge to her,

8:08

which every president needs.

8:10

If you crossed her

8:11

>> [gasps]

8:12

>> Yeah.

8:12

>> Uh

8:13

Anderson should be vice president. Any

8:15

problems with the Pope, he just goes

8:16

over there, just talks about grief.

8:18

Everybody loves him, competent enough.

8:20

>> [laughter]

8:20

>> Okay. Fareed Zakaria, Secretary of

8:22

State, hands down. Hands down. All

8:25

right. Uh Michael Smerconish, he could

8:27

be uh Secretary of Commerce or Labor. I

8:31

That Tell me that Tell me that cabinet

8:33

>> anything? I'm a contributor. Do I get

8:35

like an ambassadorship to something?

8:37

>> Oh, you're ambassador to Guyana. We've

8:39

already decided this here. Okay, we're

8:40

going to we're going to move [laughter]

8:41

on because

8:42

>> me from myself here.

8:43

>> I'm saving you from yourself. Because

8:44

it's interesting I don't think Ted

8:45

Turner He didn't like the AOL Time

8:47

Warner deal. I That I did speak to him

8:49

about. First, he was like it was better

8:50

than sex. The deal was the best thing I

8:52

ever did, better than sex. And then

8:54

afterwards, he like totally publicly

8:56

decried it publicly. And one thing that

8:59

um

9:01

Barry Diller I think told him was like,

9:02

"If you sell your house and they wreck

9:04

they wreck the patio, you need to shut

9:06

up. You sold the house." And

9:07

I didn't necessarily agree with him on

9:09

that, but it was

9:10

he definitely had much regrets and he

9:12

probably wouldn't be thrilled where from

9:14

the latest numbers from Warner Bros.

9:16

Discovery. The company reported a net

9:18

loss of 2.9 billion in the latest

9:20

quarter. That's essentially a 2.8

9:22

billion dollar termination fee tied to

9:25

the Netflix deal. Paramount agreed to

9:27

cover the cost, but the expense still

9:29

sits on Warner's books until the deal

9:30

officially closes. For people who don't

9:32

see why that was that big of a loss.

9:34

Nonetheless, the first quarter revenue

9:36

was down 1% year over year and ad

9:38

revenue slid 7%. Total streaming revenue

9:40

did rise 9% largely by HBO Max went

9:44

international. Um Paramount had slightly

9:47

better news to report beating revenue

9:49

and earnings expectations in the first

9:50

quarter. Paramount added uh 700,000

9:52

subscribers during the quarter helping

9:54

streaming revenue grow by 17% year over

9:57

year. The company's film studio did well

9:58

with revenue up 11%. Um and they said

10:01

they're making great progress on the

10:03

Warner Brothers deal with late Q3

10:05

closing still on track. There's still

10:06

some pushback to it. Um

10:09

at the same time I'm going to add one

10:10

more earnings. Disney's under the first

10:12

new CEO Josh D'Amaro, the numbers were

10:15

strong with revenue climbing 7% to 25 uh

10:19

billion. Operating income across

10:20

Disney's entertainment, sports, and

10:21

experience division beat expectations.

10:23

The company says it expects earnings per

10:25

share to grow 12% is solid in the fiscal

10:28

year. And one weak spot, um a dip in

10:30

attendance at its US theme parks

10:32

probably due to fewer international pro-

10:34

travelers are going to see repercussions

10:36

from gas prices, I'm guessing, and other

10:38

prices. But it's only down 1%. Maybe the

10:41

next quarter is where you're going to

10:42

see it over the summer. That That will

10:43

be the real indicator there. Um any

10:46

thoughts on on the Warner and

10:48

everything? They're just sort of bumping

10:49

along these companies. So Warner

10:52

Brothers

10:53

117 adjusted GAAP versus

10:56

estimates of 9 cents, which is actually

10:59

pretty good. They had a 45% beat.

11:01

Operating margin was down, but are

11:03

mostly flat.

11:04

The linear networks continue to bleed.

11:07

The revenue fell 8%

11:09

uh with domestic pay TV subscribers down

11:11

10% and free cash flow was 476 million

11:14

and net leverage

11:16

sits at 3.4 x. Uh the Paramount deal is

11:19

expected to close Q3, which will form a

11:21

company with

11:22

69 billion in pro forma revenue. If

11:25

there's a book

11:26

if you wrote a book called the worst

11:28

acquisitions in history, you could just

11:29

call the book Time Warner. It is every

11:32

True. They are at the center of the

11:34

I mean three of the five worst

11:36

acquisitions in history all involved

11:37

Time Warner. Yeah, and then AT&T. It's

11:39

just in They will, right? Yeah, and this

11:42

one I think will go down as in terms of

11:44

shareholder value destruction

11:47

Um Paramount posted a clean beat and

11:49

streaming turned its first real profit.

11:52

Revenue of 7

11:54

uh 0.35 billion versus 7.28. EPS of 23

11:58

cents versus 15 cents expected. I mean

12:00

companies are just It's just incredible.

12:01

Companies are just blowing away their

12:02

earnings.

12:03

Their direct-to-consumer revenue was up

12:05

11%.

12:06

Paramount Plus revenue up 17%. I wonder

12:09

how much of that is land men. They added

12:11

700,000 net subscribers to reach

12:14

um 79.6 million um in total.

12:18

Direct-to-consumer EBITDA improved to

12:20

251 million. Uh TV media revenue fell 6%

12:23

to 3.7 billion as cord cutting

12:25

continues.

12:26

And Paramount has nearly doubled its

12:28

film slate for 20 26 versus 2025 since

12:31

closing the Skydance deal last August,

12:33

which to their credit

12:35

>> that.

12:35

>> Yeah, everyone's been saying oh they're

12:37

going to gut Hollywood and they're

12:38

coming out swinging and they're doubling

12:40

their film slate.

12:41

>> is is it going to make money, right?

12:42

That's the issue. Let's see what

12:44

happens.

12:45

>> yeah. in these earnings. So let's just

12:46

wait until they You can You can spend

12:49

the money. I mean that's what rich

12:50

people do, but let's see if they make

12:52

it. If they have some hits, if they have

12:53

some hits. And so Josh D'Amaro's first

12:55

earning call as CEO reported a a really

12:57

strong beat. Shares gained roughly 7%

12:59

after the report, but here's the thing.

13:03

A

13:04

100% of this beat

13:07

the credit goes to Bob Iger.

13:12

Someone doesn't impact earnings 2 weeks

13:15

after they take the CEO job. This beat

13:18

was really ringing the bell for for Bob

13:21

Iger. Revenue at 25.2 billion versus

13:23

24.8 expected. Earnings of about 57

13:26

versus 149 expected. Streaming operating

13:29

income jumped 88%

13:32

to 582

13:36

million dollars and Disney's streaming

13:38

margins

13:39

broke into the double digits at almost

13:40

11%. Their streaming revenue hit 5 and a

13:43

half billion up 13% driven by price

13:46

hikes.

13:47

And Disney's no Disney no longer reports

13:49

subscriber numbers, which is a shame,

13:51

but their experiences that you reference

13:55

was 7% which must be an increase in

13:58

prices cuz as you mentioned um

14:01

Numbers are down. Attendance is down.

14:04

And they also have raised their buyback

14:06

target similar to what Apple did last

14:07

week and guided for 12 I think Disney I

14:10

think Disney is a is a buy and Demario

14:14

is you know, he came out of the the

14:16

parks

14:17

um and which grew nearly 40% in revenue

14:20

under his watch.

14:22

And he called Disney Plus the digital

14:23

centerpiece of the company on

14:25

Wednesday's earnings. He flagged fuel

14:26

and consumer spending.

14:28

Dana Walden who I know you know named

14:30

president chief creative officer

14:33

That was an important keep for those at

14:34

company the keeping her cuz she was a

14:36

CEO and she was the top contender.

14:38

>> only that they're all I mean quite

14:40

frankly a lot of these people are

14:42

probably

14:44

I mean this is the challenge when your

14:45

stock is below where it was 10 years

14:47

ago.

14:48

You have to get the most talented people

14:50

in the room and say I'm going to issue

14:51

new options and please stick around.

14:54

Cuz you got to think a lot of these

14:55

people are looking at So what is their

14:58

option?

15:00

Yeah, because

15:00

>> Producers that's a harder now. You can't

15:02

be as good a you can't do those sweet

15:04

sweet deals.

15:05

>> Yeah, but if you're a Disney if you're a

15:07

talented Disney executive you could

15:09

absolutely land

15:11

you know

15:12

>> I would stay. See now I would stay

15:14

because you have power. I agree and your

15:17

options

15:17

>> pieces of that you know pieces of wood

15:20

floating. I don't know. I just thought

15:21

it would sink. that's interesting. I

15:22

hadn't thought of that analogy. I like

15:23

that. Um That was from The Devil Wears

15:26

Prada, too, but go ahead. I thought it

15:27

was from the Titanic, isn't it?

15:28

>> It is, but it was They She just said

15:30

that. She goes, "We just got on the last

15:32

I was long it was going to be before you

15:33

mentioned The Devil Wears Prada, too.

15:34

It's killing it. Still killing it.

15:36

>> [clears throat]

15:36

>> It's great.

15:36

>> Let's go over every movie that's

15:37

actually making money. Um And it is

15:39

making money.

15:40

>> Yeah, it's making It's making a ton.

15:41

It's It's It's going to change the

15:42

world.

15:43

>> it.

15:43

>> Lawrence of Arabia meets The Sound of

15:45

Music meets the sixth sound. Let's move

15:47

along. But

15:48

Disney stock is down more than 10%

15:51

year-to-date despite despite

15:53

back-to-back earnings beats. I don't

15:54

know if it's because everyone's giving

15:56

up on traditional media or because AI is

15:59

sucking all the oxygen out of every

16:01

other company of the other 490 in the

16:04

S&P, but I think Disney actually right

16:07

now is a really good buy and I wouldn't

16:09

be surprised

16:11

if it's put in play in the next 3 to 6

16:13

months. You divide

16:13

>> saying that. By whom? To Apple? To

16:16

Because Apple was looking at Perplexity,

16:17

allegedly. Uh an activist.

16:21

Oh. An activist comes in and says, "You

16:23

need to cut 20% of your staff or you

16:24

need to put the company up for sale."

16:25

Which they did with with Iger. I mean,

16:27

Iger went through that, right? Several

16:29

times, I think. Yeah, but Iger had so

16:31

much credibility, he was able to back

16:32

This stock

16:33

>> cuz this is a new CEO. Disney has this

16:36

unbelievable franchise. Or it might be

16:39

corporate restructuring. Go good bank

16:41

bad bank. Spin out the parks into its

16:42

own business and I mean They decided not

16:45

to, as you know. They were going to get

16:46

rid of ABC at one point and then they

16:48

decided to keep ESPN. I think that's one

16:50

of Demaro's first decisions.

16:51

>> And an activist will argue that their

16:53

decisions have been really poor because

16:56

this company has probably the greatest

16:58

collection of IP in the world, a booming

17:00

parks business, and yet the stock is

17:02

trading below where it was in 2016.

17:05

This is sort of I got to think there's a

17:06

lot of activist alighting

17:08

>> old sort of unpleasant like per motor.

17:10

No. If I had to bet on any firm that

17:12

shows up forcefully and dignified, it

17:14

would be Elliott.

17:15

Um and by the way, I don't know

17:17

anything. I haven't talked to them about

17:18

this. The

17:19

but I wouldn't be surprised.

17:21

Unfortunately, it'll probably be someone

17:23

like um

17:24

Pelts, but he's more consumer. I

17:26

wouldn't put it past

17:28

>> Pelts was in the last one, I think, with

17:29

Paramount. I don't know. I think if

17:31

Netflix stock was was

17:33

I don't I I think Netflix and Disney

17:37

this merger be the merger between

17:38

Netflix and Disney could never happen

17:39

under an administration that didn't have

17:41

its that didn't have a FTC or DOJ that

17:44

was in a slumber.

17:45

So, if there was any desire to do that,

17:47

it would the now would be the time. And

17:49

if you had

17:50

>> Brendan is not it doesn't like Disney.

17:53

It's in his it's in his sights. Who

17:55

doesn't like Disney? Brendan Carr.

17:57

Brendan, I call him Brendan.

17:59

Yeah, but well He's specifically called

18:02

out Disney like by name saying he

18:04

doesn't like

18:04

>> doesn't get to decide antitrust. It goes

18:07

it's the I mean, I guess could he lead

18:09

it?

18:11

The bottom line is Disney and Netflix

18:13

right now Disney is cheap right now.

18:15

Netflix and Disney in a wind up would be

18:18

game over. If you took

18:20

Netflix's IP including Wednesday,

18:23

Stranger Things, Bridgerton and used it

18:25

to go vertical and create experiences in

18:28

parks,

18:29

I just think it'd be I just think it'd

18:31

be incredible. By the way, I I it

18:32

shouldn't happen. It would be too much

18:34

concentration of media. But from a I

18:36

would buy shares in that company. Yeah,

18:38

absolutely. I don't think it'll happen.

18:40

You're probably right. I don't know why

18:41

it shouldn't because they have a lot of

18:43

companies to go up against these tech

18:45

companies, but I don't know. Anyway,

18:46

it'll be it'll be interesting to see. It

18:48

was fine. It was perfectly fine. It was

18:49

like, okay. It's so funny. You know,

18:52

when Ted Turner when that deal happened,

18:54

I mean, media that was the top for

18:56

media, wasn't it? Like when AOL Time

18:59

Warner happened, I think. It was like

19:00

they were running the [ __ ] show. They

19:02

were the kings of the

19:03

road and then they weren't. Like it's

19:05

been a downward downward downward slide

19:08

for traditional media. The fall of

19:10

traditional media for me is

19:13

embodied by

19:15

when I first moved to New York in 2000

19:17

and like all single people in their 30s,

19:21

we would pile eight people into a house

19:23

in

19:24

Bridgehampton.

19:26

And every weekend was

19:28

a mad scramble to see who we knew at

19:30

Condé Nast,

19:32

who knew what magazine was throwing the

19:35

most fabulous party in the Hamptons.

19:38

And and whether it was Details or Vogue,

19:42

and the job, the masters of the

19:45

universe, were these was the creators

19:48

and the business people working at Condé

19:49

Nast magazines in the magazine group.

19:51

>> And in the journalism business, I have

19:54

to tell you I was like the internet

19:55

person and they like treated me like

19:57

[ __ ] Like they were like, "Oh, you're

19:59

part of the internet."

20:01

>> You know, and you're No, the No, it was

20:03

Ponzi scheme. It was Ponzi scheme. Oh,

20:05

it's not going It's going to It's all a

20:06

bunch of It's going to go away. And the

20:08

media reporters was such snot bags. I

20:11

have

20:12

to tell you they just were. And I was

20:14

like, "I don't I think you're in

20:15

trouble." I was And they're like, "You

20:17

don't know. They're going to run the

20:19

show and media media media." And I was

20:21

like, "Well, I think there's got some

20:22

vulnerabilities there." But they I I'll

20:24

never It was the same thing. It was sort

20:26

of a It was Well, too bad. Well, that's

20:28

what happened. Anyway, um let's go on a

20:31

quick break. We come back Anthropic gets

20:33

into bed with Elon and SpaceX. Hmm. Lock

20:36

that metaphor.

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21:40

Scott, we're back. Anthropic CEO Dario

21:43

Amodei says the company planned for 10x

21:45

growth this year, but is now seeing

21:47

growth closer to 80x, creating a massive

21:49

need for more computing power. Enter

21:51

SpaceX, or rather SpaceX AI. SpaceX

21:54

acquired XAI back in February, but Elon

21:56

Musk has just revealed XAI will be

21:59

dissolved and its AI products will be

22:00

part of the SpaceX AI brand, of course,

22:03

cuz everybody left and he he didn't It

22:05

didn't have quite the traction that he

22:07

had hoped, so he's, as I said, folding

22:09

it right in. Everything's going to get

22:10

folded. Tesla's next. Under the new

22:12

deal, Anthropic will get compute power

22:14

with uh SpaceX AI data center in

22:16

Memphis, the one that's polluting

22:18

people, as it works to keep up with

22:20

surging demand. Everybody needs power. A

22:22

real turnaround for Elon, who earlier

22:24

called Anthropic evil. He's now saying

22:27

he was impressed after meeting with

22:28

senior executive, adding no one set off

22:30

my evil detector.

22:32

I I again, look in the [ __ ] mirror.

22:34

Dude. Um

22:36

So, is is this the enemy of my enemy is

22:38

my friend because of ChatGPT? This is an

22:41

interesting thing. I mean, obviously,

22:42

Elon's has not had the success he had

22:44

hoped he hoped to dominate, and it's all

22:47

about his beef with Sam Altman, but in

22:49

this case, he's This is what he's doing.

22:51

I would I would be careful if I was

22:53

Dario in general, but um [clears throat]

22:56

I I think he's savvy enough to deal with

22:58

Elon, though. Um and he seems to have

22:59

have enough pushback. Um any thoughts on

23:02

this?

23:03

Uh, I'd rather talk about me and the

23:04

odds and reminisce a little bit longer.

23:06

Is that okay?

23:07

>> [laughter]

23:07

>> Just for a second. So, I started

23:10

>> Okay, but I want thoughts on this.

23:12

>> I had [clears throat] I'm

23:14

moving to New York from San Francisco. I

23:16

had just been

23:18

abused, rode

23:19

ridden hard and put away wet by Sequoia

23:22

Capital, kicked off the board of the

23:24

kicked out of the band I started, kicked

23:25

off of the board of the company I

23:26

started, just like

23:28

got divorced just like I I just wanted I

23:30

wanted to never go back to San Francisco

23:32

the rest of my life. And I moved to New

23:33

York.

23:34

>> ask you a question. Did you deserve it

23:35

just a little bit?

23:36

>> Did I deserve what?

23:37

>> What happened with Sequoia? I'm just

23:39

asking. I'm just curious. Oh, I I I was

23:42

an obnoxious aggressive entrepreneur

23:43

that was arrogant and reckless. Okay.

23:46

>> Uh, but also Mike Moritz is a small

23:48

vindictive man. Okay, got it.

23:50

>> Um, so uh, so yeah. I I don't I think

23:53

there's enough blame to go around for

23:54

everyone.

23:54

>> Okay. And also the board was a bunch of

23:57

a bunch of obsequious people getting

23:59

Anyways.

24:00

Um,

24:01

I'm still not triggered. I'm clearly

24:03

over it. I'm clearly over it.

24:06

>> All of you are still to this day.

24:08

>> over it. Anyways, I moved back to New

24:10

York and I started an e-commerce

24:12

incubator backed by Goldman, JP Morgan,

24:16

Maveron, Howard Howard Schultz's

24:18

company,

24:19

and it was near impossible to recruit

24:24

people to come to work for a technology

24:25

incubator. And I would take people out

24:27

who were working at traditional media,

24:29

who were making five or six hundred

24:30

thousand dollars a year, and I'd say, "I

24:32

can only pay you 200, but I'm going to

24:34

give you 2 million options on 2 million

24:36

shares." And I would have to walk them

24:38

through

24:39

what options were.

24:41

Oh, wow.

24:42

>> They The ecosystem I couldn't even use a

24:44

New York-based law firm because they

24:46

didn't do venture. People don't realize

24:48

New York in 2000 was about finance, it

24:51

was about media.

24:53

There was no You know what the

24:54

>> There were a couple. There were a couple

24:55

little ones. guilt I mean, there was a

24:58

guilt in there was Oh, guilt.

25:01

There was guilt in the Kevin Ryan's

25:02

company and then there was

25:04

the one ad company that got sold to

25:07

There was no technology. There really

25:09

wasn't. Whatsoever.

25:11

Oh, the one that bought was bought by

25:13

Yahoo. Tumblr. Tumblr. There's two.

25:16

Tumblr was in New York. Tumblr. The

25:17

worst acquisition in history.

25:19

>> In history. The worst acquisition in

25:21

history. I broke that story. Nice to

25:23

meet you, but yeah. In the same 60 days,

25:27

uh

25:28

Mark Zuckerberg made the best

25:30

acquisition in history. For a billion he

25:32

bought Instagram. It's now worth I think

25:34

probably a half a trillion to a trillion

25:35

dollars.

25:36

And Marissa Mayer said I'm a baller and

25:39

she bought Tumblr for a billion dollars,

25:42

which 7 years later got sold for how

25:44

much? A couple million. 3 million

25:46

dollars. It was a collection of It was a

25:48

collection of blocks.

25:50

>> Dirty sites. Dirty blocks. And then when

25:51

they shut down the porn, I I got into an

25:54

online battle with What's the guy with

25:55

the bad scissors haircut? Forget his

25:57

name. There were two or three. Union

25:59

Square Ventures. Anyways, Yeah. they

26:01

they told Tumblr they were no longer

26:02

going to fund this bag of [ __ ] that was

26:04

making no money, but he convinced

26:06

Marissa Mayer to buy it for 1.1 billion

26:08

dollars. I know. Anyways,

26:12

>> [laughter]

26:12

>> so A walk down memory lane.

26:13

>> This has been fun. I've really enjoyed

26:15

this. Okay. And then I joined And then

26:18

my my incubator collapsed within like 6

26:21

months founding it after the dot com

26:23

implosion and I joined the faculty at

26:25

NYU where my first year salary was

26:27

$12,000. Nice. Good times. Back to exit.

26:32

Anyways,

26:33

back to Anthropic. What are we talking

26:34

I've said this I wish I have never bet

26:37

on a predictions market. I said this a

26:40

week ago. Cal She had Musk winning at 51

26:43

or 52%?

26:45

Now it's all of a sudden fallen to 38.

26:47

Winning at what? Winning Winning the

26:49

case.

26:50

Oh, the case. The Musk wins the case.

26:52

Yeah. Yeah, he's got to make some moves.

26:54

>> Going from There is no moves. He does

26:56

not have a legal leg to stand on.

26:58

You can go from a nonprofit to a

27:00

for-profit. You're allowed to do that.

27:02

This is regrets and a Messiah complex

27:06

cause playing a legal argument.

27:08

Judges and courts aren't concerned or

27:11

aren't moved by anger and indignance and

27:14

by and sellers regret. They're moved by

27:17

evidence and argument and there's none

27:19

here. So, I will say this trial, I was

27:22

thinking I would you know you're

27:23

watching the texts go back and forth and

27:25

Mira Murati doesn't like Sam really even

27:27

though she pretended she did and the

27:29

girlfriend who was on the board, I'm

27:31

blanking on her name. I don't really

27:33

care cuz Shivon Zilis. Isn't that his

27:36

girlfriend? Well, it's his partner and

27:38

then they had four children and she

27:40

didn't manage to tell the Open AI people

27:42

that she had two children with him and

27:45

obviously she was

27:46

>> conflict, Kara. Uh [laughter] and she's

27:48

like a spy in there like right?

27:50

>> It's not a conflict.

27:52

Like you might give that piece of

27:53

information if you're in a beef with

27:55

someone.

27:55

>> a fiduciary for all shareholders making

27:57

decisions around someone's compensation

27:58

and you're having their children, that's

28:00

just like you should probably just

28:01

forgot to mention it.

28:03

>> Anyway, so the whole thing and they're

28:05

like going back and forth in this trial

28:06

and I think this is a soap opera but the

28:09

most boring people most awful boring

28:11

people in it. I'm like I could give a

28:14

[ __ ] that whether Mira Murati likes Sam

28:16

Altman or not. I don't care. I don't

28:18

care. Like oh, he was manipulative. I

28:21

don't care. Like what does that have to

28:23

do with anything? Like I you know

28:25

honestly I I force you know you hear

28:27

that of course about Sam being

28:28

manipulative and telling one person one

28:30

thing and another and as I'm reading it

28:32

in the trial, I'm like so, but does this

28:36

is this illegal? Is he's just a jerk or

28:38

you didn't like him or he was deceptive?

28:40

Did he do anything illegal cuz otherwise

28:43

your internal corporate high jinks, I

28:46

don't you know care. I do think she

28:48

should have told people she had his

28:49

babies in my opinion. But the whole

28:51

thing is like a bad soap opera that you

28:53

want to like turn off. Like and it's

28:55

just bad for AI. It's bad for the

28:57

companies and therefore he's going to do

28:59

another deal like this. That's where we

29:00

That's why we're where we are. He's

29:02

trying to glom himself onto a successful

29:05

Ron Wayne

29:06

was one of the founders of Apple. Mhm.

29:09

He owned 10% of it. He sold his 10% for

29:12

$2,300

29:14

Yeah.

29:14

>> back to who I think Jobs and Wozniak.

29:17

That is now worth $400 billion. Yeah,

29:20

and he feels bad.

29:21

>> And guess what? Mhm. It sucks to be a

29:23

grown-up. He signed the legal documents.

29:25

Private property key to private property

29:27

is when like Elon Musk and my favorite

29:29

defense is oh, he didn't read the fine

29:31

print. He's the wealthiest man in the

29:32

world with the most sophisticated legal

29:34

team in history, but oh, he didn't read

29:37

the fine I would like to I I would just

29:39

love to see someone show up who sold the

29:42

guy who sold Tesla to Musk or the rights

29:44

to it I forget forget his name, show up

29:46

and say, "Oh, I didn't realize it was

29:47

going to be worth this much and I didn't

29:48

read the fine print." Just to see how

29:49

that goes over in court.

29:50

>> Yeah, instead he's like baby daddy. I'm

29:52

like, "Come on. Like stop it, you

29:54

people."

29:56

>> they're trying to make the an emotional

29:58

argument that he's trying to that I

29:59

wanted it to be a nonprofit and what did

30:01

I do? Go on

30:07

to found a for-profit AI company that

30:09

arguably has less guardrails than any

30:12

other AI company.

30:14

A a jury of actual people I I think this

30:18

is a great buy at 38%. I'll take the

30:21

other side of this. I don't

30:23

There Nobody likes these people. I have

30:25

to say Brockman came out of all these

30:27

sort of loathsome people. I'm waiting

30:29

for the Sam Altman testimony, but

30:31

of all the people so far Greg Brockman

30:33

comes off the best and I'm not a

30:34

particular fan of his either. Like the

30:37

one that keeps notes of everything. So

30:39

some of the highlights of the testimony

30:40

let's see emails from Zillow showing

30:42

Musk suggested OpenAI become part of

30:44

Tesla, potentially as a B corp

30:46

subsidiary. Musk tried to recruit Sam

30:48

Altman to join

30:50

a uh the world-class AI lab within

30:52

Tesla, even offering him a board seat.

30:54

They didn't had no interest, Sam Altman

30:56

and Greg Brockman. Two days before the

30:58

trial started, Musk texted Brockman

31:00

asking if he was interested in settling

31:02

the case. Musk supposedly wanted full

31:04

control of OpenAI in part to help him

31:07

raise $80 billion to colonize Mars and

31:09

was using OpenAI employees to do secret

31:12

work for Tesla. OpenAI president said

31:14

the Musk lack of understanding, this is

31:16

Brockman, of AI was a concern for the

31:18

company. I That was factual. I really

31:21

When I heard that, I'm like, I I get it.

31:23

And OpenAI's former CTO, Mira Murati,

31:25

who's a very nice person, she testified

31:27

saying she couldn't trust Sam Altman's

31:28

words and saying he created chaos. Mira,

31:31

I like you, but I don't care. Like then

31:33

leave. If Leave. Leave. None of this

31:36

matters. Nothing matters. But none of

31:38

it, right?

31:39

>> not who's the better person. It's not

31:41

who would be a better shepherd of AI.

31:43

It's contract law. I know.

31:46

>> When you sell an asset, it doesn't It

31:48

doesn't matter who the bigger [ __ ]

31:50

is, the seller or the buyer. I know.

31:52

>> He sold He gave up his ownership and

31:55

governance rights.

31:56

>> gave up his ownership.

31:58

>> And And the whole And media's trying to

31:59

turn this into who would be better at

32:01

running it. It doesn't [ __ ] matter.

32:03

Don't follow along with what these

32:04

people are saying. You You You You You

32:05

You You You You You You You You You You

32:07

>> Right.

32:07

>> it doesn't matter who's the better

32:08

person or steward of the home you sold.

32:11

It is instructive to look how sloppy it

32:14

is. And so you That's I keep saying to

32:15

people, they're like, "Oh, they're

32:16

masters of the universe." I'm like,

32:17

"They're kind of sloppy." Like Google,

32:19

like everybody in the beginning of

32:21

Google, they were all like [ __ ] each

32:23

other. Like it was like and it was a big

32:26

mess and it was chaos and they all hated

32:28

each other, they liked each other. I

32:29

could care less, right? That's the thing

32:32

until professional management got in.

32:34

Microsoft early on was like this, like

32:36

kind of a mess. But who cares? But the

32:39

fact that it's coming out in court is

32:41

is just makes you realize how dumb and

32:44

dumb dumb dumb this trial is, like how

32:46

dumb it is.

32:47

It's about money. It's all it is.

32:49

>> This is This is I sold something that

32:52

ended up being worth a hundred fifty

32:53

billion dollars.

32:54

>> right. You're That's exactly it.

32:57

>> I'm the Messiah who's going to put us on

32:58

Mars, who should control autonomous in

33:00

the US, should control space. And oh by

33:03

the way, the

33:04

the one part of the technological

33:06

revolution that I don't control and I

33:07

can't seem to catch up in

33:09

is is AI. And so six years after I've

33:13

decided, oh, I I need I should own it. I

33:16

need it back, or I need money back, or I

33:18

need to get in the way of their progress

33:20

so XAI can I mean, pretty soon it's

33:22

going to be

33:23

I don't know. I had a conversation with

33:25

Dario Amodei. I should own

33:28

Yeah. You know, he he I should own

33:29

Anthropic. It's ridiculous, these

33:32

people. Eighty bill eighty billion

33:33

dollars to colonize Mars? Guess what,

33:35

Elon? You have it. Spend it and have a

33:37

good time Have at it. Good luck. Bye.

33:40

Take your children. Go. We're We're

33:42

thrilled for you. We're We're excited.

33:43

We'll write a a a poem for you, like

33:46

when on your way out. It's the

33:48

so stupid. Mike Tyson at the peak of his

33:51

career

33:53

um

33:54

fought Marvis Frazier and knocked him

33:56

out in the first thirty seconds.

33:58

I think legally, Elon Musk is Marvis

34:00

Frazier.

34:02

I just think the guy

34:04

He didn't know to [ __ ] It's a boxing

34:06

analogy. I don't like boxing cuz I don't

34:07

like to see young men beating each other

34:09

up like that.

34:10

>> I. But if you want to talk, oh my gosh,

34:12

whenever the the the reels come on of

34:15

Mike Tyson's ten greatest knockouts,

34:17

Jesus Christ. I met him at a restaurant.

34:19

Did you?

34:20

>> Yeah, he came up to me. He was smoking.

34:21

>> crossways, I hope. Oh my I was so scared

34:24

of the guy. I just thought, be nice to

34:25

him. Yeah. That guy, one of the most

34:27

dominant athletes of all time. Anyways,

34:30

this is this is this should, and I

34:32

believe will be a first round [ __ ]

34:35

knockout and all this drama and all the

34:37

media say who would be better at open

34:39

what happened who's [ __ ] who's

34:41

[ __ ]

34:42

>> [clears throat]

34:42

>> who's [ __ ] who it's like when Iran

34:44

and Iraq were at war I used to say I

34:46

hope the bullets win.

34:48

I don't

34:50

I we don't care. I went on CNN and they

34:52

asked me

34:54

who would be a better steward and I'm

34:55

like it doesn't matter. It doesn't

34:57

matter. This shouldn't be the answer is

34:59

none. The answer is none

35:01

and it doesn't matter. Private capital

35:02

and private property means it sucks to

35:05

be a grown-up and if you sell your house

35:07

it ends up being next to [ __ ] Mark

35:08

Zuckerberg and could be worth eight or

35:09

ten million right now. Okay, it's done.

35:12

You sold it boss.

35:13

>> make one final observation about these

35:15

people. These are the richest people on

35:16

earth and they're so manifestly unhappy.

35:19

They just can't shut the [ __ ] up. They

35:21

can't stop fighting. They have so much

35:23

money. None of them are qualified to run

35:27

be in charge of AGI none of them.

35:29

They're this is what this is showing how

35:31

a tiny petty angry unhappy people they

35:35

all are every single one of them and

35:37

you're like y'all none of you deserve

35:40

what you've got here. So none of you has

35:43

the dignity or character to to look good

35:46

and meanwhile over to the left Dario

35:48

Amodei is like sucking up all the

35:50

attributes of goodness. I don't even

35:52

trust him and I like him. Like it

35:53

doesn't even matter at these people.

35:55

Anyway

35:55

>> is we shouldn't have to trust these

35:56

people. We should be able to elect

35:58

representatives we can trust to do the

35:59

right thing and regulate these

36:00

companies. And then we can fire them

36:02

easily. Anyway, let's go on a quick

36:04

break. When we come back we'll talk

36:06

about managing a stock portfolio via

36:08

chat GPT. You'll like this one Scott.

36:12

Support for this show comes from [music]

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37:23

Scott, we're back with just one more

37:24

quick story over the past few months.

37:26

I'd love to know what you think of this.

37:27

A Wall Street Journal reporter asked

37:28

ChatGPT for investment advice to see if

37:30

AI could really realistically manage a

37:32

stock portfolio. It's It's actually

37:34

makes sense. There's

37:35

speaking of

37:36

of

37:37

Anthropic, they just did an interesting

37:39

deal where it would make decks and pitch

37:41

decks and things like that. It working

37:44

It's called It's a company I can't

37:45

remember the name but it's interesting

37:46

though.

37:47

ChatGPT

37:49

There's a lot of interesting smaller AI

37:51

companies being made that actually sound

37:52

useful. So this is what the reporter

37:54

did. ChatGPT generally identified market

37:57

risk but also made simple math mistakes,

37:59

suggested questionable market timing

38:01

strategies, and sometimes veered into

38:03

overly complex ideas like options

38:05

trading. The chatbot often told the user

38:08

what they seem to want to hear

38:09

highlighting a bigger concern that AI

38:11

could sound confident and persuasive

38:13

even when its advice may be flawed or

38:15

risky. Sounds like a lot of brokers I

38:17

know. About 30% of everyday investors

38:20

report using AI for their portfolios.

38:22

So, apparently not so good yet. Not and

38:25

in lots of really problematic ways that

38:28

you I mean with a person you're looking

38:29

at, you sort of have a sense when

38:31

they're sort of trying to sell you

38:32

something you don't want. Um so, it's

38:35

curious it's just like with law or

38:37

medical,

38:39

it's not there. It's not there and this

38:40

personalized investment advice is just

38:42

the latest wrinkle. I don't mind them

38:43

making, you know, decks, pitch decks and

38:46

things like that, but um huge risk for

38:48

lawsuits, I would assume. Just the same

38:50

with legal or medical or anything else.

38:53

Any thoughts?

38:54

Well, I I think it was tempting to

38:56

believe in the '90s you could use

39:00

Lotus, you know, 1-2-3 to

39:03

beat the market by doing all sorts of

39:06

calculations

39:06

>> analysis and calculations and you might

39:08

have had an edge for a minute,

39:11

but what I would argue is that

39:14

the the the individual thinking they can

39:16

use

39:18

uh Claude and I'm guilty this. I've been

39:19

asked and Claude like crazy using

39:21

co-work to come up with different

39:22

options and hedging strategies and to

39:24

identify stocks. I'm guilty of it. I I

39:26

love the markets. I like to gamble. It's

39:28

my means of gambling.

39:29

>> That's why I'm asking you this. And I

39:31

find it interesting what it says,

39:33

but here's the bottom line or what I

39:35

think. Ken Griffin

39:37

will hire 2,000 PhDs

39:40

and he will weaponize them with AI and

39:42

they will outperform the market.

39:44

But you believing with your $20 a month

39:47

Claude co-work weapon can compete

39:50

against these folks?

39:52

You are showing up with a very elegant

39:54

squirt gun and they have a [ __ ]

39:55

howitzer. So, this is what you do. You

39:58

invest in low-cost ETFs like Vanguard

40:02

and people who know and understand

40:03

technology can use the you know,

40:05

understand how to use AI.

40:07

But this will further

40:10

this will further diminish or create or

40:12

widen the delta between individual

40:14

investors and institutional

40:16

because institutional investors have the

40:17

capital.

40:19

The bottom line is every time you you

40:21

place a trade,

40:23

you got to keep in mind

40:25

on the other side of that trade

40:27

is likely someone smarter than you

40:29

that has broader technology. So, what

40:31

you want to do, in my view, unless you I

40:33

get a lot of

40:35

I get a lot of psychic income around

40:36

playing the market. So, 30% of my net

40:38

worth Yeah, you like doing that. I enjoy

40:40

it.

40:41

You know, it it's fun for me.

40:42

Occasionally, I have access to a deal

40:44

that other people don't have access to,

40:45

so fine.

40:47

But, the retail investor would be better

40:49

off finding low-cost ETFs where the

40:51

management team there

40:53

is really technically competent. Yeah.

40:55

That's what I do.

40:57

>> That's what I do. I just put it in

40:58

there.

40:58

>> Exactly the right way to do it. I'm not

40:59

interested in it. I know I could do

41:01

slightly better if I I'm I'm a little

41:03

smarter than most people. And I'll have

41:05

a little more insight.

41:06

>> You're smarter in an area that has

41:07

nothing to do that that's done in

41:09

Google. Be careful thinking that. No,

41:11

what I mean is I have some thoughts on

41:13

on some things that I probably I'm

41:15

talking about the average bear. But, I'm

41:17

I don't think I'm smarter than the

41:19

>> technology. That's right. So, I could be

41:21

like, I wouldn't bet on this company. I

41:23

would bet on this company probably

41:24

earlier than other people, but I still

41:27

wouldn't win. Still. The problem is

41:29

people have emotions in the market and

41:31

you can't trust your emotions in the

41:32

market. So, when a stock gets cut in

41:34

half, your emotion is to sell it because

41:35

you can't take any more pain, but that's

41:36

probably when you should be buying more.

41:38

And so

41:40

and then you

41:42

and then you have you literally have Ken

41:44

Griffin out there looking at all the

41:46

trades and seeing where emotion is

41:49

spiking or irrationally plummeting and

41:51

then moving in

41:53

in a millionth of a second and then

41:55

moving out and and absorbing millions of

41:58

different data points.

42:00

So,

42:01

you do not you do not want to play in

42:04

traffic here and believe that just

42:06

because

42:07

you're going to get up to the mound

42:09

where a guy is pitching 105 miles an

42:11

hour because you got a a new aluminum

42:13

bat that you think is going to that

42:15

you're going to be able to hit a home

42:16

run? No, you're going to get beamed in

42:17

the face.

42:18

So,

42:19

I do think AI is going to be a huge

42:21

unlock. And also, it will compress

42:24

margins because what will happen is

42:27

financial advisors, unless they're

42:28

really good and can go upstream into tax

42:31

planning,

42:32

a mediocre financial planner at your

42:34

local bank, no, you could probably do

42:37

almost as well using AI or better and

42:40

save 1% a year. I remember when I my mom

42:43

passed away and I was looking at her

42:44

estate,

42:45

this guy was charging her one or one and

42:48

a half percent of her assets every year

42:50

to put her in eight S&P stocks. I'm

42:52

like, okay, that's just not that hard.

42:54

Why are we paying you one and a half

42:56

percent? Right, yeah. And it was one and

42:58

a half percent. So, what I would say is

43:01

I think, by the way, I think people

43:02

should use AI to try and pick stocks. I

43:05

just don't think they should buy them. I

43:06

think it's fascinating to see the logic,

43:09

to see what it comes back with, to start

43:11

asking it more questions. I've been

43:12

trying to figure out option strategies

43:14

and on a strangle strategy. I just I'm

43:16

learning a lot.

43:17

>> Although sometimes you don't know if

43:18

it's accurate, right? That's the issue.

43:20

Some of it they the sycophanticness is

43:23

still a problem because it's not going

43:25

to challenge it's not if you it's I

43:27

think someone was I think the article

43:28

says it's no more than having a smart

43:30

assistant, right? Like, they're no

43:33

smarter than anything else and and

43:35

there's an assistant part which doesn't

43:37

want to what displease you and then it's

43:40

just a smart person, but you're never

43:42

going to have an edge with AI the

43:44

>> can you can you can normalize for that.

43:46

There's a

43:47

a a co-work feature feature in Anthropic

43:51

where you ask this council of people,

43:53

one's a cynic, one's an optimist, one is

43:56

one is grounded in historical context,

43:59

the other is like an analytical and an

44:00

emotional person, and all of these

44:03

quote-unquote agents look at your

44:04

question and then they distill their

44:06

answers up to a quote-unquote chairman

44:08

who distills it and gives you an answer

44:10

back. You can also

44:12

I I I lead a lot of prompts with give me

44:14

the brutal truth because I don't like,

44:17

you know, I don't like it I hate it when

44:18

it says to me, "Great question." The

44:20

other thing you should do is is and I

44:22

can't do this because I unsubscribed

44:24

from ChatGPT, you can beta test the same

44:27

do the exact same prompt somewhere else.

44:28

>> Yeah, I did that before I quit and I was

44:31

on other things like show me a a book

44:33

title get show me a book cover.

44:36

I got to say Claude was hands down the

44:37

best. It just was. It just was so

44:39

clearly better. You know, when you taste

44:41

test things you're like, "Oh, that

44:42

tastes like shit." And that's good,

44:44

right? Or the coffee or something like

44:46

that. But yeah, you're right. But

44:47

anyway, it's very interesting. I mean,

44:49

you should all try it out to see what

44:50

happens and do one of those tests. But

44:52

this was a great article in the journal

44:54

and I think it showed that it just

44:55

doesn't it's not as

44:57

ready for prime time as they say.

44:59

And about 30% a third of retail

45:01

investors are already using AI for their

45:03

portfolios. And so

45:06

Everyone's looking for a shortcut,

45:07

Scott.

45:07

>> But this

45:09

one of the greatest grips I believe,

45:10

legal grips in corporate history, was

45:12

the financial advisor.

45:14

Or or institutional investors. And by

45:17

the way,

45:18

the majority of the grift has happened

45:20

amongst the richest.

45:21

Rich people like

45:22

>> have the hand holders, yeah. Rich people

45:24

like to believe that they deserve

45:25

something better. So, they want to get

45:27

into these really high-profile

45:29

well-marketed hedge funds who they

45:30

believe, "Oh, I have access to Paulson

45:34

or I have access to this, you know, D.E.

45:37

Shaw whatever." Okay, fine. Guess what?

45:40

If you added up all alternative

45:42

investments and hedge fund returns for

45:44

the last 50 years,

45:45

they have underperformed the S&P by the

45:47

amount of their fees.

45:49

It's a and some outperform. Berkshire

45:52

Hathaway has outperformed. My buddy at

45:54

Anchorage Capital has outperformed. You

45:56

know, I have another buddy at Mudrick

45:57

Capital who's outperformed. But

45:59

generally speaking,

46:00

over the long medium and long term, they

46:03

all underperform the market by their

46:05

fees.

46:06

And

46:08

every piece of data analysis if you go

46:10

to the finance department at a

46:11

world-class university

46:13

and ask them where they invest, they're

46:15

like, "Vanguard."

46:16

Mhm. Me, too.

46:17

>> And they don't pick stocks. They don't

46:19

pick stocks.

46:20

>> I put I don't know Someone's like, "How

46:22

are your stocks doing?" I'm like, "I've

46:23

no idea." And I I'm not going to look

46:24

until I need and I don't really need the

46:26

money, so I just I'm like, "I just put

46:28

it there and then it goes away." It's

46:30

like it's like a bank at Gringotts. I

46:31

don't care. Like I I

46:33

I The more I think about it, the more

46:35

upset I get, right? Like, what am I

46:37

missing? What did I get wrong? Did I buy

46:39

gold? Should I do this? And then I'm

46:41

like, "Why am I that [ __ ] person?"

46:43

It's a great point because

46:45

in addition to the capital

46:47

you're investing, you want to talk about

46:49

the emotion you're investing.

46:51

And that is I do get psychic income, but

46:54

>> You like it.

46:56

>> I started buying stocks when I was 13. I

46:57

worked at Morgan Stanley. I I find it

46:59

fascinating. I really do enjoy markets,

47:02

and it's served me well. Having said

47:04

that, it also takes a real emotional

47:06

toll staring at your [ __ ] phone. And

47:08

then when you buy a stock and you're

47:09

convinced you're a genius and it gets

47:10

cut by 40% in 2 weeks after you buy it,

47:13

you're really going to beat yourself up.

47:15

>> The only thing I wish you wouldn't do is

47:16

put so much of your your your medical

47:19

information to these people cuz they

47:21

don't they don't they're not bound by

47:22

HIPAA. Same thing with legal. I I'm

47:24

like, "Please don't." I mean, unless you

47:26

find one of these ones that is bound by

47:29

the same laws everybody else's. I just

47:31

worry about that over time. What's that?

47:33

Wait, who's taking my

47:34

>> just saying when you Whenever you put a

47:36

lot of your You always like, "Oh, I

47:37

loaded up You always Sometimes you don't

47:39

even realize you're saying this to me. I

47:39

put away all my medical thing into

47:41

this." And I was like, "Really?"

47:43

Not sure I trust these people to have

47:45

all Scott's medical information.

47:46

>> my information.

47:47

>> You are. It makes me worry. I'll be

47:49

honest with you. I think, "Oh, dear. No,

47:51

don't do that." Cuz you think at some

47:52

point they're going to get all of it and

47:53

weaponize it against us.

47:54

>> They're They're not I I They could

47:56

because they're not bound by HIPAA,

47:58

they're not bound by legal things.

48:00

Anyway.

48:01

>> if I should just send out

48:03

Mhm. a preemptive [clears throat]

48:04

apology to Angie Dickinson and Emily

48:06

Ratajkowski right now. Why? Well, just

48:09

all the things I've asked them about.

48:11

Oh, no. Okay, we're moving on. We got to

48:12

go. All right. One more quick break.

48:15

We'll be back for predictions. Okay,

48:17

Scott, let's hear a prediction. Do you

48:19

have a prediction for us? There was a

48:21

really interesting story this week that

48:23

I think

48:24

kind of indicates or pretends pretends

48:26

what it might be in store for us around

48:29

um potential acquisitions. And I made a

48:32

similar prediction a few years ago, but

48:33

it didn't pan out. And that is a

48:36

32-year-old TikToker

48:38

just crowdfunded 132 million in

48:40

non-binding pledges to buy a bankrupt uh

48:42

Spirit Airlines. Did you see this? No, I

48:45

didn't see it. He said he said, "Look,

48:46

Spirit helps keep airline prices down.

48:48

Let's do what we did with the Green Bay

48:50

Packers and let's mutualize it."

48:52

And he he's very talented.

48:55

And Spirit said it was going to shut

48:57

down

48:58

at 2:00 a.m. on Saturday, and this guy,

48:59

Hunter Peterson,

49:01

had a TikTok up the same day, a website

49:04

within a day, and 6 million views within

49:05

days, and more than a hun- Get this,

49:07

Cara, more than 133,000 people have

49:10

pledged on average about a thousand

49:12

bucks each, totaling uh 132 million

49:15

dollars.

49:16

And essentially what he's saying is

49:18

that, "Okay, 20% of American adults

49:21

paying the average Spirit fare of 30 to

49:23

40 dollars equals enough to buy an

49:25

airline."

49:26

And they say it's un- Okay, let's It's

49:28

unlikely to close,

49:30

but the idea with in an era of AI and

49:33

compliance AI where you could spin up

49:35

the legal documents and have people sign

49:37

them,

49:38

and with PayPal, I think you're going to

49:40

see

49:42

in the next 12 to 36 months, someone

49:45

pull this off.

49:47

Where they say,

49:48

"Hey, who wants to buy

49:51

Estee Lauder? Or who wants to buy

49:54

you know, they they'll start with a

49:55

small stock. It wouldn't be Estee Lauder

49:56

cuz that's too big a company, but it'll

49:58

start with a small company that goes out

50:00

of business. They'll say, "Okay, Dick's

50:02

Sporting It." Whatever it is. And

50:04

someone talented who's very charismatic

50:05

who will weaponize social media and AI

50:08

to collect legal pledges for funds

50:11

and will buy something. I think

50:12

crowdfunding

50:14

I think crowdfunding is going to

50:17

um

50:18

is going to is going to happen. And

50:20

and also retail participation in US

50:22

equities has risen by nearly 20% of

50:24

average daily trading volume, which by

50:25

the way is usually a sell signal.

50:28

Um up from low single digits before

50:30

COVID and

50:30

>> So, it's like when everybody got in one

50:32

of those accounts. That's right.

50:34

>> trading accounts. And rather than

50:35

fading, retail flows hit fresh records

50:37

in 2025.

50:38

>> cuz the stock market's up every day.

50:40

>> thinks they're genius now. Everyone's

50:41

like, "Oh, I'm I'm

50:42

>> Okay, I like that. Why don't you do it?

50:44

What would we buy something?

50:45

>> Well, that's what I used to do for a

50:46

living between 2000 and 2008.

50:48

>> kinds of stunts could we buy? What would

50:50

we buy? All kinds of stunts.

50:53

Like Chipotle or something? Chipotle is

50:55

expensive. All right. Chipotle is

50:57

expensive. I don't want to buy something

50:58

like

50:59

>> they sent me I used to tell I was in the

51:00

original Isn't that the plot of the

51:02

>> me a card. This is the most impressive

51:04

my sons have ever been with me. I got a

51:06

card for free lifetime Chipotle and I

51:08

sold it or I didn't sell it. I lost it.

51:11

But I love Chipotle.

51:13

>> want one again. That's what this was

51:14

about. Little stunt.

51:15

>> paid. They sent me a card. No, if they

51:17

do it again, I want I want serious

51:18

cabbage. No, yeah.

51:20

>> Right. Yeah. All right. So, All right.

51:22

Yeah. I like that prediction. By the

51:24

way, I predict the government is going

51:26

to lose that idiotic case against the

51:27

New York Times about the hiring, the

51:29

DEI, and then attacking the woman who

51:31

did redistricting.

51:33

These people make Ceaușescu look kind.

51:36

It's ridiculous. They're going after all

51:37

their enemies with the FBI and they're

51:39

attacking Here's what I predict. It's

51:41

going to end in tears for those people.

51:43

They're They attacked the New York Times

51:45

for DEI

51:46

and a lawsuit. Then they're going to use

51:49

the Justice Department to try to get

51:51

Carroll's money that Trump owes her, the

51:53

83 million, which is insane. And then

51:56

they attacked the woman in the

51:58

82-year-old woman. They They They raided

52:01

her office to try to find corruption.

52:04

Who did the Who was so this this badass

52:06

lady in Virginia who did all the

52:07

redistricting that kicked their ass. And

52:10

then they are investigating the reporter

52:13

for The Atlantic who

52:15

you know, no [ __ ] Sherlock, did the

52:17

story about Kash Patel being a drunk. Um

52:20

and of course she immediately answered

52:22

it by showing off a bottle she bought on

52:24

auction where Kash Patel gives out

52:26

whiskey to people with his name on it,

52:27

like some wood for with reserve whiskey.

52:30

So

52:31

No one's having any of this nonsense

52:33

that they're doing. It's just so like

52:35

clottish and thuggish. So none of it's

52:37

going to work. That's my prediction.

52:38

>> I I can't help it. I agree with you.

52:41

Private companies get to do what they

52:41

want whether DEI

52:43

That's none of the government's business

52:45

in my view unless it's

52:47

they're claiming a reverse racism.

52:49

I I think that that that that I will say

52:52

>> Let the guy sue her. Sue The New York

52:54

Times. I don't care. Um

52:57

Look, a search warrant is not proof of

52:59

guilt, but it is a serious threshold.

53:01

And federal judges do not casually

53:03

approve raids on senior state

53:04

legislators.

53:06

>> Come on. So well

53:08

Why her? Why her? Because well, okay,

53:10

you could argue that the investigation

53:13

the fact it was even launched is

53:14

politicized, but a federal a sitting

53:16

federal

53:17

uh judge, they do not issue No, I don't

53:20

know. This is This is in my opinion.

53:23

We'll see what the evidence says. That's

53:24

correct. We'll see what the evidence

53:26

says.

53:26

>> because at at the same time a

53:28

high-profile corruption probe they often

53:30

look strongest at the raid stage and

53:32

weaker later once the evidence is

53:34

scrutinized publicly.

53:35

>> Letitia James, right?

53:36

>> be fair to the other side, a search

53:38

warrant is a you You has to pass a

53:40

serious threshold that a federal judge

53:43

does not casually approve on senior

53:45

state legislators.

53:46

>> that, but there's a reason they didn't

53:47

pick 20 other Republican ones. They This

53:50

is what they do all the time. They just

53:51

This is This is a It's a It's a

53:53

weaponization of the power and they

53:56

they complained about it happening to

53:58

them. Yep. And then they're doing it.

53:59

So, stop it. Just cut it out. Anyway, we

54:02

want to hear from you. Send us your

54:03

questions about business, tech, or

54:04

whatever is on your mind. Go to

54:05

nymag.com/pivot

54:07

to submit a question for the show or

54:08

call 855-51

54:11

pivot. Elsewhere in the Karen Scott

54:12

universe this week, Scott Prof G Markets

54:14

is going on tour this month. Tell us a

54:17

little bit about it. Tell us a tiny

54:19

thing. It's kicking off May 27th. It's

54:22

going to San Francisco, LA, Miami,

54:24

Chicago, and New York. You go to

54:26

profgmarketstour.com

54:27

for tickets. Tell us a tiny bit about

54:29

this and why people should go. Uh well,

54:31

thanks, Kara. It's It's similar to what

54:33

we did with Pivot. It's a live tour. We

54:35

have a bunch of great guests across

54:37

different cities.

54:39

What's interesting It's interesting what

54:40

sells out the quickest. New York and San

54:43

Francisco. We were worried that San

54:45

Francisco wouldn't like us cuz we're

54:46

constantly

54:48

shitposting tech people, but New York

54:49

and San Francisco are going to sell out

54:51

in the next 24 hours.

54:53

And um anyways, but yeah, it's just a

54:56

live tour with me and Ed Elson. We sold

54:59

out San Francisco first on Pivot.

55:00

>> Yeah. This So, this Toronto was it

55:02

Toronto and Oh, Toronto and Boston.

55:05

Wait, did Boston We sold out Boston

55:07

fast. We sold them all out fast. I'll be

55:08

in the LA was happened to be a huge

55:10

theater, so it took a little longer, but

55:11

>> Yeah, but it's It's

55:13

and it'll be after the show, it'll be a

55:15

bunch of people coming up to me and

55:16

asking me if Ed Elson is single because

55:18

their daughter is looking for a nice

55:19

husband. Um

55:21

But yeah, so it's it's my um Prof G

55:24

Markets live tour. Go to

55:25

profgmarketstour.

55:27

profgmarketstour.com.

55:30

Yeah.

55:31

But yeah, it's starting at the end of

55:33

May and first week of June.

55:35

Great. That's fantastic. And also, we're

55:37

going to be doing pivot in the fall with

55:39

another pivot tour in the fall. Which is

55:40

you're going to be on the road Scott

55:41

Galloway. We're doing another tour?

55:43

Yes, you know that. What do you Do you

55:46

know that? We are.

55:47

>> know that, but I'm excited about it.

55:49

>> [laughter]

55:49

>> You did know. We literally had a call

55:51

about it. What did happen? What

55:52

happened? We had a call about another

55:53

tour. We literally discussed it. We're

55:56

having a tour in the fall. You were on

55:57

the call. You weren't listening. But you

56:00

were there. I know. You were. I don't

56:02

remember. Where am I?

56:03

>> having one. Anyway. That's the show.

56:05

Thanks for listening to Pivot and be

56:07

sure to like and subscribe to our

56:09

YouTube channel. We'll be back next

56:11

week.

Interactive Summary

This episode of Pivot features Kara Swisher and Scott Galloway reflecting on the legacy of media mogul Ted Turner, the state of the media industry, and the ongoing legal and business drama involving OpenAI and Elon Musk. They also discuss the pitfalls of using AI for personal investment advice and the potential for crowdfunding to disrupt traditional corporate acquisition models.

Suggested questions

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