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Beyond DotCom: The Forgotten Financial Bubbles of Capitalism and Their Psychology

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Beyond DotCom: The Forgotten Financial Bubbles of Capitalism and Their Psychology

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570 segments

0:00

When most people think about financial

0:01

bubbles, three great archetypes spring

0:03

to mind. The Dutch tulip mania of the

0:06

1630s, the South Sea bubble of 1720, and

0:09

the dotcom bubble of the late 1990s.

0:11

These episodes have become cultural

0:13

shorthand for speculative excess,

0:15

irrational markets, and the dangers of

0:17

chasing easy wealth. Tulip bulb selling

0:19

for price of a house, South Sea shares

0:21

doubling in days, or internet startups

0:24

with no profits reaching billion-dollar

0:25

valuations. These are the cautionary

0:28

tales that textbooks, documentaries, and

0:30

even dinner party conversations return

0:32

to again and again. But by focusing only

0:34

on these greatest hits, we miss a much

0:36

deeper, richer, and more troubling

0:38

truth. Bubbles are not rare outliers,

0:40

but recurring pattern in economic

0:42

history. They happen across centuries in

0:45

wildly different industries and even in

0:47

societies that thought themselves

0:48

immune. Why? Because financial bubbles

0:51

are less about the asset being traded,

0:53

be it flowers, land, or software, and

0:55

more about human psychology, collective

0:57

belief, and a seductive story that this

0:59

time is different. As we explore these

1:01

forgotten bubbles, from France's paper

1:03

money experiment under John Law to

1:05

Britain's canal and railway frenzies to

1:07

speculative land rushes in Melbourne and

1:09

Miami to blue chipped illusions and

1:11

Japanese skyscrapers, we will see that

1:13

the lessons are timeless. Each bubble

1:16

reveals the interplay between

1:17

innovation, policy, and psychology. And

1:19

each collapse exposes a fragile

1:21

foundation of collective belief. In the

1:24

end, the true subject of bubbles is not

1:26

money, but mass psychology. Let's now

1:29

take a look at the largely forgotten

1:30

bubbles. And then in this video, examine

1:33

the root causes and psychological

1:34

mechanisms that led to their formation.

1:38

At the dawn of the 18th century, France

1:41

was financially exhausted. Decades of

1:43

war under Louis the 14th had drained the

1:45

royal treasury. Into this crisis stepped

1:47

a charismatic Scotsman, John Law,

1:50

gambler, mathematician, economist, and

1:52

visionary. Law convinced the French

1:54

regent that paper money, backed not by

1:56

gold or silver, but by the productive

1:58

capacity of the French economy, could

2:00

revive national finances. He created the

2:03

Bon Generalall, later nationalized as a

2:05

bank Royale, which issued paper bank

2:07

notes exchangeable for coin. At the same

2:09

time, he launched a Mississippi company,

2:12

a trading venture promising immense

2:14

riches from France's North American

2:16

colonies. Investors could buy shares in

2:18

the company with the very paper money

2:19

laws bank produced. At first, the system

2:22

seemed revolutionary. It expanded

2:25

credit, increase liquidity, and fueled a

2:27

speculative boom. Parisian elites

2:29

crowded the ruin pokes where Mississippi

2:31

shares changed hands feverishly. Law was

2:34

hailed as a genius and the market

2:36

capitalization of his company rivaled

2:38

the entire French economy. But the

2:40

bubble contained its own seeds of

2:42

destruction. The supposed wealth of

2:44

Louisiana was largely imaginary. Paper

2:47

money multiplied far beyond its metallic

2:49

backing, eroding confidence. When

2:51

skeptical investors demanded coins or

2:53

banknotes, the bonk royale could not

2:55

deliver. Panic set in. The share price

2:58

collapsed in the French public loss

3:00

faith, not just in law, but in paper

3:02

money itself. The Mississippi bubble

3:04

demonstrates how state-backed monetary

3:06

experiments can ignite speculative

3:08

euphoria and how quickly credibility can

3:10

collapse. Its parallels to modern

3:12

cryptocurrency booms are striking. New

3:15

financial technologies, charismatic

3:17

promoters, early fortunes made, mass

3:19

participation, and then a sudden

3:21

collapse when faith falters. Monetary

3:23

innovation, as John Law learned, always

3:26

depends on psychology as much as policy.

3:28

Fast forward to the late 18th century

3:30

when Britain was undergoing the first

3:32

industrial revolution. Canals were the

3:34

arteries of progress, promising to

3:36

connect mines, factories, and ports with

3:38

unprecedented efficiency. The Duke of

3:40

Bridgewwater's pioneering canal to

3:42

Manchester had shown the enormous

3:44

profits and cost savings possible.

3:46

Investors and engineers rushed to

3:48

replicate the success. By the 1790s,

3:51

Parliament authorized nearly 100 canal

3:53

projects financed by subscription

3:55

shares. Ordinary Britain, shopkeepers,

3:58

farmers, tradesmen poured savings into

4:00

canal companies, convinced that

4:02

waterways were the future. Yet, not

4:04

every canal had Bridgewwater's economic

4:06

logic. Many were redundant, poorly

4:08

planned, or over financed. Competition

4:11

between rival routes eroded

4:13

profitability. Cost ballooned, revenues

4:15

lagged, and investors who bought shares

4:17

on the promise of endless growth face

4:19

bitter losses. Canal mania reveals the

4:22

dangers of infrastructure hype. Just as

4:24

21st century investors have rushed into

4:26

high-spe speed rail, smart cities or

4:29

even hyperloop projects. The canal boom

4:31

shows how enthusiasm for transformative

4:33

infrastructure can outpace economic

4:35

fundamentals. It also demonstrates a

4:37

contagion effect. Once one canal

4:39

succeeded, investors assumed all canals

4:42

would succeed. a cognitive bias known as

4:44

extrapolation. If canals were exciting,

4:47

railways were intoxicating. By the

4:49

1840s, Britain's railway network was

4:52

expanding rapidly, and the

4:53

transformative power of steam locomotion

4:55

was obvious. Faster than canals cheaper

4:58

than roads, railways promised not just

5:00

profits, but a reshaping of time and

5:02

space itself. Shares and railway

5:04

companies became the speculative asset

5:06

of choice. Ordinary families mortgage

5:09

homes to buy them. Newspapers dedicated

5:11

entire sections to railway prospects.

5:13

Public meetings resembled religious

5:15

revivals with promoters preaching the

5:17

gospel of iron rails. The frenzy

5:20

produced countless paper railways.

5:22

Companies that existed only on paper

5:24

with no track ever laid. Investors

5:26

nevertheless subscribed

5:27

enthusiastically. Swept along by fear of

5:30

missing out. Politicians and regulators

5:33

unwilling to dampen the boom approved

5:35

projects without due scrutiny. When

5:37

reality failed to match expectations,

5:39

collapse was brutal. By 1849, the stock

5:43

prices of many railway companies had

5:44

fallen by 2/3. Families were ruined and

5:47

the economic shock was severe. Railway

5:50

mania shows how speculation thrives when

5:52

innovation intersects with public

5:54

imagination. It also highlights the role

5:56

of information cascades, where

5:58

individuals base decisions not on their

6:00

own judgment, but on the observed

6:01

behavior of others. This her behavior

6:04

amplified by newspapers and public

6:06

spectacle remains central to every

6:08

bubble. In the late 19th century,

6:10

Melbourne was called Marvelous

6:12

Melbourne. Fueled by gold discoveries

6:14

and British capital inflows, the city

6:17

expanded rapidly. Land value soared and

6:20

banks eagerly extended credit for

6:22

property speculation. Suburban plots

6:24

were sold and resold at ever higher

6:26

prices. often without any development.

6:28

Banks flushed with deposits from Britain

6:31

lent recklessly to property companies.

6:33

By the late 1880s, Melbourne had one of

6:36

the most inflated property markets in

6:37

history. The inevitable crash came in

6:39

the early 1890s. Banks failed, foreign

6:42

investors fled, and unemployment

6:44

skyrocketed. The boom had been built not

6:46

on productive development, but on

6:48

speculative turnover of titles. The

6:50

Australian land boom illustrates the

6:52

dangers of global capital flows into

6:54

emerging markets, a pattern repeated in

6:56

Asia in the 1990s and even in

6:59

cryptocurrency markets today. It also

7:02

shows the fragility of banking systems

7:03

when exposed to real estate cycles. By

7:06

the 1920s, Florida became America's

7:08

playground. Railroads open access,

7:11

advertising promised sunshine and

7:13

riches, and celebrities like Al Capone

7:15

and the Harvey Firestone family bought

7:17

estates. Developers sold swampy land

7:19

site unseen to northerners, often

7:21

through glossy brochures. Speculation

7:24

ran wild. Lots were flipped multiple

7:26

times before being built upon. Prices

7:28

detached completely from reality. Then

7:31

in 1926, hurricanes devastated Miami and

7:34

surrounding regions. Transportation

7:37

bottlenecks, fraud, and overbuilding

7:39

were exposed. The market collapsed,

7:41

leaving ghost subdivisions across the

7:43

state. The Florida land boom shows the

7:45

interplay between media hype, celebrity

7:47

culture, and speculative frenzy. It

7:49

foreshadowed later real estate bubbles

7:52

from Las Vegas in 2008 to crypto

7:55

metverse land in 2021. It also

7:57

highlights a role of exogenous shocks,

7:59

natural disasters, policy changes that

8:02

can prick inflated markets. Unlike

8:04

speculative canals or swampland, the

8:06

Nifty50 were real companies. IBM, Xerox,

8:09

Coca-Cola, Polaroid. In the 1960s, these

8:12

blue chip stocks were seen as one

8:14

decision investments. Buy and never

8:16

sell. They were believed to possess

8:18

permanent growth, immune to business

8:20

cycles. Investors bid up their

8:22

valuations to extraordinary levels with

8:24

price to earnings ratios exceeding 50.

8:27

For a time, the illusion seemed

8:29

justified. But by the mid1 1970s,

8:31

inflation, oil shocks, and slower growth

8:33

shattered a myth. Prices collapsed,

8:36

wiping out vast wealth. The Nifty50

8:38

illustrates how even rational,

8:40

profitable companies can become

8:41

speculative assets when narratives of

8:43

invincibility take hold. The parallels

8:45

of today's Magnificent 7 tech stocks are

8:47

clear. Concentration, valuation excess,

8:51

and a belief that technology guarantees

8:53

perpetual growth. Sometimes all it takes

8:56

is one discovery. In 1969, Poseidon and

8:59

Lel, a small mining company, announced a

9:02

promising nickel find. Nickel prices

9:04

were soaring due to demand from

9:05

stainless steel production. Investors

9:07

piled in and Poseidon share price

9:09

rocketed from under $1 to over 280.

9:13

Speculation spread to other mining

9:14

companies, many with no real prospects.

9:17

Small investors eager not to miss out

9:20

bought in late, but Poseidon's was less

9:22

rich than hoped. Nickel prices fell and

9:25

entire sector collapsed by 1970. The

9:28

Poseidon bubble shows the dynamics of

9:29

resource booms. Real discoveries can

9:32

trigger speculative exaggeration. It

9:34

also demonstrates the greater fool

9:35

theory where late comers buy not for

9:37

value but in the hope of selling to

9:39

someone even more optimistic. In the

9:41

1980s, Japan was at the peak of its

9:44

economic miracle. Growth was rapid.

9:47

Technology exports dominated and

9:49

optimism abounded. Loose monetary policy

9:52

fueled credit expansion and both stocks

9:54

and real estate prices surged. At its

9:56

peak, the land under Tokyo's Imperial

9:59

Palace was said to be worth more than

10:00

all the real estate in the United

10:02

States. The NIK stock index tripled

10:04

between 1985 and 1989. But when the Bank

10:08

of Japan tightened policy, the bubble

10:10

collapsed. By the early 1990s, trillions

10:14

in wealth had evaporated. The aftermath

10:16

was devastating. Japan entered a lost

10:18

decade with deflation, stagnant growth,

10:21

and a deeply scarred national psyche.

10:23

The bubble showed how central banks can

10:25

fuel and burst speculative manias and

10:27

how the cultural optimism of an economic

10:29

miracle can blind a nation to valuation

10:32

extremes. But how do financial bubbles

10:34

exactly take shape? Which forces drive

10:37

them forward? And how does human

10:38

psychology amplify their rise and

10:40

collapse? Let's dive deep into this

10:42

phenomenon to uncover mechanics behind

10:44

the mania. From the moment human beings

10:46

began to trade, they discovered not only

10:49

the thrill of profit, but also the peril

10:51

of collective delusion. The history of

10:53

financial bubbles is not merely an

10:55

economic history. It is a history of

10:57

human psychology written on the grand

10:59

stage of markets. Again and again,

11:02

society is a move from optimism to

11:03

euphoria, from panic to despair. And

11:06

every stage reveals something profound

11:07

about how people think, feel, and act

11:09

when money and dreams collide. But why

11:12

do these bubbles look so similar across

11:13

centuries? Whether in the tulip fields

11:15

of 17th century Holland, the dot offices

11:18

of Silicon Valley in the 1990s, or the

11:20

cryptocurrency exchanges of the 2020s.

11:23

To answer this, we need to dig into the

11:25

mass psychology that fuels bubbles and

11:27

the cognitive traps that ens snare even

11:29

the brightest minds. The emotional cycle

11:31

of a bubble is astonishingly

11:33

predictable. It usually begins with

11:35

optimism. a new opportunity arises.

11:38

Perhaps the discovery of gold in the

11:40

rivers of California in 1849, or the

11:42

launch of railways across Britain in the

11:44

1840s, or the emergence of blockchain

11:47

technology in the 2010s. At this stage,

11:50

investors genuinely believe they are

11:52

funding progress. As early adopters see

11:55

their fortunes multiply, optimism gives

11:57

way to enthusiasm and then euphoria.

11:59

Prices rise not because of fundamental

12:01

value but because more and more people

12:03

are convinced they will rise further. At

12:06

the euphoric peak, rational analysis is

12:08

drowned out by a chorus of this time is

12:10

different. A phrase immortalized by

12:12

economist Charles Kindleberger in his

12:14

1978 classic Mania panics and crashes.

12:17

When doubts finally creep in, perhaps

12:19

because of a fail harvest, a change in

12:21

regulation, or simply because prices can

12:23

climb no higher, the tone shifts

12:25

anxiety. Panic spreads quickly, often

12:28

triggered by a few high-profile

12:30

failures. Suddenly, everyone wants to

12:32

sell, but there are no buyers left. What

12:34

follows is despair. When prices

12:36

collapse, fortunes evaporate, and

12:39

participants swear they will never be so

12:40

foolish again. Yet, within a generation,

12:43

the cycle begins a new. What makes this

12:45

pattern so enduring are the cognitive

12:48

biases that shape human decision-making.

12:50

Behavioral finance pioneered by scholars

12:53

like Daniel Conaman and Amos Tverki in

12:55

the 1970s has revealed that investors

12:57

are not the co-rational calculators

12:59

described in classical economics but

13:01

deeply emotional beings subject to

13:03

systematic errors. Her behavior is

13:05

perhaps the most obvious. When we see

13:08

others making money, we assume they know

13:10

something we do not and we follow along.

13:12

This instinct made sense for our

13:14

ancestors on Savannah. If everyone runs,

13:16

you run too. But in markets, it creates

13:18

runaway feedback loops. Confirmation

13:21

bias further accelerates the bubble.

13:23

Once people are convinced of an asset's

13:25

promise, they selectively absorb

13:27

information that supports their belief

13:29

and dismiss evidence to the contrary.

13:31

Overconfidence bias adds another twist

13:33

as investors systematically overestimate

13:35

their ability to time the market or to

13:37

spot the moment when it is time to exit.

13:39

In 1720, even Sir Isaac Newton, one of

13:42

the greatest mathematical geniuses in

13:44

history, lost much of his fortune in the

13:46

South Sea bubble, reportedly lamenting

13:48

that he could calculate the motions of

13:50

heavenly bodies, but not the madness of

13:52

men. Narratives and stories play a

13:55

central role in overriding rational

13:57

analysis. Economic historian Robert

13:59

Schiller, who won the Nobel Prize in

14:01

2013, coined the term narrative

14:04

economics to describe how contagious

14:06

stories spread like epidemics, shaping

14:09

investment decisions. During the dotcom

14:11

bubble, the prevailing narrative was

14:13

that the internet would reinvent every

14:14

aspect of life, making profits almost

14:17

irrelevant. During the housing bubble of

14:19

the early 2000s, the story was that real

14:21

estate values always rise. In the 1630s,

14:25

tulips were said to be not just flowers,

14:27

but symbols of status and eternal value.

14:29

Media hype magnifies these stories. When

14:32

newspapers, television, and later social

14:34

media platforms constantly amplify tales

14:36

of overnight millionaires, individuals

14:38

feel what psychologists call social

14:40

proof. If everyone else believes it, it

14:42

must be true. Rational calculations

14:44

about earnings, dividends, or realistic

14:46

yields are drowned in a sea of memes,

14:48

headlines, and anecdotes. New

14:50

technologies and paradigm shifts are

14:52

especially fertile ground for bubbles.

14:54

Why? Because they combine genuine

14:56

innovation with boundless uncertainty.

14:58

Railways in the 19th century, radio in

15:01

the 1920s, semiconductors in the 1960s,

15:04

and cryptocurrencies in the 2010s all

15:07

inspired visions of a transformed

15:09

future. Joseph Chumpeder, the Austrian

15:11

economist famous for the concept of

15:13

creative destruction, argue that

15:15

capitalism advances in great waves of

15:17

innovation. But when these innovations

15:19

appear, no one can say with certainty

15:21

which companies will succeed or how

15:23

profits will be distributed. This

15:25

ambiguity allows speculative narratives

15:27

to flourish as investors project their

15:29

hopes onto any firm associated with a

15:31

new technology. Thus, paradigm shifts

15:34

create what Minsky later called

15:35

displacement, a spark that ignites

15:37

speculative manas. The role of FOMO, the

15:41

fear of missing out, cannot be

15:42

overstated. In modern slang, it is easy

15:45

to dismiss, but the psychological

15:47

mechanism is profound. When people see

15:49

others enriching themselves, the pain of

15:51

missing out feels greater than the risk

15:52

of loss. The greater fool theory

15:54

emerges. The belief that even if an

15:56

asset is overpriced, one can still sell

15:59

to someone else at a higher price. This

16:01

logic is self-reinforcing. The more

16:03

people believe they can find a greater

16:04

fool, the more they are willing to

16:06

become fools themselves. That is why

16:08

bubbles often escalate far beyond what

16:11

any sober analysis would predict. One of

16:13

the most haunting aspects of bubbles is

16:15

that smart, experienced, and even

16:17

cynical people participate. Why would

16:19

sophisticated investors, hedge fund

16:21

managers, and Nobel laureates throw

16:23

money at assets they know are

16:24

overvalued? The answer lies in

16:26

institutional incentives and social

16:28

pressure. Fund managers are often

16:30

evaluated quarterly. If they refuse to

16:33

join a rising market, they risk

16:35

underperforming their peers and losing

16:37

clients. John Maynor Kanes once quipped

16:39

that markets can remain irrational

16:41

longer than you can remain solvent. To

16:43

sit out a bubble is to risk career

16:45

suicide. So even the cautious join in.

16:48

On a personal level, cognitive

16:50

dissonance also plays a role. If

16:52

everyone around you is getting rich, it

16:54

is difficult to accept being the lone

16:55

skeptic. The combination of professional

16:57

incentives and personal psychology

16:59

ensures that bubbles sweep up the best

17:01

and the brightest. Can bubbles be

17:03

recognized in real time or only in

17:06

hindsight. Economists debate this

17:08

fiercely. Alan Greenspan, then chairman

17:10

of the Federal Reserve, famously warned

17:12

of irrational exuberance in 1996, years

17:16

before the dotcom bubble actually burst.

17:18

Yet markets kept climbing. Identifying a

17:20

bubble is easier in retrospect, but

17:22

there are warning signs. Prices that

17:25

rise far beyond historical averages,

17:27

valuations disconnected from earnings,

17:29

widespread use of leverage, and the

17:31

proliferation of speculative instruments

17:33

are all red flags. Minsk's financial

17:36

instability hypothesis describes how

17:38

stability itself breeds instability.

17:40

Long periods of calm encourage

17:42

risk-taking, which leads to fragile

17:44

structures that eventually collapse.

17:46

Still, these warnings are often drowned

17:48

out during the euphoric stage when

17:50

critics are mocked as pessimists or

17:51

dinosaurs. History offers sobering

17:54

lessons about the timeless cycle of

17:56

greed and fear. In every era, whether

17:59

few Japan's rice markets, medieval

18:00

Venice's spice trades, or Wall Street's

18:03

mortgage back securities, the emotional

18:05

DNA remains the same. Greed inflates the

18:07

bubble. Fear pops it, and despair clears

18:10

the ground for the next cycle.

18:11

Kindleberger and Minsky both emphasize

18:13

that bubbles are not aberrations, but

18:16

recurring features of financial history.

18:18

They reveal not a flaw in markets alone,

18:19

but in human nature itself. This leads

18:22

us to the most important question. Can

18:24

bubbles ever be avoided or are they

18:26

inevitable in capitalism? Optimists

18:28

argue that better regulation, improve

18:30

financial literacy, and advanced

18:32

modeling can mitigate bubbles. Central

18:35

banks now monitor systemic risks more

18:37

carefully than in previous centuries,

18:39

and stress tests aim to prevent

18:40

collapses. Yet, skeptics insist that

18:43

bubbles are as inevitable as tides. As

18:45

long as human beings dream of wealth,

18:48

compete with peers, and fall prey to

18:49

cognitive biases, speculative manas will

18:52

return. Schiller has suggested that the

18:54

best offense is not prevention, but

18:55

resilience, building systems that can

18:57

absorb the shock when bubbles burst. In

19:00

the end, the mass psychology of bubbles

19:02

tells us a paradoxical story. On the one

19:04

hand, bubbles are destructive, wiping

19:06

out fortunes and destabilizing

19:08

economies. On the other hand, they often

19:11

leave behind lasting infrastructure and

19:13

progress. The railway mania left Britain

19:16

with a dense rail network. The dotcom

19:18

bubble left behind fiber optic cables

19:20

that powered the internet age. Even the

19:23

cryptocurrency boom may leave us with

19:24

valuable blockchain technologies. In

19:27

this sense, bubbles are the irrational

19:29

accelerators of human progress born from

19:31

the very same greed and fear that make

19:33

us vulnerable. So when we ask why

19:35

bubbles follow such predictable

19:36

emotional stages, why they are fueled by

19:39

her behavior and confirmation bias, why

19:41

stories and hype override rationality,

19:43

and why even the smartest cannot resist,

19:46

we are ultimately asking a deeper

19:47

question. What does it mean to be human

19:49

in the face of uncertainty and

19:51

opportunity? The answer is sobering and

19:53

exhilarating at once. We are creatures

19:55

of hope and fear, endlessly repeating

19:57

cycles of folly and innovation.

19:59

Condemned and blessed the waves of

20:01

mania, panics, and crashes. And perhaps,

20:04

just perhaps, it is this very cycle that

20:07

propels history forward. The true lesson

20:09

of forgotten bubbles is not simply that

20:11

markets are fragile, but that human

20:13

psychology is predictable. Each

20:15

generation believes itself wiser, more

20:17

rational, and better informed. Yet, time

20:20

and again, the cycle repeats. As Charles

20:22

Kindleberger wrote in his classic mania,

20:24

panics, and crashes, there is nothing as

20:27

disturbing to one's well-being and

20:28

judgment as to see a friend get rich.

20:31

From John Law's Paris to Tokyo

20:32

skyscrapers, the story is the same.

20:35

Financial bubbles are less about assets

20:37

than about us. They are mirrors

20:40

reflecting our hopes, fears, and

20:42

illusions. And until human psychology

20:44

changes, the bubbles will keep

20:46

returning.

Interactive Summary

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The video explores the recurring phenomenon of financial bubbles throughout history, moving beyond the commonly known examples like Dutch tulip mania or the dot-com bubble. It argues that bubbles are not rare outliers but predictable patterns driven by human psychology, collective belief, and seductive narratives, rather than the specific assets being traded. The transcript details several less-discussed bubbles, including John Law's Mississippi Company in France, Britain's canal and railway frenzies, speculative land rushes in Melbourne and Florida, the Nifty50 stock bubble, and Japan's asset price bubble in the 1980s. It explains the common stages of a bubble: optimism, enthusiasm, euphoria, anxiety, panic, and despair, driven by cognitive biases such as herd behavior and confirmation bias. The video also highlights the role of narratives, media hype, and new technologies in fueling speculative manias, noting that even intelligent individuals can get caught up due to institutional incentives and social pressure. While bubbles can be destructive, they often leave behind valuable infrastructure and technological advancements. The ultimate lesson is that financial bubbles are less about markets and more about predictable patterns in human nature, making them recurring features of economic history.

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